MLB Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
04-27-24 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
5* NL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Washington Nationals opened this series with a 3-1 win Friday night, and I expect another low-scoring affair in Game 2 of the series. The Nats have scored a total of only eight runs through their last four games, and Miami right-hander Edward Cabrera (1-0, 3.27 ERA) has impressed in his two starts in 2024, with only four runs allowed and 17 Ks over 11 innings of work. The Marlins have been limited to a total of four runs through their last four games and Nats rookie left-hander Mitchell Parker has allowed just two runs with 12 strikeouts over 12 innings on the mound. Miami is averaging 2.4 R/9 vs. left-handers and Washington 3.7 R/9 vs. right-handers. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-24-24 | Tigers v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
5* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Detroit right-hander Jack Flaherty (0-1, 4.44 ERA) has recorded 18 Ks while allowing five runs over 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts combined. The Tampa Bay Rays counter with Shawn Armstrong (1-1, 4.09 ERA) who has made two starts and eight appearances on the season. Armstrong will serve as the opener before handing over to a bullpen that has gotten better following a slow start to the season. The Rays' bats have been quiet for some time, and I would not be surprised if the Tigers also come out flat tonight. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-19-24 | White Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 12 runs through their last two games, but they're still 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games. The Chicago White Sox are averaging a pathetic 2-1 runs per nine innings on the season, and Philly right-hander Spencer Turnbull (1-0, 1.80 ERA) is off to a terrific start to the season. As for White Sox starter Garett Crochet (1-2, 3.57 ERA), the left-hander had allowed just four runs through his first three starts before giving up five runs in a 5-0 loss to Cincinnati in his last start. It was still a decent outing, though; Crochet had 10 Ks against four hits and three walks over his 4 2/3 innings on the mound. Crochet leads the American League with 31 strikeouts entering play on Thursday. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-17-24 | Pirates v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Pirates have been held to three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. Today, they'll face Luis Severino, who has limited the Pirates to one run over 11 innings in two previous meetings. Severino gave up six runs (three earned) in his season debut but has since allowed just two runs over 10 innings. The Bucs hand the ball to left-hander Bailey Falter, who, like Severino, has recovered after a rocky first start. In his next two starts since his season opener, he has allowed only one run on five hits over 11 innings. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-16-24 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
5* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Phillies opened this series with a 2-1 win, and I expect another low-scoring affair when they host the Colorado Rockies for Game 2 Tuesday night. Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez (2-0, 2.65 ERA) is off to a great start, and the Rockies are batting only .223 against left-handers. Rockies left-hander Austin Gomber (0-0, 4.91 ERA) is also off to a solid start, with eight runs allowed on 16 hits with a respectable 14 Ks over 14 2/3 innings of work. The Rockies have averaged 3.7 R/9 over their last five games, and the Phillies have averaged 3.1 R/9 over their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-12-24 | Braves v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Neither Atlanta left-hander Max Fried (0-0, 18.00 ERA) nor Miami left-hander Trevor Rogers (0-1, 5.40 ERA) has had a good start to the year, and I expect to see a fair amount of runs scored when the Marlins host the Braves for the opener of a three-game series Friday night. The Braves bats are red hot, and Miami scored five runs in a win over the Yankees in the Bronx in their last game. 4* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-10-24 | White Sox v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
5* AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Chicago White Sox are 7-3 to the under for the season, and that should come as no surprise as they're averaging a paltry 2.1 R/9. Tonight, they'll run into Cleveland right-hander Tanner Bibee (1-0, 3.86 ERA) while countering with right-hander Erick Fedde (0-0, 2.79 ERA). Both pitchers are off to a solid start to the season, and I expect regression at the plate from both sides after combining for 12 runs yesterday. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-08-24 | Tigers v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
MIKE'S TIGERS/PIRATES MLB TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER The Detroit Tigers have scored just one run through their last two games, and the Pittsburgh Pirates' bats have cooled off after a hot start to the year. Tigers right-hander Reese Olson tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his season debut, and this looks like a good bounce-back spot for Pittsburgh righty Mitch Keller to get his season back on track after getting slapped around in his first two starts. Keller has a 3.86 ERA in four career starts against the Tigers. 3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-06-24 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
5* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET I expect to see a fair amount of runs scored when the Cincinnati Reds host the New York Mets Saturday afternoon. Mets right-hander Luis Severino was slapped around for six runs (three earned) on 11 hits over five innings in his season debut. Mets right-hander Nick Martinez gave up three runs on six hits over five innings against the Washington Nationals in his first start of the season. The Reds have been swinging hot bats, and this looks like a good spot for the Mets bats to get going after a slow start to the season. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S ALCS TOTAL OF THE YEAR Game 7 of the ALCS, and with two elite pitchers and a ticket to the World Series on the line we should see a low-scoring game, right? I don't think so. Texas starter Max Scherzer gave up seven runs in three innings against Houston on September 6 and five runs in four innings of an 8-5 loss when he faced them last week. Houston starter Cristian Javier limited Texas to a pair of runs over 5 2/3 innings in that matchup, but both teams have proven they can score runs off the relievers, and the Rangers are coming off a nine-run outing. 5* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
5* BEST BET: MIKE'S ALCS TOTAL OF THE YEAR These two pitchers faced off in the opener of the NLCS, a game Philadelphia won 5-3. Three of the first four games have gone over the total, but I like the under here in Game 5. The pitchers' home and away splits are in our favor, and Zack Wheeler has a 2.96 ERA in 11 career stats against Arizonw while Zac Gallen has a 2.22 ERA in five career starts against the Phillies. 5* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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09-20-23 | Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Mike's 4* MLB Total Game of the Week Arizona right-hander Merrill Kelly gave up seven runs over five innings of an 11-1 loss to the Mets in his last start, but he usually bounce back quickly from rough outings like that. Giants right-hander Logan Webb has allowed only four runs through 20 2/3 innings (1.74 ERA) over his last three starts. The over/under is 9-18 in Kelly's starts this season. The over/under is 10-21 in Webb's starts this season. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-19-23 | Orioles v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Mike's 5* AL Total Game of the Month MAX BET The Orioles won the opener of this series 8-7, and I expect to see a lot of runs here in Game 2 as well. Orioles righty Kyle Gibson has a 6.38 ERA over his last seven starts. The Astros counter with rookie Hunter Brown who is 3-4 with a 6.55 ERA over his last seven starts. Bet this MAX BET on the OVER with 5% of your bankroll. |
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09-07-23 | Mariners v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
Mike's Mariners/Rays MLB Total BOOKIE BREAKER The over/under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings and considering at the matchup on the mound for today's contest, I think this will be another high-scoring affair. Tampa Bay right-hander Zack Littell has a 7.11 ERA over his last three starts. Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo has allowed four runs or more in three of his last six starts and he allowed six runs (four earned) through six innings when he took on the Rays back in July. Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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09-06-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 22 m | Show |
4* Astros/Rangers MLB Total TOP PLAY of the Day Houston right-hander Justin Verlander has a 3.57 ERA over his last seven starts and he has an ERA of 2.64 in 34 starts versus the Rangers in his career, a 1.89 ERA in three starts since the start of the 2020 season. Texas right-hander Max Scherzer has n ERA of 1.80 in two appearances versus the Astros since 2020 and an ERA of 3.21 in eight starts against the Astros in his career. Sure, both teams are capable of crushing the ball, but I favor the under with these two hurlers on the mound. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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09-06-23 | Mariners v. Reds UNDER 10.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Mike's Mariners/Reds MLB Total BOOKIE BREAKER The Reds are 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games. They have averaged only 3.6 R/9 during that stretch of games and here they'll face Mariners right-hander Logan Gilbert who has an ERA of 1.83 over his last three games. Cincinnati right-hander Lyon Richardson will make his fourth career start. He has been looking better and better for each start and gave up only two runs over 4 2/3 innings of a 3-2 Reds win over the Cubs in his last start. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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09-04-23 | Twins v. Guardians OVER 8 | Top | 20-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
4* MLB Total TOP PLAY of the Day The Twins are swinging hot bats, with an average of 5.9 R/9 over their last 10 games. Cleveland righty Lucas Giolito has posted an ERA of 5.97 over his last seven starts and Minnesota right-hander Pablo Lopez has allowed eight runs through 11 innings over his last two starts. Bet this TOP PLAY on the OVER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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08-29-23 | Yankees v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Yankees/Tigers TOTAL TOP PLAY of the Day The over/under is 3-7 in the last 10 meetings, and we saw only five runs scored in the opener of this series Monday night. The Yankees have averaged 3.8 R/9 over their last five games and Detroit has averaged only 3 R/9 over its last 10 games. Tigers righty Tarik Skubal has a 1.48 ERA home at Comerica Park in 2023 and we're likely to see Yankees solid bullpen for most of this game with Michael King in the role as the opener. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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08-24-23 | Nationals v. Yankees UNDER 9 | 6-5 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
Mike's SUPER EARLY Nats/Yankees Total BOOKIE BU$TER The over/under is 3-7 in the last 10 meetings. Nationals left-hander Patrick Corbin has posted a 2.08 ERA in his last three starts. The Yankees have averaged only 3 R/9 over their last 10 games. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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08-23-23 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 10 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Mike's Mets/Braves MLB Total BOOKIE BOMBER The Braves bats have gone cold and here they'll face Mets left-hander Jose Quintana who has allowed more than three runs in only one of his six starts this season. Atlanta hands the ball to Charlie Morton who is a solid pitcher and coming off back-to-back scoreless outings covering a total of 11 innings. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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08-21-23 | Giants v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | 4-10 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Mike's Giants/Phillies MLB Total BOOKIE BOMBER The Giants have averaged only 2.7 R/9 over their last 10 games and the over/under is 3-7 in those games. Here they'll face Phillies right-hander Aaron Nola who will be desperate for a good game after a rough stretch, and he must like his chances of a good outing against this San Francisco team. As for the Phillies bats, they can get hot at times but they've been held to three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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08-18-23 | Brewers v. Rangers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
4* TOP PLAY - Mike's MLB Total Game of the Week Texas left-hander Andrew Heaney has allowed only one run over 13 innings through his last three starts. The Brewers are averaging only 3.7 R/9 against left-handers on the season. The Rangers are capable of putting up a ton of runs but Milwaukee righty Brandon Woodruff has been solid in his two starts since coming off the 60-day IL with four runs allowed on eight hits over 11 1/3 innings of work. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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08-13-23 | Braves v. Mets UNDER 9.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
5* MLB Game of the Year - Mike's NL Total MAJOR WAGER The Mets are only 2-8 in their last 10 games and they have averaged only 2.9 runs per nine innings during that stretch of games. The Braves bats have been hot, but here they'll face Mets starter Kodai Senga who has posted an ERA of 2.45 in his home starts this season. The over/under is 5-16 in all Senga's 21 starts on the season. Bet this MAX BET on the UNDER with 5% of your bankroll. |
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08-10-23 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 10 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show |
Mike's 4* Nationals/Phillies Total TOP PLAY The over/under is 3-7-2 in Phillies 12 games as home favorites against left-handed starters and as far as Phillies' pitching goes, Aaron Nola is a quality hurler despite getting lit up lately. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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08-08-23 | Rangers v. A's OVER 8 | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
MLB TOP PLAY - Mike's Rangers/Athletics 4* Total The Rangers have played mostly unders through a seven-game winning streak, despite swinging hot bats. They should have no trouble putting runs on the board here against left-hander JP Sears as the Ranger are averaging 6.2 runs per nine innings against left-handers. Texas hands the ball to Max Scherzer who is more than capable of shutting out opponents, but note his 5.16 ERA in road starts this season. I think we'll see a fair amount of runs scored in this game, and the total looks light to me. Bet this TOP PLAY on the OVER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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08-07-23 | Cubs v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | 2-11 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Mike's Cubs/Mets Total The Cubs are playing some of their best baseball of the season while the Mets lost all six games last week. Cubs left-hander Drew Smyly has been slapped around in recent starts but he has a 3.41 ERA in 10 road starts on the season and note that the Mets are 11-26 against left-handed starters. The Mets hand the ball to Kodai Senga who has been solid, but the team has still lost five of his last eight starts. In addition to the Cubs, I also like the under. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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08-05-23 | Diamondbacks v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-12 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 33 m | Show |
Mike's 4% MLB Total TOP PLAY of the Day Arizona's bats have gone cold, with a total of only seven runs scored through its last four games and scoring an average of 2.7 runs through its last 10 games. Minnesota righty Kenta Maeda is on fire with 24 Ks and only five runs allowed over 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts. Minnesota has averaged 3.1 runs per game through its last five games. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll |
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08-04-23 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 9 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
Mike's Astros/Yankees MLB Total BOOKIE BU$TER Yankees Luis Severino (2-5, 7.49 ERA) is having his worst season in the MLB, and it's not even close. Severino gave up nine runs on 10 hits over just 3 1/3 innings of a 9-3 loss at Baltimore in his last start, and Houston right-hander Hunter Brown has posted an ERA of 5.75 over his last seven starts. Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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08-04-23 | Nationals v. Reds OVER 10.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
Mike's Nats/Reds MLB Total BOOKIE BREAKER The Reds' bats are hot and Washington southpaw Patrick Corbin gave up six runs on 10 hits when he faced Cincinnati on July 4. Corbin has an ERA of 6.23 over his last three starts. Cincinnati ace Graham Ashcraft has been great lately, but he has a 6.71 ERA at home on the season. I think we'll see plenty of fireworks here. Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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08-02-23 | Mets v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
Mike's 4% MLB Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY The Mets hand the ball to Kodai Senga who's been having a great rookie season. He is 7-5 with an ERA of 3.17 for the year and he has a 2.40 ERA at home. The Royals won 7-6 yesterday. They are 13-4 to the under after scoring seven runs or more in their previous game. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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08-02-23 | Padres v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 11-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Mike's Padres/Rockies MLB Total The Padres defeated the Rockies 8-5 yesterday, but they are still only 21-18 as a favorite laying -170 or more. Fading them blindly in these spots has generated an ROI of 24.9%. The Padres are only 12-10 laying -200 or more (2-4 on the road). Since the start of last season, Rockies left-hander Kyle Freeland has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 4.95 in seven starts versus San Diego. Padres righty Joe Musgrove is 1-1 with an ERA of 6.32 in three starts versus the Rockies since the start of last season. I like the Rockies to win a low-scoring affair. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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08-01-23 | Tigers v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Mike's Tigers/Pirates MLB Total BOOKIE BU$TER Detroit has scored 4, 5, 5 and 6 runs through its last four games, and all except one went over the total. Pittsburgh's bats came alive at the end of last week and both starting pitchers are at risk of getting lit up each time they take the mound. Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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07-31-23 | Padres v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
Mike's 4% Padres/Rockies MLB Total TOP PLAY of the Day The over/under is 2-7-1 in the Padres last 10 games and San Diego right-hander Seth Lugo has a solid 3.38 ERA on the road this season. The over/under is 14-20 in Rockies home games as underdogs and with a total of 11 or higher. Rockies left-hander Austin Gomber has an ugly ERA of 7.19 at home on the season, but he has pitched a lot better in recent games and three of his last four home starts went under the total. Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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07-28-23 | Reds v. Dodgers UNDER 10 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
Mike's 4% MLB Total TOP PLAY of the Day The over/under is 2-8 in the Reds last 10 games, and they've averaged only 3.60 R/9 during that span. Reds left-hander Brandon Williamson has posted an ERA of 1.60 over his last five starts. Dodgers righty Bobby Miller has a 3.40 ERA over his last five starts. Bet this TOP PLAY on the Under with 4% of your bankroll. |
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07-27-23 | Nationals v. Mets OVER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
4% MLB Total TOP PLAY of the Day The Nats have been playing well lately with wins in five of their last six games while averaging 6.3 runs per game. The Mets have been inconsistent but should have no trouble scoring runs off Josiah Gray who is 1-2 with an 8.00 ERA in four career starts against the Mets. Bet this TOP PLAY on the OVER with 4% of your bankroll. |
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07-20-23 | Cardinals v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show |
Mike's 5% MLB Total Game of the Month *MAX BET* Cards left-hander Steven Matz has allowed 10 runs over his last three starts and he has an ERA of 4.67 in three starts versus the Cubs in his career. The Cubs are averaging 5.3 R/9 against left-handers. As for Cubs' starter Marcus Stroman, the right-hander has a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts and an ERA of 4.96 in nine versus the Cardinals in his career. The over/under is 9-1 in Cubs' last 10 games. The Cards have scored five runs or more in each of their six games since the All-Star break. Bet this MAX BET on the OVER with 5% of your bankroll. |
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07-20-23 | Giants v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Mike's Super Early Giants/Reds MLB Total Bookie Breaker The over/under is 3-7 in both team's last 10 games, and here we'll see two solid pitchers on the mound. The over/under is 0-4 in Andrew Abbott's four home starts this year. The over/under is 3-5-1 in Alex Cobb's eight road starts. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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07-19-23 | Padres v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
Mike's Padres/Blue Jays Total Toronto right-hander Jose Berrios has allowed only one run in 12 1/3 innings over his last two starts. Berrios has a 2.83 ERA in his home starts this season and the over/under is 1-5-2 in those games. As for Padres Yu Darvish, the right-hander has posted a 2.68 ERA in eight career starts against Toronto. The Jays are hot, coming into this game 8-2 in their last 10 games, despite dropping the opener of this series 9-1 last night. Here I think they'll get their revenge in a low-scoring affair. Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. |
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07-16-23 | Padres v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
Mike's Padres/Phillies MLB Total *BOOKIE BU$TER* This looks like a good spot to back the over following two high-scoring games in a doubleheader on Saturday. The bullpens will be taxed and the starting pitchers are averaging 5 innings and 5 2/3 innings respectively. The over/under is 6-2-2 in both teams' last 10 overall. 3% play on over. |
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07-14-23 | Yankees v. Rockies UNDER 11 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
Mike's 10* Yankees/Rockies MLB Total Play of the Day The Rockies are 51-39-1 to the under for the season while the Yankees are 47-40-4 to the under. Rockies left-hander Austin Gomber is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA over his last three starts. The Yankees have averaged 2.9 R/9 over their last five games and the Rockies have averaged only 2.6 R/9 over their last five games. 10* play on under. |
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07-08-23 | Braves v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Mike's 10* MLB Total Top Play of the Day The over/under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and I expect to see big fireworks here following a 2-1 Atlanta win Friday night. Rays rookie right-hander Taj Bradley has an ERA of 8.78 over his last three starts and the over is 8-3 in Braves last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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07-04-23 | Blue Jays v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
Mike's Blue Jays/White Sox Total Lucas Giolito has a 5.91 ERA in six career starts against the Blue Jays. Chris Bassitt has a 3.77 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox. Toronto has averaged 4.70 rpg over its last 10 games, the White Sox have averaged 5.10 rpg over their last 10 games. Over is 19-8-1 in Blue Jays last 28 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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07-04-23 | Braves v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
Mike's Braves/Guardians Total The Braves are the hottest team in baseball. They've averaged 7.00 runs per game over their last nine. They won nine of those contests and scored 10 runs in the game they lost ... Here they'll hand the ball to left-hander Kolby Allard his second career start. Allard held Minnesota scoreless over 4 2/3 innings in his debut. The Guardians counter with Shane Bieber who has a 3.48 ERA for the season, but he has allowed nine runs through his last three starts. I expect the Braves bats to stay hot, but would also not be surprised if Cleveland can score some runs off Allard. I like the price we get on the Braves and I also like the over. Over is 7-2-1 in Guardians last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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07-01-23 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 9 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
Mike's 10* MLB Total Game of the Week Miami right-hander Eury Perez has impressed through his first nine starts in the big leagues, and he has allowed only one run over his last six starts, but here he'll face a red hot Atlanta team that put up 16 runs Friday night. Over their last 10 games, the Braves have averaged 7.60 runs per game. Miami's bats are not quite as hot, but they should be able to score runs off Charlie Morton who has allowed eight runs (six earned) over his last two starts. Over is 20-8-2 in Braves last 30 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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07-01-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 7.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
Mike's MLB Total Bookie Bomber Nathan Eovaldi has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 6.86 in four versus the Astros since the start of the 2018 season. Astros right-hander Hunter Brown held Texas threw seven scoreless innings against Texas back in April, but I don't see that happening again. Houston has averaged 7.40 runs per game over its last 10 games. Texas has averaged 5.60 runs per game over its last 10 games. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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06-28-23 | Yankees v. A's UNDER 8 | Top | 11-0 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
Mike's *LATE* MLB Total Top Play of the Day The Bronx Bombers have not lived up to their name lately with an average of only 2.60 runs per game scored over their last 10 games. Thats still marginally better than Oakland's 2.50 runs per game over its last 10 games. Yankees right-hander Domingo German was slapped around by Seattle in his last start, but this looks like a good spot to bounce back with a solid outing. Under is 20-8-2 in Athletics last 30 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3-1 in Yankees last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-28-23 | Astros v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | 10-7 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
Mike's Astros/Cardinals Total I absolutely love the price we get on Houston here with Cristian Javier on the mound. OK, Javier has not been at his very best in his most recent starts, but he's still a solid 7-1 with a 3.25 ERA on the season. The Astros are 11-4 in his 15 starts (3-0 as underdogs with Javier as the starter). Cardinals righty Miles Mikolas is 0-3 with a 6.16 ERA in his last three starts. Under is 9-1-1 in Cardinals last 11 interleague games. Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-26-23 | Tigers v. Rangers OVER 9 | 7-2 | Push | 0 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
Mike's Tigers/Rangers Total The Rangers have the firepower to blow the doors off just about any opponent across the major leagues, and here they'll face Detroit southpaw Matthew Boyd who is 5-5 with a 5.37 ERA on the season. Boyd has a 1-7 record with an ERA of 6.08 in nine starts versus the Rangers in his career and Texas is averaging 6.84 R/9 against left-handers this year. I expect the Rangers bats to come alive here after being held to a total of seven runs in their three-game series against the Yankees over the weekend. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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06-24-23 | Astros v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
Mike's MLB Total Bookie Bomber Dodgers rookie right-hander Bobby Miller is 3-1, 2.83 ERA through his first five starts in the big leagues. Miller gave up seven runs against the Giants in his last start but had allowed a total of only two runs through his first four starts. The Dodgers are coming off three straight wins, despite scoring a total of only seven runs in those games. Under is 15-6-2 in the last 23 meetings. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-21-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
Mike's MLB Total Bookie Bomber The first two games of this series have seen plenty of runs, but I don't think that will be the case here in the rubber match. Zac Gallen is 2-3 with an ERA of 1.86 in 5 starts versus the Brewers in his career. Julio Teheran has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 2.98 in 11 starts against the Diamondbacks in his career. Teheran has allowed 1, 0, 2, 1, and 2 runs in his five starts this season. Only one of those games went over the total. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-19-23 | Red Sox v. Twins OVER 7.5 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
Mike's 10* MLB Total Play of the Day The Red Sox have averaged 7.40 runs per game over their last five games and they'll face Minnesota right-hander Pablo Lopez who has posted an ERA of 5.88 home at Target Field this season. Minnesota left-hander James Paxton has an ERA of 4.50 on the road this year. Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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06-18-23 | White Sox v. Mariners UNDER 8 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Mike's MLB Total Bookie Bomber Under is 8-1-2 in White Sox last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3-2 in White Sox last 14 overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 15-7 in Mariners last 22 during game 3 of a series. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-18-23 | Angels v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Mike's 10* MLB Total Play of the Day Under is 9-3-1 in Angels last 13 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 13-3 in Royals last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 14-6 in Royals last 20 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-16-23 | Guardians v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
Mike's 10* MLB Total Top Play of the Day The Guardians are 40-25-3 to the under for the season and Triston McKenzie is due for a great outing after giving up seven runs to Houston in his last start. McKenzie posted an ERA of 2.96 over 30 starts last year, so he's definitely a lot better than his last outing. Arizona hands the ball to Zac Gallen who has posted an ERA of 0.96 over 47 innings at home this season. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-14-23 | Angels v. Rangers OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
Mike's 10* MLB Total Top Play of the Day The Rangers are averaging an MLB-best 6.33 runs R/9 on the season, and that number goes up to 7.08 R/9 against left-handers. Angels southpaw Reid Detmers has an ERA of 5.40 in 6 starts against the Rangers in his career. The Angels' bats are hot, having scored 9, 9 and 7 runs over their last three games and Texas left-hander Andrew Heaney has posted an ERA of 5.67 over 33 1/3 innings at home this season. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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06-13-23 | Yankees v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
Mike's Yankees/Mets MLB Total *BOOKIE BU$TER* The Yankees have averaged only 3.10 runs per game over their last 10 games and here they'll face Max Scherzer who has posted an ERA of 0.50 over 18 innings home at Citi Field. Yankees righty Luis Severino has not had a great start to the year but he owns a 2.75 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Mets. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-09-23 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
10* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Reds got shut out in a 6-0 loss to the Dodgers yesterday. Here they'll face Cards left-hander Jordan Montgomery who has allowed only three earned run over 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts. As for the Cardinals bats, they've been cold for a while. They've averaged only 2.40 runs per game through their last 10 games and Reds righty Ben Lively has posted a solid ERA of 3.03 through his first six outings (four starts) of the season. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-02-23 | Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 9 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
Mike's 10* TGIF MLB Total *BEST BET* The Cardinals have not scored more than three runs in any of their last seven games, but here they'll face right-hander Roansy Contreras who has posted an ERA of 5.54 home at PNC Park this season. Contreras has a 4.43 ERA in five career outings (four starts) against the Cardinals. Both teams had Thursday off, and I expect to see fresh lineups and hot bats. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-30-23 | Angels v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Angels opened the series with a 6-4 win, and I think their bats will stay hot here against Lucas Gioloto (3-4, 3.98 ERA) who allowed four runs on seven hits over just 3 2/3 innings in his last start. Since the start of the 2021 season, Giolito is 0-1 with an ERA of 4.22 in four starts versus the Angels. The Angels counter with left-hander Tyler Anderson (2-0, 4.81 ERA) who has an ERA of 6.52 in two starts versus the White Sox in his career. The White Sox are 5-0 to the over in their last five games. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-30-23 | Brewers v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
MIKE'S BREWERS/JAYS MLB TOTAL The Brewers are batting only .206 while averaging 2.68 runs per nine innings against left-handers. Blue Jays southpaw Yusei Kikuchi (5-2, 4.56 ERA) has posted an ERA of 3.54 over 20 1/3 innings home at Rogers Centre this season. The Brewers hand the ball to Adrian Houser (1-0, 2.25 ERA) who has tossed 11 1/3 scoreless innings over his last two starts. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-29-23 | Rangers v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
MIKE'S RANGERS/TIGERS TOTAL The Rangers are 5-1 SU and against the runline as road favorites of at least -150. Tigers left-hander Matthew Boyd (3-3, 5.74 ERA) is 0-3 with an ERA of 8.64 over 16 2/3 innings home at Comerica Park this season. The Rangers are averaging 7.32 runs per nine innings against left-handers this season. I expect the Rangers to win this one comfortably and they might cover the total by themselves. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-27-23 | Dodgers v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* DODGERS/RAYS MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY Clayton Kershaw (6-4, 2.98 ERA) is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.88 and 16 strikeouts in 2 starts against the Rays in his career. This will be Tyler Glasnow's first career start against the Dodgers and first start of the season. Glasnow struck out six batters over six innings of two-hit baseball in his final minor league rehab start at Triple-A Durham on Saturday. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-26-23 | Blue Jays v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK The Blue Jays put up 20 runs at Tampa Bay on May 23, but take out that performance and their runs per game average over their last 10 games is mediocre at best. Minnesota righty-hander Louie Varland (2-0, 4.18 ERA) has an ERA of 2.92 in two home starts. Toronto right-hander Kevin Gausman (2-3, 3.14 ERA) has allowed only four earned runs over 21 innings through his last four starts. Under is 7-0-1 in Blue Jays last 8 Friday games. Under is 6-2 in Twins last 8 games following an off day. Under is 19-9-4 in Twins last 32 during game 1 of a series. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-21-23 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
10* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH - ORIOLES/JAYS BEST BET The Orioles have scored six runs in each of the first two games of this series and they've averaged 5.40 runs per nine innings over their last five games. The Blue Jays bats have been cold, but they put up five runs yesterday and here they'll face Dean Kremer (5-1, 4.94 ERA) who has posted an ERA of 9.68 over 13 innings of work in his day starts this year. Kremer is 1-2 with an ERA of 6.21 in 6 starts versus the Blue Jays in his career. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-16-23 | Phillies v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER Giants righty Alex Cobb (3-1, 1.70 ERA) has been outstanding and shut out Arizona through 7 1/3 innings in his last start, the the third time in four starts that Cobb did not allow a run. Phillies Zack Wheeler (3-2, 3.80 ERA) is also having a solid year and he has posted an ERA of 2.45 over his last three starts. Under is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-2 in Giants last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-13-23 | Cardinals v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
MIKE'S 10* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Red Sox put up six runs against the Cardinals Friday night but still lost 8-6. Both teams' bats are hot and neither of today's starters, Chris Sale (3-2, 6.37 ERA) and Steven Matz (0-4, 5.70 ERA) has had a particularly good start to the year. The Cardinals are 8-2 to the over in their last 10. The Red Sox are 7-2-1 to the over in their last 10. The over is 15-6 in Boston's 21 games home at Fenway Park on the season. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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05-10-23 | Tigers v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S SUPER EARLY MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY The Guardians have averaged 2.00 runs per game over their last five games and they average 2.60 runs per game over their last 10. Detroit left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez (3-2, 1.81 ERA) has an ERA of 0.44 over his last three starts and under is 6-1-1 in Guardians' last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-08-23 | Cardinals v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MLB TOTAL BOOKIE BOMBER Miles Mikolas is 5-3 with an ERA of 2.19 and 60 strikeouts in 14 starts against the Cubs in his career. Marcus Stroman has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 4.99 and 40 strikeouts in seven appearances against the Cardinals in his career. While that's not an all that impressive ERA, note that it's bloated by one outing when he gave up nine runs over four innings against the Cardinals on June 3 last year. Under is 19-6-1 in Cardinals last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 37-17-4 in Cubs last 58 home games. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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05-08-23 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
MIKE'S MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK - 10* BIG BET ALERT Baltimore is averaging 5.51 runs per nine innings. Tampa Bay is averaging 6.46 runs per nine innings. Rays left-hander Shane McClanahan (6-0, 2.03 ERA) has had a superb start to the year, but the Orioles are averaging 7.22 runs per nine innings against southpaws. Baltimore right-hander Kyle Gibson (4-1, 4.61 ERA) allowed six runs on 10 hits with no strikeouts and no walks over 6 2/3 innings in a 6-0 loss to the host Kansas City Royals on Wednesday. He has a 4.35 ERA ERA in 13 career appearances (12 starts) against the Rays. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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04-29-23 | Angels v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
MIKE'S ANGLES/BREWERS TOTAL The Brewers are batting only .212 while averaging 2.75 runs per nine innings against left-handers and Angels southpaw Reid Detmers (0-1, 4.15 ERA) has allowed only four runs over 12 innings in his last two starts. Under is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Angels last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. 8* PLAY ON UNDER.
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04-14-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
RAYS/BLUE JAYS TOTAL The Rays are perfect 13-0 SU for the season and their over/under record is 9-3-1. Blue Jays righty Jose Berrios has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.86 in eight starts versus the Rays in his career. Drew Rasumussen has an ERA of 2.45 in seven starts versus the Blue Jays in his career. I like the Rays to win and the game to go over as they might put up enough runs by themselves. 8* PLAY ON OVER. |
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04-12-23 | Red Sox v. Rays OVER 8 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
MIKE'S MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Rays are undefeated 11-0 on the season while averaging 7.55 runs per nine innings. While not sustainable, I expect their bats to stay hot here and put up a good amount of runs against Red Sox starter Chris Sale who has posted an ERA of 11.25 over his first two starts of the year. Tampa Bay righty Taj Bradley will be making his MLB debut today, and Boston is averaging a healthy 5.66 runs per nine innings. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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10-11-22 | Mariners v. Astros UNDER 6.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S MARINERS/ASTROS MLB TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER This is a low total, but not low enough IMO. Justin Verlander went 5-1 with a 2.34 ERA in six starts against the Mariners this season while Seattle right-hander Logan Gilbert had a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 2.52 in four appearances versus the Astros this season. The over/under was 7-20-1 in Verlander's 28 starts this year. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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09-30-22 | Royals v. Guardians UNDER 7 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL I think runs will come at a premium for both sides when Cleveland hosts Kansas City for the opener of a three-game series Friday night. Cleveland has clinched the division and could opt to rest players. They have scored two runs in each of their last two games. Royals righty Brady Singer has a 1.38 ERA in four starts this month. Under is 15-6 in Guardians last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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09-01-22 | Orioles v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Under is 16-4-1 in Guardians last 21 overall and 6-0 in Orioles last 6 overall. Cleveland righty Shane Bieber has a 1.77 ERA over his last three starts and Baltimore righty Kyle Bradish a respectable 2.94 ERA over his last three starts. Under is 13-3 in Orioles last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 14-3 in Guardians last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-30-22 | Red Sox v. Twins OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
MLB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BIG BET ALERT The Twins won the opener of this series 4-2 on Monday. Over is 8-2 in Red Sox last 10 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and over is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Boston right-hander Kutter Crawford has a 9.41 ERA and a 2.02 WHIP over his last three starts. Minnesota righty Chris Archer has a 6.23 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over his last three starts. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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08-29-22 | Yankees v. Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
MIKE'S YANKEES/ANGELS MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Yankees are struggling with consistency at the plate. They have scored only six runs over their last three games and more than four runs in only one of their last 10. Under is 7-1-1 in Yankees' last 9 road games. For this game, the Angels will send left-hander Jose Suarez to the mound. Under is 4-0-2 in Yankees' last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. As for the Yankees' starting pitcher, Frankie Montas has struggled since coming over from Oakland but in 15 appearances (12 starts) against the Angels, Montas is 4-2 with a 2.30 ERA. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-26-22 | Yankees v. A's UNDER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* TOTAL Yankees right-hander Gerrit Cole has posted an ERA of 2.37 with a 0.95 WHIP over his last three starts. The over/under is 0-3 in those games. Cole has a record of 5-1 with an ERA of 2.70 in nine starts versus the Athletics in his career. Oakland southpaw JP Sears has posted an ERA of 1.76 with a WHIP of 1.1 over his last three starts. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-20-22 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 16-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
CARDINALS/DIAMONDBACKS TOTAL Arizona left-hander Madison Bumgarner is 0-2 with a bloated ERA of 7.79 ERA in his last three starts. Bumgarner is 1-1 with an ERA of 7.88 in four starts versus the Cardinals since the start of the 2019 season. Cardinals are 29-10 in their last 39 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Cardinals are hot coming into this game riding a four-game winning streak and they are 13-3 in their last 16 overall. On the season, the Diamondbacks are 14-4-1 to the under as home underdogs and with a total of 9 or more. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-19-22 | Angels v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Tigers are averaging only 2.9 runs per nine innings against left-handed starters and Angels southpaw Patrick Sandoval has compiled a solid 2.25 ERA over his last three starts. Detroit righty Matt Manning has a 3.24 ERA in five starts on the season and a 0.65 ERA in two home starts. Under is 13-4-2 in Angels last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 24-9-1 in Angels last 34 vs. American League Central. Under is 13-4-5 in Tigers last 22 overall. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-18-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE MONTH - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* TOTAL Both the Yankees and the Blue Jays have plenty of firepower and big bats in their team, but neither team has been hitting the ball all that well of late. Toronto has averaged 2.6 runs per game over its last seven games while the Yankees have averaged a miserable 1.3 runs per game over the same stretch. Blue Jays righty Jose Berrios is not having a good year, but the talent is there. I expect him to step up in a big way. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-17-22 | Tigers v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S TIGERS/GUARDIANS TOTAL The Tigers are 2-13 SU and 5-10 against the runline as a road underdog of +175 to +250. The over/under is 3-11 in those games. Guardians righty Cal Quantrill is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.89 in his last three starts. The Guardians have won each of his last seven starts and won five of those games by two runs or more. Under is 13-3-5 in Tigers last 21 overall. Under is 8-2-1 in Guardians last 11 overall. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-14-22 | Guardians v. Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* GUARDIANS/BLUE JAYS TOTAL The Blue Jays have dropped five of their last seven games and they have scored only two runs through the first two games of this series. Guardians right-hander Shane Bieber was rocked for seven runs when he faced Toronto back in May, but he is 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts. Bieber is 4-3 with a 3.14 ERA and a 9-4 team record in 13 road starts on the season. Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 overall. Under is 5-0-1 in Guardians last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-04-22 | Blue Jays v. Twins UNDER 8 | 9-3 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
BLUE JAYS/TWINS TOTAL This looks like a great spot to back the Blue Jays to snap back from a 3-2 loss as a road favorite at Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday. The Jays are 19-8 as favorites coming off a loss as favorites and right-hander Alek Manoah is 11-5 with a 2.43 ERA and a 0.992 WHIP in 20 starts this season. Minnesota righty Sonny Gray is 6-3 with a 3.40 ERA on the season, but he has a 4.91 ERA over his last three starts. Under is 14-6 in Manoah's 20 starts this season and 9-1 in his 10 road starts. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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08-04-22 | Rays v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Tigers are averaging only 3.21 runs per game on the season and that number drops to an average of 2.60 over their last five games. The Rays have been just marginally better over their last five games, averaging 2.80 runs per game. The over/under is 3-9-1 in Rays left-hander Jeffrey Springs 13 starts this season. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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07-23-22 | Rays v. Royals UNDER 11 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S TOP-RATED MAJOR WAGER TOTAL I think the bookmakers got this total completely wrong. The Royals are averaging only 3.7 runs per game home at Kauffman Stadium and while Tampa Bay righty Luis Patano has an ugly 6.75 ERA, note that it's over only two starts and a total of four innings and he's backed up by one of the best bullpens in baseball. KC hands the ball to Brady Singer who has posted a 3.08 ERA over his last three starts. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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07-15-22 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Braves are averaging 5.07 runs per nine innings against left-handed pitchers and Nats left-hander Corbin has an ERA of 9.12 in five starts against the Braves since the beginning of last season. Braves righty Ian Anderson has been shaky lately, and he has a 5.79 ERA in 9 1/3 innings over two starts against the Nats this year. 10* PLAY ON OVER. |
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07-13-22 | Orioles v. Cubs UNDER 8 | Top | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Orioles opened this series with a 4-2 win. The Cubs have scored three runs or fewer in eight of their last 10 games. Orioles right-hander Spenser Watkins has an ERA of 1.02 over his last three starts while Cubs lefty Justin Steele has a 3.63 ERA over his last three starts. Steele has also been alot sharper home at Wrigley Field (3.14 ERA) than on the road (5.86 ERA) and under is 8-0-1 in Orioles last 9 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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07-12-22 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | 6-7 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
DODGERS/CARDS TOTAL The Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 games while the Dodgers are red hot (as usual), coming into this game on a seven-game winning streak. The Dodgers had Monday off while the Cards close out a four-game series against Philadelphia. For the season, the Dodgers are 7-2 when playing with a day off and right-hander Mitch White has posted a 2.93 ERA in seven starts. Cards rookie left-hander Matthew Liberatore has 10 scoreless innings at Busch Stadium, but against Pittsburgh and Milwaukee. The Dodgers bats are a whole different thing. Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 33-16-2 in Dodgers last 51 games following an off day. Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 15-5-1 in Cardinals last 21 overall. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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07-09-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | Top | 2-9 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY Under is 10-4-2 in Diamondbacks last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter and Rockies left-hander Kyle Freeland has posted an ERA of 3.40 in seven road starts this year. D'Backs left-hander Madison Bumgarner has compiled a 3.23 ERA in nine home starts, the over/under record is 2-5-2 in those games. Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 4-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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07-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
MIKE'S NATS/PHILLIES TOTAL Nats right-hander Josiah Gray has posted an ERA of 2.01 in seven road starts this season. The Nats covered the runline in all seven games. Gray held Philly scoreless over six innings when he last faced them, back in June. Phillies right-hander Aaron Nola has a 4.25 ERA at home this season but he has compiled an ERA of 2.05 over his last three starts. Nola has an ERA of 5.82 in three starts versus the Nationals over the last two seasons. Under is 7-3 in Phillies last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. I like the Nats to cover the runline in a low-scoring affair. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-30-22 | Twins v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
MIKE'S TWINS/GUARDIANS SUPER EARLY MLB TOTAL The Guardians bats have been cold lately. They had not scored more than three runs in any of their last seven games prior to putting up seven runs in a win against the Twins yesterday. Minnesota right-hander Chris Archer has posted an ERA of 1.38 over his last three starts. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-29-22 | White Sox v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* MAJOR WAGER TOTAL (LATE) Angels Shohei Ohtani (6-4, 2.90 ERA) has allowed only one run on nine hits over 21 innings over his last three starts. Each of his last four starts have gone under the total. The White Sox have been crushing left-handers all season, but they've not had as much success agianst right-handers. Under is 14-6-2 in White Sox last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter. White Sox right-hander Michael Kopech (2-4, 2.59 ERA) has a 3.21 ERA in 13 road starts this year. The over/under is 4-8-1 in those games. Under is 8-2-1 in Angels last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter and 12-3-1 in Angels last 16 overall. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-29-22 | Pirates v. Nationals UNDER 9 | 8-7 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY MLB TOTAL Pittsburgh has scored a total of only 13 runs through a five-game losing streak. The Nats have won six of their last eight games. Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (2-5, 4.77 ERA) gave up four runs on seven hits in 3 2/3 innings when he faced the Nats back in April. The Pirates are 3-9 in his 12 starts this season. Washington righty Paolo Espino (0-1, 2.21 ERA) has made 20 appearances as a reliever and three starts this year. He has an ERA of 2.57 and 10 strikeouts over 14 innings in his three starts. The Pirates are averaging only 2.77 runs per nine innings against right-handers on the road. 8* PLAY ON PIT/WSH UNDER. |
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06-28-22 | Padres v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S LATE 10* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Padres left-hander Sean Manaea (3-3, 3.87 ERA) is 3-1 lifetime against the Diamondbacks in five starts with a 2.89 ERA. Diamondbacks right-hander Zac Gallen (4-2, 2.92 ERA) is 1-2 lifetime against the Padres with a 3.31 ERA. Under is 3-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 7-1 in Padres last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Padres lost 8-5 to Philadelphia on Sunday. Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 23-8-1 in Padres last 32 games following a loss. Arizona is coming off an 11-7 win over Detroit. Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-27-22 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Rangers had played four straight unders prior to a 6-4 loss to Washington on Sunday. They've scored more than four runs in only one of their last six games. Royals left-hander Kris Bubic (1-4, 7.41 ERA) held the Angels to two runs and fanned six over six innings in his last start, one of his best outings of the season. Under is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-1 in Rangers last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Texas hands the ball to left-hander Martin Perez (5-2, 1.96 ERA) who is having a fantastic year, and the under is 10-4 in his 14 starts. Perez has a 3-0 record with an ERA of 2.16 in three starts against the Royals since the start of last season. The Royals have scored 13 runs over their last four games and under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-25-22 | Mariners v. Angels UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
MARINERS/ANGELS TOTAL Angels left-hander Patrick Sandoval has posted an ERA of 2.70 and 17 strikeouts in his last three starts. Sandoval (3-2, 2.70 ERA) is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six home starts in 2022. The Angels won four of those games and four of the games went under the total. Sandoval has an ERA of 3.00 and 34 strikeouts in five career starts against the Mariners. The Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. Mariners Logan Gilbert is 7-3 with an ERA of 2.28 on the season, but I think Sandoval will outduel him in this one. Under is 10-3 in Mariners last 13 overall. Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 overall. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-21-22 | Phillies v. Rangers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The over/under is 4-9 in Texas left-hander Martin Perez's starts this year. Perez (4-2, 2.10 ERA) has an ERA of 3.65 and 34 strikeouts in seven appearances (six starts) versus the Phillies in his career. The over/under is 5-8 in Philadelphia right-hander Kyle Gibson's starts this year. Gibson has an ERA of 3.08 and 31 strikeouts in seven starts against the Rangers in his career. The Rangers are averaging only 3.88 runs per nine innings against right-handers. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-21-22 | Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 8-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
MIKE'S DODGERS/REDS MLB TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER Dodgers Tony Gonsolin (8-0, 1.42 ERA) has allowed only one run over 18 1/3 innings over his last three starts. Gonsolin held the Reds scoreless over four innings on April 15. The over/under is 9-3 in Gonsolin's starts this year. Reds right-hander Tyler Mahle has posted an ERA of 1.71 over his last three starts. 8* PLAY ON UNDER. |
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06-19-22 | Rays v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a 7-6 win, but they had scored a total of only four runs with two shutout losses in their previous four games. The under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, and Baltimore right-hander Jordan Lyles (4-5, 5.10 ERA), while struggling on the road, has posted a 2.93 ERA in five home starts this year. Tampa Bay right-hander Corey Kluber (3-3, 3.50 ERA) has an ERA of 1.96 in his last four starts and he is s 5-1 with an ERA of 3.07 and 79 strikeouts over 73 1/3 innings in 12 starts versus the Orioles in his career. 10* PLAY ON UNDER. |