7* NL East Game of the Month on Atlanta Braves -111 

The Key: The Nationals are just 22-32 this season.  They have a mediocre lineup and a terrible bullpen with a 7.12 ERA on the season.  They just can’t be trusted.  The Braves are 30-24 and a real contender to win the NL East.  Especially with the quality starts they are getting from their young rotation.  That includes Max Fried, who is 7-2 with a 2.96 ERA in 10 starts this year, including 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in 5 home starts.  Strasburg is 0-2 with a 7.15 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Braves, yielding 9 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings.  The Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.  The Braves had yesterday off while the Nationals faced the Marlins and lost.  Take Atlanta. 

7* AL West Game of the Month on Oakland A’s -143 

The Key: The Oakland A’s are 9-0 in their last 9 games overall.  They’ll be hungry to extend this winning streak to 10 Monday.  And I like their chances with their huge advantage on the mound over the Angels.  Chris Bassitt is 2-1 with a 2.48 ERA in 6 starts this year for Oakland.  Trevor Cahill is 2-4 with a 6.43 ERA in 10 starts for the Angels, and 1-3 with a 6.98 ERA in 6 road starts this year.  Cahill yielded 4 earned runs in 6 innings to the A’s on March 28th earlier this season in a 0-4 loss.  The Angels are 6-21 in their last 27 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of better than 60%.  The A’s are 5-1 in their last 6 home meetings.  Take Oakland. 

7* NL East Game of the Month on Miami Marlins +130 

The Key: The Miami Marlins had won 6 straight prior to losing the first 2 games of this series to the Nationals. Now they’ll be hungry for a win here in Game 3 today.  The good news for the Marlins is that they send their ace to the mound to get the job done.  Caleb Smith is 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 9 starts this year with 71 strikeouts in 53 innings.  Smith shut down to the Nationals on April 19th in a 3-2 victory as he yielded only one earned run in 6 innings.  Erick Fedde is no more than a fill-in starter for the Nationals who will be making just his 2nd start of the season.  Fedde is 0-8 in home games over the last 3 seasons.  Washington is 1-10 after allowing 2 runs or less this season.  The Marlins are 6-0 in Smith’s last 6 starts against a team with a losing record.  Take Miami. 

7* Rangers/Angels American League *BAILOUT* on Texas +119 

The Key: The Texas Rangers have won 8 of their last 9 and should not be dogs today to the Los Angeles Angels.  Mike Minor is their best starter, and he’s 5-3 with a 2.64 ERA in 10 starts this year.  Minor is 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against Los Angeles.  Tyler Skaggs is 4-4 with a 5.01 ERA in 8 starts this year.  He is also 1-2 with an 8.21 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Skaggs sports a 4.80 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against Texas.  The Angels are 0-8 in their last 8 home games against a left-handed starter.  Take Texas. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -152 

The Key: The Cardinals had yesterday off while the Braves finished a 4-game series in San Francisco, so they had to travel to St. Louis overnight.  That’s a big advantage for the Cardinals, and they also have a big advantage on the rubber tonight.  Miles Mikolas is 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in 5 home starts this year.  Mikolas is 1-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Braves.  Mike Foltynewicz is 0-3 with a 6.91 ERA in 5 starts this year, and 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Foltynewicz is also 2-4 with a 9.33 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Cardinals.  He has yielded 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against St. Louis.  Mikolas is 8-0 when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.  The Braves are 0-7 in Foltynewicz’s last 7 starts.  The Cardinals are 10-1 in Mikolas’ last 11 starts against a team with a winning record.  Take St. Louis. 

6* Phillies/Cubs National League *CA$H COW* on Chicago -108 

The Key: I really like the price we are getting on Jon Lester and the Cubs at home today against the Philadelphia Phillies.  Lester is 3-2 with a 2.09 ERA in 8 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 0.46 ERA in 4 home starts.  Aaron Nola sports a 4.47 ERA in 10 starts this year and a 6.13 ERA in 3 road starts.  Lester has never lost to the Phillies, going 8-0 with a 1.49 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against them.  Nola is 1-1 with a 5.12 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Cubs.  Take Chicago. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-159) 

The Key: The Houston Astros now have the best record in baseball after a 15-2 run over their last 17 games.  What makes this run so impressive is that the Astros have won all 15 games by 2 runs or more.  And that’s why I’ll take them on the Run Line tonight instead of -340 on the money line.  Gerrit Cole is a Cy Young contender with a 3.56 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 10 starts this year.  He has 93 K’s in 60 2/3 innings, which is the most of any starter in baseball.  Ivan Nova is 2-4 with a 7.42 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 9 starts for the White Sox.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-159) 

The Key: The Orioles are 2-10 in their last 12 games overall with 9 of those losses coming by 2 runs or more.  Three of those losses have come to the Yankees during this stretch.  Chalk up another one tonight considering the big advantage the Yankees have on the rubber.  Domingo German is 7-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 8 starts this year.  He is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 2 starts against the Orioles in 2019.  David Hess is 1-5 with a 5.87 ERA in 8 starts for the Orioles, including 0-2 with a 7.07 ERA in 3 home starts.  Hess is 0-2 with a 5.63 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Yankees.  Take New York on the Run Line. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Atlanta Braves -131 

The Key: Big advantage on the rubber tonight for the Atlanta Braves, who have won 7 of their last 9 coming in.  Mike Soroka has been nothing short of spectacular this season.  He is 4-1 with a 0.98 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in six starts.  He’ll be opposed by Andrew Suarez, who will be making his first start of the season for the Giants.  Suarez went 7-13 with a 4.49 ERA in 2018, and he did not make the club out of spring training.  He proceeded to go 2-3 with a 6.33 ERA in six minor league starts, so he clearly isn’t very good.  The Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record.  Atlanta is 5-1 in Soroka’s last 6 road starts.  The Braves are 5-0 in Soroka’s last 5 starts against a team with a losing record.  The Giants are 0-4 in Suarez’s last 4 starts against a team with a winning record.  Take Atlanta. 

6* Cubs/Nationals ESPN *BAILOUT* on Chicago -132

The Key: No Analysis Sunday

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets -119 

The Key: The New York Mets have a big advantage on the rubber today over the Miami Marlins.  Steven Matz is 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA, including 2-1 with a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Pablo Lopez is 2-5 with a 5.93 ERA, including 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Matz is 3-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against Miami.  Lopez is 1-1 with a 12.00 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Mets.  Take New York. 

6* Astros/Red Sox AL *CA$H COW* on Houston -130 

The Key: The Astros want revenge on the Red Sox after losing to them in the postseason last year.  They should get it in Game 1 today thanks to their advantage on the rubber.  Gerrit Cole is 4-4 with a 3.88 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 9 starts this year with 86 strikeouts in 55 2/3 innings.  Cole is 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Rick Porcello is 3-3 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 8 starts for the Red Sox.  Porcello sports a 5.59 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against Houston, including a 7.45 ERA in his last 2 while yielding 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 2/3 innings.  The Astros have won 8 straight and 11 of their last 12 with all 11 victories coming by multiple runs.  The Astros are also 12-1 in their last 13 road games following an off day.  Take Houston. 

6* Cubs/Reds NL Central *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati -132 

The Key: Luis Castillo has been one of the best starters in baseball this season.  He is deserving of being a favorite here against Jose Quintana and the Chicago Cubs.  Castillo is 4-1 with a 1.76 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 9 starts this year with 70 strikeouts in 56 1/3 innings.  Quintana is 1-1 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his 3 road starts for the Cubs.  Chicago is 0-9 in road games after their bullpen blew a save in their last game over the last 2 seasons.  Take Cincinnati. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cincinnati Reds -124 

The Key: The Reds will cool off the Cubs tonight thanks to their big advantage on the rubber.  Sonny Gray sports a 3.92 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 8 starts this year.  Yu Darvish has been one of the biggest busts in baseball over the last 2 seasons after the Cubs paid him all that money.  Darvish is 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in 8 starts this season, and he’s averaging only 4.6 innings per start.  He has already walked 33 batters and given up 8 homers in 36 2/3 innings.  Gray is 14-4 at home with a money line of -125 to +125 lifetime.  Take Cincinnati. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -150 

The Key: Big advantage for the Diamondbacks on the rubber and at the plate tonight.  For starters, the Diamondbacks score 5.1 RPG this season, while the Pirates score just 3.7 RPG.  Luke Weaver is 3-1 with a 2.98 ERA in 8 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Weaver is 2-1 with a 2.73 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Pirates.  Joe Musgrove is 1-4 with a 4.89 ERA in 7 starts for Pittsburgh, including 0-3 with an 11.67 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Musgrove is also 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against Arizona.  Musgrove is 2-14 lifetime as a dog of +100 to +150.  The Pirates are 1-8 in Musgrove’s last 9 road starts.  Take Arizona. 

7* AL West Game of the Month on Seattle Mariners -117 

The Key: The Mariners are coming off a tough road trip against three of the best teams in baseball in the Indians, Yankees and Red Sox.  They went just 2-8 in their 10-game trip.  They’ll certainly be happy to be back home here and should get back in the win column against the Oakland A’s.  Mike Fiers threw a no-hitter last time out, but it took more than 130 pitches and he has to still be gassed.  It’s a letdown spot for Fiers, who even after the no-hitter has a 5.48 ERA in 9 starts this year.  He is 0-2 with a 9.14 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in his 5 road starts.  The Mariners have a big advantage on the rubber with Yusei Kikuchi.  He is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 9 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 0.51 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Fiers sports a 6.91 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against Seattle.  The A’s are 1-9 in their last 10 road games.  The Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 against a team with a losing record.  Take Seattle. 

6* Brewers/Cubs ESPN *BAILOUT* on Chicago -132 

The Key: The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the rubber tonight over the rival Brewers and should be bigger favorites as a result.  Jon Lester is 2-1 with a 1.41 ERA in 6 starts this year, and he sports a 0.69 ERA in his 3 home starts while yielding just one earned run in 13 innings.  Lester is 4-3 with a 2.66 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Brewers.  Jhoulys Chacin is 3-3 with a 5.04 ERA in 8 starts this year for the Brewers, including 1-3 with a 7.50 ERA in 4 road starts.  The Cubs are 15-2 in home games against a starter that allows one or more HR’s/start over the last 2 seasons.  The Cubs are 38-14 in Lester’s last 52 home starts.  Take Chicago. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -125 

The Key: The Cleveland Indians have the clear advantage on the rubber tonight with Trevor Bauer over Aaron Brooks.  Bauer is 4-2 with a 3.42 ERA in his 8 starts this season, which includes a 3-1 record and a 2.88 ERA in his 5 road starts.  Brooks sports a 5.75 ERA in his 6 starts, and he’s 0-2 with a 7.54 ERA in his last 3 outings.  The Indians have been victorious in 8 of Bauer’s last 10 road starts.  Take Cleveland. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Tampa Bay Rays -155 

The Key: The Rays are one of the best teams in baseball at 23-13.  Amazingly, 22 of those 23 wins have come by 2 runs or more.  But I’ll take them just on the money line here thanks to their advantage on the rubber.  Tyler Glasnow is 6-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in his 7 starts for the Rays this season.  Domingo German has put up good numbers, but he is 1-0 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against Tampa Bay, both of which came last season.  The Yankees are 1-12 as road dogs of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.  Take Tampa Bay. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+103) 

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall.  Ace Clayton Kershaw takes the ball tonight and he’s 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 4 starts this season.  Kershaw has never lost to the Braves, going 6-0 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against them.  Mike Foltynewicz came off the disabled list to start the season and has been shaky.  He is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in his 2 starts.  Foltynewicz is also 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Dodgers.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. 

6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+110) 

The Key: The Rays are 22-12 this season with 21 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Now they are up against rookie right-hander Taylor Clarke, who will be making his first big league start for the Diamondbacks tonight.  They hung 12 runs on the Diamondbacks yesterday in a 12-1 victory.  Arizona is 22-51 in its last 73 interleague road games against a team with a winning record, and 8-20 in its last 28 interleague road games overall.  The Rays are 49-21 in their last 70 home games, and 8-1 in Ryan Stanek’s last 9 home starts.  Take Tampa Bay on the Run Line. 

6* MLB *Total* Annihilator on Red Sox/Orioles OVER 9.5 

The Key: Two youngsters in Josh Smith and Josh Means make starts for the Red Sox and Orioles, respectively.  I think both get rocked tonight.  The Red Sox have scored at least 4 runs in 7 straight games and just put up 24 runs in two games against the White Sox over the weekend.  The Orioles give up 6.1 RPG on the season and 7.5 RPG at home.  Baltimore is 11-3 OVER as a home dog of +100 or higher this season.  The OVER is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 home games against a team with a losing record.  Take the OVER. 

6* Cardinals/Cubs ESPN *BAILOUT* on St. Louis +124 

The Key: The Cardinals don’t want swept by the rival Cubs after losing the first 2 games of this series.  I like the price we are getting with them in Game 3 here in the avoid the sweep game.  Adam Wainwright has turned back the clock this season with a 3.73 ERA in 6 starts.  Jose Quintana has a 3.94 ERA in 5 starts for the Cubs.  Quintana yielded 6 earned runs in 3 innings for an 18.00 ERA in his last start against St. Louis.  The Cardinals are 23-9 off 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.  The Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 during Game 3 of a series.  Take St. Louis. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Texas Rangers -141

The Key: No analysis Friday.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Washington Nationals -147 

The Key: The Nationals have lost the first 3 games of this series to the Cardinals.  They won’t be getting swept with a Game 4 loss here as they’ll be hungry to avoid it.  And they have a huge advantage on the rubber with Stephen Strasburg, who has yielded just 2 earned runs in 15 innings in his last 2 starts with 20 strikeouts.  Strasburg is 2-2 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against St. Louis.  Dakota Hudson sports a 5.78 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in 5 starts this year, including a 10.12 ERA and 2.50 WHIP in 2 road starts.  He has been awful.  Take Washington. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -139 

The Key: Collin McHugh has had four dominant starts this season, one mediocre, and one terrible.  That one terrible start at Texas is inflating his ERA.  But he has a 1.06 WHIP and 37 strikeouts in 32 innings, so he is a great starter.  McHugh is 3-1 with a 3.23 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against Minnesota.  Martin Perez sports a 4.63 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in his eight-year career in the big leagues.  That’s why I’m not ready to give him any respect for his solid start this season.  He’s finished the season with a 4.38 ERA or worse in 6 of his 7 seasons.  The Astros are 30-8 in their last 38 road games against a left-handed starter.  The Astros are 15-5 in the last 20 meetings.  Take Houston. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -107 

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are 8-1 in their last 9 games overall with 8 of those 9 wins coming by 2 runs or more.  I like the price on the Cardinals today against the Nationals.  Adam Wainwright is 2-2 with a 3.96 ERA in 5 starts this year.  Wainwright is 8-4 with a 3.86 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against Washington.  Anibal Sanchez is 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 5 starts this season for the Nationals.  The Cardinals are 9-1 against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA 4.70 or worse) this season.  The Cardinals are 44-15 in Wainwright’s last 59 starts against a team with a losing record.  Take St. Louis. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Milwaukee Brewers -114 

The Key: The Brewers are cheap at home today with Kyle Davies on the mound.  Davies is 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in his 5 starts this year, and he has pitched 10 2/3 innings at home without allowing a single earned run.  Kyle Freeland is 1-2 with a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 starts for the Rockies.  Colorado is 4-12 in its last 16 games off a loss.  The Brewers are 37-15 in their last 52 Game 1’s.  Take Milwaukee. 

6* Indians/Astros ESPN *CA$H COW* on Houston -105 

The Key: The Houston Astros are cheap today.  And they have the advantage on the mound today.  Wade Miley sports a 3.58 ERA in 5 starts this season, and a 2.31 ERA in 2 home starts.  Carlos Carrasco sports a 6.00 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 5 starts this season, and a 9.00 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in 3 road starts this year.  The Astros are 58-27 in their last 85 games following a win.  Take Houston. 

6* Yankees/Giants Interleague *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -106

The Key: No analysis Saturday

7* National League Game of the Month on St. Louis Cardinals -143

The Key: No Analysis Friday.

6* Yankees/Angels MLB *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -108 

The Key: The Angles have to be hungry for a victory.  They’ve somehow managed to lose all 3 games in this series to the Yankees despite all of the injuries for New York.  Add Clint Frazier to the long list after he got hurt yesterday.  It’s an Angels team that has lost 9 of their last 10 coming in.  At some points, they have to say enough is enough here, and I think they will tonight.  They will throw the steady Trevor Cahill, one of the more underrated starters in the big leagues.  He’ll be able to handle this Triple-A Yankees’ lineup.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Philadelphia Phillies -122 

The Key: The Phillies have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6.  They’ll be hungry to get back in the win column tonight against the rival Mets after losing the first 2 games of this series to them.  They want to avoid the sweep.  They definitely have the advantage on the rubber tonight with Vincent Velasquez over Jason Vargas.  Velasquez sports a 2.70 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his 3 starts this year, while Vargas sports a 6.75 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in his 3 starts.  Vargas is only averaging 3.1 innings per start.  The Mets are 14-36 in their last 50 games as a home underdog of +100 or higher.  New York is 3-11 in its lsat 14 home games off 2 or more consecutive wins.  Take Philadelphia. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -105 

The Key: Trevor Williams was one of the best starters in baseball after the All-Star Break last year.  Williams has picked up where he left off, going 1-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 4 starts in 2019.  He’s better than Luke Weaver, who is 1-1 with a 3.92 ERA in 4 starts this year.  We are getting Williams and a Pirates at a cheap price at home here Tuesday night.  Pittsburgh is 7-0 after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season.  The Pirates are 11-3 after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 years.  Take Pittsburgh. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Colorado Rockies -116 

The Key: The Rockies have righted the ship following a disastrous start to the season.  They are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall and are laying a small price at home here to the Nationals.  Tyler Anderson has never lost to the Nationals, going 1-0 (3-0 money line) with a 2.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them.  Jeremy Hellickson is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against Colorado.  He has never pitched at Coors Field though, and his great numbers to this point have him getting too much respect from the books.  Take Colorado. 

6* Sunday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Twins/Orioles OVER 9 

The Key: Both bullpens have to be gassed after the Twins and Orioles played a high-scoring double-header yesterday.  The Twins won 6-5 in Game 1 and 16-7 in Game 2.  I think we see more than 9 combined runs again today with two terrible starting pitchers and two tired bullpens.  Kyle Gibson sports a 7.36 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in his 3 starts this season for the Twins, while Dylan Bundy sports a 7.79 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his 4 starts for the Orioles.  Gibson is 4-2 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts against the Orioles.  Bundy is 0-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Twins.  Baltimore is 9-0 OVER in home games against a bullpen that averages 3.2 or more innings this season, and 9-0 OVER against good power teams that average 1.25 or more HR’s/game this season.  Take the OVER. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-124) 

The Key: The Washington Nationals lost Game 1 in Miami yesterday to the lowly Marlins, who are just 5-15 on the season.  They won’t be losing two in a row to this team, not with the advantage they have on the rubber tonight.  Max Scherzer is the best pitcher in baseball.  He sports a 3.33 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in his 4 starts this season.  Scherzer is 12-3 with a 2.98 ERA in 19 lifetime starts against the Marlins, including 3-0 with a 0.43 ERA in his last 3, yielding just 1 earned run in 21 innings.  Jose Urena is 0-3 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 4 starts for the Marlins this year.  Scherzer is 15-1 in road games against an NL team that hits .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons, and the Nationals are winning by 3.1 RPG on average.  The Nationals are 7-0 in Scherzer’s last 7 starts against the Marlins.  Take Washington on the Run Line. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Diego Padres -162 

The Key: The San Diego Padres come in hungry for a victory after losing 3 straight.  And they come in rested after having yesterday off, while the Reds finished up their series in Los Angeles with their 4th straight loss yesterday.  The Reds are now 1-8 on the road this season.  The Padres have the advantage on the rubber tonight with Chris Paddack, who has emerged on the scene in 2019 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 3 starts.  Tanner Roark sports a 4.30 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 3 starts for the Nationals.  He is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA in his last 2 stats against the Padres, yielding 9 earned runs in 11 innings.  The Reds are 1-10 off a loss this season.  The Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day.  Take San Diego. 

6* Wednesday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Royals/White Sox UNDER 8.5 

The Key: Both Brad Keller and Lucas Giolito have had tremendous success in their careers against the opposing lineups tonight.  Keller is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the White Sox, while Giolito is 4-0 with a 2.40 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Royals.  Keller has yielded only 2 earned runs in 19 innings in his last 3 starts against Chicago.  The wind is expected to be blowing in from center today as well.  Take the UNDER. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -133 

The Key: The Cubs have the advantage on the mound tonight with Jose Quintana over Pablo Lopez.  They have the advantage in all other aspects of this game as well.  Quintana pitched 7 shutout innings while striking out 11 batters in his last start against the Pirates.  He gave up one run in 6 innings in his last start against the Marlins.  Lopez is 1-2 with a 6.60 ERA in 3 starts this year for Miami.  The Marlins are 1-8 in Lopez’s last 9 starts.  Take Chicago. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Angels -122 

The Key: The Angels have a big advantage on the rubber tonight over the Rangers.  Trevor Cahill sports a 3.50 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 3 starts this season.  Cahill is 11-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 20 lifetime starts against the Rangers.  Shelby Miller is 0-1 with a 9.52 ERA in 2 starts this season for the Rangers.  Miller is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Angels.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -142 

The Key: The Dodgers have done enough losing of late they are tired of it.  They have lost 6 in a row.  Enough is enough.  They’ll be hungry for a win today and take advantage of their edge on the rubber.  Ross Stripling is 0-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 3 starts this year, and he sports a 2.32 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 2 home starts.  Stripling shut out the Brewers in his only lifetime start against them.  Jhoulys Chacin is 2-1 with a 4.24 ERA in 3 starts for the Brewers this year.  He is 12-10 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 27 lifetime starts against the Dodgers, who are very familiar with him, and that will be a huge advantage for them.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* Brewers/Dodgers MLB *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -112 

The Key: The Dodgers will be hungry for a victory after losing 5 in a row coming in.  I think we are getting them at a cheap price due to that 5-game skid.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -142 

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost 4 in a row and will be hungry for a victory at home Friday night.  They send uber-talented Julio Urias to the mound and his 3.11 ERA in 2 starts this year.  Urias sports a 1.64 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Brewers.  Corbin Burnes sports a 9.90 ERA in 2 starts for the Brewers this season, and he has already yielded 6 home runs in 10 innings.  The Dodgers will feast on him today.  Take Los Angeles. 

7* AL East Game of the Month on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+101) 

The Key: The Boston Red Sox will wipe the slate clean and get going today.  They have opened 3-9 in defense of their World Series title, but 11 of those 12 games were on the road.  And after getting their rings on Tuesday, they had Wednesday off to get over the distraction.  Look for them to come back focused and hungry Thursday against the Blue Jays.  Nathan Eovaldi owns the Blue Jays, going 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them.  Aaron Sanchez has lost his last 2 starts against the Red Sox while yielding 8 earned runs in 12 innings for a 6.00 ERA.  Boston is 21-3 revenging a loss as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and winning by 2.2 RPG.  Take Boston on the Run Line. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals +100 

The Key: No analysis Wednesday. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Diego Padres -118 

The Key: Joey Lucchesi is an up-and-comer who is coming off a great rookie season last year and simply building off that this year.  Luchesi is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his 2 starts this season with 13 strikeouts in 10 1/3 innings.  Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Giants.  Derek Holland was awful last year and that has carried over into 2019 as he’s 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in two starts.  Holland is 1-3 with a 6.29 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against the Padres.  San Diego is 7-0 in its last 7 against a left-handed starters.  The Giants are 15-37 in their last 52 games overall. San Francisco is 1-7 in its last 8 home games.  The Giants are 1-6 in Holland’s last 7 starts.  Take San Diego. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -131 

The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are who we thought they were.  After a surprising start to the season, the Orioles just lost all 3 games at home to the Yankees and gave up 14 home runs, the second-most ever by a home team in a 3-game series.  Now it’s Andrew Cashner’s turn to get lit up to the A’s.  Cashner is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 2 starts this year.  Cashner is 1-1 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the A’s.  Marco Estrada is 9-3 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts against the Orioles. Estrada sports a 2.76 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 3 starts for the A’s this season spanning 16 1/3 innings.  The A’s are 40-14 in their last 54 against a team with a losing record.  The Orioles are 18-44 in their last 62 home games.  Take Oakland. 

7* Dodgers/Rockies ESPN *BAILOUT* on Colorado +145

The Key: No Analysis Sunday.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -118 

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Cardinals as small home favorites today against the San Diego Padres.  The Cardinals will want to avenge their upset 3-5 loss from Game 1.  They should get their revenge behind Michael Wacha, who has never lost to the Padres, going 3-0 with a 2.32 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them.  Take St. Louis. 

6* Rangers/Angels MLB *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -134 

The Key: The Angels opened the season with 6 straight road games and it did not go well for them as they went 1-5.  I think they will win their home opener tonight against Texas and will lay the price with them.  The Rangers are coming off two straight upset wins over the Astros and are in a letdown spot.  Edinson Volquez has a 9.00 ERA after yielding 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings to the Cubs in his opening start. Volquez is 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Angels.  Matt Harvey pitched 6 solid innings allowing 2 earned runs in a 6-2 win at Oakland in his first start with the Angels.  Texas is 7-23 in its last 30 games off 2 straight upset home wins as underdogs against division opponents.  Los Angeles is 38-15 as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.  The Rangers are 1-7 in Volquez’s last 8 road starts.  The Angels are 6-1 in the last 7 home games.  The Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 home meetings with the Rangers.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-135) 

The Key: Gerrit Cole is a legit Cy Young candidate in the American League.  The Astros have a big edge with him on the mound over Mike Minor of the Rangers tonight.  Cole is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the Rangers, and his teams are 5-0 in those games.  Minor is 1-2 with a 4.93 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Astros.  Cole has a 1.50 ERA in his lone start this year, while Minor has an 11.56 ERA after yielding 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 4-12 loss to the Cubs in his first start this season.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on New York Mets -124 

The Key: The Mets will be one of the most improved teams in the big leagues this season.  They bolstered their lineup and their bullpen, which were their two biggest weaknesses.  And they already have one of the best rotations in baseball.  They have opened 3-1 while averaging 6.2 runs per game.  I think we are getting them at a cheap price today against one of the worst teams in baseball in the Marlins, who are hitting .225 and scoring 3.4 RPG this season.  And they have one of the worst rotations in baseball.  Jason Vargas went 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in his 2 starts against the Marlins last season, yielding only 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 11 innings.  Jose Urena was rocked for 6 runs and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his first start of the season against the Rockies.  The Mets are 6-1 in Vargas’ last 7 starts.  The Marlins are 6-13 in Urena’s last 19 home starts.  Take New York. 

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -129 

The Key: The Boston Red Sox lost 3 of their 4 games in their opening series at Seattle.  They will be playing with a sense of urgency tonight in Oakland to try and get on track after winning the World Series last year.  David Price was their World Series hero and went 16-7 with a. 3.58 ERA during the regular season.  Price is 4-3 with a 3.31 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against the A’s.  Aaron Brooks hasn’t thrown a meaningful pitch in the majors since 2015.  He pitched just 3 times in the majors last season, all late in one-sided games.  Boston is 13-1 in road games after a combined score of 15 or more runs over the last 2 seasons.  The Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 Monday games.  Take Boston. 

6* Cubs/Rangers Interleague *CA$H COW* on Chicago -123 

The Key: Cole Hamels pitched great for the Cubs after getting traded from the Rangers last season.  He went 4-3 with a 2.36 ERA with the Cubs.  He’ll want to beat his former team here Sunday.  Lance Lynn is 6-7 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 19 lifetime starts against the Cubs.  He gave up 7 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Cubs last season.  Chicago is 30-10 in road games off a loss by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons.  Take Chicago. 

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Houston Astros -112 

The Key: It’s rare to get the Astros at this cheap of a price.  They are the best team in baseball in my opinion, and I don’t think it’s really even close.  Today’s starter, Collin McHugh, sports a 2.32 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the Rays.  Tyler Glasnow is a nice young talent, but he’ll have his hands full against this potent Houston lineup.  The Astros are 41-15 in their last 56 road games.  The Astros are 6-1 in McHugh’s last 7 starts.  The Rays are 1-5 in Glasnow’s last 6 starts.  Take Houston. 

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Boston Red Sox -133 

The Key: The Seattle Mariners have surprisingly opened 3-0 this season.  They’ll be suffering their first loss of the season to the defending champs tonight.  Nathan Eovaldi came up huge for the Red Sox in the postseason last year, and he’ll win his first start of 2019 as well.  Eovaldi sports a 2.12 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Mariners.  Boston is 94-39 as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons.  The Red Sox are 12-1 in road games after a game with a combined score of 15 or more over the last 2 years. Take Boston. 

6* Indians/Twins AL Central *CA$H COW* on Minnesota -102 

The Key: The Minnesota Twins are built to win now.  And ace Jose Berrios takes the ball on opening day looking to make a statement against the Cleveland Indians, who are their biggest challengers to win the AL Central.  Berrios went 12-11 with a 3.84 ERA and 202 K’s in 192 1/3 innings last year while earning an All-Star nod.  The Indians are banged up with Jason Kipnis, Francisco Lindor and Bradley Zimmer all sidelined to start the season.  Jose Ramirez is also battling a knee injury.  Berrios should be able to shut down their short-handed lineup.  Take Minnesota. 

6* Dodgers/Red Sox World Series *CA$H COW* on Boston -135 

The Key: The Dodgers just can’t seem to score enough runs to hang with the Red Sox.  This Boston lineup is the best in baseball, and that’s been on display during their 5-game postseason winning streak.  They scored at least 7 runs in 4 of those 5 wins, including the 8 they hung on the Dodgers last night.  The Dodgers have scored 5 runs or fewer in 8 straight playoff games.  David Price is 9-3 with a 3.41 ERA in 18 home starts this year for the Red Sox.  He should be able to hold this Los Angeles lineup in check.  Hyun-Jin Ryu is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA in 8 home starts this year for the Dodgers.  He will get hit early and often by the Red Sox in this one.  The Dodgers are just 2-12 in Ryu’s last 14 road starts vs. at team with a winning record.  The Red Sox are 41-11 in their last 52 interleague games.  Take Boston. 

6* Dodgers/Red Sox World Series *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +142 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers tonight over the Boston Red Sox.  Kershaw is exercising his postseason demons with a 2.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 3 playoff starts this year.  Chris Sale has made it past the 5th innings just once in his last 7 starts, and that was only a 5 1/3-inning outing against the Yankees this postseason.  Kershaw is 42-12 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.  Bet on him in these spots and you would be up +21.2 units over the last 2 years.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* Dodgers/Brewers NLCS *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 8 

The Key: The Dodgers and Brewers both have dynamite bullpens that make it tough to get runs across the plate.  And there’s a lot to like about the Game 6 starters tonight.  Wade Miley has pitched 18 2/3 shutout innings against the Dodgers in 2018 alone.  Hyun-Jin Ryu has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 17 consecutive starts, including zero runs in seven of them. He has allowed just 3 earned runs in 30 1/3 innings in his last 5 starts.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Ryu’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.  Take the UNDER. 

6* Red Sox/Astros ALCS *CA$H COW* on Houston -1.5 (+110) 

The Key: Houston in a must-win game with Justin Verlander on the mound is the play here.  They should have no problem winning by at least 2 runs against the Boston Red Sox due to their huge edge on the mound.  Verlander is 18-9 with a 2.56 ERA in 36 starts this year.  He is also 4-2 with a 1.83 ERA in his last 10 starts against the Red Sox.  David Price is 0-9 with a 6.16 ERA in 11 lifetime starts in the postseason.  He has yielded 7 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in his 2 postseason starts in 2018.  Expect Price to get shelled once again by this hungry Houston lineup ready to break out.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

6* Red Sox/Astros ALCS *CA$H COW* on Boston +139 

The Key: Rick Porcello came up big in Game 4 to close out the New York Yankees in the ALDS.  He pitched 5 innings of 4-hit ball while allowing only one earned run without a walk to earn the victory.  Porcello has been at his best not he road this season at 11-3 with a 3.76 ERA in 19 road starts.  Charlie Morton hasn’t pitched since September 30th, and now he has to step into this pressure-packed situation with the Astros needing a victory nearly 3 weeks since throwing his last meaningful pitch.  It’s a tough spot for Morton and I’ll gladly fade him.  Morton has yielded 8 earned runs, 19 base runners and 3 homers in 10 1/3 innings across 2 starts against Boston this season for a 6.97 ERA.  The Red Sox are 21-5 off a win by 6 runs or more this season.  The Red Sox are 6-1 in Porcello’s last 7 starts.  Take Boston. 

7* MLB Postseason Game of the Year on Los Angeles Dodgers -145 

The Key: The Dodgers need a victory in Game 4 tonight at home to square this series.  I think they get it thanks to their edge on the mound.  Rich Hill comes in 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  Hill is 3-1 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts against the Brewers, including 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts against them in 2018.  His teams have gone 7-1 in those 8 starts.  Gio Gonzalez only pitched 2 innings in Game 1 and the Brewers nearly blew a big lead late giving up 4 runs in the final 2 innings.  The Dodgers have had the luxury of seeing all of Milwaukee’s relievers now through 3 games.  I think they’ll have some success today against Milwaukee when they turn to their bullpen after Gonzalez exits.  The Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.  Los Angeles is 9-1 in its last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Dodgers are 6-0 in Hill’s last 6 starts.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* Brewers/Dodgers NLCS *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -170 

The Key: Walker Buehler has been lights out at home this season for the Dodgers.  He is 4-2 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in 12 home starts this year.  He faced the Brewers at home back in late-July and yielded just one earned run in 7 innings.  Jhoulys Chacin faced the Dodgers in LA back in early-August and gave up 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-21 loss.  The Dodgers have the superior starter on the mound in this one.  The Dodgers are 9-0 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* Astros/Red Sox ALCS *Total* Annihilator on OVER 7 

The Key: I think Justin Verlander and Chris Sale are getting too much respect from the books here.  And the books aren’t giving these offenses enough credit.  It is the offenses that have led these teams to where they are today.  These are the two best offenses in the American League.  A total of 7 is simply too low for these two offenses in a hitter-friendly place like Fenway Park.  Sale has yielded 15 earned runs in 18 innings in his last 3 starts against the Astros.  The OVER is 3-0 in Sale’s last 3 starts against the Astros.  The OVER is 3-0 in Verlander’s last 3 starts against the Red Sox.  Take the OVER.

6* Red Sox/Yankees AL *CA$H COW* on New York -120 

The Key: C.C. Sabathia is 6-3 with a 3.12 ERA in 15 home starts this year.  He has delivered time and time again when the Yankees have needed him most.  He is even 6-0 with a 3.32 ERA in ALDS play lifetime and thrives in these spots.  I trust him a lot more than Rick Porcello, who is 0-3 with a 5.33 ERA in 12 outings in the postseason, still in search of his first victory.  He is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in 4 playoff appearances with the Red Sox.  Take New York. 

6* Dodgers/Braves NL *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -148 

The Key: This all comes down to the fact that Rich Hill has dominated the Braves throughout his career, while Mike Foltynewicz has struggled mightily against the Dodgers.  Hill has never lost to the Braves, going 5-0 with a. 1.76 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against them.  Foltynewicz sports a 7.43 ERA in his 3 lifetime starts against the Dodgers while yielding 11 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings.  The Dodgers clinch the series with a victory in Game 4 tonight.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* Rockies/Brewers National League *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee -156 

The Key: The Brewers have the clear edge on the mound tonight over the Rockies.  Jhoulys Chacin sports a 3.50 ERA in 35 starts this season.  He also sports a 3.32 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Rockies.  Tyler Anderson sports a 5.02 ERA in 15 road starts this season.  He is 1-2 with an 8.59 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Brewers.  The Rockies are just 2-10 in Anderson’s last 12 starts.  Colorado is 0-5 in Anderson’s last 5 road starts.  The Brewers are 12-1 following 2 consecutive wins by 2 runs or less this season.  The Brewers are 9-0 in their last 9 games overall.  Take Milwaukee. 

7* A’s/Yankees Wild Card *HEAVY HITTER* on New York -170 

The Key: I’m laying the big price with the Yankees today because they’re worth it.  They have the better lineup, the better starter and the better bullpen.  And they’re at home.  They have the edge in all of the key categories heading into this game.  Luis Severino is 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA in 15 home starts this season, which is very impressive at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  It’s easy to see why the Yankees went with him as their starter.  He’ll be backed up by plenty of bullpen depth and some big arms.  The A’s are going with a complete bullpen game as Liam Hendriks gets the first crack.  The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff home games.  New York is 6-0 in its last 6 games following an off day.  The Yankees are 22-4 in Severino’s last 26 starts.  The A’s are 1-6 in their last 7 playoff road games.  Take New York. 

7* Cubs/Rockies National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -135 

The Key: Jon Lester has pitched in several elimination games.  He won’t be phased, especially with how well he has pitched here down the stretch.  Lester sports a 1.71 ERA in his last 8 starts while yielding only 9 earned runs in 47 1/3 innings.  And he owns the Rockies, sporting a 1.91 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them.  Kyle Freeland won’t be up to the task tonight.  This is a very tough travel spot for the Rockies as they went flew from Denver Sunday night to Los Angeles, and now they had to fly all the way to Chicago Monday night.  Lester is 20-6 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.  The Cubs are 38-13 in Lester’s last 51 home starts.  The Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 playoff games.  Take Chicago. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Braves -132 

The Key: The Braves are still alive for the 2nd seed.  They still need to win today to have any shot at it, which would give them home-field advantage in the divisional round.  The Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall and won’t offer much resistance.  They’ve been outscored 49-11 in their last 6 games coming in.  Ranger Suarez is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in 2 starts this year for the Phillies, yielding 12 runs, 8 earned and 20 base runners in 9 innings.  The Braves should be able to light him up.  The Braves are 7-1 in Kevin Gausman’s last 8 starts as he has pitched well for them since being traded.  The Phillies are 1-12 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Atlanta. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Braves +146 

The Key: I love the price we are getting with the Braves today.  They should not be underdogs to the Phillies in this matchup.  The Braves are still trying to get the 2nd seed in the National League.  They are tied with the Rockies for that seed.  It’s big because whoever is 2nd gets home-field advantage in the divisional round.  And the Phillies have already packed it in, so even though Aaron Nola is starting for them, they cannot be favored in this situation.  The Phillies are 0-9 in their last 9 games overall.  They have lost their last 5 games by a combined score of 49-8.  Yet they’re favored here.  Enough said.  Take Atlanta. 

6* Yankees/Red Sox AL East *CA$H COW* on New York -128 

The Key: The Yankees can clinch home field in the wild card game with a win Friday against their bitter rivals in the Red Sox.  They have a lot to play for here and will be hungry.  The Red Sox have already clinched home-field advantage throughout the postseason and don’t need to try at all these last few games.  That’s probably why they are starting Brian Johnson, who is 0-1 with a 7.21 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts.  Johnson sports a 7.20 ERA and 1.60 WHIP lifetime against New York.  J.A. Haps is 6-2 with a 2.29 ERA in 11 road starts this year.  Happ is 1-0 with a 0.53 ERA in his last 3 starts and wants to continue to prove that he deserves to start the wild card game.  Few starters have had the success that Happ has against the Red Sox.  He is 7-4 with a 2.84 ERA in 19 lifetime starts against Boston.  Happ is 8-0 against the money line in September road games over the last 3 years.  The Yankees are 8-2 in Hap’s last 10 starts.  Take New York. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Atlanta Braves -112 

The Key: The Braves still have a chance to get the No. 2 seed in the National League.  They have just a one-game lead over the Rockies for that spot, which would result in home-field advantage in the divisional round.  So despite the fact that they’ve already clinched the division, they still have a lot to play for.  And the Braves have been striving for that No. 2 seed as they are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall.  The Braves have the clear edge on the mound with Julio Teheran, who is 9-8 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 30 starts this year.  Teheran is 9-6 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 23 lifetime starts against the Mets.  Jason Vargas is 6-9 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Vargas is 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Braves.  Take Atlanta. 

7* Brewers/Cards NL Central *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis -102 

The Key: It’s time for the Cardinals to make a stand tonight.  They have lost the first 2 games of this series to the Brewers and now are a half-game behind the Rockies in the race for the final wild card.  It’s getting to must-win time for the Cardinals, and I expect them to deliver tonight.  I like what I’ve seen from John Gant, who is 5-6 with a 3.68 ERA in 18 starts this year.  Jhoulys Chacin has never been able to figure out the Cardinals.  He is 1-7 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts against them.  Milwaukee is 15-28 off 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.  The Cardinals are 36-15 in their last 51 after losing the first 2 games of a series.  St. Louis is 4-1 in Gants’ last 5 starts.  Take St. Louis. 

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125) 

The Key: The Dodgers have really come to life here down the stretch to try to secure the NL West title.  They are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall.  Now they’re up against the Diamondbacks, who have been eliminated from the postseason and are playing like it.  Arizona is just 1-8 in its last 9 games overall with 7 of those 8 losses coming by 2 runs or more.  I believe the Dodgers will win by at least 2 runs tonight as well due to their big edge on the mound.  Walker Buehler is 7-4 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 21 starts this year.  He gave up just 1 run with 9 strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings in his lone start against Arizona this season on September 2nd.  Matt Koch is 5-4 with a 4.52 ERA in 12 starts for the Diamondbacks this year and will be making his first start since June 19th, so he’s sure to be on a pitch count.  The Dodgers are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Diamondbacks are 3-13 in this last 16 vs. a right-handed starter.  Take Los Angeles. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -150 

The Key: The Cardinals have a one game lead on the Rockies for the 2nd wild card spot and trail the Brewers by 2 games for the top spot.  They have a big week ahead of them, starting with Game 1 here against the Brewers tonight.  I like their chances of getting a win with ace Jack Flaherty on the mound.  He is 8-8 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 26 starts this year with 174 strikeouts in 143 innings.  Flaherty is 4-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 11 home starts.  He is 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Brewers as well.  Dan Jennings will be making his first start of the season for the Brewers.  They will use their bullpen for this game.  St. Louis is 15-2 in home games off 2 or more consecutive overs this season.  The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall, and 4-0 in their last 4 home games.  Take St. Louis. 

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+115) 

The Key:  The Cardinals should have no problem winning by 2 runs or more today over the hapless San Francisco Giants.  The Cards have won 5 of their last 6 as they try to make the postseason as either a wild card or an NL Central title.  And now they have a big edge on the mound over the Giants, who have nothing to play for.  Miles Mikolas is 7-4 with a 2.23 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 15 home starts this year.  Andrew Suarez is 3-6 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 14 road starts.  Mikolas is 10-1 in day games this season with the Cards winning by 2.4 RPG on average.  Take St. Louis on the Run Line. 

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120) 

The Key: The Cubs will be hungry for a win today, especially off back-to-back losses, including their 10-4 loss to the White Sox yesterday.  But now the Cubs have the clear edge on the mound tonight and will win this game by 2 runs or more because of it.  Jon Lester is in postseason form.  The left-hander has been terrific in his last 6 starts, going 4-1 with a 1.73 ERA.  Lucas Giolito is 3-6 with a 7.91 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 14 home starts for the White Sox this season.  It’s amazing he’s been able to keep his job in the rotation all season because he has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball.  Lester has been at his best on the road this year, going 10-2 with a 2.82 ERA in 14 road starts.  Lester has won each of his last 2 starts against the White Sox while yielding just 3 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings.  The Cubs are 32-7 in Lester’s last 39 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and they’re winning by 2.5 RPG on average in this spot.  Lester is 56-9 as a favorite of -200 or more lifetime with his teams winning by 3.2 RPG.  Take the Cubs on the Run Line. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Miami Marlins +130 

The Key: No starter in baseball has had more drastic splits over a big sample size than Wei-Yin Chen this season.  He has been awful on the road, but he has been Cy Young-caliber at home.  Chen is 5-3 with a 1.77 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 12 home starts this year.  I love the price here getting the Marlins as home dogs against the Reds with Chen on the mound.  Neither team has much to play for other than price.  Luis Castillo is 4-7 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 16 road starts this year.  The Reds are 8-22 in their last 30 road games.  The Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 home meetings with Cincinnati.  Take Miami. 

6* Angels/A’s AL West *CA$H COW* on Oakland A’s -125 

The Key: The A’s have a lot to play for right now as they are trying to secure a wild card spot.  They should be bigger favorites over the Angels because of it.  They won 10-0 yesterday and should have another big game offensively against Matt Shoemaker.  Edwin Jackson has been a blessing for the A’s, going 5-3 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 15 starts this year.  Jackson is 3-0 with a 0.84 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Angels, yielding just 2 earned runs and 15 base runners in 21 1/3 innings.  The A’s are 12-1 in Jackson’s 13 starts vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse this season.  The A’s are 47-12 in their last 59 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take Oakland. 

7* Giants/Padres NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco +134 

The Key: I’m confused how the Padres are even favored in this game, let alone such a big favorite.  I like the price we are getting with the Giants tonight due to their edge on the mound.  Chris Stratton is 10-9 with a 4.50 ERA in 24 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Stratton owns the Padres, going 2-1 with a 0.92 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against them.  Robbie Erlin is 2-6 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 10 starts for the Padres this year, including 0-3 with a 7.91 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Erlin has never beaten the Giants, going 0-3 with a 5.95 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them.  Erlin is 1-9 lifetime in home games vs. teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners per game.  The Padres are 1-14 in home games off a loss by 2 runs or less this season.  The Giants are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.  Take San Francisco. 

7* AL Total of the Month on White Sox/Indians UNDER 8 

The Key: There’s a lot to like about this UNDER today between the White Sox and Indians.  They both have their aces on the mound tonight.  Carlos Rodon is 6-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 17 starts for the White Sox this season.  Rodon is 4-2 with a 2.29 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts against the Indians as well.  Corey Kluber is 18-7 with a 2.91 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 30 starts this year, including 10-3 with a 2.05 EAR and 0.85 WHIP in 16 home starts.  Kluber is 11-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts against the White Sox, including 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA in his last 3 starts against Chicago, yielding just 1 earned run in 18 innings.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Rodon’s last 4 starts.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Kluber’s last 5 home starts.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Rodon’s last 5 starts against the Indians.  The UNDER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.  Take the UNDER. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Phillies -115 

The Key: The Phillies are clinging on to their postseason hopes.  They are 6.5 games back in the NL East and 5 games back in the wild card.  Look for them to take care of the Mets in this series, starting with Game 1 tonight.  Jake Arrieta is 4-3 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 14 home starts this year.  Arrieta sports a 2.34 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against the Mets.  He has allowed one or fewer runs in 7 of those 10 starts.  He has yielded just 2 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Mets for a 0.89 ERA.  Take Philadelphia. 

6* Rockies/Giants NL West *CA$H COW* on Colorado -115 

The Key: The Rockies are now a half-game back of the Dodgers in the NL West after losing the first 2 games of this series to the Giants.  They’ll be hungry to avoid the sweep today and get a win here.  They should get one behind Antonio Senzatela, who has never lost to the Giants.  He is 4-0 (5-0 money line) with a 3.38 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against San Francisco.  Take Colorado. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115) 

The Key: The New York Yankees won 11-0 yesterday over the Blue Jays and should fare well again here Saturday with a win by 2 runs or more.  They have the edge on the mound and at the plate.  C.C. Sabathia is 7-6 with a 3.54 ERA in 26 starts this year, including 5-2 with a 2.61 ERA in 13 home starts.  Sabathia is 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Blue Jays, yielding just 3 earned runs in 22 innings.  Sean Reid-Foley is 1-3 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 4 starts this year.  One of those starts was against the Yankees on August 18th.  Reid-Foley yielded 8 runs, 6 earned, 3 homers and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-11 loss to them.  He’ll get lit up again here.  Take New York on the Run Line. 

7* Rockies/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on Colorado -131 

The Key: Fading the hapless Giants has been a very profitable move for me here down the stretch.  The Giants are 0-11 in their last 11 games overall.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of those 11 losses.  Colorado’s Tyler Anderson should be able to shut them down as well.  Anderson has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings with 16 strikeouts in his last 2 starts against the Giants this season.  Chris Stratton is 9-9 with a 4.82 ERA in 23 starts for the Giants this year.  Stratton is 1-1 with a 9.16 ERA and 2.25 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Rockies.  He has yielded 13 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Rockies this season.  The Giants are 1-7 in Stratton’s last 8 starts.  Take Colorado. 

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-115) 

The Key: The A’s should have no problem winning by at least 2 runs over the Orioles tonight thanks to their edge on the mound.  The Orioles have lost 6 straight and are 41-104 on the season now.  The A’s are only one game back of the Yankees for the 1st wild card spot and home-field advantage for that wild card game.  And the A’s are still trying to chase down the Astros in the AL West.  They’re doing a good job of it by going 6-0 in their last 6 games overall and winning 5 of those games by at least 2 runs.  Brett Anderson is 3-4 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Dylan Bundy is 7-14 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 27 starts for the Orioles, including 0-2 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  The A’s are 23-2 vs. teams with losing records in the second half of the season this season.  They are winning by 3.9 RPG in this situation.  Take Oakland on the Run Line. 

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Braves -133 

The Key: The Atlanta Braves are in a pennant race and trying to clinch the NL East as soon as possible.  They have a lot more to play for right now than the San Francisco Giants, and it’s showing.  I have cashed in the Braves each of the past two nights.  The Giants are now 0-10 in their last 10 games overall.  Their offense has been atrocious.  They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  Anibal Sanchez is 6-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  He is 4-2 with a 2.19 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against the Giants as well.  Take Atlanta. 

7* NL West Game of the Year on Arizona Diamondbacks -115 

The Key: This is a huge game for the Diamondbacks.  They are 3.5 games behind the Rockies for 1st place in the NL West.  They cannot afford to lose this game, and fortunately for them they have their ace on the mound to get the job done.  Zack Greinke is 13-9 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 29 starts this season.  He is 11-5 with a 3.91 ERA in 28 lifetime starts against the Rockies.  He has allowed 4 runs or fewer in 11 consecutive starts against Colorado, including 3 runs or fewer in 9 of those.  Antonio Senzatela is 2-4 with a 4.47 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 9 starts, this season, including 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his last three starts.  Senzatela has never beaten the Diamondbacks, going 0-2 with an 11.33 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in two lifetime starts against them.  He has yielded 13 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in those 2 starts.  Colorado is 1-10 off a win by 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Diamondbacks are 7-2 in Greinke’s last 9 road starts.  Take Arizona. 

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox +116 

The Key: The Royals don’t deserve to be favored in this matchup.  They are just 47-95 on the season.  Jake Junis hasn’t fared well against the White Sox, going 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them.  Conversely, Lucas Giolito has never lost to the Royals, going 3-0 with a. 2.01 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them.  The White Sox are 5-0 in those 5 starts.  Take Chicago. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Phillies +155 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Phillies today against the Mets.  The Phillies are fighting to make the playoffs, while the Mets are playing for nothing but pride.  So the situation is a good one for the Phillies.  And Vincent Velasquez is better than he’s getting credit for with this line.  Velasquez is 3-5 with a 3.19 ERA in 13 road starts this year.  He is 1-3 with a 3.78 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Mets.  New York is only 2-9 in DeGrom’s last 11 starts vs. NL East teams.  The Mets are 5-14 in DeGrom’s last 19 home starts.  Take Philadelphia. 

6* Astros/Red Sox American League *CA$H COW* on Houston +115 

The Key: The Red Sox have basically already wrapped up the AL East.  The Astros have a lot more to play for right now as they are trying to fend off the A’s for 1st place in the AL West.  I like the price we are getting with the Astros not only because of the situation, but also because of their huge edge on the mound.  Charlie Morton is 13-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 26 starts this year.  He is clearly the better starter over Eduardo Rodriquez.  The Astros have turned it on down the stretch, going 13-3 in their last 16 games overall.  And Houston is an impressive 44-17 in its last 61 road games.  The Astros are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.  Take Houston. 

6* American League *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox -112 

The Key: I believe the White Sox have a big edge on the mound tonight over the Angels.  Carlos Rodon has been a huge bright spot for the Sox this season.  He is 6-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 15 starts this year, including 3-1 with a 2.23 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 7 home starts.  Rodon is 2-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Angels.  Felix Pena is 1-4 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 13 starts for the Angels this season.  Los Angeles is 2-7 in Pena’s last 9 starts, including 1-4 in his last 5 road starts.  The White Sox are 9-1 in Rodon’s last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.  Chicago is 7-1 in its last 8 games following a loss.  Take Chicago. 

6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Diego Padres +150 

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the San Diego Padres today against the Cincinnati Reds.  The Reds shouldn’t be favored this heavily over anyone.  Luis Castillo is 8-11 with a 4.83 ERA in 27 starts this year.  That isn’t much better than San Diego starter Eric Lauer, who is 5-7 with a 5.01 ERA in 19 starts.  Lauer is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in one lifetime start against Cincinnati, which came back on June 2nd this season as he earned the victory in an 8-2 Padres’ win.  Castillo is 0-1 with a 5.90 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Padres.  San Diego is 9-2 off a shutout loss to a division rival over the last 2 seasons.  Cincinnati is 28-58 after scoring 2 runs over less over the last 2 seasons.  The Padres had yesterday off while the Reds did not.  The Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day.  The Reds are 3-11 in their last 14 games overall.  Take San Diego. 

7* Cubs/Brewers NL Central *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -113 

The Key: The Brewers have a chance to sweep the Cubs and pull within one game of Chicago in the NL Central.  I look for them to take full advantage today.  Jhoulys Chacin is 14-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 29 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Chacin is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in 2 starts against the Cubs this year, pitching 13 shutout innings with 17 strikeouts.  Jose Quintana is 11-9 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 26 starts for the Cubs.  He gave up 5 earned runs and 3 homers in a 0-7 loss to the Brewers in his last start against them on August 14th.  The Cubs are 0-4 in Quintana’s last 4 road starts.  The Brewers are 8-2 in Chacin’s last 10 home starts.  Take Milwaukee. 

7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-140) 

The Key: The Twins are just trying out all their prospects right now and it’s not going too well for them.  They are just 2-8 in their last 10 games overall with all 8 losses coming by 2 runs or more, and 7 of them by 3-plus runs.  The Astros have been on a tear since getting Jose Altuve back.  They are 10-3 in their last 13 games with 8 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more.  With their edge on the mound tonight, they should win by 2 runs or more as well.  Trevor May will be making his first start of the season for the Twins. Justin Verlander is 13-9 with a. 2.78 ERA and 0.95 WHIp in 29 starts for the Astros.  Verlander is 18-9 with a 3.06 ERA in 35 lifetime starts against the Twins.  He pitched 7 shutout innings in a 2-0 victory in his lone start against the Twins in 2018 back on April 9th.  Take Houston on the Run Line. 

7* Yankees/A’s American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland -121 

The Key: The A’s are fighting to win the AL West or get a wild card right now.  They face the team in the Yankees that they would play in the wild card round if the season ended today.  I think they want to make a statement in Game 1 of this series tonight.  Trevor Cahill has been unhittable at home this year for the A’s, going 4-0 with a 0.85 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in 8 home starts while yielding just 5 earned runs in 52 2/3 innings.  C.C. Sabathia is 2-3 with a. 4.27 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 11 road starts for the Yankees this year.  The A’s are 4-0 in Cahill’s last 4 home starts.  Oakland is 47-21 in its last 68 games overall.  The Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a. Winning record.  Take Oakland.