I cashed on the Rays last night with Archer on them mound as he really did dominate the Astros.  I look for the Stros to bounce back here with their ace in Keuchel taking the mound tonight.  The Rays really struggle with lefties as well.  Plus let's face it Keuchel has yet to lose a game this year, yes you heard that right.  He is a perfect 9-0 on the season with a 1.94 ERA and is 4-0 at home with a 1.04 ERA.  Take the Astros here tonight to bounce back with an easy win

The A's dealt their ace Sonny Gray and yes they aren't a good team but Manaea can hold his own with a 8-5 record and a 3.82 ERA on the year.  The A's have also won 3 straight games coming into this one.  I'm not a believer at all in Samardzija who is just 2-6 on the road and comes in with a 6.75 ERA his last three starts. 

This line has flipped big time and I agree with this move.  Archer is the Rays ace and is in great form with a 2.84 ERA his last three starts.  He has also pitched very well against the Astros with a career 1.68 ERA.  Astros are also so far ahead right now also I see their motivation dropping off.  Also worth noting they are without Correa and Springer as well.  

With the Orioles not trading their stud closer in Briton they clearly think they are still contenders.  I think last nigh'ts walk off win will provide a spark for them and I could see this team get hot here.  Bundy is coming off a terrible start, but I will give him a pass since it was against he best offense in baseball in the Astros.  In Bundy's only ever start against the Royals this year he struck out 8 in just 6 innings only giving up 2 earned runs.  

Call me a sucker for this one but it just seems way to obvious.  There has only been a total of 13 runs scored in the first 3 games.  If that doesnt scream to take the under at this price I'm not sure what does.

Lynn has been great all year with a 3.21 ERA and a 2.53 ERA at home.  He comes in even better form than that with a .98 ERA his last three starts.  He also owns a career 4-0 record and a 3.13 ERA against the D Backs.

While Walker for the D Backs can be a bit of a loose cannon he does have his best stuff on the road with a 2.70 ERA.  He also isn't facing a powerful offense by any means either.  

I really think the RL here is great value with Conley.  The left has had an up and down year but his coming off two very good starts and should have no problem with a struggling Reds who is tanking and not to mention they can't hit lefties.  

Adleman is 1-5 on the road with an ERA over 5.  He brings in worse form than that with an ERA over 7 his last three starts.  The Reds have also lost 5 in a row 

Well the Cubs right now are one of if not the hottest team and I expect that to continue here in a hue NL Central game as the Cubs just took over first place.  

Quintana has been great for the Cubs going 13 innings in two starts and only allowing 3 runs.  

While Suter does have good numbers, I'm not quite buying it and he is due for a let down here facing the hot bats of the Cubs.  

I will take the Cardinals here tonight as they are red hot coming off a sweep over the Rockies.  Weaver is a young talented stud here who has been lighting up the minors.  I look for the Cardinals hot bats to continue and give this youngster his first win

The White Sox have been simply ice cold to put it with their only recent win coming against the Cubs in game 1 of this series.  In no way do I see them keeping it close here tonight as Arrieta is starting to pitch very well with a 2.94 ERA his last three starts.  

Shileds I want no part of with a 5.79 ERA on the season and a 9.60 ERA his last three starts.  

Well I'm not quite sure what is going on with these Nationals lines at home being short favorites, but I'm going to take them again here.  

Gio is having a very good season for them with a 2.83 ERA on the year and even better at home with a 1.95 ERA.  I like the fact the Nationals were shut out last night I think they bounce back in a big way here.  

Yes I know the Rays have been struggling, but I think they end the drought here tonight facing Miley for the Orioles.  Miley is 2-4 on the road with a 6.10 ERA this season.  He comes into this game in worse form with a 7.63 ERA his last three.  

Faria for the Rays has been a nice secret for them with a 4-1 record and a 2.52 ERA on the season.  He is 2-0 at home in 3 starts with a 2.45 ERA.  He should be a bigger favorite here given the numbers.  

The Indians are worth a look here on the RL vs the Angels.  The Tribe have won 4 straight and have the huge advantage on the mound here tonight. 

Clevinger has been lights out with a 2.74 ERA on the season.  He also owns a .50 ERA his last three starts.  While Chavez has been better as of late he has been bad on the road with a 6.27 ERA.  

No doubt this will be a huge public play, but I'm going to continue to fade the Brewers in he 2nd half.  So far doing that proven to be the right way.  Milwaukee is 1-6 SU their last 7 and aren't hitting the ball at all.

Sure Jackson isn't the greatest pitcher in the world, but I think he can get the job done behind that offense.  His first start for the Nationals was promising going 7 innings and only giving up 3 hits.  

Yesterday's game was a thriller with the Cubs scoring 3 in the bottom of the 8th in a nice come from behind fashion.  I see that momentum carrying over here today in a showcase game with the newly acquired Quintana on the mound who was lights out his first start with the Cubs.  The Cardinals as we saw yesterday really struggle with lefties.  Wacha has been terrible on the road this year with an ERA of 5.13

I know I backed the Orioles in a losing effort last night, but will back them again here tonight trying to avoid the sweep.  The price is just to big to pass up on here.  Bundy IMO is overall better than McCullers.  Bundy had a rough patch there but is coming off a good outing vs the Rangers and he does have his best stuff at home as well.  McCullers enter the game failing to even make it out of the 5 inning for two consecutive games and has a 7.54 ERA his last 3 starts. 

The price has came down here but I will gladly take it as this number.  The team everyone is forgetting about right now is the Rays and they are only 3.5 back of first in the AL East.  Now they have dropped their first two games to the Rangers, but I expect a bounce back here with Odorizzi taking the mound.  He is coming off a strong out going 7 innings only giving up 1 run.  Ross has been just ugly all year with a 7.22 ERA on the season and has a 8.36 ERA his last three starts.  

Hard not to like the under here as the Yankees have gone under in 8 straight games  and the Mariners have gone under in 4 straight.  These two teams combined in both games so far have 11 runs between the 2 of them.  

I don't many runs being scored tonight either with Tanaka on the mound who has flat out owned the Mariners with a 5-0 record and a 1.95 ERA.  He is also coming off a strong outing vs the Red Sox striking out 9 in 7 and 2/3.  

Miranda has had his best stuff at home with a 3.23 ERA in 9 starts.  The Yankees bats due tend to drop off a bit facing lefties with a .240 combined batting average.  I think Miranda who has never faced them has the advantage here against their hitters.

I backed the Astros last night in a winner, but now will take my chances with the Orioles here.

Tillman had just an awful start after coming back from injury.  His last two starts both at home have by far been his best, which is telling me he is getting back to form.  He has only gave up 3 earned runs in those 2 starts striking out 8 in 11 innings of work.  

The Orioles have been hitting the crap out of the ball and almost made a great comeback last night after being down 8-2 lost 8-7. McHugh is making his first start of the season and he hasn't fared to well against the Orioles with a career ERA over 6! 

Good enough price here for me to take the best team in baseball.  The Orioles are playing better in sweeping the Rangers, but I'm not putting much stock into it.  The Orioles are sending out  Jimenez who is just not very good at all with a 7.64 ERA on the year and a 9.88 ERA his last three starts.  That wont go over well vs the best offense in baseball even without Correa.  

I'm going to continue to fade the Brewers here for a large part of the 2nd half especially early on.  They are starting to come back to reality losing 5 straight.  The Phillies are quietly playing better winning 3 of their last 4 games.

Garza just started against the Phillies and did pitch well but I see them getting the best of him.  

Nola is in great form right now with a 1.71 ERA his last three starts and owns a career 1.42 ERA against the Brewers.  

It's so hard to even think about going against the Dodgers.  McCarthy hasnt been in great form but the Dodgers offense is just clicking and I expect them  pick it up

I backed the D Backs last night in a easy win after they broke out of their slump following getting swept by the Braves.  They have their ace in Greinke on the mound tonight who has a 11-4 record and 2.86 ERA on the year.  

Both these pitchers just faced each other before all star and Greinke went 7 scoreless innings while Adleman 5 innings giving up 4 earned runs and 6 hits.  

I tossed this around all morning and decided to add it.  After a sour taste in my mouth from the Cubs last night on the RL leading 4-1 in the 9th.  Lackey doesn't have great numbers by any means, but the Cubs bats right now are just hot and you can't pass up on that.  Newcomb is a rookie for the Braves who has never seen the Cubs and being a lefty won't help him here as the Cubs just feed off them.  

I do normally try and stay away from this type of juice but I think the D Backs will extra motivated coming from a day off after getting swept by the Braves.  

Ray has been very good for them this year and is going under the radar here IMO.  He has a 4-1 road record with a 1.34 ERA.  On the season he has an impressive 2.97 ERA.  The Reds aren't a team with a great offense and they struggle to score runs of lefties.  

I will take my chances here with Bundy on the mound tonight as the Rangers are really struggling at the plate right now.  They haven't recorded over 10 hits in 5 straight games.  Bundy has had his recent struggles but I'm counting on the break to help him here.  He has also pitched his best at home with a 3.86 ERA.

I'm going back to the Cubs here again for the third straight day.  I said they are a play on team for the 2nd half and while the juice is too heavy the RL's are the way to go.  This offense is really starting to heat up scoring 9 10 and 8 against the Orioles.  

Lester enters this game possibly coming off his worst start of his career not even getting out of the first inning against the Pirates.  That happened right before all star break so he will be motivated here to bounce back and is fresh.  Lester also owns a 2.14 career ERA against the Braves

Braves are playing well also and send their ace to the mound in Teheran.  I just dont trust Teheran at home as he is 1-6 on the season with an ERA over 7.

I think a lot of people are going to think this will go way over easily.  The Rangers are coming off a series against the Royals where every game went under and they weren't hitting the ball at all.  The Rangers bats have really gone cold on the road all year long with a .212 average.  The Orioles come in not swinging hot bats either as they are swept by the Cubs and shut out yesterday.

Tillman is coming of his best performance after struggling big time.  With the Rangers bats being cold that gives him an advantage here IMO.  Also in Cashner has been favored big time toward the under with a 10-4 record in his starts.  

This is a good enough price for me on the RL to back the best team in baseball.  They were beat yesterday by the Twins ace which I won't hold against them.  Gibson is having a really rough year for the Twins with a 6.31 ERA.  He has a road ERA of 5.20.  

Fiers is just 5-4 on the season but does have a 3.94 ERA.  Also despite is 1-3 home record his ERA is even better at 3.09.  I don't think he will have a problem keeping the Twins offense in check here today.

Instead of laying the heavy juice I will play the RL here.  The Cubs will be more than motivated to get newly acquired Quintana his first win in a Cubs uniform.  The break has also seemed to help them as there bats have been on fire.  I don't see them slowing doing facing Jimenez who brings in a 7.25 ERA on the year and a 6.84 home ERA.  The Cubs are a team to back in the 2nd half and I will continue to ride them

The Marlins are more than worth a look here at this price being a huge underdog.  Wood has been on fire in fact he has yet to lose, but I expect things to even out the 2nd half of the season.  Urena is more than capable as he has a 7-3 record and 3.82 ERA on the season.  

Who knew the Braves would be right around .500 at this point in the season.  I think they will be a play on team here the 2nd half.  They also have a huge advantage on the mound here tonight with Folty.  He has been on fire his last three starts with a 1.89 ERA.   D Backs counter with Corbin who is terrible on the road with a 1-6 record and 7.82 ERA.

Great price here with Arrieta on the mound.  Sure, he has fallen off a little bit but he is just way better than Miley.  Miley entered All Star break in terrible form and with an ERA over 8 his last 3.   The major reason for the Cubs here is the fact their bats woke up last night and they also average 6 runs per game against left handed pitchers.  I expect them to light Miley up

Darvish is coming off his worst outing of the season vs at the time was the red hot Red Sox.  There is no doubt to me that he bounces back here with a big performance. The Rangers bats have heated up in this series having over 10 hits in both games.  They get the sweep today 

Really good value on the RL with Tanaka here today as he is starting to pitch his best all season.  His ERA in his last 3 starts is 1.29.  Nelson has fine numbers on the year, but has struggled the most on the road.  I think yesterday's thrilling come back victory for the Yanks propels them today

After the D Backs getting swept by the Dodgers I expect them to bounce back here with Greinkenwho is undefeated at home.   The D Backs bounce back here tonight

Gotta like the under here with these two stud pitchers taking the mound.  Sure Martinez isn't in great form but I expect him to bounce back after a bad outing against the Nationals which can happen easily.  Carlos has been great at home with a 2.42 ERA.  DeGrom is in the best form of any pitcher right now with any pitcher he has an ERA under 1 his last three starts. 

Another game where pitchers come in good form, but the main thing that stands out to me is that neither pitcher does very well against the other team.  Folty has a 6.14 career ERA against the Nationals and the last time he pitched at their park he didnt make it out of 4th inning giving up 8 runs.  Gio has also really struggled against the Braves for his career with a 4-9 record and 5.13 career ERA.

A lot of respect is being given here to both the pitchers.  While everything points that they are in their best form it doesn't always work out that way as we saw last night with the Royals and Mariners.  Also despite the Red Sox only scoring two runs last night I'm not ready to go against these bats, who had 19 10 and 21 hits the previous 3 games.  This will be Faria first time facing the Red Sox which is no easy task.  I also the think the Rays can score some runs as they average over 5 per game at home

Going with another under here in the night cap as both pitchers have been heavy toward the under.  

Vargas is 10-6 favoring the Under and Miranda is 10-5 toward the under.   Both teams also struggle against left handers as well.  Both are also in great form and having great years.  Vargas has a 2.22 ERA on the season and Miranda has a 3.82 ERA.  

Both these teams have gone way under the total in the first two games.  The Rockies are really struggling with the bats right now as they have gone under in 6 straight games.  The Reds have gone Under in five straight games.  

Both pitchers are in great form with Feldman having a 1.80 ERA his last three starts and Gray having a 1.88 ERA his last three starts.  

Call me a sucker for this one but have no choice to take the Rockies on the RL.  Bailey in his first two starts has pitched a total of 4 and 2/3 innings.  He has gave up 14 runs in those games.  

Freeland did have a shaky start, but has now settled down with a 3.75 ERA on the year and even better at home with a 3.21 ERA.  The Rockies ended their cold streak last night with a 5-3 win.  I see them getting another easy one

This is a low enough price to back Lester and the Cubs here at home.  Lester has really settled down into his own with a 3.69 ERA on the year.  He has had his best stuff at home with a 3-1 record and 2.68 ERA.  

Archer is still a big name but hasn't performed up to par.  His last three starts his ERA is 5.00.  On the road he is just 3-3 with a 4.21 ERA.  

The Cubs are returning home from a long road trip and I believe they get it going here 

Porcello still gets a lot of credit from the Cy young. I want no part of him as he brings in a 6.87 ERA his Last three starts.  He is also just 1-4 on road this year.  

Simply just to good of price to pass up on here wth the White Sox and their ace.  Quintana has been unhitable as of late with a .90 ERA his last three starts.  The only reason he isn't getting the love here is because of the White Sox name.  

We will take the Pirates at this price today.  They are trying to avoid getting swept which I believe they do with Williams on the mound.  He has been sneaky as of late that people will over look in his last three starts not giving up more than 3 runs. 

The D Backs end their little funk here tonight against the Rockies with their ace on the mound.  Greinke has just been on fire with a 9-4 record and 3.08 ERA on the year.  He is a perfect 7-0 at home which give us greater value here.  

Chatwood has a lot of promise and was pitching well at the beginning of the year, but now has lost his command.  His ERA in his last three starts is 4.11.  He has also walked 13 batters in those 3 starts showing how much he is struggling with control.  That won't be good for a D Backs team who is 30-13 at home this season

I think the Cubs bounce back here in a big way lead by Butler who has really settled in with a 4-2 record and 3.71 ERA.  His recent form is even better with a 3.07 ERA. 

Stephens is making his debut and that won't be easy facing a Cubs team who can get hot at any time.  Stephens didn't light up Triple A by any means as he has a 4-4 record and a 4.95 ERA.  

Let's go with the Cardinals here returning home against the Nationals.  I think St Louis might have just found some confidence in taking 2 of 3 against the hot D Backs.  Leake has arguably been the Cards most consistent pitcher while Roark has been very inconsistent.  Leake has a a 3.12 ERA on the year and Roark has a 5.15 and comes in terrible form with a 12.51 ERA his last three starts. 

No problem here at all laying the juice with Cole on the mound tonight.  The Giants are getting some credit right now after sweeping their rival and the red hot Rockies.  I think that alone has them over valued.  Cole is now back to his normal self winning 3 straight games and during that stretch has an impressive 1.35 ERA.  

Really like the Blue Jays to win here on the RL tonight.  They run easily last night with Stroman on the mound and I expect them to do so again tonight.  Happ is red hot lately with a 1.86 ERA his last three starts.  Jimenez is one I always look to fade.  He has a 8.27 ERA on the year right now and isn't even averaging 5 innings pitched per game.  He only has one road win and has 11.48 ERA His last three starts

In way no would I back Colon who is just has hit the wall for his career.  His last three starts his ERA is 13.91 the last three starts.  He is just 2-7 on on year and 1-4 on the road with a road ERA of 7.46.

Perdomo is has really stepped up as of late with a 2.41 ERA his last three starts.  

I will gladly back Matz here who has been very good on the road with a 2.77 ERA.  He has a 3.60 ERA his last three starts.  

Locke doesn't even average 5 innings per game.  He is in bad form with an ERA over 7  his last three starts.  

I had the Rays last night in a win over the Pirates.  I will switch here tonight and take the Pirates as Nova is just much better than the winless Snell.  Nova is 5-2 at home this year with a 2.53 ERA.  

Snell is really struggling right now with a 6.89 ERA his last three starts.  

Odds makers are making a telling sign here IMO.  The D Backs are a league best 29-10 at home and are an underdog to the Cardinals who are 15-20 on the road???  That Sunday night baseball game really gave the Cardinals some life I think and I believe that carries over here.  

Martinez hasn't had great success on the road especially early in the season, but his last two road starts he has gone 12 innings and gave up only 3 runs.  His recent form is great with a 1.29 ERA.  

Biagini has had a rough couple last starts, but I think he bounces back here tonight as he as never faced the Orioles and they are just 2-4 SU their last 6.  Orioles send Gausman to the mound who is anything but good with a 6.47 ERA on the year and a 9.00 ERA on the road.  His last 3 starts he has gave up a home run and there is no reason to think he won't do that again here tonight.  

I really think we will see this line shoot up throughout the day, so I would jump on it early.  Cobb is just the much better pitcher here plain and simple and comes into this game with great form in a 2.29 ERA his last three starts.  The Pirates also struggle a lot at home producing runs averaging just 3.8.  Everyone loves to talk about the Yankees and Red Sox as they are headliners, but this Rays team is only 3 games back first place.  

I will lay the RL here as I think the Rangers are due for a let down after taking 2 of three from the Yankees at their place.  Hamels is making his first start in nearly 2 months and while he did well, I'm sure they aren't looking for him to go deep in this game.  The Rangers bullpen is flat out awful as they have a road ERA of 5.99.

Carrasco is quietly having a CY Young type of year with a 8-3 record and 2.99 ERA.  The Indians have won his last 3 starts and all by 2 or more runs.  He recent form is something worth noticing as well as he as a 1.53 ERA his last 3 starts.  

Well I would sure like to think the Cardinals have a little fight in them especially on the Sunday night stage after dropping the first two.  Leake has been their most consistent starter even though is record is 5-6.  His ERA for the year is 3.03 not something you would expect with that record.  He is also 10-5 lifetime against the Pirates while Kuhl has never beat the Cardinals.  

I know it's hard to swallow anything on the Giants right now, but I feel the price is right here on the RL.  The Giants are trying to avoid getting swept here which I firmly believe they will do.  Moore takes the the mound who is coming off one of his best starts of the season on the road and returns home where he has actually pitched very well with a 3.07 ERA.

Montero for the Mets hasn't shown much of any promise right now not even making it out of the 4th inning in two starts.  He has gave up a combined 12 hits in just 6 in 2/3 innings. 

I might falling for a sucker bet here but the Braves have won 3 straight and 6 of their last 7 games.  Dickey is just an average pitcher but definitely brings his best stuff at home with a 4-1 record and 3.22 ERA

I totally expect this line to keep climbing here.  Lester has now setteled in for season coming off his two best back to back performances of the season.  The key here though is that the Cubs bats destroy lefties.  They average 6.1 runs a game against a lefty.  Also Miami threw Locke in game 1 a lefty and it was batting practice for the Cubs

No way I like Matt Cain here on the road.  He is 0-4 on the road with a 7.46 ERA.  His recent form isn't much better with a 6.91 ERA.  

Garcia for the Braves despite his poor record has actually decent.  He has a 3.59 ERA on the year and has had great success against the Giants with a 4-1 record and 2.35 ERA.

Let's go ahead and take a stab here on the RL at great value with Paxton.  He is 4-1 @ home this year with a 2.08 ERA. Verlander still gets a lot of respect because of his name alone.  He is just 2-4 on the road with a 6.40 ERA.  The Tigers have lost 4 straight and the Mariners have won 3 straight 

Really like the Brewers here tonight against the Pirates after dropping the first 2 games of this series.  Guerra is just very underrated as he has a 2.84 ERA on the year despite just being 1-1.  In 4 home starts he has an impressive 3.20 ERA, and in 3 starts against the Pirates he has a 1.50 ERA.

Neither one of these offenses are really lighting it up right now.  The Tigers have scored a combined 5 runs in the last rooms.  Zimmermann had a shaky start to the season but has now really settled down with a 2.25 ERA his last three starts.  Miranda is also a big time under pitcher with a 10-4 record favoring the under.   

This line has flipped and I believe for a big reason.  Sure the Astros have the best record in baseball right now, but they deserve to be bigger dogs here against the ace of the A's.  Gray has had his best stuff at home in 5 starts with a 2-0 record and 3.30 ERA.  He has also had great success against the Astros with a career 2.53 ERA.

Martes will be making his second start and first on the road.  Sure he did pitch well in his first start, but a large part of that I believe came from all the run support he had early in that game at home which calmed him down.  

Great value here on the under with the Royals and Red Sox who combined to scored 6 runs last night.  Sale is having a great year with an 8-3 record and 2.82.  Strahm will be making his 2nd start of the season and coming off an impressive first game at the Angels only giving up 1 run 

Royals really worth a look here at this price.  sure they had a rough start to the season but now have settled in winning 7 of their last 8.  Hammel has also under performed on the season but now his last two starts suggest he has picked it up.  He has a 2.22 ERA his last 3 starts with two wins.  

Boston coming off Sunday night baseball won over the best team in baseball actually won the series but this is a difficult spot.  Velazquez made one start @ Oakland and he got roughed up big time

Seems like a sucker bet but have to take Price here being an underdog to Musgrove?  A lot of love for Musgrove, but I'm not buying it.  His last start he was favored against Darvish who is much better than him as well.  Price has actually pitched a lot better than what his record and ERA suggest.  

Really like the value here with the under in this match up.  Yes the first 2 games have each scored a combined 14 runs per game, but now Darvish takes the mound who is having a great season with a 2.93 ERA.  He is 10-3 favoring the under in his starts this year.  Even if the Rangers hot bats continue Seattle will struggle to score.  Bergman is coming off a bad outing against the Twins but I give him a pass as that was the 2nd consecutive time he had to face them.  

With yesterday being a 2-1 finish I believe it is adding value here to the over.  Neither pitcher has done anything special that suggests there won't be a lot of runs scored.  Porcello coming off Cy Young award is 3-8 on the year with a 4.67 ERA.  

Paulino has a 11.25 ERA at home.  On the year his ERA is 6.58.  He has only made one quality start as well.  

With what the Rangers bats did to Seattle's best pitcher in Paxton last night I see them having no problem lighting up the scoreboard again.  Gallardo is just having a very rough year with a 3-6 record and 6.11 ERA.  His recent form isn't any better with a 7.31 ERA his last three starts.  Two of those were against the Twins as well who aren't a offensive threat.  

I think Perez will start to turn it around.  He is just a lot better than what we have seen IMO so far.  He is 5-3 lifetime against Seattle with a 3.29 career ERA.  

I think the Over has great vlaue here with this pitching match up.  Martinez is coming off a shut out, but that was at home and against the Phillies.  I doubt he keeps that up especially on the road where he has an ERA of 5.10.  Gausman is also terrible for the Orioles with a 6.49 ERA on the year and 7.63 ERA his last three starts.

Corbin is no doubt the worst pitcher on staff for the D Backs.  Odds Makers are clearly showing that by making Philly favorites here despite the records.  Corbin has a 9.20 ERA his last three starts.  He has also yet to win a road game with a 0-5 record and 9.36 ERA.

I went against the Yankees last night in a winner and will go against them again here tonight.  Sonny Gray is by far the ace of the staff and isn't getting enough credit because he is on the A's.  I think he can help turn things around returning home.  Gray has a 2.92 ERA and his 2-0 in 4 home starts this season.  

There is no doubt the betting public will be all over the Yankees here.  I just don't think Pineda is that much better than Shoemaker if at all actually.  While Shoemaker's stats don't really stand out much his WHIP suggests he is pitching a lot better than that.  

Pineda struggles the worst on the road with a 1-2 record and a 5.96 ERA.  He also has an ERA over 7 lifetime against the Angels 

It's just really hard to pass this one up.  Yes, the Orioles are struggling, but now they are sending their best pitcher to the mound.  Bundy is only 6-5 on the season, but his ERA is 3.05 and his road ERA is 3.86.  His numbers stack up against the best so far in the AL.

I just don't trust the White Sox being able to sweep Baltimore.  Gonzalez does have his best stuff at home, but his last three starts he has gave up a total of 22 hits.  That's not the form I want to see in backing someone

I think both of these guys are big time over achievers right now.  The fact that both teams have struggled to score runs have created the perception here.  Both teams are now hitting the ball very well and the Royals have gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 games.  

These two teams combined for 30 hits last night that is crazy!  There is no way they do that again tonight as much better pitchers are on the mound.  The markets won't adjust much since the total flew way over scoring 17 runs.

These two pitchers just faced each other and the score was 2-1.  I see a similar low scoring game ere as both pitchers are in great form with Bergman having a 1.50 ERA his last three starts and Gibson having a 2.65  his last three.

A  lot of steam coming in on the Yankees after scoring 30 runs the past two games against the Orioles.  I'm just not buying the hype quite yet as Tanaka has been awful this season with a 6.55 ERA and 7.24 ERA on the road.

The Angels just took 2 of 3 from the best team in baseball in the Astros.  Meyer is in good form right now also with a 2.25 ERA his last three starts.  

I think this Rangers team is starting to heat up now.  There is no way they should be underdogs here with their ace on the mound.  Astros getting way to much respect because of the best record in baseball.  Darvish has a 3.04 ERA on the year and is just under 3 on the road this season.

Musgrove has a 4.89 ERA on the year and over 5 at home.  Astros are also just 2-4 their last 6 games.  They are cooling off.  It's time to fade them 

The Dodgers have flat out owned the Reds going 8-1 SU their last 9.  They have won both of the first two games by 2.  RYU is quietly pitching a lot better than the start he had.  Adleman is in good form, but I don't expect that to continue at all here.

There is something totally off with this RL.  Both pitchers are coming in with great form and Anderson has a 0.00 ERA his last 3 starts and Ray has a .40 ERA his last 3 starts.  Neither one of these pitchers are aces so given that I don't expect them to keep this trend up.  Zona averages 6.4 runs a game at home.  The Brewers hit the ball better against lefties averaging 5.3 runs a game.

I really look for Wainright to bounce back here after a terrible start last time out.  He has pitched his best at home this season with a 2.78 ERA and a 4-1 record.   The Cardinals get the sweep here today and have some momentum now

The books are finally adjusting to verlander being terrible.  So with that the value lies with the RL here.  Verlander has a 4.63 ERA on the season and has been in bad form with an ERA over 5 and even worse on the road over 6!

Sale is just mowing teams down this year with a 7-2 record and a 2.93 ERA!  He has been great at home as well with a 4-1 record and 2.23 ERA

Going to grab the RL with the Rangers and their ace taking the mound here.  They finally broke out of their slump!  Wheeler has been living dangerously and very lucky as of late.  His recent form his ERA looks good but he has gave up 17 hits the last two starts and only 5 runs that is extremely lucky if you ask me considering he only pitched a combined 12 innings

Go ahead and lock this in now.  I really see the sharp money coming in tomorrow on the braves.  They will be looking to avoid the sweep here and have Folty on the mound who is way better than Eickhoff.  

Eickhoff has yet to win a game and no signs show he is improving here.  Folty has a 3.72 ERA on the year and coming iff a great shut out performance which I expect to carry over here

The Giants took game 1 last night but I expect the Brewers to bounce back here with a big advantage on the mound.  Anderson has been very solid with a 4-1 record and 3.30 era. 

Cain is very overrated with 5 road starts and an ERA over 8.  He is also winless on the road this season as well. 

The A's are swinging hot bats right now coming off back to back 10 run games.  They also send a hot pitcher in Manaea to the mound who has a 1.42 ERA his last 3 starts.  

Happ is in terrible form failing to provide a quality start in his last 3 starts.  

I know Keuchel is perfect on the year @ 8-0 , but he has struggled against he Rangers in his career with a 4.24 ERA.  The Rangers have also owned the Astros despite the Astors being so good. The Rangers are 16-4 L20 games against them.

Darvish isn't getting enough credit for being the ace of the Rangers here.  He owns as 5-3 record with a 2.84 ERA.  

I will take another underdog here tonight with the Mariners.  Both teams are playing well right now as well just dont believe that the Rays should be this big of favorite.  Odorizi really has a problem going deep into games on the road not even averaging a quality start on average in 4 road starts.  Bergman was lite up by the Nationals and has made all of his starts on the road.  He bounced back with a huge performance going 7 shutout innings @ Boston which is very impressive. 

GAME OF THE MONTH

I know the Dodgers are hot, but I see this streak coming to an end here tonight against the Cardinals ace in Martinez.  His record is only 3-4 on the season but has an ERA of 3.32 on the year.  He has been very impressive at home with a 2.40 ERA.  

Dodgers counter with Ryu who is 2-5 on the season and 0-4 on the road.  His ERA for the year is 4.75.  His road ERA is 5.58.  Dodgers streak ends tonight 

I will take my chances here with the Braves ace taking the mound.  He had one bad start in his 3 last outings.  His other two starts he had yet to give up a run.  The Angels aren't playing great ball by any means either right now losing 4 of 5.  

I believe the books are telling us who they like here despite the names in this match up.  everyone knows Harvey, but he has failed to step up this season with a 5.36 ERA on the year.  He last three starts his ERA is over 5 as well.  

Glasnow hasn't been anything special right now either, but he is coming off back to back good performances going 11 innings and only giving up 4 runs 

I like the value in this game with the under.  Duffy has been on a roll with a 1.71 ERA his last 3 starts and a 2.92 ERA for the season.  The Tribe struggle big time against lefties scoring 3.6 runs a game.  Also Duffy has been a big time under pitcher this year with a 7-2.  Tomlin hasn't been great this season, but it's not like he is facing a great offense right now either.  The Royals only average 3.4 runs per game 

I know the Orioles have been struggling with their bats but shouldn't struggle against Musgrove who has a 5.63 ERA on the season and even worse at home at 6.44.  The Orioles send Gausman who has a 6.66 ERA on the year and even worse on the road at 9.44!  Should be no problem scoring runs here tonight

pretty simple for me here I believe the Twins are in a major let down spot coming off a sweep over the Orioles.  Archers is 5-1 for his career against the Twins with a 1.73 ERA

Gotta love Teheran here against the Pirates tonight.  He is coming off a terrible outing against the Blue Jays and I expect him to respond here with a big effort.  The Braves are also playing very good right now winning 7 of their last 9 games.