Let's lay the number here with TCU as I think this is a legit team to make the playoffs.  This line two weeks ago would have been 17 at least.  Now that the Cyclones have had some success they are getting a little to much respect.  Just to put into perspective Iowa St was 5 point dogs against Texas at home coming off a bye.  Now they are only 6 point dogs to a lot better team.  I think now is the time to sell Iowa St

Let's take a look here at Ohio St laying what might look like a big number.  First, the questino we have to ask is how good is that Michigan team?  Well I had Penn St last week because I wasn't very high on Michigan and turned out to be right.  So to me that win doesn't look as good as what others might think.

Now, Ohio St is a team that has this game circled here as they know they can't lose anymore if they want to make the playoffs.  Granted the competition hasn't been the greatest here lately for them, but they are still taking care of business when it comes to the spreads.  

I think this is a good spot to back the Raptors here as I think this is a little let down spot for the Lakers.  The Raptors are one of the better teams in basketball and they proved it the last two games losing to the Spurs by 4 and the Warriors by 5.  Lakers are a exciting team to watch there is no doubt, but they are getting a little to much love for me 

Let's take the Thunder here in a great revenge spot as just last week Wiggins banked in a 3 point shot at the buzzer to beat the Thunder.  Westbrook is one player that I always look to back with revenge especially since that loss is still fresh in their mind.  The loss of Butler hurts the T Wolves as well.

I love the Knicks here tonight catching the Nets coming off a huge win for them against the Cavs.  This is the classic let down spot for them.  The Knicks are 0-3 and haven't looked great but 2 of their losses were @ OKC and @ Boston nothing to hang you head about on those.  I look for a big effort from the Knicks tonight

I think this total is set a little to high here as I picture both teams struggling to get 100 points a piece.  The Kings are really struggling on the offense side of the ball right now with their best performance being 47% from the field and that was their first game against the Rockets who really don't play much defense.  Neither team lights it up from behind the arc either.  This was the same total as last game or the Kings who played the Suns with a crazy fast paced offense.  The Pelicans play the opposite

I think this number is set to low here for Portland on their home court.  The Clippers are simply being over valued because they have started the season 3-0 and are 3-0 ATS.  Portland is 3-1 to start the year with their only loss coming in the final seconds @ Milwaukee who is high on everyone's list this year.  

Let's go ahead and grab the Dolphins here as I expect this line to come down.  This team is playing with a ton of confidence right now and are catching a very bad and banged up Ravens team.  The Ravens at this moment shouldn't be laying more than a FG at home to any team outside of the usual handful.  

The betting public will no doubt be all over the Grizzlies here as they are perfect ATS and coming off back to back wins against the Rockets and Warriors.  I think that sets up for a nice little let down here as the Mavs haven't covered the number yet, but will be giving it their best shot.  I think they catch the Grizzlies off guard here and sneak one into the win column 

Verlander isn't getting enough credit here taking the mound tonight against Rich Hill.  I'm very surprised by this move throwing back to back lefties as I think the Astros can pick up on that and actually score some runs tonight.  With that Verlander has just been lights out and I am not willing to go against him here as he has yet to lose in a Astros unirform

Well I believe the betting public will be all over the Pacers here since they saw Indiana go into Minnesota and win last night as big underdogs.  I think that is setting up well for a major blowout here.  The Thunder have had two days off now and will be extremely focused as they are coming off a buzzer beater loss to the T Wolves

Let's go with Denver here as I fully expect them to bounce back here in a big way.  They will have a big advantage here because of the Hornets battling injury issues right now.  This is the first road game for their east coast trip here and they will want to start it off right with a win 

Let's go ahead and take the Pistons here as the T Wolves seem like there is something wrong with them right now.  They could easily be 0-4 on the season as they barely beat Utah in the last minute and Wiggins banked in a game winner @ OKC or else they are 0-4.  I think this is a perfect spot for the Pistons to bounce back after dropping one to the Sixers on Monday

This is the 4th game for Portland but will be their home opener tonight which is a very underrated crowd to play in front of.  I'm more or less still up in the air on this Pelicans team as I don't trust them with their only win coming against the Lakers and it was a close game the last minute.  Portland has the guards here and they shoot lights out at home.  

Not choice but not to back the Dodgers here with their ace in Kershaw on the mound.  He pitched two great game against a high powered Cubs offense.  I think it's key to point out also that the Astros lost every game @ the Yankees last series showing their struggles on the road.  

Have no choice but to take the under here as neither team has shown very much on the offensive side of the ball barely shooting over 40% in every game.  I still think Boston is struggling to find a replacement for Hayward here. Both of these teams are right in the middle for possessions per game so the pace won't be anything up tempo

We all know what is going on with the Suns right now as they fired 4 coaches yesterday and everything seems like a mess just 3 games in.  

Now we are getting a total of 209 where the Suns first 3 games were all 220 and both of these offenses tonight are no where near that level but still getting respect.

Combined so far these teams are just averaging 188 points so far.  Yes, I know the Suns haven't played much defense, but the Kings aren't much of a threat on offense and don't play at a fast pace.  

Love the Nuggets here tonight facing a Wizards team that is coming into this game lucky to be 2-0.  This will be an angle I will look to play throughout the season with the eastern conference better teams coming west and facing the middle of the road.  The Western Conference is much better but the spreads won't be massive.  Nuggets actually have the better overall players here, but the Wizards have the headliners.  I think Wiz struggle on this west coast trip

I think it's worth fading the Sixers here for a while.  Yes, they are a fun and exciting team with a ton of talent, but it hasn't translated over very well.  The Pistons have proven so far they can score reaching 100 in all 3 games.  I don't think they have a problem here as they have covered every game

This just seems like a lot of points and it doesnt seem like odds makers are taking into consideration the fact that rookie CJ Bethard will be making his first career start.  I don't think the Niners will try and complicate things to much as they will want to just keep the game close.  The other thing here is the Niners are good against the run which the Cowboys like to establish.  

Like the Dolphins here to get revenge on the Jets as the first time around the Dolphins were favored by 5.5 and lost SU.  However, during that time was when this Dolphins team was experiencing Hurricane Irma and they had some terrible travel.  Now they are settled in and you can see how good this defense is.  I'm not buying the Jets here because they have had the benefit of catching teams at the right time.  

This to me seems like an over reaction to Rodgers being out.  I know Hundley didn't look good when he came in, but you have to remember when you dont count on playing and then boom all of the sudden you are in it's a very tough situation.  I also don't trust Drew Brees outside on the grass either.  I'm not sold on the Saints defense here to be favored.  I also don't think the public will want anything to do with the Packers here either

Going to ride with the Rams here in this London game.  This Rams team is for real and I don't think they are being priced accordingly because no one thought they would be this good.  The Rams are clearly better on both sides of the ball here.  With the decline that we have seen from Carson Palmer this year I think their defense will be a huge issue for him.  

The Ravens right now are a complete mess plain and simple.  They had two special teams touch down last weekend and still lost the game at home to the Bears.  They have a mountain of inuries and a lot are to key players.  In fact, they still have some questionable for the game.  This Vikings team is the real deal as they rank in the top 10 in both total defense and offense.  Ravens have trouble scoring anyways and believe they will here as well.

LATE ADD

LATE ADD

Odds makers have made a big mistake here I believe with West Virginia.  They have a ton of momentum coming from behind last week against Texas Tech and will have absolutely no problem moving the ball against one of worst defenses in the country.  I think Baylor plain and simple has now thrown in the towel for the season after getting destroyed 59-16 last week vs Oklahoma St

Love Notre Dame here as their QB is expecting to play here in this game.  They are coming off their bye week while USC is coming off a hard fought win over Utah in which it was a game they were favored by 2 touchdowns and barely won.  USC has some serious hole in their defense and are missing some key players on offense.  USC is getting a lot of respect because of their 6-1 record, but they are just 1-6 ATS.  Notre Dame would be undefeated if it wasn't for Georgia beating them by just one point.  This Notre Dame team is for real 

This is a big time revenge game here for Penn St as they lost by 39 at Michigan last year.  That was in large part due to the fact that Penn St was playing with walk ons everywhere because of all their injuries.  This Penn St team is legit this year and with them coming off their bye week I expect them to pour it on a Michigan team who just doesn't look very good this season.  They have played a pretty weak schedule and have looked bad against teams like Cincy and Air Force on their home field.  

Don't think odds makers have caught up with how good this UCF team is as they have covered every game so far this season.  I like them here in this match up and a large part of that is because their coach Scott Frost is all to familiar with the option back in his days at Nebraska.  UCF is so explosive here on offense and with the style that Navy plays strictly running the ball I think they will have to play catch up and it won't be pretty for them

Herman has this Texas team playing with a lot of heart right now.  I liked what I saw last week from them as they got down early and could have folded like years past, but chose to claw their way back into the game.  Herman is an amazing 13-0 ATS as a dog in his career.  That doesn't happen by accident.  The jury is still out on Oklahoma St as we don't really know how good they are.  Let's take the points here 

I think the T Wolves should have won that game at the Spurs as they really choked it away the last 5 minutes and they didnt even cover.  I'm not very high on this Utah team this year with the loss of Hayward.  I do like Hood, but he can't carry the load.  I think the T Wolves respond at home with a big effort and easy win

Let's take the Astros here tonight as I expect them to respond in a big time fashion after losing 3 straight on the road to the Yankees.  Verlander has simply been on fire since joining this team.  I know the Astros bats have been cold, but I expect them to come back to live tonight in this situation.  

Really like the value with the Bucks here as I thought they should be favored here.  I wasn't extremely impressed with the Cavs opening night against the Celtics.  Yes, I know both team did play the Celtics, but the Cavs dont have a true PG right now.  The Bucks are a young up and coming team with a ton of talent.  First home game of the season I will take them here

This Nuggets team is a legit contender to make the playoffs in the west.  Jokic emerged last year as a superstar quality player.  I love the Nuggets back court with Murray and Harris as well.  The Jazz turn it over to Hood and while he is very good they will miss Hayward.  Their young stud Exum is out again after getting hurt in preseason.  Jazz are on the outside looking in 

I think people are forgetting how good this Miami Heat was the 2nd half of last year.  The Heat had one of the best records that went under the radar.  The Magic just don't have enough pieces put together and they once again will be a bad team in the Eastern Conference 

This is just to many points to be laying here with a Rockets team that I feel is very improved this season.  The addition of Chris Paul will turn out to be huge especially for games like this.  The Warriors are riding high and will take all the money but how well can they play defense against a 3 point shooting team like this?  It looks like everyone will play for Golden St but they are battling injuries on their bench.  With a great offensive team like the Rockets this is to many points

Let's take the Cubs here in a do or die situation with their best pitcher on the mound.  Hendricks has a 3.05 for the season and has pitched extremely well against the Dodgers for his career with a 2.20 ERA.  This Cubs team may be young, but they know what is at stake here tonight and they will rise to the occasion. 

Love the Steelers here as the betting public is going to run and grab the Chiefs again as they have covered every game so far this season.

The Steelers will easily be the more motivated team especially after last weeks results where Big Ben thorough 5 interceptions.  I think he responds in a great way.  The Steelers have improved a lot on the defensive side of the football this season.  

The Chiefs have a lot of key inuries right now with Kelce being out who is a bigger loss because he is Smith's blanket.  I think the Steelers can create some big plays as the Chiefs secondary is banged up.  They can get the running game going as well with Houston their best LB being questionable.  

I know the Cardinals haven't looked pretty by any means this year.  A large part of that is due to the fact they lost their best player in Johnson in game 1 @ Detroit.  Earlier this week they made a huge trade to get Adrian Peterson.  While I know the impact won't be right away and can be over blown.  I don't think the Bucs deserved to be favored here based on what we have seen from them either.  The Cardinals still have a very good defense and their division is still up for grabs I see them taking care of business on their home field 

This might be the wrong side but I last week was a fluke for the Jags.  We are all aware of what took place as they had 3 pick sixes against the Steelers and ultimately won the game because of that.  

The Rams out played the Seahawks last week and should have walked away with an easy win even despite having committed 5 turnover for the game.  

I remind you just two weeks ago this Jags team lost to the Jets.  Do we really know what we are getting from them and should they be favored by 3 over a team that has proven themselves this year? 

No choice but to take the Vikings here in a division rivalry here catching more than field goal.  Packers will be the public side no doubt about it especially after last week with them coming back from behind against the Cowboys.  The Vikings have a great defense here and I think can keep Rodgers in check for the most part.  I also don't think Jordy Nelson is 100% and that is Rodgers go to guy.  I know the Vikings are missing some players but  I still think their offense is more than capable because the Packers defense is bad to say the least

Got this line early here and now is up to 13 and probably will go higher.  This one is pretty simple for me.  Miami on offense has looked maybe worst of any team in the NFL.  They flat out struggle to score.  That spells a recipe for disaster when facing a high octane offense like the Falcons who are coming off their bye week and will be fresh.  Falcons will get up early here and Miami can't play catch up

I think we are seeing a very real San Diego St team.  They have won on the road @ Arizona St followed that up with a upset win over Stanford and then in a difficult spot won @ Air Force.  

I think Boise is getting a lot respect because of their name here and the fact they blew out BYU which now looks like one of the worst Division 1 teams.  Boise St just isnt the same team as they have been.  

SDSU blew out UNLV last week as 10.5 point favorites and this seems like a team that they haven't adjusted to that much.  

The wrong team is favored here in this spot.  New Mexico comes in riding high after their bye week and before that it included two underdog SU wins against Tulsa and Air Force who they destroyed.  Fresno St to me is a fake team right now.  Let's look at last week they played maybe the worst division 1 team in San Jose St only beat them 27-10 despite having +4 turnovers.  Since they did push that total odds makers are still giving them credit.  To me there is no doubt New Mexico is the better team.

I'm going to give Florida some respect here as I think they are due for a nice bounce back performance this week.  They were right in the game vs LSU to the very end and could have easily won.  I think the Aggies poured their heart out which I had them last week vs Bama catching all those points.  I do like Mond the QB but will he be up for a challenge on the road.  

Well after what we have seen from BYU this season I think they will throw in the towel now.  They are coming off back to back rivalry games vs Utah St and Boise St in which they lost both and now have to travel to Miss St and play a pissed off Bulldog team coming off a bye.  

This BYU team is only averaging 11 ppg.  The Bulldogs have a solid defense and I'm not going to fault them for losing to Georgia and Auburn.  

I dont see BYU is going to score in this game will be lucky to get over 10 points.  Miss St will be hungry as I mentioned coming off back to back losses and off a bye.  They will keep the first string in here longer than expected 

This line here really makes you think twice about it.  The opener was 6.5 and immediately dropped to 3.  I fully expect this line to go up closer to kick.

Playing in Morgantown is easily one of the most underrated toughest place to play in the country.  I really like what we have seen from WVU and their transfer QB in Grier who has provided a lot spark with the offense.  

Texas Tech is getting a lot of credit here because they haven't lost yet, but we have seen this story a lot with Tech as they tend to fade off as the season goes along.  

Both teams do struggle a little on defense but I will give the edge to the home team here to get a few more stops and cover by more than a field goal

So the Yankees make a great comeback and win 3 straight against the Indians to move on here.  Well, they are about to run into the buzz saw known as the Astros.  To me the Astros have the best lineup in baseball.  Not, only do they have the advantage there but Dallas Keuchel is just on fire with a 7-3 home record and 2.21 ERA this season.  Tanaka has regressed and is just now an average pitcher with a 4.56 ERA on the year.  He was awful on the road with a 6.48 ERA this season.

This is just one of those games that Clemson even though they are much better, it's a Friday night @ Cuse and I doubt their interest level is to high.  Clemson QB is expected to play but he is banged up and isn't 100%.  Cuse is a team that actually has improved a lot especially on offense.  I totally expect them to move the ball here on Clemson.  They key for covering in this game is simple.  It's taking care of the ball and not giving Clemson great field position.  I think they do that and are catching Clemson at the right time here 

I think we might be seeing a little bit of overreaction here with the Panthers being 3.5 point favorites.  They are coming off two back to back road wins which one included the Patriots, but I'm not sold on anything I've seen from New England so far.

Wentz and the Eagles to me are the real deal this year.  Mind you they went on the road to Kansas City and were only 4 point dogs in that game and that is the best team in football.  I know the Eagles secondary can be exposed but Funchees isn't healthy.  I believe this is the best team the Panthers have faced so far so we will see how they handle it

I think the bettors have this one totally wrong.  I know the Nationals return home but last nigh'ts game simply came down to one pitch and the guy hit a grand slam.  The Cubs will now send out their most consistent starter in Hendricks who owns a 2.55 ERA on the road and a crazy good .50 ERA his last 3 starts.  He went 7 scoreless the first time around and I see him being the big difference maker again

The Yankees made a great series out of this taking it to game 5.  Well, it all comes to an end here tonight as the Indians send out their CY Young candidate in  Corey Kluber.  

Kluber is having a unbelievable season with a 18-4 record this season with a 2.49 ERA.  He is almost untouchable at home as well with a 10-2 record and 2.22 ERA.  It's also worth noting that he clearly loves pitching against the Indians with a 5-1 record and 2.90 career record. 

I know a lot of people will now think the Nationals have all the momentum but the Cubs did what they had to in getting one on the road.  My take for this game is all about Schrezer and his health.  I don't think he is 100% by any means or else he would have pitched game 1.  The Cubs bats will take advantage of him if he does show any weakness 

I really like the Cowboys here after all this is a rematch from last year in the playoffs and the Packers got the best of them.  I won last week going against the Cowboys and taking the Rams +7 as they won SU.  Now that is creating some good value with Dallas here to respond as Dak will torch the Packers IMO.  I think this will be an exciting game to watch, but the difference will come down the line and the Cowboys are better in the trenches here on both sides.  

This line should obviously be a lot higher than what it is, but we are getting a massive discount because of Carr being out.  I must admit I was very impressed with what EJ Manuel did last week @ Denver vs a great defense in a very tough situation.  I think that gives him great confidence going forward to this week.  The Ravens offense has pretty much been non existent this season only averaging 4.5 yards per play and 270 total for the game.   

I will back the Giants here as it's a do or die situation for them here.  Neither team has won a game yet but I think the Chargers are in big trouble here as they have had 3 straight home games and they have failed to show up.  Now they have to travel west for an early kick here and I think they are done for and will give up here.

This is one of those classic lines they like to set as a 3-1 team going on the road against a 1-3 team and the 1-3 team at home is favored.  Bills in a very tough spot coming off of beating the Falcons last week.  They were lucky to do so because of the turnover battle as they won that 3-0.  

This is a huge game for the Bengals as I call it a must win given the fact they just won their first game last week and will be heading into their bye week after this game and will want some momentum.  The Bengals have a very solid defense as well and the offense finally came alive last week.

I'm not buying into the Jets right now at all.  Let's look at who they have beat and their situation then.  They caught the Dolphins in a great spot as Miami spent nearly two weeks in LA then had to travel across country.  Last week I had the Jets over the Jags as the Jags were in a bad spot coming back from London.  In no way do they deserved to be favored.  I think the Browns will rally here and get their first win of the season.  They also get their first pick in Garrett on field for his first game which will provide a boost to the defense.

The betting public will no doubt be all over Alabama here as they ave covered back to back games.  I think now is the time to fade away.  While the Aggies aren't world beaters themselves they have now found a QB they trust here in Mond who has been very impressive.  The one thing what the Aggies do very well is stop the run and believe they can force Bama into some longer 3rd down conversions which is key.  

I think this Aggies team is playing with a lot of confidence now.  Let's also remember the fact they blew that huge lead vs UCLA in their opening game or else they would be undefeated.  

Give me the Longhorns here as they have improved so much from the opening week in which they lost to Maryland.  Texas has really buckled down on defense especially against the run.  They also took a very good USC @ USC down to the wire and should have won that game. 

I really think this Kansas St team is very overrated as they had to easy cup cake wins to start the season.  The best team they have played was Vanderbilt and they lost that game 14-7.  

TEXAS BLOWS THEM OUT!

I know this is public play, but I really like what I have seen from the Hurricanes this season. Miami is team that is on the rise.  I watched Florida St last week vs Wake and just am not impressed with their QB Blackmon.  Maybe, it's not all his fault but Miami should have no problem in the trenches here as FSU line is pretty weak.  I think this will be one of those games we look back in a month and see how easy it truly was.

I think the Hawkeyes look to get things going on offense before heading into the bye week.  They shouldn't have a problem here as they are facing the worst team in the Big 10 in Illinois.  

This is an Illinois team that let Nebraska run all over them at home last Friday night and we all know how bad the Cornhuskers have looked this season. Illinois is nearly getting out gained by almost 200 yards per game which is a recipe for disaster here.  Iowa will own the trenches here and ultimately blow them out

This game will be the classic Pro's vs Joes.  The Joes will no doubt be all over Penn St here as they have gone 4-1 ATS this season.  The only time they didn't cover was two weeks ago on the road @ Iowa City.  So we have another Big Ten road game and they are heavily favored again but with a huge look ahead game with Michigan on deck.  Northwestern should be playing with a lot of confidence after last week vs Wisconsin as they were right in that game down to the wire.  

Gotta like the under here in this matchup with two very very good pitchers.  Strasburg is just a machine with a 15-4 record and 7-2 home record.  He comes in this game with great form with a 1.93 ERA his last 3 starts.  

Hendricks is one of the most underrated pitchers still as he has the ability the shut offenses down.  I think he does that here tonight as well as he has a 2.83 ERA on the road and even better as of late with a .96 ERA his last 3 starts.  

Give me the Wolfpack here against an overrated Louisville team.  NC ST only loss came week 1 against South Carolina, but that was a very misleading score as they dominated the game in every way except the final score.  Two weeks ago they did go on the road @ Florida St and come away with a win.  Yes, I realize FSU is banged up but they were still double digit underdogs in that game.  We will see a huge effort here tonight in a hostile environment. 

Love the Astros here today as they will have something to prove against the Red Sox.  Yes, the Red Sox have all the big names including Chris Sale, but what Verlander has done since joining the Astros has been amazing especially compared to how he looked in Detroit earlier this season.  I think the Astros made a statement ending the season @ Boston in taking 3 of 4 and that will carry over here to game 1

Like the D Backs here tonight on the RL as they will send out their high priced ace in Greinke who was a dominant pitcher at home recording a 13-1 record and 2.87 ERA.  He will get plenty of run support as the D Backs offense were just machines at home this season. 

Gray for the Rockies had a decent year but did struggle on the road with a 4.06 ERA.  He has also struggled against the D Backs with a 4.97 career ERA

The twins are a good story this year no doubt about it.  I just think we have a special Yankees team on our hands this postseaso.  Severino will take the mound for the Yankees as he is 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA on the year.  The Yankees were 4-2 against the Twins this season but were 3-0 against them in a recent sweep at home against them. The Twins will reallly have problems as I think the depth of the Yankees bullpen will keep them in check

I'm really not sold on this Raiders team right now.  I do wish they would have played closer to the Redskins last Sunday night though.  I won't be holding the Broncos loss last week @ Buffalo against them at all here.  They were in a very difficult position coming off blowing out the Cowboys prior to that.  

The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the league and they can really control the game here against the Raiders pass happy offense.  The Raiders defense is also one I think is very overrated.  Look for the Broncos to establish the run here and control the ball 

Talk about one of the strangest lines of the week.  I will buy in here as there is no doubt some sharp and big money is moving this line.  

Yes, the Chargers have struggled and the betting public wants nothing to do with them as they have yet to cover a game.  The situation here isn't great for the Eagles as they are coming off a hard fought division win in OT vs the Giants.  

If it wasn't for Rivers last week throwing 3 first half interceptions the game vs the Chiefs would have been totally different.   The Chargers are desperate and need a win they will play hard with their season on the line 

I still dont have much faith in this Cowboys team this year.  First, this is simply a brutal spot for Dallas coming off a short week playing Monday night while the Rams have had extra days off as they played on Thursday.  The Cowboys also don't have much of a home field advantage as one might seem because a lot of visitors always come to the games.  The Rams just look so much better especially on offense and should be able t generate some big plays as the Cowboys secondary is hurting big time right now.  

Grabbed this line early as I think the Vikings are one of the best teams in the NFC and easily have one of the best home field advantages in the NFL.

I'm still not a believer in the Lions team their two wins that did look good at that time now look awful as they beat the Cardinals and Giants.  They are also getting credit for last week as they took the Falcons down to the wire.  

When it comes down to this game quite frankly I need to see it before I believe it.  With that, I mean the Jags will be favored on the road for the first time in 44 games!  They aren't use to being in this position.  People are over reacting here because they destroyed the Ravens last week in London.  

The Jets are clearly not a great team but they are better than what odds makers are giving them credit for.  There was so much talk about how this could be the worst team ever in NFL history.  The Jets do have a very solid defense and I believe they will show up here and make it hard on Bortles 

This is the classic buy low sell high game.  This UCLA team is now not a public favorite after losing @ Memphis in a very difficult spot and were just throttled at Stanford last week.  Despite losing both games they actually out gained their opponent in each.  I think last week we saw the true colors of Colorado having to face a good team for the first time.  Washington didn't even bring their A game but still managed to win by 27.  Bruins lay the number here on the Buffs as they won't be able to keep up here on offense 

I like this spot here for Miami Oh catching Notre Dame of back to back road wins and covers.  However, last was a little misleading for the Irish as they were out gained by the Spartans big time.  The early pick six really did Michigan St in.  This Miami Oh team is the 2nd best in the MAC IMO right now.  They are only giving up 19 points per game while I know they haven't played great competition I like them to keep this closer than what most will believe 

First, I realize this will no doubt be a public play here but this UConn team is just flat out terrible.  They haven't covered a spread yet and just lost to one of the worst teams in the country in East Carolina.  SMU on the other hand is red hot as they have covered in all 4 games.  Their offense is extremely dangerous as they have scored 58,54,36,44.  No way can UConn keep pace with that as they aren't built that way.  

While everyone now is writing off Florida St for the season I think the line is the right time to buy back in.  FSU will be a very angry team and I still believe they are a top 25 team.  Let's not forgot about the huge talent gap here between these two schools as well.

Sure, Wake is 4-0 but their schedule has been cup cake city and this line from just two weeks has dropped two touchdowns.  We know where the value lies here.  

No choice her but to take the underdog in Cuse here.  I think NC ST is getting way to much love for beating Florida St as a 11 point underdog.  Meanwhle, I think the Cuse game @ LSU is being over looked as they gave the Tigers all they wanted last week.  Cuse lost by 9 as 21 point underdogs.  Let's not forgot that NC St has been terrible in this role as a favorite so far.  They are 0-3 ATS as a favorite.  They also have a huge on deck look ahead here with Louisville coming to town next week

Most people here are remembering the Northwestern @ Duke game in which the were favored then got destroyed.  At this time that loss doesn't look so bad.  It's worth noting that both teams are coming off bye weeks as well.  I just don't think you can make Wisconsin that big of favorite here as they really haven't had to play anyone yet.  Maybe they do blow Northwestern out but I will gladly pay to see it

We all know how bad Nebraska has looked this season and now that they are 1-3 ATS the betting public wants no part of them.  However, this is a huge discount here as Illinois to me is the worst team in the Big 10.  This Illinois team almost gave up 700 total yards to South Florida.  Nebraska has actually dominated the previous two games in the box scores, but nothing to show for it on the spread end.  They get the job done pretty here

GOLD'S THURSDAY NIGHT NFL GAME OF THE MONTH!

Love the value we are getting here with the Packers at home in a bounce back game.  Yes, the Packers looked horrible against the win less Bengals but winning in OT can serve as a huge momentum boost.  The Bears also went into OT in a huge upset victory over the Steelers.  The betting public will no doubt take note of both those performances and lean toward the Bears.  The Bears defense on the road looked awful @ Tampa in week 2 and I think that will be a trend here fade them on road look to back at home. 

Going to back the Brewers here in another must win game as they are only 1.5 behind the Rockies.  Woodruff is just so much better than Bailey.  Bailey on the season brings in a 6.96 ERA.  He also owns a 5.74 ERA his last 3 starts.  

Woodruff in 7 games has a respectable 3.76 ERA.  The Brewers are simply a team on a mission to make the playoffs and can afford any slip ups especially against a lower level team.

The Twins bats are just red hot right now.  They have scored a total of 47 the last 5 games.  I see no reason why they cant tag Salazar here who comes in with a 12.36 ERA his last three starts.  Mejia brings in a 5.90 ERA his last 3 starts.  They scored a combined total of 14 runs yesterday 

This total is simply way to high as both these teams combined for just 9 runs yesterday.  Urena has been very underrated for the Marlins this season with a 14-6 record and an impressive 9-1 road record.  He also enters in great form with a 2.37 ERA his last 3 starts.  Tyler Anderson is coming off back to back promising starts which I believe carries over here.  

This is just way too many runs here as the total went over yesterday which is giving us a good line here.  Hamels has been just unreal at home with a 7-0 record and 3.50 ERA.  He has also pitched very well against the Astros with a 7-3 record and 3.78 ERA.  

Keuchel to no surprise has been rock solid with a 2.95 ERA for the years putting himself in contention for the Cy Young.  He also has been great on the road with a 7-2 record and 3.71 ERA.  

Let's grab this line here as I expect it to go up big time.  Weaver has been nothing short of sensational for the Cardinals and quite frankly the Cards are playing for their playoff lives in this series.  They can't afford to slip up game 1.  They have the huge advantage on the mound with Weaver who has a 7-1 record on the season.  He is also 3-1 at home in 4 starts.

Let's take the Red Sox here as they are looking to win the division here outright over the Yankees.  So, while they have clinched a playoff spot there is still some motivation for them here.  Pomeranz has been great for Boston with a 16-5 record and 3.19 ERA.  He is 9-2 at home with a 3.11 on the season.  Anderson comes in with a terrible 9.26 ERA his last 3 starts. 

The Packers here should have no problem with the Bengals who haven't scored a TD this year so far.  Dalton has looked absolutely horrible and I dont why that would change here.  Yes, the Packers are banged up no don't but they still have Rodgers here.  The Packers are also a team that play so much better at home than they do on the road.  I expect a big bounce back here after the Packers got embarrassed Sunday night. 

Another game here where we are catching value with a division rival.  The Chargers are 0-2 to start the season and most are writing them off right now, but they could easily be 2-0 with a couple field goals.  The Chiefs will certainly draw their attention here and the Chargers need this more than ever.  I trust Rivers to get the job done here. 

Let's go ahead and lay the points here with the Titans as the whole public will be all over Wilson and the Seahawks.  Let's face the facts here that the Seahawks have looked awful especially on offense with the worst OL in the league right now.  The Titans are still huge sleepers here this year.  Their defense is solid and I think they can control the game here.  Their loss to the Raiders in week 1 I won't hold against them as they look like a top 5 team in the NFL

Just think this is a total over reaction here as Miami just played their first game of the season @ San Diego in a game they could have easily lost.  They were also on the road a lot during that stretch because of the Hurricane.  Last weeks results doesn't mean the Dolphins should be nearly a full TD favorite on the road to division rivals.  This will be the Jets first home game and they will be ready

Lets take another desperate team here in the Saints who struggled last week vs the Patriots and in week 1 against the Vikings.  I think those two teams when healthy are two of the best in their conference and the Saints in a division game don't deserve to be 6 point dogs.  The Panthers havent proved anything on offense right now so the Saints shouldn't much of an issue on defense either

Love Stanford here Saturday night against the Bruins and they have owned this series winning 9 straight and covering 8 of those games.  The betting public won't have anything to do with Stanford here as they have lost 2 straight games and were upset by San Diego St last week.  The key here is that UCLA is extremely over rated and get a lot of love because of their QB Josh Rosen. However, the Bruins defense is pretty pathetic to say the least and Stanford will control this game from start to finish 

Washington just doesn't get much love from the average fans or the oddsmakers.  They made the college football playoff last year and are barely double digit favorites against a Colorado team that lost a ton from last year.  Yes, Colorado is off to a good start, but the level of competition they are about to face here is huge.  The Huskies have a great defense and I believe will shut them down.  These two team met last year in the PAC championship game and Washington destroyed them then and will do it again Saturday

I did miss a better line here, but still like the value here with TCU who isn't getting enough respect.  I really like what they have already done on the road this season going into Arkansas and beating them down as they controlled that game.  With Oklahoma St's high powered offense and covering every spread so far they are getting a ton of public which Vegas realizes and has definitely inflated this line 

Make no mistake about it that this Tulsa team is very very talented.  I suspect they will hang a number here on New Mexico this weekend.  Tulsa is coming off a tough loss @ Toledo one of the better MAC teams if not the best as 7 points underdogs and had a shot to win that game.  They now New Mexico coming off two back to back tough games vs rivals in Boise St and New Mexico St.  They will also be without their starting QB here which is a huge concern because they need all the points to keep up with Tulsa here