PACKERS @ CARDINALS THURSDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN

This is of course a less than ideal spot for the Packers with wide receivers Davante Adams and Allen Lazard placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. 

While Green Bay is 6-0 through the last two seasons when Adams doesn't play, I still think they'll find it difficult to win this one outright. I do however think the market has overreacted and that the visitors have a good chance of covering this inflated number. 

The Cardinals are not at full strength either as J.J. Watt has already been ruled out because of a shoulder injury and DeAndre Hopkins (hamstring) is also is on the injury report. 

Defensively, the Packers are doing just fine, and they are much like Arizona 6-1 ATS on the season. 

8* play on Green Bay Packers. 

COLTS @ NINERS SUNDAY NIGHT NFL SHOWDOWN

The Niners have suffered three straight defeats SU and ATS, but I think they'll snap the skid when hosting Indianapolis here in Week 7. San Francisco is allowing only 217 passing yards per game (7th), and Colts' QB Carson Wentz could be in for a reality check after putting up big numbers against Baltimore and Houston. Additionally, wideout T.Y. Hilton's status is uncertain as he's dealing with a quadriceps injury. 

As for the Niners' offense, all signs point to QB Jimmy Garoppolo returning from a calf injury. Coming out of their bye, the whole team has had time to get some rest and heal up. I think we'll see a big game from the home team. 

8* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

WASHINGTON @ GREEN BAY SIDE

Washington is only 1-5 ATS on the season while Green Bay is 5-1 ATS, but that's also a reason why we're getting a couple of extra points on the underdog in this matchup. I would not be surprised to see the Packers coming out flat following a 24-14 triumph over NFC North rivals Chicago, a game that was a one-score game with less than five minutes to go. Washington is dealing with injuries, but I think the Football Team will step up after getting completely outplayed by Kansas City last week. 

8* play on Washington. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

BRONCOS @ BROWNS THURSDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN

Way too many injuries for Cleveland to not fade them in this one. QB Baker Mayfield has been ruled out and D'Ernest Johnson, who has carried three times for 11 yards this season, will be Cleveland's starting running back. Broncos are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Thursday games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. They look good to snap back from a 34-24 loss to Vegas last week. 

8* play on Denver Nuggets. 

TOP-RATED 10* BILLS @ TITANS MONDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN

I think the Tennessee Titans will keep this Monday night matchup reasonably close. 

Sure Buffalo is elite on both sides of the ball, but the Titans are among the best at running the ball, which means they can keep the Bills offense off the field while also keeping the clock moving to shorten the game, limiting the Bills' chances of pulling away. Additionally, Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill's weapons are getting healthier, and I think the Titans will put up a fair amount of points. 

We can also note that Buffalo has been fairly "lucky" with their opponents averaging 2.0 fumbles per game, and these things tend to even out.

Lastly, this is a potential flat spot for Buffalo after blowing the doors off the Chiefs on the road at Kansas City Sunday night in Week 5, and Titans' coach Mike Vrabel is 13-5 (72%) ATS as a dog of three points or more. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

TOP-RATED 10* COWBOYS @ PATRIOTS GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Cowboys are off to a hot start, covering the spread in each of their five games and winning four straight up since losing to the reigning Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay in their season opener. I think they're overvalued here though, facing a Patriots team that lost by only two points to the Bucs here at Gillette Stadium a couple of weeks ago. Bill Belichick is money as an underdog (Pats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog) while the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We can also note that the Cowboys are on the road following three straight road games, which historically is a tough spot. 

10* play on New England Patriots. 

BENGALS @ LIONS SIDE

The Lions are still looking for their first win of the season, but they are 3-2 ATS and I like their chances of keeping this close. Two of their last three games have been decided by long-distance, game-ending field goals, and the Bengals do not have the offensive firepower to get separation. Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

8* play on Detroit Lions. 

CHARGERS @ RAVENS SIDE

The Chargers have had an impressive start to the season, but I think they're about to come down to earth when visiting Baltimore on Sunday as they'll face a Baltimore team they match up pretty bad with. The Ravens boast one of the best rushing offenses in the league, and the Chargers are allowing an NFL-worst 157.6 rushing yards per game and 5.6 yards per carry. 

Sure, Justin Herbert and the rest of L.A.'s potent offense is clicking, but I think they're about to run out of steam after facing Dallas, KC, Vegas and Cleveland.

8* play on Baltimore Ravens. 

BUCS @ EAGLES THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Bucs put a 45-17 beating on the Dolphins last Sunday, but I think they're in for a tougher game here, playing on the road at Philadelphia on a short week. The Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Thursday night games. The Eagles rank no. 3 against the pass, and as Tampa Bay averages only 82.0 rushing yards per game (26th), they can really focus on stopping Brady. 

8* play on Philadelphia Eagles. 

COLTS @ RAVENS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL *TOP PLAY*

The Ravens are coming off a 23-7 win against Denver. They held the Broncos to only 254 yards of total offense, and they sacked the Denver QBs five times. Now they'll face a Colts team with a banged up offensive line, and I think it's fair to assume Colts' quarterback Carson Wentz will be blitzed relentlessly.  

As for the Ravens, they don't do not only run the ball often, they also do it well, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt (4th). Indianapolis held Miami to only 35 rushing yards on 16 attempts last week, but note that the Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and they've been better defending the pass than the run throughout the season. 

Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Ravens are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Monday games.

10* play on Baltimore Ravens. 

GIANTS @ COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER

The Cowboys have won three straight SU and ATS since losing their season opener at Tampa Bay. I still think the Cowboys are asked to cover too big of a number here against a Giants team that have played three close games since getting blown out by Denver in its first game of the season. Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games. Giants are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.

8* play on NY Giants. 

TITANS @ JAGS SIDE

The 0-4 Jacksonville Jaguars covered the spread for the first time this season in their 24-21 loss at Cincinnati last Thursday, but I don't think they'll be able to keep it close when hosting Tennessee here in Week 5. The Titans saw a two-game winning streak come to an end with a shocking OT loss to the Jets last week, and at only 2-2 they can't really afford to lose to teams like Jacksonville. Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill should have a field day against a Jacksonville defense that has allowed 312 passing yards per game, and RB Derrick Henry should do plenty of damage on the ground. 

8* play on Tennessee Titans. 

SUPER EARLY JETS VS FALCONS BOOKIE BU$TER @ LONDON

Great spot to fade the Jets coming off their first win of the season, a 27-24 OT triumph against Tennessee, while the Falcons look to bounce back from a home loss to Washington. Matt Ryan threw four touchdown passes in the defeat and he should feast on a Jets defense that gave up 300 passing yards, although admittedly only one TD, to Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill last week. 

The Jets 27 points in their win against the Titans were more than it scored in its first three games combined, and it's worth noting they only had 16 first downs to Titans' 30 first downs. While the Falcons defense has its holes, I don't see the Jets keeping up with Atlanta's offense, so let's back Atlanta to get the win and cover in London, England on Sunday.

Falcons are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Jets are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

8* play on Atlanta Falcons. 

RAIDERS @ CHARGERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Raiders are coming into this contest an undefeated 3-0, but I think they'll take a loss at LA Chargers Monday night. Las Vegas needed OT to beat Miami last week, and giving up 28 points to a Dolphins team with Jacoby Brissett under center is not a good sign. Now they'll face an explosive Chargers offense that dropped 30 points in an upset win at Kansas City last week, and even though the Raiders lead the league in total offense, they've played some soft defenses. I expect the Chargers to pull away to win and cover the spread. 

8* play on LA Chargers. 

CHIEFS @ EAGLES NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

I expect the Chiefs to show up big time here as they search for their first win since Week 1. The Chiefs are coming off back-to-back losses to the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers, but Philly should prove to be an easy victim. 

Philadelphia was completely outmatched on both sides of the ball at Dallas Monday night, and playing on short rest is far from ideal for the banged up Eagles. The Chiefs have been awful against the spread for quite some time, but I expect Mahomes and the rest of the Chiefs high-octane offense to run riot in this one and I don't see Philadelphia keeping pace. 

8* play on Kansas City Chiefs. 

PANTHERS @ COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Panthers are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS on the season, and while hardly any credit can be given for beating the Jets and the Texans, their underdog win against the Saints stands out. Their defense has held opponents to a league-best 191.0 yards per game, so if any team should be able to slow down the Cowboys' high-octane offense it's Carolina. 

Dallas has reeled off back-to-back wins since coming up just short in its season opener at Tampa Bay. In their last game (Monday night), the Cowboys put a 41-21 beating on Philly. Now they'll be playing on a short week, and perhaps in a letdown spot following that blowout win against a divisional rival.

Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Panthers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.

8* play on Carolina Panthers. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Saints are 2-1 SU and ATS and the Giants 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS, but I think New Orleans is asked to cover way too many points in this one.

While the Saints are third in scoring defense allowing only 14.0 ppg, they are also second-to-last in passing offense coming into this contest averaging only 113.7 passing yards per game.

It will be tough for the Saints to get separation, and the Giants have played close games since their opening loss to Denver, losing the last two games on last-second field goals. 

Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog.

10* play on New York Giants.