Let's take TCU here at home against SMU who is coming off a huge blowout win over USC.  I'm not sure how good this SMU team actually is as they lost a ton from last year.  I think the fact they did to that against USC has them over valued.  TCU does return key pieces from a NIT Championship team.  

I have backed Nevada several times this season and they are a perfect 8-0 on the season and 7-0 ATS.  Nevada has a bunch of transfers that were power 5 conference players so they wont be backing down here against Texas Tech

This really stood out to me as too many points here.  SDSU has played some pretty good competition this season beating Iowa and Ole Miss both away from home.  They also were tested at Kansas.  I just think with the Shockers coming off a huge win over Baylor and @ Oklahoma St on deck I think this is a let down spot for them 

I know VCU is on their home court but the talent gap here is just too big.  VCU is also down this season as every biggee named team they have played they have lost.  That includes Marquette and Michigan Not exactly the level of Texas.  I think Shaka knows the level of importance here for this returning to the school that put him in this stage.

Love West Virginia here tonight hosting Virginia who I think the betting public will be all over since they are the higher ranked team getting points.

West Virginia only loss was to Texas AM who is undefeated right now and that game was played across the pond so you can't really fault them for that.  

The style of play here plays a huge advantage for West Virginia playing at home as they will constantly put pressure on Virginia and make them play at a pace they dont like

The Jazz aren't getting enough respect considering that the Wizards are still without Wall.  The Jazz have quietly won 5 straight games and 6 of 7.  Gorbert is going to be back tonight as well which is a huge upgrade. 

The T Wolves are simply just way better than than the very banged up Grizzlies.  They haven't won a game since Conley went down and there is no reason to think things will turn around any time soon after them firing their coach.  

Let's take the Nets here tonight as they are in the classic home and home game here against the Hawks.  The Hawks just beat them on the Nets home court and more times than not the visiting team will win again.  

This is just crazy to me that the Sixers are laying double digits right now.  I doubt they have any interest in this game at all.  While the Suns may be tired I still think they give a good effort here trying to get a win late to wrap up their road trip.  

Was I ever impressed with the Buckeyes win over Wisconsin to open up big ten play.  I think Ohio St is just better than Michigan and not reading a lot of stock into Michigan beating Indiana who I think will be near the bottom of the Big 10 this season 

I'm not sure why UNLV is favored here but I was very impressed with UNI and what they did in the Bahamas tournament  beating SMU and and NC St and losing to Nova in the championship game.  UNLV has been hot rolling teams but in their first true road test against a different style I think the Panthers get it done

Wrong team is favored here in this game.  The Miami Heat played last night in a losing effort against the Cavs now travel to the Knicks. 

 I think the Knicks are in a good bounce back spot here after laying an egg against Portland last time out.  The Knicks have played very well at home with a 10-3 ATS record this season. 

I dont believe Penn St should be favored here in this spot.  Yes, they are a good team and have a lot of young talent.  They played one hard team and that was Texas A&M who is very good but they couldn't handle that.  NC St beat Zona and yes, Zona looks down but still they were 13 point underdogs. 

I think we are getting a pissed of Thunder team at a discount because of their road struggles.  They should be more than motivated to take it out on a Magic team that clearly isn't the same from how they started their season.  The Thunder have also 3 days off here which is a big advantage

I'm not looking much into the Wizards beating the T Wolves last night without Wall.  The T Wolves has yet to figure anything out this season as far as I am concerned.  I also think we get a nice bounce back performance from the Sixers after getting beat easily by the Cavs

Iowa hasn't been up to par so far this season.  They have looked pretty sluggish on defense thus far and lost to some sub par competition.  A big thing though here is that Nick Baer returns for them tonight and he is the do everything type of player than really rallies this young team.  This just seems like a ton of points here

Let's take the Bulls here as I think they will be eager for a win.  They know they can beat the Suns who really aren't much better than they are.  These two teams have already faced one another with the Suns beating them.  I think the Bulls get their revenge here as Booker is still a big question mark to play tonight 

I'm banking on Northwestern coming out of their so called little funk.  They lost to Creighton at home, but that actually doesn't look that bad as Creighton is a very good team especially at the guard position this year.  NW did just get blown out by Texas Tech and I'm going to give them a pass here for that as they shot 26% from the field.  I'm not sure how good this Tech team actually is.  Most people had Tech around the bottom 5 of the ACC while NW near top 5 of Big Ten so at a PK I think this is great value 

Like Virginia here facing a Wisconsin team that to no surprise is struggling.  Wisconsin only has one starter back from last years team.  At first glance you most will look and say wow Wisconsin getting this many points.  But, Virginia is a team that really passes the eye test right now as their smallest margin of victory was 9.  

Have to take Duke here in the title game tonight against Florida.  This Duke team is just loaded with talent up and down their roster.  I really think this line will climb throughout the day so grab it now.  Florida is getting a lot of respect because they have covered against Stanford and Gonzaga. Duke is a whole different animal here take the Blue Devils 

Stanford gets some relief here tonight playing Portland St.  I think they will be eager here to leave this tournament with a win.  Stanford has lost to Florida and Ohio St.  Prior to that they hosted a home game vs North Carolina.  So it's been a rough stretch but I think they respond here tonight

Like Michigan St here as I think the public will be all over North Carolina catching points.  The Spartans returned all their stud sophomores and possible player of the year in Miles Bridges.  Sparty to me looks like the 2nd best team in the country so will gladly lay the -1

This is the spot here to back the Rams as they are coming off a loss @ Minnesota that ended up being a blowout.  The Saints are red hot right now but the teams they have been playing aren’t exactly world beaters.  The betting public loves offense but give me the home team and their good defense 

I will take Ohio St here as I think they should actually be favored.  This Butler team is way down this season.  Butler was blown out against Texas and then barely beat Portland just by 2 points.  Ohio St didn't play well against Gonzaga but the Zags made everything they looked at.  I liked their bounce back performance against Stanford

The Titans shouldn’t be laying more than a FG on the road.  I need to see more from this team before I am a believer.  The Colts while they may not be racking up the wins they are still a competitive team especially at Home.

The line just had been inflated big time as they Eagles continis to blow teams out. I don’t think that will happen here as there is no motivation for them to do so.  Also the Bears play a style that generally keeps them in the ball game.  

Cant lay this big of number with the Chiefs as they have looked really bad the last month.  Is this team capable of blowing the Bills out sure they are, but I need to see it first.  I think we get an extra motivated Bills team here with Tyrod returning at QB. 

The Bengals saved their season last week with a win at Denver.  Now there is no doubt we will get a motivated team to show up against a division rival.  The Browns after last week losing another game in the 4th, they are running out of steam here. 

I think we are going to see a pretty max effort here from Fresno St trying to beat Bosie St, but the case here is that the Bulldogs actually believe they can.  The betting public will gladly lay the points with Boise simply because they are a house hold name now to the average fan in football.  Fresno St brings a nasty defense to the table at home giving up just 2.9 yards per carry.  I think Boise is on upset alert here

This Duke team is a lot better than they are getting credit for here.  They had a stretch where they lost 3 games in a row and they were all by 7 points.  Those are clearly coin flip games that didn't go their way but the markets react to that since they lost SU.  

This is also a role that Wake isn't familiar with as they have only been a double digit favorite once they season and that was against Utah St.  

Duke showed last week they still have some fight left in them with a great performance against Georgia Tech.  I think we get another here and with Wake coming off a huge win for them beating NC St I think this is the right spot

This is a nice in state rivalry but only one team generally show up in this game and that is Georgia Tech.  They won out right last year in Athens, lost by 6 the year before and the two before that both went into OT.  While Georgia can still control their own destiny here I think the Yellowjackets would love nothing more than to spoil their season.  When playing Georgia Tech and their option attack you really need to be fully committed in stopping that or they will make you pay.  I also think Tech last week was clearly looking ahead to this game 

Really like UCLA here to finish the season strong and they need this game in order to make a bowl game.  They just fired head coach Jim Mora Jr but I think they will be a good thing for this team.  Last week put up over 500 total yards on USC and out gained them by 84 yards.  

Yes, the Bruins struggle on defense but Cal is terrible on offense averaging under 3 yards per play rushing.  Cal is just 1-4 on the road this season and gave everything they had against their rival last week 

I know Vandy has played a pretty tough slate so far but they just aren't passing the eye test.  They were blown out yesterday to a good Virginia team so clearly the line has been adjusted already with Seton Hall now being 6 point favorites here.  Seton Hall really let that game slip away yesterday down the stretch.  Seton Hall just has too many players here with Carrington and Delgado.  

I like Michigan St here today play a UConn team that is down this season.  I know they beat Oregon yesterday but that is a Oregon team that lost a ton from last years final four team.  This Spartan team is loaded with key players back from last years team.  I dont see them having an issue here with UConn tonight

Gotta like Texas here after we saw what they did @ West Virginia last week.  Texas has won 3 of their last 4 games and could easily be 8-3 right now with two other games that came down to the final possession and they lost both.  They also have a lot better defense that can maintain Tech and their air raid offense that does struggle on the road.  It's also a night game which adds value with the home team 

I thought Rhode Island was lucky yesterday late in that game to even come away with a win.  This Virginia even though they did lose a lot they seem to pick back up from where they left off.  Rhode Island has their best player out in Matthews and Virginia is a team that will make you work for everything especially on offense. 

I'm actually shocked that Iowa is taking this much money.  I really think both teams are very similar it's just that Iowa had a out of body experience and beat Ohio St which everyone remembers.  This Huskers team didn't quit last week when they got down early to Penn St.  That is always a good sign to look for at this point in the season.  I also think since it's senior day Nebraska will show up plus they have the revenge angle here as well.  Iowa has nothing to play for here period.   

I'm not putting much stock into last weeks game as the Giants beat the Chiefs.  The Chiefs clearly aren't the same team as they were the first month of the season.  I think that has the Giants over valued plus the Chiefs had some very costly turnovers.  I also think Washington is the most underrated team in the NFL now.  People forget just a couple games ago they went into a healthy Seattle team and won on their turf.  Their recent losses including last week where they dominated the Saints for 85% of that game and blew it late.  I think they rally here and destroy the Giants 

I expect quite a bit of points to be scored here tomorrow.  I know Dallas has had their issues recently but I dont think they will leave anything back here facing a must win situation.  Also, right now Rivers has the Chargers playing at a high level.  The absence of Lee on their defense is huge as we have seen the Cowboys clearly not be the same team.  I think this total goes over fairly easy 

The Vikings just don't get much love and all they do is simply win and have won 6 straight.  They have covered 5 straight now.  I really don't have much faith in this Lions team as they have beat the Packers without Rodgers, the Browns which they could have easily lost, and the Bears last week as that was another coin flip game as well. Vikings defense is nasty and will contain Stafford and company here

Like the Thunder here as they will be going all out to beat the Warriors tonight.  I think they actually get the job done here.  I know they have been struggling but this is a game that has been circled on the calendar.  

No surprise that LSU got blown out to Notre Dame last night as LSU is the worst team in the SEC.  I thik Marquette will do the same to them as they were just ice cold and LSU did their arguably their best offensive player last night.  

The Celtics are on a 16 game winning streak and this is just the game and situation where it comes to an end.  Miami will bounce back with two days off and getting blown out on their home court.  I also think the Celtics are tire here we saw them go into OT against the Mavs last game

The Raptors have covered and won 4 straight game and one of those games included a blowout win over the Knicks.  The Knicks are just playing better than a lot of people thought they would.  They have won 5 of their last 8 games and have covered 4 of their last 5.  Raports made 56% while Knicks shot under 35% last game that was the difference 

Portland is now playing better winning 4 of their last 5.  There is no doubt the betting public will be all over the Sixers.  I actually think Lillard and McCollum will be the difference as the Sixers don't play much of defense. 

This line seems like a huge over reaction based on some of Texas Tech's results.  I like this Red Raiders team but laying this many after they just destroyed Northwestern seems like way too many.  Wofford was only 6 point dogs to South Carolina and Cal

I have backed this Nevada team several times so far and have been dead on.  I still dont think they are getting the credit they deserve especially being on their home court.  This Nevada team is loaded with talent in a large part because of transfers.  Davidson is generally a very good outside shooting team but they lost some key pieces last year

This Alabama team is legit and by far the best Avery Johnson has had.  They will be lead by stud true freshman Collin Sexton.  Bama is a legit contender with Kentucky who I think is overrated and Florida.  Bama has legit talent and they will continue to show it 

I know UCLA has a lot of trouble going on but you cant fault them for losing to Creighton last night which was basically a home game for Creighton.  The Bluejays made a ton 3's last night but UCLA held their own ground.  You simply cant pass up a team like the Bruins who have way more talent catching points here

Buffalo played a legit Cincy team that some people are picking to make the final four this season.  They were 16 point dogs in that game only losing by 6 which it came down to the final minutes.  UAB lost to Richmond who has been flat out terrible.  Maybe UAB is awful as well will take my chances.

Iowa laid a complete egg yesterday and were down 20 at half.  They simply couldn't make anything they looked at.  I think we see a hungry team here bounce back with a big effort and take care of business today.  Iowa will dictate the pass early which they failed to yesterday.  

I know this Michigan team lost 3 starters from last years team and they haven't looked very sharp out of the gate yet.  This is more of a play against LSU who regardless of where you look everyone has them pegged as the worst team in the SEC and I agree with this assessment.  Michigan still has enough guys with talent here to cover this low of number. 

I'm not high on this Stanford team as I have already went against them when they played Eastern Washington laying 16.5 and lost the game outright.  I was pretty impressed with UNC playing UNI who is thought to be a very impressive mid major school.  I dont see UNC having a problem with Stanford who struggles to score 

This is be a public play no doubt, but how can you honestly even consider backing this Pitt team.  They have lost to Navy and Montana and barely beat UC Santa Barbara.  The lack of talent returning is glaring and on the other hand Penn St returns a ton of young talent who will be more than fired up than to beat down an in state rival.  

Wall is question mark here for tonight's game and even if he does play I think the Bucks here.  Milwaukee should be focused and hungry after laying an complete egg @ Dallas in losing by 31!  Prior to that loss the Bucks had won 4 straight.  Another reason we get good effort here is because Milwaukee goes on a west coast trip after this game.

This no doubt will be a public play for sure, but I think the Blazers respond here especially since they just lost to Memphis at home by 1.  They will be out for revenge and shouldn't have an issue getting it as the Grizzlies are now without Conley who is the glue for that team.  

Memphis has dropped 4 straight and 5 of 6 

Should the Cavs really be favored here over a division rival who is 11-5 on the season and 7-1 at home.  I really dont think so plus I like what the Pistons did last night winning on the road @ Minnesota.  This team is playing pretty high level ball right now.  

The betting public will be all over the Cavs since they have won 4 straight games but wins over the Mavs Knicks Clippers and Hornets dont quite do it for me.  

Richmond looks like they have something wrong with them so far.  In both games they were favored and lost by a combined 47 points ovly scoring 61 and 63 in each game.  I want no part of that team what so ever.  I know UAB hasn't played anyone strong but doesn't look like they need much to beat this team 

Jumped on this line early for obvious reasons and love it.  I think the Eagles are the best team in football and they will be ready for a huge Sunday night showdown.  

The Cowboys I think are falling a part because of their injuries and suspension.  I know odds makers say Zeke is only worth one point but he is clearly worth a lot more to that offense if you watched them last week.  

Wentz in his 2nd year his making a strong case for MVP honors.  He can further cement that with a huge performance on the biggest stage.  Eagles also have a very good defense that can hold Dak in check.

I know the Raiders have been disappointing this season given the fact what they did last year.  I just like this spot for them.

Oakland is coming off their bye week which I think is huge this time of the season especially given the struggles they have had.  I also like that it is being played on a neutral field, but the Raiders are familiar with this place in Mexico City while this is new ground for Brady and the Patriots.

The Patriots are playing well sitting at 7-2 but the recent teams that have beat you can honestly look at them and say 0 of them are making the playoffs.  I also don't trust their defense against Carr with time to prepare

It's almost an automatic fade for me when a team blows the doors off another.  I think we are seeing a huge over reaction here on the Saints.  

This Redskins team is better than their record.  Look at their last 4 losses they were against the Vikings, Eagles, Chiefs and Cowboys when they were at full strength.  those are 4 of the top 10 teams in the league easily.  

I also think the Saints have had a pretty easy schedule up to this point beating Green Bay without Rodgers, the Bears, Tampa, Buffalo and Detriot.  Can we really say right now that any of these are playoff teams?

Redskins keep this close and might win it outright

Can you believe the day has come that the Jaguars are even favored on the road let alone more than a touch down?  I cant believe it either!  

Browns haven't won a game and the betting public wants nothing to do with them.  However, last week against Detroit they should have won that game outright let alone cover the 2 touchdowns they were getting it was a real bad beat.  

I know the Jags are 6-3 but wins over the Chargers Bengals and Colts their last 3 doesn't really cut it.  I'm not actually sure their QB is that much better than Kizer.  

Browns have a defense to hold Bortles in check pretty easily

Really surprised at all this steam move here on the Texans.  I don't think we will find a motivated Texans team anymore losing 3 straight and 4 of 5 sitting at 3-6 with no hopes of the playoffs now.  

The Cardinals still have the hope I think and I like them here getting the extra time coming off a Thursday night game.  Arizona has the better defense and they can get back to .500 here at 5-5 which will put them still in the playoff picture.  

I will take the desperate team

Everything in this game goes to the spot.  This is a big rivalry game and I think Cal will show up here.  Cal is coming off their bye week and will be ready here.  Stanford is coming off their biggest win of the season in a upset win over Washington.  Now they also have Notre Dame on deck so we know they will be looking ahead here. 

Like Missouri here as a month ago this team was looking like they may only win a couple games.  Well, now they are on fire covering 6 straight and winning 4 straight.  Their offense has really clicked here and should against Vandy who I thought threw in the towel last week against Kentucky which isn't a good sign.  Missouri also could make a bowl game here with their 6th win.  

Such a tough spot for Notre Dame here coming off a dream crushing loss @ Miami.  It's going to be hard for ND to even get up for this game.  I also don't think ND will prepare very hard for this option team.  Navy on the other hand will be motivated and they can keep this close

This is the ultimate flat spot for Iowa St who has had a nice ride here this season making a lot of headlines, but I Baylor is still playing hard despite having a very bad year.  Last weeks results was very misleading against Texas Tech as they out gained them by over a 100 yards but lost by double digits.  

I think the early kick here really helps Arkansas.  Miss St is coming off a a huge deflating loss as they actually lead the game in the 2nd half against Bama , but came up short.  It's going to be hard for them to get up here as there is nothing to play now.  I do think Arkansas will show up even though they have had a disappointing season.  

I'm pretty high on this Nevada team as I think they will be one of mid majors everyone is talking about come March.  They have adopted a new role in taking transfers and it seems to be working.  They handled a very good Rhode Island team in their opener and shouldn't have a problem here against Santa Clara.  They won just 17 games last year and lose maybe their best player they have had in 20 years.  This is an average team at best

I'm pretty high on this Northwestern team entering this season.  They still have a lot of talent from a team that won 24 games last year.  McIntosh will lead the way for them and he will have plenty of help with guys like Law, Lindsey and Ash.  Creighton does have one stud in Foster, but he can't carry the whole load.  Creighton lost Patton to the NBA a youngster with a lot of promise who should have stayed.  Losing Watson is major loss as well.  They might get better as the season goes along but dont like them here.

Love the Bucks here at home at a short price against a division rival in the Pistons.  They will be more than motivated here playing a Pistons team that has one of the best records in NBA so far. The one glaring difference here is that the Pistons have benefited from playing at home during this winning streak 

I like the Hornets here in this game pretty much because I'm not a believer in the Cavs team at all.  They should have lost last game @ Knicks if it wasn't for Korver going crazy in the 4th.  The Hornets have played a majority of their games on the road and have a good home record at 4-1. 

I think we can kind of forgive the Heat in the beginning of the season because they have been without Whiteside.  I also dont trust this Wizards team because they play little to no defense.  Also the Wizards are being overrated winning 3 straight games because those came against Lakers Hawks and Kings.  

Eastern Washington lost their second leading scorer but do return their stud in Bogdan Bliznyuk who is the best player in this conference.  EWU won 22 games last season and were 13-5 in league play.  I like the experience they have in the back court.  

Stanford was nothing special last year winning just 14 games and a terrible 6-12 in the PAC 12.  Stanford also doesn't really like to get up and down the court so with this number it seems like a big task