The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is the over Spurs/Mavericks (8:30 EST).

The 60-18 San Antonio Spurs are in Dallas to take on the 32-46 Mavericks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

San Antonio had won three straight and eight of nine before a humbling 102-95 home loss to the Lakers on Wednesday, while Dallas lost its second straight and sixth of its last seven after a 112-101 road loss to the Clippers on Wednesday. 

The Spurs play with revenge here, as Dallas scored the 105-101 road upset in the last matchup on January 29th. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well.

San Antonio averages 105.8 PPG and concedes 98.2.

The Mavs average only 97.9 PPG and allow 100.5.

San Antonio is resting its star players, which means that the backups will be looking to make a statement today and take advantage of the opportunity. Neither team has anything to play for, as Dallas is out of the playoffs, while San Antonio is locked into second in the West no matter what happens over the last few games.

I don’t think much effort will be put onto the defensive end tonight. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is the under Heat/Raptors (7:35 EST).

The 38-40 Miami Heat are in Toronto to take on the 48-31 Raptors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. 

The Heat broke a two-game slide with a 112-99 victory in Charlotte on Wednesday, while Toronto rallied to beat the Pistons 105-102 on the road for its eighth win in its last ten games on the same night. 

Note that Toronto has taken two of three in the season series this year, which includes a 101-84 victory in the most recent matchup on March 23rd. Suffice it to say, I expect a similar final combined score here as well. 

Miami is in a dog fight for the final playoff spot in the East. The Heat only average 102.9 PPG, but make up for it on the defensive end in conceding just 101.9.

Clearly Miami can ill afford to get into a “track meet” with the high-flying Raptors, who average 107.1 PPG. The Heat will have to do what they do best and that’s play tough, full court defense from start to finish if they have any hopes whatsoever in scoring the upset this evening.

Toronto is ranked seventh in scoring defense in conceding 103.1 PPG. 

The Raptors have been playing to some higher-scoring affairs of late, but after their epic come-from-behind win over the Pistons and with road games at New York and Cleveland to close out the regular season, Toronto could no doubt be caught a little flat-footed and “gassed” tonight.

I’ll point out that the under is 8-1 in Miami’s last nine following a straight-up win over more than ten points and 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest, while Toronto has seen the under go 6-2 in its last eight after allowing 102 points or more in its previous outing.

I’m expecting an all out war and for this one to fall under once it’s all said and done.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Western Conference SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the Portland Trailblazers (10:30 EST).

The 31-46 Minnesota Timberwolves are in Portland to take on the 38-40 Blazers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

With just four games to go, Portland has a one-game lead over Denver for the eighth spot. The Blazers will be desperate to maintain that position obviously, but also to get back on track after a two-game slide, one of which came by one point at the hands of these very Timberwolves in Minnesota on Monday night.

Suffice it to say, it’s payback time on Thursday!

Minnesota has won three of its last five, but has nothing to play for other than spoiler now. And that can only provide so much motivation for so long before everyone just throws in the towel. This is what I envision happening this evening as Portland risks life and limb tonight to get off the schneid with a decent full four-quarter effort.

And if history is any precedence, then the Blazers have to be loving their chances today as they’ve won 20 of the last 22 meetings at home against Minnesota: “We’re ready to go home and finish the season out strong and we know that we control what happens,” Portland’s star point guard Damian Lillard said last night.

I’ll point out that the Wolves are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight on the road and just 1-6 ATS in their last seven when playing on one days rest, while the Trailblazers are 6-0 ATS in their last six when playing on one days rest and 4-0 ATS in their last four at home against clubs with losing road records.

I think the Wolves check out of this one early and expect Portland to put the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (8:05 EST).

The 49-27 Cavaliers are in Boston to take on the 50-27 Celtics and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

This is the biggest regular season game for both teams so far as first place is up for grabs in the Eastern Conference. 

Boston won its second straight and sixth in its last seven with a 110-94 victory over New York on Sunday, while Cleveland cruised to a 122-102 win over Orlando at home last night.

The Cavs have taken two of three so far this year, but it was the C’s which won 103-99 at home in the latest on March 1st.

Cleveland has now won three straight. It averages 110.3 PPG and concedes 107. LeBron James leads the nightly charge with 26.3 points, 8.5 boards and 8.7 assists per game. Note that the Cavs are second in the NBA in made threes with 13 triples a game.

Boston averages 107.8 PPG and concedes 105.1. Isaiah Thomas averages 29.1 points and 5.9 assists per game. Boston is ranked fourth in three points with 11.9 per contest.

I’ll point out though that Cleveland is 12-9 ATS this season following a win by ten points or more, while Boston is just 11-15 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest (also only 5-9 ATS following a win by ten points or more). 

For many, the Cavaliers playing the Warriors this year was the “biggest” regular season game. Perhaps the Warriors and Durant against the Thunder as well. However, this is the biggest game in terms of it actually meaning something for the postseason. 

That means that it’s “go” time for James and company. I look for the defending champs to put on a show tonight and at the very least, take this one down to the wire. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Nuggets/Pelicans (8:05 EST).

The 36-40 Denver Nuggets are in New Orleans to take on the 33-44 Pelicans and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

Eighth spot in the East is still up for grabs. Denver sits two games back of Portland and New Orleans sits 2.5 back. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting these teams to body up and play some tougher defense with so much on the line.

Denver comes in off a 116-113 win over Miami on Sunday, snapping a three-game losing streak. 

New Orleans is on the verge of elimination after falling 117-110 to the Bulls on Sunday. 

Denver loves to push the pace and is one of the highest scoring teams in the nation, but note that the Nuggets have in fact seen the total go under the number in eight of 14 this year off an upset win as an underdog.

And note that New Orleans has seen the total dip below the posted number in 15 of 21 this year after allowing 115 points or more.

Anthony Davis is questionable for this one, which doesn’t bode well for the Pels.

When you add it all up, I think this number is just a tiny bit high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Magic/Cavaliers (7:05 EST).

The 27-50 Orlando Magic are in Cleveland to take on the 49-27 Cavaliers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

The Magic are going through the motions at this point and enter off a fourth straight loss, this time a 121-111 road setback to Brooklyln on Saturday.

The Cavs come in off a second straight win, but will look to manage the pace of this one after their epic 135-130 double OT victory over the Pacers on Sunday. 

Cleveland has to be liking its chances today as well as it’s won 16 straight in the series.

That doesn’t bode well for a Magic team that is 27th in the league in scoring with an average of just 100.9 PPG. 

Cleveland has a big game in Boston up next, so could also be caught “looking ahead” here.

From a situational stand point, this one sets up great for a lower-scoring affair, but also note that the under has gone 5-1 in the Magic’s last six against the Central division, while the Cavaliers have seen the total go under in three of their last four after giving up 130 points or more.

This number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Hornets/Wizards (7:05 EST).

The 36-41 Charlotte Hornets are in Washington to take on the 46-31 Wizards and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

Charlotte still has a mathematical shot at the playoffs and comes in with some momentum, having won three straight and seven of nine, most recently a 113-101 victory over OKC on Sunday. 

The Wizards are already in the playoffs, but they’ll be looking to get back on track after dropping three straight, most recently a 139-115 setback at Golden State on Sunday. 

Washington has won two of three against the Hornets this year, but it was Charlotte that scored the 98-93 win at home in the last matchup on March 18th. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score tonight as well.

The Hornets average 105.5 PPG and concede 104.4. Kemba Walker leads the way with 23.1 points and 5.5 assists per game.

The Wizards average 109.3 PPG and concede 107.5. John Wall leads all scorers with 23.2 points, 10.7 assists and 1.97 steals per game.

I’ll point out though that Charlotte has seen the total go under the number in nine of 13 against the division this year, while Washignton has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four divisional contests as well.

All signs point to a lower-scoring affair in my opinion, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the under Pacers/Cavaliers (6:05 EST).

The 37-38 Indiana Pacers are in Cleveland to take on the 47-27 Cavaliers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

This is a big game for both teams. Cleveland had lost three straight before beating the 76ers 122-105 on Friday, but still sits behind Boston for the No. 1 seed in the East. 

Indiana holds the final playoff spot in the East, but the Bulls are only a half game behind it. 

The Pacers have also dropped three straight and will be looking to improve dramatically on the defensive side after losing 111-110 to the Raptors on Sunday after going into the half with a lead. 

A date against the struggling Cavaliers could be exactly what the doctor ordered for Indiana though as Cleveland has averaged just 94 points during its losing streak. 

And I’ll point out that Indiana has seen the total go under the number in 21 of 38 this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Cleveland has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of 22 this season following a win by ten points or more. 

This is the Cavs third game in four days, so I expect the home side to control the pace of this one as it looks to avoid getting into a “track meet” with hungry Pacers. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the under Lakers/Clippers (3:35 EST).

The 21-54 LA Lakers are get ready to battle the 46-31 Clippers on Saturday afternoon and for a number of different reasons, I expect this total to fall below this sky-high number.

The Lakers come in off a third straight loss and 17th in their last 19 after a 119-104 road loss to the Wolves on Thursday. 

The Clippers come in off a 124-118 road win over the Suns, their sixth win in their last eight games. 

The Clippers have won 13 of the last 14 in the series, including a 133-109 victory in the last contest on March 21st.

These teams have been playing to some pretty high-scoring affairs of late and also against each other, but I think the situation now finally lends itself to a more defensive affair.

Clearly the Lakers are just going through the motions at this point of the season, the starters will look to avoid injury and the team is hoping for a top draft choice.

The Clippers though have a lot to play for still, they currently sit in fifth in the West and would love nothing more than to leap frog the Jazz so as to ensure home court advantage in the first round.

I’ll point out that the Lakers have seen the total go under the number in three of their last four against the division, while the Clippers have seen the total dip below the posted number in three of their last four as the home team.

I don’t think the Clippers want to turn this into a “track meet,” instead I expect them to control the tempo and look for this total to fall below the number once it’s all said and done.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* LEGEND is on the Indiana Pacers (7:05 EST).

The 37-38 Indiana Pacers are in Toronto to take on the 45-30 Raptors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Pacers come in desperate here, they lost for the fourth time in five games in a 110-97 road defeat in Memphis on Wednesday. 

Toronto looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after it had its six game win streak snapped in a 110-106 home loss to Charlotte. Momentum is difficult to attain and once lost, it’s sometimes even more difficult to get back.

Also note, to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement I think as Toronto has taken three straight and eight of the last nine in the series, including a 116-91 victory at home in the first matchup of the year on March 19th.

Indiana is in eighth spot in the East and will be desperate here as it looks to break the slide of poor play. Indiana averages 104.3 PPG and concedes 105.4. Paul George leads the nightly charge with 22.8 points plus 6.4 boards per game.

The Raptors average 107.2 PPG and concede 103. DeMar DeRozan leads everyone with 27.2 points and 5.3 boards per contest. 

I’ll point out though that Indiana is 11-6 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more, while Toronto is just 1-2 ATS in its last three off an upset loss as a favorite. 

I think the “hungrier” team is the way to go in this one and while I wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can, play on Indiana.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (8:05 EST).

The 47-26 Cleveland Cavaliers are in Chicago to take on the 35-39 Bulls and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

It’s going to be all hands on deck for the Cavs today, they’ve lost four of their last six, most recently a humbling 103-74 road loss in San Antonio on Monday. With two extra days off between games and after losing top spot in the East to the Celtics, I’m absolutely expecting LeBron James and company to lay the hammer down tonight though.

Note as well that this is a quadruple revenge game for the Cavaliers, having lost each of the last four meetings with the Bulls. 

Chicago sits just a game behind Miami for the final spot in the East, but note that it’s just 8-10 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 6-8 ATS following a divisional contest.

Also note that the Cavs have excelled in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 ATS in their last five when playing with two days rest.

This is Cleveland’s most important game so far this entire season and suffice it to say, I look for the defending champions to respond with a resounding performance. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* BAIL-OUT is on the LA Clippers (10:35 EST).

The Washington Wizards are in LA to take on the 44-31 Clippers on Wednesday night and for a couple of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Note that Washington played just 24 hours previous against the Lakers and suffice it to say, I think it’s going to be “gassed” in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. 

And with tough games at Utah and at Golden State upcoming respectively, it’s certainly not too hard to imagine the Wizards also in some small way getting caught “looking ahead” to those very tough contests. 

The Clippers will be looking to take out their frustrations on someone after letting an 18-point fourth quarter lead go by the way side in a 98-97 setback at home to the Kings. LA currently sits 1.5 games behind Utah for the fourth seed, so it needs to start winning immediately if it has any hopes of securing home court advantage in the first round. 

Also note that this is a “revenge” game as well for LA after the Wizards won 117-110 in Washington on December 18th (note though that the Clippers have won eight straight at home in this series).

With two whole days off to rest, prepare and re-focus, I love the home side to lay a severe beating from start to finish. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Eastern Conference SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Boston Celtics (7:35 EST).

The Milwaukee Bucks are in Boston to take on the 48-26 Celtics on Wednesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Milwaukee has a solid defense which ranks in the top 10 in the league, but it plays in Charlotte on Tuesday night and suffice it to say, I think it’s going to be “gassed” in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. 

Boston has taken over top spot in the East and won’t want to give it up. The C’s have won four in a row and seven of their last eight. Boston is ranks eighth in scoring and 14th in points allowed. 

Isaiah Thomas averages 29.1 PPG and six assists per night for Boston. Note that the Celtics are 27-9 at home, while Milwaukee is a few games under .500 on the road.

Also note that the Bucks are just 10-14 ATS in their last 24 in Boston, while the Celtics are 17-12 ATS against teams with winning records this year and interestingly, 10-4 ATS against Central division opponents.

I think Milwaukee comes in flat-footed after the game last night and look for the Celtics to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SUPER SHOCKER is on the LA Lakers (10:35 EST).

The 45-28 Washignton Wizards are in LA to take on the 21-52 Lakers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I’m not going to be so bold as to predict an outright upset here, but I do definitely believe that the home side will catch the Wizards “looking past” their lowly opponent today and keep this one a lot closer than what Vegas is leading us to believe.

At the very least, Washington will have the No. 3 seed in the Eastern conference.

Clearly the Wizards are the better team, both on paper and on the floor. However, with a game against the Clippers tomorrow night, followed by tough outings at Utah and Golden State respectively, the stage is set for a classic “trap” game this evening.

LA has nothing to play for and will almost assuredly be the second worst team in the league behind the Nets. But with one of the few remaining home games to put on a show for the crowd, I think the young Lakers come to play.

And I’ll point out that Washington is just 16-17 ATS on the road this season and only 9-15 ATS overall since the All Star break, while LA is 2-1 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or less and interestingly, 6-2 ATS against the Southeast division.

Grab as many points as you can, play on LA.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the under Bucks/Hornets (7:05 EST).

The 37-36 Milwaukee Bucks are in Charlotte to take on the 33-40 Hornets on Monday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. 

The Bucks look to get back on track, they’d won nine of 11 before falling 109-94 at home to the Bulls on Sunday. 

The Hornets also come in with momentum, they’ve won four of their last five, including a 120-106 victory over Phoenix on Sunday as well.

Note that Charlotte has won three straight in the series, including a 107-96 win in the first matchup this year all the way back on October 26th.

Milwaukee is ranked 18th overall in scoring with 104.4 PPG, while ranked ninth defensively in conceding 104.2. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the nightly charge with 23.1 points, 8.6 boards, 5.3 assists, 1.67 steals and 1.89 blocks per game. The Bucks are effecient from the floor, ranked second in field goal percentage at 47.5 percent, but note that they’re poor from range, ranked 23rd with 8.6 three pointers per game.

Charlotte now sits two games behind Miami for the final playoff spot, so clearly this is an important stretch for the home side. The Hornets are ranked 15th overall in averaging 105.1 PPG, while ranked ninth on the defensive end in conceding 104.2. Kemba Walker leads everyone with 22.9 points and 5.5 assists per game.

I’ll point out that the under is 4-0 in Milwaukee’s last four after giving up 100 points or more in its previous contest, while Charlotte has seen the under go 11-4 in its last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in its previous outing.

Five of these team’s last seven in the series have dipped below the posted number in Charlotte and I think all signs point to another lower-scoring battle. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Dallas Mavericks (8:30 EST).

The 41-30 Oklahoma City Thunder are in Dallas to take on the 31-41 Dallas Mavericks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

OKC comes in off a loss in Houston yesterday afternoon and I think will be “gassed” here. Dallas will now look to take advantage and to get back into the winners circle after a 94-86 home loss to Toronto in its latest action.

These teams have already split a pair of meetings this year, each earning the victory on its home floor. Suffice it to say, I expect that trend to carry on here.

Dallas is 21-17 on its home floor and needs to start stringing some wins together immediately if it has any chance whatsoever at making it into the postseason. Desperation breeds motivation and note that the Mavericks are 3-1 ATS in their last four after scoring 86 points or less, while OKC is just 1-2 ATS in its last three in the second game of a back-to-back.

After yesterday’s high-scoring defeat, I think the Thunder come out flat here. The correct call in this one is on the home side, play on Dallas.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Antonio Spurs (8:00 EST).

San Antonio is in a dog fight with the Warriors for top spot in the West and now faces a daunting schedule with the suddenly underachieving defending champion Cavaliers coming to town tonight, followed with matchups at home against Golden State and then at Oklahoma City and then back home for Utah and Memphis.

Cleveland has dropped six of its last ten, including three of its last four.

After tonight’s tough road contest though, the Cavs have much more “winnable” contests against Eastern Conference cellar dwellers in Chicago, Philadelphia, Indiana and Orlando respectively. 

From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up nicely for San Antonio as it looks to start this tough stretch off on the “right foot,” while Cleveland could very well be caught “looking ahead” to the “vanilla” stretch in its schedule.

Also note that the Cavs are just 2-3 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and only 8-13 ATS after allowing 115 points or more, while San Antonio is 18-6 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest.

Cleveland will be fine, but I think this one means a lot more to the red hot home side. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Toronto Raptors (7:30 EST).

The 27-46 Orlando Magic are in Toronto to take on the 44-29 Raptors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Orlando comes in complacent here in my opinion, it’s out of the playoff race for a while, but is contented after winning for the third time in four games in Friday’s 115-87 home victory over Detroit. 

The Raptors are rolling, but can ill afford to take the foot off the gas after a previous rough stretch, they enter this one having won five straight, most recently a 94-86 win over Dallas on the road on Saturday. 

Note that this sets up as a “revenge” game as well for Toronto, which has dropped two of three in the season series with Orlando so far, including a 102-94 setback in in the most recent matchup on February 3rd.

Despite the recent “up tick” in play, the Magic are still just 28th in the league in averaging 100.4 PPG, while ranked a sub-par 19th on the defensive end in conceding 106.3 per game.

The Raptors average 106.9 PPG and concede 102.8. Keep your eyes on DeMar DeRozan, who leads the nightly charge with 27.1 points, plus 5.3 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that Orlando 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on two days rest, while Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last five when playing on one days rest.

Toronto is just three games behind the Celtics with nine games to go. This is a very important contest for the Raptors, one which could be a difference maker in the next two weeks. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting the home side to come in focused on the task at hand and look for it to easily pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Grizzlies/Warriors (8:05 EST).

The 40-32 Memphis Grizzlies are in Golden State to take on the 58-14 Warriors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

Golden State has been rolling of late, winner of six straight games, most recently taking down the Kings on Friday night. Memphis will now look to break that string of success and get back into the winners circle itself after it had its four game win streak snapped with consecutive losses at the hands of the Pelicans and Spurs.

Memphis actually gave the Warriors one of their four home losses this year with an OT victory at Oracle back on January 6th. 

But another upset may be hard to come by here against a once again red hot Warriors team, led by a surging Stephen Curry who has gone 28 for 60 from range during the win streak. Note that Golden State did revenge the home loss to the Grizzlies with a resounding 122-107 victory in Memphis last month.

I’ll point out that Memphis has seen the total go over the number in six of ten this year when playing with two days rest, while Golden State has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of its last four against clubs with winning records.

Memphis would love to steal the season series against the Warriors and I’m expecting it to push the pace from start to finish as it comes in rested after two nights off. 

When you add it all up, I think this number is indeed just a little bit low. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SUPER SHOCKER is on the New York Knicks (8:35 EST).

The 27-45 New York Knicks are in San Antonio to take on the 55-16 Spurs and while I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do think that the situation favors the visitors and look for them to keep this one a lot closer than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe.

The Knicks come in under the radar here, they’ve lost four straight and seven of their last eight, most recently a 110-95 setback at Portland on Thursday. 

Conversely, the Spurs come in complacent after winning their third straight and fifth in their last seven by outlasting the Grizzlies 97-90 at home on Thursday. 

New York comes in averaging 105.1 PPG and is fourth in the NBA in rebounding with 45.5 boards per game. The Knicks are poor defensively though, conceding 108.7 per contest. 

San Antonio averages 106.3 PPG and concedes 98.4 Kawhi Leonard leads the way with 25.9 points, 5.9 boards and 1.84 steals per game. 

I’ll point out though that New York has excelled in this spot for bettors this year, going 7-3 ATS after three or more consecutive losses and 22-13 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record, while San Antonio is just 11-16 ATS this season after three or more consecutive victories and just 5-8 ATS following a divisional contest.

Clearly this is a matchup of David vs. Goliath on paper, but not only do the trends support the Knicks in this situation, but so too does the overall “situation.” There’s no doubt that this sets up as a classic “trap” game for the Spurs, with games against the Cavaliers and Warriors on Sunday and Tuesday resepectively. 

I think the visitors do more than enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread they’ve been afforded as they catch the home side “looking ahead.” Play on New York.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Sacramento Kings (10:35 EST).

Clearly the Warriors are the superior team, they come into this one having won five straight, including covering the spread in their last four as well. 

The last time Golden State faced Sacramento, it would smash the Kings 109-86 on February 15th. 

So am I suggesting to you to “sprinkle a little on the money-line” as well? Of course not.

I simply feel that this sets up as a “trap” game for the Warriors, who will next face the Grizzlies, the Rockets and Spurs respectively. It’s not too hard to imagine the home side taking the foot off the gas a little bit tonight as it focuses on its much tougher upcoming schedule.

The Kings have struggled with offensive consistency since making the DeMarcus Cousins trade, but note that they’ve excelled in this spot for bettors this season, going 8-5 ATS after allowing 115 points or more and 11-4 ATS after three or more consecutive losses.

And it’s interesting to note that Golden State is just 3-7 ATS this season when playing with two days rest and only 10-16 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 106 points per contest. 

For all the reason’s listed above, I’m grabbing the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Houston Rockets (8:05 EST).

The 30-41 New Orleans Pelicans are in Houston to take on the 49-22 Rockets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

New Orleans comes in off a 95-82 win over Memphis, while Houston nipped by Denver 125-124 in its latest action. 

James Harden had 39 points and 11 assists in the Rockets most recent win. 

DeMarcuas Cousins had 41 points and 17 boards in the Pelicans victory over the Grizzlies. 

I’ll point out though that New Orleans is just 6-8 ATS against the division this year and only 3-5 ATS after allowing 90 points or less, while Houston is 17-7 ATS after allowing 115 points or more and 24-11 ATS against teams with losing records.

I think the Pelicans finally stumble as they hit the road and Houston pulls away for the comfortable ATS cover down the stretch. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (7:05 EST).

The 46-24 Cleveland Cavaliers are in Charlotte to take on the 32-39 Hornets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

These teams have played twice this year and the Cavs have won both, most recently a 121-109 decision on December 31st. 

But Cleveland has lost two of its last three, while Charlotte comes in having won three straight. Suffice it to say, I think the Cavs are the much “hungrier” team today, especially the way LeBron James called out the rest of his team after the disturbing loss in Denver last time out. 

Newcomer Deron Williams was a stand out in that one with 19 points on 8-of-10 shooting. 

Charlotte comes in off a 109-102 win over the Magic on Wednesday, led by 19 points from Terrence Ross. 

I’ll point out though that Cleveland is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest, while Charlotte is just 4-10 ATS in its last 14 in front of the home town crowd.

The Cavs have dominated this series this year and I don’t expect anything to change. Lay the points with confidence as James and company come in razor focused and lay the hammer down from start to finish.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Suns/Nets (7:35 EST).

The 22-49 Phoenix Suns are in Brooklyn to take on the 14-57 Nets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it. 

These are a couple of the worst teams in the league. Neither has anything to play for as far as the standings are concerned. Suffice it to say, I’m not expecting a lot of defense played as each of these bottom feeders pushes the pace from start to finish, resulting in what I believe will be very high-scoring affair.

The Suns come in having lost five straight, most recently a 112-97 setback at Miami on Tuesday. The Nets had dropped five of seven before getting the better of the Pistons 98-96 at home on Tuesday. 

When these teams played in Phoenix back on November 12th, the Nets won 122-104.

The Suns have struggled because of injury, but still come in sitting in tenth in the league in scoring with 107.1 PPG. Phoenix though has struggled on the defensive end all year, conceding an average of 112.5 per night. Eric Bledsoe leads the team with 21.1 points, 4.8 boards and 6.3 assists per game. 

The Nets average 105.7 PPG, but are last on the defensive end in conceding 113.6 per night. Big man Brook Lopez leads the nightly charge with 20.8 PPG.

I’ll point out though that Phoenix has seen the total go over the number in eight of 13 this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Brooklyn has seen the total sail above the posted number in 20 of 28 non-conference games and in 15 of 23 against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest.

For all the reasons listed above, I’m expecting this one to fly OVER once it’s all said and done.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Utah Jazz (10:30 EST).

The 27-43 New York Knicks are in Utah to take on the 43-28 Jazz on Wednesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Knicks are now officially looking ahead to next season with nothing but pride to play for the rest of the way. The Jazz on the other hand are trying to hold on to fourth place in the West playoffs, a spot which would give them home floor advantage in the first round. 

New York comes in off two straight losses, losing at home to Brooklyn on Thursday and then starting this trip with a 114-105 seback at the Clippers on Monday. The Knicks play a game tomorrow night, so could also be caught looking ahead here.

Utah comes home in a foul mood after dropping three straight to close a four-game road trip. Gordon Hayward was a bright spot with 38 points in the most recent setback.

I’ll point out though that New York is just 1-2 ATS this year against good defensive teams which concede 98 points or less per contest, while Utah is 12-7 ATS this season against poor defensive clubs which allow 106 points per contest.

With a big game against the Clippers on Saturday (the team sitting a half game back in fifth spot in the West), the Jazz can ill afford to drop another “gimme.” This has essentially become a “must win” game for Utah, so lay the points with confidence.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Washington Wizards (8:00 EST).

The 37-33 Atlanta Hawks are in Washington to take on the 42-28 Wizards and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

Atlanta comes in with zero momentum, it’s lost four straight, most recently a 105-90 setback at Charlotte on Monday. The Wizards can empathize, they’ve also been scuffling of late, having lost two in a row and four of their last five, most recently a 110-102 setback at Boston on Monday night.

Washington has already won two of three in the season series with Atlanta, including a 112-86 victory on the road in the last matchup back on January 27th.

Atlanta averages 103.4 PPG and concedes 104.5. Paul Millsap leads all scorers with 18.1 points, plust 7.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game. 

The Wizards average 108.8 PPG and concede 106.8. John Wall leads the nightly charge with 22.9 points, 10.8 assists and 1.96 steals per game. 

I’ll point out though that Atlanta is just 3-11 ATS against the division this year and only 8-10 ATS after a loss by ten points or more (also only 2-7 ATS this year after three or more consecutive losses), while Washington is 21-16 ATS at home this season and 16-12 ATS against teams with winning records.

Neither team instills much confidence, but the Wizards are a strong 27-10 at the Verison Center. Atlanta has been without Millsap in the lineup the last two games and I think that once again hurts the Hawks tonight. Look for the Wizards to find a way to get the job done, lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (8:00 EST).

The 26-44 Philadelphia 76ers are in Oklahoma City to take on the 40-30 Thunder and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The 76ers just blew a 15 point halftime lead in a 112-109 setback in OT to Orlando on Monday, while the Thunder had their five-game win skein snapped with a 111-95 home loss to the Warriors later that same evening.

If history is any precedence though, then OKC has to be loving its chances today as it’s taken 15 straight in the series, including a 103-97 victory in the most recent, back on October 26th.

Despite its recent “up-tick” in play, Philadelphia still ranks 24th in the league in scoring with an average of 102.4 PPG. The 76ers are also below average defensively in conceding 107.6 a night. 

OKC averages 106.7 PPG and concedes 106. Russell Westbrook leads the way with 31.4 points, 10.5 boards and 10.3 assists per game.

I think Philadelphia has a predictable letdown here after its shocking collapse in its last game. The Thunder had been averaging 112 points during their five-game win streak before losing to the Warriors. Suffice it to say, I think Westbrook and company take out their frustrations on their lowly visitors and pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS victory. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL PERFECT STORM is on the under Grizzlies/Pelicans (8:05 EST).

The 40-30 Memphis Grizzlies are in New Orleans to take on the 29-41 Pelicans and for a number of different reasons, I think this total is just a little bit high.

The Grizzlies come in rolling, most recently beating San Antonio 104-96 at home on Saturday, their fourth straight victory. New Orleans is also surging, it’s won four of its last five, including a 123-109 decision at home over Minnesota on Sunday. 

Memphis has taken two of three in the season series thus far, including a tight 95-91 victory in the most recent on February 15th. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well as these two teams continue to battle down the stretch.

Despite the recent “up-tick” in play, note that Memphis still only averages 101.4 PPG. The Grizz make up for it on the other end in conceding just 100.4. Big man Marc Gasol leads the nightly charge with 20.1 points and 6.2 boards per game. 

The Pelicans average only 103.6 PPG, while conceding 106. Big man Anthony Davis leads everyone with 27.8 points, 11.8 boards, 1.21 steals and 2.26 blocks per game. 

I’ll point out that Memphis has seen the total go under the number in seven of 11 already this year after three or more consecutive wins, while New Orleans has seen the total go below the posted number in 14 of 22 as a favorite this season.

I don’t think this is going to be a wide open affair, but rather expect to see a lot of half cour sets while on offense. A slower paced game = less points in this case, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Warriors/Thunder (8:00 EST).

The 55-14 Golden State Warriors are in Oklahoma City to take on the 40-29 Thunder and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

Golden State comes in off a 117-93 destruction of Milwaukee on Saturday, while Oklahoma City smashed Sacramento 110-94 earlier the same day.

Oklahoma City plays with revenge today as Golden State has so far taken all three meetings this season. 

When Kevin Durant went down the Warriors lost three straight. Durant is still out, but since then Golden State has reeled off three straight victories. Stephen Curry had 28 points in the win over the Bucks and Golden State shot 60 percent collectively from the floor. 

The Warriors own the No. 1 offense, averaging 116.12 PPG, while ranked in the middle of the pack on the defensive end in conceding 104.9. 

The Thunder average 106.9 PPG and concede 106. OKC has won five straight and is led by the Triple Double Machine, Russell Westbrook, who averages 31.7 points, 10.3 assists and 10.5 boards per game. 

When these clubs met last month, Westbrook had 47 points in his team’s 130-114 home loss. With Durant on the bench for this one, look for Westbrook to once again try to put on a show in front of his ex-teammate and now bitter rival. 

OKC has in fact averaged 115 points over its last six games. Facing a now confident Warriors team that’s looking to make a statement of their own with their wounded superstar urging them on from the sidelines, all signs point to another high-scoring shootout.

The over is 11-4 in the last 15 between these teams in Oklahoma City. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Pacers/Raptors (6:05 EST).

The 35-33 Indiana Pacers are in Toronto to take on the 40-29 Raptors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

Both teams are hungry for victories. The Pacers are fighting for a playoff spot, while the Raptors are fighting to maintain theirs. 

Indiana comes in off a 98-77 victory over Charlotte on Wednesday, while Toronto had dropped three of four before taking down Detroit 87-75 on Friday. 

The Raptors have won seven of the last eight meetings in the series, including a 111-98 victory at home in the most recent matchup back up April 8th, 2016.

Indiana comes in refreshed and ready to roll after three whole nights off. The Pacers average 104.3 PPG and concede 104.9. Paul George leads the nightly charge with 22.4 points and 6.4 boards per game. Note that the Pacers rank eighth overall in knocking down 37 percent of their shots from range.

Toronto averages 106.8 PPG and concedes 103.3. DeMar DeRozan leads everyone with 26.9 points, plus 5.4 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that the Pacers have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last 11 after allowing 90 points or less, while the Raptors have seen the total sail above the posted number in 16 of 24 against teams with winning records and in 20 of 34 in front of the home town crowd thus far.

The regular season is winding down and these two teams will meet three times over the next three weeks. This is an important game and I think we’ll see a more wide open affair, with each pushing the pace from start to finish. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Oddsmaker’s Error is on the under Wolves/Pelicans (6:05 EST).

The 28-40 Minnesota Timberwolves are in New Orleans to take on the 28-41 Pelicans on Sunday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it. 

Minnesota looks to rebound after two straight losses, while New Orleans looks to keep the momentum rolling after winning three of its last four.

The Wolves need to put the focus back on the defensive side of the ball if they want to get back into the winners circle, in their last two setbacks they’ve given up an average of 120 points. 

New Orleans beat the Rockets 128-112 last time out, led by 30 points, seven assists, six boards and six three-pointers from Solomon Hill. Hill came into that one averaging 6.5 PPG to that point. 

I’ll point out that Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in 12 of 21 this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while New Orleans has seen the total stay below the posted number in ten of 14 this season off an upset win as an underdog.

The Pelicans just held the Rockets to 13 of 40 from range and nobody other than James Harden had more than 13 points for Houston.

I’m expecting an all out war between these two young clubs and for this one to indeed fall under once it’s all said and done.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* UNDERDOG SUPER SHOCKER is on the Memphis Grizzlies (9:05 EST).

The 52-15 San Antonio Spurs are in Memphis to take on the 39-30 Grizzlies and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

San Antonio comes to town off a 110-106 home loss to Portland, while Memphis beat Atlanta 103-91 on Thursday. 

If recent history is any precedence, then the Grizzlies have to be loving their chances for an upset today, because in the lone meeting between the clubs earlier in the year, they’d score the 89-74 home victory. 

San Antonio has started to show some signs of fatigue finally, it’s just 2-2 over its last four after winning nine in a row. The Spurs average 106.5 PPG and concede 98.5.

The Grizzlies average just 101.4 PPG, but make up for it on the defensive side in conceding just 98.2. In the win over Atlanta, they’d hold the Hawks to 40 percent shooting. Big man Marc Gasol had 18 points, ten boards and ten assists. 

I’ll point out that San Antonio is just 4-8 ATS this year against the division and only 3-7 ATS when playing on two days rest, while Memphis is 10-7 ATS off an upset win as an underdog and 15-11 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 points or more per contest.

With a much “easier” game at home tomorrow night against the Kings, it’s not too hard to imagine the visitors also in some small way getting caught “looking ahead” to that one. 

I like the Grizzlies to battle hard until the final moments, grab as many points as you can.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the New Orleans Pelicans (8:05 EST). 

The 47-21 Houston Rockets are in New Orleans to take on the 27-41 Pelicans and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I think the Rockets are poised for a letdown here after three straight wins, including a victory over the Cavs in that stretch. 

New Orleans though will be hungry here, it had won two straight before then suffering a loss at red hot Miami on Wednesday.

Houston is in third in the West, with no real shot at being able to catch either the Warriors or Spurs.

New Orleans still has a playoff shot, but its hopes are dwindling. This is the most important stretch of the enitre season for the Pelicans, with three straight at home. 

I’ll point out though that Houston has in fact struggled in this spot already this year, going just 11-16 ATS after a win by ten points or more and only 4-5 ATS after scoring 130 points or more. 

And note that New Orleans has excelled in this position, going 14-8 ATS this season against poor defensive clubs which allow 106 points per contest. 

While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I’ll recommend grabbing the points in the end. Play on New Orleans.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Toronto Raptors (7:05 EST).

The 38-29 Oklahoma City Thunder are in Toronto to take on the 39-28 Raptors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

OKC comes in complacent in my opinion after rolling to a third straight win, most recently a 122-104 road victory in Brooklyn on Tuesday. 

The Raptors had lost four of six before smashing Dallas 100-78 on Monday and suffice it to say, with two nights off to focus and prepare, I’m looking for the home side to build off that impressive performance.

The Thunder average 106.6 PPG and concede 106.2. The error of margin is obviously extremely slim. Russell Westbrook leads the way wih 31.8 points, 10.6 boards and 10.1 assists per game. 

Toronto averages 107.2 PPG and concedes 103.4. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 27.2 points and 5.4 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that OKC is just 1-4 ATS in its last five road games and only 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road against teams with a winning home record, while Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last nine when playing on two days rest and 4-1 ATS in its last five against the Western Conference.

Kyle Lowry is still missing from the mix in Toronto, but despite that, the Raptors are still the deeper team. Serge Ibaka gets a shot at his old club tonight, so look for the home side to come out extra motivated. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the LA Clippers (10:35 EST).

The 32-34 Milwaukee Bucks are in LA to take on the 40-27 Clippers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

Milwaukee’s big six-game SU/ATS win streak is over and suffice it to say, I think the team will suffer a predictable letdown here as it hits the West Coast to take on a revenge minded Clippers team. 

The Bucks got smashed 113-93 in Memphis, allowing the Grizzlies to shoot 52 percent from the floor and go 14 of 27 from range. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 18 points. 

The Clippers will be in a foul mood after falling 114-108 in Utah on Monday. It was a tough matchup, as LA had won nine straight in Utah previous to that, so the Jazz were extra fired up for that one. Chris Paul had 33 points in the setback. 

I’ll point out though that Milwaukee is just 4-11 ATS in its last 14 following a straight-up loss and just 1-4 ATS in its last five following a straight up loss of more than ten points, while LA is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

Milwaukee beat LA, 112-101 in Milwaukee back on March 3rd. Suffice it to say, I think its “payback” time. Milwaukee has only covered in four of its last 14 trips to LA. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Memphis Grizzlies (8:00 EST).

The 37-30 Memphis Grizzlies are in Chicago to take on the 32-35 Bulls and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Grizzlies broke a five game losing streak with a convincing 113-93 win at home on Monday over the Bucks and I think the visitors carry that momentum over here.

Chicago had also lost five straight before managing a 115-109 road win over Charlotte on Monday. 

Note that this is a revenge game for Memphis after it fell 108-104 at home to the Bulls back on January 15th.

Memphis only averages 101.4 PPG, but the 100.7 they concede is ranked fourth in the league. Marc Gasol averages a team high 20.1 PPG.

Chicago averages just 102 PPG and concedes 103.3. Jimmy Butler leads everyone with 23.4 points and 6.2 boards per game, while Dwayne Wade adds 18.8 points and 4.5 boards per contest. 

I’ll point out though that Memhis is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 against teams with a losing straight-up record, while Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last five when playing on one days rest.

I have a hard time seeing the Bulls post another 115 points like they did against the Hornets in their last game, note that previously they had not exceeded 95 during their five-game losing streak. I think the Grizzlies find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Portland Trailblazers (8:00 EST).

The 29-37 Portland Trailblazers are in San Antonio to take on the 52-14 Spurs and while I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do think that the hungry visitors can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

The Blazers are 2.5 games behind Denver for the final playoff spot in the West and were likely caught “looking ahead” to this game against the Spurs after suffering a poor 100-77 loss in New Orleans just last night. Suffice it to say, I think the Blazers bounce back here after that listless performance. Damian Lillard was a bright spot with 29 points. 

San Antonio on the other hand looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion, it’s won 11 of its last 12 after beating Atlanta earlier in the week. Kawhi Leonard had 31 points in Monday’s 107-99 win over the Hawks.

I’ll point out though that Portland is 12-8 ATS this season against good offense clubs, while San Antonio is interestingly just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 against teams with losing records. 

To say this is a “revenge” game for the Blazers would be an understatement as they’ve dropped five straight in the series and both so far this season. I like the visitors to play with a lot more intensity tonight. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Oddsmaker’s Error is the under Blazers/Pelicans (8:05 EST).

Two teams still in the hunt for a playoff spot and which have looked better of late collide on Tuesday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

These teams have played twice already this year, with each winning on its home floor.

Portland needs to start stringing some wins together if it wants to secure the eighth spot. The Blazers have won five of their last six. It’s no secret that Portland pushes the pace from start to finish and rarely worries about the defensive side of things, but note that the Blazers have in fact seen the total go under the number in two of their last three on the road and two of their last three as an underdog.

Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins are great players, but they’ve yet to find much chemistry since the big trade. It’s going to take some time for the new-look Pelicans to “gel” obviously. 

New Orleans can ill afford to get into a “track meet” with the Blazers and expect to win today, so I’m expecting to see a lot of half-court sets while on offense. 

And I’ll point out that the Pelicans have in fact sen the total go under the numer in three of their last four when playing with two days rest and in nine of 13 off an upset win as an underdog.

I think this number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Pacers/Knicks (7:35 EST).

The 34-32 Indiana Pacers are in New York to take on the 26-41 Knicks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

The Pacers come in having alternated wins/losses over their last ten games, most recently coming off a 102-98 victory over the Heat at home on Sunday. 

The Knicks returned home looking to bounce back after a 1-3 road trip, but would come out flat in a humiliating 120-112 loss to the Nets on Sunday. 

Indiana has won eight of the last ten in the series, but New York took the last matchup 109-103 on the road on January 23rd.

The Pacers own the sixth seed in the East. Indiana averages 104.7 PPG and concedes 105.6. Paul George leads the nightly charge with 22.2 points and 6.4 boards per game.

The Knicks average 105.5 PPG and concede 108.8. Carmelo Anthony averages 23 points and six boards per game. 

I’ll point out that Indiana has seen the total go over the number in (not surprisingly), 14 of 25 this year against poor defensive teams which allow 108 plus points per contest, but also in (interestingly), seven of 11 against the Atlantic division, while New York has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of six after playing three consecutive road games. 

I think this is going to be a wide open affair and when taking into account the rest of the above information, everything does indeed point to the over as the correct move in this one.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Mavericks/Raptors (7:30 EST).

The 28-37 Dallas Mavericks are in Toronto to take on the 38-28 Toronto Raptors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

Dallas had won four in a row and six of seven before falling 100-98 at home to the Suns on Saturday. 

Toronto is in a death spiral right now, it lost for the fourth time in six games in a 104-89 setback in Miami on Saturday. 

The Raptors are hungry for a break out performance here, last year they took both meetings with Dallas, including a 103-99 home victory in the last machup on December 22nd, 2015.

The Mavericks only average 98.4 PPG, while conceding just 99.8. Those numbers are skewed though, in that Dallas tanked the first two months of the season due to numerous injuries. The Mavs have been playing a lot better of late, especially on the offensive end now that they’re healthier. Harrison Barnes leads all scorers with 20.1 points and 5.2 boards per night.

Toronto is still fourth in the Eastern conference and it’s tenth in the league in scoring with an average of 107.3 PPG. On the defensive end it’s ranked eighth, conceding 103.8 PPG. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 27.2 points and 5.4 boards per game.

I’ll point out that Dallas has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four off an upset loss as a favorite, while Toronto has seen the total sail above the posted number in 17 of 27 non-conference contests this year and in three of four after playing to three or more consecutive “unders.” 

These are two teams that are downright desperate for a victory. I’m expecting a faster paced affair and for this one to eclipse the posted number as it comes down the stretch, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Oddsmakers Error is the under Blazers/Suns (10:05 EST).

The 28-36 Portland Trailblazers are in Phoenix to take on the 22-44 Suns and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

In fact, this is one selection which I don’t feel we need to overanalyze whatsoever. These teams are similar in many respects, in that each likes to get out and push the pace of the game from start to finish. Both are decent offensively and each is poor on the defensive side of the ball.

But that said, the situation sets up perfectly for a slightly lower-scoring affair this evening, as each team comes in off a game just last night, with Portland coming off a crushing OT loss at home to the Wizards, while the Suns come in off a 110-98 setback at Dallas. 

I’ll point out that Portland has seen the total go under the number in six of ten this year when playing on back-to-back days, while Phoenix has seen the total dip below the posted number in two of its last three in the same position.

I think each team comes in gassed and expect this total to sneak below the number once it’s all said and done.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Indiana Pacers (7:05 EST).

The 31-34 Miami Heat are in Indiana to take on the 33-32 Indiana Pacers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

No need to overthink this one in my opinion. This one sets up great for Indiana in that Miami played just last night, hammering the Raptors in a very satisfying 104-89 victory.

Indiana on the other hand comes in desperate, it’s lost two of its last three, including a listless 99-85 setback at Milwaukee on Friday. 

The Pacers also play with double revenge after dropping both games to the Heat this year.

Miami still only averagses 102.3 PPG despite its recent turnaround in play.

Indiana averages 104.8 PPG and will be risking life and limb today as it fights for playoff positioning.

With two nights off before a long home stretch, I think the tired Heat come out flat tonight and the hungry home side takes full advantage. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Wizards/Blazers (10:05 EST).

The 39-24 Washington Wizards are in Portland to take on the 28-35 Trailblazers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

Washington comes to town of an extremely satisfying 130-122 victory at Sacramento just last night. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting the Wizards to come in tired this evening. 

The Blazers have won four straight, including a 114-108 home win over the lowly 76ers are on Thursday. Washington beat the Blazers in their only other meeting this year, 120-101 at home on January 16th. 

These teams rank in the top ten in scoring and in the bottom third on the defensive end. That’s why this total has been set so high.

But I’ll point out that Washington has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after posting 120 points or more in consecutive victories, while Portland has seen the total dip below the posted number in interestingly five of seven against the Southeast division already this season.

I don’t think Washington can get into a “track meet” with the red hot Blazers and expect to win this one in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. I think the visitors try to slow this one down. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Memphis Grizzlies.

The 35-29 Atlanta Hawks are in Memphis to take on the 36-29 Grizzliez and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Grizzlies have lost four straight and will obviously be extremely focused in trying to end that streak of futility.

Atlanta comes in off a very satisfying 105-99 home win over the Raptors just last night and now has to travel cross country and play a non-conference contest. Can anyone say “letdown spot?”

The Grizzlies are coming off a humbling 122-109 home loss to the Nets, the worst team in the league: “I don’t know what to say,” said forward Zach Randolph afterwards.

Marc Gasol was a bright spot though with 20 points, five boards, five assits, a steal and a block. 

I’ll point out that Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last five against the Western Conference, while Memphis is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 when playing on one days rest.

Atlanta is gassed and I think comes out flat. No excuses for Memphis tonight, it’s a perfect set of situational factors working in its favor and I expect it to answer the call. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the New York Knicks (5:05 EST).

The 26-39 New York Knicks are in Detroit to take on the 32-33 Detroit Pistons and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Knicks are looking to rebound after a 104-93 loss to Milwaukee on Wednesday. It was their third loss in their last four gams. 

So while New York will clearly be “hungry” to get off the schneid with a victory, Detroit is poised for a predictable letdown here after its come from behind 106-101 home win over the Cavaliers on Thursday. 

So far these teams have split a pair of games this year, with the Knicks winning 105-102 at home on November 16th in the most recent.

New York averages 105.6 PPG and concedes 108.6. Carmelo Anthony averages 23.1 points and six boards per game. 

Detroit averages just 102.1 PPG and concedes 102.3. Tobias Harris leads the way with 16.3 points plus 5.2 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that New York is 2-1 ATS in its last three following a loss by ten points or more, while Detroit is just 3-6 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. 

With a game at Cleveland early next week, I think the home side lets the foot off the gas tonight. While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on New York.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is the under Wizards/Kings (10:35 EST).

The 39-24 Washington Wizards are in Sacramento to take on the 25-39 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

Washington has won three straight, over Orlando, Phoenix and Denver respectively. 

Sacramento enters on the other end of the spectrum, it’s lost six in a row, most recently a setback at San Antonio on Wednesday.

Washington stomped the Nuggets 123-113 on Wednesday. Sacramento on the other hand had a 28-point, second-quarter lead at San Antonio evaporate in the eventual 114-104 setback. With big man and offensive star DeMarcus Cousins gone, the Kings have struggled with offensive consistency. 

I’ll point out that Wasington has seen the total go under the number in two of its last three non-conference contests and in 21 of its last 36 after scoring 115 points or more, while Sacramento has seen the total dip below the posted number in 11 of 15 overall so far in the second half and in 15 of 23 this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per game.

With Cousins gone, Washington has the size advantage. I think we’ll see a lot of half court sets on offense and when taking into account the rest of the information listed above, the correct move in my professional opinion is indeed on the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin’ Over Total is the over Pacers/Bucks (8:05 EST).

The 33-31 Indiana Pacers are in Milwaukee to take on the 30-33 Bucks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

Indiana has alternated wins and losses over its last eight, most recently picking up a 115-98 home victory over Detroit on Wednesday. 

Milwaukee comes in on fire, it’s won four straight, most recently getting the better of the Knicks 104-93 on Wednesday night. 

The Bucks will have their hands full tonight though against a revenge minded Pacers team which has dropped the first two in the series so far this season, most recently a 116-100 home loss on Feberuary 11th. 

With the win over Detroit, the Pacers maintained their two game edge over the Pistons and Bulls. Indiana looked sharp, hitting 50 percent from the floor and going 11 of 23 from range, led by 21 points and eight boards from Paul George.

The Pacers average 105.1 PPG and concede 105.8. 

The Bucks average 105.2 PPG and concede 104.8. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the nightly charge with 23.3 points, 8.7 boards, 5.5 assists, 1.74 steals and 1.95 blocks per game. In the win over the Knicks he had 32 points, 13 boards, seven assists, four steals and two blocks.

I’ll point out that Indiana has seen the total go over the number in eight of 12 this year following a divisional contest, while Milwaukee has seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of its last four against teams with winning records and in 22 of 34 at home overall thus far.

This is an important divisional contest and I’m expecting each of these teams to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. When taking into account all of the above factors, I think this number is just a little low. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (8:00 EST).

The 50-13 San Antonio Spurs are in Oklahoma City to take on the 35-29 Thunder and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I think the Spurs are poised for a letdown here, they’ve won nine in a row, including seven straight since the All Star break. Most recently San Antonio would take care of the Kings 114-104 at home on Wednesday.

Conversely, the Thunder will be desperate tonight, they’ve lost four straight after falling 126-121 at home to the Trailblazers on Tuesday. 

OKC also plays with revenge after falling 108-94 in the first meeting between the teams in San Antonio on January 31st.

San Antonio averages 106.6 PPG and concedes 98.4. Kawhi Leonard leads the nightly charge with 26.3 points, six boards and 1.89 steals per game. 

OKC averages 106.3 PPG and concedes 106.5. Russell Westbrook averages 32.1 points, 10.5 boards and ten assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that the Spurs are just 5-9 ATS in their last 14 on the road and only 5-8 ATS in their last 13 against poor defensive teams which allow 106 points per game, while OKC is 21-10 ATS at home this year, 14-9 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent 9-6 ATS after allowing 115 points or more and 8-4 ATS after scoring 115 points or more.

With a matchup at home against Golden State on Saturday night, I think the visitors finally have a small mental lapse this evening. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the over Clippers/Wolves (8:05 EST).

The 38-25 LA Clippers are in Minnesota to take on the 25-37 Timberwolves and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

LA comes in with some momentum, as it’s won two straight after beating the Celtices 116-102 at home on Monday. The Wolves have been playing a lot better of late and sit 3.5 games back for the final playoff spot. 

The Clippers average 107.9 PPG and concede 104.9. Blake Griffin leads all scorers with 22.1 points, 8.5 boards and 5.1 assists per game. LA is just 1.5 games behind the Jazz for fourth place in the West, which is coveted for home court advantage.

The Wolves average 104.8 PPG and concede 105.1. Karl Anthony Towns leads with 24 points and 12.3 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that LA has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 13 road games against a team with a losing home record and in 22 of its last 32 when playing on one days rest, while Minnesota has seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of its last 11 when playing on one days rest. 

Four of their last five and eight of their last 11 in the series have gone over the number and everything once again points to a higher-scoring shootout. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the over Raptors/Pelicans (8:05 EST).

The 37-26 Toronto Raptors are in New Orleans to take on the 25-39 Pelicans and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

Toronto will be hungry here, it’s dropped two of its last three, including a listless 101-94 setback at Milwaukee on Saturday. 

New Orleans can empathize, as it lost for the fifth time in seven games with an 88-83 setback to the Knicks in its latest action.

Toronto has has won three straight in the series, including a hard-fought 108-106 OT victory in the first matchup of the year back on January 31st. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similiar final combined score here as well once it’s all said and done.

The Raptors come in refreshed and refocused with three nights off. Toronto averages 107.9 PPG and concedes 104. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 27.6 points and 5.4 boards per game.

After acquiring DeMarcus Cousins from the Kings, the Pelicans have yet to find their groove. New Orleans is 21st in the league in scoring offense with 102.8 PPG, while ranked 20th in scoring defense in conceding 106 per contest. Anthony Davis leads the nightly charge with 28.1 points and 11.8 boards per game.

I’ll point out Toronto has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 12 against the Southwest division and in 28 of its last 39 against the Western Conference, while New Orleans has seen the total go over in nine of its last 13 home games against a team with a winning road record. 

Five of their last seven in the series hav gone over the number and everything once again points to a higher-scoring affair. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Nets/Hawks (7:35 EST).

The 11-51 Brooklyn Nets are in Atlanta to take on the 34-29 Hawks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one will fall below the posted number once it’s all said and done.

I think the Nets are poised for a big letdown here after their rare road victory over Memphis on Monday, beating the Grizzlies 122-109. 

Conversely, the Hawks will be desperate to return to form here after losing three straight and six of their last eight, including a 119-111 home loss to the Warriors on Monday. 

Brooklyn averages 105.7 PPG and concedes 114.3. Brook Lopez leads the nightly charge with 20.4 PPG. 

Atltanta averages only 103.8 PPG, while conceding 104.7. Paul Millsap leads with 18.1 points, 7.9 boards and 3.7 assists per game. 

Both teams are struggling with game-to-game consistency. Note that the under is 5-0 in Brooklyn’s last five against teams with a winning straight up record and 6-2 in its last eight against the Eastern conference. And note that Atlanta has seen the total go under in six of its last eight following a straight up loss.

The total has stayed under in five straight between these teams and I’m expecting all of these strong trends to continue tonight. This number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SUPER SHOCKER is on the LA Lakers (8:35 EST).

the 19-44 LA Lakers are in Dallas to take on the surging 26-36 Dallas Mavericks and while I won’t be so bold as to predict an outright upset, I do think that the hungry visitors can keep this one a lot more competitive than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. 

LA comes in off seven straight losses, most recently a 105-97 setback to the Pelicans on Sunday. The Lakers are in full rebuilding mode right now, but clearly the team is going to be hungry to get off the schneid.

Conversely, the suddenly over-achieving Mavericks look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning their second straight and fourth in their last five with a 104-89 home victory over OKC on Sunday. 

And to say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement I think as Dallas has won 13 straight in the series, including a 122-73 home victory on January 22nd. 

LA averages 103.9 PPG and concedes 110.8. Julius Randle, D’Angelo Russell, Jordan Clarkson and Nick Young all average double figures.

The Mavs are still last in the league in scoring with an average of just 97.9 PPG. Dallas is tough defensively in conceding only 99.7. Harrison Barnes leads the team with 20.1 points and 5.1 boards per night. 

I’ll point out though that LA is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Dallas is 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 90 points or less.

After big wins over Memphis and Oklahoma City, the Mavs now face the dregs of the league in the Lakers, followed by the Nets and then Suns. All at home. It’s simply not too hard to imagine the home side finally coming in a tiny bit complacent here as it looks past its lowly opponent to this very favorable/vanilla part of its schedule.

I’m grabbing the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the LA Clippers (10:35 EST).

The 40-22 Boston Celtics are in LA to take on the 37-25 Clippers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Boston comes in off a deflating 109-106 loss at Phoenix on Sunday, while the Clippers come in off a big victory over the Bulls.

Suffice it to say, I think the C’s have a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back. 

Boston averages 108 PPG and got 35 points from Isaiah Thomas yesterday afternoon, but it wasn’t enough as the defense looked horrible. 

The Clippers had lost four games after the All-Star break, but Jamal Crawford would score 28 points and LA would net the 109-100 victory over Chicago: “He’s going to always break out,” LA coach Doc Rivers said of Crawford. “I always tell him to give yourself a shooter’s chance. If you don’t shoot it, you have no chance of breaking out of it.”

The Clippers average 107.8 PPG and concede 104.9.

I’ll point out that Boston is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven against the Pacific, while LA is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 when playing on one days rest.

I think the Clippers come in focused on the task at hand and take advantage of this favorable matchup. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Charlotte Hornets (8:05 EST).

The 31-30 Indiana Pacers are in Charlotte to take on the 27-35 Hornets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

Indiana comes in off an extremely satisfying 97-96 win in Atlanta just last night. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here.

Charlotte enters off a much needed 112-102 road win over Denver on Saturday. These teams have split a pair of game this year, each winning on its home floor. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting the Hornets to build off their latest victory and to keep this trend alive.

This is the finale of a five-game road trip for Indiana as well, so it’s definitely not too hard to imagine Indiana getting caught “looking ahead” to its upcoming home stretch. And note, despite the victory, Indiana has lost eight of its last ten. 

Indiana averages 105.3 PPG and concedes 106.2.

Charlotte averages 104.9 PPG and concedes 104.6. The Hornets would go on to shoot 16 of 27 from range in the win over Denver, Kemba Walker led all scorers with 27 points. 

The Hornets are still alive in the playoff race, sitting three games back of eighth spot. Note that they’re 16-13 at home this year.

And I’ll point out that Indiana is just 12-17 ATS on the road this season, while Charlotte is 3-1 ATS this year after a win by ten points or more. 

Charlotte is 0-8 ATS in its last eight at home, but I think that lop-sided trend ends tonight. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

This is a 10* TOTAL PERFECT STORM on the over Pelicans/Lakers (9:35 EST).

The 24-38 New Orleans Pelicans are in LA to take on the 19-43 Lakers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

LA will be desperate to get off the schneid and break a six-game slide, most recently falling to the Celtics on Friday. New Orleans is just 1-4 in its last five since trading for DeMarcus Cousins and will be eager to bounce back here after a tough OT loss to San Antonio in its latest action.

These are two teams hungry for a victory. I believe each is going to push the pace from start to finish.

Cousins had 19 points and 23 boards for the Pelicans in their low-scoring 101-98 OT loss to San Antonio: “We had some costly turnovers, I know I threw one,” Cousins lamented afterwards. “It was just bad execution down the stretch. They were the better team down the stretch…. This is one of our better games since we’ve come together. It showed some positives and also some things we still have to work on.”

The Lakers are going to be trying new lineups every night until the end of the season as the team is in full-blown rebuilding mode. Brandon Ingram and Larry Nance will both be seeing considerable time until the end of the year. The Lakers have not had an issue scoring on most night,s averaging over 105 PPG, but the defense ranks in the bottom five in the league, which I think comes back to haunt them once again this evening.

I’ll point out that New Orleans has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four after failing to reach the 100 point plateau after suffering a loss in OT in its previous outing, while LA has seen the total sail above the posted number in five of seven this season after playing three consecutive home games and in 13 of 20 this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106 PPG.

Despite the win/loss record since acquiring Cousins, New Orleans has looked a lot better of late, as it would steam roll Detroit, before then taking the Spurs down to the wire. 

I’m expecting a classic “run-and-gun” shootout and for this one to fly OVER as it comes down the stretch.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Portland Trailblazers (10:05 EST).

The 10-49 Brooklyn Nets are in Portland to take on the 25-35 Trailblazers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

When these teams met on November 20th, Portland came away with the 129-109 victory. Suffice it to say, I expect a similar final outcome here as well.

Brooklyn was smashed in Utah just last night and I think will come into this one “gassed.” 

Conversely, the Blazers are finally coming off a big win and will be looking to snowball that momentum after beating the Thunder 114-109 at home. Portland would shoot 49.4 percent from the floor and go 10 of 25 from range. 

But more impressievly, Portland would hold OKC to just 39.5 percent shooting, while outrebounding it by five. Damian Lillard had 33 points and five assists. 

I’ll point out that Brooklyn is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 against the Western Conference, while Portland is 5-2 ATS the last seven in this series.

Portland can ill afford to lets games like these slip through its fingers as it continues its hunt for a playoff spot. I’m expecting a blowout from start to finish, lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Minnsota Timberwolves (9:05 EST).

The 25-36 Minnesota Timberwolves are in San Antonio to take on the 46-13 Spurs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

The Wolves come in playing their best basketball of the season, having won two straight and four of their last five after destroying Utah 107-80 on the road on Wednesday. 

The Spurs won their sixth straight last night, needing OT in the 101-98 victory in New Orleans. Suffice it to say, i think the home side is going to be “gassed” tonight.

To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well as the Spurs have won 11 straight in the series, including a 122-114 victory at home on January 17th in the most recent.

In Minnesota’s most recent win, it would shoot 50 percent and hit eight 16 from range. The Wolves would also hold the Jazz to just 38.9 perecent from the floor and only four of 19 from behind the arc. Karl-Anthony Towns led the way with 21 points and 15 boards.

It was a “sloppy” win for the Spurs last night, who would miss 10 of 25 free throw attempts.

I’ll point out that the Wolves are 14-9 ATS this year against good offensive teams which average 106 PPG, while San Antonio is just 1-3 ATS in its last four against teams with losing records.

I think the stage is set for the outright upset, but in the end, I’ll recommend grabbing the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Detroit Pistons (6:05 EST).

The 29-32 Detroit Pistons are at Philadelphia to take on the 23-38 76ers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Detroit is looking to hold onto its playoff spot, it comes into this one having lost two of its last three, most recently a humbling 109-86 setback in New Orleans on Wednesday. 

The 76ers are poised for a letdown here in my opinion after they broke a three-game slide with a 105-102 home win over New York just last night. 

Detroit ranks 26th in scoring at 101.5 PPG. It makes up for it on the defensive side, ranked sixth overall in conceding 102.1 PPG. Tobias Harris leads the nightly charge with 16.2 points and five boards per game.

Philadelphia averages just 101.7 PPG, but concedes 107.4. The team is dealing with several injuries and I think it will struggle to keep up with this focused Pistons side.

I’ll point out that Detroit is 6-2 ATS this year when playing with two days rest and 11-7 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Philadelphia is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 105 points or more.

The 76ers are going to be gassed tonight after the victory over the Knicks on Friday, while the Pistons come in completely rested. I’m laying the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* NON CONFERENCE SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the Utah Jazz (9:05 EST).

The 10-49 Brooklyn Nets are in Utah to take on the 37-24 Jazz and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Nets are poised for an immediate return to mediocrity after they broke a 16-game road losing streak with a 109-100 effort over the Kings on Wednesday. 

The Jazz have lost two straight and will be out to atone for a brutal 107-80 home loss to the Wolves on Wednesday. 

If recent history is any precedence though, then Utah has to be liking its chances for a bounce back performance as it’s taken five straight in the series, including a 101-89 road win in the first matchup this year back on January 2nd.

Brooklyn averages 105.4 PPG, which lands them 14th overall. The Nets though are last in the NBA in scoring defense in conceding a whopping 114.2 PPG. Brook Lopez has been a standout this year, leading with 20.5 PPG.

Utah averages 100.2 PPG, but concedes just 96 per contest. George Hill is one of four players averaging double figures, with 17.7 points per contest.

I’ll point out that the Nets are just 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 on one days rest, while the Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last six following a double-digit loss at home. 

Brooklyn is ripe for a letdown after the rare win, while the hungry Jazz are desperate to wash the stink of back-to-back pathetic efforts out of their mouths. Lay the points with confidence.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Grizzlies/Mavericks (8:35 EST).

The 36-25 Memphis Grizzlies are in Dallas to take on the 24-36 Mavericks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it. 

The Grizzlies come in with momentum after winning their second straight by smashing the Suns 130-112 at home on Tuesday. The Mavericks had their two-game win streak snapped with a 100-95 road loss to Atlanta on Wednesday. 

Not only will Dallas be eager to get back onto the winning track, but it’s also out to atone for a deplorable 80-64 loss to Memphis back on November 18th. 

The Mavericks were banged up and looking for answers at the beginning of the year, clearly they look a lot better in every respect at this point of the season. 

On most nights, it’s the Grizzlies defense which gets the job done as the they concede just 99.8 PPG, while averaging 101.2. Marc Gasol averages a team high 20.6 points and 6.2 boards per game.

The Mavericks average just 97.7 PPG and concede 99.8. Interesting to note though that Dallas is ranked 6th in the three-ball department with 10.8 per game.

And take note, despite these being a couple of defense oriented clubs, the Grizzlies have in fact seen the total go over the number in three of four this year after scoring 115 points or more and in seven of 12 after a victory by ten points or more, while Dallas has seen the total sail above the posted number in four of its last seven against teams with winning records.

Both teams are playing their best basketball of the season and I expect that to translate into effecient production this evening. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* EASTERN CONFERENCE REVENGE PLAY OF THE MONTH is on the Toronto Raptors (7:05 EST).

The 36-25 Toronto Raptors are in Washington to take on the 36-23 Wizards and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

The Wizards pulled away for a win at home and then followed that with a victory on the road over these very Raptors the next night. I think this sets up as a natural letdown spot for Washington.

Conversely, the Raptors are hungry and searching for answers after losing point guard Kyle Lowry to injury for an undetermined amount of time. Toronto though can take confidence in knowing that when it last played in the nation’s capital, it would come away with the 113-103 victory on November 2nd.

DeMar DeRozan is healthy and averaging 27.8 PPG and he’s now joined with newcomers Serge Ibaka and PJ Tucker. 

Toronto averages 108 PPG and concedes 104.

Washington averages 107.9 PPG and concedes 105.4. 

I’ll point out that Toronto is 14-7 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Washington is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 overall and only 1-2 ATS in the second game of a back to back after scoring 105 points or more in the first game.

I think this one comes down to the wire and will therefore be grabbing the points. Play on Toronto.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is the under Thunder/Blazers (10:30 EST).

The 35-25 Oklahoma City Thunder are in Portland to take on the 24-35 Blazers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

OKC has won four straight and scored at least 108 in each, most recently besting the Jazz 109-106 on Tuesday. I think the Thunder finally have a bit of a letdown here though. 

Portland was a force last year, but this season has been a struggle for the Blazers. That said, they sit only just 2.5 games out of the final playoff spot. The Trail Blazers will be especially focused here after going 1-3 on their most recent road trip, including losing 120-113 in OT to Detroit on Tuesday. 

I’ll point out that OKC has seen the total go under the number in six of nine against the division this season and in nine of 11 after three or more consecutive victories, while Portland has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of 20 this year after allowing 115 points or more.

After taking all of the above factors into consideration, I think these two normally high-scoring clubs play to a much lower-scoring competitive battle tonight. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Golden State Warriors (8:00 EST).

The 50-10 Golden State Warriors are in Chicago to take on the 30-30 Bulls and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

The Warriors dropped the second game of a back-to-back in a 112-108 setback at Washington on Tuesday, while Chicago had its four game win streak snapped with a 125-107 home loss to Denver on Tuesday. 

But if recent history is any precedence, then the Warriors have to be loving their chances today as they’ve won three straight in this series, including 123-92 at home in the first matchup back on February 8th. 

Kevin Durant is out for the Warriors, but I say who cares. At least for this game anyways. I like the Warriors to rally together today and use Durant’s injury as fuel to compete for the rest of the regular season. 

Note that Golden State boasts the No. 1 offense with 118.1 PPG, while ranked 14th on the defensive end in conceding 105.5.

The Bulls average just 102.9 PPG, while ranked seventh overall in conceding 103.4 per night. Chicago is led by Jimmy Butler, with 24 points and 6.3 boards per game. 

I think it’s important to point out that Chicago is last in the league with 6.7 three pointers per game and last overall by shooting 32.5 percent from range.

Also note that Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a straight up loss, while Chicago is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against the Western Conference.

I have a hard time seeing the Bulls keeping pace with what should be a highly motivated Stephen Curry and company. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the over 76ers/Heat (7:05 EST).

The 22-37 Philadelphia 76ers are in Miami to take on the 27-33 Heat and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

Philadelphia has lost three of it last four, most recently a 119-108 home loss to the Warriors on Monday. The Heat lost for just the third time in 19 games with a listless 96-89 road defeat to the Mavs on Monday. 

Miami looks to get back on track and atone for that poor performance and it also plays with revenge today as Philly has taken two so far in the season series this year, including a 117-109 home win on February 11th.

The 76ers average 101.7 PPG and concede 107.1. The offense looked pretty good against the Warriors, but just couldn’t keep pace down the stretch against Golden States relentless barrage. 

The Heat average 101.6 PPG and concede 102. Goran Dragic is the team leader with 20.3 points, 3.9 boards and 6.1 assists per game.

I’ll point out though that over 5-0-1 in Philadelphia’s last six games following a double-digit loss at home and 8-2-1 in its last 11 following a straight up loss of more than ten points. 

Miami has played a lot better on the offensive end, which doesn’t bode well for a 76ers team struggling on the defensive side. This number is just a little low, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on over Mavericks/Hawks (7:35 EST).

The 24-35 Dallas Mavericks are in Atlanta to take on the 33-26 Hawks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

Dallas comes in off a second straight victory, besting the Heating 96-89 on Monday, while the Hawks snapped a three-game slide with a convincing 114-98 road win at Boston on Monday. 

Note that this sets up as a big time revenge game for Dallas today as Atlanta has won six straight in the series, including a 97-82 road win back on January 7th.

The Mavericks are last in the league in scoring with 97.8 PPG, while fourth on the defensive end in conceding 99.8. The defense continues to be a strong point for the team, but after a siuggish start to the year, the offense has also improved dramtically since. Harrison Barnes leads the way with 20.1 points and 5.2 boards per game. 

The Hawks average 103.4 PPG and concede 104.2. Paul Millsap leads the nightly charge with 17.8 points, 7.8 boards and 3.7 assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that Dallas has seen the total go over the number in 30 of its last 50 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Atlanta has seen the total sail above the posted number in two of its last three following a win by ten points or more.

These are two teams which are going to fight to the finish. This number is just a little low, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the over Knicks/Magic (7:05 EST).

The 24-36 New York Knicks are in Orlando to take on the 22-38 Magic and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

These teams are on the outside of the playoff picture looking in and while making the postseason is more likely a “pipe dream,” I’m expecting them to each push the pace from start to finish.

New York comes in off its seventh loss in its last nine games after falling 92-91 at home to Toronto on Monday, while Orlando has dropped two straight and six of seven before getting back into the winners circle with a 105-86 win at home over Atlanta on Saturday. 

So far they’ve split a pair of games this year, with Orlando taking the latest in a 115-103 road victory on January 2nd.

The Knicks are 12th in the Eastern Conference, 4.5 games behind the Pistons for the final playoff spot. They’re 13th in the league in scoring at 105.8 per contest. Defensively they allow 109.1. Carmelo Anthony leads the nightly charge with 23.5 points and six boards per night. 

Terrence Ross had 24 points to lead Orlando in the win over Atlanta. Orlando still just averages 99.7 PPG, while allowing 105.8. Evan Fournier is the leading scorer with 16.6 points per game.

I’ll point out though that New York has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this year after playing to three consecutive “unders” and interestingly in ten of 13 against the Southeast division, while Orlando has seen the total sail above the posted number in three of four this season after playing three or more consecutive home games.

New York is down a few key pieces, but that just means “next man up.” Orlando is ready to build off its latest victory and try to take advantage of its inconsistent opponent. All signs point to a shootout, play the OVER.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the under Hornets/Lakers (10:35 EST).

The 25-34 Charlotte Hornets are in LA to take on the 19-41 Lakers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

Charlotte has lost 13 of its last 15 and will almost assuredly miss the playoffs. The Lakers have been out of contention for a while now and have lost four straight.

Not a lot to get pumped up about in this one for either side.

Charlotte beat LA 117-113 in December, but clearly I’m expecting a much slower-paced and less effecient affair this time around. 

LA has since been blown up, with leading scorer Lou Williams gone and Magic Johnson continuing to make moves.

I’ll point out that Charlotte has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after playing three consecutive road games, while LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in two of its last three following a loss by ten points or more.

Both teams are limping towards the finish line. All signs point to a sloppily played contest and for this one to indeed stay under once it’s all said and done.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* NON-CONF GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Golden State Warriors (7:05 EST).

The 49-9 Golden State Warriors are in Philadelphia to take on the 22-36 76ers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Golden State enters off a third straight win and sixth in its last seven after handling the Nets 112-95 at home on Saturday. 

The 76ers have played a lot better over the last month, but looked primed for a letdown here after a late rally came up short in a 110-109 setback at new York on Saturday. 

If recent history is any precedence, then the Warriors have to be loving their chances today as they’ve taken six straight in the series, including in the most recent, a 117-105 home victory back on March 27th.

Golden State is the No. 1 ranked offense in the league with an average of 118.2 PPG. The Warriors also lead the league in assists with 31 a night. Golden State is in the middle of the pack on the defensive end, ranked 12th in conceding 105.4 per night. Kevin Durant is leading the nightly charge with 25.7 points and 8.4 boards per game.

Despite the recent “up tick” in play, Philadelphia is still ranked 25th overall in scoring with 101.6 PPG, while ranked 23rd on the defensive end in conceding 106.9. 

I’ll also point out that Golden State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss and 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight against the Eastern Conference, while Philadelphia is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 110 points or more.

I think the visitors keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is the over Blazers/Raptors (6:05 EST).

The 24-33 Portland Trail Blazers are in Toronto to take on the 34-24 Raptors and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

The Blazers had lost three straight before torching the Magic 112-103 on the road on Thursday, while the Raptors won their second straight after knocking off Boston 107-97 at home on Friday. 

These teams met on December 26th and it was the Raptors that scored the 95-91 road win. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a much more wide open affair this evening and look for this total to eclipe the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

The Blazers average 107.4 PPG and concede 110. Portland is led by Damian Lillard, who puts up 25.8 points and dishes out 5.7 assists per contest. 

The Raptors average 108.4 PPG and concede 104.2. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 27.6 points and 5.3 boards per contest. 

I’ll point out that Portland has seen the total go over the number in seven of nine this year when playing with two days rest, while Toronto has seen the total sail over the posted number in three of four this season after playing to three or more consecutive “unders” and in 16 of 25 non-conference games.

All signs point to a shootout, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is the over Celtics/Pistons (6:05 EST).

The 37-21 Boston Celtics are in Detroit to take on the 28-30 Pistons and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

Boston will be especially motivated here after dropping its second straight, most recently a 107-97 setback to rival Toronto on Friday.

Detroit comes in with momentum, it’s coming off its second straight victory, this time a 114-108 OT home win over the Hornets on Thursday. 

The C’s have taken two of the first three meeting this year, including a 113-109 home victory in the most recent matchup on January 30th. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score in this one as well.

Boston averages 108.2 PPG and concedes 105.7 Isaiah Thomas leads the way with 29.7 points and 6.3 assists per contest.

The Pistons average 101.5 PPG and concede 101.8. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope had 33 points and nine boards in the victory over the Hornets.

I’ll point out though that Boston has seen the total go over the number in three of its last four when playing the role of favorite, while Detroit has seen the total sail above the posted number in five of eight already this year when playing with two days of rest.

Both teams hungry for a win today, I’m expecting a faster pace and for this one to go over as it comes down the stretch.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is the under Suns/Bucks (3:35 EST).

The 18-40 Phoenix Suns are in Milwaukee to take on the 25-31 Bucks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

Phoenix will be desperate to get off the schneid, it’s coming off its sixth loss in its last eight games, this time a 128-121 OT setback in Chicago on Friday. 

The Bucks had their three-game win streak snapped in a 109-95 setback at home to Utah on Friday. 

Milwaukee has won three straight in the series, including an incredibly high-scoring 137-112 road win back on February 4th. Suffice it to say, I’m finally expecting a much more defensive affair this evening. 

The Suns were even lucky to make it to OT against the Bulls, as they had 19 turnovers and were just 15 of 25 from the charity stripe. Phoenix averages 107.2 PPG and concedes 112.7.

The Bucks average 105.5 points and concede 105.5 as well. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 33 points, 12 boards and five steals in the setback to Utah. 

I’ll point out though that Phoenix has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four following a non-conference contest, while Milwaukee has seen the total dip below the posted number in two of its last three after allowing 109 points or more.

These teams get out and push the pace and rarely get back defensively. But despite their first meeting eclipsing the number, they’ve in fact played to some lower-scoring affairs against each other over the last couple years and I expect that trend to carry over here (four of the last five have stayed “under” the number). This number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* EAST-CONF BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH is on the New York Knicks (7:35 EST).

The 21-35 Philadelphia 76ers are in New York to take on the 23-35 Knicks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The 76ers are coming off a game just last night, besting the red hot Wizards 120-112 and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back.

The Knicks however will be desperate to break their current slide of futility, they enter off their sixth loss in their last seven games, most recently falling 119-104 to the Cavs on the road Thursday. 

New York also plays with revenge here after falling 98-97 in Philadelphia back on January 11th.

Despite the recent “up tick” in play for the 76ers though, note that they’re still just 8-19 on the road this season. They also only average 101.2 PPG, while conceding 106.8. 

New York averages 106 PPG and concedes 109.4. Carmelo Anthony still leads the way with 23.3 points and six boards per contest.

I’ll point out though that Philadelphia is just 1-2 ATS in its last three on the road, while New York is 12-7 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more and 10-7 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

I think a desperate, hungry and revenge-minded Knicks team finally gets off the schneid with a convincing effort. Play on New York.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin’ Over Total is the over Hornets/Kings (5:05 EST).

The 24-33 Charlotte Hornets are in Sacramento to take on the 29-28 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive shootout written all over it.

Both teams are still hopeful on making the playoffs, so this is an important game for each. And because of that, I’m expecting a really wide-open affair tonight.

The Hornets will be especially focused as they look to avoid a sixth straight loss, most recently a 114-108 OT setback to Detroit.

In their first game without big man DeMarcus Cousins, the Kings came up with a 116-100 home win over Denver on Thursday. 

When these teams played on January 28th, the Kings scored the narrow 109-106 road win and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score in this one as well.

Charlotte averages 104.5 PPG and concedes 104.4. Kemba Walker leads the nightly charge with 22.7 points and 5.5 assists per game.

Sacramento averages 103.2 PPG and concedes 105.6. The offense looked pretty good against the Nuggets though as the team transitions its offense to more a “run-and-gun’ style without Cousins in the lineup.

I’ll point out that the over is 5-1 in Charlotte’s last six road games against teams with a losing home record, while Sacramento has seen the total sail above the posted number in seven of its last eight against the Eastern Conference. 

Five of these teams last six in the series have flown above the posted number and all signs point to another offensive affair tonight. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* REVENGE BLOWOUT is on the Atlanta Hawks (8:05 EST).

Miami was one of the hotttest teams in the league heading into the All Star break, winning 14 out of its final 16 games, including big victories over Houston, Golden State and these very Atlanta Hawks. 

Wiill “rest lead to rust” though for the Heat? I think the answer is yes. And now the Hawks look to take advantage and to avenge the earlier setback. 

Atlanta is just 2.5 games out of third place and will be eager to return after dropping three of its final five leading up to the break. 

Goran Dragic leads the way for Miami with 20.3 points and 6.2 assists per game, while Dwight Howard is the leader in Atlanta with 13.5 points and 13 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that Miami is just 13-14 ATS against teams with winning records this year and only 11-12 ATS after a non-conference game, while Atlanta is 8-6 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more and 2-1 ATS in its last three against clubs with losing records.

Divisional contests are always the toughest and they almost always mean more to the home side. After losing the first matchup of the year between the clubs, the Hawks will be out to make a statement tonight. And note, with a game tomorrow at home against the Pacers, it’s not too difficult to imagine the visitors getting caught “looking ahead” to that one. I’m laying the points.

Good luck…Larry

This is a 10* GAME OF THE WEEK on the New York Knicks (8:00 EST).

The 23-24 New York Knicks are in Cleveland to take on the 39-16 Cavaliers on Thursday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

New York is at a cross roads right now, as it’s still in the playoff picture, but clearly needing some better play and some type of surge to stay in the conversation.

The Cavs are in first in the East and look forward to a favorable part of their schedule with three straight games at home over inferior opponents. After the extended All Star break, could the defending champs come out a bit flat in the opener? Possibly.

The Knicks however absolutely can not take anything for granted and need to start stringing some victories together immeidately. Obviously an outright upset win on the road against the Cavs would be a monumental step in the right direction for the club.

And while I’m not going to predict an outright upset, I do think from a motivational stand point that this one sets up great for the visitors tonight. 

Remember, Kevin Love is still out for Cleveland as well.

And note that the Knicks have in fact done well in this spot for bettors, going 15-8 ATS after a non-conference game, 1-0 ATS when playing with one more days rest and 11-6 ATS after allowing 115 points or more, while the Cavaliers have struggled in this position, going just 5-11 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 10-16 ATS against teams with losing records.

I think the home side comes out a bit flat and the desperate Knicks take this one down to the wire. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Atlanta Hawks (10:35 EST).

The 32-23 Atlanta Hawks are in LA to take on the 34-21 Clippers and for a number of different reasons, i think this one favors the visitors.

I believe that LA has a letdown after winning three straight and in the final game before the All Star break. 

The Hawks come to town off a confidence building 109-104 OT victory in Portland on Monday. 

Note that this sets up as a “revenge” game as well for the visitors after LA beat the Hawks by ten in Atlanta earlier in the year. 

Keep your eyes on the Hawks’ Paul Millsap tonight, he had 21 points, nine rebounds, five assists and four blocked shots in the victory over Portland. 

Atlanta averages 104.1 PPG and concedes 104.3.

LA averages 108.1 PPG and concedes 104.5. Blake Griffin has stepped up his play of late, averaging 26 points, 7.5 assists and 10.3 boards over his last four games.

I’ll point out though that that Clippers are just 8-12 ATS in non-conference games this year, just 9-10 ATS after a win by ten points or more and only 7-8 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories, while the Hawks are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent and 5-3 ATS as a road dog of three points or less.

I think the home side comes out a bit flat and the Hawks, at the very least, take this one down to the wire. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Utah Jazz (9:05 EST).

The 23-32 Portland Trailblazers are in Utah to take on the 34-22 Jazz and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Both teams come in on losing streaks, as the Jazz have lost three straight, while the Blazers have gone just 1-4 in their last five following a deflating OT loss to ATL on Monday.

It’s been Utah’s offense which has let it down of late, amassing a season-low in its latest setback to the Clippers. The Jazz are still the best defensive club in the league though and I think they get back to form tonight.

The Jazz offense also catches a break in facing the Blazers’ vanilla defense, ranked in the lower-third in most categories.

I’ll also point out that Portland is just 10-18 ATS on the road this season, just 10-15 ATS against clubs with winning records, only 14-24 ATS after allowing 105 points or more and just 3-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 

And note that Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last five after scoring 73 points or less in its previous outing.

I think the Jazz are the deeper team and expect their smothering defense to be just too much for the inconsistent Blazers to handle tonight. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Antonio Spurs (7:05 EST).

The 42-13 San Antonio Spurs are in Orlando to take on the 21-36 Magic and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

This is the final game of the first half before the All Star break. The Spurs come to town off a 110-106 win over Indiana on Monday, while the Magic enter off a rare victory, picking up a 116-107 road win over the Heat on Monday. 

Note that this does in fact set up as a “revenge” spot for the Spurs, as Orlando took the first matchup of the season, 95-83, back on November 29th. Suffice it to say, I think Gregg Popovich and company haven’t forgotten that embarrassing performance and will be out to atone with a big beatdown performance this evening.

San Antonio averages 106.7 PPG and concedes just 98.7. Kawhi Leonard leads the nightly charge with 25.9, 5.9 boards and 1.8 steals a night. Big man Lamarcus Aldridge contributes 17.4 points and 7.4 boards.

Let’s not read too much into the Magic’s latest victory, they’d lost four straight and six of seven prevoius to downing the Heat. Note that Orlando averages just 99.9 PPG and concedes 106.1. 

I’ll point out that the Spurs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their prevoius outing, while the Magic are just 1-5 ATS in their last six against the Western Conference.

The Magic just dealt Serge Ibaka and will once again have to make adjustments on the fly. That doesn’t bode well facing a Spurs team that’s firing on all cylinders and out for revenge. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* WESTERN CONFERENCE BLOWOUT SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the LA Lakers.

The 23-32 Sacramento Kings are in LA to take on the 19-37 Lakers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Kings are poised for a letdown here in my opinion after going 4-1 on a five-game homestand, including downing the Pelicans 105-99 at home on Sunday. 

LA returns home off a 2-3 road trip, most recently beating the Bucks 122-114 on Friday. 

To say this is a “revenge” game for the Lakers would be a bit of an understatement as the Kings have won eight of the last nine in the series, including 116-92 in the lone matchup this season back on December 12th. 

It’s a classic letdown spot for Sacramento though, which also beat Golden State, Boston and Atlanta during the home surge. And note that despite the recent up-tick in play, the Kings are still tied for just 21st in the league in scoring with an average of 103.4 PPG. Unfortunately, the defense hasn’t been much better, ranked 18th in conceding an average of 105.8 per contest. DeMarcus Cousins averages 27.8 points and 10.7 boards per game this year. 

The Lakers posted 47 first quarter points against the Bucks on Friday. Overall LA is ranked 18th in the league in scoring with an average of 104.7 PPG, while ranked 29th on the defensive end in conceding 110.5 per night. Keep your eyes on Lou Williams, who leads the team with 18.4 points and 3.1 assists per night.

I’ll point out that Sacramento is already just 9-13 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more and 0-2 ATS after three or more consecutive SU victories, while LA is 7-5 ATS after playing three consecutive road games and 7-2 ATS in its last nine against good offensive teams which average 99-plus points per contest. 

The stage is set for the Lakers to grab another victory. Play on LA.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Utah Jazz (9:05 EST).

The 33-21 LA Clippers are in Utah to take on the 34-21 Jazz and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

I think the Clippers are poised for a letdown here after two straight wins. Conversely, after a 112-104 setback to the C’s on Saturday, I expect the home side to come out fired up tonight.

Also note that Utah plays with revenge after dropping the first game of the season to the Clippers 88-75 on the road back in October. 

The Clippers average 108.5 PPG and concede 105.1. 

The Jazz average just 100.5 PPG, but are ranked No. 1 in the league on the defensive end in conceding a mere 96 PPG.

And I’ll point out that LA is just 1-2 ATS this season as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Utah is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 105 points or more. 

I think Utah comes in focused, eager to break the string of shoddy play and to avenge the earlier loss to the Clippers. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Orlando Magic (7:35 EST).

The 20-36 Orlando Magic are in Miami to take on the 24-31 Heat and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

The Magic come in as the “hungrier” team tonight after dropping four straight, most recently a 112-80 aetback at Dallas on Saturday.

The Heat had their 13 game win strek snapped in a 117-109 road loss to the lowly 76ers on Saturday night and suffice it to say, I’m expecting another letdown here.

The first game back after an extended trip is always a tough one for a team, many consider it a classic “trap” scenario.

Momentum is difficult to attain and once lost, it can be even more difficult to get back. And that’s the case here in my opinion. 

I’ll point out that Orlando is 3-1 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or less and 7-3 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while Miami is already just 4-5 ATS after playing three consecutive road games. 

I like the desperate visitors to keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Charlotte Hornets (7:05 EST).

The 20-34 Philadelphia 76ers are in Charlotte to take on the 24-30 Hornets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

I simply feel that Charlotte is going to be the much “hungrier” team tonight. It’s lost nine of ten, most recently a 107-102 home setback to the Clippers on Saturday. 

Conversely, the over-achieving 76ers are poised for a bit of a letdown here in my opinion after winning their second straight, most recently a 117-109 home victory over Miami.

Despite the recent surge, Philadelphia remains one of the worst teams in the league on paper, averaging just 101 PPG and conceding 106.8.

Compare that to a Hornets club which averages 104.9 PPG and concedes 104.5. 

And I’ll point out that Philadelphia is just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Charlotte is 2-1 ATS in its last three at home. 

I expect the Hornets to risk life and limb tonight to try and secure the victory and their immense effort will translate into a lop-sided blowout once it’s all said and done. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is the under Pelicans/Kings (9:05 EST).

The 21-33 New Orleans Pelicans are in Sacramento to take on the 22-32 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

These teams are still in the playoff mix and as such, I’m expecting a battle tonight between two clubs which are centered around their big men.

The Pelicans won for just the second time in their last seven games with a 122-106 road victory over the Wolves on Friday

The Kings have looked better of late, winning for the third time in four games by besting Atlanta 108-107 at home on Friday. 

Note, that when these teams met on November 28th, the Kings won 102-94 at home. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score once it’s all said and done tonight as well.

And note, despite the big offensive outburst against Minnesota, New Orleans still ranks 21st in the league in scoring with 103.5 PPG (the defense concedes 106.8).

Sacramento has beaten the Warriors, Celtics and Hawks during its win streak, but is still rankd just 22nd in the league in scoring with 103.4 PPG. The defense concedes 105.9.

I’ll point out that the Pelicans have seen the total go under the number in six of ten this year off an upset win as an underdog, while Sacramento has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of four as a home fav in the 3.5 to six points range this year and in eight of 14 when playing the role of favorite.

In my opinion, everything points to a lower-scoring affair, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is the under Magic/Mavericks (9:05 EST).

The 20-35 Orlando Magic are in Dallas to take on the 21-32 Mavericks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defenisve battle written all over it.

Orlando comes in with zero momentum, having lost three straight, most recently a heart-breaker at home to the lowly 76ers. 21 turnovers was the difference. Nikola Vucevic was a bright spot with 21 points:

“This is what happens when you have big leads all throughout the game and you don’t control the game,” Vucevic lamented afterwards. “When you let teams back in, a lot of times you are going to lose those games–especially after the way we start playing like we’re up 40. It’s unacceptable, especially in the position we’re in where we can’t even get a win right now.”

The Mavs on the other hand come in having won five of their last seven, most recently an OT thriller over the Jazz on Thursday. Harrison Barnes led the way with 31 points. 

I’ll point out though that Orlando has seen the total go under the number in all five games it’s played this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Dallas has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of 12 this year off an upset win as an underdog.

Orlando is in the bottom third in almost every single offensive category, while the Mavs rank in the top third in almost every defensive category. 

This number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SUPER TOTAL is the under Pelicans/Wolves (8:05 EST).

The 20-33 New Orleans Pelicans are in Minnesota to take on the 20-33 Timberwolves and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

The Pelicans come in with zero momentum, having lost five of their last six, most recently getting destroyed 127-94 at home by Utah on Wednesday. 

The Wolves got off the schneid and broke a four-game slide in their last outing with a 112-109 win over the Raptors on Wednesday. 

Note that New Orleans has won eight of the last ten in the series, including a 117-96 victory at home in the first matchup this year back on November 23rd. 

The Pelicans average 103.1 PPG and concede 106.8. Anthony Davis averages 27.6 PPG to go along with 12.1 boards, 1.31 steals and 2.51 blocks per contest. Unfortunately for Davis, his supporting cast is pretty thin, E-Twaun Moore is next in line with just 9.8 PPG.

Minnesota averages 104.3 PPG and concedes 105.6. Big man Karl-Anthony Towns will have his hands full with Davis, he leads the nightly charge for the Wolves with 23.5 PPG and 11.9 boards. 

I’ll point out that New Orleans has already seen the total go under the number in 17 of 28 this year after allowing 105 points or more, while Minnesota has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of its last four when playing the role of favorite.

Both teams are dealing with injuries to key players, so I’m expecting the spot light to be thrown onto the big men tonight. With each looking to establish, we can expect some half court sets to be run, meaning a slower pace at times. I think this number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Dallas Mavericks (8:35 EST).

The 34-19 Utah Jazz are in Dallas to take on the 20-32 Mavericks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

No need to overthink this one too much in my opinion, as Utah comes in off a big 127-94 win over New Orleans just last night. I unfortunately had a play on the Pelicans in that one. The Jazz are poised for a letdown now after four straight wins and the revenge minded and much improved Mavericks will be looking to take advantage.

Dallas comes in as the “hungrier” team as it’s now dropped two in a row, most recently a 114-113 setback at home to Portland on Tuesday. 

Note that Dallas does in fact play with “triple revenge” tonight, after dropping all three previous games to the Jazz this season.

This is a great situational play, as Utah comes in tired and content. The Mavs are eager to return to the winners circle, have home court advantage and big motivation after already dropping three games to the Jazz this year.

And I’ll point out that Utah is just 10-14 ATS on the road this year and interestingly, only 18-22 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest, while Dallas is 8-2 ATS in revenging a home loss against an opponent and 12-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more.

While I clearly wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Dallas.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SUPER SHOCKER is on the Milwaukee Bucks (8:05 EST).

The 22-30 Miami Heat are in Milwaukee to take on the 22-28 Bucks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Miami comes in on the back of an 11-game win streak, but I think it will finally have a letdown here. The Heat most recently got by Minnesota 115-113 on the road on Monday.

Conversely, the Bucks are looking to build momentum, they finally got off the schneid and broke a five-game slide with a resounding 137-112 beatdown of the Suns on Saturday. 

Note that this does indeed also set up as a “revenge” game for Milwaukee, as Miami has taken two of three meetings this year, including a 109-97 home win on January 21st in the most recent.

Note that despite the big win streak, the Heat still rank 25th in the league in scoring at 100.7 PPG. Miami is strong defenisvely though, conceding just 102.2 PPG. Goran Dragic usually leads the nightly charge, he’s averaging a team-leading 20.1 PPG.

Giannis Antetokounmpo had 30 points, 12 boards, six assists and four blocks in his team’s win over the Suns last time out. 

Milwaukee averages 105.3 PPG and concedes 105.1. Keep your eyes on big man Greg Monroe, who averages 11.1 points and 6.7 boards in a sixth man role. 

I’ll point out that Miami is just 10-12 ATS this year after a non-conference game, while Milwaukee is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games and 5-3 ATS as a home fav of three points or less.

Milwaukee comes in rested and focused after four days off. Too many factors working against Miami tonight, I’m laying the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH is on the New Orleans Pelicans (8:05 EST).

The 33-19 Utah Jazz are in New Orleans to take on the 20-32 Pelicans and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

I believe the Jazz will finally have a letdown here after winning three straight. 

New Orleans though will be looking to build some momentum after getting off the schneid and breaking a four-game losing streak in a win over the Suns on Monday.

Utah played over its head in its 120-95 win over Atlanta on Monday, shooting a season-high 61.3 percent from the floor. Suffice it to say, I am not expecting a repeat performance here. In fact, there’s only one way that shooting percentage can go (and that’s down!). 

Anthony Davis had 34 points, nine boards and five blocks in his team’s 111-106 win over Phoenix on Monday. Point guard Jrue Holiday had 30 points, nine boards, seven assists and three steals. 

I’ll point out that Utah is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight on the road, while New Orleans is 4-0 ATS in its last four home against against teams with winng road records and 5-2 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss.

The Jazz have a hard time with Davis, who averaged 25.3 points and 9.8 boards in four games against them last year. While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset obviously, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Pelicans.

Good luck…Larry

 My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Houston Rockets (8:00 EST).

The 20-33 Orlando Magic are in Houston to take on the 37-17 Houston Rockets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

The Magic come in with zero momentum, they lost for the seventh time in their last ten games with a 113-86 loss at Atlanta on Saturday.

The Rockets can empathize, they’ve also hit a bit of a rough patch, but do come in off a 121-117 OT win at home over the Bulls to win for just the third time in their last eight overall. 

These team’s met in Orlando on January 8th and Houston scored the 100-93 victory. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a much bigger blowout this evening.

The Magic average 99.6 PPG and allow 105.4 per night. Evan Fournier leads the nightly charge with 16.6 PPG. 

The Rockets average 114.1 PG and allow 108.3. Houston is led by James Harden with 28.9 points, 8.2 boards and 11.4 assists per night. 

I’ll point out that Orlando is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 when its opponent allows 100 points or more in its previous game, while the Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

Houston is tough at home. I think it builds off its latest victory and keeps the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Mavericks/Nuggets (9:05 EST).

The 20-30 Dallas Mavericks are in Denver to take on the 22-28 Nuggets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has “defensive battle” written all over it as well.

Dallas is rolling and will be gunning for a fifth straight win, most recently a 108-104 road victory in Portland. Denver enters off a 121-97 beatdown at the hands of the Spurs on Saturday. 

These teams have played twice already this year and each has won on its home court, the Nuggets taking the latest meeting 117-107.

Dallas was a bit “lucky” to hold on for the win over the Blazers though, as it had a 19 point lead at one point. Yogi Ferrell scored 32 points, including going 9 of 11 from range. He immediately signed a two-year contract after the performance. 

The Mavs have a looked a lot better offensively of late, but note that the team still does only average 97.6 PPG, ranked dead last in the league. Dallas though features a strong defense which concedes just 100.4 PPG, ranked fourth overall. 

The Nuggets ran out of gas against San Antonio, as it was their fourth game in five nights. Denver averages 110.2 PPG and concedes 111.8. 

Note though that Denver has seen the total go under the number in two of its last three against teams with losing records.

Also note that Dallas has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of 13 this year after scoring 105 points or more.

The Mavs won’t want to turn this one into a “track meet,” so expect the visitors to try and control the pace a bit. In my opinion, this number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Heat/Wolves (8:05 EST). 

The 21-30 Miami Heat are in Minnesota to take on the 19-32 Timberwolves and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has “defensive battle” written all over it.

Is Miami poised for a letdown here after winning its tenth in a row, most recently a 125-102 beatdown of the 76ers at home on Saturday?

The Heat have been rolling for a while now, but after five straight wins at home, they now finally embark on an extended road trip. There’s no doubt that this sets up as a potential “trap” game for Miami. 

The Wolves on the other hand come in ultra motivated and focused as they’ve lost three straight, most recently a 107-99 setback to Memphis on Saturday. 

Despite the recent surge, note that the Heat still only averages 100.4 PPG this year. Most nights Miami gets the job done with smothering defensive play as it’s ranked fifth overall in conceding just 101.9 per night. Hassan Whiteside has been playing well of late, he had 30 points, 20 boards and three boocks in the win over Philadelphia.

Minnesota averages 104 PPG and concedes 105.4. Karl-Anthony Towns leads the team with 23.1 points and 12 boards per contest. Minnesota’s offense took a hit though when swingman Zach LaVine went down with a torn ACL.

I’ll point out that Miami has seen the total go under the number in 14 of 22 non-conference games this year, while Minnesota has seen the total go under the posted number in five of eight this season after three or more consecutive losses.

Six of the last seven in this series in Minnesota have fallen below the number and all signs point to these trends continuing. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the over Jazz/Hawks (7:35 EST).

The 32-19 Utah Jazz are in Atlanta to take on the 30-21 Hawks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

Utah has won two straight, most recently a 105-98 effort at home over the Hornets, while Atlanta enters off two straight wins as well, routing Orlando 113-86 at home on Saturday. 

It’s interesting to note that Atlanta has won nine of the last 11 in this series, but Utah took the first meeting 95-68 in the first matchup this year back on November 25th in front of the home town crowd.

Atlanta was struggling with offensive consistency at that point of the season, but has turned things around of late.

Utah averages just 99.5 PPG and concedes only 94.5. The Jazz offense was firing on all cylinders against the Hornets though and I’m expecting that momentum to get carried over into this one, as Utah would go on to shoot 47 percent from the floor and hit 13 of 33 three-pointers. Gordon Hayward exploded for 33 points and eight boards in the win.

The Hawks so far average 103.9 PPG and concede 103.9 as well. Paul Milsap leads the team with 17.9 points, eight boards and 3.8 assists per game. In the win over the Magic, ATL shot 52.6 percent from the floor and was 10 of 28 from range.

I’ll point out that Utah has already seen the total go over the number in 12 of 16 this year after scoring 105 points or more, while Atlanta has seen the total sail above the posted number in three of its last four in the same position.

I think the home side pushes the pace as it looks to avenge the earlier dud in Utah and as a result, expect this total to eclipse the posted number as it comes down the stretch. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* CASH BOMB is on the LA Clippers (2:05 EST).

The 31-19 LA Clippers are in Boston to take on the 32-18 Boston Celtics and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The Clippers are the “hungrier” team in my estimation as they come in having lost three of their last four, most recently a 133-120 setback at home to Golden State on Thursday. 

Conversely, the surging Celtics look poised for a letdown here after winning their sixth straight, most recently a 113-107 win at home over the Lakers on Friday night. 

Note that LA averages 108.4 PPG and concedes just 104.7. Blake Griffin leads the nightly charge with 21.4 points, 8.7 boards and 4.6 assists per game.

Boston averages 108.3 PPG and concedes 105.7. Isaiah Thomas leads the way with 29.9 points and 6.3 assists per game.

These are two good teams, but they’re moving in opposite directions right now. But I think that trend starts to move the other way tonight. Boston is likely playing its best ball of the season, but after six straight wins, including three straight at home, and with two nights off before a long Western Conference road swing, I think it finally has a letdown here. 

It’s the perfect situation for the Clippers (and us!), to take advantage of. Grab as many points as you can.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the New Orleans Pelicans (7:00 EST).

The 19-31 New Orleans Pelicans are in Washington to take on the 29-20 Wizards and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

New Orleans will be hungry here, it’s coming off its third straight loss, this time a 118-98 setback on the road in Detroit on Wednesday. 

Conversely, the Wizards could hardly be faulted if they came in a tiny bit complacent as they are off their sixth straight victory, most recently a 116-108 home win over the Lakers on Thursday. 

To say this is a “revenge” game would be an understatement as well as Washington has taken nine of the last ten in the series, including a 107-94 road victory in the first matchup of the year just last week. 

New Orleans averages 103.4 PPG and concedes 106.5. Big man Anthony Davis averages 27.9 points, 12.3 boards, 1.3 steals and 2.39 blocks per game. Davis is going to need a few more pieces around him before the Pelicans can ever make any serious noise at a playoff run, note that E’Twaun Moore contributes 9.8 points a night, while Tim Frazier chips in 9.1.

Washington averages 107.1 PPG and concedes 105. Guard John Wall leads the way with 23 points, 10.3 assists and 2.15 steals per game. 

I’ll point out though that New Orleans is already 20-15 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and 4-2 ATS as a road dog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Washington is just 1-3 ATS in its last four non-conference games.

With the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers coming to town on Monday night, it’s also not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught looking ahead to that much more “important” game.

I’m banking on the desperate Pelicans to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (8:05 EST).

The 30-21 Memphis Grizzlies are in Oklahoma City to take on the 28-22 Thunder and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

This is a big mid-season game as the Thunder sit just 1.5 games behind No. 6 Memphis in the playoff standings. They’ve already played twice this year, each winning on its home floor. 

I simply feel this sets up as a letdown spot for Memphis though, which has played well of late, winning three straight on the road. 

The Thunder on other hand have lost three straight, most recently a humbling 128-100 setback at home to the Bulls on Wednesday.

The Grizzlies average 100.6 PPG and concede 99.5. 

Despite struggling some on the offensive end of late, OKC still comes into this one averaging 105.7 PPG. The problem most nights for the Thunder is on the defensive end as they concede an average of 105.7 as well. 

I’ll point out though that Memphis is just 8-10 ATS this year after scoring 105 points or more, while OKC is 8-5 ATS after a loss by ten points or more.

Both teams are dealing with injury issues, but I think this one simply means more to Russell Westbrook and the Thunder. Good value on the “hungry” home side, play on Oklahoma City.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the under Wolves/Pistons (7:35 EST).

The 19-30 Minnesota Timberwolves are in Detroit to take on the 22-27 Pistons and for a number of different reasons, I’m expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle.

The Wolves were in Cleveland on Wednesday and they had a two game win streak going before falling 125-97. 

The Pistons broke a three-game slide in their last outing by smashing the Pelicans 118-98 at home on Wednesday. 

Note that Detroit has won the last three in this series, including a 117-90 victory on the road this year back on December 9th.

Minnesota is ranked 18th overall in scoring with an average of 104 PPG, while ranked 16th in scoring defense in conceding 105.1 PPG. Karl-Anthony Towns had 26 points and 12 boards in the loss to the Cavs.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope exploded for 38 points in the Pistons win over New Orleans. Those types of offensive outbursts though have been few and far between for Detroit this year, which ranks 24th in scoring at 101.1 PPG. The Pistons get the job done with their suffocating defensive play, ranked sixth in conceding 101.8 per night. Detroit gets balanced scoring, keep your eyes on big man Andre Drummond, who puts up 14.6 points and grabs 13.6 boards per night. 

It’s interesting to note that Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in nine of 15 this year in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent, while Detroit has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of 20 non-conference games to this point.

These are two teams jockeying for a playoff spot and hungry for a win. Each will look to establish its big men, so we’re likely to see a lot of half court sets on offense. I think this number is just a little bit high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Goin Over Total is the over Lakers/Wizards (7:05 EST).

The 17-34 LA Lakers are in Washington to take on the 28-20 Wizards and for a number of different reasons, i think this one has offensive “shootout” written all over it.

LA enters off a rare win, taking out Denver 120-116 at home on Tuesday. The Wizards come in off their 15th straight home victory in a 117-101 effort over the Knicks on Tuesday. 

The Lakers have been a disappointment this year, but looked pretty good against Denver in hitting 15 of 27 from range. Nick Young had 23 points.

So far LA averages 104 PPG. The Lakers though have been terrible on the defensive end in conceding 110.2 PPG thus far. 

Washington averages 106.9 PPG, which ranks it tenth overall. The Wizards are just 15th on the defensive end though in conceding 105 PPG. John Wall continues to lead the nightly charge wih 22.7 points, 10.3 assists and 2.13 steals per game. 

I’ll point out that LA has seen the total go over the number in 15 of 26 this year against teams with winning records, while Washington has seen the total eclipse the posted number in five of seven this year after three or more consecutive SU victories.

Washington will be pushing the pace of this one from the outset at it looks to take advantage of this weak Lakers’ defense. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK is on the Dallas Mavericks (8:35 EST).

The 18-29 Philadelphia 76ers are in Dallas to take on the 18-30 Mavericks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

The 76ers most recently beat the Kings 122-119 to stop a two-game slide, while the Mavericks won for the fourth time in their last five games with an upset 104-97 victory over the Cavaliers at home on Monday. 

Philadelphia won despite big man Joel Embiid sidelined last time out. Robert Covington had 23 points and ten boards against Sacramento. 

The 76ers average just 100.9 PPG and concede 106.

The Mavs are last in the league in scoring at 97.1 PPG. Dallas though is pretty good on the defensive side, conceding just 100.1 points per night.

But there’s no question that Dallas has looked a lot better of late. And that’s mainly because it’s been getting healthier. Harrison Barnes leads the nightly charge with 20.4 points and 5.3 boards per night. 

Embiid is not expected to play today and that doesn’t bode well for the visitors in my opinion. Even if he does play, I don’t expect him to be at 100% capacity.

The Mavs are getting big contributions up and down the line-up right now and note that Dallas is already 5-1 ATS as a favorite this year. 

I’m laying the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Charlotte Hornets (10:05 EST).

The 23-25 Charlotte Hornets are in Portland to take on the 21-28 Blazers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors. 

These are two teams desperate for some wins. Charlotte dropped its fourth straight and ninth in its last 12 with a 109-106 setback to Sacramento on Saturday.

Portland had its three game win streak snapped with a disheartening 113-111 home loss to Golden State on Sunday. Momentum is difficult to attain and once lost, it’s even more difficult to get back. I think this one sets up as a classic letdown spot for the Blazers after their extended streak of excellence was finally cut short in an emotional setback to the conference’s heavyweight. 

And if recent history is any precedence, then the Hornets have to be loving their chances today as when they faced the Blazers on January 18th, they’d pull away for the convincing 107-85 victory back on January 18th.

So far Charlotte averages 105.2 PPG and concedes 103.6. Kemba Walker leads the nightly charge with 23.3 PPG. Note that the Hornets are tied for tenth with 9.7 threes per game. 

Portland averages 107.6 PPG and allows 110.2 (the fourth worst). Damian Lillard averages 26.2 points and 5.9 assists per contest.

I’ll point out that Charlotte is 2-1 ATS in its last three when playing with two days of rest, while Portland is just 13-20 ATS in its last 33 after allowing 105 points or more and only 8-15 ATS against teams with losing records.

I think the “hungrier” team finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Detroit Pistons (8:05 EST).

The 21-26 Detroit Pistons are in Boston to take on the 29-18 Celtics and for a number of different reasons, i think this one favors the visitors.

The Pistons come in as the “hungrier” team in my opinion. Detroit has lost two straight, most recently a 116-103 road loss in Miami on Saturday. 

Conversely, I think Boston could be caught a tiny bit complacent after three straight wins, most recently a hard-fought 112-108 OT win in Mliwaukee on Saturday. 

If recent history is any precedence, then Detroit has to be liking its chances today, as it would take the first matchup of the year in a 121-114 home victory back on November 30th.

Detroit averages just 100.6 PPG, but gets balanced scoring. The Pistons are an above average defensive team, conceding just 101.6 PPG. Reggie Jackson averages 17.2 points and 5.5 assists per contest.

Is Boston about to take the foot off the gas after capturing first place in the Atlantic after Toronto lost to Orlando on Sunday? Maybe. The team blew a 15 point lead after the first quarter and let an eight point lead entering the fourth slip away against the Bucks before then managing to gut out the OT victory. Note that the C’s shot just 41.6 percent from the floor, including a poor 14 of 40 from beyond the arc.

I think the Celtics are running out of gas. And note that Boston is already just 2-4 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins, while Detroit is 2-1 ATS in its last three after a loss by ten points or more. 

The stage is set for the outright upset, but in the end I’m going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Detroit.

Good luck…Larry