All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Based on last week it should be a given that the Rams will hammer the Vikings and easily cover the spread but I see last week in isolation when it comes to the Vikings, they are so much better than the debacle on display against the Bills and I expect so much more from them this week.

The Rams are of course on fire, they are thrashing whoever they face, they are one formidable outfit and only a few teams are capable of taking them on and I believe that the Vikings are one of those teams, not the Viking team from last week but the Viking team I know that is capable of matching the Rams.

The Rams will be weakened defensively this week and while they will still be strong it does mean there will be some vulnerabilities and they did concede 23 points last week, so it is not impenetrable.

The Rams will probably win but I do not see them covering the spread, the Vikings will perform much better this week and the Rams will be weakened defensively and if the Vikings get their act together in defence they will contain the frightening Rams offense to some degree.

Take the Vikings +7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leipzig are a good side who have had a stuttering start to this campaign but they have the potential to improve significantly and a win today in front of their home fans will certainly boost their faltering season.

Stuttgart are also a decent side, they only finished 2 points behind Leipzig last season and like Leipzig are having a mixed start to this season but apart from a burst at end of last season they are generally a poor away side, they have picked up just the single point from their opening two away games this season and I do not see any signs that their away form is set to get better any time soon.

Leipzig are unbeaten so far this season, whereas Stuttgart are winless and with home advantage, I am backing Leipzig to collect all three points today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tampa for the win for me.

Pittsburgh are in a mess and have yet to register a win in their opening two games, whereas the Bucs are 2-0 and have a quarterback in excellent form.

I just cannot see enough of an improvement coming from the Steelers to get the win, their confidence is low and that is in stark contrast to Tampa who are flying on all levels right now.

Take Tampa +1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Patriots to bounce back from their humbling at the hands of the Jaguars and record a nice win against the Lions today.

The Lions have lost both their opening games and while they were close to the 49ers last week they were thoroughly trounced against the Jets and up against a New England side looking to bounce back I fear they could be on the end of another big beating today.

Taking the Patriots -6.5 is a no-brainer for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Basically what we have here is an Arizona Cardinals offense that is not firing and a Chicago Bears defence that is formidable.

I just cannot see the Cardinals getting any joy from their offense today, not against this Bears defence and that leads me to the simple conclusion that the Bears will win, the only question for me was will they cover the spread and the answer was yes.

Take the Bears -5.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Rams are something special and are genuine SuperBowl contenders and I have them winning this one by at least 10 points.

They have won both their opening games easily beating the spread both times and I see absolutely o reason why they will not do the same against the Chargers.

A case sort of can be made for the Chargers but the truth is that the Rams are simply a far better team and that will show today.

Rams -7 for me

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game for both sides and I am going with Lyon to scrape the win.

Lyon will be full of themselves after beating Man City in the Champions League in midweek, that was a tremendous performance and will set them up perfectly for this game.

Lyon, generally speaking, is a very good home side, they did lose to Nice at home last time out but previously to that they had won 8 in a row over this season and last season and had beaten both Marseille and PSG at home last season.

Marseille will not be walkovers and this will be a very tight game but with home advantage and confidence at a very high level, it is Lyon for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to see anything other than an Eagles win but I do not see them winning by 7 or more points.

A lot will be made about the return of Wentz for the Eagles and if he is on his A game then maybe I would have gone with the Eagles -7 but I am not that sure about his sharpness and the Colts defence was impressive last week.

Eagles will probably win but not by 7 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bengals are on a roll and even with injuries starting to stack up I see them running the inconsistent Panthers team very close today and would not be at all surprised if they end up winning the game outright.

The spread is +3 for the Bengals and that for me is a gift and one I am more than happy to accept.

Take the Bengals +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars are very impressive and they showed last week that they are the real deal and they are more than deserved favourites for this game, however, I cannot see them winning by 10 points.

The Titans beat the spread easily last week and have been underestimated and while I fully expect the Jaguars to be convincing winners, 10 points is a stretch for me.

Take the Titans +10

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I first analysed this game the Falcons came out on top for me by 5 points and so the spread being available at -1.5 is a given for me.

The Saints were heavy favourites against the Browns and were lucky to win the game while the Falcons dispatched Carolina with some comfort.

Unless the Saints improve significantly then it is a Falcons win for me. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raiders have been slightly unlucky so far this season and were very unfortunate last week to lose to Denver and I expect more from them this week.

The Dolphins have been punching above their weight in my opinion and it is just a matter of time before they are found wanting and for me that will be this game.

Take the Raiders +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing AC Milan to get the win today against Atalanta.

Both teams have had a stuttering start to the season but overall AC Milan are a much better home side than Atalanta are away, Milan beat Roma last time out on their own ground and overall there are signs that Milan is starting to return to a competitive state.

Atalanta is a decent team but they are vulnerable away from home and I see them struggling to get anything from this game against a team that is looking better than it has in a while.

Take Milan -0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This looks like it could be a very exciting game and while the advantage is clearly with Arsenal I am of the opinion that it is a stretch to have them win by two goals.

Arsenal seems incapable of keeping a clean sheet and while that is the case they will struggle to win comfortably and will always be vulnerable to dropping points, they conceded 2 goals to a poor team in the Europa League (Vorskla) midweek and while they did win that game it is still a huge worry.

Everton was woeful against West Ham last week and I expect to see an improvement, I simply do not see them playing that bad again and at the very worse I see them losing by a maximum of 1 goal and a draw would not surprise me.

All things considered, I am backing Everton +1.25

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Roma win today.

They are the better team and even though Bologna has the home advantage I am of the opinion that will not be enough for them today.

Bologna have lost their last four home Serie A games this season and at end of last season and Roma have lost just once on the road since last December and that was against AC Milan last week.

Roma win for me all day long

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A bitter clash between two teams that despise each other and an intriguing game awaits us.

Chelsea has the form and the players to win this easily but that is not what happens in these sort of games.

Local derbies tend to throw form out of the window and when you consider that West Ham played very well away against Everton last week and have home advantage then it would be unwise to dismiss them out of hand.

This will be a passionate affair and anything can happen and the bottom line for me was, will Chelsea win by two goals and my answer is no, at best they will win by a single goal and there is a strong chance that this could end in a draw.

The safest pick is West Ham +1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huddersfield are a poor team in my opinion, they will be in the relegation dogfight come the end of the season and a defeat today at Leicester City will confirm my worst suspicions about them.

Leicester have been somewhat inconsistent this season but in front of their own fans, I fully expect them to pick up all three points.

Home win for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

The Raiders were a slight disappointment last week and Derek Carr is far better than what he showed in the loss to the Rams, I expect him to bounce back today and even though the Broncos are rightfully favourites and will most likely win, I think a 7 point spread is too high

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I cannot see anything other than a 49ers win and the only question for me was do I believe that they will beat the Lions by 6 points or more and the answer is yes, I actually think they will beat them by at least 10 points and so this pick is a solid one for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am very confident that the Chargers will beat the Bills in some comfort and cover the 7 point spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

For a whole host of reasons this game looks like it will be very tight and even on the outrights I leaned towards the Titans and so getting a 3.5 start they are a must back pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

It is the Jets for me, I was very impressed by Darnold last week, especially after a horrendous start, he showed maturity and some inexperience but came through with flying colors and he will get better with every game. The Dolphins will be competitive but I do not feel they have enough in the tank to be within 3 points of the Jets

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

Vikings all day long for me in this one even if Rodgers takes the field for the Packers, The Vikings are one of the teams I see having a great season whereas the Packers seem over-reliant on Rodgers and I expect that to show today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I know the stats back the Steelers but my confidence in them has taken a knock and while they may scrape the win today I do not see them covering the spread, I expect the Chiefs to be a lot closer to them than most people think and would not be surprised if they did actually win this game outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I have to admit I was impressed by the Browns last week and I fully expect them to have a better season than most people think, they were unlucky to not record a win in a very long time last week and while they are probably not going to beat the Saints to make them 10 point underdogs is an insult.

The Browns +10 is my pick of the week.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sampdoria will enter this game in a very positive mood, they thrashed Napoli 3-0 last time out and will use that win to kick-start their season and nothing less than a win against lowly Frosinone will be acceptable. The idea that they can beat Napoli and then lose to Frosinone will be unthinkable to them and rightfully so, this is a massive opportunity for them to make a statement and they will not want to waste it.

Frosinone do have home advantage and will not be walkovers but they are a poor side really, they will battle against relegation this season, they are a promoted side that only managed to gain that promotion via the playoffs and a very long tough season awaits them.

All things being equal Sampdoria really should leave this game with all three points and I am convinced that will be the case.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Valencia have had a poor start to the season collecting just 2 points from a possible 9, that is not what they expected and know they must do better, they had hopes of competing for a champions league spot this season and they have done themselves no favours with the start they have endured.

Real Betis enter this game on a high following their 1-0 home win over local rivals Sevilla but they are a limited side, they know that the best they can hope for this season is a mid-table finish and despite the win over Sevilla will be found wanting more often than not.

Valencia are at home, they are better than their recent results and the international break will have given them a chance to take stock and get their act together, they know that they should be beating Real Betis and will enter this game in a very determined mood. Real Betis will start confidently but as the game progresses I expect them to fall back defensively and that Valencia will be dominant for the vast majority of the game.

Take Valencia to win by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Under normal circumstances, I would go for a Man Utd win but these are not normal circumstances.

United have lost 2 of their opening 4 games this season, away to Brighton and at home to Tottenham conceding 3 goals in each of those losses, they did bounce back with a 2-0 away win against Burnley but huge question marks remain over manager Jose Mourinho and his players and Watford will provide sterner opposition than Burnley.

Watford have won all 4 of their games this season and last time out came from behind to beat Tottenham, their fans are manic and are really the 12th man.

Watford have all the confidence in the world right now, they feel they can beat anybody and will not be awed by United at all, if anything it will be United that is wary of playing Watford.

But, Man Utd are a top class team and Watford will have their hands full but with home advantage and confidence at a max, I am more confident that this game will result in either a Watford win or a draw.

Take Watford +0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have been a little disappointed in Napoli this season, they made hard work beating AC Milan and were humbled 3-0 away at Sampdoria last time out, they are much better than their laboured performances have shown this season and it is just a matter of time before they click, get into their rhythm and show us all what they truly can do and with home advantage today and a shock to their system following that loss to Sampdoria I fully expect to see a determined and rejuvenated Napoli today.

Fiorentina have had a 100% start to the season registering 2 wins from 2 games but they are fairly limited and have yet to play top opposition, both their games so far have been at home and it was no surprise that they beat Chievo and Udinese, Napoli are a completely different proposition and I see them struggling to get anything at all from this game.

Napoli are more than capable of winning this game by a couple of goals and that is exactly what I see them doing.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper you would have to back Arsenal, they have won their last two games while Newcastle have picked up just a single point in their opening four games but not everything is as clear as it looks on paper.

Arsenal's defence is very suspect, they were very fortunate against Cardiff City last time out and conceded twice against a team that had yet to score this season, they also made very hard work beating a very poor West Ham and did lose their opening two games, albeit that was against Man City and Chelsea. Point is that Arsenal is very vulnerable in defence and will concede in this game.

Newcastle may have lost 3 of their last 4 games but they were against elite opposition in Tottenham, Man City and Chelsea and in each of those games they scored and lost by a single goal, they were competitive to the end, though against Man City they were thoroughly outplayed.

This Arsenal side is not as good as the teams that have beaten Newcastle this season and with home advantage, Newcastle will feel they can get at least a point from this game and I am of that opinion as well.

Arsenal does not dominate teams anymore and because of that their defence is put under pressure and that hands teams like Newcastle the opportunity to take advantage.

A draw is a very real possibility and I am far more confident that this game will be either a home win or a draw than I am in an away win for Arsenal and that is why I am backing Newcastle +0.5.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both sides have had a stuttering start to their Bundesliga campaign but it is still early and both teams will soon settle into their rhythm.

Hannover are a poor away side, they have won just 3 road games in their last 25 away matches in the Bundesliga and you have to go all the way back to October last year for their last away win.

Leipzig finished 6th last season despite selling some of their better players, they have a half decent home record and beat Hannover 2-1 in this fixture last season and simply put, are the better team.

If Leipzig plays to their abilities they will win, they have home advantage and will see this game as the exact sort of game that can kick-start their season.

Take Leipzig to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

These are two of the most exciting teams in the Premier League and both are considered genuine title challengers and a win for either side will be a massive boost even this early in the season.

Tottenham came unstuck in their last Premier League game against Watford, they really should have won but ended up losing 2-1 and will be looking to bounce back from that away defeat.

Liverpool remains unbeaten and have yet to drop any points and are sitting pretty at the top of the table but the truth is that they have not yet played any of the top teams and are yet to be tested.

Tottenham will provide that test and with home advantage I cannot see them losing, I do think they will probably win this game, they have home advantage and would have been shaken by the shock loss at Watford, they showed their true capabilities with the way they dismantled Man Utd 3-0 at Old Trafford and if they reproduce that form, which I believe they will, then I cannot see Liverpool winning.

A draw or win will see a profit backing Tottenham on the spreads and the only way this pick can lose is if Liverpool wins, something I am not confident in despite the Reds impressive start to the season.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams had a great start to their regular seasons but it is the Ravens that I am backing to continue winning.

The Ravens are dismissing any notion of revenge in this game but they did that last week and look at the drubbing they gave the Bills, they are a team on a mission to right what went wrong last season and they will be determined to inflict a beating on the Bengals.

The Bengals upset the odds last week and come into this game full of confidence, they have home advantage and will be hopeful of beating the Ravens but I just cannot see their defence holding off the Ravens consistently and while their offense was effective last week they will not have it so easy against the Ravens defence who were very good against the Bills.

Ravens for me, they are a team driven and will be too much for the Bengals to handle.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I think the Jets are being underestimated here and a big reason for that is their decision to go with Sam Darnold as their starter.

The Jets appear to have immense confidence in the 21-year-old and I am prepared to give them the benefit of the doubt until such a time that it goes pear-shaped.

The Lions are justified favourites but by 7 points? I am doubtful.

I am expecting big things from Darnold and I am of the opinion that this game will be a lot closer than most people think.

Jets +7 for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am fully on the Packers to beat the Bears and cover the spread.

There have been some significant changes with the Bears but I am doubtful that it is enough to close the gap between these two teams, especially with Rodgers facing them.

The Bears will be looking to Khalil Mack to prove his worth and he will be a titan in defence I am sure, but their offence is nothing special and if the Bears defence do not contain the Packers offence this could be a rout.

The Packers are a far better side when Rodgers plays and that will be the case tonight.

A lot is taken on faith at this stage but it is justified faith and I am going with Rodgers and the Packers to grab a comfortable win tonight.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Redskins all day long for me in this one.

The difference in this one for me is the quarterbacks, I rate the Redskins Alex Smith he was excellent for the Kansas City Chiefs and I fully expect him to bring his full game for the Redskins.

Sam Bradford just does not do it for me and I am of the opinion that the Cardinals will realise that sooner rather than later, I know he has had injury issues but I just do not see him on the same level as Smith.

I expect a comprehensive win for the Redskins despite the spread.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There is hope in Cleveland that this season will be a turning point for them and to some degree, that hope is justified with them coming from such a low point, I mean, it is not like they can actually be any worse than they have over the last two seasons.

The Browns have had a huge shakeup in their playing roster there are no doubts about that and they may well get some wins this season but my confidence in them is at rock bottom and until I see hard evidence that this set up is better than what we have seen in the last two seasons I simply cannot back them.

The question for me was not whether the Steelers would win but by how many and the spread should be higher, the reason that it is not is because of the belief that the Browns will be better this season and also because of the internal issue surrounding the Steelers.

All these factors and the fact that the Browns are at home have driven the spread down which plays into my hands because even with all these factors coming into play I see have the Steelers to win by at least 5 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of the Bengals in this one and am happy to take them +2 to get their campaign off to a winning start.

I am not sure about Andrew Luck for the Colts, he may have had a decent pre-season but until I see him to a consistent job in the regular season I will withhold judgement on him, you just cannot ignore his injury record.

The Bengals defense could be their biggest asset this season and this game opener could be the perfect opportunity for them to shine, especially against a quarterback with question marks over him.

The Bengals for me in a close game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I watched Newcastle host Chelsea last week and that was one of the most one-sided games I have seen in a very long time, Chelsea absolutely dominated Newcastle and the result should have been a lot worse, the goal Newcastle scored was literally their first attack and they deserved to get beat and on any other day would have lost 3 or 4 nil and they were at home.

Man City are far more clinical than Chelsea and I cannot see anything other than one way traffic from beginning to end and if City gets their finishing right then this could be a big thrashing and remember, City are looking to bounce back after drawing last week.

Man City all day long and even with such a high handicap, I have no hesitation in backing them to hand out a severe beating to a very weak Newcastle side.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two fairly evenly matched teams, Fulham have played some great football this season so far but Brighton are at home and on their home ground they are proving to be a difficult team to beat.

In 4 of their last 6 home games Brighton has beaten Man Utd twice, beaten Arsenal and drawn with Tottenham, they have a lot more confidence when in front of their home fans and it will take a very good team to beat them in their own backyard.

Fulham lost away at Tottenham in their only away game this season and until they have shown that they are better on the road then they are worth opposing, they are a promoted team and did do well on their own ground last game but travelling away in the Premier League is a whole different ball game.

All things considered, I am backing Brighton to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sevilla has high hopes for this season and have got off to a very good start. They have won their five Europa League qualifiers to date, they were very unlucky to lose to Barcelona in the Super Cup and won their opening La Liga game 4-1. This is a team in high confidence and good form.

Villarreal lost their opening game at home against Real Sociedad and won just once in their last four pre-season friendly games, they are not as match fit as Sevilla, they are the away side and their form is not good right now.

All things considered, I am going with Sevilla to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tricky game to call but I am going with Udinese because they have a slight advantage over their opponents.

Udinese drew their opening game and have that match fitness advantage over Sampdoria who were unable to play their first game due to the bridge disaster in Genoa, their home city.

Add to that the fact that Udinese are at home and the advantage is clearly with the home side.

Udinese won this fixture 4-0 last season and while I do not expect a repeat of that I do expect them to sneak the win come the end of the game.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Espanyol for this one.

Both sides started the season with draws, Valencia drew at home with Atletico Madrid, a very good result and Espanyol collected a point away at Celta Vigo.

Both sides are optimistic of a good season and as things stand right now there is no reason why they should not be.

Espanyol are not a bad side at home in La Liga, they have lost just twice in their last 11 home games in the league and have beaten both Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid and drawn with Barcelona in that period, that is impressive.

Valencia are not the strongest away side as five wins from their last 13 away games can testify to.

This will be a close game but I am going with Espanyol to sneak it and at worse get a draw and see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is difficult for me to see anything other than a Napoli win.

For starters, Napoli have played a competitive game already this season beating Lazio away last weekend, whereas Milan did not play and lack that crucial match fitness that Napoli now has.

Secondly, Napoli is actually the better team, they have proven this winning 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two and drawing once, they are simply superior.

Thirdly, Napoli has home advantage.

Those are three solid reasons why Napoli will win, they have a match fitness advantage, they have home advantage and they have proven to be the better side for a while now.

Back Napoli -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams lost their first two games of the season but there is a huge difference in the manner of the defeats.

West Ham got thrashed at Liverpool and lost at home to Bournemouth while Arsenal lost at home to Man City and away at Chelsea in a thriller.

Arsenal was competitive for most of the game with City and with some luck could have got back into the game and against Chelsea, they could easily have scored as many as 5 in the first half and showed character to come back to 2-2 before succumbing to a late goal.

Arsenal is at home for this game and their opening game performances tell me that they are ready to hand out a beating to a lesser team and West Ham fit that profile perfectly.

I simply cannot see West Ham getting anything from this game, they looked poor in both their games this season and have shown me no reason to believe that they can all of a sudden improve for this game.

Arsenal all day for me and by at least 2 goals. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both these teams have had great starts to the season, I was particularly impressed with Everton in their opening game draw against Wolves, they were down to 10 men and were the better team away from home, a huge improvement from last season.

Bournemouth are no world beaters but they are organised and very difficult to beat, especially on their own ground but they are limited and Everton just look the more accomplished team of the two.

On balance I have more confidence that Everton will win or draw than I am in a Bournemouth win and backing Everton at level ball is the value pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Real Sociedad for this match.

The season is only one game old in La Liga but I am confident that Sociedad will have a half decent finish, whereas Leganes look like they may struggle to avoid relegation.

Sociedad won their first game last week away at Villarreal while Leganes lost and it is very possible that those results are a good indication of how the season will pan out for both sides.

All things considered and based on the strength of both teams and the opening week results I am going for Sociedad to get the win today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Strasbourg have started the season off with 1 win and 1 draw and they were not bad results, Lyon, on the other hand, have had a slightly disappointing start winning once at home and losing away at Reims, however, do not be mislead by the respective starts from these two teams, Lyon are far superior.

Lyon won this game 4-0 last season and over their last six home games, the last five of last season and their only home game this season, they have won by at least two goals on five occasions.

Strasbourg did win away last week but are rather poor on the road and while they do not get thrashed every time they are away they do tend to get beaten convincingly by the top teams with Monaco, PSG and Lyon (the top 3 last season) all winning by at least 2 goals.

All things considered, I am going with Lyon to win by at least 2 goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than an Atletico Madrid win.

I know that Valencia at home will be no pushovers but this is not the Valencia of old, they are fairly average these days and simply do not have the quality of player that Atletico has.

Atletico beat Real Madrid last week and at the very least will enter this game in good spirits, they have a formidable frontline, a creative midfield and very strong defence, they are genuine title challengers and it is exactly this sort of game that they will have to win if they are to dethrone Barcelona and I believe they will.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Man Utd are serious about competing for the title this is the exact sort of game they must be winning, an away game against tough opposition.

United do have a decent away record over the last season, it could have been better and there were some bad results for them and they did lose to Brighton, however, that was at the end of the season and the result reflected the fact that United had slowed down.

Brighton did draw a lot at home last season, they did not win that much to be fair but they ground out results when they needed to.

The bottom line for me is that if United play to form they will win, it all depends on if Jose Mourinho has got his team where he wants them, he has been moaning a lot recently but I am confident his team will be fully wound up and will be just too good for plucky Brighton.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game for both sides, a game that could well end up being a classic and I am going with Arsenal to get at least a draw.

Chelsea beat Huddersfield comfortably but with all respect to Huddersfield, they are not exactly an elite team.

Arsenal lost at home to Man City but City are an elite team, probably one of the top three teams in world football and not many teams will get anything against the Champions this season, so for Arsenal to lose at home in their first game of the season against Man City is not a shock or the end of the world.

Chelsea and Arsenal are no longer top four teams and the chances are both will fall outside the top four this season, they are fairly evenly matched and it is more a question of which team turns up on the day.

I am confident that Arsenal will improve from last weekend, they certainly have top quality players and if the likes of Ozil and Aubameyang play to their true ability they will give Chelsea a hard time.

Chelsea do have home advantage and in Eden Hazard a genuine world class player but they also have players that need to step up their game, players like Morata as an example and if there is one cause for concern at Chelsea it is their forward line, it is not what one would call formidable, excluding Hazard of course.

All things being equal I am more confident that this game will end in a draw or even an Arsenal win as opposed to Chelsea winning

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was quite impressed with Everton last weekend, I actually thought they would lose to Wolves but they ended up getting a draw after going down to 10 men and looked the more likely winners, they showed a lot more character than last season and were very good on the ball and with their passing.

Southampton played out a goaless draw with Burnley and played how I expected them to, I do see them struggling this season, I am not sure they have the forward line to frighten too many teams and they lack creativity.

Based on the opening day games and the fact that Everton is at home I am backing them to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves disappointed me last weekend, they had a huge advantage over Everton and just could not get the win, in fact, they looked more like they would lose than win and that was when they were playing against 10 men and had home advantage.

Of course that was the first game of the season and they may well improve but they played like a team that has not yet gelled together with all the new signings and that will take time, certainly more than a week anyway.

Leicester were not shamed losing 2-1 at Man Utd and will have taken encouragement from that game despite losing, they are now at home and are generally a settled side, they have always been a tough team to beat at home and they will be as confident as me that they can get all three points against a promoted team still finding their feet in the big league.

Take Leicester City to grab the win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game between two big sides and apart from a betting point of view this is a game worth watching just for the spectacle.

City are class and romped to the title last season and will take some stopping this campaign, they battered Arsenal last season and they are deserved favourites again today, however, there are very good reasons why it is worth backing Arsenal on the spreads today.

For starters, this is a season opener and anything can happen, teams take time to settle, especially after a world cup and there is no guarantee that City is better tuned for this game than Arsenal.

Secondly, this is a different Arsenal team from last year, they have a new manager and some new players, they had a good pre-season and they are at home.

It is not often you can back Arsenal +0.5 at home, they are usually big favourites but it is understandable they are underdogs against Man City.

It would still be a huge effort for City to beat Arsenal at the Emirate stadium, Arsenal are a top quality side and City were vulnerable on the road last season and because of all the circumstances including new manager, home advantage, first game of the season, new players etc it is well worth backing the Gunners with a half ball start.

Back Arsenal +0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Burnley to get at least a draw in this season-opening game against Southampton.

Match fitness is always important at the start of the season, this showed yesterday when Tottenham got very leggy at the end of their game against Newcastle, it is one thing being fit from friendly games and a whole different situation being fit from competitive matches and that is where Burnley have the advantage.

Burnley have been playing competitive football in the Europa League and that will give them an edge today, Southampton does have home advantage but that only gives you so much, whereas match fitness is far more significant.

Because Southampton do have home advantage it makes sense to back Burnley on the spreads with a half ball start 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams have bought very well in the transfer window and West Ham has a new manager so this is a game that cannot be judged based on last seasons form.

That said, Liverpool are clearly the better team, they are seen as the main competitor to Man City for the title this season, they are at home and ooze class throughout but this is a season opener and with new players, it does take time to adjust.

That, of course, applies to West Ham as well but the difference is that while Liverpool has the core of their team from last season and the same manager West Ham are completely changed and the room for improvement for West Ham is far greater than it is for Liverpool.

Liverpool should win but for this pick to lose Liverpool would have to win by three goals and I just do not see that, this is a very different West Ham from last season, they have far better players than they did last season, players like Anderson, Wilshere and Perez are a massive upgrade.

Backing West Ham +2 is without a doubt the most sensible bet.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

First games of the season are always tricky affairs, however, there are good reasons to back Man Utd to get their season off to a winning start.

A lot has been made of the lack of United signings, the mood of manager Jose Mourinho and so on but the bottom line is that he is one of the best managers in world football, United are at home, they have world class players and the team is fairly settled.

Leicester City is a mid-table team these days, their new signings will need time to bed in, they have lost Mahrez, which is significant and all things being equalled are playing a far superior team.

This game is more about judgement than form and in my judgement, United will have too much for Leicester over the 90 minutes.

Take United to win and to win by 2 clear goals at home and a one-goal win will see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game between these "local rivals" and I am going with the Galaxy to come away from this match with at least a draw.

Los Angeles FC has never lost at home in their very short history in the MLS, a run of 9 games, however, it is almost written that the first team that would break that record would be their local rivals.

Galaxy has put a very decent unbeaten run together on the road, they have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 away games and enter this match in good confidence.

Of course, FC will also be high in confidence with their home record and they may well not lose but I am far more confident that Galaxy will win or draw than I am with FC winning.

The most sensible pick here is to back Galaxy on the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When New York play at home they tend to win, when they play away they do not as just 3 wins from their last 15 road trips shows, that is just awin0% wn record in that period.

Now, Orlando is not that much better at home, they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 home matches, however, that does just to 5 wins from 8 at home, so not as bad as it first looks.

The bottom line for me is that I have more confidence in Orlando winning or at worse, drawing than I am in New York coming away with the win.

Back Orlando on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Minnesota is a far better home side than an away side and I can see them getting a result against Los Angeles this evening.

United have won their last three home games in the MLS and four of their last five, they may not be as strong as LA but they are quite formidable at home at this moment.

LA is a good side on form but their away record is letting them down a little, they have won just once in their last four away games, though they have won one and drawn one of their last two games so they are starting to sort themselves out on the road.

But even so, Minnesota is in great form at home and until that changes, I am backing them to continue their winning ways in front of their own fans.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing England to win and progress to the semi-finals for the first time in 28 years.

Sweden will play for a draw and hope to hit England on the counter-attack and the reason for that is simple, they know they are not as good as England and that this will be the only way they can get something from this match.

I do not see Sweden holding out for 90 minutes though, I think they will be too preoccupied with Kane and that will allow the other forwards and attacking midfielders the freedom to cause havoc.

Both teams have belief for sure but England youngsters came through a mental test against Colombia and that weakness they once had, inexperience and history, has now gone.

All things considered, I am going with England to win a tight game.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is difficult to see anything other than a Spain win today.

Russia will be backed by 80,000 fans in the stadium and will run like mad all afternoon long but they lack the quality that Spain possesses and it will show.

Russia was the worst European team before the competition started but two great wins got their campaign off to a good start and that masked their limitation, however, those limitations were cruelly exposed against Uruguay and they were already 2-0 down when they went down to 10 men so the sending off of Smolnikov cannot be used as an excuse, they were simply not good enough.

Spain has made progress hard work so far it must be said but it is not unusual for a team like Spain, a world-class team, to grow and they will as the tournament progresses, they are the favourites to lift the World Cup and rightfully so and that will be very evident today.

I am more confident that Spain will win by at least two goals than I am them losing or drawing and even if they win by just a single goal, stakes will be returned, this is a win-win.

Spain -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Colombia to beat Senegal today and qualify for the next round of the World Cup.

Colombia are a good side, they had a hiccup in their first game having a man sent off, however, they came good against Poland and showed exactly what they are capable of.

Senegal is a good team going forward but watching them live last game I always felt they would concede against Japan every time they went in front, their defence is very vulnerable and against Colombia, they will be exposed time and again.

Colombia for me

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Serbia must get something from this game to have any chance of progressing to the next round but they are a limited side, they barely beat Costa Rica and collapsed against Switzerland, they are an emotional team and while they could pull off a shock win against Brazil they are also very capable of losing by two or three.

Brazil must also get something from this game if they were to lose they would be in serious trouble and they have hardly set the world alight so far but they have so much talent and pedigree that it is hard to see them not winning.

All things considered, I see Brazil winning and probably by more than one goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

South Korea still has an outside chance of qualification but it is a mountain they have to climb and with a rejuvenated Germany as their opposition, it is very likely their time is up.

Germany will have gotten a huge boost from their last-minute winner against Sweden, it will have given them momentum and sent confidence skyrocketing, however, they are not the force they once were and losing to Mexico and struggling to beat Sweden does not bode well for their future in this tournament.

Germany should win but for this pick to lose they would have to beat South Korea by three goals and I just do not see that happening.

Take South Korea +2

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Spain has not been at their best so far, they have so much more to offer, they have shown in glimpses what they are capable of and it is just a matter of time before they click and punish an opposition big time.

Morroco is out, they will be motivated because they are playing Spain but if they fall behind first I can see them crumbling. Spain will also want to finish top and will set out to win this game in style and in comfort.

All things considered, I cannot see anything other than a win for Spain and I am very confident that they will win by at least a couple of goals against a deflated Morocco.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Russia currently sits top of the group with the better goal difference and will want to finish off the group stages with a win in front of their home fans and maintain the momentum they have built up.

The same applies to Uruguay, they will not want to enter the last 16 on the back of a loss.

Neither team knows what finishing top or second will mean in terms of who they play in the next round or what their route will be and so that should not play any part in their thinking when it comes to how they approach this game.

I have been surprised by Russia but this is their first real test and I am not convinced that they have the quality to beat a team like Uruguay, by the same token you cannot ignore their impressive start.

A draw is a good possibility but Uruguay look the better prospect for a win and with the safety net of stakes return in the event of a draw then it is the South Americans for me on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a young exciting England team full of confidence, it is a stretch to think they will win the tournament but they will go further than what was expected prior to the competition starting.

With a little luck and more clinical finishing they could easily have beaten Tunisia by a lot more than a single goal and against a very limited Panama side, I expect them to win this game and win it comfortably by at least a couple of goals.

Panama have to win, they cannot just sit back and defend and hope to sneak a goal, they are not good enough to be able to do that, they will have to go forward and that will play right into England's hands.

Based on first game performances, confidence, talent and momentum I am backing England to win this game with ease.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Germany loses they are out and that would be a huge shock but it is now a real possibility and unless they improve significantly from the first game they will be in serious trouble.

Sweden know how to defend, just ask the Italians, they will be very defensive throughout, they will look to frustrate the Germans and will have two sets of four defending their goal line.

The Germans will have to find the back of the net and they do not have what you would call a world class striker, they are not the team they were four years ago, they are vulnerable and a win is far from certain.

The Swedes will pose a danger to the Germans for sure but this will be a game of attack and defend one way and it all comes down to whether the Germans can break the Swedish defence.

All things considered, I am confident that if Germany wins it will not be by more than a single goal and that there is a very real chance that the Swedes can scrape at least a point from this game.

Take Sweden +1

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Belgium is clearly a better side than Tunisia but that has not made much difference so far in this world cup, if there is one thing that has become clear is that there is not much difference between the teams.

If Belgium win they qualify and Tunisia are more or less out if they lose and so both teams will enter this game with specific targets in mind.

I expect Tunisia to defend throughout and hope to snatch a goal through either a set piece or counter attack.

Belgium will dominate possession but will find it difficult to break down Tunisia, it took England until injury time, the Tunisians are well organised and will make life difficult.

Belgium will most likely win but I am very confident they will not win by more than the single goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This will more than likely be a low scoring affair with a single goal to separate the sides and I am confident that it will be Serbia and not Switzerland that will get the win.

The Serbs dominated Costa Rica but did struggle to break them down but they were never in danger and were always comfortable, it will not be so easy against Switzerland but I do see the same pattern developing.

Switzerland did well drawing with Brazil but was fortunate and for me, they simply do not have the same attacking mentality as the Serbs and I expect them to defend for the most part and I am not sure that will be good enough against Serbia.

All things considered, I am going with Serbia on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is going to be a tight game, the Nigerians are better than what they showed in their first game and it seems now that losing 2-0 to Croatia is not that big a surprise, just ask Argentina.

Iceland continues to show they are a good side, very difficult to break down and they take their chances in front of the goal when they are presented to them.

I am of the opinion that there is more chance of an Iceland win or draw than there is Nigeria winning and so I am taking Iceland on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

France was underwhelming against Australia, they did win but their entire performance was sluggish, they found it difficult to break down a determined Aussie side who really only wanted to defend, the French must do better going forward and I am confident they will do so. 

Peru was disappointing against Denmark, they struggled to get through the Danish defence and like France must do better, in fact, if they lose this game they will be eliminated if Denmark gets at least a point against Australia.

Of the two teams, it is France I expect to improve more, they have the players to win this game comfortably and while the bigger teams have struggled this tournament they do still manage to get the result they need.

The question for me was would France win by more than a single goal? I think there is more chance of that than there is of them losing or drawing and therefore backing the French -1 is the most logical selection.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Even though they conceded three goals Spain was impressive nonetheless against Portugal, they were unfortunate in part and you have to remember it took brilliance from one of the best players on the planet to score against them.

Spain should have beaten Portugal, they were the better team and I fully expect them to be sharper and more focussed against Iran.

Iran did well to beat Morocco but they really are up against it today and I just cannot make a case for them getting anything from this game, they are playing one of the best sides in the World Cup, if not the best, and will basically defend throughout the game, however, it will take some doing to keep Spain at bay for the whole game.

All things considered, Spain will win and by more than a single goal.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Uruguay win and a comfortable one at that.

The Saudis were humbled against Russia and are a poor team and they are up against better opposition than the Russians today.

Uruguay was lucky against Egypt with a 89th minute and was overall poor, especially Luis Suarez and you have to think they will improve and if they do I see them running up a high score against the hapless Saudi's

Take Uruguay -1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Even though Russia won 5-0 in their opening game I was not impressed with them, that result is not a true reflection of their quality.

The Saudis basically folded and the final result flattered the Russians, yes, the Russians did deserve the win but the brutal truth is that Saudi Arabia is not that good, Russia had home advantage and it took them ages to break down a very poor opposition.

Egypt is in a different class to Saudi Arabia, they have to get something from this game otherwise they are probably eliminated and while I am of the opinion that this group of African teams is weaker than in previous World Cups that is negated by the fact that Russia is the weakest European side in this tournament and if they had not qualified as hosts they would not be in the tournament.

Take Egypt +0.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

For a change England enter a tournament with low expectations and that will help them, the less pressure the better they will perform.

Let there be no doubt that England do have some top quality players in the likes of Kane, Sterling, Alli and so on, they are young and raring to go and I really do believe that they will be looking to lay down a marker today.

Tunisia will not be walkovers, they will be defensive and will look to attack as much as possible but they are a limited side, African teams have been poor so far in this World Cup and Tunisia are not the best of the bunch but of course, they are playing a famous European side and will feel they can get something from this game, especially considering the results so far.

I cannot see anything other than an England win and if this England team clicks from word go they could do better than what a lot of people think and to do that they need to win and win comfortably today, which I fully expect them to do.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Belgium are genuine contenders for the World Cup, especially in light of the so-called big teams all failing to win so far, they have an opportunity here to show their credentials and that is what I fully expect them to do.

Belgium does suffer as a team of fantastic individuals that struggle to harmonise as a team but the signs are good that they are overcoming that hurdle and against minnows Panama they really should win and win easily.

This World Cup has been full of shocks, however, it would be seismic if Panama got anything from this game, they simply are not in the same class as Belgium, they do not have anywhere near the same quality of talent and the reality is that only Belgium can stop Belgium from winning this game handily.

Panama will be defensive, they will look for the counter-attack and try to emulate Mexico win over Germany, I just do not see a repeat of that result.

Belgium to win by at least two goals, probably more.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Brazil are a top team and on their day are capable of beating any team but Switzerland are no walkovers and this will be a tight game.

Brazil are deserved favourites, they are on a great run of wins and come into this tournament on a high, it will not be a surprise if they win but there are good reasons to back Switzerland on the spreads.

The Swiss are a good team, they have lost just once in their last 17 matches, a 2-0 loss to Portugal, they have held Spain in a friendly and won nine of ten qualifying group games finishing on the same points as table toppers Portugal.

The Swiss will frustrate Brazil today and they are more than capable of nicking a goal and while Brazil will probably win I do not see them winning by more than a single goal and a draw is also a possibility.

Back Switzerland +1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game for me is all about the Argentinians if they play to their talent level they will win by a handful of goals, if they play to their frustrating level they will struggle to win, it is as simple as that.

Iceland did beat a very poor England side a couple of years ago but in their next match they got thrashed by France and even though they have qualified, it was hardly the hardest group and their friendly run-in has been very poor.

Iceland will have to frustrate  Argentina and defend for their lives and hope to get a sucker punch goal but that is all they have, hope. Argentina should win this game easily, they have stunning talent all the way through the team and are one of my favourites to win this tournament outright and the only thing that can stop them today is themselves.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is not one of the strongest Australian teams I have seen in recent years, I watched them struggle to overcome Syria and while they did well in the playoff against Honduras and in recent friendly games I am not convinced that they have all of a sudden turned into a good team, they are mediocre and will be found out at this level.

France are a bit hit and miss, on their day they can beat anyone, they have a team brimming with world-class talent but they have an average manager who lacks a plan B and makes some very strange tactical decisions.

That said, there is a clear gulf between these sides and if France, as I expect, play to their full unquestioned ability then they will have enough to dispatch the Aussies by at least a couple of goal.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Egypt is one of the better teams in Africa but I do not see them getting anything from this game against Uruguay today.

At the time of writing this, it is still unknown if Salah will play, however, even if he does I do not see it making much difference, I doubt he would be fully recovered from injury anyway and his teammates are fairly limited in comparison to the Uruguayans.

Uruguay was in mixed form but they have gained some momentum recently and should be well prepared for this game.

Overall Uruguay have the better recent form and better preparations and it has to be said, the better squad and as long as they play to form they will win.

My only concern is the spread, I would have prefered -3/4 spread but -1 is still fine and if Uruguay win by the single goal then stakes are returned and I am confident that they have more chance of winning by two goals as opposed to drawing or even losing.

All things considered Uruguay -1 is the pick

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The opening game of the 2018 World Cup pits the host nation Russia against minnows Saudi Arabia and it is difficult to see anything less than a Russian win.

There was a myth that opening games tend to end in draws, however, that is a myth, certainly in recent years apart from 2010 in South Africa and apart from France losing to Senegal in 2002 the favourites tend to win.

That said, Russia's recent record has been awful but in all fairness, their games have been non-competitive, they have had no qualifying games and that has clearly affected their results.

The Saudi's have an appalling record away to European teams and this is an away game for them despite it being a World Cup because Russia is the host nation, this is not a neutral location and despite the poor recent Russian performances I simply cannot make a case for the Saudi's to get anything from this game.

The spread is -1 which means that Russia would have to win by two clear goals, which they are more than capable of doing considering their opposition, however, even if they win by just the single goal your stakes would be returned.

All things considered, the best bet is Russia -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Golden State win, I now expect them to sweep the Cavaliers 4-0.

The Cavs look a beaten side, I know they have made their comebacks before but this time their whole body language looks that of a team that knows they are not going to win.

Cleveland may well have home court advantage and have an excellent recent home record but I just cannot see them bouncing back this time.

I am backing the Warriors to beat the spread and go 3-0 up.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Warriors to win and cover the spread.

The Rockets had their chance and have blown it and with home court advantage and the experience of this sort of situation all with the Warriors then I cannot see anything other than a Golden State win.

The only question for me was will they beat the spread and I believe they will, they have the momentum now and I fully expect them to beat the Rockets with a bit in hand tonight.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Ths is the final game of the season and a game that Milan has to win, if they do not they run a significant risk of missing out on sixth place and a place in Europe next season.

Milan has not had the best of seasons, especially after the money they have spent but they can finish it off on a high note with a win in front of their own fans.

Fiorentina have nothing to play for and some of their players will have their eye on holidays or the World Cup for their respective nations., well, the nations that have qualified, Italy not being one of them.

All things considered, I cannot see anything other than a Milan win, they have their fate in their own hands and I do not see them blowing it.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Just one point separates these two in Serie A with AC Milan occupying the final Europa League position, however, a win for Atalanta today and they will replace Milan for that Europa League qualification spot.

Atalanta is on a six-game unbeaten run and has lost just once in their last nine Serie A games, they have won their last two home games and have the momentum just at the right time.

Milan have won their last two games but they are the only wins in their last eight league games, they have been very inconsistent this season and have beaten Atalanta just once in their last eight meetings.

Considering how crucial this game is and with home advantage I am backing Atalanta to win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is really quite simple, Liverpool need at least a point to ensure champions league qualification, whereas Brighton has nothing to play for.

I cannot see Liverpool playing for a draw, not at home and they certainly will not want this game going into the final few minutes without the game in the bag.

If Liverpool loses and Chelsea win then the Reds will miss out on qualification via the league, though they would qualify automatically if they win the final against Real Madrid.

Liverpool tend to win convincingly at home, they did draw their last home game 0-0 against Stoke City but their previous four games saw them win by at least two goals every time.

Brighton has not won in their last 12 away games and against the top six, they have lost by at least 2 goals against four of them with only Man Utd failing to beat them by more than one goal.

Liverpool have something to play for and Brighton does not and with home advantage and players playing for a place in the champions league final I fully expect to see Liverpool put on a dominant performance today and to win this game by a significant margin.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a very crucial game for both teams, Lazio needs to win to maintain their champions league qualification hopes and Crotone needs the win to stay above the relegation zone.

Both teams have good recent home and away records respectively, Crotone have won two and drawn one of their last three home games and that draw was against Juventus.

Lazio has won their last three away games on the bounce and is on a nine-game unbeaten run, whereas Crotone lost their last game and have recorded just four wins in their last 17 league games.

Crotone will be hard to break down at home and are fighting for their Serie A lives but I expect the quality of Lazio to come to the fore and to emerge the winners. 

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lyon has to win this game if they want to qualify for next seasons Champions League.

Lyon are one point ahead of Monaco and Marseille with just two games in the season remaining and so they have their destiny in their own hands but a draw or loss could be disastrous for them and they will know that.

Strasbourg themselves are fighting for their lives, they are in a relegation battle and need points desperately but they are where they are for a reason and that is that they are not that good a team at this level.

Strasbourg will put up a fight for sure but the quality of Lyon will shine through and I expect them to win this game.

I am not too happy about the spread but Lyon should have enough about them to emerge the winners by a couple of goals come the final whistle.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Middlesbrough to get a crucial home win in this Champions play-off semi-final first leg against Aston Villa,

Middlesbrough finished the season off in splendid form and at home have won seven of their last eight league games and that only home loss was against the champions Wolves.

Villa stumbled slightly as the season came to a close but not significantly but they did look tired and their away record has been patchy at best with three losses in their last five away games.

All things considered, I am confident that Middlesbrough will be too strong at home for the visitors, they have the better current form and their home record is superior to Villa's away record by some margin.

I have taken the safety first route in this game and backed Middlesbrough on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolfsburg needs just a point to basically avoid relegation but with home advantage and against the bottom side Koln, who have already been relegated, I expect them to go full out for the win and a good win at that.

Koln have nothing at all to play for and while they will be competitive they are a poor side and with the atmosphere from the home fans today I cannot see them getting anything from this game at all.

All things considered, I am confident that Wolfsburg will win to ensure their Bundesliga presence for next season and to win comfortably. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of Columbus in this one and see them winning by a couple of goals.

Philadelphia are not in good form, they have lost all three away games this season without scoring a single goal and conceding eight times, they have won just twice in the league from eight games, both home games.

Columbus have won three of their five home games, losing just once and they come into this game unbeaten in their last three games, albeit two were draws.

Considering the poor form of Philadelphia and the half decent home form of Columbus I do expect the home side to win and to win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am prepared to give Tottenham one more chance to show their quality.

They have wobbled in recent weeks but back at home, against a Newcastle team not in the best form, I do expect Spurs to win handily.

Tottenham won their last home game 2-0 against Watford in what can be best described a scrappy affair and in front of their own fans, I do expect them to perform better than they did in the 1-0 away loss to West Brom.

Newcastle have nothing to play for and are a limited team, whereas Tottenham has to win otherwise they run the risk of missing out on a top-four spot and with the new Stadium set to open next season missing out on Champions League football is unthinkable.

The spread is high but it is well within Tottenham's range as long as they play to form.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Rio Ave have absolutely nothing to play for, they cannot make Europe next season and will simply be going through the motions today.

They also are a very poor away team, they have lost their last seven away games in a row scoring just three times in those seven games and conceding 22.

Pacos are in deep trouble, they are just above the relegation zone on goal difference, however, they are fighting for their lives and at home they do not have such a bad record, they did lose 5-1 recently but just before that bad result they beat Porto 1-0 and overall their home record is far better than the away record of Rio Ave.

A win for Pacos will not guarantee them safety but it will give them a massive chance with just one game remaining after this one.

All things considered, I am going with Pacos to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Interesting game this, Burnley would love to overhaul Arsenal for 6th place but at the same time their participation in Europe next season has been confirmed and so it must be questioned how strong their motivation really is.

Arsenal are playing their final home game under departing manager Arsene Wenger and the atmosphere with the crowd will be passionate and the players will want to send their manager off with a convincing win.

Arsenal are a lot better at home than away this season and while Burnley has done well they are far from being as strong on the road as they are at home.

Everything is in Arsenals favour to get a strong win today and that is what I expect to see happen.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Napoli has to win it is as simple as that if they do not then Juventus will be crowned champions of Italy.

Torino has nothing to play for at all, they are mid-table and cannot make Europe or be relegated.

You can forget last weeks result for Napoli when they lost 3-0, they lost a man to a red card early on and the result reflected that.

With home advantage, massive motivation and playing a team with nothing to play for then I am convinced that Napoli will win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Tottenham win today.

West Brom will more than likely be relegated this weekend and even if they somehow won this game they could still be relegated and there is a reason they are in this situation, it is because they are a very poor team.

West Brom have won just twice at home all season and while they have improved recently with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last four games, home and away, they remain a poor side that are very vulnerable to a beating and against a team like Tottenham I see that happening today.

Tottenham themselves are vulnerable at the end of the season but they are playing to finish at least third in the table, they do not want to have to play a qualifying game in next seasons Champions League and they got back on track with a scrappy 2-0 win over Watford in their last game.

If Tottenham plays how they have been doing all season they will win this game, West Brom are simply not good enough to withstand them for 90 minutes and for me, it was just a question of how many goals they will win by.

If Tottenham score first, as I expect them to, then I can see West Brom folding like a pack of cards, they need to keep Tottenham at bay for as long as they can and hope to sneak a goal, if they try and attack Tottenham they will get punished, their best hope is to employ rope a dope but I just do not see that working for them, the gulf in quality between the two sides is just too big.

Take Tottenham -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Sevilla to get a positive result today in La Liga.

Sevilla recent form has dipped dramatically, however, they still have an outside chance of making the Europa League and their last two home games have seen credible results, including a 2-2 draw with Barcelona.

Real Sociedad have been in much better form, this is probably because they have no pressure on them, they cannot be relegated and they cannot make it into Europe, however, their away form has not been so great with just one win, against second-bottom Las Palmas, in their last 13 away games.

I would have felt better if Sevilla recent form had been better but they have the motivation and home advantage and I am confident that will be enough to drive them to victory.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool lead this game 5-2 from the first leg and that will play a huge part in the mentality of both teams.

Roma have zero choice but to attack and will be hoping for the same sort of performance that they put in when they defeated Barcelona in the previous round and Liverpool will be fully aware what Roma can do if allowed to dominate.

If Liverpool score just once then Roma would need to score four times, an unlikely scenario and that will be one of the major objectives for the Reds, to score at least once.

Liverpool know they will have to defend for a large part of the game, they will be happy to lose this game 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1 and so on and will not be looking for a win, they will be looking to avoid a big defeat.

Bottom line is that I do expect Roma to win but not to qualify.

Backing Roma at scratch is the most sensible option, I cannot see them losing but I want the safety net of a draw with stakes returned because of the danger of Liverpool counter-attacking.

Stake - 2pts