No choice but to take the Vikings here in a division rivalry here catching more than field goal.  Packers will be the public side no doubt about it especially after last week with them coming back from behind against the Cowboys.  The Vikings have a great defense here and I think can keep Rodgers in check for the most part.  I also don't think Jordy Nelson is 100% and that is Rodgers go to guy.  I know the Vikings are missing some players but  I still think their offense is more than capable because the Packers defense is bad to say the least

Got this line early here and now is up to 13 and probably will go higher.  This one is pretty simple for me.  Miami on offense has looked maybe worst of any team in the NFL.  They flat out struggle to score.  That spells a recipe for disaster when facing a high octane offense like the Falcons who are coming off their bye week and will be fresh.  Falcons will get up early here and Miami can't play catch up

I think we are seeing a very real San Diego St team.  They have won on the road @ Arizona St followed that up with a upset win over Stanford and then in a difficult spot won @ Air Force.  

I think Boise is getting a lot respect because of their name here and the fact they blew out BYU which now looks like one of the worst Division 1 teams.  Boise St just isnt the same team as they have been.  

SDSU blew out UNLV last week as 10.5 point favorites and this seems like a team that they haven't adjusted to that much.  

The wrong team is favored here in this spot.  New Mexico comes in riding high after their bye week and before that it included two underdog SU wins against Tulsa and Air Force who they destroyed.  Fresno St to me is a fake team right now.  Let's look at last week they played maybe the worst division 1 team in San Jose St only beat them 27-10 despite having +4 turnovers.  Since they did push that total odds makers are still giving them credit.  To me there is no doubt New Mexico is the better team.

I'm going to give Florida some respect here as I think they are due for a nice bounce back performance this week.  They were right in the game vs LSU to the very end and could have easily won.  I think the Aggies poured their heart out which I had them last week vs Bama catching all those points.  I do like Mond the QB but will he be up for a challenge on the road.  

Well after what we have seen from BYU this season I think they will throw in the towel now.  They are coming off back to back rivalry games vs Utah St and Boise St in which they lost both and now have to travel to Miss St and play a pissed off Bulldog team coming off a bye.  

This BYU team is only averaging 11 ppg.  The Bulldogs have a solid defense and I'm not going to fault them for losing to Georgia and Auburn.  

I dont see BYU is going to score in this game will be lucky to get over 10 points.  Miss St will be hungry as I mentioned coming off back to back losses and off a bye.  They will keep the first string in here longer than expected 

This line here really makes you think twice about it.  The opener was 6.5 and immediately dropped to 3.  I fully expect this line to go up closer to kick.

Playing in Morgantown is easily one of the most underrated toughest place to play in the country.  I really like what we have seen from WVU and their transfer QB in Grier who has provided a lot spark with the offense.  

Texas Tech is getting a lot of credit here because they haven't lost yet, but we have seen this story a lot with Tech as they tend to fade off as the season goes along.  

Both teams do struggle a little on defense but I will give the edge to the home team here to get a few more stops and cover by more than a field goal

This is just one of those games that Clemson even though they are much better, it's a Friday night @ Cuse and I doubt their interest level is to high.  Clemson QB is expected to play but he is banged up and isn't 100%.  Cuse is a team that actually has improved a lot especially on offense.  I totally expect them to move the ball here on Clemson.  They key for covering in this game is simple.  It's taking care of the ball and not giving Clemson great field position.  I think they do that and are catching Clemson at the right time here 

I think we might be seeing a little bit of overreaction here with the Panthers being 3.5 point favorites.  They are coming off two back to back road wins which one included the Patriots, but I'm not sold on anything I've seen from New England so far.

Wentz and the Eagles to me are the real deal this year.  Mind you they went on the road to Kansas City and were only 4 point dogs in that game and that is the best team in football.  I know the Eagles secondary can be exposed but Funchees isn't healthy.  I believe this is the best team the Panthers have faced so far so we will see how they handle it

I really like the Cowboys here after all this is a rematch from last year in the playoffs and the Packers got the best of them.  I won last week going against the Cowboys and taking the Rams +7 as they won SU.  Now that is creating some good value with Dallas here to respond as Dak will torch the Packers IMO.  I think this will be an exciting game to watch, but the difference will come down the line and the Cowboys are better in the trenches here on both sides.  

This line should obviously be a lot higher than what it is, but we are getting a massive discount because of Carr being out.  I must admit I was very impressed with what EJ Manuel did last week @ Denver vs a great defense in a very tough situation.  I think that gives him great confidence going forward to this week.  The Ravens offense has pretty much been non existent this season only averaging 4.5 yards per play and 270 total for the game.   

I will back the Giants here as it's a do or die situation for them here.  Neither team has won a game yet but I think the Chargers are in big trouble here as they have had 3 straight home games and they have failed to show up.  Now they have to travel west for an early kick here and I think they are done for and will give up here.

This is one of those classic lines they like to set as a 3-1 team going on the road against a 1-3 team and the 1-3 team at home is favored.  Bills in a very tough spot coming off of beating the Falcons last week.  They were lucky to do so because of the turnover battle as they won that 3-0.  

This is a huge game for the Bengals as I call it a must win given the fact they just won their first game last week and will be heading into their bye week after this game and will want some momentum.  The Bengals have a very solid defense as well and the offense finally came alive last week.

I'm not buying into the Jets right now at all.  Let's look at who they have beat and their situation then.  They caught the Dolphins in a great spot as Miami spent nearly two weeks in LA then had to travel across country.  Last week I had the Jets over the Jags as the Jags were in a bad spot coming back from London.  In no way do they deserved to be favored.  I think the Browns will rally here and get their first win of the season.  They also get their first pick in Garrett on field for his first game which will provide a boost to the defense.

The betting public will no doubt be all over Alabama here as they ave covered back to back games.  I think now is the time to fade away.  While the Aggies aren't world beaters themselves they have now found a QB they trust here in Mond who has been very impressive.  The one thing what the Aggies do very well is stop the run and believe they can force Bama into some longer 3rd down conversions which is key.  

I think this Aggies team is playing with a lot of confidence now.  Let's also remember the fact they blew that huge lead vs UCLA in their opening game or else they would be undefeated.  

Give me the Longhorns here as they have improved so much from the opening week in which they lost to Maryland.  Texas has really buckled down on defense especially against the run.  They also took a very good USC @ USC down to the wire and should have won that game. 

I really think this Kansas St team is very overrated as they had to easy cup cake wins to start the season.  The best team they have played was Vanderbilt and they lost that game 14-7.  

TEXAS BLOWS THEM OUT!

I know this is public play, but I really like what I have seen from the Hurricanes this season. Miami is team that is on the rise.  I watched Florida St last week vs Wake and just am not impressed with their QB Blackmon.  Maybe, it's not all his fault but Miami should have no problem in the trenches here as FSU line is pretty weak.  I think this will be one of those games we look back in a month and see how easy it truly was.

I think the Hawkeyes look to get things going on offense before heading into the bye week.  They shouldn't have a problem here as they are facing the worst team in the Big 10 in Illinois.  

This is an Illinois team that let Nebraska run all over them at home last Friday night and we all know how bad the Cornhuskers have looked this season. Illinois is nearly getting out gained by almost 200 yards per game which is a recipe for disaster here.  Iowa will own the trenches here and ultimately blow them out

This game will be the classic Pro's vs Joes.  The Joes will no doubt be all over Penn St here as they have gone 4-1 ATS this season.  The only time they didn't cover was two weeks ago on the road @ Iowa City.  So we have another Big Ten road game and they are heavily favored again but with a huge look ahead game with Michigan on deck.  Northwestern should be playing with a lot of confidence after last week vs Wisconsin as they were right in that game down to the wire.  

Give me the Wolfpack here against an overrated Louisville team.  NC ST only loss came week 1 against South Carolina, but that was a very misleading score as they dominated the game in every way except the final score.  Two weeks ago they did go on the road @ Florida St and come away with a win.  Yes, I realize FSU is banged up but they were still double digit underdogs in that game.  We will see a huge effort here tonight in a hostile environment. 

I'm really not sold on this Raiders team right now.  I do wish they would have played closer to the Redskins last Sunday night though.  I won't be holding the Broncos loss last week @ Buffalo against them at all here.  They were in a very difficult position coming off blowing out the Cowboys prior to that.  

The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the league and they can really control the game here against the Raiders pass happy offense.  The Raiders defense is also one I think is very overrated.  Look for the Broncos to establish the run here and control the ball 

Talk about one of the strangest lines of the week.  I will buy in here as there is no doubt some sharp and big money is moving this line.  

Yes, the Chargers have struggled and the betting public wants nothing to do with them as they have yet to cover a game.  The situation here isn't great for the Eagles as they are coming off a hard fought division win in OT vs the Giants.  

If it wasn't for Rivers last week throwing 3 first half interceptions the game vs the Chiefs would have been totally different.   The Chargers are desperate and need a win they will play hard with their season on the line 

I still dont have much faith in this Cowboys team this year.  First, this is simply a brutal spot for Dallas coming off a short week playing Monday night while the Rams have had extra days off as they played on Thursday.  The Cowboys also don't have much of a home field advantage as one might seem because a lot of visitors always come to the games.  The Rams just look so much better especially on offense and should be able t generate some big plays as the Cowboys secondary is hurting big time right now.  

Grabbed this line early as I think the Vikings are one of the best teams in the NFC and easily have one of the best home field advantages in the NFL.

I'm still not a believer in the Lions team their two wins that did look good at that time now look awful as they beat the Cardinals and Giants.  They are also getting credit for last week as they took the Falcons down to the wire.  

When it comes down to this game quite frankly I need to see it before I believe it.  With that, I mean the Jags will be favored on the road for the first time in 44 games!  They aren't use to being in this position.  People are over reacting here because they destroyed the Ravens last week in London.  

The Jets are clearly not a great team but they are better than what odds makers are giving them credit for.  There was so much talk about how this could be the worst team ever in NFL history.  The Jets do have a very solid defense and I believe they will show up here and make it hard on Bortles 

This is the classic buy low sell high game.  This UCLA team is now not a public favorite after losing @ Memphis in a very difficult spot and were just throttled at Stanford last week.  Despite losing both games they actually out gained their opponent in each.  I think last week we saw the true colors of Colorado having to face a good team for the first time.  Washington didn't even bring their A game but still managed to win by 27.  Bruins lay the number here on the Buffs as they won't be able to keep up here on offense 

I like this spot here for Miami Oh catching Notre Dame of back to back road wins and covers.  However, last was a little misleading for the Irish as they were out gained by the Spartans big time.  The early pick six really did Michigan St in.  This Miami Oh team is the 2nd best in the MAC IMO right now.  They are only giving up 19 points per game while I know they haven't played great competition I like them to keep this closer than what most will believe 

First, I realize this will no doubt be a public play here but this UConn team is just flat out terrible.  They haven't covered a spread yet and just lost to one of the worst teams in the country in East Carolina.  SMU on the other hand is red hot as they have covered in all 4 games.  Their offense is extremely dangerous as they have scored 58,54,36,44.  No way can UConn keep pace with that as they aren't built that way.  

While everyone now is writing off Florida St for the season I think the line is the right time to buy back in.  FSU will be a very angry team and I still believe they are a top 25 team.  Let's not forgot about the huge talent gap here between these two schools as well.

Sure, Wake is 4-0 but their schedule has been cup cake city and this line from just two weeks has dropped two touchdowns.  We know where the value lies here.  

No choice her but to take the underdog in Cuse here.  I think NC ST is getting way to much love for beating Florida St as a 11 point underdog.  Meanwhle, I think the Cuse game @ LSU is being over looked as they gave the Tigers all they wanted last week.  Cuse lost by 9 as 21 point underdogs.  Let's not forgot that NC St has been terrible in this role as a favorite so far.  They are 0-3 ATS as a favorite.  They also have a huge on deck look ahead here with Louisville coming to town next week

Most people here are remembering the Northwestern @ Duke game in which the were favored then got destroyed.  At this time that loss doesn't look so bad.  It's worth noting that both teams are coming off bye weeks as well.  I just don't think you can make Wisconsin that big of favorite here as they really haven't had to play anyone yet.  Maybe they do blow Northwestern out but I will gladly pay to see it

We all know how bad Nebraska has looked this season and now that they are 1-3 ATS the betting public wants no part of them.  However, this is a huge discount here as Illinois to me is the worst team in the Big 10.  This Illinois team almost gave up 700 total yards to South Florida.  Nebraska has actually dominated the previous two games in the box scores, but nothing to show for it on the spread end.  They get the job done pretty here

GOLD'S THURSDAY NIGHT NFL GAME OF THE MONTH!

Love the value we are getting here with the Packers at home in a bounce back game.  Yes, the Packers looked horrible against the win less Bengals but winning in OT can serve as a huge momentum boost.  The Bears also went into OT in a huge upset victory over the Steelers.  The betting public will no doubt take note of both those performances and lean toward the Bears.  The Bears defense on the road looked awful @ Tampa in week 2 and I think that will be a trend here fade them on road look to back at home. 

The Packers here should have no problem with the Bengals who haven't scored a TD this year so far.  Dalton has looked absolutely horrible and I dont why that would change here.  Yes, the Packers are banged up no don't but they still have Rodgers here.  The Packers are also a team that play so much better at home than they do on the road.  I expect a big bounce back here after the Packers got embarrassed Sunday night. 

Another game here where we are catching value with a division rival.  The Chargers are 0-2 to start the season and most are writing them off right now, but they could easily be 2-0 with a couple field goals.  The Chiefs will certainly draw their attention here and the Chargers need this more than ever.  I trust Rivers to get the job done here. 

Let's go ahead and lay the points here with the Titans as the whole public will be all over Wilson and the Seahawks.  Let's face the facts here that the Seahawks have looked awful especially on offense with the worst OL in the league right now.  The Titans are still huge sleepers here this year.  Their defense is solid and I think they can control the game here.  Their loss to the Raiders in week 1 I won't hold against them as they look like a top 5 team in the NFL

Just think this is a total over reaction here as Miami just played their first game of the season @ San Diego in a game they could have easily lost.  They were also on the road a lot during that stretch because of the Hurricane.  Last weeks results doesn't mean the Dolphins should be nearly a full TD favorite on the road to division rivals.  This will be the Jets first home game and they will be ready

Lets take another desperate team here in the Saints who struggled last week vs the Patriots and in week 1 against the Vikings.  I think those two teams when healthy are two of the best in their conference and the Saints in a division game don't deserve to be 6 point dogs.  The Panthers havent proved anything on offense right now so the Saints shouldn't much of an issue on defense either

Love Stanford here Saturday night against the Bruins and they have owned this series winning 9 straight and covering 8 of those games.  The betting public won't have anything to do with Stanford here as they have lost 2 straight games and were upset by San Diego St last week.  The key here is that UCLA is extremely over rated and get a lot of love because of their QB Josh Rosen. However, the Bruins defense is pretty pathetic to say the least and Stanford will control this game from start to finish 

Washington just doesn't get much love from the average fans or the oddsmakers.  They made the college football playoff last year and are barely double digit favorites against a Colorado team that lost a ton from last year.  Yes, Colorado is off to a good start, but the level of competition they are about to face here is huge.  The Huskies have a great defense and I believe will shut them down.  These two team met last year in the PAC championship game and Washington destroyed them then and will do it again Saturday

I did miss a better line here, but still like the value here with TCU who isn't getting enough respect.  I really like what they have already done on the road this season going into Arkansas and beating them down as they controlled that game.  With Oklahoma St's high powered offense and covering every spread so far they are getting a ton of public which Vegas realizes and has definitely inflated this line 

Make no mistake about it that this Tulsa team is very very talented.  I suspect they will hang a number here on New Mexico this weekend.  Tulsa is coming off a tough loss @ Toledo one of the better MAC teams if not the best as 7 points underdogs and had a shot to win that game.  They now New Mexico coming off two back to back tough games vs rivals in Boise St and New Mexico St.  They will also be without their starting QB here which is a huge concern because they need all the points to keep up with Tulsa here

Really hard spot here for Pitt after they are coming off getting beat up by Penn St two weeks ago and then were embarrassed by Oklahoma St last week.  I think this is a very difficult spot here for them to bounce back against a option team.  Tech has also had a week off here to prepare which is a huge factor here.  The Panthers really struggle on defense this year giving up 7.7 yards per play.  

I could really see Tennessee sleeping walking through this game with an early start here.  They are coming off such a deflating loss against their rival Florida losing by a hail mary pass as time expired.  This is the classic sandwich spot with another rival in Georgia coming to town next week.  You know they are looking ahead to that one.  UMass isn't as bad their record indicates.  

GOLD'S MONDAY NIGHT LOCK OF THE MONTH

The Broncos won't be a team that most look to back this season.  The Cowboys on the other hand will be one everyone looks to back coming off last year where they won the betting public a lot of money.  Now that they covered last week vs their rival I think they are in for a real test @ Denver here vs a extremely tough defense 

I realize this is a huge line here but the Jets are the worst team in the league facing maybe the best offense in the league.  The Raiders will have no problem scoring here and while their defense isn't anything special they won't have an issue as the Jets offense is pretty bad

The Browns made a good showing last week vs the Steelers in a back door cover last in the game.  I think the rookie QB Kizer has a real test ahead of him here with the Ravens defesne being one of the best in the league.  This line should be around double digits 

I think we are seeing a huge over reaction here with thise game based on last weeks results.  Yes, the Chiefs looked great on national tv in a huge win over the Patriots. Well, I wasn't very impressed with the Pats defense and Wentz was one of the most impressive QB's in week 1.  For a team that generally doesn't score a lot of points giving 6 is a ton

GOLD'S FIVE STAR LOCK!

Love Louisville to get revenge from last year as they dropped a heart breaker in death valley.  Clemson went on to win the national title lost some big players on defense but also lsot their stud Watson at QB.  Now since they have looked good for 2 weeks they are favored here in this spot?  I think this is a huge over reaction.  Louisville has the reigning Heisman winner in Jackson and this Louisville team isn't getting respect because of their final score out comes but they have actually dominated if you look at the box score. 

I just think that Wyoming is in over their head here for this game.  The athletes aren't there to compete with this style of play.  If you watched Oregon last week they were up 42-14.  They totally dominated the Huskers racking up a total of 566 yards.  Wyoming had a lot of hype and a large part of that was because of their QB Allen.  I just don't think this team has enough talent around him.  Oregon seems like they have returned to their old style of putting up huge numbers.  I think they easily get to 40+ and hold of Wyoming here

This is one of those games that will be under looked here.  Kent St might end up proving to be one of the top 10 worst teams in the country.  They were huge favorites last week over Howard and only won by 7, but were outgained in that game by 53 yards.  Kent St is giving up 7.5 yards per play.  Marshall will have no problem moving the ball.  They will also have no problem stopping the one dimensional offense in Kent St also.  

Hard to pass up the Gators here coming off a bye week plus they will be eager to bounce back here after losing week 1 to Michigan.  They will also want revenge for the heart break they suffered last year @ Tennessee.  The Gators defense is elite and will hold the Vols offense in check.  Even though the announcement hasn't been made I think the suspended Florida players will be reinstated here as well.  They are better in every category

SMU is very much an improved team this year and this just feels like way to many points given the situation.  TCU looked very impressive last week in a win @ Arkansas.  That has this line being inflated here.  This is a little rivalry game, but I think SMU will give it all they have while TCU is in the perfect sandwich spot having @ Oklahoma St on deck.  While I know TCU hasn't beat any world beaters you still have to take into fact they have crushed both opponents and covered both games. 

This line will go down as I expect big money to back Pitt here especially from what we saw from them last week vs Penn St as that final score was very misleading as Pitt actually out gained them for the game.  They had a huge advantage in 10 first downs as well, it was just the turnovers that cost them.  I think Pitt will look to control the ball and the clock here which will frustrate the Pokes as they are a run and gun offense.  Keep them off the field and they can't score. 

This is one of those lines that you look at and automatically think hmmm something is weird.  Well there are a lot of negatives here against UCLA.  Yes, they have the stud QB in Rosen which the whole public knows about.  Now this is an early kick off time which will 9 AM for the UCLA kids.  That is a lot more difficult than the average person thinks.  Second, their defense is terrible if you watched the first game vs Texas AM who has proven to be a bottom feeder in the SEC.  Last they have a huge look ahead game here also.  

Both of these teams just looked awful Week 1.  I do expect both to bounce back but I think the Texans will bigger here as I expect more of Watson than Savage.  Also Watt left the game hurting the texans defense.  Quite simply the Bengals aren't good enough to be laying this amount of points to hardly anyone.  I think this line really comes down closer to kick

We have a big division game here set the double header on Monday night.  There is no doubt the Broncos defense is legit but can their offense do anything?  Rivers is still a quality QB that gets the job on a regular basis.  It has always been the def that has let them down.  I think the Chargers are a sneaky team this year and getting 3.5 is a gift here tonight

Really like the value here with the Niners as they aren't getting enough credit.  The general public is over reacting here with the Panthers and Mccaffrey.  With the big names the Panthers have is creating this line way to high it should be closer to a PK

This game will clearly be a smart money vs public joe money.  We all know what the Falcons did last season and how it ended for them.  The Super Bowl hangover curse is real and I believe will play in a big effect this season for them.  The Bears aren't as bad as what people are making them out to be.  Numbers wise they had a lot better season than their record indicated.  This number won't be here long to grab the 7

The line has already moved in the Cardinals favor and expect to to keep climbing.  I'm not very high on this Lions team coming into this season.  I just simply think the Cardinals are the better team all around the board here.  Last year was a down year but all signs indicate they are ready to make a run.  Injuries played a big part in why they struggled last season.  

Are the Browns really going to be that bad?  I truly don't think so and now is the time to buy on them as I believe they will cover a lot of games early in the year based on false perceptio alone.  Sure the Steelers have all the weapons here but Bell situ is interesting and not sure if he is 100% ready.  Browns have a great OL and enough play makers to keep it close here