BILLS/PATS T.N.F 10* TOP PLAY

The Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and here they'll face a Pats team that has played well in recent weeks. The Patriots have had this game circled since the schedule came out as they look to avenge last a 47-17 loss to the Bills in last season's playoffs. The Pats are not putting up a ton of points, but they are well coached and their defense rarely lets them down. 

10* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. 

STEELERS/COLTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Steelers took a 37-30 loss as a 3.5-point home underdog against Cincinnati last week. They rarely fail to cover the spread two games in a row though. They are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Colts are having a tough season and they are 1-4 in their last five games. The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

PACKERS/EAGLES SUNDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER

This looks like a good spot for the Eagles to come through with a strong outing after failing to cover the spread in three straight games. They can move the ball through both the air and on the ground and the Packers run defense ranks 25th in the NFL allowing 135.8 rushing yards per game. The Packers offense is not what it used to be, and I don't see them keeping pace with the Eagles. 

Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.

8* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA EAGLES. 

FALCONS/COMMANDERS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Washington Commanders are 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games. They're coming off back-to-back road wins at Philadelphia and Houston, but now they'll face an Atlanta team that has thrived in the role as underdogs this season. The Falcons are 6-2 ATS as underdogs and I think the Commanders are being overvalued by the betting market here due to their recent success. 

8* PLAY ON ATLANTA FALCONS. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE MONTH - RAVENS/JAGS 10* BEST BET

The Ravens are on a roll, coming into this game on a four-game winning streak and 7-3 over their last 10 games. They held Carolina to three points and just over 200 yards last week and they sacked Carolina quarterback Baker Mayfield four times. Now, they'll face a Jacksonville team that has been limited to 17 points in three of its last four games.

The Jags have had extra time to prepare as they're coming off their bye week, but I think they'll find it extremely hard to put up points against this Ravens D.

10* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. 

Super Early Bills/Lions BOOKIE BREAKER

The Bills are coming off a 31-23 win against Cleveland, but they're still not humming on all cylinders at the moment. The win aside, we can note that the Browns outgained the Bills by 39 yards and QB Josh Allen was limited to 197 yards passing. The Lions are playing their best football of the season, coming off three straight wins. The Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.

8* play on Detroit Lions. 

Top-rated 10* 49ers/Cardinals M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Niners may not be built to blow teams out of the water, but I think they match up well against the Cardinals. Arizona QB Kyler Murray missed last week's game with a hamstring injury, and if he takes the field here he'll be running for his life against the best defense in the NFL. Murray was a limited participant in practice this week, as was backup QB Colt McCoy who led the team to an upset win against the Rams last week. Following that win, I would not be surprised to see the Cards come out flat tonight. 

49ers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 Monday games. Cardinals are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Monday games.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

Chiefs/Chargers Sunday Night BOOKIE BOMBER

The Chargers took a 22-16 loss at San Francisco in primetime last Sunday night. They still covered the spread, and they get another chance in a primetime battle here against the Kansas City Chiefs. Sure, the Chiefs might be the best team in the league, but the Chargers are averaging a healthy 265 passing yards per game (5th) and the Chiefs rank only 25th against the pass. Even if the Chiefs pull away early, there's a good chance for a backdoor cover. 

8* play on LA Chargers. 

BENGALS/STEELERS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

Since the start of the 2018 season, the Steelers are 7-0-2 ATS as home underdogs. They always show up in divisional matchups and they are 22-10-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings with Cincy. The Bengals are at risk of coming out flat following a dominant 42-21 win against Carolina. 

8* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

COWBOYS/VIKES NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Vikes are tied with Philadelphia for the best record in the NFL. The Cowboys are coming off a disappointing OT loss at Green Bay, and while they are 4-1 at home, they are only 2-2 on the road. The Vikes are undefeated home at U.S. Bank Stadium and we should see a strong performance from Dalvin Cook against a Cowboys defense that ranks 29th against the run with 143.1 rypg allowed. 

8* PLAY ON MINNESOTA VIKINGS. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* RAIDERS/BRONCOS BEST BET

The Broncos and the Raiders might be two of the most disappointing teams this season. The Broncos took a 17-10 loss at Tennesee last week but they are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. The Raiders are 0-5 SU on the road this season and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record (Denver is 2-2 at home). 

10* PLAY ON DENVER BRONCOS. 

PANTHERS/RAVENS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Panthers are 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last four games. The Ravens are coming off their bye, but they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, the Ravens do not have a major rest advantage as Carolina's last game was Thursday, November 10. This looks like too many points to cover against a Panthers team that is starting to come together. 

8* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. 

TOP-RATED 10* TITANS/PACKERS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Packers came from behind to beat Dallas last week, but I'm still not sold on this team at all. While the Packers have been overvalued for most of the season, the betting market has been undervaluing the Titans all season long and they have covered the spread in seven straight games, winning six of those outright. The Packers are awful against the run, and the Titans have the second-leading rusher in the league in Derrick Henry. 

10* PLAY ON TENNESSEE TITANS

COMMANDERS/EAGLES M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Eagles are an undefeated 8-0 on the season, but these divisional matchups can be tricky affairs. The Commanders have been more competitive with Taylor Heinicke under center. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games and each of their last five games has been one-score affairs. Philly is getting more and more overvalued with each win. 

8* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. 

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR ATS - 10* MAJOR WAGER

The Packers are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak. They're extremely banged up and here they'll face a Dallas team that is coming out of their bye week and put up 49 points on Chicago last time out.

The Packers have struggled to stop the run all season long and Dallas is averaging a respectable 4.7 yards per carry (13th) and 28.1 rushing attempts per game (10th). 

10* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. 

BRONCOS/TITANS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

There's a good chance we'll see Ryan Tannehill back under center for this one. He was a game-time decision when the Titans lost by only three points as a two-touchdown underdog at Kansas City Monday night, despite backup QB Malik Willis completing only five passes for 80 yards. I have no doubt they'll smoke Denver with Tannehill under center. The Broncos defeated the Jags in London on October 30, but they had lost four in a row prior to that win. Even with the Broncos coming out of their bye week, they still have a lot to figure out.

Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

8* PLAY ON TENNESSEE TITANS. 

COLTS/PATS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Pats have won three of their last four games while the Colts are coming off a pair of losses to Tennessee and Washington. The Colts offense has been really bad all season, but their defense is solid and I think the Pats will struggle to get separation. 

Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss. Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

8* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. 

RAIDERS/JAGS BOOKIE BOMBER

This looks like a good spot to back the Raiders to bounce back from a shutout loss at New Orleans last week. They had scored 32, 29 and 39 points in their previous three games, and here they'll face a Jacksonville defense that has allowed 34, 23 and 21 points over the last three weeks (all losses). 

8* PLAY ON LAS VEGAS RAIDERS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* PACKERS/LIONS TOP PLAY

The Lions are coming into this game on a five-game losing streak, but the Packers are in almost equally rough shape coming off four straight losses.

This is the Packers' third straight game away from home while the Lions have remained home in Detroit since a 31-27 home loss to Miami last week.

Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Packers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

10* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

TOP-RATED 10* EAGLES/TEXANS T.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

I'm still not 100% sold on the Eagles, but they are looking more and more like the real deal. They are running the ball very well, and this could get ugly for the Texans who rank dead last against the run. Additionally, the Texans are beat up on defense and their offense is just terrible. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. Texans are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games.

10* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA EAGLES. 

MIKE'S BENGALS/BROWNS M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Bengals have won four of their last five games and they are 5-0 ATS during that stretch. It's tough to play at that level for an extended amount of time, and here they'll face a Browns team that is desperate for a win after suffering four straight defeats. Divisional matchups tend to be close, and the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. 

8* PLAY ON CLEVELAND BROWNS. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/EAGLES NFL BOOKIE BOMBER

The Eagles are 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS and hyped up as a Super Bowl candidate, but I'm not sold on them just yet. They've played a super soft schedule, and the Steelers are experts at hanging around in games they have no business winning. 

8* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

MIKE'S CARDINALS/VIKES NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Cardinals will be a much better team moving forward with star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins back from suspension. They defeated the Saints 42-34 last Thursday and I would not be surprised to see the Vikes coming out flat here after four straight wins. Cardinals are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 road games.

8* PLAY ON ARIZONA CARDINALS. 

NFC/AFC GAME OF THE MONTH - MIKE'S BEARS/PATS M.N.F. BEST BET

I love Chicago in this spot as the Pats are getting way too much respect following their blowout win at Cleveland last Sunday. The Bears meanwhile are getting no respect whatsoever after three straight losses, the most recent at home against a weak Washington team. That was a Thursday night game, so the Bears have had extra time to prepare for this one. I would not be surprised to see Pats rookie QB Bailey Zappe with a poor outing as he might be feeling a bit too confident after throwing for 309 yards and two TDs on 24-of-34 passing against the Browns.

10* PLAY ON CHICAGO BEARS. 

MIKE'S TEXANS/RAIDERS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER

Both teams are coming off their bye week, and I think the Raiders will find it difficult to pull away from a Houston team that has been surprisingly competitive, at least against the spread. The Raiders on the other hand have not been nearly as good as expected, and Davante Adams and Darren Waller are dealing with injuries. The Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.

8* PLAY ON HOUSTON TEXANS.

MIKE'S LIONS/COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

I like Detroit here as I expect a strong outing from the Lions who are coming out of their bye week after getting humiliated in a shut out loss to the Pats on October 9. The Cowboys are in a potential flat spot after battling divisional rivals Philly on primetime Sunday night. Lions are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.

8* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

MIKE'S BRONCOS/CHARGERS M.N.F BOOKIE BREAKER

This looks like a potential flat spot for the Chargers following back-to-back road wins at Houston and Cleveland. 

The Broncos continue to struggle on offense, but they have one of the best defensive units in the league. They've been particularly good against the pass, and the Chargers do rarely pose much of a threat on the ground. 

In their last game, the Broncos took a 12-9 loss to the Colts. That was a Thursday night game, giving them extra time to prepare for this one and the Broncos are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. The Chargers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

8* PLAY ON DENVER BRONCOS. 

MIKE'S COWBOYS/EAGLES S.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER

Dallas QB Cooper Rush is 5-0 SU and ATS as a starter (1-0 last season, 4-0 this season). The Cowboys have already defeated the Bengals and the Rams as underdogs and now they'll face a 5-0 Philly team that is way overrated because of its record. 

The Eagles are being touted as a top 3 team in the league, but I'm not sure I would have them in my top 5. They're getting a lot of respect for their undefeated record, but look at who they've played and I'm sure everyone will agree that they've played a really soft schedule. 

8* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. 

MIKE'S PANTHERS/RAMS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER

This looks like a terrific "get right" spot for the Rams following back-to-back losses to San Francisco and Dallas. They struggled to get going against two offenses, but now they'll face a Carolina team that gave up 37 points to the Niners last week and 26 points to Arizona the week before (both games at home). The Panthers are an absolute mess and Matt Rhule was sacked from the head coach position earlier this week.

Rams are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a double-digit loss at home.

8* PLAY ON LA RAMS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* ATS MAJOR WAGER

This looks like a great spot to back a Jacksonville team coming off a 13-6 home loss to Houston.

The Jaguars put up 422 yards of offense and outgained their opponent by 174 yards, but two INTs from QB Trevor Lawrence cost them dearly. I expect the Jags' offense to do well here against a Colts defense that ranks 30th in the league with only four takeaways on the season. 

The Colts are coming off an OT win at Denver on Thursday Night Football, but it was a struggle and I honestly still can't wrap my head around how the Broncos gifted them the game. Also, these two teams have already faced each other once this season, on Sep 18 when the Jags won 24-0. 

10* PLAY ON JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS. 

AFC GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BENGALS/RAVENS S.N.F. BEST BET

The Bengals are rolling again after a slow start to the season Over the last two weeks, they have outscored the Jets and the Dolphins by a combined score of 45-27 and they've had extra time to rest and prepare after beating Miami on Thursday night football.

The Ravens on the other hand are coming off a physical game against Buffalo, a game they lost.

Divisional rivalries are almost always close, and I love the Bengals in this spot. 

Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC. Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North. Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Baltimore.

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S EAGLES/CARDINALS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

This looks like a good spot to fade the 4-0 Eagles who also have covered the spread in three straight games. The Eagles are now touted as a top-three team in the league, but I'm not sold on them yet. While 4-0, they've played a soft schedule while Arizona has faced some tough opponents. The Eagles are overvalued and the Cardinals are undervalued. which is exactly the type of situation we are looking for. 

8* PLAY ON ARIZONA CARDINALS. 

MIKE'S FALCONS/BUCS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER

The Falcons are 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS on the season. All their games have been decided by four points or fewer, and Tampa Bay has looked out of sorts in recent weeks. Sure, the Bucs have had a tough schedule to start the season, but they're only 2-2 and one can't help but wonder if Tom Brady made the right decision to unretire. He's getting virtually no relief from the running game, and the Falcons have looked surprisingly good when on the ball. 

8* PLAY ON ATLANTA FALCONS. 

MIKE'S LIONS/PATRIOTS SIDE

This is about as square of a bet as it gets, but Detroit's mix of a potent offense and soft defense is ideal for overs. 

Detroit is 1-3 despite averaging an NFL-best 35 points per game. Their defense is absolutely atrocious, and even veteran QB Brian Hoyer or rookie QB Bailey Zappe, whoever gets the start under center for the Pats, should be able to move the ball. Over is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 home games.

In addition to the over, I also like Detroit to bounce back from their 48-45 loss to Seattle last week. Detroit is money against the spread as underdogs and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

8* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

MIKE'S COLTS/BRONCOS T.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER

This looks like a good spot for the Broncos to pick up a win. They had won back-to-back games before taking an L to a desperate Raiders side last week. Despite the loss, note that Denver put up a season-high 23 points and now they'll face a Colts team that is averaging an NFL-worst 14.3 ppg on the season. 

8* PLAY ON DENVER BRONCOS. 

MIKE'S RAMS/NINERS M.N.F. 10* TOP PLAY

The Niners are 1-2 on the season after taking a disappointing 10-11 loss at Denver last week. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and they have owned the Rams in recent regular-season meetings, winning each of the last six.

The Niners have had this game circled since the schedule came out as they get a chance to avenge a loss to the Rams in last season's NFC Championship game. 49ers are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 Monday games.

10* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

Both the Colts and the Titans picked up their first win of the season last week. The Colts managed to take down KC as a home underdog, but I think they're getting too much credit for that one result and I'm not convinced that they have turned a corner yet.

The Titans are also off to a slow start, but they are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. These are two very evenly matched up teams, and the underdog looks like a great bet in this AFC South Divisional matchup that is likely to be decided by a late field goal.

8* PLAY ON TENNESSEE TITANS.

MIKE'S BILLS/RAVENS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

Buffalo might be the best team in the NFL when healthy, but at the moment, they are quite banged up. The Ravens are coming off a dominant win at New England. They have scored 38 and 37 points over their last two games. Additionally, not only are the Bills shorthanded, but this will be their second straight week on the road. Bills are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Ravens are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

8* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. 

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* VIKINGS/SAINTS MAJOR WAGER

The Vikes are 2-1 on the season but needed a fourth-quarter rally to defeat Detroit last week.

The Saints are 1-2 on the season after taking a 22-14 loss at Carolina in Week 3. They outgained the Panthers by 426 yards and Jameis Winston threw for 353 yards, but two picks ruined the day. Winston should have a big game here against a Vikes defense that ranks 29th against the pass.

Also, after starting the season 0-3 ATS, it's almost a guarantee that the Saints are undervalued by the betting market while they really shouldn't. Since the start of the 2015 season, teams who are 0-3 ATS in Week 4 are 13-6 (68%) against the spread. 

Take the Saints to cover at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday. 

10* PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS SAINTS. 

MIKE'S DOLPHINS/BENGALS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Dolphins are 3-0 on the season after defeating Buffalo last week, but this looks like an extremely tough spot for the visitors. Not only are they on the road, but they'll be playing on a short week after an upset win in which their opponent held the ball for more than 40 minutes.

The Dolphins defense must be gassed, and the Bengals finally got their offense going in a 27-12 win at NY Jets in Week 3. 

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S LIONS/VIKINGS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Vikes are playing on a short week after taking a beating at Philadelphia Monday night. They'll face a Detroit team that is 2-0 ATS on the season and high on confidence after beating Washington last week.

Both have their issues on defense, and Detroit has put up 35 and 36 points through its first two games of the season.

With this being a divisional game and both teams knowing each other very well, I think we can expect a tight affair. 

8* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

MIKE'S CHIEFS/COLTS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Colts played a tie with arguably the worst team in the NFL (Houston) in Week 1 and they got shut out at Jacksonville in Week 2. Matt Ryan is not on the same page as his targets and he had three INTs last week, and one could make a case for the Colts actually being the worst team in the league right now!

The Chiefs routed Arizona in Week 1 and looked decent in last week's Thursday night football matchup against the Chargers, despite giving up the backdoor cover. At less than a touchdown, this is a no-brainer play on KC IMO. 

8* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/BROWNS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

Something is not right with Cleveland who just barely won at Carolina in Week 1 and lost to the Jets in Week 2. Pittsburgh is coming off a weak outing against New England, but that was following an upset win at Cincinnati in Week 1. I expect the Steelers to show up again here against a divisional opponent. 

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

MIKE'S TITANS/BILLS MONDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER

Buffalo impressed in its season-opening triumph over the Rams. As it turns out though, the Rams might be suffering from a severe Super Bowl hangover and almost gave away the game to the Falcons on Sunday. The Titans should be well up for this game after letting a 13-point halftime lead slip away to lose 21-20 to the Giants in Week 1. 

Titans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

8* PLAY ON TENNESSEE TITANS. 

MIKE'S JETS/BROWNS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Jets lost 24-9 to Baltimore in their season opener, but they actually outgained the Ravens by 104 yards. They held Baltimore to just 13 first downs and here they'll face a Browns team that easily could have lost its Game 1 matchup with the Panthers.

With this low of a total, each point gets extremely valuable and I would not be surprised to see this game decided by a field goal by the team that holds the ball last, just like in Browns' last game.  

8* PLAY ON NEW YORK JETS. 

MIKE'S DOLPHINS/RAVENS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

Both Miami and Baltimore won their Week 1 matchups rather comfortably and both teams impressed on both sides of the ball, but mainly on defense, and in what could be a low-scoring game, the points become all the more valuable.

The Ravens are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win and the Dolphins are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. This will most likely go down to the wire and either team could win with a late field goal. Take the points. Take Miami. 

8* PLAY ON MIAMI DOLPHINS. 

PERFECT 8-0 RUN - MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS T.N.F 10* TOP PLAY

The Chiefs are good but they are asked to cover too many points here as an overreaction to their blowout win in Arizona. The Chargers have a lot better defense than the Cardinals and Justin Herbert has as good of an arm as Patrick Mahomes. Chiefs are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Since the start of the 2020 season, the Chargers are 6-3 ATS as road underdogs. Chargers are 36-16-4 ATS in their last 56 games as a road underdog. Chargers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with KC. 

10* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. 

MIKE'S BRONCOS/SEAHAWKS M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

Denver QB Russell Wilson is set to make his team debut against his former team. The Broncos are a favorite, and rightfully so, but I think this line has gotten way too inflated. If anyone knows how to handle Wilson it should be Seahawks coach Pete Carroll, and it could take Wilson a while to connect with his new team. 

8* PLAY ON SEATTLE SEAHAWKS. 

MIKE'S GIANTS @ TITANS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

Giants QB Daniel Jones is 11-4 ATS in his career as a road underdog and the Titans were only 4-6 ATS as favorites last season and head coach Mike Vrabel has a 15-21-1 ATS record as a favorite. The Titans are returning Ryan Tannehill under center and star running back Derrick Henry is back as well, but they have lost star receivers Julio Jones and A.J. Brown. It could take a couple of games for Tannehill to connect with his new weapons. Tennesee is the better team, but this is a lot of points to give in a season opener. 

8* PLAY ON NEW YORK GIANTS. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* MAJOR WAGER

Say what you want about Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin, but he knows how to rally the troops when coming into a game ss a an underdog. With the Steelers, Tomlin is 43-27-5 as an underdog, and the Bengals are in a prime letdown spot in their first game since losing the Super Bowl to the Rams. 

Last season, the Bengals swept the season series against Pittsburgh. Time for revenge, and the Steelers are actually in a better spot offensively now that Ben Roethlisberger has retired as he was a shadow of his former self last year. 

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

MIKE'S BILLS/RAMS T.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

I like the Bills against the Rams in the first NFL game of the season as I would not be surprised to see the Rams suffer from the infamous "Super Bowl Hangover". 

The Bills have added Von Miller (from the Rams!) to a defense that was already elite and QB Josh Allen has plenty of weapons at his disposal. 

The Rams have not only lost Von Miller from their Super Bowl-winning team but also leading rusher Sony Michel and star receiver Odell Beckham Jr. 

8* PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS. 

TOP-RATED 10* SUPER BOWL LVI BEST BET

Looking at the metrics, there is not much separating these two teams. 

Additionally, all the pressure is on the Rams playing at SoFi Stadium, and I'm not all that impressed by what we saw from them in the NFC Championship Game.

Ultimately, the Niners didn't have the QB to take advantage of the Rams' dodgy secondary, but now they'll face a Bengals team that is averaging an NFL-best 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Cincy QB Joe Burrow has averaged 280 passing yard per game through their three playoff games. 

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

The San Francisco 49ers have already upset Dallas and Green Bay here in the playoffs, and they're once again spotted points when facing the LA Rams in the Conference Championship. This will be the third meeting of the season, with San Fran looking to complete the three-game sweep after winning both at home and here in LA as 3.5-point underdogs during the regular season. The Niners' defense is playing at a very high level, and they clearly match up very well against the Rams who are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

MIKE'S BENGALS/CHIEFS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Kansas City Chiefs defeated Buffalo in the divisional round, in what was one of the most exciting game of football ever played. The Chiefs offense was on point, but their defense was exposed, and now they'll face a Cincy team that had 475 yards of total offense when they defeated KC 34-31 on Jan 2. The Bengals held the Raiders to 19 points in the wildcard round and the Titans to 16 points last week. I think they have the defense and enough weapons to keep this close. 

8* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

NFL BIG BET ALERT - 49ERS/PACKERS GAME OF THE WEEK

The San Francisco 49ers upset Dallas in the Wildcard Round, and I think their Divisional Round matchup with the Packers will go down to the wire. The run-heavy Niners should have good success against a Green Bay defense that is giving up 4.7 yards per rush (31st), which goes up to 5.6 rushing yards per attempt at home! The first meeting of the season ended with a 30-28 Packers win at San Francisco on September 26. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. 49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games in January.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S WILD CARD ROUND BEST BET

The Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots split their two regular-season meetings. Buffalo won the last one in a blowout at Foxboro on December 26, but I expect this to be a much tighter game. The Patriots are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings in Buffalo, and who would you rather have on the sidelines in a playoff game other than Bill Belichick? Surely, The Hoody will have a plan for how to stop Buffalo's explosive offense. The Pats rank 2nd in the NFL against the pass, and I expect them to keep Josh Allen in check. 

10* play on New England Patriots. 

MIKE'S NINERS/RAMS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

Both reams could have their playoff positions locked in by the time the game kicks off. There is a chance that starters will be rested, which makes taking the points all the more attractive IMO. Also, the San Francisco 49ers match up very well against the Rams. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and defeated the Rams 31-10 in the first game of the season.

49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Rams are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

8* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/RAVENS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers are money as an underdog. Steelers are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog and 15-6-3 ATS in their last 24 games in January. The Baltimore Ravens have lost five straight games. Quarterback Lamar Jackson has missed three games with an ankle injury, and it's uncertain whether he will take the field this week.  

Neither team are likely to make the playoffs as they not only need to win this game, but also need other results to go their way. The Steelers have the best chance, although still very, very slim. I do think both teams will put up a fight though, and I'm happy to take the points in what should be a close game. 

8* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

NFL BIG BET - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

The Cleveland Browns are eliminated from postseason contention while the Cincinnati Bengals have clinched the AFC North. They can move up to the No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the AFC with a win and loses for the Titans and the Chiefs. They still need a win here to stay ahead of the Bills for the No. 3 seed. 

The Bengals are playing great football at the moment, and they have scored 75 points over the last two weeks combined. The Browns' offense has been a huge disappointment all season, and while they can run the ball, but Cincy is great at stopping the run. 

While there is a small chance of the Bengals resting their starters to heal up for the playoffs, I think they'll go for it.

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

MIKE'S BUCS/ JETS MONEYMAKER (SIDE)

There is a good chance that the New York Jets will come out flat here, coming off their second win of the season. It is a big, big difference between taking on Jacksonville as a favorite compared to coming into a game as a double-digit dog to the reigning Super Bowl champions. Jets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. The Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS as double-digit favorites dating back to the start of the 2020 season. 

I also like the under as I don't see the Jets putting up a lot of points against a Bucs defense that has given up a grand total of 15 points over the last two weeks. 

8* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

MIKE'S RAMS/RAVENS BOOKIE BLA$TER SIDE

Baltimore Ravens starting quarterback Lamar Jackson is questionable with an ankle injury but with or without Lamar, I like the Ravens to show up here as they are playing for their playoff lives. The Rams on the other hand are sitting at the top of the NFC West, and this is a tough spot as they're on the road for the second straight week and a potential flat spot following four straight wins. 

Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog. Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight-up loss.

8* play on Baltimore Ravens. 

MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S NFL WEEK 17 GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

This looks like a great spot to back the Washington Football Team to put up a fight following three straight losses. Washington was humiliated at Dallas last week. They've been severely crippled due to injuries and COVID-19 protocols in recent weeks, but Washington is expected to be a lot healthier for this week. 

The Eagles have won five of their last six, but they've been blessed with a favorable schedule combined with shorthanded opponents. 

This is Washington's season as a loss here would see them officially eliminated from playoff contention. I expect to see a desperate and finally healthy Washington team getting it done at home.

10* play on Washington Football Team. 

BUCS @ PANTHERS SIDE

Love the Tampa Bay Buccaneers here after getting shut out by New Orleans in their last game. The Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Carolina. 

The Panthers have dropped four straight games SU and ATS. They've been outscored by 23, nine and 17 points in their last three games. Cam Newton is clearly not the answer under center. Newton has thrown for four touchdowns and tossed four interceptions in five games this season. The Panthers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.

8* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Bears Monday night, but they still have a rest advantage over the Rams who battled Seattle the following day.

This game means a lot more for the desperate 7-7 Vikes than it does for the 10-4 Rams, and we can note that the Vikes are an incredible 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog.

Add in that the Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings, and we have a really strong case for Minnesota. 

10* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

BROWNS @ PACKERS XMAS DAY BOOKIE BU$TER

The Cleveland Browns are dealing with injuries and starters being sidelined with COVID-19 issues. but I think they can keep this one within the number. 

Browns' coach Kevin Stefanski will be back on the sidelines, and both starting quarterback Baker Mayfield and backup quarterback Case Keenum, together with wide receiver Jarvis Landry, cornerback AJ Green and defensive end Ifeadi Odengibo are expected to be available. 

The Packers have locked up the NFC North Division title, while Cleveland on the other hand desperately needs a win to stay in the wild-card race. 

8* play on Cleveland Browns. 

NINERS @ TITANS SIDE

This looks like a great spot to back an angry Tennessee Titans team to snap back from a loss to Pittsburgh. They've now dropped three of their last four games and need to start picking up wins to stay clear at the top of the AFC South. 

The Niners are also in need of Ws, coming into this game with the sixth-best record in the NFC, but they might be a bit gassed out after winning two in a row and five of their past six. 

In addition to the Titans to cover the spread, I also like the under as they most likely will have to ride their defense to success. 

Under is 6-2 in Titans last 8 home games. Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

8* play on Tennessee Titans. 

TOP-RATED 10* VIKINGS @ BEARS NFL MONDAY NIGHT MONEYMAKER

The Minnesota Vikings will be looking to ride the momentum of a 26-28 Week 14 win against the Steelers, but I think they're in for a tough game here at Chicago Monday night. The Bears are way underrated by the betting market after covering the spread in only one of their last eight games, but we can note that the Bears are 6-2 in the last eight meetings with the Vikes who are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.

10* play on Chicago Bears. 

EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

This looks like a good "get right" spot for the Arizona Cardinals who are coming off a disappointing home loss to the Rams.

Now they get a chance to beat up on a Detroit Lions team that took a 38-10 loss at Denver last week, and has won only one game all season.

OK, the Lions have been covering the spread more often than not (8-5 ATS), but so has Arizona as well coming into this game 9-4 ATS on the season.

The Cardinals have won all seven of their road games by double digits, and I am confident they'll make light work of Detroit in this one.

8* play on Arizona Cardinals. 

NFL BIG BET ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

Last week, the Buffalo Bills outscored Tampa Bay 17-3 in the fourth quarter to force overtime only to come up short in the extra period. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has thrown eight interceptions in the past six games, and here he'll face a Carolina defense that ranks no. 1 against the pass, giving up only 177.7 passing yards per game. 

Sure, the Panthers are not playing well right now, coming off three straight losses straight up and against the spread, but they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog and at the moment, I don't think Buffalo should lay double-digits to a team like Carolina. 

10* play on Carolina Panthers. 

RAMS @ CARDIALS SIDE

The Arizona Cardinals won 37-20 in LA on October 3, but I expect a much better performance from the Rams in this one. Los Angeles quarterback Matthew Stafford was 26-of-38 for 295 yards and three TDs in a win against the Jaguars last week while Kyler Murray is still finding his footing following a three-game absence because of an ankle injury.

The Rams have been money against the spread in recent years, going 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. 

In addition the Rams covering the spread, I also like the over. Over is 9-1 in Rams last 10 games as an underdog.

8* play on Los Angeles Rams. 

BILLS @ BUCS SIDE

The 9-3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers are sitting pretty at the top of the NFC South, with the other three teams in the division holding 5-7 records, so it's only a matter of time before they clinch the division. 

The Buffalo Bills meanwhile will be desperate to snap back from a loss to the Patriots. This game holds more importance for the Bills than for the Bucs, and additionally, note that the Bills are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.

8* play on Buffalo Bills. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Cleveland Browns have alternated wins and losses through their last six games. They lost their lat game (at Baltimore mind you!), and I like the Browns to bounce back with a win coming off a loss yet again. They've had an extra week to rest and prepare coming out of their bye week while Baltimore was in a dogfight with the Steelers last week. 

Additionally, Cleveland's defense has been excellent at home, holding opponents to 256.5 yards of total offense and 4.9 yards per play. 

A well-rested Cleveland team off its bye in a revenge spot against a beat up and tired Ravens team? Yeah, I'll bite. 

10* play on Cleveland Browns. 

MIKE'S STEELERS @ VIKINGS THURSDAY NIGHT TOP PLAY

The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a demoralizing and humiliating loss to the at that point winless Detroit Lions. Their season is now all but over, and not only did they lose the game to the Lions, but they also lost Adam Thielen to an ankle injury. Vikes QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to play at his absolute worst in primetime games, and the Steelers have historically been money as underdogs under Mike Tomlin. 

Steelers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog. Steelers are 35-16-3 ATS in their last 54 games as an underdog. Vikings are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

PATRIOTS @ BILLS SIDE

The Buffalo Bills have traded wins and losses over their last six games. They're coming off a 31-6 triumph at New Orleans which means obviously means that they are due for a loss here against the Patriots Monday night! Joking aside, this is a bad time to face a New England team that is playing its best football since Brady left, coming off six straight wins SU and ATS. Additionally, The Patriots are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings in Buffalo.

I don't see many points being scored though, so I'm also recommending a bet on the under. Under is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games as an underdog.

8* play on New England Patriots. 

SUNDAY NIGHT NFL SHOWDOWN - BRONCOS @ CHIEFS MONEYMAKER

As an elite team, the Kansas City Chiefs are often asked to cover big spreads, but they rarely have success in doing so. The Chiefs are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Here they'll face a well-rested Denver team coming off its bye week and the Broncos have been playing well lately, winning three of their last four games, two of those as underdogs. 

10* play on Denver Broncos. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S RAVENS @ STEELERS BEST BET

The Baltimore Ravens are coming off back-to-back wins SU and ATS, but I think they're asked to cover too many points here in this matchup with AFC North rivals Pittsburgh. 

The Steelers are a fantastic 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog, and I expect them to show up here after getting humiliated at Cincinnati last week. The Ravens have struggled with consistency, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

WASHINGTON @ RAIDERS SIDE

Sure, the Las Vegas Raiders will have a decent rest advantage as they last played on Thanksgiving while Washington played Monday night at home against Seattle, but I think the Football Team have a good chance of stealing this game. The Raiders snapped a three-game skid with an upset win at Dallas last time out, but they are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win. 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Washington is playing its best football of the season, coming into this game riding a three-game winning streak. 

8* play on Washington Football Team. 

CHARGER @ BENGALS SIDE

This looks like a good spot to fade Cincinnati. The Bengals put a 41-10 beating on Pittsburgh last week, but they are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. The Chargers are 35-16-4 ATS in their last 55 games as a road underdog, and I expect a big outing from the visitors here after coming out flat at Denver last week. 

8* play on Los Angeles Chargers. 

BUCS @ COLTS SIDE

Good spot to fade the Indianapolis Colts who are likely to come out flat here following three straight wins a 41-15 upset at Buffalo last week included. The Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, and they'll host a Bucs team that is looking to build momentum after snapping a two-game losing streak with a dominant win against the Jets last time out. 

8* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

STEELERS @ BENGALS SIDE

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 15-6-2 against the spread as underdogs in divisional games under Mike Tomlin. The Cincinnati Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and in a potential flat spot after defeating the Raiders in Las Vegas by 19 points last week. 

8* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

TITANS @ PATRIOTS SIDE

The Pats defense has been excellent in recent weeks, with 6, 7, and 0 points allowed through their last three games. They now own the best scoring defense in the NFL with only 16.1 points allowed per game. 

Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in November, and here they'll host a dinged up Tennessee team that will be without its biggest threat in injured running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are averaging only 253.3 passing yards per game and they put up only 13 points in a home loss to Houston last week.

I do however think that the Titans can keep it close as the Pats offense could come out flat following three straight blowout wins. Road favorites of more than a field goal are only 5-10 ATS as following three straight wins by at least 15 points dating back to the start of the 2015 season. 

8* play  on Tennessee titans. 

BILLS @ SAINTS SIDE

The Saint are unlikely to have much success moving the ball with Trevor Siemian at QB and running back Alvin Kamara at best dinged up, and most likely not even playing. The Bills have not been at their best lately, but they had allowed only 37 points over their last three games before giving up 41 to Indianapolis last time out. New Orleans' defense has given up 27, 27, 23, and 40 points through its last four games, but the Bills' offense has been inconsistent. 

Under is 5-1-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 8-0-1 in Saints last 9 Thursday games.

In addition to the under, I also like the Saints to cover the spread. Taking the points become all the more attractive in low-scoring games, and note that New Orleans head coach Sean Payton is 11-2 ATS as a home dog with the Saints. 

8* play on New Orleans Saints. 

EARLY BEARS @ LIONS THANKSGIVING BOOKIE BREAKER

The Bears defeated Detroit 24-14 home in Chicago back in October, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Bears' running back David Montgomery had 106 rushing yards and two touchdowns in the last meeting, and that was no fluke as Detroit is allowing 140.5 rushing yards per game (31st). The Bears defense is decent, while Detroit has a lack of talent at pretty much every position. Lastly, Chicago head coach Matt Nagy is in the hot seat and in desperate need of a win, and I think he'll have the players fired up here. 

8* play on Chicago Bears. 

CHARGERS @ CHIEFS SIDE

The Kansas City Chiefs tend to disappoint as favorites, but I like them laying less than a field goal when hosting Dallas here in Week 11. The Chiefs have picked up pace again, having won four of their last five games and they put up 41 points on the road at Las Vegas last week. 

The Cowboys have also been playing well and they put a 43-3 beating on the Falcons last week, but they're coming into Kansas City with a dinged up defense and I think KC will be able to take capitalize. Additionally, note that Dallas is 8-1 against the spread on the season and due for ATS regression. 

8* play on Kansas City Chiefs. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH

Great spot to back the Seahawks after coming out completely flat in a shutout loss at Green Bay last week. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog.

The Cardinals are not the same team without injured star QB Kyler Murray, and while he returned to practice Wednesday, I don't think the Cards will risk him here with their bye on deck. 

10* play on Seattle Seahawks. 

PACKERS @ VIKINGS SIDE

The Green Bay Packers are 8-1 SU and 9-1 ATS on the season, but I think they're in for a tough one here at NFC North rivals Minnesota Vikings in Week 11. The underdog is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings, and the Vikes are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Green Bay is sitting pretty at the top of the division, and it has played a really tough schedule lately, facing Arizona (a), Kansas City (a) and Seattle in its last three games. I don't think the Packers can match the Vikes intensity and desperation in this one.  

8* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

PATRIOTS @ FALCONS THURSDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER

I think this line has gotten way out of hand. 

Sure, the Patriots have been red hot, winning five of their last six games, but this looks like a potential flat spot coming off a 45-7 rout of Cleveland last week. 

Atlanta on the other hand is underrated (IMO) as all the market seems to remember is the Falcons' 43-3 loss at Dallas last week. The Falcons had won three of their last four prior to that, and we should see a reaction after getting humiliated last week while the Pats are at risk at underestimating their opponent in this one. 

8* play on Atlanta Falcons. 

TOP-RATED 10* RAMS @ NINERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Niners can ill afford to drop this game against the Rams as a loss here would make their road to the playoffs all but impossible. "I definitely think there's a big hunger to win," San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan said Thursday. "I think there's a huge sense of urgency. ... There's a different type of disappointment, a different type of frustration. But the hunger, the energy, that's all still there."

San Francisco's 3-5 record does not look good on paper, but they have played a really tough schedule and I think they'll be the hungrier team in this one. Niners' quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has passed for more than 300 yards in back-to-back games, and the Rams can be hit through the air, giving up 249 passing yards per game (17th). 

The 49ers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. The rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

TOP-RATED 10* SEAHAWKS @ PACKERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Seahawks are coming out of their bye week, and they are expected to get Russell Wilson back under center after missing more than a month with a fractured middle finger.

The Packers on the other hand spent a lot of energy in a hard-fought loss at Kansas City last week with backup QB Jordan Love. Rodgers was absent for the loss while in the league's COVID-19 protocol after testing positive, and even if Rodgers is back for this game, he would be reinstated until Saturday at the earliest and as such having spent quite some time in quarantine. 

Seahawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Seahawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.

10* play on Seattle Seahawks. 

SAINTS @ TITANS SIDE

This looks like a great spot to fade a Tennessee team that has been a bit too hot lately for it to be sustainable. The Titans have won five in a row SU and ATS, the last four as underdogs, including a 28-16 triumph as a touchdown dog at LA Rams on Sunday night. They prevailed without star running back Derrick Henry who will miss this game as well, and I think the Titans will find it a lot harder to move the ball in this one. 

The Saints look primed to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Atlanta last week, and I would not be surprised if they win this one outright. 

Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

8* play on New Orleans Saints. 

LIONS @ STEELERS SIDE

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing on a short week after just barely scrambling past Chicago on Monday night football, winning by only two points as a 7-points favorite. They have a tendency of playing down to their competition, and I think the bookmakers are giving the home team way too much respect in this one. 

The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite and of their five wins on the season, only one was by more than seven points. Here they'll face a well-rested Detroit team coming out of its bye week, and while the Lions are a winless 0-8 on the season, note that they've covered the spread in 50% of their games. 

In their last game, the Lions took a 44-6 beating by Philly home in Detroit, but they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

8* play on Detroit Lions. 

BEARS @ STEELERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SHOWDOWN

Pittsburgh Mike Tomlin is a coach I'm happy to back as an underdog, but I just find it hard to trust him as a favorite, especially when asked to cover this kind of number. 

Additionally, while Chicago's offense is awful (dead last for total offense and second to last in scoring offense with only 15.4 points per game) note that the Steelers are only marginally better with their 18.9 points per game. 

Chicago's defense has been decent, especially against the pass, and Pittsburgh poses very little threat on the ground (3.7 yards per carry, 28th). Additionally, the Bears can actually move the ball on the ground, averaging 136.6 rushing yards per game (6th), and it's not all due to volume as they rank 10th with 4.6 yards per carry. 

Lastly, Chicago coach Matt Nagy is expected to return to the sidelines following a one-game absence in the NFL's COVID-19 protocol, and reports suggest that running back David Montgomery could be activated off injured reserve. Montgomery (69 carries for 309 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4.5 yards per carry) was off to a good start prior to suffering a knee injury in Week 4. 

8* play on Chicago Bears. 

TOP-RATED 10* TTIANS @ RAMS SUNDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN

The Tennessee Titans are traveling to Los Angeles riding a four-game winning streak, and they have won six of their last seven straight up and against the spread. For this game they'll be without NFL's leading rusher Derrick Henry, but I still think the Titans can keep this one relatively close. The Rams have won four in a row, but they have failed to cover the spread as big favorites in their last two games. 

Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Rams are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Titans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

PACKERS @ CHIEFS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

I think we've seen too big of an overreaction to the news that Packers' star QB Aaron Rodgers is out after testing positive for COVID-19. Jordan Love is in line to make his first career start in Rodgers' absence, but its' worth noting that he got all the No. 1 quarterback reps during the offseason while Rodgers skipped all team activities. Additionally, the Packers defense has really stepped it up i recent weeks. 

The Chiefs have been a major disappointment this season and they are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.

8* play on Green Bay Packers. 

BROWNS @ BENGALS SIDE

I'm happy to take the points on the underdog Cleveland in this divisional matchup. Sure, the Browns will be without a weapon in Odell Beckham Jr. who will officially be released Monday. I expect the rest of the Browns to come together as a team and prove they are a lot better than what they've shown lately with three losses in their last four games. Especially QB Baker Mayfield should have a chip on his shoulder after getting criticized by Beckham Jr's. father on social media. 

The Bengals took a loss to the lowly New York Jets last week, after winning at Baltimore the week before. They are not a team you can trust, especially not as a favorite. 

Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

8* play on Cleveland Browns. 

TEXANS @ DOLPHINS SIDE

OK, the Houston Texans are just 1-7 straight up on the season, but so are the Dolphins as well and the Texans are 4-4 ATS while Miami is only 2-5-1 ATS. The metrics for both teams are close, and I don't think Miami should be this kind of favorite against anyone in the league right now. 

Texans' rookie quarterback Davis Mills has really struggled under center, but Tyrod Taylor is expected to be back for this one and he looked pretty sharp in the first few games of the season before being injured. He could not ask for a much easier opponent to make his comeback against with Miami giving up 291 passing yards per game. 

Additionally, the Texans are off for 14 days following this contest, so I'm sure they'll put in a good effort before their bye week.

8* play on Houston Texans. 

PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS SIDE

The Chargers are fresh off their bye week, but I still think the Pats will give them all they can handle in a low-scoring affair here at SoFi Stadium Sunday afternoon. 

Patriots head coach Bill Belichick will almost certainly try and keep the Chargers' explosive offense off the field by running the football, and NE should have good success with that approach as no team in the NFL allows more rushing yards per carry than the Chargers. 

The under is 6-1 in Patriots' last 7 games as an underdog, New England is allowing only 20.0 points per game (6th), and both teams are outside of the top 10 for pace. Additionally, we can note that the under is 5-1 in Chargers' last 6 games overall and 5-2 in Chargers' last 7 games following a bye week.

8* play on New England Patriots. 

BENGALS @ JETS SIDE

The Jets are averaging only 272.3 yards of total offense per game and an NFL-worst 13.3 points per game. Here they'll face a Bengals defense that has the no. 5 scoring defense in the NFL and just held the Ravens to 17 points last week. Under is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 9-2 in Jets last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.

In addition to the under, I also like the Jets to cover the spread as this is a huge number for a team like Cincy to cover on the road. This game also has a massive flat spot potential for the Bengals after hanging 41 points on division-rival Baltimore last week. 

8* play on NY Jets. 

STEELERS @ BROWNS SIDE

The Steelers are 23-14-2 as underdogs of a field goal or more under Mike Tomlin. Cleveland is expected to get Baker Mayfield back under center, but running back Nick Chubb who has missed two games due to a calf injury was limited in practice on both Wednesday and Thursday. Additionally, the Steelers will be well rested coming out of their bye week. 

8* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Bears are averaging an NFL-worst 255.4 yards of total offense per game, and this looks look a bad matchup against a San Francisco team that ranks no. 6 in total defense and no. 5 against the pass. Offensively, the Niners are getting slightly healthier again and QB Jimmy Garoppolo should be sharper than he was in last week's 30-18 loss to Indianapolis. 

The Niners are a winless 0-4 in their last four games, but they've played a rather tough schedule and they should be able to get the job done against Chicago. Additionally, we can note that Bears head coach Matt Nagy is on the Covid-19 list, so special teams Chris Tabor will serve as head coach and outside linebacker Kahlil Mack has been ruled out due to a foot injury. 

10* play on San Francisco 49ers.