6* American League *CA$H COW* on Baltimore Orioles -105

The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are in desperate need of a victory after losing five straight to drop to 7-10 on the season.  I expect them to bounce back today and put an end to this skid as they clearly won't be lacking any motivation.  Wei-Yin Chen continues to be one of the more underrated starters in the big leagues.  He has gone 0-1 with a 3.07 ERA through three starts in 2015.  Justin Masterson is coming off the worst season of his career, and it hasn't been any better in 2015.  He has posted a 5.74 ERA through three starts for the Red Sox.  Masterson is 6-6 with a 5.24 ERA in 13 career starts against Baltimore, while Chen is 5-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 12 career starts against Boston.  The Orioles are 22-4 in Chen's last 26 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.  The Orioles are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take Baltimore.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Baltimore Orioles -102

The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are highly motivated for a victory today after losing four straight games to the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series on the road.  Now, they return home, and I look for them to get the job done against the Boston Red Sox.  Miguel Gonzalez has gone 2-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.245 WHIP in three starts this season to get off to a tremendous start in 2015.  Rick Porcello got big money from the Red Sox and may be the most overpaid pitcher in the game.  He hasn't lived up to expectations, going 1-2 with a 6.63 ERA and 1.474 WHIP through three starts in 2015.  Porcello is 3-6 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.475 WHIP in 10 career starts against Baltimore, while Gonzalez is 5-1 with a 2.89 ERA in seven career starts against Boston.  The Orioles are 36-15 in their last 51 home games.  Baltimore is 21-9 in Gonzalez's last 30 home starts.  Take Baltimore.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati Reds -104

The Key: The Milwaukee Brewers are banged up right now, which is a big reason why they own the league's worst record at 2-13. They have lost eight in a row coming in and things aren't getting any better any time soon.  That's because they are without their two best players in Carlos Gomez & Jonathan Lucroy, and they're also without starting second baseman Scooter Gennett.  The Reds have won the first three games in this series behind hot bats that have produced 24 runs, or 8.0 per game.  Kyle Lohse has been awful this season, going 0-3 with a 10.34 ERA and 1.724 WHIP while allowing 18 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings.  The Reds are 25-9 in their last 34 during game 4 of a series.  The Reds are 45-18 in their last 63 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Cincinnati is 47-23 in Homer Bailey's last 70 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Milwaukee is 13-38 in its last 51 games overall. The Brewers are 0-5 in Lohse's last 5 starts as an underdog.  Take Cincinnati.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Boston Red Sox -120

The Key: Great value here on the Red Sox (9-5), who are one of the best teams in baseball up against one of the worst in the Rays (6-8).  They have one of the best lineups in the majors, while the Rays have one of the worst.  We're also getting by far the better starting pitcher tonight in Joe Kelly over Nate Karns.  Kelly is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.710 WHIP through two starts this season, while Karns is 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.075 WHIP through three starts.  Karns has already walked 10 batters this season.  Kelly is 8-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.  The Red Sox are 5-0 in Kelly's last 5 starts.  Boston is 6-0 in Kelly's last 6 road starts with a total of 7.0-8.5.  The Rays are 1-10 in their last 11 games as a home underdog.  Take Boston.

6* AL Central *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -124

The Key: After blowing a 3-0 lead in the bottom of the 9th inning last night to lose 3-4 to the White Sox, look for the Indians to come back determined for a win today.  I like their chances given the massive edge them have on the mound in this one.  Carlos Carrasco posted a 1.30 ERA with 78 strikeouts in 69 innings over his final 10 starts of 2014.  Carrasco is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.948 WHIP through two starts in 2015.  He has owned the White Sox here of late, allowing just 3 earned runs over 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Hector Noesi has given up 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 18 base runners over 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Cleveland.  Noesi allowed two earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start this season against Minnesota.  The Indians are 51-25 in their last 76 games as a road favorite.  The White Sox are 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.  Chicago is 0-4 in Noesi's last 4 starts.  Take Cleveland.

6* NL East *CA$H COW* on Miami Marlins -117

The Key: The Miami Marlins are off to a shaky start this season, but there's no doubt they are the better team in this matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies, and they'll be motivated to halt a four-game losing streak where they have only been outscored by a total of 7 runs.  Philadelphia is 1-7 in its last eight games overall with five of those losses coming by multiple runs.  It has been held to 2 or fewer runs five times during this stretch.  I look for Dan Haren to continue his dominant start against these light-hitting Phillies.  Haren is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.692 WHIP through two starts.  He has held the Phillies to two earned runs or fewer in each of his last four starts against them.  Jerome Williams is 0-1 (0-3 on the money line) with a 9.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in three career starts against the Marlins, having never beaten them.  Williams allowed four earned runs and 11 base runners in five innings in his last start against the Mets.  The Marlins are 5-1 in their last six games as a road favorite.  The Phillies are 0-8 in their last eight games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Take Miami.

6* Indians/White Sox AL Central *CA$H COW* on Cleveland -106

The Key: I look for the Cleveland Indians to take Game 1 of this series with the Chicago White Sox with the massive edge they have on the mound in this one.  Trevor Bauer had a tremendous spring training and has carried it over into the regular season.  He is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.083 WHIP with 19 strikeouts and only 4 hits allowed in 12 innings of work.  John Danks just has not been able to revive his career following injury.  He is 0-2 with a 6.09 ERA and 1.547 WHIP in two starts this season.  Danks is 5-12 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.420 WHIP in 23 career starts against Cleveland.  The Indians are 3-0 in Bauer's three career starts against Chicago.  He has allowed just two earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts against them.  The Indians are 24-8 in their last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Cleveland is 51-25 in its last 76 games as a road favorite.  The White Sox are 1-8 in Danks' last 9 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Chicago is 17-35 in Danks' last 52 starts overall.  Take Cleveland.

6* Yankees/Tigers AL *CA$H COW* on Detroit -112

The Key: Solid value here in getting arguably the best team in baseball in the Detroit Tigers (10-2) as only -112 home favorites over the New York Yankees tonight.  Alfredo Simon has really impressed with his new team already, going 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 0.825 WHIP in two starts.  I like him over C.C. Sabathia tonight.  Sabathia has simply lost it over the last three seasons, and he had a terrible spring training as well.  He is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA through two starts in 2015.  Sabathia sports a 4.47 ERA and 1.324 WHIP in 39 career starts against Detroit.  Detroit is 17-4 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.  Simon is 16-3 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  The Yankees are 0-5 in Sabathia's last five starts.  Take Detroit.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Seattle Mariners -158

The Key: After losing four in a row, the Mariners got back on track yesterday by beating the Rangers 3-1.  I look for them to win the series in Game 3 with another victory over the Rangers today.  James Paxton is one of the best young starters in the game.  He has gone 9-5 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.124 WHIP over 19 career starts in his brief career.  He's not known, which keeps his price down when it should be much higher.  Paxton is up against Ross Detwiler, who is 20-34 with a 3.93 ERA and 1.395 WHIP over 481 big league innings.  Detwiler is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.300 WHIP in two starts this season.  Paxton is 1-1 with a 0.71 ERA in two career starts against Texas.  The Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Take Seattle.

6* AL East *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -140

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays will be digging deep to get a win today after losing two straight and four of their last five games overall, including a 7-8 loss to the Braves in the opener.  I like their chances of bouncing back tonight with R.A. Dickey on the mound.  The former NL Cy Young winner is off to a tremendous start this season, posting a 2.19 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in two starts.  He'll be opposed by Alex Wood, who sports a 3.86 ERA and 1.542 WHIP in two starts.  Not only do the Blue Jays have the better starter on the mound, they have one of the best lineups in baseball that is ready to get after Wood.  The Braves have one of the worst.  Atlanta is 9-24 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 3 seasons.  The Braves are 3-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons.  Atlanta is 1-6 in its last 7 interleague road games.  The Braves are 3-9 in Wood's last 12 road starts.  The Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Take Toronto.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -115

The Key: This is a classic case of a starting pitcher being overrated after one dominant start.  Ubaldo Jimenez shut down the Toronto Blue Jays in his first start of the season, but let's be honest, this guy is still terrible.  He has posted a 4.68 ERA or worse in three of the past four seasons, and he's not all of a sudden an elite starter in this league, though he's being treated like it tonight from oddsmakers.  Meanwhile, Joe Kelly remains an underrated starter.  He has gone 22-16 with a 3.36 ERA in his four-year career.  He allowed just one earned run over seven innings while striking out eight in an 8-4 win at New York in his first start this season.  Kelly is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in two career starts against Baltimore, while Jimenez is 1-4 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.982 HWIP in eight lifetime starts against Boston.  Boston is 15-4 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 3 seasons.  Kelly is 9-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  The Orioles are 1-6 in Jimenez's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.  The Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.  Boston is 4-0 in Kelly's last 4 starts.  Take Boston.

7* NL East *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -129

The Key: Due to their tough 3-6 start, the Washington Nationals are actually undervalued right now.  But they are starting to get healthy, and that showed in their 10-5 outburst against the Red Sox yesterday.  They won't need many runs to beat the lowly Philadelphia Phillies today.  The Phillies are 0-4 in their last four games overall while scoring a combined 9 runs in the process.  Doug Fister led Washington's rotation in wins (16) and ERA (2.41) last year.  He has picked up right where he left off.  Fister pitched 6 1/3 shutout innings against Philadelphia on April 11th.  He is now 2-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in five career starts against the Phillies.  Cole Hamels is 9-23 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  The Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  Philadelphia is 0-6 in its last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Nationals are 9-2 in Fister's last 11 home starts.  Take Washington.

6* Yankees/Orioles AL East *CA$H COW* on Baltimore -113

The Key: This is a very generous price to get the defending AL East champs at home today against the New York Yankees, who may be the worst team in the division.  I'll take advantage and side with the Orioles here as only -113 favorites.  Bud Norris will be motivated to bounce back from an ugly start against Toronto in his first outing of the season.  I like his chances considering how much he has dominated the Yankees in the past.  Indeed, Norris is 4-0 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in four career starts against the Yankees, having never lost to them.  Enough said.  Take Baltimore.

7* NL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Marlins -104

The Key: The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves have gone in opposite directions through the first week of the season.  Due to their 1-6 start, I believe the Marlins are undervalued right now while the Braves are overvalued due to their 6-1 start.  I also expect the Marlins to be the hungrier team in this one.  Tom Koehler is an underrated starter for Miami.  He reached the seventh inning in his first start against Atlanta and allowed only two runs.  Koehler has posted a 2.81 ERA in his last five starts against the Braves.  Trevor Cahill went 3-12 with a 5.61 ERA in 32 games, 17 starts, last year for the Diamondbacks.  Plays against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ATLANTA) - allowing 3.3 or less runs/game on the season (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 5 straight games are 33-13 (71.7%) over the last five seasons.  The Braves are 3-10 in their last 13 games as a favorite.  Take Miami.

6* Nationals/Red Sox Interleague *CA$H COW* on Washington +115

The Key: The Washington Nationals are off to a slow start this season, and they're showing excellent value now as a result.  Rarely ever will you get the opportunity to back a starting pitcher of Stephen Strasburg's caliber as an underdog, but that's the gift the oddsmakers have given us today, and we'll take it.  Strasburg and the Nationals are hungry for a win after losing four of thier last five.  He went 14-11 with a 3.14 ERA and 242 strikeouts in 215 innings last year.  Strasburg is looking to win his fifth consecutive road start after posting a 0.31 ERA in winning each of his last four of 2014.  He'll be up against Justin Masterson, who went 7-9 with a 5.88 ERA last year and is overmatched in this one.  Washington is 12-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.  The Nationals are 38-17 in their last 55 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take Washington.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Miami Marlins +102

The Key: The Miami Marlins came into the season with a lot of expectations, but have gone just 1-5 to this point.  Not many were expecting anything from the Atlanta Braves, but they currently lead the NL East with a 5-1 record.  I look for the Marlins to want this game more and to go out and get Game 1 of this series with their division rival Braves.  Adding to the motivation is the fact that the Marlins were swept at home by Atlanta in the opening series.  Shelby Miller has not fared well against Miami, going 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.696 WHIP in three career starts against the Marlins.  The Marlins are 16-6 in their last 22 during game 1 of a series.  The Braves are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.  The Braves are 3-10 in their last 13 games as a favorite.  Take Miami.

7* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Angels -110

The Key: The Los Angeles Angels could not possibly be more hungry for a win than they are Sunday.  They were swept by the Royals in the postseason last year, and now they've lost the first two games of this series.  I have no doubt they want this one badly to avoid the 3-0 sweep, and I believe they'll get the win and get some payback Sunday.  They give the ball to C.J. Wilson, who is feeling great after pitching 8 shutout innings in a 2-0 win over Seattle in his first start of 2015.  Wilson has posted a 3.72 ERA in eight career starts against Kansas City as his teams have gone 6-2 in those contests.  Take Los Angeles.

6* Cubs/Rockies National League *CA$H COW* on Chicago +102

The Key: The Colorado Rockies come into this game overvalued due to their 4-0 start to the season.  I expect them to suffer their first loss of the season in Game 2 of this series against the Chicago Cubs after taking Game 1 by a final of 5-1.  The Cubs clearly have the advantage on the mound in this one.  Jason Hammel is coming off a career year, going 8-5 with a 2.98 ERA in 17 starts for the Cubs before being traded to Oakland.  He's glad to be back in Chicago.  He'll be up against Kyle Kendrick, who is 1-2 with a 4.00 ERA in five lifetime starts versus Chicago.  He has allowed 10 runs over 12 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs.  The Cubs are 6-0 in Hammel's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Rockies are 28-61 in their last 89 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take Chicago.

6* Pirates/Brewers NL Central *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee -103

The Key: The Milwaukee Brewers are hungry for their first taste of victory after opening the season 0-4.  The Pirates got their first taste yesterday in Game 1 of this series to get to 1-3, and now it's the Brewers' turn.  I like their chances with youngster Jimmy Nelson on the mound.  He pitched 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his first outing last season, and I look for another great opening performance from him tonight.  Vance Worley hasn't fared well against Milwaukee, going 1-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in five career starts against the Brewers.  He is 0-3 with a 5.60 ERA in three career starts at Milwaukee, allowing 11 earned runs over 17 2/3 innings.  The Pirates are 15-52 in their last 67 meetings in Milwaukee.  Take Milwaukee.

6* Tigers/Indians AL Central *CA$H COW* on Cleveland -116

The Key: The Cleveland Indians will be amped up for their home opener today against the Detroit Tigers.  The Tigers are picked to win the AL Central once again, but the Indians have a realistic shot of dethroning them.  They'll give the ball to Zach McAllister, who is coming off a tremendous spring training and will pick up where he left off.  McAllister posted a 2.84 ERA in seven games this spring with 28 strikeouts and only four walks in 25 1/3 innings.  The 27-year-old is entering the prime of his career.  He went 1-0 with a 4.32 ERA against the Tigers last season.  Alfredo Simon had a solid year in Cincinnati last season, but struggled down the stretch, going 3-7 with a 4.52 ERA in his final 14 starts.  He gave up five runs in five innings of a loss to the Indians last season.  The Tigers are 5-13 in their last 18 games as a road underdog.  The Indians are 12-4 in McAllister's last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The Indians are 6-2 in McAllister's last eight starts vs. Detroit.  Take Cleveland.

6* MLB National League *CA$H COW* on San Diego Padres -125

The Key: The San Diego Padres have quietly had one of the best home-field advantages in baseball over the past couple seasons.  That is evident by the fact that they are a ridiculous 24-7 in their last 31 home games.  They have gone 9-4 in their last 13 home meetings with tonight's opponent in the San Francisco Giants.  Tim Hudson is 39 years old and really has nothing left.  He broke down at the end of last season, and I believe that is a sign of things to come.  Ian Kennedy went 13-13 with a 3.61 ERA last season and struck out 207 batters on the season.  Kennedy is 9-4 with a 2.52 ERA over 20 starts against San Francisco lifetime.  Take San Diego.

6* NL East *CA$H COW* on Miami Marlins -125

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series to the Atlanta Braves, the Miami Marlins are going to come out extremely motivated for a win in Game 3.  I look for them to get that win behind Tom Koehler, who went 10-10 with a 3.81 ERA last year.  Koehler has posted a 3.50 ERA in six career starts against Atlanta, giving up just three earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his last two.  Shelby Miller was traded from St. Louis to Atlanta after going 10-9 with a 3.74 ERA last year.  The right-hander has not fared well against Miami, going 0-1 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.936 WHIP in two career starts against the Marlins.  He gave up five runs and two homers in a 5-6 loss in his lone start at Miami last year.  Atlanta is 20-40 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors over the last 3 seasons.  The Marlins are 5-1 in Koehler's last 6 starts as a favorite.  Take Miami.

7* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -105

The Key: The Chicago Cubs lost their opener to the St. Louis Cardinals at home.  They squandered several opportunities in a 3-0 defeat.  In fact, they went 0-for-11 with runners in scoring position.  I look for them to come through in this situations with much more regularity today.  They won't have to score much considering they will be giving the ball to Jake Arrieta, who just doesn't get the credit he deserves.  Arrieta went 10-5 with a 2.53 ERA in 25 starts last year.  He has owned the Cardinals, going 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA in five starts against them over the past two seasons, allowing only 3 earned runs in 29 1/3 innings.  The Cubs are 4-0 in Arrieta's last four home starts.  Take Chicago.

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians -115

The Key: The Cleveland Indians won 92 games in 2013 and 85 games in 2014 in their first two years under Terry Francona.  That extends Francona's streak of consecutive winning seasons as a manager to 10, which is the best mark in the big leagues.  The Indians open the season with the Houston Astros, who lost more than 100 games in three straight seasons before going 70-92 last year.  I'll side with the Indians at a generous price in the opener, especially with ace Corey Kluber getting the ball.  Kluber won the AL Cy Young Award last year after going 18-9 with a 2.44 ERA with 269 strikeouts.  He has faced the Astros twice in his lifetime, going 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA as well.  Take Cleveland.

6* NL East *CA$H COW* on Miami Marlins -128

The Key: The Miami Marlins are one of the most underrated teams in baseball coming into the season.  They have a loaded linup that features arguably the best outfield in baseball in Giancarlo Stanton, Christian Yelich and Marcell Ozuna.  They added slugger Michael Morse and on-base machine Martin Prado in the offseason.  The Atlanta Braves lost a lot this offseason.  The losses of Justin Upton, Jason Heyward and Evan Gattis will have the Braves featuring one of the worst lineups in baseball.  I look for Miami ace Henderson Alvarez to shut down the Braves in the opener Monday.  Alvarez was one of the most underrated starters in baseball last year.  He went 12-7 with a 2.65 ERA, and bettors who backed him went 20-10 (+11.7 units) on the money line.  Alvarez is 8-0 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.  Take Miami.

7* Cardinals/Cubs NL Central *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -108

The Key: The Chicago Cubs made some big moves this offseason to quickly become contenders in the NL Central.  Those moves will start paying off as soon as Opening Day.  Their biggest move was going out and getting an ace in Jon Lester, who continues to get better and better.  That trend should continue now that he'll be pitching in the National League for the first time in his career.  Lester went 16-11 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.110 WHIP last year, including 8-6 with a 1.95 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in 17 home starts.  Lester has never lost to the Cardinals, going 3-0 on the money line against them while posting a 1.19 ERA and 0.882 WHIP.  Take Chicago.

6* World Series Game 7 *CA$H COW* on Royals -133

The Key: The Royals enter Game 7 full of confidence and momentum following a 10-0 victory in Game 6. They also have a ton of history on their side. Home teams are 9-0 in the last nine World Series Game 7s, and the Giants are 0-4 in World Series Game 7s. The Royals are 10-0 this season after scoring nine runs or more. They are 5-0 in their last five games as a home favorite, 4-0 in their last four playoff games as a favorite of -110 to -150, 5-0 in Guthrie's last five starts and 5-0 in his last five starts versus NL opponents. Guthrie has been in a groove, holding foes to two earned runs or less in each of his last five starts. The Giants are 0-5 in their last five games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in Hudson's last five starts versus AL clubs. Hudson hasn't been as sharp as Guthrie, giving up three earned runs or more in seven of his last eight starts. Take Kansas City.

7* World Series Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -134

The Key: Look for the Royals to stay alive behind a gem from Ventura, who outdueled Peavy in Game 2. The Royals are 6-0 in Ventura's last six starts, 6-0 in his last six starts versus winning clubs and 6-0 in his last six starts on five days' rest. The Royals are 9-0 in his starts in the second half of this season versus teams that strand 6.9 baserunners or less per game and 8-0 in his starts in the second half of this season versus teams that draw three walks or less per game. Peavy has a terrible track record at Kauffman Stadium, where his clubs are 0-6 in his last six starts. He's allowed six, five, six and four runs in his last four starts there. Take Kansas City.

6* World Series Game 5 *CA$H COW* on Royals +149

The Key: The Royals are showing value at this price with Shields on the mound. He's been at his best on the road where he has a 3.13 ERA. He was hit hard in a Game 1 loss but now has the opportunity to make the necessary adjustments. The Royals are 8-0 this season in Shields' road starts versus clubs with a winning record. They are 10-0 this season in his road starts versus impatient clubs that draw an average of three walks or less per game. They are also 9-0 this season in his road starts versus teams that strand 6.9 or less baserunners per game. Bumgarner hasn't been the same dominant force at home where he has a 3.88 ERA and where the Giants are 8-9 in his starts this season. The Giants are just 6-13 in Bumgarner's last 19 home starts when the total is set at 6.5 or lower. The Royals are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss and 5-0 in their last five after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Royals are also 7-2 in their last nine against the Giants.

7* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year on Giants -124

The Key: I'm not hesitating to get behind the proven track record of Vogelsong in this one. The Giants are 6-0 in his six career playoff starts, during which he's posted a 2.16 ERA. Omar Infante is the only KC regular with experience against Vogelsong and that bodes well for the Giants. While Vogelsong has been here and done this, this is the biggest game Vargas has ever pitched, and I expect him to give in to the pressure. The Giants just saw Vargas in August so they will have a much better understanding of his stuff. Vargas has had nine days between starts and typically hasn't performed well with extra rest, going 5-10 with a 4.59 ERA in 26 career starts with six or more days rest. The Royals are 2-5 in Vargas' last seven road starts. The Giants are 7-1 in their last eight home games versus a left-handed starter. Take San Francisco.

6* World Series Game 3 *CA$H COW* on Giants -120

The Key: I like the Giants to bounce back at home where they are 4-0 in their last four playoff games and 6-0 in their last six World Series games. Guthrie has pitched well over his last four starts, but he has a 6.14 ERA in three career starts against the Giants. Plus, I trust the more accomplished Hudson a lot more in this big spot. Hudson has finished in the Top 6 in the Cy Young voting four times in his career and has a strong 3.42 ERA in 12 career postseason appearances. Taking Hudson at home has been a fantastic investment. His clubs are 19-5 in his home starts the last two seasons. Take San Francisco.

6* World Series Game 2 *CA$H COW* on Royals -108

The Key: I like the Royals to bounce back in Game 2 behind a gem from Ventura. He's never started against the Giants, and that's to his advantage because they won't be familiar with his stuff. They'll have trouble catching up to his 100 mph heat. Ventura has a 3.27 ERA in home starts this season. The Royals are 5-0 in his last five starts and 5-0 in his last five starts versus winning clubs. They are also 8-0 in his starts in the second half of this season versus teams that strand 6.9 or less baserunners per game. Peavy has struggled on the road where he has a 4.37 ERA this season. He's especially struggled at Kauffman where he has a 6.42 ERA in seven career starts. His clubs are 0-5 in his last five starts in Kansas City. Take the Royals.

6* World Series Game 1 *CA$H COW* on Giants -103

The Key: The Giants have far more postseason experience than the Royals and have proven themselves this time of year. They are 6-0 in their last six World Series games and 4-0 in their last four World Series road games. They are also 4-0 in their last four series openers. Bumgarner has been unbelievable on the road where he has a 1.96 ERA. Being a lefty, he should also be able to keep Kansas City from running wild. Shields has a 3.64 home ERA on the season and hasn't looked good in these playoffs, posting a 5.62 ERA. The Giants are 17-5 in Bumgarners last 22 road starts. They are also 8-1 this season in his road starts versus teams that average 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. They are 9-1 this season in his road starts when the money line is +100 to -150. Bumgarner has an ERA of 0.00 in two World Series starts while giving up only five hits in 15 innings of work. Take the Giants.

6* NLCS "Total" Annihilator on Cardinals/Giants Under 6.0

The Key: The Cardinals won't go down without a fight. A lot has been made of Wainwright's arm troubles, but he is one of the best competitors in baseball, and I expect him to be on tonight. Wainwright has been at his best on the where he has a 2.07 ERA. The under is 8-3-1 in his last 12 starts following a team loss the previous game and 5-1 in his last six starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The under is 4-0 in the Giants' last four games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.150. Bumgarner is dialed in with a 0.76 ERA this postseason. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 7-1 in his last 8 starts on regular rest (4 days). The under is 8-2 in the Cardinals' last 10 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.150. The Giants bullpen has been getting plenty of work, but that likely changes here as Bumgarner has been going deep. Regardless the SF pen has been fantastic all season and has shown that it can perform well when not fully rested. The Giants are 8-0 under this season with a tired bullpen that has thrown 13+ innings over the last 3 games. We have seen only 3.6 total runs scored on average in this spot. Take the under.

7* NLCS Game of the Year on Cardinals -102

The Key: I fully expect the Cardinals to even the series. They are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss, and they have the edge on the mound with Miller, who has allowed three runs or less in eight straight starts. The Cardinals are 5-1 in his last six starts. The line has moved to the point where the Cardinals are now favored at some books so it is worth noting that they are 6-1 in Miller's last seven starts as a road favorite. It is also worth noting that the Giants are 2-12 in their last 14 games as a home underdog and 1-6 in Vogelsong's last seven starts as a home underdog. Vogelsong has given up four runs or more in four of his last six starts. The Giants are 3-7 in his last 10 starts and 3-8 in his last 11 home starts. Vogelsong has an ERA of 5.11 in 11 career starts against the Cardinals. Miller is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA in two career starts versus the Giants. The Cardinals saw Vogelsong twice this season while the Giants haven't seen Miller since June 1, 2013. That also bodes well for the Cards. St. Louis is 16-6 this season when seeking revenge for a one run loss to an opponent. Take the Cards.    

6* MLB Playoffs *CA$H COW* on Orioles -112

The Key: I think last night's rainout works in Baltimore's favor. The Royals have been red-hot, and when a team is that hot the last thing it wants is extended time off. The Orioles will be ready. This is basically a must-win game for them knowing how difficult it would be to win four straight. I like them to come through here behind a nice outing from Chen, who has a 3.33 ERA on the road this season. He was lights out versus the Royals this season. Baltimore went 2-0 in his starts against them while he gave up just three runs in 12 1-3 innings. The Orioles are 6-0 in Chen's last six starts as a favorite. Guthrie has an ERA of 4.16 at home on the season, and Kansas City went 0-2 in his starts versus the Orioles, during which he gave up six runs in 15 innings. The Royals are 1-4 in his last five starts as a home underdog. Baltimore is 20-8 this season when playing with double revenge and 15-5 this season when out for revenge for an upset loss at home. Take Baltimore.

7* MLB Playoffs Game of the Week on Cardinals -130

The Key: The Cardinals are a resilient team with a never-say-die attitude, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong in Game 2. Lynn has been consistently good at home where he has a 2.50 ERA in 18 starts this season. Peavy has been suspect on the road where he has a 4.36 ERA in 17 starts. The Cards are 12-2 this season in Lynn's home starts when the money line is +100 to -150. In addition, you want to fade underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 when they are up against an NL starter that has an ERA of 3.00 or less if they have a team batting average of .255 or worse and are starting a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.000 or less over his last three starts. Doing so has produced a 57-15 mark the last five seasons. Take St. Louis.

6* NLCS *CA$H COW* on Cardinals -120

The Key: Bumgarner doesn't have a good track record versus St. Louis. He has an ERA of 4.78 in eight career starts against the Cardinals and has allowed five runs or more in three of his last four starts against them. The Giants are 1-5 in his last six starts versus St. Louis. Wainwright has an ERA of 2.86 in 11 starts against the Giants and has held them to two runs or less in five of his last six starts. The Cardinals are 5-1 in those starts. It is also worth noting that Wainwright has a 1.59 ERA in five NLCS appearances while Bumgarner has a 7.84 ERA in three NLCS appearance. The Cardinals are 6-0 in Wainwright's last six starts and 10-0 in his Saturday starts over the last two seasons. The Redbirds are 8-0 in their last eight home games versus southpaw starters and 4-0 in their last four home games versus teams with a winning road record. Take St. Louis.

6* ALCS "Total" Annihilator on Royals/Orioles Under 7.0 

The Key: The under gets the call in Game 1 of the ALCS with Shields and Tillman getting the ball. Shields has been at his best on the road where he has a 2.97 ERA. Tillman has posted a 2.59 ERA at home. In addition, both teams have excellent bullpens. The Royals are on a 37-17-5 unders run as an underdog of +110 to +150. They are on a 4-0 unders run in Shield's last four starts as a road underdog. The Orioles are 7-1-1 under in their last nine as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 22-10-2 in Tillman's last 34 starts as a favorite. The under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings between these teams, including 6-1 in the last seven in Baltimore. Take the under.

6* NLDS *CA$H COW* on Dodgers -170

The Key: Kershaw will be looking for redemption when he takes the mound today after not being able to hold a 6-1 lead in Game 1. My money's on the best pitcher in baseball here. The southpaw sensation will be working on three days' rest but is 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA in three career starts on three days' rest. The Dodgers are 10-0 in Kershaw's last 10 road starts and 6-0 in his last six road starts versus winning clubs. They are 13-0 in the second half of the season the last three seasons in his road starts versus NL clubs with an on-base percentage of .315 or worse and has won these games by an average score of 6.0 to 1.7. Miller is making his first career postseason start for the Cardinals after posted a 6.23 ERA in three previous postseason appearances spanning 4 1-3 innings. I expect this moment to be a little too big for him. The Dodgers aren't a big power team, but the Cardinals are 0-7 this season in Miller's home starts versus teams that average 0.9 home runs per game or less and have lost these games by an average score of 5.7 to 1.9. Take LA.

6* NLDS *CA$H COW* on Cardinals -102

The Key: I like the Cardinals with Lackey on the mound. In 19 postseason appearances he has a 3.03 ERA. Lackey thrives this time of year because few pitchers are as competitive and have as much self-belief. The Cardinals are 5-0 in his home starts, during which he's posted a 2.38 ERA. Ryu hasn’t started since Sept. 12 due to shoulder irritation, and I expect him to show a little rust as a result. The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last six home games versus a left-handed starter. The Dodgers are 0-4 in their last four playoff road games and 18-40 in the last 58 meetings in St. Louis. Take the Cardinals.

6* ALDS *CA$H COW* on Tigers -174

The Key: The Tigers have the edge on the mound with Price, who has a 3.54 ERA at home and a 2.93 ERA in day starts. Norris has a 4.80 ERA on the road and a 5.13 ERA in day starts. Fading Norris when he gets the ball against the Tigers has never lost. His clubs are 0-4 in his four career starts against them, and he has an ERA of 6.57 in these starts. Price is 7-3 with an ERA of 2.82 in 17 career starts versus the Orioles. In addition, the Tigers have won 10 of 14 at home, six of their last seven home games versus winning teams and six of their last eight Divisional Playoffs home games. Take Detroit.

6* NLDS *CA$H COW* on Dodgers -161

The Key: Greinke at home has been one of the best bets in baseball for several years now. The Dodgers are 24-6 in Greinke's last 30 home starts and 5-0 in his last five starts overall. The Cardinals are 0-4 in Lynn's last four starts. In addition, Greinke's clubs are 52-14 all-time in his home starts versus teams like the Cardinals that average 2.75 extra base hits or less per game. His clubs are 30-7 the last three seasons in his starts as a favorite of -150 or more. Greinke has a 2.55 ERA at home this season and a 2.34 ERA in his last eight outings. He posted a 2.57 ERA with a .189 opponents' batting average in 21 innings over three starts in last season's playoffs. Two of those starts came against the Cards. Lynn has a 4.81 ERA in 21 postseason appearances and a 5.56 ERA in five postseason starts. He has a 9.00 ERA versus the Dodgers this season. Lastly, Greinke's clubs are 7-0 in his last seven home starts versus St. Louis.

7* MLB Playoffs *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -146

The Key: I like the Angels to even up the series behind Shoemaker. They are 17-4 all-time in his starts, including 7-0 in his last seven. Shoemaker has held the opposition to three runs or fewer in 10 straight starts and has held it to one run or none in five of his last six. Ventura was roughed up his final start of the regular season and then struggled in Tuesday's wild-card game, giving up a two-run homer and recording only one out on 13 pitches. I think he catches the Angels at a bad time too. Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, Howie Kendrick and Josh Hamilton combined to go 0 for 18 last night, and they'll be very focused here as a result. Take LA.

6* ALDS *CA$H COW* on Angels -173

The Key: The Angels are worth the price tonight with Weaver on the mound. He's been outstanding at home where he has a 2.68 ERA, and the Halos are 4-0 in his last four home starts. He's owned the Royals with an ERA of 2.21 in 12 career starts against them. The Angels are 6-0 in his last six starts against them, a stretch where he's allowed just four runs in 41 1-3 innings of work. Kansas City didn't get a look at Weaver this season, and that should be to his advantage. The Angels saw Vargas twice this season and rocked him for six runs in four innings the last time they faced him. Vargas is in poor current form with an ERA of 9.95 over his last three starts. The Royals are 0-4 in his last four starts overall and 0-3 in his last three on the road. The Royals are also 0-4 in Vargas' last four starts versus teams with a winning record. The Angels are 4-0 in their last four playoff games as a favorite. Take LA.

6* NL Wild *CA$H COW* on Giants -107

The Key: The Giants thrive this time of year, and they have the edge on the mound with Bumgarner. San Francisco is 21-8 in its last 29 postseason games, including 8-2 in its last 10 on the road. It couldn't ask for a better guy to give the ball to. Its ace southpaw has been at his best on the road where he has a 2.22 ERA in 18 starts. The Giants are 5-0 in Bumgarner's last five starts as a favorite and 7-0 in his last seven starts as a road favorite. They are on an 11-0 run in his road starts versus NL clubs that average 4.3 runs per game or less, and they are on an 11-0 streak in his road starts versus NL teams with an on-base percentage of .325 or lower. They've won these contests by an average of 4.2 runs. Bumgarner has a strong 3.24 against the Pirates and a solid 3.79 ERA in his postseason career. He's been at his best in the playoffs when facing the most pressure, as evidenced by his 0.00 ERA in two World Series starts. This do-or-die game has immense pressure, and I believe Bumgarner will handle it better than Volquez, who has a 5.72 ERA against the Giants and an ERA of 21.60 in one postseason start. His clubs are 1-8 in his last nine starts versus the Giants, including 0-3 at home. Take San Francisco.

6* AL Wild Card *CA$H COW* on A's -105

The Key: I like the experience of the A's and Lester in this spot. The A's are making their third straight postseason trip while the Royals are in the postseason for the first time in 29 years. Shields has the nickname Big Game James, but he hasn't pitched in the postseason since 2011 when he posted a 12.60 ERA. He had an 8.31 ERA in the 2010 playoffs. Lester shined in the postseason just last year, posting a 2.35 ERA in the ALDS, a 2.31 ERA in the ALCS and a 0.59 ERA in the World Series. His clubs are 16-6 in his last 22 starts overall. And, he's owned the Royals. Lester is 3-0 against Kansas City this season and 9-3 all-time with a 1.84 ERA in 13 starts. Shields had a losing record at home this season behind a 3.51 ERA. The Royals are 3-7 in his last 10 home starts and 3-8 this season in his home night starts. He has a 3.82 ERA in 15 career starts against the A's, and his clubs are just 4-5 in his last nine starts against them. The Royals are 1-6 in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning record. Take Oakland.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-113)

The Key: The White Sox watched Kansas City celebrate a playoff berth on their field last night and that should get their competitive juices. Plus, the White Sox are honoring Paul Konerko, and they would love nothing more than to win on the day they retire his No. 14 jersey. Chicago is also in good hands with Danks, who is 6-0 with a 2.42 ERA in 15 career starts against Kansas City. Escobar (0 for 15), Cain (0 for 8), Moustakas (1 for 13), Gordon (5 for 32), Perez (2 for 11), Butler (7 for 35) and Infante (4 for 19) have all struggled against him. Duffy has pitched great for the Royals, but they haven't supported him well and the chances of them doing so here aren't good considering the success Danks has had against them.  According to this run line, the Royals are just 1-5 against the run line in Duffy's last six starts. They are 4-12 against the run line in his last 16 according to this run line. According to this run line, the Sox are 15-0 against the run line all-time in Danks' starts versus the Royals.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Red Sox -105

The Key: This is a bad spot for the Yankees, who all celebrated Jeter's heroics in his last home game. Even though Boston is their biggest rival, their focus will be lacking in the aftermath of last night's thrilling victory. The Red Sox have scored 22 runs over their last two games and should be able to keep it going against Capuano, who has been hit hard the last couple months. In three career starts versus Boston, he's 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA. The Yankees aren't familiar with Wright and that plays to his advantage. The Yankees are 2-7 in their last nine road games. Boston is 14-1  in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons, winning these contests by an average score of 6.7 to 2.7. Take Boston.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Tigers -1.5 (-130)

The Key: I'll lay runs with Detroit given the edge it has on the mound with Scherzer, who has a 2.66 home ERA this season. Minnesota's May has posted an 8.66 mark on the road. The Tigers are 14-0 the last three seasons in his Thursday starts. They are 12-0 the last two seasons in his starts in the second half of the season versus teams averaging 0.9 home runs or less per game. The Tigers are 41-10 in Scherzer's last 51 home starts and 14-2 in his last 16 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater.  They are 11-1 in his last 12 starts versus the Twins, including 6-0 in his last six. These six wins have come by an average of 4.0 runs. Take the Tigers on the run line.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -101

The Key: The Indians have lost the first two games of this series, but they are a perfect 8-0 the last three seasons off two straight upset defeats at home to division opponents. They have won these games by an average score of 5.6 to 2.4. Kansas City's Vargas is really struggling, going 0-3 with a 9.01 ERA over his last three starts. Cleveland's Bauer has a 3.79 ERA over his last three starts and a 2.45 ERA in a pair of starts against the Royals this season. Vargas has a 4.12 ERA in three starts against Cleveland this season. The Indians are 8-1 in their last nine Game 3s of a series, 9-2 in their last 11 games as a home underdog, 25-8 in their last 33 home games versus a left-handed starter and 5-1 in Bauer's last six starts as a home underdog. Take Cleveland.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Tigers -1.5 (-130)

The Key: Off back-to-back losses and clinging to a slim one-game lead in the Central, expect the Tigers to take care of business tonight.  Chicago's Scott Carroll has a 5.90 ERA in all starts this season and a 6.85 ERA in night starts.  The White Sox are 0-4 in his last four road starts, losing these by an average of 3.8 runs.  Detroit's David Price has an ERA of 3.41 on the season.  He's been inconsistent of late and was roughed up last time out, but the southpaw rarely makes two bad starts outings in a row.  Six of the last seven times he's allowed five earned runs or more, he's bounced back to hold the opposition to three earned runs or less in his next start.  Price's clubs are 4-1 in his last five starts versus the White Sox with each of these four victories coming by at least two runs.  The Tigers hammered Carroll in his lone start against them, tallying seven runs off him in five innings.  Detroit is 21-6 on the run line the last two seasons off an upset loss to a division opponent as a favorite of -150 or higher.  The Tigers have won these games by an average score of 5.8 to 3.0.  Take Detroit on the run line.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Padres -113

The Key: The Padres are showing value at this price at home against a Colorado club that is 10-44 in its last 44 road games, including 0-7 in its last seven.  The Rockies are 2-8 in their last 10 in San Diego and 2-8 in Matzek's road starts this season.  The Padres are an impressive 22-6 in their last 28 home games.  Plus, Stults' clubs are 3-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Rockies.  He has held them to three earned runs or fewer in each of his last four starts against them and nine of 11 starts all-time.  Matzek has been rocked in two of three starts versus San Diego, including his lone start in San Diego.  Take the Padres.

6* AL Central *CA$H COW* on Royals +100

The Key: After dropping the first two games of this series and falling 2.5 games back in the AL Central race, I expect the Royals to dig down deep.  Detroit's Porcello hasn't been quite as sharp of late with a 4.58 ERA over his last three starts.  The Tigers are 0-4 in his last four starts, 1-5 in his last six road starts and 1-7 in his last eight starts on regular rest (4 days).  It is also worth noting that the Tigers are just 2-10 in his starts the last two seasons versus good teams that carry a win percentage of 54-62%.  Guthrie has been lights out at home of late, giving up just one earned run in his last two starts spanning 15 innings.  The Royals are 26-12 in his last 38 home starts and 7-1 in his last eight starts in the third game of a series.  He's been rocked in his last two starts against the Tigers and will be extremely focused as a result.  The Royals are 4-1 in Guthrie's last five home starts versus the Tigers.  Take Kansas City.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Orioles -1.5 (+121)

The Key: Look for Baltimore to bounce back strong from yesterday's loss behind Tillman.  The Orioles are 10-0 in his last 10 starts and have won these by an average of 3.3 runs.  Baltimore is also a perfect 8-0 this season when giving the ball to Tillman following a defeat, and it has won by an average score of 5.1 to 2.6 in this spot.  The Red Sox are 0-3 in De La Rosa's last three starts, during which he's posted a 7.43 ERA.  These losses came by an average of 3.0 runs.  Tillman has an ERA of 2.70 in 15 career starts versus Boston.  David Ortiz is 2 for 24 lifetime against Tillman, Will Middlebrooks is 0 for 18 and Xander Bogaerts is 2 for 11.  Bet Baltimore on the run line.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Yankees -139

The Key: The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last five games, and I expect their struggles to continue this evening.  Buehrle hasn't been able to figure out the Yankees, going 1-13 with a 6.14 ERA in 20 career starts against them.  His clubs are 2-18 in those starts, including 0-10 in the last 10 at Yankee Stadium.  New York's Brian McCann (10 for 24), Brett Gardner (12 for 29), Ichiro Suzuki (26 for 61) and Stephen Drew (7 for 16) have hit Buehrle hard. So has Jeter, who is hitting .347 with two homers in 49 career at-bats in the matchup.  The Blue Jays are 0-4 in Buehrle's last four road starts versus a team with a winning record.  The Yankees are 4-0 in their last four home games versus a left-handed starter.  Kuroda has been rock solid down the stretch with a 2.92 ERA over his last six starts.  He also has a 3.34 ERA in his last nine starts versus the Blue Jays.  He's 4-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Jays.  It's also worth noting that the Yankees are 4-0 in the last four meetings when Kuroda faces off against Buehrle.  Take the Yankees.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cardinals -136

The Key: The Cardinals have the edge on the mound with Shelby Miller.  The Cards are 3-0 in his last three starts, during which he's posted a 0.45 ERA.  The Cardinals are also 7-0 all-time in his starts versus the Brewers, and he's posted a 2.30 ERA in these starts.  Lohse has struggled of late with a 7.71 ERA over his last three starts, and he's struggled against his former club, posting a 6.63 ERA in seven starts against the Cards since joining the Brewers.  He's 0-2 in his last two starts versus St. Louis while giving up 14 runs in eight innings.  The Brewers are 1-9 in their last 10 road games and 21-44 in their last 65 versus the Cardinals.  The Cardinals are 82-35 in their last 117 home games versus a right-handed starter.  Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* Game of the Week on Phillies -130

The Key: The Phillies are showing value at this price with Hamels on the hill.  The southpaw has been nothing short of dominant, giving up three runs or fewer in his last 20 starts.  He has a 2.51 ERA on the season and a 1.80 ERA on the road.  Hamels, who grew up in San Diego, has enjoyed pitching against the Padres.  He has a 2.21 ERA in 15 career starts against them and a 1.85 mark in seven starts at Petco.  The Phillies are 7-0 in Hamels' last seven starts versus the Padres and 5-0 in his last five road starts against them.  Stults has a 4.49 ERA on the season and a 4.13 ERA at home.  To make matters worse, his 3.07 run-support average is among the lowest in baseball.  The Padres are 0-2 in Stults' last two home starts and 0-2 in his last two starts against the Phillies.  The Phillies are 4-0 in their last four games as a favorite of -110 to -150, and the Padres are 0-5 in their last five Game 3's of a series.  Take Philadelphia.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -143

The Key: The Brewers are 0-8 in their last eight road games and 0-6 in their last six games as an underdog.  Look for their road struggles to continue here.  The Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight home games, 4-0 in their last four series openers and 6-0 in their last six games versus starters with a WHIP greater than 1.300.  Peralta has a 1.345 WHIP on the season, a 1.449 WHIP on the road and a 1.787 WHIP over his last three starts.  Matt Carpenter and Matt Holliday are both 8 for 18 against the right-hander.  Lynn has posted a 1.85 ERA over his last six starts and a 1.48 ERA over his last five starts against the Brewers.  Milwaukee's Aramis Ramirez (2 for 21), Carlos Gomez (3 for 17 with nine strikeouts) and Khris Davis (1 for 12) have struggled against Lynn.  The Cardinals are 5-0 in Lynn's last five starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last four home starts versus teams with a winning record.  Take St. Louis.

6* MLB Mound Mismatch on Padres -155

The Key: The Padres are 21-8 in their last 29 home games, including 10-2 in their last 12 as a home favorite.  They are also an extraordinary 60-20 in their last 80 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.  The Padres were swept in a three-game series in Philadelphia earlier this season, but they are 15-5 the last three seasons when seeking revenge for a three-game sweep.  Cashner is without a doubt the superior starter in this matchup with a 2.40 ERA on the season and a 1.54 mark at home.  Williams has a 4.82 ERA on the season and a 7.84 mark on the road.  The Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 road games versus teams with a losing record and 1-5 in their last six games as an underdog.  Take San Diego.

6* MLB Run Line Rout on Pirates -1.5 (+110)

The Key: The Cubs are 0-5 in their last five games versus right-handed starters, losing these games by an average of 6.0 runs, and they appear to be up against it with the righty they'll see today.  Pittsburgh's Volquez is in top form with a 2.29 ERA over his last nine starts.  The Pirates are 4-0 in Volquez's last four home starts versus losing teams, and his clubs are 9-0 in his home starts in the second half of the season the last three seasons versus NL teams with a batting average of .250 or lower.  His clubs have won these nine by 2.0 runs on average.  Volquez has never lost to the Cubs, and his clubs are 9-0 lifetime in his starts against them, during which he's posted a 3.24 ERA.  These nine wins have come by an average of 4.2 runs.  Chicago's Turner has a massive 5.84 ERA in all appearance this season.  Take Pittsburgh on the run line.

6* MLB Mound Mismatch on Phillies -131

The Key: The Phillies have the edge on the mound with Kendrick, who has had Miami's number.  He's 11-3 with a 3.56 ERA in 19 career starts versus the Marlins, and the Phillies are 8-0 in his last eight home starts versus the Fish.  It is also worth noting that the Phillies are 4-0 in his last four home starts versus losing clubs.  Miami's Hand has a 4.71 road ERA on the season and a 4.41 ERA in three career starts versus the Phillies.  That number would likely be higher had those three starts not come at home.  Starting in Philly for the first time, I expect Hand to struggle.  The Marlins are 6-15 in his last 21 starts, 3-8 in his last 11 road starts and 2-12 in his last 14 division starts.  The Marlins are 10-29 in the last 39 meetings in Philadelphia.  Take the Phillies.

6* MLB Run Line Rout on Cardinals -1.5 +107

The Key: Off three straight losses in Cincinnati, the Cardinals will be all business when they take the field against a Colorado club that has dropped 41 of 51 on the road.  While De La Rosa has been strong at home, he has a 5.29 road ERA, and the Rockies are 0-6 in his last six road starts.  These defeats have come by an average of 4.0 runs.  The Cardinals are 3-0 in Wainwright's last three home starts, winning these by an average of 2.0 runs.  And, he's completely dominated the Rockies.  Wainwright has a 1.63 ERA in seven career starts against them and is 4-0 in his last four starts.  These wins came by an average of 2.5 runs.  De La Rosa has a 4.56 ERA in nine career starts versus the Cardinals.  Take St. Louis on the run line.

6* MLB Mound Mismatch on Brewers -145

The Key: The Brewers have the edge on the mound with Fiers, who has a 1.94 ERA on the season and a 1.88 ERA at home.  The Brewers are 4-0 in Fiers' home starts this season and 4-0 in his starts as a favorite.  Eovaldi has a 4.29 ERA on the season and a 5.51 ERA over his last three starts.  The Marlins are 0-5 in Eovaldi's last five starts.  He's also 0-4 lifetime with a 4.91 ERA in 4 starts versus Milwaukee.  The Marlins have dropped 15 of their last 20 at Miller Park.  Take the Brewers.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -150

The Key: Look for the Dodgers to bounce back from yesterday's loss against a San Diego club they have defeated in nine of the last 12 meetings at Chavez Ravine.  San Diego earned the upset victory yesterday, but it is 1-12 this season following an upset win over a division rival.  LA's Dan Haren is in top form with a 0.95 ERA over his last three starts.  San Diego's Ian Kennedy, on the other hand, has a 4.23 ERA over his last three starts, and the Padres are 0-4 in his last four road starts versus teams that have a winning record.  Every other time the Dodgers see Kennedy, they hit him hard.  He's given up at least 5 runs against them every other time he's faced them over the last two seasons.  Haren has been solid against San Diego this season, limiting the Padres to just eight earned runs in 21 1-3 innings of work.  Take the Dodgers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -134

The Key: The Angels are 9-1 in their last 10 versus Texas, and I expect them to continue their dominance over their division rivals tonight.  Texas' Colby Lewis has a 7.17 home ERA on the season and a 5.36 ERA in 15 career starts versus the Angels.  He's given up 18 runs in his last two starts against them.  He's allowed an average of 7.44 hits per start on the season, and that bodes well for us.  LA is 11-0 this season versus starting pitchers who give up an average of seven hits per start or more.  It has won these games by an average score of 6.5 to 3.7.  LA's Hector Santiago has quietly been dealing.  He's allowed one earned run or none in four of his last five starts.  Take the Halos.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Mets -145

The Key: The Mets are showing a ton of value at home at this price against a Colorado club that is 11-40 in its last 51 road games.  Look for Colorado's road struggles to continue against Niese, who has posted a rock solid 3.12 ERA at home this season.  The Mets are 7-0 in his last seven starts versus losing clubs and 4-0 in his last four home starts versus losing teams.  The Mets are also 4-0 in their last four games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Lyles has struggled of late with a 6.00 ERA over his last three starts, and the Rockies are 0-4 in his last four road starts.  Take New York.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Oakland A's -150

The Key: This is a big game for Oakland because it has lost its last two series.  The odds are certainly in its favor considering it is 110-54 in its last 164 games versus losing clubs.  The Astros are a dismal 55-143 in their last 198 games versus teams that have a winning record.  The A's have dominated the series, going 31-12 in the last 43 meetings and 16-5 in the last 21 home meetings.  Houston has won each of Keuchel's starts versus Oakland this season, but all three were at home.  He was rocked for five earned in 3 1-3 innings in his lone starts in Oakland.  Hammel has a 2.51 home ERA on the season and has allowed two earned runs or less in five of six career starts versus the Astros.  Take Oakland.

6* MLB Mound Mismatch on Rockies -134

The Key: While it's been a terrible season for the Rockies, they are two games over .500 at home and are in good hands here.  No one pitches better at Coors Field than Jorge De La Rosa, who has a 3.19 ERA there on the season.  The Rockies are 46-9 in De La Rosa's last 55 home starts, including 6-0 in his last six.  The Padres are batting just .212 and averaging only 2.9 runs per game against southpaw starters this season.  The Rockies are 12-1 in De La Rosa's last 13 starts against them, including 8-0 at home.  Joe Wieland is making his first big-league start since 2012, and I expect rust.  The Padres are 0-5 in his five career starts.  Take Colorado.

7* NL Game of the Week on Reds -113

The Key: Cincinnati is a strong value at this price with Simon on the hill.  The right-hander has a 3.11 home ERA on the season and has been a nightmare for soft hitting NL clubs like the Mets.  The Mets are batting a measly .236 as a team, and that spells bad news for them here.  Consider that Cincy is 13-0 this season in Simon's starts versus NL clubs with a batting average of .250 or worse.  The Reds have won these games by an average score of 4.2 to 1.8.  Colon has a 4.48 road ERA, and that's not going to cut it.  Take Cincinnati.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Yankees -142

The Key: I'm fading Boston with Workman on the mound.  The Red Sox are 0-8 in his last eight starts, and he has a 6.52 ERA over his last seven.  The Yankees are 2-0 in Capuano's last two starts, and he was solid in each.  Capuano has been at his best at home where he has a 3.37 ERA in four starts. It is also worth noting that the Red Sox are 3-11 in their last 14 road games versus a left-handed starter.  This is a huge homestand for the Yankees, who trail Detroit by four games for the AL's second wild card slot.  Take New York.

7* AL Game of the Week on Angels -138

The Key: The Angels saw their six-game win streak come to an end yesterday, but I expect them to bounce back strong behind ace Jered Weaver.  The Halos are 4-0 in his last four starts, 5-0 in his last five division starts and 5-0 in his last five road starts versus teams that have a losing record.  The Astros are 0-5 in McHugh's last five starts when he gets the ball on five days of rest.  The Angels are 5-0 in their last five games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  We'll take the better team with the more proven starter on the mound.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles -130

The Key: The Reds had yesterday off but are 0-5 in their last five games following a day off.  They are also 0-5 in their last five versus AL East clubs and 1-12 in their last 13 series openers.  The Orioles are 13-3 in their last 16 series openers.  They are also 6-0 in their last six Tuesday games and 4-0 in their last four interleague home games versus losing clubs.  Baltimore is 5-0 in Norris' last five series-opening starts, 5-0 in his last five home starts versus losing clubs and 4-0 in his last four starts as a home favorite.  The Reds are 3-7 in Latos' last 10 road starts.  Take Baltimore.

7* MLB Labor Day *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -135

The Key: Expect to see a hungry Oakland club after being swept in LA.  They now trail the Angels by five games so they know they need to take care of business in their next six home games.  The Athletics are 37-14 in their last 51 home games, 20-6 in their last 26 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 72-34 in their last 106 games as a favorite and 94-46 in their last 140 home games versus a right-handed starter.  The A's have seen Chris Young three times this season, winning two of the meetings.  Seattle hasn't seen Jason Hammel since very early last season, and that gives him a nice advantage.  Take Oakland.

7* MLB Underdog Game of the Month on Reds +124

The Key: The Reds are showing excellent value at this price with Cueto on the hill.  He has a 2.65 road ERA on the season and has owned Pittsburgh throughout his career.  He's 16-5 (18-8 on the money line) with a 2.38 ERA in 26 starts against the Pirates.  The Reds are 4-0 in his last four starts versus Pittsburgh.  Liriano has a 4.78 home ERA on the season, and the Pirates are 0-5 in his last five starts.  They are 0-4 in his last four starts as a favorite and 0-4 in his last four starts following a quality start in his last appearance.  He's struggled against the Reds this season, and the Pirates are just 2-6 all-time in his starts against them.  Take the Reds.

6* MLB Mound Mismatch on Royals -145

The Key: Kansas City has the edge on the mound with Shields, who has a 3.45 ERA on the season.  The Royals are 25-8 the last 33 times Shields has gotten the ball on regular rest (4 days).  Also, Shields' clubs are 3-0 in his last three and 6-1 in his last seven starts versus Cleveland.  He's held the Indians to just four earned runs in 20 innings during a three-start win streak.  Cleveland's Bauer has been terrible on the road where he has a 6.19 ERA.  The Royals are 9-3 in their last 12 home games versus the Indians.  Take KC.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Diamondbacks -137

The Key: The Rockies are a dead fade at this price considering how terrible they've been on the road.  They are 4-26 in their last 30 road games and are clearly not the same team without shortstop Troy Tulowitzki, outfielders Carlos Gonzalez and Michael Cuddyer and catcher Wilin Rosario. Those players finished Nos. 1-4 last season on the team in RBIs, combining for 315 with 92 home runs.  It is also worth noting that Colorado is a dismal 5-22 in its last 27 series openers.  The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, and they are in good hands with Collmenter, who has a 2.85 ERA at home.  He's shown excellent command lately, and that's a great sign.  Consider that Arizona is 7-0 the last three seasons in Collmenter's starts if he has walked one batter or none in each of his last two outings.  Colorado's Bergman has a 6.75 ERA.  The Rockies are 1-6 in the last seven meetings and 18-40 in the last 58 meetings in Arizona.  Take Arizona.

6* MLB "Total" Annihilator on Rangers/Astros UNDER 8 (-113)

The Key: Look for this one to come in under the number as McHugh and Tepesch keep dealing.  McHugh has allowed two earned runs or less in each of his last five starts.  Tepesch has given up three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.  Texas will be seeing McHugh for the first time and should struggle as a result.  Tepesch has given up just two runs in two starts in Houston spanning 11 2-3 innings.  The under is 4-0 in the Rangers' last four games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.150, 4-0-1 in their last five games when their opponent allows five runs or more in its previous game, 7-0-1 in their last eight games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game and 3-0-1 in their last four games following a win.  The under is 4-0-1 in Tepesch's last five starts and 6-0 in his last six division starts.  Take the Under.

7* NL East Game of the Year on Nationals -156

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, I expect the Nationals to jump all over Philly early in this one.  Philadelphia's Kendrick owns an NL-worst 6.10 ERA since June 22 and has a 9.69 ERA in the first inning.  He has a 5.15 ERA in 23 career starts versus Washington, including an 8.02 ERA in his last four starts in the series.  Fister has been unbelievable with a 2.38 ERA on the season.  He also has a 1.64 ERA in three career starts versus Philadelphia.  The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200, 4-0 in Fister's last 4 road starts and 4-0 in his last four starts in the third game of a series.  The Phillies are 0-5 in Kendrick's last 5 Wednesday starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus the Nationals.  Take Washington.

6* Run Line Rout on Royals -1.5 (+125)

The Key: After losing consecutive games for the first time since July 27 and 29, I expect the Royals to bounce back strong.  Duffy has been extremely reliable, giving up two earned runs or fewer in 11 of his last 13 starts.  He has a 2.53 ERA on the season and a 1.078 WHIP.  The Twins are 32-82 in their last 114 games versus starters with a WHIP of less than 1.150.  They are 1-18 this season versus AL starters with a WHIP of 1.100 or lower.  The Royals are 4-0 in Duffy's last four starts as a home favorite, 5-0 in his last five series-opening starts and 5-0 in his last five starts versus the Twins.  Nolasco has a 9.20 ERA over his last three starts and a 7.32 road ERA on the season.  The Twins are 1-5 in the last six meetings and 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in Kansas City.  Take the Royals on the RL.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Pirates -131

The Key: I'll back one of the best home clubs in baseball here with Liriano on the hill. The Pirates are 20-8 in their last 28 at home.  They are in good hands with Liriano, who has given up two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts.  The southpaw's clubs are 7-1 all-time in his starts versus St. Louis, and he's posted a tidy 2.34 ERA in these contests.  Lackey has a 6.50 ERA over his last three starts, and a Pittsburgh club that's batting an impressive .273 at home will welcome him to the mound.  The Pirates are 13-4 in their last 17 home games versus a right-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 5-12 in their last 17 meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Pirates.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -137

The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the Brewers will bear down and bounce back strong.  They are 8-1 in their last nine after losing the first two games of a series, and they have a long history of dominating the Pirates.  They are 74-34 in the last 108 meetings, including 51-14 in the last 65 in Milwaukee.  Fiers is 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA in three starts while striking out 25 and walking three.  In other words, he's been completely dominant.  Worley has struggled of late, going 0-2 in his last two starts while giving up 11 runs in 10 1-3 innings.  Worley is 0-2 in two career starts in Milwaukee.  The Brewers have won two of Fiers' last three starts versus the Pirates.  Take Milwaukee.

7* Mound Mismatch Game of the Month on Nationals -166

The Key: The Nationals, winners of 10 of 11, have the decisive edge in this matchup with Zimmermann getting the ball.  The right-hander has a 2.97 ERA on the season, a 2.85 ERA at home, a 2.75 ERA over his last three starts and a 1.83 ERA in his day starts.  Lincecum has a 4.50 ERA in his starts this season, a 6.06 ERA in his road starts, a 6.91 ERA over his last three starts and a 4.52 ERA in his day starts.  He has an ERA of 6.08 in nine starts versus Washington while Zimmermann has a 2.89 ERA in seven starts versus San Francisco.  The Giants are 0-6 in Lincecum's last 6 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 1-6 in his last seven starts versus the Nationals and 0-4 in his last four road starts versus the Nats.  The Nationals are 5-0 in their last five games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 6-0 in their last six games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 4-0 in Zimmermann's last four starts, 21-3 in his last 24 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 4-1 in his last five starts versus the Giants.  Take Washington.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Braves -103

The Key: Atlanta is absolutely on fire right now. The Braves cashed in an easy 8-0 win over the Reds in the series opener and have now won 6 of their last 7 overall. Not only is Atlanta getting great starting pitching, but they are averaging 6.1 runs and hitting .277 as a team over their last 7 games. I look for the Braves' bats to stay hot at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park and deliver another lopsided win. Atlanta is 24-8 in their last 32 games played on Friday and 8-2 in Minor's last 10 starts against the NL Central. Take the Braves.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Tigers -115

The Key: Detroit has won each of the first two games in this series and are now 5-2 in their last 7. The Tigers will be highly motivated to finish off the sweep, as they will send out David Price against his former team. Price is certainly going to have a chip on his shoulder to show the team that just traded him that they made a big mistake. Price is 31-12 in his last 43 road starts against a team that's averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits and the Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 against an opposing starter with a ERA of 3.20 or better. Tampa Bay is just 1-7 in their last 8 games as a home underdog, 3-10 in their last 13 with a total of 6.5 or lower and 1-4 in Cobb's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Take the Tigers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves +105

The Key: The Braves have taken the first two games of the series and have now won 5 straight overall. Atlanta's not only getting great starting pitching during this stretch, but they are heating up at the plate. The Braves are 5-0 in their last 4 against the NL Central and 5-0 in their las 5 games with a total set at 7.0-8.5 runs. Atlanta will be starting Alex Wood, who has a 2.92 ERA over 8 road starts and 1.86 ERA over his last 3. Pittsburgh is 0-7 in their last 7 against a team with a winning record, 0-5 in their last 5 against the NL East and 0-7 in their last 7 with a total set at 7.0-8.5 runs. Great spot to fade the Pirates as Gerrit Cole figures to struggle in his first start back after missing over a month on the DL. Take Atlanta.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Angels -121

The Key: Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 home games, 6-16 in their last 22 as a home dog and 1-4 in Webster's last 5 starts vs a team with a winning record. Webster has a 3-1 record of 4 starts, but his 4.79 ERA and 1.451 WHIP over that span informs he's been extremely fortunate. I look for LA to put up a big number and secure a win behind veteran ace Jered Weaver. The Angels are 7-1 in Weaver's last 8 starts when he comes in with a full 5 days of rest, 8-2 in his last 10 road starts with a total of 9.0-10.5 and a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take the Angels.

6* Run Line Rout on Nationals -1.5 (-105)

The Key: The Nationals are 6-0 in their last six games, winning them by an average of 2.2 runs.  They are also 5-0 in their last five home games, winning these by an average of 2.2 runs as well.  Nuno's clubs are 0-8 in his last eight starts and have lost these by 2.6 runs on average.  His clubs are 0-4 in his last four road starts and have lost these by 3.0 runs on average.  The Nats are 3-0 in Zimmerman's last three starts, winning them by 4.7 runs on average.  They are 4-0 in his last four home starts with these wins coming by an average of 4.5 runs.  The Diamondbacks are 3-30 in their last 33 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater while the Nationals are 22-5 in their last 27 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.  Take Washington on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -113

The Key: I think Milwaukee relaxes here after beating Greinke and Kershaw.  The Dodgers, who haven't been swept all season, will bear down to salvage a game.  The Dodgers are 7-0 in their last seven games after losing the first two games of a series and 5-0 in their last five games after being held to two runs or less in their previous game.  The Brewers are 0-4 in their last four Sunday games.  Dan Haren's clubs are 3-0 in his three career starts versus Milwaukee.  He's posted an ERA of 0.90 in these games.  Milwaukee's Wily Peralta, on the other hand, has an ERA of 8.21 in two career starts versus the Dodgers.  Take Los Angeles.

6* MLB "Total" Blowout on Orioles/Indians Over 8.5

The Key: Look for plenty of runs to be scored here with Jimenez and Carrasco on the hill.  Carrasco was good against the Yankees in his first start back but will have a tough time dealing an encore performance versus a Baltimore club that has averaged 6.1 runs over its last 10 games.  Jimenez has a 4.51 ERA on the season and was rocked by the Indians in a 9-0 defeat earlier this season.  You want to play the "Over" on home teams when the total is 8.0 or 8.5 that have allowed three runs or less in two straight games if they average 4.5 runs per game or less and are facing an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.20 to 4.70.  Doing so has produced a 40-15 mark since 1997.  We've seen an average of 10.3 total runs scored in this situation.  Take the Over.

7* NL Non-Division Game of the Month on Nationals -148

The Key: The Nationals have the edge with Roark on the hill.  Roark has given up just one run in each of his last five starts versus NL foes, and the Nats went 5-0 in those games.  He has a 2.40 home ERA on the season.  The Nationals are 4-0 in their last four games as a favorite and 4-0 in their last four games versus a right-handed starter.  They figure to have plenty of success versus Pittsburgh right-hander Morton, who has a 4.91 road ERA.  The Pirates are 0-4 in Morton's last four starts, and he was rocked in three of those.  The Pirates are also 0-4 in Morton's last four series-opening starts.  Take Washington.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Rockies -113

The Key: The Reds are 0-7 in their last seven road games versus teams with a losing home record, and they are 0-5 in the struggling Simon's last five starts.  He has a 4.78 ERA during this span, and I don't expect anything to come easy in his first start inside flighty Coors Field.  De La Rosa has a 1.86 ERA over his last three home starts, and the Rockies are an amazing 44-8 in his last 52 inside Coors.  Colorado is also 10-1 the last two seasons in his home starts when the money line is +100 to -150.  Take the Rockies.

7* MLB Run Line Rout on Angels -1.5 (+106)

The Key: The Angels are showing value on the run line given the edge they have on the mound with Weaver, who is 10-1 with a 2.18 ERA in his last 18 starts against NL clubs.  The Phillies are 0-5 in Burnett's last five starts, losing these by an average of 4.4 runs while he's compiled a 6.66 ERA.  They are also 0-5 in his last five road starts, losing these by 4.8 runs on average.  Burnett's clubs are 0-4 in his last four starts versus the Angels.  The Phillies are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games versus a team with a winning record and 0-4 in their last four interleague road games versus a team with a winning record.  They are also 0-8 in the last 8 meetings with the Angels.  Take LA on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -144

The Key: The Cardinals have the edge with Wainwright getting the ball.  The ace right-hander's 1.32 road ERA is the lowest road mark in baseball.  He's also had plenty of success versus the Marlins.  The Cards are 5-1 in his six career starts against them while he's posted a 2.25 ERA.  St. Louis is 12-1 since the start of last season in Wainwright's starts as a road favorite of -125 to -150.  It is 5-0 in his last five road starts when the total is 7.0-8.5 and 6-0 in his last six starts versus NL East clubs.  Wainwright's 1.019 WHIP is also noteworthy since the Marlins are 0-4 in their last four games versus a start with a WHIP less than 1.150.  Cosart is in poor form, having given up four runs or more in each of his last five starts.  Take St. Louis.

7* Run Line Rout of the Year on Mariners -1.5 (+105)

The Key: This is a terrible spot for Toronto, which played a 6-hour 37-minute, 19-inning marathon game yesterday and then had to make the long cross-country trip to Seattle.  To make matters worse, the Blue Jays will be facing Felix Hernandez, who has gone at least seven innings while allowing two runs or fewer in an MLB-record 15 consecutive starts.  He has a 1.42 ERA during this stretch while holding foes to a .168 average.  Seattle is 12-1 against the run line when playing on Monday this season, winning these games by an average score of 6.7 to 2.4.  You also want to fade road clubs with a +1.5 run line after a game where they had 17 hits or more if their bullpen has logged 13+ innings over the last three games.  Doing so has produced a 30-10 mark against the run line since 1997.  Take Seattle on the run line.

7* AL Game of the Week on Yankees -133

The Key: I'm not hesitating to fade the Indians with Carrasco on the mound.  He had a 6.95 ERA before being moved to the pen, and I expect his struggles to continue in a starting role.  The Indians are 3-14 in his last 17 starts.  New York's Kuroda has a 3.97 ERA in 23 starts and has been at his best in day games, posting a 3.55 ERA.  The Yankees are 4-0 in his last four starts as a home favorite.  It is also worth noting that Carrasco has an ERA of 7.98 in three career starts versus the Yankees while Kuroda has an ERA of 3.10 in three career starts versus the Indians.  The Yankees are 7-1 in their last eight home games versus Cleveland.  Take New York.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -116

The Key: The Royals are the hottest team in the majors, going an MLB-best 13-3 since July 22, and they are in good hands with Shields, who typically finishes strong.  He has a 1.99 ERA over his last six starts and is an impressive 26-12 with a 3.15 ERA in the month of August.  He has a 3.42 ERA in four interleague starts this season.  San Francisco's Hudson hasn't been as successful in interleague play, as evidence by his 7.41 ERA against the AL this season.  The Royals are 32-15 in Shields' last 47 starts, including 11-4 in his last 15 starts versus teams that have a winning record.  The Royals are 5-0 in their last five games, 4-0 in their last four interleague games, 6-0 in their last six games as a favorite and 6-0 in their last six interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150.  The Giants are 24-49 in their last 73 interleague road games, 15-37 in their last 52 interleague road games versus a right-handed starter and 6-21 in their last 27 games versus a team with a winning record.  They are also 0-4 in Hudson's last four starts on 4 days' rest.  Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Orioles -136

The Key: The Orioles have a major edge on the mound tonight.  Tillman has a 3.65 ERA on the season, a 2.78 ERA at home and a 2.00 ERA over his last three starts.  Masterson, meanwhile, has a 5.63 ERA on the season, a 6.80 ERA on the road and a 10.64 ERA over his last three starts.  He's also carrying an 8.31 ERA in his last three starts against Baltimore.  The Orioles are 28-11 in Tillman's last 39 starts versus a team with a winning record, 17-5 in his last 22 series-opening starts, 5-2 in his last seven interleague starts and 6-0 in his last six starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game.  The O's are 6-0 in their last six series openers (St. Louis is 1-4 in its last 5), 4-0 in their last four interleague games as a favorite, 4-0 in their last four home games versus a right handed starter and 7-0 in their last seven games when their opponent scores five runs or more in its previous game.  Take the Orioles.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Indians/Reds Under 7.5 (-115)

The Key: We've seen each of the first three games of this series finish over the total with at least eight runs scored in each, but I expect this one to come in well under the number.  Homer Bailey has been dealing.  He's given up three earned runs or fewer in six straight starts, including one or no runs in four of those.  The under is 3-0 in his last three starts.  The under is also 5-0 in Bailey's last five starts versus the Indians.  Cleveland's House has held opponents to three earned runs or fewer in six straight starts.  The Indians are 2-0 under in his last two starts and 3-0 under in his last three road starts.  Bailey has received just two runs of support over his last two starts, and I expect the Reds to have trouble scoring against a starter they aren't familiar with.  Take the under.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -145

The Key: I'll fade the Dodgers with Haren on the hill.  They are 0-5 in his last five starts, during which he has posted a 10.03 ERA.  Haren has struggled on the road all season, as evidenced by his 5.40 ERA away from Chavez Ravine.  The Angels' are 10-3 in Shoemaker's 13 career starts, including 2-0 in his last two.  He's been strong at home where he has a 2.76 ERA in seven starts this season.  The Dodgers are 27-57 in their last 84 interleague road games, 0-5 in their last five interleague games versus a right-handed starter and 0-4 in their last four games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.  The Angels are 37-15 in their last 52 at home, 5-0 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven days or more and 8-0 in their last eight Game 3's of a series.  The Halos are also 25-9 in their last 34 home games versus the Dodgers.  Take the Angels.