At 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Fresno State Bulldogs (365) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (366). THE SITUATION: Fresno State (3-1) enters this game coming off a 49-29 win over Toledo last Saturday as a 10.5-point favorite. Nevada (3-2) looks to build off their 28-25 upset win at the Air Force as a 3.5-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs have seen the Under go 20-7-1 in their last 28 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Fresno State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs generated 554 yards of offense in that victory over the Rockets — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Fresno State has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 40 points in their last game. The Bulldogs are scoring 45.0 PPG while averaging 439.7 total YPG this season — but those numbers drop to just a 26.0 PPG scoring average along with 359.5 total YPG in their two games on the road this year. This will be the third game on the road over their last four games for this Fresno State team — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total away from home. The Bulldogs play outstanding defense as they are holding their opponents to just 18.7 PPG along with only 314.7 total YPG — and that latter number drops to just 288.5 total YPG when on the road. Additionally, Fresno State has played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against fellow Mountain West Conference opponents. Nevada has played 18 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after an upset win as a road underdog. Now this team returns home after playing their last two games on the road — and they have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road. The Wolf Pack have also played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Nevada held the Falcons to just 250 yards of offense in that win — and they limited them to only 3.57 Yards-Per-Play. The Wolfpack have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 3.75 YPP in their last game. And in their last 12 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range, the game has finished Under the Total 9 times for Nevada.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 meetings Under the Total. Expect a lower scoring game than expected between these two Mountain West Conference rivals. 25* CFB ESPN-U Television Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Fresno State Bulldogs (365) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (366). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (301) and the New England Patriots (302). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (1-3) has lost two straight games after their 37-34 loss in overtime at home to Houston on Sunday as a 1-point underdog. New England (2-2) snapped their two-game losing streak with a 38-7 blowout win over Miami on Sunday as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots got back to their winning ways by running the football — they ran the ball 40 times of 175 yards led by their rookie running back Sony Michel who contributed 112 yards on 25 carries. This helped New England generate 449 yards of offense overall while having them control the clock for 36:22 minutes of that game. The Patriots have 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 175 yards in their last contest. New England has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. This effort should renew some confidence for this team — but after failing to meet point spread expectations, they should appreciate that they still have little margin for error. Running the football to burn time off the clock protects the defense which has been a key part of the Patriots’ success over the years. They are once-again playing “bend but don’t break” defense as they are allowing only 21.0 PPG despite surrendering 348.0 total YPG. Moving forward, New England has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two of their last three games. The Patriots have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. Tom Brady may not have the services of tight end Rob Gronkowski who is questionable for this game with an ankle injury. While Julian Edelman returns from his four-game suspension, a limited Gronkowski leaves this Pats’ offense without credible down-the-field threats (with the adjective “credible” serving to exclude the recently acquired Josh Gordon). New England has played 4 straight games Under the Total in the month of October — and in their last 5 appearances for Thursday Night Football, the game finished Under the Total 4 times. Indianapolis has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the month of October — and they have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after losing their previous two games. The Colts have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Andrew Luck offered a rebuttal to those critics that were wondering “what was wrong” with him (after head coach Frank Reich chose to have backup Jacoby Brissett throw a long Hail Mary pass the previous week) by completing 40 of 62 passes for 464 yards with four touchdown passes against the Texans defense. But Luck’s weapons are injured with his favorite tight end Jack Doyle out for this game with a hip injury and his top wide receiving threat in T.Y. Hilton doubtful with a hamstring. Indianapolis has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Colts defense surrendered a whopping 466 yards to Houston in that overtime loss — but they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Indy does get running back Robert Turbin back on offense which should help their ground game along with the advance of their goal of burning time off the clock to keep Brady off the field. Lastly, Indianapolis has played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road.

FINAL TAKE: With the Total set past the 50-point threshold as the oddsmakers adjust for the spike in passing numbers which has led to an increase in scoring, expect this game to finish below that number. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (301) and the New England Patriots (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (305) and the Troy Trojans (306). THE SITUATION: Georgia State (2-3) snapped their three-game losing streak last week with their 46-14 win over UL-Monroe last Saturday as a 6-point underdog. Troy (4-1) has won four in a row after their 45-21 win over Coastal Carolina as a 13.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Panthers played their best defensive game of the season by holding the Redhawks to just 262 yards of offense. Georgia State held the ball for 38:12 minutes in the game which will they will likely try to use as a blueprint for this game. The Panthers score only 14.5 PPG on the road so far this season while averaging just 330.5 total YPG. Georgia State has played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after winning their last game by at least 20 points. The Panthers have also played 9 of their last 13 games on the road Under the Total. And while Georgia State generated 487 yards of offense last week, they have played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after generating at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Panthers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of October. Troy has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. They stay at home where they are limiting their opponents to just 340.0 total YPG — and they have played 5 straight home games Under the Total as a favorite laying 14.5 to 21 points. The Trojans rushed for 282 yards in that win over the Chanticleers last week — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Additionally, Troy has played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 to 56 point range. The Trojans have also played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 20 games in Sun Belt Conference play, the Under is 14-5-1.

FINAL TAKE: Expect this to be a lower scoring game in this conference showdown. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN-U Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (305) and the Troy Trojans (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (277) and the Denver Broncos (278). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (3-0) remained undefeated last week with their 38-27 win over San Francisco last Sunday as a 5.5-point favorite. Denver (2-1) looks to bounce-back from their 27-14 loss at Baltimore as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Total is in the mid-50s for this game given the dynamic play of quarterback Patrick Mahomes who is leading an offense that is scoring 39.3 PPG. He led the Chiefs to score 42 points in their previous game in Pittsburgh — but Kansas City has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. And while the Chiefs have played all three of their games Over the Total this year, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Overs. KC has generated 449 and 384 yards in each of their last two games — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 375 yards in two straight games. The Chiefs only rushed the ball for 77 yards last week — and they have played 22 of their last 31 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Kansas City surrendered 178 rushing yards to the 49ers — and they have played 21 of their last 27 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Chiefs have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after winning two straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning at least three straight games. Denver has played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The game plan for Vance Joseph’s team will likely be to run the football to shorten the game and limit the number of offensive possessions that Mahomes and this Chiefs’ offense will have in this game. Rookies Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman have combined to rush for 350 yards — and they join Devontae Booker to form a potent committee of running backs to take the pressure off their QB Case Keenum. But this Broncos offense has scored only 34 combined points over their last two games. Denver did limit the Ravens to rush for only 77 yards last week — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. The Broncos return home where they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Denver has also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total in the month of October — and the Broncos have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents.

FINAL TAKE: As last night’s Baltimore-Pittsburgh showdown demonstrated, it does not take much for what looks like an offensive shootout to slow down enough to finish below a combined points total in the 50s. Denver has to run the football to win the Time of Possession battle — and their zeal to accomplish that task should ensure this game finishing below the Total. 25* NFL AFC West Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (277) and the Denver Broncos (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (275) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (276). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (2-1) enters this game coming off a 27-14 win at home hosting Denver last week as a 5.5-point favorite. Pittsburgh (1-1-1) looks to build off their 30-27 upset win at Tampa Bay on Monday night as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 games played on a short week Over the Total after playing on Monday Night Football. The Steelers are second in the NFL by averaging 453.3 YPG. But the Steel Curtain defense has also taken a step (or two) back in the wrong direction since losing Ryan Shazier at linebacker. Since he suffered that spinal injury last year, the Steelers have allowed their last ten opponents to score 28.8 PPG. They allowed 455 yards of offense Monday to the Buccaneers — and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Pittsburgh returns home where they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying 7 points or less. Additionally, the Steelers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against fellow AFC North opponents. Baltimore has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a win at home. The Ravens lead the NFL by holding their opponents to just 273.0 total YPG — and that may be scaring some bettors to take the Under. Remember that Baltimore has generated those numbers against Buffalo (with Nathan Peterman at QB), Cincinnati and the Broncos last week who are not exactly the reincarnation of the Bill Walsh 49ers’ offenses. But what might be surprising is that this team is fifth in the NFL by scoring 32.3 PPG. Going back to last season, the Ravens have scored at least 27 points in six of their last eight contests. Baltimore is a perfect 12 for 12 in the Red Zone in translating those opportunities into touchdowns. The Ravens go back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total while also playing 8 of their last 10 road games Over the Total as the underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a high-scoring game between these two heated rivals. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (275) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (161) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (162). THE SITUATION: Ohio State (4-0) enters this Big Ten showdown coming off a 49-6 win over Tulane last Saturday as a 37.5-point favorite. Penn State (4-0) comes off a 63-24 blowout win at Illinois as a 25.5-point favorite last Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Nittany Lions generated 591 yards of offense to eventually overwhelm the Fighting Illini in that contest last week. Penn State has then played 8 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. Furthermore, the Nittany Lions have played 6 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The concern for the Nittany Lions is on the other side of the football as they allowed a weak Illinois offense produce 411 yards of offense. Penn State surrendered 451 yards of offense to begin the season in their narrow win over Appalachian State that was settled in overtime. The Nittany Lions have played 6 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total in Big Ten play. Ohio State has played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Buckeyes’ defense flexed their muscles in their win over the Green Wave as they held them to only 263 yards. Ohio State has then played 6 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game — and they have also played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. On offense, sophomore quarterback Dwayne Haskins completed 20 of his 23 passes for 304 yards with five touchdown passes last week — and the Buckeyes have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. And in their last 7 games on the road, Ohio State has played 6 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played a shootout last year Expect another high-scoring game between these two teams with dynamic offenses. 25* CFB Big Ten Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (161) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (162). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (143) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (144). THE SITUATION: Virginia (3-1) enters this game coming off a dominant 27-3 victory over Louisville last Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite. NC State (4-0) remained undefeated last season with a 37-20 victory at Marshall as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cavaliers flexed their muscles on defense against the Cardinals as they held them to just 214 yards of offense. This strong defensive effort should carry over to this game as Virginia has played 31 of their last 43 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Furthermore, Virginia has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to no more than 275 yards. The Cavaliers outgained Louisville by +187 net yards — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total after outgaining their last opponent by at least +175 net yards. Overall, Bronco Mendenhall’s team is limiting their opponents to just 16.7 PPG along with only 297.5 total YPG. But generating points could be an issue for this Virginia team that is playing just their second true road game this year. In their first true road game at Indiana, the Cavaliers managed only 294 yards which resulted in just 16 points. Virginia has played 14 of their last 19 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. NC State has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Dave Doeren’s team is also playing outstanding defense as they are rank 9th in the FBS by allowing only 13.3 PPG. The Wolfpack have surrendered only four touchdowns this season. On offense, NC State generated 502 yards last week — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Wolfpack have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total against fellow ACC opponents — and they have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total in the first month of the season. NC State returns home where they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 22 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying no more than 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: In the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. With both these teams playing very good on the defensive side of the football, expect a lower scoring game. 25* CFB ACC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Cavaliers (143) and the North Carolina State Wolfpack (144). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (101) and the Los Angeles Rams (102). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (1-1-1) looks to bounce-back on a short week after being upset on Sunday at home against Buffalo by a  27-6 score despite being a big 16.5-point favorite in that game. Los Angeles (3-0) remained undefeated last week after winning the “Battle of Los Angeles” with their 35-23 victory over the Chargers at home as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rams defense has been outstanding this season by allowing only 12.0 PPG along with just 296.0 total YPG. Los Angeles is dealing with injuries in their secondary with cornerback Aqib Talib out with an ankle injury and Marcus Peters questionable with a calf issue. But with Aaron Donald and now Ndamukong Suh leading an outstanding defensive line, the Rams defense is not giving opposing quarterbacks much time in the pocket to throw the ball down field. The Rams were 4th in the NFL with 48 sacks last season without Suh — the former Dolphins’ defensive tackle along with Donald accounted for a whopping 68.5 pressures on the quarterback last year. Los Angeles did allow 7.12 Yards-Per-Play to the Chargers in their victory last week — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 6.0 YPP in their last game. Furthermore, the Rams outgained the Chargers by +165 net yards after dominating Arizona the previous week by outgaining them by +295 net yards. Los Angeles has played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after outgaining their last two opponents by at least +150 net YPG. Additionally, the Rams have played 10 of their last 13 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Minnesota (1-1-1) has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Vikings only ran the ball six times in that game for 14 yards with their star running back Dalvin Cook dealing with a hamstring injury that he leaves him questionable for this game being played on a short week. Minnesota is getting solid production from their new quarterback Kirk Cousins who completed 40 of 55 passes for 296 yards in that loss — but Mike Zimmer has to be displeased with his run-to-pass ratio as a defensive-minded head coach. Look for the Vikings to attempt to win this game on the line-of-scrimmage — which will burn time off the clock — as they did last year when the dominated these Rams by a 24-7 score where they only allowed 254 yards of offense. Minnesota is holding their opponents to only 323.0 total YPG - but this number could get even better moving forward when considering that the Vikings led the NFL by holding their opponents to only 275.9 total YPG last year. Zimmer’s teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a game when the Vikings passed for at least 250 yards. They also have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Minnesota has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total as the underdog. And in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning record at home, the Vikings have played 10 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, while the Vikings’ star defensive end Everson Griffen will not be playing in this game as he deals with some significant off-the-field issues, Minnesota is still loaded with talent on their deep defensive line (particular on the ends).

FINAL TAKE: This game might be a preview of a future showdown between these two teams in the NFC Playoffs (perhaps the NFC Championship Game). On a short week, I think both head coaches will try to impose their will while sending a message about who is the tougher team by winning a game fought in the trench warfare. That style of play should help this game finish lower-scoring than expected. 25* NFC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (101) and the Los Angeles Rams (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (489) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (490). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (0-1-1) is still looking for their first win of the season after losing at home to Kansas City by a 42-37 score despite being 4.5-point favorites in that game last Sunday. Tampa Bay (2-0) looks to continue their success after they upset Philadelphia at home last week by a 27-21 score as a 3-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Steelers are heavily dependent on Big Ben Roethlisberger and their passing game with running back Le’Veon Bell still holding out. More passing generally means more stoppage of play which leads to more plays and possessions on offense with more scoring opportunities for both teams. The opposite dynamic was in play last night with Detroit committed to run the ball to burn time off the clock to keep Tom Brady off the field. Pittsburgh will likely prepare to play a high-scoring game tonight. The Steelers have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Roethlisberger tossed 60 passes last week — completing 39 of them for 452 yards with three touchdown passes while leading an offense that totaled 475 yards overall. Pittsburgh has played 4 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have played 22 of their last 34 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Furthermore, the Steelers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. But the Pittsburgh defense surrendered 449 yards to the Chiefs in that loss — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Pittsburgh really misses their injured linebacker Ryan Shazier. They have allowed 29.0 PPG since his scary neck injury last year after holding their previous seven opponents to only 17.7 PPG in Shazier’s last seven games with the team. Moving forward, the Steelers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing the best football of his career as he has passed for more than 400 yards while tossing four TD passes in each of his first two games. With a questionable running game and two rookie cornerbacks starting in the secondary given injuries to incumbent starters Vernon Hargreaves and Brent Grimes, the Buccaneers formula for success will likely remain to be relying on Fitzpatrick’s arm. Tampa Bay has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. But defense remains a vulnerability of this team after allowing the Eagles to accumulate 412 yards last week — and they have played 11 go their last 16 games Over the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. The Buccaneers have also played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total in the month of September.

FINAL TAKE: Like last night’s New England-Detroit contest also had a high Total above the 50-point threshold. Handicapping Over/Unders requires an appreciation for the expected tempo of the game in question. While I expected the Lions to fully commit to running the football last night which serves to decrease the number of offensive plays and possessions for both teams, the Steelers and Buccaneers are likely to attempt plenty of passes tonight which has the opposite effect. Expect a shootout between these two teams in a league that is seeing higher scores. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (489) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (490). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (487) and the Detroit Lions (488). THE SITUATION: New England (1-1) looks to bounce-back from a 31-20 loss at Jacksonville last Sunday as a 2-point favorite. Detroit (0-2) remained winless so far this season last Sunday when they lost in San Francisco by a 30-27 score as a 6-point underdog.

REASON TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: One of the storylines of this game is that rookie head coach Matt Patricia will be facing his former team in the Patriots that he previously served as their defensive coordinator. Patricia certainly knows the New England way as well as Tom Brady and the Patriots’ tendencies — and that will help in scheming again his former team. But Patricia also came to the Lions with a mandate to make this team more physical on both sides of the football — and that starts with running the football. So far in Detroit’s first two games, this mission has been lost. The Lions have only rushed the ball 33 times in two games this season with quarterback Matthew Stafford attempting 52 and 53 passes in their first two games. Well, I think between hell and high water, Patricia is going to commit to his team running the football tonight against his old team — both to finally embrace the blueprint both he and former Patriot brain trust member and now Detroit general manager Bob Quinn both want for this team. Running the football also has the benefit of keeping Brady off the field while also helping his defense by keeping them rested. As it is, the Lions have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total after playing two games where they attempted at least 40 passes. All this passing helped the Lions give up 78 points in their first two games — but they have played 3 straight games Under the Total after allowing 25 or more points in two straight contests. Furthermore, while Detroit has surrendered 169 and 190 rushing yards in their first two games, they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in two straight games. The Lions did generate 427 yards last week against the 49ers — but they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total adder gaining at least 400 yards in their last game. Additionally, Detroit has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 10 of their last 16 home games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. New England is not clicking on all cylinders on offense after managing only 302 yards last week against the Jaguars. While they faced an outstanding defense last week, this Patriots team is depleted at the wide receiver position — and the recently acquired Josh Gordon is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury after he came over in that trade with Cleveland. New England did allow 480 yards last week in that loss but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss while also playing 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. They also have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. And in their last 6 games on the road with the Total set at 49.5 or higher, the Patriots have played 5 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Total opened in the 50 range which was already pretty high — but it has since been bet up to the 55 range in many locations. I consider those additional 5 or so points just added value to a strong Under situation given the zeal the Lions should (finally) show in running the darn football. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (487) and the Detroit Lions (488). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (389) and the Memphis Tigers (390). THE SITUATION: South Alabama (1-2) won their first game of the season last Saturday with their 41-31 win over Texas State as a 10-point favorite. Memphis (2-1) enters this game coming off their 59-22 win over Georgia State as a 28.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: South Alabama will be without their senior quarterback Cole Garvin who has been suspended after getting arrested for public intoxication last week. While that may have compelled many bettors to take the Under, the Jaguars’ offense will be just fine under the leadership of another senior in Evan Orth. The former UAB quarterback transferred to the Jaguars when the Blazers abandoned their football team for a few years but was never able to seize the starting job. But he seems to be growing into the position after leading South Alabama to their win over Texas State last week as he completed 24 of 33 passes for 266 yards with two touchdown passed while adding another 21 yards with his legs. Orth is completing 65.6% of his passes while averaging 9.5 Yards-Per-Carry when he tucks the ball to run with it this season. The Jaguars are averaging 26.7 PPG this year which is almost a touchdown more than what they scored last year. This team has then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight up win. Furthermore, South Alabama forced three turnovers against the Bobcats — and they have then played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total after forcing at least three turnovers in their last game. Now the Jaguars go back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. South Alabama has also played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference. The Jaguars are allowing their opponents to score 38.7 PPG along with 476.3 total YPG — and that is a scary proposition when facing this Memphis team that is scoring 48.7 PPG along with generating 603.0 YPG so far this season. The Tigers have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, while Memphis produced 679 yards of offense last week against the Panthers, they have played 8 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have also played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after a win by at least 20 points. And in their last 29 games at home, the Tigers have played 21 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Memphis is huge favorites laying more than 30 points in this game. While the Tigers are going to score their share of points (they may approach the Over by themselves), South Alabama should score their share of points as well. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (389) and the Memphis Tigers (390). Best of luck for us — Frank.  

At 10:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (309) and the USC Trojans (310). THE SITUATION: Washington State (3-0) won their third straight game last Saturday with their 59-24 win over Eastern Washington as a 20-point favorite. USC (1-2) has lost two straight games after they lost at Texas last Saturday night by a 37-14 score as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cougars offense under head coach Mike Leach has not missed a beat despite moving on from their graduated quarterback from last year in Luke Falk. Graduate transfer Gardner Minshew came in from East Carolina and has stepped in to continue to run the Washington State Air Raid offense at a high level. He completed 45 of 57 passes for 470 yards last week with two touchdowns. The Cougars are scoring 43.7 PPG while averaging 501.0 total YPG so far this season. Washington State should keep their momentum going on offense as they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after both a straight-up win as well as after a point spread victory. The Cougars have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last contest. Washington State has raced out to 18 and 24 point leads in their last two games — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after holding at least two touchdown leads at halftime in each of their last two games. The Cougars defense has also been stout so far this year as they have held their three opponents to just 229 total YPG — but they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 250 total YPG in their last three contests. The Washington State defense was 16th in the nation last year by allowing only 323.3 total YPG — but regression is likely for this team after their outstanding defensive coordinator Alex Grinch left to join the Ohio State defensive staff in the offseason. This defense also lost their elite defensive end in Hercules Mata’afa who took his pass rushing talents to the NFL. Now after playing their last two games at home, the Cougars go back on the road to place their most potent offense so far on their schedule. Washington State has played 5 straight games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 20 of their last 26 road games Over the Total as an underdog of fewer than 7 points. USC lost their second game in a row with that loss at Texas — but now they return home for the first time in three weeks where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total while also seeing the Over go 20-7-2 in their last 29 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. This has been a tough early gauntlet for their true freshman quarterback J.T. Daniels but the former 5-star recruit is showing glimpses of his vast potential. After a tough assignment in Palo Alto against Stanford, Daniels completed 30 of 48 passes for 322 yards in Austin last week against a talented Longhorns defense. The Trojans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. Furthermore, while USC has only scored 17 combined points in their last two games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 17 points in each of their last two games while also playing 4 straight games Over the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last contest. Lastly, the Trojans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents.

FINAL TAKE: USC will be playing with desperation tonight after losing their last two games. Expect a shootout in Los Angeles tonight between these two teams on national television. 25* CFB Friday ESPN Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Washington State Cougars (309) and the USC Trojans (310). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Jets (301) and the Cleveland Browns (302). THE SITUATION: New York (1-1) looks to bounce-back from a 20-12 upset loss at home to Miami last week as a 3-point favorite. Cleveland (0-1-1) also looks to rebound from a 21-18 loss in New Orleans as a 9.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jets fell behind early in their game with the Dolphins as they went into halftime with a 20-0 deficit. Quarterback Sam Darnold did complete 25 of 41 passes for 334 yards — but he also tossed two interceptions. This is a very tough challenge for the rookie since not only is this game being played on a short week against a Gregg Williams-coached defense that will show him plenty of exotic looks but this is his third game in just eleven days which is a very difficult way to start an NFL career. Don’t be surprised if Darnold looks overwhelmed at times in this game. As it is, the Jets have played 12 of their last 19 games Under the Total after an upset loss as a home favorite against an AFC East rival. New York has also played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Now the Jets go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. New York has also played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams from the AFC. Cleveland has played 21 of their last 29 home games Under the Total after a loss by less than 6 points. Don’t blame the Browns for that loss in the Big Easy as they held the potent Saints’ offense to just 275 yards of offense. This is a unit that is emerging into one of the better units in the league. Led by second-year defensive end Myles Garrett, Cleveland has already registered 7 sacks this year which is 5th best in the NFL. Darnold did experience trouble with pressure last week against the Dolphins defensive line — so this is a significant area of concern. But the Browns are struggling on the offensive side of the football where their QB Tyrod Taylor has been sacked 10 times. Cleveland has only scored 6 first-half points in their first two games this season which is not a good sign as to how they will start in this game when playing on a short week. The Browns have played 29 of their last 44 home games Under the Total after failing to score more than a touchdown in the first half in each of their last two games. They will be facing an underrated Jets’ defense that has held their first two opponents to just 3.38 Yards-Per-Carry. Moving forward, Cleveland has played 11 of their last 14 games at home Under the Total — and they have played 29 of their last 39 home games Under the Total when favored by 3 points or less. The Browns have also played 6 of their last 7 games on Thursday Night Football Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: While the Total is set around the 40 point range, expect points to be hard to come by from both these teams with strong defenses but limited offenses. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Month is with Under the Total in the game between the New York Jets (301) and the Cleveland Browns (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (303) and the Temple Owls (304). THE SITUATION: Tulsa (1-2) has lost two games in a row after their 29-20 upset loss last Saturday against Arkansas State as a 2-point favorite. Temple (1-2) won their first game the season last Saturday in a 35-14 upset win at Maryland as a 15-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Hurricanes has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Tulsa has played 5 straight games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of September. Now, this Golden Hurricanes travels over 1300 miles out east for this challenging conference game on a short week. Tulsa has played 4 straight games Under the Total playing on the road. And in their last 6 games against fellow American Athletic Conference opponents, the Golden Hurricanes have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Temple has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. The Owls flexed their muscles on defense against the Terrapins as they held them to just 195 yards of offense. Temple has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game — and they have also played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Now the Owls return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total. And while Temple outgained Maryland by +234 yards in that dominant win, they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after outgaining their last opponent by at least +225 yards.

FINAL TAKE: With both these teams playing on a short week in this early conference showdown, expect a lower scoring contest. 10* CFB Tulsa-Temple ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (303) and the Temple Owls (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (289) and the Chicago Bears (290). THE SITUATION: Seattle (0-1) looks to bounce-back from their 27-24 loss at Denver last Sunday as a 3-point underdog. Chicago (0-1) also looks rebound from a narrow loss after they lost in Green Bay last Sunday night by a 27-24 score as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less. Seattle did average 6.24 Yards-Per-Play in that loss — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in their last game. Furthermore, the Seahawks have played 30 of their last 45 road games Over the Total with the Total set in the 42.5 to 47 point range. And in their last 110 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points, Seattle has play 70 of these games Over the Total. Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a narrow loss by 7 points or less against a divisional rival — and they have also played 18 of their last 24 games Over the Total after a point spread cover on the road where they lost the game straight-up as an underdog. Additionally, the Bears have played 26 of their last 39 games at home Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less.

FINAL TAKE: With the Total lower than its 43.5 point start, expect this game to find its way to finish above the number. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (289) and the Chicago Bears (290). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (287) and the Dallas Cowboys (288). THE SITUATION: New York (0-1) looks to bounce-back from their 20-15 loss a home to Jacksonville last Sunday as a 3-point underdog. Dallas (0-1) looks to bounce-back from their 16-8 loss at Carolina as a 3-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Don’t blame the defense for the Giants loss as they held the Jaguars to just 305 yards of offense. The hope with this football team that new defensive coordinator James Bettcher can find the magic for this defense that triggered them being 2nd in the NFL by allowing only 17.8 PPG while also ranking tied for 3rd in the league in run defense. Injuries took away cornerback Janoris Jenkins along with linebacker B.J. Goodson while the team feels they have upgraded at linebacker with the trade for Alec Ogletree from the Rams. But the problems for this team last week as they managed to generate only 324 yards of offense. The Giants ranked 31st in the NFL last year by scoring only 15.4 PPG — and their 15 points last week included a defensive 32-yard interception returned for a touchdown. New York has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. The Giants have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of September — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Furthermore, New York has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow NFC East foes. It was a similar story for the Cowboys as their defense played quite well by holding the Panthers to just 16 points at home — but they managed only 232 yards of offense with a wide receiver group that lacks a clear number one (or number two) option. Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. But this Cowboys defense should continue to play well given their balance after finishing last year 8th in the NFL in run defense and 11th in pass defense. Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss and a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Cowboys have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on their home field.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played four of their last five games Under the Total. Expect another low-scoring game between these two teams. 25* NFL NFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (287) and the Dallas Cowboys (288). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (277) and the New Orleans Saints (278). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (0-0-1) ensured they will not suffer another season where they lose all their games as they managed a 21-21 tie with the Steelers last Sunday. New Orleans (0-1) looks to bounce-back from a 48-40 upset loss at home to Tampa Bay despite being 10-point favorites in that contest.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Browns have a promising young defense but the Steelers generated 472 yards against them even in difficult wind conditions last Sunday. Cleveland has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread win. The Browns have also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total in the month of September. Cleveland goes on the road now where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total when the number is set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Browns have also played 6 of their last 8 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home — and they have play 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points. New Orleans’ surrendered 529 yards to Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Buccaneers’ offense last week. The Saints did keep up by gaining 475 yards in that contest — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. Additionally, New Orleans has played 7 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. The Saints stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total. And in their last 5 games in the month of September, New Orleans has played all 5 games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Both these defenses look overrated last week compared to their preseason projections. The Saints face a must-win situation pretty much given the dire prospects of starting the year 0-2 at home in Superdome — while Cleveland remains desperate to earn their first win three seasons. This conflicting dynamic should produce a higher scoring game. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (277) and the New Orleans Saints (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (101) and the Cincinnati Bengals (102). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (1-0) opened their season in glowing fashion by crushing Buffalo by a 47-3 score last Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite. Cincinnati (1-0) also enters this divisional game with a victory as they defeated the Colts in Indianapolis by a 34-23 score as a 1-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Ravens flexed their muscles on defense in that game as they held the Bills to just 153 yards of offense. This is an outstanding Ravens’ defense that was 6th in the NFL last year by limiting their opponents to just 18.9 PPG along with three shutouts they also almost added to in that game. Baltimore limited the Bills to just 2.78 Yards-Per-Play in that game — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to less than 3.0 YPP. The Ravens controlled the time of possession in that game while looking to win the battle at the line of scrimmage as they held the ball for 35:14 minutes of that game. Baltimore only managed 369 yards of offense for all that possession time — including 252 yards in the air. The Under is then 34-15-2 in the Ravens’ last 51 games after a game where they passed for at least 250 yards. Furthermore, Baltimore has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against AFC North opponents. Cincinnati has played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a point spread win. The Bengals have also seen the Under go 34-16-2 in their last 52 games after scoring at least 30 points. The defense did give up 380 yards to the Colts in that game — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Most of those yards were from QB Andrew Luck who returned to NFL action by 305 yards. But the Bengals allowed only 75 rushing yards — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, Cincinnati has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing at home — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 4 games played on Thursday Night Football, the Bengals have played all 4 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: It might be tempting to take the Over in this game with both offenses scoring a combined 81 points last week. These two teams also last played in Week 17 which was a scoring fest that the Bengals won by a 31-27 score. But that was the first Over between these two teams in their last five encounters. Look for both coaches to try to out-physical the other by controlling clock and win the battle at the line of scrimmage. 25* NFL AFC North Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (101) and the Cincinnati Bengals (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:20 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (481) and the Oakland Raiders (482). THE SITUATION: New York (0-0) officially begins the Sam Darnold era tonight as they hope to improve on their 5-11 season last year. Detroit (0-0) missed the playoffs last year after their second straight 9-7 campaign.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Los Angeles averaged 33 PPG when playing on the road last year — and their offense added a big weapon in Brandin Cooks in the offseason. The Rams have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 18 of their last 24 road games Over the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 7 points. Los Angeles has also played 4 straight games Over the Total in the month of September — and they have played 5 of their last 7 opening games to a new season Over the Total. Additionally, the Over is 7-3-1 in Los Angeles’ last 11 games on Monday Night Football. Oakland should improve on offense after scoring just 18.8 PPG. While that scoring mark ranked 23rd in the league, the Raiders were a bit better in total yardage by tying for 17th by averaging 324.1 total YPG. That disparity speaks to Red Zone problems where I place much of the blame on former offensive coordinator Todd Downing. Derek Carr led an offense that scoring 26.0 PPG while averaging 373.3 total YPG in 2016 which ranked 7th and 6th in the NFL respectively and I expect the team to approach those numbers once again this season under Gruden’s offensive mind. This Oakland team is going to have to outscore their opponents given their mediocre defense that let Khalil Mack go. Even with Mack, the Raiders ranked 20th in the NFL by allowing 23.3 PPG while also ranking 23rd in the league by giving up 350.1 total YPG. Oakland has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total in the month of September. The Raiders have also played 9 of their last 15 games at home — and Gruden’s teams have played 13 of their last 18 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. And in Oakland’s last 7 games played on Monday Night Football, the Raiders have played 5 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a high-scoring game between these two teams with the Raiders already acknowledging that they will have to win a shootout to pull the upset in this game. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (481) and the Oakland Raiders (482). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (477) and the Green Bay Packers (478). THE SITUATION: Chicago (0-0) begins play under their new head coach Matt Nagy after John Fox was let go after their 5-11 campaign last season. Green Bay (0-0) is happy to get Aaron Rodgers back after he missed seven games last year with a broken collarbone in what ended up being a 7-9 season.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Packers’ offense stalled without Rodgers last year as they averaged only 20.0 PPG last year while generating a mere 305.7 total YPG with those marks ranking 21st and 26th in the league. With Rodgers back under center, both of those marks should significantly amp up — especially at home. Green Bay has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games at Lambeau Field with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Rodgers no longer has Jordy Nelson as a weapon but the veteran has lost a step — he was essentially replaced by a big target in tight end Jimmy Graham who caught 10 TD passes last year. It has been a number of years since Rodgers has had a prolific pass-receiving tight end in his arsenal. But perhaps the biggest upgrade this team has made on offense was the return of offensive coordinator Joe Philbin. The former Miami Dolphins head coach was the offensive coordinator for the Packers from 2007-2011 when Rodgers was enjoying some of his best statistical seasons. Remember that Rodgers has enjoyed an incredible 40-to-8 touchdown to interception ratio over his last sixteen starts — and he loves facing Vic Fangio-coached defenses against which he has an 11-1 TD-to-Interception ratio in his last five games against the Bears with Fangio as their defensive coordinator. Rodgers will battle a Bears’ defense that was a Top-Ten unit last year that has just added linebacker Kahlil Mack into the mix. With Mack just joining the team, it is unclear how many snaps he will play in this game. The Chicago defense is good — but their stats were padded by an offense that was designed to burn time off the clock to keep them off the field. The Bears averaged 29.2 seconds per play which is the second longest in the league. Chicago had no Pro Bowlers on their defense last year. Green Bay has played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total against fellow NFC North opponents — and they have played 18 of their last 27 games Over the Total against familiar conference opponents. Additionally, the Packers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the month of September — and this includes them playing 6 of their last 7 opening games to a new season Over the Total. The Bears’ offense averaged only 16.5 PPG last year but I am expecting significant improvement from this unit this season. Nagy was brought in to play the role of Sean McVay who helped quarterback Jared Goff blossom in his second year. Mitchell Trubisky showed glimpses of his enormous potential last year but was often held back by the conservative play-calling of the offense. Trubisky also lacked weapons at wide receiver — and this was addressed in the offseason with Chicago signing Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel and tight end Trey Burton in the offseason. Those targets will help open things up for running backs Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen. Nagy and his offensive coordinator Mark Helfrich revealed very little of their plans for their new offseason with plenty of Run-Pass-Options expected — so Green Bay’s defense may be caught by a few surprises tonight. Trubisky saw only 39 snaps in the preseason. And don’t be surprised if the Bears significantly amp up their pace of play on offense given Helfrich’s background as a Chip Kelly protege at Oregon.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 meetings Over the Total. Expect a higher-scoring game between two teams that will be experiencing big improvements with their respective offenses. Expect this to be a sloppy game which will likely result in triggering more scoring opportunities. 25* NFL NFC North Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (477) and the Green Bay Packers (478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 AM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (397) and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (398). THE SITUATION: Rice (1-1) is already playing their third game of the season after they lost to Houston last week at home by a 45-27 score as a big 25.5-point underdog. Hawai’i (2-0) is also playing their third game of the year after they upset Navy at home last week by a 59-41 score as a 13.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Owls have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have also played a decisive 45 of their last 67 games Over the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. Rice has also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Struggles on the defensive side of the football were expected for this team that lost their top-five tacklers from last year’s unit that was 112th in the nation by allowing 35.8 PPG. The Owls are allowing 36.5 PPG this season along with 480.5 total YPG. But first-year head coach Mike Bloomgren may have his answer at quarterback in senior graduate transfer Shawn Stankavage from Vanderbilt who was showed promise last week by completing 20 of 31 passes for 204 yards with three touchdown passes while leading the Rice offense to 443 yards of offense which was more 110 more YPG than what they averaged last season. The Owls now go on the road where they have played 28 of their last 38 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Rice has also played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing on field turf — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games when facing a team outside Conference USA. Hawai’i seems right at home back orchestrating their old Run-and-Shoot offense that their head coach Nick Rolovich used to operate for then head coach (and now Hamilton Tiger-Cats head coach) June Jones. The Rainbow Warriors generated 526 yards last week against the Midshipmen defense — and it is like the old days for this team so far this season as they are scoring 51.0 PPG while generating 569.0 total YPG for their unique scheme. Hawai’i has then played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. Sophomore QB Cole McDonald is loving executing this offense which gives freedom to both the quarterback and the four wide receivers to improvise their routes based off coverage. McDonald completed 30 of 41 passes last week for 428 yards while throwing six touchdown passes with zero interceptions. But the defense remains a work in progress after losing six of their top nine tacklers from a group that allowed 33.9 PPG while ranking 114th in the FBS by allowing 458.8 total YPG. In their first two games this year, Hawai’i is allowing 37.5 PPG while giving up 532.0 total YPG. Moving forward, the Rainbow Warriors have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the month of September. And in their last 11 games against non-conference opponents, Hawai’i has played 10 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: With this being the third game for both teams, the offenses should be up-to-speed regarding understanding and operating their schemes. Neither of these teams can stop anybody — so this should be a high-scoring game with Hawai’i likely leading the way. 25* CFB Bailout Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Rice Owls (397) and the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors (398). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (451) and the Philadelphia Eagles (452). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (0-0) will have their Super Bowl Ring Ceremony at home at Liberty Financial Field as they open the NFL season at home after defeating New England in last year’s Super Bowl. Atlanta (0-0) will be playing with revenge on their minds after losing in this building last January 13th in a 15-10 loss to the Eagles in the NFC Divisional Round of the Playoffs.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Eagles held the Falcons to just 281 yards of offense in that January victory. Defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz may have figured out the Atlanta offense as his group held them to just 303 yards of offense in their 24-15 win in their previous meeting back on November 13th in the 2016-17 season where the Falcons broke numerous records on offense while averaging 33.8 PPG. This Eagles team remains loaded on defense this season especially on their defensive line where Schwartz may have his dream situation in place with ten players who he can feel very comfortable rotating in-and-out in his wide-nine scheme. Schwartz banks on generating pressure on the quarterback with just his four-man front without relying on blitzes which gives him an extra player or two who can drop back into pass coverage. The Eagles may have to count on winning another low-scoring game with Carson Wentz still out with that ACL injury from last year — and Super Bowl MVP will not have the services of their top wide receiver in Alshon Jeffrey who is doubtful with a shoulder injury. Philadelphia has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the month of September — and they have played 9 of their last 13 opening weeks to a new season. The Eagles have also played 12 of their last 18 games at home Under the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. Atlanta certainly has spent all of the offseason preparing for the Eagles’ Run-Pass-Option offense that they unveiled in that playoff game with Foles under center last January. The defense steadily improved last year before flexing their muscles in the playoffs by completing the Rams offensive attack in Los Angeles in their 26-13 win in the Wild Card round before liming the Eagles to just 15 points and only 334 yards of offense the next week. The Falcons have played 7 straight games Under the Total against fellow NFC opponents. The Atlanta offense also tends to slow down considerably when taking out of the pristine conditions in both the Georgia Dome and now Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons have played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road — and they have seen the Under go a decisive 33-16-2 in their last 51 games when playing on grass that slows down their speedy offensive players.

FINAL TAKE: Both these teams rested their starters on offense during the preseason which will likely make both offenses ever slower to get started this season. Expect another showdown between these two teams to be dominated by the defenses with a lower scoring game being the result. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (451) and the Philadelphia Eagles (452). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (219) and the Florida State Seminoles (220). THE SITUATION: Virginia Tech (0-0) enters this season coming off a 9-4 campaign that concluded with a 30-21 loss to Oklahoma State in the Camping World Bowl. Florida State (0-0) looks to rebound from a disappointing 7-6 season that ended on a positive note when they crushed Southern Miss by a 42-13 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Hokies always have a strong defense under defensive coordinator Bud Carson who has entered his 32nd year in coaching. His defense was 4th in the nation last year by holding their opponents to just 14.8 PPG while also ranking 13th in the FBS by allowing only 319.3 total YPG. This unit has helped Virginia Tech see 35 of their last 52 games in conference play finish Under the Total. The offense returns seven starters from a group that ranked only 69th in the nation by scoring 28.2 PPG. Offensive line issues often held that group back — and facing the stout Seminoles defensive line will be another big challenge. The Hokies also have a big hole at running back after Travon McMillan left early for the NFL. Virginia Tech has played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Under the Total — and the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games in the month of September. Furthermore, Fuente-coached teams have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total as a road underdog — and his teams have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. Florida State usually plays lower-scoring games in situations like this as they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when laying 7.5 to 10 points. The Seminoles were 18th in the nation last year by holding their opponents to only 331.1 total YPG — and they were tied for 29th in the FBS by allowing just 21.2 PPG. New head coach Willie Taggart has tapped sophomore Deondre Francois to be his starting quarterback after he suffered a season-ending knee injury last September. But Francois had been recruited to play in a Run-Pass Option offense out of high school and he is now being asked to operate Taggart’s up-tempo spread offense — so growing pains are likely. He inherits eight starters from an offense that ranked only 100th in the nation by averaging 351.9 total YPG. Florida State has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the first-half of the season. The Under is also 20-7-1 in the Seminoles’ last 28 games in ACC play.

FINAL TAKE: Expect a lower-scoring game in this opening game between two teams that are both led by their defenses. 10* CFB Monday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Virginia Tech Hokies (219) and the Florida State Seminoles (220). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (217) and the LSU Tigers (218). THE SITUATION: Miami (0-0) returns to the field after the finished last year with a 10-3 record after a 34-24 loss to Wisconsin. LSU (0-0) completed a 9-4 campaign last season with a 21-17 loss to Notre Dame. This game is played on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in the home of the Dallas Cowboys in Arlington, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Miami returns seven starters from a very good defense that was 28th in the FBS by allowing 21.0 PPG. The Hurricanes lost five key contributors on the defensive line with two of those players leaving early for the NFL — but head coach Mark Richt had nice depth at this position last year and has been recruiting very well. Depth is an issue for the defensive line this season but that that is less of a concern for this opening game. The offense returns seven starters from a group that sputtered down the stretch of the season as they scored 41 combined points in losing their last three games. Injuries certainly played a role with that collapse in production with running back Mark Walton being the biggest loss. But that is the new reality for this team with him leaving early for the NFL — so Richt is counting heavily on a five-star freshman tailback in Lorenzo Lingard. Senior quarterback Malik Rosier completed just 40 of 89 passes for an unforgiving 44.9% completion rate — and he completed just 54% of his passes in a very inconsistent season. The Hurricanes have played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total when favored — and they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. Richt is likely to play this game cautiously while relying heavily on his defense. His teams have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when favored on a neutral field laying less than 7 points. His teams have also played a defensive 34 of their last 55 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and this included playing three of his last four games Under the Total in that situation. LSU returns five starters and 57% of the tackles from last year’s defense that was 14th in the nation by allowing only 18.9 PPG while also ranking 12th in the FBS by limiting their opponents to just 316.0 total YPG. This should remain a stout group with defensive coordinator still in the fold after he was given a huge four-year $10 million dollar deal which makes him one of the highest paid assistant coaches in the nation. The questions for this program will remain on offense where they ranked just 76th in the nation last year by scoring 27.2 PPG. The team is excited about the prospects of their new starting quarterback in Joe Burrow who is a graduate transfer from Ohio State. The 6’3 senior narrowly lost the Buckeyes’ QB job in the spring before deciding to transfer where he supposedly narrowly beat out sophomore Myles Brennan for this starting job. While Burrow was a highly touted coming out of college, he never got a whiff of possibly starting in Columbus until this spring — and he joined the Tigers with just the August practices to learn the offense. LSU lost Derrius Guice who moved on to the NFL which leaves the biggest hole at this position in my recent memory (going back ten years in my notes). Their leading returning rusher is Nick Brossette who ran the ball 19 times for 96 yards last year. Oy. The idea seems to be for this team that they will become more of a pass-first offense under new offensive coordinator Steve Ensminger. Oy — and Miami returns three starters from one of the best secondaries in the nation last year. The Tigers have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing in September. LSU has also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field — and the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games outside SEC play. Lastly, Ed Orgeron-coached teams have played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Expect this to be a lowing scoring game in this high profile showdown between to two programs with high aspirations who have more questions on the offensive side of the football than their typically strong defenses. 25* CFB ABC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (217) and the LSU Tigers (218). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (159) and the Duke Blue Devils (160). THE SITUATION: Army (0-0) enters the new season coming off a triumphant 10-3 campaign that culminated with a 42-35 victory over San Diego State in the Armed Forces Bowl. Wake Forest (0-0) comes off a 7-6 season that ended with a 36-14 win over Northern Illinois in the Quick Lane Bowl.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Black Knights return eight starters along with five of their last top seven tacklers from a strong group that finished tied for 32nd in the nation by holding their opponents to just 22.0 PPG while also ranking 32nd in the FBS by limiting their opponents to only 349.7 total YPG. This defense should be quite good right out of the gates this season — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total in the first month of the season. Army is rebuilding of offense as they only returned three starters from last year’s group including their quarterback Ahmad Bradshaw. The Black Knights have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road. Duke has the benefit of having all of fall camp to prepare for Army’s spread triple option. The Blue Devils always invest time to prepare for this unique offense with Georgia Tech on the schedule year-after-year. These two teams played last year and while Duke was upset by a 21-16 score as a 4-point favorite, they did hold Army to 136 yards below their rushing YPG mark while limiting them to just 3.96 Yards-Per-Carry. The Blue Devils have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the first-half of the season. Duke has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total at home — and they have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The defenses should be ahead of the offenses in this August contest. Duke should also be able to slow down the rebuilding Army offense that they did a fine job against last year in a game that finished 15 points Under the Total. 10* CFB Friday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (159) and the Duke Blue Devils (160). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (291) and the New Mexico State Aggies (292). THE SITUATION: Wyoming (0-0) closed out last season by winning their second straight bowl game when they defeated Central Michigan in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl by a 37-14 score. New Mexico State (0-0) also ended their season on a high-note when they upset Utah State in the Arizona Bowl by a 26-20 score.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Wyoming will be learning to live life without Josh Allen declared early for the NFL draft who was then drafted in the 1st round by Buffalo. But even with that blue-chipper under center, the Cowboys only scored 23.5 PPG while averaging a mere 286.0 total YPG which ranked 104th and 125th in the FBS. Struggles with their offensive line made things difficult for Allen under center — and they only averaged 3.17 Yards-Per-Carry which was 6th worst in the nation. It is difficult to imagine this offensive unit to be much better out of the blocks without Allen. Head coach Craig Bohl has named redshirt freshman Tyler Vander Waal as the starting quarterback over an experienced senior in Nick Smith — but this will be his first collegiate start and he will be doing it on the road in a nationally televised night game. As it is, Wyoming has paled 4 of their last 5 games away from home Under the Total. The Cowboys have also played 37 of their last 56 games Under the Total in the first month of the season. But the foundation of this team last year was a defense that ranked 9th in the nation by holding their opponents to just 17.5 PPG. Eight starters return from that unit including All-Mountain West Conference candidates at all three levels — so Bohl will likely lean on this group heavily to begin the year. Wyoming has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against non-conference opponents — and they have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on field turf. New Mexico State (0-0) makes their debut as an independent after their contract with the Sun Belt last season. They also have a new starting quarterback with head coach Doug Martin tapping junior college transfer Matt Romero over senior Nick Jeanty. But the Aggies will also have the luxury of leaning on an experienced defense as they return ten of their top eleven tacklers from last year’s team. New Mexico State was a bend-but-do-not-break group last year on defense as they were 7th in the nation in 3rd Down defense while ranking 41st in the FBS in Red Zone defense. This should be an even better group under the guidance of an outstanding defensive coach in defensive coordinator Frank Spaziano who had some elite defensive units when he was the head coach at Boston College. The Aggies have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on field-turf — and the Under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games at home.

FINAL TAKE: With both these teams kicking off their seasons early with experienced defenses and rookie quarterbacks, expect this to be a low-scoring game. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Wyoming Cowboys (291) and the New Mexico State Aggies (292). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, February 4th, we will be playing Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles (101) and the New England Patriots (102). New England (15-3) reached the Super Bowl with their 24-20 win over Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game. The Patriots offense was slowed down a bit from both Rob Gronkowski’s concussion as well as a questionable fumble call on running back Deion Lewis for what was looking like a touchdown drive midway through the second-half. That game finished below the 46-point total for that game — but New England has still played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total in the playoffs. The Patriots have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as the number one seed in the playoffs. This offense has been remarkably consistent this season. For the year, they are scoring 28.7 PPG while averaging 393.3 total YPG. In their eight games away from this season, New England is scoring 27.9 PPG while averaging 398.9 total YPG. In their last three contests, the Pats are scoring 28.3 PPG while averaging 370.7 total YPG. And in their twelve games played on field turf this year, New England is scoring 28.4 PPG while generating 392.2 total YPG. In fact, the Patriots have played a decisive 67 of their last 100 games Over the Total when playing on field turf which includes not only their home games but also those away games on turf which is the surface for this Super Bowl in Minnesota. Gronkowski should be able to play in this game with two weeks to get through the concussion protocol (and how high is his normal baseline test that he has to reach anyways?). At full strength, this New England offense is simply loaded with diverse weapons this season. Tom Brady has much more options at his disposal than the one last year that scored 34 points in overtime in their win over the Falcons.

Philadelphia (15-3) generated 456 yards of offense against an outstanding Vikings defense last week in their 38-7 win over Minnesota to win the NFC Championship Game. Doug Pederson and the offensive coaching staff for the Eagles have done a masterful job in using the bye week in the first-round of the playoffs to install an offense tailored to the skill set of QB Nick Foles. He completed 26 of 33 passes last week against the Vikings for 352 yards with three touchdown passes and no interceptions. In the playoffs, Foles has completed 49 of his 63 passes for 602 yards. Philadelphia has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after passing for at least 300 yards in their last contest. On the defensive side of the football, the Under deserves consideration since the Eagles have allowed just 33 combined points over their last four games while never allowing more than 10 points in any of those games. But all those games were at home. In their three previous games on the road (before this recent stretch), the Eagles allowed 88 combined points at Seattle, at the Los Angeles Rams and at the New York Giants (and no doubt the Patriots will study what Eli Manning did in shredding the Philly defense for 795 passing yards in two games this season). Philadelphia allowed 23.5 PPG on the road this season with six of their eight opponents scoring at least 23 points — their seasonal stats are skewed by allowing just 9 points against that Cowboys team without both Ezekiel Elliott and left tackle Tyron Smith. As it is, the Eagles have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight games. Playing on turf is also an issue since Philly played most of their games on grass which tends to slow down speedy offensive players. The Eagles have played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing on field turf. Furthermore, their win over the Vikings finished above the 39 point total for that game — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Lastly, the pressure of the Super Bowl and needing to defeat Brady and his uncanny ability to generate 4th quarter comebacks will likely compel Doug Pederson to be aggressive with his play-calling and decisions — and that should create more scoring opportunities for both teams (one way or another). 25* NFL Super Bowl *A-List* O/U Special with Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the Philadelphia Eagles (101) and the New England Patriots (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

SUPER BOWL PROPOSITIONS BETTING CARD. Please note that this Prop Bets Report is only a bonus; the Guarantee policy applies only to the Super Bowl Over part of this Report. Thanks, Frank.

Our Best Bet Wager is on the Tom Brady completing more passes than Nick Foles with the line at -3 passes — priced at -170 at Bovada. To be clear, Brady has to complete four more passes than Foles to win this bet (with Brady completing three more passes than Foles pushing the bet). Philadelphia is more anxious to run the football to control the line of scrimmage while burning time off the clock to keep the Patriots offense off the field. New England will pass a bit more for two reasons in addition to that. First, they are going to run more plays on offense because it is highly likely they will operate their no-huddle offense to attempt to thwart the Eagles ability to rotate players on the defensive line. Second, Jim Schwartz’s defense will likely protect the deeper ball which will leave a soft underbelly for 5 to 7 yard passing plays — and Brady has shown a proclivity to be very happy to nickel-and-dime his way down the field with these short passes. I much prefer a Brady-Completions Bet to a Brady-Passing Yards Bet for this reason. Additionally, if the Eagles are winning this game in the second half, they will move to running the ball even more. However, even if the Patriots are winning in the second half, the trust in Brady is so high that they will continue to pass the ball with those short but safe passes.

Our Top Underlay Wager is with the Patriots -0.5 points in the 4th quarter which Bovada prices at -110. We all know how good Tom Brady has been in the 4th quarter in Super Bowls with the memory of New England’s big 4th quarter comeback against Atlanta last year (as well as against Jacksonville in the AFC Championship Game two weeks ago). In Brady’s last two Super Bowls, he has completed 29 of 36 passes in the 4th quarter for 320 yards with two TDs, no interceptions and a Quarterback Rating of 129. If the Patriots are trailing again, Brady should make the game close (at the very least). But if New England is winning, I don’t love Nick Foles’ ability to rally his team if he is forced to throw the football. Foles is at his best when operating the Run-Pass Option — and those plays require the ability to take what the defense gives you when the receiver is covered. Foles will feel compelled to throw the football if the Eagles need quick scoring. Foles’ productivity also significantly declines if and when he is under pressure. The Patriots will certainly feel free to apply pressure with blitzes and other schemes if they know Foles is throwing the football.

Our Long Shot Wager is on Zack Ertz to have the most receiving yards in this game which Bovada places at +400. The value is in choosing an Eagles passing target since the Patriots have so many weapons in their passing game with Brady often going to his running backs (in those short safety valve passes which makes our Top Underlay Bet so intriguing). So I consider all the Patriot options for this bet Overlays (with Rob Gronkowski the favorite at +300 and Brandin Cooks tied for second favorite at +400). Ertz is not only one of the best tight ends in the NFL by also Philadelphia’s most reliable pass catcher. Furthermore, the Patriots’ linebackers to struggle in pass coverage — and this is a prime area for the Eagles to exploit. If the Eagles enjoy a second-half lead, Ertz will likely have played a big part. If they are trailing, Ertz will be a key component in their passing game. In the end, have fun with these bets but please keep in mind I still consider the best (and most reliable) two betting options for the Super Bowl to be our Side and Totals plays. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (313) and the Philadelphia Eagles (314). Minnesota (14-3) has won four straight games with their 29-24 win over New Orleans on Sunday as a 5.5-point favorite. The Vikings have then played 15 of their last 19 road games Over the Total after a straight-up win at home where they failed to cover the point spread as a favorite. Additionally, not only has Minnesota played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games but they have played 27 of their last 42 road games Over the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. Case Keenum led an offense that generated 493 yards against the Saints defense. Moving forward, they have played a decisive 57 of their last 87 road games Over the Total with the number set in the 35.5 to 42 point range.

Philadelphia (14-3) has won four of their last five games with their 15-10 upset win over the Falcons as a 2.5-point underdog. The Eagles won that game despite enduring a -2 net turnover margin in that game — and that came off losing the turnover battle in their last regular season game against the Cowboys. Philadelphia has then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after suffering a -2 or worse net turnover margin in their last game. The Eagles have also played 7 straight games Over the Total after losing the turnover battle in at least two straight games. Philadelphia has not rushed for more than 96 yards in three straight games — but they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in three straight games. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning four of their last five games. Additionally, Philly has played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total as an underdog. And while this stout Eagles defense has allowed only 10, 6 and 10 points in each of their last three games, those results help trigger a contrarian Over play. For starters, Philadelphia has played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight games. Lastly, because the Eagles have played their last three games Under the Total by at least 15 points, the Under is supported by a strong empirical angle that has been 69% effective over the last ten seasons. In games involving a team that has played their last three games Under the total by at least a touchdown, these games finished Over the Total in 48 of the last 70 situations where these conditions applied. Even better, if this game is between Conference rivals, then this Over angle tightens to a crisp 38 of 53 (72%) clip. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (313) and the Philadelphia Eagles (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.

BRADY WRIST-GATE UPDATE (Friday): The line has moved down to New England to the 45 point total range with the news that Tom Brady injured his throwing wrist in practice. I released my AFC plays before this took place (taking the Over at 46.5). The Patriots’ Beat Writer says that the “chatter” is that Brady injured the area between his thumb forefinger. Brady can still throw but his snaps under center may be limited. Pain is the biggest issue (and he will likely be shot up before kickoff). That all said, in general, I don’t let rumors of injuries sway my handicapping on a game — so my recommendation is to just ride things out (like I am) if you you have already invested in this play. If you have yet to bet, I would jump all over any 45s you can find and be happy with -45.5. I am not letting these rumors diffuse from the strong fundamental play on the Over. For those needing a pick me up, I did hear that Brady has, in fact, thrown some passes in practice. It makes sense for the Pats to exhibit extreme caution with their veteran. Brady still benefited from just walking through the Thursday/Friday practices where specific offensive game plans and Red Zone plays were worked on — and many former NFL QBs argued that just walking through those plays to intellectualize them is all Brady really needs. Thanks, Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (311) and the New England Patriots (312). Jacksonville (12-6) reached the AFC Championship Game with their 45-42 upset win at Pittsburgh last Sunday as a 7-point underdog. The Jaguars have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Jags scored a defensive touchdown in that game while enjoying a +2 net turnover margin — and they then played 7 straight games Over the Total after a game where they enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin. Jacksonville generated 378 yards of offense in that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Jags have also played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. This Jacksonville offense is underrated — they ranked 5th in the NFL by scoring 26.1 PPG while ranking 6th by averaging 365.9 total YPG. After last week’s explosion, the Jags are averaging 28.1 PPG when playing on the road. The irony of this team is they are also a bit overrated when it comes to the strength of their defense. They allowed Ben Roethlisberger to pass for 462 yards en route to their 545 total yards of offense for the Steelers — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Jaguars finished 2nd in the NFL in both points allowed (16.8 PPG) and total yardage (286.1 total YPG) — but check out their strength of schedule. Jacksonville was able to pad their numbers with NFL’s least productive division in terms of offense in the AFC South against Tennessee, Indianapolis and Houston (they were fortunate to avoid QB DeShaun Watson both times). Throw in additional games against Cleveland, Baltimore in Week Three (that London game when their offense was ravaged with injuries and still finding itself), Cincinnati in Week Seven (when their offensive line was imploding) and then Buffalo in the Wild Card game. Then throw in their first game with the Steelers where they won by a 30-9 score with the benefit of two defensive touchdowns and five interceptions — and they allowed 65 combined points for a measly 6.5 PPG scoring average in those top ten defensive performances. There are six games — representing 33% of their results this year that should raise eyebrows for the wrong reasons: last week against the Steelers where they allowed 42 points and 545 yards of offense; allowing 44 points and 364 yards of offense against a Jimmy Garoppolo-led 49ers offense on December 24th; allowing 27 points and 344 yards of offense led by Blaine Gabbert; allowing 27 points in a loss to the LA Rams on October 15th; allowing 23 points and a whopping 471 yards in a loss to the Jets on October 1st; allowing 37 points and 390 yards of offense to Titans back on September 17th. Of their eighteen games including their two in the playoffs, Jacksonville has played six playoff teams (with the Bills and Steelers’ second-meeting being in the actual playoffs). They are 3-3 overall in those games — but they are allowing 22.2 PPG and 341.7 total YPG in those six contests. Of course, the Jaguars had the benefit of facing the likely two worst teams to make the playoffs in Tennessee (twice) and Buffalo in the Wildcard round. Take away those three games to just assess how this Jaguars defense performed against Pittsburgh (twice) and the LA Rams and the results are simply unimpressive: 26.0 PPG and 388.3 total YPG allowed. Where this Jags’ defense struggles when compares to those Super Bowl winning Ravens and Giants teams that defeated the Brady/Belichick combo is in run defense. Jacksonville ranked 21st in the NFL during the regular season by allowing 116.2 rushing YPG. This is where the Patriots will attack.

New England (14-3) has won four straight games with their 35-14 win over Tennessee last Sunday. The Patriots have won their last three games by at least three touchdowns — and they have then played 17 of their last 22 home games Over the Total after winning at least two games in a row by at least two touchdowns. New England has also played a decisive 48 of their last 69 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The Patriots have also played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Patriots stay at home for this game where they are scoring 30.0 PPG while generating 394.8 total YPG. Over their last three games, they are scoring 32.7 PPG. New England has played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total — and they have played 12 of their last 17 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 7 Playoff games at home, the Patriots have played all 7 games Over the Total. 25* AFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (311) and the New England Patriots (312). Best of luck for us — Frank.

SUBSCRIBERS, PLEASE NOTE: I have upgraded this play to a 20* play. Thanks, Frank.

At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (307) and the Minnesota Vikings (308). New  Orleans (12-5) has won three of their last four games with their 31-26 win over Carolina last week as a 6.5-point favorite. The Saints have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. New Orleans generated 410 yards of offense against a tough Panthers defense — and they have then played 13 of their last 16 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Saints defense did surrender 413 yards of offense themselves with Cam Newton passing for 306 of those yards. New Orleans has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last contest. That game with the Panthers finished above the 47.5 point total — and that makes it 9 of their last 11 games that the Saints have played a game Over the Total when the number was listed in the 42.5 to 49 point range. New Orleans has also played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total in the playoffs. This is a rematch of the Week One meeting between these two teams which was won by the Vikings by a 29-19 score. The Saints have played 18 of their last 24 road games Over the Total when looking to avenge a loss where their opponent scored at least 29 points.

Minnesota (13-3) has won three straight games entering the playoffs with their 23-10 win over the Bears two weeks ago. Many bettors may be scared off from taking the Over considering how good this Vikings defense is that has allowed only 17 combined points over their last three games. But Minnesota has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight games. And while the Vikings have played three straight games Under the Total, they have then played 5 of 8 games Over the Total in that fourth game. QB Case Keenum has been outstanding since Week 10 this season: he boasts a 71% completion percentage while averaging 7.8 Yards-Per-Attempt with 15 touchdown passes to just four interceptions over that span. Minnesota scores 24.7 PPG at home and they should be able to reach that number this afternoon against this Saints’ defense that has allowed at least 400 total yards in two straight games. Lastly, the Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (307) and the Minnesota Vikings (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (305) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (306). Jacksonville (11-6) flexed their muscles on defense last week with their 10-3 win over Buffalo. The Jaguars held the Bills to just 263 yards of offense in that game. Jacksonville was 2nd in the NFL in both points allowed and total defense as they hold their opponents to just 15.9 PPG along with only 284.8 total YPG (after last week)— and this defense travels as they are holding their home hosts to only 15.4 PPG and 288.0 total YPG which is right in line with their seasonal numbers. The formula for success in this game is defense and running the football. Blake Bortles threw the ball only 23 times last week while often looking like he lacked confidence. He completed 12 of those balls for 87 yards making him just the fourth quarterback since 2006 to not pass for at least 100 yards in a playoff game. The Jaguars have to burn time off the clock and shorten the length of this game — and that helps our Under play. They failed to cover the 8-point spread last week against Buffalo — and they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Jacksonville has also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Furthermore, this team has played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. And in their last 9 games against fellow AFC opponents, the Jaguars have played 8 of these games Under the Total.

Pittsburgh (13-3) enters this game coming off their 28-24 win over the Browns on December 31st. The Steelers have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing at home after a game where both teams scored at least 24 points. Pittsburgh surrendered 272 passing yards in that game — and they have then played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The Steelers will be looking to avenge a 30-9 loss to the Jaguars back on October 8th — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when looking to avenge a loss by at least four touchdowns to their opponents. And remember with that game that two of the Jacksonville touchdowns came off tipped passes that were then intercepted and returned for a touchdown. Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Steelers have also played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents. And in their last 6 games in the playoffs, the Under is 4-1-1. 10* NFL Jacksonville-Pittsburgh O/U CBS-TV Special with Under the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (305) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the New England Patriots (304). New England (13-3) has been a favorite laying at least 13 points three times in the AFC Divisional Round of the Playoffs in the Bill Belichick-Tom Brady era. The results were as follows: a 34-16 win over Houston last year with the Total at 44; a 45-10 win over Denver in 2012 with the Total set at 50; a 31-20 win over Jacksonville with the Total set at 51. While the Total was 2-0-1 for those three games, all three games saw at least 50 combined points scored with the Patriots averaging 36.7 PPG over that stretch. If New England approaches that number in this game, then this game should go safely Over the Total. The Patriots enter this game with momentum as they followed up their 37-16 win over Buffalo in Week 16 with a 26-6 victory over the Jets to close out their regular season. New England has then played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games by double-digits. The Patriots are averaging 29.4 PPG at home this season — and they have not only played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total at home but they have also played 9 of their last 11 home games Over the Total with the number set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. Furthermore, New England has played 6 straight playoff games at home Over the Total. And in their last 8 games in the AFC Divisional Playoffs, the Over is 7-0-1.

Tennessee (10-7) got their offense going in the second-half last week by scoring 19 points to stun Kansas City with their 22-21 upset victory as an 8.5-point underdog. The Titans have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after failing to score more than a field goal in the first-half of their last game. Tennessee has also played 16 of their last 22 games after a victory by 3 points or less in their last game. The Titans have played two straight games Under the Total — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing two straight games that finished below the number. Tennessee’s defense ranks 13th in the NFL by allowing 328.0 total YPG — but Pro Football Focus ranks their strength of schedule of opposing offenses to be last in the league. The Titans pass defense allowed 239.2 passing YPG this season which was 25th in the NFL. Considering that the Tennessee run defense ranks 4th in the NFL by allowing 88.8 rushing YPG, it is the passing game from which the Patriots are likely to exploit — and that helps our Over play with more stoppages of the clock likely coming from incomplete passes. The Titans have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 5 trips to Foxboro to play the Patriots, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. 25* AFC Divisional Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the New England Patriots (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (301) and the Philadelphia Eagles (302). Atlanta (11-6) has now played six straight games Under the Total given the steadily improved play of their defense combining with too many bettors not catching up to the reality that this Falcons offense is not as powerful this year as the one last year that led the NFL by scoring 33.8 PPG. This Total opened in the 43.5 range and has been bet down to 41 — and that is simply too low for how this game will likely play out. For starters, both these teams have amped up the number of offensive plays they are generating per game. Atlanta leads all teams left in the Playoffs by averaging 68.0 offensive plays per game over their last four contests — and that is well above their 62.5 offensive plays per game average for the regular season which was just 25th in the league. They now face an Eagles team that opponents passed the ball against in 61.4% of their offensive plays which was 3rd most this season. It stands to reason that the Falcons will emphasize the pass in this game considering that this Philadelphia team led the NFL by allowing a 79.2 rushing YPG. Atlanta behind Matt Ryan has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the Playoffs. The Over is also 11-4-2 in the Falcons’ last 17 games in the month of January. Additionally, the Over is 3-1-1 in Atlanta’s last 5 road games against teams with a winning record at home. And while the Falcons come off their 26-13 upset win in Los Angeles as a 6.5-point underdog against the Rams last week, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after upset win as a road underdog.

Philadelphia (13-3) ran the 3rd most plays this season averaging 67.1 offensive plays per game this season — and that number dropped only slightly to 66.1 offensive plays per game over their last four contests which encompasses the time where Nick Foles became the starting quarterback for the injured Carson Wentz. The Eagles hale the field again after losing their last game of the regular season by a 6-0 score at home to the Cowboys as a 4-point underdog. Philadelphia has then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a loss at home. The Eagles have also played a decisive 47 of their last 69 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and this includes playing fifteen of their last twenty games Over the Total after a defeat. Additionally, Philadelphia has played 15 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. And they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Eagles ran the ball only 18 times in that game for 70 yards with their number one seed in the NFC already secured. The Eagles will surely attempt to get their ground game going support Foles under center — and they have seen he over go 40-15-1 in their last 56 games after failing to rush for more than 90 yards in their last game. 25* NFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (301) and the Philadelphia Eagles (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Alabama (12-1) flexed their muscles on defense last Monday by holding Clemson to just 188 yards of offense en route to their 24-6 win over the Tigers. Considering that the Crimson Tide generated just 261 yards of offense against the Clemson defense, it might appear that the Under is the preferred totals play when they face off against another Top-Ten defense in this Alabama team. But each game has its own internal narrative. The third contest in the Crimson Tide-Tigers trilogy played out as a defensive battle. Don’t be surprised if this Alabama-Georgia showdown between two teams of similar compositions ends up seeing much more offense — and with a Total set in just the mid-40s. The Crimson Tide have seen the Over go 6-2-1 in their last 9 games after allowing no more than 275 yards in their lsat game. And while Alabama has played three straight games that finished Under the Total, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight games that finished Under the Total. Remember that while this Crimson Tide team has the nation’s top scoring defense (11.1 PPG) and total defense (252.4 YPG), they are no slouches on offense either. Alabama was 12th in the nation by scoring 37.9 PPG while averaging 449.7 total YPG (27th in the FBS). And remember that these offensive numbers are a little lower than they could be since their outstanding defense helped them earn comfortable leads without putting up Oklahoma-like numbers. An elite defense is nothing new for a Nick Saban-coached team. Yet they have played 10 of their last 14 Bowl games Over the Total — and this includes playing five of their last six games in the month of January Over the Total.

Georgia (13-1) finished Top-Five in scoring defense (15.7 PPG) while finishing 6th in total defense (289.5 YPG). But this Bulldogs team scored 36.3 PPG while averaging 440.3 total YPG which ranked 17th and 31st in the FBS respectively. As Georgia proved against the Sooners on Monday, they can crank up their offense into high gear to winning a scoring fest if they need to in order to win. In their 54-48 win in overtime against Oklahoma, they generated 527 yards of offense. The Bulldogs have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. But the Georgia defense had trouble slowing down the Sooners offense as they gave up 531 yards along with 6.55 Yards-Per-Play. The Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 6.25 YPP in their last game. Additionally, while Georgia has covered the point spread in four straight games, they have then played 5 of the last 6 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in four or five of their last six contests. Furthermore, the Bulldogs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against fellow SEC opponents. Lastly, in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total 5 times. 25* CFB Bowl Total of the Year with Over the Total in the National Championship Game between the Alabama Crimson Tide (151) and the Georgia Bulldogs (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the New Orleans Saints (108). Carolina (11-5) will be facing this Saints’ offense for the third time this season — and that should give an advantage to their defense given this familiarity. The Panthers have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total against NFC South rivals — and this includes playing four of their last five games Under the Total against divisional rivals. Carolina looks to bounce-back from their 22-10 loss in Atlanta last week with that final score falling far below that 44.5 point total. The Panthers offense managed to generate just 248 yards of offense in that game. Carolina also allowed 371 yards in that contest — and the Under is then 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Panthers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in a domed stadium. They only generate 308.2 YPG when playing on the road this season. But this stout Carolina defense only allows the home team to score 19.6 PPG while limiting them to just 303.2 total YPG.

New Orleans (11-5) looks to bounce-back from their 31-24 upset loss in Tampa Bay despite being a 6-point favorite in that game. The Saints have then played 11 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss as a road favorite. New Orleans has also played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Saints defense allowed the Bucs to generate 455 yards of offense in that loss. But now New Orleans returns home where they held the Panthers to just 279 yards of offense back on December 3rd in their 31-21 victory. That does not seem to be a fluke when considering that the Saints only allowed 288 total yards in the first meeting between these two teams back on September 24th in their 34-13 victory. Those numbers average out to just 17 PPG along with 283.5 total YPG for Carolina in their two games against New Orleans this season — so the Saints defense looks poised to have a much better day. Additionally, while New Orleans has failed to cover the point spread in five of their last seven games, they have then played 23 of their last 38 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. 25* NFC South Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Carolina Panthers (107) and the New Orleans Saints (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (105) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (106). Buffalo (9-7) did their part to reach the AFC Playoffs last week with their 22-16 win in Miami as a 2.5-point favorite. The Bills have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Buffalo’s defense did surrender 356 yards in that game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. This Bills’ team has been vulnerable on defense when playing away from home. They allowed 24.6 PPG while surrendering 349.6 total YPG in their eight road games this season. Moving forward, Buffalo has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

Jacksonville (10-6) has lost two games in a row after their 15-10 loss at Tennessee. The Jaguars have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Jaguars defense did limit the Titans to just 229 yards of offense — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. Now Jacksonville returns home where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total — and this includes playing four straight games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, the Jaguars have played 5 of these games Over the Total. Lastly, these two teams have played 5 straight games Over the Total in their last 5 meetings. 10* NFL Buffalo-Jacksonville O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (105) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (106). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (103) and the Los Angeles Rams (104). Atlanta (10-6) enters this game having played five straight games that finished Under the Total after their 22-10 win over Carolina with that Total closing around 44.5. For some, that might be enough to trigger a contrarian Over bet — and I considered this angle for a lengthy time. But the damning case against that argument is that the Falcons specifically have played 7 straight games Under the Total after playing at least five straight Unders before that game. Atlanta plays underrated defense — they rank 9th in the NFL by allowing 318.4 total YPG. Over their last three games, they are limiting their opponents to just 312.0 total YPG after limiting the Panthers last week to just 248 yards of offense. The Falcons have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while they generated 371 yards of offense over Carolina, they have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Atlanta will look to run the ball to keep the Rams offense off the field and exploit this vulnerability in the Los Angeles defense as they are allowing 122.3 rushing YPG which is 28th in the league. The Falcons have not scored more than 24 points in five straight games — so this a ball-control defensive-orientated team is what this team is become this season. They controlled the clock for 34:42 minutes last week against the Panthers in that must-win game. They have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 playoff games on the road, the Under is 3-1-1.

Los Angeles (11-5) rested their starters last week in a 34-13 loss to San Francisco. Yet their effort on defense had to be a disappointment for defensive coordinator Wade Phillips after seeing his defense surrender 463 yards to the 49ers. The Rams have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Additionally, not only have the Rams played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns but they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 21 points. On their home field, Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the number in the 42.5 to 49 point range. And in their last 11 home games as the favorite, the Rams have played 7 of these games Under the Total. 10* NFL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (103) and the Los Angeles Rams (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). Kansas City (10-6) has won four straight games with their 27-24 win at Denver as a 3-point underdog last Sunday. The Chiefs have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Now this team returns home where they are holding their visitors to just 16.9 PPG. This Kansas City team scores 24.1 PPG on their home field — and that is 1.8 PPG lower than their 25.9 PPG seasonal average. They also only generate 343.1 total YPG which is over 30 YPG lower than their 375.4 total YPG mark. The Chiefs have played a decisive 44 of their last 63 games Under the Total on their home field. They also have played 14 of their last 20 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 5 playoff games at home, Kansas City has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

Tennessee (9-7) clinched a spot in the AFC Playoffs last Sunday with their 15-10 victory over Jacksonville as a 2.5-point favorite. The Titans eked out that game despite generating only 232 yards of offense. A +3 net turnover margin helped the Titans overcome their limited offensive effort in that game. Tennessee scores only 20.9 PPG while averaging just 314.0 total YPG — and those numbers drop to scoring just 17.5 PPG while averaging a mere 270.7 total YPG when on the road. The Titans defense did do a fine job of stopping the Jaguars offense last week as they managed only 229 yards of offense. In fact, the lone Jacksonville touchdown came from a fumble recovery returned for a 67-yards touchdown. Tennessee has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Titans formula for success in this game will be running the football to burn time off the clock which keeps the Chiefs’ offense off the field — and that is a great formula for the Under. Lastly, in their last 11 games played in the month of January, Tennessee has played 8 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFL Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:45 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Sugar Bowl between the Alabama Crimson Tide (273) and the Clemson Tigers (274). Clemson (12-1) has won six straight games after defeating Miami (FL) in the ACC Championship Game by a 38-3 score back on December 2nd. The Tigers rushed for only 77 yards in that game — but they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after rushing for at least 100 yards in their last game. Clemson ranks 35.4 PPG this season which was 20th in the FBS — and they did not experience any drop-off when playing away from home where they scored 35.3 PPG. Of course, the Tigers have played the Crimson Tide for the National Championship in each of the last two seasons with the final score seeing 66 and 85 combined points. Despite the Total being a few points lower than the 51 or so points assigned as the Total for those two games, I see little reason why this Semifinals showdown will not be another shootout. Certainly both coaches will assume that scoring 30 points will be a prerequisite for winning this game. Clemson has played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing in the month of January. And in their last 6 games played on speedy field turf, the Tigers have played 5 of these games Over the Total.

10* CFB play with the Over. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 5:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Rose Bowl between the Georgia Bulldogs (271) and the Oklahoma Sooners (272). Georgia (12-1) reached the College Football Playoffs with their 28-7 win over Auburn in the SEC Championship Game as a 2-point favorite. The Bulldogs have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Georgia has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing 20 points or less in their last game. The Bulldogs defense dominated this game as they held Auburn to just 259 yards of offense. Georgia has then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. The Bulldogs allowed only 145 passing yards in that game as well — and they have then played a decisive 21 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, Georgia has played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams outside the SEC. And in their last 8 games played on a neutral field, the Bulldogs have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

Oklahoma (12-1) has won eight games in a row with their 41-17 win over TCU in the Big 12 Championship Game. The Sooners have not committed a turnover in four straight games — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not committing a turnover in their last game. It may be tempting to expect the Over given Oklahoma’s high-powered offense that has scored at least 38 points in four straight games. But the Sooners have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 37 points in three straight games. Additionally, Oklahoma has generated at least 461 yards in all their games this season — and they have then played 11 of the last 16 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in five straight contests. The Sooners have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They also have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams from the SEC. Furthermore, Oklahoma has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field including five of their last six games Under the Total in Bowl games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 93-34 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Georgia-Oklahoma O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Rose Bowl between the Georgia Bulldogs (271) and the Oklahoma Sooners (272). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Citrus Bowl between the LSU Tigers (269) and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (270). LSU (9-3) has won three straight games with their 45-21 win over Texas A&M to close out their regular season. The Tigers have then seen the Under go 9-4-2 in their last 15 games after a straight-up win. The Under is also 6-1-2 in LSU’s last 9 games after a victory by at least 20 points. And in their last 6 games after scoring at least 40 points, the Under is 4-0-2. Additionally, LSU has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a game at home where they won by at least 17 points. They generated a whopping 601 total yards against the Aggies while averaging 6.90 Yards-Per-Play — but they have then played 10 straight games Under the Total after a game where they averaged at least 6.75 YPP. LSU averaged just 21.8 PPG in their six games away from home. But their defense travels as they held the six teams they faced away from home to just 299.5 total YPG which was even lower than the 311.7 total YPG mark which was 11th best in the nation. The Under is 13-6-1 in the Tigers’ last 20 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games against teams outside the SEC, the Under is 5-2-1.

10* CFB play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

Please note: I am upgrading this Over play to a 20* play. Thanks, Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Outback Bowl between the South Carolina Gamecocks (265) and the Michigan Wolverines (266). South Carolina (8-4) looks to bounce-back from a 34-10 loss to Clemson back on November 25th to close out their regular season. The Gamecocks have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. South Carolina has also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Gamecocks managed only 207 yards of offense against the thought Tigers defense — but the Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after failing to generate more than 275 yards in their last game. And in their last 9 games after failing to score more than 20 points, South Carolina has played 7 of these games Over the Total.

Michigan (8-4) has lost two straight games with their 31-20 loss to Ohio State as a 12.5-point underdog back on November 25th. The Wolverines have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Michigan has also seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a point spread setback. The team should certainly benefit from the return of redshirt freshman quarterback Brandon Peters. The first Jim Harbaugh recruit under center for the team was effective when taking over late in the season. He completed 37 of 64 passes for 486 yards and four TD passes before suffering a concussion in the Wisconsin game that kept him out of that rivalry game with the Buckeyes. Moving forward, the Over is 15-6-1 in Michigan’s last 22 games against teams with a winning record. The Over is also 6-1-1 in the Wolverines’ last 8 games against teams outside the Big Ten. Additionally, the Wolverines have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing on a neutral field. And in their last 10 Bowl games, Michigan has played 8 of these games Over the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 81-20-4 combined angle for this situation. 20* CFB New Year’s Day Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the Outback Bowl between the South Carolina Gamecocks (265) and the Michigan Wolverines (266). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (331) and the Los Angeles Rams (332). Los Angeles (11-4) will be resting a few key players — including quarterback Jared Goff and running back Todd Gurley — in this game with their slot in the NFC Playoffs as either the third or fourth seed secured. That means that the QB for this game will be Sean Mannion while the bell cow running back will be Malcolm Brown. While those names are not encouraging, the Rams defense should still be in good shape under defensive coordinator Wade Phillips. In fact, Phillips will want to see many adjustments made from the 41-39 game that the Rams won in the first meeting between these two teams back on September 21st. Los Angeles enters this game coming off their 27-23 win at Tennessee last week as a 5.5-point favorite. The Rams have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning a game on the road where they failed to cover the point spread as the favorite. Los Angeles has also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Rams return home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Los Angeles has also played 10 of their last 12 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. And in their last 8 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, the Rams have played 6 of these games Under the Total.

San Francisco (5-10) has won four straight games with their 44-33 upset win over Jacksonville as a 4-point underdog. The Jimmy Garoppolo era is off to a fine start with the QB still undefeated as a starter after tearing up a very good Jaguars defense by completing 21 of 30 passes for 242 yards. While some bettors may expect another big day from the 49ers’ offense, I look for the San Fran defense to play much better this week as they look to build for next season. The 49ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Now San Francisco goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. And in their last 5 games against fellow NFC West rivals, the 49ers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFC West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (331) and the Los Angeles Rams (332). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (315) and the Indianapolis Colts (316). Houston (4-11) has lost five straight games after their 34-6 loss to Pittsburgh on Christmas Day. The Texans managed only 227 yards of offense behind quarterbacks T.J. Yates and Taylor Heinicke — and the team will be without their All-World wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. As it is, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Texans have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to generate at least 250 yards of offense. And in their last 10 games after failing to score at least 15 points, the Texans have played 8 of these games Under the Total. The team had to resign QB Josh Johnson off the streets this week with both their quarterbacks going through the concussion protocol this week. Yates has been cleared to start — but he completed just 19 of 47 passes for 211 yards and a QB Rating of 50.9 in his Houston has not scored a point in the first-half in their last two games — and they have then played 21 of their last 28 road games Under the Total after failing to score more than a touchdown in the first-half in two straight games. 

Indianapolis (3-12) has lost six straight games with their 23-16 loss in Baltimore last week in a game where they managed only 296 yards of offense. The Colts have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Indianapolis has also played 22 of their last 29 games Under the Total in the month of December. Now Indy returns home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total — and they have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home against teams with a losing record on the road. With rumors that the franchise will not be retaining head coach Chuck Pagano, the team may mail in their effort this afternoon. As it is, the Colts have played 4 straight games Under the Total against AFC South rivals. Lastly, these two teams have played 8 straight games Under the Total when facing off in Indianapolis. 25* AFC South Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (315) and the Indianapolis Colts (316). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Orange Bowl between the Wisconsin Badgers (263) and the Miami Hurricanes (264). Miami (FL) (10-2) has lost two straight games with their 38-3 loss to Clemson in the ACC Championship Game as a 12.5-point underdog. The Hurricanes have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Miami has not scored more than 14 points in their last two games — and they have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than two touchdowns in two straight games. The Hurricanes will be playing on their home field at Hard Rock Stadium — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on their home field. And in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record, Miami has played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, the Hurricanes have played a decisive 45 of their last 65 games Under the Total against teams outside the ACC. And in the last 4 Bowl games, Miami has played all 4 games Under the Total.

Wisconsin (12-1) looks to bounce-back from their 27-21 loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game. Look for this Badgers team to play much better on defense — they still rank number one in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 253.2 total YPG. In their six road games this season, Wisconsin allowed only 12.8 PPG while holding their opponents to just 284.5 total YPG. The Badgers have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as a favorite of 7 points or less. Wisconsin has also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as a favorite in the 3.5 to 10 point range. Additionally, the Badgers have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams outside the Big Ten. And in their last 5 Bowl games, Wisconsin has seen the Under go 3-1-1. 10* CFB Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Orange Bowl between the Wisconsin Badgers (263) and the Miami Hurricanes (264). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the Fiesta Bowl between the Washington Huskies (261) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (262). Penn State (10-2) has won three straight games with their 66-3 blowout win at Maryland to close out their regular season. The Nittany Lions have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after scoring at least 50 points in their last game. Penn State went into halftime with a 31-0 lead over the Terrapins — and they have then played 16 of their last 24 games Under the Total after holding at least a 24-point lead at halftime in their last game. The Nittany Lions have also played 50 of their last 77 games Under the Total after allowing 3 points or less in their last game. Moving forward, Penn State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 87 games against teams outside the Big Ten, the Nittany Lions have played 55 of these games Under the Total.

Washington (10-2) has won two straight games with their 41-14 win over Washington State back on November 25th as a 9.5-point favorite. The Huskies have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Washington has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. On defense, Washington ranks 5th in the nation by allowing only 14.5 PPG while also limiting their opponents to just 277.4 total YPG. They held their opponents to -121 YPG below their season average this year. Lastly, the Huskies have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the Fiesta Bowl between the Washington Huskies (261) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (262). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Cotton Bowl between the USC Trojans (255) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (256). Ohio State (11-2) has won four straight games after their triumphant 27-21 in over Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game as a 3-point favorite. The Buckeyes have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up game. Ohio State has also played 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. The Buckeyes outgained the Badgers by +151 net yards in that contest — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after outgunning their last opponent by at least +175 yards. Ohio State rushed for 238 yards against Wisconsin — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last contest. The Buckeyes averaged 6.6 Yards-Per-Play against the Badgers — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in their last game.

USC (11-2) has won five straight games with their 31-28 win over Stanford back on December 1st as a 3.5-point favorite. The Trojans have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. USC has also covered the point spread in 4 straight games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Moving forward, the Trojans have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. USC has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total outside Pac-12 play. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games played on a neutral field. Lastly, the Over is 7-3-1 in the Trojans’ last 11 Bowl game appearances. 10* CFB Friday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the Cotton Bowl between the USC Trojans (255) and the Ohio State Buckeyes (256). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Utah State (6-6) enters this game coming off a 38-35 loss at Air Force as a 2.5-point favorite back on November 25th. Utah State has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread setback. Utah State gained 521 yards in that losing effort — and they have then played 18 of their last 26 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the Mountain West Conference, the Aggies have played all 4 games Over the Total.

New Mexico State (6-6) has won two straight games with their 22-17 win over South Alabama back on December 2nd as a 12-point favorite. These Aggies have then seen the Over go 11-4-1 in their last 16 games after a point spread loss. New Mexico State generated 491 yards in that victory — and the Over is then 26-12-1 in their last 39 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, New Mexico State has played 22 of their last 30 games Over the Total against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-34-2 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB CBS-Sports Network Total of the Year is with Over the Total in the Arizona Bowl between the Utah State Aggies (253) and the New Mexico State Aggies (254). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take Under the Total in the game between the Northern Illinois Huskies and the Duke Blue Devils in the Quick Lane Bowl. Northern Illinois (8-4) saw their two-game winning streak in their last regular season game with their 31-24 loss at Central Michigan. The Huskies have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss. Northern Illinois has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against non-conference opponents. Duke (6-6) enters this Bowl game coming off their 31-23 win at Wake Forest. The Blue Devils have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record, Duke has played 9 of these games Under the Total. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports DELIVERED their 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Year last night with the Oakland-Philly Under to further a RED HOT 17 of 22 (77%) Football run which has fueled a 70 of 93 (75%) Football mark! Now Frank turns back to College Football where he is is on a 35 of 48 (73%) CFB run after his SCORCHING 15 of 18 (83%) CFB Bowl mark so far this postseason! Frank made it a PERFECT 4-0 with his highest-rated 25* CFB Bowl plays with Fresno State on Sunday — and he looks to make it FIVE IN A ROW with the Northern Illinois-Duke ATS winner that is worthy of his 25* seal of approval! JOIN Frank for this 52* SPECIAL FEATURE!

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (131) and the Philadelphia Eagles (132). Philadelphia (12-2) enters this game coming off a 34-29 win in New York against the Giants on the heels of a 43-35 win in Los Angeles against the Rams. Those two games went Over the Total by 22 and 31 points respectively which may make it tempting for some bettors to expect another Over tonight. There are a host of empirical situational angles that help inform my decisions that do not end up being documented in my Reports but I wanted to highlight this one that identifies the contrarian play regarding the Under with the Eagles. After the first month of the season in games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, when one team has played their last two games Over the Total by at least two touchdowns, these games finished Under the Total in 34 of the last 44 situations (77%) where these conditions applied. The Eagles should see a much better effort from their defense after giving up 64 combined points over their last two games. Philly has played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored — and they have also played 15 of their last 18 home games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 50 combined points were scored. Additionally, the Eagles have played 37 of their last 54 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored in two straight contests. Philadelphia has also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after two straight wins on the road. Returning home after playing a rigorous three straight games on the road should help this defense. On their home field, the Eagles are allowing only 15.2 PPG along with just 278.3 total YPG — and they have not given up more than 24 points at home all season. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 11 of their last 18 home games Under the Total as the favorite which includes playing their last two games Under the Total when favored in the 7.5 to 14 point range.

Oakland (6-8) enters this game coming off their 20-17 loss to Dallas back on December 17th. The Raiders have then played a decisive 39 of their last 57 road games Under the Total after a loss at home. This team struggles to score when away from home. Oakland is averaging just 17.0 PPG while generating a mere 292.5 total YPG when on the road. They have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when on the road. And things are likely to get even tougher for Derek Carr and this offense with their Pro Bowl left tackle Donald Penn going on Injured Reserve with a foot injury. Penn will be missing his first game since the 2007 season after being a rock on the offensive line for this team. On the plus side, the Raiders are quietly playing much better on defensive side of the football. They are allowing only 334.3 total YPG over their last three contests. Lastly, Oakland has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when on the road in the last four weeks of the regular season. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (131) and the Philadelphia Eagles (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (129) and the Houston Texans (130). Houston (4-10) managed only 186 yards of offense last week in their 45-7 loss to Jacksonville as a 10.5-point underdog. Backup quarterback T.J. Yates managed to complete only 12 of 31 passes for 128 yards. The Texans have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. Houston has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. And the Texans have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Moving forward, Houston has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total in the month of December.

Pittsburgh (11-3) saw their eight-game winning streak snapped last Sunday with their heartbreaking 27-24 loss to New England. The Steelers have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while Pittsburgh gained 413 yards in that game, they have then seen the Under go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Their offense will be without the dynamic Antonio Brown for this game — and the speedster has been catching almost every literal ball thrown his way this season. While the Steelers still have weapons on offense, losing someone of Brown’s immense talent is a big blow. The team is getting cornerback Joe Haden back in their secondary — and that will help shore up a pass defense that has been porous in his absence. Now Pittsburgh goes back on the road where they have played 22 of their last 28 games Under the Total. The Steelers have also played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. and in their last 11 road games as the favorite, Pittsburgh has played 9 of these games Under the Total. 10* NFL Christmas Day Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (129) and the Houston Texans (130). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228) in the Hawai’i Bowl. Houston (7-4) travels to Hawai’i after their 24-14 win over Navy as a 6.5-point favorite back on November 24th. The Cougars have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing no more than 20 points in their last game. The Cougars sport a strong defense that ranked 40th in the FBS by allowing just 23.0 PPG. They ave played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And Houston has played 5 straight games Under the Total against non-conference opponents.

Fresno State (9-4) saw their four-game winning streak snapped in the Mountain West Conference Championship Game in a 17-14 loss at Boise State as a 10-point underdog. The Bulldogs have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Fresno State has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Additionally, the Bulldogs have played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 6 games in the month of December, the Under is 5-0-1. This Fresno State team also has a very good defense as they are holding their opponents to just 17.2 PPG along with 319.0 total YPG which is 9th and 16th best in the FBS respectively. Expect a lower scoring game. 10* CFB Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Cougars (227) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (228). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (103) and the Green Bay Packers (104). One final check of the weather indicates it will be cold in Green Bay tonight with temperature in the teens — but there should not be any snow with only a 10% chance of precipitation. Generally, these weather conditions lead to Overs as Green Bay (7-7) has played 6 straight games Over the Total in the month of December. The Packers enter this game coming off a 34-21 loss in Carolina last Sunday as a 3-point underdog. Green Bay has then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, while the Packers gave up 387 yards in that loss to the Panthers, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Aaron Rodgers was placed on Injured Reserve after that game so it will be a Brent Hundley Joint tonight — but he has completed 69.1% of his passes over his last three starts while leading an offense that averaged 27 PPG. The Packers have played four straight games that finished Over the Total — and they have then played 11 of their last 14 games after playing at least two straight games that finished Over the Total. Additionally, Green Bay has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The Packers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total at home in Lambeau Field. And in their last 14 games as the underdog, Green Bay has played 11 of these games Over the Total.

Minnesota (11-3) has won nine of their last ten games after their 34-7 win over Cincinnati as a 12.5-point favorite last week. The Vikings have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after both a straight-up victory as well as after a point spread win. Additionally, Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. The Vikings held the Bengals to just 161 yards of offense in that game — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. This team is getting sensational play from Case Keenum who started the year as the likely 3rd string quarterback when Teddy Bridgewater returned from his torn ACL injury. Now Keenum has made himself a boat load of money — and he actually leads the NFL in Passer Rating since Week 10 this season. Lastly, Minnesota has played 4 of their last 5 games on the road Over the Total. 10* NFL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (103) and the Green Bay Packers (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226) in the Dollar General Bowl. Appalachian State (8-4) enters this bowl game having won three straight games with their 63-14 win over UL-Lafayette back on December 2nd. The Mountaineers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Appalachian State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after holding their last opponent to 20 points or less. This Mountaineers team once again has a stout defense as they ranked 33rd in the FBS by allowing 21.9 PPG — and they also ranked 39th in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 358.9 total YPG. What helps the defense succeed is keeping them off the field by running the ball on offense. Appalachian State rushed for 357 yards again the Ragin’ Cajuns in that last game. Not only have they then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game but  they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 300 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Mountaineers have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. And in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, Appalachian State has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

Toledo (11-2) has also won three straight games to close out the regular season with their 45-28 win over Arkon in the Mid-American Championship Game back on December 2nd. The Rockets were 20.5-point favorites in that game — and they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Toledo allowed 283 passing yards in that victory — and they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, the Rockets have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Toledo exploded for 561 yards of offense against the Zips in that game — but they have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total after gaining at least 525 yards in their last contest. Moving forward, the Under is 23-9-1 in their last 33 games against teams with a winning record. And in their last 5 games played on a neutral field, Toledo has played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Appalachian State Mountaineers (225) and the Toledo Rockets (226). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (101) and the Baltimore Ravens (102). Baltimore (8-6) has won four of their last five games after their 27-10 win in Cleveland last Sunday. The Ravens have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Baltimore generated 376 yards in that contest — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Ravens held the Browns to only 136 passing yards in that contest — but they have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Furthermore, Baltimore has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total in the month of December. 

Indianapolis (3-11) has lost five straight games with their 25-13 loss to Denver as a 3-point underdog back on December 14th. The Colts have then played 24 of their last 35 road games Over the Total after a double-digit loss. Indianapolis has also played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total on the road overall. And while the Colts allowed a whopping 462 yards to the Broncos in that loss, they have then played 9 of their last 10 road games Over the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. Lastly, the Over is supported by an empirical angle that has been 78% effective one the last five seasons that is particularly on point for this situation. Indianapolis scores only 16.1 PPG while not having scored more than 17 points in five straight games — and in games involving a road team that does not score more than 17 PPG and who has to topped 17 points in two straight games, these games finished Over the Total in 28 of the last 36 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the  Indianapolis Colts (101) and the Baltimore Ravens (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take Over the Total in the Bahamas Bowl between the UAB Blazers and the Ohio Bobcats. UAB (8-4) enters this Bowl game coming off their 28-7 win over UTEP back on November 25th where they held the Miners to just 107 passing yards. The Blazers have then played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. UAB has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. Ohio (8-4) comes off a 31-24 loss in Buffalo on November 24th — and they have seen the Over go 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up loss. The Bobcats have also played 5 straight games Over the Total in non-conference play. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports EASILY DELIVERED their 25* CFB play on Temple last night to further a 19-4-1 Football run since Saturday that has furthered a 55 of 73 (75%) Football run! Frank is a RED HOT 8 of 10 (80%) in the Bowls this postseason to further a 18 of 24 (75%) College Football mark along with a 28 of 40 (70%) CFB run — and now he RAISES THE STAKES with his 25* CFB Group of Five Bowl Game of the Year for Friday afternoon! DO NOT MISS OUT!

Frank was a PERFECT 3-0 on Thursday — CA$HING WINNING TICKETS on Temple in CFB Bowl action while winning his 25* NBA play on the Chicago-Cleveland Over along with the Knicks — to further a 47 of 60 (78%) run in All-Sports over the last fourteen days along with a 82 of 113 (73%) HOT STREAK in All-Sports this month! Frank has the second Bowl Game ATS winner on Friday as well -- BANK on Frank!

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (211) and the Florida Atlantic Owns (212) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Akron (7-6) looks to bounce-back from their 45-28 loss to Toledo in the Mid-American Conference Championship Game back on December 2nd as a 20.5-point underdog. The Zips have then played 26 of their last 36 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Akron has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Zips have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while Akron allowed 561 total yards to the Rockets, they have then played 26 of their last 39 games Under the Total after allowing at least 475 yards in their last game. The Zips have played better defense over the second half of the season and it was that unit that stepped up to help them upset Ohio and win the MAC East title. Akron has played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total. And in their last 4 games against teams outside the MAC, they have played all 4 games Under the Total.

Florida Atlantic (10-3) won the Conference USA Championship Game on December 2nd with their 41-17 win over North Texas. The Owls passed for 352 yards in that game en route to 633 yards of offense against the Mean Green. But Florida Atlantic has then played 21 of their last 29 games after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Additionally, the Owls have played 6 straight games Under the Total in the month of December. And this game will be played on FAU’s home field — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 117-40 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (211) and the Florida Atlantic Owns (212) in the Boca Raton Bowl. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (331) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (332). Tampa Bay (4-9) has lost three straight games with their 24-21 loss to Detroit last week in a pick ‘em game. The Buccaneers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Tampa Bay allowed 434 yards in that game — but they have then seen the Under go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now the Buccaneers return home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. Tampa Bay has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 23 games in the month of December, the Under is 15-7-1.

10* NFL play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (329) and the Oakland Raiders (330). Dallas (7-6) looks to build off their 30-10 win in New York against the Giants last week. The Cowboys have found their offense again as they dialed up 454 yards of offense behind a rushing attack that generated 122 yards of offense. Getting Tyron Smith healthy again at left tackle has made a big difference for this team as they have rushed the ball 73 times over their last two games for 304 rushing yards. Rushing the football tonight will keep the clock moving and help our Under tonight. As it is, Dallas has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after they gained at least 350 yards in their last game. The Cowboys stay on the road where they have played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total. Additionally, Dallas has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Cowboys have also played 8 of their last 10 games against teams from the AFC. And in their last 9 games in the month of December, Dallas has played 8 of these games Under the Total.

Oakland (6-7) looks to bounce-back from their 26-15 loss at Kansas City last week as a 4.5-point underdog. The Raiders have then played 13 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Oakland is playing better on defense. Over their last three games, they have held their opponents to only 19.0 PPG along with just 297.3 total YPG. Now the Raiders return home where they have played 4 of their last games Under the Total. Oakland has also played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on grass. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, the Raiders have played 4 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFL Non-Conference Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (329) and the Oakland Raiders (330). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Los Angeles (7-6) has won four straight games — as well as seven of their last seven games — with their 30-13 win over Washington last Sunday as 6-point favorites. The Under is then 25-9-1 in the Chargers last 35 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Los Angeles has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. And in the Chargers’ last 4 games after not allowing more than two touchdowns, the Under is 3-0-1. Since Week Five, their defense has held opposing quarterbacks to the second lowest Passer Rating in the league. And since Week 11, the Chargers boards the best scoring defense in the league by allowing just 13.3 PPG. LA did generate 484 yards in that game behind Philip Rivers — but the Under is then 7-2-1 in their last 10 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Chargers go back on the road where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total. And in their last 8 games against fellow AFC opponents, Los Angeles has played 7 of these games Under the Total.

Kansas City (7-6) enters this game coming off a 26-15 win over Oakland last week as a 4.5-point favorite. The Chiefs had scored 31 points the previous week in their 38-31 loss in overtime in New York against the Jets — but they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. Kansas City got their defense going again in that contest by holding the Raiders to just 268 yards. The Chiefs stay at home where they have played a decisive 42 of their last 61 games Under the Total. Additionally, KC has played 14 of their last 20 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. And in their last 15 home games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, the game finished Under the Total 12 times. 10* NFL Saturday Night Discounted Deal with the Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (303) and the Detroit Lions (304). Detroit (7-6) enters this game coming off their 24-21 win in Tampa Bay last week in a pick ‘em game. QB Matthew Stafford was outstanding in that contest as he completed 36 of 44 passes for 381 yards — but the Lions have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. But despite that nice offensive effort, Detroit is scoring only 22.3 PPG over their last three games. One of the concerns for the Lions is their inability to run the football as they rank last in the league by averaging only 76.3 rushing YPG. Over their last four games, Detroit has not rushed for more than 78 yards — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in four straight games. On the other side of the football, the Lions allowed 267 passing yards to the Bucs in that victory — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last contest. Furthermore, Detroit has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

Chicago (4-9) enters this game coming off their 33-7 win in Cincinnati last Sunday as a 6-point underdog. The Bears have then played 17 of their last 26 ames Under the Total after a double-digit upset victory as an underdog. The Bears controlled the clock for this game as they had the football for 38:09 of this game which helped them churn out 482 yards of offense. This Time of Possession advantage helped them keep the Bengals off the field — and Cincy had just 234 yards of offense in that contest. Chicago won the first down battle in that contest as well by a 29-14 margin — and they have then played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a game where they dominated Time of Possession by holding the ball for at least 34 minutes while also generating at least 24 first downs. Additionally, the Bears have played 14 of their last 22 games Under the Total after outgaining their opponents by at least +150 net yards. With the Chicago offense stabilizing, their strong defense can flex their muscles. For the season, the Bears rank 11th in the NFL by allowing only 325.5 total YPG. On the road, Chicago is giving up 15.8 PPG along with 317.2 total YPG. The Bears will need their defense to shine in this one when considering that they score only 16.0 PPG on the road while averaging just 314.8 total YPG. Chicago has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 range. The Bears have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow NFC opponents. Lastly, Chicago has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total as an underdog — including five of their last seven games Under the Total when an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. 25* NFL NFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (303) and the Detroit Lions (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 2:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (203) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Western Kentucky (6-6) limps into this game having lost five of their last six games after suffering a 41-17 loss at Florida International on November 24th as a field goal favorite. The Hilltoppers have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss to a conference rival. Western Kentucky has also played 3 straight Unders after suffering an upset loss by at least 17 points. The Hilltoppers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. This team has seen their offensive production regress this season under first-year head coach Mike Sanford despite his previous experience as the offensive coordinator at Notre Dame. The Western Kentucky offense returned senior QB Mike White from an offense that averaged 45.5 PPG — but they saw that production drop by almost 20 PPG as they are scoring just 26.2 PPG this season. Furthermore, the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games against Sun Belt Conference opponents.

Georgia State (6-5) has lost two straight games after their 24-10 loss to Idaho as a 7.5-point favorite back on December 2nd. The Panthers have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Georgia State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring 20 points or less in their last game. Offense is certainly an issue for this team as they ranked 118th in the FBS by scoring just 19.7 PPG — and they also ranked just 86th in the nation by averaging 385.2 total YPG. Moving forward, the Panthers have played 15 of their last 19 games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. Georgia State has also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total with the number set in the 49.5 to 56 point range. And in their last 5 games against teams outside the Sun Belt Conference, the Panthers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 73-17-1 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Under the Total in the game between the Georgia State Panthers (203) and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (204). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (301) and the Indianapolis Colts (302). Denver (4-9) snapped their eight-game losing streak on Sunday with their 23-0 shutout win over the Jets as a 1-point home underdog. The Broncos held the Jets to just 100 yards of offense. Denver has been a disaster on offense as they have not been able to develop a quarterback between Trevor Siemian, Payton Lynch and Brock Osweiler — but the Broncos defense remains outstanding. Despite little help on offense in staying off the field, the Denver defense remains number one in the league by holding their opponents to just 280.5 total YPG — and they rank 2nd in the NFL in passing defense (191.1 passing YPG) and 4th in the league in rushing defense (89.5 rushing YPG). The Broncos held the Jets to just 41 passing yards last week — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Denver has also played 6 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, the Broncos have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Denver has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 28 games as the favorite, the Broncos have played 19 of these games Under the Total.

Indianapolis (3-10) looks to bounce-back from their 13-7 loss in the blizzard in Buffalo on Sunday as a 3.5-point underdog. The Colts have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. QB Jacoby Brissett managed to complete only 11 of 22 passes for 69 yards in that game — and Indianapolis have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to pass for at least 150 yards in their last game. While the snowy conditions made it difficult for both offenses in that game, the fact remains that this Indy offenses lack weapons at the skill positions as well as a decent offensive line to protect a backup albeit promising quarterback in Brissett. The Colts are 30th in the NFL by scoring 16.3 PPG — and they are 31st in the league by averaging just 290.7 total YPG. Now Indianapolis returns home where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. The Colts have also played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Indianapolis has played 29 of their last 27 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 5 games against fellow AFC opponents, the Colts have played all 5 games Under the Total. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (301) and the Indianapolis Colts (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (133) and the Miami Dolphins (134). New England (10-2) enters this game coming off their 23-3 win in Buffalo last Sunday. The Patriots have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. New England generated 435 yards of offense in that contest with the Bills — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. The team will be without tight end Rob Gronkowski in this game which takes away Tom Brady’s security blanket. Brady’s numbers are markedly better with Gronkowski on the field. In his career, Brady completes 66% of his passes while averaging a robust 8.0 Yards Per Passing Attempt with a 5.29:1 touchdown to interception ration and a QB Rating of 79. But in games without Gronkowski, Brady sees those numbers drop to a 62% completion percentage with a 7.0 YPA mark and a 2.95:1 TD to interception ratio and a QBR of 63. Furthermore, South Beach has not been Brady’s favorite place to play as the Patriots are scoring just 23.8 PPG in his fifteen starts in Miami while Brady has gotten sacked 32 times while throwing 13 interceptions. New England has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total — and they have played 5 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home The Patriots have also played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing on grass. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, New England has played 4 of these games Under the Total.

Miami (5-7) enters this game coming off their 35-9 upset win over Denver last week as a 1-point underdog. The Dolphins have then played 32 of their last 49 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last game. Miami plays much better defense on their home field where they are limiting their opponents to just 20.8 PPG along with only 286.0 total YPG. The Dolphins have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 70-26 combined angle for this situation. 25* AFC East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (133) and the Miami Dolphins (134). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (131) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Baltimore (7-5) has won four of their last five games with their 44-20 win over Detroit last Sunday. The Ravens have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Baltimore generated 370 yards of offense in that contest — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Ravens’ defense surrounded 372 yards of offense to the Lions — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. And in their last 5 games in the month of December, Baltimore has played all 5 of these games Over the Total.

Pittsburgh (10-2) has won six straight games with their 23-20 win in Cincinnati over the Bengals on Monday. The Steelers have then played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when playing a game on a Sunday on a short week after playing on Monday Night Football. The Steelers defense gave up 353 yards in that game — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Defense is an issue for this team as of late — they really miss Joe Haden in their secondary. Over their last three games, Pittsburgh is allowing 238 passing YPG which is 40 yards more than their 198 passing YPG season average entering this game. Lastly, the Over is 12-5-2 in the last 19 meetings between these two teams in Pittsburgh. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (131) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (132). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen (104). Army (8-3) saw their six-game winning streak snapped in their last game back on November 18th in their 52-49 loss at North Texas. The Black Knights have then played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Army has also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. The Black Knights did allow 386 passing yards in that game — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Army does have a strong defense as they ranked 30th in the FBS by allowing only 21.6 PPG. Their fundamentally sound defense has helped them see the Under go 34-16-1 in their last 51 games against teams with a winning record. The Black Knights have also played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog.

Navy (6-5) takes the field again for the first time since November 24th after their 24-17 loss at Houston as a 6.5-point underdog. The Midshipmen have then played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have also played a decisive 36 of their last 53 games Under the Total after a point spread setback. These two teams have played thirteen of their last sixteen games Under the Total — but relying on those team trends along would be Fool’s Gold. The inner truth that that trend exposes is that the defenses have the advantage in this matchup when considering that both units practice against a spread triple option all the time since their offense deploys that scheme. Both these teams often enjoy an advantage over their opponent during the regular season as they are unfamiliar with defending this unique offensive style. I don’t think the number has adjusted enough given the fact that no more than 41 combined points have been scored in this rivalry game in each of the last five seasons. Navy has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Midshipmen have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams outside the American Athletic Conference. And in their last 22 games played on a neutral field as a favorite, Navy has played 16 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Army Black Knights (103) and the Navy Midshipmen (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (101) and the Atlanta Falcons (102). New Orleans (9-3) rebounded from their loss in Los Angeles to the Rams with their 31-21 win over Carolina last week. The Saints flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Panthers to just 279 yards of offense. Part of the success of the New Orleans defense is staying off the field. Drew Braes had his offense on the field for 33:21 of that game led by an effective rushing attack that ran the ball 28 times for 140 yards. The Saints will certainly a take a page or two from the Vikings defense that only allowed 9 points to the Falcons last week. New Orleans should commit themselves to running the football to control the Time of Possession — and that is a good formula for the Under. Tellingly, the Saints have played 9 of their last 14 games on the road Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. New Orleans has also seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games played on a Thursday night.

Atlanta (7-5) cannot blame their defense last week in a 14-9 loss to the Vikings where they held Minnesota to just 312 yards of offense. The Falcons offense managed to register only three field goals for those 9 points in their last four trips inside the Red Zone. Red Zone offense has been an issue for this team all season — and it is an area where first-year offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian has really struggled in dialing-up effective plays. Atlanta has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Falcons have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after both a straight-up defeat as well as after a point spread setback. And with that game with the Vikings falling way below the 48.5-point Total, Atlanta has played 15 of their last 21 games Under the Total after their previous game finished Under the Total. The Falcons defense is playing well as they have held five of their last six opponents to no more than 20 points. Offense has been the issue for this team after their historic season on that side of the ball last season. After their 3-0 start, Atlanta has scored more than 17 points in just four of their last nine games. Moving forward, the Falcons have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Atlanta has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Lastly, in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (101) and the Atlanta Falcons (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) and the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Cincinnati (5-6) exploded for 30 points last week with their 30-16 victory over the winless Bengals as a 7.5-point favorite. The Bengals generated 405 yards of offense which was far above their league-bottom 274.3 total YPG average this season. Cincinnati is scoring only 18.1 PPG which is 25th in the NFL. One of the league’s worst offensive lines is the biggest culprit for these problems on offense and helps to explain why they are 26th in the NFL with the pass (198.6 passing YPG) and last in the league with the run (75.6 rushing YPG). The Bengals have then played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a straight up victory. The Cincinnati defense has been solid this season — despite being on the field too much given their anemic offense. The Bengals are 10th in the NFL by allowing just 19.5 PPG. Cincy did give up 361 yards last week — but they have then played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Bengals stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 16 games against fellow AFC North opponents, the Bengals have played 12 of these games Under the Total.

Pittsburgh (9-2) has won six straight games with their 31-28 win over Green Bay last Sunday night. The Steelers defense ranks 3rd in the NFL in yards allowed (289.4 total YPG) and 4th in points allowed (17.5 PPG) — so they will likely have a chip on their shoulder after letting QB Brett Hundley almost steal that game against them. Pittsburgh did gain 462 yards on offense — but they have then seen the Under go 13-4-1 in their last 18 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Steelers have also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Now Pittsburgh goes on the road where they have played 22 of their last 27 games Under the Total — and this includes playing ten of their last eleven road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, the Under is 13-4-1 in the Steelers’ last 18 games against AFC North opponents. Lastly, in the last 7 meetings between these two teams, the game has finished Under the Total 5 times. 25* NFL AFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (379) and the Cincinnati Bengals (380). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (377) and the Seattle Seahawks (378). Philadelphia (10-1) has won nine straight games with their 31-3 win over Chicago last week. The Eagles offense is clicking on all cylinders right now — they generated 420 yards of offense against an underrated Bears defense. Philadelphia has then played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Eagles go back on the road where they have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total — and this includes playing four of their last five road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 23 of their last 31 games Over the Total in the month of December. And in their last 11 games played on field turf, Philadelphia has played 9 of these games Over the Total.

25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Year with the Over. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (327) and the Wisconsin Badgers (328). Wisconsin (12-0) has the best statistical defense in the entire FBS. The Badgers have the best total defense in the nation by allowing only 236.9 total YPG — and they are 2nd in the nation by giving up only 12.0 PPG. What is impressive about this unit is that they are balanced. Wisconsin ranks 2nd in the nation against the pass (156.4 passing YPG) while topping the nation by allowing only 80.5 rushing YPG. The Badgers enter this game coming off a 31-0 shutout win at Minnesota as an 18.5-point favorite in a game where they held the Golden Gophers to just 133 yards of offense. Wisconsin has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and the Under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games are a win by at least 20 points. Additionally, the Badgers have played 15 of their last 18 road games Under the Total after double-digit win on the road. Furthermore, Wisconsin has not allowed more than 234 yards of offense in three straight games — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in two straight games.

10* play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (325) and the Clemson Tigers (326). Clemson (11-1) is the new number one team in the nation with their 34-10 win at South Carolina last Saturday. The Tigers defense has risen their play to another level as they have not allowed more than 14 points in their last three games. Clemson has then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in three straight games. The Tigers crushed the Citadel in their previous game by a 61-3 margin — and they have then played 17 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning at least two straight games by at least three touchdowns. Additionally, Clemson has played 8 straight games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

10* CFB play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Oklahoma (11-1) reached the Big 12 Championship Game with their 59-31 win over West Virginia last Saturday as a 23-point favorite. The Sooners did allow 250 rushing yards in that game to the Mountaineers — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The formula for success for this Horned Frogs team will be to run the football to move the chains and burn time off the clock to keep Baker Mayfield and this powerful Oklahoma offense off the field. The Sooners have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Oklahoma has also played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total in the month of December. And with this game being played on a neutral field at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, the Sooners have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total at a neutral site.

TCU (10-2) enters the Big 12 Championship Game coming off their 45-22 win over Baylor as a 24.5-point favorite last week. The Horned Frogs have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win over a conference opponent. TCU has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Horned Frogs have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Moving forward, TCU has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games against teams with a wining record, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times. Lastly, in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 6 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-15 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the TCU Horned Frogs (333) and the Oklahoma Sooners (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Akron (7-5) will be playing the Mid-American Championship Game as a significant underdog considering that they were blown out by the Rockets back on October 21st by a 48-21 score in a game that they managed only 333 yards of offense. Since that game, the Zips have won three of their last four games due in large measure to improved play on the defensive side of the football. They clinched the MAC East Title in their last game back on November 21st with their 24-14 in over Kent State as a 14.5-point favorite led by a defense that held the Golden Flashes to just 246 total yards. Over their last three games, Akron is allowing only 353.7 total YPG which is 67.8 YPG below their season average. The Zips have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 26 of their last 35 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Akron has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Zips have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The offense is an issue with redshirt freshman Kato Nelson taking over for senior Thomas Woodson who was suspended a few weeks ago for violating team rules but will be available to play in this game. Nelson completed only 6 of 20 passes for 69 yards against Kent State last week. Over their last three weeks, Akron has averaged just 302.3 total YPG. Furthermore, this game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit as a neutral site — and the Zips score only 16.7 PPG while averaging 284.7 total YPG when away from home.

Toledo (10-2) reaches the Mid-American Conference Championship Game after their 37-10 win over Western Michigan back last Friday. The Rockets have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a victory by at least 20 points. Toledo has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing 20 or less points in their last game. The Toledo defense flexed their muscles in that game by holding the potent Broncos offense to just 275 yards of offense. Moving forward, the Rockets have seen the Under go 23-8-1 in their last 32 games against teams with a winning record. Toledo has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the month of December. And in their last 4 games played on a neutral field, the Rockets have played all 4 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 91-26-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* College Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (319) and the Toledo Rockets (320). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Stanford Cardinal (303) and the USC Trojans (304). Stanford (9-3) enters this game after their 38-20 upset win over Notre Dame as a 3-point underdog last Saturday. The Cardinal won that game despite gaining only 328 total yards — they benefited from a +3 net turnover margin in that game. Stanford has then played 7 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Cardinal has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow Pac-12 opponents. Now this team looks to avenge their 42-24 loss to the Trojans back on September 9th where they allowed a whopping 623 yards of offense. Expect David Shaw to have his defense play much better in this rematch. Over their last three games, Stanford is allowing only 18.7 PPG along with 359.0 total YPG which is over 30 YPG better than their seasonal average. But on offense, the Cardinal generates only 323.3 total YPG which is more than 70 YPG below their seasonal average. Moving forward, the Cardinal has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

10* CFB Friday Discounted Deal with Under the Total. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). Dallas (5-6) has fallen on hard times after Ezekiel Elliott began serving his six-game suspension as they ave lost three straight games after their 28-6 loss to the Chargers last Thursday on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys’ offense has been a complete disaster as they have scored only a combined 22 points while failing to reach double-digits in all three of those games. Given that, it might be very tempting to take the Under — but this is a good situation to take the contrarian play with the Over. I do expect the Dallas’ offense behind QB Dak Prescott to be much better with a full week of practice under their belts. Remember, the Elliott injury came at the very worst time in terms of the schedule with the Cowboys playing three games over an twelve day period. They simply did not have much time to address the problems with the offense after that Falcons game with the Giants coming to town just four days later. Furthermore, left tackle Tyron Smith has had a full week to getting healthier after the Dallas offense spent the entire first-half in their game last Thursday avoiding running the ball to his side. But even if the Cowboys’ offense remains limited without Elliott, the defense presents another set of problems for this team. The Dallas defense has surrendered 92 combined points over their last three games. At home this season, the Cowboys are allowing 25.8 PPG along with 368.0 total YPG. Additionally, Dallas has played 6 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and linebacker Sean Lee has been declared out for this game once again this week.

Washington (5-6) enters this game coming off their 20-10 win over the Giants last Thursday. The Skins have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Washington held the Giants to just 84 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played 8 straight games Over the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushes in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they are allowing 26.2 PPG along with 420.8 total YPG. The Skins have played 20 of their last 28 games on the road Over the Total — and this includes playing five straight road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Additionally, Washington has played 10 of their last 12 road games Over the Total as an underdog of 7 points or less. And the Skins have played 7 straight road games Over the Total against fellow NFC East opponents. Washington has also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against NFC East teams overall. Furthermore, the Skins have played 14 of their last 17 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. And in their last 7 games in the month of November, Washington has played 5 of these games Over the Total. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Lastly, in the last 4 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Over the Total all four times. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Over the Total in the game between the Washington Redskins (301) and the Dallas Cowboys (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (275) and the Baltimore Ravens (276). Baltimore (5-5) pitched their third shutout of the season — and second in their last three games — with their 23-0 win at Green Bay last Sunday. The strong Ravens’ defense has facilitated the Total being set at a low number below 40 (as of this writing) — so lets attack that Over. Baltimore has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Additionally, the Ravens have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after the first month of the season. And while this Baltimore offense looks anemic with their 21.3 PPG scoring mark which is 18th in the league, they are getting better on that side of the ball as they get healthier after suffering from a barrage of injuries. In their last three games, the Ravens are scoring 27.7 PPG while still not getting very aggressive with their play-calling with their two of those games being blowout shutouts. Their close game in their last three games was a 23-20 loss at Tennessee in a game where Joe Flacco aired the football out 53 times for 268 passing yards. Those are Over numbers. Moving forward, Baltimore has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against AFC opponents.

Houston (4-6) enter this game coming off their 31-21 win over Arizona as a 2.5-point favorite. The Texans have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games after a win by double-digits. Houston has also played 9 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory — and they have played 10 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a point spread victory when playing on the road. Additionally, that game finished well above the 38-point Total in that game and not only have the Texans played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total after a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. Head coach Bill O’Brien always gets the most out of his offensive talent. Led by QB Tom Savage who completed 22 of 32 passes for 230 yards, Houston generated 357 yards of offense against the Cardinals. The Texans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while Houston held Arizona to just 48 rushing yards, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Lastly, the Texans have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against fellow AFC opponents. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (275) and the Baltimore Ravens (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (273) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Green Bay (5-5) was shutout last week in their 23-0 shellacking at the hands of Baltimore as a 2.5-point underdog. It goes without saying that the Packers are a dramatically different team with QB Aaron Rodgers. But I do have confidence in head coach Mike McCarthy to scheme his way to points this week with the players he has left including QB Brett Hundley. Green Bay has played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Packers have played 13 of their last 18 games Over the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The Green Bay defense did limit the Ravens to just 219 yards in their loss — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. Their defense could be in big trouble tonight against this powerful Pittsburgh offense — and they will likely be without linebacker Clay Matthews for this contest.

Pittsburgh (8-2) enters this game coming off their 40-17 win over Tennessee back on November 16th. The Steelers held the Titans to just 52 rushing yards in that contest — and they have then played a decisive 26 of their last 34 home games Over the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last game. Pittsburgh themselves have not rushed for more than 88 yards in their last three games — and they have then played 27 of their last 46 games Over the Total after not rushing for at least 100 yards in their last game. And while the Steelers have covered the point spread in four of their last five games, they have then played 27 of their last 46 games Over the Total. Lastly, while Pittsburgh has not allowed more than 17 points in their last five games, that helps place the Over into a historical angle that has been 76% effective since 1983. In games involving one team that has not allowed more than 17 points in five straight games now facing an opponent that did not score more than 3 points in the first-half of their last game, these games finished Over the Total in 40 of the last 53 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (273) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (199) and the LSU Tigers (200). Texas A&M (7-4) will be playing one for their head coach Kevin Sumlin who has been reported by the Houston Chronicle earlier this week that he will be relieved of his coaching duties win or loss after this game. Expect the Aggies to play hard — particularly on defense — in this contest. Texas A&M comes off a 31-24 victory at Ole Miss last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The Aggies have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Additionally, Texas A&M has played 6 straight games Under the Total after a close victory by 7 points or less against a conference rival. Now the Aggies stay on the road where they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total — and this includes playing 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

LSU (8-3) once again boasts a stout defense as they are holding their opponents to just 18.5 PPG along with only 314.4 total YPG which ranks 18th and 15th best in the FBS. The Tigers enter this game coming off their 30-10 win at Tennessee last week as a 17-point favorite. LSU held the Volunteers to just 287 yards of offense — but they managed only 281 yards themselves. The Under is 9-3-2 in their last 14 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 6-2-2 in the Tigers’ last 10 games are a point spread in win. The Tigers have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a double-digit win against an SEC team rival. LSU returns home to Baton Rouge where they have seen the Under go 9-3-2 in their last 14 home games — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Tigers have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the month of November. Lastly, in the last 5 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 89-17-7 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB SEC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Texas A&M Aggies (199) and the LSU Tigers (200). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (111) and the Washington Redskins (112). Preseason NFL games tend to see Totals that are set 3 to 7 points below what they normally would be if those two teams met in the regular season. One of the basic reasons for this is that scoring points typically requires successful execution of a play. Put another way: if both sides of the football are inept, the defense tends to win out simply because of the ineffectiveness of the other side of the football. This is why high school football games tend to be lower scoring (all else being equal). In this NFC East contest, both teams are M*A*S*H units with a host of injuries on both sides of the football. Both teams will likely struggle to move the football on offense. And both head coaches will likely try to take advantage of the injuries on both sides of the football by imposing their will at the line of scrimmage — and that means more running of the football. When then considering that both these teams are playing on a short week after both teams come off a game that required overtime, the smart play is the Under for this one. New York (2-8) will likely be without two starters on their offensive line with Justin Pugh and D.J. Kluker both out for this game. The Giants come off 12-9 overtime win over Kansas City last week. New York has then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Giants have also played 28 of their last 38 games Under the Total after a win by a field goal or less. And in their last 8 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game, New York has played 6 of these games Under the Total.

Washington (4-6) returns home after their 34-31 loss in overtime at New Orleans on Sunday. Injuries abound on the offensive side of the football for this team with two of their top three running backs on Injured Reserve and rookie Samaje Perine listed as questionable with a finger injury. The Skins are also on their third-string center so cohesion with their offensive line is also an issue. These two teams tend to play lower scoring games as these two teams have played 8 of their last 11 meetings Under the Total — and this includes seeing four of their last five encounters in Washington finish Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-18 combined angle for this situation. Lastly, the Under is supported by an empirical contrarian angle that has been 63% effective over the last ten seasons. The Skins have played their last five games finished Over the Total by a combined 43.5 points — but in games involving divisional rivals where one team has played their last five games Over the Total by at least 35 combined points have then finished Under the Total in 131 of the last 207 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (111) and the Washington Redskins (112). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (109) and the Dallas Cowboys (110). Dallas (5-5) has been a mess on offense without Ezekiel Elliott along with left tackle Tyron Smith in their last two games as they followed up their 27-7 loss in Atlanta two weeks ago with their 37-9 loss to Philadelphia last Sunday. The team hopes to get Smith back for this game but Elliott still has four games left to serve with his suspension so the Cowboys will be without their key offensive weapon. Opposing defenses are comfortable to stack the box to defend the run without much risk of trouble since wide receiver Dez Bryant has lost a step or two as a deep threat at wide receiver — so an offensive explosion is not likely from this team even with their offensive line getting healthy. As it is, Dallas has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Cowboys have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. Dallas managed only 225 yards of offense against the Eagles — and the Under is 32-15-1 in their last 48 games after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last contest. The Cowboys need to step up their play on defense as well — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. Additionally, Dallas has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

Los Angeles (4-6) enters this game coming off their 54-24 win over Buffalo last Sunday as a 7-point favorite. The Chargers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a victory by at least two touchdowns — and the Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after a straight-up win. And while Los Angeles allowed 393 yards in that game, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Additionally, the Under is 20-8-1 in the Chargers’ last 29 games after a game where they scored at least 30 points in their last game. Lastly, Los Angeles has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road. 10* NFL Thursday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (109) and the Dallas Cowboys (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (107) and the Detroit Lions (108). Minnesota (8-2) stymied the high-powered Rams offense on Sunday in their 24-7 victory where they held that Sean McVay offense to just 254 total yards. The Vikings should continue to flex their muscles on defense as they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 25 of their last 37 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Minnesota did generate 451 yards against the Rams’ defense — but the Under is 17-7-1 in their last 25 games after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Vikings go on the road where they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Minnesota has also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. And in their last 23 games against fellow NFC North opponents, the Vikings have played 18 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, Minnesota has played 7 of their last 10 games played on a short week on a Thursday Under the Total.

Detroit (6-4) has defeated the Vikings in three straight games despite managing just four combined touchdowns in those contests. The Lions managed just 251 yards of offense back on October 1st in their 14-7 win at Minnesota. But Detroit held the Vikings to only 284 yards of offense in that effort. The Lions come off a 27-24 win at Chicago last week where they scored a defensive touchdown with a 27-yard fumble recovery. QB Matthew Stafford completed 21 of 31 passes for 299 yards — but they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. The Lions rushed for just 65 rushing yards against Chicago — and they have then played 23 of their last 34 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 90 rushing yards. These two teams tend to play Unders. Not only have they played 7 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total but they have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing in Detroit including last Thanksgiving where the Lions defeated Minnesota by a 16-13 score. With this game being played on a short week, expect the recent team trends between these two teams to continue to consistent. 25* NFL NFC North Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (107) and the Detroit Lions (108). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (475) and the Seattle Seahawks (476). Atlanta (5-4) has won two of their last three games after their 22-7 win over Dallas last Sunday. That game finished well below the 49 point Total set for that game — and they have then played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Additionally, the Under is 3-1-1 in the Falcons’ last 5 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Atlanta held the Cowboys to just 233 yards of offense in that victory — and the Under is then 19-7-1 in their last 26 games after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Falcons have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Atlanta has also played 21 of their last 27 games Under the Total in the month of November.

10* NFL play with the Under. Best of luck for us -- Frank.

TO BE CONTINUED -- please check back before this game begins for my full written Report before this game starts -- and I also reserve the right to raise the Star Value of this play (while you still get it at the discounted price by buying early). Given the high volume of plays I offer clients, I am providing an initial “abridged version” of the play to get them posted faster to accommodate my Daily, Weekly and Monthly subscribers so they can begin shopping lines. My research is detailed for our plays (which I do complete before endorsing a play) but it does take some time to write the more detailed Reports that clients have grown to count on. Thanks, Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (473) and the Dallas Cowboys (474). Philadelphia (8-1) returns from their bye week off coming off a 51-23 win over the Broncos back on November 5th. The Eagles have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Philadelphia generated 419 yards in that victory — and they have then played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after averaging at least 350 yards in their last game. One of the reasons that is making the Eagles so tough this season is their Red Zone offense as they are tops in the league in that category with QB Carson Wentz throwing 15 passing TDs in the Red Zone with zero interceptions. This efficiency has helped them score 31.4 PPG which is second best in the NFL so far this season. The Philly defense has also been outstanding as they held the Broncos to just 226 yards of offense. But the Over is then 16-6-2 in the Eagles’ last 24 games after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. Now this team goes on the road where they have played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total — and this includes playing four of their last five road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 12 games against fellow NFC East rivals, the Eagles have played 10 of these games Over the Total.

Dallas (5-4) saw their three-game winning streak snapped last Sunday in their 27-7 loss in Atlanta as a 3.5-point favorite. The Cowboys really missed left tackle Tyron Smith in that game as his replacement, Chaz Green, was repeatedly burned by the Falcons pass rush that accumulated eight sacks in that game. Priority number one for this Dallas offense is addressing this issue as Smith will not be able to suit up for this game. Expect the Cowboys to commit to running the football more after running the ball only 21 times against the Falcons which was their second fewest attempts of the season. That game was still a 17-7 score entering the 4th quarter so the play-calling should not be blamed on falling behind to Atlanta too early in the game. A commitment to running the football will open up QB Dak Prescott’s play-action passing — and he should find success throwing the football against this Eagles defense that ranks 26th in the NFL by allowing 249.4 passing YPG. Dallas has played 4 of the last 5 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And with Prescott getting sacked eight times, the Cowboys ended up with just 126 passing yards last week. Dallas has then played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after failing to pass for more than 150 yards in their last game. Lastly, in their last 5 games against NFC foes, the Cowboys have played 4 of these games Over the Total. 25* NFL NFC East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (473) and the Dallas Cowboys (474). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (325) and the East Carolina Pirates (326). Cincinnati (3-7) looks to bounce-back from a 35-24 loss to Temple as a 3-point underdog last Friday. The Bearcats have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Cincinnati surrendered 205 rushing yards in that loss — and they have seen the Under go 8-1-1 in their last 10 games after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Now this team goes back on the road where the Under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road. And in their last 8 road games against teams with a losing record at home, the Bearcats have played 6 of these games Under the Total. Additionally, Cincinnati has played 18 of their last 25 games Under the Total in the month of November.

East Carolina (2-8) has lost two straight games after their 31-24 loss to Tulane in overtime last week. The Pirates held the Green Wave to just 121 passing yards — and they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. East Carolina has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their last two games against conference opponents. Now this team stays at home where they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Pirates have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as the underdog getting no more than 7 points. Lastly, this East Carolina team has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total in the second-half of the season. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Cincinnati Bearcats (325) and the East Carolina Pirates (326). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (311) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (312). Pittsburgh (7-2) has won four straight games with their 20-17 win at Indianapolis last week as a 10.5-point favorite. The Steelers have then seen the Under go a decisive 37-16-1 in their last 54 games after a straight-up win. Pittsburgh has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Steelers managed only 88 yards of rushing in that game — and they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. Le’Veon Bell ran the ball 26 times but managed only 80 rushing yards against the Colts. Expect a heavy dose of Bell in this game on the short week as the Steelers look to wear the Titans out. Pittsburgh has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Steelers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in the month of November. And in their last 4 appearances on Thursday Night Football, the game finished Under the Total all 4 times.

Tennessee (6-3) has won four straight games as well after their 24-20 win over Cincinnati last week as a 4.5-point favorite. The Titans held the Bengals to just 308 total yards in that contest as their defensive unit continues to play quite well since getting dusted for 59 points against the Texans. Since that game, Tennessee has allowed their next five opponents to average just 17.4 PPG. The Titans actually lead the NFL by allowing the fewest big plays in the league. They will need a strong defensive effort to stay competitive in this game as their offense has been limited when on the road. Tennessee is scoring only 18.2 PPG while averaging just 260.5 total YPG. The Titans average just 203.9 passing YPG which is 27th in the NFL so they are not equipped nor will be comfortable getting into a scoring contest with the Big Ben and the Steelers. Instead, Tennessee will want to run the ball and control time of possession. The Titans are completing 61.7% of their passes on offense — but Pittsburgh has played 19 of their last 28 games Under the Total against teams that complete at least 61% of their passes. And while Tennessee is allowed 236.4 passing YPG, the Steelers have played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total against teams that allow at least 235 passing YPG. Furthermore, the Titans have played a decisive 40 of their last 57 road games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. The Steelers boast an underrated defense that is allowing just 16.4 PPG along with only 284.4 total YPG which are both 2nd best in the league. Pittsburgh has played 6 straight games Under the Total with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. And in the Steelers’ last 13 games as the favorite laying 3.5 to 9.5 point range, the game finished Under the Total 11 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 132-57 combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (311) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (312). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (275) and the Carolina Panthers (276). If I could accurately predict that special teams miscues would lead directly to 17 first-half points (like last night), I would be retired on a beach. Irrespective of last night’s very frustrating results from Denver, I had the Over circled for this game all week after witnessing the Dolphins’ improved offense last Sunday night after they traded away running back Jay Ajayi. That might be the ole “addition by subtraction” situation as the offense looked more in synch while they were able to turn to capable players in former Alabama running back Kenyon Drake along with Damien Williams. Miami (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-24 loss to Oakland last week as a 3-point underdog. The Dolphins did show some signs of like on offense by generating 395 yards of offense. QB Jay Cutler played his best game in a Dolphins uniform by completing 34 of 42 passes for 311 yards and 3 touchdown passes. Getting wide receiver DeVante Parker healthy and back on the field certainly helped as he caught 5 passes for 76 yards. Miami did allow 379 yards in that game to the Raiders — and they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least 379 yards in their last game. Cutler has thrown 86 passes in his last two games — and his team has played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after passing at least 40 times in two straight contests. Now the Dolphins go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Miami has played 5 of their last 6 games in the month of November Over the Total. And in their last 9 appearances on Monday Night Football, the Dolphins have played 7 of these games Over the Total.

Carolina (6-3) enters this game coming off their 20-17 upset win over the Falcons as a 3-point underdog. The Panthers have won and covered the point spread in two straight games. Carolina has then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after at least two straight point spread wins. The Panthers have also played 12 of their last 18 games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games. Furthermore, Carolina has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win at home against a fellow NFC South rival. And in their last 15 games after a win at home, the Panthers have played 10 of these games Over the Total. Cam Newton passed for just 137 yards on 24 throws in that game but Carolina has then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not passing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Lastly, while the Panthers have not allowed more than 17 points in three straight games, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in at least two straight games. Together, these team trends produce our specific 82-27 combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (275) and the Carolina Panthers (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (273) and the Denver Broncos (274). Denver (3-5) embarrassed themselves last week by losing in Philadelphia to the Eagles by a 51-23 score as a 7-point underdog. After surrendering over 50 points, expect this proud “No Fly Zone” Broncos’ defense to step up in this opportunity to make a statement against Tom Brayed and this Patriots’ offense. Denver has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up defeat — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Broncos surrendered 197 rushing yards in that game to the Eagles — but they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Denver has bigger issues on offense with Brock Osweiler under center for an ineffective Trevor Siemian. The Broncos managed only 226 yards of offense last week — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to generate at least 250 yards in their last game. Additionally, Denver has played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.

New England (6-2) comes off their bye week after their 31-13 win over the Chargers back on October 29th. The Patriots generated 401 yards of offense in that victory — but they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Tom Brady tends to struggle when playing in the high altitude and thin air against the perennially tough Broncos defense. New England has played four times in Denver since January 19th of 2014 in those AFC Playoffs — and Mr. Brady has led an offense that is scoring just 18.5 PPG while averaging a mere 306.5 YPG on those contests. Not surprisingly, these two teams have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total when playing in Denver. Additionally, this Patriots defense is playing much better as well. After allowing 32 PPG over the first month of the season, New England has lost only 51 points over their last four games for a stingy 12.8 PPG scoring average. The Patriots have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total on the road — and this includes playing five straight road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Lastly, in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Patriots have played 5 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (273) and the Denver Broncos (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

AAt 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (153) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (154). Nevada (1-8) enters this game coming off their 41-14 loss at Boise State last week as a 20-point underdog. The Wolf Pack have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss. Nevada allowed 479 yards in that contest — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. That game with the Broncos finished below the 63 point Total — and they have then played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. And in their last 13 games after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game, Nevada has played 9 of these games Under the Total. Now the Wolf Pack return home where they have played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total. And in their last 11 games as the favorite, Nevada has played 9 of these games Under the Total.

San Jose State (1-9) looks to bounce-back from their 52-7 loss to San Diego State as a 23.5-point underdog last week. The Under is a decisive 33-16-2 in their last 51 games after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. And while the Spartans allowed 648 yards to the Aztecs in that game, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. San Jose State did hold San Diego State to just 94 passing yards — and they have then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 170 passing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Spartans have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And in the last 6 meetings between these two teams, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. Together, these team trends produce our specific 128-46-2 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the San Jose State Spartans (153) and the Nevada Wolf Pack (154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Florida State Seminoles (211) and the Clemson Tigers (212). Florida State (3-5) looks to build off their 27-24 win over Syracuse last Saturday as a 7.5-point favorite. The Seminoles have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Florida State were outgained by a 463 to 343 yardage margin — and they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. Offense is the big concern for this team that has not been able to move the ball consistently under true freshman QB James Blackmon. He completed 12 of 19 passes in the victory last week but accumulated in just 136 yards. Now Florida State goes on the road where they are scoring just 13.2 PPG while averaging just 289.5 total YPG. The defense does play better on the road where they know they have to play well to stay competitive. The Seminoles are allowing home teams to average just 320.0 total YPG which is more than 41 YPG below their season average. The Seminoles have played 6 straight games Under the Total on the road. And in their last 27 games in ACC play, Florida State has played 20 of these games Under the Total.

Clemson (8-1) looks to build off their 38-31 win at North Carolina State last week as a 10-point favorite. The Tigers have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Clemson has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now this team returns home where they flex their muscles on defense by holding their opponents to just 8.0 PPG while allowing only 208.2 total YPG. The Tigers have played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home field. And in rather last 6 games in the ACC, Clemson has played 5 of these games Under the Total. 10* CFB Florida State-Clemson ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Florida State Seminoles (211) and the Clemson Tigers (212). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (111) and the Arizona Cardinals (112). We have endured too many bad beats with too many of these prime-time televised games when we happened to have the Under — with the Packers scoring a garbage touchdown on the last play of the game on Monday after being the beneficiary of a Pass Interference call in the end zone as time expired. And it will take years for me to forget the Baltimore Ravens’ two defensive touchdowns that just put their Thursday Night game over the total a few weeks ago despite them shutting out the Dolphins. Our NFL Total of the Month in October was that Houston-Seattle 41-38 scoring fest — so I am not a complete zombie taking Unders. We just tend to remember the losses with Unders. It is psychological — Overs are more exhilarating to win because it is a definitive experience to witness the score toppling the number while Unders are deflating when a score reaches the point where winning the bet becomes impossible. But it is my job to forget the past (which has no bearing on tonight’s results) and make a cold-calculating decision on the proposition in front of us. Tonight, that is the Under. Arizona (4-4) has scored 20 or less points in six of their eight games this season with their 20-10 win in San Francisco last week as a 2.5-point favorite. The Cardinals have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread win. And while that game finished below the 39 point Total, Arizona has then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total at home after a game that finished Under the Total. They did generate 368 yards of offense with backup QB Drew Stanton starting for the injured Carson Palmer, but they have then played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Now the Cardinals return home where they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total — and this includes five straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, Arizona has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against fellow NFC West opponents.

Seattle (5-3) saw their four-game winning streak snapped on Sunday in their 17-14 upset loss to Washington as an 8-point favorite. This team has scored 16 or less points in four of their eight games this season — and their defense has held their foes to 18 or less points in six of their eight games. The Seahawks have still won five of their last seven games — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. And while they gained 437 yards and 479 yards in their last two games, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 400 yards in each of their last two games. Now Seattle goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 7 points away from home. The Seahawks have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against NFC West opponents — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against NFC foes. Together, these team trends produce our specific 82-22 combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (111) and the Arizona Cardinals (112). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (117) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (118). North Carolina (1-8) has lost six straight games in a disaster of a season with their 24-19 loss to Miami (FL) two Saturdays ago as a 21-point underdog. Larry Fedora’s team is a M*A*S*H unit this season with injuries on the offensive line particularly hurting this team from week-to-week. The Tar Heels rank 109th in the FBS by scoring 21.3 PPG while ranking 108th in the FBS any averaging 344.2 total YPG. On the road, North Carolina sees their yardage numbers drop to 310.0 total YPG. And over their last three games, the Tar Heels are scoring just 13.3 PPG while averaging 285.7 total YPG. North Carolina has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Tar Heels have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. And while UNC covered the three-touchdown spread against the Hurricanes, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The defense does seem to be playing better after limiting the Miami (FL) rushing attack to just 59 yards in that game. Over their last three games, they are holding their opponents to just 17.4 PPG while allowing more than 46 YPG below their season average. The Tar Heels have played 12 of the last 14 games Under the Total after the first month of the season. North Carolina has also played 4 straight road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Moving forward, the Tar Heels have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 8 games played on a Thursday night, North Carolina has played all 8 games Under the Total.

Pittsburgh (4-5) takes the field again after their 31-14 win over Virginia as a 1-point favorite back on October 28th. The Panthers have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Pat Narduzzi’s team is fighting for bowl eligibility now — and the former Michigan State defensive coordinator is seeing improved play out of his young defense that returned just four starters from last season. Over their last three games, Pitt is allowing 22.0 PPG along with 377.0 total YPG which is 5.9 PPG and 43.7 YPG better than their seasonal averages. On offense, the Panthers have turned to sophomore Ben Dinucci at QB with the season-ending shoulder injury to USC graduate transfer Max Browne. Dinucci has been more of a game manager after passing just 18 times last week for 134 yards. Junior running back Darrin Hall has rushed for 365 yards over the last two games as he has become the focal point of this offense. It is 2 1/2 years into his tenure at Pitt but Narduzzi looks to finally be constructing this team into the types of teams he was an integral part with under head coach Mark Dantonio at Michigan State. But the team will be without a key piece to their offense with fullback George Aston out for this game with an ankle injury — his absence should not be underestimated. This team stays at home where the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games — and the Panthers have played 10 of their last 16 home games Under the Total when favored by 7.5 to 14 points. Lastly, Pitt has played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow ACC opponents. Together, these team trends produce our specific 65-14-1 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Thursday Night ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the North Carolina Tar Heels (117) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (118). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (101) and the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102). Akron (5-4) looks to build off their 21-20 win over Buffalo last week as a 3-point underdog. The Zips have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after both a straight-up win — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. And while Akron allowed the Bulls to gain 454 yards in that upset victory, they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in the last game. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total. And in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record, the Zips have played all 6 games Under the Total.

Miami (OH) (3-6) looks to bounce-back from their 45-28 loss at Ohio last Tuesday. The Redhawks have then played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Miami (OH) managed just 98 rushing yards in their last game — and they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Now this team returns home where they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total — and they have played 11 of the last 14 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Together, these team trends produce our specific 74-15 combined angle for this situation. Lastly, this Redhawks team does play very good defense as they rank 39th in the nation by holding teams to just 365.9 total YPG. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (101) and the Miami (OH) Redhawks (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Lions (473) and the Green Bay Packers (474). Detroit (3-4) has lost three straight games after their 29-15 loss to Pittsburgh last Sunday night as a 3-point favorite. The Lions managed only five goals in that game as their lack of a running game and a go-to short yardage wide receiver continues to hurt them in the Red Zone where they are 28th in the league. Detroit ranks 28th in the league by averaging just 82.1 rushing YPG. Now this Lions team goes on the road where they have played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total — and this includes playing fourteen of their last seventeen road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, Detroit has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow NFC North opponents. And in their last 6 games in the month of November, the Lions have played 5 of these games Under the Total. Furthermore, in Detroit’s last 12 games on Monday Night Football, they have played 9 of these games Under the Total.

Green Bay (4-3) takes the field again after their 26-17 loss at home to Green Bay back on October 22nd in their first game after Aaron Rodgers suffered his shoulder injury. The Packers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after their bye week. Brett Hundley completed just 12 of 25 passes in that game for a mere 85 yards — and Green Bay has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after failing to pass for at least 150 yards. The Packers stay at home for this game where they have played 5 of their last 7 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. And Green Bay has played 11 of their last 14 home games Under the Total after the first month of the season. Together, these team trends produce our specific 67-21 ATS combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Detroit Lions (473) and the Green Bay Packers (474). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (471) and the Miami Dolphins (472). Oakland (3-5) has lost five of their last six games with their 34-14 loss in Buffalo last Sunday. The Raiders stayed on the East Coast for this game which is critical to saving their season. Oakland’s resolve will likely come from the offensive side of the football when considering that they rank 26th in the NFL by allowing 356.9 total YPG. Additionally, the Raiders’ secondary is banged up with both safety Karl Joseph and cornerback David Amerson both listed as questionable with injuries. Oakland has played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The Raiders generated 361 yards in that loss to the Bills and their potent defense — and they have then seen the Over go 16-6-1 in their last 23 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while they only rushed for 54 yards in that while Marshawn Lynch served his one-game suspension, they have then played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after failing to rush for at least 75 yards in their last game. Lynch returns to the team for this game. Moving forward, Oakland has played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The Raiders have also played 13 of their last 21 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And in their last 27 games in the month of November, the Over is 19-5-3 with Oakland.

Miami (4-3) looks to reset their offense after hitting rock bottom two Thursdays ago in their 40-0 loss at Baltimore. After being out rushed by 129 yards to the Ravens, the Dolphins traded away running back Jay Ajayi to the Eagles and will hand the primary rushing duties to Kenyan Drake. The Dolphins have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after being outrushed by at least 75 yards in their last game. The Dolphins have also played 7 straight games Over the Total with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. This team returns home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Miami has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total as an underdog of 3 points or less. And in their last 5 games in the month of November, the Dolphins have played 4 of these games Over the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 117-39-4 combined angle for this situation. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Oakland Raiders (471) and the Miami Dolphins (472). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:20 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Syracuse Orange (331) and the Florida State Seminoles (332). Florida State (2-5) looks to bounce-back from a 35-3 loss at Boston College last week as a 6-point favorite. The Seminoles have then played 6 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread defeat. The struggling Florida State offense managed just 213 total yards in that contest — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. They have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Seminoles defense has remained tough all season as they have held their opponents on the most difficult schedule in the nation to average -113 YPG below their seasonal offensive average. Furthermore, Florida State has played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the month of November.

Syracuse (4-4) looks to bounce-back from their 27-19 loss at Miami (FL) back on October 21st as a 17.5-point favorite. The Orange has then played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Orange have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Syracuse has now played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total in ACC play. And while the Orange surrendered 480 yards against the Hurricanes, they have then played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last contest. Now this team goes back on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total. Together, these team trends produce our specific 69-9 combined angle for this situation. 10* CFB Over/Under Situational Special with Under the Total in the game between the Syracuse Orange (331) and the Florida State Seminoles (332). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (377) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (378). Vanderbilt (3-5) has lost five straight games with their 34-27 loss at South Carolina last Saturday. The Commodores have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Now Vanderbilt returns home where they have played 8 of their last 9 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Gone are the salad days of September when this team went into their meeting with Alabama with the best statistical defense in the nation. Over their last three games, the Commodores have given up 45.3 PPG along with 512.7 total YPG. Vandy allowed 212 rushing yards to the Gamecocks last week — and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. The Commodores’ offense has kicked into another gear with junior QB Kyle Shurmur completing 27 of 49 passes for 333 yards and 3 TDs against South Carolina. This team is scoring 25.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging 364.3 total YPG which is well above their 314.9 total YPG seasonal average.

Western Kentucky (5-3) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last Saturday with their 42-28 loss at Florida Atlantic as a 6.5-point underdog. The Hilltoppers have then played 13 of the last 19 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Western Kentucky allowed 461 yards in that contest — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. The Hilltoppers have also played 4 straight games Over the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last contest. This team has cranked things up on offense as they are scoring 36.0 PPG over their last three games while totaling 504.3 total YPG over that span. Western Kentucky has needed this increased production on offense because they are allowing 29.0 PPG over their last three games while allowing 406.0 YPG over that span which is 37 YPG more than their seasonal average. Moving forward, the Hilltoppers have played 14 of their last 20 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. Together, these team trends produce our specific 53-14 combined angle for this situation. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (377) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (378). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:25 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (307) and the New York Jets (308). New York (3-5) looks to snap a three-game losing streak tonight after they lost by a 25-20 score at home versus Atlanta on Sunday as a 6.5-point underdog. The Jets managed only 43 rushing yards in that game — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total. New York was outrushed by 97 yards in that contest — and they have then played 25 of their last 37 home games Under the Total after being out rushed by at least 75 yards. And while the Falcons outgained them by 107 net yards, the Jets have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being outgained by at least 100 yards. New York allowed 386 yards to Atlanta in that game — but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Jets do play better defense at home where they are holding their opponents to just 18.2 PPG along with 324.2 total YPG which is 5 points fewer along with -37.2 net YPG lower than their seasonal averages. This shapes up to be low scoring game with both teams on a short week and when considering that New York has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against fellow AFC East opponents. These two teams have also played 5 of their last 6 meetings Under the Total.

Buffalo (5-2) has won four of their last five games with their 34-14 win over the Raiders last Sunday as a 2-point favorite. The Bills have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Buffalo has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. The Bills are playing outstanding defense as they rank 3rd in the NFL by holding opponents to just 16.4 PPG led by a run defense that also ranks 3rd in the league by limiting opponents to just 80.1 rushing YPG. Defense travels which helps explain why Buffalo has played 4 straight games Under the Total on the road. Lastly, in their last 7 appearances on Thursday Night Football, the Bills have played 5 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFL AFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (307) and the New York Jets (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (273) and the Kansas City Chiefs (274). Denver (3-3) managed only 251 yards of offense last week in their 21-0 shutout loss in Los Angeles to the Chargers. But the Broncos did play well on defense as they held the Chargers to just 242 yards of offense in the losing effort. One of the Los Angeles touchdowns was via a 65-yard punt return. Denver leads the NFL by limiting their opponents to just 258.1 total YPG. The Broncos have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a loss on the road. Additionally, Denver has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The Broncos have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after both a straight-up loss as well as after a point spread setback. Furthermore, Denver has 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

Kansas City (5-2) looks to bounce-back from their 31-30 loss in Oakland as a 3-point favorite back on October 19th. The Chiefs have then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Under is also 35-16-1 in their last 52 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Furthermore, while Kansas City has failed to cover the point spread in their last two games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. Now the Chiefs return home to Arrowhead Stadium where they have played a decisive 40 of their last 58 games Under the Total — and this includes played eight straight games at home Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 45 point range. Admittedly, the KC offense has been dynamic — they generated 425 yards against the Raiders fueled by Alex Smith completing 25 of 36 passes for 342 yards. But the Chiefs have played 23 of their last 32 games Under the Total after a game where they passed for at least 250 yards. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (273) and the Kansas City Chiefs (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (271) and the Detroit Lions (272). Detroit (3-3) looks to bounce-back from their 52-38 loss in New Orleans two weeks ago. The Lions have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Detroit has also played 4 of the last 5 games Under the Total after a game where they surrendered at least 30 points. The Lions did pass for 312 yards in that loss — but they have then played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Detroit is struggling to getting a credible ground game going as they have not rushed for more than 97 yards in four straight games. The Lions have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. Additionally, Detroit has played 4 straight games Under the Total after their bye week. With Golden Tate still not 100%, this Lions defense might struggle to reach the 298.0 total YPG they are averaging this season which is just 26th in the NFL.

Pittsburgh (5-2) has won two straight games with their 29-14 win over Cincinnati last week. The Steelers have then played 12 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Pittsburgh has also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing less than 15 points in their last contest. The Steel Curtain has been flexing their muscles so far this season by holding teams to just 16.3 PPG while allowing only 258.7 total YPG which are 3rd and 2nd best in the NFL respectively. The Steelers did generate 420 yards against the Bengals defense last week — but the Under is then 13-2-1 in their last 16 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Pittsburgh has also played 11 of their last 14 games on the road Under the Total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 road games Under the Total as the favorite. Lastly, in their last 26 games in the month of October, the Steelers have played 20 of these games Under the Total. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (271) and the Detroit Lions (272). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (267) and the Seattle Seahawks (268). Houston (3-3) has quickly transformed from a defensive-oriented low-scoring team to a high-flying offensive juggernaut that has to outscore their opponents. Season-ending injuries to J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus on defense along with the emergence of rookie QB Deshaun Watson has been the reasons for this transformation for Bill O’Brien’s team. Over his last three games coinciding with the return of Will Fuller at wide receiver, Watson has throw 12 TD passes with just two interceptions for a Passer Rating of 117. During that span, Watson is being sacked only once in ever 20 pass attempts — and he received a big boost this week when Houston’s star left tackle Duane Brown ended his holdout. Brown should be on the field this afternoon blocking for Watson and this rushing attack that is 3rd in the NFL by averaging 137.7 rushing YPG. The Texans come off their bye week after their 33-17 win over the Browns two weeks ago as a 7.5-point favorite. Houston has then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 straight games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Texans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. And in their last 5 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game, Houston has played 4 of these games Over the Total. Moving forward, the Texans have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 21 games in the month of October, Houston has played 16 of these games Over the Total.

Seattle (4-2) has won three straight games after their 24-7 win in New York against the Giants last week. The Seahawks have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at last two touchdowns. Seattle has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing 14 or fewer points in their last game. Additionally, while the Seahawks held the Giants to only 146 passing yards in that game, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Seattle scored only a field goal in the first half of that game last week — but they have then played a decisive 55 of their last 83 games Over the Total after a game where they did not score more than a field goal in the first half of their last game. Lastly, the Seahawks have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total as a home favorite not laying more than 7 points. 25* NFL Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (267) and the Seattle Seahawks (268). Best of luck for us — Frank.