Dayton +6

Not sold on Ohio St based on their name here, Dayton has recently beaten 2 Tourney teams in St Louis and U Mass and are a capable team, and they can put up points and have some sharpshooters from the outside. This is a tough draw for OSU, and with Dayton being denied a chance for a non-conference game each year against big brother OSU, they will be extra motivated here, and I like their chances are a solid cover.

Play 1 Unit on Dayton

Tennessee +2.5

Not sold on Iowa falling down the stretch and some bad losses there. A look at their deplorable defense says it all, and Tenn. Has a solid defense and while slipping somewhat, if you look at Tennessee

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Florida Gulf Coast +10.5

Why Florida State is favored by double digits is beyond me. Florida Gulf Coast has Dooley at head coach, a Bill Self product out of Kansas and he knows how to win in the post season and we all remember what this team did last year in the big dance. FSU has lost to every good team they played. Florida GC is a cover machine, covering 17 out of their last 22 games and with Florida

Michigan +3


I did a video this week saying Tom Izzo would get to this game after the way his team played down the stretch losing a bunch of games, but Michigan is the regular season crown holder and I expect a #1 NCAA Tourney seed to win this game. It is going to be a slugfest, but Michigan IS the better team with a vastly better resume on their side. MSU is healthy and it is showing and they breezed through their games in this tourney surviving a Wisconsin rally but Michigan's bench and talent come to light here.


Play 1 Unit on Michigan.


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Providence +7.5

These teams split 1-1 on the season and while Creighton getting a lot of press for stud McDermott, they have their hands full here with the Fryars. Defenses are even, Offense from Creighton has been solid by Fryars are 51% from the floor in their 5 games and avenging a 15 point loss 4 games ago to the Blue jays in Omaha. This should be a scorefest and I expect Providence to hang within this number. Nothing comes easy in these type of games. Ton of points here as I had it at -4.

Play 1 Unit on Providence.

Michigan - 3

Stats look even, OSU slightly better on the boards but I like Michigan's offense in this matchup, and they won both regular season games SU and split on the spread. The wins over Purdue and Nebraska (both non covers) by OSU not impressive and while Michigan looked rough yesterday I like them to play vastly better today and get this cover. Only 3 conference losses all year for Michigan against 16 wins.

Play 1 Unit on Michigan

Florida -6.5

Average margin of win is 21 points by the Gators their last 3 games, and Billy Donovan has his team focused on winning this title and going undefeated through this conference season. Tennessee hot winning 5 in a row but hardly impressed with their last 2 wins, South Carolina is no challenge but FU is. Florida won and covered both regular season games by more than this line, they are totally in sync and the best team in the country. 2 good defensive teams here which usually means I take the points, but Florida clearly on a mission and in total sync.

Play 1 Unit on Florida

Providence -2.5

Fade Seton Hall. Let me repeat that, FADE THEM. Any team off an upset miracle win against a top seed is an auto fade over the years. I do not have all the stats as time is short but Providence the better team here and has nothing to come down from, but Seton Hall does. Providence's offense 17 ppg better the last 5 games and that will be the difference.

Play 1 Unit on Providence

Pitt +2

Not sold on UNC and they got hammered their last game out against Duke, Pitt just crushed Wake. NC as a matter of fact headed into the Duke game managed a 2 point win over Notre Dame and 4 point win over VT, both bottom feeders. Like Pitts size and momentum here and avenging a 4 point loss at Chapel Hill last month.

Play 1 Unit on Pitt

Florida -12

Mizzou has needed a miracle to get here. The game with Texas AM was ugly and quite frankly Florida will not just lay down here, like many #1 seeds have done. Billy Donovan will let his horses run wild here and they own a 10 point win over Mizzou already. I do not lay double digits lightly in tourney action but Florida hands down 20 points better and Mizzou off a tough OT win with little bench.

Play 1 Unit on Florida

Clemson -3.5

I took GT last night. Poor performance in an ugly OT win, and they could not hit shots, free throws, turned it over, and looked like shit against a bad BC team. Clemson plays smothering defense, allowing just 58 ppg their last 5 games and last time they played GT they beat them by 8 on their home floor. Can

Baylor +2

Baylor has won 8 out of 9 and is one of the hottest teams in the conference right now. A MUST WIN for Baylor here, OU is ranked and already in the big dance. No doubt Lon Kruger is a great coach, and OU has beaten Baylor twice already, and just flat out tough with double revenge and a hot team to fade Baylor with a game under their belt and a ton of confidence. If Baylor hits shots, they can win this by 6 points or more. Motivation always lies with a team desperate to get in the big dance and one that has the talent to do it.

Play 1 Unit on Baylor

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