All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am expecting a much-improved performance from Leipzig this week, they have stuttered recently, they have won just once in their last 5 Bundesliga games and need a win to get their season back on track having fallen from second to fourth.

Hertha Berlin is a tough side to break down, they have lost just once in their last 6 away games, however, they have won just the once as well and historically they are a poor team on the road.

Leipzig should be more than capable of winning this game by a couple.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The home form of Nice is average at best, 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at home this season leaves a lot of room for improvement, but compared to the away record of Bordeaux the home record of Nice is no longer so negative.

Bordeaux has lost their last 5 away games on the bounce, they are one of the worst travellers in France at this moment in time, they have become cannon fodder on the road and Nice has a great chance of improving their home record against a side so poor on the road.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Villarreal form has dropped dramatically in recent weeks and they cannot be backed with any confidence.

Villarreal has lost its last three La Liga games and they have allowed their heads to drop, they are better than what they have been showing but until they show that on the pitch they are well worth opposing.

Celta Vigo are not so bad at home, they have lost just once in their last 6 home La Liga games and that was against Atletico Madrid and whie they started the season real poor at home they have just won their last two in front of their home fans and will be looking for the hat trick today.

Celta are gaining momentum at home while Villarreal are in free fall.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

First placed Brugge welcome third-placed Anderlecht in a top of the table clash in Belgium.

I am siding with Brugge, they are 10 points clear of Anderlecht, they have been far more consistent, they have won all 9 games at home this season and have lost just twice in 18 games.

Anderlecht lost at home last week to second-placed Charleroi, they are not as formidable as they have been in recent years and they come into this game very vulnerable.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see Valencia losing this game today and am confident that they will have enough to get the win.

Eibar has been decent at home recently, however, they are not as good as second-placed Valencia and will struggle to get anything from this game, they are playing a team that only has Barcelona above them in the standings and while Valencia has stuttered a little recently they remain a top class side.

If Valencia plays to their true form they will win, they did lose the last away game 1-0 at Getafe but they did win four on the bounce on the road prior to that and I am confident that the loss to Getafe was a minor bump in the road.

As a safety precaution, I have backed Valencia at even ball on the spread so that in the event of a draw stakes are returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Watford win today.

Watford have stuttered a little recently but they remain a good competent side and back at home they must feel very confident they will get back to winning ways today, they held Tottenham 1-1 last time they were at home and have beaten Arsenal and drawn with Liverpool as well on their home ground.

Huddersfield cannot win away but that is not their only problem, they cannot score either. They scored 3 against Palace on their first away game this season but since then have gone seven away games without scoring once, they have lost their last five away games on the bounce and conceded 16 goals in those 5 games.

Unless there is a monumental turnaround in form from Huddersfield it is a home win all day long.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I saw Augsburg live against Schalke and I was impressed, they showed character to come back from 2-0 down and they were unfortunate to lose in the end, they were playing Schalke away and remember that Schalke is second in the Bundesliga.

Freiburg have hit a rich vein of form and they did win away last time out but they remain a poor away side having lost 5 of their 7 away games in the league this season, they are a limited side and will struggle to get anything at Augsburg today.

Take Augsburg -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am not convinced by Schalke at all, they disappointed me midweek despite beating Augsburg 3-2, they allowed a 2 goal lead to slip and were in danger of losing the game and even though I backed them in that game I was not impressed by them at all and that is not the first time I felt like that about Schalke this season.

They are not rock solid away and Frankfurt has every reason to feel they can get something from this game.

Put it this way, I am far more confident in Frankfurt not losing than I am in Schalke winning and the draw sees stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leicester has finally got momentum, they are flying right now, they beat Southampton easily midweek and that was their fourth win on the bounce and they have lost just once in their last 12 games and that was against Man City, the best team in the league.

Palace was very lucky midweek to get a 2-1 win and while they are starting to perform better they are still a long way from being on the same level as what Leicester are right now.

Leicester are a confident home win

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a comfortable win today for Borrusia Monchengladbach today.

The home side has mixed form at home but it is a lot better than the away form of Hamburg.

Hamburg are woeful on the road and Borussia should be more than capable of winning this game by a couple of goals.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Boston have stuttered over the last few games but that was on the road, they are back in front of their home fans tonight and I expect them to put on a show and win this game convincingly, they are the better team and my analysis has them winning this one by more than 6, possibly by more than 10.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Pacers are going for their fifth win on the bounce and not just that, their fifth win in a row at home, they have the momentum and they will be very hard to beat this evening.

The Thunder are actually the favourites to win this game, I can see some reasons behind that but I also see other reasons why they should not be, their road record for starters.

The Pacers have momentum, they have home court advantage and are up an inconsistent team with a poor away record and add to that the Pacers getting 1.5 points then it is an Indiana win for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Everton is finally improving, the appointment of Sam Allardyce has worked wonders to date and 3 wins and a draw in their last 4 games, including that 1-1 draw at free-scoring Liverpool, is a testament to their improved form.

Newcastle is going the other way, they are now winless in their last 7 games, losing 6 of them, they are in free fall at the moment and well worth opposing.

Take Everton at even ball on the spreads

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Schalke have an excellent chance to move into second place in the Bundesliga and in front of their home fans will be determined to collect all 3 points.

Schale is strong at home, they have lost just once this season on their home ground and that was against runaway leaders Bayern Munich.

Augsburg is not that bad actually, they are only 3 points behind Schalke and have a decent away record but I do not feel they have the same quality in depth that Schalke have and in front of a passionate home crowd I do see them losing.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Hoffenheim look good for the win today, they have been inconsistent in the early part of the season but a lot of that is down to European commitments, which are now at an end. In their last home game they beat second-placed Leipzig 4-0 and while I do not see a similar scoreline today I do see them winning comfortably.

Stuttgart is a very poor away side, they have lost 7 of their 8 away games, drawing the other one and there is no reason to feel that they can get anything from this game.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The 76ers have lost the last four on the bounce and they do not look like they will emerge from this current slide too soon, not the way they been playing.

Minnesota, on the other hand, has won 3 of the last 4 and looking for their third win on the bounce tonight, they know this is a great opportunity to extend their lead in the division and I do see them covering the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Spurs are flying at the moment, they are looking for their fifth win in a row, they have momentum and should have more than enough in the tank to take care of their opponents tonight.

Dallas is on the verge of a slump and truth be told they have been poor for the majority of the season and there is little evidence that it will get any better any time soon.

I actually have The Spurs winning this by close to 10 points and so giving up 5.5 is well within range.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Knicks look good to win this and cover the spread, they have been inconsistent of late but they had a nice win on Saturday and in front of their home fans have some momentum coming into this game.

The Lakers have won the last two on the bounce but they remain vulnerable to me, they can easily start losing again.

Having watched both these teams recently it is the Knicks that fill me with more confidence.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Burnley are a strong home side, they lost their first home game of the season but since then have lost just the once in front of their home fans and that was against Arsenal, they beat Watford at the weekend at home and will feel confident they can maintain that today.

Stoke took a hammering against Tottenham at the weekend, they have won just once away all season and have won just once in their last 6 Premier League games home or away.

Burnley -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leipzig has struggled away this season, however, they have been consumed with Champions League football and now that is over they can get back to the bread and butter of the Bundesliga, they still have some issues on the road but they sit 2nd in the league and on their day can beat almost anyone, if they play to their true ability today they will win.

Wolfsburg have lost just once at home all season but they have only won twice as well, they have drawn an incredible 5 times at home from 8 home games, it is just a matter of time before their resilience crumbles because they are not really that good as a side.

Leipzig at even ball on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Heat to beat the Grizzlies in this one.

The stats give a confusing message and this pick comes down to the performances of the two sides over recent matches and while Memphis has shown signs of improvement they just do not seem to be able to hold it together for the entire game, they just seem to run out of steam or ideas.

Miami is not in blistering form but they are at least a little more consistent.

Miami +1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Cardiff City sits 2nd in the English Championship and a win today will take them within 2 points of leaders Wolves, a loss will leave them 5 points adrift and being dragged back into the playoff picture.

Reading sit 16th, they are not so strong at home winning just 3 times in 10 home games which does not compare well with Cardiff 6 away wins in 10 road games.

I was tempted to back Cardiff outright but the safety net of returned stakes in the event of a draw is the safer option

Cardiff even spread

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am confident that the Pacers will have enough to beat the Nuggets by more than 5. The stats support a win for the Pacers and my own analysis has them at least 7 pt winners.

Pacers -5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was impressed with the Seahawks against the Eagles, I expected them to get turned over and it is just the sort of win against a great team that can really lift you and I expect them to consolidate for the rest of the season. 

The Jaguars are obviously a good team, they have home advantage but they do show vulnerabilities at times and if they are not on top form today they will lose and even if they are on top form they will not win easy.

Taking the Seahawks o the spread is the safe and value pick.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I know the Eagles lost time out and for me, that was a surprise but in some ways, it will help them, it will make them refocus and take every game from now on far more seriously, they cannot always just turn up and win.

LA is a good side, of course they are and they are the home side, a small advantage for sure, but based on what I have seen all season I am convinced that the Eagles are the better side and will scrape the win this evening, maybe if the Eagles did not lose last week I may have thought differently but I am positive that loss will help the Eagles. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have the Celtics bouncing back to winning form against a strong Pistons, but Boston should have too much firepower overall.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raptors are far superior to the Kings, even -8 is probably on the low side and a double-digit win for Toronto is expected.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dallas finally got back to winning ways against Washington with a tremendous display and if they are anywhere near that level today they will win this game easily.

New York are a mess, so much off-field issues and so many on-field problems have combined to totally undermine them and truth be told, they are simply not that good.

I cannot see anything other than a comprehensive Dallas win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I really like the Vikings, they have impressed me consistently this season, their defence is awe-inspiring and they have to be considered genuine Superbowl contenders.

Carolina are frustrating, they are so inconsistent, they can be explosive and exciting and then be dreary and error-prone, I just have no confidence in them to be able to overcome the Minnesota defence consistently tonight.

I expect the Vikings to win this game and by a lot more than 2.5.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this game is just far too low, should be a lot higher but I will not complain.

Green Bay may well have QB issues right now but they finally got back to winning ways against Tampa and that will have reinvigorated them.

What can you say about the Browns, they are utter rubbish, they really are, you can make a case for them based on some performances but at some point, you have to recognize rubbish for what it is.

This one is a gift at just -2.5 and is my pick of the day.

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There have been two surprises in Belgium soccer this season, 1) Charleroi are doing far better than expected and 2) Anderlecht are doing worse than expected.

But, these two teams are on the same points and with European soccer over I expect to see Anderlecht kick on and concentrate solely on their league performance.

Charleroi is still in form for sure but it is a tall order for them to go to Anderlecht and win and I am of the opinion that the home side will begin their resurgence with a win today and probably by a couple of goals, they have a point to prove now.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Despite the fact that United are the home team they will be far more defensive than City in this game.

City is probably the best side in club football in the world at the moment, they are running away with the Premier League and are playing some of the best soccer seen anywhere in many years, they really are a fantastic team.

United will be without Pogba and that is significant, their manager will employ defensive tactics throughout, that is his style when he puts out a team against superior opposition and for the most part it works, but parking the bus against City will not work.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like San Antonio in this one, they have won 7 of their last 8 and the last 3 on the bounce, they have beaten the spread last 2 games and only failed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 10.

The Suns have beaten the spread 50% of their last 10 games and won just 3 times in their last 10 games, they are also on a 2 game losing streak.

I am confident that the Spurs will cover the spread

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bulls are a poor side and even though they won last time out that just masks how poor they are, the stats definitely back up a Knicks win.

That the Bulls won their last game does not mean we will see a different Bulls team going forward if anything it will mean the Knicks will not take them lightly or be complacent.

The Knicks are hardly anything special themselves but they really should have enough to beat the Bulls by more than 3.5 pts.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Oostende have seen an upsurge in form, they have won 4 and drawn 2 of their last 6 league games, form that sees them have the third-best record in the league over the last 6 games.

Mechelen on the other cannot buy a win away from home, they have picked up just 3 points from a possible 24 on the road and have won just twice in their last 20 league games on the road.

This is a game that has a team in form hosting a team incapable of winning away.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If Aston Villa wants to get promotion this season then this is the sort of game they must win, they are strong at home, they have lost just once all season on their home turf and have won 5 of their last 6 home games.

Millwall are a poor away side, they have not won on the road this season and in fact, they have not won away from home over the last 18 games, that really is poor.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

While Fulham are not exactly a great team they are nowhere near as poor as Birmingham, I cannot stress how poor a team Birmingham is, I watched them this week and what I witnessed is a team incapable of making chances, they have failed to score in 6 of their last 8 matches and scored just twice in that sequence. 

Fulham has scored in 16 of their 20 games this season, home and away and I see them winning by at least 2 goals today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Chelsea win today.

West Ham is a poor side, they hate playing at their new stadium, there is no real atmosphere there and the size of the pitch will suit Chelsea.

Chelsea are no longer distracted by European football for the next few months and now is the time to consolidate their league position, they will tear into West Ham today and win handsomely.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Toronto has won four in a row, they are up and down on the spreads but when they get it right they get it right and they stand a great chance tonight of a comprehensive win.

Memphis has won just once in their last 10, they are in a terrible rut and have beaten the spread just twice in their last 10 games, everything points to another beating tonight.

Raptors -6

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Warriors keep on winning, they have beat the spread last 4 games, they are averaging over 117 a game and it is likely they will get close to that score tonight.

The Pistons are on a 4 game losing streak and at best are inconsistent, they are averaging just over 104 per game which is close to what the Warriors give up and while I do not see the Warriors winning by double figures I do see them winning by more than 5.5.

Warriors -5.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Nuggets are struggling to beat the spread recently, they have lost their last 2 games and are showing signs of being a hot and cold team.

The Magic are not doing any better consistency wise but they are doing well on the spreads and will have had a confidence boost with the OT win over Atlanta.

Magic -1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Stuttgart may be struggling slightly in the Bundesliga but they have been very strong at home recently winning 5 and drawing 1 of their last 6 home games and remain unbeaten on their home ground this season in the league.

Bayer has been fairly solid on the road recently but they have won just the twice on the road in their 7 away games this season.

Stuttgart are good value to back on the spreads and for this pick to lose Bayer must win, a draw sees stakes returned.

Stuttgart on the spread

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Gornik Zabrze sit top of the Polish league, they are unbeaten at home this season, in fact you have to go back to the beginning of March last year for the last time they lost at home, they have won 4 of their last 6 home games and will be looking to extend their impressive home record today.

Lechia are a poor away side, they have just 3 wins this season on the road from 9 games and won just 4 games away all last season.

Gornik is consistently underestimated because they are a promoted side, but that are top for a reason and it is to our advantage that they are so underestimated.

Gornik -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Thunder were a little flattered by their win over Utah and a lot of that was down to fatigue on the part of the Jazz and they have not covered the spread over recent games.

The Nets showed character to bounce back against Atlanta and they have covered the spread 8 from their last 10 games, they will be competitive tonight and will take the Thunder down to the wire.

Nets +6

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Washington remains without Wall but they did just fine last night and bounced back from that ugly Utah loss, They will remain focused and their recent trend is to beat the spread.

Phoenix is without Booker and for them that is significant, Washington can handle the loss of Wall, I am not sure that Phoenix can do the same without Booker.

Wizards -7

Stake - 2pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

New Orleans is in great form, they have won just once in their last 10 and they bounced straight back from that defeat with a comfortable win over Carolina and they have beaten the spread in 8 of the last 10 games.

Atlanta was on a nice winning streak of 3 games before their loss to Minnesota and despite the low scoring they did themselves credit, but they tend to lose against the better teams and only their win over Seattle is what I would consider a win against a top team.

The Saints have the better stats overall and while this will be a close game I am solidly behind New Orleans to get the win.

New Orleans +1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Istanbul must win if they are to have any hope of qualifying for the next round, they narrowly lost against Braga earlier in this group and currently sit top of the Turkish league.

Braga has already qualified for the next round, they do not have the same incentive as Istanbul and very few teams relish playing a critical game in Turkey.

Istanbul -0.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win game for Copenhagen, if they win they go above Sheriff and will qualify for the next round, a draw or loss and they are out, they held Sheriff 0-0 earlier in the competition and in front of their home fans will feel very confident they can get the win they desperately crave.

Sheriff has only ever won once away in the Europa League and that was in their last game against Lokomotiv Moscow, their first win in 18 attempts, they are poor travellers in Europe and a journey to freezing cold Denmark will be a very tough ask.

Copenhagen -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Everton is out of this competition, this is a game they could have done without, they have absolutely nothing to play for and their manager Sam Allardyce has already announced that he will not be fielding his best players.

Apollon is also out, however, they do have something to play for, they are in front of their home fans playing a Premier League side, they would love to beat a team from one of Europe's elite leagues, it would be a historic moment for them and they will feel confident they can get the win after holding Everton to a 2-2 draw in England.

Apollon -0.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Feyenoord has nothing to play for, they are struggling by their own standards domestically and have lost both their home games in the champions league including a 4-0 loss to Man City.

Napoli must collect all three points and hope that Man City beat Shakhtar to qualify for the knockout stages, they have no choice but to win and will be attack-minded throughout.

Napoli -1.5

Stake - 1.5 pts

I am very confident that Celtic will get the win today and qualify for the Europa League.

Celtic beat Anderlecht 3-0 in Belgium and will have 60000 screaming fans behind them today, I can see no reason why there will be a different result at Celtic Park.

Anderlecht is 3rd in the league in their own country and are not the team they were last year, Celtic are breaking all records in Scotland, the difference between the pair is glaring.

All things considered, I just cannot see anything other than a clear home win.

This game will be a lot closer than the last time these two met and while the Steelers may still prevail, I do not see them doing it by more than 5.5 points.

The line on this game has reduced steadily, it was +6.5 for the Bengals and in most places is now just +4.5, which may have made me hesitate but with +6 being available in places I am happy to take that.

The difference for me between this game and the last time these sides met is Andy Dalton, he took a beating last time but since that game he has improved, he has zero interceptions since then and thrown nine TD's.

No doubt the Steelers will target him but it is clear that Dalton has the bit between his teeth and will be prepared.

There is a lot of good about the Steelers, the statistics show that, but Ben Roethlisberger, while still playing great, is more vulnerable to turnovers than ever before and as long as the Bengals target him in the same way the Steelers will target Dalton then they will get results.

The Bengals also come into this game on the back of two wins, albeit against poor opposition, but even so, their confidence is far from being low.

All things considered, I am positive that this will be a close win and am backing the Bengals +6

On paper, this should be an easy win for Wolves but there are good reasons to oppose such a scenario.

Wolves are top of the table with 44 points, Birmingham is 22nd on just 16 points, the difference is quite glaring, however not all is as it seems.

For starters this is a Birmingham derby, these two teams are bitter rivals and as in most derbies, form and statistics tend to be thrown out of the window.

Birmingham is not actually that bad at home considering their league position, they have won 3 of their last 5 home games, including a win over Cardiff who sits second in the table, they also drew 0-0 with another Birmingham based side Aston Villa, who like Wolves were the better team on paper.

Wolves may sit at the top but they have lost twice in the last five away games they have played, they do not sweep all before them on the road, they can and do get beat when they travel.

This game will have passion, the atmosphere will be electric and I am of the opinion that Birmingham will not lose, they may not win but that makes no difference to me, the only way this pick loses is if Birmingham loses and I am confident that they will do enough in front of their home fans to deny their hated rivals.

Take Birmingham -0.5

I know that the Seahawks are a good team, they can beat almost any team on their day and cannot be dismissed, however, this Eagles outfit are good, really good and I just cannot see anything other than a win for the Eagles.

The question for me was how many will the Eagles win by and I have them as 7 point favourites, Carson Wentz is simply irresistible at the moment and the way the Eagles have been winning so convincingly recently convinces me they will do the same today, albeit probably not by double figures.

A win secures the NFC East top spot and that is the incentive that will drive Wentz and his team forward.

Take the Eagles -4

The Chiefs season has really fallen apart, however, this is the exact sort of game that can help them kickstart their playoff ambitions once again.

The Jets have been poor this season, they have lost 5 of their last 6 games and while they have not exactly been humiliated, they never seem to have enough to just get the better of their opponents.

Kansas, in my opinion, can turn things around, I do not see that with the Jets and therein lies the difference between these two.

I have the Chiefs winning this one by 6 and so am happy with -3

Take Kansas -3

Green Bay did very well against the Steelers, they showed immense character and that they still have something to offer, a repeat of that performance will be enough to see them beat Tampa today.

Green Bay QB Brett Hundley had a great game against The Steelers and that will have lifted him massively, he will surely kick on now and while he is no Rodgers, he is starting to look like a good stand-in after a faltering start.

The Bucs are clearly limited, they are 4-7 for a reason, however, they will be competitive and despite Hundley's heroics last week they will see the Packers as vulnerable.

But all said and done, the Packers should be good enough to see of the Bucs by at least 3 points.

Take Green Bay -2.5

I am taking Borussia Monchengladbach to get the win today against Wolfsburg.

Wolfsburg are not actually a bad home side, they have lost just the once all season on their home ground, the first game of the season against Dortmund, however, they rarely win at home, they have drawn 5 of their 7 home games and that is one of the reasons they are at the wrong end of the table.

Monchengladbach do win away, they have won their last 3 road games on the bounce on their travels, they have lost just once away all season and that was also against Dortmund, they are 4th in the Bundesliga and a win will see them go second. a huge incentive.

Wolfsburg are the home side and do know how to shut up shop, but Monchengladbach is in great form and should have too much for Wolfsburg to handle.

Take Monchengladbach on the even spread

A win here today for AZ and they will go second in the Dutch Eredivisie and I am backing them to do just that.

AZ are in great form at the moment, they have won their last 5 league games on the bounce, they have won 4 of their last 5 away games with the other one being a draw, based on the form over the last 5 games they are one of the best sides in the league.

Venlo are 12th, 13 points behind AZ, they have not won in their last 6 games, although they have drawn their last 3 and at home, they have won just once all season, their first home game of the season.

The current form difference between these sides is significant and I simply cannot see any evidence that Venlo will stop AZ winning today.

Take AZ -0.5

I saw Chaves live in midweek and I liked what I saw, yes they are a mediocre side in Portuguese football but then so is Boavista.

Chaves have started to get it right at home recently and Boavista are no great side on the road.

As long as Chaves play like they did midweek then I cannot see any other result than a home win.

Take Chaves -0.5

Everton have finally found some form and they should start to kick on now, they have the players to do so and if their confidence has returned then we will see a very different Everton from now on.

Huddersfield are no walkovers but chances are they will find Everton too strong today, which is unfortunate for them as any time previously they would have seen this game as an opportunity to get points.

All things considered and the change around in Everton form is enough for me to back the Toffees today.

Take Everton -0.5

I am going to take a chance on Dallas this evening to halt their losing run and get back to winning ways.

We all know the issues that the Cowboys have, especially with Ezekiel Elliott out and their failure to surpass ten points in their last three games, an unwanted record, however, that cannot continue, they are better than that, their last three games are as bad as it gets and the only way they can go now is up.

Washington did beat the NY Giants but that was expected and they were hardly clinical, in fact, I was disappointed with them even though they got the win.

I am not at all confident in the Redskins, they are flaky to me and while it is easy to go against the Cowboys I am very convinced they will improve.

The bottom line for me is that I can see the Cowboys getting better, I do not see that with the Redskins.

All things considered, I am taking the Cowboys +2

I am going with West Brom to beat Newcastle United.

A quick look at West Brom recent form and you would not be impressed but some context is required.

For starters, they drew 1-1 away at Tottenham at the weekend, not even Real Madrid could achieve that and while they have lost their last four on the bounce 2 of those losses were against Chelsea and Man City and the other 2 were away games.

West Brom at home against non-top 3 sides are unbeaten, albeit they have drawn 3 of those games.

Point being is that West Brom is better than the bare results suggest.

Newcastle are falling like a rock in water, they are above West Brom in the standings, however, they are in a terrible run of form, they have lost the last four games on the bounce and at the weekend got stuffed 3-0 at home.

Considering the weekend results and a proper analysis of recent results then it is West Brom for me.

West Brom 0.5

I am taking Brighton to beat Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Tuesday.

Brighton are proving to be quite a solid home outfit, they have lost just once all season on their home turf and that was their first home game against runaway Premier League leaders Man City, since then they have won 2 and drawn 3.

Palace, on the other hand, are the exact opposite, they have lost all 6 away games this season and have not scored a single goal.

Now, Palace did win at home in their last game 2-1 against Stoke City while Brighton lost, however, Brighton lost away at Man Utd, which is hardly a surprise and Palace won with a goal in injury time, so a little perspective is required.

All in all, I cannot see Brighton losing, a draw and we get our stakes returned so this is a very safe pick.

Take Brighton 0

I am going with Espanyol to beat Getafe in La Liga today.

Espanyol are at the wrong end of the table but they have always been a limited side but they are no weaklings at home, in fact, they are quite decent at home.

They lost their opening home game of the season but after that, they have lost just once at home and that was last time out against a very impressive Valencia, who sits second in the standings above the likes of Real Madrid. They have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 5 home games and against sides like Getafe they do very well on their home turf, well, they have this season.

Getafe are above Espanyol in the standings but they struggle to win on the road, they do draw a bit but 1 win away all season tells its own story, they are not easy to beat I accept that, they have lost just the once in their 6 away games but against a side that wins at home they will find that it is not easy to rack up another draw.

All things considered, I am going for Espanyol to win.

Take Espanyol -0.5

I really cannot see anything other than an Oakland win today.

The Raiders have been very unfortunate this season, they still retain slim playoff hopes and they have the capability to go on a good winning run, just a bit more consistency and some luck will help them significantly.

Denver basically play to form for me, they are a poor side, they have lost 6 in a row for a reason and I was so so disappointed in them against the Bengals, they should have done so much better but when it counted they were found wanting, as they have done for much of the season.

Oakland has the capability to be much better and has that room for improvement, Denver does not, simple as that.

Take the Raiders -4

I got the feeling this will be a one-sided affair and will be backing the Titans to win this one by more than 3 points.

The Titans did lose last week in comprehensive fashion but they will bounce back today and put that defeat behind them.

Prior to the Pittsburg loss, they had won 4 straight and they know they cannot afford another slip-up.

The Colts are having a poor season, just 1 win in their last 5 games tells you that, though they did do credibly against Pittsburg.

But all said and done I cannot see the Colts staying close to the Titans today and a convincing win is on the cards.

Take Titans -3

I cannot see anything other than a big Panthers win today.

My analysis has the Panthers as 7 point favourites and so getting -5.5 is a gift for me.

The Panthers are on a roll, it is finally clicking for them, they have won three on the bounce and have found their rhythm, they do put in the odd shocker but they are a match for most teams once they get their acts together and they have certainly done that recently.

The Jets are mediocre, they have lost 4 of their last 5 and are basically making up the numbers know, they are very one dimensional and they will be found out against a dynamic Carolina offence today.

I expect the Panthers to win this one and win it in style.

Take the Panthers -5.5

I am going with Slask Wroclaw to get the win today.

Two very average teams with not much separating them in the Polish league and it is the small stuff that will make all the difference here today.

Slask is a surprisingly strong team at home, they have won 8 of their last 11 on their home ground and only tend to lose to the better teams.

Zaglebie is a very poor away side, they have lost 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 away games, in better words, they are on a 5 game winless run on the road.

Zaglebie are actually the favourites but not in my book and taking Slask on level spread is the safest option, it means stakes are returned if it is a draw and the only way for this pick to lose is if Slask lose.

Take Slask 0

It would be a big surprise to me if Montpellier does not beat a very poor Lille side today.

Lille is second bottom in Ligue 1, they have lost four of their six away games with the only win coming against the only side below them in the standings.

Montpellier are far from brilliant at home, in fact they are a bit poor, they have registered just two wins in their seven home games, they do need to improve that is for sure and they have a great opportunity to do just that against one of the worst teams in the top French league at this time.

This is more about how bad Lille are rather than how average Montpellier are, this is the exact sort of game that Montpellier will expect to win and I fully expect them to live up to those expectations.

All things considered, Montpellier is the bet.

Take Montpellier -0.5

I am backing Arka to get the win in this Polish Ekstraklasa match up.

Sandecja is a poor away side, they have not won in the league in their last four road trips losing three of those games, they have notched up just the two away wins and find themselves fourth bottom in the standings.

Arka are not world beaters and did lose their last home match, however, they went unbeaten in the previous four at home and their early season mishaps probably had more to do with their Europa League football commitments.

Aeka is the better side, the league standings show that and I expect them to get the win today.

Take Arka -0.5

I am backing Belenenses to maintain their good home form and get the win today in Portugal.

This season Belenenses remain unbeaten at home, they have won four and drawn two, they have won the last three on the bounce with their last home match being a convincing 3-0 home win.

Chaves, by contrast, are not that great away, they have four losses, one draw and just the one win and in fact, over the last 20 away games they have just that one solitary win.

Belenenses are no world beaters, but they have been solid at home this season and Chaves are woeful travellers, it would be a surprise to me if that form changes around today.

All things considered, Belenenses are a strong pick.

Take Belenenses -0.5

I am taking the Chargers to win this one and probably by quite a few points.

The Chargers bounced back to form against Buffalo and a repeat of that performance will see them win this game.

The same applies to the Cowboys, they were taken apart by the Eagles, a very good Eagles team I admit, but nonetheless, they simply had no answer to the Phillie offence and a repeat of that performance and they will lose.

And that is what it comes down to me, which team is most likely to repeat their last game performance and it is the Chargers for me.

Dallas is going backwards now and while it may be a stretch to say the Chargers are going forward they certainly showed signs against the Bills that they have started to put right some of the previous faults and are heading the right way.

This basically is about teams going in opposite directions.

Take the Chargers -1 

I am going with Ostersund to get the win tonight.

Ostersund has been very impressive in the Europa League this season, they beat Hertha Berlin when they visited Sweden and held Atheltic Bilbao to a draw, two very good results considering their level, they sit top of the group and they are taking this competition very very serious.

Zorya are surprisingly second in the group, they have been decent themselves and actually beat Athletico in Spain, but that was a one off, they have lost five of their last six Europa League games away and have now gone five games winless in all competition.

It is absolutely freezing in Sweden right now, the snow has landed big time and under those conditions and with the respective home and away form it is Ostersund all day long for me.

Take Ostersunds -0.5

This game is massive for both clubs, only one point separates the top three in Group F and a loss could be disastrous for either team.

Lokomotiv do have the advantage of playing at home and that could well prove decisive, they did lose at home to Sheriff last time out but I do not see a repeat of that against Copenhagen today.

Copenhagen has lost their last two European games away against Vardar and Qarabag, hardly household names, in fact, Copenhagen have won just twice away in their last 12 road games and are on a six-game winless streak away from home.

Lokomotiv may be average at home but their record in front of their home fans is far better than the Danes away record that is for sure.

Considering what is at stake and the state of Copenhagens away form then it has to be Lokomotive for the win.

Take Lokomotiv -0.5

On the face of it, this is a tricky game for the Vikings but I am confident they have enough in the tank to see off the Lions.

The Vikings are on a six game winning streak which has included some impressive performances, they may have been fortunate with the fixture list but they can only beat what is put in front of them and they have done that in a clinical manner and in some comfort.

The Lions are on a three game winning streak but I was not overly impressed with them against Chicago, I expected better and against most other teams, including the Vikings, they would have lost with such a display.

This pick is based on what I have seen in front of me and the Vikings simply look the better team, they are more clinical and my confidence is higher in them than the Lions and by some way.

Take the Vikings -2.5

Massive game for both sides and I am going with the Italians to get either get a draw or the win.

It is no easy task to go to Atletico and get a result but it has been easier this season than in the past, they lost at home to Chelsea and drew with Karabakh in their last two home games in this competition and they are in serious danger of not qualifying, in fact, if they do not win they are out.

Roma knows that a win and they top the group and get a potentially easier draw in the knock out stages, they also know a draw guarantees qualification no matter what.

So both teams know what is at stake, however, this is about form more than anything else and Roma have it and Atletico do not, Roma are top for a reason, they are a very good team, they showed this against Chelsea, they have won their last six games in all competitions and are on a roll.

Athletico have won just twice in their last nine games in all competitions, they have not lost but 7 draws is indicative of a big problem,

Roma may not win but I do not see them losing and the best value bet is taking the Italians on the spreads.

Take Roma +0.5

Two football giants clash this evening in Europe and it is Juventus I take to win.

If Juventus lose they face a real possibility of elimination at the group stage, that is unthinkable for them and while they are still in the driving seat terms in terms of their own qualification I do not see them giving up that advantage.

Juventus were stunned at the weekend losing away at Sampdoria and if anything was flattered by the result, they are third in the Italian league and are not playing the same as they were last season but they remain a world-class team and won 9 of their last 12 games prior to that defeat last weekend.

Additionally, Juventus have won 8 of their last 9 games on their own turf and did beat Barcelona 3-0 last season in this competition in Turin.

Barcelona are world class we all know this but they remain vulnerable against top sides away from home, they have failed to get wins at Real Madrid and Athletico Madrid away this season and last season got thrashed against Juventus and PSG away in this competition.

Barcelona did beat Juventus easily in Spain earlier this season but that is usual for them, they are a very different beast at home compared to away.

All things considered, I am of the opinion that there is more of a chance of Juventus winning or drawing than Barcelona winning this game.

A draw sees stakes returned and backing Juventus at even ball represents the safest option.

Take Juventus 0

I am going with Ipswich town to not lose this game and probably win it.

Ipswich sits above Sheff Weds in the league standings, albeit by a single point, they are in good recent form having drawn their last game away at Hull and beating Preston 3-0 last time they were at home.

Sheff Weds are unbeaten in their last four league games but three of those were at home, they did win their last away game at Villa but went winless for 7 games prior to that.

These two teams are fairly evenly matched and for me, it was about seeking a balance and on the balance of things, the most unlikely outcome was an away win, there is far more chance of a draw or Ipswich win.

I am taking Ipswich on the spreads at even ball, this means a draw sees stakes returned and the only way this bet loses is if Sheff weds win.

Take Ipswich 0

I am going with CSKA Moscow to get the win and to give themselves a huge chance of qualifying for the knockout games.

Benfica cannot qualify, they are out, they cannot overtake Basel due to head to head and have absolutely nothing to play for other than pride, that is not the case for the Russian side.

CSKA also know they are away to Man Utd in the last game and that this game represents the best opportunity to pick up three points.

A win for CSKA also puts immense pressure on Basel as they play later, they do not want the Swiss side to play with freedom and comfort, they will want them to know they must get something from their game against United.

All things questioned CSKA must win and against a team with no incentive that is what I expect.

Take CSKA -0.5

I am going with Monaco to get the win today in this Champions League clash with German side Leipzig.

Monaco are more or less out of the competition but mathematically they have a hope, they would have to win this game and hope that Porto does not beat Besiktas and go into the last game in the group with slim hopes of finishing second, anything less and they are out.

Point is this, that Monaco still has something to play for.

Leipzig also knows they must get something from this game, though if Porto wins then Leipzig must also win, so just like Monaco, they have something to play for.

Therefore, what we have is a competitive game with a lot on the line but only one of these teams is in really good form and that is Monaco.

Monaco went through a torrid period earlier in the season and that is why they are where they are now but they have turned things around and find themselves second in the French League and on a 5 game unbeaten run in all competitions, they have finally got their act together after a summer of turmoil that saw some of their best players leave.

Leipzig is still doing good in Germany, they currently sit third but they have hit a patch of bad form, they have just one win in their last five competitive games and that is not the best preparation for a must-win game.

This will be an entertaining game but Monaco has home advantage and has finally started to play to form and have just as much to play for as what Leipzig do.

I have gone with the French side on the spreads as a safety option, Leipzig is still dangerous and on the balance of things I see Monaco winning but a draw sees stakes returned and that safety first option appeals in this type of game.

Take Monaco at even spread.

I am going with Sevilla to get the win over Liverpool today in the Champions League.

There is still everything to play for in Group E, Sevilla is second on 7 points and Liverpool first on 8 points, neither team can be eliminated but a win would give either side a massive boost and almost certain qualification to the next stage.

Both sides come into this game in very good form, Sevilla has lost just once in their last five games, away against Barcelona 2-1 and won the other four games, they were in poor form before that but are now on a roll.

Liverpool has won four of their last five games also and the last four on the bounce, their only loss in that sequence was a 4-1 hammering at Tottenham.

So, we have two teams in good recent form and both have something massive to play for and it is hard to separate the pair, however, Sevilla have one single advantage over the Reds and that is home advantage and I believe that will be significant today.

That said, I have decided to back Sevilla at even ball on the spreads, it is the safest option, a draw would see stakes returned and I am of the opinion that there is more chance of a home win or draw than a Liveprool win.

Take Sevilla at 0 on the spreads

I am taking Derby County to get the win in the English Championship today against Queens Park Rangers.

Derby are generally very solid at home, they did lose their last home match, however, previous to that they had won four and drawn one on their home ground and apart from last week their only loss at home this season was against League leaders Wolves in their first home game of the season.

QPR have not won away this season, in fact, their winless run on the road in the league now runs to 15 games, they lost their most recent game away 4-0 and it is hard to make a case for them in this game.

The form is with Derby and home advantage is significant.

Take Derby -0.5

I cannot see anything other than a Bristol City win today against Preston North End.

The stats speak for themselves, Bristol enters this game with just one loss in their last 19 games in all competitions, they have lost just once at home this season and sit fourth in the Championship.

Preston cannot buy a win at the moment, they are on a five-game winless streak, they drew 0-0 at home last game and lost the previous four, they have won twice this season away but that is their only wins on the road in their last 19 games away in the Championship.

The form is clearly with Bristol, they are solid at home, whereas Preston is poor away, they sit ten places and 9 points above Preston in the league and it would be a bit of a shock to me if Bristol City does not win this game.

All things considered, a home win looks a good thing.

Take Bristol City -0.5

I am taking Brighton to win a close match against inconsistent Stoke City.

In fact, both teams are inconsistent but with Brighton that was to be expected, they are a promoted side and their results were always going to be a mixed bag, the surprising thing though is how inconsistent Stoke have been.

One week Stoke lose away 7-2 to Man City and in their very next away match they beat Watford 1-0, however, generally speaking, they have been poor.

Brighton are unbeaten in their last four home games, they have drawn two and won two, they have lost just once at home this season and that was 2-0 against league leaders Man City, not a bad result for a promoted team and a lot better than the thrashing Stoke took at the hands of City.

This will be a very tight game I am sure but the way that Brighton have been playing at home gives me confidence that they will edge it.

Take Brighton -0.5

I cannot see anything other than an Eagles win and my analysis had them as 10 point winners and so getting -5.5 is a gift.

The Eagles have won their last 7, they are on fire, they are playing beautifully and it will take a good team to stop them and the Cowboys are not that team.

The Cowboys have a mixed record recently but what I find is that against the poorer sides they win against good sides they lose and that looks like it will be the case today.

This game is basically about one team flying high and another team stuttering and it is the team flying high that I will be backing.

Take the Eagles -5.5

A game between two sides in poor overall form but I am confident that the Broncos will have enough to claim to victory.

Denver has lost its last 5 in a row and while some excuses can be made that is not the case in all those losses and they will have to improve and that is the thing, I feel there is more chance of Denver improving than the Bengals.

The Bengals has lost 3 of their last 4 and in the last 2 games they looked particularly static, they lacked imagination and I just lack any confidence in them to turn things around.

Two poor teams but despite losing more regular recently it is the Broncos that fill me with more confidence that they can win this game.

Take Broncos -2.5

I am going with Detroit to see off Chicago today and by more than 3 points.

Detroit has won their last 2 and by scores of 13 and 14 points, they are on a roll and their offence is finally firing on all cylinders.

Chicago, by contrast, has lost their two with the deficit being 7 points and 8 points.

I believe that both teams will continue with that sort of form, that the Lions will win and win handsomely, maybe not by 13 or 14 points but certainly by more than 3 and probably closer to 7 or 8 points.

Take Detroit -3

I am taking Baltimore to beat Green Bay today.

Both these teams have their problems and are inconsistent but I feel there is more chance of the Ravens getting their act together today than the Packers.

Green Bay did win last week but that was against a poor Chicago, they had lost three on the bounce prior to that game and I dd not see enough last week, even when they won, to convince me that things will get much better for them.

Baltimore has lost 3 of their last 4 and the only win was a surprising 40-0 rout of Miami but they were unlucky last week against Tennesee and I feel they have more to offer than Green Bay.

It is strange to go against a team that won last week with a team that lost but having reviewed both games I cannot shake the feeling that this game is there for the taking for the Ravens.

Take Baltimore -2

This looks a fairly even match up but I am of the opinion that Tampa will just shade it.

Games between these two tend to be close but Tampa clearly have had the edge in recent years and that is how I see it unfolding once again today.

Tampa finally won last week and that will give them a much-needed boost, whereas Miami has now lost three on the bounce.

Two of those Miami losses have been hammerings and while Tampa's overall record is terrible they do come into this game with a better morale following that win over the Jets.

All things considered, I am going with Tampa to get their second win on the bounce and for Miami to register their fourth loss in a row.

TAKE Tampa -1

This is a game that Schalke should win and win with ease.

Hamburg has lost their last four away games conceding 10 goals and scoring just 3, they are fourth bottom and facing a season of struggle.

Schalke are doing quite well at the moment, they are sixth in the standings and are unbeaten in their last 5 Bundesliga matches, winning three and drawing two.

Schalke could do better at home I admit, however, they are facing one of the worst travellers in the league in wretched form and nothing less than a win is expected.

I am confident that Schalke will win, it was just a question of would they cover the spread, I believe they will and even if they win by just the single goal you at least get your stake back.

Take Schalke -1

This is my early morning pick.

Trellborgs lead 2-0 from the first leg of this Swedish playoff match and can lose by a single goal and still be promoted.

Jonkopings have to overcome that two-goal deficit otherwise they will be relegated.

Both teams clearly have huge incentives, however, both will approach this game with different mindsets.

Jonkopings must win and therefore will be on the attack and Trellborgs must preserve their lead and so will be more defensive minded.

Of course, Trellborgs will look to catch Jonkopings on the counter but this game will develop into one side attacking and one defending.

I do not know if Jonkopings can make the comeback, I think they have a good chance, they will have a crazy passionate crowd behind them but two goals is a big deficit at this level.

I am taking Jonkopings to win because I beleive with the crowwd behind them they will be invigorated but cannot say they will do enough to stop Trellborgs being promoted.

Take Jonkopings -0.5

I really like Burnley for this one, they are decent at home and Swansea have been weak on the road.

Burnley generally are in good form, they have lost just one in the Premier League in their last nine outings and that was against league leaders Man City, they beat Southampton away last game and in their last home match, they beat Newcastle.

Swansea have lost their last four Premier Lague games on the bounce, they are second bottom and there is little sign that they are about to turn things around. 

Burnley have the form, Swansea do not and with home advantage then it has to be Burnley for the win.

Take Burnley -0.5

Sixth-placed Rotherham face League One leaders Shrewsbury today and it is with the home side I am backing for the win.

Rotherham have been excellent at home this season, they did lose their last home game very surprisingly to third bottom Gillingham and I am prepared to put that down as a one-off, previous to that they had won their previous five home games scoring 16 goals in the process.

Shrewsbury are obviously in great form, they are top of the league, however, they have been dropping points recently on the road picking up just two points from a possible nine. They struggled to get a point away at second-bottom Plymouth and they appear to have run out of steam away from home.

All things considered, I am going with Rotherham to get a massive three points today and win.

Take Rotherham -0.5

I am going to back Sheffield United to beat a poor Burton side.

Sheffield United have won four of their last six away games and six of their last eight games overall, they are in good form and sit second in the Championship, in fact, a win tonight takes them top, a very good incentive.

Burton is fourth from bottom, they have won just once in their last nine games, their last match in fact, they have lost their last four home games conceding 14 goals.

Sheffield have the better form by some way, they have the confidence and the incentive, all things that Burton lack.

All things considered, I am going with Sheffield United on the spreads.

Take Sheffield United -0.5

Second-placed Charleroi welcome third bottom Mechelen in this Belgium pro league match.

Charleroi has gone off the rails slightly in recent weeks but following a rest through the international break and on their home turf I expect them to record an overdue win.

Charleroi did go three games without a win before finally getting a home win over Gent and followed that up with an impressive away win at sixth-placed Antwerp.

Mechelen has a wretched away record with no wins two draw and four losses this season in the league and it is asking fr a massive turnaround for them to visit the team second in the table and get anything from the game.

All things considered, I am going with Charleroi to register their third win on the bounce.

Take Charleroi -0.5

2nd placed Gremio take on 11th placed Sao Paulo in this Brazilian Serie A game and it is Gremio that I am going to back.

Both sides are in fairly decent form at the moment and overall there is little to separate them, however, the home form of Gremio, while not outstanding is superior to the away form of the visitors.

Gremio only losses on their home ground recently have been against teams in the top 5 though they do also lose the odd game to a lowly team.

Sao Paulo has won just three away games in the league all season from 17 road trips, hardly a fantastic record.

The poor form on the road of Sao Paulo was the deciding factor for me and I am taking Gremo to scrape a home win.

Denmark and the Republic of Ireland face off in this second leg of the world cup playoffs with the winner set to qualify for the finals in Russia next year.

Denmark was very unlucky from the first leg which finished 0-0 and even though the Irish have home advantage with a manic passionate crowd behind them I am still of the opinion that it is the Danes that will qualify.

This will be a tight low scoring affair and for me, it is most likely that it will be a single moment that will decide this game and that single moment generally comes from a player with the capability of to change a game on his own, Ireland does not have that sort of player, Denmark do in Christian Eriksen.

The Tottenham man is the best player from both sides, he is world class and has the ability to take this game by the scruff of the neck and dominate it.

The Irish know this and will do what they can to counter his threat but I have seen the best defenders in the world try and do that and fail.

I am not saying that Denmark is a one-man team, not at all, what I am saying is that when you have a very close game with very few goals then one man an make a difference at one point in the game.

Simply put, cometh the hour cometh the man and Denmark have that man and Ireland does not.

I am going with Denmark to win and if by chance they do not and it is a draw then stakes are returned.

Put it this way, there is more chance of a draw or Denmark win than there is an outright Oreland win in my opinion.

Take Denmark at even spread.

This game will decide which one of these two sides qualify for the World Cup finals next year in Rusia. Sweden holds a 1-0 lead from the first game.

Normally you would choose Italy based n their reputation and history, but this side is not one of the best Italian sides hat we have witnessed, in fact, they are probably one of the worst.

That does not mean they are not a top team, they are, but they are beatable and no longer hold the threat they once did.

Sweden will clearly set out to defend their 1-0 lead and the question for me was, can they do that? and are Italy strong enough to break the Swedes down?

The answer in both cases is a definite yes, however, I am more inclined to believe that the Swedes will defend better than what Italy will do going forward.

Italy are of course clear favourites, they are at home but I feel it is a tall order asking them to win by two clear goals against a ery organisedd Swedish side.

Put it this way, there is more chances in my opinion that the Swedes will draw this game than there is that Italy will win by two clear goals.

Take Sweden +1

Due to time constraint's, there is minimal written analysis today, however, all picks have been fully researched and analysed and you can be assured they come with my full confidence.

I fully expect the Falcons to win this one and by more than the 3 points being offered on the spreads, in fact, I have them 6 point favourites.

Take The Falcons -3

Due to time constraint's, there is minimal written analysis today, however, all picks have been fully researched and analysed and you can be assured they come with my full confidence.

Coritiba is my stand out pick today, both these teams may be languishing near the bottom of the table but Coritiba has the far better current form and home advantage.

Take Coritiba -0.5