Davidson -3
VCU has shot 36% from the floor in their last 5 games and Davidson's OFFENSE is 16 ppg better than that of VCU, and 9 days ago Davidson beat VCU by a score of 82-55.  Davidson also owns and edge on the glass.  VCU has not played great ball down the stretch here, Davidson is better.
Play 1 Unit on Davidson 

Duke -7

Duke is a team that is totally focused on a number 1 seed in the big dance.  Coach K also wants to twin this tourney and beat Virginia – have no illusions Notre Dame is good, but their last meeting was a Duke Blowout and if you have not paid attention the last week, Duke is totally dialed in big time.  Duke on neutral floors are 5-0 SU and holding opponents to 58 ppg.

Play 1 Unit on Duke

Cincy -1.5

Going against U Conn here, bottom line is Cincy’s defense is the difference in this game.  Short on time, but a cheap number for a better team and they are hotter coming in here.

Play 1 Unit on Cincy

UCLA +11.5

Yes UCLA beat AZ in last years title game and AZ is killing people by double digits in their last 9 games (23 ppg) which is amazing but UCLA is a team who always gives AZ fits and think of this, Arizona has not won this tourney since 2002.  57-47 was the last score these two played to, that was at Arizona, winning by 10 at home.  UCLA has a great backcourt that can make a difference and cover this number.

Play 1 Unit on UCLA 

Ol Miss -3

Short and Sweet.  SC had issues with a very bad Mizzou team last night and although the spread count was a 9 point win, Mizzou has no shooters and play little defense, it was a battle of bottom feeders.  Ol Miss already has destroyed SC this season 65-49 and while both teams play very good defense it is the offense of Ol Miss that makes the difference here.  Moddy for Ol Miss is a hell of palyer ansd scorer.

Play 1 Unit on Ol Miss

Iowa State -1.5

OK – Rick Barnes, in a big game away from Austin.  ENOUGH SAID.  Iowa State is my odds on favorite to win this tourney, they won it last year and quite frankly while Texas beat up a bottom feeder last night they struggle against good teams, and they cannot match points with Iowa States sharpshooters who are talents and deep.  ISU won both meetings this year and scored in excess of 85 points in each game. 

Play 2 Units on Iowa State – TOP PLAY

PS – Check out my affordable March Madness Package - #1 ranked by Sports Watch in 2014 in March Madness with 72% documented winners over 46 plays – CASH OUT!  

TCU +2

Hoping this goes up to 2.5 but I feel TCU, who absolutely manhandled K State by 14 points a little over 3 weeks ago repeats.  K State DEPLORABLE away from home, 1 conference win on the road all year, and Bruce Weber flat out is fade coach all the way on the road in conference action.  K State has had some player discipline issues, academic issues and are not a good team.  Neither team likely to advance past this game, but TCU has much better guards who get to the free throw line a ton, and they are the better team catching points.  Yes K State 2 hours from home with local support, but simply put, TCU is undervalued here given the fact K States last 3 wins, all at home (3-7 SU their last 10 games) all came against ranked opponents has them in the favorite role.  Perception is not reality.

Play 1 Unit on TCU  

Penn St -2

Nebraska away from Lincoln is a different animal, and the Husker vaunted defense, well in the last 5 games they have played they have allowed 71 ppg, that is 11 ppg over their season average, and the Huskers basically have 2 players that are capable of scoring double digits.  Nebraska managed just 43 points in a 13 point loss to Penn State this year, and the Huskers have lost 8 in a row, and while they gave Maryland a fight in Lincoln on Sunday in a loss, on the road anywhere the Huskers are not bankable.  They have dropped 8 games ATS out of their last 10 games.  More offense for Penn State, and a better team out of the two here as they are the bottom seeds in this tourney.  Low scoring game for sure, Under 120 might be worth a look, but Penn St pulls it out late.

Play 1 Unit on Penn State

Green Bay +4

Valpo a good team but Green Bay has the offense here to get it done.  They split in the regular season and one Key in this game is the fact Valpo has issues scoring and they just lost their top guard for the tourney with injury and he was scoring 11 ppg , and add in the fact Valpo has averaged 58 ppg their last 5 games as compared to Green Bay’s 76 and both play good defense, this is a down to the wire game where points are at a premium.  Whole world on Valpo here at home. I am bucking the public and taking the dog.

Play 1 Unit on Green Bay. 

BC -3.5  (shooting up, bet early, opened at -1)

Georgia Tech have thrown in the towel, they cannot score and one of their best players Hunt is out for the rest of the season with a broken foot, he averaged almost 14 ppg, a HUGE hit for a team who struggles offensively.  These 2 split in the regular season, both tight games and one of them in OT at GT where they won.  BC won their last 3 games with huge wins by double digits’ over NC State and Wake, while GT lost 6 out of their last 7 and in their last game lost 81-49 to the Tarheels. 

Play 1 Unit on BC    

Northern Illinois +6.5

Akron has 2 starters out including their big man and I cannot unload on a team who has dropped 6 out of 7 games in the favorite role at home over 3 points.  Add in the fact in thjeior only meeting this year NIU won by 3 points at home and NIU is on a 4 game winning streak and have better offensive numbers the last 5 games overall, and they are 5-2-1 ATS in this series the last 8 games, I am on Northern Illinois to keep this tight to the wire.

Play 1 Unit on Northern Illinois. 

Maryland -2.5
OK lets forget senior night and Home Floor for Nebraska.  They cannot compete with Maryland here.  Scoring 55 and allowing 71 points in their last 5 games, Nebraska's defense which was keeping them in games now has faltered as well.  Maryland taller, better and deeper.  Terps looking for high Big 10 tourney seed as well as the Big Dance.  Maryland efficient in every aspect including 85% from free throw line their last 5.  Under might be worth a look too here at 122.  
Play 1 Unit on Maryland 

=

Northern Iowa -4.5
Two things here at play.  The defense of NIU and the fact Illinois St is off a huge upset.  I had the Redbirds Saturday but they matched up well in that game.  Back on Feb 11 the Panthers beat up on Illinois St by 19 points at home and swept them 2-0 this season.  Illinois St playing good ball right now but they are just 5-11 ATS their last 16 games and NIU is 12-3-3 ATS their last 16 games.  Best Player in the Mo Valley on the floor for NIU.
Play 1 Unit on Northern Iowa. 

UC Davis -2.5
Cannot figure this line but UC Davis is undefeated at home and already beat the daylights out of Irving by  19 and while Irvine and Davis are both at a high level, homecourt is a HUGE advantage in this game.  If Davis gets the 3 ball going, and they are one of the top 5 teams in the NCAA at 3 point shots, they will get it done big here.  8-2 ATS at home their last 10 games.  
Play 2 Units on UC Davis 

Virginia -2.5
Louisville cannot score and their offense is their greatest weakness, while Virginia just destroys everyone's offensive output with a shut down defense.  The most points scored on the Cavs since 2/16 has been 57 points and in their last game between these two Louisville managed just 47 points.  11-0 on the road and 16-5 ATS on the road for the Cavs.
Play 1 Unit on Virginia
BONUS PLAY on North Carolina -1 to 1.5 for a Half Unit - This is their game of the year and they should control the glass...more desire to win than Duke here although Duke will not lay down.  They did everything but win in the last game and were the better team in that one that they lost in OT.  Homecourt is huge here. 

Illinois State +7.5
Third best team in this tourney and I will take the generous points here as WSU struggled yesterday and ISU has given WSU fits all year.  Both teams plays stellar defense and points will be at a premium.  The Shockers struggled Friday and managed just 57 against a bottom feeder.  I will take the points.  
Play 1 Unit on Illinois State

Oakland -7.5

Call me square but this is a total mismatch and Oakland has destroyed Illinois Chicago twice this year by a combined 39 points and Illinois Chicago cannot trade punches on the scoreboard as Oakland had 81 and 91 against them this year.  Short and Sweet, enough said.

Play 2 Units on Oakland – TOP PLAY 

Washington St +13

Yes Utah is better, vastly better but when you average 61 ppg on the road on the SEASON and lay 13 on the road, against a team who can put up points, and this is WSU’s Super Bowl at home tonight, I will gladly take the points in this spot.  Utah buried the Cougars by 22 6 weeks ago, and WSU has not forgot it. 

Play 1 Unit on Washington State 

St Johns -1.5

Marquette having a down year, and the lowest scoring team in the conference as they take on a red hot St. Johns team hell bent on making the NCAA Tourney.  The red men have notched their 20th win and are looking like a tourney team but this win is a MUST WIN as they march toward the big Dance.  Too much offense and experience.  St Johns has won 6 out of 7 and in 5 of those games scored 78 ppg or more and the Golden Eagles woeful offense cannot keep pace.

Play 1 Unit on St. Johns.

Check out my March Madness package on the site.  Ranked #1 by Sportswatch last year with over a 72% ATS record over 42 plays in March Madness!  I expect a repeat performance this season.

North Carolina -5.5

Way too much offense for GT to handle here.  I laid points on the road with Virginia and cashed and while it is dangerous to lay points with road teams this time of year, it also should be noted that good coaches like Roy Williams, with a good team , is getting them ready and synced in for tourney action.  GT off an OT loss against Clemson where they trailed by as many as 23 points in a grueling and heartbreaking loss, and I like to go against teams off an OT loss their next game.  GT’s offense is very inconsistent while NC can put up some points.  They scored 89 against GT 2 weeks ago and beat them by 29 points laying 11.5.  6 point line adjustment because NC is on the road.  I know GT plays people tough but this is a mismatch.

Play 1 Unit on North Carolina 

Virginia -5.5

Line dropped from 6 here and I know it is Syracuse’s Senior night where Rakeem Christmas gets a farewell, but that enthusiasm will be short lived, as the Cavs have won their last 4 games by an average of 17 ppg, and they are a monster undefeated SU road team and also a cover machine on the road going 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 road games.  Syracuse off a draining loss against Duke and they have covered just 4 out of their last 17 games.  Yes this is the Oranges Super bowl of games tonight with no post season action, but they are offensively challenged against one of the best defenses in college basketball and a red hot Cavs team will not overlook this games by a longshot.   Virginia playing for a #1 seed in the big dance and face a tough ACC tourney, this is a must win roadie, and all coaches know what happen to Gonzaga this weekend. Looks easy to take the points with a capable home dog, but I for one do not think Cuse has enough offense against this defense to be capable, they got waxed by 19 points and managed just 56 points in the last meeting, and this line has only been adjusted 1.5 points.    

Play 1 Unit on Virginia

BONUS PLAY:   Baylor +2.5 to 3 – Texas cannot win a big game…Baylor on a roll, Texas falling flat. 

SMU +1
Playing U Conn, and on a 7 game road winning streak and SMU plays big foes well and Top 100 RPI teams well.  Larry Brown has another good team here and U Conn while decent at home are not the national champs of last year, and SMU already beat this team 73-55 on Valentines day.  This line looks like a trap, but I am drinking the kool aid on this one gents, SMU vastly better and a hell of a road team.
Play 2 Units on SMU 

Mississippi St +9
Quite frankly SC should not be laying 9 to anyone, their offense is deplorable and shot 30% from the floor in their last game.  Both teams are fairly even across the board in stats.  Yes Miss St is on a big slide but any team laying big points today is a risk, especially a team as bad as SC.
Play 1 Unit on Miss St

Bowling Green -3
Avenging a home loss and sitting at 18-8 on the year I like BG here who are 10-2 ATS on the road and have the best player on the floor and the best offense in this game.  BG is 16-5-1 ATS on the season and one of the better cover teams in hoops.  This line dropped 2 points since opening and the value has increased.
Play 1 Unit on Bowling Green - Hidden Gem 

Northern Iowa +6
When you have 2 teams in the Top 11 that play great defense with the Shockers allowing just 51 ppg at home and the Panthers who allow just 56 ppg on the road and a game for all the marbles, with NIU already winning round 1 by 16, I am taking points.  This is a down to the wire game and it will not come easy.  I have capped this conference all season and NIU is the better team (barely) and WSU has had trouble all year putting away weaker teams and seem to get in tight spots in other games and though their backcourt is excellent, NIU plays suffocating defense up top.
Play 1 Unit on Northern Iowa to get the cover

Boise St -8

Like the Broncos at home against a weak New Mexico team that really has not played all that well down the stretch, they have lost 2 productive starters along the way this year to injuries and they are not a good road team.  BSU is on a 9-1 SU / ATS run .  New Mexico only scores 60 ppg on the road and the Bronco’s allow just 54 ppg at home (50 ppg their last 5!!) .  BSU already won the first series meeting by 10 on the road and lay 8./5 in the rematch and are red hot?  I will lay it

Play 1 Unit on Boise St.

Alabama -4

South Carolina is shorthanded with suspensions and a deplorable road team, not to mention on the road they score only 58 ppg this season while allowing 66.  A recipe for disaster tonight against Bama at home.  South Carolina 2-12 ATS their last 14 road games guys and no offense on the road this time of year is doom. Bama lost at South Carolina last month so this is a revenge game here.  Bama 12-4 SU at home.  No bench for the Gamecocks will do them in.

Play 1 Unit on Roll Tide

Kansas -6

Bill Self does this sneaky thing every year, he gets his young team better as the season progresses and gets them dialed in for post season play.  KU has DOMINATED this series 26-9-1 ATS the last 36 meetings because they are always better and this years edition is no exception and K State managed just 42 points in a blowout loss at Baylor this weekend (no shooters and little second chance points) and have managed just 57 ppg on offense their last 5 games as compared to Kansas who has averaged 72.  KU flat out better and since the beat them by 11 three weeks ago, K State has regressed.  K State has lost 8 out of their last 10 games SU and Bill Self will come in here and make a statement on national TV tonight.

Play 1 Unit on Kansas 

Indiana -6.5
Yes the Hoosiers are not a good road team but Rutgers is the only team in the Big 10 without a winning home record  and they are a whipping post for most all Big 10 teams.  Indiana in a dog fight for post season positioning and every win counts and this is a winnable road test for them.  Rutgers offense is deplorable, 55 ppg on offense their last 5 games.  They cannot keep pace, this is a double digit win for Indiana.
Play 1 Unit on Indiana 

Loyola of Chicago +10
Loyola is 9-2 ATS on the road, both team play good defense and this will be a low scoring game.  Loyola's last game they managed just 39 points against mighty Northern Iowa however they held the Panthers to just 58 points and 5 out of their last 7 games have went under the number.  I do think Illinois St is the better team soley based on the fact they have a rebounding edge here that will give them some easy points but I expect neother team to reach past 62 points on offense and overall stats show Loyola with the better FG% and 3 point %.  These teams have identical records and it should be a tight game throughout.
Play 2 Units on Loyola Chicago - TOP PLAY

Kent State -1
This line baffles me, Kent State is vastly better and already has a 10 point win over Ohio U this season.  Kent State is one of the better teams in the MAC at 18-8 and their defense is 13 ppg better than Ohio U's in their last 5 games.  They laid 7 in the first meeting and won by 10 and now lay 1?  The fact the Flashes have lost 3 out of their last 4 gives us great line value here against a team they can get healthy against today, even on the road.
Play 1 Unit on Kent State 

LSU -4
The Tigers are strong at home and should have beat Kentucky in here while Billy Donovan has suspended his top 2 scorers again for this game which puts the gators in a hole on the road, where they are 2-6 SU on the year with roadies where they score just 63 ppg on the road versus LSU's 76 ppg at home this year where they are 13-3 SU.  Short number against a short handed Gator team, I will lay it.
Play 1 Unit on LSU 

Wake Forest +12

Notre Dame is just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games are are just 6-15-1 ATS their last 22 home games.  If you look at the recent stats, which are the last 5 games each as played, amazingly the stats are dead even almost and in fact Wakes numbers are better.  One glaring stat is that Notre Dame has allowed 50% in FG% from the floor on defense in their last 5 games and Wake has put up 70 ppg their last 5 games and have a distinct advantage on the boards in this game, which should keep them well within this number.

Play 1 Unit on Wake Forest. 

BONUS PLAY – HALF UNIT – Drake +10.5

Kansas -1.5

Have no illusions, this is tough road trip for any team and Kansas off a big game Saturday against Baylor, so that is a small concern, but as I look deeper, West Virginia cannot beat anyone that is worth a shit.  Look at their wins in the Big 12, six of their 7 wins have come against Big 12 bottoms feeders K State, TCU and lowly Texas Tech.  Bear in mind also they Kansas last year in the season finale and KU has some revenge in mind.  Anyone good UWV has played has whipped their ass including Iowa State who plays no defense what so ever.  Kansas flat out better, even on a tough floor for WV, Kansas is better.  WV 1-4 their last 5 games on Big Monday and Huggins is 1-8 against Bill Self and KU.  KU better on offense, depth and talent.

Play 1 Unit on Kansas 

Northern Iowa -10.5
MIzzou St is with 3 players who have started this year and to my count, suit up 8 scholarship players against a 12th ranked Panther team who can play with anyone in the country.  MSU has managed just 52 ppg on offense and allowed 63 ppg their last 5 and already have been beaten by 14 against NIU when they were healthy.
Play 2 Units on Northern Iowa  

Texas –16.5

Texas Tech is Deplorable, I mean Deplorable on the road.  Their last 5 road games they scored 51, 43, 36, 58, and 38.   In their last 5 games overall they have averaged 49 ppg on offense and allowed 70 ppg in those 5.  Texas tech has lost their last 5 road games by an average of 24 ppg.  Need I say more – Lay the Wood.  Texas lost 4 in a row, one included OT, and that was against good teams, they are off a monster blowout win over a TCU team vastly better than Texas Tech who is 0-9 on the road including nuetral court games.

Play 1 Unit on Texas

Wichita State -4

Smells like a trap line.  The Shockers beat ISU by 8 last month laying 14.5 points, the only spread they have not covered against Illinois Stat since March of 2012.  Now the spread is only 4 and ISU does not have a huge homecourt advantage.  The Shockers defense allowing just 53 ppg their last 3 and ISU has covered just 1 out of their last 9 games.  

Play 1 Unit on Wichita State 

Oklahoma State -3

This is my top play.  TCU is free fall and managed no more than 57 ppg on offense in their last 3 games and Okie State is peaking right now, just beat Baylor, Texas and Kansas and TCU has lost 7 in a row.  Two teams in 2 different directions.

Play 2 Units on Okie State - TOP PLAY

Southern Illinois +2.5

Like SOU in this one, as the Ramblers of Loyola –Chicago have lost 5 out of 6 with their guard Milton Doyle, who had 11 ppg and almost 5 assists.  He is out tonight and Loyola is not an offensive team and losing one of their leading scorers is bad news.  Neither team a great team but the Salukis offense has more capability and the Ramblers in their last 10 games have hit just 58% from the charity stripe and in a tight game that stat matters, taking the dog here to put up more points.  SIU won the first meeting 3 weeks ago by 7, I like them here catching the points. 

Play 1 Unit on Southern Illinois 

Wisconsin -9

Yes Nebraska is at home and they are a different animal in Lincoln, but cannot ignore the offensive output of 43 points on Saturday at Penn State and Wisconsin plays some good defense as well.  The Badgers avenging a season ending loss last year in Lincoln on national TV and the Huskers not near the team they were last year and Wisconsin is no doubt one of the top teams in the nation, deep and talented and they average 20 ppg more on offense than Nebraska in their last 5 game averages.  Huskers cannot hang late in the game with the scoring potential of Wisconsin.  Every single stat edge I handicap, all of them, all favor Wisconsin.  The Badgers not a great cover team, but they should blowout the Huskers tonight.

Play 1 Unit on Wisconsin

BONUS PLAY – LA Lakers -2 over Denver.  Denver the worst cover team in the NBA and have lost 6 in a row against the spread.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana -7.5

Michigan very short handed, with 2 stars out and their offense is in a funk, just 54 ppg their last 5.  Hoosiers have covered all four games in this series the last 2 years in a row at 4-0 ATS - make it 5 in a row.  Indiana should bury them at home.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana 

Murray St -11.5
Austin Pea in trouble here, allowing 50% from the floor their last 5 and Murray St the class of the conference with Payne and Williams both expected to have a field day against this defense.  Way to much firepower for AP to contend with here and they have dropped their last 3 home games to lesser teams, some by double digits.
1 Unit on Murray State 

Kansas -1
KU's offense clicking, they just ripped through 4 top tier teams in the Big 12, and as usual KU continues to improve as the season rolls along.  They have won 8 out of 10 SU in this series and Okie State is struggling on offense at 60 ppg their last 5 games.,  KU has too much offense and outside game for OSU.
Play 1 Unit on Kansas 

Notre Dame +9.5
Duke has covered 3 spreads since January 7th.  The stats are even and while Duke is playing with revenge, I just do not see this this big of a line with any valuer on Duke.  This will be a tight game all the way, the Irish match up well.
Play 1 Unit

Oregon State -7

OSU’s defense unreal and while they are a middle of the pack team in the PAC 12, they are undefeated at home this year and have covered all but 2 games at home.  Washington State already got waxed at home by OSU scoring just 47 points against this vaunted defense.  Washington St just 5 covers on the road their last 27 attempts!

Play 1 Unit on Oregon State. 

Drake +2

Cannot trust So Illinois on the road, just 2 wins all year on the road and their offense is just deplorable, and they average just 57 ppg on the road.  Drake is no juggernaut but have played better ball the past few weeks and while only .500 at home, this is a winnable game for them because they have the better offense here plus home court. Drake has shot 49% from the floor and 46% from beyond the arc their last 5 games.  Southern Illinois has yet to win a conference road game this season and they are 2-9 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series and they have just covered 3 out of their last 12 games overall.  Drake off back to back wins and just beat a decent Evansville team in here scoring 75 points in the process.

Play 1 Unit on Drake

BONUS Half Unit Play:  Kansas State -4.5 

Mo Valley Free Play

Wichita St @ Bradley

We are catching Wichita State off a loss at Northern Iowa in what was a battle between the two top teams in the Mo Valley, BOTH ranked in the Top 20 headed into that showdown on Saturday.  I fully expect Wichita St to bounce back with a vengeance tonight against a shorthanded Bradley team who lost to bottom feeder Drake by 12 points on their vaunted home floor in their last home game.

Bradley has Warren Jones and Ka’Darryl Bell suspended for this game, their best 2 guards which account for 20 ppg, for an off campus incident that resulted in charges by local law enforcement.  The Shockers will pounce all over the Braves tonight and they have a habit of beating the daylights out of weak sisters and covering double digit spreads against them.  Bradley can ill afford to be shorthanded tonight and I am positive of one thing, the Shockers wants a big bounce back and the set up tonight could be no better for them.  Bradley only scores 57 ppg on the season and the Shockers allow just 56 ppg on the season and now Bradley without their 2 guards?  Game Over, Shockers have covered 11 out of the last 12 in this series, you can add another one tonight.

Lay the Wood on Bradley -16.5 

CBB Double Header tonight with more Mo Valley Action and a Big 12 Bonus Play.  Check out Tony’s action now

Iowa State +7

I will take the points with a high flying Iowa State going up against the Jayhawks at Phog Allen with KU trying to avenge a loss in Ames a few weeks back.  Kansas’s offense is struggling and their youth is still showing, and Iowa State’s ability to score (81 ppg their last 5) will keep them in this game. 

Iowa State +7 for 1 Unit

Play a half unit play on the Memphis Grizzles -3 tonight. 

Play 2 Units - Top Play on North Carolina +5.5  Better team, better offense.  Louisville's offense is inconsistent and NC also has bench scoring.  

Kansas – 11

Kansas dominated K State, dating back to 2010 they have covered all but 1 spread in this series, and at Phog Allen Arena, KU is a beast.  They have won their last 6 contests at home in the Sunflower Showdown by an average of 20.5 ppg including beat downs of K State versions the past 2 years by 26 points in each game in Lawrence.  Kansas off a piss poor performance at TCU and practice has been no fun this week according to my sources and Bill Self will smart Bruce Webber as always in this big game.

Play 1 Unit on Kansas

Utah -5.5

Easy money here.  These two played 3 weeks ago and powerhouse and #10 Utah beat the tar out of UCLA 71-39 laying 11.5 points and UCLA is without Parker again and his 10 ppg, and since he has sat out the last 2 games, UCLA has lost those 2 games by 11 and 18 points to lesser teams than Utah and we are laying 6?  Take it.  Utes win by double digits and their defense will be too much for UCLA again.

Play 1 Unit on Utah

Stanford -1.5 to 2

Stanford off a 19 point win against AZ State and Washington off an ass kicking at the hands of Utah, who also covered a double digit spread against Washington in that game. Washington on a 5-5 run and struggling against good teams and Stanford on a 8-2 run with some wins during that stretch including Texas on the road, and Stanford better outside and deeper on the bench.

Play 1 Unit on Stanford

West Virginia +1.5

Not sold on K State who is enjoying some limelight in the Big 12, and bear in mind they have mighty Kansas on deck.  Huggins will have his boys ready to play and he has some sharp shooters that should do well against the man defense that K State runs.  West Virginia has not forgot the ass kicking by 22 points they took in here last year and K State is not as good as rebounding team as WV and those are easy points.  Many love K State here, they are on a roll, but off a huge win and Kansas on deck, I think the Mountaineers come in here and get a win tonight.  While K State has been decent lately bear in mind they are 4 games over .500 on the year.  Sandwich spot for K State on the schedule. 

Play 1 Unit on West Virginia

Bonus Play – OVER 140.5 in Arkansas / Tennessee game.  Arkansas scores like crazy at home and plays little defense. .Half Unit

Indiana +8.5
Ohio State lost by 3 at Indiana 15 days ago and while they had a tough night on the floor, a closer look at that game and the Hoosiers shot 40% from the floor, and had 11 more turnobvers than OSU and they only hit 22% from beyond the arc and still won the game.  While this is a tough road test for Indiana, this is a ton of points in a battle of two good teams.  OSU is 2-2 SU their last 4 games and that includes a 2 point win over Northwestern, and they are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 Big 10 games.  
Play 1 Unit on Indiana
BONUS PLAY - Play a half unit on Washington +12.5

Murray State at SIU Edwardsville

No time for a write up today as I am traveling.  

Play two units on Murray State

MIch St -2.5 at Nebraska

I am traveling and don't have time for a write up on this.  Mich St should bury Nebraska today.

Play one unit on Michigan State

Indiana State +13.5 to 14

Defense and tempo.  That is what Northern Iowa plays (47 ppg allowed in last 5 games)  and the fact ISU is a high percentage shooting team in FG% and also plays a slow down approach brings big points into play.  Indiana St has covered 4 out of the last 5 in this series.

Play 1 Unit on Indiana State

Bonus Half Unit Play – Evansville (pick’ em) Playing with revenge.  

Illinois State -8.5

Drake is one bad basketball team, 4 wins all year.  Bottom feeder in the Mo Valley and they cannot score to save their life.  They finally had a breakout game against Indiana State Saturday where they broke 80 points but before that game, they managed 47 -40-45-37 and 58 points dating back to Christmas Eve.  Illinois State is a solid team and at a huge advantage on offense.  These 2 teams played back on the 7th and Illinois State was a 81-45 winner laying 12.5 points and now they lay 8.5?   Vastly better team, Blowout win here by 15+  Drakes leading scorer on their team this season averages 9 points per game.  Drake has covered just 9 out of their last 34 games. Unreal!

Play 1 Unit on Illinois State

Bonus Play – Half Unit – Iowa +8.5  

TCU -2.5
Ken Pom Rating of 50 and a good team off 3 straight Big 12 losses against a Texas tech Team ranked 168 on Ken Pom and a team who has serious issues scoring  TCU 13-3 and looking for a Big 12 win here, I think they get it done and win by 5-8 points.
Play 1 Unit on TCU 

Miami +6.5
Like the momentum and a win off Duke for the Hurricanes.  Notre Dame has been suspended Zach Auguste who has 14 ppg and 6 rebounds, a good power forward.  ND has played Virginia and North Carolina in the last 12 days along with Georgia Tech.  Miami capable here and this is too many points in what should be a very tight game.  
Play 1 Unit on Miami

Wichita State -5
Evansville has a good team this year but the Shockers are on a roll defensively allowing just 54 ppg their last 5 games and 58 on the season and provide some matchup issues for the Aces.  The Shockers also have a deeper bench and better coaching and overall they are the creme of the crop in the Mo Valley.  Evansville coming back down to earth going just 2-2 SU their last 4 games and 1-3 ATS
Play 1 Unit on Wichita State

Huskers +14.5

Nebraska 20-8 ATS last 28 Big 10 Games, and their defense is stellar allowing 58 their last 5 games and Huskers on a 2 game win streak.  Wisconsin of a bad loss, and I expect them to win buyt laying 14.5 points in a defensive battle is always worth the points and the dog and Nebraska capable here despite offensive struggles.  

Play 1 Unit on Nebraska 

Kentucky -14
I have this line at at 18 in my power ratings and Texas AM off a bad loss to Alabama and they cannot shoot outside, they will have no inside presence in this game and their best player and court general Jones was out last game and is questionable in this game, and even if he does go, not being 100% against Kentucky and their depth is a death sentence.  Kentucky will dominate the paint here.
Lay it on Kentucky for 1 Unit

SEMO -3
I have a great source out of this conference and the bottom line is that Southeast Missouri State is finally living up to preseason expectations and they take on a Moorehead State team that is regressing and turns the ball over like crazy (15 per game), and given the fact SEMO is highly ranked in steals, and plays full court pressure a ton on defense, they should win this game easily on Thursday Night.  SEMO's offense has picked up as well.  3 is a very short number here, and the fact SEMO is playing with double revenge after getting swept last year, I will make a 2 unit move here.  
Play 2 Units on SEMO

Iowa State -8

39-3 SU at home…WOW…..Hilton Arena in Ames Iowa  is one of the toughest venues in America to play in college basketball.  Iowa State besides being a good team is also a different animal at home.  Big number but the deep bench and scoring power of ISU will get over with a double digit win at home over Okie State who is a bad road bet under head coach Ford.  Love ISU here.  Line is 8 for a reason. Home court worth 4 here alone!

Play 1 Unit on Iowa State

Notre Dame +8

Only 1 loss all year and yet a Top 15 ranking and still getting 8 points on the road here for a very good and well coached Irish team.  The Irish offense scoring 85 ppg their last 5 games and both the last 5 games and the season overall the Irish have the better offense in this game, better defense glass stats and better free throw shooters.  I will gladly take the points here.

Play 1 Unit on Notre Dame

Evansville -3.5
Indiana State has 5 wins this season and are 6-21 ATS their last 21 home games and are 17-36 their last 53 games overall and the road team in this series is 7-2 ATS and the Purple Aces come in here 11-2 SU and they have lost hose 2 games by a total of 4 points.  Look for them to get the win here by 8-10 points against a team who cannot trade punches on the scoreboard with them today.  Road wins in the MO Valley are always at a premium and I love the Aces here.
Play 1 Unit on Evansville 

Kentucky -6
The only time Kentucky has been favored by single digits this season was against Kansas and they pounded them by 32 points and all of their 12 wins have come by double digits this year.  FOR REAL.  10 players deep, hard to defend, monsters on the glass and clearly the best team in the College Hoops ranks.  Lousville a nice team, this is a huge rivalry in Hoops or Football but at days end Kentucky head and shoulders above anyone, including the Cards.  Calipari will have his team ready, and bear in mind as good as Pitino is as a coach, he does not play the game.
Play 1 Unit on Kentucky

Gonzaga -4.5
Like the Zags here over UCLA.  The Zags are a monster big team with a deep bench.  The same cannot be said for UCLA who lacks depth and the size to match up.  Not sold on UCLA - they played 2 good teams all year and lost them both.  The Zags lobe loss is an OT game at Arizona - they are ranked 8th in the nation and may be their best team they have had if the chemistry develops this season.  I like them here -points in the paint will be KEY for the Zags.
Play 1 Unit on Gonzaga 

Ohio State +8

Louisville has not really played anyone near as good as Ohio State who enters this game ranked 13th and the Cards ranked 5th.  8 points is a TON of points for 2 teams that have displayed defensive prowess to date, Louisville allows just 46 ppg and Ohio State 57 ppg but it is Ohio States offense that have averaged 10 ppg more on offense than the Cards to date.  Lower scoring and tough defense brings points into play.  This one will not come easy, 2 good coaches going at it with 2 good teams, I will take the points.

Play 1 Unit on Ohio State