Dont like Miami at all here in this spot coming off a huge Monday win over the Patriots.  Now they are on a short travel week against another division rival.  The Bills still have a chance for the playoffs so you can expect a big effort. 

Just don't think the Ravens should be laying this much to anyone on the road.  This team gave it all they had last week against the Steelers.  This Browns team should have won last week having a 21-7 lead going into the 4th against Green Bay and they blew the lead and failed to cover giving up a TD in OT  

Two teams here I think going in different directions if you watch the game.  The Cardinals are playing with a lot of hear right now beating 2 playoff teams in the last 3 weeks only losing to the Rams.  The Redskins have completely thrown in the towel for the season and have so many injuries right now I think they lose out right

Let's take the Colts here tonight as we see one of the oddest things in the NFL.  The Broncos were home dogs last week to the Jets and now are favored on the road?  This is a case that you very very rarely see.  So out of sure principle you have to take the home dog.  The Colts last two home games were against playoff teams and they lost to Pitt by 3 and the Titans by 4.  

I'm not a believer in this Titans team at despite their record.  They beat the Texans and Colts the last two games who are two of the worst teams in the league.  People are forgetting that this Cards team two weeks ago beat the Jags 

GOLD'S FIVE STAR LOCK

This is the spot here to back the Rams as they are coming off a loss @ Minnesota that ended up being a blowout.  The Saints are red hot right now but the teams they have been playing aren’t exactly world beaters.  The betting public loves offense but give me the home team and their good defense 

The Titans shouldn’t be laying more than a FG on the road.  I need to see more from this team before I am a believer.  The Colts while they may not be racking up the wins they are still a competitive team especially at Home.

The line just had been inflated big time as they Eagles continis to blow teams out. I don’t think that will happen here as there is no motivation for them to do so.  Also the Bears play a style that generally keeps them in the ball game.  

Cant lay this big of number with the Chiefs as they have looked really bad the last month.  Is this team capable of blowing the Bills out sure they are, but I need to see it first.  I think we get an extra motivated Bills team here with Tyrod returning at QB. 

The Bengals saved their season last week with a win at Denver.  Now there is no doubt we will get a motivated team to show up against a division rival.  The Browns after last week losing another game in the 4th, they are running out of steam here. 

I think we are going to see a pretty max effort here from Fresno St trying to beat Bosie St, but the case here is that the Bulldogs actually believe they can.  The betting public will gladly lay the points with Boise simply because they are a house hold name now to the average fan in football.  Fresno St brings a nasty defense to the table at home giving up just 2.9 yards per carry.  I think Boise is on upset alert here

This Duke team is a lot better than they are getting credit for here.  They had a stretch where they lost 3 games in a row and they were all by 7 points.  Those are clearly coin flip games that didn't go their way but the markets react to that since they lost SU.  

This is also a role that Wake isn't familiar with as they have only been a double digit favorite once they season and that was against Utah St.  

Duke showed last week they still have some fight left in them with a great performance against Georgia Tech.  I think we get another here and with Wake coming off a huge win for them beating NC St I think this is the right spot

This is a nice in state rivalry but only one team generally show up in this game and that is Georgia Tech.  They won out right last year in Athens, lost by 6 the year before and the two before that both went into OT.  While Georgia can still control their own destiny here I think the Yellowjackets would love nothing more than to spoil their season.  When playing Georgia Tech and their option attack you really need to be fully committed in stopping that or they will make you pay.  I also think Tech last week was clearly looking ahead to this game 

Really like UCLA here to finish the season strong and they need this game in order to make a bowl game.  They just fired head coach Jim Mora Jr but I think they will be a good thing for this team.  Last week put up over 500 total yards on USC and out gained them by 84 yards.  

Yes, the Bruins struggle on defense but Cal is terrible on offense averaging under 3 yards per play rushing.  Cal is just 1-4 on the road this season and gave everything they had against their rival last week 

Gotta like Texas here after we saw what they did @ West Virginia last week.  Texas has won 3 of their last 4 games and could easily be 8-3 right now with two other games that came down to the final possession and they lost both.  They also have a lot better defense that can maintain Tech and their air raid offense that does struggle on the road.  It's also a night game which adds value with the home team 

I'm actually shocked that Iowa is taking this much money.  I really think both teams are very similar it's just that Iowa had a out of body experience and beat Ohio St which everyone remembers.  This Huskers team didn't quit last week when they got down early to Penn St.  That is always a good sign to look for at this point in the season.  I also think since it's senior day Nebraska will show up plus they have the revenge angle here as well.  Iowa has nothing to play for here period.   

I'm not putting much stock into last weeks game as the Giants beat the Chiefs.  The Chiefs clearly aren't the same team as they were the first month of the season.  I think that has the Giants over valued plus the Chiefs had some very costly turnovers.  I also think Washington is the most underrated team in the NFL now.  People forget just a couple games ago they went into a healthy Seattle team and won on their turf.  Their recent losses including last week where they dominated the Saints for 85% of that game and blew it late.  I think they rally here and destroy the Giants 

The Vikings just don't get much love and all they do is simply win and have won 6 straight.  They have covered 5 straight now.  I really don't have much faith in this Lions team as they have beat the Packers without Rodgers, the Browns which they could have easily lost, and the Bears last week as that was another coin flip game as well. Vikings defense is nasty and will contain Stafford and company here

Jumped on this line early for obvious reasons and love it.  I think the Eagles are the best team in football and they will be ready for a huge Sunday night showdown.  

The Cowboys I think are falling a part because of their injuries and suspension.  I know odds makers say Zeke is only worth one point but he is clearly worth a lot more to that offense if you watched them last week.  

Wentz in his 2nd year his making a strong case for MVP honors.  He can further cement that with a huge performance on the biggest stage.  Eagles also have a very good defense that can hold Dak in check.

I know the Raiders have been disappointing this season given the fact what they did last year.  I just like this spot for them.

Oakland is coming off their bye week which I think is huge this time of the season especially given the struggles they have had.  I also like that it is being played on a neutral field, but the Raiders are familiar with this place in Mexico City while this is new ground for Brady and the Patriots.

The Patriots are playing well sitting at 7-2 but the recent teams that have beat you can honestly look at them and say 0 of them are making the playoffs.  I also don't trust their defense against Carr with time to prepare

It's almost an automatic fade for me when a team blows the doors off another.  I think we are seeing a huge over reaction here on the Saints.  

This Redskins team is better than their record.  Look at their last 4 losses they were against the Vikings, Eagles, Chiefs and Cowboys when they were at full strength.  those are 4 of the top 10 teams in the league easily.  

I also think the Saints have had a pretty easy schedule up to this point beating Green Bay without Rodgers, the Bears, Tampa, Buffalo and Detriot.  Can we really say right now that any of these are playoff teams?

Redskins keep this close and might win it outright

Can you believe the day has come that the Jaguars are even favored on the road let alone more than a touch down?  I cant believe it either!  

Browns haven't won a game and the betting public wants nothing to do with them.  However, last week against Detroit they should have won that game outright let alone cover the 2 touchdowns they were getting it was a real bad beat.  

I know the Jags are 6-3 but wins over the Chargers Bengals and Colts their last 3 doesn't really cut it.  I'm not actually sure their QB is that much better than Kizer.  

Browns have a defense to hold Bortles in check pretty easily

Really surprised at all this steam move here on the Texans.  I don't think we will find a motivated Texans team anymore losing 3 straight and 4 of 5 sitting at 3-6 with no hopes of the playoffs now.  

The Cardinals still have the hope I think and I like them here getting the extra time coming off a Thursday night game.  Arizona has the better defense and they can get back to .500 here at 5-5 which will put them still in the playoff picture.  

I will take the desperate team

Everything in this game goes to the spot.  This is a big rivalry game and I think Cal will show up here.  Cal is coming off their bye week and will be ready here.  Stanford is coming off their biggest win of the season in a upset win over Washington.  Now they also have Notre Dame on deck so we know they will be looking ahead here. 

Like Missouri here as a month ago this team was looking like they may only win a couple games.  Well, now they are on fire covering 6 straight and winning 4 straight.  Their offense has really clicked here and should against Vandy who I thought threw in the towel last week against Kentucky which isn't a good sign.  Missouri also could make a bowl game here with their 6th win.  

Such a tough spot for Notre Dame here coming off a dream crushing loss @ Miami.  It's going to be hard for ND to even get up for this game.  I also don't think ND will prepare very hard for this option team.  Navy on the other hand will be motivated and they can keep this close

This is the ultimate flat spot for Iowa St who has had a nice ride here this season making a lot of headlines, but I Baylor is still playing hard despite having a very bad year.  Last weeks results was very misleading against Texas Tech as they out gained them by over a 100 yards but lost by double digits.  

I think the early kick here really helps Arkansas.  Miss St is coming off a a huge deflating loss as they actually lead the game in the 2nd half against Bama , but came up short.  It's going to be hard for them to get up here as there is nothing to play now.  I do think Arkansas will show up even though they have had a disappointing season.  

I think it's safe to say that the Dolphins season is on the line here tonight as they sit at 4-4 coming off back to back losses.  The thing here is that both teams have good defenses and just average offenses.  So the fact that Carolina has to win by double digits with a below average offense I have to take Miami here.  This is going to come down to the turnover battle.  If the Dolphins take care of it they cover this game easily as there won't be too many points scored

Loving the Falcons here in this game.  They are simply due for a breakout performance after having 3 straight road game.  They should have won last week if it wasn't for Julio dropping an easy TD catch.  Cowboys are without Zeke here which will mean a long day for Dak

The Lions shouldn't be laying double digits to anyone in the NFL.  The reason this line is this high is because they are coming off Monday night win over Grenn Bay and covered easy I dont think this game will be as easy

The Bengals have a lot wrong with them right now and I want no part of them.  They have been out gained by over 600 yards in the last 3 games combined.  This Titans team has all the motivation here looking for a playoff berth

Redskins just 1-5 ATS L6 home games.

Redskins 1-5 ATS L6 games following a SU win

Vikings 23-8 ATS L31 games following a SU win

Love TCU here catching a TD and this line should drop a lot as I expect the sharps to be all over this game.  With Oklahoma beating their rival last week as an underdog you can expect the public to be all over them.  TCU to me is by far the most balanced team in the Big 12 and they by far have the best defense and are facing the worst defense in the league.  I think TCU wins this game outright but I love all the points I can get

Well this is Miss St game of the year here Saturday night.  I think the Cowbells rise to the occasion simply because this Bama team right now is very banged up.  It showed a lot last weekend as LSU who has a bad offense actually out gained them in the game.  I know Miss St did struggle against Georgia and Auburn but both of those games were early in the season and on the road.  They also had a new QB to start the season as well. Miss St will throw everything they have here at this game I think they keep it close

Let's take Purdue here as Northwestern luck simply runs out this weekend.  We are talking about a NW team that has won 3 straight games in OT.  They clearly could have lost all 3 but didn't and actually covered in all those.  So the fact they are laying more than a FG given how close they play games you have to look at the much improved Purdue here.

Love Utah here in this game with their QB back in action.  Here is another situation where Utah can make a bowl game with a win here.  I think they get the job done.  This is a classic sandwich spot for Washington St coming off a big win over Stanford last week and have their rival Washington on deck.  Utah is an underrated place to play at and their defense can flat out get after you.  Remember this Washington St team has lost @ Zona and @ Cal 

I see a extremely motivated Vandy team here to get their first SEC win, not only with they be hungry for that but also still have a chance to become bowl eligible.  Kentucky is 6-3 but they have failed to cover in 5 straight games now.  They also have a huge look ahead game with Georgia on deck.  I also think a large part of Vand'ys struggles is because they have played te toughest SEC schedule you could ask for  

Most people are forgetting that Auburn still has a chance here at the playoffs as they sit 5-1 in the conference and their two remaining games are both home against Georgia this week and Bama.  Auburn has a great running attack averaging 5 yards per rush and this will by far be the best team Georgia has played so far.  Their rush defense will also be the best Georgia has seen as they only give up 2.8 yards per carry. 

I like this spot here for the Gophers.  Minnesota brought in first year head coach PJ Fleck to shake things up and while the record isn't anything special this Gopher team doesn't have a ton of talent, but Fleck won't let them quit here and he would love to take them to a bowl game which in order to do so they need this one.

The Cornhuskers are done after last week losing in OT to Northwestern.  I doubt they are highly interested here as they have Penn St on deck next week.  I know the Gophers aren't great on offense but the Huskers defense isn't anything special either so you give the advantage to the home team.  Gophers also have a respectable defense and Nebraska still struggles with QB play in Lee.  

Love the Cyclones this week as they continue to get disrespect by the books.  You cant fault them last week and they were in a terrible spot on the road at West Virginia, but actually fought back and should have won that game.  I think most people are forgetting that Iowa St still has everything to play for here as they hold tie breakers over TCU and OU so with a win here they could move themseleves right back into the Big 12 title conversation.  

I think this is a super cheap price we are getting on Eastern Michigan tonight.  So looking at it you ask yourself why is a 3-6 team favored on the road over a 5-4 team.  Well EMU has played just a brutal schedule and have been very unlucky to say the least.  They are though 7-2 ATS this season.

Let's go back and look at their schedule with a 3 point loss @ Nothern Illinois, 3 point loss to Western Michigan, 1 point loss @Army, 5 point loss @ Toledo and 4 point loss @ Kentucky.  This team has literally been in every game and only one of those were at home.  They are a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road while Central is 0-3 ATS at home. 

I'm not a believer in this Lions team what so ever as they benefited early in the season from the the turnovers.  Now that those are starting to equal out they aren't winning games.  Green Bay has owned this series at home as Stafford has never won there.  I think with them coming off the bye and their season on the line I think they win SU

The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and have gave plenty of time for back up Stanton to get more familiar.   I would say he didn't really need much time because he does know the system and should be more than comfortable.  The Cardinals season is on the line here this week as they sit at 3-4 and can't afford to give up ground off their bye week.  I think the trade the 49ers made this week could easily be a distraction as Bethard the starting QB hasn't looked good and now probably has less confidence more than ever.  

I love the Seahawks here this week and even though they have some injuries on their defense it shouldn't affect them to much because the Redskins are worse.  I'm not going into detail on all of them but Washington has key injuries up and down the lineup especially on the OL which is never a good sign play @ Seattle.  I think the Cousins is in for a long day and the Seahawks take care of business early 

I was ahead of the line move here as now the Falcons are favored by 2 in most spots.  This Panthers team just isnt the same and they just traded away their best offensive player in Benjamin to the Bills.  Carolina really didn't have a running game so far and now I doubt they have much of a passing game.  I think last week with the Falcons winning a close one gave them some confidence back 

I'm not a big believer in this Falcons team at all and think they are getting a lot of respect because most remember the blowout on Thursday against the Dolphins.  I tend to fade those teams next time out because they are over valued.  The Falcons really don't have any deep threats here and the Titans are good against the run.  Another main key here is that the Titans are coming off their bye week and they won back to back games before that.  So they should be riding high here

To me the Rams simply aren't getting enough respect here as being one of the better teams especially in the NFC.  I think they are the real deal and will have no problem shutting down a Giants offense averaging 16 points per game.  

Both teams are coming off their bye week, but we know only one time has something to play for here.  The Rams have won 4 of their last 5 games with the only loss being to Seattle in a game they actually dominated and should have won.  They will be focused here and get the job done 

It seems like now that Arizona is the flavor of the month and yes they are hot, but the lines hve adjusted big time toward them as they have won 4 straight games.  

So last week USC came into a game where they were just throttled the week before on national tv against Notre Dame.  They were playing @ Arizona St who has been playing well and went into Tempe and just beat down the Sun Devils.  That game shows me that haven't quit on this season and still are focused.  The Trojans still have the PAC 12 title to play for and they seem to know that.  

I really like this spot to fade Tennessee who lost a heart breaker @ Kentucky last week and I think that is the last straw.  I dont expect much of an effort here as everyone knows Butch Jones is going to be fired.  Playing Southern Miss they could care less about.  Southern Miss on the other hand will be up or this game trying to make a statement against a SEC school.  For me this game is all about motivation here and quite frankly the Vols have zero interest here

All the Longhorns do is cover spreads.  They are 7-1 ATS with 7 being in a row after they didnt cover week 1.  Herman his Longhorns playing very good football, but they aren't getting respect because they don't many games.  They dominated Baylor on the road last week and were short favorites.  I also think people are forgetting that this Texas team went into Ames and beat Iowa St who is now one of the hottest teams in college football.  I also think this is a good spot for Texas as they will be motivated while TCU had their undefeated season crushed last week to Iowa St.  

Love Oklahoma St in this big time rivalry vs Oklahoma.  The Cowboys have Mason Rudolph and James Washington a combo extremely dangerous against a bad Oklahoma secondary.  The fact that Oklahoma has beaten them the last two years and they only have one loss as well is keeping this line lower than it should be.  Oklahoma hasn't looked very good as of late and don't let last weeks results against Tech fool you either.  Oklahoma St has a much better defense and has won a couple games scoring in the 20's or lower which is something they could never do in the past.  Cowboys all day here!

This is a rivalry game that is often over looked in this league.  Georgia couldn't be any hotter right now coming off a huge win over Florida last week and now this is a classic sandwich spot as the Bulldogs have their biggest game on deck going to Auburn.  I just think this number is way to big considering Missouri who is the worst team in the conference was 28 point dogs @ Georgia.  All Georgia wants to do is simply win the game they don't need anymore blowouts to prove they are legit 

I will admit here is I'm not a huge fan of this West Virginia defense, but given this spot it's a must play against Iowa St.  The Cyclones are in a very difficult spot now this week after upsetting #4 TCU.  They have all the sudden moved into the top 15 in the polls.  I do like this Cyclone team, but now they aren't sneaking up on anyone.  I do think West Virginia has something to play for and just wonder how much Iowa St has left in the tank.

Let's go with the Red Raiders here who have lost 3 straight games and will be hungry here to make a bowl sitting at 4 wins.  I really dont trust this Kansas St team as their QB is very questionable and even if he does start he isn't 100%.  Last week they were actually outplayed against Kansas and really should have lost that.  Tech actually played Oklahoma a lot closer than what the final score indicates.  They shouldn't have a problem here moving the ball up and down the field and only laying 3 is a nice short price 

This is just a lot of points for the Bills to be laying here in a prime time divisional game.  I think the Jets are a lot better than their record actually they could have easily beat the Patriots 3 games back which was a bad call at the end in that game.  2 games back they lost to Miami as they held a 14 point lead going into the 4th.  Last week they were unfortunate against the Falcons and could have easily won that game also.  I think the Bills blowout last week over the Raiders is being very overrated here.   

Let's grab the points here with Temple as they are coming off their bye week and just played Army who runs similar offense to Navy here.  So with that being said they have had plenty of time to prepare for this option attack.  Also Navy QB is going to play, but clearly isn't 100% healthy.   

I have no choice but to back the Chiefs here in this situation as they have lost back to back games creating some value here.  Also I really like Andy Reid coming off extra time to prepare as he might be the best coach in the league with extra time.  

I want no part of this Denver team as they struggle big time on offense getting shut out @ SD their last game and laid a complete egg against the Giants.  I think they are a mess right now and the Chiefs defense in Arrowhead on prime time game you have to love

I added this play now because of what took place Friday with the Texans football team and their owner.  He made a mistake and misspoke, but it caught big attention and their stud Hopkins didn't practice because of this.  I think this is a huge distraction here now even though the Texans were coming off their bye week.  Seattle hasn't been that impressive this year but their defense at home with a rookie QB is a different animal.  

I'm banking on the Falcons turning it around and starting with this game right here.  Everyone thought this Jets team would be a lot worse than the Browns and now that they have covered and even won some games the line has dropped a ton.  I like the Falcons to respond here in what I would consider a must win game because their next 3 games are @Carolina vs Dallas and @ Seattle.  I think they get their offense back on track here as we saw the Dolphins last week be able to move up and down the field on them

The value here is simply to great to pass up with San Francisco.  Sure the 49ers didn't look great against Dallas last week but remember they were only 6 point underdogs.  And yes I realize they aren't at home now but it's not like they have much of a home field advantage anyways.  You always have to look to fade teams coming off an impressive National televised game especially on a short week.  Eagles only care about winning this game not blowing them out 

I really expect this line to keep on climbing and go above 10 as we get closer to Sunday.  There is no way the Bears can play like they have the last two weeks and walk away with a win especially at New Orleans.  Their offense will have to show some life here if they want any chance.  Saints look vastly improved right now and I they will be able to score while the Bears playing catch up will be  disaster 

I know this game is being played in London and quite frankly anything can happen.  The fact it is being played there is giving us a great line though because this Browns team is just pathetic.  They are starting Kizer again and with that great Vikings defense I expect them to pounce all over him.  The Browns will be lucky to reach double digits and I expect a couple gifts coming their way as well.  

So USC despite being 1-7 ATS on the year is still favored here.  Arizona St is making the case for one of the biggest surprises along with Iowa St especially if they win this game.  The markets just simply havent adjusted enough here as  I think ASU should be favored.  I also think it's a hard situation for USC to bounce back here as they were just destroyed last week vs Notre Dame which ND was my play of the week!  I think ASU pulls the so called upset 

Now is the time to back Duke here as the line has been very inflated due to the fact that Va Tech is coming off a blowout win and Duke has lost 4 straight games.  How much is this line inflated now well, Duke was less than a TD dog at home vs Miami and now getting 16 here.  Their most recent 3 losses have all came by 7 points so a combined total of 21 the last 3 weeks.  It's also worth noting that Tech has a huge look ahead game with undefeated Miami next week.

Last week was one of the worst misleading scores you can find as Purdue lost the game outrigt against Rutgers but out gained them by 257 yards.  Rutgers only had 8 first downs all game.  Nebraska is a team even though coming off their bye week I think they are throwing in the towel for the season.  

Got a really good line here with Miss St who I think is jsut the better team on both sides of the ball here.  I realize the Aggies are coming off their bye week but they are just 5-16 ATS coming off their bye last 21 games.  The Bulldogs only two losses are @ Auburn and @ Georgia.  So you can't fault them for that.  The Aggies defense is no good and I don't think they can contain the Bulldogs here

So we have two teams here coming off the bye but I think two teams heading in opposite directions.  I don't think odds makers have adjusted enough here for Vandy as they are just 2-5 ATS.  Vandy has lost 4 straight and hasn't covered in either one of those games.  During those 4 games they have been outgained by over 1,100 yards.  South Carolina can become bowl eligible here with a win and I don't think they will have a problem covering the TD 

Let's lay the number here with TCU as I think this is a legit team to make the playoffs.  This line two weeks ago would have been 17 at least.  Now that the Cyclones have had some success they are getting a little to much respect.  Just to put into perspective Iowa St was 5 point dogs against Texas at home coming off a bye.  Now they are only 6 point dogs to a lot better team.  I think now is the time to sell Iowa St

Let's take a look here at Ohio St laying what might look like a big number.  First, the questino we have to ask is how good is that Michigan team?  Well I had Penn St last week because I wasn't very high on Michigan and turned out to be right.  So to me that win doesn't look as good as what others might think.

Now, Ohio St is a team that has this game circled here as they know they can't lose anymore if they want to make the playoffs.  Granted the competition hasn't been the greatest here lately for them, but they are still taking care of business when it comes to the spreads.  

Let's go ahead and grab the Dolphins here as I expect this line to come down.  This team is playing with a ton of confidence right now and are catching a very bad and banged up Ravens team.  The Ravens at this moment shouldn't be laying more than a FG at home to any team outside of the usual handful.  

This to me seems like an over reaction to Rodgers being out.  I know Hundley didn't look good when he came in, but you have to remember when you dont count on playing and then boom all of the sudden you are in it's a very tough situation.  I also don't trust Drew Brees outside on the grass either.  I'm not sold on the Saints defense here to be favored.  I also don't think the public will want anything to do with the Packers here either

The Ravens right now are a complete mess plain and simple.  They had two special teams touch down last weekend and still lost the game at home to the Bears.  They have a mountain of inuries and a lot are to key players.  In fact, they still have some questionable for the game.  This Vikings team is the real deal as they rank in the top 10 in both total defense and offense.  Ravens have trouble scoring anyways and believe they will here as well.

Like the Dolphins here to get revenge on the Jets as the first time around the Dolphins were favored by 5.5 and lost SU.  However, during that time was when this Dolphins team was experiencing Hurricane Irma and they had some terrible travel.  Now they are settled in and you can see how good this defense is.  I'm not buying the Jets here because they have had the benefit of catching teams at the right time.  

Going to ride with the Rams here in this London game.  This Rams team is for real and I don't think they are being priced accordingly because no one thought they would be this good.  The Rams are clearly better on both sides of the ball here.  With the decline that we have seen from Carson Palmer this year I think their defense will be a huge issue for him.  

Odds makers have made a big mistake here I believe with West Virginia.  They have a ton of momentum coming from behind last week against Texas Tech and will have absolutely no problem moving the ball against one of worst defenses in the country.  I think Baylor plain and simple has now thrown in the towel for the season after getting destroyed 59-16 last week vs Oklahoma St

Love Notre Dame here as their QB is expecting to play here in this game.  They are coming off their bye week while USC is coming off a hard fought win over Utah in which it was a game they were favored by 2 touchdowns and barely won.  USC has some serious hole in their defense and are missing some key players on offense.  USC is getting a lot of respect because of their 6-1 record, but they are just 1-6 ATS.  Notre Dame would be undefeated if it wasn't for Georgia beating them by just one point.  This Notre Dame team is for real 

This is a big time revenge game here for Penn St as they lost by 39 at Michigan last year.  That was in large part due to the fact that Penn St was playing with walk ons everywhere because of all their injuries.  This Penn St team is legit this year and with them coming off their bye week I expect them to pour it on a Michigan team who just doesn't look very good this season.  They have played a pretty weak schedule and have looked bad against teams like Cincy and Air Force on their home field.  

Don't think odds makers have caught up with how good this UCF team is as they have covered every game so far this season.  I like them here in this match up and a large part of that is because their coach Scott Frost is all to familiar with the option back in his days at Nebraska.  UCF is so explosive here on offense and with the style that Navy plays strictly running the ball I think they will have to play catch up and it won't be pretty for them

Herman has this Texas team playing with a lot of heart right now.  I liked what I saw last week from them as they got down early and could have folded like years past, but chose to claw their way back into the game.  Herman is an amazing 13-0 ATS as a dog in his career.  That doesn't happen by accident.  The jury is still out on Oklahoma St as we don't really know how good they are.  Let's take the points here 

Love the Steelers here as the betting public is going to run and grab the Chiefs again as they have covered every game so far this season.

The Steelers will easily be the more motivated team especially after last weeks results where Big Ben thorough 5 interceptions.  I think he responds in a great way.  The Steelers have improved a lot on the defensive side of the football this season.  

The Chiefs have a lot of key inuries right now with Kelce being out who is a bigger loss because he is Smith's blanket.  I think the Steelers can create some big plays as the Chiefs secondary is banged up.  They can get the running game going as well with Houston their best LB being questionable.  

I know the Cardinals haven't looked pretty by any means this year.  A large part of that is due to the fact they lost their best player in Johnson in game 1 @ Detroit.  Earlier this week they made a huge trade to get Adrian Peterson.  While I know the impact won't be right away and can be over blown.  I don't think the Bucs deserved to be favored here based on what we have seen from them either.  The Cardinals still have a very good defense and their division is still up for grabs I see them taking care of business on their home field 

This might be the wrong side but I last week was a fluke for the Jags.  We are all aware of what took place as they had 3 pick sixes against the Steelers and ultimately won the game because of that.  

The Rams out played the Seahawks last week and should have walked away with an easy win even despite having committed 5 turnover for the game.  

I remind you just two weeks ago this Jags team lost to the Jets.  Do we really know what we are getting from them and should they be favored by 3 over a team that has proven themselves this year?