No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Dream

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Sparks - 

I really like the value here with the LA Sparks laying a short number on the road against the Las Vegas Aces. I just feel we are getting a great price with the Sparks due to the fact that they are playing on no rest after dropping a game last night at Seattle. The thing is, these teams aren't even close in talent. 

Los Angeles owns a league-best 11-4 record, while Las Vegas is sitting near the bottom of the standings at 5-11. The Sparks are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a losing record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 following a SU loss. Take Los Angeles! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Storm No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* WNBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Sky +

I like the value here with the Chicago Sky as a near double-digit home dog against the Phoenix Mercury in Sunday's WNBA action. The Mercury had won 8 straight before losing 72-83 at home to Minnesota on Friday and it's difficult to bounce right back after a loss after going on a long winning streak, especially on the road against a hungry team like Chicago, who is going to give it there all to snap a 6-game slide. Phoenix may get the win, but I fully expect the Sky to keep this within the number. Take Chicago! 

5* CFL  Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Edmonton -

I love the value here with the Edmonton Eskimos laying only a touchdown at home against the Hamilton Tigers in Friday's CFL action. Edmonton is considered by many as the best team in the CFL going into the 2018 season. The Eskimos got the season started off with a hard-fought 33-30 win at Winnipeg as a 7-point favorite. I'm not concerned with Edmonton not covering the spread in the one, as it's never easy winning an opener on the road, no matter the opponent. 

I think that close-call will have the Eskimos 100% locked in for their home opener against the Tigers, who are one of the worst teams in the CFL this season and fresh off a 14-point loss at Calgary in their opener. I just don't see Hamilton keeping this within single-digits. Take Edmonton! 

3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Fever +

I like the value here with the Indiana Fever as a massive road dog against the Los Angeles Sparks in Tuesday's WNBA action. We are getting an exceptional price here with Indiana due to the fact that they come in at 1-10 and the Sparks are sitting at 8-2. 

The Fever had started 0-10 before securing a 96-64 blowout win at home over Atlanta as a 3.5-point dog in their last game and that's the kind of performance they can really build on. More than anything, I just don't see LA being all that interested in this one and as a result I don't see them turning this into a blowout. Take Indiana! 

3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sparks -

I like the value here with the Los Angeles Sparks as a short road favorite against the Washington Mystics in Friday's WNBA action. The Sparks come in having won 4 of their last 5 and have really turned up the defensive intensity after allowing Seattle to shoot 51.7% on their home floor in a game they lost 63-88 as a 8-point favorite. The very next game the Sparks held Chicago to 28.4% from the field and followed that up by holding Atlanta to just 38.5% shooting. 

Washignton held on for a 95-91 win at Connecticut in their last game, but have lost 3 of their last 4. I just don't think the Mystics are on the same level as the Sparks and it's worth noting that Washington is just 1-4 ATS in 5 home games this season. Take Los Angeles! 

4* WNBA ATS NO-BRAINER on Aces +

I like the value here with the Las Vegas Aces as a double-digit road dog against the New York Liberty in Wednesday's WNBA action. The Aces snapped a 3-game skid with a thrilling 101-92 overtime win against Indiana. They shot a season-best 51.9% from the field and I look for them to carry over that momentum and at least keep this within the number. 

Speaking of the number, it's simply too many points for a mediocre Liberty team to be laying. New York is just 3-4 and all 3 of their wins have come by 6-points or less. That includes their most recent win over Indiana, where they won by 3 as a 10-poiint favorite. Take Las Vegas! 

3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sky +

I like the value here with Chicago as a double-digit road dog against Phoenix is Friday's WNBA action. The Sky snapped a 3-game skid with a 95-90 win at home over Las Vegas last time out and have now scored 90+ in 2 of their last 3 games. They should be able to keep that offense going here against the Mercury, who are giving up 89.3 ppg at home. 

When you don't play great defense it really makes it hard to blow teams out and that's why I think there's simply too much value here with Chicago at this price. It's also worth noting that the Sky are going to be fresh coming off 3 days of rest and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games when playing with 3 or more days of rest. Take Chicago! 

5* NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Cavs +

I love the value here with the Cavs as a decently priced home dog in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. While Cleveland's hopes of making this a series likely are long gone with them down 3-0, they aren't just going to roll over and give the title to Golden State. There's a lot of pride in not getting swept and it's not like the Cavs haven't had their chances. Cleveland could just as easily be sitting with a 2-1 lead, as they were right there in both Game 1 and Game 3. 

Keep in mind last year the Warriors took a 3-0 series lead and a lot of people thought the Cavs were going to get swept. Instead, Cleveland ran away with Game 4 in a 21-point blowout win. I don't know if it will be that lopsided, but I fully expect the Cavs to win this one outright. At the same time, we got some insurance if Cleveland does lose, as we can still cash if the Warriors win by 5 or less. Take Cleveland! 

4* WNBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dream -

I like the value here with Atlanta as a short road favorite against Las Vegas in Friday's WNBA action. The Dream have started out 3-3 and are fresh off an impressive 82-77 win at home over Connecticut as a 6.5-point dog. 

The Aces on the other hand are just 1-5 and simply not a very good team. I just feel that Las Vegas is getting way too much respect here on their home floor and will struggle to keep this one close. Take Atlanta! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* Cavs/Warriors ATS HEAVY HITTER on Cavs +

I like the value here with Cleveland as a double-digit dog against the Warriors in Game 2. The Cavs let one get away in Game 1. I think the perception here is that Cleveland won't be able to bounce from that crushing of a loss and LeBron won't score 50+ again. It would take a huge game from James for the Cavs to win, but all we need is for them to lose by 11 or less. I know the Warriors have the more superstar players, but I think they really miss Iguodala and Thompson is likely to play at less than 100%. Take Cleveland! 

3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sun -

I like the value here with the Sun as a short road favorite against the Mystics in Sunday's WNBA action. Connecticut has started the season 4-0 and have looked impressive doing so. Last time out they crushed Chicago on the road 110-72. Washington won their first 4, but have dropped 2 of their last 3, including an ugly 8-point loss at Las Vegas as a 7-point favorite in their last contest. The Sun should have no problem covering this small number. Take Connecticut! 

4* WNBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Liberty -

I like the value here with the Liberty as a short road favorite against the Fever in Saturday's WNBA action. New York lost their first two, but bounced with a nice win at home over Dallas. Indiana on the other hand hasn't won a game yet this season. They are 0-5 and most of them haven't been close. They are simply getting way too much respect here because they are playing at home. This is simply too good a line to pass up on with the Liberty. Take New York! 

3* WNBA Oddsmakers ERROR on Sun -

I like the value here with the Connecticut Sun at this price on the road against the Chicago Sky. The Sun are in mid-season form to start the year. They are a perfect 3-0 with all 3 wins coming in comfortable fashion. While two of those were against Vegas and Indiana, they did beat a good LA team by 8 at home. 

Chicago won their first two games, but have dropped their last 2. They were blown out at home by  18 by Atlanta and they lost at Seattle. I just don't think the Sky have enough fire-power offensively to keep this one close. The Sun are scoring 96.3 ppg, while the Sky are only averaging 79.0. Defensively the the two are pretty even. Connecticut is giving up just 78.7 ppg and Chicago is allowing 79.0. Take Connecticut! 

4* WNBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Aces +

I like the value here with the Aces as a double-digit dog against the Storm in Thursday's WNBA action. Las Vegas comes in winless at 0-3, which included a 36-point loss to Connecticut in their opener. It definitely has them undervalued right now and it's worth pointing out that they have been more competitive in their last 2 games. They only lost by 5 at Washington as a 18.5-point dog and by just 7 at home in their last game against Seattle. 

The Storm are the better team and some might just assume they will beat the Aces by more now they get to play them on their home court. I don't think that will be the case. This is a big letdown spot for Seattle, who just handed Washington their first loss of the season in a thrilling 4-point win on Tuesday. I also think the Storm have to be a bit fatigued right now. Both teams started the season on 5/20, yet this will be Seattle's sixth game and the Aces fourth. Should be more than enough to keep this within the number. Take Las Vegas!

3* Warriors/Rockets 'Game 7' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Rockets +

I like the value here with the Rockets as a decently priced home dog here in Game 7. Houston had Golden State on the ropes in Game 6, as they were up 61-51 at the half. Things fell apart in the final 2 quarters, as they managed just 25 points in the 2nd half and would end up losing by 29. I'm not concerned about the lopsided final. Keep in mind they lost Game 3 by 41 and came back and won Game 4 on the road 95-92. 

The big concern here is that it seems unlikely that Houston will have Chris Paul, though he is a game-time decision. While Paul's injury definitely hurts them, it's not something they can't overcome. They still have one of the best players in the game in Harden and the role players should be much better at home. Their defense has really given Golden State problems at times and I think they at worst keep this one within the number. Take Houston! 

3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sky +

I like the value here with the Sky catching a big number on the road against the Storm. Chicago won their first two games outright as underdogs, before getting thumped at home by Atlanta. I like the Sky to keep their strong start to the season going and bounce back from that ugly game last time out. 

Seattle's a good team and should be favored at home, but not by this much. The Storm lost their home opener to Phoenix by 5 as a 2-point favorite. An outright win for the Sky wouldn't surprise me here. Take Chicago! 

3* NBA Warriors/Rockets ATS DESTROYER on Rockets +

I like the value here with Houston at basically a pick'em at home against the Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. The Rockets surprised just about everyone with their 95-92 win over Golden State on the road in Game 4 to tie up the series. Keep in mind that came after Houston was completely destroyed in a 41-point loss at Golden State in Game 3. 

I was really impressed with how difficult the Rockets made things on the Warriors offense. Houston got Golden State completely out of sync and had the Warriors playing a lot of one-on-one. It definitely helped that the Warriors were without a big piece in Andre Iguodala and there's a chance he won't be back for Game 5. Either way, I think the Rockets defense combined with the home court edge will be enough for them take the 3-2 series lead. Take Houston! 

3* WNBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Mystics - 

I like the value here with Washington as a short road favorite against the Fever in Thursday's WNBA action. These two teams just played on Sunday with the Mystics winning 82-75 at home. While Washington got the win, they were way overpriced and failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites. It was a similar story in their second of the season, as the beat Las Vegas 75-70 as a 18.5-point favorite. 

I think we are now getting a great price with the Mystics on the road against a less talented team. Indiana has started out 0-3 and have really struggled to keep games competitive. I just don't think home court is going to be enough for the Fever to get their revenge. Keep in mind Indiana has already lost by 18 at home to Chicago and by 17 to LA. The Fever also figure to be a bit fatigued in this one, as they will be playing their 4th game in 6 days. Take Washington! 

3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Sun +

I like the value here with the Sun as a short home dog against the Sparks in Thursday's WNBA action. Los Angeles has gotten off to an impressive start. They opened up the season with a 77-76 road win over the defending champs (Minnesota) as a 7.5-point dog. They followed that up with a 17-point blowout win on the road over Indiana as a 8.5-point favorite. 

I think we are seeing the Sparks overvalued here in what will be their 3rd straight road game to start the season, all of which will come in a short 5 day stretch. At the same time, I really like this Connecticut team and think they are flying a bit under the radar. The Sun certainly looked great in their opener, as they annihilated Las Vegas by 36-points. Take Connecticut! 

3* Cavs/Celtics NBA ATS ANNIHILATOR on Celtics 

I like the value here with the Celtics as a home dog in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals.  Boston lost both games in Cleveland by double-digits and I think the public will be on LeBron James and the Cavs after seeing them win big each of the last two games. What you can't ignore is just how much better the Celtics have been at home compared to on the road. Boston is a perfect  9-0 at home in the postseason, which includes those two convincing wins in Games 1 and 2. 

A big reason the Celtics are so much better at home is they shoot the ball better and really feed off the energy of the crowd defensively. Boston scored 108 and 107 in Games 1 and 2, while holding the Cavs to just 83 and 94 points. Most will assume Cleveland has their offense figured out after two big outputs in Games 3 and 4, but like the Celtics are not the same team on the road. Take Boston! 

4* NBA Rockets/Warriors ATS NO-BRAINER on Rockets +

I like the value here with Houston against the spread in Game 3. After an embarrassing 13-point loss at home in Game 1, the Rockets responded with an impressive 127-105 win in Game 2 to even it up at 1-1. Houston looked like a completely different team in Game 2 and I think they can carry over that to Game 3. With that said, this is just too good a price to pass up on an elite team like the Rockets. All we basically need is for Houston to just keep the game within single-digits. 

The biggest thing I like that the Rockets are doing is attacking Steph Curry on offense. Curry isn't a horrible defender, but it's definitely not his strength. By making him work a little more on defense, it can take him out of his rhythm offensively and that's been the case so far in the series, as he's made just two 3-point shots (13 attempts). If they can continue to keep Curry in check on the road, they not only will have a great shot at covering, but winning this game outright. Take Houston! 

3* Warriors/Rockets NBA Playoffs ATS BLOWOUT on Rockets -

I like the value here with Houston at basically a pick'em to take Game 2 and even up the series. This is basically a do or die situation for the Rockets. A loss here and the series is all but over with them down 0-2 (would have to win 4 of the last 5 games). I still think Houston has the talent and pieces in place to not just win a game or two, but take the series. 

Turnovers really plagued them in Game 1, as well as some missed defensive assignments. Both of those things can be corrected. I also think we could see the Rockets shoot a little better from long-distance in Game 2. If the Warriors don't show up with the same intensity as Houston and are content with the split, this thing could get ugly. Much like Game 3 of the Warriors' previous series against the Pelicans, where they lost by 19 after holding a 2-0 series lead. Either way, I like the Rockets to win this game. Take Houston! 

3* Cavs/Celtics NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs +

It couldn't have went much worse for Cleveland in Game 1. The Cavs dug themselves an early hole and simply couldn't overcome their poor shooting. Cleveland shot just 36% from the field and it was far from the box score we have grown expected to seeing from LeBron James. 

I expect a much more focused and motivated Cavs team in Game 2. I'm also willing to bet they shoot much better than the 4 for 26 from 3-point distance and James bounces back in a big way from that poor showing in Game 1. James now has a great understanding on how Boston is trying to defend him and will make the proper adjustments. As for the other guys, they got open looks, they just didn't execute. The Cavs are the better team and the value is with them here. Take Cleveland! 

3* NBA Playoffs 'Cavs/Celtics' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Cavs +

I like the value here with Cleveland at basically a pick'em in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Celtics. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here to the Celtics and their impressive dismantling of the 76ers, in a series most thought they would lose. I think a lot of that was the inexperience of Philadelphia, as well as great coaching by Brad Stevens. 

As good as Stevens is, I just don't think there's a gameplan out there to slow down LeBron James right now and with the way the supporting cast is playing it's that much harder to slow this Cavs team down. Keep in mind that James has owned Stevens' led teams in the past and I just have a hard time seeing the Celtics making a series of this. 

Another thing that strongly suggest an overreaction here with the line. Boston was a 4.5-point home dog in Game 1 of their series with the 76ers. There's no reason the Cavs shouldn't be favored by at least that here. Take Cleveland! 

3* NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Celtics -

I like the value here with Boston at basically a pick'em at home against the 76ers in Game 5. Not a big shocker to see Philadelphia avoid getting swept with Game 4 on their home court. As much as the public wants the 76ers to win this series, Boston has proven to be the better team. 

Too much attention is paid to the Celtics injuries and them not having Irving or Hayward. There's still a ton of talent on this roster and they are deep across the board. The other thing they have that doesn't get the respect it deserves is head coach Brad Stevens. He's the reason Boston is 1-win away from the Eastern Conference Finals despite missing it's two best players. The Celtics are a perfect 6-0 at home in the postseason and I look for them to remain perfect tonight. Take Boston! 

3* NBA Playoffs ATS ANNIHILATOR on Pelicans +

I like the value here with New Orleans as a double-digit dog against the Warriors in Game 5 on Tuesday. I'm not expecting the Pelicans to win this game outright on the road, but I do think they are going to give Golden State all they can handle. 

I wasn't all that surprised to see Game 4 turn out the way it did. You just knew the Warriors were going to come out looking to make a statement after how they were embarrassed in a 19-point loss in Game 3. Part of that lopsided result was the effort of Golden State. The other was the Pelicans couldn't buy a basket. New Orleans shot just 36.4% from the field. I look for a few more shots to fall and that should be more than enough to keep the Pelicans within striking distance. Keep in mind they only lost by 5 at Golden State in Game 2 after after a blowout loss in Game 1. Take New Orleans! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Raptors +

I like the value here with Toronto to keep this within the number and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. I think Cleveland has all the confidence that they can win this series no matter the outcome tonight and it wouldn't be a huge shock to see the Cavs suffer a bit of a letdown here. Either way it will be hard for them to match the intensity of the Raptors, who are facing elimination. 

It's been an incredible series for LeBron James, but I think a lot of people are overlooking just how close this thing is to Toronto leading the series 2-1. They should have won Game 1 at home and who knows what happens if James doesn't hit that buzzer-beater in Game 3. While no one else believes the Raptors have a shot of coming back in this series, I think they are still very confident they can get it done. Either way, I expect them to keep this close. Take Toronto! 

3* NBA Playoffs Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Warriors -

I like the value here with Golden State rebounding from that ugly showing in Game 3, where the Pelicans won going away 119-100. That wasn't a big shocker given how well NO had played against the Blazers in Rd 1 and the Warriors in a bit of a letdown spot after taking a 2-0 lead and getting back Curry.

This is still the team to beat and I just don't see them playing anywhere close to as poorly as they did in Game 3. In fact, I wouldn't be shocked if the Warriors turned this into a blowout early. Keep in mind they followed up an ugly 13-point loss to the Spurs with a 8-point win and dominant defensive effort, as they held SA to just 37.2% from the field. Pelicans are simply no match when the Warriors are locked in. Take Golden State! 

3* NBA Playoffs ATS HEAVY HITTER on Pelicans +

I like the value here with the Pelicans as a home dog in Game 3 against the Warriors. Most are going to just write-off New Orleans now that Steph Curry is back for Golden State, especially after how well Curry played in his first game back (Game 2), scoring 28 points in 27 minutes. What people are overlooking is just how well the Pelicans played on the road, despite Curry's impressive showing. 

New Orleans was right there with a chance to win that game in the 4th quarter and ended up losing by just 5. That loss has the Pelicans in a do-or-die scenario. While no one is giving them a real chance to win the series, this is the game they absolutely have to have if they want a chance to pull off the upset. I think New Orleans is going to be the more motivated team and should get a few more foul calls go their way at home. Take New Orleans! 

5* NL West Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on Dodgers +1.5

I love the value here with the Dodgers on the +1.5 run line in Monday's series opener at Arizona. LA is going to be extremely motivated here to get this series started off strong after losing 3 of 4 over their weekend series at San Francisco. The Dodgers are just 1-5 in their last 6, but it's not like they haven't been competitive, as 4 of the 5 losses have come by 2 runs or less. The only exception being a 5-run loss in the second contest of their double-header on Saturday. 

Arizona has been playing well and are certainly getting a lot of love given the starting pitching matchup, as they send out Zack Greinke against Ross Stripling. However, Greinke is just 2-2 with a 4.80 ERA in 5 starts and is coming off a poor outing agains the Phillies, where he allowed 5 runs on 9 hits in 6 innings. Greinke has also been very mediocre against the Dodgers over his career, as he's just 5-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 13 starts. That includes an earlier outing this year where he gave up 4 runs in 6 1/3 innings. I look for LA to win this one outright and worse case keep it within a run. Take Los Angeles! 

5* NBA Playoffs VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Warriors -

I love the value here with the Warriors at this price on their home court in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals against the Pelicans. Regardless if Steph Curry plays or not (added bonus if he does), I expect Golden State to come out looking to send a message to New Orleans that they have no business being in this series. 

I know the Pelicans looked great in their sweep of the Blazers, but Portland wasn't playing well down the stretch and that was a great matchup with no one on the Blazers who could contain Anthony Davis and Rondo being able to make things difficult on Lillard. While Davis will be to stop, Portland will have no answer for Durant and the depth of the Warriors. Take Golden State! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMINT Top Play on Raptors +

I love the value here with Toronto getting points in Game 6 at Washington. The Raptors took back control of the series with a 108-98 win in Game 5 at home and are going to do everything in their power to make sure their next home game is in round 2. This series likely would have been over if the Raptors didn't blow a 14-point 2nd half lead in Washington back in Game 4. 

I don't see them making that same mistake twice. Look for Toronto to take control of this game early and keep their foot on the gas. The Raptors also seem to have figured out the Wizards offense. After allowing Washington to shot 48% or better in each of the first 3 games, they held them to 46% in Game 4 on the road and 41% in Game 5. 

Raptors are 25-14 in their last 39 off a double-digit home win, while the Wizards are just 11-22 ATS as a home favorite this season. Take Toronto! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mariners +1.5

I like the value here with backing Seattle on the +1.5 run line against the Indians on Thursday. I'm expecting the Mariners to win this game, but I'm willing to pay some extra juice in case they end up losing by 1 run. Seattle is sending out talented lefty James Paxton, who has the talent to develop into one of the best starters the AL has to offer. It's been a bit of an up and down start to 2018 for Paxton, but he's pitched much better of late, allowing 2 or fewer runs in 3 of his last 4 starts.

While the Indians have a winning record at 13-9, it's not because of their offense. Cleveland is hitting a mere .218 as a team on the season and while it's been slightly better of late, they are hitting just .236 over their last 7. The even bigger key here is there struggles against south paws. The Indians are hitting a mere .163 with a .254 OBP as a team vs left-handed starters this season. 

Mike Clevinger will take the mound for the Indians and while he's been rock solid in his 4 starts, he's not been nearly as sharp at home, where he's got a 3.97 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 11 1/3 innings of work. Look for the Mariners to put some runs up here and secure the win. Take Seattle +1.5 (-200)! 

5* NBA Playoffs 1st Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Thunder -

I love the value here with OKC as a short home favorite in Game 5 against the Jazz. The Thunder find themselves facing elimination down 3-1 in the series and I like their chances of getting a win and cover in this one. You have to give Utah credit for how well they have played up to this point, but it's extremely difficult closing out a team on the road in the postseason, especially for a team like the Jazz that don't have a ton of playoff experience to fall back on. 

One of the biggest problems for the Thunder has been the early foul trouble of Westbrook. They also aren't getting the kind of production they need out of veteran Carmelo Anthony. I look for both of these two to step up big and for the others to have a big game for OKC at home. Even with their win and cover in Game 2 on the road, Utah is just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 trips to Chesepeake Energy Arena. Take Oklahoma City! 

4* NBA Playoffs Situational NO-BRAINER on Raptors -

I like the value here with Toronto as a short home favorite in Game 4 against the Wizards. After a couple of convincing wins at home in games 1 & 2, the Raptors laid an egg in Game 3 and lost 103-122 to Washington. That was the game the Wizards had to have to avoid falling behind 3-0, so that wasn't a complete shocker. 

I look for the Raptors to bounce back in a big way here and take a commanding 3-1 series lead going back home for Game 5. Note that the Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games off a SU win and a miserable 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after covering the number in their previous contest. Take Toronto! 

4* NBA Playoffs Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Thunder +4.5

I like the value here with Thunder catching a decent number on the road in Game 3 against the Jazz. OKC blew a 5-point lead going into the 4th quarter of Game 2 and it was a direct result of their 3 stars underperforming in the clutch.

Westbrook, Anthony and George combined didn't make a single field goal in the 4th quarter (0-14) and the Thunder managed just 16 points in the period. That's not going to happen again. I look for these 3, especially Westbrook, to come out with a chip on their shoulder and not only keep this game close, but win it outright.

Adding to this is a great system in play favoring the Thunder. Teams off a home division loss against an opponent off a division win are 55-25 (69%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Oklahoma City!

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Spurs +

I like the value here with San Antonio as a home dog in Game 3 of their opening round series against the Warriors. The Spurs won't have their head coach Greg Popovich, as he will be away from the team to morn the passing of his wife on Wednesday. A lot of people might see that as a major disadvantage, but I actually think it will have San Antonio playing even more inspired than they already were going to be down 0-2 and the series on the line. 

After a sluggish start cost them any chance of winning Game 1, the Spurs really played well in the 1st half of Game 2, as they took a 6-point lead going into the final two periods. The Warriors caught fire and put up 69 points in the 2nd half for a 15-point win. Most will see the two blowout losses for the Spurs and jump on laying the small number with Golden State here, but this is a different San Antonio team at home, where they went 33-8 during the regular season. That combined with a huge motivation edge should be enough for the Spurs to keep this close enough to cover and likely win outright. Take San Antonio! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Pacers +

I like the value here with the Pacers catching an even bigger number in Game 2 after their impressive 98-80 win in Game 1. As bad as Cleveland looked in the first meeting, the public perspective here is that LeBron James and the Cavs will respond in a big way and avoid falling behind 0-2 in the series. I'm not saying I don't think Cleveland will win, I just don't see them blowing the Pacers out of the gym, which is what this line is calling for. 

I believe the big key here is the Pacers ability to matchup with the Cavs on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana limited Cleveland to just 38.5% shooting in Game 1. The Cavs simply rely too much on James to carry the load offensively and when the other guys aren't hitting shots, the offense really struggles to score. That's a problem because Cleveland's defense isn't very good. Take Indiana! 

5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pelcians +

I love the value here with the Pelicans as a decently priced dog in Game 2 of their series with the Blazers. New Orleans avoided a devastating loss in Game 1, as the held on for a 97-95 win after going into the 4th quarter with a 12-point lead. Anthony Davis led the way with 35 points and 14 rebounds, but he wasn't the only big contributor for the Pelicans. Rondo scored just 6 points, but had 17 assists and 8 rebounds. Mirotic added 16 points and 11 rebound, while Holiday dropped 21 points. 

New Orleans as a team assisted on 26 of their 41 made baskets. In comparison the Blazers only had 17 assists on 37 made field goals. Portland was really fortunate to even be in the game, as they shot 37.8% from the field. What kept them in it was 15 offensive rebounds. I just think that's unlikely to happen again. This is simply too many points for the Pelicans to be catching given they have the best player on the court. Take New Orleans! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS B-L-O-W-O-U-T  on Spurs +

I like the value here with the Spurs as a double-digit dog in Game 2 against the Warriors. Golden State won Game 1 by 21 points as a mere 7.5-point favorite. The books have adjusted this by 2.5-points and I just think it's a mistake. 

You wouldn't expect it from a Popovich coached team, but San Antonio came out flat in Game 1. They scored just 17-points in the 1st quarter and it was really over from there. I still think this Warriors team is a bit vulnerable without Curry and expect a completely different look here from the Spurs. I don't know if it will be enough to win this game outright, but I think they gave a legit scare to the defending champs. Take San Antonio! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play  on Lakers +

I love the value here with the Lakers as a big home dog against the Rockets on Tuesday. Houston has absolutely nothing to play for. They have the best record in the league locked up and have made it clear that their primary focus over the last 2 regular season games is to stay healthy.

The starters will play, but their minutes will be restricted. Given the circumstances this line should be a lot closer to a pick'em. I think there's a good chance the Lakers win this game and we got plenty of insurance if they end up on the losing end. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Pelicans -

I like the value here with the Pelicans laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Clippers. New Orleans is currently sitting 5th in the west, but are just 1-game ahead of 9th place Denver and being left out. Simply put, this is essentially a playoff game for the Pelicans. 

The key here is this game doesn't mean anywhere close to the same to the Clippers, who were just recently eliminated from playoff contention. LA has numerous guys out with injury and it's likely they give some of their younger guys more minutes in the final 2 games. Their last two games have seen them lose by 22 at Utah and by 19 at home to the Nuggets. This has another blowout loss for LA written all over it. Take New Orleans! 

5* NBA Late Season PLAY OF THE MONTH on Bulls +

I love the value here with Chicago as a big road dog against the Nets on Monday. I think we are seeing a huge overreaction with this line. Sure Brooklyn just won at Chicago 124-96 on Saturday. The thing is, that makes this game that less interesting for the Nets, who have zero to play for and are likely looking ahead to their finale against the Celtics. 

The Bulls on the other hand should be motivated here to play better than they did in the last meeting. Chicago had been playing well before laying an egg against the Nets. Chicago had won 3 of 4 and are still 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 overall. 

Bulls are 23-12 ATS in their last 35 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points, while Brooklyn is a mere 3-11 ATS in their last 14 at home in the 2nd half of the season. Take Chicago! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Jazz -

I like the value here with Utah laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Lakers. The Jazz will be all business when they take the floor on Sunday, as Utah can clinch a playoff spot with a win. The Jazz can also still finish as the No. 3 seed in the west if they win their final 3 games. 

I look for them to have no problem winning here by double-digits. They have had their way with the Lakers this season and LA comes in having lost 4 of 5 and have zero to play for right now. Last time out the Jazz destroyed the Clippers 117-95 and that's worth noting as they are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games off a win by 10 or more. Take Utah! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grizzlies +

I like the value here with Memphis as a decently priced home dog against the Pistons on Sunday. Detroit is simply getting too much respect given the circumstances. While the Pistons have won 8 of 10, they were just recently eliminated from playoff contention and that's going to make it really hard for them to show up for the final 3 games on their schedule.

I think they especially have a difficult time here on the road against a bad Memphis team. The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight, but are 4-2 ATS in their last 6, covering each of their last 2 at home. They are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 at home against a team like Detroit that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Memphis! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Hornets -

I like the value here with the Hornets laying what I feel is a short number on the road against the Magic. I know it's been a struggle for Charlotte of late, as they come in having lost 4 straight, but this is an ideal spot for them to get a win. Orlando has won their last two games, but those victories came against fellow bottom-feeders in the Knicks and Mavs. Even with those two wins they are just 4-11 in their last 15 games. 

The Magic simply aren't shooting well at all right now. They have shot no better than 45% in 9 straight games and have shot 42% or worse in 6 of the 9. It's also worth pointing out that Orlando is currently tied with the Mavs for the 4th worst record and winning here actually does them more harm than it does good. I wouldn't be shocked at all if they didn't show up at all here and this thing gets ugly in a hurry. Keep in mind that while the Hornets have lost 4 straight, 3 of those losses have come against playoff teams in the Cavs, Wizards and 76ers. Take Charlotte! 

3* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Bucks -

I like the value here with Milwaukee as a short home favorite against the Celtics on Tuesday. The Bucks are still trying to clinch a playoff spot and I expect an all out effort here after how they lost their most recent game. Milwaukee somehow managed to blow a 18-point lead with under 8 minutes to play in an overtime loss at Denver. Prior to that the Bucks had won 4 of 5 and come in having covered 5 of 6. 

Boston has won 6 straight, despite Kyrie Irving being sidelined with a knee injury. This is a team that has proven they can win regardless of who is out of the lineup. However, I think this will be a tough spot for the Celtics. They are fresh off a huge win over the Raptors at home on Saturday, which moved them within 2-games of the No. 1 seed in the east. With another big game against the Raptors in Toronto on deck tomorrow, I think we could see Boston having a hard time giving the Bucks their full attention. Take Milwaukee! 

4* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Raptors +

I like the value here with Toronto in Tuesday's big showdown at Cleveland. The betting public is going to be all over the Cavs in this one as a short home favorite. Cleveland comes in having won 3 straight and are 8-1 in their last 9 overall. They have gone an impressive 7-2 ATS during this stretch. As for the Raptors, they have failed to cover their last 8 games, including a recent loss at Cleveland back on 3/21, where they lost by 3-points as a 2-point favorite. 

This not only a big revenge game for Toronto, but one they desperately need if they want to keep hold of the No. 1 seed in the east. As bad as they have been playing, I expect the Raptors to treat this like a playoff game. Cleveland will be without point guard George Hill for this game and that's a big loss. I also think the Cavs are going to really struggle to keep up with Toronto's bench, which is one of the best in the league. 

Despite their recent strong play, Cleveland is still a miserable 18-37-2 ATS in their last 57 home games and are a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Toronto! 

4* MLB Run Line MASSACRE on Marlins +1.5 +

I like the value here with Miami on the run line against the Red Sox on Tuesday. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with the Marlins, who just need to keep this within a run to cash a winning ticket. Miami is going to end up being one of the worst teams in the league. However, there is some value backing this team early on, as they are playing with a chip on their shoulder to start the season. 

While the Marlins lost the series opener against the Red Sox yesterday, they were able to split their 4-game series with the Cubs to start out the year. Miami will send out Jose Urena, who had his struggles on Opening Day against the Cubs, giving up 5 runs on 6 hits with 4 walks and just 2 strikeouts in 4 innings. That was simply a poor outing for Urena, who has the stuff to be a top level starter. Keep in mind he went 14-7 with a respectable 3.82 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 34 appearances (28 starts) in 2017. The Marlins are 14-7 SU in their last 21 after a loss the past two seasons. Take Miami! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Portland -

I got no problem laying the big number here with the Blazers as they host the Grizzlies on Sunday. Portland is 16-3 over their last 19 games and 23-7 over their last 30. This impressive run has the Blazers sitting in the No. 3 spot in the west and they know this is one they can't afford to lose if they want to secure that spot. 

What I love is they won't be taking the Grizzlies lightly. These two teams played on Wednesday at Memphis and the Grizzlies blew a 7-point lead with around 5 minutes to play in a 103-108 loss as a 5.5-point favorite. They are going to be out for revenge and this time will make sure to put away Memphis early and keep their foot on the gas. 

The Grizzlies 2-game winning streak came to an end with 97-107 loss at Utah on Friday and Memphis is a mere 5-15 ATS this season off a double-digit defeat. Blazers are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 at home and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Portland! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sixers -

I like the value here with the 76ers laying a short number on the road against the Hornets Sunday. Philadelphia won't have Joel Embiid, but I don't see that being a problem. They won by 17 over the Knicks with Embiid playing just 9 minutes on Wednesday and won by double-digits at Atlanta without him on Friday. The 76ers have now won 9 straight and I don't see them taking their foot off the gas here, as they are fighting to get that No. 3 spot in the east. 

While Philadelphia is going to be extremely motivated to play well in this contest, I don't think we see the same fight from the Hornets. Charlotte came into the season with the expectations of making the playoffs, but those hopes were recently put to rest, as they have been eliminated from postseason play. I think the Hornets will have a really hard time finding motivation over the final 5 games of the season and should be a bigger dog given the circumstances.

Note the 76ers have dominated the series this season, winning each of the first 3 meetings by double-digits, including a 14-point win in their lone game at Charlotte. Take Philadelphia! 

4* NCAAB 'Final Four' VEGAS INSIDER on Loyola-Chicago +

I like the value here with the Ramblers in their Final Four showdown with Michigan. I think the perception is that Loyola-Chicag's Cinderella run will come to an end against the Wolverines, but I not only think the Ramblers can keep it close enough to cover, but I like their chances of winning this game outright. 

By now it's no secret that Loyola has gotten to this point because of their defense. I just don't know that people realize how good the Ramblers are on that side of the ball. They have held all 4 of their opponents to this point under 70 points, holding 3 of the 4 to exactly 62 points. It's not just effort, the coaching staff of Loyola has done a tremendous job gameplanning for their opponent. Michigan had one great offensive game against Texas A&M, where they shot 62% from the field. The other 3 weren't all that good. They shot just 35.6% in their last-second win over Houston and a mere 38.8% in their 4-point victory over Florida State.

What gets over looked with the Ramblers and that elite defense, is how efficient they are on the offensive side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago's worst shooting performance in the tournament came in their first game against Miami, where they shot just 47.3%. They hit 50% against the Vols, 56% against Nevada and 57.4% vs the Wildcats. Ramblers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 as a dog and 8-1 ATS in their 9 tournament games played this season. Take Loyola! 

5* NCAAB 'CBI' Champ Game VEGAS INSIDER on North Texas -

I like the value here with the Mean Green in Friday's CBI Championship Game. Unlike the other postseason tournaments, where it's win or go home, the CBI plays a best of 3 series for the title. These two teams have split the first two games of the series with the home team dominating in each matchup.

San Francisco won Game 1 at home 72-62. North Texas responded with a 69-55 win in game 2. The Mean Green were a similar 3.5-point home favorite in Game 2 and I just don't see any reason not to back North Texas in the rubber match at home. 

San Fran is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mean Green are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Take North Texas! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Wizards +

I like the value here with Washington at basically a pick'em on the road against the Pistons tonight. The Wizards snapped a 3-game skid with a  convincing 116-106 win at home over the Spurs on Tuesday. It wasn't even as close as the final score would indicate, as Washington had a 22-point lead going into the 4th quarter. 

The Wizards are pretty safe in terms of making the playoffs, but have yet to clinch a spot, so I expect them to come out and play extremely hard until they do just that. Detroit has kept their slim playoff hopes alive by winning 4 of their last 5, but there chances of making it are still pretty slim, as they trail 8th place Milwaukee by 5-games with just 8 to play.

What is getting overlooked with the Pistons strong play of late is it's come against bad teams. Their 4 wins during their 4-1 stretch have come against the likes of the Kings, Suns, Bulls and Lakers. I just don't trust this team at all against good teams and will gladly take my chances here with the Wizards at this price. Take Washington! 

4* NCAAB 'NIT' Championship Game NO-BRAINER on Utah +

I like the value here with the Utes as a decently priced dog in Thursday's NIT Championship Game against Penn State. Utah hasn't just caught fire in the NIT, this is a team that really turned a corner   in the final month and a half of the regular-season. The Utes went 99-3 over their final 12 games. They would lose their only game in the Pac-12 Tournament, but it could have easily went their way, as they fell 66-68 to Oregon.

They picked right up where they left off and have been a force in the NIT. They won by 9 at St Mary's to get to New York and won by 5 as a 2-point dog in the semifinals Tuesday against WKU. Penn State has won 5 of 6, but I just don't see a big enough gap that the Nittany Lions should be favored by nearly 5-points. If anything, this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me. Take Utah! 

5* NCAAB 'CIT' Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Illinois Chicago +

I like the value here with Illinois-Chicago in Wednesday's matchup against Liberty in the semifinals of the CIT. I just feel like UIC isn't getting near enough respect here and I think a lot of that has to do with the fact that they are without leading scorer Dikembe Dixon. He didn't play in either of their first two games in this tournament and they won by 23 as a mere 5-point favorite against St Francis-PA and followed that up with a 83-81 win at Austin Peay as a 4-point dog. UIC put up 80+ in both wins and have now scored 75 or more in 10 of their last 11. 

Liberty put up 84 in their most recent game against Central Michigan, but that was more of a result of them taking advantage of a bad Chippewas defense. They also shot lights out, hitting on 56% of their attempts. Prior to that Liberty had eclipsed 70 points just once in their previous 7 games. UIC is allowing just 72.6 ppg on the season and have held opponents to 40.7% from the field. Keep in mind UIC played the much tougher schedule this season. I actually think this should be closer to a pick'em. Take Illinois-Chicago! 

5* NBA Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Pacers -

I love the value here with the Pacers here as a short road favorite against the Warriors. Golden State will be without Durant, Curry and Thompson for this game and have little to nothing to play for down the stretch. The Warriors aren't catching Houston for the No. 1 spot and are all but a lock to take home the No. 2 spot, as they need just 1 more win or 1 more Blazers loss to make it official. 

We saw a similar scenario play out in their last game at home against the Jazz and they were no match for Utah in a 19-point loss. I think we could easily see Indiana win here by double-digits. The Pacers clinched a playoff spot in their last game, but still have plenty to play for as they are just 1.5-games behind the Cavs for 3rd and a mere 4-games ahead of Miami for 8th in the east. 

Pacers are 23-11 ATS as a favorite this season and the Warriors are a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games. Golden State has also failed to cover each of their last 6 games vs a team with a winning record. Take Indiana! 

4* NCAAB 'CBI Championship' ANNIHILATOR on San Fran -

I like the value here with the Dons laying a short number at home against the Mean Green. North Texas has had the more impressive run to the CBI Championship Series, but I think it has them overvalued here on the road. San Francisco is a quality team that has played it's best basketball at home, where they are 15-6 on the season. 

The other big key here is defense and that's what I believe will be the difference in this one. North Texas has put up 90 or more in all 3 of their wins in this Tournament. Those all came against some bad defensive teams. San Francisco has allowed 68, 73 and 62 in their 3 games in the CBI and are only giving up 66.2 ppg at home, where they are also holding opponents to just 41.9% shooting. 

North Texas is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games after scoring 75 or more points in 3 straight games. Take San Francisco! 

3* NCAAB 'Elite 8' ATS ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech +

I like the value here with the Red Raiders as a decently priced underdog against Villanova. Texas Tech continued their impressive run through the tournament with a 78-65 win over Purdue and this is simply a different team when Keenan Evans is healthy. Had he not been hurt late in the regular season, the Red Raiders may have very well won the Big 12 title. When Evans has been on the floor, Texas Tech has played like one of the best teams in the country. 

I think the fact that Villanova has won and covered all 3 of their games and will be the popular public side, has this line a lot higher than it should be. Keep in mind West Virginia was only a 5.5-point dog in the previous round and this Texas Tech team is more talented than the Mountaineers and arguably the best defensive team the Wildcats will have seen to this point in the tournament. I don't think it's out of the question that the Red Raiders can win this one one outright. Take Texas Tech! 

4* NCAAB 'Elite 8' VEGAS INSIDER on Florida State +

I like the value here with the Seminoles as a decently priced underdog in Saturday's Elite 8 action against Michigan. Both of these teams come in off impressive wins. The Wolverines cruised to a 99-72 win over Texas A&M, while Florida State made easy work of Gonzaga in a 75-60 win.

The Seminoles have now knocked off Xavier and Gonzaga in back-to-back games, yet no one is giving this team much of a chance to beat Michigan. I think that's a big mistake and my numbers suggest this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me on Florida State at this price. 

This is a situation in which the Seminoles have absolutely thrived at the ticket window. FSU is 20-5 ATS in their last 25 as a neutral court dog of 6 points or less. They are also working on a 10-2 ATS run over their last 12 non-confernece games. Take Florida State! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Heat +

I like the value here with Miami catching what I feel is a big number on the road against the Thunder. The Heat look to be safely in the playoffs. While they sit 7th in the standings, they are 7-games up on 9th place Detroit with only 10 games to play. At the same time, they are only 2.5-games back of the 76ers for 4th place and home court advantage in the first round. 

The Heat come in having won 3 straight and are 9-4 in their last 13 overall. For whatever reason this team doesn't get any love from the public and I think it has them way undervalued here against a very public team in OKC. The Thunder need a win just as bad, but this is more evenly matched than most people realize. I also think this is a tough spot for Oklahoma City off that epic collapse in the finals minutes of Tuesday's 99-100 loss at Boston. Take Miami! 

3* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Lakers +

I like the value here with the Lakers as a short road dog against the Pelicans on Thursday. This is simply a play against New Orleans, who I just don't see having enough left in the tank to win this game. The Pelicans had to play a make-up game yesterday against the Pacers. They also had to play on Tueday at home against the Mavs, so this will be their 3rd game in 3 days. It's also their 5th game in the last 6 days. While they were able to knock off Indiana, they shot just 43% from the field in the victory and the shooting could get even worse tonight. 

Lakers have lost 3 straight, but are not throwing in the towel just yet and I look for a big effort here to get back in the win column. Note that while the Pelicans are in as bad a rest situation as you will find, Los Angeles has had the last 3 days off. I don't care how much better the other team is, you give a team 3 days off against a team that is playing their 5th game in 6 days and 3rd in 3 days and the team with the rest edge will win the majority of the time. Take the Lakers! 

3* NCAA Tournament ATS HEAVY HITTER on UMBC +

I like the value here with UMBC as a double-digit dog in their attempt to keep this incredible Cinderella story going. The Retrievers pulled off the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history, as they became the first ever No. 16 seed to take down a No. 1 seed. What's remarkable is they didn't just win on a miracle 3-pointer at the buzzer, they absolutely dominated the No. 1 overall seed in a 20-point win. 

There is some concern here with UMBC suffering a letdown off that massive upset, but I think there's more fight in this team and wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. This Kansas State team isn't anything special and could be without one of their best players in Dean Wade, who leads the team in scoring at 16.5 ppg. Wade is questionable with a foot injury and even if he does play, he doesn't figure to be at 100%. Take UMBC! 

5* NCAA Tourn Rd of 32 GAME OF THE YEAR on Auburn -

I love the value here with Auburn at basically a pick'em against Clemson in Sunday's Round of 32 action out of the Midwest Region. Auburn won their opener 62-58 over Charleston. That was a lot closer than most expected, as they were a 9.5-point favorite, but that's a much better Charleston team than most people realize. It didn't help that Auburn shot about as poor as they could, hitting just 35.6% from the field. 

Clemson had a little easier time in their first game, as they beat New Mexico State 79-68 behind a red-hot 55.9% shooting. I just think the contrasting victories have created some big time value here with Auburn. I look for Clemson to have a much tougher time offensively against this Auburn defense, while I expect Auburn to be much more efficient from the offensive side of the ball. 

Clemson hasn't exactly excelled in this spot. They are just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 when playing on the road in their 2nd game in a week. Take Auburn!

4* NCAA Tournament Vegas INSIDER on Loyola +

I like the value here with the Ramblers as a decently priced dog against the Volunteers, as I think there's a decent chance they win this game outright. A lot of people simply don't realize just how good this Loyola-Chicago team is. Not only because of the small conference they play in, but they haven't really been in this spot before. 

One of the reasons that Tennessee had such a great season is the defense they played, but the Ramblers are every bit as good on that side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago only gave up 62.7 ppg on the season and were right on point, limiting the Hurricanes to 62 points in the first round. They forced Miami into 16 turnovers and did an excellent job keeping them off the line, as the Hurricanes only attempted 13 free throws. 

The other big key here is the Ramblers can stroke it from long-distance. They shot 40% as a team from behind the 3-point line and have 5 different players who shoot 38% or better. I simply trust their offense more in this one and I feel this line is inflated by a good 3-4 points because of how good the Vols looked in their opener with Wright State. Take Loyola-Chicago! 

3* NCAA Tournament Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Buffalo +

I like the value here with the Bulls catching a decent number against the Wildcats. Buffalo pulled off a big upset in the first round and did so in impressive fashion. The Bulls defeated Arizona 89-68 as a 9-point dog. A lot of people credited the win more on how bad the Wildcats played and while they didn't play their best game, this Buffalo team is no joke. 

The Bulls have 3 dynamic scorers in Jeremy Harris (15.6 ppg), C.J. Massinburg (17.3 ppg) and Wes Clark (14.1 ppg). These 3 combined for 67 points and were 11 for 22 from long-distance. That 3-point shooting is a huge factor here, as Kentucky is one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country and failed to make a single 3 in their win over Davidson in the first round. While the Wildcats will be able to score inside on the Bulls, trading 2 for 3 will allow Buffalo to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Take Buffalo! 

4* NCAA Tournament ATS NO-BRAINER on Missouri +

I like the value here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em against the Seminoles in Friday's first round action out of the West Region. Missouri is one of the bigger wild card teams in the field, as Michael Porter Jr basically didn't play the entire season until the Tigers SEC Tournament game. He's a special talent and a for sure lottery pick in next year's NBA draft. He's the kind of player that can put a team on his back. 

To no surprise Porter Jr was a bit rusty in his first game back, but he certainly wasn't lacking any confidence, as he hoisted up 17 shots off the bench in just 23 minutes of playing time. I think that was huge for the Tigers to get a warm-up game with Porter Jr. in the mix. They now have had a few days to put together a game plan and I think they are going to have their way with Florida State. 

The Seminoles have some nice pieces and were a solid team, but they aren't playing well down the stretch. FSU went just 4-6 over their final 10 games. I also don't love the matchup for the Seminoles. Florida State relies a lot on penetration to get their offense going and this Missouri team can lock you down defensively. The Tigers also are a great 3-point shooting team, which is huge given all the size and athleticism the Seminoles have inside. Take Missouri! 

5* NCAA Tournament No Limit TOP PLAY on UMBC +

I love the value here with the Maryland-Baltimore Country catching a huge number against No. 1 overall seed Virginia. Most people probably didn't even know UMBC was a school and that unfamiliarity combined with the Cavaliers being ranked No. 1 overall will have the public backing Virginia. I think the books were well aware of this action and have inflated this line to where there's tremendous value with the underdog. 

You hear it all the time, great guard play is critical in the NCAA Tournament. Well the Retrievers are led by their backcourt of Jairus Lyles and K.J. Maura. Both of which are very quick off the dribble and have great instincts on defense. They create a lot of easy looks from deep with their penetration and generate a lot of steals on the defense, allowing UMBC to get out in transition. 

I know Virginia doesn't have a ton of holes, but I think the pressure of the Retrievers and the Cavaliers potentially not giving this team their full amount of respect with much bigger games looming, will allow UMBC to keep this game a lot closer than most expert. Take Maryland-Baltimore County! 

4* NCAA Tournament VEGAS INSIDER on Creighton -

I like the value here with the Bluejays at basically a pick'em in Fridays' first round action out of the South Region. Bruce Weber did another masterful job at Kansas State this year, as many experts had them pegged near the basement of the Big 12 standings. Martin forces effort from his players on a nightly basis and that played a big part in the Wildcats regular-season success. 

The thing is, effort can only get you so far and we saw this team really struggle against the top tier teams in the Big 12. In fact, they were 0-7 against the likes of Kansas, West Virginia and Texas Tech. I think we are going to see a similar struggle for them against a very good Creighton team that is extremely efficient offensively and plays at a frantic pace. The Bluejays put up 84.3 ppg. K-State simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace, as they really only have to legit scoring options in Dean Wade and Barry Brown. Take Creighton! 

3* BEST BET on Murray State +

I like the value here with the Racers catching double-digits against the Mountaineers in Friday's first round action out of the East Region. It's no secret that West Virginia is a tough team to prepare for in the NCAA Tournament, but I think Murray State has the pieces in place to handle the Mountaineers pressure. 

The Racers have two good ball handlers in their backcourt in Jonathan Stark and Demetrius Morant. The two combined to average 34.4 ppg and 10.3 apg. While they are great at sharing the ball on the offensive side of the ball, they were also one of the best teams in the country in forcing teams to beat them one-on-one. If they can keep from turning it over and not allowing the Mountaineers to get out in transition, this team can make it extremely hard for West Virginia to score. If the outside shot is falling for Murray State, they not only will keep this within the number, but they will have a legit shot at pulling off the upset. Take Murray State! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

5* NCAA Tournament Rd of 64 GAME OF THE YEAR on Marshall +

I love the value here with the Thundering Herd as a big dog against the Shockers in Friday's first round action out of the East Region. Marshall's head coach is Dan D'Antoni, who is the brother of Houston Rockets head coach Mike D'Antoni. As you might have guessed the two have similar philosophies on the offensive side and want to try and outscore teams by outshooting them from long-distance. 

It worked really well down the stretch for Marshall, who punched their ticket to the Big Dance by winning the C-USA Tournament. The Thundering Herd average 10-made 3-pointers a game and have 7 different players who shoot 33% or better from deep. That long-range attack helped them average 84.3 ppg. 

While Wichita State has the offensive fire-power to hang with Marshall and likely ultimately win this game, they are definitely on upset alert. That's because the Shockers aren't as good defensively as they have been in years past. One of their biggest weaknesses was defending the 3-point shot, making this a horrible matchup out of the gates. I think the Thundering Herd give them a scare and maybe win this one outright. Take Marshall! 

4* NCAA Tournament BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Buffalo +

I like the value here with the Bulls catching a big number against the Wildcats. There's been plenty of talk about how Arizona got the shaft on their seed and I think it has a lot of people jumping on the Wildcats laying single-digits here. As good as Arizona is, this Buffalo team is no joke. 

The Bulls cruised to the MAC Tournament title, winning all 3 of their tournament games by double-digits. They also showed extremely well in non-conference against the likes of Cincinnati, Texas A&M, Syracuse and St Bonaventure. The Bulls are also 12-2 ATS in their last 12 neutral court games with a perfect 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog. Take Buffalo! 

5* NCAA Tournament VEGAS INSIDER on Stephen F Austin +

I love the value here with the Lumberjacks catching double-digits against Texas Tech in Thursday's first round action out of the East Region. Stephen F. Austin has a lot of great qualities for success in the NCAA Tournament. The Lumberjacks have great depth and balance on the offensive side of the ball. They also bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball and as a result led the nation in turnover percentage and steels. That pressure often leads to a lot of good looks on the offensive side of the ball, especially from long-range, where Stephen F. Austin is deadly from. 

As for Texas Tech, this is a team that really lost its mojo down the final leg of the season. The Red Raiders went just 2-5 over their final 7 games and the two wins could have easily been losses, as both came by 4-points or less. Rarely do you see a team that comes into the Big Dance struggling flip the switch and go on a deep run. If Texas Tech struggles with the pressure of the Lumberjacks, they not only aren't going to cover, but they may lose this game outright. Take Stephen F. Austin! 

3* NCAA Tournament ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Wright State +

I like the value here with the Raiders catching double-digits against the Volunteers in Thursday's opening round action out of the South Region. Wright State got to the big dance behind one of the better defenses in the country. The Raiders ranked were just outside the top 50 in the nation in defensive efficiency. They are especially good at defending inside the arc behind big men Loudon Love and Parker Ernsthausen. 

With Tennessee also being an elite defensive team, points are going to be at premium, which only adds more value here with the Raiders at this price. Keep in mind the Volunteers aren't exactly an offensive juggernaut. A big reason for that is they don't have an elite guard who can create his own shot when needed. This is also a primarily a jump shooting team and if the shots aren't falling for the Vols they not only won't cover, but could lose this game outright. Take Wright State! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Oklahoma +

I like the value here with the Sooners as a dog against the Rams in Thursday's 1st round action out of the Midwest Region. There's been all kinds of talk about how Oklahoma didn't deserve to make the field of 68 due to their poor finish. I think the Sooners will use that as motivation and come out with a huge chip on their shoulder here. 

Rhode Island wasn't exactly playing great down the stretch either. The Rams were just 4-4 over their final 8 games, which included an ugly 30-point loss at home to St. Josephs. I know teams in the Big 12 seemed to figure out freshman sensation Trae Young, but let's not forget how dominant he was in non-conference play to start the year. Oklahoma has the best player on the court and I think the long break between their early exit in the Big 12 Tournament and this game will do wonders for the Sooners. Take Oklahoma! 

3* CBI No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Grand Canyon -

I like the value here with the Antelopes laying what I think is a short number against the Bears in the opening round of the CBI Tournament. Grand Canyon won 22 games this season and were on a 5-game winning streak before getting knocked out of the WAC Tournament by regular-season champ New Mexico State. 

A huge factor here is the Antelopes get to host this game, as they went an impressive 16-2 at home this season. I think the fact that Mercer had won 8 straight before losing to Wofford in the Southern Tournament has them getting too much respect here.

The Bears are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, while the Antelopes have covered 5 of their last 6 games outside conference play. Take Grand Canyon!  

5* CBI Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on New Orleans -

I love the value here with the Privateers laying a short number against the Vaqueros in Wednesday's CBI action. Both of these teams finished the season poorly, but I still think New Orleans is the far superior team here. Looking back at non-conference play, we see both teams played at SMU. While both teams lost, the Privateers kept it respectable in a 13-point defeat, while the Vaqueros got annihilated by 31 points. 

The other big key here is UT-Rio Grande Valley was not good on the road and they come in a mere 1-9-1 ATS over the last 11 road games. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games The Privateers were a solid 9-3 on their home court and are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss by more than 20 points (lost by 22 to Sam Houston St in conference tournament). Take New Orleans! 

4* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Bucks -

I like the value here with Milwaukee laying single digits on the road against the Magic on Wednesday. The Bucks have made easy work of sub-par teams in their last two games, winning 120-112 at home over the Knicks and 121-103 at Memphis. I look for more of the same here against Orlando, who has lost 5 straight and are just 2-12 in their last 14 overall. 

Last time out the Magic didn't even look like they had any interest playing, as they scored just 72 points in a 36-point loss at the Spurs. It was the 3rd time in their last 5 games that they scored fewer than 90 points. 

Orlando is a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games when they come in having lost at least 5 of their last 7, while the Bucks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games when they have won 2 of their last 3 and are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Milwaukee! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on Asheville +

I really like the value here with the Bulldogs catching a big number against USC in the opening round of the NIT. This is all about motivation and I just have a hard time seeing the Trojans being all that excited about even playing in this tournament. USC had their eyes set on the NCAA Tournament and had to feel like they did enough to make it. They won 23 games, finished 2nd in the Pac-12 regular-season standings and reached the Pac-12 Tournament title game. 

Asking this team to get up for this game is asking a lot, especially given the opponent. As for UNC-Asheville, they are going to relish in the opportunity to showcase their talents against a Power 5 opponent. The Bulldogs have two dynamic scorers to help them at least keep this within the number in Ahmad Thomas and Marcio Teague, who both average right around 16.5 ppg. 

The other big key here is the Trojans head into the NIT at less than 100%. Bennie Boatwright was lost for the season back in the middle of February and leading scorer Chimezie Metu is questionable for this game because of rest, which speaks volumes to how little this game means to this team. Take Asheville! 

4* NIT Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Western Kentucky -

I like the value here with the Hilltoppers laying a short number against the Eagles. The betting public is all over BC, as they come from the much stronger conference, but this Western Kentucky team is no joke. The Hilltoppers went 14-4 in a strong C-USA and just missed out on an automatic bid, losing to Marshall in the C-USA Tournament title game. 

Western Kentucky did more than prove they can hang with the big boys in non-conference play. They knocked off Purdue and SMU in back-to-back games and only lost by 8 to Villanova. The fact that the Hilltoppers are the better seed and get to host this game is also a huge factor in why I like them to win and cover. Western Kentucky was 13-3 at home this season, while the Eagles were a dreadful 5-12 away from their home court. 

Hilltoppers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Take Western Kentucky! 

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Wizards -

I like the value here with the Wizards laying a short number at home against the Timberwolves. This is an ideal spot to jump on Washington after an ugly 27-point loss at Miami in their last game. It's also a good spot to go against Minnesota, who is coming off two huge home games against the Celtics and Warriors. The Timberwolves were able to rebound from a loss to Boston with a 109-103 upset win over Golden State in their last game, but that came against a short-handed Warriors team. 

Minnesota hasn't exactly been playing well away from home. The Timberwolves are just 1-9 in their last 10 away from home and the lone win was against the Kings. Minnesota has gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 away from home and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 off a SU loss by more than 10 points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when they come in having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Take Washington! 

4* NIT No Doubt ATS HEAVY HITTER ON Wagner +

I like the value here with the Seahawks as a big double-digit dog against the Bears in Tuesday's first round action of the NIT. Baylor received a No. 1 seed, but I just don't think they are going to be all that motivated to play in the NIT. Keep in mind this was one of the last few teams left out of the Big Dance. 

A big reason they were left out is they went just 1-4 over their final 5 games. Not playing well and no real motivation are two keys to a team like Baylor getting knocked off by a lessor opponent in Wagner. 

While the Seahawks lost in the NEC finals to miss out on a trip to the NCAA Tournament, these small conference schools have a much easier time putting that disappointment behind them and focus on the opportunity to showcase their talents against some quality opponents. Look for the Seahawks to come out swinging and give the Bears all they can handle. Take Wagner! 

3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Pacers +

I like the value here with Indiana as a pretty big road dog here against the Celtics. Boston comes in off an impressive 117-109 win at Minnesota and are now 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS since returning from the All-Star break. I simply think it has the Celtics overvalued here and we can see how much this line has been inflated by noting that Boston was just a 4-point home favorite the last time these two teams played on Feb. 9th. 

The Celtics also suffered a big blow in their win over the Timberwolves. Jaylen Brown suffered a concussion and will be out for a while. While Boston has a pretty balanced lineup, Brown is a big piece to replace. He's second on the team in scoring at 14.1 ppg and had really been playing well before the injury. 

The Pacers for whatever reason continue to not get the respect they deserve. Indiana is just a 1/2 game back of Cleveland for the 3rd best record in the east and have been playing very well of late, going 8-3 in their last 11 games. I not only see them keeping this within the number, but could see them win this one outright. Take Indiana! 

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Pelicans +

I like the value here with the Pelicans as a home dog against the Jazz. New Orleans had their 10-game winning streak snapped in their last game. They really didn't have much of a chance, as Anthony Davis had to miss the game with an ankle injury. He's expected to return for this game and I expect the Pelicans to return to form and get a big home win. 

The last time these two teams played was early February in New Orleans, which Utah won 133-109. That was back before the Pelicans turned a corner and started playing some of their best basketball. This has proven to be a great revenge spot for New Orleans, as the Pelicans have gone 30-18 ATS in their last 48 when revenging a loss to a team that scored 110 or more on them in the previous meeting. Take New Orleans! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Houston +

I like the value here with the Cougars catching points in Sunday's AAC Tournament title showdown. Houston showed they are more than capable of hanging with the Bearcats during their two regular-season meetings. The Cougars did more than hold their own in a 10-point loss at Cincinnati earlier in conference play and later defeated the Bearcats 67-62 at home. 

Both teams took great care of the basketball in their semifinal matchups. Houston turned it over just 7 times, while the Bearcats committed just 3 turnovers. Houston has gone an impressive 30-16 ATS in their last 46 after a game with 8 or fewer turnovers, while Cincinnati is just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 in this same scenario. I think there's a great chance the Cougars don't just cover but win this game outright. Take Houston!