Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $77000.00 plus dime player run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Apr 29, 2024 Stars vs Golden Knights |
Golden Knights +103 at circa |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Knights lost to the Stars for the first time in 7 games last time out, but now Im betting on the home side to continue their domination vs Dallas here tonight at home in game 4 of this series. It was a grueling game that Im betting took alot out of the Stars as they were playing with desperation down 2-0 but repeating that kind of intensity against the defending Stanley Cup Champs will be a difficult task. VEGAS is 14-5 ATS after losing their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons.VEGAS is 25-9 ATS revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons. Note:Dallas has dominated possession at 5-on-5 in this series while controlling 57.8% of expected goals in Game 1 then registering 64.1% mark in Game 2 and 79 % in Game 3. Its obvious to me the Knights matchup well and deserve our backing as dogs tonight. Play on Golden Knights to win |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 29, 2024 Pirates vs A's |
OVER 8 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Pirates are off a low scoring weekend series vs the Giants, and their overall offense has been muted recently, but Im betting on a break out offensive performance here against the As, and their starter Boyle who has garnered a ugly 1-4 record so far this season along with a hefty 7.06 ERA that includes a 0-2 record at home along with a 9.39 ERA. Note: The As have allowed an average 4.8 rpg at home this season and in night games have allowed 4.9 rpg . Meanwhile, on the flip-side I know Falter the Pirates starter has looked decent this season, but on the road , owns a 5.79 ERA in 2 starts, and according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the As struggling offense actually matches up well and should provide us with enough support to get us over the offered totals number. PITTSBURGH is 10-1 OVER after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH in their L/31 road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. ( lost 3-2 in SF yesterday)PITTSBURGH is 23-11 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 9.2 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (OAKLAND) - terrible AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 30-5 OVER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 10.9 rpg scored. Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 29, 2024 Lakers vs Nuggets |
UNDER 217½ -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Denver knows how to slow down run and gun teams like the Lakers, here in the Mile High City behind the 6th ranked defense and 27th ranked pace. The Nuggets held the Lakers to 99 and 103 points in the first two games of this series here in Denver, behind a strong grinding D. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here and a combined score that stays on the low side of the offered total DENVER is 9-0 UNDER in home games against Pacific division opponents this season with a combined average of 214.7 ppg scored. DENVER is 16-3 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 216.2 ppg scored. DENVER is 11-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season for 215.2 ppg. NBAl teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (DENVER/LA LAKERS) - in the first round of the playoffs, in the 5th game of a playoff series are 30-4 UNDER L/28 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |