The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the San Antonio Spurs (8:30 EST).

The 23-21 Philadelphia 76ers are in San Antonio to take on the 32-18 Spurs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Both teams come in on top form, with the Spurs off wins over the Cavs and Grizzlies, while the 76ers have won four of their last five, most recently a victory over the Bulls on Wednesday. 

This is a revenge game for the Spurs though, who fell in Philadelphia 112-106 on January 3rd. 76ers big man Joel Embiid and rookie Ben Simmons combined for 47 points, 16 boards and eight assists in that victory. 

Pau Gasol had 14 points, 15 board and nine assists in his team’s 108-85 destruction of Memphis on Wednesday. In all, eight players would score in double figures against the Grizzlies, including 15 by Patty Mills off the bench.

I’ll point out that Philadelphia is just 12-15 ATS in its last 27 against good defensive teams which allow 98 points or less per contest, while San Antonio is 3-1 ATS in its last four against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest.

The revenge factor can’t be overlooked here. I think Philadelphia stumbles to open its Western swing and San Antonio takes advantage. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Memphis Grizzlies (8:00 EST).

The 23-24 LA Clippers are in Memphis to take on the 17-30 Grizzlies and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

LA comes in off a 113-102 loss to Boston on Wednesday, while Memphis enters off a 108-85 setback to San Antonio in its latest action.

The Clippers have now lost three straight. LA is on the outside of the playoff picture looking in and it’s only 9-13 on the road this season. So far the Clippers average 107.7 PPG, while conceding 107.6. Blake Griffin had 23 points and five boards in the latest defeat. 

Marc Gasol had 18 points and seven boards in the Grizzlies blowout loss to San Antonio. Memphis is 5-5 over its last ten games and it’s just 12-14 on its home floor. So far the Grizzlies average 99.3 PPG and concede 102.2. 

I’ll point out though that LA is already just 2-5 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Memphis is 14-11 ATS this season against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per outing. 

This is a revenge game for Memphis after it fell 113-105 to LA earlier this month. The Grizzlies are dealing with injuries, but so too are the Clippers. Home floor and the revenge factor prove to be too much for LA to overcome tonight.

Play on Memphis.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (7:30 EST).

The Cavaliers are desperate for a victory and I believe that focus and determination will ultimately prove to be the difference maker tonight. 

Cleveland started off the season horribly as well, but it made some adjustments and then went on a huge run. With Isaiah Thomas coming into the mix, the chemistry has once again been disrupted and the team is struggling while trying to adjust “on the fly.” 

The recent struggles prompted coach Tyron Lue to make another adjustment to the starting line-up, benching Jae Crowder and electing to start Tristan Thompson, while then moving Kevin Love over to the PF position. I think the “shake-up” is going to work here.

The Pacers average 106.4 PPG and they concede 105.2. Indiana is led by Victor Oladipo, who averages 24.1 points, 5.2 boards and 1.98 steals per game.

The Cavaliers average 109.5 PPG an concede 109.6. LeBron James leads the nightly charge with 26.8 points, 7.9 boards and 8.6 assists per game, while Love adds 18.4 points and 9.4 boards per outing. 

More than anything though this is a big time revenge play for Cleveland, which has dropped all three in the season series with Indiana already this year. 

For all the reasons listed above, play on the Cavaliers.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Denver Nuggets.

New York comes in off a 123-112 loss on the road in Golden State on Tuesday, while Denver had dropped six of eight before edging Portland 104-101 at home on Monday. 

Note that this is a revenge game for the Nuggets after they fell 116-110 in The Big Apple back on October 30th

The Knicks average 104.7 PPG and concede 106.1. Kristaps Porzingis averages 23.3 points, 6.7 boards and 2.34 blocks per game, while Enes Kanter contributes 13.6 points and ten boards per night. 

Denver averages 106 PPG and it concedes 105.6. Big man Nikola Jokic averages 16.2 points, 10.4 boards and five assists per game, while Garry Harris leads the way with 17 points per night. Jamal Murray exploded for a career-high 38 points in the win over the Blazers.

I’ll point out that New York is just 10-14 ATS on the road this year and only 1-3 ATS after playing three consecutive road games, while Denver is 5-3 ATS in its last eight when playing with two days rest and 12-10 ATS in front of the home town crowd thus far. 

Porzingis could be sidelined for this one and if he does play, he’s likely not going to be at 100% capacity. Denver is 17-6 at the Pepsi Center and in my opinion, all the pieces are in place for a blowout. Play on the Nuggets.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on the Dallas Mavericks (8:05 EST).

I think the Rockets have a bit of a mental lapse here after winning six of their last seven.

Conversely, the Mavericks won’t be taking anything for granted this evening after they broke a three-game slide with a win over the Wizards in their last outing.

And to say this is a “revenge” game for the Mavs would be a bit of an understatement I think, as the Rockets have taken five straight in the series.

Houston most recently got the better of Miami 99-90 on Monday, going 15 of 37 from range. James Harden led the way in the victory with 28 points. Note though that Harden had five assists to six turnovers.

Dallas is not in the playoff picture currently, but it’s still fighting, most recently thrashing the Wizards 98-75. The Mavs would go on to shoot 44.2 percent collectively, while also holding a 52-45 edge on the glass. Harrison Barnes leads the team in scoring and he had 20 points and ten boards in the latest victory. 

I’ll point out as well that Houston is already just 7-10 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories and only 4-7 ATS in its last 11 after allowing 90 points or less in its previous outing, while Dallas is already 20-13 ATS as an underdog this year, 8-2 ATS against the division and 19-9 ATS against clubs with winning records.

Harden is back from a recent injury, but still not firing on all cylinders. Dallas has looked a lot better on both ends of the court and I think that momentum gets carried over here. Clearly an outright upset is not out of the question, but in the end I’m going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Dallas.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the New Orleans Pelicans (7:05 EST).

New Orleans comes to Charlotte off a 132-128 double OT win over Chicago, while the Hornets enter off a 112-107 victory at home over Sacramento on Monday. 

The Pelicans average 111.2 PPG and they concede 110.9. Anthony Davis leads the team with 26.7 points, 10.5 boards and 2.05 blocks per game, while fellow big DeMarcus Cousins averages 25.6 points, 12.9 boards and 5.2 assists per game. 

The Hornets average 105.8 PPG and concede 105.8 as well. Kemba Walker leads the team with 21.8 points and 5.9 assists per game, while Dwight Howard adds 15.5 points and 12.6 boards per outing.

I’ll point out though that New Orleans has done extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 14-10 ATS already on the road this year, 11-8 ATS in non-conference games and interestingly 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 130 points or more in its previous outing, while Charlotte has struggled in this position by going just 11-14 ATS at home this season and only 9-11 ATS in non-conference contests.

The Hornets are sitting in 11th in the East, so despite playing better of late, I still think New Orleans has the advantage here. The Pelicans have won five of seven and are two games ahead of the Clippers in the West standings. 

The added off-court drama of Walker likely being moved before the trade dead line won’t help the home side tonight either. 

Play on New Orleans.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Boston Celtics (10:35 EST).

Boston comes in off a third straight loss, falling 103-95 at home to Orlando on Sunday. Clearly the C’s are going to be looking to start their Western road swing off on the “right foot.”

And with a game at Golden State on the weekend, the visitors can’t take anything for granted tonight either or risk enduring their worst slide of the season. 

But if recent history is any precedence, then Boston has to be liking its chances today, because when these teams met back on November 8th, it was the Celtics which pulled away for the comfortable 107-96 victory. 

Boston comes in averaging 102.6 PPG and it concedes 98. Kyrie Irving leads the nightly charge with 24.5 points, five assists and 1.18 steals per game. 

The Lakers average 106.6 PPG and concede 109.9. Lonzo Ball averages 10.2 points, 7.1 boards and 7.1 assists per game, while Brandon Ingram adds 15.7 points.

I’ll point out though that Boston is already 6-3 ATS this year off an upset loss as a favorite and 14-6 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per game, while LA is just 21-23 ATS in its last 44 off an upset win as an underdog. 

Boston can’t be happy and it’s looking for a breakout performance. The Lakers have been playing better lately, but definitely look poised for a letdown here. Everything points to a rout, lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Heat/Rockets (8:05 EST).

Miami closes a five-game road trip tonight. There’s no way the Heat can turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to “hang” with the high-flying Rockets though.

The Heat enter off a 106-105 road win over Charlotte on Saturday, while Houston comes in off a second straight win, this time pulling away for a 116-108 home victory over Golden State on Saturday. 

Miami averages 101.2 PPG and it concedes 101.9. Hassan Whiteside averages 14.5 points, 11.8 boards per game. Already without Dion Waiters, Miami guard Goran Dragic is also a question mark for this one (and if he does play, clearly he won’t be at 100% capacity.) 

Houston averages 114.7 PPG and it concedes 106.9. James Harden leads the nightly charge with 31.5 points, 4.8 boards and nine assists per game.

I’ll point out though that the Rockets have seen the total go under the number in four of six already this year after playing to three or more consecutive “unders,” while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in 11 of 15 this season against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest.

I think the home side has a bit of a mental letdown here after besting the defending champs last time out. And as mentioned off the top, Miami is wounded and tired and will be looking to slow the pace of this one down whenever possible. When you add it all up, this number is indeed just a little high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the LA Lakers (3:35 EST).

New York looks primed for a letdown here in my opinion after its big 117-115 road win over Utah on Friday. 

Conversely, I expect the hungry Lakers to build off their recent 99-86 home win over Indiana, a victory which snapped a two-game slide. 

To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well, as New York has taken six of the last seven in the series, including a 113-109 OT effort at home back on December 12th.

The Knicks come into this one averaging 104.5 PPG and conceding 105.3. Kristaps Porzingis leads the nightly charge with 23.5 points, 6.8 boards and 2.38 blocks per night, while Enes Kanter adds 13.5 points and 9.9 boards per outing. 

LA averages 106.1 PPG and it concedes 110. Brook Lopez averages 11.6 points and 3.9 boards per game. Lonzo Ball adds 10.2 points, 7.1 boards and 7.1 assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that New York is just 5-7 ATS already this year off an upset win as an underdog and 0-2 ATS after playing three consecutive road games, while LA is 6-1 ATS this season after a win by ten points or more and 2-0 ATS after allowing 90 points or less.

I like this hungry home side to avenge the OT setback in The Big Apple and I expect New York to once again return to mediocrity after its latest road victory.

Play on the Lakers.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Milwaukee Bucks (7:35 EST).

I base my selections on many things. For this particular one, I simply feel that it sets up extremely well for the Bucks.

Milwaukee has been scuffling of late, loser of seven of its last ten, including a 106-101 setback at home to Miami as a 4.5 point favorite in its most recent action. This is an important stretch for the Bucks, who currently sit in third in the Central, one game behind Indiana for second and only four back of the Cavaliers for the lead. With upcoming home contests against Phoenix and Brooklyn, a nice little three-game win skein would go a long way in turning the tables in the division standings.

And for Philadelphia, there’s no doubt that this sets up as a natural letdown spot after back-to-back wins over Toronto and at Boston respectively. And with a game at Memphis on Sunday, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side in some small way getting caught looking ahead.

Additionally I’ll point out that Milwaukee is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 105 points or more in its previous outing, while Philadelphia is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after two or more SU/ATS victories.

For all the reasons listed above, play on Milwaukee.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Cleveland Cavaliers (3:35 EST).

The Thunder look poised for a letdown in my opinion after winning three straight, most recently a 114-90 victory over the Lakers at home on Wednesday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck still for the Cavs who finally broke a four-game slide with a tight 104–103 win over Orlando at home on Thursday.

These teams split a pair of games last year, with each winning on its own floor.

OKC averages 104.3 PPG and it concedes 100.8. Russell Westbrook averages 24.8 points 9.7 boards, 9.9 assists and 2.02 steals per game, while Paul George averages 20.4 points, 5.5 boards and 2.21 steals per game. 

The Cavs average 109.4 points and concede 108.6 per outing. LeBron James leads the nightly charge with 27 points, eight boards and 8.7 assists, while Kevin Love adds 19 points and 9.6 boards per game. Cleveland is loaded with talent that’s still trying to find a way to work together.

LeBron is going to be especially motivated here facing off against George and Carmelo Anthony though. And with two nights off before a home game against the lowly Nets, it’s also not too hard to imagine the visitors in some small way also getting caught looking ahead to that much more “winnable” contest. 

I’m banking on a Cleveland coming out and playing a full four quarters tonight. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Washington Wizards (8:05 EST).

The 25-20 Washington Wizards are in Detroit to take on the 22-21 Pistons and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Washington most recently fell 133-109 at Charlotte on Wednesday, while Detroit enters having lost three of its last four, most recently a 96-91 setback at Toronto on Wednesday. 

But if recent history is any precedence, then the Wizards have to be liking their chances for a bounce back performance tonight, because they’ve already dominated this series so far this season, winning 115-111 on October 20th and 109-91 on December 1st. 

Wizards’ starters Brad Beal and John Wall played limited minutes in the blowout loss to the Hornets. Washington has been struggling defensively of late, but overall it’s been adequate in that department, allowing 105.3 PPG, which ranks 13th.

The Pistons opened the 2017/18 campaign by going 14-6, but since then they’ve gone just 8-15. Reggie Jackson has missed the last ten games and Detroit has gone just 3-7 in that stretch. Backup Ish Smith was 1 of 12 from the field and had 3 points in the loss to the Raptors.

Detroit averages 102.1 PPG and it concedes 101.7. Andre Drummond was a standout in the loss to Toronto, finishing with 25 points and 17 boards. 

I’ll point out though that the Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last four following a straight-up loss of more than ten points, while Detroit is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 92 points or less in its previous outing.

The Pistons have talent, but they’re banged up right now. Washington’s consistency levels have been all over the map of late, but this is a series that it’s dominated in and I expect that trend to continue here. Play on the Wizards.

Good luck….Larry

My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the under 76ers/Celtics (7:05 EST).

Philadelphia comes in on top form as it most recently beat Toronto 117-111 at home on Monday, its fifth win in its last six games. 

Boston will look to return to form after it fell 116-113 in OT at home to New Orleans to snap its seven game win skein. 

These teams have played three times this year and Boston has so far taken all of them, including a 114-103 victory in the most recent in London last week.

Philadelphia averages 108.6 PPG and it concedes 108.2. Ben Simmons averages 16.8 points, eight boards, 7.3 assists and 1.92 steals per game. Big man Joel Embiid averages 23.8 points, 10.8 boards and 1.94 blocks per outing.

Boston averages 103.2 PPG and it concedes just 98.1. Kyrie Irving leads the nightly charge with 24.1 points, five assists and 1.21 steals per game, while Al Horford adds 13.4 points, 7.9 boards and 5.3 assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in four of seven already this year following a divisional contest, while Boston has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of nine already this year against division opponents and in five of eight off an upset loss as a favorite.

I expect these divisional foes to battle tough and for this one to finally fall below the posted number once it’s all said and done. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Chicago Bulls (8:05 EST).

Golden State looks poised for a bit of a mental letdown here in my opinion after winning three straight, including at Boston and most recently a 118-108 victory at Cleveland on Monday.

The Bulls will look to take advantage as they come in “flying under the radar,” having won three straight, most recently an impressive 119-111 victory over Miami on Monday. 

Not surprisingly, this is a “revenge” game for Chicago after it was trounced 143-94 in Golden State in late November.

Golden State averages 115.9 PPG and it concedes 106.8. Stephen Curry leads the team with 27.6 points, plus 5.6 assists per game, while Kevin Durant adds 26.4 points, 6.9 boards and 5.3 assists per night. 

Justin Holiday had 25 points in Chicago’s latest victory. The Bulls average 102.8 PPG and concede 108.3. Lauri Markkanen leads the nightly charge with 15.5 points and 7.6 boards per game.

I’ll point out as well that Golden State is just 8-9 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU wins and only 9-11 ATS against clubs with losing records, while Chicago is a perfect 6-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU victories and 14-7 ATS against teams with winning records.

With a game at Houston on Friday night, it’s not too hard to imagine the Warriors also in some small way getting caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent this evening.

While I’m stopping short in calling for the outright upset, the conditions are definitely right for a competitive battle. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* ODDSMAKERS ERROR is on the Detroit Pistons (7:35 EST).

Detroit comes in hungry after losing its second straight, most recently a 118-107 setback at home to Charlotte on Monday. 

The Raptors come in off their third loss in their last four games, falling 117-111 in Philadelphia in their most recent action.

Detroit averages 102.4 PPG and it concedes 101.9. Reggie Bullock and Tobias Harris each had 20 points in the loss to Charlotte. Harris leads the team with 18.2 points plus 5.2 boards per game.

Toronto averages 112.3 PPG and it concedes 104.6. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 25.4 points and five assists per game. DeRozan had 24 points in the setback to the Warriors.

I’ll point out though that Detroit has excelled in this spot for bettors all year by going 6-3 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Toronto has struggled in this position by going just 3-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite.

Both teams are hungry and clearly the Raptors are the deeper and more talented overall squad. The Pistons won’t be going down without a fight today though. I’m going to stop short in calling for the outright upset victory, but the conditions and the stats point to a highly competitive affair. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Orlando Magic (7:05 EST).

I think the Wolves have a letdown here. Minnesota comes in having won five straight, most recently a 120-103 victory over Portland on Sunday. Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the home side as the Magic enter having lost seven straight, most recently a 125-119 setback to Washington on Friday.

This is definitely a “revenge” game as well, as the Wolves have taken three straight in the series, including a 124-118 win at home in the first meeting this year back on November 22nd.

Minnesota comes in averaging 108.8 PPG, while conceding 104.7. Big man Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.2 points, plus 12 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins adds 17.7 and 4.1 respectively.

The Magic average 105.2 PPG, while conceding 111.1. Evan Fournier is on the trading block now and he comes in averaging 17.6 per night, while Aaron Gordon adds a team-leading 18.8 points and eight boards.

With a game at Houston on Wednesday night, it’s also not too hard to imagine the Wolves in some small way getting caught looking ahead to that conference matchup.

While I’m stopping short in calling for the outright upset, I do think that the conditions are right for an extremely competitive affair and as such, I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in the end.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is the under Warriors/Cavs (8:05 EST).

The 35-9 Golden State Warriors are in Cleveland to take on the 25-16 Cavaliers and for a number of different reasons, I think this has defensive battle written all over it.

Golden State comes in off a thrilling 127-125 win at Toronto, while Cleveland enters having lost seven of ten, including three straight after coughing up a 22-point lead in a 97-95 road setback at Indiana on Friday.

If recent history is any precedence, then we should absolutely expect a very defensive battle this evening, because when these teams met on X-Mas Day, it was the Warriors that held on for the lower-scoring 99-92 victory at home.

Golden State averages 115.8 PPG and it concedes 109.2. Stephen Curry leads the team with 27.8 points and 6.5 assists per game, while Kevin Durant adds 26.2 points and 7.0 boards per contest.

Cleveland averages 110.2 PPG and it concedes 108.5. LeBron James leads the nightly charge with 27.1 points, 8.8 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.1 blocks per game. 

Isaiah Thomas wasn’t brought into defend anybody for Cleveland, as he’s known for his offensive prowess. However, it will still take some time for Thomas to return to his MVP like form.

Revenge is a powerful motivating factor for teams. The Cavs got knocked out of the Finals in five games by the Warriors last year and they’ve already suffered the X-Mas day setback as well to Golden State. 

The Warriors have been playing at a very high level, but their near second half collapse against the Raptors in their latest action (after having such a big lead at half time) is evidence of fatigue.

I’ll point out as well that Golden State has seen the total go under the number in ten of 18 non-conference games already this year, while Cleveland has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of 18 this season against clubs with winning records.

All signs point to another battle from start to finish between these heated foes. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the Portland Trailblazers (9:05 EST).

Portland will be hungry here as it enters off its second straight loss, a 119-113 setback at suddenly surging New Orleans on Friday. 

Conversely, this sets up as a letdown spot in my opinion for the Wolves, who come in contented after four straight victories, most recently a 118-108 win over the Knicks on Friday. 

Note that this is a revenge game for the Blazers as well after they fell 108-107 in the first meeting in mid December.

Portland averages 103.7 PPG and it concedes 102.8. Damian Lillard leads the nightly charge with 24.9 points and 6.4 assists per game, while CJ McCollum adds 21.6 points.

Minnesota averages 108.5 PPG and it concedes 104.7. Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.2 points and 12 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins adds 17.7 points and 4.1 boards per contest.

I’ll point out though that Portland is 4-2 ATS against the division already this season, also 13-8 ATS on the road and 7-6 ATS in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Minnesota is just 5-6 ATS this year after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest.

For all the reasons listed above, grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Toronto Raptors (7:35 EST).

Golden State and Cleveland have both looked susceptible of late. The Warriors enter off a tough game in Milwaukee just last night, so clearly fatigue is going to be a factor for the defending champs.

But this play is based primarily on the surging Toronto Raptors, who play with revenge today after falling 117-112 in Golden State in late October. 

Toronto also played with revenge most recently when it annihilated the Cavaliers 133-99 at home on Thursday. 

The Warriors average 115.7 PPG and concede 106.6. Kevin Durant averages 26.3 points, seven boards and 5.3 assists per game. 

The Raptors average 112.1 PPG and concede 103.7. DeMar DeRozan has been unstoppable of late, he comes in averaging 25 points and 5.1 assist per game. Fred VanVleet came off the bench to lead Toronto with 22 points in the victory over Cleveland. 

Golden State is just 1-2 ATS in its last three in the second game of a back-to-back, while Toronto is an awesome 7-0 ATS in its last seven when playing on one days rest.

Toronto is playing with a chip on its shoulder and its depth and confidence will simply be too much for the undermanned and exhausted Warriors to handle down the stretch. Play on the Raptors.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the New York Knicks (8:00 EST).

The Knicks are fighting right now, most recently falling 122-119 in doubly OT to the Bulls on Wednesday. It was their fourth loss in a row and clearly they’ll be eager to stop the slide. 

Conversely, this sets up as a classic letdown spot for the home side in my opinion after winning three straight, most recently a very satisfying 104-88 victory at home over OKC. 

New York averages 103.6 PPG and it concedes 104.3. Big man Kristaps Porzingis averages 23.7 points, 6.7 boards and 2.26 blocks per game, while Enes Kanter adds 13.4 points and 10.2 boards per contest. 

Minnesota averages 108.3 PPG and it concedes 104.7. Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.2 points and 11.9 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins chips in 17.8 points plus 4.1 boards per contest.

I’ll point out though that New York has excelled in this spot for bettors all year, going 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest (it’s also 12-8 ATS in its last 20 off an upset loss as a favorite), while Minnesota has struggled in this position by going just 3-11 ATS in non-conference contests this season and only 9-12 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

I’m not predicting an outright upset, but the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

Grab the points, play on New York.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Indiana Pacers (7:05 EST).

The Cavaliers are in a tail-spin right now, coming in having gone 4-7 in their last 11 after last night’s brutal setback in Toronto. Cleveland has now lost back-to-back games by more than 20 points. This is the finale of a five game trip for the Cavs and suffice it to say, I’m expecting another letdown here.

Indiana had won two straight before falling 114-106 to Miami on Wednesday. 

The Cavs enter averaging 110.2 PPG, while conceding 108.2. LeBron James averages 27.2 points, 8.2 boards and nine assists per game, while Kevin Love adds 19.4 points plus 9.6 boards per contest.

The Pacers average 107.3 PPG and concede 106.8. Victor Oladipo is back from injury and he averages 24.6 points, 5.3 boards, 1.94 steals and 2.24 blocks per game, while Myles Turner adds 13.9 points plus 6.5 boards.

I’ll point out that Cleveland is now 0-5 ATS in its last five road games against teams with winning home records, while Indiana is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 112 points or more in its previous contest.

This is a big game for the Pacers, who will look to close a five game home stand with a win before hitting the road. The Cavs on the other hand can’t help themselves looking ahead to their next home stand after this dismal road trip. Play on Indiana.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Washington Wizards (7:05 EST).

The 12-30 Orlando Magic are in Washington to take on the 23-18 Wizards and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Orlando comes in having lost six straight, while the Wizards will be eager to get back on track after falling to an undermanned Utah team at home in their latest action.

But if recent history is any precedence, then Washington has to be liking its chances for a big time bounce back, because when these teams first met this year, it was the Wiz that pulled away for the convincing 130–103 victory.

Orlando is struggling without Nikol Vucevic in the line-up, who is out until late February with a hand injury. The Magic average 104.9 PPG, while conceding 110.8. Aaron Gordon leads the nightly charge with 18.9 points, plus 7.9 boards per game.

The Wizards average 106.4 PPG and concede 104.1. After winning four straight, Washington has now lost two straight. John Wall had 35 points and 11 assists in the loss to the Jazz.

I’ll point out though that the Magic are just 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and only 13-37-2 ATS in their last 52 following an ATS win, while the Wiz are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 12 when playing at home in this particular series.

The Wizards get untracked with a big effort against an Orlando team that seems destined to grab one of next year’s top draft picks. Lay the points, play on Washington.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Toronto Raptors (8:05 EST).

Cleveland has lost five of its last seven, most recently a 127-99 setback on the road in Minnesota on Monday. 

The Raptors come in off only their second home loss of the season in a 90-89 setback to Miami on Tuesday, as they got caught “looking ahead” to this one against the Cavs.

To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Cavs have knocked out the Raptors from the playoffs the last two years straight and took three of four regular season meetings last year.

Cleveland averages 110.5 PPG and it concedes 107.7. LeBron James averages 27.6 points, 8.2 boards and 9.2 assists per game, while Kevin Love adds 19.8 points and 9.8 boards per contest.

Toronto averages 111.5 PPG and it concedes just 103.8. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 25.3 points and five assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that the Cavs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record, while Toronto is amazingly 6-0 ATS in its last six when playing on one or less day rest.

As much as the Cavs would like to “get up” for this one, the situation just does not favor them at all here. Toronto has been the cream of the crop in the Eastern Conference over the last month (minus its last game against a red hot Miami team) and I believe it finds a way to get the job done in front of the home town crowd.

Play on the Raptors.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Detroit Pistons (7:30 EST).

The Pistons will be hungry here as they lost for the third time in their last four tries in a tight 112-109 setback at New Orleans on Monday. 

The Nets enter off back-to-back losses, falling 114-113 in OT to Toronto on Monday. 

Detroit averages 101.9 PPG and it concedes 101.9 as well. Tobias Harris leads the nightly charge with 18.4 points plus 5.3 boards per game, while Avery Bradley adds 15.4 points. 

Brooklyn averages 106.6 PPG and it concedes 108.8. The Nets are led by Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, who averages 14.6 PPG. 

I’ll point out though that Detroit has performed extremely well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 100 points or more in its previous outing, while New Jersey has struggled in this position by going just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games against a team with a losing road record. 

Detroit remains in the playoff hunt and to remain in the thick of it, it needs to win the games that it’s “supposed” too. Detroit is deeper and I think it’s superior defensive play proves to be too much for the Nets to handle down the stretch. 

Lay the points, play on the Pistons.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Miami Heat (7:00 EST).

Miami comes in off a hard-fought 90-89 win at Toronto last night and I believe the team carries that momentum over here. Indiana has won two straight, most recently a 109-96 effort at home over Milwaukee. Note that these teams have already split a pair of games this year.

The Heat are now 8-3 in their last 11 and have won five straight. Miami is surging, now in fifth in the East with an 11-8 road record and a 14-8 mark against the Eastern Conference overall. 

Miami averages 100.9 PPG and it concedes 102.2. Hassan Whiteside is once again putting together a solid campaign with 14 points and 11.5 boards per game. Guard Goran Dragic adds 16.7 points, 4.1 boards and 4.8 assists per game, while Dion Watiers chips in 14.3 points. 

The Pacers average 107.3 PPG and concede 106.6. Victor Oladipo leads the team with 24.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.91 steals per game. 

Miami is now 11-8 ATS on the road this year and 4-1 ATS in its last five after allowing 90 points or less in its previous contest, while Indiana is just 4-7 ATS already this season following a win by ten points or more.

I’m expecting another nail-biter for the Heat in this one and will therefore be recommending to grab the points. Play on Miami.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Dallas Mavericks (7:00 EST).

Dallas smoked Orlando at home 114-99 last night and I believe the team will carry that momentum over here.

Conversely, this sets up as a classic “letdown” spot for Charlotte, which returns for its first home game after a very satisfying 3-1 Western road swing, including knocking off the Lakers 108-94 last Friday. 

Note that this is a big time revenge game for the Mavs after the Hornets took both meetings last season.

Dallas averages 102 PPG and it concedes 104.4. Harrison Barnes leads the nightly charge with 18.7 points, plus 6.6 boards per game, while Dennis Smith Jr. adds 13.8 points and 4.5 assists.

Charlotte averages 105 PPG and it concedes 106. Kemba Walker leads the team with 21.3 points and 5.8 assists per game, while big man Dwight Howard adds 15.7 points, plus 12.1 boards per contest. 

I’ll point out though Dallas is 10-9 ATS on the road already this year and 17-12 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Charlotte is already 0-3 ATS this year when playing with three or more days rest and just 3-5 ATS after a victory by ten points or more.

While I’m not going to call for the outright upset (I wouldn’t be shocked by it of course!), I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as I expect this one to be a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. Play on Dallas.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Lakers (10:35 EST).

LA snapped a nine-game slide with a resounding 132-113 victory over Atlanta (Lonzo Ball’s second game back from injury, the dynamic point guard narrowly missing out on a triple-double) and suffice it to say, I expect the team to carry that momentum over here. Note as well that this is a revenge game for the Lakers after they fell 113-102 to the Kings in mid November. 

The Kings come in off a 107-100 loss in San Antonio just last night and all signs do indeed point to a predictable letdown here.

So far Sacramento averages just 97.6 PPG, while conceding 106.2. De’Aaron Fox averages 9.9 points, 2.8 boards and 3.8 assists per game. 

LA averages 107 PPG and concedes 111.8. Brook Lopez leads the nightly charge with 12.5 points, plus 4.2 boards per game. Ball averages 10.2 points, 6.9 boards and seven assists per game.

I’ll point out as well that Sacramento is 0-4 ATS in its last four against teams with a losing straight up record and just 1-5 ATS in its last six against the Western Conference, while LA is 3-1 ATS in its last four after scoring 130 points or more in its previous contest.

Sacramento is dealing with injury issues and is playing the second game of a back to back. After an extended stretch of futility, the last thing the Lakers can do is to “look past” this golden opportunity. Expect a similar game-plan for LA as what it featured in its win over the Hawks as its gets out and pushes the pace with its trademark run and gun style. Lay the points, play on the Lakers.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* SHOOTOUT OF THE MONTH is on the OVER between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Minnesota Timberwolves (8:05 EST).

Cleveland comes in off a 131-127 road win over Orlando on Saturday, while Minnesota snapped a two-game slide with a 116-98 victory at home over New Orleans on Saturday. 

Clearly the Wolves will be looking to build off that win and get a little redemption here, as Cleveland has won six straight in the series, including both games last year. 

The Cavs come in averaging 110.5 PPG, while allowing 107.7. LeBron James leads the way with 27.6 points, 8.2 boards and 9.1 assists per game, while Kevin Love adds 19.8 points plus 9.8 boards per contest. Note that Cleveland is second in the NBA in made threes with 12.5 per night.

The Wolves average 108 PPG and concede 105.2. Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.2 points plus 11.9 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins adds 17.6 points plus four rebounds. 

I’ll point out that Cleveland has seen the total go over the number in six of seven already this season after allowing 115 points or more, while Minnesota has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of ten when playing the role of underdog.

I expect these non-conference opponents to push the pace from start to finish and for this one to fly over as it comes down the stretch.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Phoenix Suns (8:05 EST).

The Thunder won their second straight with a 127-117 victory over the Clippers on Thursday. The Suns enter having lost two straight, most recently a 103-89 setback in San Antonio on Friday. 

Note that these teams have yet to play this year, but they’d split four match ups last season with the home side winning each time.

The Thunder average 104.9 PPG and concede 100.8. Russell Westbrook leads the nightly charge with 24.8 points, 9.6 boards, ten assists and 2.03 steals per game, while Paul George adds 20.6 points, 5.5 boards and 2.44 steals per game. 

The Suns average 105.5 PPG and concede 112.4. Devin Booker leads the way with 24.8 points, plus 4.3 assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that OKC is just 1-2 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog and only 6-9 ATS against teams with losing records, while Phoenix is already 8-6 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more.

With a home game against Portland on Tuesday, it’s not too hard to imagine the surging visitors in some small way looking past their lowly opponent tonight. Play on the Suns.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PEFECT STORM is on the Sacramento Kings (10:05 EST).

The 20-17 Denver Nuggets are in Sacramento to take on the 12-25 Kings and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

No need to overthink this one in my opinion. Denver comes to town off a very satisfying 99-91 win at home over Utah just last night and faces a now desperate Sacramento side which comes in having lost three straight and which also plays with revenge after falling to Denver 114-98 in late November.

The Kings have had three whole nights off to rest and prepare for this one as well. 

Additionally I’ll point out that Sacramento is 8-2 ATS in its last ten when playing with three or more days rest and already 8-7 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest, while Denver is only 8-10 ATS this year against teams with losing records and just 1-2 ATS against good offensive teams which score 98 plus points per contest.

It’s a perfect storm of situational factors working in favor of the lowly home side today and while I obviously wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Kings.

Good luck…Larry

My 9* O/U Oddsmaker’s Error is on the over Cavaliers/Magics (7:05 EST).

Cleveland comes to town angry after its listless 102-88 setback at Boston on Wednesday. Here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against as Orlando was most recently crushed 116-98 at home to the Rockets. Note that the Cavs actually play with revenge here tonight as well after they fell 114-93 at home to the Magic at the beginning of the season.

Cleveland averages 109.9 PPG and it concedes 107.2. LeBron James leads the way with 27.5 points, 8.1 boards and 9.1 assists per game, while Kevin Love adds 19.6 points plus ten boards per contest.

The Magic average 104.5 PPG and concede 110.2. Nikola Vucevic averages 17.4 points, plus 9.3 boards per game. Vucevic is out, but I still believe that the hungry home side will keep this one competitive.

Additionally I’ll point out that Cleveland has seen the total go over the number in 11 of 16 already this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and in six of nine when playing with two days rest, while Orlando has seen the total go over the number in eight of 14 already this season after three or more consecutive SU losses and in five of seven when the total in the contest is greater than or equal to 220 points.

I expect a wide open affair and for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Milwaukee Bucks (8:05 EST).

Toronto enters off a 124-115 road win in Chicago on Wednesday, while Milwaukee won for the third time in four games in a 122-101 victory over Indiana on Wednesday. 

To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement, as Toronto has won eight of the last nine, including a 131-127 OT victory at home in the most recent matchup just this past Monday.

Toronto averages 111.6 PPG and concedes 103.8. DeMar DeRozan averages 25.2 points, plus five assists per game, while Kyle Lowry adds 16.2 points, plus 6.1 boards per contest.

Milwaukee averages 105.9 PPG and concedes 105.8. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the way with 29.1 points, 10.4 boards, 4.7 assists, 1.32 blocks and 1.65 steals per game. Eric Bledsoe is so far averaging 17.9 points, plus 4.3 assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that Toronto is still just 6-8 ATS this year against teams with winning records, while Milwaukee is 9-6 ATS against clubs with winning records this season and 6-4 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest. 

The Raptors have been playing exceptionally, but I think they run out of gas here vs. this revenge minded Bucks team. Grab the points, play on Milwaukee.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Minnesota Timberwolves (7:05 EST).

Minnesota comes into this one focused after its 98-97 road loss in Brooklyn on Wednesday, while Boston looks primed for a letdown here against this non-conference opponent and after winning four straight, including a decisive 102-88 victory at home over Cleveland in its most recent action.

The Wolves enter averaging 108.4 PPG, while conceding 105.7. Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.1 points, plus 11.5 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins adds 17.7 points, plus four boards per contest.

The Celtics average 103.4 PPG and concede just 98.2. Kyrie Irving leads the team with 24.4 points, 4.9 assists and 1.23 steals per game.

Note though that Minnesota is 2-1 ATS in its last three off an upset loss as a favorite, while Boston is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 after playing three consecutive home games. 

With a “winnable” game at Brooklyn tomorrow night, this also sets up as a bit of a “look ahead” spot for the home side as well.

While I obviously wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, I’m going to grab the points as I envision this one coming right down to the wire. Play on Minnesota.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the under Raptors/Bulls (8:05 EST).

The 25-10 Toronto Raptors are in Chicago to take on the 13-24 Bulls and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

The Raptors come in off back to back wins over the Hawks and Bucks, while the Bulls enter having dropped two straight to the Wizards and Blazers.

Toronto looks poised for a letdown here though after its epic 131-127 OT win over Milwaukee last time out, as DeMar DeRozan would explode for 52 points.

There’s no doubt that the effort took a lot out of DeRozan, who I think will be caught “looking ahead” to Friday night and the rematch in Milwaukee. 

Chicago will look to take advantage and to try to avoid a three-game losing streak. But the Bulls also come in off an exhausting affair, falling 124-120 in OT to the Blazers on Monday.

I’ll point out that the Raptors have seen the total go under the number in four of six already this year after allowing 115 points or more, while the Bulls have seen the total dip below the posted number in six of nine in the same position.

For all the reasons listed above, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the New York Knicks (7:35 EST).

The Spurs’ three-game win streak was snapped in a listless 93-79 setback in Detroit on Saturday night and suffice it to say, I believe this one sets up as a letdown spot as well.

The Knicks will look to take advantage and build off a solid 105-103 road win over New Orleans, a victory which broke a four-game slide. 

Note that this is a revenge game for New York as well after it fell 119-107 in the first matchup this year back on December 28th. 

San Antonio averages 101.2 PPG and concedes just 98.1 (ranked first.) Kawhi Leonard returned in December, but he’s so far struggled, averaging 13.5 points and 3.5 boards per game. LaMarcus Aldridge has carried the Spurs on his back for the most part this year with 22 points per night average.

New York averages 103.6 PPG and concedes 103.7. Kristaps Porzingis averages 24.5 points, 6.7 boards and 2.23 blocks a night, while Enes Kanter chips in 13.5 points, plus 10.3 boards per game. 

I’ll point out that San Antonio is just 3-5 ATS this year though when playing with two days rest and only 2-3 ATS this season off an upset loss as a favorite, while New York is 4-3 ATS when playing on two days rest and 5-4 ATS off an upset win as an underdog.

Outright, straight-up upset? Obviously with a spread like this, that’s not out of the question. However, in a contest which I envision being decided late, I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can in the end.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Orlando Magic (7:30 EST).

The Magic will be hungry here, they come in off a 117-111 loss at home to the Heat on Saturday, their tenth loss in their last 11 games. 

But here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against as the Nets come in off a deflating 108-105 loss in Boston just last night.

Orlando averages 104.8 PPG and concedes 110.2. Nikola Vucevic leads the team with 17.4 points, plus 9.3 boards per game. Vucevic though is out with inury.

Brooklyn averages 107.5 PPG and concedes 110 per contest. D’Angelo Russell leads the team with 20.9 points and 5.7 assists per game. But Russell remains out with injury as well.

Yesterday was the finale of a five-game trip for the Nets and there’s no question that this now sets up as a classic “letdown/trap” for the home side.

Additionally note that Orlando is 2-1 ATS in its last three after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest, while Brooklyn just 6-8 ATS this season against clubs with losing records.

While I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Magic.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Lakers (7:00 EST).

LA won’t be lacking for motivation tonight as it’s lost five straight, including getting thrashed in the last three.

Here’s the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as Houston comes in floundering, having lost five straight. 

The Lakers have lost eight of their last nine, but their one victory was a 122-116 win over Houston on the road. LA most recently dropped a 121-106 decision to the Clippers. One bright spot was the fact that the Lakers posted 70 points in the paint.

Will the Rockets get caught “looking past” the lowly Lakers tonight? I think it’s very possible, with a couple days off before another road game, this time in Orlando. Houston most recently comes in off a 121-103 loss to Washington, shooting just 42.7 percent, including only 14 of 48 from range. James Harden was a bright spot in that one with 20 points, but no rebounds to go along with four assists and five turnovers. Note that big man Clint Cappella has missed the last two games and he’s questionable for this one as well.

Additionally I’ll point out that the Lakers are 10-5 ATS this year against teams with winning records and 7-5 ATS after allowing 115 points or more, while Houston is 1-2 ATS this season after a loss by ten points or more and 0-4 ATS as a home fav in the 12.5 to 18 points range. 

Clearly Houston is the better team. But the desperate Lakers are in a good position to keep this one competitive and that’s exactly what I expect to see happen. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* UNDERDOG SUPER-SHOCKER is on the Philadelphia 76ers (9:05 EST).

Philadelphia will be desperate here as it comes in having lost six of its last seven. Here’s a great opponent to get untracked against, as I believe Denver has another letdown after its three game win streak was snapped in a tough OT loss to Minnesota in its latest action.

Joel Embiid had 29 points in his team’s 114-110 loss at Portland. The 76ers had an 18 point lead mid-way through the third quarter, but they then completely fell apart in the fourth. Embiid won’t be playing in tonight, but I still believe this one favors the hungry visiting side.

The Nuggets looked decent during their three-game win streak, but they came unravelled in their latest action. Denver has four different players that score in double digits, but I’ll point out that the Nuggets are just 3-5 ATS this year after scoring 115 points or more and only 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.

The 76ers on the other hand are 10-8 ATS in non-conference contests this season and 3-1 ATS after playing three consecutive road games.

With a four day layoff after tonight’s game, I think the home side gets caught “looking ahead.” 

Philadelphia though can take nothing for granted, with another game in Phoenix tomorrow night.

In a contest which I envision being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the LA Lakers (10:35 EST).

The 14-19 Clippers get ready to battle the 11-22 Lakers on Friday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the Lakers.

The Clippers enter off a satisfying 122-95 win over the Kings on Friday, while the Lakers come in off a 109-99 setback at hime to Memphis. Note that this is a double revenge scenario for the Lakers as well, with the Clippers taking both earlier meetings, 108-92 and 115-112. 

The Clippers have been playing better, learning how to win without Blake Griffin in the line-up, but he could very well return tonight. I think that’s going to throw a monkey-wrench into the overall timing/chemistry that the Clippers have found of late without Griffin in the line-up. DeAndre Jordan has picked up the slack in Griffin’s absence, so far leading the NBA with an average of 15.2 RPG. So far the Clippers average 105 PPG and concede 106.

The Lakers average 106.3 PPG and concede 109.8. Brandon Ingram led the way in the team’s latest setback with 23 points. 

I’ll point out though that the Clippers are just 1-3 ATS already this year after scoring 115 points or more in their previous contest, while the Lakers are 12-9 ATS this season trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

I think the Lakers are the much “hungrier” overall team here and I look for them to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Grab the points, play on the Lakers.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Minnesota Timberwolves (8:00 EST).

The Wolves took care of business in a tight 128-125 win at home over the Nuggets last night and I look for the team to carry that momentum over here.

The Bucks have lost two straight, most recently a 115-106 setback at home to the surging Chicago Bulls. 

Now that Minnesota sits in first in the Northwest, the Wolves will be looking to protect their lead. So far Minnesota averages 108.4 PPG and concedes 106.3. Big man Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.5 points and 11.6 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins adds 17.5 points, plus four boards per contest. 

Milwaukee averages 105.2 PPG and concedes 105.8. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 29.5 points, 10.4 boards, 4.6 assists, 1.4 blocks and 1.8 steals per game. Malcolm Bledsoe has chipped in 13.1 points per contest. 

I’ll point out though that Minnesota is 10-6 ATS on the road this year, while Milwaukee is just 6-8 ATS at home (also only 7-9 ATS as a favorite, while the Wolves are 5-3 ATS this season as the underdog.)

The Wolves have been playing/travelling a lot, but I think this young core comes in focused on the task at hand and finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on Minnesota.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Atlanta Hawks (7:35 EST).

Washington looks primed for a letdown here in my opinion after winning its second straight, a 111-103 road win in Boston on Christmas Day. 

Atlanta on the other hand snapped a two game losing streak with a 112-107 win at home over the Mavericks. 

To say this is a “revenge” game for the Hawks would be an understatement, as Washington has won four straight in the series, including a 113-94 victory in the first meeting this year back in mid November. 

Washington averages 105.8 PPG and concedes 103.6. Guard John Wall averages 18.6 points and 8.8 assists per game. 

The Hawks average 103.8 PPG and concede 108.7. Dennis Schroder leads the nightly charge with 19.8 points, plus 6.7 assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that Washington has really struggled in this spot for bettors, going just 2-5 ATS off an upset win as an underdog and only 7-11 ATS against teams with losing records, while Atlanta is already 2-0 ATS this year after playing with three or more days rest and 6-4 ATS following a non-conference game.

I think the Wiz leave the back door open just enough for the hungry Hawks to sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Dallas Mavericks (7:05 EST).

The Raptors look primed for a letdown here in my opinion after winning six straight, most recently sweeping a home and home set against the 76ers.

The Mavs enter having lost two straight, most recently a 112-107 setback on the road in Atlanta on Saturday. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement as well, as Toronto has won four straight and seven of nine, including both match ups last year. 

Toronto averages 111.3 PPG and concedes just 102.4. DeMar DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 24.9 points and 4.9 assists per game, while big man Jonas Valanciunas averages 10.6 points and 7.7 boards per outing. 

Dallas averages 100 PPG and concedes 103.2. Harrison Barnes leads the team with 18.7 points and 6.8 boards per game, while Dennis Smith Jr. adds 13.8 points and 4.2 assists per game.

I’ll point out though that Toronto is still just 20-21 ATS in its last 41 after allowing 90 points of less in its previous outing, while Dallas is 12-8 ATS this year against teams with winning records.

With a game tomorrow night in OKC, I think the visitors get caught looking ahead and while I wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Mavericks.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Minnesota Timberwolves (10:35 EST).

The Wolves come in with considerable momentum, having won three straight, most recently a 115-106 road victory over Phoenix on Saturday. 

The Lakers enter off back-to-back losses, most recently a listless 95-92 setback at home to Portland on Saturday. 

Minnesota averages 108 PPG and concedes 106.3. Karl-Anthony Towns averages 20.5 points, plus 11.7 boards per game. Jimmy Butler had 32 points in the Wolves most recent victory. 

LA averages 106.6 PPG and concedes 109.4. Big man Brook Lopez averages 12.8 points plus 4.3 boards per game. 

I’ll point out though that Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last six on the road, while LA is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after allowing 95 points or less in its previous contest.

These two teams are moving in opposite directions right now. The Wolves have won their first two games of this three game trip and now have a two game lead in the Northwest. 

I like Minnesota to finish up its road trip strong and to take advantage of the scuffling Lakers. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (8:05 EST).

The 25-6 Houston Rockets are at Oklahoma City to take on the 18-15 Thunder and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Rockets come into this one on the heels of a two game slide, giving up 122 and 128 points to the Lakers and Clippers respectively. 

One has to wonder here how much gas Houston star James Harden left in him after back-to-back 51 point performances?

Houston’s defense looked terrible in the loss to the Clippers and that doesn’t bode well in facing this rejuvenated Thunder team in my opinion. 

OKC has won four straight and ten of its last 13 and quietly comes in as arguably the hottest team in the NBA right now. 

Do it all All Star Russell Westbrook had 27 points, ten boards and ten assists in the Thunder’s most recent win over the Jazz. Paul George also had a huge game in that one, finishing with 27 points, ten boards and ten assists. 

But perhaps most impressively was the Thunder’s defense, which limited Utah to just 89 points (note that it was the third time in OKC’s last four games that it’s held an opponent to under 100 points.) 

These two teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and I expect those trends to continue on Christmas night. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the Boston Celtics (5:35 EST).

The 18-15 Washington Wizards are in Boston on Christmas Day to take on the 27-9 Celtics and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

Washington has won four of its last six, but looks primed for a letdown here in my opinion after it’s lop-sided 130-103 win over Orlando on Saturday. Mike Scott led the way in that one with 17 points off the bench, while Bradley Beal added 17 points. 

The C’s have won three of their last five, most recently smashing Chicago 117-92 on Saturday. Team leader Kyrie Irving led the way with 25 points and seven assists in that one. 

I’ll point out though that the home teams is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 in this series, while Washington is 0-9 ATS in its last nine visits overall to Boston. 

Boston has been near impossible to beat at home, winning 14 of 18 so far and on Christmas Day on the national stage in prime time, I look for the Celtics to play a complete four quarters. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* EAST-CONF GAME OF MONTH is on the Philadelphia 76ers (5:05 EST).

Toronto is a pretty good team. But I don’t think it’s a “great team.” It’s hard to beat a team three times in the same season. The 76ers play with double revenge here, having dropped both earlier meetings against the Raptors this year, including a 114-109 setback in Philadelphia on Thursday.

In that game the 76ers had a 20 points lead early in the third quarter. DeMar DeRozan though had different ideas for the visiting Raptors, as he helped his team claw back for the victory with a career high 45 points. 

Philadelphia averages 108.6 PPG and concedes 109.4. Rookie phenom Ben Simmons averages 17.3 points, nine boards, 7.8 assists and two steals per game. 

Toronto averages 111.6 PPG and concedes 103. DeRozan leads the nightly charge with 24.7 points, plus 5.7 assists per game.

As mentioned off the top though, it’s very difficult even for great teams to beat a poor team three times in one season. 

Clearly the 76ers can’t “look past” Toronto to their Christmas Day matchup with the Knicks as they come in having lost four straight and eight of their last ten.

Could the Raptors get caught looking ahead to their Christmas break? Very possible of course. Toronto has won nine of ten, including five straight and two straight on the road. With a game in Dallas on Boxing Day, I do believe that the Raptors will finally have a letdown here against this extremely desperate 76ers side.

Whether big man Joel Embiid plays or not for Philadelphia, I like the visitors to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Situational Stunner is on the over Hawks/Thunder (8:05 EST).

The Hawks come in motivated as they’ve lost five of their last six, most recently a 105-95 setback to Indiana at home on Wednesday. 

OKC on the other hand has shown some signs of life of late with two straight wins, most recently an impressive 107-79 stomping of Utah on Wednesday. 

The Hawks average 103.1 PPG and concede 108.4. Dennis Schroeder leads the nightly charge with 19.4 points plus 6.7 assists per game, while Marco Belinelli adds 11.5 points and 2.2 assists per contest.

The Thunder average 102.1 PPG and concede just 99.5. Russell Westbrook had 24 points, ten boards, seven assists and four steals in his teams most recent victory.

Most figured that OKC would run teams off the court with their big three, but so far it’s been its defense which has done the job most nights. However the Thunder have looked better offensively of late and I expect that trend to carry over here as they get ready for a rematch in Utah tomorrow night as well.

Additionally I’ll point out that Atlanta has seen the total go over the number in nine of 15 already this year against teams with winning records, while OKC has seen the total eclipse the posted number in not surprisingly, seven of 13 this season against poor defensive clubs which allow 106-plus points per game.

For all the reasons listed above, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the New York Knicks (8:05 EST).

Boston comes in off a loss at home just last night to the Heat. The Celtics have been decent in the second game of back-to-back scenarios this year, but I think they’ll stumble again tonight against this revenge-minded Knicks side.

New York will be eager to get untracked after its four game win streak was snapped in a 109-91 road loss to Charlotte on Monday. And as mentioned off the top, the Knicks do indeed play with “the revenge factor” tonight after falling 110-89 in the first matchup this season in late October.

And with a much more “winnable” game at home against the Bulls on Saturday, before their Christmas Day matchup at home against the Wizards, it’s definitely not too hard to picture the visitors also getting caught “looking ahead.” 

New York on the other hand has a tough game at Detroit tomorrow night, before its Christmas Day game at home against Philadelphia. There’s no question that tonight’s contest takes on added importance.

I base my picks on many things, but this one sets up great from situational and scheduling stand points. 

New York is better at home (14-5 SU/ATS) than on the road and star Kristaps Porzingis is back in the line-up. Celtics coach Brad Stevens could very well give starters extra rest in the tail end of the back-to-back as well.

When you add it all up, all signs point to a comfortable ATS cover for the home side. Play on New York.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Minnesota Timberwolves (9:05 EST).

The 18-13 Minnesota Timberwolves are in Denver to take on the 16-14 Nuggets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Minnesota enters off a momentum building 108-107 win over the Blazers on Monday, while the Nuggets come in off a deflating 95-94 loss to OKC in their latest action. 

The Wolves are 6-4 in their last ten. Minnesota averages 107.6 PPG and concedes 106.4. Jimmy Butler exploded for 37 points and six boards in his teams latest victory.

The Nuggets average 107.4 PPG and concede 107.1. Garry Harris had 17 points in the road loss to the Thunder. 

I’ll point out that Minnesota is 4-1 ATS vs. division opponents already this year and 6-2 ATS when playing the role of underdog, while Denver is interestingly just 6-8 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106-plus points per contest and just 2-3 ATS against division opponents. 

While I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Wolves.

Good luck…Larry 

My 10* O/U Situational Stunner is on the under Cavs/Bucks (8:05 EST).

The Cavs enter off their fifth straight win after beating Washington 106-99 on the road on Sunday, while Milwaukee comes in on the other end of the spectrum, having lost three straight, most recently a 115-111 setback at Houston on Saturday. 

The Bucks will be eager to get off the schneid here and they’ll be extra motivated as they’ve lost five straight in this series, including both match ups this season.

Cleveland averages 111.1 PPG and concedes 107.1. LeBron James leads the nightly charge with 27.8 points, 8.5 boards and 9.3 assists per game.

Milwaukee averages 104.5 points and concedes 105 per game. Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the team with 29.8 points, 10.5 boards, 4.5 assist, 1.52 blocks and 1.85 steals per game. 

I’ll point out that Cleveland has seen the total go under the number in seven of 11 already this year against clubs with winning records and in nine of 13 after three or more consecutive victories, while Milwaukee has seen the total dip below the posted number in four of its last six after three or more consecutive losses. 

The last thing Milwaukee can do is turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to hang with the high-flying Cavs. This number is just a little high, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Utah Jazz (8:05 EST).

Houston has won 13 straight and has lost only four times this year. However, the Rockets are just 15-12-1 ATS. Utah has struggled overall this season, due mostly from injuries to key players, but I think it’ll keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door. 

The Jazz are injured, but they won’t be lacking for motivation tonight after dropping five of their last six, most recently a spirited 109-100 setback in Cleveland. Donovan Mitchell was a standout in that one with 26 points. 

Houston has been impressive, but I think it comes out flat-footed here finally as it hits a “vanilla” part of its schedule, with light weights Lakers and Clippers at home up next.

I’ll point out as well that Utah is still 4-1 ATS in its last five against the West, while perhaps surprisingly, the Rockets are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five overall. 

The Jazz have been playing without big man Rudy Gobert for a while now, but now the Rockets must also make an adjustment with center Clint Cappela out with injury. 

For all the reason listed above, play on the Jazz.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Washington Wizards (6:05 EST).

No need to overthink this one in my opinion. 

After a shaky start to the 2017/18 campaign, Cleveland comes in having won 17 of its last 18 after last night’s 109-100 victory over Utah. 

After Washington the Cavs have a tough one at Milwaukee on Tuesday, followed by a cream puff at home against the Bulls, which precedes their big Christmas Day matchup at Golden State. Off last night’s satisfying victory, I think Cleveland comes out flat-footed here.

Washington has won two straight and it’s going to be looking to keep the momentum rolling tonight. Note that the Wizards also play with revenge in this matchup after falling 130-122 to the Cavs back on November 3rd.

The Wizards look a lot better with star point guard John Wall back in the line-up and I believe his presence continues to pay dividends for Washington this evening. Play on the Wizards.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is on the under Clippers/Heat (8:05 EST).

LA comes in off a 100-91 road loss to Washington Friday, while Miami enters off a 104-98 road win over the Hornets last night. 

LA averages 105 PPG and concedes 106.7. Leading scorer Blake Griffin is out with injury, meaning that Lou Williams (20 points, 4.8 assists) will be leaned upon heavily until his return.

The Heat average just 100.3 PPG and concede just 102.7. Guard Goran Dragic averages 17.1 points, 4.1 boards and 4.4 assists per game. 

I’ll point out that LA has already seen the total go under the number in six of nine non-conference games this year and in eight of 13 on the road, while Miami has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of 11 non-conference games and in six of seven against teams with losing records (also in six of 11 home games.) 

No need to overthink this one. LA has done well without Griffin in the line-up, but his absence will be felt in the second game of the back-to-back. The Heat can defend and have troubles scoring and will also be “gassed” in the second game of hte back-to-back scenario. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Oddsmakers Error is on the under Jazz/Celtics (7:35 EST).

The 13-15 Utah Jazz are in Boston to take on the 24-6 Boston Celtics and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has defensive battle written all over it.

Utah’s six game win streak is a thing of the past as the team comes to town off four straight losses. During the six-game win steak the team averaged 115 PPG, but during the slide it’s managed just 98.7. 

Clearly the Jazz face an up-hill battle today as well in going up against the Celtic’s second ranked defense, a unit which holds opponents to under 98 PPG. 

The Bulls own the league’s second worst defense and Utah couldn’t even pass the century mark against them. 

Boston has split its last four games, so won’t be taking anything for granted here.

I’ll point out as well that Utah has seen the total go under the number in ten of its last 18 after three or more consecutive SU losses and in two of three already this year after playing to three or more consecutive “overs,” while Boston has seen the total dip below the posted number in both games this season in which it’s allowed 115 points or more in its previous outing.

For all the reasons listed above, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* O/U Las Vegas Insider is on the over Clippers/Wizards (7:05 EST).

The 11-15 LA Clippers are in Washington to take on the 15-13 Wizards and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has “shootout” written all over it.

LA beat Washington 113-112 back on December 9th and suffice it to say, I expect a similar final combined score here as well as the Wizards look to push the pace and build off their 93-87 win over Memphis on Wednessday. 

The Clippers come in with plenty of momentum of their own as they’ve won three straight. LA averages 105 PPG and concedes 106.7. Lou Williams averages 20 PPG and will be leaned upon heavily here with star Blake Griffin still sidelined with injury. 

Washington ranks among the league leaders in most offensive categories, but its weakness is also on the defensive side. John Wall is back in the line-up though and I expect that to continue to pay dividends for the Wizards this evening. 

Note that LA has seen the total go over the number in eight of 13 already this year as an underdog, while Washignton has seen the total eclipse the posted number in all three games that it’s played in this year after allowing 90 points or less in its previous contest.

For all the reasons listed above, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 9* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the over Mavericks/Warriors (10:35 EST).

The Mavs broke a three-game slide by beating the Spurs 95-89 on Tuesday, while Golden State won its seventh in a row in a 111-104 victory over Portland on Monday. 

Note that Golden State has won seven straight in this series and claimed the first one over the Mavs earlier in the year 133-103 back on October 23rd. 

So far Dallas averages 99.9 PPG and concedes 103. Harrison Barnes leads the way with 18.4 points, plus 7.4 boards per game, while Dennis Smith Jr. adds 14.4 points and four assists per contest.

Golden State has the No. 1 offense in the league with an average of 117 PPG. The Warriors are below average defensively, allowing 106 per game, but when you outscore your opposition by an average of 11 every outing, defense hardly matters most nights. Kevin Durant leads the Warriors with 25.7 points and 6.9 boards per game, while Stephen Curry adds 26.3 points and 6.6 assits per game. Curry is out with a sprained ankle, but look for the home side’s depth to easily pick up the slack.

Also note that Dallas has seen in fact the total go over the number in all three games that it’s played in this year after allowing 90 points or less, while Golden State has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of ten against teams with losing records. 

For all the reasons listed above, play on the over.

Good luck…Larry

This is 10* Las Vegas Insider on the Minnesota Timberwolves (8:05 EST).

I base my selections on many different things. For this particular pick I’m basing it on common sense. 

Minnesota had won two in a row before an OT loss to Philadelphia. But with three straight home games against suspect competition (with the Suns and Blazers up next), there’s no question that this sets up as an important early game for the playoff hopeful Wolves, who will look to take advantage of this favorable matchup.

Sacramento comes in off a highly satisfying 99-92 win over Phoenix and I think it gets caught “looking ahead” to the remainder of its incredibly tough road trip, with upcoming stops at Toronto, Philadelphia and Brooklyn, before a game at home against the Spurs.

I’ll point out as well that the Kings are interestingly just 1-5 ATS in their last six after a victory in which they’ve scored 100 points or less, while Minnesota is 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU losses. 

For all the reasons listed above, play on the Wolves.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the over Blazers/Heat (7:35 EST).

Portland is going to be desperate today as it’s dropped five straight, most recently a 111-104 setback on the road at Golden State on Monday. 

Miami has won two straight, most recently a 107-82 destruction of the Grizzlies on Monday. Note that the Heat also play with double revenge after dropping both games to Portland last season.

Both teams have been mediocre offensively this year and each has been decent defensively. Each is loaded with offensive talent though and I think the conditions are finally right for a higher-scoring affair. Note that both teams are dealing with injury issues with their centers.

I’ll also point out that Portland has seen the total go over the number in five of eight as an underdog already this season, while Miami has seen the total eclipse the posted number in two of three this year after allowing 90 points or less and in nine of its last 13 after allowing 85 points or less.

These are two teams which had big aspirations coming into the 2017/18 campaign, but each sits at just .500. This is an important early game for each of these non-conference foes and I expect a wide-open, faster-paced affair. 

Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmakers Error is on the Philadelphia 76ers (8:05 EST).

Philadelphia could be without big man Joel Embiid in this one, but whether he plays or not, I think the desperate 76ers will at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments.

And that’s because the visitors come to town having lost four straight, most recently a hard-fought 131-124 road loss to New Orleans on Sunday. 

The Wolves enter off a 97-92 home win over the Mavericks. 

These teams split a pair of games last year, with each winning on the others home floor.

Philadelphia comes in averaging 108.2 PPG, while conceding 108.8. Ben Simmons averages 18 points, 9.1 boards, 7.7 assists and 2.08 steals per contest. 

Minnesota holds a 1.5 game lead in the Northwest Division. The Wolves average 107.1 PPG and concede 106.3. Andrew Wiggins averages 18.2 points, plus four boards per game.

I’ll point out though that Philadelphia is 9-5 ATS in non-conference games this year and 3-2 ATS after allowing 115 points or more, while Minnesota is just 1-7 ATS in non-conference contests this season and just 4-8 ATS in front of the home town crowd. 

The Wolves have hit a very “vanilla” part of their schedule, with upcoming games against bottom feeders Sacramento and Phoenix at home next. It’s not too hard to imagine Minnesota get caught looking past their lowly Eastern conference opponent tonight.

As mentioned off the top, whether Embiid plays or not, I think the intensity in which the 76ers play with tonight turns out to the be the difference. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the LA Clipeprs (10:35 EST).

The 17-7 Toronto Raptors are in LA to take on the 9-15 Clippers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side.

The Clippers broke a four-game slide with a gutty 113-112 home win over Washington last time out and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. And with an extended Eastern Conference road swing starting on Wednesday, tonight’s game takes on added importance for LA.

The Raptors have won six straight and come in off a highly satisfying 102-87 victory over the Kings just last night. With a game at Phoenix on Wednesday, there’s no doubt that tonight’s contest sets up as a classic “letdown/lookahead” for the visitors in my opinion. 

LA is without leader Blake Griffin, but it still has five players that are averaging in double figures. Offense isn’t an issue for the Clippers, it’s their defense.

Which normally would spell disaster facing the extremely deep and talented Raptors, but fortunately for LA it catches them on the tail-end of the back-to-back scenario.

A great situational play in my opinion and a mistake made by the oddsmakers. Grab as many points as you can, play on the Clippers.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL PERFECT STORM is on the under 76ers/Pelicans (7:05 EST).

Philadelphia hung tough in a 105-98 setback in Cleveland just last night. Big man Joel Embiid was sitting that one out, but he will be back in the line-up tonight to face the twin towers in New Orleans (at least one of the two for sure anyways.) 

I think the visitors are “gassed” tonight and with the focal point of their offense running through their big-man, we can expecting a lot of “half court sets” from the visiting side as it looks to control the pace of this one. 

The Pelicans have lost five of their last seven, most recently a listless setback to the lowly Kings. New Orleans clearly can’t be happy and it’ll also be looking to take control of this one from the get-go.

I’ll point out that Philadelphia has seen the total go under the number in eight of 14 non-conference games already this year, while New Orleans has seen the total dip below the posted number in nine of 16 as a favorite this season.

For all the reasons listed above, play on the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Atlanta Hawks (7:35 EST).

Orlando took the first game of this home and home series 110-106 in OT on Wednesday. Suffice it to say, I think it’s “payback” time!

Atlanta averages 102.8 PPG and concedes 108.6. Dennis Schroeder leads the way with 20.5 points, plus 6.5 assists per game, while Marco Belinelli chips in 12 points and 2.5 boards. Note that the Hawks are tied for fourth in the league in three point shooting percentage (37.9.)

The Hawks haven’t played since the loss to the Magic, but Orlando was in action just last night, falling 103-89 at home to the Nuggets.

It’s interesting to note that Orlando is just 4-7 ATS this year against poor defensive teams which allow 106-plus points per contest, while ATL is 5-3 ATS this season against good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per game.

I think Orlando comes in with “heavy legs” and I look for the revenge minded Hawks to take full advantage. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

The third 10* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the under Kings/Pelicans (8:05 EST).

The Kings are “gassed” in the final game of their four game trip. Sacramento comes to town off a 111-105 loss at Cleveland on Wednesday. 

The Pelicans won for just the second time in six games with a 123-114 home win on Wednesday night. 

The Kings average just 95.6 PPG, while conceding 105.5. De’Aaron Fox averages 10.1 points, 3.2 boards and 4.1 assists per game. Buddy Heild adds 12 points per contest. 

The Pelicans average 109.4 PPG and concede 110.2. DeMarcus Cousins averags 25.9 points, 12.6 boards and 5.1 assists per game. 

Note though that Sacramento has seen the total go under the numer in two of three already this year after playing three consecutive road games and in interestingly four of seven this season against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per contest, while New Orleans has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of eight this year against teams with losing records.

For all the reasons listed above, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

The first 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the over Bulls/Hornets (7:05 EST).

These are two teams hungry for a victory and I’m expecting this overall sense of urgency from both sides to translate into offensive production on the floor.

The Bulls have lost nine straight, most recently a 98-96 setback to Indiana on Wednesday, while the Hornets enter off a listless 101-87 home setback to the Warriors. 

But if recent history is any precedence, then we should absolutely expect a higher-scoring shootout between these teams, because when they met back on November 17th, it was Chicago that won 123-120. 

Chicago averages only 95.7 PPG, while conceding 106.8. Justin Holiday leads the nightly charge with 14.3 points and 4.3 boards per game.

Charlotte averages 104.6 PPG and concedes 106.2. Kemba Walker averages 22.7 points and 6.2 assists, while Dwight Howard chips in 15.1 points and 12.1 boards per game. 

Additionally I’ll point out that Chicago has seen the total go over the number in seven of 12 on the road this season, while Charlotte has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of 11 as a favorite this year and in three of four after a loss by ten points or more.

For all the reasons listed above, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

The second 8* pick of my Superstar Triple Play is on the over Warriors/Pistons (7:05 EST).

The Warriors have won five straight, most recently winning 101-87 in Chicago on Wednesday, while the Pistons have lost four straight, most recently falling 104-100 in Milwaukee on Wednesday night.

When these teams played on October 29th, it was Detroit which scored the 115-107 road win. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well.

Golden State averages 117.8 PPG and concedes 106.4. Kevin Durant averages 25.1 points, 6.6 boards and 5.2 assists per game. 

Detroit averages 104.3 PPG and concedes 102.7. Tobias Harris leads the nightly charge with 19.2 points and 5.3 boards per game, while Reggie Jackson adds 16.4 points, plus 5.5 assists per game.

I’ll point out as well that Golden State has seen the total go over the number in nine of 15 on the road already this year, while Detroit has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of ten at home.

Golden State wants to cap its road trip with perfect record and to avenge the earlier loss to Detroit. The Pistons are desperate to break their string of shoddy play.

When you add it all up and take into account the above trends, this number is indeed a little low in my opinion. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Super Total is on the over Rockets/Jazz (10:35 EST).

The Rockets come in off their seventh staright win, most recently smashing the Lakers 118-95 on Monday. Utah also comes in hot, although it did have its six game win streak snapped in a 100-94 road loss to the Thunder on Tuesday (was the final game of its road trip and the second game of a back-to-back.)

These two teams are polar opposites when it comes to their overall “game plan.” The Rockets like to push the pace from start to finish, relying on their offense to outscore their opponents in most cases. 

The Jazz are a defensive orietned club, but with big man Rudy Gobert out, the game-plan has changed. Utah has been pushing the pace as well and the results have been encouraging. With a night off to rest, I think Utah returns to its recent form which saw it win six straight.

Additionally I’ll point out that Houston has seen the total go over the number in 42 of its last 75 after scoring 115 points or more, while Utah uas seen the total soar above the posted number in eight of its last 14 against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest.

For all the reasons listed above, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the over between the Miami Heat and the San Antonio Spurs (8:35 EST).

The 11-12 Miami Heat are in San Antonio to take on the 16-8 Spurs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one has “shootout” written all over it.

Miami enters off a listless 123-95 home loss to Golden State, while the Spurs come in off a 95-92 win over Detroit on Monday. When these teams played in late October, it was San Antonio that punched the 117-100 road victory. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well.

Miami will be desperate here, as it’s lost three of its last four games. So far the Heat average only 100 PPG, while conceding 103.7. Goran Dragic averages 17.6 PPG.

San Antonio averages 100.6 PPG and allows 97. LaMarcus Aldridge leads the team with 22.8 PPG and had 31 in the first victory over Miami.

I’ll point out as well that the Heat have seen the total go over the number in two of three already this year against good defensive clubs which concede 98 points or less per contest, while San Antonio has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 16 in front of the home town crowd.

Miami will look to take San Antonio out of its comfort zone, which means that the Heat will be pushing the pace from start to finish. This can still be a relatively lower-scoring game and and go over this very low number and that’s exactly what I expect. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* SUPER-TOTAL on the under between the Sacramento Kings and the Cleveland Cavaliers (7:05 EST).

The Kings come to town off a 109-104 road loss to Milwaukee on Saturday, while the Cavs enter off their 12th straight win, a 113-91 road victory over the Bulls on Monday. 

So far Sacramento averages just 95.7 PPG, while allowing 105.7. Zach Randolph averages 13.9 points, plus 6.3 boards per game, while De’Aaron Fox chips in 10.3 points and 3.3 boards per contest.

The Cavs average 111.5 PPG and concede 108.1. LeBron James averages 28 points, 7.9 boards and 8.5 assists per game. 

Note that Sacramento has seen the total go under the number in ten of 19 this year when playing the role of underdog, while Cleveland has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of ten this season after three or more consecutive SU victories.

The last thing the Kings can do is turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to win and with three whole nights off to game-plan, I look for the visitors to come out with a concerted effort. When you add it all up, this number is indeed just a little bit high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is the over Wizards/Blazers (10:05 EST).

Washington was without star guard John Wall in the line-up last night and the result was a disastrous 116-69 setback in Utah. Wall won’t be playing tonight either, but I’m expecting a much more spirited effort from the under-manned, but hungry Wizards this evening.

The Blazers are also out to atone for some recent shoddy play, most recently falling 123-116 at home to the Pelicans on Saturday night. Note that when these teams met on November 25th, it was the Blazers which managed the 108-105 victory. Suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well. 

Washington averages 107.8 PPG and concedes 103.8. Both those numbers however will decline because of Wall’s absence. 

The Blazers average 103.2 PPG, while conceding 100. Damian Lillard averages 25.5 points and 6.2 assists per game, while CJ McCollum adds 21 points a night.

I’ll point out that Washington has seen the total go over the number in two of its last three against teams with losing records, while Portland has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 25 of its last 45 after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest.

These are two hungry teams and despite a few injuries, I’m expecting a very wide open affair as each pushes the pace from start to finish. This number is a little low, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the under Cavs/Bulls (8:05 EST).

The Cavs come to the Windy City having won 11 straight, most recently getting the better of Memphis 116-111 on Saturday. The Bulls enter having dropped eight straight, most recently a 107-106 setback at home to the Kings. 

The Cavs average 111.4 PPG and concede 108.9. LeBron James is arguably having the best start of his entire career by averaging 28.3 points, 7.9 boards and 8.7 assists per game. 

The Bulls average just 95.9 points and concede 107. Justin Holiday leads the nightly charge with 14.7 points plus 4.2 boards per game. 

I’ll point out though that Cleveland has seen the total go under the number in three of four already this year after a non-conference game, while Chicago has seen the total dip below the posted number in interestingly, seven of ten this season against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest and in seven of 11 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. 

Cleveland handled Chicago 119-112 back on October 24th and comes into this one red hot. But the Cavs have hit a “vanilla” part of their schedule, with upcoming games against a series of bottom feeders (Kings, Pacers, Hawks.) 

I think the Cavs come in a bit complacent here. And the last thing Chicago can do is turn this into a “track meet” and expect to win.

When you add it all up, this number is just a little high in my opinion. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the Minnesota Timberwolves (7:00 EST).

The Clippers lost the services of Blake Griffin to a knee injury for a few weeks and last night they came out and laid and egg in a 108-82 setback in Dallas.

The Wolves have been alrternating wins and losses of late and most recently fell 111-107 to a desperate OKC team on the road on Friday. 

LA averages 105.9 PPG, while conceding 107.2. Griffin had been leading the nightly charge with 23.6 points, plus 7.9 boards per game, but DeAndre Jordan is the main man now with Griffin sidelined. Jordan averages 10.8 points, plus 13,8 boards per game. 

Minnesota averages 107.7 PPG and concedes 107.4. Karl Anthony Towns averages 20.5 points and 11.6 boards per game, while Andrew Wiggins adds 19.2 points and 4.1 boards. 

I’ll point out that LA is 0-5 ATS in its last five in the second game of the back to back, while Minnesota is a solid 5-0-1 ATS in its last six against the Western Conference. 

The Clippers are “gassed” and under-manned. The Wolves are rested and hungry. This will be a slaughter from start to finish. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Milwaukee Bucks (8:35 EST).

No need to overthink this one in my opinion. Sacramento comes in off an extremely rare 107-106 win in Chicago just last night and I fully expect a predictable letdown here.

Milwaukee enters off a second straight win after beating Portland 103-91 on the road Thursday. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Bucks have to be loving their chances for another big performance tonight, because when these teams played in Sacramento just last week, it was Milwaukee which secured the relatively simple 112-87 victory. 

Despite last night’s win, note that the Kings still average just 94.7 PPG, while ranked last in the league in three point shooting at just 38.1 percent from range. 

The Bucks average 102.9 PPG and concede 103.9. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 29.2 points, 10.1 boards, 4.5 assists and 1.74 steals. The Bucks are a deep team, which gets balanced scoring. 

I’ll point out as well that Sacramento is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five in the second game of a back-to-back scenario, while Milwaukee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six against a team with a win percentage below .400. 

Milwaukee returns home off a successful trip and just hammered the Kings by 25 last week. All signs point to another blowout, so lay the points with confidence.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (8:05 EST).

Minnesota comes to town off a very satisfying 120-102 road win over New Orleans on Wednesday, while Oklahoma City dropped its third straight in a listless 121-108 road loss to Orlando on Friday. 

Note that the Wolves are already 2-0 in the season series with OKC this year, meaning that the Thunder are definitely out for some revenge tonight. 

Minnesota averages 107.8 PPG and concedes 107.2. Andrew Wiggins averages 19 points and 4.1 boards per game, while Karl-Anthony Towns adds 20.4 points and 11.7 boards. 

OKC averages just 102.3 PPG, but it concedes just 99.3. Russell Westbrok averages 22.4 points, 9.2 boards, 9.5 assists and 2.2 steals per game, while Paul George adds 20.5 points, 5.9 boards and 2.75 steals per game. 

I’ll point out that Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS this year already after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest, while Oklahoma City is 5-3 ATS at home this season and 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more consecutive SU losses. 

For all the reasons listed above, play on the Thunder.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Oddsmaker’s Error is on the over Cavaliers/Hawks (7:35 EST).

The Cavs come in as the hottest team in the league off nine straight victories, most recently torching the Heat 107-96 at home on Tuesday. 

The Hawks come in at the other end of the spectrum as they lost for the fourth time in their last five games in a humbling 112-78 home loss to the Raptors on Saturday. 

Cleveland is out for revenge today though after the Hawks pulled off the improbable 117-115 road win in the first matchup back on November 5th. 

The Cavs come in ranked third in the league with an average of 110.8 PPG, while ranked 27th in scoring defense by allowing 108.5. LeBron James averages 28.2 points, 8.2 boards and 8.3 assists.

Atlanta averages 102.2 PPG and concedes 108.2. Dennis Schroder leads the nightly charge with 19.7 points, plust 6.8 assists per game (Hawks are interestingly ranked fifth in the league in three point shooting percentage and 38.2 percent.) 

I’ll point out that Cleveland has already seen the total go over the number in eight of ten this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent, while Atlanta has seen the total go over the number in six of its last ten after scoring 85 points or less in its previous outing.

For all the reasons listed above, play on the over.

Good luck…Larry

This is a 10* LAS VEGAS INSIDER on the Memphis Grizzlies (8:35 EST).

We don’t have to question the Grizzlies effort today as the team comes to town off eight straight losses. Memphis fired head coach David Fizdale because of it and suffice it to say, I expect the Grizzlies to come in extrenely focused here. 

Most recently Memphis fell 98-88 to Brooklyn on Sunday. Marc Gasol had 18 points, before getting benched for the entire fourth quarter by Fizdale, an unpopular move which triggered his release in the end. 

San Antonio would love nothing more than to kick this Grizzlies team while its down. The Spurs come in off a 115-108 win over Dallas, led by big man LaMarcus Aldridge with 33 points and ten boards. Tony Parker returned in that one as well for San Antonio.

The Spurs are also expected to welcome back leader Kawhi Leonard this week. Everything is going right in San Antonio these days, while Memphis has more questions than answers.

But “motivation” can be a difficult factor for oddsmakers to properly quantify into a line and that’s the case here in my opinion. This is the opening game of a home and home set between the clubs. I think the desperate Grizzlies will at the very least keep this one respectable until the final moments.

Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* LAS VEGAS INSIDER is on the Milwaukee Bucks (10:05 EST).

I base my selections on many different things. Common sense is a good thing to use in handicapping and that’s the approach I’m taking with this selection.

Both Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry sat out in the Warriors 110-106 home loss to Sacramento.

The Kings clearly have to be feeling great after that victory over the defending champs and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a massive letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back. 

Conversely, after a four-game win streak, the Bucks come to town having dropped three of their last four, including a humbling 121-108 setback at Utah in their latest action.

I’ll point out as well that the Bucks are 2-1 ATS already this year off an upset loss as a favorite, while Sacramento is just 1-6 ATS in non-conference games.

For all the reasons listed above, play on Milwaukee.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* Oddsmakers Error is on the LA Lakers (10:30 EST).

The Lakers come in off a loss to the Kings, while the Clippers come in off a win against Sacramento. 

The Lakers lost 113-102 to the Kings last time out. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope had 20 points, while Kyle Kuzma added 17 points. Rookie Lonzo Ball had a big game with 11 points, 11 assists and seven boards. 

The Clippers beat the kings 97-95, but it wasn’t pretty. Blake Griffin led the way with 33 points and hit the game winning 3-pointer with 3.2 seconds left.

This one sets up great for the Lakers from a trend based stand point though, as note that they’re 4-2 ATS in their last six off an upset loss as a favorite, while the Clippers have struggled in this position by going just 1-2 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games.

Off back-to-back road victories to end their trip, I think the Clippers have a predictable letdown here. Whle I wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset obviously, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Lakers.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Chicago Bulls (3:35 EST).

Miami beat Boston and then went on the raod and beat the Wolves 109-97 on Friday night. I think this sets up as a natural letdown spot for the Heat this evening though.

The Bulls will be desperate here, they’ve dropped four straight and nine of their last ten and will be out to atone for a lacklustre 143-94 beatdown in Golden State on the road Friday. 

Note that this is a revenge game as well after Miami took the first one of the season series, 97-91 back on November 1st.

Miami averages 100.9 PPG and concedes 102.5. Hassan Whiteside averags 15.5 points and 12.9 boards per game. Goran Dragic averages 18.9 points, 4.3 boards and 4.7 assists. 

Chicago averages just 94.4 PPG, while allowing 107.3. Lauri Markkanen averages 14.6 points and 8.2 boards per game, while big man Robin Lopez averages 13.1 points and 5.5 boards per contest.

I’ll point out though that Miami is a poor 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season and just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while Chicago is already 4-2 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more.

I won’t try to convince you that the Bulls are a good team which has just gotten some tough breaks to open the season, as that’s not the case. Chicago has problems across the board, with injuries being one of the main reasons the team has struggled to this point.

However, I feel this is a bad spot for the Heat, with a game at Cleveland on Tuesday, followed by at New York on Thursday.

All signs point to a letdown/look-ahead for Miami. Grab the points, play on Chicago.

Godo luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the Houston Rockets (8:05 EST).

New York comes in off a deflating loss in Atlanta just last night and I expect the team to have a predictable letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back as well. 

The Rockets are off their third straight win and nine of their last ten in a 125-95 victory at Denver on Wednesday. 

If recent history is any precedence, then Houston has to be loving its chances tonight as well, because when these teams met back on November 1st, it was the Rockets that socred the relatively simple 119-97 road victory. 

The Knicks have been great at home this year, going 5-2, but terrible on the road, now just 1-5 away from friendly confines after last night’s setback. 

The Rockets average 113.3 PPG and allow just 103.5, which ranks the team tenth. Houston has always been able to score, but now it looks as if its ready to seroiusly challenget Golden State because of its improved performance on that end of the floor. 

I’ll point out as well that the Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last five in the second game of a back to back scenario, while Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last five against teams with a winning SU record. 

For all the reasons listed above, play on the Rockets.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Atlanta Hawks (7:30 EST).

I think the Knicks have a letdown here after winning two straight, most recently a 108-100 victory at home over Toronto.

Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for ATL, as it’s lost three straight and seven of eight after falling 116-103 at home to the Clippers on Wednesday. 

New York used a 41-10 third quarter to hammer the Raptors last time out. The Knicks average 104.9 PPG and concede 103.4. Big man Kristaps Porzingis averages 27.3 points, 7.4 boards and 2.31 blocks per night. 

Atlanta averages 102.8 PPG and concedes 108.2. Dennis Schroder keeps his team competitive by averaging 19.7 points, plus 7.1 boards per game. 

I’ll point out though that New York is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 108 points or more in its previous contest, while Atlanta is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more consecutive SU losses. 

With a game tomorrow night at Houston, I think the Knicks get caught looking ahead. Grab the points, play on Atlanta.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Atlanta Hawks (7:35 EST).

The Clippers are in a free-fall right now, most recently dropping their ninth straight in a 107-85 setback to the Knicks on Monday. 

The Hawks can empathize, as they lost their second straight and sixth of their last seven in a 96-85 setback on the road in San Antonio on Monday. These teams played twice last year and it was the Clippers that won both, meaning that this does also set up as a double revenge scenario for Atlanta tonight. 

LA averages 104.9 PPG and concedes 106.6. Blake Griffin leads the nightly charge with 22.7 points, 7.8 boards and 4.7 assists per game. In the loss to New York the Clippers shot just 37.5 percent from the floor, including just 10 of 32 from range. 

Atlanta averages 102.8 PPG and concedes 107.8. Dennis Schroder keeps his team respectable most nights by averaging 19.7 points, plus 7.1 assists per game. 

I’ll point out though that LA is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven againt a team with a losing straight up record, while ATL is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games against a team with a losing road record.

I think the Hawks are the hungrier team here. They’ve been kicked around long enough and finally have an opponent to take advantage of. After a hot start, the Clippers are in complete dissaray. 

Grab the points, play on Atlanta.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* SITUATIONAL STUNNER is on the Atlanta Hawks (8:35 EST).

The 3-13 Atlanta Hawks are in San Antonio to take on the 10-6 Spurs and while I’m not going to call for the outright upset, I do believe that the hungry visiting side can keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. 

The Hawks most recently fell 110-99 to the Celtics, looking great in the first half and then falling apart in the second. 

San Antonio is finding ways to win, but I think it comes in flat-footed and disinterested against its lowly Eastern Conference opponent tonight. 

The Hawks won’t be rolling over and with Dennis Schroeder in your line-up, you always have a “punchers chance.” Schroeder had 23 points, nine assists, two boards and two steals in the setback to the Cetlics.

The Spurs came from behind to knock off the Thunder 104-101 on Friday night, led by 26 points and nine boards from big man LaMarcus Aldridge. 

Does the fact that the Hawks are 14-9 ATS in their last 23 against the Southwest division mean anything here? Well, it certainly doesn’t hurt. Also note that the Spurs are already 0-3 ATS this season when playing on two days rest.

With a game at Western conference foe Minnesota on Wednesday, I look for the Spurs to get caught looking ahead and I expect the desperate visiting side to at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread that it’s been afforded.

Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the under Jazz/76ers (7:05 EST).

The Jazz come in off their first road win of the year after smashing the Magic 125-85 on Saturday. This is the finale of a four game Eastern swing for Utah and I think it’s going to suffer a predictable letdown. 

The 76ers had their two-game win streak snapped in a 124-116 home loss to Golden State on Saturday. 

When these teams played on November 7th, it was Philadelphia which secured the 104-97 road victory and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a similar final combined score here as well once it’s all said and done.

Utah is 27th in the league in scoring with 100.5 PPG and it’s ranked fifth in the league in scoring defense by conceding 100.8 PPG. Derek Favors and Rodney Hood have been recent standouts with big man Rudy Gobert still out with injury for a few more weeks.

Philadelphia averages 109 PPG and concedes 110.4. Big man Joel Embiid averages 22.8 points, plust 10.9 boards per game. 

I’ll point out though that Utah has seen the total go under the number in 11 of its last 19 off an upset win as an underdog, while Philadelphia has seen the total dip below the posted number in 12 of its last 20 after scoring 115 points or more in its previous contest.

The conditions and the numbers both point to the under as the correct call in this one.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the LA Lakers (9:35 EST).

I think Denver has a letdown here after its big 146-114 home win over New Orleans on Friday. It was the team’s fourth win in its last five games. 

Conversely, it’s going to be all hands on deck for the young Lakers who lost for the fifth time in six games, falling at home to Phoenix 122-113 on Friday. 

This is a revenge game for LA as well, as Denver has won four of the last five in the series, including taking two of three last year. 

Denver averages 108.5 PPG and concedes 105.4. Paul Millsap leads the way with 16 points and 6.3 boards per game, while Will Barton adds 14.1 points. Big man Nikola Jokic contributes 16.2 points, 11.6 boards and 4.7 assists per game. 

LA averages 104.3 PPG and concedes 107.4. Brook Lopez averges 15.1 points and 4.9 boards per game, while Brandon Ingram adds 14.9 points. Despite his recent struggles, Lonzo Ball adds 8.8 points, 6.6 boards and 6.8 assists per game. 

I’ll point out as well that Denver is just 1-5 ATS this year against teams with losing records and 0-3 ATS this season after scoring 115 points or more, while LA is 3-2 ATS against clubs with winning recrds and 5-4 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest.

I think the desperation in which the Lakers play with tonight, turns out to be the difference. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Atlanta Hawks (7:35 EST).

Is Boston ever going to lose again? The Celtics come to Atlanta on the heels of a 14-game win streak, including having just knocked off the defending champs at home in an impressive 92-88 victory on Thursday. 

I believe the C’s do finally have a letdown here though as I look for the hungry Hawks to take this one right down to the wire.

The Hawks come in with momentum/confidence as well after smashing the Kings 126-80 in their most recent action, the team’s largest margin of victory of all time. Atlanta would go on to record 40 assists, which was the most in the league since December 15th, 2016 when the Warriors posted 41. 

"Right now we have (one of) the worst record in the NBA, so any win is a good win and we'll take it," Atlanta forward Taurean Prince assessed.

Note that this is a revenge game for the Hawks as well after the Celtics won 110-107 back on November 6th. 

I’m expecting Atlanta to push the pace of this one and to not go down without a fight. Grab the points, play on the Hawks.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Miami Heat (7:05 EST).

This is an immediate revenge scenario for the Heat after the Wizards took the first game of this home and home set 102-93 at South Beach on Wednesday. 

So far Miami averages 101.3 PPG, while conceding 103. Big man Hassan Whiteside contributes 15.7 points, plus 13.9 boards per game, while Dion Waiters adds 16.6 per contest. 

Washington averages 110.7 PPG and concedes 105. John Wall averages 20.8 points and 9.4 assists per game, while Bradley Beal contribues 23.9. 

The Heat though have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 19-10 ATS in their last 29 off an upset losss as a favorite, while also going 24-10 ATS in their last 34 when trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. 

Conversely, this is a position in which the Wizards have really struggled in, going 12-16 ATS in their last 28 off an upset win as an underdog (including 0-2 ATS this year.)

With a tough road trip starting in Toronto on Sunday, I think the home side also gets caught looking ahead here.

While I wouldn’t be completely shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on the Heat.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Golden State Wariors (8:05 EST).

Warriors’ head coach Steve Kerr said two weeks ago that the Celtics were “the team of the future in the Eastern Conference.”

Clearly Golden State has had this one circled on its calendar for a while now and while some may think the Celtics actually have a shot in this game, I definitely do not.

Golden State has won seven straight, including a 110-100 win over Orlando on Monday.

Boston has won 13 straight, most recently a 109-102 victory on the road in Brooklyn. 

The Warriors average 119.6 PPG and concede 107.7. Kevin Durant averages 24.8 points, 7.5 boards and 5.2 assists per game, while Stephen Curry posts 25.2 points, plust 6.7 assists per contest.

The Celtics average 102.7 PPG and concede 94.5. Kyrie Irving leads the way with 20.6 points and 5.2 assists per game, while Jaylen Brown contributes 14.7 points and 6.7 boards.

The Warriors are a unique team, as they can damage you in so many ways offensively. If you want to get into a “run and gun shootout,” then they have no problems with that. If you want to play a slower-paced game and run half court sets while on offense, they have no issues with that either. They hurt you from 3-point land, in the paint and also in transition. 

The Celtics have been amazing early, but I think they’re in for a rude awakening tonight. Lay the points, play on Golden State.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the over 76ers/Lakers (10:35 EST).

Maybe surprisingly, neither team has been playing to many high-scoring affairs of late. I think that changes tonight in a big way though.

The 76ers broke a two-game slide with a win over the Clippers on Monday, while the Lakers enter off a 100-93 victory over Phoenix on Monday. 

Philadelphia averages 107.9 PPG and concedes 109.5 Big man Joel Embiid leads the team with 20.9 points, plus 10.8 boards per contest. WIth Jerryd Bayless, Robert Covington, Daro Saric, JJ Redick and Ben Simmons, the 76ers’ future is bright.

LA averages 103.3 PPG and concedes 105.9. Brook Lopez has been big this year, contributing 15.3 points, plus 4.8 boards per game. With Jordan Clarkson, Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, Julius Randle and Kyle Kuszma, the Lakers future also looks pretty good.

I’ll point out that the 76ers have seen the total go over the number in five of six this year following a non-conference game, while the Lakers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in both times this season following a divisional contest. 

I expect these two young and talented teams to push the pace from start to finish and for this total to indeed soar above the posted number once the final horn blares. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on the San Antonio Spurs (8:35 EST).

The Spurs are rolling as they come in having won four of their last five, most recently smashing the Bulls 133-94 at home on Saturday. 

The Mavs are moving in the opposite direction, as they’ve lost two in a row and eight of their last nine after losing 112-99 at Oklahoma City on Sunday night. 

So far San Antonio averages 103 PPG and allows 99.6. Big man LaMarcus Aldridge is leading the nightly charge with 21.8 points and 8.5 boards per game, while Pau Gasol averages 10.9 points and 8.1 boards per game. 

Dallas averages 99.5 PPG and concedes 107.7. Harrison Barnes tops all players with 19 points and 7.1 boards per game, while rookie Dennis Smith Jr. averages 14.8 points and 4.9 assists per game.

I’ll point out that the Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400, while Dallas is a horrible 1-10 ATS in its last 11 when playing on one days rest.

Greg Popovich has his team firing on all cylinders again despite injuries to key players. That doesn’t bode well for this young Mavs side which is struggling with consistency across the board.

All signs point to a rout. Lay the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U Las Vegas Insider is on the over Kings/Wizards (7:05 EST).

The Kings had their two-game win streak snapped in a 118-91 setback at New York on Saturday, while Washington picked up its second straight victory in a 113-94 win over Atlanta on Saturday night. 

Note that Sacramento plays with revenge here after Washington took the first game of the season series, 110-83 back on October 29th. 

So far the Kings average 94.8 PPG and allow 105.3. The Kings are loaded with talent, including D-Aaron Fox, Buddy Hield, Skal Labissiere, George Hill, Zach Randolph, Vince Carter and Bogdan Bogdanovic. 

The Wizards have had no issues scoring this year, ranked second overall with an average of 111.5 PPG. The defense though has been a major problem, ranked in the lower-half in allowing 107.1. John Wall averages 20.3 points and 9.7 assists per game, while Bradley Beal averages 24.6 points. 

I’ll point out that Sacramento has seen the total go over the number in four of five already this year against teams with winning records, while Washington has seen the total soar above the posted number in eight of its last 14 after playing three consecutive home games.

This one has the feel of a wide open, run and gun shoot-out. Play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on Indiana (6:00 EST).

Houston crushed the Grizzlies 111-96 just last night and suffice it to say, I’m expecting a letdown here finally from the Rockets as they transition for this Eastern Conference contest.

Conversely, Indiana looks ready to build off its 105-87 win over the Bulls on Friday to snap a four-game slide. 

Houston averages 110.5 PPG and concedes 104.1 .James Harden leads the team with 29.9 points and 4.9 boards per game. 

Indiana averages 109 PPG and concedes 108.4 Victor Oladipo had 25 points, six boards and six assists against the Bulls.

I’ll point out though that Houston is just 2-3 ATS this year against teams with losing records and interestingly, just 1-3 ATS against poor defensive teams which allow 106 plus points per contest, while Indiana is 20-14 ATS in its last 34 after allowing 90 points or less and already 3-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd this season.

I think “the road” catches up to Harden and company today and the rested/focused Pacers at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on the Sacramento Kings (8:05 EST).

The Kings come in with a ton of momentum as they’ve won two in a row, most recently a 109-108 upset victory at home over the 76ers. 

The Knicks on the other hand look primed for a letdown here. New York had won three straight and six of seven before losing their final game of their road trip, 112-99 in Orlando on Wednesday. The first game back from an extended trip often can be considered a “trap” for a team and I believe that will in fact be the case here today.

Also note, not only is this is a “letdown” spot, but it’s also a “look ahead” spot as well for the Knicks, who have the Cavs coming to town on Monday night. 

The Kings have looked a lot better on both ends of the floor of late, but the team still ranks just 29th in scoring with 95.2. Sacramento has been better on the defensive end, ranked 11th by conceding 104.2. Zach Randolph leads the team with 13.6 PPG. But the Kings get the job done by committee, with Buddy Hield, Willie Cauley-Stein, George Hill and Vince Carter. 

New York averages 105.4 PPG and concedes 106.3 Kristaps Porzingis averages 30 points, 7.5 boards and 2.3 blocks per night. 

But as mentioned off the top, I love Sacramento to keep the momentum rolling and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire against a distracted Knicks side. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* LEGEND is on the Milwaukee Bucks (9:05 EST).

The 4-6 Milwaukee Bucks are in San Antonio to take on the 7-4 Spurs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the hungry visitors.

This the final game of an extended road trip for the Bucks and they come in having lost four straight, most recently a 124-119 setback to Cleveland on Tuesday. 

The Spurs enter on the other end of the spectrum, having won three in a row, most recently a 120-107 win over the Clippers on Tuesday.

It’s interesting to note that these two teams split a pair of games last year, each winning on the others floor.

Giannis Antetokounmpo led Milwaukee with 40 points, nine rebounds and four blocks in the loss to the Cavs. So far the Bucks average 105.4 PPG and concede 108.7. Note that the newly acquired Eric Bledsoe is supposed to suit up for Milwaukee tonight (and if he doesn’t, I still love this play as I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side.)

The Spurs still only average 101.7 PPG, while conceding 100.6. So far big man LaMarcus Aldrige has filled the void left by still injured superstar Kawhi Leonard by averaging 22.6 points plus 8.3 boards per game. Aldridge had 25 in the Spurs latest victory.

I’ll point out though that Milwaukee is 13-9 ATS in its last 22 after three or more consecutive SU losses, while San Antonio is just 37-43 ATS in its last 80 after three or more consecutive SU victories.

I like the desperate Bucks to at the very least, take this one down to the wire for the comfortable ATS cover. Grab the points.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is the under Cavaliers/Rockets (8:05 EST).

The 5-6 Cleveland Cavaliers are in Houston to take on the 8-3 Rockets and for a number of different reasons, I think this one will fall below this sky-high number.

It would be easy to just assume this will be a high-scoring game. The Cavs’ struggles to start the year are well known. They average 109.9 PPG, while allowing 113.9.

Cleveland most recently comes in off a 124-119 home win over the Bucks.

Houston has won three straight and it most recently destroyed Utah 137-110 on Sunday. The Rockets average 109.9 PPG and allow just 103.9. Clearly that’s a vast defensive improvement from a season ago.

This is an important road trip for the Cavs, as a losing streak on the West Coast would put the team in a pretty big hole. If Cleveland has any hopes of turning its season around, it’s going to have to commit to the defensive end of the floor.

That’s something that Houston has alrready done this year and I expect that improved defensive play to get carried over here. 

I’ll point out as well that Cleveland has interestingly seen the total go under the number in 12 of its last 21 against the Southwest division, while Houston has seen the total dip below the posted number in 13 of its last 20 against the Central.

For all the reasons listed above, play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* O/U PERFECT STORM is the over Heat/Suns (9:05 EST).

The 4-6 Miami Heat are in Phoenix to take on the 4-7 Suns. Both teams have had to deal with plenty of on and off court drama to open the year and clearly neither can be happy with their overall record at this point.

With these two hungry teams dealing with injuries and new faces, while also trying to navigate shaky starts to the 2017/18 campaign, I’m expecting each to push the pace of this one from start to finish and I look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

So far the Heat average just 101.2 PPG while conceding 103.9. James Johnson had 21 points, nine boards, six assists and three steals off the bench in a losing cause at Golden State last time out. 

But Miami is loaded with veteran talent, including Goran Dragic and Dion Waiters. 

The Suns finally dealt Eric Bledsoe and got big man Greg Monroe in exchange from the Bucks. Phoenix enters off a loss against the Nets in which TJ Warren had 20 points and nine rebounds.

Phoenix averages 104.8 PPG and concedes 114.8. 

I’ll point out that Miami has seen the total go over the number in 16 of its last 26 after playing to three or more consecutive unders, while Phoenix has seen the total go over the number in four of five already this year against clubs with losing records.

For all the reasons listed above, play the over.

Good luck…Larry

My 8* Situational Stunner is on the Utah Jazz (9:05 EST).

Utah is coming off a humbling 137-110 loss in Houston, a game in which James Harden exploded for 56 points. 

Nothing that the normally steady Jazz can’t bounce back from though. Especially at home.

The 76ers have won four in a row, including a 121-110 victory over the Pacers in their latest game. But with big man Joel Embiid expected to sit for rest purposes, I believe that Philadelphia will stumble in this tough road atmoshphere. JJ Redick was a stand out in the lastest victory with 31 points on 8 of 12 from range.

Utah has actually lost two straight, also coming up short to the Raptors prevoius to the Rockets setback. Center Rudy Gobert looks to bounce back as well after just 13 points and five boards in that one.

I think it’s interesting to note though that Philadelphia is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 after playing to three or more consecutive “overs,” while utah is already 5-1 ATS at home this season and 20-12 ATS in its last 32 after a loss by ten points or more.

Expect a return to the norm on the defensive side of the ball for the Jazz on their home floor tonight and look for the 76ers to struggle without Embiid in the line-up. Lay the points, play on Utah.

Good luck….Larry

My 10* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Atlanta Hawks (7:30 EST).

The 8-2 Boston Celtics are in Atlanta to take on the 2-8 Hawks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

Both teams come in off victories, with the Celtics winning their eighth straight with a 104-88 win over Orlando, while the Hawks notched their second victory of the season with a huge 117-115 upset win over the Cavs in Cleveland yesterday afternoon.

These teams average the same amount of points almost, with the C’s pouring in 102.8 per night, while the Hawks average 101.1. That’s where the similarities end though, as ATL is ranked 24th in scoring defense by conceding over 110 per game, while Boston is No. 1 on the defensive side by allowing just 93.8. 

Clearly the Celtics are the better team, but with a three-game home stand starting on Wednesday with the Lakers up first, I think this sets up as a classic “trap” for the visitors.

Atlanta on the other hand can’t afford to bask in the glory of its big win over Cleveland last night after the terrible start to the year.

Back-to-back upsets? Maybe. But in a contest which I foresee being decided late, I’m going to grab the points just in case.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* Oddsmaker’s Error is on the Portland Trailblazers (9:05 EST).

The 4-4 Oklahoma City Thunder are in Portland to take on the 5-4 Trailblazers on Sunday night and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

OKC comes in off a deflating 101-94 loss to the Celtics at home and I think that residual disappointment gets carried over here. The Thunder have looked great defensively, but the offense has yet to find its stride. 

The Blazers got back into the winners circle after a short two-game slide, holding on for a 113-110 victory over the Lakers on Thursday. And now I think Portland carries that momentum over here.

Paul George had 25 points and ten boards, while Russell Wesbrook added 19 points, 11 assists and six boards in the Thunder’s crushing loss to Boston. Carmelo Anthony though was just 3 of 17 from the floor, finishing with ten points.

Portland needed a a last second three-pointer to beat the upstart Lakers from Damian Lillard to seal the victory. Lillard would go on to finish with 32 points, going 14 of 14 from the charity stripe. In all the Blazers would hit 24 of 27 from the free throw line. 

I’ll point out as well that Oklahoma City is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against the Western Conference, while Portland is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 110 points or more in its previous contest.

With a more “winnable” game at Sacramento on deck, I think OKC gets caught looking ahead here as well. 

Play on Portland.

Good luck…Larry

8* O/U PERFECT STORM on the under Pacers/Knicks (7:35 EST).

The 5-4 Indiana Pacers are in New York to take on the 4-4 Knicks and for a number of different reasons, I think this one will fall below the posted number once it’s all said and done.

New York has won four of its last five. Indiana had won three in a row before a loss at Philadelphia on Friday. 

I think the Pacers will fall flat here after their 121-110 road loss to the 76ers, dropping them to just 2-3 away from friendly confines. Victor Oladipo was a bright spot with 31 points and so far he’s averaging 26 PPG. 

New York star Kristaps Porzingis had 37 points in his team’s 120-107 home win over the Suns, also adding seven boards, three blocks and a steal. Note that Enis Kanter has posted eight straight double-doubles. 

I’ll point out though that Indiana has seen the total go under the number in 20 of its last 35 after allowing 115 points or more this year (and in its only game this year in that situation), while New York has seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of its last 13 after playing to three or more consecutive “overs.” 

All things considered, I do indeed feel this number is just a little high. Play the under.

Good luck…Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Minnesota Timberwolves (8:05 EST).

The 1-9 Dallas Mavericks are in Minnesota to take on the 5-3 Timberwolves on Saturday and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the home side. 

Dallas comes in off a listless 99-94 loss at home to New Orleans just last night. 

Minnesota is trending in the opposite direction, it won its third straight by beating the Pelicans 104-98 on the road Wednesay. 

The Wolves took two of three meetings between the teams last year, with the home side winning each time.

So far the Mavs average just 98.2 points, while conceding 108.3. Harrison Barnes leads the way with 16.3 points and 6.1 boards per game. 

The Wolves average 108.8 PPG and allow 113.1. Andrew Wiggins averages 19.5 PPG, while Karl Anthony Towns puts in 21.4 points and 11 boards. 

With a game at home tomorrow night against Charlotte (before a big road trip, with a stop in Golden State to kick things off), I’m fully expecting Minnesota to push the pace of this one from the opening tip until the final horn. 

And a chance to pad their defensive stats against this tired and dejected Mavs team, I expect the Timberwolves to lay the hammer down and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.

Good luck…Larry