At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (307) and the New Orleans Saints (308). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (12-5) advanced from the NFC Wild Card playoffs last Saturday night with their 31-23 victory at Washington as a 10-point favorite. New Orleans (13-4) has won three straight games after their 21-9 victory against Chicago last Sunday as an 11-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Buccaneer’s offense hit rock bottom on November 8th in their most recent encounter with the Saints in a 38-3 loss at home as a 3-point underdog. Tampa Bay was simply a mess on offense in that game with Tom Brady making ill-advised deep passes on short third-down situations. The Buccaneers ran the ball a mere five times — making a mockery of the analytics grifters who write articles every couple of years calling for offenses to pass on every down (as if there is not an adequate sample size from the Big 12 conference to assess the effectiveness of such a strategy). That game was also the debut of Antonio Brown with the team with the Bucs seeming to think he was just a “plug-and-play” solution. If there was a silver lining from that humiliation, it was that it forced Brady to get on the same-page Bruce “no risk it, no biscuit” Arians on the offensive philosophy of this team. Slowly, this offense is looking more like the ones he operated in New England — albeit with more deep throws still (but he has the talent to do it with his receiving corps). I expect this game plan to rely plenty on Brady’s assessment regarding how to attack this Saints’ defense he has played twice already — and that has just the 29th ranked Red Zone defense. The Tampa Bay offense enters this game clicking on all cylinders by scoring 40.7 PPG and averaging 527.6 total YPG. Brown has found his niche as one of the weapons at Brady’s disposal. Brady has been more accurate with his deep balls — he is averaging 9.7 Yards-Per-Attempt since their bye in Week 13 which is over 2.0 YPA above what he was averaging before the extra time to self-audit the offense. Granted, Brady’s recent success has been against teams with losing records in Detroit, Atlanta, and Washington (with Minnesota and the Falcons again since the bye week). How much of Brady’s success is legitimate and how much of it was a product of playing the Lions, et al, defenses? The metrics at Football Outsiders say the improvement is legit with the Buccaneers’ weighted DVOA on offense now ranked second in the NFL. Gaining 507 yards last week against the Football Team was impressive since they have a very good defense — and that effort was encouraging regarding how Brady will handle the pass rush this week since Washington is top-ten in pressure rate. Maybe the Tampa Bay offensive problems is as simple as two grizzled veterans in Brady and Arians needing (and using) the regular season to figure out how to mesh philosophies without the benefit of a normal offseason. The team trends suggest the Bucs will score their share of points. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points — and they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Over the Total after averaging at least 400 YPG in their last three games. Additionally, Tampa Bay has played 25 of their last 34 road games Over the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. The Buccaneers have also played 16 of their last 21 road games Over the Total as an underdog including 6 straight Overs when not getting more than 3 points. New Orleans has covered the point spread in their last three games as a favorite — and they have played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after covering the point spread in three straight when laying the points. The Saints are going to score their share of points in this game — they average 30.4 PPG at home. Drew Brees is also averaging 35.3 PPG in his last three games while averaging 438.3 YPG and he is getting his weapons like Michael Thomas back for the playoff run. New Orleans has played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total when favored by up to 7 points. The Saints have also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has played 6 straight games Over the Total when avenging a loss at home. These two teams have played 5 of their last 7 meetings Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing in New Orleans. 25* NFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (307) and the New Orleans Saints (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (12-5) has won their last two games as well as seven of their last nine contests after their 48-37 upset win at Pittsburgh as a 5-point underdog. Kansas City (14-2) rested starters with the top seed in the AFC playoffs locked last week in a 38-21 loss to the Los Angels Chargers as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Browns have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. Cleveland generated 390 yards in the win — and the Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. But while the Browns raced out to their 28-0 lead in the first quarter benefiting from some Steelers’ turnovers, they ended allowing Pittsburgh to gain 501 yards against them. Cleveland has played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 500 yards in their last contest. And while they enjoyed a +5 net turnover margin in that game, the Browns have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after a game where they had a +3 or better net turnover margin. Cleveland stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher. Additionally, the Browns have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog. Kansas City has played 7 straight home games Over the Total after playing their last game at home at Arrowhead Field. And while the Chiefs have not covered the point spread in seven of their last eight games, they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total after failing to cover the point spread in four or five of their last six games. Kansas City has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and the Browns are 6-3 away from home where they score 27.9 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Chiefs have played 4 straight games Over the Total when playing in January. Even with the Total set in the high-50s, expect a higher scoring game that reaches that plateau. 10* NFL Cleveland-Kansas City CBS-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (303) and the Buffalo Bills (304). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (12-5) has won six games in a row with their 20-13 win at Tennessee as a 3.5-point favorite last Sunday in the Wild Card round of the playoffs. Buffalo (14-3) defeated Indianapolis at home last Saturday in their Wild Card playoff game by a 27-24 score as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The weather is going to be cold with a decent chance of flurries in this game. To quote Dan Marino: “if it’s snowing’, I’m throwin’!” I do not worry about playing Overs in snowy conditions if the supporting evidence points strongly to the Over — which is the case for this situation. The Over is 11-2-1 in the Bills’ last 14 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight Overs after a win at home. Buffalo generated 395 yards of offense in that game while averaging 7.09 Yards-Per-Play. The Bills have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after averaging at least 6.0 YPP. Buffalo has scored at least 26 points in nine straight games while eclipsing 30 points in six of those contests. The Bills have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in five straight games. But Buffalo surrendered 309 passing yards en route to the Colts’ 472 total yards in that game. The Bills have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards — and the Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Buffalo has allowed 50 combined points in their last two games while giving up at least 24 points nine times this season. Last week’s game just made it Over the 50.5 point Total — and the Bills have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Baltimore has played three straight Unders after last week’s game finished below the 53.5 total — but they have played 24 of their last 41 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. The Ravens have also played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning their last two games on the road. Baltimore had scored at least 27 points in five straight games before only reaching 20 points last week in what turned out to be a game where both teams wanted to control the clock. And while the Ravens’ defense has only surrendered 18.6 PPG this season, they have given up at least 28 points five times. Buffalo averages 290 passing YPG — and Baltimore has played 29 of their last 44 games Over the Total after eight games into the season against teams who average at least 260 passing YPG. The Ravens score 28.2 PPG on the road — and while they average 194 rushing YPG, the Bills have played 10 of their last 12 home games Over the Total against teams who average at least 170 rushing YPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 3-1-1 in Baltimore’s last 5 playoff games when they were the underdog. Buffalo has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. This is a heavyweight contest — and both these teams will keep fighting to win which should push the final score Over the Total. 25* NFL Saturday Night Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (303) and the Buffalo Bills (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (301) and the Green Bay Packers (302). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (11-6) has won two in a row after defeating Seattle on the road as a 3-point underdog last Saturday. Green Bay (13-3) returns to action off a bye week after defeating Chicago on the road by a 35-16 score on January 3rd as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Los Angeles may be allowing only 18.6 PPG this season — but they have allowed at least 20 points in six of their last eight games. The Rams’ defensive numbers are helped by them holding New England to just a field goal and Arizona to only a touchdown since December. Los Angeles allows their the nine teams they played on the road to 23.1 PPG — so Green Bay scoring at least in the mid-20s is likely. The Rams have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 6 of their last 7 road games Over the Total as an underdog. Los Angeles has also played 32 of their last 49 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. Additionally, the Rams have played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total as an underdog overall under the leadership of head coach Sean McVay. And in their last 5 games in the NFC Divisional Playoffs, Los Angeles has played all 5 games Over the Total. Green Bay has played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns — and they have played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total after winning at least six games in a row. The Packers are scoring 31.6 PPG while averaging 406.9 YPG in their eight home games. Green Bay has scored at least 24 points in nine straight games with them reaching 30 points in seven of those contests. The Packers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. They also have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 40 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Green Bay has played 5 straight games Over the Total in the playoffs — and they have played 7 of their last 10 playoff games Over the Total when favored. 10* NFL LA Rams-Green Bay Fox-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (301) and the Green Bay Packers (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (499) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (500) in the National Championship Game. THE SITUATION: Ohio State (7-0) upset Clemson as a 7-point favorite later that night in the Sugar Bowl to earn the right to play for the National Championship. Alabama (12-0) defeated Notre Dame by a 31-14 score on New Year’s Day in the Rose Bowl College Football Semifinals as an 18.5-point favorite. This game will be played on a neutral field at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Crimson Tide flexed their muscles on defense against the Fighting Irish offense by limiting them to 375 yards and just the two scores. Alabama has not only then played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not giving up more than 14 points in their last contest. And while that game flew Under the 65.5 point Total, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Over the Total after playing an Under. The Crimson Tide has been vulnerable against explosive offenses — Florida generated 462 yards against the Bama defense (including 408 in the air) while Ole Miss put up 268 rushing yards and another 379 passing yards for 647 total yards of offense against a Nick Saban-defense. There is no question that Ryan Day and his offensive coaching staff have dissected the Lane Kiffin game plan he installed for his Rebels’ offense in that game. Alabama has won the turnover battle in three straight games — and they have played 28 of their last 40 games on the road Over the Total after enjoying a +1 or better turnover battle in two straight contests. This Alabama team is simply overwhelming on offense — they are scoring 48.2 PPG while averaging 535.6 total YPG. And the Buckeyes are vulnerable in their passing game — especially on the edges with what is still a young defensive backfield with only seven games under their belts this season. Ohio State is 116th in the nation by allowing 281.1 passing YPG — and the QB Mac Jones leads a quick-strike attack that is fifth in the nation by averaging 349.3 passing YPG. The rich might get richer as well with the possibility that wide receiver Jaylen Waddle may be able to return to action in this game after being injured for months. The Over is 22-9-2 in the Crimson Tide’s last 33 games played on a neutral field — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total on a neutral field as a favorite laying 7.5 to 14 points. Ohio State has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after an upset win by at least two touchdowns. And while they generated 639 yards against the Clemson defense — the Over is then 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Buckeyes have gained at least 491 yards in all seven of their games this season — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 475 yards in two straight games. Additionally, Ohio State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total with the total set at 63 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: Yes, this is a biggggg number in the mid-70s. But Ohio State has scored at least 38 points in six of their seven games with their COVID-impacted Big Ten Championship Game against a Northwestern team slowing the game down being the exception. Notre Dame deployed a similar strategy in “holding” Alabama to their lowest scoring total of the season — but the Tide has scored at least 41 points in their other ten games. If both teams hit those floors, the Over comes in. Both of these teams are going to try to “out-offense” the other in what should be a very competitive contest. Tellingly, Saban’s teams have played 13 of their last 19 January Bowl games Over the Total — and this includes all 4 National Championship Games. 25* College Football Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (499) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (500). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (151) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (152). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (11-5) has won two of their last three games after defeating the Steelers at home last Sunday by a 24-22 score as a 10.5-point favorite. Pittsburgh (12-4) has lost four of their last five games.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Steelers have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a narrow loss by 3 points or less. The Under is also a decisive 39-19-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 60 games after a point spread win. That game with the Browns finished Over the 44.5 point Total — but the Steelers have then played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. Big Ben Roethlisberger should be in better health this week after getting last week off to rest with Pittsburgh already locked as the three seed in the AFC playoffs. Outside a second half against the Colts where Roethlisberger ignored his offensive coordinator to lead the offense to 17 points, the Steelers’ offense has looked stagnant in the second half of the season. Pittsburgh is struggling to run the football — they are averaging only 3.6 Yards-Per-Carry. This has contributed to the Steelers’ relying on quick passing routes — but with Roethlisberger’s struggles to execute the vertical passing game because of his health, a decline in his skills, or the lack of balance in the Pittsburgh offense — and that has made their offensive attack too predictable. The Steelers failed to score more than 19 points in five straight games before that second half against Indianapolis produced their 28 points in the final score. Pittsburgh has thrown the ball 44 and 49 times in their last two games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after passing the ball at least 40 times in two straight games. The Steelers return home where they have been very tough to score on — they are holding their visitors to 18.6 PPG along with 295.1 YPG. The Under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games when favored. And in their last 26 games with the Total set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, Pittsburgh has played 17 of these games Under the Total. Cleveland has played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. And while the Browns have not covered the point spread in their last two games, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in two straight games. The COVID outbreak will certainly not make things easier for the Cleveland offense. While having offensive coordinator Alex Van Pelt calling plays is a fine alternative, head coach Kevin Stefanski was hired for the job for this organization in part because of his acumen at calling plays. Having Stefanski away from the team given COVID protocols is far from ideal. Losing Pro Bowl guard Joel Bitonio to COVID also hurts this Browns’ offense. Tackle Jack Conklin is also questionable with an unrelated illness. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has averaged only 165.0 passing YPG in his three starts in Pittsburgh with a low 70.6 Passer Rating while getting sacked 11 times — he needs all the help he can get. The Cleveland defense has been playing better as of late — they have held their last three opponents to just 17.0 PPG along with 338.3 YPG. The Browns' strategy will be to lean heavily on their ground game and out-physical their divisional rival. Cleveland has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points.

FINAL TAKE: The Steelers have played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total when avenging a narrow loss by a field goal or less. 25* AFC North Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Cleveland Browns (151) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (149) and the New Orleans Saints (150). THE SITUATION: Chicago (8-8) saw their three-game winning streak end last week with their 35-16 loss at Green Bay as a 4.5-point underdog. New Orleans (12-4) has won two games in a row with their 33-7 win at Carolina last Sunday as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bears have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home. Chicago has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. The Bears will likely try to run the ball to burn time off the clock to keep Drew Brees off the field. They are averaging 144.2 rushing YPG since Week 12 which is the sixth-best mark in the NFL. They stay on the road where they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 12 of their last 17 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Additionally, Chicago has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. New Orleans has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Saints have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Their win against the Panthers came on the heels of their 52-33 win against the Vikings — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after two straight wins by at least 14 points. While Brees gets most of the attention, the New Orleans’ defense has been quite good this year as they are holding their opponents to just 21.1 PPG along with 310.8 total YPG which ranks fourth and third-best in the league respectively. The Saints have played 5 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. They also have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. New Orleans does expect to get running back Alvin Kamara back from COVID quarantine for this game. Even without him, they rushed for 156 yards against Carolina — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Under the Total as a favorite laying 7.5 to 14 points. They also have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in the playoffs.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played on November 1st when the Saints won in Chicago by a 26-23 score as a 5-point favorite. The Bears have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge from a loss by 3 points or less. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (149) and the New Orleans Saints (150). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (147) and the Tennessee Titans (148). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (11-5) has won five games in a row with their 38-3 win at Cincinnati last Sunday as a 13.5-point favorite. Tennessee (11-5) has won three of their last four games after their 41-38 win at Houston as a 7-point favorite as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Titans have played straight games Over the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Tennessee has also played 20 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a narrow win by 3 points or less in their last contest. This Titans’ offense is a juggernaut deploying the running game behind Derrick Henry that also sets up the play-action pass for Ryan Tannehill. Tennessee scores 30.7 PPG — and they are scoring 32.9 PPG at home. They are also scoring 33.7 PPG in their last three games. They generated 492 yards last week against the Titans — and they have then played 5 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Tennessee has also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last contest. But the Titans defense cannot generate a pass rush — they gave up 457 yards to the Texans last week. Tennessee has then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game — and the Over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after giving up 30 points in their last contest. Green Bay put up 40 points against them in their previous game — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total after allowing at least 30 points in two straight contests. The Titans give up 28.3 PPG along with 414.6 total YPG when playing at home — and they have allowed 445.0 YPG in their last three contests. They return home where the Over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 home games — and the Over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record on the road. Baltimore has played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 9 points in their last contest. After playing three straight Overs, the Ravens have played their last two games Under the Total — but they have then played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing two straight Unders. Over their last five games, they are averaging 37.2 PPG while converting 61.3% of their third-down opportunities. They stay on the road where they are scoring 29.3 PPG. Baltimore has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total as a favorite laying up to 3 points — and the Over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games in the playoffs.

FINAL TAKE: The Titans have played 6 straight games Over the Total as an underdog — and in their last 5 games when playing at home as a dog, all 5 games finished Over the Total. I think both teams score above 25 points in this game which should push the final score at least into the mid-50s. 25* NFL Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (147) and the Tennessee Titans (148). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (145) and the Washington Football Team (146). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (11-5) has won four games in a row after the crushed Atlanta last week by a 44-27 score as a 7.5-point favorite. Washington (7-9) has won five of their last seven games after their 20-14 win at Philadelphia last Sunday night as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: After the Buccaneers’ offense hit rock bottom in a divisional game against New Orleans where they only scored a field goal, head coach Bruce Arians and Tom Brady retweaked things to better accommodate the veteran’s skill set. In the seven games since, Tampa Bay has scored at least 24 points in each of those games while averaging 34.6 PPG over that span. The Buccaneers have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread win. Tampa Bay has also played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while the Bucs gained 485 yards last week against the Falcons, they have then played 8 of their last 9 road games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Tampa Bay goes back on the road where they have played 24 of their last 33 road games Over the Total — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total on the road against teams with a losing record at home. Washington defense has carried them this season — but they have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Football Team has also played 8 of their last 11 home games Over the Total against team with a winning record on the road. Washington will not be playing a team tanking for a better draft pick this week — so the defense the surrendered 14 points in the first half to Jalen Hurts will have to play football for a full 60 minutes tonight. But the flip-side of that coin is that the Football Team will have to be more aggressive in their passing attack. Smith should find success against a vulnerable Tampa Bay pass defense that allows 247 passing YPG which is 21st in the league. The veteran is completing 66.7% of his passes which has helped Washington have team completion percentage of 64.7% — and the Buccaneers have played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total against teams who complete at least 64% of their passes. Tampa Bay’s defense has surrendered at least 23 points in seven of their last nine games — if they do that again, we should get our Over.

FINAL TAKE: I think Washington’s defense slows down Brady — but the Football Team will be playing from behind and have to rely on Smith’s arm. That dynamic should lead to an Over. Tampa Bay has played 17 of their last 22 games Over the Total against NFC foes — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total when favored. 10* NFL Saturday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (145) and the Washington Football Team (146). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (143) and the Seattle Seahawks (144). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (10-6) snapped a two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 18-7 win against Arizona as a 1-point favorite. Seattle (12-4) has won four games in a row with their 26-23 win at San Francisco as a 7-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Rams have played 10 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win at home — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total after a win at home over an AFC North foe. This is a bit contrarian play with the number dropping into the 42 range. Los Angeles has played four straight Unders — but they have then played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Unders. Granted, the Rams are averaging only 15.7 PPG in their last three games — and head coach Sean McVay has not committed to a starting quarterback with Jared Goff getting screws in his throwing hand and John Wolford having no experience in the playoffs. But the offense is getting healthier around these quarterbacks with left tackle Andrew Whitworth and wide receiver Cooper Krupp expected back on the field for this one and rookie running back Cam Akers established their lead running back. McVay seems to like Wolford — he can make some throws that Goff is not great at executing. The Rams are scoring 25.8 PPG on the road — and their pass attack is predicated on their play-action from their rushing attack being credible which should be the case in this game. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. The Rams have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 of their last 6 road games Over the Total as a dog. Seattle has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a win over a divisional rival — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a narrow win by a field goal or less. The Seahawks have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a game where they won but did not cover the point spread as a favorite. Russell Wilson seems to be in a slump with the team scoring only 22.0 PPG in their last three games. But he did not suddenly forget how to play football — and the Seahawks were cruising into the playoffs in the second half of the season while intentionally working on improving their running game (which will help their defense). Yet Seattle remains a team that is scoring 29.6 PPG at home — and I have full faith in Wilson to continue to score points if the Rams are scoring in a competitive game. The Seahawks are dealing with injuries on defense including Jamal Adams dealing with a shoulder. Their win over the 49ers did finish Over the Total — and they have then played 4 of their last 6 games Over the Total after playing an Over in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Seattle has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in January — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the playoffs. These teams did just play to a 20-9 score two weeks ago — and their first meeting this season finished Under the Total with the Rams’ 23-16 win. I think this one goes Over — with both teams scoring at least 20 points. 25* NFC Wildcard Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (143) and the Seattle Seahawks (144). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (141) and the Buffalo Bills (142). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (11-5) has won four of their last five games after their 28-14 win against Jacksonville last Sunday as a 15.5-point favorite. Buffalo (13-3) has won six games in a row with their 56-26 upset win against Miami as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Colts have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. Indianapolis generated 437 yards of offense against the Jaguars in the win — and they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Led by the veteran Philip Rivers under center, the Colts are scoring 28.2 PPG — and this offensive prowess travels on the road where Indy is scoring 28.9 PPG while averaging 378.8 YPG. Indianapolis has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total on the road. Running back Jonathan Taylor peaking just in time for the playoffs. The former Wisconsin Badger ran the ball 30 times for 253 yards with two touchdowns in the Colts’ win against the Jaguars. Over his last six games, Taylor has rushed for 741 yards with a 6.2 Yards-Per-Carry average along with seven touchdowns. But the Indianapolis defense has been vulnerable against good passing attacks in their last five games. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 70% of their passes while averaging 311 passing YPG in those last five games. Enter the Buffalo offense that leads the NFL by scoring 38.2 PPG since Week 12. Quarterback Josh Allen is completing 70% of his passes over his last five games with 15 touchdown passes while averaging over 300 YPG and posting a QBR of 117. The Over is 10-2-1 in the Bills’ last 13 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after a point spread victory. Buffalo tore up the good Dolphins’ defense for 455 yards last week — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Bills did surrender 454 yards to Miami — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. Buffalo allows their visitor to average 376.4 YGP.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 5-2-1 in the Bills’ last 8 games against teams with a winning record — and Indianapolis has played 5 straight games Over the Total against a team with a winning record. Expect a higher-scoring game. 10* NFL Indianapolis-Buffalo CBS-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (141) and the Buffalo Bills (142). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Football Team (101) and the Philadelphia Eagles (102). THE SITUATION: Washington (6-9) has lost two straight games with their 20-13 loss to Carolina as a 1-point underdog. Philadelphia (4-10-1) has lost two straight games as well as six of their last seven games after their 37-17 upset loss at Dallas as a 3-point underdog. Washington must win this game to win the NFC East and make the playoffs.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Eagles declared nine players out yesterday — and this list includes running back Miles Sanders, wide receiver DeSean Jackson, and tight end Dallas Goedert. Philadelphia is getting very thin when it comes to injuries their skill position and offensive line units. They have played 9 straight games Under the Total when playing at home after losing two of their last three games. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has played quite well in his first three starts at quarterback — he led the Philly offense to 477 total yards last week. But the Eagles have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Expect head coach Ron Rivera and the Washington defensive staff to have a good game plan against Hurts. It is usually about three games worth of tape in the NFL before opposing defenses begin to get a good book on quarterbacks to design more effective schemes. The Philly defense also gave up 513 yards to the Cowboys last week — but they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. They return home where they hold their guests to just 23.4 PPG along with 336.3 YPG. The Eagles have played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 13 of their last 16 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Football Team has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Washington has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. The Football Team has managed only 15 and 13 points in their last two games — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 17 points in two straight games. Washington did gain 386 yards last week but they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. It does look like it will be Alex Smith back under center for this game with his taking part in a limited practice on Friday after missing the last two games with a calf injury. With second-year QB Dwayne Haskins cut earlier this week, it will be Taylor Heinicke as the backup quarterback if Smith gets re-injured. Look for a conservative game plan that limits mistakes and leans heavily on the Football Team’s outstanding defense that ranks 4th in the NFL by allowing 310.5 total YPG. Washington is scoring only 17.0 PPG while averaging 310.7 YPG in their last three games. They go back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home.

FINAL TAKE: Washington has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total as a favorite. They upset the Eagles by a 27-17 score as a 5.5-point favorite on September 3rd - and Philly has played 3 straight games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road. 25* NFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Football Team (101) and the Philadelphia Eagles (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (103) and the Indianapolis Colts (104). THE SITUATION: Jacksonville (1-14) lost their fourteenth straight game this season with their 41-17 loss to Chicago as a 9.5-point underdog last Sunday. Indianapolis (10-5) saw their three-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 28-24 upset loss at Pittsburgh as a 1-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jaguars’ soft-tanking job consists of somehow deciding Mike Glennon is a better choice to be their quarterback than Gardner Minshew. Sure, if the goal is to never score enough points to threaten to win a second game this season. Jacksonville has scored 41 combined points in their last three games while never topping 17 points in those three contests. They are averaging only 300.0 YPG in those games. To make matters worse this week, running back James Robinson and wide receiver D.J. Chark are out with injuries. The Jaguars defense is a mess — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. And while Jacksonville has played two straight Overs, they have then played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after playing an Over — and they have played 30 of their last 46 games Under the Total on the road after playing two straight Overs. The Jags have not covered the point spread in three straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Additionally, Jacksonville has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in January. Indianapolis has played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Colts’ offense has taken a massive blow with left tackle Anthony Castonzo who went on Injured Reserve this week with a knee injury. The strength of the Indianapolis offense is their line with Castonzo being the key member. Indianapolis still has a strong defense that is 8th in the NFL by allowing only 335.3 YPG. The Colts return home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They also have played 20 of their last 28 home games Under the Total in the last two weeks of the season.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing in Indianapolis. With Buffalo beating Miami, it looks like the Colts will already be in the playoffs before this game kicks off — and that may come to head coach Frank Reich to bench Philip Rivers and other key starters on offense. Indy will likely run and grind their way to victory. 25* AFC South Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (103) and the Indianapolis Colts (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (123) and the Buffalo Bills (124). THE SITUATION: Miami (10-5) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 26-25 win in Las Vegas last Saturday as a 2-point favorite. Buffalo (12-3) has won five games in a row after their 38-9 win at New England on Monday as a 7-point favorite. The Bills have won the AFC East — and they clinch the second seed in the AFC playoffs with a win. The Dolphins make the playoffs as a wildcard with a victory

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The rub with the Buffalo is that they also clinch the second seed if Pittsburgh loses to Cleveland as a double-digit underdog because they are resting starters including Big Ben Roethlisberger. Head coach Sean McDermott has not indicated how long he will play his starters — but he will likely scoreboard watch and best Josh Allen, et al if the Browns take control of that game. As it is, the Bills have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Their defense is playing much better as of late as they have not allowed more than 20 points in four of their last five games — and over their last three games, they have given up just 14.3 PPG along with 226.7 total YPG. They held the Patriots to just 56 passing yards last week — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Now after playing their last two games on the road, they return home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. They also have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a two-game road trip. Furthermore, Buffalo has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as a dog. Miami has played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as an underdog. The Dolphins gained 383 yards in that game — but they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. 182 those yards were from Ryan Fitzpatrick who is out of this game because of COVID. Fitzpatrick averages 232.8 passing YPG with a 7.8 Yards-Per-Attempt average — but Tua Tagovailoa is averaging only 161.4 passing YPG with a 6.3 YPA mark when he is the starter. Miami averages only 323.1 YPG when playing on the road. But the Dolphins are built on defense as they hold their opponents to just 18.8 PPG. They did give up 418 yards to the Raiders — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Miami has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 17 of their last 25 road games when laying the points.

FINAL TAKE: The Dolphins have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against divisional rivals. They look to avenge a 31-28 loss at home to Buffalo on September 20th — and they have played 38 of their last 57 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins (123) and the Buffalo Bills (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (333) and the Clemson Tigers (334) in the Sugar Bowl College Football Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Ohio State (6-0) won the Big Ten Championship Game with their 22-10 win over Northwestern as a 16.5-point favorite on December 19th. Clemson (10-1) won the ACC Championship Game with their 34-10 win against Notre Dame on December 19th. This game will be played on a neutral field at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers cruise into this game with three straight point spread covers since Trevor Lawrence returned to action after his positive COVID test. Clemson has played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total after covering the point spread in their last two games as a favorite. They crushed Virginia Tech by a 45-10 score prior to the ACC Championship Game — and they have played 22 of their last 31 games on the road after winning their last two games by at least three touchdowns. The Tigers have not allowed more than 17 points in their last three games — and they have played 27 of their last 40 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in three straight games. Clemson did generate 541 yards against the Irish — but they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The Tigers are fifth in the nation by allowing only 298.5 YPG. They have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on a neutral field as a favorite — and they have played 19 of their last 28 game Under the Total in bowl games. Ohio State rushed for 399 yards in the Big Ten Championship Game — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 350 yards in their last game. The Buckeyes will want to build off that effort to keep Trevor Lawrence off the field. They have gained at least 491 yards in all six of their games — but they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in four straight games. Additionally, Ohio State has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in bowl games as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: This is Clemson’s sixth straight College Football Semifinals appearance — and the previous five Semifinals all finished Under the Total. The Tigers’ defensive coordinator Brent Venables is the best in the business — and he has his defenses ready to go on all cylinders for these games. This is a rematch of last year’s College Football Semifinals which Clemson won by a 29-23 score. Stalled drives kept that game Under (frustratingly for us, last year). Ohio State generated 516 yards but only scored those 23 points. With both Josh Fields and Trevor Lawrence playing once again in this rematch, both teams’ defensive coaching staffs have worked on this hypothetical rematch against these specific quarterbacks for over a calendar year. 10* CFB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Ohio State Buckeyes (333) and the Clemson Tigers (334). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (331) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (332) in the Rose Bowl in the College Playoff Semifinals. THE SITUATION: Notre Dame (10-1) looks to bounce back from their 34-10 loss to Clemson in the ACC Championship Game as an 11.5-point underdog on December 19th. Alabama (11-0) won the SEC Championship on December 19th with their 52-46 win over Florida as a 16.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Crimson Tide are going to score their share of points. They have scored at least 38 points in all eleven of their games while reaching at least 41 points in each of their games since their opening contest. They have the top Success Rate in the country which suggests they will convert first downs and score touchdowns in the Red Zone. Alabama has played 17 of their last 26 games Over the Total after scoring at least 42 points in their last game — and they have scored at least 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after scoring at least 50 points in their last contest. And while they have scored at least 42 points in five straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after scoring at least 42 points in four straight contests. They raced out to a 35-17 lead at halftime against Florida — and they have played 18 of their last 24 games Over the Total after leading by at least 17 points at halftime of their last game. Both Florida and OIe Miss proved that good offenses can move the ball against their defense: the Gators generated 462 yards of offense (with their 46 points) while the Rebels gained a whopping 647 yards against them for 48 points. The other nine teams Alabama played this season combined to average only 13.3 PPG along with just 4.5 Yards-Per-Play. The Tide’s defensive numbers appear inflated by a weak strength of schedule. Can Notre Dame approach 30 points in this game? I think so. The most impressive thing about their upset victory against Clemson was the 90-yard drive they executed late in the game to force overtime after the Tigers had rallied in that game after their offense slowed down. The Fighting Irish scored less than 27 just twice this season. Perhaps head coach Brian Kelly will try to slow this game down by running the ball? Well, he didn’t try that against Clemson in that upset win. And playing conservatively fails as soon as a team trails by double-digits — so the Irish may not have a choice in how aggressive they play. Notre Dame has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a loss by at least 20 points in their last game. And while that game finished Under the 58 point total, the Irish have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Furthermore, the Irish have allowed their last two opponents to average 6.4 and 8.2 Yards-Per-Play — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing their last two opponents to average at least 6.25 YPP.

FINAL TAKE: Alabama has seen the Over go 22-8-2 in their last 32 games when playing on a neutral field — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total in January. Notre Dame has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing on the faster field turf rather than the grass field like at their home field. 25* CFB New Year’s Six Bowl Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (331) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (332). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the West Virginia Mountaineers (211) and the Army Black Knights (212) in the Liberty Bowl. THE SITUATION: West Virginia (5-4) has lost three of their last five games after their 42-6 loss at Iowa State as a 6-point underdog on December 5th. Army (9-2) has won three straight games after their 10-7 upset win against Air Force as a 1-point underdog on December 19th. This game will be played on a neutral field at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Mountaineers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 20 points. Additionally, West Virginia has played 6 straight games Under the Total after not scoring more than 20 points in their last game. The Mountaineers have scored only 14.8 PPG in those four road games. They are also scoring just 14.3 PPG in their last three games while averaging just 338.3 Yards-Per-Game during that span. West Virginia has a good statistical defense as they rank 5th in the nation by giving up just 297.2 total YPG. And while they gave up six touchdowns to the Cyclones in their last game, they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The Mountaineers have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Army has played a decisive 36 of their last 51 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Black Knights have also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. They will bring an outstanding defense into this game that ranks second in the nation by both holding their opponents to 14.0 PPG and by allowing just 271.1 total YPG. The Black Knights have the best statistical defense in the nation by limiting their opponents to just 149.9 passing YPG. And while those numbers were improved by facing four triple-option teams this season, they picked off 13 passes this season. But the Army offense is limited as they have only scored 17.7 PPG in their last three contests while averaging just 240.0 YPG during that span. They have also played 17 of their last 21 games Under the Total one playing on a neutral field as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Army has played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total in December — and West Virginia has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total in December. Even with the total in the low-40s, expect this game to stay Under in this battle of two stout defensive teams that can struggle in moving the ball on offense. 10* CFB Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the West Virginia Mountaineers (211) and the Army Black Knights (212). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (481) and the New England Patriots (482). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (11-3) has won four straight games with their 48-19 win at Denver last Saturday as a 6-point favorite. New England (6-8) has lost two games in a row after their 22-12 upset loss at Miami as a 1.5-point favorite at the kickoff of that game.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss. New England has also played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Patriots’ offense is sputtering with mediocre quarterback play combining with a lack of talent at the skill positions. They are generating just 271.3 total YPG in their last three games which is resulting in just 20.0 PPG. Head coach Bill Belichick has been coy this week about who his starting quarterback will be as he may use these final two games to let Jarett Stidham audition for the job next season now that they have been eliminated from the playoffs. Stidham is completing just 54.5% of his passes in limited action this season while lacking the mobility of Newton. New England has played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. And while the Patriots have played six straight games Under the Total, they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. New England is playing well on defense — they have held their last three opponents to just 15.3 PPG along with 319.7 YPG. They did give up 383 yards to the Dolphins last week but they have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now after playing their last three games on the road, the Patriots return home where they holding their guests to just 19.3 PPG. New England has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing their last two games on the road — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after losing two in a row away from home. The Patriots have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Patriots have also played 4 straight games Under the Total as an underdog. Buffalo has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. And while the Bills have covered the point spread in six straight games, they have then played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. Buffalo held the Broncos to just 255 yards of offense including only 115 yards in the air. The Bills have then played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing no more than 150 passing yards in their last game. Buffalo has steadily improved their play on defense after seeing some significant turnover from that unit from last season. They have held their last three opponents to just 19.3 PPG along with 293.7 total YPG. Head coach Sean McDermott is making things easier on his defense by leaning more on their running game. The Bills are second in the NFL in passing but just 21st in rushing YPG. But Zack Moss rushed for 81 yards last week which was a season-high for the former Utah running back. Look for Buffalo to use this game to continue to develop and fine-tune their ground game as they prepare to make a deep playoff run — and this commitment to running the football will burn time off the clock to help our Under. The Bills have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the number in the 42.5 to 49.5 range — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total on the road with the total in that 42.5 to 49.5 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Buffalo won the first meeting between these two teams by a 24-21 score on November 1st. New England has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when playing with revenge — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road. 25* AFC East Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (481) and the New England Patriots (482). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (479) and the Green Bay Packers (480). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (10-4) has won four of their last five games with their 46-25 win over Detroit last Sunday as a 9.5-point favorite. Green Bay (11-3) has won four straight games as well as six of their last seven with their 24-16 win over Carolina as a 9.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Titans have scored at least 30 points in five straight games while averaging a robust 37.4 PPG over that stretch. Yet the Tennessee defense has allowed at least 24 points in five of their last six games. The Titans lack a pass rush — even when their supposed specialist, Jadeveon Clowney was not on Injured Reserve. When Tennessee takes the lead, their opponents are able to keep scoring relying on their passing attack. The Titans are 29th in the NFL by allowing 276 passing YPG — and opposing quarterbacks are completing 66% of their passes against their defense. Tennessee is 27th in the league by allowing 390.5 total YPG — and they are giving up 414.0 YPG over their last three contests. The Over is 18-7-1 in the Titans’ last 26 games after a straight-up win — and the Over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after a point spread victory. Furthermore, Tennessee has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, the Over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while the Titans ran for 195 yards led by Derrick Henry’s 147 yards, they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Henry’s rushing sets up Ryan Tannehill’s play-action passing — there is a reason that Tennessee is scoring 31.1 PPG. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road. Green Bay is scoring 31.0 PPG themselves. They have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Packers have played three straight Unders, they have then played 21 of their last 30 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight games Under the Total. Their 24 points scored last week was the first time in their last five games where they did not score at least 30 points. Once Green Bay gets rolling with Aaron Rodgers under center, they are happy to engage in scoring contests if necessary. The Packers have played 19 of their last 27 home games Over the Total after winning at least four in a row. Furthermore, Green Bay has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. And while it might snow tonight at Lambeau Field, Rodgers has thrown 99 touchdown passes in his 43 games played inclement weather at home in Green Bay.

FINAL TAKE: Bad weather will also likely play right into the hands of Henry and the Titans’ play-action game — so I see the potential for snow as a net-plus regarding this Over play. Tennessee has played 5 straight games Over the Total as an underdog and 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 10 games played in December, the game finished Over the Total 8 times. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (479) and the Green Bay Packers (480). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (459) and the Arizona Cardinals (460). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (5-9) has lost three straight games as well as six of their last seven contests after their 41-33 upset loss at Dallas as a 4-point favorite. Arizona (8-6) has won their last two games with their 33-26 win against Philadelphia last Sunday as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The 49ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after losing three games in a row. The Under is also 8-2-1 in their last 11 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Turnovers are killing head coach Mike Shanahan’s team. The Niners have lost the turnover battle in three straight games while being burdened with a -2 or wore net turnover margin in two straight games. San Francisco has then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing at least three games with a -1 or worse net turnover margin — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after playing two straight games with a -2 or worse net turnover margin. Third-string quarterback C.J. Beathard will be under center given injuries to Jimmy Garappolo and Nick Mullens. This is his first start since 2018. Look for Shanahan to commit to running the football to take some pressure off the former Iowa quarterback. San Francisco needs to limit turnovers since their defense is playing well. They are allowing only 311.0 net YPG in their last three games — and they hold their home hosts to just 286.3 total YPG. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Niners’ last 6 road games against teams with a winning record at home. The 49ers have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a road underdog. Arizona has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win at home. And while Kyler Murray completed 27 of 36 passes for 406 yards last week against the Eagles, the Cardinals have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Arizona tallied 526 total yards against Philly but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Cards’ defense gave up 305 yards to Jalen Hurts in the win — but they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total as a favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams from the NFC — and the Under is 3-1-1 in the 49ers’ last 5 games against fellow NFC West foes. Arizona won the first meeting between these two teams by a 26-20 score. Expect a similar result. 25* NFC West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the San Francisco 49ers (459) and the Arizona Cardinals (460). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (451) and the New Orleans Saints (452). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (6-8) has lost two games in a row with their 33-27 loss to Chicago as a 2.5-point favorite last Sunday. New Orleans (10-4) has lost two games in a row after their 32-29 loss to Kansas City as a 2.5-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Vikings have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after an upset loss. Minnesota did gain 397 yards in the loss — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Kirk Cousins has been a turnover machine being responsible for 18 giveaways including his 13 interceptions which is tied for the second-most in the NFL. But he is leading an offense that has scored at least 27 points in four of their last five games. Yet the depleted Vikings’ defense has allowed at least 24 points in four of their last five contests. Minnesota is running out of linebackers. Both Eric Kendricks and Troy Dye are out for this game while Todd Davis is doubtful. Anthony Barr is already out the season — as is defensive end Danielle Hunter. The Vikings were already allowing 27.7 PPG to the dismay of head coach Mike Zimmer. Minnesota has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against NFC opponents. New Orleans has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Additionally, the Saints have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. Drew Brees was rusty in his first game back on the field after missing four straight games with his rib injuries — but he played better as that game went on by leading his team to 20 points in the second half. New Orleans was outgained by -126 net yards but they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after being outgained by at least -100 yards in their last game. The Saints’ defense has surrendered at least 179 yards in two straight games — and they have played 4 of their last  5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 175 rushing yards in two straight games. They stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total. With Brees starting under center, the Saints have scored at least 24 points in all ten of his games — and they have scored at least 27 points in eight of those contests. And outside of a five-game stretch from November 8th through December 6th where the New Orleans’ defense allowed just 44 combined points, they allowed at least 23 points in each of their remaining nine games.

FINAL TAKE: Minnesota has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Expect New Orleans to at least reach their 28.4 PPG scoring average against this injury-ravaged Vikings’ defense with Cousins scoring enough points to keep it interesting. 25* NFL Fox-TV Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (451) and the New Orleans Saints (452). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (369) and the Cincinnati Bengals (370). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (11-2) has lost two games in a row with their 26-13 loss at Buffalo last Sunday night as a 2-point underdog. Cincinnati (2-10-1) has lost five games in a row after their 30-7 loss at home to Dallas last Sunday as a 3-point underdog. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Steelers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss. Ben Roethlisberger is banged up right now. He denies he has a knee issue but he lacks any ability to move in the pocket and he is having difficulty planting his foot for deeper balls. Pittsburgh is limited to mostly quick passes which Roethlisberger is still good at. However, when opposing defenses can key-in on these quick strikes and lay off worrying too much about deep balls, then this approach can get stuck in the mud. The Steelers have not scored more than 19 points in three straight games. Pittsburgh is averaging only 294.7 total YPG during that stretch after managing only 224 yards last week against the Bills. They have played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game. To compound matters, the Steelers are getting very little from their running game. They have run for only 136 combined yards in their last three games. Pittsburgh has not rushed for more than 48 yards in five of their last seven games. James Conner has been injured but he ran the ball only ten times for 17 yards in his return to action last week. He is questionable tonight with the quad injury that has slowed him down. The Steelers have not rushed for more than 68 yards in three straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after not rushing for at least 100 yards in three straight games. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 11 of their last 13 road games Under the Total — and they have played 21 of their last 26 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. The Steelers have also played 25 of their last 30 road games Under the Total when favored. Cincinnati has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and the Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The Bengals are down to their third-string quarterback tonight with Ryan Finley with Joe Burrow out the season and then Brandon Allen being declared out tonight with a knee injury. Finley has plenty of NFL experience — he has thrown 106 passes in the regular season for 549 yards with two touchdown passes. Yet he is averaging only 5.2 Yards-Per-Attempt and completing just 48.1% of his passes. He takes over an offense that has not scored more than 17 points in five straight games while averaging just 10.3 PPG along with 220.0 total YPG in their last three contests. Finley is going to struggle against the Steel Curtain defense that is allowing only 18.2 PPG along with 303.1 total YPG this season. The Bengals have seen the Under go 4-0-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total as a double-digit dog.

FINAL TAKE: Cincinnati is looking to avenge a 36-10 loss at Pittsburgh on November 15th — and they have played 17 of their last 26 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by at least 21 points. The Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams — and these two teams have played 4 of their last 5 encounters in Cincinnati Under the Total. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (369) and the Cincinnati Bengals (370). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the New York Giants (362) and the Cleveland Browns (361). THE SITUATION: Cleveland (9-4) comes off their dramatic 47-42 loss to Baltimore on Monday Night Football as a 3-point underdog. New York (5-8) saw their four-game winning streak snapped last week with their 26-7 loss to Arizona as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: New York has played four straight Unders — but they have then played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight games Under the Total. The Giants have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. And while New York allowed 231 rushing yards in that game, they have then played 38 of their last 56 games Over the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. The Giants only rushed for 78 yards in that game after topping 100 rushing yards in their previous seven straight games. New York has played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after being outrushed by at least 75 yards in their last game. Daniel Jones was back under center last week but he might have been rushed back on the field with his hamstring injury. Jones has been a threat with his legs but that injury left him immobile in the pocket — he was sacked six times. The veteran Colt McCoy will be the starter again tonight after he was the starter two weeks ago when the Giants upset Seattle on the road. New York has also played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when playing in December. Cleveland has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Over the Total. And while the Browns gained 493 yards against the Ravens, they have then played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. Cleveland has scored at least 40 points in two straight games — but they have given up 107 combined points in their last three games. The Browns have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. They go on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 road games Over the Total laying 3.5 to 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: Cleveland has played 9 of their last 11 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. With both these teams facing playoff implications for this game, expect the scoring to push the combined number above the number. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the New York Giants (362) and the Cleveland Browns (361). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (357) and the Minnesota Vikings (358). THE SITUATION: Chicago (6-7) snapped a six-game losing streak last Sunday with their 36-7 upset victory at home against Houston as a 1-point underdog. Minnesota (6-7) looks to bounce-back from their 26-14 loss at Tampa Bay last week as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Bears have found a spark with Mitchell Trubisky back as their starting quarterback. He completed 24 of 33 passes for 267 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions against the Texans last week. He also rushed for 23 yards on four carries with the reckless abandon of someone who has nothing to lose. Chicago generated 410 yards in that game while averaging 7.32 Yards-Per-Play — and they have then played 14 of their last 19 games Over the Total after averaging at least 7.0 YPP in their last game. The Bears are scoring 30.3 PPG over their last three games with a retooled offensive line. Chicago has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit win — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points at home. And while the defense played well last week, the Bears have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Despite the strong defensive effort last week, they have still allowed their last three opponents to score 27.3 PPG while averaging 372.0 total YPG. They go back on the road for this one where they have played 19 of their last 26 road games Over the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Minnesota is just 3-4 at home this season — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games at home Over the Total. The Vikings have also played 6 straight home games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total. Their loss to the Buccaneers finished 12 points below the 52 point total — and Minnesota has also played 5 straight games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Vikings return home where they are scoring 29.1 PPG while averaging 419.3 total YPG — but they are also allowing 30.9 PPG along with 427.0 total YPG. Minnesota has played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total at home. They also have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Vikings have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams from the NFC North — and Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against divisional rivals. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (357) and the Minnesota Vikings (358). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (207) and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (208). THE SITUATION: Nebraska (2-5) looks to bounce back from their 24-17 upset loss at home to Minnesota last Saturday as a 9-point favorite. Rutgers (3-5) looks to build off their 27-24 upset win in overtime at Maryland last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cornhuskers have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread setback. Nebraska has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 20 points in their last game. This Cornhuskers’ offense averages only 22.4 PPG. They managed just 308 total yards against a Golden Gophers’ defense that has struggled this season. Their defense has played better as the season has moved on — they have held their last three opponents to just 25.7 PPG along with 347.0 total YPG which are much better numbers than the 30.6 PPG and 405.7 total YPG they have allowed for the season. They go back on the road where they have played 5 straight Unders. Nebraska has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record — and they have played 19 of their last 27 games Under the Total as a favorite. Rutgers has played 20 of their last 27 games Under the Total after an upset win — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total at home after an upset win as an underdog. The Scarlet Knights have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Rutgers rushed for 224 yards last week in the victory — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. And while the Cornhuskers surrendered 206 yards on the ground last week, Nebraska has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 200 rushing yards in their last game. Moving forward, the Scarlet Knights have played 4 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total in December.

FINAL TAKE: It will be cold in New Jersey tonight with the temperatures starting in the low-30s. Expect a quick game tonight with plenty of rushing plays. 25* CFB Big Ten Total of the Year within the game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers (207) and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (208). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (301) and the Las Vegas Raiders (302). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (4-9) snapped a two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 20-17 win over Atlanta as a 3-point favorite. Las Vegas (7-6) has lost three of their last four games with their 44-27 upset loss at home to Indianapolis as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is a decisive 40-19-1 in the Chargers’ last 60 games after a straight-up victory — and they have also played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win by six points or less. The LA defense is ninth in the NFL by allowing 337.1 total YPG — and they have held their last three opponents to just 314.0 YPG. They held the Falcons to just 319 yards last week. The Chargers’ offense may be limited this week with running back Austin Ekeler and wide receivers Keenan Allen and Mike Williams all questionable with injuries. The reports this afternoon are that Ekeler will give it a go with his quad injury but that Allen and Williams are game-time decisions with their hamstring and back issues. Los Angles will also be without right tackle Bryan Bulaga who is ruled out with a concussion. These are not encouraging signs for an offense that is scoring only 12.3 PPG while averaging just 323.3 total YPG in their last three contests. The Chargers have played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. They also have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing on a short week on a Thursday. And in their last 26 games in December, the Under is 19-6-1. Las Vegas has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 40 points in their last game. The Under is also 9-3-1 in the Raiders’ last 13 games after a double-digit loss at home. Head coach Jon Gruden has a mess on his hands-on defense. Not only did he fire his defensive coordinator, Paul Guenther, this week after they allowed over 200 rushing yards for the second straight week, but injuries have ruled our four defensive starters tonight in defensive backs Johnathan Abram and Damon Arnette along with linebacker Nicholas Morrow and defensive end Clelin Ferrell. Las Vegas has passed for 368 and 345 yards in their last two games — and they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. While there is little that Gruden and newly appointed defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli can do to fix the defensive issues, changing the game plan can ease the burden on the defense a bit. Look for the Raiders to run the ball to burn time off the clock to keep his defense off the field. Defensive coaches tend to think their players hit a wall after taking part in around 50 plays. Las Vegas has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 175 rushing yards in two straight games. And while the Raiders have allowed their last two opponents to average 7.72 and 6.60 Yards-Per-Play, they have then played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after allowing their last two opponents to average at least 6.5 YPP. Las Vegas stays at home where they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total when favored. Furthermore, the Raiders have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The offense is scoring only 21.3 PPG over their last three games — and the Under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 games in December.

FINAL TAKE: The Chargers will be playing with revenge on their mind from a 31-26 loss at home to the Raiders on November 8th — and they have played 36 of their last 54 games Under the Total when avenging a loss where they allowed at least 28 points. These two teams have also played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (301) and the Las Vegas Raiders (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (179) and the Cleveland Browns (180). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (7-5) snapped their three-game losing streak last Sunday with their 34-17 win over Dallas as an 8.5-point favorite. Cleveland (9-3) has won four games in a row with their 41-35 upset win at Tennessee as a 4-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Ravens have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. And they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Baltimore did give up 388 yards of offense to the Cowboys — but they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Ravens’ recent losing streak took place while defensive tackles Calais Campbell and Brandon Williams were out with injuries — but they both returned last week for the Cowboys game. Campbell is listed as questionable with his calf injury but hopefully, he will play. Baltimore is allowing only 19.2 PPG this season which is 4th best in the league. The Ravens got the ground game cracking last week with 294 yards on a 7.9 Yards-Per-Carry average which they will certainly rev-up again tonight. That will burn time off the clock — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Baltimore’s productivity on offense has dipped a bit after the season-ending injury to All-Pro left tackle, Ronnie Stanley. They are averaging 308.7 YPG with a 24.0 PPG scoring average over their last three games as compared to their 26.3 PPG and 337.9 YPG averages for the season. They go back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Cleveland has played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. The Browns return home where they are holding their opponents to just 18.8 PPG along with 306.2 total YPG. Cleveland has played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and they have played 19 of their last 26 home games Under the Total as an underdog. And while the Browns have only covered the point spread twice in their last seven games, they have then played 21 of their last 30 home games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in five or six of their last seven games. Cleveland has also played 28 of their last 42 home games Under the Total in the final four weeks of the season. The Browns lead the NFL in rushing with a 158 rushing YPG average — they will be looking to control the time of possession as well. They have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: Cleveland will be looking to avenge a 38-6 loss to the Ravens in the opening week of the season on September 13th. The Browns have played 25 of their last 36 home games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a same-season loss. These two teams have also played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total. 25* AFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (179) and the Cleveland Browns (180). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (177) and the Buffalo Bills (178). THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (11-1) suffered their first loss of the season on Monday in their 23-17 upset loss at home to Washington as a 5.5-point favorite. Buffalo (9-3) has won two straight games as well as five of their last six contests with their 34-24 upset win at San Francisco as a 1.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Steelers have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a loss. The setback on Monday may have been a bit of a relief to head coach Mike Tomlin who has been complaining about the play of his team despite their unbeaten record before that setback. Tomlin likely had an attentive team this week in practice. Pittsburgh needs to get back to running the football more after putting too much pressure on Ben Roethlisberger to carry the offense with his arm. Big Ben has attempted at least 45 passes in five straight games. The talented wide receiving corps has been feeling the pressure with their league-leading 34 dropped passes this season. Fortunately, Tomlin expects his All-Pro center, Maurkice Pouncey, and running back James Conner back for this game just in time. This team should back to basics — run the ball, don’t ask too much of your quarterback, and lean your our outstanding defense. The Steel Curtain leads the NFL by allowing only 17.6 PPG this season — and they are third in the league by giving up only 300.5 total YPG. They have suffered injuries at linebacker with Bud Dupree joining Devin Bush in incurring a season-ending injury — but they still only allowed 13.3 PPG along with 247.7 YPG in their last three games. After playing their last two games at home, the Steelers go back on the road where the Under is 38-12-1 in their last 51 games. Pittsburgh has also played 27 of their last 38 games Under the Total on the road with the total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range — and this includes them playing their last five games Under the Total in those circumstances. The Under is also 4-1-1 in the Steelers’ last 6 games on the road as an underdog. Pittsburgh has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing their last two games at home. Buffalo surrendered 402 yards last week to the 49ers — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Bills have covered the point spread in four straight games — and not only have then played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after winning at least two of their last three games but they have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in their last two games. Additionally, Buffalo has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: The Steelers have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in December — and the Bills have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in December. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers (177) and the Buffalo Bills (178). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (151) and the Detroit Lions (152). THE SITUATION: Green Bay (9-3) has won four of their last five games after their 30-16 win against Philadelphia as an 8-point favorite last Sunday. Detroit (5-7) comes off a 34-30 upset victory at Chicago as a 3-point underdog last Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Lions have played 16 of their last 23 games Under the Total after a game where both teams scored at least 30 points. Detroit played with more energy and enthusiasm in their first game after being liberated from previous head coach Matt Patricia. Interim head coach Darrell Bevell has improved the atmosphere in the Lions’ locker room so expect a spirited effort from this team in playing the role of the spoiler at this point of the season. Detroit has lost four of their last six games — and they have then played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after losing four or five of their last six games. And while the Lions surrendered 389 yards to the Bears, they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Detroit has allowed 71 combined points in their last two games with both contests going Over the Total — but the Lions have then played 5 of their last 7 gamed Under the Total after allowing at least 25 pints in two straight games and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders. Additionally, Detroit has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams with a winning record. And while the Packers are allowing 24.9 Points-Per-Game this season, the Lions have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams who allow at least 24 PPG. Detroit has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total in December — and Green Bay has played 5 straight games Under the Total in December. The Packers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after winning four of their last five games. Green Bay gained 437 yards last week against the Eagles — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Packers held Philly to just a field goal in the first half last week — and they have then played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 3 points in the first half in their last contest. And while Green Bay has scored at least 30 points in three straight games, they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in two straight contests. Additionally, the Packers have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. And while the Lions allow 29.8 PPG, Green Bay has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams who allow at least 24 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: The Packers won the first meeting between these two teams on September 20th by a 42-21 score — and Detroit has played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total when avenging a loss on the road by at least three touchdowns. 25* NFC North Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (151) and the Detroit Lions (152). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (153) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (154). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (8-4) looks to rebound from their 41-35 upset loss at home to Cleveland last Sunday as a 4-point favorite. Jacksonville (1-11) comes off a 27-24 loss in overtime at Minnesota as a 10.5-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Titans were embarrassed last week against the Browns as they surrendered 38 points in the first half to go into the locker rooms trailing by 31 points. Tennessee has then played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after trailing by at least three touchdowns in their last game. The Titans have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss. Tennessee is third in the NFL who score 29.9 PPG — and they have averaged at least 6.41 Yards-Per-Play in their last three games. But the Titans have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in at least three straight games. Jacksonville played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing at home after suffering a loss on the road. The Jaguars have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a narrow loss by just three points. Jacksonville has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread cover where they lost the game as an underdog. Now the Jags return home where they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Under the Total with the total set at 45.5 or higher. Jacksonville has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total with the total set at 49.5 or higher. Furthermore, the Jaguars have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total in December.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing in Jacksonville. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (153) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (377) and the Arizona Wildcats (378). THE SITUATION: Arizona State (0-2) looks to bounce back from a 25-18 upset loss to UCLA as a 3-point favorite last Saturday. Arizona (0-4) has lost eleven games in a row going back to last season after their 24-13 loss at home to Colorado as a 9.5-point underdog last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Sun Devils have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. Arizona State has also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. The Sun Devils were flat last week after not playing for three weeks given COVID issues. They started slowly with just a field goal in the first half before getting their offense going in the second half. Behind sophomore quarterback Jaylen Daniels, Arizona State did generate 442 yards of offense. Now the Sun Devils go back on the road where they have played 4 straight games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Additionally, Arizona State has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a double-digit loss at home. The Wildcats were without sophomore quarterback Grant Gunnell who was injured on the first snap of their game with UCLA two games ago — but the word this afternoon from at least one Arizona beat writer is that he will return to the field tonight for this rivalry game. The Wildcats did gain 422 yards against the Buffaloes but struggled in the red zone. Arizona got 268 of those yards on the ground — and they have played 21 of their last 31 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Even if Gunnell does not play and head coach Kevin Sumlin calls on freshman Will Plummer to be his quarterback tonight, the Wildcats should have success against this depleted Sun Devils’ secondary that is 118th in the nation by allowing 286.5 passing YPG. Arizona State lost safety Aashari Crosswell for the season when he decided to opt-out to prepare for the NFL (after being suspended by the team to start the season). Arizona stays at home where they have played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record overall. The Wildcats have also played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total in December.

FINAL TAKE: Head coach Kevin Sumlin’s seat is red hot when it comes to his future with the Arizona program. This is a must-win for him — so expect him to pull out all the stops in being aggressive. These two teams have played 6 of their last 8 meetings Over the Total. 25* CFB Pac-12 Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Arizona State Sun Devils (377) and the Arizona Wildcats (378). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (101) and the Los Angeles Rams (102). THE SITUATION: New England (6-6) has won two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 45-0 victory in Los Angeles against the Chargers. Los Angeles (8-4) has won three of their last four games with their 38-28 win at Arizona as a 2.5-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win. New England limited the Chargers to just 258 yards in the win while controlling the time of possession for 33:41 minutes. The Patriots ran the ball 43 times for 165 yards to keep rookie Justin Herbert off the field. New England has then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. They also held the Chargers to just 70 rushing yards — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. The Patriots have simplified their game-plan with Cam Newton under center to be a run-first team that does not try to rely on his arm. Newton attempted only 19 passes on Sunday for a mere 69 yards. New England is third in the NFL by averaging 150.9 rushing YPG — but they now face the stout Rams’ defense that is third in the league by holding their opponents to just 93.1 rushing YPG. If the Patriots do not find success running the football, they lack a credible Plan B. Even if Newton was a better gunslinger at this point of his career, he lacks the weapons at wide receiver to be productive — especially against this Rams secondary which might be the best in the league. This commitment to running the football has helped the New England defense as they rank 12th in the league by allowing only 344.6 YPG. The Patriots have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams from the NFC. And while New England has covered the point spread in three of their last four games, they have then played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. Los Angeles has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. Additionally, the Rams have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win on the road — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a double-digit win on the road. Los Angeles has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game on the road where both teams scored at least 24 points. The Rams are without left tackle Andrew Whitworth for the rest of the season given the knee injury that put him on Injured Reserve. Head coach Bill Belichick will likely blitz heavily since quarterback Jared Goff struggles under pressure — so the absence of Whitworth will likely be noticed tonight. Los Angeles returns home where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams have played 7 straight games Under the Total as the favorite — and the Patriots have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as an underdog. 10* NFL Thursday Night Discounted Deal with New England Patriots (101) and the Los Angeles Rams (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (483) and the Baltimore Ravens (484). THE SITUATION: Dallas (3-8) has lost five of their last six games after their 41-26 upset loss to Washington on Thanksgiving as a 2.5-point favorite. Baltimore (6-5) has lost three straight games as well as four of their last five contests after their 19-14 loss at Pittsburgh last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Ravens’ loss to the Steelers came on the heels of them losing by a 30-24 score to Tennessee the previous week — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after losing two in a row by 6 points or less. Baltimore has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Ravens do expect to get Calais Campbell back on their defensive line after he has missed time with a calf injury (and he was on the COVID list last week) — he took part in limited practice on Saturday. Baltimore may also get back defensive tackle Brandon Williams who is questionable but also took part in limited practice on Saturday. Getting one or both of those run stoppers will make a big difference for the Ravens defense that has taken a step back during their losing streak. Baltimore still ranks 3rd in the league by allowing only 19.5 PPG — and they rank 8th in the NFL by holding teams to 331.8 total YPG. The Ravens really miss left tackle Ronnie Stanley who is out the season with an ankle injury. His absence explains much of the reason why Baltimore is averaging 18.3 PPG in their last three games with just 294.0 total YPG over that span. Their offense does get Lamar Jackson back for this game — but remember that Cam Newton struggled both physically and mentally (COVID has been shown to negatively impact brain functioning with many sufferers complaining of being in a fog for an extended period of time even after recovery). Don’t expect Jackson to be back at 100% tonight. The Ravens will likely give a heavy dose of rushing attempts to J.K. Dobbins along with Mark Ingram who both were taken off the COVID list — and this commitment will likely decrease the number of possessions for both teams given the running clock. Baltimore has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. The Ravens return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total as a favorite. Dallas has played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss at home — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. The Cowboys have also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Dallas surrendered 41 points to the Football Team despite only giving up 338 yards in that game. Washington scored only of their touchdowns from a 15-yard interception return. The larger issue for the Cowboys is their offense that is scoring only 14.7 PPG in their last seven games. Dallas has only topped 19 points once in their last six games. To compound matters on that side of the ball, they will be without both Zach Martin and Cam Erving to injury after both offensive linemen played on Thanksgiving. On the road, the Cowboys are scoring just 18.2 PPG along with averaging 337.0 total YPG. Dallas has played 17 of their last 25 road games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams are likely to focus on their running games tonight — even with the wide receiver talent that the Cowboys have, their coaches do not want Andy Dalton throwing more than 40 times in this game. Baltimore has played 9 of their last 10 home games Under the Total with the total set in the 45.5 to 49 point range. 25* NFL Fox-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (483) and the Baltimore Ravens (484). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (485) and the San Francisco 49ers (486). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (8-3) has won four of their last five games after their 27-17 win over the Los Angeles Chargers last week as a 4.5-point favorite. San Francisco (5-6) snapped their three-game losing streak last Sunday with their 23-20 upset win in Los Angeles against the Rams as a 5-point underdog. With COVID regulations precluding football games to be played in Santa Clara County, the 49ers have moved to Glendale, Arizona for their temporary home with this contest being played in the Cardinals’ State Farm Stadium.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bills surrendered 367 yards to the Chargers in their victory last week — but they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. That game still finished well below the 51.5 point total — and Buffalo has played 11 of their last 13 games on the road Under the Total after playing their last game below the number. The Bills defeated the Chargers despite a -2 net turnover margin — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a game where they suffered a -2 or worse net turnover margin. The Buffalo defense should play better with the return of linebacker Matt Milano from injury. They go back on the road where they have played 36 of their last 53 road games as an underdog. The Bills have also played 18 of their last 24 games Under the Total as a dog. Additionally, Buffalo has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in December — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total for Monday Night Football. San Francisco has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win over an NFC West rival — and they have played 3 straight games Under the Total after an upset victory over a divisional opponent. Despite a host of injuries all season, the Niners’ defense has been consistently strong under the guidance of defensive coordinator Robert Saleh — they are allowing only 315.2 total YPG which is 5th best in the NFL. San Francisco is 4th in the league by allowing just 206.7 passing YPG — and they got cornerback Richard Sherman back healthy last week in their upset win over the Rams where they allowed just 308 total yards. The 49ers also rank 6th in the NFL by holding opposing rushers to just 3.65 Yards-Per-Carry. The 43 combined points scored last week included a defensive touchdown for both teams. Nick Mullens was solid at quarterback in place of Jimmy Garoppolo as he completed 24 of 35 passes for 252 yards — but his mediocre 44.2 Quarterback Rating this season is below the 59.9 QBR that Garoppolo posted this season. Under Mullens, the Niners are scoring only 17.7 PPG while averaging just 322.0 total YPG in their last three games. While this is a technical home game for San Francisco, it is, in practice, a road game — and the 49ers are holding teams to just 18.7 PPG along with 274.0 total YPG when playing away from home. Furthermore, the 49ers have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total when lists in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Buffalo has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and San Francisco has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total with the number set in that point range. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (485) and the San Francisco 49ers (486). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (475) and the Kansas City Chiefs (476). THE SITUATION: Denver (4-7) has lost three of their last four games with their 31-3 loss at home to New Orleans last week as a 17-point underdog. Kansas City (10-1) has won six games in a row after their 27-24 win at Tampa Bay last Sunday as a 3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chiefs have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. Kansas City has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They return home where the Under is a decisive 29-9-1 in their last 39 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. And while the Chiefs score 32.0 PPG at home, they have played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total when laying 10.5 to 14 points. After Patrick Mahomes was asked to throw the ball 49 times last week, expect the offensive brain trust to run the ball more this week to take some pressure off of him — and that will burn time off the clock. The Kansas City defense is underrated as they rank 6th in the league by allowing 21.6 Points-Per-Game. The Chiefs have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in December. Denver has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total in December. The Broncos have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Denver has held their last three opponents to just 290.7 total YPG. The Broncos have played three straight games that finished Under the Total — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after playing at least two straight Unders. And while Denver trailed at halftime by a 17-0 score, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after being behind at halftime by at least two touchdowns. The Broncos have also played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after losing three of their last four games. Moving forward, the Under is 13-5-1 in Denver’s last 19 games against teams with a winning record — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total against familiar teams from the AFC West.

FINAL TAKE: The first meeting between these two teams finished with Kansas City winning by a 43-16 score on October 25th in Denver. Mahomes was limited to completing just 15 of 23 passes for 200 yards — the Chiefs scored touchdowns from their defense and special teams to reach the 40-point threshold. The Broncos have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total one playing with revenge from a loss at home — and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total when avenging a loss at home by at least three touchdowns. 25* AFC West Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (475) and the Kansas City Chiefs (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:00 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (323) and the North Texas Mean Green (324). THE SITUATION: Louisiana Tech (4-3) returns to action for the first time since October 31st when they upset UAB in double-overtime by a 37-34 score as a 12-point underdog. North Texas (3-4) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last Saturday in a 49-17 loss at UTSA as a 1.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs have played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a point spread win. This Louisiana Tech offense averages only 334.4 total YPG which is 110th in the nation. They are only averaging 2.4 Yards-Per-Carry which is third-to-last in the FBS. They managed only 49 rushing yards last week — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not rushing for more than 75 yards in their last game. This is not a big play offense as they are only averaging 6.2 Yards-Per-Attempt in their passing game which is 103rd in the nation. And the Bulldogs are converting in only 38.7% of their third downs which is tied for 87th in the nation. They go back on the road where they are averaging only 23.7 PPG along with 313.7 YPG which is -6.6 PPG and -20.7 net YPG below their season averages. Louisiana Tech has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 8 of their last 10 road games Under the Total as an underdog. They also have played 11 of their last 12 games Under the Total on the road after the first month of the season. And they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total in December under head coach Skip Holtz. North Texas has played 9 straight games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. And while their game with UTSA finished just below the 68 point total, they have then played 14 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. The Mean Green has played two straight Unders with their previous 27-17 win over Rice finished well below the 65 total — and they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders. North Texas did allow a whopping 624 yards against the Roadrunners last week — but the Under is 16-6-1 in their last 23 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: The Mean Green have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Despite the bad defenses in this game, the value is with the Under given a total that is in the mid-60s. 10* CFB Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (323) and the North Texas Mean Green (324). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (279) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (280). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (6-4) has lost two games in a row as well as three of their last four contests after their 30-24 upset loss to Tennessee in overtime back on November 22nd. Pittsburgh (10-0) remained unbeaten this season on November 22nd with their 27-3 win at Jacksonville as an 11-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This game has been rescheduled three times — and while the players may not be in optimal shape to play this game given limited practice time, the defensive game plans should be very fine-tuned — especially with this being a rematch from the Steelers’ 28-24 upset victory as a 4-point underdog on November 1st. Pittsburgh leads the NFL by allowing only 17.4 PPG — and they are second in the league by holding their opponents to just 4.94 Yards-Per-Play. The Steel Curtain has held their last three opponents to just 10.7 PPG along with only 299.0 total YPG. The Under is 17-5-1 in their last 23 games after a win by at least two touchdowns — and the Under is 38-18-2 in their last 58 games after a point prawn victory. The Steelers held the Jaguars to just 206 total yards in their last game — and the Under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games after not allowing more than 250 yards in their last game. On offense, Pittsburgh did gain 373 yards against Jacksonville — and the Under is 30-11-2 in their last 43 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. They will be without running back James Conner in this game who is on the COVID list. But the list for the Ravens is much longer — headlined by quarterback Lamar Jackson being out because of COVID. Robert Griffin III will be under center for Baltimore who leaves the offense even more limited in what they can do in the passing game. RG3 has just one start in the last three years — and it was against these Steelers’ last season when he completed only 11 of 21 passes for 96 yards in Week 17. The Ravens hopes to get J.K. Dobbins and Mark Ingram back off the COVID list this afternoon for this game. Baltimore will run the ball plenty in this game to burn time off the clock — they rushed the ball 47 times for 265 yards even with a healthy Jackson in the first meeting. The Ravens have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored — and they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total. Baltimore has scored only 21.7 PPG while averaging 309.7 YPG over their last three games with their offensive missing their All-Pro left tackle Ronnie Stanley who is out the year with an injury. The Ravens defense surrendered 423 yards to the Titans — but they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Baltimore goes back on the road where they are allowing only 18.8 PPG along with 331.6 total YPG. They have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home.

FINAL TAKE: The Ravens have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents. The Under is 17-7-2 in the Steelers’ last 26 games against AFC foes — and the Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games against divisional opponents. 25* NFL NBC-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (279) and the Pittsburgh Steelers (280). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (275) and the Philadelphia Eagles (276). THE SITUATION: Seattle (7-3) snapped a two-game losing streak two Thursdays ago with their 28-21 win over Arizona as a 3-point favorite. Philadelphia (3-6-1) has lost two games in a row with their 22-17 loss at Cleveland last Sunday as a 2.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Eagles have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 8 straight home games Under the Total after losing two of their last three games. Philadelphia managed only 315 yards in the loss to the Browns with QB Carson Wentz continuing to struggle. Wentz has a career-low 58.4% completion percentage along with a Passer Rating of 73.3 which is also a career-low. The Eagles are scoring only 19.0 PPG over their last three games while averaging just 291.3 total YPG. Wentz is flailing behind a disaster of an offensive line that has been ravaged with injuries. With the season-ending injury to Lane Johnson, Philly will be using their tenth different offensive line configuration for this game. The Eagles have allowed 40 sacks this season which is the most in the league — and they are last in adjusted sack rate. But the Philadelphia defense is playing better as of late. They have allowed 19.3 PPG over their last three games along with just 323.7 total YPG which is over -6 PPG and -19.0 net YPG below their season averages. Now the Eagles return home where they have played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total. Philadelphia has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Eagles have played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total in November including six straight Unders. Seattle is also playing better on defense as of late after holding the Cardinals to just 314 yards of offense. Funny what happens when safety Jamal Adams gets healthy again while adding defensive lineman Carlos Dunlap from Cincinnati into the mix. The Seahawks have registered 16 sacks over their last four games. And while the 374.3 YPG they have allowed in their last three games since acquiring Dunlap which is over 60 YPG below their season average. Seattle also seemed to make a philosophical change last week to get back to running the ball more. They had 31 rushing attempts in that game which was more than the 28 pass attempts of Russell Wilson. Getting Carlos Hyde back at running back helped — he had rushed for 79 yards in his first game back from injury. Chris Carson returns to action tonight as well after he has been out for injury — so this should be a heavy ground game attack for the Seahawks. Wilson was beginning to make mistakes with turnovers feeling the pressure to carry the team with his arm — so head coach Pete Carroll dialed back the “Let Russ Cook” directives. Running the ball more also helps the defense — the commitment to running the football kept Kyler Murray only on the field for less than 25 minutes last week. Additionally, the ankle injury to right tackle Braden Shell will likely compel more rushing attempts from this team since he thrives in pass protection — and his replacement, Cedric Ogbuehi, struggles in that area. Now Seattle goes back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total against teams who do not have a winning record at home. They also have played 9 of their last 13 road games Over the Total as the favorite. Additionally, while the Eagles are averaging only 5.5 Yards-Per-Attempt in the passing game, the Seahawks have played 22 of their last 29 road games Under the Total against teams who average no more than 5.7 YPA. And while Seattle averages 31.8 PPG, Philadelphia has played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams who average at least 24 PPG.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played twice last season in Philadelphia including the NFC wildcard game with both games ending in a 17-9 victory for the Seahawks. The Eagles have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on Monday Night Football. While I expect more than 26 combined points this time around, look for a lower-scoring game that stays below 50 combined points. Maybe even some scoring drives will (finally) have to settle for some field goals! 25* NFL Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (275) and the Philadelphia Eagles (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers (274). THE SITUATION: Chicago (5-5) has lost four games in a row after their 19-13 loss at home to Minnesota back on November 16th as a 3.5-point underdog. Green Bay (7-3) had their two-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 34-31 loss in overtime at Indianapolis as a 1.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Packers have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game on the road where both teams scored at least 24 points. Green Bay generated 367 yards in the loss to the Colts — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. And while the Packers have averaged at least 6.5 Yards-Per-Play in their last three games, they have then played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in three straight games. Green Bay surrendered 280 passing yards in their last game — but they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last contest. The Packers return home to Lambeau Field where they are holding their opponents to 304.5 total YPG which is almost 40 YPG below their season average. Green Bay has played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total when favored by 7.5 to 14 points. Chicago has played 21 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss at home in Soldier Field. The Bears have also played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. Chicago will be turning back to Mitchell Trubisky at quarterback tonight with Nick Foles doubtful with his hip injury. He takes over an offense that is scoring only 19.1 PPG while ranking second-to-last with a 300.9 total YPG average. Over their last three games, the Bears are scoring only 17.7 PPG along with averaging just 284.3 YPG. They go back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 8 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 12 of their last 15 road games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Chicago has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total against fellow NFC North opponents — and Green Bay has played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total against NFC North foes. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (261) and the Indianapolis Colts (262). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (7-3) has won two of their last three games with their 30-24 upset victory at Baltimore last Sunday as a 6-point underdog. Indianapolis (7-3) has won two straight as well as four of their last five games after their 34-31 win over Green Bay last week as a 1.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Titans have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after an upset victory in their last game. Despite the win last week, Tennessee has only averaged 23.7 PPG over their last three games while averaging a mere 315.0 total YPG. They will have revenge on their mind after losing at home to Indianapolis back on November 12th by a 34-17 score — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when avenging a loss by at least two touchdowns. Expect plenty of running from the Titans behind Derrick Henry in this rematch with the Titans the top rushing team in the NFL. That will burn time off the clock and shorter the number of possessions for both teams. Tennessee has also played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total as an underdog of up to 3 points. The Titans are completing 65.3% of their passes this season — and they are playing a Colts team that has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total in the second half of the season against teams who are completing at least 64% of their passes. Indianapolis enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin against the Packers last week — and they have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after producing a +2 net turnover or better margin in their last game. Indianapolis has scored 34 points in their last two games with both games going Over the Total with at least 51 combined points scored — but this sets up the Under as a nice contrarian play. The Colts have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after playing two straight Overs. Indy has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after seeing at least 50 combined points scored in their last two games. The Colts are top-five in defense by allowing only 20.8 PPG — and they hold their visitors to just 293.2 total YPG when playing at home.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total when playing in Indianapolis. Expect this rematch to be lowering scoring than the one they played just 17 days ago. 25* AFC South Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (261) and the Indianapolis Colts (262). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (213) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (214). THE SITUATION: Troy (4-4) has lost two games in a row as well as three of their last four after their 20-17 upset loss to Middle Tennessee as an 11-point favorite. Appalachian State (6-2) looks to rebound from their 34-23 loss at Coastal Carolina last Saturday as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Trojans have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after an upset loss. Additionally, Troy has played 5 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Furthermore, the Trojans have played 5 straight games Under the Total after failing to score more than 20 points in their last game. Troy is scoring only 22.7 PPG in their last three games which is -5.3 PPG below their season average — and the 349.8 total YPG they average on the road is -54.3 net YPG below their season average. The Trojans have played 5 straight games Under the Total on the road. They have also played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total as an underdog. And in their last 4 games as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points, Troy has played all 4 games Under the Total. Appalachian State has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Mountaineers rushed for 204 yards in the loss to the Chanticleers — and they have then seen the Under go 9-1-1 in their last 11 games after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Appalachian State is scoring 26.0 PPG while averaging 383.7 total YPG in their last three contests — and those numbers are -5.0 PPG and -61.7 net YPG below their season average. The Mountaineers defense has only managed to force one turnover in each of their last two games as well — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not forcing more than one turnover in their last game. Appalachian State does return home where they are holding their opponents to just 17.8 PPG and 314.0 total YPG. The Mountaineers have played 4 straight games Under the Total as a favorite.

FINAL TAKE: Appalachian State has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in November — and Troy has played 4 straight games Under the Total in November. 25* CFB Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Troy Trojans (213) and the Appalachian State Mountaineers (214). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Washington Football Team (123) and the Dallas Cowboys (124). THE SITUATION: Washington (3-7) snapped their two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 20-9 victory over Cincinnati as a 2-point favorite. Dallas (3-7) ended a four-game losing streak last week with their 31-28 upset victory at Minnesota as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Football Team has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Washington rushed for 164 yards in that game — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. The Football Team has been the best pass defense in the league that is holding their opponents to just 195 passing YPG. Led by rookie defensive end Chase Young, Washington is tied for third in the NFL with 32 sacks. Defense travels — and the Football Team goes back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 gams Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. But Washington is scoring only 20.3 PPG in their games away from home. Furthermore, the Football Team has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Dallas generated 376 yards of offense in their victory on Sunday — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Even after scoring 31 points last week, the Cowboys are averaging only 19.7 PPG along with 335.0 total YPG in their last three games. Dallas did give up 430 yards to the Vikings — but they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. The Cowboys have played better defense as of late — they have held their last three opponents to just 335.7 total YPG. With Zack Martin healthy again on their offensive line, Dallas can reliably run the football — they ran for 180 yards last week which was a season-high. When the Cowboys run the football while not asking Andy Dalton to throw more than 35 times, they can burn time off the clock which helps their defense. Dallas has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in November.

FINAL TAKE: While the Cowboys will want to run the football, Washington limited the Bengals to just 70 rushing yards last week — and the Football Team has played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Washington Football Team (123) and the Dallas Cowboys (124). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (121) and the Detroit Lions (122). THE SITUATION: Houston (3-7) has won two of their last three games with their 27-20 upset victory at home against New England last week as a 2.5-point underdog. Detroit (4-6) has lost three of their last four games with their 20-0 loss at Carolina as a 3-point favorite on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The final injury reports make a push a solid Under play into a very good one on a short week. The Texan ruled out wide receivers Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb out this week their quad and toe injuries — leaving quarterback Deshaun Watson missing key weapons in a wide receiver corps that was already missing DeAndre Hopkins this season from that ill-fated trade that the now-deposed Bill O’Brien made in the offseason. Now Detroit has declared this morning that rookie running back DeAndre Swift will not play as he is not ready to return to action from the concussion he suffered two games ago. The Lions are already without wide receivers Kenny Golladay and Danny Amendola to injury. There just simply not much skill-position talent on the field for a game with the Total set in the 50s. Houston has played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a win at home. The Texans did surrender 435 yards in their game on Sunday with the Patriots averaging 6.8 Yards-Per-Play. Houston has then played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to average at least 6.5 YPP. The Texans are averaging only 20.3 PPG along with 338.7 total YPG in their last three contests. They go back on the road where they are scoring 22.2 PPG while averaging just 329.8 total YPG. Houston has played a decisive 49 of their last 8 road games Under the Total in the second half of the season. Furthermore, Houston has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in November. Detroit has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss as a road favorite — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after an upset loss by at least two touchdowns as a road favorite. And while the Lions have only covered the point spread once in their last four games, they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after failing to cover the point spread in three of their last four games. Detroit surrendered 374 yards to the Panthers’ offense quarterbacked by P.J. Walker — yet they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. On offense, the Lions have scored only 16.7 PPG over their last three games while averaging just 320.0 total YPG over that span. They managed only 185 yards last week. I suspect Matthew Stafford will be a starting quarterback in the playoffs next season — but it will not be in a Lions uniform. At this point of the season, he is very banged up — and he does not have enough weapons.

FINAL TAKE: The Lions were embarrassed by being shutout last week — but trying to fix all those problems on a short week when undermanned is too much to overcome. I think their defense will play better — but the loss of Swift for this game really hurts (and cemented my call this morning). 25* NFL CBS-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (121) and the Detroit Lions (122). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (473) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (474). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (6-3) has won two of their last three games with their 23-16 win against Seattle as a 3-point favorite last Sunday. Tampa Bay (7-3) has won four of their last five contests with their 46-23 victory in Carolina last Sunday as a 6-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rams enjoyed a +2 net turnover margin against the Seahawks to help them secure that victory — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after earning a +2 or better net turnover margin in their last game. And while Los Angeles gained 389 yards against the Seattle defense, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in the last game. The Seahawks lack much of a pass rush — and quarterback Jared Goff thrives when not facing pressure. But he will face plenty of pressure tonight against this Bucs defense that is second in the NFL with a pressure rate of 27.4% and who ranks fourth in the league in sacks. Goff is completing only 35.8% of his passes when encountering pressure which ranks 31st of the 35 qualifying quarterbacks with at least 100 dropbacks this season. His Quarterback Rating under pressure is just 36.8 which is 32nd in the league. Goff will not have his rock at left tackle in Andrew Whitworth who is out at least six weeks with a knee injury. But Los Angeles can lean on their elite defense that leads the league in points allowed (18.7 PPG), total yardage (296.4 YPG), Yards-Per-Play allowed (4.78), and opponent’s Passer Rating (81.0). This defense travels — they are holding their home hosts to just 276.2 total YPG. The Rams flexed their muscles against the outstanding Seahawks offense under QB Russell Wilson as they gained only 333 total yards with that final score cruising Under the 55 point total. Los Angeles has played 17 of their last 24 games Under the Total after an Under in their last game. The Rams have also played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow NFC foes. Tampa Bay has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 9 of their last 13 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bucs ran the ball 37 times for 210 rushing yards against the Panthers — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Tampa Bay will likely rely on their rushing attack against Aaron Donald and this elite Rams defense that began the week tied for second in the NFL with 31 sacks. Quarterback Tom Brady has been sacked 14 times this season — with nine of them occurring in their two games against New Orleans and their game against Chicago which accounts for their three losses. The Bucs beat up on the bad teams in the league — they are 7-0 against teams with a defense ranked outside the top-ten in yards allowed while averaging 35.8 PPG in those contests. But they are winless in their three games against teams with a top-ten total defense while averaging just 15 PPG. Tampa Bay also has an elite defense of their own that ranks tops in the NFL by the DVOA metrics by Football Outsiders. The Buccaneers are third in the league by allowing only 300.3 total YPG while owning the best-run defense that holds their opponents to just 76.6 rushing YPG.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams played a scoring fest last year that Tampa Bay won by a 55-40 score as a 9-point underdog. That game was in late-September with Jameis Winston the Buccaneers’ gunslinging quarterback. The Rams have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in November. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (473) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (474). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (471) and the Las Vegas Raiders (472). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (8-1) has won four games in a row after their 33-31 win against Carolina two Sundays ago as a 10-point favorite. Las Vegas (6-3) has won three straight games with their 37-12 victory against Denver last week as a 3.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Raiders handed the Chiefs their lone loss of the season on October 11th with their 40-32 upset victory in Kansas City as a 10-point underdog. Las Vegas surprised the Chiefs’ defense by abandoning their ball-control conservative offense with several aggressive deep shots down the field from quarterback Derek Carr. The veteran Raiders’ signal-caller passed for 219 yards from deep throws which are — by far — his season-high in that category. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo will have his defense ready for these deep throws this time around. Look for the Jon Gruden offense to focus primarily on ball-control and winning the time of possession by running the ball and burning the clock. During their three-game winning streak, the Raiders have averaged 190.7 rushing YPG which is the second-best mark in the league over that span. They are averaging only 138 passing YPG during that span which is the second-lowest mark in the league. This commitment to the run has helped Las Vegas defense hold these last three opponents to just 14.7 PPG and 325.3 total YPG with opposing quarterback’s posting just a collective 68.1 Passer Rating. The Raiders have gained at least 160 rushing yards in three straight games — and they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in three straight games. Las Vegas has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a win over a divisional rival — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least three touchdowns against an AFC West foe. The Raiders stay at home where the Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have played 10 of their last 14 home games Under the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 10 points. Las Vegas did have a COVID scare this week but it looks like the only defensive player they will not have available is defensive lineman Clelin Ferrell. Kansas City has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Chiefs had also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. The KC defense has continued to improve under Spagnuolo as they are allowing only 20.3 PPG this season. In their four road games, the Chiefs are holding their home hosts to just 18.3 PPG along with 331.0 total YPG. Kansas City has played 6 of their last 7 road games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as a favorite. The Chiefs have also played 5 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 22 of their last 31 meetings Under the Total. Expect this rematch to be a lower-scoring game than the first meeting that saw 72 combined points scored. 25* AFC West Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (471) and the Las Vegas Raiders (472). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the UTSA Roadrunners (385) and the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (386). THE SITUATION: UTSA (5-4) has now two of their last three games with their 52-21 win over UTEP as a 5.5-point favorite last week. Southern Mississippi (2-6) has lost three of their last four games with their 10-7 loss at Western Kentucky last week as an 8-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Roadrunners have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a win at home against a conference rival. UTSA has also played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Roadrunners generated 600 yards of offense to blowout the Miners. But UTSA has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Additionally, UTEP has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after scoring at least 50 points in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a game where at least 70 combined points were scored. The Roadrunners are scoring 27.0 PPG while averaging 402.8 total YPG this season but those numbers drop to just 21.8 PPG and 342.0 YPG in their four games on the road. UTSA did hold the Miners to just 246 total yards — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last contest. UTSA has held their last three opponents to just 23.7 PPG and 275.0 YPG. They go back on the road where they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total with the number in the 49.5 to 56 range. They have also played 4 straight road games Under the Total when favored. Southern Miss has played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Golden Eagles have played a decisive 41 of their last 60 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Under the Total after a loss by a field goal or less. The Southern Miss offensive attack took a hit when senior quarterback Jack Abraham opted-out for the rest of the season and he has since entered the transfer portal. Since he left the team, the Golden Eagles are averaging just 12.3 PPG along with 278.3 total YPG — and 24 of their 37 combined points were against Northern Alabama. Trey Lowe completed only 6 of 14 passes for 67 yards under center last week while leading an offense that gained only 221 yards against the Hilltoppers last week. Southern Miss has played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 275 yards in their last game. They return home where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total. Furthermore, the Golden Eagles have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the number set in the 49.5 to 56 point range.

FINAL TAKE: Southern Miss has played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total in conference play while the Under is 18-8-1 in UTSA’s last 27 games against Conference USA rivals. 20* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the UTSA Roadrunners (385) and the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (386). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Cardinals (321) and the Seattle Seahawks (322). THE SITUATION: Arizona (6-3) has won four of their last five games after their 32-30 win against Buffalo as a 3-point favorite. Seattle (6-3) has lost two straight games as well as three of their last four contests with their 23-16 loss in Los Angeles against the Rams as a 3-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cardinals have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Arizona has scored at least 30 points in five straight games — and they have then played 15 of their last 20 games Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in at least three straight games. Arizona is dealing with a host of injuries — especially on their defensive line which makes me a bit less concerned about the Seattle offensive line. Defensive end Zach Allen went on the Injured Reserve with an ankle injury — he is the fourth defensive linemen to get placed on the IR for this team. Nose tackle Corey Peters is already out the season with a knee and Pro Bowl linebacker Chandler Jones is on the IR with his biceps injury. Now defensive end Jordan Phillips has been declared out with a foot injury for tonight. This Cardinals defense has declined as of late (they really miss Jones). They are allowing 32.7 PPG over their last three games along with 417.7 YPG with all three of those opponents scoring at least 30 points. Arizona has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 27 games in November, the Over is 19-7-1. Seattle has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a loss on the road to an NFC West foe. And while the Seahawks have lost the turnover battle in two straight games, they have then played 37 of their last 54 games Over the Total after having a -1 or worse net turnover margin in two straight games. Seattle has several injuries of their own — the absence of their starting cornerbacks Quinton Dunbar and Shaquille Griffin being the biggest problem for this team. The Seahawks surrendered 389 yards last week to the Rams without those two defensive backs — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. But the news on offense is a bit better. Starting center Ethan Pocic is also out tonight as he continues in the concussion protocol — and that is significant. But head coach Pete Carroll does expect backup center Kyle Fuller to play after the high ankle sprain he suffered on Sunday. That development was essential for me to endorse the Seahawks tonight. Carroll also expects wide receiver Tyler Lockett and running back Carlos Hyde to play as well. Seattle returns home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total as a favorite — and the Over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Seahawks have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Over the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 9-4-1 in Seattle’s last 14 games against NFC West rivals. And with the Seahawks looking to avenge a 37-34 upset loss in Arizona in overtime back on October 25th, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total when playing with revenge from a loss by 7 points or less. 10* NFL Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Arizona Cardinals (321) and the Seattle Seahawks (322). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (301) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (302). THE SITUATION: Akron (0-2) remained winless last week with their 24-10 loss at Ohio last Tuesday as a 27.5-point underdog. Kent State (2-0) is undefeated after their 62-24 win at Bowling Green last Tuesday as a 20.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Zips may still be winless in the 14 games coached by Tom Arth in his second season with the program — but there is reason for optimism. Arth has 70 new players on the roster consisting of transfers, redshirt freshman, and true freshmen from the group that was 0-12 last year. Six starters are back on defense along with eleven of the top sixteen tacklers — and Akron limited the Bobcats last week to just 307 yards of offense. The Zips have a solid rushing attack led by junior college transfer Teon Dollard who ran the ball 22 times for 165 yards against Ohio for a robust 7.5 Yards-Per-Carry average in that game. Akron ran for 218 yards last week to improve their rushing Yards-Per-Game average to a 173.0 clip for the season. The Zips should be able to shorten the length of this game with their rushing attack — they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Arth has a redshirt freshman under center in Zach Gibson with the team’s senior three-year starter, Kato Nelson, recovering from shoulder surgery in August. As it is, the Zips have played a decisive 39 of their last 57 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Akron has also played 27 of their last 38 games Under the Total after login two straight games against conference rivals. Now the Zips go back on the road where they have played 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Kent State has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Golden Flashes have also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where at least 70 combined points were scored. Additionally, Kent State has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. The Golden Flashes generated 372 passing yards against the Falcons — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Kent State averaged an explosive 11.94 Yards-Per-Play for 657 total yards — yet they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after averaging at least 6.25 YPP in their last game and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 475 yards in their last game. The Golden Flashes return home where the Under is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games when they are favored. Kent State has excelled in their pass defense so far this season with seven sacks while holding their opponents to just 173.0 passing YPG which is the best mark in the MAC.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 meetings Under the Total. Expect a lower-scoring game. 25* CFB Tuesday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Akron Zips (301) and the Kent State Golden Flashes (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (275) and the Chicago Bears (276). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (3-5) has won two games in a row after their 34-20 win at home against Detroit as a 3-point favorite last Sunday. Chicago (5-4) has lost three straight games after their 24-17 loss at Philadelphia as a 6.5-point underdog last week.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Vikings have played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a victory by at least two touchdowns. Minnesota has also played a decisive 43 of their last 40 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and this includes them playing nine of their last eleven games Under the Total after reaching at least 30 points in their last game. Behind running back Delvin Cook who rushed for 206 yards on 22 carries, the Vikings put up 275 rushing yards against the Lions defense — but they have then played 16 of their last 20 games on the road Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Now they face this Bears’ defense that is 9th in the NFL by allowing only 101.5 rushing Yards-Per-Game when playing at home. Minnesota scores 24.1 PPG on the road while averaging 339.5 total YPG in their four road games — and those numbers are -3.1 PPG and —42.7 YPG below their season averages. The Vikings have also benefited from a +3 net turnover margin against the Lions. Yet they have played 29 of their last 59 games Under the Total including three of their last four after enjoying a +3 or better turnover margin in their last game. Minnesota is playing better on defense as of late — they have held their last two opponents to 22 and 20 points which are both season lows. The Vikings have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total on Monday Night Football. Chicago has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on Monday Night Football. The Bears have not scored more than 23 points in six straight games. They did gain 375 yards last week against the Eagles — but they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Chicago is undermanned at the running back position right now with David Montgomery out as he goes through the concussion protocol and Tarik Cohen already out the year with his torn ACL. The Bears will rely on converted wide receiver Cordarrelle Patterson, Ryan Nall, and Artavis Pierce (along with perhaps Lamar Miller coming off their practice squad after missing all of last season with a torn ACL) as their running backs. Quarterback Nick Foles 52 pass attempts against the Eagles — and the Bears have played 14 of their last 16 games Under the Total after passing the ball at least 50 times in their last game. Chicago has also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. They return home where they are scoring only 17.8 PPG while averaging 286.3 total YPG — but they are holding their opponents to just 19.3 PPG at Soldier Field. The Bears have played 12 of their last 15 home games Under the Total. They have also played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. It will be cold on the south side of Chicago tonight with the temperatures dropping into the low-40s — and the Bears have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in November. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games played in Chicago Under the Total. 25* NFC North Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (275) and the Chicago Bears (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (273) and the New England Patriots (274). THE SITUATION: Baltimore (6-2) has won four of their last five games after their 24-10 win at Indianapolis last Sunday as a 1-point underdog. New England (3-5) snapped a four-game losing streak on Monday with their 30-27 victory over the New York Jets as a 9-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Ravens have played 8 of their last 13 games Under the Total after an upset win by at least two touchdowns as a road underdog. Baltimore has played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after winning at least two of their last three games. And while that was the first time that the Ravens have covered the point spread in their last three games, they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after only covering the point spread once in their last three games. Baltimore is an excellent defensive team — they lead the NFL by allowing only 17.8 PPG. They have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Furthermore, the Ravens have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against fellow AFC opponents. And in their last 7 games played on field turf, Baltimore has played 6 of these games Under the Total. New England has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Patriots have also played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing on a short week after an appearance on Monday Night Football. New England is scoring only 20.8 PPG which is 28th in the league — and that number drops to just 18.8 PPG while averaging jut 323.0 total YPG in their four games at home. Those are ominous numbers when considering that the Patriots have played only one top-ten defense this season — and quarterback Cam Newton managed only 98 passing yards in that game where they scored just 6 points. New England has played 4 of their last 5 game Under the Total at home — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Patriots have also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in November.

FINAL TAKE: Weather will likely play a significant role in this game tonight. There is a 100% chance of rain with thunderstorms possible. Winds will be 9 to 18 MPH with gusts up to 47 MPH. This will negatively impact both passing games — and both Lamar Jackson and Cam Newton can struggle with their accuracy. Both defenses will likely get away with putting an extra defender in a box to stop the run given these conditions. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Baltimore Ravens (273) and the New England Patriots (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:35 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (147) and the Boston College Eagles (148). THE SITUATION: Notre Dame (7-0) comes off their triumphant 47-40 win in overtime at home against Clemson as a 5-point underdog. Boston College (5-3) looks to build off their 16-13 win at Syracuse last Saturday as a 14.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Fighting Irish have played 15 of their last 20 games Under the Total after a game where they scored and allowed at least 30 points. Notre Dame has also played 24 of their last 32 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Ian Book completed 22 of 39 passes for 310 yards to lead the Irish to the upset win — but Notre Dame has played 7 straight games Under the Total after passing for at least 280 yards in their last game. Now the Fighting Irish go back on the road where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total when favored. Notre Dame has a good defense — they are allowing only 14.6 PPG along with just 296.6 total YPG. Boston College has played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Under is 37-14-1 in the Eagles’ last 52 games after scoring no more than 20 points in their last game — and the Under is 38-14-2 in the last 54 games after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Boston College held the Orange to just 240 total yards last week — and the Under is 23-9-1 in their last 33 games after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 9 meetings Under the Total. The Irish may be a bit emotionally flat after last week — but their defense should show up. 10* CFB Notre Dame-Boston College ABC-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (147) and the Boston College Eagles (148). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (149) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (150). THE SITUATION: Wake Forest (4-2) has won four games in a row with their 38-14 win at Syracuse as a 14-point favorite two weeks ago on October 31st. North Carolina (5-2) has won two of their last three games with their 56-24 win at Duke as a 10.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Demon Deacons have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the total after a straight-up win — and they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, Wake Forest has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Demon Deacons limited the Orange to just 221 yards of offense — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last game. Wake Forest has also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. This team has steadily improved their play on defense this season for head coach Dave Clawson. They have held their last three opponents to just 17.7 PPG along with only 358.0 total YPG. Furthermore, the Demon Deacons have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total as an underdog. North Carolina has played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Tar Heels have also played 31 of their last 47 home games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. North Carolina has played three straight Overs where at least 69 combined points were scored — and their last two contests reaching at least 80 points. Yet the Tar Heels have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing at least three straight Overs. North Carolina has also played 22 of their last 20 games Under the Total when they played two straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games when they have played three straight games where at least 60 combined points were scored. Despite these higher scoring games, the Tar Heels are playing pretty good defense when playing at home. North Carolina holds its visitors to just 24.0 PPG along with 363.0 total YPG.

FINAL TAKE: North Carolina has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total with the Total set at 63 or higher — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total with the Total set at 63 or higher. 25* CFB ACC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (149) and the North Carolina Tar Heels (150). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (121) and the Tennessee Titans (122). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (5-3) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 24-10 upset loss at home to Baltimore as a 1-point favorite. Tennessee (6-2) ended a two-game losing streak on Sunday with their 24-17 win against Chicago as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Indianapolis has played 32 of their last 43 games Over the Total after suffering an upset loss as a home favorite — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road after an upset loss by at least 10 points. The Colts are scoring a healthy 26.0 PPG this season — and that mark has risen to a 27.3 PPG clip in their last three games with them averaging 378.3 total YPG during that span. Quarterback Philip Rivers is completing 67.9% of his passes with 2087 passing yards and a 7.6 Yards-Per-Attempt average. And while tight end Jack Doyle is out for this game as he recovers from a concussion, Rivers will get wide receiver, T.Y. Hilton, back from the groin injury that has kept him out the last few weeks. The Colts’ offensive line leads the league by allowing only eight sacks this season — and the pass rush is a weakness for the Titans. Rivers should have plenty of time to pick apart the Tennessee secondary. Indianapolis also leads the NFL by allowing only 290.0 total YPG. They go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total. The Colts have also played 12 of their last 19 games Over the Total in expected close games where they are listed in the +/- 3-point range. Tennessee has seen the Over go 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Over the Total after a win at home. And while the Titans shutout the Bears in the first half last week, they have then played 26 of their last 44 games Over the Total at home after not allowing more than 3 points in the first half of their last game. They stay at home where the Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games — and the Over is also 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. Tennessee has also played 4 straight home games Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: The Titans have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against AFC South opponents — and the Colts have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against divisional foes. And in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Tennessee, the game finished Over the Total 4 times. 10* NFL Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Indianapolis Colts (121) and the Tennessee Titans (122). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (109) and the Bowling Green Falcons (110). THE SITUATION: Kent State (1-0) enters this game coming off their 27-23 win over Eastern Michigan last Wednesday as a 4.5-point favorite. Bowling Green (0-1) looks to rebound from their 38-3 loss at Toledo as a 24-point underdog last Wednesday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Flashes flexed their muscles on defense last week by holding the Eagles to just 302 total awards along with just 1.9 Yards-Per-Carry in their rushing game. Kent State should be improved on defense with their young unit that returned six starters and their top-three tacklers from last year’s group. The Golden Flashes generated 219 rushing yards in the win — and they have then played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Now this team goes on the road where they played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a favorite. They also have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when laying 10.5 to 21 points. And in their last 5 games with the Total set in the 56.5 to 63 point range, Kent State has played 4 of these games Under the Total. Bowling Green managed only 267 total yards last week in scoring only a field goal. The Falcons have then played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they also played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after a setback by at least 20 points. Furthermore, Bowling Green has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 6 points in their last game — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after not gaining more than 275 yards in their last contest. They return home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total. They also have played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing at Bowling Green. With the winds up to 23 miles-per-hour which will wreak havoc on the passing games, expect a lower-scoring game. 10* CFB Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Kent State Golden Flashes (109) and the Bowling Green Falcons (110). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (475) and the New York Jets (476). THE SITUATION: New England (2-5) has lost four straight games after their 24-21 loss at Buffalo last Sunday. New York (0-8) lost their eighth straight game last week with their 35-9 loss at Kansas City as a 20-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss by 3 points or less to an AFC East rival. New England stays on the road this week where they have played 10 of their last 11 road games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. They also have played 15 of their last 21 road games Under the Total as a favorite. Additionally, the Patriots have played 5 straight games Under the Total in November — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on Monday Night Football. New York has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total on Monday Night Football. Furthermore, the Jets have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. And in their last 5 games after failing to score more than 14 points, New York has played 4 of these games Under the Total. The Jets are scoring only 11.8 PPG this season while averaging just 258.9 total YPG. With Sam Darnold doubtful with a shoulder injury, it will be Joe Flacco under center tonight. He is completing only 51.9% of his passes this season. New York returns home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as a home underdog. And while they will be without defensive end Quinnen Williams with his hamstring injury for this game, the Jets have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 7 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing in the Meadowlands. 10* NFL New England-NY Jets ESPN O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (475) and the New York Jets (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (473) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (474). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (5-2) comes off a 26-23 win at Chicago in overtime last Sunday as a 5.5-point favorite. Tampa Bay (6-2) enters this game coming off a 25-23 win at New York against the Giants as a 13-point favorite for Monday Night Football.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Weather is going to play a role in this one with winds expected to be around 20 miles-per-hour. Winds at that speed impact the intermediate and deeper passing games — and Drew Brees and Tom Brady are not the strongest arms in the league at the point in their careers. Both defenses can adjust accordingly with the deep threats not quite as credible in these conditions. The Saints have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after victory as a favorite where they did not cover the point spread. New Orleans has also played 20 of their last 30 games Under the Total after a win by 3 points or less on the road. Additionally, the Saints have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning at least four games in a row. And while New Orleans has averaged 405.7 Yards-Per-Game over their last three games, they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after averring at least 400 YPG in their last three games. The New Orleans defense is underrated — while they allow 28.1 PPG, that is accompanied with them surrendering just 328.3 total YPG. In their last three games, the Saints are allowing only 320.7 total YPG. Tampa Bay has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win on the road where they did not cover the point spread as a favorite. The Buccaneers defense may be the best in the NFL — they are allowing just 20.6 PPG while not allowing more than 23 points in six of their eight games. They limit their opponents to only 299.5 total YPG due to their outstanding run defense that leads the league by holding their opponents to just 70.4 rushing YPG. New Orleans wants to run the ball to set up Brees with their play-action passing game. They are averaging 119.3 rushing YPG while topping the 90-yard plateau in six of their seven games. Tampa Bay defensive coordinator completely stymied Aaron Rodgers a few weeks ago by holding the Packers to just 10 points. Rodgers completed only 16 of 35 passes for 107 yards. The Buccaneers also lead the league with only three missed tackles all season — so don’t expect Alvin Kamara to break free for big gains. Tampa Bay returns home for this game where they have played 15 of their last 20 home games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total when playing at Tampa Bay. While many bettors are expecting a higher scoring game in the rematch of the 34-23 Saints victory in the opening week of the season, expect fewer points this time around. Both these teams like to burn time off the clock with long drives — and neither team’s offenses are very explosive even without 20 MPH winds. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (473) and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (474). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 12:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (389) and the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (390). THE SITUATION: Arkansas State (3-4) has lost two straight games after their 38-10 loss to Troy last week as a 3.5-point favorite. UL-Lafayette (5-1) has won their last two games after their 44-34 win at Texas State as a 17-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Red Wolves have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after suffering an upset loss at home. Now Arkansas State goes back on the road where they are scoring only 24.8 PPG along with averaging 416.5 total YPG in four games which is a significant drop off from their 31.1 PPG and 461.0 total YPG season averages. The Red Wolves have played 5 of their last 7 road games Under the Total as an underdog — and the Under is also a decisive 30-13-1 in their last 44 road games against teams with a winning record at home. UL-Lafayette has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while the Ragin’ Cajuns generated 614 yards of offense in their win over the Bobcats, they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. They return home where they have played 6 straight games Under the Total. And in their last 13 games when they were favored, UL-Lafayette has played 10 of these games Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: The Ragin’ Cajuns have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total in November — and the Red Wolves have seen the Under go 10-4-1 in their last 15 games in November. With the Total approaching 70, expect a lower than expected final score. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Arkansas State Red Wolves (389) and the UL-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (390). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:45 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boise State Broncos (314) and the Brigham Young University Cougars (313). THE SITUATION: BYU (7-0) remained unbeaten this season last Saturday with their 41-10 victory at home against Western Kentucky as a 31.5-point favorite. Boise State (2-0) won their second-straight game this season with their 49-30 win at Air Force last Saturday as a 13-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cougars held the Hilltoppers to just 262 total yards to earn the victory last week. The BYU defense is only allowing 13.4 PPG along with 281.3 total YPG this season. The Cougars have played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 275 yards in their last contest — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last contest. Furthermore, BYU has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win by at least three touchdowns — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a point spread to cover as a double-digit favorite. The Cougars are scoring 44.7 PPG this season and they have put up at least 41 points on the scoreboard in three straight games — but they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after scoring at least 37 points in two straight games. They also have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last contest. Now this team goes back on the road after covering the point spread in six of their seven games. BYU has played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total way from home after covering the point spread in five or six of their last seven contests. Boise State has played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. This Broncos defense returned six starters from the group that allowed only 21.9 PPG last season. They did allow Air Force to gain 484 yards last week but 415 of those yards were on the ground against their unique spread triple option. Boise State has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. They also have played 25 of their last 35 home games Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road.

FINAL TAKE: Boise State has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total in November in that colder Idaho weather — and BYU has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total with the Total set at 56.5 to 63. 10* CFB Friday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boise State Broncos (314) and the Brigham Young University Cougars (313). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (301) and the San Francisco 49ers (302). THE SITUATION: Green Bay (5-2) has lost two of their last three games after their 28-22 upset loss at home to Minnesota as a 5.5-point favorite on Sunday. San Francisco (4-4) saw their two-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with their 37-27 loss at Seattle as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Packers have played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after winning five or six of their last seven games. Green Bay generated 400 yards against the Vikings in that loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total. Despite that haul of yardage, the Packers’ offense has slowed down significantly since playing Tampa Bay three weeks ago when defensive coordinator Todd Bowles designed a game plan of complicated stunts and disguised schemes that stymied Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay is scoring only 22.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging just 326.7 total YPG in this copycat league. The Packers also allowed Minnesota to generate only 324 yards but a 6.75 Yards-Per-Play rate — and they have played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total after allowing their last opponent to average at least 6.0 YPP.  Their loss last week came on the heels of their 35-20 victory over Houston two weeks ago — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 50 points were scored. Green Bay stays on the road this week where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total as a favorite. Additionally, the Packers have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total in the second half of the season. Green Bay will not be at full strength with running backs A.J. Dillon and Jamal Williams on the COVID list. Running back Aaron Jones is also questionable with a calf injury — so he is a game-time decision. If Jones cannot play, the available running backs to the Packers’ offense is Tyler Ervin (who is mostly a pass-catching back) and Dexter Williams who would be activated off the practice squad. Those absences are minor compared to the M*A*S*H unit that is San Francisco. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo and tight end George Kittle are out indefinitely. Running back Tevin Coleman has been downgraded to out with a knee. Wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk, left tackle Trent Williams, and wide receiver Deebo Samuel are on the COVID list. Nick Mullens will run the offense — and this will be a run-heavy game-plan against the suspect Packers run defense that is allowing their opponents to average 4.7 Yards-Per-Carry. San Francisco swept the two meetings between these two teams last year — including in the NFC Championship Game where they won by a 37-20 score. The formula for success was running the football and dominating the physical battle — and head coach Kyle Shanahan will certainly keep this same approach for this rematch. This commitment to running the football will burn time off the clock while likely reducing the number of offensive possessions for both teams — and Shanahan is disciplined to not abandon the run if his team falls behind. San Francisco has averaged 402.7 YPG over their last three games — and they have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after averaging at least 400 YPG over their last three games. The Niners return home where they have played 15 of their last 22 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. San Francisco has also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total as an underdog. Despite a host of injuries on defense headlined by the losses of Nick Bosa, Richard Sherman, and Dee Ford, the Niners are still only allowing 21.6 PPG along with 314.6 total YPG — and those numbers have dropped to 19.7 PPG and 300.7 YPG over their last three games. San Francisco has an outstanding defensive coordinator in Robert Saleh who will have certainly studied closely the Bowles’ game plan from three weeks ago.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco has played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing on Thursday Night Football. Expect a lower scoring game. 25* NFL Thursday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (301) and the San Francisco 49ers (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (273) and the New York Giants (274). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (5-2) has won two straight as well as five of their last six games after their 45-20 victory in Las Vegas last Sunday against the Raiders as a 3.5-point favorite. New York (1-6) looks to rebound from their 22-21 loss at Philadelphia two Thursdays ago as a 5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Buccaneers have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a victory by at least two touchdowns. Additionally, Tampa Bay has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after scoring at least 40 points in their last game — and they have played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after playing a game away from home where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Bucs generated 454 yards against the Raiders’ defense last week — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Tampa Bay has scored 83 combined points in their last two games. They have played 21 of 29 games Over the Total when playing on the road — and they have 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range. New York has played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after a loss by 6 points or less — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss where they covered the point spread as an underdog. The Giants have also played 7 of their last 8 games Over the Total after a point spread victory. New York has played their last two games Under the Total — and not only have they then played 12 of their last 17 games Over the Total after playing an Under in their last game but they have also played 4 straight Overs after playing their last two games Under the Total. They return home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total as an underdog.

FINAL TAKE: Tampa Bay has played 12 of their last 14 games Over the Total against NFC foes — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record. The Bucs should be winning this game with the Giants in catch-up mode — and that tempo should push the final score to finish above the number. 10* NFL Tampa Bay-NY Giants ESPN O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (273) and the New York Giants (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (271) and the Philadelphia Eagles (272). THE SITUATION: Dallas (2-5) has lost two straight games as well as four of their last five contests with their 25-3 upset loss at Washington last week. Philadelphia (2-4-1) looks to build off their 22-21 win over the New York Giants last week as a 5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns. Dallas has also played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. They will be turning to rookie Ben Dinucci under center with Andy Dalton on the shelf after suffering a concussion last week. Frankly, the 7th round pick from James Madison cannot do much worse than Dalton has for this team. He passed for over 3400 yards in his senior season taking the Dukes to the national championship game. He adds desperately needed mobility to the position that Dalton lacks — he rushed for 569 yards with seven touchdowns last season for James Madison. I expect offensive coordinator Kellen Moore to get creative with Dinucci with some designed run plays. I also expect more creativity from Moore in getting the ball in the hands of the uber-talented Dallas wide receiving corps. And I expect more from running back Ezekiel Elliott after the Cowboys managed only 83 rushing yards last week against the Football Team. Dallas has played 14 of their last 16 games Over the Total after failing to rush for at least 90 yards in their last game. The offensive line for the Cowboys is mired with injuries but they do expect guard Zack Martin to return to the starting lineup for this game. Dinucci’s mobility will make a big difference. Dallas has played two straight Unders with Dalton being their primary quarterback. The Cowboys have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after a game that fished Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after playing two straight Overs. Even if Dallas struggles to score points, their defense is likely to offer the Eagles plenty of scoring opportunities. The Cowboys are last in the league by allowing 34.7 PPG — and these opponents are generating 408.1 total YPG against them this season. Philadelphia is scoring 26.3 PPG over their last three games while averaging 380.7 total YPG despite a number of injuries on offense. Quarterback Carson Wentz led an offense that gained 442 yards against the Giants last week — and the Eagles have played 5 straight games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. Wentz has thrown six touchdown passes in his last three games. The Philly offense is slowly getting healthier with tackle Lane Johnson, tight end Dallas Goedert, and rookie wide receiver Jalen Reagor all expected to play tonight. And while the Eagles win over the Giants last week finished Under the 44.5 point total, they have then played 12 of their last 20 games Over the Total after playing a game that finished Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Dallas has played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total as a double-digit underdog — and they have also played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total against fellow teams from the NFC East. With the number in the low-40s, expect a higher scoring game. 25* NFC East Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (271) and the Philadelphia Eagles (272). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi Rebels (185) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (186). THE SITUATION: Ole Miss (1-4) has lost three games in a row after their 35-28 loss at home to Auburn as a 3.5-point underdog. Vanderbilt (0-3) returns to the field after getting last week off looking to rebound from a 41-7 loss at home to South Carolina as a 14.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Commodores managed only 249 total yards against the Gamecocks’ defense. Vandy has scored only 26 combined this season — they are averaging a mere 8.7 PPG along with just 256.7 total YPG. The Under is 27-13-1 in their last 41 games after a double-digit loss at home. The Commodores have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a bye week. Vandy allowed South Carolina to generated 485 yards in that loss — but the Under a 36-14-1 in their last 51 games after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. They stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Vanderbilt has also played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. Mississippi has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Rebels ran the 51 times against the Tigers (as opposed to just 28 pass attempts) to gain 283 rushing yards for head coach Lane Kiffin’s offense — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Now Ole Miss goes back on the road where they have played 21 of their last 27 road games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 10 of their last 14 meetings Under the Total — and they have played 5 of their last 7 encounters in Nashville at Vandy Under the Total. 10* CFB Saturday Afternoon O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Mississippi Rebels (185) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (186). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (101) and the Carolina Panthers (102). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (1-6) looks to bounce back from their 23-22 upset loss at home to Detroit as a 1-point favorite on Sunday. Carolina (3-4) has lost their last two games after their 27-24 loss at New Orleans as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Falcons surrendered 386 yards to the Lions in their loss last week — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Quarterback Matt Ryan did complete 31 of 42 passes for 338 yards in a losing effort last week. Atlanta has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 250 yards in their last contest. Now the Falcons go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total as an underdog. Furthermore, the Over is 20-8-1 in Atlanta’s last 29 games against teams with a losing record. The Falcons have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against fellow NFC opponents — and the Panthers have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against teams from the NFC. Carolina has also played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Panthers are getting great play from quarterback Teddy Bridgewater who is tied for 6th in the NFL by averaging 8.2 Yards-Per-Attempt. He heads an offense that is 11th in the league by averaging 263.7 passing YPG — and Carolina should have success moving the football in the air against this Falcons defense that is 31st in the NFL by allowing 333 passing YPG. Atlanta is also last in the NFL by allowing 8.46 Yards-Per-Play. The Panthers return home where they have played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total as the favorite. The Falcons have also played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total against fellow NFC South opponents.

FINAL TAKE: Atlanta should have Julio Jones in this game as he deals with his nagging hamstring injury. Jones caught 8 catches for 97 yards last week. The Falcons are averaging 28.4 PPG when Jones plays this season — and the combined final score in those games is 59.4. 10* NFL Thursday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (101) and the Carolina Panthers (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (103) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (104). THE SITUATION: South Alabama (3-2) has won two straight games against Sun Belt Conference rivals after their 38-14 win over UL-Monroe on Saturday as a 14-point favorite. Georgia Southern (3-2) looks to rebound from a 28-14 loss at Coastal Carolina a 1-point underdog on Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jaguars have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after winning two in a row — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after winning their last two games against conference rivals. And while South Alabama allows 282 passing yards to the War Hawks, the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least 280 passing yards in their last game. Now after playing their last two games at home, the Jaguars go back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total. South Alabama has also played 9 of their last 13 road games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after playing their last two games at home. Additionally, the Jaguars have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total in October. Georgia Southern has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And while quarterback Shai Werts passed for only 94 passing yards last week after completing only 7 of 20 passes, the Eagles have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after not passing for more than 170 yards in their last game. Now after playing three of their last four games on the road, Georgia Southern returns home where they have played 4 straight games Under the Total as a favorite. The Eagles have also played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Georgia Southern returned their top four tacklers from last season — and they are allowing only 20.8 PPG this year.

FINAL TAKE: Georgia Southern has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total when playing on a Thursday — and the Under is 4-1-2 in South Alabama’s last 7 games played on a Thursday night. 25* CFB Thursday ESPN Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the South Alabama Jaguars (103) and the Georgia Southern Eagles (104). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (475) and the Los Angeles Rams (476). THE SITUATION: Chicago (5-1) has won two games in a row after their 23-16 upset win at Carolina as a 2-point underdog. Los Angeles (4-2) looks to bounce back from their 24-16 upset loss at San Francisco last Sunday night as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bears have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Chicago’s defense is holding its opponents to just 19.3 PPG this season. The Bears have not allowed more than 26 points all season — and they have held their last three opponents to less than 20 points. But the Chicago offense is another matter entirely. The Bears are averaging only 21.3 PPG this season — and tapping Nick Foles as their savior for a post-Mitchell Trubisky era has not solved the problem. Chicago has scored only 43 combined points in their last two games while settling for five field goals after stalled drives along the way. Foles is averaging only 5.9 Yards-Per-Pass-Attempt over his last two starts. He is not getting much help from the Bears’ rushing attack that is without running back Tarik Cohen is out the season with a torn ACL. In their two last two victories, Chicago has accumulated only 98 total rushing yards while averaging just 2.5 Yards-Per-Carry. Now this team stays on the road where they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record at home — and they have played 10 of their last 13 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Chicago has also played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total as an underdog overall. Furthermore, the Bears have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. The Rams surrendered 390 yards last week to the 49ers, but they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Los Angeles has been playing good defense as they have held their opponents to just 19.0 PPG along with 318.5 total YPG. The Rams return home where they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total when laying the points. Los Angeles has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total as the favorite.

FINAL TAKE: The Rams have played 6 straight games Under the Total in October — and the Bears have played 4 straight Unders in October. Chicago has also played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on Monday Night Football. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Chicago Bears (475) and the Los Angeles Rams (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (467) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (468). THE SITUATION: Seattle (5-0) returns to the field after their bye week after last defeating Minnesota by a 27-26 two weeks ago as a 6.5-point favorite. Arizona (4-2) comes off a 38-10 upset win at Dallas on Monday as a 1-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after winning at least three games in a row. Seattle comes off their bye week which means head coach Pete Carroll and his staff has conducted their self-scout regarding what they need to improve. There is no question that the defensive-oriented Carroll made decisions regarding how to improve his defense that is last in the league by allowing 471.2 total YPG. The Seahawks will not have Jamal Adams tonight but they should still play better on that side of the football — even if it means that they do not “Let Russ Cook” as much because they need to run the ball more to protect their defense by keeping them off the field. The fewer plays a defensive player has to make, the fresher he will be later in the game — that is what the coaches say. Seattle has allowed at least 415 yards in all five of their games this season — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in their last game. The Seahawks have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games. The 27 points that Seattle scored last week were the fewest they have put up on the scoreboard all season. The Seahawks have played 23 of their last 31 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in three straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in four straight contests. Seattle goes back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored. The Seahawks have also played 4 straight games Under the Total in October. Arizona has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Additionally, the Cardinals have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a win by at least two touchdowns. Arizona has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after playing on Monday Night Football. The Cardinals will take a page out of the Vikings’ playbook to run the football to keep Wilson off the field. Seattle was on offense for just 20:32 minutes against Minnesota with the Vikings running the ball 40 times for 201 yards. QB Kyler Murray may get the headlines but Arizona is averaging 30 rushing attempts per game for 161 rushing YPG. The Under is 3-1-1 in the Seahawks’ last 5 games after they allowed at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. This commitment to keeping the running game going has helped the Cardinals rank second in the league by allowing 18.7 PPG. Arizona returns home where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 8 of their last 11 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Additionally, the Cardinals have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total against fellow NFC foes.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played did not see more than 40 combined points scored in their two divisional meetings last season — and the last 5 clashes in Arizona have all finished Under the Total. 25* NFC West Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (467) minus the points versus the Arizona Cardinals (468). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (471) and the Denver Broncos (472). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (5-1) returns to action after their 26-17 win at Buffalo on Monday as a 5.5-point favorite. Denver (2-3) look to build off their 18-12 upset win at New England last Sunday as a 7-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chiefs flexed their muscles on defense by holding the Bills to just 206 total yards. Kansas City is allowing only 21.2 PPG this season. Offensive coordinator has his offense running the ball a bit more as they are averaging 30 rushing attempts per game while averaging 140 rushing YPG. This is helping to keep opposing offenses off the field as they are averaging 31:22 minutes per game. The Chiefs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Kansas City stays on the road where they have played 6 straight games Under the Total — and they have played 4 straight road games Under the Total when favored. And in their last 9 games against AFC West rivals, the Chiefs have played 7 of these games Under the Total. Denver held the Patriots to just 288 total yards last week. The Broncos have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread win — and the Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Denver returns home where they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total — and they have played 16 of their last 21 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. Furthermore, the Under is 18-8-1 in the Broncos’ last 27 games as an underdog — and they have played 9 of their last 11 home games Under the Total as the dog. The Denver offense behind QB Drew Lock is averaging only 305.2 total YPG which is resulting in just 20.0 PPG. They will want to run the ball plenty to burn time off the clock to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. This approach should ensure a lower-scoring game as the Broncos have played 13 of their last 15 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range.

FINAL TAKE: The Under is 5-2-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams when playing in Denver. 10* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (471) and the Denver Broncos (472). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (463) and the New York Jets (464). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (4-2) ha lost two straight games after their 26-17 loss to Kansas City on Monday as a 5.5-point underdog. New York (0-6) remained winless on the season last Sunday with their listless 24-0 loss at Miami as a 10-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bills have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Buffalo offense managed only 206 yards against the Chiefs on Monday. The Josh Allen for Most Valuable Player talk has completely ceased after the Bills have scored only 21.0 PPG over the last three weeks while averaging just 304.0 total YPG. Allen completed just 14 of 27 passes on Monday for 122 yards. Buffalo has played 4 straight games Under the Total after failing to gain at least 250 yards in their last game — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after not passing for at least 150 yards in their last contests. The Bills’ defense surrendered 466 yards to Kansas City as well — but they have then played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Buffalo goes on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record at home. Furthermore, the Bills have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total with the number set in the 42.5 to 49 point range — and they have played 6 straight games away from home Under the Total with the total in that 42.5 to 49 range. Playing the Jets may be just what the proverbial doctor ordered as their injury-plagued offense is scoring just 12.5 PPG while averaging 276.7 total YPG. New York has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 13 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 21 points. Joe Flacco was the quarterback last week in getting a shutout — and Sam Darnold is probable to play this afternoon. But with running back Le’ Veon Bell traded to Kansas City, he simply lacks supporting talent at the skill positions. The Jets have played 10 of their last 16 home games Under the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points — and they have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. New York has also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total against fellow AFC East foes.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the September 13th meeting between these two teams which the Bills won by a 27-17 score. The Jets have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing with same-season revenge. 25* AFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (463) and the New York Jets (464). Best of luck for us — Frank.

PLEASE NOTE: This play is for Tulsa-South Florida Under (I incorrectly loaded that Report for this Louisiana-UAB Under which was my Free Play here at Sportscapping). I apologize for the error and confusion -- Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (307) and the South Florida Bulls (308). THE SITUATION: Tulsa (1-1) takes the field again for the first time in 20 days after their 34-26 upset win at Central Florida as a 20.5-point underdog on October 3rd. South Florida (1-4) has lost four games in a row with their 39-37 loss at Temple last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. Tulsa did surrender 330 passing yards in that game along with 455 total yards to the Knights — but they have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after giving up at least 280 passing yards in their last contest. Now they stay on the road where they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total. The Golden Hurricanes have an improved defense this season. They have are allowing just 21.0 PPG this year along with 369.5 total YPG which is about 25 YPG below last year’s season average after losing a low scoring game to begin their season at Oklahoma State by a 16-7 score. Tulsa’s first two games have finished Under the Total — and they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders. And in their last 12 games played in October, the Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of these games Under the Total. South Florida has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss to an American Athletic Conference rival. They also have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 37 points in their last game. And while the Bulls have lost their last three games to American Athletic Conference rivals, they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after losing at least two straight games against conference foes. They return where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games. South Florida is struggling to score points this season as they are averaging just 19.0 PPG while averaging only 329.6 total YPG behind redshirt sophomore QB Jordan McCloud. The Bulls have played 7 straight games Under the Total as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points.

FINAL TAKE: Tulsa is scoring only 20.5 PPG themselves which is the tenth lowest of all teams that started play this season. The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in October. 10* CFB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (307) and the South Florida Bulls (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (307) and the South Florida Bulls (308). THE SITUATION: Tulsa (1-1) takes the field again for the first time in 20 days after their 34-26 upset win at Central Florida as a 20.5-point underdog on October 3rd. South Florida (1-4) has lost four games in a row with their 39-37 loss at Temple last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread win. They have also played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. Tulsa did surrender 330 passing yards in that game along with 455 total yards to the Knights — but they have then played 14 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in their last game. They also have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total after giving up at least 280 passing yards in their last contest. Now they stay on the road where they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total. The Golden Hurricanes have an improved defense this season. They have are allowing just 21.0 PPG this year along with 369.5 total YPG which is about 25 YPG below last year’s season average after losing a low scoring game to begin their season at Oklahoma State by a 16-7 score. Tulsa’s first two games have finished Under the Total — and they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after playing two straight Unders. And in their last 12 games played in October, the Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of these games Under the Total. South Florida has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss to an American Athletic Conference rival. They also have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after allowing at least 37 points in their last game. And while the Bulls have lost their last three games to American Athletic Conference rivals, they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total after losing at least two straight games against conference foes. They return where the Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games. South Florida is struggling to score points this season as they are averaging just 19.0 PPG while averaging only 329.6 total YPG behind redshirt sophomore QB Jordan McCloud. The Bulls have played 7 straight games Under the Total as an underdog getting 10.5 to 21 points.

FINAL TAKE: Tulsa is scoring only 20.5 PPG themselves which is the tenth lowest of all teams that started play this season. The Golden Hurricanes have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total in October. 10* CFB Friday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (307) and the South Florida Bulls (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (303) and the Philadelphia Eagles (304). THE SITUATION: New York (1-5) snapped their five-game losing streak on Sunday with their 20-19 win over Washington as a 2-point favorite. Philadelphia (1-4-1) has lost two games in a row with their 30-28 loss at home to Baltimore as a 10.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Giants have played a decisive 31 of their last 42 games Under the Total after a narrow win by three points or less — and they have played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after a win by no more than a field goal against an NFC East rival. Additionally, New York has played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss — and they have played 12 of their last 15 games away from home Under the Total after a victory where they failed to cover the point spread. The Giants are struggling to score points with running back Saquon Barkley out the season with his torn ACL. New York is scoring just 16.8 PPG while averaging a mere 275.3 total YPG. The Giants leading rusher is QB Daniel Jones — they are 30th in the league by averaging 87.8 rushing YPG. They did pick up Devonta Freeman to be their lead back but he is simply not a threat — his longest carry has gone for only 14 yards. Opposing defenses can lay off the run and use a linebacker to defend against potential passes. But the Giants’ defense has been playing pretty good — they are holding their home hosts to just 315.3 total YPG this season. New York has played 4 of their last 5 road games Under the Total as an underdog. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Eagles have played two straight Overs where at least 58 combined points were scored. But Philadelphia has played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game that finished Over the Total — and they have played 28 of their last 42 games Under the Total after playing two straight games where at least 50 combined points were scored. The Philly offense is riddled with injuries. They will be without running back Miles Sanders for a few weeks with his knee injury which means their lead back tonight will be the 5’7 Boston Scott who has rushed for only 67 yards on 21 carries. QB Carson Wentz is without a number of his best targets in the passing game. Wide receiver Alshon Jeffrey and tight end Dallas Goedert are out for tonight. Star tight end Zach Ertz has yet to be ruled out but he suffered an ankle injury that the doctors think will keep him on the shelf for weeks. Wide receiver DeSean Jackson plans to take the field tonight after missing the last three games but it remains to be seen how effective the 33-year old can be coming off a hamstring injury that may impact his speed. The Eagles offensive line is even in worse shape. Starters Brandon Brooks, Andre Dillard, and Isaac Seumaol are all out. The team brought back Jason Peters after Dillard suffered his season-ending biceps injury — and he is also on the Injured Reserve. Tackle Lane Johnson will take the field despite his ankle injury but rookie backup Jack Driscoll is out tonight with an ankle. Wentz has been sacked 25 times this season — and being hurried has contributed to his nine interceptions. The Giants have a good pass rush that ranks 10th in the legacy with 15 sacks. Philadelphia has played 8 of their last 10 games at home Under the Total — and they have played 7 straight home games Under the Totals at home laying 3.5 to 7 points. The Eagles have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total when playing in Philadelphia. 25* NFC East Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Giants (303) and the Philadelphia Eagles (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Cardinals (275) and the Dallas Cowboys (276). THE SITUATION: Arizona (3-2) enters this game coming off a 30-10 win in New York against the Jets as a 7-point favorite last Sunday. Dallas (2-3) comes off a 37-34 win over New York Giants as a 7.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Cowboys have to adjust to running their offense without Dak Prescott who suffered a season-ending ankle injury last week. Andy Dalton is capable at quarterback but he does have Prescott’s mobility. Dallas also does not want Dalton throwing the ball close to 50 times a game as what Prescott was about averaging. The Cowboys are going to have to run the football to take the pressure off Dalton — and that will also help their defense by keeping them relatively fresh since they will be on the field for fewer plays. Dallas has scored at least 31 points in each of their last four games — and they have then played 7 of their last 11 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in four straight games. The Cowboys have given up 20 and 31 points in their last two games — and they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 17 points in the first half in two straight games. And while Dallas has averaged 6.48 Yards-Per-Play in four straight games, they have then played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after averaging at least 6.0 YPP in four straight contests. The Cowboys have lost the turnover battle in four straight games as well — but they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after having at least a -1 net turnover margin in four straight games. Dallas did hold the Giants to just 89 rushing yards last week — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Arizona has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up win. And while Kyler Murray completed 27 of 37 passes for 380 yards against the Jets, the Cardinals have then played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after passing for at least 250 yards in their last game. Arizona stays on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 10 games away from home Under the Total with the total set at 45.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Cardinals have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in October. Arizona games have seen an average of 46 combined points per game so far this season — expect the final score of this game to be closer to that mark than the 68.6 combined points per game that had been scored in Dallas’ games. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Arizona Cardinals (275) and the Dallas Cowboys (276). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 5:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (277) and the Buffalo Bills (278). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (4-1) looks to rebound from their 40-33 upset loss at home to Las Vegas as an 11-point favorite last Sunday. Buffalo (4-1) comes off a 42-16 upset loss at Tennessee on Tuesday where they were 3-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chiefs played their worst defensive game of the season against the Raiders who popped the for 490 yards of offense against them. This is an improving defense under defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo whose unit is allowing just 22.0 PPG. Kansas City has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Chiefs go back on the road where they have played 5 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road — and they have 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And while Patrick Mahomes passed for 340 yards against the Raiders’ defense, Kansas City has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a game where they passed for at least 300 yards. Buffalo has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Bills did hold the Titans to just 334 yards in an improved effort from their defense — but they allowed Tennessee to score touchdowns on all six of their Red Zone trips. Yet this remains a team that has played 8 of their last 9 games as an underdog Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas City will be without wide receiver Sammie Watkins who is out with a hamstring injury — and that takes away an important deep threat for Mahomes. The Bills will look to back to basics with their run game tonight to limit Mahomes’ possessions. The Chiefs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total when playing on Monday Night Football. 10* NFL Kansas City-Buffalo Fox-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (277) and the Buffalo Bills (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (273) and the San Francisco 49ers (274). THE SITUATION:  Los Angeles (4-1) has won two straight games with their 30-10 win at Washington as a 7-point favorite last Sunday. San Francisco (2-3) was upset for the second straight week last Sunday with their 43-17 shellacking at the hands of Miami as an 8.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Rams have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after a straight-up win on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a win by double-digits. The Los Angeles defense flexed their muscles by sacking Football Team quarterbacks seven times while holding them to just 108 total yards of offense. The Rams limited Washington to only 38 rushing yards in that game — and they have then played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after not allowing at least 90 rushing yards in their last game. They also have played 4 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 250 passing yards in their last contest. Now Los Angeles goes back on the road where they have played 12 of their last 15 games Under the Total. They also have played 12 of their last 18 games Under the Total in games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. And in their last 5 games in October, the game finished Under the Total all 5 times. San Francisco has played 20 of their last 28 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points at home. The Under is also 5-1-1 in their last 7 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest. The 49ers are also simply ravaged with injuries especially on defense where Richard Sherman, Joey Bosa, and Dee Ford are on IR while linebacker Kwon Alexander is out with an ankle. Yet despite all this attrition, San Francisco is fifth in the NFL by allowing only 323.0 YPG — and they are third in the league by allowing only 215.6 passing YPG and only six touchdown passes. They allowed 350 passing yards last week — but the Under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. The 49ers have also played 9 of their last 14 games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: San Francisco has played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total as an underdog. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 12 games Under the Total as a favorite — and they have played five of their last six games Under the Total on the road when laying the points. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Rams (273) and the San Francisco 49ers (274). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (281) and the New England Patriots (282). THE SITUATION: Denver (1-3) gets back on the field after their 37-28 upset win at New York against the Jets on October 1st as a 1-point favorite. New England (2-2) looks to rebound from their 26-10 loss at Kansas City in their last game on October 5th.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Under is 13-3-1 in the Broncos’ last 17 games after a straight-up win — and the Under is 11-5-1 in their last 17 games after a point spread victory. The Under is also 5-2-1 in their last 8 games after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. Look for the Denver offense to be rusty with the 17 days between games. The Broncos will also have QB Drew Lock under center but he is not 100% with his shoulder injury. Lock will not have two important weapons to help him with tight end Noah Fant out with an injury and running back not making the trip to New England given an illness. Those are some tough losses for an offense that is scoring only 20.5 PPG along with jut 306.8 total YPG. New England has played 16 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss — and they have played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. The Patriots have also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, the Patriots have played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a loss by at least two touchdowns — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not scoring more than 14 points in their last game. New England does get Cam Newton back under center but this offense might also be out-of-synch having not played in thirteen days (longer without Newton) and them still dealing their facilities being closed intermittently due to new COVID cases.

FINAL TAKE: The Patriots are good defense — they limited the Chiefs offense to just 323 yards of offense and just 19 points with Kansas City’s final touchdown coming from an interception return. New England has played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record. The Patriots have also played 9 of their last 11 games Under the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. 20* NFL Sunday Afternoon Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (281) and the New England Patriots (282). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (461) and the Tennessee Titans (462). THE SITUATION: Buffalo (4-0) remained unbeaten last week with their 30-23 win at Las Vegas as a 3-point favorite on October 4th. Tennessee (3-0) finally takes the field again after last playing on September 27th where they defeated the Vikings in Minnesota by a 31-30 score as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bills have played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and the Under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after a point spread win. Additionally, while Buffalo allowed 383 yards to the Raiders in their last game, they have then played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. The Bills stay on the road where the Under is 20-8-1 in their last 29 games away from home. The Under is also 9-3-1 in Buffalo’s last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Tennessee defeated the Vikings in their last game despite allowing 464 yards in that game. The Titans have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Tennessee allowed 480 total yards in their previous game against Jacksonville — but head coach Mike Vrabel should get his defense to play better tonight. Not only have the Titans played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total after allowing at least 400 yards in two straight games but they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 450 yards in two straight contests. I like the extended time that Vrabel and his staff have had to devise a scheme-specific against the Bills’ QB Josh Allen. But the Titans have issues on offense. While wide receiver A.J. Brown is expected to play despite his injured knee, quarterback Ryan Tannehill will be without his other two starting wide receivers in Corey Davis and Adam Humphries who are both on the COVID list. The seventeen days since their last game along with just two practices since the Tennessee facilities opened up again on Saturday could hurt the efficiency of the Titans offense as they look to get back in-synch.

FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total in October while the Under is 5-2-1 in Buffalo’s last 8 games in October. 10* NFL Tuesday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Buffalo Bills (461) and the Tennessee Titans (462). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (477) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (478). THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (1-3) has lost three straight games after their 38-31 loss at Tampa Bay as a 7.5-point underdog last Sunday. New Orleans (2-2) snapped a two-game losing streak last Sunday with their 35-29 victory in Detroit against the Lions as a 3-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Chargers put up 31 points against a good Buccaneers defense despite only generating 324 total yards in that game. They have then played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total after scoring at last 30 points in their last game. Led by rookie Justin Herbert, Los Angeles has generated at least 278 passing yards in three straight games — but they have then played 23 of their last 33 games Under the Total after passing for at least 275 yards in three straight games including playing five of these last six situations Under the Total. Herbert is lacking plenty of support in this game with offensive linemen Trai Turner and Bryan Bulaga along with jack-of-all-trades running back Austin Ekeler out for tonight. And while Tom Brady torched the Chargers’ secondary missing Delvin Ingram for 369 passing yards in that game, they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game. Additionally, Los Angeles has played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total when playing on Monday Night Football. New Orleans has played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 35 points in their last game — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined points were scored. And while the Saints raced out to a 28-14 halftime lead against the Lions, they have then played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 24 points in the first half of their last game. New Orleans returns home where they have played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. Quarterback Drew Brees is also dealing with a banged-up offensive line with injuries to Andrus Peat and Ryan Ramczyk that leave them questionable for tonight. And while wide receiver Michael Thomas was questionable with the ankle that kept him out the previous two games, he was suspended for tonight’s game by the field after a physical altercation with a teammate.

FINAL TAKE: The Saints have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total in October while the Chargers have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total in October games. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Los Angeles Chargers (477) plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints (478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (475) and the Seattle Seahawks (476). THE SITUATION: Minnesota (1-3) won their first game of the season last Sunday with their 31-23 upset win at Houston as a 3.5-point underdog. Seattle (4-0) remains unbeaten this season after they defeated Miami on the road last week by a 31-23 score as a 4.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Quarterback Kirk Cousins has received his usual level of criticism during the losing streak — but he has led an offense that has scored 61 combined points over the last two games and that has reached the 30-point threshold in three of their four games this season. Justin Jefferson has emerged as a solid replacement for Stefon Diggs and a good complement to Adam Thielen — he has 11 receptions for 278 yards. Minnesota generated 410 yards last week — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The Vikings have also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total. The problem for this Minnesota team has been the collapse of their defense that really needed a normal preseason with exhibition games to address the departures from last season. The Vikings are allowing 31.3 PPG. Seattle has played 13 of their last 19 games Over the Total after a straight-up win. They have passed for at least 275 yards in all four of their games — after QB Russell Wilson completed 24 of his 34 passes last week of 360 yards — and the Seahawks have played 11 of their last 12 games Over the Total after a game where they passed for at least 250 yards. But the bigger concern is their defense that is allowing 476.8 total YPG. The Seahawks have allowed at least 312 passing yards in all four of their games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 275 passing yards in three straight games. Now Seattle returns home where the Over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total against teams with a losing record on the road. The Seahawks have also played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total when playing in Seattle. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Minnesota Vikings (475) and the Seattle Seahawks (476). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (321) and the Georgia Bulldogs (322). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (2-0) enters this game with eight straight wins going back to last season with their 35-12 win over Missouri last Saturday as a 10-point favorite. Georgia (2-0) comes off their triumphant 27-6 victory over Auburn as a 7.5-point favorite last Saturday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bulldogs flexed their defensive muscles last week by making their claim that they have the best defense in the nation. Georgia held the Tigers to just 216 yards of offense in that game. The Bulldogs have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Georgia has also played 7 straight games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. The Bulldogs are holding their opponents to just 8.0 PPG along with only 248 YPG. Georgia did rush for 202 yards against the Auburn defense — but they have then played 5 straight games Under the Total after rushing for at least 200 yards in their last game. Georgia got a great quarterbacking effort from former walk-on Stetson Bennett who completed 17 of 28 passes for 240 yards. While the Bulldog Nation starts anointing him a Heisman Trophy candidate, I am not so sure that he does not take a step back this week with another week of game tape on him and now the clear starter after last week’s mystery regarding who head coach Kirby Smart would tap as his starter under center. Georgia stays at home where the Under is 29-9-2 in their last 41 games — and the Under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bulldogs have also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total when favored. Tennessee has played 8 straight games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after a point spread victory. The Volunteers have also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win by at least 20 points. Tennessee held the Tigers to just 344 yards last week in their victory (and that Mizzou offense is scoring at will on LSU this afternoon). The Vols are holding their opponents to just 19.5 PPG. Tennessee has also played 5 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: The Volunteers rank just 71st of the 74 competing FBS teams in Success Rate on offense in blitz downs — and they are 44th in the nation in Big Plays and a daunting 72nd of 74 teams in opponent sack rate. They have scored only 26 combined points in their last three meetings against Georgia with quarterback Jarrett Gaurantano playing in all three of those games. He has been asked four times in those three games while averaging just 5.2 Yards-Per-Attempt. 10* CFB Tennessee-Georgia CBS-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tennessee Volunteers (321) and the Georgia Bulldogs (322). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (301) and the Chicago Bears (302). THE SITUATION: Tampa Bay (3-1) has won three straight games with their 38-31 win at home against the Los Angeles Chargers as a 7.5-point favorite. Chicago (3-1) lost their first game of the season on Sunday with their 19-11 loss at home to Indianapolis as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bears have played 5 of the last 6 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Chicago has also played 13 of their last 16 games Under the Total after scoring less than 15 points in their last contest. Quarterback Nick Foles struggled as the starter in this game — the Bears offense managed only 269 total yards in that game. The Chicago rushing attack did not help the offense’s cause as they managed only 28 rushing yards on 16 carries for a meager 1.8 Yards-Per-Carry average. But the Bears defense did play well by limiting the Colts to only 289 total yards. Chicago is 7th in the league by allowing only 20.2 PPG. They stay at home where they have played 7 of their last 10 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Bears have also played 8 of their last 10 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record overall — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Under the Total as an underdog. Tampa Bay has won three straight games — and this is a franchise that has played a decisive 56 of their last 87 games Under the Total after winning two of their last three games. Injuries will likely slow down this team this week. Quarterback Tom Brady did not have his top four wide receivers available to practice on Tuesday. Chris Godwin and Justin Watson are now out for this game with Mike Evan a game-time decision and Scottie Miller likely to play despite being questionable. Tight end O.J. Howard was already lost for the season on Sunday with his Achilles’ injury. This leaves Brady without many weapons — and while he might have been able to manufacture offense with the players he knew very well back in his New England days, playing on a short week with a new cast of characters and a new offense presents a much different challenge. And while Brady has led the offense to average 30.0 PPG in their three-game winning streak, they have faced the Panthers, Broncos (without the injured Von Miller), and Chargers (without the injured Derwin James and Melvin Ingram) in those games. I expect the Bucs to lean heavily on their ground game with Ronald Jones leading the way along with their outstanding defense. Tampa Bay is 4th in the NFL by allowing only 312.0 total YPG — and they are 2nd in the league by holding their opponents to just 64.3 rushing YPG. The Buccaneers also have 14 sacks which are the 3rd most in the NFL — and they are 2nd in the league with eight takeaways. Tampa Bay has played 26 of their last 43 road games Under the Total when favored by up to 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: Head coach Bruce Arians has been an Over Machine in the league — especially during his time in Tampa Bay. But some of that credit/blame goes to Jameis Winston who was a turnover machine. Interestingly, in the seven games in Tampa Bay and Arizona has been the head coach for a Thursday night game, the game finished Under the Total 5 times. 10* NFL Tampa Bay-Chicago Fox-TV O/U Special with Under the Total in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (301) and the Chicago Bears (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 9:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (279) and the Green Bay Packers (280). THE SITUATION: Atlanta (0-3) will be playing with desperation tonight after losing their third straight game last Sunday by a 30-26 score despite being a 2.5-point favorite. Green Bay (3-0) is unbeaten so far this season after they upset New Orleans last Sunday night by a 37-30 score on the road as a 3.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Falcons defense is ravaged with injuries. The team is without Ricardo Allen, A.J. Terrell, Darqueze Dennard, and Keanu Neal. Atlanta’s pass defense is second-to-last in the NFL by allowing 350.3 passing YPG and the nine touchdown passes they have allowed are tied for last in the NFL. The Falcons have also allowed 15 passing plays of 20 or more yards which is tied for the second-most in the league. They allowed the Bears to gain 437 yards last week — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Atlanta allowed the Cowboys to gain 570 yards against them two weeks ago in their 40-39 loss in Dallas — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing their last two opponents to average at least 450 yards. The Falcons have also played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after giving up at least 30 points in their last contest. Atlanta is moving the ball on offense — they are scoring 30.0 PPG while averaging 419.0 total YPG. Matt Ryan is 3rd in the NFL with 961 passing yards this season — and he has seven touchdown passes to just two interceptions. The Falcons go back on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total — and they have played 7 of their last 9 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting no more than 7 points. Green Bay has played 4 straight games Over the Total after a win. And while they allowed the Saints to gain 397 yards last week, they have then played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. This Packers defense that is last in the NFL by allowing 6.6 Yards-Per-Play. Opposing quarterbacks have racked up a Passer Rating of 113.4 which is the 3rd highest in the league. Green Bay is also allowing opposing rushers to average 5.5 Yards-Per-Carry. The Packers return home where they have played 7 of their last 9 home games Over the Total when favored by 3.5 to 7 points — and they have played 6 of their last 9 home games Over the Total with the number set at 45.5. Green Bay has also played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: Even without his top two wide receivers, Davante Adams and Allan Lazard,  who are out with injuries tonight, Aaron Rodgers should be able to move the ball supported by a rushing attack that is averaging 177 rushing YPG. He completed passes to eight different receivers last week — and he is completing 67% of his passes. Expect a shootout tonight. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Atlanta Falcons (279) and the Green Bay Packers (280). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (277) and the San Francisco 49ers (278). THE SITUATION: Philadelphia (0-2-1) enters this game coming off a 23-23 tie with Cincinnati where they were 5.5-point favorites. San Francisco (2-1) returns home after winning their two games in the Meadowlands which concluded with their 36-9 win against the Giants last week.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Much has been made of the struggles Carson Wentz is experiencing. He has the lowest Passer Rating of all qualifying quarterbacks in the league. He is completing only 59.8% of his passes which is just 28th of qualifying NFL quarterbacks. He is working behind a depleted offensive line riddled with injuries. Yet despite all this, the Eagles did generate 381 yards last week — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. The good news for Wentz is the Miles Sanders has been upgraded to probable to offer him a credible rushing threat that should take some of the pressure off him. The running back has generated 190 rushing yards over his last two games with a crisp 5.0 Yards-Per-Carry average. Last week’s game finished Under the Total —and the Eagles have played 6 straight road games Over the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. And while Philly has yet to cover the point spread this season, they have then played 7 straight games away from home Over the Total after not covering the point spread in two straight games. Philly did hold the Bengals to just 48 rushing yards last week — and they have played 4 straight games Over the Total if they did not allow more than 90 rushing yards in their last game. Furthermore, the Eagles have played a decisive 41 of their last 61 games on the road Over the Total — and this tightens to them playing 18 of their last 23 road games Over the Total when they are the underdog. San Francisco has played 14 of their last 22 games Over the Total after a win by at least three touchdowns. The 49ers have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. The Niners held the Jets and the Giants to only 3 and 6 points in the first half in their last two games — and they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after not allowing more than a touchdown in the first half in two straight games. San Francisco is dealing with a long list of injuries — Nick Bosa, Richard Sherman, Dee Ford along with cornerbacks Emmanuel Moseley and Akhello Witherspoon are all out for this game. But the 49ers are getting healthy on offense with tight end George Kittle and wide receiver Deebo Samuel upgraded to probable for this game. QB Jimmy Garoppolo remains out with his ankle injury but backup Nick Mullens has proven himself to be more than capable of operating Kyle Shanahan’s offense at a highly proficient rate. Mullens completed 25 of 36 passes last week for 343 yards without all team’s offensive weapons. The Niners generated 420 yards of offense in that game — and the Over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after gaining at least 350 yards in their last game. San Francisco returns home where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total — and they have played 5 straight games Over the Total against teams with a losing record.

FINAL TAKE: The Over is 9-3-1 in the 49ers’ last 13 games against fellow NFC opponents — and the Over is also 9-3-1 in their last 13 games when favored. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Philadelphia Eagles (277) and the San Francisco 49ers (278). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (153) and the Georgia Bulldogs (154). THE SITUATION: Auburn (1-0) comes off a 29-13 win over Kentucky last Saturday as a 6.5-point favorite in the opening game of their season. Georgia (1-0) also won their first game of the season last Saturday when defeated Arkansas on the road as a 6.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Tigers’ 29 points is a bit deceptive regarding the quality of their offensive effort last week. Auburn only gained 324 yards of offense last week. They were given a short field from a fumble recovery near the Red Zone along with a failed fake punt by the Wildcats. The Tigers rushed for only 91 yards on 30 carries with their best run being of just 12 yards. Auburn has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after failing to rush for at least 100 yards in their last game. The Tigers now go on the road where they have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog — and they have played 13 of their last 17 games Under the Total as an underdog overall. Additionally, Auburn has played 11 of their last 17 road games Under the Total as a dog getting 7.5 to 14 points. And in their last 5 games against SEC foes, the Tigers have played 4 of these games Under the Total. Auburn will have trouble moving the ball against what might be the best defensive unit in the country. Georgia returns eight starters from a defense that led the nation by allowing only 12.6 PPG last season. The Bulldogs’ defense held the Razorbacks last week to just 280 yards. Both of Arkansas’ scoring drives were just 24 and 43 yards. Georgia has played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 6 straight games Under the Total after a win by 20 or more points. The Bulldogs have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 20 points in their last game. But the Georgia offense is an entirely different story. For starters, who will be their starter under center? Redshirt freshman Dawn Mathis got the start last week but struggled to move the offense with the Bulldogs leading by just a 7-5 score at halftime. Junior Stetson Bennett came on in relief with the former walk-on completing 20 of 29 passes for 211 yards to lead his to the easy win. That performance will likely be enough for head coach Kirby Smart to tap him as his starter. Yet Georgia still averaged only 4.3 Yards-Per-Play against Arkansas while generating 360 hidden yards stemming from their defense and special teams to help get their 37 points — and one of their scores came from a 30-yard interception return for a touchdown. Former USC QB J.T. Daniels was also medically cleared to play this week after recovering from the torn ACL he suffered in the opening game last year for the Trojans — but the spring transfer has only begun full-contact practices on Monday. The problem for Georgia is this unsettled QB situation is combined by a young offensive line as well as a rebuilt running back and wide receiver groups. The Bulldogs rushed for only 121 yards last week while averaging 2.9 Yards-Per-Carry. Georgia has played 7 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record — and they have played 4 straight Unders against teams ranked in the top-ten. The Under is also 28-9-2 in the Bulldogs’ last 39 games at home — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Under the Total when favored.

FINAL TAKE: Georgia won last year’s meeting on the road by a 21-14 score. Tigers’ QB made the start last year in his freshman campaign — he completed 30 of 50 passes for 245 yards but he averaged just 4.9 Yards-Per-Attempt. These two teams have played 6 of their last 7 meetings Under the Total — and the Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 encounters in Athens. 25* CFB SEC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Auburn Tigers (153) and the Georgia Bulldogs (154). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (101) and the New York Jets (102). THE SITUATION: Denver (0-3) is winless so far this season with their 28-10 loss at home to Tampa Bay on Sunday as a 6-point underdog. New York (0-3) has also lost their first three games this season after their 36-7 loss at Indianapolis on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Broncos have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after a point spread loss. And with their game with the Buccaneers falling below the 42 point total, they have then played 14 of their last 21 games Under the Total after a game that finished Under the Total. The Denver offense was a work in progress even before being hit hard by the injury bug. Quarterback Drew Lock is out indefinitely with a shoulder injury. Jeff Driskel led an offense that generated only 226 yards last week. He was relieved by Brett Rypien in that game — and after the former undrafted QB out of Boise State completed 8 of 9 passes for 53 yards (and an interception in the end zone), head coach Vic Fangio named him the starter for this game despite it being played on a short week. Wide receiver Cortland Sutton is on the IR with an ACL injury while running back Phillip Lindsay is questionable with his injury. The defense is also riddled with a long list of injuries with Von Miller’s ankle injury that put him on IR being the most significant — but they did receive good news this week with cornerback Bryce Callahan, strong safety Kareem Jackson, and nose tackle Shelby Harris all upgraded to probable and expected to start tonight. The Broncos have allowed 17 and 23 points in the first half of their first two games — but they have then played 14 of their last 18 games Under the Total after allowing at least 17 points in the first half in two straight games. Denver did hold the Buccaneers to just 68 rushing yards last week — and they have played 7 straight games Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their last contest. And while the Broncos surrendered 353 yards overall to Tampa Bay, the Under is 19-6-1 in their last 26 games after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Now Denver goes back on the road where the Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 games. New York has played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points — and they have played 4 straight games Under the Total after allowing at least 35 points in their last contest. And while the Jets allowed the Colts to gain 353 yards last week, they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. New York managed only 260 yards of offense last week with third-year quarterback Sam Darnold struggling under Adam Gase’s offense. The Jets are scoring only 12.3 PPG this season while averaging 263.7 total YPG. Injuries have not helped Darnold’s cause with running back Le’Veon Bell and rookie wide receiver Denzel Mims both on Injured Reserve and wide receiver Breshard Perriman out with a shoulder injury. Mims and Perriman were new additions this season to jumpstart the Jets’ offense that was 29th in the league by averaging 194.4 passing YPG and totaling just 17.2 PPG which was second-to-last in the NFL.

FINAL TAKE: New York has played 6 straight games Under the Total when hosting an AFC opponent — and Denver has played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total against fellow teams from the AFC. While the Total is low, this is one of those games where one (or both) of these teams may not reach double-digits. 25* AFC Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Denver Broncos (101) and the New York Jets (102). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (489) and the Baltimore Ravens (490). THE SITUATION: Kansas City (2-0) rallied from a 17-6 deficit in the 3rd quarter last week to defeat the Chargers in Los Angeles in overtime by a 23-20 score as an 8.5-point favorite. Baltimore (2-0) enters this showdown coming off a 33-16 win at Houston last Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite. 

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Ravens have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up win — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a win after by at least two touchdowns. The Ravens lead the league in scoring defense by allowing just 24 points this season with their 38-6 win over Cleveland in Week One. Baltimore has played 11 of their 13 games Under the Total after two straight double-digit wins — and they have played 33 of their last 49 games Under the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. The Ravens have also played 22 of their last 30 games Under the Total after two straight wins where they covered the point spread as the favorite. Now Baltimore returns home to M&T Bank Stadium where they have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total with the Total set at 45.5 or higher — and they have played 6 of their last 8 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record on the road. The Ravens have also played 5 of their last 6 home games Under the Total when favored. The Baltimore strategy for success tonight will be running the football to burn time off the clock and to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. The Ravens rushed for 230 yards last week against the Texans — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Kansas City surrendered 479 yards last week against the Chargers with 183 of those yards on the ground. The Chiefs have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game — and they have played a whopping 35 of their last 51 games Under the Total after allowing at least 150 rushing yards in their last game. Additionally, Kansas City has played 4 straight games Under the Total when playing on the road.

FINAL TAKE: The public is in love with the Over tonight — and that is creating more value on the under with every half point that the market bets the number up. What is underappreciated is how well the defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuola has done to limit Lamar Jackson. Jackson only had 46 rushing yards in last year’s 33-28 victory for the Chiefs which is the 4th lowest in his career. The benefit of having Tyrann Mathieu allows Spags to both use him as a spy for Jackson running out the backfield as well as a very good defender against tight end Mark Andrews. 10* NFL Monday Daily Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs (489) and the Baltimore Ravens (490). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (487) and the New Orleans Saints (488). THE SITUATION: Green Bay (2-0) has started the season unbeaten after defeating the Lions at home in Lambeau Field last week by a 42-21 score as a 7-point favorite. New Orleans (1-1) looks to rebound from their 34-24 upset loss in Las Vegas against the Raiders on Monday as a 4-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Packers’ offense is clicking on all cylinders as they have scored a whopping 85 points in their first two games. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers may be playing behind the best offensive line in his career this season. Not only has he suffered just one sack this season but the Green Bay running game is averaging 208 rushing YPG on 6.2 yards-per-carry. The Packers have played 19 of their last 26 games Over the Total after a win by at least 14 points — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after a win by at least 10 points. Green Bay generated 488 total yards against the Lions — and they have then played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after gaining at least 40 yards in their last game. The Packers outrushed Detroit by 170 net yards on Sunday — and they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after outrushing their last opponent by at least 150 yards. Now Green Bay goes back on the road where they have played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total. New Orleans has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after a straight-up loss. The Saints gained 424 yards in the losing effort — and they have played 21 of their last 27 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. Now New Orleans returns home where the Over is 13-5-1 in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record on the road. The Saints also allowed 377 yards last week to the Raiders — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last contest. And in their last 14 games in September, New Orleans has played 10 of these games Over the Total.

FINAL TAKE: While both these teams may be without important weapons in wide receivers Michael Thomas and Devante Adams, both offenses move the ball quite well without either player last week. These two teams have played 7 of their last 8 meetings Over the Total. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (487) and the New Orleans Saints (488). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Thursday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins and the Jacksonville Jaguars (302). THE SITUATION: Jacksonville (1-1) enters this game coming off a 33-30 loss at Tennessee as a 7-point underdog. Miami (0-2) is winless in their first two games of the season after their 31-28 loss at home to Buffalo last Sunday as a 5.5-point underdog.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jaguars have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a loss on the road — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a loss to a divisional rival. Additionally, Jacksonville has played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a game where at least 50 combined points were scored. Quarterback Gardner Minshew comes off a big game where he completed 30 of 45 passes for 339 yards — but the Jags have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a game where they passed for at least 300 yards. Minshew may be without one of his top weapons in wide receiver D.J. Chark who is questionable with a chest injury. Now Jacksonville returns home where they have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total — and they have played 4 of their last 5 home games Under the Total when favored. Miami needs to tighten things up on defense after allowing 524 total yards last week against the Bills. But the Dolphins have still played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in September. Additionally, the Under is 8-2-1 in Miami’s last 11 appearances on Thursday Night Football.

FINAL TAKE: The Dolphins have played 26 of their last 36 games on the road Under the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher. Jacksonville has played 11 of their last 17 games Under the Total with the number installed in the 42.5 to 49 point range. 10* NFL Thursday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Miami Dolphins and the Jacksonville Jaguars (302). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (289) and the Las Vegas Raiders (290). THE SITUATION: New Orleans (1-0) enters this game coming off a 34-23 win at home to Tampa Bay last Sunday as a 4-point favorite. Las Vegas (1-0) comes off a 34-30 win at Carolina where they were 3-point favorites.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The final score for the Saints was a bit deceiving with one of their touchdowns being score from a 36-yard interception. New Orleans had a +3 net turnover margin — but they managed to generate only 271 yards of offense. The Saints averaged just 4.1 Yards-Per-Play against the Buccaneers which was the 2nd lowest average of all teams in Week One. Quarterback Drew Brees completed just 18 of his 30 passes for only 160 yards. His adjusted completion percentage was just 24th best in the league last week after missing a handful of open receivers. Maybe it was just one bad week without the benefit of preseason — or maybe Father Time is beginning to catch up with the 41-year old. Brees will not have the benefit of his favorite target in Michael Thomas who is out with an ankle injury. The Saints did add wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders in the offseason — and I expect them to use running back Alvin Kamara as a slot receiver in passing downs — but this is an offensive not at full strength without their best weapon in the passing attack. Thomas caught a whopping 149 catches last year for 1725 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. As it is, New Orleans has played 6 of their last 9 games Under the Total after a win over an NFC South rival. Additionally, the Saints have played 10 of their last 14 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game — and they have played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total after playing a game that went Over the Total. Furthermore, New Orleans has played 5 of their last 8 road games Over the Total as a favorite of no more than 7 points — and they have played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total with the total set at 45.5 or higher. And in their last 5 second games to a new season, the Saints have played 4 of these games Under the Total. The Under is 10-4-1 in Las Vegas’ last 15 games after a straight-up win. The Raiders have also played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total after allowing at least 30 points in their last contest — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a game where at least 60 combined goals were scored. Las Vegas did not score more than 24 points in each of their final games last season — and they averaged just 15 PPG over that stretch. QB Derek Carr lacked a credible deep threat all season — that was supposed to be the role Antonio Brown would have assumed. The team drafted Alabama speedster Henry Ruggs with their 1st round pick to address this need — and he was targeted five times with three catches for 55 yards in the first half. Ruggs is listed as questionable to play but he will take the field tonight — however, it is unclear how effective he will be as he nurses the knee injury that kept home out of the second half last week. Las Vegas will rely on running back Josh Jacobs for this game — but the Saints have not allowed a 100-yard rusher in forty-four straight games. The Raiders did allow 260 passing yards last week — but the Under is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: Las Vegas had played their last four appearances representing Oakland Under the Total when playing on Monday Night Football. Gruden’s teams have played 19 of their last 26 games Under the Total when playing in the first two weeks of the season including playing four of five Unders as the coach of the Raiders. 25* NFL Monday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New Orleans Saints (289) and the Las Vegas Raiders (290). Best of luck for  us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (287) and the Seattle Seahawks (288). THE SITUATION: New England (1-0) won their opening game of the season last week with their 21-11 win over Miami as a 7-point favorite. Seattle (1-0) also won their debut to the 2020 season with their 38-25 victory over Atlanta where they closed as a 2.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total in September after last week’s game. don’t sleep on the New England defense despite losing a handful of players who opted-out this season. The Patriots’ secondary remains elite led by cornerback Stephon Gilmour. The front-seven is a work-in-progress which is why controlling possession is so important. New England limited the Dolphins to just 169 yards of offense last week while averaging a mere 4.6 Yards-Per-Play — and they forced three turnovers. Since the start of 2019, the Patriots lead the NFL in these defensive categories still: allowing 13.9 PPG; allowing only 275.5 total YPG; 28 interceptions; opponent Passer Rating of 61.7. New England has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games on the road — and they have covered the point spread in 5 of their last 6 road games as an underdog. The Patriots also limited Miami to just 87 rushing yards last week — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 90 rushing yards in their last contest. The new-look Cam Newton run offense was clicking on all cylinders last week as they generated 357 total yards of offense on the strength of 202 rushing yards on 42 rushing attempts. The analytics folks tend to dismiss time of possession — perhaps that is one of the reasons they tend to replicate coin flips when making ATS prognostications? I assign plenty of value to the Patriots’ controlling the clock for 34:49 minutes last week. Not only does that keep the opposing offense off the field, but it keeps your own defense relatively fresh with one or two fewer defensive possessions they have to play in the game. That makes a big deal when coaching-up younger players — and that is what New England needs with their make-shift front seven. The Patriots have played 11 of their last 16 games Under the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. New England has also played 15 of their last 22 games Under the Total when playing on the road. Seattle has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total in September even after last week’s high-scoring game — and they have played 4 of their last 6 games Under the Total after a double-digit win. The Seahawks have also played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after scoring at least 30 points in their last game. And while they allowed 434 passing yards to the Falcons last week, they have played 13 of their last 20 games Under the Total after allowing at least 350 passing yards in their last game.

FINAL TAKE: While New England seems committed to their ground game, don’t be surprised if Seattle avoids the outstanding Patriots’ secondary by getting back to their rushing attack to take advantage of the suspect New England front seven. Expect this to be a quick game with the running clock with what should see perhaps sixty rushing attempts between both teams. 10* NFL Sunday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (287) and the Seattle Seahawks (288). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 10:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (481) and the Denver Broncos (482). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (0-0) takes the field again after a 9-7 campaign that ended by losing at Kansas City in the AFC Championship Game. Denver (0-0) comes off a 7-9 season last year.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Titans will have revenge on their mind after getting shutout in Denver back on October 13th by a 16-0 score. That was the final straw for head coach Mike Vrabel who benched starting quarterback Marcus Mariota in that game. Ryan Tannehill came on to complete 13 of 16 passes in relief with that effort being enough to earn him the starting job that he then ran away with for the rest of the season. Tennessee won nine of their last thirteen games while leading the team one win away from the Super Bowl. Tannehill completed 67.9% of his passes while throwing 27 touchdown passes to just six interceptions. Tannehill opened up the vertical threats for this team as he completed 9.0 Yards-Per-Attempt in the passing game. But what defined success for Tannehill was his ability to operate in play-action. Tannehill sells the fake hand-off with the Titans using the play-action decoy to Derrick Henry (and the other running backs) 77.1% of the time with Tannehill under center. Tannehill generated a Passer Rating of 140.6 in the playoffs in play-action which was the best of all quarterbacks in the postseason. He will face a depleted Broncos’ pass rush that will be without Von Miller who went on IR with an ankle injury. Bradley Chubb will be on a pitch count as well with him dealing with an injured ACL. The lack of a pass rush will likely have Tannehill licking his chops. He completed 72.9% of his passes with a clean pocket with 21 touchdowns and just four interceptions while averaging 9.63 YPA — and his 122.6 Passer Rating from a clean pocket led the NFL last season. Tennessee should come out very motivated to avenge being shutout last year — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total in the opening week of a new season. This team averaged 24.1 PPG last season — and they also averaged 24.9 PPG on the road last season along with posting a 350.8 total YPG mark. The Titans have also played 7 of their last 10 games Over the Total against AFC opponents. Furthermore, Tennessee has played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total as a favorite — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total when laying the points. Denver has played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total in September — and they have played 8 of their last 10 games Over the Total in the opening week of a new season. The Broncos are excited about the potential of their offense this season in the second season of quarterback Drew Lock. The former Missouri Tiger won four of his five starts to end the season last year. The organization hired Pat Shurmer to be the offensive coordinator after he became available when he was let go as the New York Giants’ head coach. The team also surrounded Lock with more weapons by signing running back Melvin Gordon from the Chargers and drafting Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler. The Broncos need to improve their 18.8 PPG scoring average at home last season. Denver held their guests to just 17.9 PPG but that is a number that looks destined for regression given the attrition that the unit has endured. Not only is Miller out but they also lost defensive back Chris Harris, Jr. to a middling unit in production as they were just 14th against the pass and 15th against the run. Frankly, their defensive scoring average was somewhat the product of a defensive head coach in Vic Fangio who ran the ball to burn time off the clock to shorten the game and rest his defense. If and when the Broncos fall behind in this game, then Denver will have to abandon the run game.

FINAL TAKE: Tennessee has played 4 straight games Over the Total on Monday Night Football. Expect Tannehill to have a good game which will force the Broncos to lean on Lock to win this game — and that is a recipe for an Over with the Total set in the low-40s. 25* AFC Total of the Month with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (481) and the Denver Broncos (482). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:15 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Giants. THE SITUATION: Pittsburgh (0-0) comes off an 8-8 season last year. New York (0-0) looks to build off a 4-12 campaign last season.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Steelers are optimistic that quarterback Ben Roethlisberger will be rejuvenated coming off elbow surgery after an injury that caused him to miss fourteen games last year. Fingers are crossed for the 38-year old but, like with Tom Brady yesterday, perhaps he is another quarterback who would have benefitted from the five to eight offensive series that a few preseason games would have provided him. Pittsburgh has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total in September. Head coach Mike Tomlin is likely to continue to lean on his outstanding defense especially when playing away from Heinz Field. The Steelers have played 39 of their last 52 games Under the Total on the road — and they have also played 22 of their last 27 road games Under the Total as the favorite. Pittsburgh was 5th in the league last year by allowing just 18.9 PPG — and they ranked 3rd best in the NFL by allowing only 194.6 passing YPG. The Steelers dialed-up 54 sacks last season while forcing 38 takeaways which is not good news for the second-year quarterback they will be facing. Pittsburgh has played 11 of their last 14 games Under the Total with the number set in 42.5 to 49 point range — and this includes them playing seven straight Unders when playing on the road with the Total set in that range. New York is hopeful that Daniel Jones takes the next step at quarterback after his rookie campaign. His backers are encouraged by the three four-touchdown passing games he produced in the second half of the season. But remember that those contests were against Detroit, the NY Jets, and Washington with defenses that are far cries than what he will face tonight. He will be operating under a new system under rookie head coach Joe Judge who hired Jason Garrett as his offensive coordinator. Jones could use a full preseason to get comfortable with the Garrett game plan. The Giants also have a reshuffled offensive line after Nate Solder opted-out from playing this year. New York drafted Andrew Thomas in the first round while adding center Nick Gates and right tackle Cam Fleming — but there will be growing pains for this unit as they develop cohesion together. The offensive game plan will likely be to rely on star running back Saquon Barkley — but he averaged just 55.7 rushing YPG last year against top-ten defenses as compared to his 90.5 rushing YPG average against the rest of the NFL.

FINAL TAKE: The Giants have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total in the opening two weeks of the season. While those four games were under the Pat Shurmer regime, Judge comes from New England so I do not expect him to suddenly roll out the Air Raid offense in this situation. Expect the Giants to try to run the ball with Barkley as long as they can stay competitive in this game. 10* NFL Monday Night Discounted O/U Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Giants. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:20 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (477) and the Los Angeles Rams (478). THE SITUATION: Dallas (0-0) begins the new era of head coach Mike McCarthy tonight as he replaces Jason Garrett after his ten-year tenure ended with the Cowboys’ 8-8 finish last season. Los Angeles (0-0) looks to get back to the playoffs after missing the postseason last year despite their 9-7 record.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: McCarthy kept Kellen Moore as the offensive coordinator while deferring to him to continue to call plays for quarterback Dak Prescott. But the stout offensive line that Prescott has enjoyed over the years is not as strong. Five-time Pro Bowl center Travis Frederick returned in the offseason while their elite right tackle, La’El Collins, is beginning the year on the IR with a hip injury. The depth of the Cowboys will now be tested with Joe Looney taking over at center after playing in just five snaps last season while the poorly graded Cameron Erving becomes their best option at right tackle. Red zone offense was a problem for the Dallas offense when they were playing on the road last season. They averaged 388.4 total YPG away from home but that only translated into 22.1 PPG. The Cowboys’ offense may also struggle without the benefit of the preseason to implement the new principles that McCarthy wants to bring to the offense. As it is, Dallas has played 5 of their last 8 games Under the Total in September. Additionally, the Cowboys have played 17 of their last 25 games Under the Total as an underdog (which they now are after the line movement earlier in the day) — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games on the road Under the Total when the underdog. Dallas does have a new defensive coordinator in Mike Nolan — and I think the veteran has a lot to offer the Cowboys. Dallas only allowed 20.4 PPG on the road last year along with just 322.6 total YPG. The Cowboys have also played 3 of their last 4 games Under the Total with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. Los Angeles has played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. The Rams have also played 7 of their last 9 games Under the Total when favored — and this includes them playing four of their last five games Under the Total when favored at home. The LA defense improved significantly midseason after the acquisition of cornerback Jalen Ramsey from Jacksonville. For the season, the Rams allowed only 339.6 total YPG. I have heard some pundits comment about how tough head coach Sean McVay is early in the season after the benefit of the offseason to devise new plays and offensive strategies. Yet Los Angeles has played 31 of their last 51 games Under the Total in the opening two weeks of the season including playing three of their last four opening two games Under the Total in the last two seasons. The Rams have also played 10 of their last 16 games Under the Total in the first half of the season. LA will have the benefit of surprise on defense with new defensive coordinator Joe Staley calling the defense — and Dallas does not have the benefit of even vanilla game-tape from exhibition games to get a sense of what changes he will implement.

FINAL TAKE: These two teams last played on December 15th where the Cowboys pulled a 44-21 upset win as a 1-point underdog with the final score flying over the 48 point total. Dallas ran the ball 36 times for 248 yards and three touchdowns — but their two highest-graded offensive linemen from that game were Fredericks and Collins who will not be on the field tonight. The Cowboys will likely stick with their commitment to the run with Ezekiel Elliott but expect this rematch to be a much lower-scoring game. 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the Dallas Cowboys (477) and the Los Angeles Rams (478). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:30 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the San Francisco 49ers (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). THE SITUATION: San Francisco (15-3) joined them in the Super Bowl later that day with their 37-20 victory over Green Bay as an 8-point favorite. Kansas City (14-4) has won eight straight games with their 35-24 victory over Tennessee on January 19th in the AFC Conference Championship Game as a 7.5-point favorite. The Super Bowl will be played on a neutral field in Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The adage is that matchups make prizefights — and I say that matchups also go a long way in assessing whether a game will go Over or Under the Total. Both these teams had Top-Eight scoring offenses and defenses in the regular season. I think it will be the offenses that have the edge for both teams in what should push into a higher scoring game. The Chiefs enter the Super Bowl averaging 283 passing YPG — and the 49ers have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who average at least 230 passing YPG. Kansas City also allows their opponents to average 351.7 total YPG in their eighteen games this season — and San Francisco has played 10 of their last 13 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against opponents who allow at least 350 YPG. The weakness of this Chiefs defense is against the run — even after their seeming improvement over the last eight games of the season, Kansas City ranked 27th in the NFL over that span in Expected Points Allowed per rushing attempt faced. The Chiefs allowed 4.8 Yards-Per-Carry this season — and the Niners have played 9 of their last 12 games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams that allowed their opponents to average 4.5 or more YPC. San Francisco has scored 64 combined points in their two playoff games — and they have then played 30 of their last 45 games on the road Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in two straight games. The 49ers have also played 13 of their last 16 games on the road Over the Total when playing with two weeks of rest and preparation. Kansas City has scored at least 26 points in four straight games — and they have played 6 straight games on the road Over the Total after scoring at least 25 points in four straight games. And while the Chiefs have scored 21 and 28 points in the first half of their last two games, they have then played 10 of their last 12 games Over the Total after scoring at least 17 points in the first half in two straight contests. Kansas City has won their last five games all by at least 10 points — and they have then played 6 straight games Over the Total after winning at least two straight games by at least 10 points. They are averaging 29.8 PPG when accounting for their two playoff games — but the 49ers best that with their 30.2 PPG scoring average after their two playoff victories. The Chiefs have played 11 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams who score at least 24 PPG. And while the Niners average 4.7 Yards-Per-Carry in their rushing attack, Kansas City has played 7 straight games Over the Total in the second half of the season against teams who average at least 4.5 YPC.

FINAL TAKE: The Chiefs have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are winning at least 75% of their games. San Francisco has played 10 of their last 15 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. The winner of this game likely scores at least 30 points with both teams likely score at least 24 points one way or another. 25* NFL Total of the Year with Over the Total in the Super Bowl between the San Francisco 49ers (101) and the Kansas City Chiefs (102). Best of luck for us — Frank (and to get my Super Bowl Props Betting Report for my top three prop bets, follow me on Twitter and contact me for this Report as a free courtesy: @FrankSawyer_HS ).

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers (311) and the San Francisco 49ers (312). THE SITUATION: Green Bay (14-3) has won six straight games with their 28-23 win over Seattle last week as a 4.5-point favorite. San Francisco (14-3) has won three straight games after they dispatched of Minnesota last week by a 27-10 score as a 7-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Packers have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a victory at home. They also have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after a point spread loss. Additionally, Green Bay has played 16 of their last 21 games Over the Total after winning at least six straight games. The Packers surrendered 375 yards to the Seahawks in the victory — and they have played 18 of their last 25 games Over the Total after allowing at least 350 yards in their last game. Green Bay has a mediocre defense that has been protected by their commitment to running the football. The Packers rank 18th in the NFL by allowing 352.8 total YPG while the analytics used by Football Outsiders rank their defense 15th in the league in DVOA. Green Bay now goes on the road where they have played 13 of their last 20 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 7.5 to 14 points. They also have played 5 straight games Over the Total in January. The Packers have seen an uptick in their productivity on offense as of late as they have scored 24.7 PPG over their last three games while averaging 386.3 total YPG. San Francisco has scored 29.0 PPG over their last three games which is right in line with their 29.9 PPG scoring average this season which is 2nd best in the league. The 49ers raise that mark to 31.8 PPG in their nine games at home this season. San Francisco has played 5 of their last 7 games at home Over the Total. They also have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total when favored in the 3.5 to 9.5 point range. And in their last 10 games against teams from the NFC, the Over is 7-2-1 for the Niners.

FINAL TAKE: This is a rematch of the 49ers’ 37-8 victory over the Packers by a 37-8 score. Green Bay could not stop the San Francisco offense in that game with the Niners averaging 7.5 Yards-Per-Play. But Aaron Rodgers may have played his worst game of the season as eh managed only 104 passing yards with the Packers averaging a mere 2.8 YPP. Look for Green Bay’s offense to be much more effective in this rematch in what should be a higher scoring game. 10* NFL Green Bay-San Francisco Fox-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers. Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (313) and the Kansas City Chiefs (314). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (11-7) comes off a 28-12 upset win at Baltimore as a 10-point underdog. Kansas City (13-4) rallied from a 24-0 deficit last Sunday to crush Houston by a 51-31 score.

THE SITUATION: The Titans have won three straight games — and they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. Tennessee has not allowed more than 14 points in those three victories — but they have then played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in three straight games. The Titans defeating the Ravens last week despite surrounding 530 yards of offense. Tennessee allowed 6.02 Yards-Per-Play to Baltimore while giving up 345 passing yards. The Titans have then played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total after allowing at least 250 passing yards in their last game — and they have played 11 of their last 17 games Over the Total after giving up at least 6.0 YPP. Now the Titans go back on the road where they have played 4 of their last 5 road games Over the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 7 points. The Tennessee defense is perhaps not as good as advertised as they rank 21st in the NFL by allowing 359.5 total YPG. They also surrender 255.0 passing YPG which is 24th in the league — and that is not a good sign when facing this Chiefs offense led by Patrick Mahomes which is 5th in the NFL by averaging 281.1 passing YPG. Kansas City has won seven straight games — and they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight contests. The Chiefs generated 434 yards against the Texans last week — and they have then played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total after generating at least 350 yards in their last game. Kansas City has covered the point spread in all seven of their victories on their hot streak — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning at least three straight games while covering those games as the favorite. The Chiefs host this game where they have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total. Kansas City has also played 4 of their last 5 home games Over the Total against teams with a winning record on the road — and thy have played 6 of their last 8 home games Over the Total with the number set at 49.5 or higher. Furthermore, the Chiefs have played 10 of their last 13 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 7 points.

FINAL TAKE: Kansas City has played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. And while the Chiefs allow 350 YPG this season, the Titans have played 6 of their last 7 games Over the Total against opponents who allow at least 350 YPG. Look for Kansas City to exceed the 29.4 PPG scoring average they manage when playing at home with Tennessee playing catch-up and scoring in the 20s. 25* AFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (313) and the Kansas City Chiefs (314). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:00 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the National Championship Game between the Clemson Tigers (283) and the LSU Tigers (284). THE SITUATION: Clemson (14-0) reached the National Championship game for the second straight season with their 29-23 win over Ohio State on December 28th as a 2.5-point favorite. LSU (14-0) joined them earlier that day with their 63-28 blowout win over Oklahoma as a 16.5-point favorite. This game will be played on a neutral field in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The offenses are getting all the headlines — and most of the bettor’s attention with the Total approaching the 70 threshold — yet I think both defenses of these teams are being under-appreciated. Clemson surrendered 516 yards of offense to Ohio State but it was their ability thwart three Red Zone trips by the Buckeyes in the first half of that showdown which kept the Tigers in that game. After giving up 16 points in the first 22:20 minutes of that game, the Tigers only gave up one final touchdown over the remaining 37:40 minutes of that game. Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venerable is one of the best in the business — keep in mind his ability to make in-game adjustments if LSU racks up the points early in this game. In the Tigers’ last three Championship Games (all with Venerable), Clemson allowed only 7 combined points in the second half while registering nine combined sacks. On paper, this may be a better statistical defense this season than the one that limited Tua Tagovailoa and a potent Alabama offense to just 16 points in last year’s National Championship Game. Last year’s Tigers’ defense allowed touchdowns in 10.8% of their opponent’s possessions while forcing turnovers in 12.1% of their opponent’s possessions and allowing 29.6% of the available yards per drive to their opponent. The 2019 Clemson defense improved on all those numbers against a comparable schedule: they held their opponents to TD drives in just 8.0% of their possessions while forcing a turnover in 18.0% of their drives while allowing only 26.4% of the available yards per drive to their opponent. The Tigers led the country by allowing their opponents to -152 YPG below their season average. LSU will offer a stiff challenge with them averaging 397.2 passing YPG with a 10.7 Yards-Per-Attempt average — but Clemson has played 12 of their last 16 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 8.0 YPA and they have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams who average at least 250 passing YPG. The extra week to prepare for this game should help Venable as well as they have played 33 of their last 45 games Under the Total with at least two weeks to prepare including seven straight Unders. Clemson has also played 10 of their last 13 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage of at least 75% — and they have played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +17.0 PPG. LSU is outscoring its opponents by +27.8 PPG after their blowout victory over the Sooners. Defensive coordinator Dave Aranda devised a scheme that limited the explosive Oklahoma offense to just 322 yards of offense. It was key plays early in that game that stalled the Sooners’ offense which put them behind the eight-ball versus the Joe Burrow-Tigers offense. LSU held its last four opponents to 270 total YPG. Even better, after taking out that fourth game against Arkansas, the Tigers held their last three opponents to just 15.0 PPG along with only 259.0 total YPG against three above-average offenses in Texas A&M, Georgia and Ole Miss. LSU did generate 692 total yards against a depleted Oklahoma defense — but they have then played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after gaining at least 575 yards in their last game. And while the Tigers have scored at least 37 points in six straight games, they have then played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after scoring at least 37 points in four straight games.

FINAL TAKE: LSU has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral field as a favorite. Clemson has played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total on a neutral field — and they have played 13 of their last 14 games in a dome Under the Total. While the field conditions help the speed of the offenses, it also helps the speed of the defenses. It does not take many Red Zone stops to keep the scoring below the number when it is approaching the 70 point range. Try to wait in placing this bet since I suspect the number will keep being pushed up by the betting public. 25* CFB Bowl Total of the Year with National Championship Game between the Clemson Tigers (283) and the LSU Tigers (284). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 6:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (307) and the Green Bay Packers (308). THE SITUATION: Seattle (12-5) snapped their two-game losing streak last Sunday with their 17-9 victory at Philadelphia as a 1-point underdog. Green Bay (13-3) takes the field again on a five-game winning streak after their 23-20 win at Detroit back on December 29th as a 13.5-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Seahawks have played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Of course, the outcome of their game last week changes dramatically if Eagles’ quarterback Carson Wentz does not get concussed by Jadeveon Clowney early in that contest. Wentz threw only four passes for 3 yards before that late hit before giving way to the game but overmatched Josh McCown who began the season coaching high school football. This Seattle defense is 26th in the NFL by allowing 381.6 total YPG. The Seahawks stay on the road for this game where they have played 8 of their last 11 games Over the Total. Seattle has also played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total on the road against teams with a winning record at home. Additionally, the Over is 7-2-1 in the Seahawks’ last 10 games as an underdog — and they have played 10 of their last 11 games Over the Total in the playoffs as an underdog. Green Bay has played 11 of their last 16 games Over the Total after a win on the road by a field goal or less. They have also played 25 of their last 37 games Over the Total after winning five games in a row. The Packers went into the locker room trailing by a 17-3 score — and they have played 8 of their last 9 games Over the Total after not scoring more than 3 points in the first half in their last game. They did end up gaining 432 yards in that game with Aaron Rodgers completing 27 of 55 passes for 323 yards. Green Bay has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after passing for at least 400 yards in their last game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after attempting at least 50 passes in their last contest. The Under may be tempting for many bettors with the Packers having played four straight Unders. But Green Bay has played a decisive 52 of their last 83 games Over the Total after playing at least two straight Unders — and they have played 20 of their last 29 games Over the Total after playing at least three straight Unders. They have also played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing at least four straight Unders.

FINAL TAKE: The Packers have played 7 of their last 10 home games Over the Total as a favorite laying 3.5 to 7 points. The Seahawks have seen the Over go 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. A final word on the weather: the temperature will be in the mid-20s with snow possible in the second half of the game. These are two cold weather teams — with the Total just in the mid-20s, I don’t think the weather changes this game going over the number. 25* NFC Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (307) and the Green Bay Packers (308). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 3:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). THE SITUATION: Houston (11-6) has won three of their last four contests with their 22-19 win over Buffalo in overtime last Saturday as a 2.5-point favorite. Kansas City (12-4) ended the regular season winning six straight games with their 31-21 victory at home against the Los Angeles Chargers as a 10-point favorite.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: The Texans have played 7 of their last 11 games Over the Total after winning three of their last four games. Houston generated 360 yards of offense against the Bills’ defense last week — and they have played 9 of their last 13 games Over the Total after gaining at least 350 yards in their last contest. But the Texans also surrendered 425 yards in that contest — and they have played 7 of their last 9 games Over the Total after giving up at least 350 yards in their last contest. Houston’s defense is below average as they allow 388.3 total YPG which is 28th in the league — and they have surrendered 442.3 total YPG over their last three contests. Now after playing their last two games at home, they go back on the road where they are allowing 410.2 total YPG. The Texans have played 5 of their last 8 games Over the Total after playing two straight games at home.  Kansas City has won its last three games by at least 10 points with them being favored in all three contests. The Chiefs have played 5 of their last 6 games Over the Total after winning at least two in a row by double-digits — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after winning and covering the point spread as the favorite in at least three straight contests. Kansas City got their ground game going against the Chargers by rushing for 162 yards — and the Over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes has not had as spectacular a fantasy season this year — but he still leads a potent offense that is 5th in the NFL by scoring 28.2 PPG while leading a passing attack that is also 5th in the league by averaging 281.5 passing YPG (despite their dynamic wide receiver, Tyreek Hill, missing some games). The Chiefs are 5th in the NFL by averaging 28.2 PPG. They stay at home where they have played 5 of their last 7 home games Over the Total with the number set at 45.5 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The Chiefs are outscoring their opponents by +9.0 PPG — and Houston has played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams who are outscoring their opponents by at least +6.0 PPG. Kansas City has played 10 of their last 14 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record. 10* NFL Houston-Kansas City CBS-TV O/U Special with Over the Total in the game between the Houston Texans (305) and the Kansas City Chiefs (306). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the Baltimore Ravens (304). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (10-7) has won their last two games after their 20-13 upset victory at New England as a 4.5-point underdog last Saturday. Baltimore (14-2) has won twelve games in a row with their 28-10 upset win at Pittsburgh to end the regular season as a 2-point underdog back on December 29th.

REASONS TO TAKE OVER THE TOTAL: Baltimore was an underdog in that game with the Steelers since they rested key players including quarterback Lamar Jackson. The Ravens still scored four touchdowns with Robert Griffin III under center against a good Pittsburgh defense that needed a win along with a Titans loss to reach the playoffs. Baltimore has played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a double-digit win at home. So here comes a rested Jackson along with Mark Ingram whose injured calf is improving late this week who lead an offense that leads the NFL by scoring 33.2 PPG while ranking 2nd in the league by averaging 407.6 total YPG. What makes this Ravens’ offense so difficult to stop is their ability to play in “13” personnel with one running back and three tight ends who can all catch the ball. While the formation helps a heavy rushing attack, all three of those tight ends can catch the ball while offering Jackson a huge target down the field. Jackson faces a Titans’ defense that ranks 24th in the NFL by allowing 255.0 passing YPG. Baltimore also boasts the NFL’s top rushing attack that averages 206.0 rushing YPG. The Ravens have rushed for at least 218 yards in three straight games — and they have then played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in two straight contests. What may score some bettors off the Over is the outstanding defense that Baltimore plays. They limited the Steelers to just 168 total yards on a mere 3.5 Yards-Per-Play average — but they have then played 4 straight games Over the Total after not allowing their last opponent to average more than 3.5 YPP. And while the Ravens have allowed only 25 combined points in their last two games, they have then played 9 of their last 14 games Over the Total after not allowing more than 17 points in two straight games. Tennessee has played 13 of their last 17 road games Over the Total after an upset victory on the road as an underdog. Derrick Henry battered the Patriots last week as he led a ground game that generated 201 rushing yards — and the Titans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total after rushing for at least 150 yards in their last game. Now this team stays on the road where they are scoring 27.7 PPG while averaging 378.7 total YPG. Tennessee has played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total on the road — and they have played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total against teams with a winning record at home. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill only threw the ball 15 times last week in the win against the Patriots — but he should not be underestimated to move the football in the air in this contest. Since taking over as the starting quarterback in Week Seven, Tannehill led the NFL for the rest of the regular season by averaging 6.94 Yards-Per-Attempt in the passing game — and he was tied for 2nd in touchdowns and 6th in QBR. The Titans have played 5 of their last 7 games Over the Total against teams with a winning record.

FINAL TAKE: While Tennessee head coach would love to slow this game down by running Henry and burning time off the clock, this strategy is neutralized if Baltimore races out to a big lead — and the Ravens are averaging 17.7 PPG in the first half this season. The Titans have played 6 of their last 8 games Over the Total against teams from the AFC — and the Ravens have played 8 of their last 12 games Over the Total against fellow AFC foes. 25* AFC Divisional Playoff Total of the Year with Over the Total in the game between the Tennessee Titans (303) and the Baltimore Ravens (304). Best of luck for us — Frank.