MLB Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
08-27-17 |
Rockies -125 v. Braves |
Top |
3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -125
The Key: The Colorado Rockies have a massive advantage on the mound today over the Atlanta Braves. Jon Gray returned from injury this season and is starting to find his groove, giving up just 4 earned runs over 12 2/3 innings his last 2 starts. Gray has never lost to the Braves, going 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Mike Foltynewicz is starting to wear down, and that's evident by the fact that he's 0-3 with a huge 15.42 ERA and 2.91 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Foltynewicz has never beaten the Rockies, going 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Colorado.
|
08-26-17 |
Mariners v. Yankees -1.5 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound today and should have no problem winning by 2 runs or more over the Seattle Mariners. The Yankees will be extra hungry after losing 2 straight games coming in. Sonny Gray has been great this year at 7-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 20 starts, and 6-2 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 11 home starts. Gray owns the Mariners, going 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against them. Yovani Gallardo is the weakest link in Seattle's rotation. He is 4-9 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 20 starts, and 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Gallardo is also 2-3 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. New York. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
08-25-17 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks -1.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-112 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-112)
The Key: Zack Greinke is virtually unbeatable at home. He is 11-1 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 14 home starts this year. Ty Blach is 3-4 with a 5.33 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 8 road starts. Blach is 1-2 with a 6.87 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Greinke is 9-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Greinke is 73-18 (+40.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since lifetime. Take Arizona on the Run Line.v
|
08-24-17 |
Twins -165 v. White Sox |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-165 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central Game of the Month on Minnesota Twins -165
The Key: The Twins have gone 13-5 in their last 18 games and 6-2 in their last 8 with both losses coming by exactly one run, including last night's 4-3 loss to the White Sox. They'll come back hungry for a victory here Thursday and they have a huge advantage on the mound in this one. Jose Berrios is 11-5 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 18 starts this season. He pitched 7 shutout innings against Arizona in his last start. Derek Holland has been awful of late, going 1-2 with a 14.80 ERA and 3.09 WHIP in his last 3 starts, yielding 17 runs and 32 base runners in 10 1/3 innings. Berrios has never lost to the White Sox, going 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts. Holland is 2-6 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota. In his last 2 starts against the Twins this season, Holland has yielded 14 runs and 5 homers in 7 2/3 innings. Take Minnesota.
|
08-23-17 |
Twins -1.5 v. White Sox |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Minnesota Twins have gone 13-4 in their last 17 games overall to jump into the 2nd wild card spot in the American League. Their offense is on fire as they have scored 47 runs over their past 6 games, including 20 in the first 3 games of this series against the White Sox, who now have a taxed bullpen. Making matters worse is that they traded away their best bullpen arms to the Yankees. Ervin Santana is 13-7 with a 3.33 ERA in 25 starts this year, including 8-2 with a 2.59 ERA in 12 road starts. He'll be opposed by James Shields, who is 2-4 with a 5.72 ERA in 14 starts, including 2-3 with a 6.14 ERA in 7 home starts. Santana is 5-0 with a 2.61 ERA in his last 5 starts against the White Sox, yielding only 9 earned runs in 31 innings. Shields is 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA in his last 3 starts against Minnesota, yielding 11 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. The Twins are 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts. The White Sox are 17-40 in their last 57 games overall. Take Minnesota on the Run Line.
|
08-22-17 |
Cubs -153 v. Reds |
Top |
13-9 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Month on Chicago Cubs -153
The Key: The Chicago Cubs appear to have turned the corner. They have gone 6-2 in their last 8 games behind an offense that has scored 57 runs in those 8 games and an average of 7.1 RPG. I'll lay the price with them today given their advantage on the mound. John Lackey is pitching his best baseball since the All-Star Break. He is 5-0 with a 3.06 ERA in his last 6 starts. Lackey is 6-5 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts vs. Cincinnati. Homer Bailey has been one of the worst starters in baseball this year. He is 4-6 with an 8.44 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-4 with a 14.33 ERA and 2.57 WHIP in 4 home starts. Bailey sports a 4.66 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts vs. Chicago. He gave up 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 2/3 innings of a 6-7 loss to the Cubs in his last start on August 16th. Cincinnati is 1-11 after scoring 1 run or less this season. The Cubs are 11-0 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Chicago is 7-0 in Lackey's last 7 starts. The Reds are 0-5 in Bailey's last 5 home starts. Take this combined 34-1 angle straight to the bank tonight. Take Chicago.
|
08-21-17 |
Brewers -117 v. Giants |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-117 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* Brewers/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on Milwaukee -117
The Key: The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten back on track with a 7-1 run over their last 8 games to pull within 2 games of the Chicago Cubs in the NL Central. Now they have an easy series coming against the Giants starting Monday. This is a Giants team that just lost back-to-back games to the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend, the only team with a worse record than them in the National League. Zach Davies has yet to lose on the road, going 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 12 road starts this season. Chris Stratton is 1-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 3 starts for the Giants. He has already walked 10 batters in 18 1/3 innings as control has clearly been an issue. Buster Posey is expected to sit tonight, making Davies' job a little easier. Davies is 10-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season. The Brewers are 7-0 in Davies' last 7 starts with 5 days of rest. Take Milwaukee.
|
08-20-17 |
Brewers v. Rockies -123 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-123 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies -123
The Key: Getting the Rockies at this low of a price at home is a nice value. Especially when you consider that starting pitcher Kyle Freeland is 6-4 with a 3.31 ERA in 12 starts at hitter-friendly Coors Field this season. Chase Anderson makes his return from the DL today with his first start since June 28th. He'll be on a pitch count and the Rockies should get into Milwaukee's shaky bullpen early. The Rockies are 38-23 at home this season, hitting .301 and scoring 6.2 RPG. Colorado is 10-1 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. Freeland is 10-2 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season. The Brewers are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take Colorado.
|
08-19-17 |
Marlins +105 v. Mets |
|
1-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Miami Marlins +105
The Key: The Miami Marlins have quietly gone 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. They continue to try and get to .500 on the season as they currently sit at 59-61. The Mets appear to have quit as they are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall to fall to 53-67 on the year. The Marlins have the hotter starter in Vance Worley, who is 2-0 with a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 starts. Rafael Montero is 1-5 with a 5.82 ERA in 10 starts this year, 0-5 with a 6.52 ERA in 6 home starts, and 0-1 with a 6.13 ERA in his last 3 starts. Montero sports a 5.02 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Miami. The Marlins are 6-0 in Worley's last 6 starts, while the Mets are 1-6 in Montero's last 7 starts, and 0-5 in his last 5 home starts. Take Miami.
|
08-18-17 |
Mariners v. Rays -123 |
Top |
7-1 |
Loss |
-123 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -123
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays, at 60-63, realize this is a huge series for them if they want to stay alive in the wild card chase. They haven't played well over the last 2 weeks, but now they have 6 straight home games to get back on track. I'll gladly back Austin Pruitt, who is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 5 starts this year for the Rays. He has a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts, which is impressive considering he has faced 3 of the best teams in baseball in the Indians, Red Sox and Astros. Erasmo Ramirez has been awful on the road this year, going 0-3 with a 10.35 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in 5 starts for the Mariners. The Mariners are 6-16 in Ramirez's last 22 starts. Take Tampa Bay.
|
08-17-17 |
Nationals v. Padres -109 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* Nats/Padres National League *BAILOUT* on San Diego -109
The Key: The Washington Nationals will be just coasting to the finish line since they essentially have the NL East wrapped up already. That's especially the case with all of the injuries that are piling up. They are without Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Jayson Werth, Adam Eaton and Stephen Strasburg. The Strasburg injury is a big reason why Edwin Jackson has been added to the rotation. While he's held his own thus far, it's only a matter of time before he starts getting blown up like he has throughout his career. Jhoulys Chacin has been one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. Chacin has been especially good at home, going 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 12 starts at Petco Park. Chacin is 3-2 with a 3.43 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Washington. Jackson has never beaten the Padres, going 0-6 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against them. The Padres are 32-27 (+8.6 units) at home this year and will get up to play the Nationals in this series. Chacin is 10-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. Take San Diego.
|
08-16-17 |
Tigers v. Rangers -1.5 |
Top |
6-12 |
Win
|
110 |
12 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+110)
The Key: The Texas Rangers are still very much alive in the AL wild card race. They have gone 5-1 in their last 6 games overall coming in. The Detroit Tigers have gone in the other direction. They are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall while losing all nine games by 2 runs or more. The Rangers should roll today thanks to their huge advantage on the mound. Cole Hamels is 7-1 with a 3.31 ERA in 14 starts this year, 5-0 with a 2.66 ERA in 7 home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last 3 starts. Anibal Sanchez is 3-3 with a 5.80 ERA in 10 starts this year, including 1-2 with an 8.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. Hamels is 3-2 with a 3.27 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Detroit, while Sanchez is 2-4 with an 8.48 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. The Rangers are 23-6 in Hamels' last 29 home starts, including 14-1 in his last 15 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Texas on the Run Line.
|
08-15-17 |
Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 |
Top |
4-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* American League *Total* Annihilator on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 10.5
The Key: I cashed in the Rangers/Tigers UNDER 11 yesterday and I'm going to back the UNDER 10.5 again today. For whatever reason, the books have set the number too high once again tonight. This is an especially high total for a game involving Detroit ace Justin Verlander. He has been spectacular of late, going 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in his last 3 starts while allowing only 2 earned runs in 21 innings. A.J. Griffin has held his own for the Rangers at 5-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 10 starts. The Rangers have been held to 5 runs or fewer in 8 of their last 11 games, while the Tigers have been held to 5 or fewer in 17 of their last 21 games. Verlander is 11-1 UNDER vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The UNDER is 13-1-2 in Rangers last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games overall. Take the UNDER.
|
08-14-17 |
Tigers v. Rangers UNDER 11 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Total of the Month on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 11
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the UNDER in the Tigers/Rangers Game 1 battle Monday. It's not like either offense is lighting it up. The Rangers have been held to 5 runs or fewer in 8 of their last 10 games overall. The Tigers have been held to 5 runs or fewer in 16 of their last 20 games overall. One of these teams is going to have to get to at least 6 runs to tie or beat us, and I'm just not seeing it. Michael Fulmer sports a 3.48 ERA in 10 road starts this season, and he pitched a 9-inning shutout in his only lifetime start against the Rangers. Martin Perez hasn't been great, but his job could be much easier today considering both Ian Kinsler and Miggy Cabrera are questionable for the Tigers after sitting out yesterday. Texas is 7-0 UNDER after a combined score of 3 runs or less this season. The UNDER is 23-8 in Perez's last 31 starts during game 1 of a series. The UNDER is 23-8-2 in Rangers last 33 during game 1 of a series. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the UNDER.
|
08-13-17 |
Orioles -108 v. A's |
Top |
3-9 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore Orioles -108
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are only 1.5 games back in the wild card race. Another victory here Sunday would get them back to .500 on the season. The A's are the second-worst team in the AL with a record of 51-66 on the year. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games overall. Jeremy Hellickson has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts for the Orioles. Kendall Graveman has allowed 10 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts for the A's. Hellickson is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. Graveman is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. This one looks like a blowout in favor of the Orioles today, and we're getting them at basically an even money price. Hellickson is 8-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season. TheOrioles are 7-1 in their last 8 Sunday games. Take Baltimore.
|
08-12-17 |
Braves v. Cardinals -1.5 |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-115)
The Key: We'll continue riding the red hot St. Louis Cardinals here Saturday on the run line against the Atlanta Braves. The Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games overall. They have scored 8 runs or more in 6 straight games and are averaging 9.7 RPG during this stretch. The Braves have lost 4 straight while scoring a total of 10 runs, or an average of 2.5 RPG. Carlos Martinez is 5-3 with a 3.27 ERA at home this year. Lucas Sims is 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA in 2 starts this season for the Braves. The Braves are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. Atlanta is 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Take St. Louis on the Run Line.
|
08-11-17 |
Astros v. Rangers +113 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
113 |
16 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* AL West Game of the Year on Texas Rangers +113
The Key: It's now or never for the Texas Rangers, who are still very much alive in the wild card hunt at just 3.5 games back of the second spot. They have a chance to get back on track against a slumping Astros team that has many key injuries right now holding them back. The Astros have gone 2-7 in their last 9 games overall, and they were just swept by the White Sox in Chicago last series. The Astros played an extra innings game on Thursday, while the Rangers had yesterday off, giving the home team a huge edge in rest. Rarely will you get to back Cole Hamels as a home dog. He is 4-0 with a 3.12 ERA at home this season. Charlie Morton is 3-2 with a 4.08 ERA on the road. Hamels has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 5 straight starts against the Astros. He is 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA in his last 3 starts against Houston, yielding only 4 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings. Houston is 0-6 in its last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day. The Rangers are 22-6 in Hamels' last 28 home starts, and 10-1 in his last 11 Friday starts. Take Texas.
|
08-10-17 |
Royals v. Cardinals -140 |
Top |
6-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -140
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are on fire at the plate right now and feeling good about themselves. They have won 5 straight games and have scored a combined 42 runs over their last 4 games, or an average of 10.5 RPG. The Royals are in free-fall mode in going 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. And a big part of this poor run is that they have been without their best player in catcher Salvador Perez. The Cards have the advantage on the mound tonight with Lance Lynn, who is 10-6 with a 3.12 ERA in 23 starts, 5-3 with a 2.58 ERA in 10 home starts and 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. Jason Hammel is 5-9 with a 4.73 ERA in 22 starts for the Royals, including 2-4 with a 4.86 ERA in 8 road starts. The Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games. The Cardinals are 5-1 in Lynn's last 6 starts. Take St. Louis.
|
08-09-17 |
Royals v. Cardinals -127 |
Top |
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -127
The Key: The Cardinals' offense has exploded for 10 or more runs in three straight games and a total of 34 runs the past 3 days. They have a huge advantage on the mound tonight that should lead to another victory against the slumping Royals, who are 2-7 in their last 9 games overall. Mike Leake is 7-10 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 22 starts this year, and 3-6 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 12 home starts. He has been one of the most consistent starters in the National League. Trevor Cahill is 4-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 13 starts this year, 0-3 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in 8 road starts, and 0-0 with an 8.75 ERA and 2.35 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His transition from the Padres of the NL to the AL has not been a smooth one. And Cahill has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. Take St. Louis.
|
08-08-17 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Giants |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have actually gotten back on track by performing well on the road. They are 13-3 in their last 16 road games, and 21-7 in their last 28 vs. left-handed starters. They have the 3rd-best OPS in baseball against left-handers this season. They will get after southpaw Ty Blach, who is 7-7 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.31 WHIP and just 58 K's in 115 1/3 innings this season. Jose Quintana has been at his best on the road this season with a 3.56 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 12 starts away from home. The Cubs are hitting .283 with a .368 OBP and 6.3 RPG against lefty starters this season. Quintana is 16-1 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HIs teams are winning by 3.4 RPG on average. Quintana is 9-0 when playing against a team with a losing record this season. His teams are winning by 4.0 RPG. Take Chicago on the Run Line.
|
08-07-17 |
Cardinals -120 v. Royals |
Top |
11-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Month on St. Louis Cardinals -120
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals look to get back to .500 with a win today over the rival Kansas City Royals in this interleague showdown. The Cards should do just that thanks to their big advantage on the mound. Carlos Martinez is 7-9 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 22 starts this year. Martinez pitched 6 shutout innings in his only lifetime starts vs. Kansas City last season. Ian Kennedy is 4-7 with a 4.60 ERA in 20 starts, 0-4 with a 4.98 ERA in 9 home starts, and 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA in his last 3 outings. Kennedy is 3-5 with a 7.20 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. St. Louis. The Cardinals are 27-11 in their last 38 meetings in Kansas City. Take St. Louis.
|
08-06-17 |
Phillies v. Rockies -107 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies -107
The Key: I love the price we are getting Sunday with a contender in the Colorado Rockies (64-47) at home against the worst team in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies (39-69). The Aaron Nola love has gone too far here. He can't do it all for the Phillies, who are scoring 3.8 runs per game on the road this season, while the Rockies are scoring 6.2 runs per game at home. Jeff Hoffman faced the Phillies back on May 22nd, giving up just 1 earned run and 3 hits in 7 innings of an 8-1 victory for the Rockies. Philadelphia is 3-14 after allowing 8 runs or more this season. The Phillies are 17-49 in their last 66 road games. The Rockies are 9-2 in their last 11 home games. Take Colorado.
|
08-05-17 |
Padres v. Pirates -152 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-152 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -152
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates have a big advantage on the mound today over the San Diego Padres. Gerrit Cole has delivered five straight quality starts with a 2.25 ERA during that stretch. In five lifetime starts against the Padres, he is 4-1 with a 1.47 ERA. Dinelson Lamet is 5-4 with a 5.62 ERA in 11 starts this year, including 2-3 with a 7.22 ERA in 6 road starts. The Padres are 30-61 in their last 91 road games. The Pirates are 5-0 in Cole's last 5 starts. Pittsburgh is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 starts vs. San Diego. The Padres are 1-5 in the last 6 road meetings. Take Pittsburgh.
|
08-04-17 |
Phillies v. Rockies -144 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* NL Game of the Month on Colorado Rockies -144
The Key: The Colorado Rockies have won 4 of their last 6 and are pursuing a wild card spot in the National League. They can't afford to slip up against the Philadelphia Phillies in this series. The Phillies were just swept by the Angels on the road last series and outscored 5-19 in the process to fall to 16-39 on the road this season. Kyle Freeland comes in hot at 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA in his last 3 starts. He sports a remarkable 3.21 ERA across 10 starts at hitter-friendly Coors Field this year. Vincent Velasquez is 2-6 with a 4.91 ERA in 13 starts for the Phillies. He sports a 4.59 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. The Phillies are 17-48 in their last 65 road games. Philadelphia is 6-16 in Velasquez's last 22 starts. The Rockies are 8-2 in their last 10 home games. Take Colorado.
|
08-03-17 |
Rangers v. Twins -122 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-122 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -122
The Key: The Minnesota Twins are coming off an 8-game road trip. Now they have 6 straight games at home and need to do some work to make up some ground in the AL Central and wild card races. They are still trying to win, while the Texas Rangers were in sell mode at the deadline in trading away Jonathan Lucroy and Yu Darvish. The Rangers have lost 4 of their last 5 games coming in. The edge on the mound clearly goes to the Twins and Alberto Mejia in Game 1 of this series. Mejia is 4-4 with a 4.07 ERA in 16 starts, including 0-0 with a 2.46 ERA in his last 3 starts. A.J. Griffin is 4-2 with a 5.77 ERA in 8 starts for the Rangers, including 0-2 with a 15.84 ERA in his last 3 starts, yielding 17 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings. Griffin sports a 5.00 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota. Texas is 1-11 in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season. The Rangers are 2-10 in their last 12 vs. a team with a losing record. The Twins are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take Minnesota.
|
08-01-17 |
Indians v. Red Sox -158 |
Top |
10-12 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* American League Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -158
The Key: This series is the first chance for the Boston Red Sox to avenge their 3-0 sweep at the hands of the Indians in the 2016 postseason. They won 6-2 last night and certainly want to return the favor with a series sweep. Look for them to take Game 2 tonight behind the best starter in baseball in Chris Sale, who is 13-4 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 21 starts with 211 K's in 148 1/3 innings. Sale has been untouchable of late, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 3 starts while pitching 20 2/3 shutout innings and striking out 33 batters. Carlos Carrasco is 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Boston. The Red Sox are 12-4 in Sale's last 16 starts. The Red Sox are 5-0 in Sale's last 5 starts vs. AL Central opponents. Take Boston.
|
07-31-17 |
Indians -115 v. Red Sox |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* Indians/Red Sox ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland -115
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall to take a 2-game lead on the Kansas City Royals in the AL Central. I like this price on the Indians Monday considering their massive advantage on the mound. Mike Clevinger has gone 5-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 13 starts this year, including 4-1 with a 2.15 ERA in 7 road starts. He'll be opposed by Doug Fister, who is 0-3 with a 7.58 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 4 starts, and 0-2 with a 7.84 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in 2 home starts. Fister gave up 6 runs and 12 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Indians in 2016. Neither Andrew Miller nor Cody Allen pitched yesterday, so both will be fresh and ready to shut it down after Clevinger leaves this game with the lead. Fister is 5-21 (-17.7 Units) against the money line against AL Central opponents lifetime. The Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games overall. Take Cleveland.
|
07-30-17 |
Diamondbacks v. Cardinals -121 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -121
The Key: There's a lot to like about the St. Louis Cardinals as short home favorites against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The big advantage for the Cardinals is on the mound, where Lance Lynn is having a fine season and has been dominant of late. Lynn is 8-6 with a 3.21 ERA in 21 starts, 4-3 with a 2.53 ERA in 9 home starts, and 1-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has never lost to the Diamondbacks, going 4-0 with a 3.13 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against them. Taijuan Walker is 6-4 with a 3.47 ERA in 16 starts for the Diamondbacks. He faced the Cardinals back on June 27th, giving up 5 runs and 11 base runners in 6 1/3 innings. The Cardinals are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in St. Louis. Take St. Louis.
|
07-29-17 |
Indians -1.5 v. White Sox |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-165 |
15 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-165)
The Key: The Chicago White Sox are going to be the worst team in baseball from the All Star Break-on. They traded away almost all their best players throughout their starting pitching, lineup and bullpen. They have been gutted, and that's why they are struggling in a big way right now. The White Sox are 1-13 in their last 14 games overall, and they have lost four straight by 3 runs or more. Conversely, the Indians are one of the hottest teams in baseball, going 8-0 in their last 8 games overall while winning 6 of those by 4 runs or more. Expect more of the same today. Corey Kluber is 8-3 with a 2.74 ERA in 16 starts this year, and he'll be opposed by Miguel Gonzalez, who is 5-9 with a 4.99 ERA in 15 starts. Kluber is 8-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts vs. Chicago, while Gonzalez is 4-2 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. The Indians are 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts against Chicago, which have all come over the last 2 seasons. Take Cleveland on the Run Line.
|
07-27-17 |
Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-140)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 10-2 since the All-Star Break and rolling right now. They should have no problem beating the Chicago White Sox by 2 runs or more once again tonight. The White Sox are 1-11 in their last 12 games overall and have traded away many of their best players prior to the deadline. Jon Lester has been very sharp in his last 2 starts since the break, giving up just 3 earned runs in 15 innings while striking out 16 for a 1.80 ERA. All of their starting pitchers have stepped up after they traded for Jose Quintana, and the competition amongst themselves has helped that. Mike Pelfrey is not a very good starter as he has gone 3-7 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 16 starts this year. Pelfrey is only averaging 4.8 innings per start. That is bad news because the White Sox traded away all of their best bullpen arms before the deadline. The Sox have allowed 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games overall. Lester is 50-8 (+31.1 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more lifetime. His teams are winning by 3.2 RPG on average in this situation. Take the Cubs on the Run Line.
|
07-26-17 |
Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox |
Top |
8-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 9-2 since the All-Star Break and rolling right now. They should have no problem beating the Chicago White Sox by 2 runs or more tonight. The White Sox are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall and have traded away many of their best players prior to the deadline. Now they throw their worst starter in James Shields, who has gone 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA in 9 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 9.60 ERA in his last 3 starts in which he has allowed 16 runs and 5 homers in 15 innings. Jake Arrieta has been great of late in giving up only 3 earned runs and 12 base runners in 13 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts since the All-Star Break. Arrieta is 28-4 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 earned runs or fewer in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. The Cubs are winning by 2.6 RPG in these spots. Take the Cubs on the Run Line.
|
07-25-17 |
Marlins v. Rangers -128 |
Top |
4-10 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Month on Texas Rangers -128
The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Texas Rangers as only -128 home favorites today. They have the clear advantage on the mound with Cole Hamels, who is 4-1 with a 3.78 ERA in 10 starts this year, and 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 4 home starts. Daniel Straily has been one of the more lucky starters in baseball based on sabermetrics. He sports a 3.49 ERA in 20 starts this year, but a 4.27 ERA in 9 road starts. Hamels is 24-6 (+15.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. The Marlins are 17-35 in their last 52 interleague road games. The Rangers are 13-1 in Hamels' last 14 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Texas.
|
07-24-17 |
Pirates -146 v. Giants |
Top |
10-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* Pirates/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on Pittsburgh -146
The Key: The San Francisco Giants aren't used to being out of contention. They are just 38-62 on the season and really have nothing to play for the rest of the way. They just lost 3 out of 4 at home to the lowly San Diego Padres. The Pirates have won 6 of their last 8 and are right in the thick of the NL Central race. I trust them a lot here, especially with Gerrit Cole coming on strong. He has gone 1-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in his last 3 starts while striking out 22 and walking just 1 batter in 19 innings. Cole is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Matt Cain is 3-8 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 18 starts for the Giants. The Pirates are 6-1 in Cole's last 7 starts, including 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The Giants are 10-29 in Cain's last 39 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 meetings in San Francisco. Take Pittsburgh.
|
07-23-17 |
Pirates v. Rockies -108 |
Top |
3-13 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies -108
The Key: We're getting a great price on the Colorado Rockies at home Sunday. This team is usually a big favorite at home, but at -108 we'll definitely pull the trigger on them. The Pirates are overvalued right now because they had a 6-game winning streak before losing 3-7 to the Rockies yesterday. Now they'll be deflated after their streak came to an end. Kyle Freeland has had no troubles at hitter-friendly Coors Field this year. He has gone 5-4 with a 3.23 ERA in 9 home starts. Ivan Nova has never beaten the Rockies, going 0-2 with an 8.40 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. He should get lit up in this one Sunday. Take Colorado.
|
07-22-17 |
Blue Jays v. Indians -123 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -123
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Cleveland Indians at home today as you'll rarely get them as this small of favorites. The bats came to life yesterday in a 13-3 win over the Blue Jays. Now Danny Salazar is back from the disabled list and will certainly improve their rotation. Salazar went 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA in four minor league rehab starts. He has some of the best stuff in baseball as he struck out 73 batters in 52 1/3 innings before going on the disabled list with shoulder soreness. Cleveland is 34-13 after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. Toronto is 4-17 in Saturday road games over the last 2 seasons. The Indians are 14-6 in Salazar's last 20 home starts. The Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 home meetings with the Blue Jays. Take Cleveland.
|
07-21-17 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Angels |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox should have no problem winning by multiple runs over the Los Angeles Angels today. The Red Sox have a massive advantage on the mound in this one. Chris Sale is 11-4 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.89 WHIP with a whopping 191 K's in 135 1/3 innings. He is well on his way to winning the Cy Young. Not to mention, Sale has never lost to the Angels, going 5-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.69 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Ricky Nolasco sports a 5.68 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Nolasco is 4-10 with a 4.49 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 19 starts this year. Sale is 23-4 vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning by 3.3 RPG on average in this spot. The Angels are 2-12 in Nolsaco's last 14 starts overall. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
07-20-17 |
Tigers v. Royals +100 |
Top |
4-16 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* Tigers/Royals AL Central *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas City Royals +100
The Key: We are getting a great price on the Kansas City Royals as home dogs to the Detroit Tigers today. Danny Duffy is 5-6 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 14 starts this season. Duffy has been very good at home, going 2-3 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in six home starts. The Tigers just traded away arguably their best hitter in J.D. Martinez, and they have one of the worst bullpens in the majors with a 6.91 ERA in road games this season. That's a big reason why they are just 18-29 on the road this year. The Royals are 20-8 in Duffy's last 28 home starts. Take Kansas City.
|
07-19-17 |
Brewers v. Pirates -152 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates -152
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates have shown a lot of emotion in taking the first two games of this series from the first-place Milwaukee Brewers. They now sit just 5 games back of the Brewers and should pull closer with another win today due to their advantage on the mound. Gerrit Cole is coming off two straight good starts where he has posted a 3.00 ERA in beating both the Phillies and Cards. Cole is 3-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts vs. Milwaukee. He has faced them twice this season, giving up just 2 earned runs in 14 innings for a 1.29 ERA. He'll be opposed by Zach Davies, who is 11-4 in spite of a 5.08 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 19 starts this year. Davies is 1-3 with a 10.29 ERA and 2.24 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. He has allowed 9 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings over two starts against the Pirates in 2017. The Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall and 5-1 in Cole's last 6 starts. Take Pittsburgh.
|
07-18-17 |
Yankees -139 v. Twins |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* American League Game of the Year on New York Yankees -139
The Key: The New York Yankees should roll the Minnesota Twins tonight. It's embarrassing that the Twins actually signed Bartolo Colon in the middle of a playoff race. Colon has gone 2-8 with an 8.14 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 13 starts this year. He was brutal in his last 3 starts, going 0-3 with a 14.40 ERA and 2.80 WHIP. Colon is 7-8 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts vs. New York. The Yankees are 17-3 after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 2.00 or better this season. The Twins are 24-54 in their last 78 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Yankees are 46-16 in the last 62 meetings. Take New York.
|
07-17-17 |
Brewers v. Pirates -116 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates -116
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates trail the Milwaukee Brewers by 7 games in the NL Central. This is a huge series for them if they want to get back in the race for the division. It starts with Game 1 tonight. The Pirates are 7-2 in their last 9 games overall to build some momentum. Chad Kuhl has pitched well of late going 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Kuhl has never lost to the Brewers, going 2-0 (4-0 money line) with a 2.21 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. The Brewers are 0-4 in Suter's last 4 road starts. Take Pittsburgh.
|
07-16-17 |
Twins v. Astros OVER 9.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* American League *Total* Annihilator on Twins/Astros OVER 9.5
The Key: The Houston Astros are scoring 5.9 RPG on the season and the Minnesota Twins are scoring 5.0 RPG against right-handed starters this year. Expect a slug fest between these two teams Sunday given the starting pitchers. Kyle Gibson has been the Twins' worst starter at 5-7 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 16 starts. Mike Fiers is 5-4 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 17 starts for the Astros. Houston is 11-1 to the OVER in Sunday games this season. Take the OVER.
|
07-15-17 |
Indians -1.5 v. A's |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
16 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-115)
The Key: The Cleveland Indians will be hungry for a win Saturday after getting shut out 5-0 by the A's in their first game back from the break last night. Ace Corey Kluber should get them back in the win column promptly. Kluber is 7-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.99 WHIP with 123 K's in 93 1/3 innings this season. Kluber has gone 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the A's, pitching 13 shutout innings. He sports a 2.55 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against the A's overall. Oakland is 3-17 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season, losing by 2.7 RPG on average. The Indians are 11-2 in Kluber's last 13 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Cleveland on the Run Line.
|
07-14-17 |
Indians -138 v. A's |
Top |
0-5 |
Loss |
-138 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* Indians/A's American League *BAILOUT* on Cleveland -137
The Key: The Cleveland Indians had a nice finish to the All-Star Break to climb to 47-40 and in first place in the AL Central. They are far and away the best team in this division even though they haven't played like it at times. And Carlos Carrasco has been their best starter, going 10-3 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 17 starts, including 7-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 9 road starts. Carrasco has never lost to the A's, going 3-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.61 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Sonny Gray is 4-4 with a 4.00 ERA in 13 starts this season. Gray has allowed 14 earned runs over 8 innings in his last 2 starts against the Indians over the past 2 seasons for a 15.80 ERA. The Indians are 9-0 in Carrasco's 9 starts as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Indians are 9-2 in their last 11 road games. The A's are 2-8 in their last 10 home games. Oakland is 10-21 in Gray's last 31 starts. Take Cleveland.
|
07-09-17 |
Tigers v. Indians -1.5 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* Tigers/Indians ESPN *BAILOUT* on Cleveland -1.5 (-105)
The Key: The Detroit Tigers have the look of a team that has packed it in and is just ready for vacation and the All-Star Break. They have been outscored 15-2 by the Indians through the first two games of this series. The Indians have gone 5-2 in their last 7 games and are looking to finish strong before the break. They have scored 11 runs or more in 3 of their last 6 games overall. They should continue to swing a hot bat against Michael Fulmer, who is 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.966 WHIP in four career starts against Cleveland. Corey Kluber is having another Cy Young-caliber season, going 7-3 with a 2.85 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 13 starts, 5-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 8 home starts, and 1-1 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in his last 3 starts with 35 K's in 23 innings. Cleveland is 18-2 after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons, winning by 2.6 runs per game. Take Cleveland on the Run Line.
|
07-08-17 |
Mets v. Cardinals -131 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -131
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals should make easy work of the New York Mets today. Adam Wainwright has been on top of his game at home this year with a 6-1 record and a 3.42 ERA in 9 starts. Wainwright is 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Mets while allowing only 6 earned runs in 25 2/3 innings. Zack Wheeler is now 3-5 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 14 starts this year after going 0-2 with a monstrous 18.39 ERA and 2.86 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Cards are 14-3 in Wainwright's last 17 starts vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season. The Cardinals are 37-15 in Wainwright's last 52 home starts. Take St. Louis.
|
07-07-17 |
Angels v. Rangers -141 |
Top |
0-10 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* AL West Game of the Year on Texas Rangers -141
The Key: The Los Angeles Angels have been ravaged by injuries in their rotation and to their best player in Mike Trout, who has missed 47 games and counting. They've held their own up to this point, but it's only a matter of time before the bottom falls out. I trust in the Rangers, who are 3.5 games out of the wild card, to have a big second half due to the talent they have on board. And one of their aces in Cole Hamels is now back healthy and coming off a great start in which he allowed just 2 runs and 2 hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 10-4 win over the White Sox. Hamels is 2-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Ricky Nolasco is coming off a complete game shutout and is in line for a letdown because of it. Nolasco is 1-2 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Texas. He gave up 5 runs in 5 innings of a 3-8 loss to the Rangers in his only start against them in 2017. Hamels is 23-6 (+14.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. Hamels is 14-2 (+11.8 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Angels are 2-10 in Nolasco's last 12 starts and 0-9 in his last 9 starts when working on 5 days of rest. The Rangers are 24-4 in Hamels' last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Texas.
|
07-06-17 |
Astros v. Blue Jays OVER 9 |
Top |
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Total of the Week on Astros/Blue Jays OVER 9
The Key: The Houston Astros are on an absolute tear at the plate. They have scored 26 combined runs the past 2 days while sweeping the Braves in Atlanta. They are now hitting .296 and scoring 6.9 RPG on the road this season. They could easily cover this 9-run total on their own today. They'll feast on Francisco Liriano, who is 4-4 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 13 starts this year. Lance McCullers has been very good for the Astros, but he is notoriously a bad road starter throughout his career when comparing his home/away splits. Houston is 8-1 OVER in road games after scoring 7 runs or more in 2 straight games this season. The OVER is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games overall. The OVER is 6-2 n Liriano's last 8 starts. Take the OVER.
|
07-05-17 |
Reds v. Rockies -145 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies -145
The Key: Jon Gray is probably the most talented young starters in the Rockies' resurgent rotation. He was dominant in his return from the DL at Arizona on June 30th, striking out 10 batters while allowing just 2 earned runs in 6 innings of a 6-3 victory as +135 dogs. He'll be opposed by Scott Feldman, who is 3-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 8 road starts this year. The Rockies really need a big finish to the All-Star Break and they have 5 straight home games coming up to do just that. They are hitting .290 and scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this year. The Reds are 6-22 in their last 28 road games. The Rockies are 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts. The Rockies are 33-15 in their last 48 home meetings with the Reds. Take Colorado.
|
07-04-17 |
Rays v. Cubs -132 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-132 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -132
The Key: The Chicago Cubs want to finish strong prior to the All-Star Break. They sit at 41-41 on the season and have a 5-game homestand here. The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound today with Jone Lester, who is 3-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 9 home starts this year. Chris Archer is 3-3 with a 4.21 ERA in 8 road starts, and 2-1 with a 5.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lester is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Rays in which he has allowed just 6 earned runs in 27 innings. The Rays are 26-54 in their last 80 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Cubs are 84-39 in their last 123 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Chicago is 22-5 in Lester's last 27 home starts. Take Chicago.
|
07-03-17 |
Blue Jays v. Yankees -121 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* Blue Jays/Yankees AL East *HEAVY HITTER* on New York -121
The Key: It's rare that you get the chance to back the Yankees as this small of home favorites. They are undervalued right now due to going 5-14 in their last 19 games overall. But the Blue Jays haven't been any better. They have gone 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. They have only scored more than four runs once during this stretch. They have hit .224 as a team with only 9 homers and 29 runs scored, or an average of 2.9 RPG. Masahiro Tanaka has given up just 2 earned runs over 14 innings in his last 2 starts. Tanaka is 7-3 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. The Yankees are 16-2 in Tanaka's last 18 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Yankees are 17-4 in Tanaka's last 21 home starts. Take New York.
|
07-02-17 |
Cubs -136 v. Reds |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Month on Chicago Cubs -136
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are getting healthy as both Ben Zobrist and Kris Bryant has recently returned to the lineup. After losing the first two games of this series to the Reds, they'll be hungry to not get swept here in Game 3. Jake Arrieta should shut down the Reds. He is 6-2 with a 3.76 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts against them. Tim Adleman is 5-4 with a 4.76 ERA in 13 starts this year, and 1-2 with a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. Arrieta is 20-3 (+15.5 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago.
|
07-01-17 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Blue Jays |
Top |
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* AL East Game of the Month on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox should have no problem winning by multiple runs today thanks to their advantage on the mound over the Toronto Blue Jays. Chris Sale has been a Cy Young candidate at 10-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.91 WHIP with 155 K's in 113 2/3 innings. He is 2-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Sale is 4-1 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. His teams have won each of his last 5 starts against the Blue Jays, including the last 4 by 2 runs or more. Francisco Liriano is 3-3 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Liriano is 4-3 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Sale is 22-4 vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning by 3.3 runs per game. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
06-30-17 |
Mariners -118 v. Angels |
Top |
10-0 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* Mariners/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -118
The Key: Ariel Miranda has been very good for the Mariners this season. He is 6-4 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in his 16 starts. Miranda has never lost to the Angels, going 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Parker Bridwell is very raw for the Angels as he has made just 3 starts this year. He has already given up 5 homers in 17 2/3 innings pitched. The Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. The Mariners are 6-0 in Miranda's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. The Angels are coming off a huge 4-game series against the Dodgers and could certainly have a letdown here in Game 1. Take Seattle.
|
06-29-17 |
Yankees v. White Sox OVER 10.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* AL Total of the Month on Yankees/White Sox OVER 10.5
The Key: The conditions favor the OVER in today's game between the White Sox and Yankees. The wind is expected to be blowing out to left center at 12 miles per hour around game time. The Yankees have one of the best lineups in baseball as they are scoring 5.6 runs per game. They hung 12 on the White Sox yesterday. They should feast on James Shields, who is 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 5 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 7.56 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in 2 home starts. Luis Cessa is just a fill-in starter for the Yankees. He has gone 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in 2 spot starts this year for them. The White Sox are scoring 4.8 runs per game at home. Shields is 7-0 to the OVER in June games over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago. Take the OVER.
|
06-28-17 |
Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -132 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-132 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona Diamondbacks -132
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 16-3 in their last 19 games overall. They are also 30-10 at home this season. This is a very nice price here on the Diamondbacks when you consider how big of an advantage they have on the mound in this game. Zack Godley has been flying under the radar, going 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 9 starts, and 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 4 home starts. Adam Wainwright has been getting absolutely crushed on the road this year, going 2-4 with a 9.48 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in 7 starts. The Cardinals are 3-12 in their last 15 road games. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Godley's last 5 starts. Take Arizona.v
|
06-27-17 |
Phillies v. Mariners -1.5 |
Top |
8-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have a big scheduling advantage here. They had yesterday off while the Phillies played a Game 4 in Arizona. We're getting the better, fresher team with easily the better starter on the mound here, and I like this plus price with the Mariners on the Run Line as a result. James Paxton is 5-2 with a 3.39 ERA in 11 starts this year, including 4-1 with a 2.48 ERA in 7 home starts. He'll be opposed by Aaron Nola, who is 4-5 with a 4.32 ERA in 10 starts this year for the Phillies. The Mariners are 25-15 and scoring 5.3 RPG at home this year, while the Phillies are 10-31 and scoring 3.5 RPG on the road. Philly is 1-12 after scoring 1 run or less this season, losing by 2.8 RPG. Take Seattle on the Run Line.
|
06-26-17 |
Rockies +125 v. Giants |
Top |
2-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* Rockies/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on Colorado +125
The Key: The Colorado Rockies are coming off 5 straight losses. They'll be hungry to get back in the win column today, and now they get to face the 27-51 San Francisco Giants to do just that. I just can't fathom how the Giants are consistently favored like they are today. Their name recognition gets them too much respect, but they simply aren't a good team this year. And Jeff Samardzija is almost always favored despite the fact that he's 2-9 with a 4.74 ERA in 15 starts this year. We'll gladly back German Marquez against him. Marquez has gone 5-3 with a 3.92 ERA in 11 starts, 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in 6 home starts, and 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last 3 outings. Samardzija is 0-3 with a 9.33 ERA in his last 3 starts against Colorado, yielding 19 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings. The Rockies are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Colorado is 7-1 in Marquez's last 8 starts. The Giants are 5-21 in their last 26 overall. San Francisco is 1-10 in its last 11 home games. Take Colorado.
|
06-25-17 |
Pirates v. Cardinals -140 |
Top |
4-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* Pirates/Cardinals ESPN *BAILOUT* on St. Louis -140
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals will be hungry for a victory tonight after dropping the first two games of this series to the Pittsburgh Pirates and three straight overall. Now the Cards have a big advantage on the mound with Mike Leake over Chad Kuhl. Leake is 5-6 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 14 starts this year. Kuhl is 2-6 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 14 starts. Kuhl has never beaten the Cards, going 0-2 (0-3 money line) with a 4.85 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Leake is 10-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 29 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Take St. Louis.
|
06-24-17 |
Astros v. Mariners +130 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Month on Seattle Mariners +130
The Key: I've cashed in the Mariners a lot recently and will continue to ride them tonight, especially at this great underdog price of +130. The Mariners have now won 6 straight while scoring at least 5 runs in all 6 games, including 13 last night against the Astros. They are getting healthy and will be a dangerous team moving forward. Sam Gaviglio has held his own this year for Seattle, going 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 7 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 4 home starts. Lance McCullers is 5-9 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 23 lifetime road starts. The Mariners are 25-13 at home this year. Seattle is 5-0 in Gaviglio's last 5 starts. Take Seattle.
|
06-23-17 |
Astros v. Mariners -114 |
Top |
3-13 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* Astros/Mariners AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -114
The Key: The Mariners have now won 5 straight while scoring at least 5 runs in all 5 victories. They are getting healthy in their lineup and on the mound as Jean Segura just returned, and Felix Hernandez will be making his first start since April 26th. Hernandez pitching 6 shutout innings while striking out 8 in his final rehab start last week. Hernandez is 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA in 2 home starts this year. He'll be opposed by Joe Musgrove, going 4-6 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 12 starts this year. Musgrove sports a 4.36 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. The Mariners are 24-13 at home this year and scoring 5.3 runs per game. Seattle is 20-7 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Astros are 1-7 in Musgrove's last 8 starts vs. a team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse this season. The Mariners are 8-2 in Hernandez's last 10 home starts. Take Seattle.
|
06-22-17 |
Tigers v. Mariners -121 |
Top |
6-9 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* Tigers/Mariners American League *BAILOUT* on Seattle -121
The Key: Andrew Moore will be making his major league debut today. He was a former 2nd round pick out of Oregon State in 2015. He has been so good in the minors that the Mariners can't leave him down there any longer. He'll be taking the place of the struggling Yovani Gallardo in the rotation. Moore was the Mariners' minor league pitcher of the year in 2016, going 12-4 with a 2.65 ERA. He has gone 4-3 with a 2.72 ERA in 14 games this season. He'll be opposed by Daniel Norris, who is 4-4 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 13 starts. The Mariners are 23-13 at home this year, while the Tigers are 14-23 on the road. The Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall. The Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 home meetings with Detroit. Take Seattle.
|
06-21-17 |
Cardinals -123 v. Phillies |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -123
The Key: We're getting a great price here Wednesday to fade the Philadelphia Phillies. It has been a profitable move all season as they are just 22-47, especially of late as they are 1-12 in their last 13 games overall. I'm not sure why Nick Pivetta is getting so much love from the books as he's 1-3 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 7 starts this year. Michael Wacha isn't having his best season, but he has only allowed 3 earned runs in 14 innings in his last 2 starts against the Phillies. Pivetta faced the Cardinals for the first and only time earlier this season, allowing 4 runs in 5 innings of a 7-0 loss. The Cardinals are 11-0 in their last 11 vs. National League East. The Cardinals are 9-0 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take St. Louis.
|
06-20-17 |
Angels v. Yankees -1.5 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-135 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* AL Run Line Game of the Month on New York Yankees -1.5 (-135)
The Key: The New York Yankees are riding a season-high 6-game losing streak as their lost their final 6 games of a 7-game road trip last week. They had Monday off to regroup, and now I believe they'll get back in the win column with a blowout victory at home over the Los Angeles Angels. The Yankees are 22-9 at home this season. Michael Pineda is 6-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 7 home starts this year. The Yankees are 18-4 at home against right-handed starters this season, and they're winning by 3.5 runs per game on average. The Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 home meetings. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
06-19-17 |
Nationals -107 v. Marlins |
Top |
7-8 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -107
The Key: The Washington Nationals have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight over the Miami Marlins. But that's not reflected in the line here as we are getting basically even money. Tanner Roark is 3-1 with a 1.78 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Marlins, giving up only 5 earned runs in 25 1/3 innings. He'll be opposed by Justin Nicolino, who has never beaten Washington, going 0-3 with an 8.62 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. The Nationals are 26-12 in Roark's last 38 starts. The Marlins are 1-11 in Nicolino's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record, including 0-6 in Nicolino's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Washington.
|
06-18-17 |
Red Sox v. Astros OVER 9 |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
105 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* Red Sox/Astros ESPN *BAILOUT* on OVER 9
The Key: Expect plenty of runs tonight between the Red Sox and Astros as both teams are capable of covering this 9-run total on their own. Joe Musgrove has been a mess at 4-5 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 11 starts, including 2-5 wiht a 5.05 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 8 home starts. David Price hasn't been sharp at all since returning from the DL. He is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA in 4 starts this year. The OVER is 17-3-2 in Astros last 22 Sunday games. The OVER is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 Sunday games. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Take the OVER.
|
06-17-17 |
Diamondbacks -115 v. Phillies |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona Diamondbacks -115
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies are just 1-9 in their last 10 games overall. Yet they continue to get too much respect from oddsmakers here today as small dogs. Zack Godley is 2-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 7 starts this year for the Diamondbacks and getting zero respect. He'll be up against Jerad Eickhoff, who is STILL looking for his first win this year. Eickhoff is 0-7 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 13 starts. The Diamondbacks are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. The Phillies are 1-8 in Eickhoff's last 9 starts. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Take Arizona.
|
06-16-17 |
Giants v. Rockies -104 |
Top |
8-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NL West Game of the Month on Colorado Rockies -104
The Key: The Colorado Rockies (43-26) should not be basically even money tonight against the San Francisco Giants (26-42). The Rockies are scoring 5.5 runs per game against right-handed starters while the Giants are scoring 3.7 runs per game overall and 3.9 against righties. I would argue that the Rockies have the advantage on the mound too. Antonio Senzatela is 8-2 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 13 starts, including an impressive 6-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 7 home starts. Jeff Samardzija is 2-8 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts for the Giants. Samardzija has given up 11 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Rockies. Senzatela has never lost to the Giants, going 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. Take Colorado.
|
06-15-17 |
Yankees -112 v. A's |
Top |
7-8 |
Loss |
-112 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* Yankees/A's American League *BAILOUT* on New York -112
The Key: The New York Yankees are coming off back-to-back road losses to the Los Angeles Angels to close out that series. Those two losses followed up a 6-game winning streak in which they scored 60 runs combined. Now it's a short trip to Oakland and I think they'll get a victory here in Game 1 of this series against the A's. This is an A's team that is just 1-6 in their last 7 games overall. I really like Jordan Montgomery, who is 4-4 with a 3.55 ERA in 11 starts, 2-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 5 road starts, and 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in his last 3 starts. We'll fade Sonny Gray, who is 2-2 with a 4.37 ERA in 8 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 6.11 ERA in his last 3 starts. Gray is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. New York. The A's are 7-19 in Gray's last 26 starts. The Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oakland. Take New York.
|
06-14-17 |
Red Sox -123 v. Phillies |
Top |
7-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -123
The Key: We're getting a great price on the Boston Red Sox today against one of the worst teams in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies are 21-42 on the season. Jeremy Hellickson has been one of their best starters, but that's not saying much as he sports a 4.50 ERA in 13 starts. Brian Johnson has been sharp in his 3 starts for the Red Sox at 2-0 with a 3.44 ERA. The Red Sox are 80-32 in their last 112 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. The Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games. The Red Sox are 29-11 in the last 40 meetings. Take Boston.
|
06-13-17 |
Rangers v. Astros OVER 9 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-112 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* AL West Total of the Year on Rangers/Astros OVER 9
The Key: The Texas Rangers are getting healthy and starting to really hit the baseball. They have won 4 straight road games while scoring 5 runs or more in all 4. They have scored at least 5 runs in 9 of their last 12 games as well. The Houston Astros have one of the best lineups in baseball as they are scoring 5.4 runs per game on the season and hitting .275. Two awful starters in Nick Martinez and Brad Peacock are in line to get rocked today. Martinez is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA in 8 starts this year, while Peacock is 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA in 4 starts. Martinez is 10-1 OVER in his last 11 starts vs. teams who outscore opponents by 1 or more runs per game on the season. Take the OVER.
|
06-12-17 |
Phillies v. Red Sox -1.5 |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-113 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-113)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox should have no problem beating one of the worst teams in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies (21-40) by two or more runs today. The Phillies have lost 5 straight coming in while scoring just 9 runs total in those 5 losses. Jerad Eickhoff is still looking for his first win in 12 starts for the Phillies. He is 0-7 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in those 12 starts, including 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Boston is 26-7 in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by 2.5 runs per game in this situation. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
06-11-17 |
Marlins v. Pirates -145 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -145
The Key: The Miami Marlins are expected to be without their top two power hitters in Giancarlo Stanton and Justin Bour today. That will make life on Ivan Nova much easier today. Nova has been one of the more underrated starters in the big leagues. He is 5-4 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 5 home starts. Nova is also 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one lifetime start vs. Miami, pitching a 9-inning shutout in a 4-0 victory over the Marlins earlier this season on April 29th. Nova is 11-1 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against NL East opponents in his career. The Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Pittsburgh.
|
06-10-17 |
Brewers v. Diamondbacks -147 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Week on Arizona Diamondbacks -147
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 24-9 at home this season, where they are hitting .294 and scoring 6.5 runs per game. After a rare home loss to the Brewers in Game 1 of this series, they'll be hungry for a victory in Game 2 tonight. Zack Godley has been awesome with a 2.39 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 6 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 3 home starts. Godley is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Milwaukee, pitching 12 shutout innings. The Brewers are expected to be without 3 of their best hitters in Ryan Bruan, Travis Shaw and Jonathan Villar, so Godley should have his way with this watered-down lineup. The Brewers are 30-72 in their last 102 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Arizona.
|
06-09-17 |
Brewers v. Diamondbacks -130 |
|
8-6 |
Loss |
-130 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -130
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are a sensational 24-8 at home this season. And they are rarely big home favorites, which is the case again today with this generous -130 price. Randall Delgado has been awesome in his 3 starts this year, sporting a 1.80 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while allowing just 3 earned runs in 15 innings pitched. Zach Davies sports a 4.69 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 12 starts this year for the Brewers. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Delgado's last 8 home starts. The Brewers are 29-72 in their last 101 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Arizona.
|
06-08-17 |
Orioles +144 v. Nationals |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Week on Baltimore Orioles +144
The Key: This is an awful spot for the Washington Nationals tonight. They just took 2 out of 3 from the Los Angeles Dodgers on the West Coast, and now they had to fly all the way back to the East Coast yesterday and got in early this morning. They won't be ready for this game against the Orioles tonight. Baltimore has won 5 of its last 7 and is riding hight after a huge 5-run comeback yesterday to beat the Pirates 9-6 at home in extra innings. It's just a short trip for them to Washington. Alec Asher has held his own in 4 starts this year with a 1.02 WHIP in 4 starts while allowing only 21 base runners in 20 2/3 innings. Joe Ross has been terrible with a 7.34 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 6 starts this year. Asher is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Washington. Baltimore is 15-3 after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. National League East. The Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. American League East. The Orioles are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. Take Baltimore.
|
06-07-17 |
Mets v. Rangers -154 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-154 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on Texas Rangers -154
The Key: The New York Mets are a mess right now as they are 1-5 in their last 6 games overall while getting outscored 22-44 in the process. And Zack Wheeler is 3-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 10 starts for the Mets this year. He was fortunate to only give up 2 runs despite allowing 11 base runners in his last start. He won't be so fortunate today against this Rangers lineup. Ace Yu Darvish gets the ball for the Rangers and is 5-4 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 12 starts this year. Teams are hitting .300 and scoring 6.3 runs per game at home against the Mets this year. Texas is 17-4 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Rangers are 12-1 in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. The Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. The Rangers are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games. Take Texas.
|
06-06-17 |
Angels v. Tigers -140 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-140 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit Tigers -140
The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 4 straight while scoring a combined 38 runs in the process. They should stay red hot at the plate against Jesse Chavez, who is 4-5 with a 4.48 ERA in 11 starts, including 1-4 with a 5.76 ERA in five road starts. And Daniel Norris should have success against an Angels lineup that is now gutted after losing Mike Trout, the one irreplaceable player in baseball. The Angels are hitting .221 and scoring 3.4 runs per game on the road, while the Tigers are hitting .277 and scoring 5.8 runs per game at home. Chavez is 2-15 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Chavez is 0-12 as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Tigers are 17-3 after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take Detroit.
|
06-05-17 |
Cardinals -129 v. Reds |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-129 |
19 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Month on St. Louis Cardinals -129
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals will be hungry for a victory tonight after getting swept by the Cubs last series. Fortunately, they now have a series with the lowly Cincinnati Reds to get back on track. The Reds are just 1-5 in their last 6 games overall. Carlos Martinez is the ace of the Cardinals staff, going 4-4 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 11 starts this year. He is 1-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Asher Wojciechowski makes just his second start of the season for the Reds after giving up 4 runs and 3 homers in 4 innings of a 4-6 loss at Toronto in his first. The Cardinals are 10-1 in Martinez's last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. St. Louis is 13-3 in Martinez's last 16 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds are 20-46 in their last 66 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Cardinals are 5-1 in Martinez's last 6 starts vs. Cincinnati. Take St. Louis.
|
06-04-17 |
Rockies -138 v. Padres |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -138
The Key: The Colorado Rockies hung a 10-spot on the San Diego Padres yesterday. They should hang a big number on Jarred Cosart today as well. Cosart is 0-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 5 starts this year, averaging just 3.9 innings per start. He'll be opposed by young phenom Jeff Hoffman, who is 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 2 starts with 15 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings. Cosart is 0-1 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in 2 starts this year. Bets against home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 37-7 since 1997. Take Colorado.
|
06-03-17 |
Twins -109 v. Angels |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* Twins/Angels American League *BAILOUT* on Minnesota -109
The Key: The Minnesota Twins are now 16-5 on the road this season profiting backers +13.6 units. Ace Ervin Santana has been virtually unhittable this season, especially on the road. Santana is 7-2 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 11 starts this year, and 4-0 with a 0.31 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in 4 road starts. He'll be opposed by Matt Shoemaker, who is 4-3 with a 4.26 ERA in 11 starts, and 3-1 with a 5.21 ERA in 5 home starts. The Angels are without Mike Trout for a couple months and will be straight fade material now and moving forward. The Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Twins are 6-0 in Santana's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Minnesota.
|
06-02-17 |
Nationals -128 v. A's |
Top |
13-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -128
The Key: We're getting to lay a very low price on the better team and the better starter today in Oakland. The Washington Nationals are 33-19 on the season. Stephen Strasburg is 6-1 with a 2.94 ERA in 10 starts, and 4-0 with a 2.70 ERA in 5 road starts. The Nationals have gone 8-2 in Strasburg's 10 starts. Andrew Triggs is 3-3 with a 4.09 ERA at home this year. Washington is 9-1 in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. The Nationals are 39-12 in Strasburg's last 51 starts. Washington is 10-1 in Strasburg's last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Take Washington.
|
06-01-17 |
Diamondbacks -122 v. Marlins |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -122
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 33-22 (+11.4 units) and one of the most profitable teams in baseball. The Miami Marlins are 21-30 (-9.4 units) and one of the least profitable teams in MLB. But the Marlins are starting to get too much respect from the books due to their 4-game winning streak, which includes 3 straight wins over the lowly Phillies. Ace Zack Greinke gets the ball for the Diamondbacks looking to improve on his 6-3 record with a 3.23 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 11 starts this year. Greinke is 4-0 (7-0 money line) with a 3.09 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Miami having never lost to them. Jeff Locke makes his first start of the season for the Marlins, and he's 1-2 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Arizona. Take Arizona.
|
05-31-17 |
Tigers v. Royals -115 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central Game of the Month on Kansas City Royals -115
The Key: The Kansas City Royals have a massive advantage on the mound tonight. Ian Kennedy sports a 4.43 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including a 3.04 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 4 home starts. Matt Boyd sports a 5.40 ERA in 10 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 10.22 ERA and 2.68 WHIP in his last 3 outings. While Kennedy sports a 3.78 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Detroit, Boyd is 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. The Tigers are 0-6 in Boyd's last six starts. Take Kansas City.
|
05-30-17 |
Astros v. Twins OVER 9 |
Top |
7-2 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Total of the Month on Astros/Twins OVER 9
The Key: Both Mike Fiers and Jose Berrios are fly ball pitchers. That's bad news for both of them because the wind is blowing out to center at 14 miles per hour tonight. Fiers has served up 18 homers already in 46 2/3 innings. Berriors gave up 3 solo homers in his last start alone. The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings, which includes the 24 runs they combined to score yesterday. Take the OVER.
|
05-29-17 |
A's v. Indians -1.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-120)
The Key: The Cleveland Indians throw their best starter in Carlos Carrasco Monday. All he's done is go 4-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 9 starts this season. And Carrasco certainly enjoys facing the A's, going 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.58 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Daniel Mengden is making his first start of the season for the A's. Mengden went 2-9 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 14 starts for the A's last season in his only previous big league action. Cleveland is 30-8 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. It is winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot. Take Cleveland on the Run Line.
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05-28-17 |
Rays -105 v. Twins |
Top |
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -105
The Key: We're getting the Rays at even money today despite the fact that they have a huge advantage on the mound today. Alex Cobb is 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 10 starts this year. He has been much better than Minnesota's Kyle Gibson, who is 1-4 with an 8.62 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in 7 starts. Cobb is 1-0 with a 3.17 ERA in one lifetime start vs. Minnesota, while Gibson is 1-4 with a 7.82 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. The Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Twins are 1-4 in Gibson's last 5 home starts. The Rays are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota. Take Tampa Bay.
|
05-27-17 |
Braves v. Giants -125 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* Braves/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -125
The Key: The San Francisco Giants have not gotten off to a very good start these first few months. But now the price with them is going to be favorable moving forward, especially today as they are coming off 4 straight losses and should be hungry for a win. I'm going to back the Giants and Ty Blach, who is 1-1 with a 1.73 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 4 home starts this year. He has been dominant in all of his starts outside of one against the Reds. The Braves are 17-35 in their last 52 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take San Francisco.
|
05-26-17 |
Royals v. Indians -1.5 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+120)
The Key: I'm backing the Cleveland Indians to win by multiple runs tonight over the Kansas City Royals due to their advantage on the mound and at the plate. Mike Clevinger has gone 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in three starts this season for the Indians. One of those was against the Royals on May 7th as he pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings. Clevinger is now 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. Ian Kennedy is 0-2 with an 8.49 ERA in his last 3 starts, and 2-4 with a 5.18 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Kansas City is 2-15 in road games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Take Cleveland on the Run Line.
|
05-24-17 |
Angels v. Rays -108 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* American League Game of the Month on Tampa Bay Rays -108
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 3 in a row, including two by exactly one run, and they'll be hungry for a victory tonight against the Angels. Erasmo Ramirez is 1-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 2 starts this season. Ramirez is 2-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Ricky Nolasco is 2-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 9 starts this season. He's 3-6 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. The Angels are 0-4 in Nolasco's last 4 starts. The Rays are 9-3 in Ramirez's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Angels are 17-37 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Tampa Bay.
|
05-23-17 |
Blue Jays v. Brewers -104 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague Game of the Week on Milwaukee Brewers -104
The Key: Great price here with the underrated Milwaukee Brewers at basically even money against the overrated Toronto Blue Jays. The Brewers have an excellent lineup that is scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.9 per game at home. The Blue Jays are hitting .238 and scoring 4.1 runs per game as their lineup has taken a big step back this year. Jimmy Nelson has been unhittable in his last 3 starts, going 1-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Joe Biagini is only averaging 4.3 innings per start as he is no more than a spot starter for the Blue Jays right now. The Blue Jays are 1-7 in their last 8 games following an off day. The Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Take Milwaukee.
|
05-22-17 |
Pirates -120 v. Braves |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -120
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing very well right now in going 6-2 in their last 8 games overall. Now they send ace Gerrit Cole to the mound Monday to keep it going. Cole is 2-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 9 starts this year, and 1-1 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings. He'll be opposed by Mike Foltynewicz, who is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 3 home starts this year. Cole has never lost to the Braves, going 3-0 (5-0 money line) with a 2.25 ERA in 5 lifetime starts. Foltynewicz has never beaten the Pirates, going 0-3 with an 8.25 ERA in 3 lifetime starts. Take Pittsburgh.
|
05-21-17 |
Rangers -120 v. Tigers |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Rangers/Tigers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Texas -120
The Key: The Texas Rangers are the hottest team in baseball. They have gone 10-1 in their last 11 games overall. They lost yesterday, but should start a new streak today with their advantage on the mound. Yu Darvish is an elite ace who is 4-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 9 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Matt Boyd, who is 2-3 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 8 starts, including 0-2 with a 7.31 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Boyd is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Texas. Darvish has never lost to the Tigers, going a perfect 6-0 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts. Take Texas.
|
05-20-17 |
Giants v. Cardinals -138 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-138 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -138
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are hungry for a victory tonight after losing three straight. They blew a 5-3 lead in the 8th inning last night to the Giants, giving up 2 runs in the 9th to lose 5-6. I expect them to bounce back thanks to their huge advantage on the mound Saturday. Carlos Martinez is 2-1 with a 3.06 ERA in 5 home starts this season and 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. Jeff Samardzija is 1-5 with a 5.26 ERA in 8 starts this year and 0-3 with a 6.66 ERA in 4 road starts. Samardzija gave up 6 runs and 4 homers in 5 innings in a 4-7 loss to the Cardinals in his last start at St. Louis. Martinez has never lost to the Giants, going 2-0 with a 3.27 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against them. The Cardinals are 16-4 after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are 24-7 in Martinez's last 31 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take St. Louis.
|
05-19-17 |
Giants v. Cardinals -145 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-145 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -145
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals have gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall to really turn their season around and get atop the NL Central division. They have a huge advantage on the mound tonight over the struggling San Francisco Giants, who are 17-25 on the season, including 6-15 in road games. Michael Wacha is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 6 starts this season. Wacha has gone 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 4 home starts. He is also 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Matt Moore is 2-4 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including 0-3 with a 10.51 ERA and 2.17 WHIP in 4 road starts. Moore is 0-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Giants are 16-45 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Take St. Louis.
|
05-18-17 |
Red Sox -103 v. A's |
Top |
3-8 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* Red Sox/A's American League *BAILOUT* on Boston -103
The Key: Getting the Boston Red Sox at basically even money against the Oakland A's is a gift from the books tonight. Hector Velazquez will make his major league debut and has the element of surprise working in his favor. Velazquez sports a 1.55 ERA at Triple-A Pawtucket this season. Sonny Gray is still looking for his first win for the A's, going 0-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 3 starts this year. Gray has never beaten the Red Sox, going 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in 3 lifetime starts. The Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The A's are 5-16 in Gray's last 21 starts. Oakland is 6-21 in its last 27 during game 1 of a series. The Red Sox are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. Take Boston.
|
05-17-17 |
Orioles v. Tigers -141 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Detroit Tigers -141
The Key: The Detroit Tigers have a huge advantage on the mound today with Michael Fulmer over Ubaldo Jimenez. Fulmer is 4-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in seven starts this season. Jimenez is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in six starts this season. The Tigers went 2-0 in Fulmer's 2 starts against the Orioles last season. Jimenez is 6-11 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts vs. Detroit. The Tigers are 29-7 in their last 36 after scoring 8 or more runs in their previous game. The Tigers are 17-4 in Fulmer's last 21 starts when the total is 8.5 to 10. Take Detroit.
|
05-16-17 |
Mets v. Diamondbacks -160 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -160
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks have a huge advantage on the mound with Zack Greinke, who is 4-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 8 starts, and 3-0 with a 2.27 ERA in 5 home starts. Greinke is 5-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 9 lifetime starts vs. New York. Tom Milone is 1-0 with a 4.74 ERA in 4 starts this season for the Mets. Milone sports a 7.20 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. Arizona. Greinke is 81-23 (+40.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more lifetime. The Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall. The Diamondbacks are 20-8 in their last 28 home games. Arizona is 9-2 in its last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Arizona.
|
05-15-17 |
Rays v. Indians -147 |
|
7-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -147
The Key: Carlos Carrasco is one of the best starters in baseball. He has gone 4-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 7 starts this season. Carrasco certainly enjoys facing the Rays, going 3-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. He has yielded only 2 earned runs over 16 2/3 innings while winning each of his last 2 starts against Tampa Bay. Chris Archer has never beaten the Indians, going 0-5 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. Take Cleveland.
|
05-14-17 |
Pirates +130 v. Diamondbacks |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
130 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Dog of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates +130
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates should not be underdogs to the Arizona Diamondbacks, let alone +130 dogs, when you considering the huge advantage they have on the mound today. Ivan Nova continues to get no love from oddsmakers despite the fact that he's 3-3 with a 2.23 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 7 starts this season. Robbie Ray is 2-3 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 7 starts for Arizona, and 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 4 home starts. Ray has never beaten the Pirates, going 0-2 (0-3 money line) with a 7.07 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. The Diamondbacks are 1-7 in Ray's last 8 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Take Pittsburgh.
|
05-13-17 |
Phillies v. Nationals -1.5 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
125 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+125)
The Key: I'll back the Washington Nationals on the Run Line tonight against the struggling Philadelphia Phillies, who are 2-10 in their last 12 games overall. The Nationals are 22-12 on the season behind a lineup that is hitting .283 and scoring 6.1 runs per game. Tanner Roark has been a money-making machine over the past few seasons as he's consistently undervalued. Roark is 3-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 7 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Nick Pivetta, who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 2 starts for the Phillies this year. Roark is 4-4 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia. Pivetta gave up 4 runs, 3 homers and 9 hits in 5 innings of a 2-4 loss to the Nationals on May 5th in his only lifetime start against them. Take Washington on the Run Line.
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