Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 29, 2024
Yankees vs Orioles
Orioles
-127 at YouWager
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Yankees got their bats going, scoring 30 runs on 37 hits in posting Saturday and Sunday victories against the Brewers.

I don't see the Yankees repeating that success against Grayson Rodriguez, one of the most promising pitchers in the American League. Rodriguez had his first bad outing of the season in his last start. However, he had a 2.63 ERA with 27 strikeouts in 24 innings during his first four starts this year.

The Orioles aren't likely to have closer Craig Kimbrel, who left yesterday's game with a back injury. Kimbrel, though, had blown two straight save opportunities.

I rate Rodriguez at least a tier above Yankees starter Clarke Schmidt, who has a 4.33 career ERA vs New York in four starts.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Apr 29, 2024
Thunder vs Pelicans
OVER 204½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Pelicans have yet to break 92 points in falling behind 3-0 in their series against the Thunder. So now after seeing totals of 216 1/2, 210 and 210, we have the lowest total of the series.

It's too low.

Oklahoma City was the third-highest scoring team in the league during the regular season. The Thunder also was first in 3-point accuracy.

Despite this being playoff basketball and the Pelicans having a good defense, the Thunder still have averaged 115 points during the past two games. The pace is fast and the ball movement is good for Oklahoma City. I don't see that changing. The Thunder are going to produce their share of points.

The key question is will the Pelicans hold up their end on offense, which they haven't done so far.

New Orleans has nothing to lose now down 3-0 and being at home. The Pelicans are more than capable of scoring points even with Zion Williamson out. They averaged 111.9 points during their last 10 games before this series.

Oklahoma City ranked 11th defensively allowing an average of 112.7 points during the regular season. The Pelicans are overdue to shoot better than 40.3 percent from the field and 27.8 percent from beyond the arc. During the regular season, New Orleans ranked ninth in field goal percentage at 48.6 percent and fourth in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.3.

SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.

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