MIKE'S EAGLES/COMMANDERS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER

This looks like it could be a potential flat spot for the Eagles following their dominant 31-17 win against Miami last week.

The Commanders are only 1-4 in their last five games and looked awful in their 14-7 loss at the Giants last week, but they forced overtime when they played the Eagles in Philly on Oct 1 and I think they can keep this close as well. 

3* PLAY ON WASHINGTON COMMANDERS. 

MIKE'S VIKINGS/PACKERS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

This looks like a great spot to fade the Minnesota Vikings after two consecutive wins, the most recent as a 6.5-point dog against San Francisco Monday night. Now they have to travel to Green Bay on a short week to face a divisional rival, a Packers team that is desperate for a win after going 0-3 straight up and against the spread in their last three games. 

This is a classic sell high/buy low spot, and it's also a spot where the Vikes typically come back down to earth following a couple of good results. 

3* PLAY ON GREEN BAY PACKERS. 

MIKE'S USC/CALIFORNIA CFB BOOKIE BREAKER

The USC Trojans are 6-2 SU but only 2-6 ATS. The California Golden Bears are 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS.

The Trojans have won eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, but the ATS record is 5-5 during that stretch and Cal has covered the spread in four of the last five games. In last season's matchup, USC won only 41-35 as a 21-point favorite.

USC has allowed 34 points or more in four straight games, despite being favorites by 20 points or more in three of those games.

The Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last five games, and I think Cal can hang around and get the ATS cover.

3* PLAY ON CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS. 

MIKE'S 5* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET

NC State is 4-3 SU but only 1-5-1 ATS on the season, but I think we'll see max effort from the Wolfpack here as they're coming off their bye.

The Wolfpack took a 24-3 beating at Duke in their last game, but at least they're coming into this game well-rested after a week off, unlike Clemson who will be on the road for a second straight week after a double-overtime loss at Miami-Florida last weekend.

Much like the Wolfpack, the Tigers have struggled against the spread as they're heading into the weekend 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS. 

5* PLAY ON NC STATE WOLFPACK. 

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The over/under is 7-1 in Massachusetts' eight games this season and 4-3 in Army's seven games.

The Minutemen will have fresh legs coming off their bye week, and they'll be eager to get back on the scoreboard after getting shut out in a brutal 63-0 loss at Penn State two weeks ago.

Believe it or not, but Army is in even worse shape after getting shut out in back-to-back games(!) against Troy and LSU. This looks like a good spot for Army's running game to get going again against a UMass defense that is allowing 223.4 rushing yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry. 

No one expects a lot of points, but I think we'll see floodgates open here following the score-draught. 

5* PLAY ON OVER. 

4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S NINERS/VIKINGS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Vikings are 5-1 to the under on the season and through their last three games, they've scored 21 points at Carolina, 20 points against KC and 19 points at Chicago. You really would have expected them to put up bigger numbers against teams like the Panthers and the Bears, and now they'll face one of the best defenses in the league.

Defensively, the Vikes have been decent as well, and they're good at stopping the run, which should come in handy against a team like San Francisco. I like the Niners to jump out to an early lead and then start bleeding the clock to shorten the game. 

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S DOLPHINS/EAGLES S.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER

This is a matchup between the No. 1 and No. 2 ranked teams for total offense. Philadelphia has a significant advantage on the defensive side of the ball when healthy, but they're coming into this game far from healthy.

The last time the Dolphins played a quality opponent, they suffered a 48-20 loss at Buffalo. I believe they're heading to Philadelphia with a chip on their shoulder, looking to prove to themselves and the world that they are serious Super Bowl contenders.

With such a high total, we can expect a lot of variance which effectively means points are less likely to matter; therefore, I think we're getting better value on backing Miami on the moneyline rather than against the spread. 

3* PLAY ON MIAMI DOLPHINS. 

4* TOP PLAY: MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the season, but this is a team that usually struggles to cover.

Over the last three seasons, the Chiefs are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and the Chargers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog last three seasons.

The Chargers are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS on the season and that is one reason why the betting market is undervaluing the Chargers in this spot. 

4* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. 

MIKE'S LIONS/RAVENS NFL BOOKIE BOMBER

The Detroit Lions are 5-1 SU and ATS on the season and they're heading to Baltimore riding a four-game winning streak, but this is where I think it comes to an end.

The Lions have played a soft schedule since beating KC in their season opener, and now they'll have to face a Baltimore defense that ranks 2nd in total defense and against the pass with only 163.2 passing yards allowed per game. Bad news for the Lions who may have to rely on their passing game a lot more than usual with top running back David Montgomery expected to be out for some time with a rib injury. 

3* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. 

MIKE'S BILLS/PATRIOTS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

We lost with the Pats ATS in the ugliest way possible last week and they are now only 1-5 SU and ATS on the season, but I think they can keep this one at least somewhat close. Buffalo has not been at its best lately either, and QB Josh Allen was limited in training this week due to a shoulder injury. 

3* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. 

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Cleveland Browns have scored a total of only 22 points through their last two games. They managed to defeat the Niners 19-17 last week despite the absence of starting quarterback Deshaun Watson who is expected to get the start here, but is he really 100% fit? 

Whether we see Watson on the field or not, I expect the Colts' defense to bring the heat here after giving up 37 points to Jacksonville last week. 

As for Cleveland's defense, it ranks No.1 for several key metrics and should not have any issues to contain Colts backup quarterback Gardner Minshew. 

5* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S MICHIGAN/MICHIGAN STATE CFB BOOKIE BA$HER

The Michigan Wolverines are perfect 7-0 SU and 3-3-1 ATS on the season. They're on a 3-0 ATS run through which they've outscored their opponents 149-24. The Wolverines are allowing only 6.7 points per game (1st), and Michigan State does not have the firepower to keep this close.  

3* PLAY ON MICHIGAN WOLVERINES. 

MIKE'S UCF/OKLAHOMA CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Oklahoma Sooners are coming into the week at 6-0 SU and ATS on the season. The betting market will adjust to them sooner or later, but it has not happened yet IMO.

The UCF Knights are 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS on the season, and they took a 51-22 loss as a short road favorite at Kansas last week. They've allowed 44, 36, and 51 points over their last three games, and here they'll face an Oklahoma team that is coming off its bye week ranking 6th in the nation in total offense.

UCF is also coming off its bye, but I expect the Sooners to win this one by at least three touchdowns. 

3* PLAY ON OKLAHOMA SOONERS. 

MIKE'S MISSISSIPPI STATE/ARKANSAS CFB BOOKIE BLA$TER

This looks like a good spot to back the Mississippi State Bulldogs to get and ATS cover after going 0-5 ATS in their last five. Arkansas has lost five in a row straight but but put up good fights at Ole Miss and Alabama in the last two weeks. They lost by only 24-21 to the Tide in Tuscaloosa last week and I would not be surprised to see them short of energy here.

3* PLAY ON MISSISIPPI STATE BULLDOGS. 

5* BEST BET: MIKE'S BAYLOR/CINCINNATI CFB GAME OF THE MONTH

The Cincinnati Bearcats will be looking to end an ugly 0-4 SU and ATS skid. They lost 30-10 as a 3.5-point home favorite against Iowa State last week, but I think they'll have more success here against a Baylor team that took a 39-14 loss to Texas Tech before heading into their bye week.

Cincinnati is averaging only 26.7 points per game (81st), but it ranks 29th with 444.0 yards of total offense per game and 17th with 202.7 rushing yards per game, so it should only be a matter of time before they start putting more points on the board.

The Bears have struggled to stop the run all season and I expect to see the Bearcats bounce back with a big outing here after struggling against Iowa State's defense. 

5* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BEARCATS. 

MIKE'S JAGS/SAINTS T.N.F. BOOKIE BU$TER

The New Orleans Saints are 6-0 to the under while Jacksonville has a 3-3 over/under record. I would not be surprised to see the Jags coming out flat on offense here after putting up 37 points on the Colts last week. QB Trevor Lawrence injured his left knee late in the game and was limited at practice on Tuesday and Wednesday, and here the Jags will face a Saints defense that ranks 5th in total defense and 5th against the pass. 

3* PLAY ON UNDER. 

4* TOP PLAY - COWBOYS/CHARGERS M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Chargers have one of the best QBs in the league in Justin Herbert, but they do not pose much of a threat on the ground and here they'll run into one of the best pass defenses in the league. I also expect the Dallas defense to come out extra motivated after giving up 42 points to the Niners last week.

While the Chargers will come out fresh from their bye, I think Dallas will do its best to slow down the pace, and offensively, the Cowboys have mustered a total of only 26 points through its last two road games. 

On the season on the season, Monday and Thursday games are a combined 9-4 to the under and all games with a closing total of 50 or higher are 5-2 to the under.

4* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S PATRIOTS/RAIDERS NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

This looks like a good spot to back the Patriots who are getting no respect after getting outscored 72-3 through their last two games.

The Raiders are in a potential flat spot after ending a three-game losing streak with a 17-13 win over Green Bay Monday night. 

Neither offense is very good, but I rate the Pats defense a lot higher than the Raiders', and if Bill Belichick can't get his team ready for this one after the recent results he might as well retire. 

3* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. 

MIKE'S SEAHAWKS/BENGALS NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Bengals have had a slow start to the season, but they defeated Arizona 34-20 last week. With Joe Burrow finally healthy again, this could get ugly in a hurry as even though Seattle has been good at stopping the run, they rank 30th in passing yards against allowing 280 passing yards per game.

3* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S COLTS/JAGS GAME OF THE WEEK

The Jacksonville Jaguars return home from two weeks across the pond and off an upset win over the Bills. The travel could become an issue for Jacksonville against a Colts team that has won three of its last four games outright. Gardner Minshew will quarterback Indianapolis, but I'm not sure he's that much of a downgrade from injured Anthony Richardson.

Over the last three seasons, the Colts are 14-10 ATS as an underdog while the Jags are 3-7 ATS as favorites (0-4 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 7 points). 

4* PLAY ON INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. 

MIKE'S RAVENS/TITANS NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER @ LONDON

The Baltimore Ravens and the Tennessee Titans will clash across the pond early on Sunday.

Reports suggest that the Ravens flew in early in the week while the Titans waited until Thursday. Advantage Baltimore will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing 17-10 loss at Pittsburgh.

After their first loss of the season, the Ravens snapped back with a 28-3 win at Cleveland and here they'll face a Titans team that is 0-3 away from Nashville on the season. 

3* PLAY ON BALTIMORE RAVENS. 

MIKE'S SDSU/HAWAII **LATE NIGHT** CFB BOOKIE BOMBER (11 PM ET)

The San Diego State Aztecs are coming off four straight losses, but here they're a favorite for the first time since their season opener against Idaho State. They've played a tough schedule and must be looking forward to this one as they've owned Hawaii in recent seasons.

Playing in Hawaii is never easy for the visiting team, but both teams are coming off their bye somewhat negating that advantage for Hawaii.

Despite the Aztecs' slow start, I still have them as a much better team than the Rainbow Warriors and this looks like a good spot for SDSU to get back on track. 

3* PLAY ON SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS. 

MIKE'S LOUISVILLE/PITTSBURGH CFB BOOKIE BREAKER

This looks like a good spot to fade the Louisville Cardinals who are coming off an upset win over Notre Dame. They are now 6-0 SU and 3-2-1 ATS on the season, and I think they're in a potential flat spot and well overvalued here against a Pittsburgh team that is only 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS on the season. 

This sets up a perfect sell-high spot on the Cardinals and a buy-low spot on the Panthers who have dominated this series over the years, winning six of the last eight meetings. 

3* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH PANTHERS. 

4* TOP PLAY - FAU/USF CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

The Florida Atlantic Owls are 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS on the season, 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS on the road. The USF Bulls are 3-3 SU and ATS, 2-1 SU and ATS at home.

I like South Florida to bounce back from a disappointing 56-35 loss to the UAB Blazers. 

The Bulls can hold their own when on the ball, and while their defense has been an issue, here they'll face an FIU team that has scored 10, 14, 17 and 20 points through its last four games. 

FAU is coming off a 20-17 win over Tulsa. Over the last three seasons, FAU is 1-6 ATS off a win against a conference rivals. The Bulls are 9-4 ATS off a loss to a conference rival. 

4* PLAY ON SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS. 

4* TOP PLAY - MIKE'S GEORGIA/VANDERBILT TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 6-0-1 to the over on the season, and I expect to see another high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Saturday afternoon. 

The Bulldogs are as per usual boasting one of the best defenses in the nation, but Vandy QB Ken Seals has thrown for 539 yards, four touchdowns, and one INT while starting the Commodores' past two games instead of AJ Swann who could not stop turning the ball over, and despite Swann's struggles, the team ranks 37th on the season with 274.4 passing yards per game. 

As for the Bulldog's offense, they rank 8th for total offense and they have the 10th best scoring offense in the nation averaging 40.7 points per game. They just put up 51 points on Kentucky, and here they'll face a Vandy defense that ranks  12th in the SEC in pass-efficiency defense. 

4* PLAY ON OVER. 

5* BEST BET - Mike's Broncos/Chiefs NFL Total of the Month

The Broncos' defense is almost historically bad so this could get ugly in a hurry, but I still like the under as KC can go into time management mode and churn clock with long drives after jumping out to a big lead. The Broncos have looked decent when on the ball in recent weeks, but here they'll face a Chiefs defense that may not get a lot of headlines, but certainly can hold its own.

Since the start of last season, Chiefs games with a total closing at 50 points or higher are 11-4 to the under. 

5* play on UNDER. 

Mike's Packers/Raiders M.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders will be looking to end a three-game skid, and I like them to get the W here against a 2-2 Green Bay team that has had mixed results.

Vegas expects to get starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo back from a concussion and running back Josh Jacobs should finally wake up here against a Packers defense that allows 155.2 rushing yards per game.

Don't get me wrong; the Raiders are not a good team, but they match up fairly well against Green Bay and they get a chance to end a three-game slide in just their second home game of the season. 

3* play on Las Vegas Raiders. 

Mike's 4* Packers/Raiders M.N.F. Total BEST BET

'The 1-3 Las Vegas Raiders will be looking to end a three-game skid, and I like them to get the W here against a 2-2 Green Bay team that has had mixed results.

Vegas expects to get starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo back from a concussion and running back Josh Jacobs should finally wake up here against a Packers defense that allows 155.2 rushing yards per game.

Don't get me wrong; the Raiders are not a good team, but they match up fairly well against Green Bay and they get a chance to end a three-game slide in just their second home game of the season. 

I like the under even more though. Green Bay ranks 29th in total offense and 24th in yards per play. Vegas ranks 28th in total offense and 22nd in yards per play. Vegas has not scored more than 18 points in any games this season, but its defense ranks around average. The over/under is 1-3 in Vegas' games this season. 

4* play on UNDER. 

4* BIG BET - Mike's Chiefs/Vikings NFL Total of the Week

The Minnesota Vikings are 3-1-1 to the under on the season as they average only 22.5 points per game (25th) despite averaging 370.8 yards per game (9th) and 6.4 yards per play (3rd).

Untimely turnovers have cost them, but I think we'll see a locked-in Vikes offense here against a KC defense that might not be quite as good as the numbers would suggest. KC is allowing only 15.0 points per game, but its last three opponents have been Jacksonville, Chicago, and the NY Jets.

As for the Chiefs offense, you never have to worry about them putting up points.

I expect to see this one go over the total. 

4* play on OVER. 

Mike's Titans/Colts NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Tennessee Titans are 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS on the season. Last week they defeated the Bengals 27-3, and I think they're a much better team than the Colts who I just don't rate at all.

Sure, they're 2-2 SU and ATS on the season with outright wins at Baltimore and Houston, but this is a bad matchup as they've struggled to stop the run all season and here they'll face arguably the best running back in the NFL in Derrick Henry. Colts star running back Jonathan Taylor has missed the first four games of the season due to an ankle injury and a contract dispute and his status for this game is unclear.

I give the Titans the edge on both sides of the ball here, certainly on defense, and they're 5-0 SU and ATS in the last five meetings with three wins here at Lucas Oil Stadium. 

3* play on Tennessee Titans. 

Mike's Texans/Falcons NFL BOOKIE BA$HER

Atlanta looked horrendous in its 23-7 loss to the Jags in London last week, and here they'll face a Houston team that has put up 30+ points in back-to-back games.

The Texans have one of the hottest QBs in the league in C.J. Stroud while Desmond Ridder is struggling to make anything happen for the Falcons.

Atlanta has been held to just one touchdown and a total of 13 points through its last two games, and Houston's defense has, just as its offense, stepped up lately. 

3* play on Houston Texans. 

4* TOP PLAY - Mike's Ravens/Steelers NFL Game of the Week

This looks like a great spot to back the Steelers to bounce back from a disappointing 30-6 loss as a 3-point favorite at Houston. The Steelers are not good as favorites, but Mike Tomlin knows how to get his squad fired up as underdogs, especially when it comes to divisional games. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Steelers are 6-3 ATS as underdogs against division opponents. 

The Ravens meanwhile are in a potential flat spot following a 28-3 rout of the Browns in Cleveland. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Ravens are 9-17 ATS as favorites and 1-4 ATS off a win against a divisional rival. 

4* play on the Steelers. 

Mike's Jags/Bills @ London BOOKIE BREAKER (9:30 AM ET)

The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated Atlanta 23-7 here in London last Sunday so they've had time to make themselves at home in England while Buffalo flew in just this week, I'm not sure if it's that much of an advantage.

They'll face a Buffalo team that has destroyed its last three opponents, defeating Vegas 38-10, Washington 37-3, and most recently Miami 48-20.

The Jags rank only 21st against the pass giving up 238.2 passing yards per game, and Buffalo QB Josh Allen went 21-for-25 for 320 yards and four touchdowns plus a rushing TD against Miami. He has eight TDs against one INT in his past three games. 

It's rare to see a team as talented as Buffalo making the trip across the pond, and I think they'll put on a show for the fans and run away with this game early and comfortably.

3* play on Buffalo Bills. 

Mike's *SUPER LATE* Arizona/USC BOOKIE BU$TER (10:30 PM ET)

The Arizona Wildcats kept it close as a 20-point underdog against Washington last week (lost 31-24), but I think they'll take a beating by USC this week.

The Trojans are due for a big game at home following rather lackluster, but still comfortable, wins at Arizona State and Colorado.

USC is 5-0 SU and 2-3 ATS on the season, but it has won its home games 56-28, 66-14 and 56-10.

The Trojans have the nation's highest-scoring offense and while their defense has not been great, Arizona does not have the players to make them pay, especially with starting QB Jayden de Laura banged up. 

3* play on USC. 

Mike's Georgia Tech/Miami-FL CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 4-1 to the over on the season, but I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair.

Miami-Florida has held its four opponents to 3, 33, 7, and 7 points, and while they've played a soft schedule, you can only defend against who's in front of you, and they've done it well. Also, the Hurricanes are coming off their bye week, so they're coming into the game fresh and healthy and expect to get several key defensive starters back from injury.  

3* play on UNDER. 

Mike's *LATE NIGHT* Texas Tech/Baylor BIG 12 BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 2-3 SU and ATS while Baylor is 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS.

Texas Tech is coming off a 49-28 win as a 9-point favorite against Houston while Baylor is coming off an upset comeback win at UCF.

I like Texas Tech to keep rolling while it should be difficult for the Bears to pull an upset two weeks in a row. Baylor's defense has struggled to stop the run all season and the Red Raiders had 239 yards on the ground against the Cougars. 

3* play on Texas Tech. 

4* BIG BET - Mike's Washington State/UCLA CFB Game of the Week

The Washington State Cougars are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS while UCLA is 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS.

UCLA opened the season with three straight wins but took a 14-7 loss at Utah two weeks ago before heading into its bye week. Washington State is also coming off its bye after winning 38-35 win against then-No. 14 Oregon State on Sept. 23.

Washington State quarterback Cameron Ward has been one of the best QBs in the nation, averaging 348.5 yards per game and coming into this week with 13 TDs against 0 INTs.

Over the last three seasons, the Cougars are 8-3 ATS on the road and 14-5 ATS against conference opponents. 

4* play on Washington State. 

5* BEST BET - Mike's Oklahoma/Texas Total of the Month

The Texas Longhorns are 4-1 to the under on the season. They've allowed more than 14 points in only one game, and that was a in their 34-24 win at Alabama in Week 2. Oklahoma has held its opponents to 0, 11, 17, 6 and 20 points. The Sooners have the No. 3 scoring offense in the nation, but this will be their first game against a ranked opponent. Both teams are capable of putting up big numbers, but I think defense will rule this game. 

5* play on UNDER. 

Mike's Nebraska/Illinois BIG 10 BOOKIE BREAKER

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 2-3 SU and ATS on the season while Illinois is 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS. Illinois has covered the spread in three straight meetings and won 26-9 when it faced the Cornhuskers last season. 

Both teams are coming off blowout losses, but I like Nebraska to cover the number here. The Cornhuskers are averaging 209 rushing yards per game (15th) and 5.5 yards per carry (17th), and the Fighting Illini are allowing 180 yards per game to opposing backs. Nebraska on the other hand is excellent at stopping the run and Illinois starting back Reggie Love III is most likely out with an ankle injury. 

Nebraska backup dual threat QB Heinrich Haarberg has played well, and I think the Cornhuskers will run over their opponent in this one. 

3* play on Nebraska. 

Mike's Bears/Commanders T.N.F. BOOKIE BREAKER

The Chicago Bears are 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS. They lost 31-28 at home against Denver last week, but that was the first time we saw any kind of life from this offense and they still didn't make up for a defense that has been atrocious all season. 

The Commanders opened the season with wins over Denver and Arizona but have since taken losses to Buffalo and Philadelphia. No shame in losing against those two teams, and they pushed the Eagles to OT last week.

Sam Howell has been putting up decent numbers under center in most games, and he should have a big game here against a Bears defense that is allowed 268 passing yards per game (29th). 

3* play on the Commanders. 

Mike's 4* Seahawks/Giants MNF TOP PLAY

The Seahawks are coming off back-to-back wins against Detroit and Carolina, but I think they'll come up short here against a Giants team that is finally back home following a pair of road games.

The Giants got shut out by Dallas in a 40-0 loss on primetime in their home opener of the season, which should make them even more amped up for this primetime home game.

There is a chance that Giants RB Saquon Barkley will take the field for the first time of the season, which would be a huge boost for their offense. With or without Barkley though, I expect to see a focused Giants team getting the win. 

4* TOP PLAY on the Giants. 

Mike's Rams/Colts NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Rams opened the season with an upset win at Seattle, but have since lost to the Niners and the Bengals.

Not the easiest of schedules, but the Rams are still a respectable 2-0-1 ATS and they must like their chances of winning outright here against a Colts team in a potential flat spot following wins at Houston and at Baltimore.

It's difficult for a team with a limited amount of talent on the roster like the Colts to win three in a row, and the Rams will be hungry for a win. 

3* play on the Rams. 

5* NFL MAX BET - Mike's Ravens/Browns Game of the Month

The Ravens took a 22-19 OT loss to the Colts last week, and they're heading to Cleveland with a banged-up squad. Here they'll face a Cleveland team boasting arguably the best defense in the league.

The Browns have only allowed six points in their two home wins this season, and while I'm not completely sold on their QB Deshaun Watson, the team is very good at moving the ball on the ground (4th in rushing yards per game). 

5* MAX BET on the Browns. 

4* BIG BET - Mike's Broncos/Bears NFL Total of the Week

The Denver Broncos came into the season with a supposedly strong defense but question marks whether veteran QB Russell Wilson still got what it takes.

Instead, Denver ranks dead last in total defense and yards allowed per play. while offensively, the Broncos rank 15th in total offense and 5th in yards per play.

The Bears defense ranks 30th in total defense and yards allowed per play. I think this will be a high-scoring affair. 

4* play on OVER. 

5* BEST BET - Mike's CFB Game of the Month

Arizona is 3-1 SU and ATS on the season, with the only loss a 31-24 setback as a 9-point underdog at Mississippi State, but I think the Wildcats will take a big beating by Washington here in Week 5.

The Huskies are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS on the season. They have scored at least 41 points in each game and come into this game with the nation's best offense. QB Michael Penix Jr. is averaging 409.0 passing yards per game and the team is not slowing down even after building up a big lead. 

Arizona QB Jayden de Laura is banged up after leaving last week's road victory at Stanford in the third quarter. I don't see the Wildcats being able to keep this close. 

5* play on Washington Huskies. 

Mike's LSU/Ole Miss CFB BOOKIE BLA$TER

The LSU Tigers are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS while Ole Miss is 3-1 SU and ATS. I like LSU here as a road favorite at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Week 5. 

LSU won by only three points as an 18-point favorite Arkansas last week. They are deadly when on the ball averaging 530 yards per game and 7.6 yards per play, but they've been lacking defensively. 

Luckily, the Rebels were held to 10 points by Alabama in a 24-10 loss last week, and while their offensive numbers look impressive overall this season, they had only been putting up big numbers as double-digit favorites through three nonconference games. 

3* play on LSU Tigers. 

Mike's Early MACtion BOOKIE BREAKER

Eastern Michigan is 2-2 SU but 1-3 ATS, Central Michigan is 2-2 SU and ATS. 

The Eagles were shut out in a 21-0 loss to Jacksonville State in their last game, the second time in four games they were held to less than a touchdown. 

The Chippewas just put up 34 points in an upset win at South Alabama and they're averaging 25.8 points and 320.5 yards per game. Additionally, Central Michigan has owned Eastern Michigan lately, winning four of the last six straight up while going 5-1 ATS in those games. 

3* play on Central Michigan. 

Mike's Utah/Oregon State Friday Night PAC-12 BOOKIE BREAKER

The Utah Utes are perfect 4-0 SU and 2-1-1 ATS on the season. This will be their first game as underdogs, but I like them to keep it close against an Oregon state team that took a 38-35 loss as a 3-point favorite at Washington State last week. 

That was the first real test for the Beavers who had opened the season with three wins, and here they'll face a Utah defense that tied for ninth nationally in total defense with only 263.8 yards allowed per game. 

Oregon State has been putting up a decent amount of points, but against far weaker opponents. 

Utah has won six of the last seven meetings outright. 

3* play on Utah Utes. 

MAX BET ALERT - Mike's 5* Eagles/Bucs NFL Game of the Month

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have proven to be a lot harder to defeat than most predicted. They've opened the season with wins over Minnesota and Chicago, and while tonight's opponent will be a much tougher test, I still like the Bucs to keep it within the number. 

The Eagles have defeated the Pats by five points and Minnesota by six points, but they have allowed 326 passing yards per game and 5.7 yards per play overall (29th). 

Bucs QB Baker Mayfield is playing with a lot of confidence and averages 7.2passing yards per attempt. 

5* MAX BET on the Bucs. 

Mike's Panthers/Seahawks NFL BOOKIE BOMBER

The Panthers first two games have been ugly, but perhaps they'll get some offense here with veteran QB Andy Dalton replacing rookie quarterback Bryce Young under center.

The Seahawks are 1-1 on the season following an upset win at Detroit last week, and I think this looks like a potential flat spot for Seattle. 

Additionally, over the last three seasons, Seattle is 5-11 ATS as a favorite and 1-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.

3* play on Panthers. 

Mike's Colts/Ravens NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

Baltimore is 2-0 SU and ATS on the season, but this looks like it could be a potential flat spot following a win as an underdog at division rivals Cincinnati last week.

The Colts are coming off a 31-20 win at Houston as Gardner Minshew replaced rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson in the second quarter. Minshew looked sharp, completing 19 of 23 passes for 171 yards with a touchdown.

The Ravens are 8-16 ATS as a favorite over the last three seasons. 

3* play on the Colts. 

Mike's Falcons/Lions NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

Atlanta is 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS on the season after facing two inexperienced quarterbacks, but I still think the Falcons are undervalued here against a Lions team that has big holes defensively.

The Lions gave up 37 points to Geno Smith and the Seahawks last week, and Atlanta is sneaky good offensively.

Additionally, Detroit's injury report is looking pretty ugly and I can see either team win this one by a field goal. 

3* play on the Falcons. 

Mike's Broncos/Dolphins NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Denver Broncos are 0-2 SU and ATS on the season while Miami is 2-0 SU and ATS, records that play into Denver being undervalued on the road here at Miami in Week 3.

While the Broncos have looked worse than expected on defense, Russell Wilson really got the offense going in last week's 35-33 loss to Washington. The Broncos two losses have come by a combined three points, and they were the favorite in both games. I think they can keep it close here as an underdog. 

3* play on the Broncos. 

Mike's 4* Patriots/Jets NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY

The Patriots are in big need of a win following home losses in one-score affairs against Philadelphia and Miami, and I like the Pats here against a Jets team they've dominated in recent seasons. The Jets were supposed to be the better team this year, but that was with Aaron Rodgers under center, not Zach Wilson.

Bill Belichick won't start the season 0-3, and if the Pats win they're more likely than not to cover the spread. We can also note that the Pats are 3-0 ATS as a road favorite of three points or less over the last three seasons, while the Jets are 12-18 ATS as an underdog.

4* TOP PLAY on the Patriots. 

Mike's 3-Pack of Dawgs

The Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-0 SU and ATS on the season, but throughout history, it's proven extremely difficult for 3-0 SU/ATS teams to move to 4-0.

This 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS Iowa team is no pushover, and its defense has looked great through the first three weeks.

3* play on Iowa. 

Mike's 4* BYU/Kansas CFB Game of the Week TOP PLAY

This looks like a potential flat spot for BYU following their 38-31 upset win at Arkansas last week. Now they're on the road at Kansas who will be looking to bounce back from a lackluster 31-24 win as a four-touchdown favorite at Nevada.

The Cougars left everything on the field in last week's comeback win, and I don't think they have the energy to keep it close through four quarters here. 

4* TOP PLAY on Kansas. 

Mike's Kentucky/Vanderbilt CFB BOOKIE BOMBER

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 2-2 SU but 0-4 ATS.

Here they'll face a Kentucky team coming off a 35-3 rout of Akron, and the Wildcats will be looking to avenge a loss as an 18-point favorite against Vanderbilt last season.

Vanderbilt has allowed an average of 29.2 points and 389 yards per game, and I don't see Kentucky having any trouble running up the score and winning this one by two TDs. 

3* play on Kentucky. 

Mike's 3-Pack of Dawgs

The Rutgers Scarlett Knights are 3-0 SU and ATS on the season, and I while winning this one outright seems unlikely, I do like them to cover the spread against a Michigan team that is 3-0 SU but 0-3 ATS.

The Wolverines have failed to cover numbers of 35.5, 38.5 and 41 points, and I think Rutgers running game and top-10 scoring defense can keep them in this game.

3* play on Rutgers. 

Mike's 3-Pack of Dawgs

The Syracuse Orange are 3-0 SU and ATS on the season, but throughout history, it's proven extremely difficult for 3-0 SU/ATS teams to move to 4-0.

Army has bounced back nicely since losing as a road favorite at ULM in Week 1, and while Syracuse's numbers look impressive, note its relatively easy schedule. I think Army can keep this one within the number. 

3* play on Army. 

Mike's 4* Giants/Niners T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Giants got stomped by Dallas in Week 1, and they needed a 17-0 fourth quarter to scrape by a weak Arizona team in Week 2. Here they'll have to do without star RB Saquon Barkley who left the win against Arizona early with an ankle injury, and I just don't see how the Giants will be able to keep up with a Niners team that is superior on both sides of the ball. 

The Niners are 2-0 on the season after winning 30-7 at Pittsburgh in Week 1 and 30-23 at LA Rams in Week 2. Two dominant performances, and their Week 2 win could've/should've been bigger. I expect the 49ers to rout their opponent here in their home opener. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the 49ers with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Browns/Steelers NFL Total BOOKIE BREAKER

The Steelers took a 30-7 loss to the Niners in Week 1 while Cleveland is coming off a 24-3 win over Cincinnati. 

The Steelers offense is extremely limited with Kenny Pickett under center (he finished last season with more INTs than TDs), and they'll be without receiver Diontae Johnson and running back Anthony McFarland Jr.

The Browns' defense looked extremely solid against the Bengals and held Joe Burrow to 82 yards passing. 

Still, never underestimate the Steelers, especially not at home, as an underdog, off a loss, against a divisional rival.

I think Mike Tomlin will have a plan in place to keep this a tight and low-scoring game. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Saints/Panthers NFL TOP PLAY of the Day

New Orleans opened the season with a 16-15 win over Tennessee, and I think the Saints will play another close game here when they visit Carolina on Monday Night Football. 

The Panthers will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing 24-10 loss at Atlanta, and we should see a better game from rookie QB Bryce Young here in his second career start after getting intercepted twice by the Falcons. 

While there's no doubt that the Saints looked a lot better than Carolina in Week 1, I don't think the Panthers are as bad as they looked and they should show up here in their home opener on prime time. 

Since the start of the 2021 season, the Panthers are 5-2 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or fewer while the Saints are 6-9 ATS as favorites. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the Panthers with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Commanders/Broncos NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Washington defeated Arizona 20-16 in Week 1, but while they got the win it wasn't pretty. The Commanders had only 248 yards of total offense, and would most likely have lost to just about any other team in the league with that kind of performance.

Denver meanwhile took a 17-16 loss to Las Vegas, and while Russell Wilson completed 27 of 34 pass attempts and threw for two TDs, note that he finished with only 177 passing yards.

I'm not sure if even Sean Payton can get what's needed out of Russell Wilson, and here they'll run into a very tough Washington defense. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Jets/Cowboys NFL Total BOOKIE BOMBER

Dallas shut out the Giants on primetime in Week 1, and here they'll face a Jets team that will be without Aaron Rodgers for the rest of the season, and there's a major drop-off to backup QB Zach Wilson. The Jets still have an elite defense though. They return eight starters from a unit that ranked No. 4 in scoring and No. 4 in yards allowed last season and they limited the Bills to only 16 points in their Week 1 matchup. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Chargers/Titans NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Titans took a 16-15 loss at New Orleans in Week 1 but covered the point spread. I think they'll keep it close again here against a Chargers team that is coming off a 36-34 home loss to Miami.

Sure, Chargers offense can ball, but they have big holes defensively. The Titans are a well-rounded team that won't allow their opponent to pull away. 

Bet on the Titans with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Bears/Bucs NFL Total BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Bears took a 38-20 loss to Green Bay in Week 1 while Tampa Bay recorded a 20-17 upset win at Minnesota. I think the Bears' defense will do a lot better here against a Tampa Bay team that will struggle to move the ball this season, but I don't think points will come easy for Chicago either. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's 4* Ravens/Bengals NFL Game of the Week TOP PLAY

The Bengals were held to three points and 142 yards of total offense in their Week 1 matchup with Cleveland. QB Joe Burrow suffered a calf injury during training camp that made him miss one month of the preseason, and he looked completely off. Here he'll face a solid Baltimore team that is coming off a 25-9 win over the Texans. 

Since the start of the 2019 season, the Ravens are 13-3-1 ATS as underdogs. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the RAVENS with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's New Mexico State/New Mexico CFB BOOKIE BLA$TER

New Mexico is 1-1 on the season after first losing as an underdog at Texas A&M before blowing the doors off Tennessee Tech as a big home favorite in Week 2.

Here they'll face a New Mexico State team that is 1-2 despite being favored in two of its first three games.

Last time out, the Aggies took a 33-17 loss as a 9.5-point underdog at Liberty. They gave up 250 rushing yards and this could get ugly again as the Lobos put up 296 rushing yards against Tennessee Tech last week. 

Bet on New Mexico with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Miami-OH/Cincinnati CFB BOOKIE BREAKER

The Bearcats are perfect 2-0 SU and ATS on the season and won outright as an underdog at Pittsburgh last week. Now they'll face a Miami-OH team that will play its third straight game on the road and is 6-9 ATS in road games over the last three seasons.

The Bearcats are clicking on both sides of the ball and while the Redhawks won 41-28 at UMass in Week 2, I don't see them being able to keep this close. 

Bet on Cincinnati with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* North Texas/LA Tech CFB Game of the Week TOP PLAY

North Texas is 0-2 SU and ATS on the season after first losing as an underdog to California followed by a 46-39 loss as an 11.5-point favorite at Florida International.

The Bulldogs meanwhile have won two of their first three games and both of their home games.

The Mean Green have allowed 290 rushing yards per game, and Louisiana Tech just put up 367 yards on the ground (9.7 yards per carry) in a 51-21 win over Northwestern State.

The Bulldogs gave up 38 points in a loss at SMU, but they've played well defensively as favorites. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on Louisiana Tech with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Vikings/Eagles T.N.F. Total BOOKIE BREAKER

The Vikings took a 20-17 home loss to the Bucs in Week 1 and now they have to travel to Philly to take on last season's Super Bowl runner-up, the Eagles. Philadelphia opened the season with a 25-20 win against New England, and I have a feeling that few teams will be able to put up that many points against the Pats this season. 

The Vikings defense was never really put to the test by the Bucs, but they sure will in this one. Offensively, the Vikes committed three turnovers and had several costly penalties that hurt their offense.

I like Philly to rack up a decent amount of points, but playing from behind should force Minnesota to open up, and they have the weapons to make a lot of damage.  

Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Vikings/Eagles ATS TOP PLAY of the Day

The Vikings do not have the defense to compete with Philly, but they have the weapons on the offensive side of the ball. Turnovers and penalties hurt them badly in Week 1 against the Bucs, but I think we'll see a much better Vikings offense in this one. The Vikings will also have a chip on their shoulder after losing to Tampa Bay as a big favorite, and divisional matchups are never a gimme. Additionally, the Eagles have been hit with injuries on defense. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the Vikings with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Bills/Jets NFL Total BOOKIE BREAKER

We'll see two of the best quarterbacks in the NFL take the field here when the Bills and Josh Allen visit the Jets and Aaron Rodgers for our first Monday night matchup of the season. 

Do not sleep on the defenses though: The Bills finished last season ranked seventh in total defense while the Jets finished fourth in the NFL in total defense. Also, it might take a couple of games for Rodgers to click with his new weapons. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Rams/Seahawks NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Rams are coming off a disappointing 5-12 campaign, and they've done little to nothing to improve the team.

The Seahawks meanwhile were supposed to be one of the worst teams in the league, but ended up as one of the biggest positive surprises last year as QB Geno Smith led them to a 7-10 SU (9-8 ATS) record. Seattle has added talent since last season, and I think they'll get the job done here at home. 

Bet on the Seahawks with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's 4* Eagles/Patriots NFL Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Teams coming off a loss in the Super Bowl tend to start the next season slow and with the Pats, you just know that Bill Belichick will have a great plan on the defensive side of the ball.

The Eagles held opponents to an NFL-best 292.8 yards per game last season. The Pats ranked 26th in total offense and they're coming into this game with a banged up offensive line.  

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Bucs/Vikings NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Vikings went 13-4 SU last season, but only 7-9-1 ATS as they came out ahead in a ton of one-score affairs. No one is expecting much of the Bucs and QB Baker Mayfield, but the Vikes look weak on defense and I think they're overvalued by the market because of last season's record. 

Bet on the Bucs with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Titans/Saints NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

Both the Titans and the Saints finished the 2022 season with a 7-0 record. Running back Derrick Henry is coming off another big season, and here he'll face a Saints defense that struggled against the run last season. The Saints offense is looking better with the addition of QB Derek Carr and RB Jamaal Williams to name a few, but I still like the Titans' defense to keep them in the game. 

Bet on the Titans with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Panthers/Falcons NFL Total BOOKIE BOMBER

Both Atlanta and Carolina ranked bottom-10 for total offense last season, and I think we'll see a low-scoring affair here as both sides' rebuilding process continues.

Atlanta had success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock.

As for the Panthers', they're handing over the keys to rookie QB Bryce Young, the top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, but is he ready to play with the big boys?

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Texas/Alabama CFB BOOKIE BREAKER

Texas opened the season with a 37-10 win over Rice, but failed to cover the point spread of 35.5 points. Alabama crushed Middle Tennessee 56-7 in its Week 1 matchup.

Here we'll see Crimson Tide coach Nick Saban taking on former assistant Steve Sarkisian, and while Alabama won only 20-19 when the two teams squared up last season, Saban usually do very well against his former assistants that have moved to head coaching roles.

Also, this time they're playing in Tuscaloosa, and I expect Alabama to come out and make a statement. 

Bet on Alabama with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Nebraska/Colorado CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

This line is a massive overreaction to Colorado's 45-42 win at TCU last week. A lot of things went their way for that upset to happen, and I would not be surprised to see the Buffaloes come out flat here against a Nebraska team that is looking to get in the win column after opening the season with a 13-10 loss at Minnesota. This is a premium sell high spot on Colorado. 

Bet on Nebraska with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Purdue/Virginia Tech CFB BOOKIE BLA$TER

Purdue is on the road after opening the season with a 39-35 loss as a 4-point home favorite against Fresno State. Virginia Tech is at home for a second straight week and off a solid 36-17 win over Old Dominion. 

While we don't want to overreact to just one game, Purdue struggled defensively against the Bulldogs and gave up 366 yards and four touchdowns through the air. The Hokies' offense was on point in the season opener, and I like them to win and cover the number. 

Bet on the Virginia Tech with 3% of your bankroll.

4* Ball State/Georgia CFB Total Game of the Week TOP PLAY

Ball State took a 44-14 loss at Kentucky in Week 1, and it won't get any easier here at two-time defending national champion Georgia who opened the season with a 48-7 win over UT Martin.

This early in the season, we have no reason to believe that Georgia will do anything but keep the foot on the gas to set the tone for what should be another successful season. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the OVER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Lions/Chiefs T.N.F. Total BOOKIE BU$TER

The Chiefs are as per usual bringing a stacked offense led by Patrick Mahomes. Detroit had a slow start to last season but closed out strong as QB Jared Goff played some of the best football of his career.

This is a high total, but not high enough IMO as I think we'll get the season started with a primetime shootout. 

Bet on the OVER with 3% of your bankroll. 

4* LSU/FSU CFB Total TOP PLAY Game of the Week

Florida State won 24-23 when these two teams battled it out last season. The total was set at 51 for that game, and for this contest, we're seeing an even bigger number.

Sure, both teams have dangerous offenses led by elite quarterbacks, but don't underestimate the defenses. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on the UNDER with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's SUPER EARLY Northwestern/Rutgers BOOKIE BU$TER

Northwestern was only 1-11 SU and 5-7 ATS last year. The Wildcats have an inexperienced first-year head coach in David Braun following the departure of former HC Pat Fitzgerald who was fired amid a hazing scandal. 

Rutgers is coming off a 4-8 SU and 5-6-1 ATS season, but considering all the off-the-field turbulence in Northwestern I think the Scarlett Knights have a nice edge here. 

Rutgers is 6-3 ATS as a favorite L3 seasons. Rutgers is 6-2 ATS in September games L3 seasons. Northwestern is 3-7 ATS in September games L3 seasons. 

Bet on the Rutgers with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Old Dominion/Virginia Tech CFB BOOKIE BREAKER

Last season, Old Dominion finished 3-9 SU and 5-7 ATS while Virginia Tech finished 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS. No doubt disappointing seasons for both teams, but I think Virginia Tech will come out all guns blazing here as HC Brent Pry knows he can ill afford to start the season with an upset loss against a team that beat them in an upset last season. Virginia Tech looks stronger than last season while ODU looks weaker. The Hokies will go for the kill and win by 20+.

Bet on Virginia Tech with 3% of your bankroll.

4* South Alabama/Tulane CFB Top Play of the Day

Last year, South Alabama went 10-3 SU and 7-6 ATS while Tulane went 12-2 SU and ATS. The Jaguars had one of the best offenses in the country last season. They bring back a lot of experience and come into the season as favorites to win the Sun Belt conference. Tulane has seen more turnover and I think South Alabama will keep this close. 

Bet this TOP PLAY on South Alabama with 4% of your bankroll. 

Mike's CFB Total BOOKIE BLA$TER

This will undoubtedly end with a blowout win for Alabama, but I think they'll slow down the tempo once going up a couple of scores.

The Tide have a new QB under center as Bryce Young has moved on to the Carolina Panthers in the NFL, and they've seen a huge turnover overall. Meanwhile, Middle Tennessee State will do everything in its power to shorten the game to avoid a blowout. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's CFB Total BOOKIE BU$TER

The Texas A&M Aggies shut out New Mexico in a 34-0 as a 30-point home favorite in 2021. They're once again a huge favorite here in 2023, and I would honestly not be surprised if they blanked the Lobos again. New Mexico averaged only 13.1 points per game last season and they've lost their starting quarterback from the previous season. Texas A&M averaged only 22.8 points per game last regular season. 

Bet on the UNDER with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Texas State/Baylor NCAAF BOOKIE BA$HER

Last season, Baylor went 6-7 SU and 7-6 ATS while Texas State went 4-8 SU and 5-7 ATS.

There are a lot of new faces on the Bobcats, but that is not necessarily for the worse and new headcoach GJ Kinne will be looking to start his tenure with a solid outing. Baylor will more often than not be overvalued against smaller programs.

Sure, Baylor will win the game straight up, but I'm taking the points. 

Bet on Texas State with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Stanford/Hawaii TGIF NCAAF BOOKIE BU$TER

Hawaii opened the season with a 35-28 loss at Vanderbilt but covered the 17-point spread. I like them as a short home underdog against Stanford Friday night. 

Stanford has to announce his starting quarterback following former starter Tanner McKee's move to the NFL while Hawaii has an established QB in Brayden Schager who threw for 351 yards on 27-of-35 passing against the Commodores last week. 

The Rainbow Warriors are 8-4 ATS in home games since the start of the 2021 season; Stanford is 3-9 ATS in its road games; Stanford is 2-7 ATS in games played on turf during that same time period. 

Bet on Hawaii with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Florida/Utah Thursday Night NCAAF BOOKIE BREAKER

Florida has lost All-American QB Anthony Richardson to the Colts in the NFL, but they've replaced him with Graham Mertz, an experienced transfer from Wisconsin. 

The Utes went 10-4 last year and are once again loaded with talent, but the Gators came away with a 29-26 upset win in Gainesville when they faced each other in the season-opener last year. Additionally, Utah has question marks at QB as starting Cam Rising is recovering from an ACL tear and their backup Brandon Rose was injured in camp.

OK, Utah is at home here, and the Utes have won 14 straight home games, but we don't need the Gators to win, just to cover. 

Bet on the Florida Gators with 3% of your bankroll.

Mike's Ohio/San Diego State MAC Moneymaker

Ohio's offense is pretty much intact, and QB Kurtis Rourke,  the 2022 MAC Offensive Player of the Year, is confirmed to play after tearing his ACL in the second to last game last season. Last year, Rourke led the conference with 3,256 yards and 25 touchdowns. 

San Diego State has defensive issues, a less effective quarterback and their two leading receivers from last year are both gone. 

Bet on Ohio with 3% of your bankroll. 

Mike's Navy/Notre Dame NCAAF BOOKIE BU$TER

It's always difficult to handicap the first round of the season, but with Navy you usually know what you'll get; a stout defense and a lot of running. Navy's defense returns seven starters from last season, and I think the Fighting Irish will find it difficult to get separation. Additionally, Navy's option offense usually leads to long drives which will shorten the game and limit the amount of time the Fighting Irish have the ball in their hands. 

Bet on Navy +20.5 with 3% of your bankroll. 

10* CHIEFS/EAGLES SUPER BOWL TOTAL MAX BET

The over in the Super Bowl is a public bet pretty much every year, but the public is not always wrong.

While the Chiefs defense turned up the heat late in the season, they're still allowing 21.7 ppg and they allowed 20 points in both the divisional round and the conference championship game. The Eagles have been dominant on both sides of the ball all season and they've scored 38 and 31 points in their two playoff games. 

I see a 28-27. 30-28 win for either team. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR - 10* AFC PLAYOFFS BEST BET

The move from the opening line to this number suggests that the market is concerned about the health of Patrick Mahomes (high ankle sprain), but I am not worried. He'll play, and he'll be efficient, as always. 

We won with Cincinnati last week, and while they looked terrific in their dismantling of the Bills, this number is also an overreaction due to that performance. Don't get me wrong, the Bengals are a very talented team ... just not quite as good as KC. 

10* PLAY ON KANSAS CITY CHIEFS. 

NINERS/EAGLES 10* TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Niners and the Eagles are top two for total defense this season, with both sides allowing only just over 300 yards per game. San Fracncisco's third-string quarterback Brock Purdy has been putting up strong numbers, but now he'll face an Eagles team that held Daniel Jones to 135 passing yards in the divisional round. The Niners should have decent success running the football, but that will also take time off the clock. 

Under is 7-0 in 49ers last 7 playoff road games. Under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

10* BENGALS/BILLS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

Buffalo might be the best team in the AFC, but this is a lot of points to give to a team as talented as the Bengals. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has been inconsistent lately. Sure, he has thrown 12 touchdown passes over the last four games, but also five interceptions in the last three. For the season, the Bills rank 31st in the NFL with 1.8 giveaways per game while Cincy ranks 8th with 1.5 takeaways per game. 

Bengals are 12-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bills are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

10* JAGS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The line total has gone up a couple of points since the opener, but I like the under here. Sure, Jacksonville's wild Wild Card win over the Chergers was a shootout, but do you expect Trevor Lawrence to throw four picks and four touchdown passes again? Jacksonville's defense has played a lot better doown the stretch than it did at the beginning of the season and KS's defense is somewhat underrated, with the offense stealing all the headlines. 

Under is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Kansas City won 27-17 when the two teams clashed back in November. I would not be surprised to see a similar scoreline today. 

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

RAVENS/BENGALS BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL

Cincinnati is a big favorite as the Ravens are expected to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley instead of the injured Lamar Jackson. Still, the Ravens have shown that they can win games with their defense, and this is an interesting spot as these two teams met in the regular season finale. Huntley missed that game due to shoulder and wrist injuries, but I expect him to take the field. 

Under is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 vs. AFC North. Under is 12-3-1 in Bengals last 16 vs. AFC.

8* PLAY ON UNDER.