MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS TOTAL

I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. 

In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S NINERS/CHIEFS SIDE TOP PLAY

I've backed the Chiefs for profits in every game through the postseason, and I think they're undervalued by the betting market once again here in the Super Bowl. Their defense is so underrated, and combine that with a future Hall of Fame quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and you have a team that should not be an underdog to anyone. 

In addition to backing the Chiefs, I also like the under as I think the defenses will dominate the game.

4* PLAY ON THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Detroit Lions are coming off a 31-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they are 12-7 to the over on the season. Sure, here they'll face a much better defense, but even so, the Niners D has not been quite as dominant as in previous seasons.

Detroit has a lot more upside with the ball in their hands than on defense, and I like the over in this game even with this total which is on the higher side, especially for a playoff game.  

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

I think it's an absolute no-brainer to take the points on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. They were not quite as dominant as we've gotten used to during the regular season, but have as expected stepped up their game again in the postseason. 

Much respect for the season Baltimore has put together, but don't sleep on the Chiefs who have all the playoff experience you could ask for, much unlike the Ravens... 

Since the start of the 2018 season, the Chiefs are 8-1-1 ATS as underdogs with Mahomes on the field.   

5* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. 

MIKE'S CHIEFS/BILLS NFL NO BRAINER

Both the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs had their struggles during the regular season, but they both looked solid in the Wild Card round. The Bills have heated up lately, winning each of their last six games, a winning streak that started with a 20-17 win at Arrowhead, but I like the Chiefs to cover the number and possibly also win outright here in the divisional round.

While Buffalo's defense has stepped up in recent weeks, I just think the Chiefs' D is on another level and as much as I respect Josh Allen, how can you go against Patrick Mahomes in a playoff game?

3* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* BUCS/LIONS NFL DIV ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR

I find it absolutely ridiculous that the Detroit Lions are asked to cover just under a touchdown against this Tampa Bay team that demolished the Eagles in the Wild Card round. The Lions meanwhile were outgained by almost 100 yards in their 24-23 win over the Rams. 

Sure, you're never as good as your best game and never as bad as your worst, but I am more than happy to take the points on the Bucs in this game.

5* PLAY ON THE BUCS. 

MAX BET ALERT - 5* GB/SF DIV PLAYOFFS TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Green Bay Packers put up 48 points against the Cowboys in Dallas in the Wild Card round, but they'll face a much tougher defense here against the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Playoffs. The Niners have the third-best scoring defense in the NFL holding opponents to 17.5 points per game, and I think they'll be able to take an early lead and then start to bleed clock.  

I would lean to the 49ers to cover the spread as long as it's under 10, but I'm worried about the backdoor cover and feel that the under is a much better play. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Philadelphia Eagles finished the regular season 11-6 SU but only 6-8-3 ATS while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished 9-8 SU and 11-6 ATS.

I think the Eagles are overvalued by the betting market once again when they visit the Bucs in the Wild Card round on Monday. 

Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Eagles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

5* PLAY ON THE BUCS.

MIKE'S RAMS/LIONS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Detroit Lions and the LA Rams finished the regular season with some of the best ATS records in the NFL, but I think the Lions are overvalued as a home favorite in this Wild Card round matchup.

I don't think there is all that much separating these two teams, but at least the Rams have a decent amount of postseason experience on their team and we're getting points. Also, they closed out the regular season hot with seven wins in their last eight games. 

3* PLAY ON THE RAMS. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

Sure, the Dallas Cowboys are averaging 37.4 points per game at AT&T Stadium and the Green Bay Packers have looked much better than expected with Jordan Love as the starting QB, but I think this total is way too high for a postseason game. 

Both teams have played quite well on the defensive side of the ball in recent games and the under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER.

MIKE'S 4* DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL TOP PLAY

The Kansas City Chiefs have had a subpar season by their standards, but this is still an experienced team that I expect to start playing up to their potential again here in the playoffs.

There will be a hostile environment and cold weather at Arrowhead, not ideal for the Dolphins who are flying in from South Florida. 

Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff home games. Chiefs are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

4* PLAY ON THE CHIEFS.

MIKE'S 5* CFB NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME MAX BET

The No. 1 and the No. 2 seed will clash in the College Football Playoff national championship game, and I like the underdog to cover the number as I don't think Michigan has much of an edge at all. If any team can open up this Wolverines defense it's Heisman Trophy runner-up Michael Penix Jr., and Michigan could find it difficult to come back if they fall behind. 

5* PLAY ON WASHINGTON. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* BEARS/PACKERS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Chicago Bears are coming off a 37-17 win over Atlanta. They have scored 27 points or more in three of their last four games, the exception a 17-point outing against a Cleveland Browns team that boasts the best defense in the NFL. The Green Bay Packers have scored 33 points in back-to-back games and 20 points or more in each of their last seven games. 

Over is 12-2 in Packers last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MIKE'S 4* RAMS/NINERS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

Both teams have already qualified for postseason football, and they've both announced that they'll rest starters. This will add more variance, making the underdog even more attractive from a betting perspective and the Rams typically match up very well against the Niners. 

Additionally, while the Niners are coming off a 27-10 rout of Washington, note that the 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

4* PLAY ON THE RAMS. 

MIKE'S JAGS/TITANS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

Sure, the Jacksonville Jaguars need a win to make the postseason, but I expect a strong effort from the Tennessee Titans after getting humiliated in a 26-3 loss in Houston last week. They're now coming off three consecutive losses but I think they'll end the season on a good note. 

Titans are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. Jaguars are 5-12 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

3* PLAY ON THE TITANS.

MIKE'S 4* TEXANS/COLTS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Indianapolis Colts are 11-5 to the over while the Houston Texans are 10-6 to the under. 

The Colts won 31-20 when they clashed with Houston back in September, but I think this will be a much lower-scoring affair as I expect both teams to be relatively conservative as they're playing for the AFC South title. 

Houston rookie QB CJ Stroud has been stealing most of the headlines from the rest of the team (and deservedly so), but the Texans defense has been sneaky good.

The Texans limited the Titans to three points last week; the under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 9-3 in Texans last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* STEELERS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

I love the Baltimore Ravens as an underdog against Pittsburgh this Saturday.

Sure, the Ravens have announced that they'll rest players as they are already locked in as the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but they're all professionals and John Harbaugh always coaches to win.

Harbaugh can't even stand the idea of losing a pre-season game, so why would he lay down here against a hated AFC North rival?

5* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. 

MIKE'S 5* TEXAS/WASHINGTON CFB PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR

I like the Washington Huskies as an underdog against Texas in the College Football Playoff semifinals on New Year's Day. Both teams boast explosive offenses and are also similar in many other ways. I'm happy to take the points in a matchup between two evenly matched sides. 

5* PLAY ON WASHINGTON. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* PACKERS/VIKINGS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Both the Green Bay Packers and the Minnesota Vikings are in the hunt for a wild card, and both teams have found their groove when on the ball. The Packers have scored 20 points or more in six straight games and the Vikes have proven to be surprisingly competitive with Nick Mullens under center. 

The over is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 games in December and 4-0 in Packers last 4 games in December.

5* PLAY ON THE OVER.

MIKE'S RAIDERS/COLTS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Las Vegas Raiders are coming off two strong outings against the Chargers and the Chiefs. They held the Chiefs to 14 points last week and they are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. I think they'll give this overrated Colts team all kinds of trouble, especially with their run game. 

3* PLAY ON THE RAIDERS. 

MIKE'S RAMS/GIANTS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Los Angeles Rams are 5-1 SU and ATS over their last six games but need to keep their foot on the gas to keep their hopes of postseason football alive. The Giants offense showed signs of life last week with Tyrod Taylor replacing Tommy DeVito under center, but I don't think they'll be able to keep with the Rams who have scored 28 points or more in each of their last five games. 

3* PLAY ON THE RAMS. 

MAX BET ALERT: 5* LIONS/COWBOYS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

This looks like a great spot to back the Dallas Cowboys to bounce back from back-to-back road losses at Buffalo and Miami. The Cowboys have been destroying teams home at AT&T Stadium and here they'll face a Detroit team that clinched the NFC North last week. 

The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

5* PLAY ON THE COWBOYS.

MIKE'S 4* DUKE'S MAYO BOWL CFB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

I'm not sure how motivated the North Carolina Tar Heels will be to participate in Duke's Mayo Bowl. They had their sights set higher than this, and they've been hit hard by opt outs, including star quarterback Drake Maye. The West Virginia Mountaineers on the other hand couldn't be happier to be here and I think they'll get the win and cover.   

4* PLAY ON WEST VIRGINIA. 

MIKE'S 4* GUARANTEED RATE BOWL BOOKIE BREAKER

I like the UNLV Rebels to cover the spread against Kansas in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl on Tuesday.

UNLV has been undervalued by the oddsmakers and bettors all season, going 10-3 ATS while covering the spread by an average of 7.3 points.

The Rebels lost some momentum down the stretch but I have no doubt they'll show up again here in their first bowl appearance since the 2013 season. 

4* PLAY ON UNLV. 

MIKE'S 4* RAVENS/NINERS NFL XMAS DAY TOP PLAY

The San Francisco 49ers have been steamrolling their opponents in recent games, but here they'll face a Baltimore team that has been almost equally hot. The Ravens are usually money as underdogs (19-5-3 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog), and I think the Niners will find it difficult to get separation. 

4* PLAY ON THE RAVENS. 

5* MAX BET ALERT: COWBOYS/DOLPHINS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Both teams are 8-6 to the over on the season, but I think we'll see a low-scoring affair relative to the posted total. While the two teams' offenses usually get the headlines, note that they're both top 6 for total defense. The under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 road games and 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S COLTS/FALCONS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

This looks like a good spot to fade the Indianapolis Colts following a 30-13 win over Pittsburgh. They're 5-1 in their last six games but that makes me even more confident to go against them here against an Atlanta team looking to bounce back from a pair of losses.

The Falcons put up only seven points in a loss to the Panthers in Carolina last week, but they are a much better team at home than on the road and I think they'll get the win here against an Indianapolis team that has been overachieving lately. 

3* PLAY ON THE FALCONS. 

MIKE'S SEAHAWKS/TITANS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

This looks like a good spot to fade the Seattle Seahawks following their 20-17 upset win over Philadelphia. They'll face a Tennessee team that came out flat in a 19-16 home loss to Houston last week, but they are a respectable 4-2 at home on the season. 

The Titans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog and  7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. The Seahawks are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

3* PLAY ON THE TITANS. 

5* MAX BET ALERT: BILLS/CHARGERS AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

This looks like a good spot to back the Los Angeles Chargers to bounce back with a respectable outing after being humiliated by the Raiders in Las Vegas last Thursday. The Buffalo Bills are in a potential flat spot following marquee wins over Kansas City and Dallas. 

The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

5* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. 

5* MAX BET ALERT: MIKE'S POTATO BOWL CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

The Utah State Aggies closed out the regular season with wins in three of their last four games while the Georgia State Panthers ended the season on a five-game losing streak.

The Aggies will start backup QB Levi William, but he's no stranger to the Potato Bowl after winning the MVP honors while with Wyoming in 2021. 

Georgia State will be without 13 players who have hit the transfer portal, including leading rusher Marcus Carroll and top receiver Robert Lewis. 

5* PLAY ON UTAH STATE. 

MIKE'S 4* SAINTS/RAMS NFL TOTAL TOP PLAY

The New Orleans Saints are 10-4 to the under on the season and they've held their last two opponents to six points each. The Los Angeles Rams have been involved in high-scoring affairs of late, but I think they'll find it difficult to move the ball against this Saints defense. 

The under is 24-8 in Rams last 32 games as a home favorite and 7-0 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. The under is 10-2-1 in Saints last 13 Thursday games.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S EAGLES/SEAHAWKS M.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER

The Philadelphia Eagles took a 33-13 beating in Dallas last weekend, but I think they'll bounce back and make the Seahawks pay for that humiliating loss.

The reeling Seahawks are in a tough spot playing their third straight road game and with zero momentum off four consecutive losses. 

The Eagles are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

3* PLAY ON THE EAGLES. 

MIKE'S 4* COWBOYS/BILLS NFL SUNDAY TOP PLAY

This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Cowboys following five straight wins, including a 33-13 win over their rivals the Philadelphia Eagles last week. Dallas is 10-3 on the season, but only 3-3 on the road. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

The Buffalo Bills are only 7-6 on the season and in second place in the division and will most likely have to win out to catch the first-place Miami Dolphins. Desperation breeds motivation and I think we'll see a hyper-focused Bills team beat Dallas. 

4* PLAY ON THE BUFFALO BILLS. 

MIKE'S 5* BRONCOS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

This looks like a great spot to fade the Denver Broncos who have been playing over their heads lately, winning six of their last seven games outright, with three wins as underdogs.

The Detroit Lions meanwhile are getting no respect following a humiliating 28-13 loss to the Bears in Chicago, but they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

5* PLAY ON THE LIONS. 

MIKE'S VIKES/BENGALS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

Cincinnati QB Jake Browning threw for 275 yards and two touchdowns against one INT in last week's 34-14 win over Indianapolis, but he has yet to prove that he can do it week in and week out. The Minnesota Vikings' defense has stepped up its game in recent weeks, and the Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

3* PLAY ON THE VIKINGS. 

MIKE'S CFB MYRTLE BEACH BOWL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Georgia Southern Eagles are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games while Ohio closed out the regular season on a 3-0 run. Ohio will be without starting QB Kurtis Rourke who has announced he transferred to Indiana for his final college season, but the Bobcats can lean on their defense to win the game.  

3* PLAY ON OHIO. 

MIKE'S 4* CHARGERS/RAIDERS NFL TOP PLAY

The Chargers will have to do without injured starting QB Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, but I think the rest of the team will rally behind QB Easton Stick who will make his first NFL start despite five seasons with the team.

The Raiders have QB issues of their own as they've averaged just 11.5 points over their last four games with rookie Aidan O'Connell quarterbacking the team. We might see Jimmy Garoppolo back under center for Vegas here, but I still think the Chargers can keep this close. 

The Chargers are 40-18-4 ATS in their last 62 games as a road underdog and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Raiders are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 5-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

4* PLAY ON THE CHARGERS. 

MIKE'S 4* PACKERS/GIANTS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The New York Giants are 9-3 to the under on the season. They are averaging a miserable 13.2 points per game (31st) and an NFL-worst 258.7 yards of total offense per game. The Packers have scored 23, 29, and 27 points through a three-game winning streak, but note that the under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 Monday night games and 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-1 in Giants last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S BILLS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER

Both teams are 8-4 to the under on the season. The Chiefs defense is one of the most underrated units in the NFL and their offense hs not looked quite right lately. Through their last five games, the Chiefs have been held to 9, 21, 17, 31 and 19 points.  

The Bills took a 37-34 loss in Philadelphia before their bye week. The under is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

3* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* SEAHAWKS/NINERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

This looks like a potential flat spot for the San Francisco 49ers who are riding a four-game winning streak and defeated the Eagles 42-19 in Philadelphia last week.

I would not be surprised if they struggle to bring full focus for this game, especially after winning 31-13 in Seattle on Nov 23, and even if they do, this is a lot of points to cover. 

The Niners have all but clinched the division while Seattle's season is on the line.

5* PLAY ON THE SEAHAWKS.  

MIKE'S PANTHERS/SAINTS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The New Orleans Saints are only 5-7 and 2-9-1 ATS on the season. I don't think they should be this big of a favorite against any team in the NFL, not even the 1-11 SU and 2-8-2 ATS Carolina Panthers.

Sure, the Saints can still win the division, but the Carolina players are also professionals and would like nothing more than to play spoiler for their division rival, 

The Saints are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. There are honestly not many trends supporting the Panthers either, but they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC South opponents.  

3* PLAY ON THE CAROLINA PANTHERS. 

MIKE'S JAGS/BROWNS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

Jags star QB Trevor Lawrence is likely to miss this game, and even if he goes, he won't be 100% recovered from an ankle sprain suffered in last week's loss to Cincinnati. 

The Browns are holding teams to an NFL-best 260.5 yards per game and they'll be looking for a win following a pair of road losses.

The Browns took a 36-19 loss to the Rams in LA last week, but they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.

3* PLAY ON CLEVELAND BROWNS. 

MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Detroit Lions are averaging 27.2 points per game overall, but that number drops a bit when they're playing on the road. The Bears rank 2nd in total defense home at Soldier Field with an average of only 261.6 yards allowed per game. 

The Chicago Bears offense has been anemic all season, and they've been held to 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Detroit won the first meeting of the season 31-26 back on Nov 19, but I think we'll see a lower-scoring game this time around. 

The under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Lions last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S PATS/STEELERS T.N.F. BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Pittsburgh Steelers took a 24-10 loss as a 6-point favorite against Arizona last week. If they were a dog here I would back Pittsburgh to bounce back here, but this is a team that routinely plays down (or up) to its competition.

The New England Patriots are a mess and there's very little positive to say about them, but I'm happy to fade Pittsburgh as a favorite. Note that the Steelers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.

3* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. 

MIKE'S CHIEFS/PACKERS SUNDAY NIGHT NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a 31-17 win in Vegas. They covered the spread in that game, but are still only  9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS win.

The Green Bay Packers have played their best football of the season in recent weeks and come into this game 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games. They'll be playing on extra rest since their 29-22 win in Detroit on Thanksgiving. The Packers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

3* PLAY ON GREEN BAY PACKERS.

MIKE'S 5* NINERS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Philadelphia Eagles will play an elite opponent for a fourth straight game following wins over Dallas, Kansas City and Buffalo. Now they'll run into a San Francisco team that has answered a three-game losing streak with three wins.

I think the Eagles are due for a letdown game, and you can't play anything but your absolute best to keep up with this Niners team. 

The 49ers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. The 49ers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC. The 49ers are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

The Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

5* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

MIKE'S PANTHERS/BUCS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Carolina Panthers are 1-10 SU and 1-8-2 ATS on the season, but I think they can get a cover here against a Tampa Bay team that is overvalued by the betting market after going 4-1 ATS in its last five games. 

The Buccaneers are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. There are few if any trends supporting Carolina, but these ugly spots betting against the public are often where we can find value. 

3* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. 

MIKE'S 5* COLTS/TITANS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET

The Tennessee Titans have scored more than 17 points in only one of their last seven games.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has come around following a poor start to the year and has held opponents to 13, 6, and 20 points through their last three games.

Offensively, the Colts will be without the 2021 NFL rushing champion Jonathan Taylor who underwent thumb surgery earlier this week. 

The under is 6-0 in Colts' last 6 games as a road favorite and 31-14 in their last 45 games in December.

The under is 18-6 in Titans' last 24 home games and, 6-2 in Titans last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 and 6-2 in Titans last 8 games in December.

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* ACC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

The Louisville Cardinals are coming off a disappointing loss as a home favorite against Kentucky, their second loss for the season.

The Florida State Seminioles are undefeated 12-0, but they have to rely on backup QB Tate Rodemaker who completed only 12-of-25 passes for 134 yards in last week's 24-15 win at Florida.

FSU might have to lean on their running game here, but note that Louisville is holding opponents to 96.8 rushing yards per game (12th) and 3.3 yards per carry (15th). 

5* PLAY ON LOUISVILLE CARDINALS. 

MIKE'S AAC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BOOKIE BREAKER

The Tulane Green Wave are 11-1 on the season, with the lone loss coming to Ole Miss as a two-touchdown underdog in Week 2. Their defense has played at a high level in recent weeks with 10, 22, 8 and 16 points allowed.

Sure, SMU has consistently been running up the score through an eight-game winning streak, but they'll be without starting quarterback Preston Stone who got injured in last week's win against Navy. 

3* PLAY ON TULANE GREEN WAVE. 

MIKE'S 5* BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are averaging 30.2 points per game and while Texas is holding opponents to 325.3 yards per game (27th), they are much better at stopping the run than the pass.

Okie State has a well-balanced offense that ranks 50th on the ground and 40th through the air, and Texas has injuries on the defensive side of ball. 

As for the Cowboys' defense, there are holes to exploit and they've given up 30+ points in consecutive games, both as favorites, and now they're coming up against one of the best teams in the nation.

I would not be surprised if both teams put up 30+ points in this game, and I love the over. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

MIKE'S 4* SEAHAWKS/COWBOYS NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Dallas Cowboys have won three straight games in blowout fashion since a 28-23 loss to the Eagles in Philly on Nov 15.

Since then, they've defeated the Giants 49-17, the Panthers 33-10, and most recently the Commanders 45-10 on Thanksgiving. Tonight they'll face a Seattle team that took a 31-13 loss to the Niners at home last Sunday.

There's no need to overthink this. Give me the scorching hot Cowboys on extra rest. 

4* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. 

MIKE'S 5* M.N.F. TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Minnesota Vikings are 8-3 to the under on the season and the under is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

The Chicago Bears had scored 13, 17 and 16 points in their past three games before putting up 26 points in a loss at Detroit last week. They looked a lot better with Justin Fields back under center, but this is still a bad Bears offense and the Vikes are allowing only 320.6 yards per game (12th).

The Bears have more success running the ball than throwing, but stopping the run is the Vikes strength on D, so this is an unfavorable matchup for Chicago. 

As for the Vikings offense, Kirk Cousins is done for the year, and star wideout Justin Jefferson has been dealing with a hamstring injury. He's been reported as "unlikely to play", and I fully expect him to sit as their bye week is coming up. There's no reason for them to gamble and not let Jefferson heal up completely. 

The Vikings won 19-13 when these two teams clashed in Chicago back in October. I would not be surprised if we see a similar scoreline tonight. 

5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. 

MIKE'S CHIEFS/RAIDERS SIDE

The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-2 to the under while the Las Vegas Raiders are 9-2 to the under.

The Chiefs offense has not looked right lately, with only 9, 21, and 17 points scored through their last three games and they've been held to 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games.

The Raiders have scored 16 and 13 points, against the Jets and the Dolphins respectively, in their last two games, and here they'll face a truly elite defense in the Chiefs. 

The Raiders kept it within the number in a 20-13 loss at Miami last week and they are now 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog while the Chiefs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

This is a "get-right" spot for the Chiefs following a loss to Philadelphia Monday night, but I think they're asked to cover too many points. 

3* PLAY ON LAS VEGAS RAIDERS. 

MIKE'S 5* BILLS/EAGLES NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Buffalo Bills can not be too pleased about their 6-5 record, but they're coming off a 32-6 win over the Jets and I think everyone would agree that they are a better team than their record would suggest. 

The Philadelphia Eagles are in a potential letdown spot after defeating the Chiefs at Arrowhead Monday night. They're riding a four-game winning streak which includes marquee wins over Miami, Dallas, and the aforementioned Kansas City, but it's really difficult to sustain that level of play extended amount of time, even for a top team. They're due to come out flat eventually, and I'll gladly take the points on the Bills in this game. 

The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game and 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

5* PLAY ON BUFFALO BILLS.

MIKE'S 5* AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

The Kansas City Chiefs are 8-2 to the under while the Las Vegas Raiders are 9-2 to the under.

The Chiefs offense has not looked right lately, with only 9, 21, and 17 points scored through their last three games and they've been held to 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games.

The Raiders have scored 16 and 13 points, against the Jets and the Dolphins respectively, in their last two games, and here they'll face a truly elite defense in the Chiefs. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S RAMS/CARDINALS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Arizona Cardinals took a 21-15 loss at Houston last week. They are 1-7 straight up and 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight games, but figure to be more competitive down the stretch with Kyler Murray back from knee surgery. 

Still, this looks like a tough matchup against a Rams defense that has been playing at a high level lately, and the Rams are likely to come out hot and get the cover after going 0-4 ATS in their last four games. Since the start of last season, teams are 29-18 (61.7%) when coming into a game on an 0-4 ATS run. 

Also, much like Arizona, the Rams have been dealing with injuries at QB, but Matthew Stafford was back under center in last week's 17-16 win over Seattle. He should be even sharper here in his second game back and we should also see leading running back Kyren Williams return from injury. 

The Rams won 26-9 when these two teams clashed in L.A. on October 15.  

3* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES RAMS. 

MIKE'S JAGS/TEXANS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

This looks like a potential letdown spot for the Jacksonville Jaguars following a 34-14 blowout win over Tennessee last week.

This is also a bad matchup for them. Houston rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud is already one of the best QBs in the league and the Jags are giving up 254.4 passing yards per game (29th).

The Jags have covered the spread in six of their last seven games while the Texans are 1-3 ATS in their last four, making this a bit of a sell high buy low spot. 

3* PLAY ON HOUSTON TEXANS. 

MIKE'S 5* CLEMSON/SOUTH CAROLINA CFB GAME OF THE MONTH

The Clemson Tigers have had a disappointing season but they've stepped up their game again in recent weeks, coming off convincing wins over Notre Dame, Georgia Tech, and North Carolina. 

The South Carolina Gamecocks are also riding a three-game winning streak, but I don't see how they can keep up with the Tigers the way they're playing right now. Gamecocks QB Spencer Rattler has been playing well, but this Clemson defense is a huge step up in competition compared to what he's faced lately. 

This is also a revenge game for Clemson after a 31-30 home loss to their rival in the last meeting on November 26, 2022. 

5* PLAY ON CLEMSON TIGERS. 

MIKE'S VIRGINIA TECH/VIRGINIA SIDE

The Virginia Tech Hokies are 7-4 to the over while the Virginia Cavaliers are 8-2-1 to the over.

Virginia has allowed 27 points or more in each of its last five games while the Hokies have allowed 34+ points in two of their last three games.

The Cavaliers rush defense is among the worst in the nation and Virginia Tech is averaging a solid 168.7 rushing yards per game. 

I'm also throwing 3 units on Virginia Tech to win. They're the better team and just one win away from bowl eligibility.

3* PLAY ON VIRGINIA TECH. 

MIKE'S 5* ACC TOTAL OF THE YEAR

The Virginia Tech Hokies are 7-4 to the over while the Virginia Cavaliers are 8-2-1 to the over.

Virginia has allowed 27 points or more in each of its last five games while the Hokies have allowed 34+ points in two of their last three games.

The Cavaliers rush defense is among the worst in the nation and Virginia Tech is averaging a solid 168.7 rushing yards per game. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

MIKE'S NAVY/SMU CFB BOOKIE BREAKER

The Navy Midshipmen are coming off a 10-0 win over East Carolina. Their defense is not quite as good as SMU's which ranks 14th in total defense, but still holding opponents to a respectable 349.8 yards per game (42nd).

SMU will find it difficult to get separation and Navy should be able to shorten the game with long drives running the football. This is too big of a number to cover for the Mustangs. 

3* PLAY ON NAVY MIDSHIPMEN. 

MIKE'S IOWA/NEBRASKA CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are one win away from postseason eligibility. This is their last chance following three straight losses (one at home, two on the road) by a combined 13 points, so this is no doubt a huge game for the Cornhuskers who are 4-2 SU home at Memorial Stadium.

Iowa meanwhile has already secured the Big Ten's West Division title.

I'm happy to back the more motivated Cornhuskers to more or less just win the game.

3* PLAY ON NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS. 

MIKE'S TCU/OKLAHOMA CFB BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Oklahoma Sooners struggled to pull away from BYU in last week's 31-24 win as a 24.5-point favorite and QB Dillon Gabriel suffered a head injury.

TCU won 55-24 as a 5-point underdog when they hosted Oklahoma on Oct. 1 and the Horned Frogs are coming off a 41-17 shellacking of Baylor.

The Horned Frogs need a win to secure bowl eligibility while Oklahoma need a win to keep their hopes of making the Big 12 championship game alive. No lack of motivation for either team, but I think the Sooners are asked to cover too many points. 

3* PLAY ON THE TCU HORNED FROGS. 

MIKE'S NINERS/SEAHAWKS NFL THANKSGIVING BOOKIE BREAKER

The San Francisco 49ers are back on track again, coming off back-to-back wins after losing three in a row. The 49ers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC teams and while they didn't cover the spread in last week's 27-14 win over Tampa Bay, note that they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

The Seahawks have been inconsistent lately, and in a tough spot here playing on short rest with a banged up quarterback that could've done with a couple of extra days to heal up. Their run game is among the worst in the NFL, so with Smith not at 100% I don't see how they're going to move the ball against this elite Niners defense. 

3* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

MIKE'S COMMANDERS/COWBOYS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Dallas Cowboys have outscored their last two opponents (Giants and Panthers) by a combined 82-27. The Cowboys are 19-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. NFC East rivals. 

The Washington Commanders are coming off a 31-19 loss as a 7.5-point favorite against the Giants and I don't see how they can compete with the red hot Cowboys who will be looking to avenge a 26-6 loss to Washington in the last meeting back in January. 

3* PLAY ON DALLAS COWBOYS. 

MIKE'S 5* PACKERS/LIONS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Green Bay Packers are coming off an upset win over the Chargers, but I think they'll lose big here in Detroit on Thanksgiving.

The Packers are far from healthy, and they'll face a Lions team that is on a roll with seven wins while going 6-2 ATS in its last eight games, including a 34-20 win at Lambeau Field back in late September.

The Lions did not cover in last week's 31-26 win over the Bears but note that the Lions are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

5* PLAY ON DETROIT LIONS. 

MIKE'S 4* EAGLES/CHIEFS M.N.F. TOTAL TOP PLAY

I've said it before and I'll say it again; the Kansas City Chiefs' defense just might be one of the most underrated units in the NFL. That might seem like a weird statement about a team that just won the Super Bowl, but they rarely get the headlines despite ranking 4th in total defense while allowing only 15.9 points per game which ranks 2nd in the NFL.

The Chiefs are 7-2 to the under on the season and since the beginning of last season, they are 9-4 to the under against teams with a win percentage of 50% or more.

The Eagles' offense is flying high, but I think the Chiefs will dictate the tempo of this game and make it a low-scoring affair.  

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

I think the Los Angeles Rams are due for a strong outing here following their bye week and back-to-back road losses at Dallas and Pittsburgh.

In their last game (on Nov 5), the Rams took a 20-3 loss at Lambeau Field, but they should be able to put more points on the board here as QB Matthew Stafford is expected to be back on the field after missing the last game due to injury. If Stafford can't go, the Rams now have a more than capable backup in Carson Wentz.

The Seahawks are allowing 283.3 passing yards per game (22nd), so this looks like a favorable matchup for the Rams. The Seahawks are 3-1 SU in their last four games but 0-4-1 ATS in their last five. 

5* PLAY ON THE RAMS. 

MIKE'S COWBOYS/PANTHERS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

This looks like a potential letdown spot for the Dallas Cowboys after blowing the doors off the NY Giants in a 49-17 win last week. Since the start of the 2021 season, road favorites coming off a win of 20+ points are only 11-28 (28.2%) against the spread. I'm by no means saying the Panthers will win this game outright, but  I think they can keep it within the number.  

3* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. 

MIKE'S TITANS/JAGUARS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Tennesee Titans are coming off a 20-6 loss at Tampa Bay while the Jacksonville Jaguars will be looking to bounce back from a 34-3 loss to the Niners. Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence tossed a pair of interceptions and was sacked five times, and his movement is somewhat limited as he keeps wearing a brace on his left knee. This is a lot of points to cover with a QB that is not fully healthy. 

Since the beginning of the 2021 season, the Titans are 16-10 ATS as an underdog while the Jags are 1-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 

3* PLAY ON THE TITANS. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/BROWNS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

Both the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cleveland Browns are coming into this game at 6-3 straight up and against the spread. The Steelers record is somewhat fraudulent though, as they've been picking up wins despite being outgained in all games this season.

Sure, the Browns will have Dorian Thompson-Robinson under center as Deshaun Watson has been placed on injured reserve as he prepares for right shoulder surgery, but it's not like Steelers QB Kenny Pickett is a world-beater either. The Browns can lean on their elite defense, and the Steelers' luck must run out at some point, why not here against a feisty divisional opponent? 

3* PLAY ON CLEVELAND BROWNS. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET

The Arizona Cardinals picked up their second win of the season when they defeated Atlanta 25-23 last week.

That was QB Kyler Murray's first game since suffering an ACL injury in December last year, and we should see a more effective Arizona offense now in the second half of the season. 

The Houston Texans are coming off a 30-27 win at Cincinnati and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud keeps impressing under center. I think this will be a shootout as I expect solid play from both quarterbacks while both teams rank in the bottom third for total defense. 

5* PLAY ON THE OVER. 

MIKE'S 5* UCF/TEXAS TECH CFB GAME OF THE MONTH

The UCF Knights (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) will visit the Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) Saturday. The Red Raiders are a short home favorite, and I like them to get the cover. 

UCF is in a potential flat spot following a 45-3 rout as a short underdog against Oklahoma State. Texas Tech is also coming off an upset, a last-minute field goal 16-13 win as a 3.5-point underdog at Kansas, but they had to stay sharp throughout the game. 

UCF has the superior offense, but Texas Tech has a capable offense as well and its defense looked really good against the Jayhawks. I'll back the better defense in this matchup. 

5* PLAY ON TEXAS TECH.

MIKE'S UNC/CLEMSON CFB BOOKIE BLA$TER

The North Carolina (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) have a better record than the Clemson Tigers (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS), yet Clemson is the favorite and asked to cover more than a touchdown? 

The Tigers have found their groove again lately, coming off convincing wins over Notre Dame and Georgia Tech. With the Tigers in spoiler mode, I expect them to get another marquee win here as I think they're undervalued, even at this number. 

3* PLAY ON CLEMSON. 

MIKE'S MICHIGAN/MARYLAND CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Michigan Wolverines (10-0 SU, 5-4-1 ATS) are balling, and with a College Football Playoff berth in sight, they can't afford to take their foot off the gas. They're coming into the week ranked No. 3 in the latest poll and here they'll take on a Maryland Terrapins (6-4, 4-6 ATS) team that had lost four in a row straight up and against the spread before last week's 13-10 win at Nebraska.   

Since the beginning of the 2021 season, Michigan is 8-3 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points and 9-2 ATS as a road favorite. Maryland is 1-4 as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points and 5-10 ATS as an underdog overall. 

3* PLAY ON MICHIGAN. 

MIKE'S 5* BENGALS/RAVENS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 30-27 loss to Houston, but that did not come as a surprise to me who predicted that they would have a letdown game following four straight wins SU and ATS.

I expect the Bengals to come out fully focused again for this divisional matchup against Baltimore who also saw a four-game winning streak end last week, with a 33-31 loss to Cleveland.

These are two very evenly matched teams in my opinion, and I would not be surprised to see this game come down to a last-drive field goal. Let's take the points on the underdog. 

5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S 4* WEDNESDAY NIGHT CFB PLAY OF THE DAY

The Bobcats (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS) are coming off a 20-10 win in Buffalo while CMU took a 38-28 loss on the road at Western Michigan in its last game. 

I like the Central Michigan Chippewas (5-5 SU, 3-7 ATS) to get the cover as an underdog in Ohio Wednesday night.

While the Bobcats are superior on both sides of the ball, they're quite limited on offense if quarterback Kurtis Rourke is not on his game.

CMU is 1-5 ATS in its last six games which makes them very unattractive in the eyes of the casual bettor, but that's where we as sharp bettors can find value. 

4* PLAY ON CENTRAL MICHIGAN. 

MIKE'S 4* BRONCOS/BILLS MNF BEST BET

The primetime games are an incredible 24-7 to the under for the season, and I think this total is set way to high to not take advantage of. 

Sure, the Broncos rank dead last in total defense with 405.9 yards and 28.2 points allowed per game for the season, but they're coming off their bye week, so they'll have fresh legs and they've kept three straight opponents under 20 points. 

The Bills have not looked quite right in recent weeks, averaging a mediocre 20.2 points per game through their last five games. 

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S COMMANDERS/SEAHAWKS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

This looks like a good spot to fade the Washington Commanders who are coming off a 20-17 win against the Pats in Foxborough, while we get the Seahawks in a big bounce back spot following their 37-3 loss in Baltimore.

Seattle had won five of its past six games heading into that matchup and I expect them to oblitirate Washington today. 

3* PLAY ON SEATTLE SEAHAWKS. 

MIKE'S 5* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET

This looks like a great spot to back the under, as I expect max effort from Dallas' defense after giving up 28 points in a loss in Philadelphia last week. 

The first meeting of the season ended with a 40-0 Cowboys win at MetLife Stadium, and that was with Daniel Jones under center for the Giants. Now they'll have rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL ... 

The only risk of this losing is if the Cowboys decide to run up the score, but even so, they might need to score 38+ points themselves for us to lose. I would not be as tempted to back the Cowboys on the spread though, as they might feel comfortable just shutting down after going up by a couple of scores. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S PACKERS/STEELERS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-3 SU and ATS, but them being above .500 is almost nothing short of a miracle.

They've been outgained in every game this season, and I'm not sure they should even be a favorite in this matchup against the Green Bay Packers (3-5 ATS, 4-4 ATS). I'll gladly take the points as insurance though.

Since the start of the 2021 season, the Packers are 11-6 ATS as underdogs and 4-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5-9.5 points. The Steelers are 0-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5-9.5 points during that same time frame.

3* PLAY ON GREEN BAY PACKERS. 

MIKE'S WASHINGTON STATE/CAL CFB BOOKIE BOMBER

The California Golden Bears (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) host the Washington State Cougars (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) in Berkeley on Saturday evening. Washington State is coming into the game on a five-game losing streak during which it has been held to single digits on the scoreboard three times. In their last game, the Cougars lost 10-7 as a 14-point home favorite against Stanford. 

Cal has lost each of its last four games, but all as sizable underdogs. Now, as favorites at home, I expect to see a strong outing from Cal. 

3* PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS. 

MIKE'S 5* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET

This looks like a good spot to fade the Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-2 SU, 8-3 ATS) following five straight wins straight up and against the spread. They won four of those games as underdogs, and it's so difficult to play at that level for multiple games in a row. In their last game, they upset Oklahoma 27-24 while the UCF Knights (4-5 SU, 3-6 ATS) snapped a five-game skid with a 28-26 win in Cincinnati last week. I'll take the points. 

5* PLAY ON UCF KNIGHTS. 

MIKE'S TULSA/TULANE CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Tulane Green Wave (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) have won eight straight games, but they've been struggling to cover the number, especially when laying double digits.

The Tulsa Hurricane (3-6 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) have struggled to cover as favorites and underdogs, but I think they can keep this within the number as Tulane has yet to show anything to justify laying this many points. 

3* PLAY ON TULSA HURRICANE.

MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS SIDE (SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

The Carolina Panthers are starting first-overall pick Bryce Young at QB while the Chicago Bears are starting undrafted rookie backup Tyson Bagent.

Neither has had much success (which is why we have a 5* bet on the under), but at least Young is supposed to be the more talented of the two and Carolina has held opponents to a respectable 310.0 yards per game (8th). 

This will be ugly, and I could see either team winning 17-14 or 20-17 or something like that. As such, I'll gladly take the field goal and the hook. 

3* PLAY ON CAROLINA PANTHERS. 

5* MAX BET: MIKE'S PANTHERS/BEARS NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Carolina Panthers are 5-3 to the under on the season and they were held to only 13 points and 275 yards of total offense in a loss to the Colts last week. That was against an Indianapolis team that has struggled on the defensive side of the ball all season long, and here they'll face a Bears defense that ranks 19th in total defense and has been great at stopping the run.

As for Chicago's offense it has much like Carolina, struggled to move the ball for most of the season and the Bears have put up a total of only 30 points through their last two games. This is a low total, but I still like the under as I don't see either team being able to run up the score. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S BILLS/BENGALS SUNDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER

The Cincinnati Bengals started the season slow but have been playing better and better each week as Joe Burrow has recovered completely from injury. They're 3-0 ATS in their last three games and defeated the Niners 31-17 in San Francisco last week. 

The Buffalo Bills have split their last four games while going 0-4 ATS. The Bills enter with a little extra rest, but they're not firing on all cylinders like the Bengals. Additionally, QB Josh Allen is dealing with an injured right shoulder and did not practice on Wednesday.

Since the start of the 2021 season, the Bengals are 17-5 ATS against a team with a winning record during the regular season. 

3* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S COLTS/PANTHERS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Carolina Panthers are 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS. The Indianapolis Colts are 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS.

I'm happy to fade the Panthers here as they're coming off their first win of the season, a 15-13 triumph over Houston.

The Colts meanwhile will be looking to get back to their winning ways following three consecutive losses.

The Colts have put up 20+ points in all eight games, but poor play on the defensive side of the ball has hurt them. but the Panthers lack the talent to exploit their defensive weaknesses. 

3* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. 

MIKE'S COMMANDERS/PATS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The New England Patriots are 2-6 SU and ATS on the season. This will be their third game as a favorite, and the last time they closed as a favorite, they got shut out 34-0 by New Orleans.

The Commanders are 3-5 SU and 3-4-1 ATS for the season, but 3-1-1 ATS as underdogs. 

I'm not sure if the Pats should be favored against just about any team in the NFL right now, especially here as Washington QB Sam Howell has started to heat up with nine TDs against three picks over his last four games.

As for the Pats QB situation, it's looking less and less likely that Mac Jones is the man to take the franchise back to its glory days.

3* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. 

MIKE'S RAMS/PACKRS SIDE

The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on.

As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points.

This feels like a 20-17 win for either team, and I'll take the points more often than not in games with a low total. 

3* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES RAMS. 

MIKE'S 5* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Los Angeles Rams are 5-3 to the under for the season, and starting QB Matthew Stafford is unlikely to play here due to an injured right thumb. Brett Rypien is the Rams backup QB, which is a huge step down in class and the Rams do not have much of a run game to lean on.

As for the Packers, they've struggled to move the ball all season long averaging only 287.0 yards of total offense. Over their last three games, the Packers have scored 13, 17 and 10 points.

This feels like a 20-17 win for either team. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* MAX BET: MIKE'S DOLPHINS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

This looks like a fantastic spot to back the Kansas City Chiefs to bounce back from a humbling 24-9 loss at Denver. They had won six consecutive games before that setback, and here they'll get the opportunity to showcase their talent to a whole new crowd at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, Germany.

The Miami Dolphins are 6-2 straight up and against the spread, but they were completely outmatched the two times they faced quality opponents in Buffalo and Philadelphia.

The Chiefs are the reigning champs, and still the team to beat IMO.

Since the start of last season, the Chiefs are 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS off an ATS loss and 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS off a straight up loss. 

5* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. 

MIKE'S MIAMI-FL/NC STATE CFB BOOKIE BOMBER

The Miami-FL Hurricanes are 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS while the NC State Wolfpack are 5-3 SU and 2-5-1 ATS.

This looks like a potential flat spot for NC State following an upset win against Clemson last week while Miami-FL is coming off a lackluster 29-26 win as a 19-point favorite against Virginia. 

3* PLAY ON MIAMI-FL HURRICANES.

MIKE'S WASHINGTON/USC CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Washington Huskies are 8-0 SU and 3-4-1 ATS. The USC Trojans are 7-2 SU and only 2-7 ATS.

Over the last two weeks, the Huskies have won by only seven points as a 28-point favorite against Arizona State and a nine-point victory as a 27.5-point favorite at Stanford.

USC has not impressed either lately and had lost two consecutive games outright before coming from behind to defeat Cal on the road last week. I expect to see a much more focused Trojans team tonight though, and the home field advantage gives them the edge I'm looking for. 

Over the last three seasons, the Huskies are 2-7 ATS as a road favorite and 6-14 after a conference game.

3* PLAY ON USC TROJANS.

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CAL/OREGON CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

This looks like a good spot to fade the Oregon Ducks who are 7-1 straight up and against the spread. The betting market will adjust, and here they're in a potential letdown spot after routing the Utes in Utah 35-6 as a 6.5-point favorite last week. 

The California Golden Bears put up a season-high 49 points in a tight loss as a 10-point underdog to USC last week. They're only 3-5 SU and ATS, but I think they can have success with their run-game against the Ducks, which will also shorten the game and make taking the points even more attractive.

5* PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS. 

MIKE'S CFB BEDLAM TOTAL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Oklahoma Sooners are 5-3 to the over while the Oklahoma State Cowboys have a 4-4 over/under record, but I think this game will go under the posted total.

Both offenses have been clicking, but the two teams are very familiar with each other and last season, the Sooners won 28-13 with a closing total of 69.5 here in Stillwater. 

3* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The bookmakers keep lowering the totals for the service academy games but never seem to be able to set them low enough.

As for Army vs Air Force matchups, only one of the last six meetings went over this total.

Air Force is allowing only 237.9 total yards per game (3rd) while Army ranks 71st with 378 total yards allowed per game.

The reasoning for this under is simple: both teams will run the ball all game long, and the clock with keep ticking during long drives. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

5* GAME OF THE YEAR - MIKE'S BENGALS/NINERS NFL BEST BET

The San Francisco 49ers have hit a bit of a slump, coming off back-to-back road losses at Cleveland and Minnesota. QB Brock Purdy is doubtful and missed practice on Wednesday while in the NFL's concussion protocol. There's a significant drop off to backup QB Sam Darnold, and here the Niners will face a Bengals team that is coming off its bye week and has played a lot better as Joe Burrows is getting close to full health. I have the Niners as the better team, but the spot favors Cincy, and we're spotted more than a field goal. 

5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

MIKE'S PATRIOTS/DOLPHINS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The New England Patriots upset Buffalo as an 8.5-point underdog last week, and I think they'll come through with another big outing against a divisional rival this week.

The Dolphins got schooled in Philadelphia on primetime last Sunday so they won't lack motivation, but I think the Pats are better than their early results would suggest, and we should see the results pick up as they're getting healthier.

This is too many points for Miami to lay in a rivalry game. 

3* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS.