MLB Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
05-26-18 | Blue Jays v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 15% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Phillies had played four straight unders before last night's 6-5 loss to the Blue Jays. Phillies ace Aaron Nola (5-0, 2.06 ERA) was tagged with four runs in six innings at St. Louis his last time out, but he had allowed a total of just two runs in his last three starts prior to that. Toronto left-hander Jaime Garcia (2-3, 6.28 ERA) is 3-5 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.113 WHIP in his career against Philadelphia. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-26-18 | Cardinals v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 15% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that St. Louis right-hander Jack Flaherty (1-1, 2.31 ERA) has allowed one run in three of his four starts this season and Pittsburgh righty Trevor Williams (5-2, 3.05 ERA) is enjoying a great year. Under is 7-0-1 in Williams' last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 6-1-3 in Cardinals last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-25-18 | Mets v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 15% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Mets' right-hander Noah Syndergaard (4-1, 2.91 ERA) held the D'Backs to one run through seven frames his last start. He has held seven of his last nine opponents to two or fewer runs and has this Brewers roster limited to a .157 AVG over 51 at bats. Milwaukee right-hander Junior Guerra (3-3, 2.98 ERA) is having a solid year and gave up just one run his last outing. Under is 13-3-2 in Syndergaard's last 18 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 8-2 in Guerra's last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-25-18 | Astros v. Indians UNDER 8 | 11-2 | Loss | -113 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 15% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Houston will send Dallas Keuchel (3-6, 3.43 ERA) to the mound. Sure, the left-hander's win/loss record for the season is not all that impressive, but note that he's 4-1 with a 2.76 ERA in seven career appearances (six starts) against the Tribe. Cleveland turns to Corey Kluber (7-2, 2.36 ERA) who's having an excellent year, but I really think the value is on the visitors and the under in this matchup. Under is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Cleveland. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-24-18 | Orioles v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 9-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 16% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that this total is inflated out of proportion because of the two starting pitchers' poor performances of late. Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 overall and 6-2-1 in Orioles last nine road games. Under is 12-3-1 in White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito's (3-4, 6.42 ERA) last 16 starts overall and 3-1-1 in Baltimore right-hander Dylan Bundy's (2-6, 4.70 ERA) last five road starts. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-24-18 | Pirates v. Reds UNDER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED *BASES BLOWOUT* TOTAL This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 16% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Pittsburgh had scored just 11 runs through a 4-game losing streak before breaking out to beat the Reds 5-4 on Wednesday. Cincinnati right-hander Luis Castillo (3-4, 5.61 ERA) has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his last four starts and held the Cubs to one run through five frames his last time out. Pittsburgh right-hander Ivan Nova (2-4, 4.79 ERA) has struggled of late, but he held San Diego to a pair of runs through six innings his last time out and has a 3.34 ERA in five day starts on the season. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-23-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT MLB TOTAL This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 14% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Dodgers' right-hander Kenta Maeda (3-3, 3.89 ERA) has posted a 2.56 ERA in seven career appearances (five starts) versus the Rockies. Kyle Freeland (4-4, 3.17 ERA) will take the ball for Colorado. He compiled a 4.26 ERA in four starts against the Dodgers last year, but take into consideration that under is 12-3-1 in Dodgers last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings. Under is 8-2 in Sam Holbrook's last 10 games behind home plate. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-22-18 | Marlins v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The New York Mets have won four in a row including a 2-0 triumph in the opener of this three-game series with Miami Marlins. I expect another low-scoring contest here Tuesday night, but with the Marlins coming out ahead. Miami right-hander Caleb Smith (2-5, 4.22 ERA) had allowed just four runs through his last four starts before running into early trouble in a 7-0 loss to the Dodgers his last time out. I think he'll bounce back with a solid performance here, unlike Zack Wheeler (2-3, 5.92 ERA) who was tagged with six runs through four innings of a 12-1 home loss to Toronto his last outing. Wheeler has allowed 15 runs through his last three starts and he's 0-3 with a 9.56 ERA in three home starts on the season. The Fish are averaging only 3.48 rpg, but I think the value is on the visitors and under in this contest. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-21-18 | Braves v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Atlanta Braves lead the Phillies by 1 1/2 games in the National League East, but that could change quickly as the they open a three-game series at Philadelphia Monday night. Mike Foltynewicz (3-2, 2.87 ERA) will take the ball for the visitors. The Braves have lost 13 of his last 16 starts and the 26 year old right-hander lasted only five innings his last time out, throwing 107 pitches while walking five hitters. The Phillies turn to Nick Pivetta (3-2, 3.72 ERA) who struck out 11 and gave up just two hits and one run in seven innings against the Orioles last Wednesday. Phillies are 8-1 in Pivetta's last nine home starts and 13-3 in his last 16 starts overall. Phillies are 5-1 in Pivettas last six starts against Atlanta. Philadelphia is 8-3 in its last 11 games and returns home from a 3-2 road trip. "To go home after a winning road trip, we have a lot to feel good about. We're ready, we're prepared for Atlanta," Phillies manager Gabe Kapler said to reporters Sunday. "We're excited about that series, and we're ready to roll." I like Philadelphia to win a low-scoring contest. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-20-18 | Rangers v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
SUNDAY AFTERNOON BASEBALL TOTAL This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 12% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Rangers' left-hander Mike Minor (3-2, 5.61 ERA) is 0-1 with a 1.98 ERA in six games (one start) against the White Sox while the home team's right-hander Reynaldo Lopez (0-3, 3.50 ERA) should be focused to bounce back from the worst outing of the season as he allowed six runs and seven hits in two innings against the Pirates last time out. Under is 6-2-1 in Rangers last nine overall. Under is 5-1 in White Sox last six overall. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-19-18 | Yankees v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 18% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Yankees' Luis Severino (6-1, 2.14 ERA) tossed eight scoreless innings against the Royals last year and he has posted a 1.54 ERA over his last six starts overall. KC hands the ball to southpaw Danny Duffy (1-5, 6.51 ERA), and under 7-0 in Yankees last seven games vs. a left-handed starter. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-19-18 | Rockies v. Giants UNDER 8 | 4-9 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 18% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Rockies' Jon Gray (4-5, 4.85 ERA) has compiled a 2.35 ERA in three career starts against the Giants while Colorado will see the home team's Chris Stratton (4-3, 4.88 ERA) for the first time. Under is 16-4-1 in Rockies last 21 overall and 5-0-1 in the last six meetings at AT&T Park. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-18-18 | Phillies v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 4-12 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB TOTAL This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 18% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that both Phillies' Jake Arrieta (3-1, 2.59 ERA) and Cards' Michael Wacha (4-1, 3.09 ERA) have been dealing lately. Arrieta has allowed just one run through his last two starts covering 13 1/3 frames while Wacha is coming off six innings of one-run ball at San Diego. He has held each of his last five opponents to two runs or fewer. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last four overall and 10-3-2 in Cardinals last 15 overall. Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-18-18 | Padres v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
TOP RATED 10* MLB *BIG HITTER* This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of close to 18% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that San Diego right-hander Tyson Ross (2-3, 3.40 ERA) held the Cards to one run on three hits with seven Ks through six innings of a no-decision his last time out. The 31 year old has struck out 53 in 47 2/3 innings on the season. Pittsburgh's Ivan Nova (2-3, 5.01 ERA) has been lit up in each of his last three starts, but here he'll face a Padres side which has the third worst batting average across the major leagues this year. Under is 6-1 in Ross' last seven starts overall and 4-0 in his last four road starts. Under is 9-2 in Novas last 11 home starts. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-16-18 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB *DAYTIME DESTROYER* This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of 17.9% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Tampa Bay right-hander Jacob Faria (3-2, 5.09 ERA) has allowed one or zero runs in four of last six starts and in five of his eight starts on the season. Under is 5-2-1 in Royals last eight home games vs. a right-handed starter and their own starter for the day, Jason Hammel (0-4, 6.13 ERA), has compiled a 3.86 ERA home at Kauffman this season. Under is 9-4-2 in Rays last 15 overall. Under is 17-7-1 in Royals last 25 vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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05-15-18 | Reds v. Giants UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of 18.9% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that San Francisco's Ty Blach (3-3, 4.20 ERA) had allowed just six earned runs through 18 2/3 frames covering three starts before getting lit up at Philadelphia his last time out. Cincinnati right-hander Tyler Mahle (3-4, 3.86 ERA) held the Dodgers to one unearned run in five innings his last outing. "It was some kind of impressive performance," interim Reds manager Jim Riggleman told reporters. "He really was electric with his stuff and he got better as the night went on." Under is 9-2-1 in Mahle's last 12 starts overall. Under is 6-1 in Blach's last seven starts overall. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-15-18 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of 18.9% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Houston's Gerrit Cole (4-1, 1.43 ERA) has been lights out this season and allowed just one run and four hits in six innings in a 4-1 win against Oakland on Wednesday. The Halos turn to Jaime Barria (3-1, 2.45 ERA) who tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings against the Rockies his last time out and his teammats are impressed by what they've seen from the youngster so far. "You don't see a lot of young guys come up here and fill the zone up like he does," Angels infielder Zack Cozart told Fox Sports West. "That's the ultimate key in pitching is throwing a lot of strikes, and once you establish that, you can start working your way out of the zone." Under is 12-2 in Astros last 14 overall. Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-15-18 | White Sox v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 0-7 | Win | 113 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of 18.9% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that the White Sox's Reynaldo Lopez (0-2, 2.44 ERA) held the Pirates to a pair of runs on three hits through a career-high 7 1/3 innings his last time out, while pitching opposite Trevor Williams (4-2, 3.15 ERA) who was tagged with four runs through five frames. Williams has otherwise been solid this season and enters this contest with a 1.17 WHIP. He has held opponents to two or fewer runs in six of his eight starts. Under is 9-3-1 in Williams' last 13 home starts and 19-6-1 in his last 26 starts overall. 8* play on UNDER. |
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05-14-18 | Reds v. Giants UNDER 8 | 7-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of 13.8% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that San Francisco right-hander Chris Stratton (3-3, 4.60 ERA) should be focused for this contest after getting roughed up in his last three outings while Cincy's Sal Romano (2-3, 3.83 ERA) has pitched very well in his last two starts, allowing a total of two runs and seven hits in 11 1/3 innings ( against the Marlins and the Mets). Under is 5-1 in Reds last six overall. Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings. 8* play on CIN @ SF to go UNDER the total. |
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05-14-18 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 8 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of 13.8% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Houston's Lance McCullers Jr. (5-1, 3.72 ERA) is 3-1 with a 1.78 ERA in nine career starts against the Halos while Andrew Heaney (1-2, 4.78 ERA) will face Houston for the first time. Heaney has posted a 2.12 ERA over his last three outings. Under is 5-0 in Astros last five overall. Under is 6-1 in McCullers Jr.s last seven starts vs. Angels. 8* play on HOU @ LAA to go UNDER the total. |
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05-14-18 | Brewers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK This play is based on an undisclosed totals system which has generated an ROI of 13.8% so far in 2018. In addition we can note that Milwaukee's Junior Guerra (2-3, 3.09 ERA) has posted a 3.09 ERA in two career starts against the Diamondbacks while Arizona left-hander Patrick Corbin (4-0, 2.12 ERA) has held opponents to three or fewer runs in all eight of his outings on the season. Arizona's bullpen has posted an NL-leading 2.41 ERA and 13 saves while holding opponents to a .200 batting average on the season while Milwaukee's relievers rank second with a 2.67 ERA. Under is 22-4 in Brewers last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 7-1 in Diamondbacks last eight home games vs. a team with a winning record. 8* play on MIL @ ARI to go UNDER the total. |
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05-13-18 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 1-17 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 15 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY RAYS @ ORIOLES *DAYTIME DESTROYER* The Baltimore Orioles beat the Tampa Bay Rays 9-4 on Friday and have now won four of their last five. They've scored 41 runs in the last six games but I'll think they'll win this contest with good pitching. Dylan Bundy (1-5, 5.31 ERA) has allowed 22 runs (19 earned) in his last three starts (nine innings). Poor stats indeed, but I think that'll make him zoned in here against a weak hitting Tampa Bay team. The Rays turn to Blake Snell (4-2, 2.40 ERA) who is 0-1 record in his last two trips to the mound despite allowing just three runs and 13 innings combined. Under is 8-2-2 in Rays last 12 overall. Under is 5-2 in Bundy's last seven starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. 8* play on TB @ BAL to go UNDER the total. |
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05-12-18 | Mariners v. Tigers UNDER 9 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY Detroit has lost five of its last seven games and the injuries keep piling up for the wounded Tigers, most notably first baseman Miguel Cabrera and center fielder Leonys Martin who are on the 10-day disabled list with hamstring injuries. The Seattle Mariners own a respectable 21-15 record on the season after a 9-3 win at Toronto Thursday night, and I think they'll win a low-scoring contest here in the first game of a doubleheader. |
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05-12-18 | A's v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY OAKLAND @ NYY TOTAL The Oakland Athletics opened this three-game series with a 10-5 triumph Friday night, but I think runs will be way harder to come by for both teams today. Andrew Triggs (3-1, 4.41 ERA) will take the ball for Oakland. The right-hander struck out nine while holding Baltimore to one run on two hits through seven innings his last time out. He is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in two career appearances against the Yankees who turn to Domingo German (0-1, 2.66 ERA). He fanned nine in six hitless innings while throwing a career-high 84 pitches in his first career start Sunday. The 25 year old has struck out 27 through 20 1/3 innings of work on the season. 8* play on OAK @ NYY to go UNDER the total. |
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05-11-18 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 8 | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers for the opener of a three-game set at Minute Maid Park Friday night. Cole Hamels (1-4, 3.94 ERA) will take the ball for the visitors. He has allowed just a total of five earned runs through his last three starts and under is 5-1-1 in Hamels' last seven road starts. The Astros turn to Justin Verlander (4-1, 1.17 ERA) who allowed one earned run over six innings of a 3-1 loss at Arizona his last time out. Verlander has been outstanding all season, holding four of his eight opponents scoreless. Under is 5-1 in Verlander's last six starts overall. 8* play on TEX @ HOU to go UNDER the total. |
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05-09-18 | Braves v. Rays UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB TOTAL The Atlanta Braves won the opener of this two-game series 1-0 on Tuesday. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored one run total in their last two games and here they'll come up against one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. Julio Teheran (2-1, 3.65 ERA) has allowed just a total of six earned runs over 29 innings for a 1.86 ERA through his last five starts. Tampa Bay turns to rookie left-hander Ryan Yarbrough (2-1, 3.33 ERA) who will make just his second career start. The 26 year is however coming off his best outing in the majors as he held the Blue Jays scoreless through five innings out of the bullpen his last time out. Under is 6-2 in Braves last eight road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in at Tropicana Field. 8* play on ATL @ TB to go UNDER the total. |
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05-08-18 | Twins v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 56 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY *DAYTIME DESTROYER* The St. Louis Cardinals managed only four hits in a 6-0 loss to the Minnesota Twins yesterday. I think runs will come at a premium for both sides here in the finale of the two-game set. Carlos Martinez (3-1, 1.40 ERA) has been outstanding since getting knocked around in his season debut, allowing just three runs through his last six starts. Under is 6-1 in Martinez's last seven starts vs. a team with a losing record and 6-1-1 in Cardinals last eight overall. Jake Odorizzi (2-2, 4.10 ERA) will take the ball for Minnesota. He has posted a 3.24 ERA in three career starts versus the Cardinals. Under is 11-0 in the last 11 meetings. 8* play on MIN @ STL to go UNDER the total. |
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05-07-18 | Astros v. A's UNDER 8.5 | 16-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
LATE MLB *MIDNIGHT MASSACRE* (TOTAL) The Houston Astros have scored fewer than two runs in three of their last six contests, and here they'll face Brett Anderson (0-0, 2.84 ERA) who is 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA in three career outings (two starts) against Houston. Dallas Keuchel (1-5, 3.98 ERA) will take the ball for the Astros, and he is 5-5 with a solid 2.88 ERA in 19 career appearances (17 starts) versus Oakland. Under is 6-1 in Astros last seven overall. Under is 4-1 in Athletics last five overall. 8* play on HOU @ OAK to go UNDER the total. |
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05-02-18 | Rays v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY TOP RATED MLB TOTAL The first two games of this series have seen a total of just eight runs scored. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair Wednesday afternoon. Tampa Bay hands the ball to Blake Snell (4-1, 2.52 ERA) who has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his six starts on the season. He has an 0.95 WHIP on the season and the under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Tigers turn to Michael Fulmer (1-2, 2.76 ERA) who knocked out nine through six scoreless innings at Pittsburgh his last time out. Detroit still lost the game 1-0. Fulmer was lit up at Cleveland on April 12 but has held his other four opponents to two runs or fewer. Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings. 10* play on TB @ DET to go UNDER the total. |
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04-27-18 | Rangers v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Texas Rangers will visit the Toronto Blue Jays for the opener of a three-game series Friday night, and I think runs will come at a premium for both sides in this contest. Texas hands the ball to Mike Minor (1-1, 3.86 ERA) who has allowed two or fewer runs in three of his four starts. The left-hander is 3-0 with a 1.64 ERA in five career games (three starts) against the Blue Jays. Toronto hands the ball to Marcus Stroman (0-2, 8.55 ERA) who was late beginning spring training because of inflammation in his shoulder and is still trying to find his form. He owns a 6.89 ERA in three lifetime starts against the Rangers, but Texas has really struggled to score runs lately. I like the visitors to cover the runline in a low-scoring game. 8* play on TEX @ TOR to go UNDER the total. |
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04-25-18 | Nationals v. Giants UNDER 7 | 15-2 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The San Francisco Giants came out on top Tuesday night as Mac Williamson's 423-foot homer in the sixth inning earned them a 4-3 victory. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair here on Wednesday, but with the Nats getting revenge this time. Washington hands the ball to Max Scherzer (4-1, 1.36 ERA). He is just 3-4 with a 4.17 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco, but this looks like a good time to improve on those numbers. Scherzer has been exceptional so far this season, allowing just 18 hits while striking out 47 in 33 innings. The Giants turn to Jeff Samardzija (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who injured a pectoral muscle during spring training on March 21 and made his season debut as late as last Friday. He held the Halos scoreless over five innings but struggled somewhat with his control, issuing four walks, and might need another couple of games until he's at his best. Samardzija is 2-7 with a 4.07 ERA in 16 career appearances (nine starts) against the Nationals. The Nats will be desperate for a win here after four straight defeats and sitting on a disappointing 10-14 record for the year. 8* play on WAS @ SF to go UNDER the total. |
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04-25-18 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 8 | 2-5 | Win | 108 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Los Angeles Angels and the Houston Astros played a high-scoring affair Tuesday which ended with an 8-7 Halos victory. I find it highly unlikely that we'll see even close to as many runs scored today. Justin Verlander (3-0, 1.10 ERA) takes the ball for Houston. He is 8-8 with a 3.36 ERA in 19 career starts against the Angels and recorded his third scoreless appearance of the season when he held the White Sox to a pair of hits through six shutout innings his last time out. Nick Tropeano (1-1, 3.75 ERA) takes the ball for LAA. He has compiled a 3.86 ERA in two career meetings with Houston and should be focused here after getting roughed up by Boston his last time out. Under is 23-10-3 in Astros last 36 when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game and 7-2 in Astros last nine home games. 8* play on LAA @ HOU to go UNDER the total. |
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04-24-18 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 8 | 8-7 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
ANGELS @ ASTROS *TOTAL TRASHER* The Los Angeles Angels shut out the Houston Astros in a 2-0 victory Monday night. Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings overall and 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Houston. Odds are we'll see another low-scoring contest Tuesday night. Houston hands the ball to Charlie Morton (3-0, 0.72 ERA) who blanked Seattle his last time out and has allowed just two earned runs on 16 hits and six walks through 25 innings this season. He has a 3.14 ERA in five career starts against the Angels who turn to rookie right-hander Shohei Ohtani (2-1, 3.60 ERA) who had been terrific in his first two big league starts before leaving his last outing after only two innings due to blister problems. Under is 5-1 in Astros last six after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in Morton's last nine starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. 8* play on LAA @ HOU to go UNDER the total. |
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04-12-18 | Tigers v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB TOTAL The Cleveland Indians have won four games in a row, mostly thanks to their pitching. In their last six games overall, they have scored a total of just 15 runs, and I think runs will come at a premium for both teams here. The Tigers hand the ball to Michael Fulmer (1-1, 0.68 ERA) who tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings against the White Sox on Saturday. Fulmer has struggled in previous matchups with the Tribe, but Cleveland's bats have yet to come alive this season and the Indians enter Thursday with the worst batting average in baseball (.170). Trevor Bauer (0-1, 2.08 ERA) will take the mound for Cleveland. Bauer limited KC to one run and three hits over eight innings his last time out. He'll face a Detroit team with the second worst AVG (.204) in the major leagues this season. Under is 5-0 in Tigers last five overall. Under is 7-0 in Indians last seven overall. 8* play on DET @ CLE to go UNDER the total. |
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04-09-18 | Blue Jays v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Baltimore Orioles opened the season with three losses at Houston are coming off a successful 3-1 series against the Yankees in the Bronx. They'll play their first home game for the season Monday night, and I think they'll come through with a win. Baltimore right-hander Dylan Bundy (0-0, 0.69 ERA) is off to a fast start and conceded just one earned run with 15 Ks through 13 innings of work over his first two outings. He's 3-0 mark with an 0.76 ERA in seven career appearances against the Yankees who turn to J.A. Happ (1-1, 5.40 ERA). The left-hander is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA in six career starts at Camden Yards and surrendered four runs over 5 1/3 innings against the White Sox his last time out. Orioles are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 6-2 in Bundy's last eight home starts. Under is 22-4-1 in the last 27 meetings. Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Baltimore. 8* play on TOR @ BAL to go UNDER the total. |
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04-08-18 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL TOTAL The New York Mets have won four in a row and will go for a series sweep of the defending NL East champion Washington Nationals Sunday night. There's definitely some value on Mets as an underdog here, but I have my eyes on the total. The Mets hand the ball to Matt Harvey (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who allowed just one hit in five scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies in his season debut. Under is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter and Harvey is 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA in six career starts here at Nationals Park. The Nats turn to Tanner Roark (1-0, 1.29 ERA) who is is 7-2 with a 2.76 ERA in 17 games (11 starts) against the Mets and went seven innings, allowing a run, four hits and a walk against the Atlanta Braves on Monday night. Under is 6-1 in Roark's last seven home starts and 9-1 in his last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. 8* play on NYM @ WAS to go UNDER the total. |
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04-08-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Milwaukee Brewers look good to cover the runline in a low-scoring game here in the finale of a four-game series with the Chicago Cubs. Milwaukee hands the ball to Chase Anderson (0-0, 3.60 ERA) who tossed six innings of one-hit ball at San Diego in his season debut and he's 3-2 with a 3.79 ERA in seven career starts versus the Cubs. Jose Quintana (0-1, 9.00 ERA) will take the ball for Chicago. The left-hander is 2-1 with a minuscule 0.90 ERA in four career meetings with Milwaukee but struggled with his command in his first start of the season, so I wouldn't trust him completely here. We can also note that the Cubs won Saturday's matchup 5-2, but they're 0-8 in their last eight games following a win. Under is 4-1 in both Milwaukee's and Chicago's last five overall. 8* play on CHC @ MIL to go UNDER the total. |
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04-07-18 | Marlins v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 1-20 | Loss | -102 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Philadelphia Philles and the Miami Marlins are two of the lowest scoring teams in baseball so far this season. The Phillies beat the Fish 5-0 in the first of a three-game set before Friday's off day, and I think we'll see another low-scoring encounter here on Saturday. Vince Velasquez (0-1, 13.50 ERA) will take the ball for Philly. He was lit up for seven runs (four earned) on nine hits through just 2 2/3 frames against Atlanta in his season debut, but note that he has compiled a 2.84 ERA in six appearances with Miami. The Marlins turn to Dillon Peters (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who tossed six scoreless innings in the 6-0 victory over the Cubs on Sunday. The left-hander held the Phillies to two runs and nine hits with 12 strikeouts over 13 innings last season. Under is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. 8* play on MIA @ PHI to go UNDER the total. |
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04-07-18 | Tigers v. White Sox UNDER 8 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK Detroit and the Chicago White Sox had Friday off following a 9-7 Tigers win in extra innings on Thursday. I think we'll see way fewer runs here with two gifted pitchers in Michael Fulmer (0-1, 1.13 ERA) and Lucas Giolito (0-0, 4.50 ERA) on the mound. Tigers' Fulmer held the Pirates to one run through eight innings of a 1-0 loss in his season debut while Giolito gave up three runs, four hits and four walks in six innings at Kansas City on March 31. Giolito tossed seven shutout innings against Detroit last season. Under is 4-0 in Giolito's last four starts overall. Under is 4-1 in Fulmer's last five starts overall. 8* play on DET @ CHW to go UNDER the total. |
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04-06-18 | Blue Jays v. Rangers OVER 10 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays usually means plenty of action over the plate with over 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall and 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings at Arlington. Texas right-hander Matt Moore (0-1, 9.00 ERA) was charged with four runs on seven hits through four innings against World Series champion Houston in his season debut. Toronto right-hander Marco Estrada (0-0, 3.86 ERA) gave up three runs on four hits and three walks with a pair of homers in a non-decision against the Yankees in his first outing of the season. He has a 3.74 ERA in six career starts against Texas and over is 11-1 in Estrada's last 12 starts during Game 1 of a series. 8* play on Toronto @ Texas to go OVER the total. |
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04-06-18 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 7-3 | Win | 110 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Baltimore Orioles win the opener of this four-game series 5-2 yesterday. I expect to see quite a few more runs scored in tonight's game. Kevin Gausman (0-1, 13.50 ERA) will take the ball for Baltimore. He was lit up for six runs and seven hits over four innings in a loss to Minnesota in his first start of the season. Gausman can't have very fond memories of Yankee Stadium after surrendering 12 runs on 16 hits and eight walks over 9 1/3 frames in two starts here last season. The Yankees turn to CC Sabathia (0-0, 1.80 ERA) who held Toronto to two runs (one earned) on five hits in five innings on Saturday. Baltimore reached him for 15 runs and 23 hits over 17 frames last season. Over is 22-6 in the last 28 meetings. 8* play on Baltimore at NYY to go OVER the total. |
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03-30-18 | Pirates v. Tigers UNDER 9.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY PIRATES @ TIGERS TOTAL Thursday's season-opener for Pittsburgh Pirates and Detroit Tigers got postponed due to rain. We'll see the same pitching matchup Friday afternoon instead, and I think this will be a relatively low-scoring contest with Ivan Nova and Jordan Zimmermann on the mound. Nova finished last season with a 4.14 ERA (5.02 ERA on the road) but looks well prepared for this year. He came to camp 10 pounds lighter and will be relied upon here as Gerrit Cole was sent to Houston during the off-season. Zimmermann posted the worst ERA of his career (6.08) in 2017 but the veteran should be poised to do better this year and has compiled a respectable 3.96 ERA in four career starts against the Pirates. The Pirates will need to get used to life without Andrew McCutchen after dealing the All-Star center fielder to San Francisco. 8* play on PIT @ DET to go UNDER the total. |
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10-29-17 | Dodgers v. Astros UNDER 7 | Top | 12-13 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* WORLD SERIES GAME 5 BOOKIE BREAKER The Houston Astros and the LA Dodgers headed into Game 4 of the World Series tied at 1-1 before the visitors exploded with five runs at the top of the 9th last to earn a 6-2 victory. I think runs will be few and far between tonight when Clayton Kershaw (3-0, 2.96 ERA) pitches opposite Dallas Keuchel (2-2, 3.00 ERA). Kershaw allowed just three hits and one run (a homer by Bregman) while striking out 11 over seven innings in the Dodgers' 3-1 victory in Game 1. Keuchel took the loss in that contest after conceding three runs in 6 2/3 frames, but he should do better here at Minute Maid Park. Without a doubt two of the best pitchers in the game and under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last eight playoff road games and 4-1-1 in Astros last six playoff home games. Under is 6-1-1 in the last eight head-to-head meetings. My selection is a 10* play on Under. |
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10-27-17 | Dodgers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER We lost with under 7.5 runs in Game 2 of this series, despite heading into the 9th inning with a 3-2 Dodgers lead. I'm however not afraid to back the under again here Friday night in the first of three matchups at Minute Maid Park. The Dodgers' Yu Darvish (2-0, 1.59 ERA) has been excellent in the postseason and he has posted a 2.16 ERA in six career outings against Houston. The Astros' Lance McCullers Jr. (0-0, 2.08 ERA) was mediocre at best during the regular season, but he's been much better here in the playoffs. We can also note that he posted a 3.04 ERA home at Minute Maid Park during the regular season (compared to a 5.14 ERA on the road). Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Houston and 5-1 in the last six meetings overall. We have a great umpire angle as well with under 8-2-1 in Gerry Davis' last 11 games behind home plate in games involving the Astros. My selection is a 10* play on Under. |
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10-25-17 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB GAME OF THE WEEK The LA Dodgers took command of the World Series with a 3-1 victory last night, and I think we'll see another low-scoring affair here in Game 2 of the series. Justin Verlander (4-0, 1.46 ERA) has been absolutely outstanding for the Astros since coming over from Detroit. He took on the Dodgers back in August while still in a Tigers uniform and was terrific, conceding only one run in eight innings. The Dodgers turn to Rich Hill (0-0, 3.00 ERA) who has allowed just three runs on six hits in nine innings of work here in the postseason. He has solid career numbers against the Astros, posting a 3-1 record behind a 2.68 ERA. He'll also be backed up by an absolutely phenomenal bullpen. Each of the last four meetings between the Astros and the Dodgers have gone under the total. My MLB Game of the Week is on HOU/LAD Under. |
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10-21-17 | Yankees v. Astros UNDER 8 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
MLB ALCS GAME 7 BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL We'll see Charlie Morton vs. CC Sabathia here in the deciding Game 7 of the ALCS. I think runs will come at a premium in this contest. Sabathia (1-0, 2.30 ERA) just tossed six shutout innings against the Astros in Game 3 of this series, and he's 10-0 with a 1.69 ERA in 13 turns following a Yankees loss, which is the situation here after a 7-1 loss to Houston last night. The Astros' Morton (0-1, 10.13 ERA) was lit up in his head-to-head showdown with Sabathia in Game 3, allowing seven runs and six hits through 3 2/3 innings. That was in the Bronx though, and we can note that Morton was 10-3 with a 3.34 ERA in 16 turns home at Minute Maid Park during the regular season. I like the umpire angle as well with under 5-1 in Chad Fairchild's last six games behind home plate. My selection is an 8* play on Under. |
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10-18-17 | Dodgers v. Cubs UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) TOP RATED 10* MAJOR WAGER The Chicago Cubs' bats have been ice cold so far in this series, scoring just a total four runs through the first three games. I think the posted total is set way too high here in Game 4 of the series. Alex Wood will take the ball for the Dodgers. He will make his first start here in the playoffs but posted a 16-3 record behind a 2.72 ERA during the regular season. Wood has held the Cubs to one earned run through 8 2/3 innings of work this year and he's 7-1 with a stellar 2.24 ERA in 13 road starts. The Cubs turn to Jake Arrieta who is 1-3 with a 3.77 ERA in five career regular-season starts against the Dodgers. He conceded no earned runs in four innings against Washington in the NLDS and was 5-2 with a 2.90 ERA through 10 home starts during the regular season. Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings at Wrigley. My MLB Game of the Week is on Dodgers/Cubs Under. |
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10-06-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 7 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT NLDS ARI/LAD TOTAL The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Arizona Diamondbacks for the opener of this National League Division Series Friday night. The D'Backs have scored plenty of runs all season and defeated the Colorado Rockies 11-8 in Wednesday's NL wild-card game. I think we'll see enough runs cross the plate to push the score over the posted total. The Dodgers hand the ball to Clayton Kershaw (18-4, 2.31 ERA) who is an elite pitcher, but he has had some troubles in the postseason, posting a career mark of 4-7 with a 4.55 ERA in 18 appearances (14 starts). Over is 4-0 in the Diamondbacks last four games vs. a left-handed starter and 26-9-1 in their last 36 games following an off day. Arizona hands the ball to Taijuan Walker (9-9, 3.49 ERA) who is getting the start as the D'Backs had to use both Zack Greinke and Robbie Ray in the Wild Card game. Walker will make his first postseason appearance, and we've seen better pitchers than him buckle under the pressure. We can also note that Walker was far from sharp through his last three starts of the season, surrendering a total of 12 runs (eight earned) on 16 hits and seven walks in just 13 2/3 innings of work. Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings, and the over looks like value to me in this contest. My selection is an 8* play on Over. |
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10-01-17 | Diamondbacks v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 14-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* SUNDAY BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The Kansas City won't make it to the postseason, but they have the opportunity to close out the season with a three-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks after two low-scoring victories (2-1, 4-3). I think runs will come at a premium once again here on Sunday. The D'Backs hand the ball to Robbie Ray (15-5, 2.86 ERA). The left-hander is 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA in 14 road starts this season and he was 4-0 with a 2.40 ERA in five September outings. Under is 6-2 in Royals last eight home games vs. a left-handed starter. KC turns to Jason Vargas (18-10, 3.94 ERA) who has surrendered just five earned runs covering 22 1/3 frames through his last four starts. Vargas' ERA home at Kauffman Stadium is almost a run lower than his ERA on the road, and under is 14-6 in the left-hander's last 20 home starts. Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 interleague games when facing a souhtpaw starter. My selection is a 10* play on Under. |
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09-29-17 | Braves v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The Miami Marlins have won four straight games home at Marlins Park following Thursday's dominant 7-1 victory against the Atlanta Braves. I like the Fish to pick up another victory in a high-scoring contest Friday night. Luiz Gohara (1-3, 4.63 ERA) will take the ball for the visitors for his mere fourth career start. The 21 year old rookie fanned nine through seven innings of one-run ball against Philadelphia on Sept. 24, but I don't think anyone can argue the fact that the Marlins have much better bats than the Phillies. The Fish have averaged 6.90 runs per game in their last 10 contests and hand the ball to Dan Straily (10-9, 4.08 ERA). The right-hander was lit up in his first three starts of the month but has bounced back strong and surrendered just a pair of runs covering 11 innings in his last two outings. I reckon the Marlins will do enough damage at the plate to bail out Straily even if he has an off-game. My selection is an 8* play on Over. |
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09-27-17 | Tigers v. Royals OVER 9 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT MLB BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The over is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings and 15-7 in the last 22 meetings at Kauffman Stadium. Both starting pitchers have struggled all season long and I think we'll see plenty of runs here. The Royals hand the ball to Jason Hammel (8-13, 5.32 ERA) who has been lit up to the tune of 19 runs (18 earned) on 29 hits in just 12 2/3 frames through his last three starts combined. Hammel is 3-2 with a 6.27 ERA in 13 career appearances (10 starts) against Detroit. Over is 6-1-1 in the Tigers last eight games vs. a right-handed starter. The Tigers turn to Jordan Zimmermann (8-13, 6.19 ERA) who has good career numbers against KC, but he is 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA in his first two September starts, allowing eight runs on 17 hits over nine innings. Zimmermann has battled back problems all season and over is 25-12-2 in his last 39 starts overall (14-3 last 17 starts against American League Central opponents). KC is expected to sit some players after being officially eliminated from playoff contention last night, but I still think the teams will combine enough runs to push this game over the posted total with ease. My selection is an 8* play on Over. |
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09-26-17 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9.5 | 14-3 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack Both the Texas Ranges and the Houston Astros trot out their respective ace, and I think runs will come at a premium at Globe Life Park Tuesday night. The Astros' left-hander Dallas Keuchel (13-5, 2.96 ERA) has allowed just three runs with 11 strikeouts in six innings of work through his last two starts. He has held the Rangers to seven runs in 18 2/3 innings on the season. The Rangers turn to a left-hander of their own in Cole Hamels (11-4, 3.80 ERA) who is undefeated 7-0 behind a 3.50 ERA in 10 home starts this season. Hamels has allowed just three runs in 15 1/3 innings of work in his last two starts combined, and he held the Astros scoreless through seven innings of work earlier this season. Under is 6-2 in Astros last eight overall. Under is 4-1 in Rangers last five overall. My selection is an 8* play on Under. |
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09-26-17 | Orioles v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 1-10 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday night, and I think we'll see this contest stay under the posted total. The Pirates' rookie right-hander Trevor Williams (6-9, 4.18 ERA) has compiled a 2.12 ERA through his last five starts while the Orioles' right-hander Kevin Gausman (11-10, 4.61 ERA) has pitched to a 1.71 ERA in his last five starts. Under is 9-2 in Gausmans last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 14-2 in Williams' last 16 starts overall. Neither team has anything to play for, and odds are we'll see young and inexperienced lineups for both teams. My selection is an 8* play on Under. |
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09-19-17 | Indians v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT MLB TOTAL The Cleveland Indians are winners of 24 of their last 25 games, and a big reason has been amazing performances on the mound as Cleveland has conceded four or fewer runs in 24 games during that span. I expect another solid outing from a Tribe pitcher as they hand the ball to Mike Clevinger (10-5, 3.21 ERA) tonight. He has allowed just one earned run through his last four starts and under is 19-6-1 in Clevinger's last 26 starts overall. The Halos turn to left-hander Tyler Skaggs (2-5, 4.37 ERA) who tossed seven scoreless innings against Houston his last time out. He has not had much success in previous meetings with Cleveland but this looks like a good spot for the 26 year old. Under is 7-3-1 in Skaggs' last 11 home starts and under is 21-10-2 in Indians' last 33 road games against a left-handed starter. My selection is an 8* play on Under. |
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09-18-17 | Mets v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER TOTAL The Marlins return home to Miami for the first time since Hurricane Irma when they host the New York Mets at Marlins Park Monday night. Neither team will make it to the postseason, but I think they'll entertain us with a high-scoring contest here. Dan Straily (9-9, 4.24 ERA) will take the ball for the Marlins. He's been lit up all month long and posted a 8.44 ERA in three September starts. The worst of them all was his last time out when he was tagged with eight runs on 13 hits in six innings at Philadelphia. The Mets turn to Matt Harvey (5-5, 6.14 ERA) who was charged with five runs on seven hits through 3 1/3 frames of a 17-5 loss to the Cubs on Wednesday. Harvey held the ball in the park in that contest but has served up 17 homers in 16 starts on the season. Over is 8-2-2 in Straily's last 12 starts overall. Over is 3-0-1 in Harvey's last 4 starts overall. Over is 45-25-5 in the Mets 75 road games on the season. My selection is a 10* play on Over. |
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09-17-17 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | 6-4 | Win | 105 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The New York Yankees have outscored the Baltimore Orioles 30-10 through the first three games of this series. I think they'll complete the four-game sweep with another blowout win in a high-scoring game Sunday afternoon. Sonny Gray (9-10, 3.17 ERA) will take the ball for the Bronx Bombers. He's 2-3 with a 4.39 ERA in five career starts against Baltimore. Gray is 3-5 despite a very respectable 2.66 ERA in eight starts since coming over from Oakland as he has struggled to get run support. Run support should not be an issue here as the Orioles send Ubaldo Jimenez (5-10, 6.75 ERA) to the mound. Jimenez is 0-3 with a 9.27 ERA over his last five starts and he has posted a 7.15 ERA in 23 starts on the season. The Yankees have torched him for 12 runs (11 earned) through 8 2/3 innings this season alone and he is 4-6 with a 6.75 ERA in 14 career starts (13 starts) against the Yankees. It’s always a bit risky backing the home team on the runline, but note that the Yankees are 18-6 against the runline as a home favorite of at least -175 this season. Over is 6-2 in the Yankees last eight when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game and I like the Yankees -1.5 and Over in this contest. My selection is an 8* play on Over |
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09-15-17 | A's v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER The Philadelphia Phillies bats have come alive as they enter this three-game series with the Oakland Athletics on the back of a three-game sweep of the Marlins, scoring 27 runs in the process. Here they'll come up against Daniel Mengden (0-1, 7.07 ERA) who has made just three starts on the season. He missed several months due to a rib injury and allowed three runs (two earned) in six innings against the Astros in his comeback last week. Over is 8-3-2 in Phillies last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter and I think Mengden will be in for a tough outing here. Mark Leiter Jr. (3-5, 4.84 ERA) will toe the slab for the Phillies. The 26 year old rookie is 1-2 with an 8.44 ERA in his last three starts and he has served up a total of four homers through the last two outings alone. The A's have averaged a healthy amount of runs over the last couple of weeks, and I don't see Leiter Jr. lasting long in this contest. We can also note that both bullpens rank in the bottom third in baseball for ERA. Over is 9-3 in Athletics last 12 overall. Over is 5-2-2 in Phillies last nine overall. My selection is a 10* play on Over. |
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09-13-17 | Padres v. Twins UNDER 9 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
PADRES/TWINS TOTAL The San Diego Padres took a 16-0 beating in the opener of this three-game series with the Minnesota Twins Tuesday night. I think we'll see way fewer runs scored at Target Field tonight. The Twins hand the ball to Ervin Santana (15-7, 3.45 ERA). He's 3-0 with a 1.77 ERA through five career starts against the Padres. Under is 12-3-1 in Santana's last 16 starts when the opponent scored two runs or fewer in their previous game. The Padres turn to Dinelson Lamet (7-7, 4.32 ERA) who will be facing Minnesota for the first time in his career. The 25 year old rookie has four quality starts in his last five appearances and he has allowed just a total of four runs in 18 innings in his last three starts combined. My selection is an 8* play on Under. |
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09-13-17 | Marlins v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Miami Marlins 9-8 in 15 innings yesterday. I think we'll see another slug-fest here in Game 2 of the series Wednesday night. The Phillies right-hander Aaron Nola (10-10, 3.71 ERA) is a terrific prospect, but he is 0-3 with a 10.67 ERA in three starts this season against the Marlins. Over is 4-1 in Nola's last five starts against Miami. The Marlins Dan Straily (9-8, 3.95 ERA) is 3-1 despite a somewhat swollen 4.76 ERA in four starts against the Phillies on the season. Over is 4-0 in Straily's last four starts against the Phillies. The Marlins are averaging a healthy 5.01 runs per game on the road this season but they're still just 32-41 away from home as most of their pitchers are struggling outside of Miami. Straily is no exception, and we should see an entertaining back and forth at Citizens Bank Park Wednesday night. My selection is a 10* play on Over. |
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09-08-17 | Giants v. White Sox UNDER 9 | 9-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB BANKROLL BUILDER TOTAL The Chicago White Sox have scored just a total of 10 runs during a four-game losing streak. The under is 10-3 in White Sox last 13 home games and 12-3-1 in their last 16 games vs. a left-handed starter. They will indeed face a southpaw tonight, and the Giants' Matt Moore (4-13, 5.42 ERA) has had great success in previous meetings with the White Sox going 4-1 with 1.45 ERA in five career meetings, including an 0.79 ERA in two starts here at Guaranteed Rate Field. The White Sox hand the ball to 23 year old Lucas Giolito (2-1, 2.25 ERA). He has won back-to-back starts and held the Rays to just a run and three hits over seven innings in his last outing. Under is 10-4 in Giants last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. My selection is an 8* play on Under. |
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09-05-17 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The reeling LA Dodgers lost their fourth straight game and ninth of their last 10 when the Arizona Diamondbacks outscored them 13-0 on Monday. It would be quite foolish to go against the D'Backs at the moment as they're riding an 11-game winning streak, but the Dodgers' can't keep losing forever and their bats must be ready to explode soon. I still think there's value on both Arizona and the over in this contest. The over is 4-0 in the Dodgers' last four overall and Arizona's Zack Greinke (16-6, 3.08 ERA) is 4-4 with a 4.03 ERA against the Dodgers in 10 career starts. He's 1-2 with a 4.58 ERA in three meetings on the season but limited the Dodgers to one run on four hits with six Ks in six innings his last time out. The Dodgers' right-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (5-7, 3.71 ERA) is 3-3 with a 4.02 ERA in nine career starts against the D'Backs. They torched him for six runs on eight hits and three walks with three homers in just four innings at Chase Field on August 30. Arizona's J.D. Martinez hit four home runs in the series opener yesterday and Paul Goldschmidt is 9-for-21 with a pair of homers against Ryu. Each of the last five head-to-head meetings have gone over the total. The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in the last four meetings. My selection is an 8* play on Over. |
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09-01-17 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 12 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 39 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB GAME OF THE WEEK The Colorado Rockies host the Arizona Diamondbacks in the opener of a three-game series between the divisional foes and current Wild Card owners in the National League. Under is 37-27-2 in the Rcokies home games and 38-26-2 in the D'Backs road games on the season, and I think the posted number for this contest is set way too high. The D'Backs hand the ball to Taijuan Walker (7-7, 3.55 ERA). He's allowed just one run through 11 2/3 innings of work in his last two starts combined. The right-hander has posted a 2.41 ERA in three meetings (18 2/3 innings) against Colorado on the season. The Rockies turn to Kyle Freeland (11-8, 3.81 ERA) who allowed just one run in six innings when he faced the D'Backs back in April. Under is 12-1 in Freeland's last 13 home starts on the season. Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. My MLB Game of the Week is a 10* play on ARI/COL Under. |
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08-30-17 | Mets v. Reds OVER 10 | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB BASEBALL BONANZA TOTAL The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds combined for 18 runs in the opener of this three-game series yesterday. Over is now 38-21-5 in the Mets' road games this season, and I predict another slug-fest tonight. Homer Bailey (4-6, 7.99 ERA) will take the ball for Cincinnati. He's 0-4 with an enormous 12.10 ERA in five starts home at Great American Ballpark this season. Bailey is 1-2 record with a bloated 7.15 ERA in four career starts against the Mets and we can note that over is 5-1 in the Mets last six games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 (Bailey's is 1.97 on the season). Rafael Montero (2-9, 5.64 ERA) will take the ball for the visitors. He was charged with three earned runs on three hits in 4 1/3 innings during a 5-3 New York victory agains the Reds last season. Montero tossed 5 1/3 innings while allowing three runs on seven hits against Arizona his last start and made a relief appearance Sunday at Washington, surrendering two runs through one-third of an inning. Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall and 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Cincinnati. My selection is an 8* play on Over. |
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08-30-17 | Tigers v. Rockies UNDER 12 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB DAYTIME DESTROYER TOTAL Coors Field is widely recognized as THE hitters park in the Major Leagues, but fact is that under is 36-27-2 in the Colorado Rockies' home games this season, much due to inflated totals. I think the posted number for Wednesday's contest with the Detroit Tigers looks way too high considering the matchup on the mound. Colorado hands the ball to Chad Bettis (0-1, 3.79 ERA) who will make his fourth start since his return from cancer treatment. Bettis was knocked around at Atlanta his last time out but has allowed just three runs through 14 innings of work home at Coors Field on the season. Under is 4-0 in the Tigers' last four road games vs. a right-handed starter and they'll likely to be without Miguel Cabrera for a second straight game Justin Verlander (9-8, 3.90 ERA) will toe the slab for the visitors. He's been outstanding lately, coming off seven innings of two-run ball with 8 Ks at Chicago White Sox, and he's posted seven quality starts through his last eight outings. Verlander is 2-0 with a 1.99 ERA in three career starts against Colorado and under is 6-1 in the Rockies' last seven interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings overall and 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in at Coors Field. My selection is a 10* play on Under. |
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08-29-17 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BOOKIE BREAKER The Tampa Bay Rays put a real beating on the Kansas City Royals in the opener of this three-game series Monday night. I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring contest Tuesday night, at least low-scoring enough to go under the total. Tampa Bay hands the ball to Alex Cobb (9-8, 3.69 ERA) who is coming off 4 1/3 scoreless innings of four-hit ball against Toronto. He's held three of his last four opponents to one or fewer runs and under is 7-1-1 in Cobb's last nine starts overall. The Royals turn to Jake Junis (5-2, 4.68 ERA) who struck out seven while holding the Rockies to one run in 5 1/3 frames his last time out. Under is 30-12-1 in the Rays' last 43 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Royals have been shut out in four straight games, and I don't see them breaking out of the slump anytime soon. My selection is a 10* play on Under. |
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08-28-17 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 2-11 | Win | 105 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The Washington Nationals are coming off three consecutive overs, and I think this opener of a three-game series with the Miami Marlins have the potential to go over the posted number. The Nats hand the ball to Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.25 ERA). He has posted a 3.38 ERA in 13 career starts against the Marlins and has has not pitched since Aug. 13 as he's been bothered by a sore neck. Note that over is 6-1-1 in Scherzer's last eight starts overall and over is 5-2 in the Marlins last seven games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Jose Urena (12-5, 3.68 ERA) will toe the slab for the Fish. He has posted a 3.93 ERA in the seven appearances against the Nats and he has posted a 4.05 ERA in 13 appearances (10 starts) on the road this season. He's still 8-0 in those games and Miami is averaging a healthy 5.05 runs per game away from home on the season (4.77 rpg overall). My selection is an 8* play on Over. |
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08-24-17 | Rangers v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Late Night Rangers/Angels Total Both the Texas Rangers and the LA Angels have been swinging their bats well in the last two games of this series, combining for a total of 23 runs. Looking at the pitching matchup for Thursday I can't see anything but another high-scoring contest. The Rangers hand the ball to Martin Perez (8-10, 5.26 ERA). Perez is 1-3 with a 5.47 ERA in four career outings at Anaheim and the current Angels are batting a combined .293 over 133 at bats against the left-hander. Perez was tagged with sux runs on seven hits and three walks his last time out. It's worth noting that the Rangers still won the game 17-7. The home team turn to Troy Scribner (2-0, 3.46 ERA) who will replace JC Ramirez in the rotation. The 26 year old was called up for the first time late last month and made four appearances (two starts) and pitched fairly well, but he's posted a very mediocre 4.35 ERA with Salt Lake in the minors. I like the umpire angle as well with Over 12-4-1 in Adrian Johnson's last 17 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles and 8-3-1 in Johnson's last 12 games behind home plate vs. Texas. My selection is an 8* play on Over 9.5 runs. |
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08-20-17 | Brewers v. Rockies UNDER 12.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
MLB Coors Field *CA$H COW* The Colorado Rockies and the Milwaukee Brewers have split the first two matchups of this three-game series with a total of nine and 12 runs scored in the two contests. Neither game would have gone over the total set for Sunday's series-finale, and I think there's plenty of value on the under here. Left-hander Kyle Freeland (11-7, 3.74 ERA) takes the ball for Colorado. The rookie is boasting a 3.31 ERA in 12 starts at Coors Field, with 11 of those games going under the total. Freeland held the Braves to three runs on four hits in six frames his last time out. The Brewers turn to Chase Anderson (6-2, 2.89 ERA) who will make his first start since June 28 when he suffered a left oblique strain. Anderson has had an excellent season and limited the Rockies to one run on three hits through six frames in his season-debut on April 6. Under is 5-2 in Anderson's last seven starts overall. Under is 8-0 in Brewers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record and 9-2 in their last 11 during Game 3 of a series. Under is 19-6-1 in Rockies last 26 vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last five during Game 3 of a series. My selection is an 8* play on Under 12.5 runs. |
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08-20-17 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB Total *BOOKIE BREAKER* The New York Yankees defeated American League East rivals Boston 4-3 on Saturday. Under is now 4-1 in the last five meetings at Fenway Park, and I think the number for the total in Sunday's contest is set way to high considering the pitching matchup. Rick Porcello (7-14, 4.59 ERA) takes the ball for the home team. He has compiled a 3.79 ERA in three meetings with the Yankees this season, and the reigning Cy Young Award winner is coming off a pair of solid outings. Under is 9-2 in Porcello's last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record, and note Porcello's 2.64 ERA in seven day starts on the season. The Yankees reply with Sonny Gray (7-7, 3.37 ERA) who has conceded two or fewer earned runs in each of his last nine starts. Gray is 4-0 with a 2.45 ERA in seven day starts on the season and I expect a solid performance in his first start in this classic rivalry. Under is 9-2-1 in the Yankees last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record. My selection is a 10* play on Under 9.5 runs. |
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08-19-17 | Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The St. Louis Cardinals are looking the set themselves up for a sweep of this four-game series with the Pittsburgh Pirates after back-to-back wins at PNC Park, despite a late Pittsburgh rally Friday night. I like the Cards in Saturday's matchup as well with Michael Wacha (9-5, 3.85 ERA) on the mound. Wacha held the Pirates to one run through 6 2/3 innings back in April, and the Cardinals are 24-9 in Wacha's last 33 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Pirates turn to Chad Kuhl (5-8, 4.64 ERA) who is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA through two starts against St. Louis on the season and the Pirates are now 0-4 in Kuhl's last four starts against the Cards. We can also note that the Pirates are 3-12 in Kuhl's last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The team with the better pitcher and the better bats is a must-play at this price. The over is 10-1 in the Cardinals last 11 overall, and this should be another high-scoring contest considering how the teams swung their bats in yesterday's 11-10 Cards win. My selection is an 8* play on Over 8.5 runs. |
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08-17-17 | Rays v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *AFTERNOON ASSASSIN* We cashed with the under in Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays last night, and I think we'll see another low-scoring contest here in the finale of a four-game series Thursday afternoon. Chris Rowley (1-0, 1.69 ERA) takes the ball for Toronto. The 27 year old rookie will make just his second appearance in the major leagues, but he held the Pirates to one run through 5 1/3 frames in his debut, and looking at the Rays' recent scores must instill him with a lot of confidence. Note that Tampa Bay has averaged just two runs per game through their last 12. The Rays hand the ball to Chris Archer (8-7, 3.84 ERA) who is without a decision despite posting a solid 2.57 ERA in three outings against the Blue Jays in 2017, again highlighting the Rays' offensive woes. Under is 14-6-2 in the Rays' last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 5-0 in the Blue Jays' last five games vs. a right-handed starter. My selection is a 10* play on Under 9.5 runs. |
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08-16-17 | Rays v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The Tampa Bay Rays snapped a four-game skid with a 6-4 win against the Blue Jays last night. They've really struggled at the plate lately though, and runs surely won't come easy here against Marcus Stroman. Stroman (10-6, 3.00 ERA) is 3-2 with a 1.94 ERA over his past nine starts overall, and 1-0 with a 1.98 ERA in two starts against the Rays this season. The Blue Jays are 7-2 in Stromans last nine home starts and the under is 4-1-1 in Stroman's last six home starts. Tampa Bay turns to Jacob Faria (5-3, 3.19 ERA). The 24 year old rookie was tagged with five runs on six hits in six innings against Cleveland his last time out, but under is 6-2 in Faria's last eight starts overall. I don't think Tampa Bay will be able to provide Faria with enough run support here. Under is 7-0-2 in umpire Lance Barksdale's last nine games behind home plate vs. Toronto and 21-5-2 in his last 28 games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay. We can also note that the home team is 13-3 in Barksdale's last 16 games. My selection is an 8* play on Under 8.5 Runs. |
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08-14-17 | Rays v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 21 h 50 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* AL *GAME OF THE MONTH* Total The Tampa Bay Rays have lost seven of their last nine games, and been shut out five times over that span. I think the total looks a bit high when they visit the Toronto Blue Jays for the opener of a four-game series Monday night. The Blue Jays hand the ball to Nick Tepesch (0-2, 9.00 ERA). The 28 year old right-hander has not had much success through his previous two starts this season, but looking at the Rays' numbers in recent games should instill some confidence. We can also note that he's 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA in two career games against the Rays and has their current lineup limited to a 1.74 AVG, albeit through just 23 at bats. Jake Odorizzi (6-5, 4.38 ERA) will toe the rubber for Tampa Bay. He limited Boston to one earned run through four frames before he was hit on the foot by a line drive and had to leave the game his last outing, and has allowed just five earned runs in 15 innings in his last three starts combined. Odorizzi is is 5-2 with a 3.23 ERA in 14 meetings with Toronto and the current Jays are batting a combined .189 over 222 at bats against the right-hander. Under is 19-7-2 in the Rays' last 28 overall and 8-2 in their last 10 during Game 1 of a series. My AL Total of the Month Selection is on TB/Tor Under. |
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08-13-17 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
MLB *TOTAL OF THE DAY* The Chicago Cubs and the Arizona Diamondbacks will close out a three-game series Sunday afternoon I think this looks like a good spot to back the under. Zack Godley (5-4, 2.94 ERA) will take the ball for Arizona. He's coming off three straight quality starts, allowing just three runs through 19 2/3 frames during that span. That includes six scoreless innings of a 3-0 win at Wrigley Field on August 2. Under is 6-1 in Godley's last seven starts overall. The Cubs turn to Jake Arrieta (11-8, 3.83 ERA) who is 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA in five starts since the All-Star break. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 2.95 ERA in six career starts against Arizona and held the D'Backs to two runs (one earned) in seven innings when he pitched opposite Godley earlier this month. Under is 6-1-1 in Diamondbacks last eight Sunday games, under is 5-2-1 in Cubs last eight Sunday games, under is 14-5-2 in Arrieta's last 21 Sunday starts. One should always be careful when using day of the week trends in handicapping, but I think those numbers are solid enough to suggest that something is up with these teams and low-scoring games at the end of the week. My selection is an 8* play on Under. |
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08-12-17 | Indians v. Rays UNDER 8 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
Saturday MLB Total of the Day The Cleveland Indians shut on the Tampa Bay Rays in a 5-0 victory on Friday, and both teams' bats have been rather quiet of late. Under is 6-1-1 in the Indians' last eight overall and 8-1 in the Rays' last nine overall. On Saturday the Tribe hand the ball to Mike Clevinger (5-4, 4.00 ERA) who will make his first start since July 31. Clevinger has been solid in his eight starts on the road this season, going 4-2 behind a 3.10 ERA. Of the current Rays roster, only Evan Longoria and Trevor Plouffe has faced Clevinger in the past, going a combined 0-for-3 with two strikeouts. The Rays turn to their ace Chris Archer (8-6, 3.80 ERA) who has the current members of the Tribe limited to a .239 batting average through 142 at bats. Archer has punched out a total of 58 batters through 43 1/3 innings of work in July and August combined this season, and he has posted a 3.32 ERA home at the Trop in 12 starts on the year. Each of the last five head-to-head meetings at Tropicana Field have gone under the total. My selection is an 8* play on Under. |
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08-06-17 | Cardinals v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 13-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Super Early MLB *MONEYMAKER* The first two games of this series have seen a total of just 10 runs scored, and I predict another low-scoring encounter in the series-finale Sunday afternoon. Home Bailey (3-5, 7.32 ERA) will take the ball for Cincinnati. He's been very inconsistent lately, holding four of his last six opponents to two runs or fewer and getting lit up for a total of 15 runs in the other two. The Cards' bats are ice cold at the moment, so I think Bailey can hold his own today. The Cardinals will send Adam Wainwright (11-5, 4.89 ERA) to the mound. The veteran is ready to go after missing two weeks with mid-back tightness, and posted a 3.95 ERA in four starts during July. The ERA was much bloated by a sub-par outing against Miami to start the month, and I like Wainwright on extra rest here. My selection is an 8* play on Under 9.5 runs. |
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08-03-17 | Yankees v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
MLB *MONEYMAKER* Total The Cleveland Indians will host the New York Yankees for the opener of a four-game series Thursday night. The over is 4-0-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings at Progressive Field, but I don't think we'll see many runs in tonight's matchup. Corey Kluber (8-3, 2.90 ERA) will take the ball for Cleveland. He has posted a 1.91 ERA in five career starts against the Yankees. Kluber has been outstanding in recent months, compiling a 1.26 ERA in June (six starts) and a 2.62 ERA in July (five starts). |
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07-29-17 | Angels v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The Los Angeles Angels opened this series with a 7-2 victory Friday night, and I think the Halos can bark as an underdog in a low-scoring game here in Game 2. Yusmeiro Petit (2-0, 2.70 ERA) will take the ball for LAA. He's been excellent working out of the bullpen this season (36 appearances) and I think he'll make the most out of this start. The Blue Jays turn to Francisco Liriano (6-5, 5.99 ERA) who has posted a 9.35 ERA in his last three start. He is 2-7 with a 5.95 ERA in 12 career games (11 starts) against the Angels. The Angels are 12-4 in the last 16 meetings at Toronto, and I think their success continues Saturday afternoon, or at the very least will keep this a one-run game. The Halos are not a high-scoring team though and will have to rely on good pitching from Petit to stay in the game. I think he will come through with a big performance, and I'm also backing the under, making the +1.5 runs extra valuable. |
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07-28-17 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 9 | 1-6 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in the Bronx, and I think we'll see another high-scoring contest Friday night. Austin Pruitt (5-1, 6.25 ERA) will take the ball for the Rays as the 27-year-old rookie will make a spot start for injured Jake Odorizzi. Pruitt has worked out of the bullpen on and off this season for a total of 18 appearances and one start, without much success. Pruitt faced the Yankees three times in relief in April, allowing a total of five runs (three earned) and eight hits over just 1 2/3 innings of work. The Yankees turn to Masahiro Tanaka (7-9, 5.37 ERA) who is 0-2 with a 20.65 ERA against the Rays in 2017, and he has struggled throughhis last three outings overall, yielding 12 runs and 18 hits through 18 frames while serving up a total of five homers. |
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07-22-17 | Brewers v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 9-8 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack Only the Padres have scored fewer runs than the Philadelphia Phillies this season. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored just a total of 12 during a six-game skid. Milwaukee left-hander Brent Suter (1-1, 3.09 ERA) is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in three starts since replacing injured Chase Anderson in the rotation. Philadelphia right-hander Jeremy Hellickson (6-5, 4.44 ERA) is 1-0 with a 3.26 ERA in his last five starts and 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA in five career starts against the Brewers. Under is 7-0 in Brewers last seven road games. Under is 15-5-4 in Phillies last 24 home games. |
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07-19-17 | Cubs v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Super Early Cubs/Braves Total The Chicago Cubs remain undefeated since the All Star break following a 5-1 win against the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday. I think we'll see some quality pitching from both sides here in the finale of this three-game series. The Braves hand the ball to R.A. Dickey (6-5, 4.08) who has allowed just four earned runs through 33 innings of work in his past five outings. Only three current Cubs hitters have any experience against him (Heyward, Jay, Zobrist), batting a combined .209 over 67 at bats. The Cubs turn to left-hander Mike Montgomery (1-6, 4.01 ERA) who has struggled in recent starts, but I think he should be able to handle a Braves team that has scored just four runs so far in this series. Under is 4-1 in Braves last five games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 12-3 in the Cubs' last 15 games following a win and 7-2 in the Braves' last nine games following a loss. |
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07-18-17 | Brewers v. Pirates UNDER 9.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The red hot Pittsburgh Pirates are 8-2 through their last 10 games and look set to climb the standings in the NL Central. They opened the week with a 4-2 win against the Milwaukee Brewers and I predict another Pirates win tonight. Ivan Nova (9-6, 3.21 ERA) will toe the slab for Pittsburgh. He's 6-2 with a 2.63 ERA home at PNC Park on the season and 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA in three career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers turn to Junior Guerra (1-3, 4.78 ERA) who has struggled with his command all season and issued three free passes or more in each of his last nine starts. He's failed to pitch more than four innings in each of his last three starts while posting a 10.32 ERA. He is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA in five games (four starts) against the Pirates, but I think they'll get the better of him tonight. The Pirates win their games with good pitching, and 10 of their last 11 games home at PNC Park have gone under the total. |
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07-17-17 | Cubs v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* HIGH ROLLER *BOOKIE BREAKER* Both the Atlanta Braves and the Chicago Cubs have come out of the All Star break swinging hot bats. The under is however 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings at Atlanta, and I think we'll see another low-scoring contest Monday night. Atlanta's Julio Teheran (7-6, 4.79 ERA) has allowed just two runs on seven hits in 13 1/3 innings of work in two starts here in July. He is 2-0 with a 3.11 ERA in six career starts against Chicago and the current Cubs are batting just a combined .178 through 45 at bats against him. The Cubs hand the ball to Jon Lester (5-6, 4.25 ERA) who was 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two outings against the Braves last season and 4-1 with a 1.95 ERA in five career meetings. The All Star break came at a perfect time for the 33 year old who had been knocked around in back-to-back home starts against Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh (nine earned runs in 5 2/3 innings). I expect him to be fully focused on the task at hand tonight. Under is 11-3-1 in the Braves' last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 10-3 in the Cubs' last 13 road games. |
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07-16-17 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Top Rated 10* MLB *GAME OF THE WEEK* Each of the last eight and 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings between the Texas Rangers and the Kansas City Royals have gone under the total. We should see another low-scoring encounter Sunday afternoon. Ian Kennedy (3-6, 4.45 ERA) will take the ball for KC. He's posted a 3.22 ERA through his last six starts and held the Rangers to one run and four hits over seven innings at Texas on April 22. The Rangers hand the ball to Yu Darvish (6-8, 3.49 ERA) who limited the Halos to a pair of runs on three hits through 7 1/3 frames his last turn. Darvish has done his best work on the road this season compiling a 2.32 ERA in eight starts. Under is 14-4-3 in Darvish's last 21 road starts. Neither the Rangers or the Royals have effective at the plate coming out of the All Star break with just a total of nine runs scored through the first two games of the series. BIG play on the under. |
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07-16-17 | Phillies v. Brewers UNDER 9.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
MLB Total The Milwaukee Brewers' Matt Garza (4-4, 3.98 ERA) tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings of a 4-0 win against Baltimore his last time out. He owns an impressive 2.32 ERA over eight career starts against Philadelphia which hands the ball to Jeremy Hellickson (5-5, 4.49 ERA) who is 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee. Under is 4-0 in Garza's last four starts overall and 4-1-1 in Hellickson's last six road starts. Under is 12-4 in umpire Todd Tichenor's last 16 games behind home plate overall and 14-2 in his last 16 games behind home plate in games featuring Milwaukee. |
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07-15-17 | Phillies v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 105 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack This has all the signs of a low-scoring contest despite yesterday's high-scoring 9-6 Milwaukee win in the series opener. Philadelphia's Aaron Nola (6-6, 3.59 ERA) has posted a 1.64 ERA with 26 strikeouts over 22 innings in his last three start and he's 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in two career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers hand the ball to Jimmy Nelson (8-4, 3.30 ERA) who may not have good career numbers against Philly, but he's been excellent all season (a shaky April excluded) and owns a 2.35 ERA in 10 home starts on the season. Also note that Philadelphia is averaging just 3.82 runs per game. |
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07-03-17 | Royals v. Mariners OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The Kansas City Royals are coming off a 6-2 win against the Twins on Sunday. Over is 9-1-1 in Royals last 11 after allowing two runs or fewer in their previous game. Ian Kennedy (2-6, 4.72 ERA) is 1-2 with a 4.30 ERA in three career starts against the Mariners who hand the ball to Andrew Moore (1-0, 3.86). He'll make his mere second career start in the big leagues. In his debut June 22 against the Tigers, Moore pitched seven innings, allowing three runs on six hits. Over is 8-2-1 in Royals' last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 8-1-1 in Kennedy's last 10 starts overall. |
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07-03-17 | Angels v. Twins OVER 9.5 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The Los Angeles Angels' Alex Meyer (3-4, 3.74 ERA) held the Dodgers to one hit and five walks through six scoreless innings home at Anaheim his last time out. He was however tagged with five runs in just 3 1/3 frames by Boston his last start on the road to fall to 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA in five road starts on the season. Over is 5-1 in Meyers last six road starts. The Minnesota Twins' Adalberto Mejia (3-3, 4.38 ERA) has tossed 10 2/3 scoreless innings through his last two starts, both on the road. He's 1-2 with a 6.11 ERA in six starts at Target Field this season. |
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07-03-17 | Orioles v. Brewers OVER 9.5 | 1-8 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The under is 5-1 in the Baltimore Orioles' last six games, but I think we'll see a high-scoring game here as they open the week with a visit to Miller Park. Left-hander Wade Miley (3-6, 4.54 ERA) has a 5.17 ERA in five career starts against the Brewers, and he's really struggled at Miller Park compiling an 8.38 mark in two appearances. The Brewers hand the ball to another left-hander in Brent Suter (0-1, 4.20 ERA) who will be making his fourth career start and second of the season. Over is 12-4 in Orioles last 16 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 5-2 in Brewers last seven interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. |
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07-02-17 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 7-2 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Sunday Night Baseball The St. Louis Cardinals are going for a fifth consecutive win when they host the Washington Nationals Sunday evening. The Nats won't give up easy though as they look to end a three-game slide. Carlos Martinez (6-6, 2.88 ERA) is 4-1 with a minuscule 1.85 ERA in eight starts home at Busch Stadium on the season. The Nats' Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.06 ERA) is 6-2 with a 1.62 ERA in nine road starts on the season. Under is 6-2 in Martinezs last eight starts overall. Under is 7-1 in Scherzers last eight starts overall. Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last seven overall. |
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07-02-17 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Subscribers Only |
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07-02-17 | Twins v. Royals OVER 10 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB HIGH ROLLER *BOOKIE BREAKER* Each of the first three games in this series have gone over the total, and I think we'll see another slugfest in the series finale Sunday afternoon. We'll see a duel between two southpaws on the mound. Hector Santiago (4-7, 5.37 ERA) takes the ball for Minnesota. He has a 9.51 ERA in his last six starts. The current Royals roster is batting a combined .278 against him. The Royals hand the ball to Travis Wood (1-2, 6.28 ERA) who will make his first start for the Royals and his first start overall since 2015. Wood has allowed five runs on nine hits and eight walks through seven frames in five career appearances (one start) vs. Minnesota. I don't think Wood will be able to go many innings here, putting a lot of pressure on KC's already taxed bullpen. Over is 18-6-3 in the last 27 meetings. Over is 7-1 in Royals last eight Sunday games. Over is 8-3 in Twins last 11 Sunday games. |
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07-01-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Arizona Diamondbacks hand the ball to Zack Greinke (9-4, 3.08 ERA) who is 1-1 with a 3.98 ERA in three starts against the Rockies this season. He gave up four runs on nine hits in 7 1/3 innings at Coors Field on June 20. Tyler Chatwood (6-8, 4.32 ERA) will toe the slab for Colorado. He is 5-2 with a 3.94 ERA in nine career appearances (eight starts) against Arizona. He was tagged with four runs on three hits and eight(!) walks in a 4-0 loss at Dodger Stadium his last time out. There's a favorable wind prediction for the over and we can note that the over is 6-1-2 in umpire Mike Estabrook's last nine games behind home plate vs. Colorado and 5-2 in his last seven games behind home plate vs. Arizona. |
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06-27-17 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* NL *TOTAL OF THE WEEK* The San Francisco Giants' otherwise pretty quiet bats came alive in Monday's 9-2 victory against the Colorado Rockies. We cashed over 7.5 runs in that game, and I'm backing the over between the Rockies and the Giants again Tuesday night. Jeff Hoffman (4-1, 4.29 ERA) takes the ball for Colorado. The 24 year old rookie had allowed more than one run in just one of his first five starts of the season prior to getting lit up for nine runs on eight hits in 3 2/3 innings against Arizona on June 21 his last turn. He was a bit lucky when he held the Giants to one run through five frames despite giving up seven hits and three walks on June 15, and I think the San Francisco hitters will get to him early tonight. The Giants hand the ball to veteran right-hander Matt Cain (3-7, 5.54 ERA) who has been knocked around plenty this season. Cain was battered for seven runs and 10 hits in four innings at Atlanta his last time out, and he has gone 0-4 with a 4.47 ERA against Colorado in nine starts over the last four years. Over is 5-1 in Cain's last six home starts vs. Rockies. Over is 8-3 in Hoffman's last 11 starts overall. Over is 6-1 in Giants' last seven home games. |
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06-26-17 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *NIGHTCRAWLER* Total I think the total for Monday's matchup between the Colorado Rockies and the San Francisco Giants is set way too low. Jeff Samardzija (2-9, 4.74 ERA) is 0-3 with a 9.33 ERA against the Rockies this season and 3-5 with a 3.91 ERA in 14 career appearances (10 starts). German Marquez (5-3, 3.92 ERA) was roughed up for six runs and 12 hits over 4 1/3 frames at San Francisco on Sept. 27 in his only career start against the Giants. We can also note some notable splits for Marquez who has posted a 1.30 ERA in five day starts this season but a 6.19 ERA in six night starts. I think he might get lit up under the lights at AT&T Park tonight. |
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06-26-17 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* Phillies/D'Backs Total I think we'll see a low-scoring game here between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks Monday afternoon. Philadelphia's Nick Pivetta (1-3, 4.46 ERA) has allowed just three runs on eight hits in 13 innings through his last two starts. Even more impressive, he's recorded 19 Ks with only three walks during that span. Pivetta will be facing Arizona for the first time. The D'Backs hand the ball to Zack Greinke (8-4, 3.14 ERA) who is 2-1 with a 2.88 ERA in his last four starts, covering a total of 25 innings. Greinke is 7-1 with a 2.54 ERA in 10 career games (nine starts) against the Phillies. Under is 6-2-1 in Greinke's last nine starts overall. Under is 10-4-3 in Phillies' last 17 overall. |
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06-25-17 | Reds v. Nationals OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
MLB 3-Pack The Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds combined for a total of 21 runs on Saturday, and I predict plenty of action over the plate again on Sunday. The Nats' Tanner Roark (6-4, 4.88 ERA) has been tagged with 18 runs (15 earned) on 25 hits through just 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts combined. The Reds' Scott Feldman (5-5, 4.20 ERA) has allowed six runs on 14 hits in 11 innings in his last two starts. Over is 11-1-2 in Reds last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 10-2 in Nationals last 12 overall. Over is 4-0 in the last four head-to-head meetings. |
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06-24-17 | Blue Jays v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *TOTAL OF THE DAY* The Kansas City Royals are heating up and enter Saturday as winners of 10 of their last 12 games. Left-hander Jason Vargas (10-3, 2.27 ERA) has been fantastic all season and posted a 2.20 ERA in his past five starts overall. Vargas has compiled a 1.81 ERA home at Kauffman Stadium. The Blue Jays hand the ball to Marco Estrada (4-5, 4.98 ERA) who has had a terrible June, going 0-3 with a 12.67 ERA in four starts. We can however note that Estrada is 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA in two career starts against the Royals, and I like him to come up with a big performance today. Under is 9-2 in Vargas' last 11 home starts. Under is 10-1 in Estradas last 11 starts vs. American League Central teams. Under is 5-0 in the last five head-to-head meetings. |
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06-22-17 | Cubs v. Marlins OVER 9 | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
MLB *MONEYMAKER* The Miami Marlins will host the Chicago Cubs for the opener of a four-game series on Thursday. I think we'll see plenty of runs. Jake Arrieta (6-5, 4.64 ERA) takes the ball for the Cubs. He's had a season to forget and has surrendered seven runs (six earned) through his past nine innings of work. Arrieta has good career numbers against Miami but I don't think that will do him any good tonight. Over is 9-4 in Arrieta's last 13 starts overall. The Marlins turn to left-hander Jeff Locke (0-2, 4.58 ERA) who is 0-2 with a 4.58 ERA in four starts since coming off the disabled list. Locke is 1-5 with a 5.98 ERA in 13 career games (11 starts) against the Cubs. Miami defeated Washington 2-1 yesterday. Over is 19-6-2 in the Marlins last 27 after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game. |
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06-22-17 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 102 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
Super Early MLB *TOTAL OF THE MONTH* Under is 13-3 in the Pittsburgh Pirates' last 16 Thursday games and today they'll hand the ball to Ivan Nova (7-4, 2.91 ERA) who has been solid all season. Nova was 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts against Milwaukee last season. The Brewers turn to Chase Anderson (5-2, 2.92 ERA) who was 3-1 behind a 2.16 ERA in five outings against Pittsburgh last season. Anderson has posted a 1.78 ERA with 18 strikeouts over his last three starts. Under is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings at Miller Park and 8-1-3 in umpire Dan Bellino's last 12 games behind home plate. |