At 10:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (979) and the San Diego Padres (980) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Dinelson Lamet. San Diego (30-44) won the opening game of this series last night by a 1-0 score. The Padres have not allowed more than four runs in five straight games — but they have then played 19 of their last 25 games Over the Total after not allowing more than four runs in at least four straight contests. San Diego has also played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total when priced in the +/- 125 price range. Furthermore, the Over is 6-2-1 in the Padres’ last 9 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. And in their last 7 games in Interleague play, the Over is 5-1-1. They send out their 24-year old rookie Lamet who is 2-2 with a 7.50 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP this season. Lamet has not been as effective at home in Petco Park where he has been saddled with a 8.10 ERA and .262 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 7.07 ERA and .222 opponent’s batting average when on the road.

Detroit (32-41) has now lost seven straight games — and they have played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total after losing at least three straight games. Additionally, the Tigers have played 9 of their last 10 road games Over the Total after a loss by two runs or less. Detroit has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against an opponent that did not score more than two runs in their last game. Furthermore, the Tigers’ bullpen only pitched 1 inning last night — and they have played 21 of their last 27 road gams Over the Total after a game did not pitch more than 1 inning in their last game. They send out Anibal Sanchez who is 0-0 with a 7.96 ERA and 1.96 WHIP this season. The 33-year old veteran was OK in his first start of the season on Monday in what ended up being a 6-2 loss for the Tigers. Sanchez has lost over a MPH on his fastball which helped explain his 5.87 ERA and 1.46 WHIP last season along with the 21 earned runs he surrendered in 21 innings of work out the bullpen for Detroit this season. The right-hander was demoted to the minor leagues for a bit this season where he continued to be hit hard with a 4.60 ERA in 15 2/3 innings of work. The Over is 18-6-3 in the Tigers’ last 27 road games with Sanchez on the mound. He faces a San Diego team that has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Lastly, the Over is 3-1-1 in the Padres’ last 5 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Detroit Tigers (979) and the San Diego Padres (980) listing both starting pitchers Anibal Sanchez and Dinelson Lamet. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Detroit Tigers (929) versus the San Diego Padres (930) listing both starting pitchers Michael Fuller and Luis Perdomo. Detroit (32-40) is desperate for a win after losing their sixth straight game in Seattle by a 9-6 score. Their last two games against the Mariners finished Over the Total — and the Tigers have won a decisive 37 of their last 60 games after playing at least two straight games Over the Total. Detroit does feast on the lesser teams in the league as they have won 15 of their last 21 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%. And while the Padres are just 17-18 at home in Petco Park, the Tigers have won 14 of their last 19 road games against teams with a losing record at home. They send out Fulmer who is 6-5 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 2.30 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and .232 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his more modest 4.60 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .264 opponent’s batting average in seven starts at home. Detroit has won 8 of their last 10 road games with Fulmer facing a team with a losing record. The Tigers have also won 16 of their last 24 games with Fulmer pitching when priced in the +/- 125 price range. He should fare well against this San Diego team that is hitting just .199 over their last seven games. The Padres have also lost 5 of their last 6 games in Interleague play against right-handed starting pitchers.

San Diego (29-44) snapped their three-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 3-2 win in Chicago against the Cubs. The Padres have then lost 12 of their last 16 games after an of day. San Diego has also lost 10 of their last 13 home games in Interleague play against a team with a losing record. They counter with Luis Perdomo who is 1-4 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home in Petco Park where he has a 5.31 ERA in seven starts as compared to his 4.50 ERA in five starts on the road. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season when Perdomo was saddled with a 6.33 ERA at home as compared to his 5.30 ERA when on the road. Perdomo does come off a nice effort in Milwaukee where he allowed only two earned runs in 6 innings of work — but the Padres have lost 5 of their last 7 games with Perdomo looking to follow up a Quality Start. Lastly, the Tigers have won 5 of their last 6 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Road Warrior of the Year with the money-line on the money-line on the Detroit Tigers (929) versus the San Diego Padres (930) listing both starting pitchers Michael Fuller and Luis Perdomo. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Miami Marlins (958) versus the Chicago Cubs (957) listing both starting pitchers Jeff Locke and Jake Arrieta. Chicago (36-35) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last night with their 3-2 loss to the Padres. The Cubs now go back on the road where they have lost 11 of their last 14 games — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Chicago has also lost 5 of their last 6 games in Miami. They send out Arrieta who is 6-5 with a 4.64 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP this season. The right-hander appears to be on the decline after some outstanding seasons where he did log in plenty of innings. A danger sign last year was his walk rate increasing to 9.6% of the batters he faced as compared to his filthy 5.5% walk rate in 2015. The 31-year old has admitted that long-term fatigue could be impacting him now while he has also battled a nagging hand injury. His fastball velocity has dipped from 93 MPH last season to 91.8 MPH now. Arrieta has failed to pitch at least 5 innings in four of his fourteen starts this season — and that includes in both of his last two starts where he has been rocked for seven runs (six earned) over those last 9 innings. Furthermore, Arrieta has not been as effective in his nine starts on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.07 ERA and 1.43 WHIP as compared to his 3.86 ERA and 1.14 WHIP at home. The Cubs have lost 6 straight road games with Arrieta on the mound. Miami has won 10 of their last 11 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Marlins have also won 4 of their last 5 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

Miami (32-38) has won two of their last three games after surviving Max Scherzer’s no-hitter bid yesterday in their 2-1 victory. The Marlins have won 6 of their last 7 games after scoring no more than two runs in their last game — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. Chicago has lost 10 of their last 14 games against teams that did not allow more than two runs in their last contest. Now Miami opens this series at home where they have won 7 of their last 8 games. The Marlins have also won 4 straight opening games to a new series. They counter with Jeff Locke who is 0-2 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.32 WHIP since coming off the disabled list to begin his new stint with this Miami franchise this season. He did allow just one earned run in his lone start at home this year. Last year with the Pirates, the left-hander was much better at home where he had a 3.63 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and .264 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 7.16 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Chicago has lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road against left-handed starting pitchers. And in the Cubs last 12 games against a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, they have lost 9 of these games. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break League Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the Miami Marlins (958) versus the Chicago Cubs (957) listing both starting pitchers Jeff Locke and Jake Arrieta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (925) and the Oakland A’s (926) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Sean Manaea. Houston (48-24) has won two straight games after their 6-2 victory over the A’s last night. The Astros have then seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a win. The Over is also 10-4-3 in Houston’s last 17 games on the road. They send out Fiers who is 4-2 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been even less effective in his seven starts on the road where he has been saddled with a 5.40 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .268 as compared to his 2.68 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average when at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where Fiers had a 4.99 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .289 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to the modest improvements of a 4.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .273 opponents batting average when he was pitching at home. The Over is 3-0-1 in the Astros’ last 4 road games with Fiers facing a team with a losing record. He faces an Oakland team that has seen the Over go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Over is also 5-1-1 in the A’s last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

Oakland (31-40) has seen the Over go a decisive 20-4-2 in their last 26 games after a loss. The A’s have also played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. They counter with Sean Manaea who is 6-3 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.11 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been as effective in his six starts at home where he has a 1.24 WHIP and .213 opponent’s batting average as opposed to his 0.98 WHIP and .186 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. The Over is 4-1-1 in Oakland’s last 6 home games with Manaea on the mound. He faces a Houston team that has played 5 of their last 7 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 7 games against starting pitchers, the Over is 5-1-1 for the Astros. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break NL West Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Astros (925) and the Oakland A’s (926) listing both starting pitchers Mike Fiers and Sean Manaea. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (964) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Mets (963) listing both starting pitchers Brandon McCarthy and Robert Gsellman. Los Angeles (45-26) has won four straight games as well as ten of their last eleven contests with their 10-6 victory in the opening game of this series. The Dodgers have then won 22 of their last 29 games after a victory. Los Angeles has also now won a decisive 43 of their last 55 games at home against teams with a losing record — and they have won 24 of their last 29 home games with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range. They send out McCarthy who is 5-3 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP this season in eleven starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 2.83 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .200 in six starts as compared to his 3.54 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .262 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Dodgers have won 12 of their last 15 home games with McCarthy on the mound. He should fare well against this Mets team that has lost 5 straight games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

New York (31-38) has now lost four of their last five games. The Mets have lost 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. New York has also lost 19 of their last 26 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Robert Gsellman who is 5-4 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.54 WHIP this season. The right-hander has particularly struggled on the road where he has a 6.33 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in four starts as compared to his 5.13 ERA and 1.54 WHIP when at home. That does not bode well when facing this Los Angeles team that has won 53 of their last 70 games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Dodgers have also won 21 of their last 28 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Lastly, while these team trends do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we will be laying with this play, the Dodgers are supported by a specific Run-Line angle that has been 63% effective since 1997. Los Angeles has scored at least eight runs in three straight games — and National League teams with a batting average no better than .255 (Dodgers: 254 batting average) who have scored at least six runs in two straight games have covered the 1.5 Run-Line in 100 of the last 158 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break ESPN Run-Line of the Year with the Los Angeles Dodgers (964) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the New York Mets (963) listing both starting pitchers Brandon McCarthy and Robert Gsellman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Boston Red Sox (969) versus the Houston Astros (970) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Joe Musgrave. Boston (38-30) looks to bounce-back from a 7-1 loss to the Astros yesterday. The Red Sox have still won 5 of their last 6 meetings with Houston. Boston has also won 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. They send out Price who is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in four starts this season. The left-hander started the season on the disabled list with an elbow issue. He has looked good since returning at least regarding his velocity and movement. He comes off a listless start against the Phillies last Tuesday where he allowed three earned runs in 6 innings of work — but a blister on his throwing hand which prevented him from a typical bullpen throwing session between starts. He should pitch better tonight with the additional motivation of facing the (current) best team in baseball on national television. After a disappointing start with the Red Sox last season, he did finish up with a 3.24 ERA and 1.10 WHIP along with eight wins and nine Quality Starts over his last fourteen starts to keep his claim as one of the elite pitchers in the game.

Houston (46-23) has now lost 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have lost 17 of their last 24 home games against teams with a winning record. And while the Astros have not allowed more than two runs in their last three games, they have lost 16 of their last 24 games after allowing three runs or less in at least three straight games. They counter with Joe Musgrave who is 4-5 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.41 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective at home where he has a 5.05 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in eight starts as compared to his 4.24 ERA and 1.35 WHIP this season. Houston has lost 6 of their last 8 games at home with Musgrave on the mound. And while Boston has a .399 slugging percentage this season, the Astros have lost 6 straight games at home with Musgrave facing an American League team with a slugging percentage no better than .410. Boston has won 6 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Red Sox have won 4 of these games. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Sunday ESPN Game of the Year with the money-line on the Boston Red Sox (969) versus the Houston Astros (970) listing both starting pitchers David Price and Joe Musgrave. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (925) and the Houston Astros (926) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and David Paulino. Boston (38-29) has won four of their last five games with their 2-1 win over the Astros last night. The Red Sox have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, after Chris Sale’s complete game shutout on Thursday, Boston’s bullpen has pitched only 2 1/3 innings over the last two days — and they have then played 15 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not having their bullpen pitch more than 3 innings of work in each of their last two games. And with the Red Sox having won six of their last eight games, they have then played 22 of the last 30 road games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eighth games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in Boston’s last 5 games on the road. They send out Porcello who is 3-8 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.51 WHIP this season. It has been a disappointing start for the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner — but the deeper sabermetrics strongly suggest that better times are coming. The right-hander’s BABIP (Batting Average for Balls In Play) of .366 is the highest of all qualifying pitchers and should drop (along with his opponent’s batting average). Porcello is enjoying his best strikeout rate in his career. His SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.09 and 4.23 moving forward. Porcello has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.76 ERA as compared to his 5.40 ERA when at home. The under is also 3-0-1 in the Red Sox’s last 4 games with Porcello pitching with four days of rest.

Houston (45-23) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss. The Astros have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against an opponent that allowed two or less runs in their last contest. Furthermore, the Under is a decisive 33-13-6 in Houston’s last 52 home games against teams with a winning record. They counter with David Paulino who is 0-6 with a 6.59 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in three starts this season. The sabermetrics do indicate that the right-hander should be seeing much better results with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.84 and 4.13 moving forward from his deeper peripherals numbers. In three levels of the minor leagues last season, Paulino had a 2.00 ERA along with a 106:19 strikeout to walk ratio in 90 innings of work. Boston has seen the Under go 3-0-2 in their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Lastly, the Under is 3-0-2 in the Red Sox’s last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Saturday Night Fox-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Red Sox (925) and the Houston Astros (926) listing both starting pitchers Rick Porcello and David Paulino. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Pirates (952) versus the Chicago Cubs (951) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Williams and Eddie Butler. Chicago (32-33) continues to underachieve with their lethargic play — they have lost six of their last eight games with their 9-4 loss to the Mets on Wednesday. The Cubs biggest problems have been their poor play on the road — they are last in the Major Leagues with just a .227 batting average away from home. Chicago has lost 13 of their last 16 games on the road. The Cubs have also lost 6 of their last 7 road games against teams with a losing record. Chicago has also lost 14 of their last 23 games with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. They send out Butler who is 3-2 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective on the road where he owns a 5.23 ERA and 1.45 WHIP as compared to his 3.38 ERA and 1.34 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for significant regression as well — his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 5.28 and 4.75 moving forward respectively.

Pittsburgh (30-36) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday with their 5-4 loss to the Rockies. The Pirates have still won 4 of their last 5 games at home. Pittsburgh has also won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Pirates have also won 5 of their last 7 encounters with the Cubs. They counter with Trevor Williams who is 3-3 with a 5.13 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.18 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .256 as compared to his 1.48 WHIP and .284 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Chicago has lost 8 of their last 9 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 9 games against teams with a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Cubs have lost 8 of these contests. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break NL Central Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the Pittsburgh Pirates (952) versus the Chicago Cubs (951) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Williams and Eddie Butler. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the New York Mets (902) versus the Washington Nationals (901) listing both starting pitchers Robert Gsellman and Gio Gonzalez. New York (30-34) begins this NL East series having won five of their last six games with their 9-4 win over the Cubs. The Mets have then won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. New York has also won 6 of their last 8 games against NL East opponents. They send out Gsellman who is 5-3 with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP this season. The right-hander has bee more effective in seven starts at home where he has a 4.25 ERA and 1.42 WHIP as compared to his 6.33 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in four starts on the road. Gsellman was more effective at home last season as well where he had a 1.19 WHIP and .241 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.38 WHIP and .276 opponent’s batting average on the road. The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 games with Gsellman facing a team from the NL East. He should fare well against this Nationals team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

Washington (39-26) has lost five of their last six games with their 13-2 loss to the Braves yesterday. The Nationals have then lost 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Washington has also lost 10 of their last 14 road games after a loss by at least four runs. Furthermore, Washington has lost 10 of their last 14 road games with the Total set in the 8-10.5 range. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Nationals have lost 5 of these games. They counter with Gio Gonzalez who is 5-1 with a 2.91 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for significant regression for the left-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.61 and 4.30 moving forward this season. Gonzalez has also struggled on the road where he has an ERA of 4.38 along with a 1.49 WHIP and .257 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 1.66 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and .211 opponent’s batting average in seven starts at home. Washington has lost 9 of their last 12 road games with Gonzalez facing a team with a losing record. The Nationals have also lost 10 of their last 11 road games with Gonzalez pitching with the Total set in the 8.5-10 range. These are not good signs when facing this Mets team that has won 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break NL East Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the New York Mets (902) versus the Washington Nationals (901) listing both starting pitchers Robert Gsellman and Gio Gonzalez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:07 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Toronto Blue Jays (962) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (961) listing both starting pitchers Francisco Liriano and Jake Odorizzi. Toronto (31-35) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last night with their 8-1 loss to the Rays last night. The Blue Jays have then rebounded to win 6 of their last 7 games after a loss — and they have lost 10 of their last 11 games after scoring two runs or less. Toronto has also won a decisive 61 of their last 89 home games against teams with a losing record on the road — and Tampa Bay is 14-17 away from home. The Blue Jays have also won 15 of their last 22 games at home. They send out Liriano who is 3-2 with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP in nine starts this season. The left-hander has been more effective in his five starts at home where he has a 4.50 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and .237 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 8.16 ERA, 2.30 WHIP and .322 opponent’s batting average on the road. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where he had a 3.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and .232 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 5.54 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and .274 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Blue Jays have won 4 straight home games with Liriano on the hill. He should fare well against this Rays team that hits only .222 against lefties — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

Tampa Bay (35-32) has won six of their last seven games — but they have lost 7 of their last 10 contests after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. The Rays have also lost a decisive 49 of their last 79 road games against teams with a winning record at home — and the Blue Jays are 17-15 at home this season. They counter with Jake Odorizzi who is 4-3 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics call for regression as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.33 and 4.35 moving forward. The right-hander has been more effective in six starts at home where he sports a 3.11 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and .213 opponent’s batting average — but he sees these numbers rise to a 4.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .266 opponent’s batting average in five starts on the road. Odorizzi does come off a solid outing at home where he allowed three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work against the White Sox — but the Rays have lost 7 of their last 8 games with Odorizzi looking to follow up a Quality Start. Lastly, the Blue Jays have lost 16 of their last 21 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break AL East Game of the Year with the money-line on the Toronto Blue Jays (962) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (961) listing both starting pitchers Francisco Liriano and Jake Odorizzi. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (914) versus the Baltimore Orioles (913) listing both starting pitchers Derek Holland and Alex Asher. Baltimore (31-31) has lost five in a row after their 10-7 loss to the White Sox yesterday. After a sizzling 22-10 start to the season, Buck Showalter’s team has crashed by losing twenty-one of their last thirty games. Moving forward, the Orioles have lost 4 straight games after a loss — and they have lost 5 straight games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Furthermore, Baltimore has lost 20 of their last 27 games on the road — and they have lost five straight road games against teams with a losing record. They send out Asher who is 2-4 with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in five starts along with bullpen world this season. The right-hander has made four of these starts on the road where he has been rocked with a 6.20 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .299 overall away from home. Baltimore has lost 4 straight road games with Asher on the mound. That does not bode well against this White Sox team that has won 4 of their last 5 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

Chicago (27-35) play the second game of this home series after being on the road for nine games prior to yesterday’s contest. The White Sox have now won 7 of their last 10 games at home — and they have won 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. They counter with Derek Holland who is 4-6 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP in ten starts this season. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he enjoys a 2.74 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and .233 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 4.63 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .276 opponent’s batting average when on the road. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season with the Rangers where he had a 3.65 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and a .269 opponent’s batting average in that hitter-friendly park in Texas as compared to his 6.05 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .281 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Holland has made eight starts in nine career appearances against the Orioles — and he sports a 5-2 record with a 3.21 ERA in those games. He should fare well against this Orioles team that has lost 5 of their last 6 road games against left-handed starting pitchers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 55-14 combined angle for this situation. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break League Underdog of the Year with the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (914) versus the Baltimore Orioles (913) listing both starting pitchers Derek Holland and Alex Asher. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the Atlanta Braves (951) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Washington Nationals (952) listing both starting pitchers Mike Foltynewicz and Stephen Strasburg. Washington (38-24) has lost four of their last five games with their 5-1 loss to the Rangers yesterday. The Nationals are struggling to score runs — over their last seven games, they have failed to score more than three runs five times. All seven of those games finished Under the Total — and Washington has lost a decisive 82 of their last 126 games after playing at least four straight Unders. The Nationals have also lost 4 straight home games against teams with a losing record. They send out Strasburg who is 7-2 with a 2.80 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective at home where he has a 3.18 ERA and .222 opponent’s batting average in five starts as compared to his 2.53 ERA and .187 opponent’s batting average in seven starts on the road. Last season, Strasburg had a 3.00 ERA on the road but a 4.00 ERA when at home. The deeper sabermetrics also call for regression with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 3.41 and 3.27 moving forward.

Atlanta (27-35) has won 26 of their last 38 games against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last start. The Braves have also won 5 of their last 7 games against teams that did not score more than two runs run their last game. Atlanta has lost three straight games after their 2-1 loss to the Mets yesterday. The Braves have then won 7 of their last 9 opening games to a new series. They counter with Mike Foltynewicz who is 4-5 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.03 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and .232 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 4.03 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and .294 opponent’s batting average in five starts at home. The Braves have won 4 of their last 5 road games with Foltynewicz facing a team with a winning record. Lastly, while these team trends do not even take into account the +1.5 Run-Line we are getting with this play, the Run-Line is supported by a historical angle that has been 78% effective since 1997. Strasburg has a 2.71 ERA over his last ten starts — and home teams with a slugging percentage of .430 or higher (Washington: 449 slugging percentage) using a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.00 or lower over his last ten starts now facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP in the 1.25 to 1.30 range have then failed to cover the 1.5 Run-Line in 32 of the last 41 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break NL East Run-Line of the Year with the Atlanta Braves (951) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Washington Nationals (952) listing both starting pitchers Mike Foltynewicz and Stephen Strasburg. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (911) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (912) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Robbie Ray. Arizona (37-26) has won four of their last five games with their 3-2 victory over the Brewers yesterday. The Diamondbacks have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a victory. Additionally, the Over is 23-9-2 in Arizona’s last 34 games against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Over is a decisive 50-22-3 in the Diamondbacks’ last 75 games at home — and that includes playing twenty of their last twenty-seven home games Over the Total with the number set in the 8.5-10 range. They send out Ray who is 6-3 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. The right-hander has allowed only one earned run in his last 30 1/3 innings of work — but the deeper sabermetrics call for regression. Both Ray’s SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.48 and 3.44 respectively moving forward. Ray has also not been as effective at home where he has a 5.67 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .250 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his microscopic 0.64 ERA along with a 0.76 WHIP and .134 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. The Diamondbacks have played 16 of their last 21 road games Over the Total with Ray on there mound. That bodes for trouble when facing this Brewers team that has played 13 of their last 16 road games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

Milwaukee (33-29) has played 15 of their last 20 road games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss by just one run. The Brewers have also played 8 of their last 11 road games Over the Total when facing a team with a winning record. And in their last 46 games as an underdog, Milwaukee has played 28 of these games Over the Total. They counter with Chase Anderson who is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP this season. The right-hander enters this game with a scoreless innings streak of 21 2/3rds. But given Anderson’s 4.30 SIERA and 4.33 xFIP, expect regression in his performances. Furthermore, Anderson has struggled on the road where he has a 4.36 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and .266 opponent’s batting average in six starts as compared to his 1.69 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and .218 opponent’s batting average in six starts at home. The Over is 7-2-1 in the Brewers last 10 road games against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the Diamondbacks have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break National League Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Brewers (911) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (912) listing both starting pitchers Chase Anderson and Robbie Ray. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Boston Red Sox (970) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Detroit Tigers (969) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Justin Verlander. Boston (33-27) has won four of their last six games with their 5-3 win over the Tigers last night. The Red Sox have then won 8 of their last 11 games after a victory. Boston has also won 6 of their last 7 games at home in Fenway Park. They send out Sale who is 7-2 with a 2.89 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been more effective in six starts at home where he enjoys a 2.23 ERA, 0.77 WHIP and .166 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 3.63 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and .237 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. The Red Sox have won 5 of their 6 starts at home with Sale on the hill. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish on Sale with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an even better ERA of 2.43 and 2.44 moving forward.

Detroit (29-31) has lost three of their last four games after last  night’s loss. The Tigers have now lost 9 of their last 13 games on the road. Detroit has also lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Justin Verlander who is 4-4 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in twelve starts this season. The right-hander has struggle don the road where he has a 6.53 ERA, 1.70 WHIP and .288 opponent’s batting average in seven starts on the road as compared to his strong 2.10 ERA along with a 1.13 WHIP and .198 opponent’s batting average in five starts at home. Detroit has lost 5 of their last 6 home games with Verlander on the mound. The Red Sox have won 5 of their last 6 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The sabermetrics predict more regression for Verlander with his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.74 and 5.06 respectively moving forward. Lastly, while these team trends do not take into account the 1.5 Run-Line we are laying in this game, Boston is supported by an empirical angle that has been 67% effective over the last five seasons. The Tigers allow only 0.43 stolen bases per game — and underdogs who do not allow more than one stolen base every two games while using a starting pitcher who averages at least 2.5 walks per start (Verlander: exactly 2.5 walks per start) have then failed to cover the 1.5 Run-Line when priced in the +165 to -135 price range at +1.5 Runs (Detroit: -120 range at +1.5 Runs) in 36 of the last 54 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break American League Run-Line of the Year with the Boston Red Sox (970) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Detroit Tigers (969) listing both starting pitchers Chris Sale and Justin Verlander. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:35 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Chicago Cubs (964) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (963) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Michael Wacha. Chicago (27-27) has won two straight games with their 5-3 victory over the Cardinals yesterday. The Cubs have now won a decisive 49 of their last 71 games at home in Wrigley Field. Chicago has also won 5 of their last 6 games against a team that allowed at least five runs in their last game. They send out Hendricks who is 4-3 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP in ten starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 3.49 ERA in five starts. Last season, Hendricks enjoyed an outstanding 1.32 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .201. The Cubbies have won 13 of their last 19 home games with Hendricks on the hill. Hendricks teams have also won a decisive 21 of their last 26 games when priced in the -125 to -175 price range. He should fare well against this Cardinals team that has lost 4 straight road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

St. Louis (26-27) has lost 7 of their last 9 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Cardinals have also lost 5 of their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. They counter with Michael Wacha who is 2-3 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has struggled on the road where he has a 6.19 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .323 in three starts as compared to his 2.94 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and .235 opponent’s batting average when at home. St. Louis has lost 6 straight games at night with Wacha on the mound where he has a 5.23 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .306 in six starts under the lights this season. Lastly, while these team trends do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying for this play, the Cubs are supported by an empirical angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 73% effective over the last five seasons. The Cubs are hitting just .234 this season — and National League home favorites hitting under .245 have then covered the -1.5 Run-Line (money line priced in the +135 to -190 range) in 50 of the last 69 games when played on a Sunday. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Sunday ESPN Run-Line of the Year on the Chicago Cubs (964) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the St. Louis Cardinals (963) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Michael Wacha. Best of luck for us — Frank (and I will be Live Tweeting during this game — follow me at FrankSawyer_HS to keep up with my comments, insights and, hopefully, a few jokes).

At 8:15 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (973) and the Kansas City Royals (974) listing both starting pitchers Josh Tomlin and Jason Vargas. Cleveland (28-24) has won four of their last five games with their 8-0 victory over the A’s yesterday. The Under is then 26-10-2 in the Indians’ lat 38 games after a victory. The Under is also 17-6-3 in Cleveland’s last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing record, the Under is 7-2-1. They send out Tomlin who is 3-6 with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics project better times for the right-hander with both his SIERA and xFIP projecting an ERA of 4.04 and 3.75 respectively moving forward. Tomlin has been more effective on the road where he owns a strong 1.13 WHIP as compared to his 1.44 WHIP along with a 6.19 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .321 when pitching at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Tomlin had a 4.31 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .257 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to his 4.50 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under is 6-1-2 in the Indians’ last 9 games on the road. He should fare well against this Royals’ team that has played 8 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Tomlin also loves to pitch against Kansas City — he is 10-4 with a 3.94 ERA in 23 career appearances which includes 19 starts against the Royals.

Kansas City (22-30) has lost three of their last four games with their 6-5 loss to the Tigers on Wednesday. The Royals have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Under is also 15-5-1 in KC’s last 221 home games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Jason Vargas who is 6-3 with a 2.39 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in ten starts this season. The left-hander has been even better at home where he owns a 2.05 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .212 opponent’s batting average in five starts as compared to his 2.73 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and .257 opponent’s batting average on the road. Kansas City has played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total with Vargas on the mound — and that includes playing five of their last six games Under the Total against teams with a winning record in those circumstances. He should fare well against this Indians team that has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP no higher than 1.10. The Under is also 19-7-1 in Cleveland’s last 28 games against left-handed starting pitchers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 120-39-10 combined angle for this situation. 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break American League Central Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (973) and the Kansas City Royals (974) listing both starting pitchers Josh Tomlin and Jason Vargas. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Colorado Rockies (928) versus the Seattle Mariners (927) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Ariel Miranda. Colorado (33-20) looks to bounce-back from their 6-5 loss to the Mariners in the opening game of this series last night. The Rockies have rebounded to win 5 straight games after a loss. And while the Colorado bullpen did not allow an earned run in that game, they have then won 16 of their last 22 games after a game where their bullpen did not allow an earned run. Furthermore, the Rockies have won 10 of their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. They send out Anderson who is 3-4 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP this season. The deeper sabermetrics are bullish on the left-hander as his both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.82 and 3.58 moving forward. The expected improvement for Anderson seems to already be taking place. Over his last four starts, Anderson is 2-1 with a 2.55 ERA in 24 2/3 innings while punching out 32 batters, issuing only 7 walks and giving up just 21 hits. Anderson has been more effective at home this season where he owns a 1.34 WHIP and .262 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.41 WHIP and .279 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Last season, Anderson owned  a strong 3.00 ERA along with a 1.26 WHIP at home. The Rockies have won 4 of their last 5 home games with Anderson facing a team with a losing record. He should fare well against this Mariners team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

Seattle (23-29) has lost 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Mariners have also lost 8 of their last 11 games on the road. And in their last 25 games as an underdog priced in the +100 to +150 price range, Seattle has lost 19 of these games. They counter with Ariel Miranda who has a 4-2 record along with a 4.22 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in ten starts this season. The left-hander has been quite good in his four starts at home where he has a 2.36 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and .220 opponent’s batting average — but those numbers rise to a rough 6.08 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .252 opponent’s batting average in six starts on the road. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last season where he had a 3.16 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .218 opponent’s batting average as opposed to his 5.14 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and .288 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Miranda takes the mound tonight after last pitching on Thursday — and the Mariners have lost 4 of their last 5 games with Miranda on the mound. Lastly, the Rockies have won 10 of their last 13 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 87-28 combined angle for this situation. 25* MLB Interleague Game of the Month with the money-line on the Colorado Rockies (928) versus the Seattle Mariners (927) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Ariel Miranda.  Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the money-line on the Texas Rangers (970) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (969) listing both starting pitchers Martin Perez and Erasmo Ramirez. Texas (25-26) snapped a five-game losing streak yesterday afternoon in their 3-1 win in Toronto. The Rangers have then won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game — and they have won 21 of their last 28 games after a game where no more than four combined runs were scored. Now after being on the road since May 18th, Texas returns home where they are 16-8 — and they have won 16 of their last 21 games at home. The Rangers have also won 5 straight home games after being on the road for at least seven days. And in their last 15 home games when a money-line favorite priced at least at -110, Texas has won 13 of these games. They send out Perez who is 2-5 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts this season. The left-hander has been more effective in his six starts at home where he has a 3.47 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and .273 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 4.29 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .321. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where he had a 3.24 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and .265 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his 5.78 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and .277 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Rangers have won 14 of their last 20 home games with Perez on the hill. Perez looks to finish off a strong month of May where he has posted a 3.16 ERA in his four starts. He should fare well against this Rays team that has lost 6 of their last 8 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

Tampa Bay (27-26) has won four of their last five games with their 8-6 win over Minnesota in a game that took 15 innings to conclude yesterday. The Rays have lost 19 of their last 26 games after winning four of their last five games. Tampa Bay has also lost 23 of their last 34 opening games to a new series. Furthermore, the Rays have lost 10 of their last 14 road games against teams with a losing record. They have also lost a decisive 40 of their last 55 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They give the ball right back to Erasmo Ramirez who will be the fifth pitcher since 1974 to make the start the day after picking up a save the night before. Ramirez is 3-3 this season with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.89 after making 12 pitches yesterday to close out that game. The right-hander has a 2.86 ERA along with a 0.80 WHIP and .195 opponent’s batting average at home which includes three spot starts but this will be his first start this season on the road where he carries a less impressive 3.21 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and .216 opponent’s batting average. Last season, Ramirez had a 4.98 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and .292 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to his nice 2.66 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and .240 opponent’s batting average at home. The Rays have lost 7 of their last 10 games with Ramirez facing a team with a winning record. Despite the Rangers losing road trip, they are hitting a strong .275 over their last eleven games. Texas has also won 7 straight home games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Game of the Month with the money-line on the Texas Rangers (970) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (969) listing both starting pitchers Martin Perez and Erasmo Ramirez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Pirates (914) versus the New York Mets (913) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasgow and Matt Harvey. Pittsburgh (23-27) has won three of their last four games with their 5-4 win over the Mets last night which included a 9th inning comeback to force extra innings in which they then won with a run in the 10th inning. The Pirates have now played five straight Overs — and they have then won 30 of their last 43 home games after playing at least five straight Overs. They send out Glasnow who is 2-3 with a rough 6.69 ERA and a 1.93 WHIP. The right-hander still appears to have great upside after being a top-ten pitching prospect over the last four seasons. His 31% strikeout rate in Triple-A last season was very promising. The deeper sabermeterics suggest that Glasnow should be seeing better results as both his SIERA and xFIP suggest he should be seeing an ERA of 4.91 and 5.01. He has a good opportunity to get a win tonight against this Mets team that has lost 10 of their last 14 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Glasnow’s last two starts provide evidence for this uptick in performance as he struck out 10 innings in those 11 innings of work while allowing only two earned runs in each start for a nice 3.27 ERA.

New York (20-27) has lost 7 of their last 10 games after a loss — and they have lost 8 of their lost 10 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Mets have also lost 7 of their last 8 games on the road. They send out Matt Harvey who is 3-3 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP in nine starts this season. The former Adriana Lima flame has particularly struggled on the road where he has a 5.60 ERA along with a 1.76 WHIP and .295 opponent’s batting average in five starts. New York has lost 4 straight road games with Harvey on the hill. The Mets have also lost 14 of their last 18 road games with Harvey on the mound priced in the +/- 125 price range. Pittsburgh has won 5 of their last 7 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. The Pirates have also won 6 of their last 8 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Game of the Month with the money-line on the Pittsburgh Pirates (914) versus the New York Mets (913) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Glasgow and Matt Harvey. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:10 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (924) versus the Detroit Tigers (923) listing both starting pitchers Miguel Gonzalez and Jordan Zimmermann. Chicago (22-26) saw their two-game winning streak snapped their two-game winning streak yesterday in their 4-3 loss to the Tigers. The White Sox have still won 4 of their last 5 games at home. Chicago has also won 5 of their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. They send out Gonzalez who is 3-5 with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.32 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and .227 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 5.20 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and .308 opponent’s batting average. The White Sox have won 5 of their last 6  home games with Gonzalez on the hill. He should fare well against this Detroit team that has lost 6 of their last 7 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Furthermore, in their last 9 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Tigers have lost 8 of those games.

Detroit (23-26) had been on a three-game losing streak before winning yesterday — and they have lost 8 of their last 9 games after a victory. Additionally, the Tigers have lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road. They counter with Jordan Zimmermann who is 4-3 with a 5.86 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been slightly worse on the road with a 5.87 ERA and 1.57 WHIP — but his baseline is so low that it is difficult to trust him at any time. His move to the American League last season after being a solid pitcher for the Nationals has not turned out well (outside his pocket book) and the neck injury he suffered last year has contributed to a dip in his velocity. Detroit has lost 5 straight road games with Zimmermann on the mound. Lastly, the White Sox have won 4 straight games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Together, these team trends produce our specific 51-8 combined angle for this situation. 25* MLB American League Central Underdog of the Month with the money-line on the Chicago White Sox (924) versus the Detroit Tigers (923) listing both starting pitchers Miguel Gonzalez and Jordan Zimmermann. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Pittsburgh Pirates (960) versus the New York Mets (959) while listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Zack Wheeler. Pittsburgh (22-27) looks to bounce-back from their 8-1 loss last night in the opening game of this series. The Pirates have then won 4 of their last 5 games after a loss. Pittsburgh has also won 5 of their last 6 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. They send out their ace in Cole who is 2-5 with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in ten starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.67 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and .161 opponent’s batting average in four starts as compared to his 4.67 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and .295 opponent’s batting average when pitching on the road. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Cole had a 3.53 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and .277 opponent’s batting average at home as opposed to his 4.30 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and .301 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Additionally, the Pirates have won 13 of their last 19 games with Cole facing a team from the NL East. He should fare well against this New York team that has lost 9 of their last 13 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Additionally, the Mets have lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

New York (20-26) has lost 7 of their last 8 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Mets have also lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road. They counter with Zack Wheeler who is 3-2 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in eight starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective in his three starts on the road where he has a 1.35 WHIP and .254 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.26 WHIP and .202 opponent’s batting average when at home. The deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging for Wheeler as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.34 and 4.05 moving forward this season. Lastly, the Mets have lost 7 of their last 9 games with Wheeler pitching after a game where they scored at least five runs were scored. Together, these team trends produce our specific 55-17 combined angle for this situation. 25* MLB National League Game of the Month with money-line on the Pittsburgh Pirates (960) versus the New York Mets (959) while listing both starting pitchers Gerrit Cole and Zack Wheeler. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (903) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (904) listing both starting pitchers Jacob DeGrom and Chad Kuhl. Pittsburgh (22-26) has seen their bats awaken over the last two games as they have scored 21 runs over that span while belting six home runs in their four-game series against the Braves. The Pirates have won two straight games with their 9-4 win in Atlanta last night. Pittsburgh has then seen the Over go 9-4-2 in their last 15 games after a victory. The Over is also 5-1-1 in the Pirates’ last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. And in their last 9 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, the Over is 6-2-1. They send out Kuhl who is 1-4 with a 5.85 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been hit hard in his five starts home this year where he has been saddled with an 8.20 ERA, 2.09 WHIP and .329 opponent’s batting average as compared to his solid 3.80 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .259 opponent’s batting average when on the road. These disparate home/road splits are entirely consistent with last season where Kuhl had a 7.03 ERA, 1.93 WHIP and .330 opponent’s batting average at home but a strong 2.72 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Pirates have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Kuhl on the mound.

New York (19-26) enters this series have lost two straight games with their 4-3 loss to the Padres last night. The Over is then 19-6-4 in the Mets’ last 29 games after a loss. The Over is also 9-1-2 in the opening games of a new series. Additionally, the over is 22-8-2 in New York’s last 32 games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 18 games on the road, the Over is 13-3-2. They counter with DeGrom who is 3-1 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has not been as effective in his five starts on the road where he has a 4.65 ERA along with a 1.35 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .262 as compared to his 2.19 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and .202 opponent’s batting average when at home. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last year where DeGrom had a 4.16 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .312 on the road as compared to his 2.11 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and .201 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Mets have played 4 straight road games Over the Total with DeGrom on the mound. Furthermore, the Over is 11-5-3 in New York’s last 19 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB National League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the New York Mets (903) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (904) listing both starting pitchers Jacob DeGrom and Chad Kuhl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:35 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (923) and the Oakland A’s (924) listing both starting pitchers Edison Volquez and Sonny Gray. Miami (16-28) opened this series with a 10-8 victory over the A’s last night. The Marlins have then seen the Over go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game — and they have seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Over is also 18-7-2 in Miami’s last 27 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. And in their last 15 road games against American League opponents, the Marlins have played 12 of these games Over the Total. They send out Volquez who is 0–6 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been less effective on the road in five starts where he has a 5.26 ERA and a rough opponent’s batting average of .303 as compared to his 4.20 ERA and .222 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home this season. These disparate home/road split stats are consistent with last year where Volquez had an uninspiring 5.11 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and .285 opponent’s batting average at home with all those numbers even worse on the road to a 5.71 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and .287 opponent’s batting average. That does not bode well when facing this Oakland team that has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. Furthermore, the A’s have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers.

Oakland (20-25) has lost two straight games — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss. The A’s have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. Oakland has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on their home field. They counter with Sonny Gray who is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 1.31 WHIP and .262 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.17 WHIP and .222 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Last season, Gray had a 5.80 ERA and .295 opponent’s batting average at home as compared to his more modest 5.57 ERA and .275 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The A’s have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total with Gray on the mound. And while Gray comes off a technical Quality Start where he allowed three earned runs in 6 innings of work at home against the Red Sox, Oakland has seen the Over go 12-3-1 in their last 16 games with Gray looking to follow up a Quality Start. Lastly, the Over is 18-5-5 in the Marlins’ last 28 games on the road against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Getaway Game Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (923) and the Oakland A’s (924) listing both starting pitchers Edison Volquez and Sonny Gray. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (965) and the Detroit Tigers (966) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Matthew Boyd. Detroit (21-20) closes out this series tonight after their 9-3 win over the Rangers in the second game of this series. The Tigers have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a victory. Detroit has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 26 home games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road, the Under is 18-5-3. They send out Boyd who is 2-3 with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP this season. The left-hander is looking to redeem himself from a bad outing where he allowed seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work against the Orioles on Tuesday. Boyd has been respectable at home where he has a 1.30 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .241 — it is on the road where he has really struggled with a 1.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .329. Detroit has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with Boyd pitching with four days of rest. He should pitch better tonight against this Rangers team that has played 4 straight games Under the Total against left-handed starting pitchers.

Texas (23-21) counters with Yu Darvish who is 4-2 with a 2.76 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in nine starts this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 2.23 ERA as compared to a 2.97 ERA when at home. Those results are consistent with last season where Darvish had a 2.28 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and .185 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to his 4.26 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and .235 opponent’s batting average when at home. The Under is 4-1-2 in the Rangers’ last 7 games on the road with Darvish facing a team with a winning record. The Under is also a decisive 49-27-10 in Texas’ last 86 games with Darvish on the mound with the Total set in the 7-8.5 range. Lastly, while the Tigers have an unappealing 5.31 ERA from their bullpen this season, Texas has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Texas Rangers (965) and the Detroit Tigers (966) listing both starting pitchers Yu Darvish and Matthew Boyd. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (919) and the Atlanta Braves (920) listing both starting pitchers Marcus Stroman and Julio Teheran. Atlanta (16-21) has won three straight games — as well as five of their last six — with their 8-4 win versus the Blue Jays in the first game in Atlanta of this two-game home-and-home series with Toronto. The Braves have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The Over is also 20-7-1 in Atlanta’s last 28 home games against teams with a losing record. And in their last 5 games in Interleague play, the Braves have played 4 of these games Over the Total. The team received bad news this afternoon with the announcement that Freddie Freeman would miss 8-12 weeks after being beaned in the wrist last night in this heated series. But this team will need to score runs tonight with Julio Teheran taking the hill after surrendering six home runs, 22 hits and seven bases-on-balls in his last three starts in Atlanta. For the season, the right-hander is 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP this year — but he sees those numbers explode at home with an 8.14 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .310 in four starts. The Braves have played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with Teheran on the hill. That is not a good sign against this Toronto team that has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. The Blue Jays have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

Toronto (17-24) has allowed 27 runs while losing three straight games. The Blue Jays have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a loss. Toronto has also played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total on the road. They counter with Marcus Stroman who is 3-2 with a 3.33 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not quite been as good on the road where he has a 3.44 ERA as compared to his 3.27 ERA when at home. This is consistent with last season where Stroman had a 1.26 WHIP and .259 opponent’s batting average at home but saw those numbers rise to a 1.32 WHIP and .269 opponent’s batting average on the road. Stroman comes off a nice outing where he allowed two runs at home in 6 innings against the Mariners — but the Blue Jays have then played 4 straight games Over the Total with Stroman looking to follow up a Quality Start. The Braves have played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. And in their last 40 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher, the Over is 27-10-3. 25* MLB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays (919) and the Atlanta Braves (920) listing both starting pitchers Marcus Stroman and Julio Teheran. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (951) versus the Miami Marlins (952) listing both starting pitchers Julio Teheran and Edinson Volquez. Atlanta (12-20) snapped their six-game losing streak last night with their 8-4 victory last night. The Braves have then won 7 of their last 10 games after a win. Atlanta has also won 15 of their last 22 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 20 road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home, the Braves have won 14 of these games. They send out Teheran who is 2-3 with a 4.69 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP in seven starts this season. The right-hander has been much better on the road where he has a 0.93 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and .212 opponent’s batting average in three starts as compared to his 8.14 ERA, 1.86 WHIP and .310 opponent’s batting average when at home. These disparate home/road splits are consistent with last season where Teheran had a 2.69 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and .203 opponent’s batting average on the road as opposed to his 3.59 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and .237 opponent’s batting average when at home. Teheran comes off a start on Monday — and the Braves have won 4 straight games with Teheran starting on six days rest. He should fare well against this Marlins team that has lost 15 of their last 18 games against right-handed starting pitchers — and that includes six straight home games.

Miami (13-21) has now lost four straight games — and they have dropped thirteen of their last sixteen contest. This team has lost 5 of their last 6 games after a loss. The Marlins have also lost 8 of their last 9 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. This Miami team has also lost 6 straight games at home. They send out Edison Volquez who is coming off the disabled list. The right-hander is 0-4 with a 4.71 ERA and a 1.81 WHIP. Volquez cannot find the strike zone — only 56.9% of his pitches have been in the strike zone. Volquez is averaging a rough 6.9 walks per 9 innings. Volquez has not been as effective either at home where he has a 5.00 Era and 2.22 WHIP as compared to his 4.58 ERA and 1.63 WHIP when on the road. The Marlins have lost 5 of their last 6 games with Volquez making the start. 25* MLB National League East Underdog of the Month with the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (951) versus the Miami Marlins (952) listing both starting pitchers Julio Teheran and Edinson Volquez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (907) and the New York Mets (908) listing both starting pitchers Odrisamer Despaigne and Robert Gsellman. New York (13-15) has won five of their last seven games with their 8-7 win last night in the opening game of this series. The Over is 4-0-1 in the Mets’ last 5 games after a win — and the Over is a decisive 9-1-1 in their last 11 games after scoring at least five runs in their last contest. And in their last 32 games after allowing at least five runs, the Over is 21-8-3. Additionally, the Over is 16-5-2 in New York’s last 23 games at home — and they have played thirteen of their last sixteen games Over the Total at home against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, the Over is 19-4-3 in the Mets’ last 27 games against fellow NL East opponents. They send out Gsellman who is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home so far as he owns a 1.76 WHIP and .329 opponent’s batting average in three starts at home as compared to his 1.15 WHIP and .263 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Mets have played 5 straight home games Over the Total with Gsellman on the mound. Miami has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Marlins have also seen the Over go 17-5-4 in their last 26 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

Miami (12-16) has now lost four of their last five games — and the Over is now 8-3-1 in their last 12 games against NL East opponents. The Over is also 6-2-1 in the Marlins’ last 9 games on the road. And in Miami’s last 16 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Marlins have played 13 of these games Over the Total. They called up Odrisamer Despaigne from Triple-A for the injured Wei-Yin Chen. Despaigne had 0-2 record with a 5.93 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 30 1/3 innings last season all in relief. The Padres tried him as a starting pitcher in 2014 and 2015 before giving up on the right-handed. In 2015, Despaigne had a 6.90 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and .315 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Last year in relief, Despaigne had a 6.61 ERA, 1.90 WHIP and .323 opponent’s batting average when away from home. Too many walks and not enough strikeouts is the rap on Despaigne — and his 13 bases-on-balls with only 9 Ks in 17 2/3 innings of work in the minors this season does not inspire confidence that either issue has improved. The Over is 14-4-3 in the Mets’ last 21 games against a right-handed starting pitchers. Lastly, the Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams when playing in New York. 25* MLB National League East Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Marlins (907) and the New York Mets (908) listing both starting pitchers Odrisamer Despaigne and Robert Gsellman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the money line on the Chicago Cubs (929) versus the Boston Red Sox (930) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Eduardo Rodriguez. Chicago (13-10) snapped their two-game losing streak yesterday with their 7-4 win over the Red Sox. The Cubs have now won 5 of their last 7 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Chicago has also won 4 of their last 5 games Interleague play. And in their last 17 games on the road, the Cubs have won 12 of these games. They send out Hendricks who is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP this season. The right-hander was very reliable on the road last year where he had a 2.95 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP along with a .213 opponent’s batting average. This season, Hendricks has a 3.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in two starts on the road which are both better numbers than his 6.30 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in two starts at home in Wrigley. Chicago has won 8 straight road games with Hendricks on the hill.

Boston (12-11) has lost 8 of their last 11 gams against an opponent that scored at least five runs in their last game. The Red Sox have also lost 16 of their last 22 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record at home, Boston has lost 7 of these games. They counter with Eduardo Rodriguez who is 1-1 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in three starts. The left-hander comes off his best start of the season where he allowed no earned runs in 6 innings of work. But his 12 walks in 17 1/3 innings of work is an area of significant concern. And although Rodriguez pitched better in his last fourteen starts after a demotion to the minor leagues, he still ended the season saddled with a 6.02 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP in Fenway Park with the Green Monster offering an easy target for all the right-handed batters he has to face at home. The Red Sox have lost 8 of their last 10 home games with Rodriguez on the mound. That is not a good sign when facing this Cubs team that has won 7 of their last 8 games against left-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Game of the Month with the money line on the Chicago Cubs (929) versus the Boston Red Sox (930) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Eduardo Rodriguez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:15 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the St. Louis Cardinals (906) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Cincinnati Reds (905) listing both starting pitchers Mike Leake and Bronson Arroyo. St. Louis (12-11) has won six of their last seven games with their 7-5 win over the Reds on Friday. The Cardinals have now won 6 of their last 7 games at home — and they have won 6 of their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. This was the pitching matchup set for yesterday afternoon that we were ready to pounce on — and both managers plan to send out both starting pitchers again this afternoon. Leake is 3-1 with a 1.32 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP in four starts this season while producing a strong 20:4 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 27 1/3 innings of work. The right-hander comes off a nice outing where he allowed just 2 earned runs in 6 innings of work in Milwaukee — and the Cards have won 4 of their last 5 games with Leake looking to follow up a Quality Start. He should fare well against this Reds team that has lost 4 straight games against right-handed starting pitchers.

Cincinnati (10-13) has lost four straight games — as well as eight of their last nine contests — after Friday’s loss. The Reds have now lost 4 straight games on the road. Cincinnati has also lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Bronson Arroyo who is 2-2 with a 6.88 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP this season. The right-hander comes off his best start of the season where he somehow allowed only two earned runs in 6 innings of work against the Cubs. The 40-year old is making an improbable comeback this season after missing the last two seasons due to injuries. Arroyo has a history of struggles against the Cardinals as he owns an 8-18 record with a 4.84 ERA in 40 outings. The Reds have lost 7 of their last 10 road games with Arroyo facing a team with a winning record. St. Louis has won 6 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Lastly, while these team trends do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we will be laying in this game, Cincinnati does fall into a “play-against” angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 66% effective over the last five seasons. The Reds have a .409 slugging percentage this season — and teams with a slugging percentage no better than .430 using a starting pitcher who does not average more than 1.75 walks per start (Arroyo: 1.25 BBs per start) now facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.25 or lower) have then failed to cover the 1.5 Run-Line in 64 of the last 97 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB Run-Line of the Month with the St. Louis Cardinals (906) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Cincinnati Reds (905) listing both starting pitchers Mike Leake and Bronson Arroyo. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (959) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (960) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Zack Greinke. Colorado (15-9) won the opening game of this series last night by a 3-1 score. The Rockies have now played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Anderson who is 1-3 with a 7.11 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in five starts this season. Zero of these five starts qualified as Qualified Starts for Anderson as his lack of an effective breaking pitch has significantly reduced his reliability. Last season, the left-hander had a 5-6 record with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP — but those numbers rose to a 4.71 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP when on the road. The Rockies have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total with Anderson pitching with four days rest as he does tonight. That is not a good sign when facing this Diamondbacks team that has seen the Over 20-7-2 in their last 29 home games against a left-handed starting pitcher.

Arizona (15-10) has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Diamondbacks have also seen the Over go a decisive 40-14-2 in their last 56 games at home. And in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road, the Over is 5-1-2. They counter with Zack Greinke who is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP this season. The right-hander allowed just one earned run in 6 innings of work in his last start against the Padres. That was the second straight start Greinke got to enjoy against the weak-hitting San Diego team. His ERA was 4.32 this season before those last two outings. Additionally, the Padres have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Greinke on the mound looking to follow up a Quality Start. Lastly, the Rockies have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams using a right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB National League West Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Colorado Rockies (959) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (960) listing both starting pitchers Tyler Anderson and Zack Greinke. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (979) and the Boston Red Sox (980) listing both starting pitchers John Lackey and Steven Wright. Chicago (12-10) looks to bounce-back from a 5-4 loss to the Red Sox last night. The Cubs have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss. Chicago has also played 7 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Cubbies have also played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Lackey who is 1-3 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. There were signs last season that the 38-year old was about to experience some series regression in his effectiveness. His 34.4% hard contact rate last season was the worst of his career. Lackey was not as effective on the road last year where he had a 4.37 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .234 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.62 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and .206 opponent’s batting average at home at Wrigley Field. This season, Lackey has a rough 6.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP when on the road. Chicago has played 5 straight road games Over the Total with Lackey on the hill.

Boston (12-10) has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in Interleague games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Steven Wright who is 1-2 with an 8.66 ERA and 2.09 WHIP this season. The knuckleballer has simply not been the same since banging up his shoulder after the ill-advised decision was made last September to insert him as a pinch-runner. The right-hander has already served up seven gopher balls. Wright has also been rocked at home in Fenway Park given his 11.05 ERA, 2.45 WHIP and an stunning opponent’s batting average of .447. Wright was not as effective at home last season where he had a 4.54 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and .266 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.09 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and .200 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Red Sox have seen the Over go 7-0-1 in their last 8 home games with Wright facing a team with a winning record. Boston has also played 4 straight games Over the Total with Wright facing team from the National League. Lastly, the Cubs have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (979) and the Boston Red Sox (980) listing both starting pitchers John Lackey and Steven Wright. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the money line on the St. Louis Cardinals (908) versus the Cincinnati Reds (907) listen both starting pitchers Lance Lynn and Tim Adleman. St. Louis (11-11) has won five of their last six games with their 6-4 win over the Blue Jays yesterday. The Cardinals have then won 5 of their last 7 games after a win. St. Louis has also won 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their lsat game. And in their last 6 games at home, the Cardinals have won 5 of these contests. They send out Lynn who is having a very nice comeback season so far after missing all of 2016 while recovering from Tommy John surgery. In four starts this season, the right-hander has a 2-1 record with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP while striking out 20 batters in 23 1/3 innings of work. Lynn was more effective at home back in 2015 where he enjoyed a 2.91 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .242 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 3.15 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and .274 opponent’s batting average when on the road. In two home starts this season, Lynn has a 1.46 ERA along with a 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .078. The Cardinals have won 25 of their last 33 home games with Lynn facing a team with a losing record. He should fare well against this Reds team that has lost 5 of their last 6 games against teams using a right-handed starting pitcher. Furthermore, Cincy has lost a decisive 42 of their last 59 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

Cincinnati (10-12) has lost three straight games — as well as seven of their last eight contests — with their 9-4 loss in Milwaukee on Wednesday. The Reds have then lost 5 of the last 6 games after a loss. Cincinnati has also lost 20 of their last 28 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And in their last 7 games against fellow NL Central opponents, the Reds have lost 6 of these games. They counter with Tim Adleman who is 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA and an 0.80 WHIP in 10 innings of work since being called up from Triple-A. Last, year, the right-hander had a 4-4 record with a 4.00 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 13 starts. Both his SIERA and xFIP projected an ERA of 4.87 and 5.15 respectively given his upper peripherals. Aldeman also had a .268 opponent’s batting average when on the road last year as compared to his .234 opponent’s batting average when at home. Lastly, the Cardinals have won 5 of their last 6 games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB National League Central Game of the Month with the money line on the St. Louis Cardinals (908) versus the Cincinnati Reds (907) listen both starting pitchers Lance Lynn and Tim Adleman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:07 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the money-line on the Los Angeles Angels (968) versus the Oakland A’s (967) listing both starting pitchers Ricky Nolasco and Kendall Graveman. Los Angeles (11-12) has won four of their last five games with their 8-5 win over the A’s last night. The Angels have then won 15 of their last 22 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Los Angeles has also won 4 of their last 5 games at home. And in their last 20 home games against teams with a losing record on the road, the Angels have won 15 of these contests. They send out Nolasco who is 1-2 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not pitched in eight days as the team took his aside to work on some mechanical issues after surrendering too many home runs. The LA pitching coach Charles Nagy did a very nice job with Nolasco last season after the team picked him up from the Twins. In eleven starts with the Angels last year, Nolasco posted a 3.21 ERA along with a 1.07 WHIP — so confidence is warranted in Nagy’s ability to help his address his propensity to give up gopher balls. What is encouraging is that Nolasco has a strong 17:3 strikeout-to-walk ratio — and he has not issued a base-on-balls in his last twelve frames. The Angels have won 5 of their last 7 games with Nolasco pitching on grass. He should fare well against this A’s team that has lost 5 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

Oakland (10-11) has lost three straight games — and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games after a loss. The A’s have also lost 13 of their last 18 games after dropping the first two games of a series. Furthermore, Oakland has lost 9 of their last 13 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. The A’s have also lost 10 of their last 13 road games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Kendall Graveman who is 0-2 with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP but is coming off the 10-day disabled list. There right-hander was not as effective on the road last year where he had a 4.80 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .281 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 3.39 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and .261 opponent’s batting average when pitching at home. The A’s have lost 5 of their last 7 games with Graveman pitching after a loss. 25* MLB American League West Game of the Month with the money-line on the Los Angeles Angels (968) versus the Oakland A’s (967) listing both starting pitchers Ricky Nolasco and Kendall Graveman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the money line on the Baltimore Orioles (918) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (917) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Bundy and Alex Cobb. Baltimore (13-6) looks to bounce-back and win this AL East series tonight after their 2-0 loss to the Rays yesterday. The Orioles have rebounded to win 16 of their last 21 games after a loss. Baltimore has also won 8 straight games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, the Orioles have won 7 straight games after a game where neither team scored more than two runs in their last game. Baltimore won the opening game of this series with a 6-3 win on Monday — and they have then won 31 of their last 43 games after allowing no more than three runs in two straight games. They send out Bundy who is 3-1 with a 1.37 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP this season. The right-hander sports an impressive 20:4 strikeout to walk ratio in 26 1/3 innings of work. Last season, Bundy was more effective at home where he sported a 3.14 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .229 as compared to his 5.21 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and .293 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Orioles have won 5 of their last 6 home games with Bundy on the bump. He should fare well against this Rays team that has lost 4 of their last 5 road games against right-handed starting pitchers.

Tampa Bay (11-11) has still lost 7 of their 9 games on the road this season — and they have lost 39 of their last 53 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. The Rays have also lost 4 of their last 5 games against AL East opponents. They counter with Alex Cobb who is 1-2 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP so far this season. The right-hander has missed the last two seasons due to Tommy John surgery. Back in 2014 in his last full season, Cobb was less effective on the road where he had a 3.14 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and .247 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.59 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and .214 opponent’s batting average when at home. Tampa Bay has lost 6 of their last 7 road games with Cobb facing a team with a winning record. Lastly, the Orioles have won 8 of their last 11 games against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB American League East Game of the Month with the money line on the Baltimore Orioles (918) versus the Tampa Bay Rays (917) listing both starting pitchers Dylan Bundy and Alex Cobb. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:10 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (971) and the Detroit Tigers (972) listing both starting pitchers Felix Hernandez and Jordan Zimmermann. Seattle (8-12) enters this series coming off an 11-1 win at Oakland on Sunday which was a nice win for Mariners’ bettors who were getting +115 on the money line. The Mariners have then played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after an upset win over a divisional rival. Seattle has also played 13 of their last 18 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They send out Hernandez who is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP so far this season. The aging right-hander has seen his effectiveness drop as he has been losing velocity. His 3.8 walk rate per 9 innings was the worst of his career. The King was not as effective on the road last year where he was saddled with a 1.49 WHIP and .253 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 1.19 WHIP and .228 opponent’s batting average when at home. This season, Hernandez has a 4.09 ERA along with a dangerous .333 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Mariners have played 5 straight road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Seattle has also seen the Over go 3-1-1 in their last 5 games in Detroit with Hernandez on the mound. That spells trouble when facing this Tigers’ team that has seen the Over go 9-1-1 in their last 11 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

Detroit (10-8) has won two straight games after their 13-4 win at Minnesota on Sunday. The Tigers may have a depleted lineup right now due to a handful of injuries — but they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Detroit has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total at home. They send out Jordan Zimmermann who is 1-1 with a 5.94 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP this season. The right-hander saw a big dig in his velocity rate last season which may have coincided with a neck injury that sidelined him for most of last season. In 16 2/3 innings of work have resulted in just 10 Ks which is not a good sign regarding him getting back to the form he had with the Nationals before coming over to the American League. Zimmermann also had a rough 7.00 ERA along with a 1.52 WHIP and .305 opponent’s batting average when at home last season. The Over is 7-1-1 in Detroit’s last 9 home games with Zimmermann on the mound. Lastly, the Mariners have played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB American League Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Mariners (971) and the Detroit Tigers (972) listing both starting pitchers Felix Hernandez and Jordan Zimmermann. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the money line on the Chicago Cubs (901) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (902) listing both starting pitchers Brad Anderson and Chad Kuhl. Chicago (10-8) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 7-5 loss in Cincinnati. The Cubs have bounced-back to win 26 of their last 36 games after a loss. Chicago has also won 19 of their last 26 games after allowing at least 5 runs in their last game. And in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Cubs have won all 4 of these games. They send out Anderson who is 1-0 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.47 WHIP this season. The left-hander should have something to prove tonight after failing to get out of the 4th inning in his last start against the Brewers where he allowed six earned runs. Anderson made only three starts in an injury filled campaign with the Dodgers last season but he was more effective on the road in the previous year. In 2015, Anderson had a 3.07 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and .266 opponent’s batting average on the road as compared to his 4.29 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and .290 opponent’s batting average when at home. Anderson should have a good start against the Pirates team that has lost 8 of their last 11 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

Pittsburgh (8-10) has won two of their last three games with their 2-1 win over the Yankees yesterday. But the Pirates have then lost 5 of their last 6 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Pittsburgh has also lost 21 of their last 31 games at home — and that includes dropping eight of their last nine home games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on the road. They counter with Chad Kuhl who is 1-1 with a 2.60 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in three starts this season. The right-handed pitcher was rocked at home last year in his rookie season where he was saddled with a 7.03  ERA, 1.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .330. This will be Kuhl’s second start at home this season after opening his 2017 campaign by allowing two earned runs but walked six batters and surrendered five base hits in 5 innings of work against the Braves. Pittsburgh has lost 5 straight games with Kuhl pitching against a team with a winning record. That is not a good sign when facing this Cubs team that has won 51 of their last 74 games against right-handed starting pitchers — including winning fifteen of their last twenty-one road games against teams using a right-handed starting pitcher. Lastly, Kuhl had an 0-2 record with a 10.45 ERA against the Cubbies last season. 25* MLB National League Central Game of the Month with the money line on the Chicago Cubs (901) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (902) listing both starting pitchers Brad Anderson and Chad Kuhl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (963) and the New York Mets (964) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Zack Wheeler. Washington (12-5) has won six straight games after their 3-1 win over the Mets yesterday. The Nationals have then played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total against an opponent that failed to score more than two runs in their last game. The Over is also 8-2-1 in Washington’s last 11 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. And in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home, the Nationals have played 10 of these games Over the Total. They send out Scherzer who is 2-1 with a 1.37 ERA and an 0.86 WHIP this season. The right-hander was very tough at home last year where he had a 2.56 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .193. However, those numbers rose to a 3.28 ERA along with 1.00 WHIP and .203 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Washington has played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total with Scherzer facing a team with a losing record. Furthermore, the Over us 3-0-1 in the Mets’ last 4 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

New York (8-10) has lost seven of their last eight games during which they have scored only 23 combined runs. But the Mets have seen the Over go 8-3-3 in their last 14 games after a loss. The Over is also 5-0-1 in New York’s last 6 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. Furthermore, the Over is 6-1-2 in the Mets’ last 9 games at home. They counter with Zack Wheeler who is 1-1 with a 5.52 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP this season. The right-hander has missed the last two seasons of baseball as he recovered from Tommy John surgery. Back in 2014, he was not as effective at home in Citi Field where he had a 4.30 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .255 as compared to his 3.09 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and .231 opponent’s batting average when on the road. The Mets have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total with Wheeler pitching at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-13-7 combined angle for this situation. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Washington Nationals (963) and the New York Mets (964) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Zack Wheeler. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:05 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the money line on the St. Louis Cardinals (929) versus the New York Yankees (930) listing both starting pitchers Michael Wacha and Masahiro Tanaka. St. Louis (3-6) snapped their three-game losing streak on Wednesday with their 6-1 win at Washington. The Cardinals have then won 6 of their last 7 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. St. Louis has also won 4 of their last 5 games in Interleave play on the road. They send out Wacha who allowed only one eared run and just three hits in 6 innings in his first start this season. The right-hander struggled at home last year — but he was very solid when pitching on the road where he had a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .246. The Cardinals have won 5 of their last 6 road games with Wacha on the mound. And in their last 6 games in Interleague play, St. Louis has won 5 of these games. He has an outstanding chance to win this game against this overrated Yankees team that has lost 11 of their last 16 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

New York (5-4) has won four straight games after dropping four of their first five games with their 3-2 win over the Rays yesterday. The Yankees have then lost 6 of their last 7 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. New York has also lost 5 of their last 7 home games in Interleague play against teams with a losing record. They counter with Masahiro Tanaka who is 0-1 with a 11.74 ERA and a 2.51 WHIP in two starts this season. We are not surprised with this poor start considering the right-hander has seen his velocity decline over the last two seasons. Tanaka was not as effective at home either last year where he had a 3.86 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and .239 opponent’s batting average as compared to his 2.34 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .233. Lastly, the Cardinals have won 25 of their last 37 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 25* MLB Underdog of the Year with the money line on the St. Louis Cardinals (929) versus the New York Yankees (930) listing both starting pitchers Michael Wacha and Masahiro Tanaka. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the New York Mets (964) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Miami Marlins (963) listing both starting pitchers Noah Syndergaard and Edison Volquez. Miami (3-2) has won the three of their first five games this season after crushing the Mets yesterday by an 8-1 score. The Marlins have hot bats to begin the season as they are hitting .291 as a team. But the Mets have won a decisive 45 of their last 66 games against teams who are hitting at least .280. Furthermore, because the Marlins underdogs priced in the +160 range despite that big batting average, they fall into an empirical “play-against” angle specific to the Run-Line. Teams priced in the +165 to -135 range with the money-line who are hitting at last .275 as a team have failed to cover the +1.5 Run-Line in 38 of the last 51 situations where these conditions applied. Miami has also lost 5 of their last 6 games after not allowing more than two runs in their last game. They send out Edison Volquez who did not allow an earned run in his first start lasting 5 innings against the Nationals. But the right-hander struggled on the road last season where he was saddled with a 5.71 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .287. The 33-year old is enduring a continuing slide in his velocity. After averaging strikeout per inning back in 2010, Volquez endured a career-low 6.6 strikeout per 9 inning rate last year. At this stage in his career, Volquez will have to learn to rely less on his fastball which is not very encouraging. Furthermore, he faces a Mets team that has won 6 of their last 8 games against right-handed starting pitchers.

New York (2-3) has won 11 of their last 16 games after a loss. The Mets have also won 10 of their last 12 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. They counter with Noah Syndergaard who left his first start against the Braves after 6 scoreless innings of work on Monday when a blistered popped on his throwing hand. An extra day off between starts should have him ready to roll tonight. His 97.9 MPH average on his fastball is best in the majors — and he is coming off an outstanding campaign where he produced a 2.60 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The Mets have won 10 of their last 13 games with Syndergaard on the mound after a game where they failed to score more than two runs. Syndergaard should pitch very well against this Marlins team that has lost 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. 25* MLB Sunday Night ESPN Run-Line of the Month with the New York Mets (964) minus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Miami Marlins (963) listing both starting pitchers Noah Syndergaard and Edison Volquez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the money line on the Cleveland Indians (902) versus the Chicago Cubs (901) listing both starting pitchers Corey Kluber and Kyle Hendricks. Chicago (113-64) may have won the battle last night by extending this series to seven games with their 9-3 victory. But manager Terry Francona is better set up to win the war tonight. For starters, he has the luxury of sending out his ace in Kluber who has won four of his five starts in the month of October while posting a nasty 0.89 ERA. Granted, Kluber will be pitching on just three days rest for this outing for the second straight time — but Francona really only needs to get 6 innings out of him tonight. While the Cubbies were controlling the game last night, Francona rested his dynamite trio of bullpen pitchers in Andrew Miller, Cody Allen and Bryan Shaw. Overall, the Indians’ bullpen has an ERA of 2.97 along with a WHIP of 1.14 when at home this season. This is a Cleveland team that has won 13 of their last 17 games. They have also bounced-back to win 7 of their last 10 games after a loss. And in their last 5 home games with Kluber facing a team with a winning record, the Indians have won all 5 games. He faces a Cubs team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

Chicago (113-64) counters with Kyle Hendricks who had an outstanding 1.32 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .201 when at home. But when the right-hander goes on the road, Hendricks sees those numbers rise to a 2.95 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .213. The Indians have won 9 of their last 12 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. What is concerning for Hendricks in this contest is his deeper sabermetrics as both his SIERA* and xFIP * project an ERA of 3.70 and 3.59 respectively which suggests he is overvalued in pressure situations like this. To compound matters, manager Joe Maddon used his stopper Aroldis Chapman for 1 2/3 innings last night which will limit his availability (or effectiveness) tonight. Maddon can turn to starting pitchers Jon Lester and John Lackey tonight — but the value of using starting pitchers in these situations is too often overvalued especially when opposed by outstanding relievers very comfortable in stressful situations. Besides, both Lester and Lackey have not been as effective on the road this season as I have documented throughout the playoffs. Lastly, there simply is the issue of the historical pressure on this Cubs team — and I do think this young team will feel that pressure. Home field can be overvalued in the MLB playoffs but I think the support of the home fans will make a big difference in this decisive seventh game for an Indians’ franchise overcoming a historical drought of their own. The accomplishment of LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers helps give this team — and this city — the confidence that destiny is now on their side. And we are getting the home team at a great price as a virtual pick ‘em. 25* MLB Game of the Year with the money line on the Cleveland Indians (902) versus the Chicago Cubs (901) listing both starting pitchers Corey Kluber and Kyle Hendricks. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (901) and the Chicago Cubs (902) listing both starting pitchers Josh Tomlin and Kyle Hendricks. Chicago (111-62) evened this series at a game apiece with their 5-1 win over the Indians on Wednesday. The Cubs have then played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after an off day. The Under is also 8-2-1 in their last 11 games at home against teams with a winning record. They turn to Hendricks who is 16-8 with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP this season. BEST ARGUMENT: Hendricks is nearly unhittable when pitching at home where he owns a 1.32 ERA along with an 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .201. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Cubs’ last 5 games at home with Hendricks on the hill. He should fare well against this Indians team quite used to low-scoring contests. Cleveland has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the playoffs. The Indians have played 6 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. Cleveland has also played 5 straight games Under the Total against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower.

Cleveland (102-69) has played 4 straight games Under the Total after an off day. The Under is also 18-6-2 in the Indians’ last 26 games after failing to score more than two runs in their last game. They counter with Josh Tomlin who is a bit better on the road where ehe has a 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .257 as compared to his 1.24 WHIP and .283 opponent’s batting average when at home. Lastly, the Over is 3-0-1 in Cleveland’s last 4 games with Tomlin on the mound. 25* MLB Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (901) and the Chicago Cubs (902) listing both starting pitchers Josh Tomlin and Kyle Hendricks. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:08 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Cleveland Indians (954) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (953) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Jake Arrieta. BEST ARGUMENT: Cleveland scores 5.5 Runs-Per-Game at home while boasting an outstanding defense and an elite bullpen that boasts a 2.93 ERA when pitching at home. They have won eight of their last nine playoff games for a reason. The opportunity to grab the +1.5 Run-Line when that is priced at -150 or less is too good to pass up. 25* MLB Playoff Run-Line of the Year with the Cleveland Indians (954) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (953) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Jake Arrieta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

ABRIDGED VERSION -- please check back before tip off for my full written Report before this game starts. Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the money line on the Chicago Cubs (910) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (909) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Clayton Kershaw. Chicago (109-61) seized a 3-2 lead in this series on Friday with their 8-4 victory. The Cubs return home for the last two games in this series — and they have won 19 of their last 26 games after an off day. Chicago has also won 38 of their last 53 home games against teams with a winning record. They send out Hendricks who is 16-8 with a 2.13 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been virtually unhittable at home in Wrigley Field where he has a 1.32 ERA along with 0.86 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .201. The Cubbies have won 26 of their last 36 home games with Hendricks on the hill — and they have won 16 of their last 21 home games with Hendricks facing a team with a winning record. Of course, Hendricks was on the mound on Sunday in a showdown with Kershaw that night as well. Hendricks lost by a 1-0 score but he has the opportunity to earn sweet revenge tonight by ending the series for the Cubbies.

Los Angeles (96-76) struggles on the road where they have lost 12 of their last 17 games in the playoffs. They counter with Clayton Kershaw who has been spectacular again this season where he has a 12-4 record along with a 1.69 ERA and a 0.72 WHIP this season. The reigning Cy Young Award winner is outstanding when at the home here he has a 1.08 ERA along with a 0.57 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .152 — but these numbers rise to a 2.31 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .216. The left-hander also tends to underachieve in the playoffs as he had a 5.35 ERA in his previous seven playoff starts before his outstanding effort on Sunday. As a small underdog in this game, the Cubs offer us great value to close out this series. 25* MLB National League Game of the Year with the money line on the Chicago Cubs (910) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (909) listing both starting pitchers Kyle Hendricks and Clayton Kershaw. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM EST on Thursday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (906) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (905) listing both starting pitchers Kenta Maeda and Jon Lester. Chicago (107-61) evened this series at 2-2 yesterday with their 10-2 victory over the Dodgers last night. The Cubs have then lost 4 of their last 5 games against an opponent that allowed at least five runs in their last game. Additionally, Chicago has lost 9 of their last 13 road games in the playoffs. They send out Lester who is 19-5 with a 2.44 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been less effective on the road where he has been saddled with a 3.17 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .240 as compared to his 1.74 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .183. The Cubs have lost 5 of their last 7 road games with Lester facing a team with a winning record.

Los Angeles (96-74) has rebounded to win 12 of their last 16 games after a loss. The Dodgers have also won 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. LA has also won 14 of their last 20 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Dodgers counter with Kenta Maeda who is 16-11 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP this season. The right-hander has better ERA with a 3.22 mark at home as compared to his 3.74 ERA when on the road. Los Angeles has won 6 of their last 7 home games with Maeda on the mound. Lastly, because the Dodgers average 4.4 Runs-Per-Game, they are supported by a historical angle that has been 72% effective since 1997. Lester is averaging 6.16 strikeouts per game — and home underdogs who average 4.3-4.8 Runs-Per-Game now facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA below 3.00 and who averages at least 5 strikeouts per game have then covered the +1.5 Run-Line in 105 of the last 146 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB National League Playoff Run-Line of the Year with the Los Angeles Dodgers (906) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Chicago Cubs (905) listing both starting pitchers Kenta Maeda and Jon Lester. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the Cleveland Indians (903) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Toronto Blue Jays (904) listing both starting pitchers Ryan Merritt and Marcus Stroman. Cleveland (100-68) lost Game Four of this series yesterday by a 5-1 score. The Indians have still won nine of their last ten games and can still close out this series to advance to the World Series with a win tonight. Cleveland has bounced-back to win 5 of their last 7 games after a loss. The Indians have also won 19 of their last 26 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 road games against teams with a winning record, Cleveland has won 5 of these contests. They give the ball to Ryan Merritt who is 1-1 with a 1.64 ERA and a 0.55 WHIP in four appearances and one start since getting called up from Triple-A in September. Manager Terry Francona will have a very short leash with the left-hander — but don’t be surprised if the struggling Blue Jays’ bats need at least one trip around the order before getting to him. Toronto has lost 10 of their last 13 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Francona will lean heavily on his outstanding bullpen tonight which combined to earn a 3.39 ERA and 1.23 WHIP this season. Cody Allen and Andrew Miller did not pitch on Tuesday so there is a very good chance that they will combine to pitch at least 3 innings tonight.

Toronto (94-76) has still lost 4 of their last 5 games in the ALCS. This team had scored only three runs in the first three games of this series before plated five runs yesterday. The Blue Jays are hitting only .232 with a low .300 On-Base Percentage over their last seven games. They send out Marco Estrada who is 9-9 with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP this season. But the right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 3.51 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .213 as compared to his 3.39 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .193 when on the road. This will Estrada’s first start at home in this postseason. The Blue Jays have lost 4 of their last 5 road games with Estrada on the mound. Lastly, because Estrada has a WHIP of 0.80 over his last three starts, the Indians are supposed by a historical Run-Line angle that has been 66% effective since 1997. Cleveland is hitting only .146 in their last three games — and underdogs who are not hitting over .200 in their last three games now facing a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 0.80 or lower over his last three starts have then covered the 1.5 Run-Line (when priced in the +165 to -135 range with the +1.5 runs) in 76 of the last 115 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB American League Run-Line of the Year with the Cleveland Indians (903) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Toronto Blue Jays (904) listing both starting pitchers Ryan Merritt and Marcus Stroman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (953) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (954) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and Rich Hill. Los Angeles (95-74) evened this series at a game apiece on Sunday with their 1-0 victory. The Dodgers have then played 5 straight games Over the Total when scoring two runs or less in their last game. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 7 games at home. They send out Hill who is 12-5 with a 2.12 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP this season. The left-hander has not been as effective at home where he has a 2.42 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and and an opponent’s batting average of .215 as compared to his 1.89 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .179 when on the road. Hill has not completed 5 full innings of work in either of his postseason starts this year — and he has a 6.43 ERA and a 1.86 WHIP this season. Those are appealing numbers — and the Over is 7-3-1 in the Cubs’ last 11 road games against left-handed starting pitchers.

Chicago (107-60) has seen the Over go 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game. The Over is also 9-3-1 in the Cubs’ last 13 games when playing on grass. And in the last 5 games on the road, Chicago has played all 5 games Over the Total. They send out Jake Arrieta who is 18-8 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP this season. Despite those nice numbers, the Over is an overwhelming 12-1-3 in the Cubs’ last 16 road games with Arrieta on the mound  — due in large measure to his 3.59 ERA when away from home Lastly, the Over is 3-1-1 in the Dodgers’ last 5 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. 25* MLB National League Playoffs Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Cubs (953) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (954) listing both starting pitchers Jake Arrieta and Rich Hill. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (951) and the Toronto Blue Jays (952) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Marcus Stroman. Cleveland (99-67) has seized a 2-0 lead in this series after their 2-0 win in the second game of this series. The Indians’ strong bullpen and outstanding defensive play have held the Blue Jays to just one run — but they have scored only four times in these first two games themselves. Cleveland has played 4 straight games Under the Total following a win. The Indians have also seen the Under go 16-6-2 in their last 24 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. They send out Bauer who is 12-8 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been a bit better on the road where he has a 3.61 ERA — and that helps explain why the Under is 19-3-4 in the Indians’ last 26 games on the road with Bauer on the hill. He should pitch well against this Blue Jays team that has played 4 of their last 5 home games against right-handed starting pitchers.

Toronto (93-75) has played 8 straight games Under the Total after a loss. The Blue Jays have also played 7 straight games Under the Total after scoring two runs or less in their last game. They counter with Marcus Stroman who is 9-10 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been a bit better at home where he owns a 1.26 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .259 as compared to his 1.32 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .269. Toronto has played 4 straight games Under the Total with Stroman pitching at home. Lastly, the Indians have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. 5* MLB American League Playoffs Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Indians (951) and the Toronto Blue Jays (952) listing both starting pitchers Trevor Bauer and Marcus Stroman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:38 PM EST on Monday, we will be playing the money line on the San Francisco Giants (904) versus the Chicago Cubs (903) listing both starting pitchers Madison Bumgarner and Jake Arrieta. San Francisco (88-77) finds themselves on the brink of elimination after losing the second game of this series on Saturday by a 5-2 score. The Giants give the ball to their ace Bumgarner who seems to save his very best efforts for situations like this. The left-hander has now pitched 23 scoreless innings when the Giants call on him in elimination games. Bumgarner has a 15-9 record with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been particularly tough at home where he owns a 2.14 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .195. San Fran has won 14 of their last 17 home games with Bumgarner facing a team with a winning record. The Giants are tough at home as they have won 4 straight at home along with winning 6 of their last 7 home games in the playoffs. They should fare well against this Cubs team that has lost 4 of their last 5 road games against left-handed starting pitchers.

Chicago (105-58) now goes on the road where they have lost 7 of their last 9 games in the playoffs. They counter with Jake Arrieta who is 18-8 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been very tough at home in Wrigley Field where he has a 2.62 ERA and an opponent’s batting average of .185. The Cubs have lost 6 of their last 7 games with Arrieta pitching in a third game of a series. The Giants have won 5 of their last 7 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Expect San Fran to extend this series. 25* MLB Divisional Playoff Game of the Year with the money line on the San Francisco Giants (904) versus the Chicago Cubs (903) listing both starting pitchers Madison Bumgarner and Jake Arrieta. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM EST on Sunday, we will be playing the Texas Rangers (933) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Toronto Blue Jays (934) listing both starting pitchers Colby Lewis and Aaron Sanchez. Texas (95-69) looks to stave off elimination tonight after they fell to 0-2 mark in this series with a 5-3 loss to Toronto on Friday. The Rangers have won 4 of their last 5 games after an off-day. Texas has also won 7 of their last 8 road games in the ALDS. They send out Lewis who is 6-5 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 2.75 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .198. The Rangers have won 8 of their last 11 road games with Lewis facing a team with a winning record. Lewis comes off a mixed start where he allowed four runs in 6 innings of work against the Rays but none of these runs were earned. Texas has won 20 of their last 27 games with Lewis looking to follow up a Quality Start. Furthermore, the Blue Jays have lost 9 of their last 11 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or less.

Toronto (92-73) has lost 6 of their last 8 third games in a series. The Blue Jays counter with Aaron Sanchez who is 15-2 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP this season. The right-hander has not been as effective at home where he has been saddled with a 3.74 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .238. Lastly, because Sanchez has not allowed more than one earned run in three straight starts, the Blue Jays fall into a historical “play-against” that has been 73% effective since 1997. Lewis has an ERA of 7.43 over his last five starts — and home favorites using a starting pitcher who has not allowed more than one earned run in at least two straight starts now facing a team using a starting pitcher with an ERA of at least 7.00 or higher over his last five starts have then failed to cover the 1.5 Run-Line in 59 of the last 81 situations where these conditions applied. 25* MLB American League Run-Line of the Year with the Texas Rangers (933) plus the 1.5 Run-Line versus the Toronto Blue Jays (934) listing both starting pitchers Colby Lewis and Aaron Sanchez. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the money line on the Washington Nationals (952) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (951) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw. Washington (95-67) begins this series having won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Nationals have also won 12 of their last 17 games at home. They send out Scherzer who is 20-7 with a 2.96 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been even better at home where he has a 2.56 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .193 as compared to his 3.28 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .203. Washington has won 5 straight games at home with Scherzer facing a team with a winning record. The Nationals have also won 7 of their last 9 games with Scherzer facing a team with a winning record.

Los Angeles (91-71) has lost 4 straight games after an off-day. The Dodgers send out their ace in Clayton Kershaw — but the left-hander has a history of underachievement in the playoffs. While the superstar has a 12-4 record along with a 1.69 ERA and 0.72 WHIP this season, he sees his numbers rise to a 2.31 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .216 as compared to his filthy .152 opponent’s batting average when at home. The deeper sabermetrics also call for regression with both his SIERA* and xFIP * of 2.41 and 2.28 moving forward. Los Angeles is not a good team away from home. Not only have the Dodgers lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road but they have also lost 16 of their last 23 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. Furthermore, LA has lost 16 of their last 21 road games in the playoffs. Lastly, the Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 games against left-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB National League Underdog of the Year with the money line on the Washington Nationals (952) versus the Los Angeles Dodgers (951) listing both starting pitchers Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw. Best of luck for us — Frank.

* SIERA and xFIP: Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average is a metric developed by Baseball Prospectus. They define SIERA as an estimate ERA through walk rate, strikeout rate and ground ball rate, eliminating the effects of park, defense and luck. SIERA accounts for how run prevention improves as ground ball rate increases and declines as more whiffs are accrued, while grounders are of more materiality for those who allow a surplus of runners. xFIP: Expected Fielding Independent Pitching was developed by The Hardball Times to measure what a pitcher's ERA should like assuming that defensive performance on balls in play was the league average; it differs from the FIP metric in that actual home runs allowed is replaced by expected home runs allowed given a pitcher's fly ball rate.

At 8:00 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing the money line on the New York Mets (934) versus the San Francisco Giants (933) listing both starting pitchers Noah Syndergaard and Madison Bumgarner. New York (87-75) has been the hottest team in baseball down the stretch by overcoming a rash of injuries to go 26-13 over their last thirty-nine games to earn the right to host this Wildcard game. The Mets have won 21 of their last 27 games after an off-day. New York returns home to Citi Field for the first time since September 25th — and they have won 6 of their last 8 games after being on the road for at least seven days. Additionally, the Mets have won 15 of their last 22 games at home. They send out their ace Noah Syndergaard who is 14-9 with a 2.60 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP this season. Thor has plenty of postseason experience from last season where he earned victories in both the NLCS and World Series. The right-hander has not pitched since September 27th — and the Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games with Syndergaard pitching with at least seven days between starts. New York has also won 13 of their last 19 games with Syndergaard facing a team with a winning record.

San Francisco (87-75) owned the best record in baseball at the All-Star Break — but they are just 30-42 since that time. They do enter this game off a 7-1 win over the Dodgers — but they have lost 21 of their last 30 games after a victory. The Giants have also lost 7 of their last 9 games after an off-day. Furthermore, this is not a good team away from home as San Francisco has lost 37 of their last 51 road games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Madison Bumgarner who is 15-9 with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP this season. The left-hander has his own history of great success in the postseason — but there are a couple areas of concern. When on the road, Bumgarner sees who his ERA and WHIP rise to a 3.39 and 1.12 mark. The deeper sabermetrics also call for regression with both his SIERA* and xFIP* of 3.36 and 3.54 moving forward. San Francisco has lost 4 of their last 5 road games with Bumgarner facing a team with a winning record. Lastly, the Mets have been tough in situations like this. Not only has New York won 5 of their last 6 games against left-handed starting pitchers but they have also won 6 of their last 7 games against teams using a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. 25* MLB Wildcard Playoff Game of the Year with the money line on the New York Mets (934) versus the San Francisco Giants (933) listing both starting pitchers Noah Syndergaard and Madison Bumgarner. Best of luck for us — Frank.

* SIERA and xFIP: Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average is a metric developed by Baseball Prospectus. They define SIERA as an estimate ERA through walk rate, strikeout rate and ground ball rate, eliminating the effects of park, defense and luck. SIERA accounts for how run prevention improves as ground ball rate increases and declines as more whiffs are accrued, while grounders are of more materiality for those who allow a surplus of runners. xFIP: Expected Fielding Independent Pitching was developed by The Hardball Times to measure what a pitcher's ERA should like assuming that defensive performance on balls in play was the league average; it differs from the FIP metric in that actual home runs allowed is replaced by expected home runs allowed given a pitcher's fly ball rate.

At 8:00 PM EST on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (931) and the Toronto Blue Jays (932) listing both starting pitchers Chris Tillman and Marcus Stroman. Toronto (89-73) won their last game of the season in Boston by a 2-1 score on Sunday in preparation of this one-game Wild Card Playoff. The Blue Jays have then played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing no more than one run against a Divisional rival. Toronto has also seen the Under go 12-4-1 in their last 17 games after an off-day. And in their last 7 games at home, the Blue Jays have played 6 of these games Under the Total. They send out Stroman who is 9-10 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he has a 1.26 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .259 as compared to his 1.32 WHIP and .269 opponent’s batting average when on the road. Both his SIERA* and xFIP* expect more from Stroman with their projections of an ERA of 3.62 and 3.41 moving forward respectively. Stroman made some adjustments after a rough June with very good results as he posted a 3.28 ERA with 65 strikeouts in 68 2/3 innings of work.

Baltimore (89-73) has played 6 straight games Under the Total after an off-day. The Orioles have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Baltimore has also played 7 straight road games Under the Total in the playoffs. They counter with Chris Tillman who is 16-6 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he boasts a 2.97 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .219. The Orioles have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total with Tillman on the mound. Tillman has pitched twice in the Rogers’ Centre this season where he posted a strong 2.38 ERA. Baltimore has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the second half of the season with Tillman on the mound. He should fare well against this Blue Jays that was last in the AL by averaging only 3.64 Runs-Per-Game  since September. Lastly, Toronto has played 4 straight games Under the Total against right-handed starting pitchers. 25* MLB Wildcard Playoffs Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the the Baltimore Orioles (931) and the Toronto Blue Jays (932) listing both starting pitchers Chris Tillman and Marcus Stroman. Best of luck for us — Frank.

* SIERA and xFIP: Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average is a metric developed by Baseball Prospectus. They define SIERA as an estimate ERA through walk rate, strikeout rate and ground ball rate, eliminating the effects of park, defense and luck. SIERA accounts for how run prevention improves as ground ball rate increases and declines as more whiffs are accrued, while grounders are of more materiality for those who allow a surplus of runners. xFIP: Expected Fielding Independent Pitching was developed by The Hardball Times to measure what a pitcher's ERA should like assuming that defensive performance on balls in play was the league average; it differs from the FIP metric in that actual home runs allowed is replaced by expected home runs allowed given a pitcher's fly ball rate.

At 7:07 PM EST on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (919) and the Toronto Blue Jays (920) listing both starting pitchers Chris Tillman and Francisco Liriano. Toronto (87-70) has won four of their last five games with their 5-1 win over the Orioles last night. The Blue Jays have then played 8 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Toronto has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing no more than two runs or less in their last game. Additionally, the Blue Jays have played 4 of their last 5 games at home Under the Total. They send out Liriano who is 8-13 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP this season. The left-hander has been better at home where he has a 4.28 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .232 with his split time between Pittsburgh and Toronto. Liriano has been good in a Blue Jays’ uniform where he has a 3.35 ERA in seven starts and two relief appearances with the club. He also comes off his best start with the team where he allowed no earned runs in 6 innings of work against the Yankees. The Blue Jays have played 6 of their 7 games Under the Total with Liriano making the start.

Baltimore (85-72) has seen the Under go a decisive 13-2-1 in their last 16 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Orioles have also played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They counter with Chris Tillman who is 16-6 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he has a 3.06 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .213. Baltimore has played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total  with Tillman on the mound. He has plenty to prove tonight after not getting out of the 2nd inning in his last start against the Red Sox. He should fare well against this Blue Jays team that has played 8 of their last 10 games against right-handed starting pitchers. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-8-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* MLB American League East Total of the Year with Under the Total  in the game between the Baltimore Orioles (919) and the Toronto Blue Jays (920) listing both starting pitchers Chris Tillman and Francisco Liriano. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:10 PM EST on Friday, we will be playing the money line on the Cleveland Indians (973) versus the Minnesota Twins (974) listing both starting pitchers Danny Salazar and Tyler Duffey. Cleveland (81-58) has won eight of their last ten games entering this series after their 10-7 win over the Astros yesterday. The Indians have then won a decisive 40 of their last 59 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. Cleveland has also won 4 straight road games against teams with a winning percentage below 40% at home. They send out Salazar who is 11-6 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP this season. The right-hander has been more effective on the road where he owns a 3.38 ERA and .229 opponent's batting average as compared to his 4.19 ERA and .237 opponent's batting average when at home. The Indians have won 11 of their last 16 road games against teams with a winning record with Salazar on the mound.

Minnesota (52-88) snapped their three-game losing streak on Wednesday with a 6-5 win versus Kansas City. The Twins have then lost 5 of their last 6 games following a victory. Minnesota has also lost 14 of their last 16 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. They counter with Tyler Duffey who is 8-10 with a 6.24 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP this season. Duffey has particularly struggled at home where he has been saddled with a 7.22 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and an opponent's batting average of .327 as compared to his 5.09 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and .265 opponent's batting average when on the road. That is not a good sign for this Twins team that has lost 12 of their last 16 games at home. Together, these team trends produce our specific 92-32 combined angle for this situation. 5* MLB Road Warrior of the Year with the money line on the Cleveland Indians (973) versus the Minnesota Twins (974) listing both starting pitchers Danny Salazar and Tyler Duffey. Best of luck for us -- Frank.