Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Pacers/Wizards Winner

The Books opened the Washington Wizards as four point favorites in this game six matchup against the Pacers at the Verizon Center and the line has bumped up a tick to 4.5 points at most books. The Wizards are coming off an epic road performance on Tuesday night, which helped us cash our 2nd Round NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year with Washington beating the Pacers outright 102-79 as five point road dogs. 

The Wizards have made us plenty of money this season but that money has been earned on the road where they have been extremely undervalued.  They were 31-15 ATS on the road this season moving into that Game 5 matchup and they added another winner to that record at the betting window. 

Taking a look at home stats, the Wizards are nine games under .500 with a lousy 17-26 ATS home record this season.  The Pacers lead the series 3-2 and we don’t expect a game seven in this series as the Pacers are going to get some revenge after such a poor performance. Even if the Wizards somehow pull this one off and head into game 7, there is no way they will cover the four and the hook. 

Throughout this series, the Wizards have covered every road matchup for a 3-0 ATS record but they have failed to cover the spread in all home matchups, going 0-2 ATS.  We expect that same trend tonight as the Pacers tighten up their defense and focus on boxing out and getting some rebounds. The Wizards out-rebounded the Pacers by 35 in Game five and were just giving points away.  The Wizards got 68 rebounds while the Pacers got only 33. Look for the Pacers to bounce back with a strong performance against the Wizards and finish the series in six instead of seven games.

Indiana is not only 19-9 ATS on the road revenging a loss to an opponent but they are 13-3 ATS on the road revenging a straight up loss as a favorite. The Wizards are only 11-20 ATS when playing as a home favorite and with them getting a bit too much respect in this matchup, we are loading up on the Pacers! Take the points..

Play on Indiana

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Double Dog Play

The Miami Marlins look to be very undervalued in tonight’s road matchup against the LA Dodgers.  The Books opened up the Dodgers as -170 favorites and the public jumped all over them with about 73% of the action.  Despite all that money coming in on the Dodgers the line has bumped down to -160 at most books and we are siding with the sharps in this one.

Both teams are sitting at about the same season record with the Marlins at 20-19 SU and the Dodgers are one game ahead with a 21-19 SU season record.  The Dodgers opened up the series last night with a 6-5 win over the Marlins adding another loser to the Marlins four game losing streak.  We expect that losing streak to be broken tonight as Miami cashes a nice underdog ticket at the betting window.

Jacob Turner has only started three times so far this season and is making his fourth appearance tonight against the Dodgers.  In his second start of the season which was last Friday, Turner gave up six earned runs in just four innings but we expect him to come back with a revenge performance. He has only had one road start so far this season which was his last start. He pitched against the San Diego Padres and pitched six excellent innings giving up only one earned run and the Marlins ended up cashing the +145 win.  

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Josh Beckett who has a solid 2.80 ERA and 1.047 WHIP in all starts for the season but it seems like the Dodgers just can’t get the job done with him starting.  He has started in six matchups this season and the Dodgers have only won one of those seven. He is 0-2 against Miami and last Saturday, he started against the Marlins and gave up four earned runs in six innings and the Dodgers lost 6-3 as -115 favorites. Becket is not only 8-18 TSR when starting as a favorite but is 8-15 TSR in all home games over the last three seasons.

Look for Miami to get out of this funk they are in and end this losing streak with a nice underdog win.

Play on Miami

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Double Dog Play

The Books opened the Kansas City Royals as -165 favorites and despite about 58% of the money coming in on the Royals, the line has bumped down to -150 and even -145 at some books.  

The Colorado Rockies have been in a bit of a funk, winning only one of their last four games including that 5-0 Shutout against the Cincinnati Reds with Morales on the mound.  They are sitting six games over .500 on the season with a 23-17 SU record while the Royals are one game under .500 with a 18-19 SU record.  The Royals on the other hand are coming off a nice +125 Win over the Seattle Mariners 9-7 to even out the four game series at 2-2.

Franklin Morales is on the mound again for the Rockies and looks to gain a bit of respect back after that shutout loss the Rockies suffered and he gave up four earned runs in the six innings pitched.  Watch as Morales has a solid performance to make up for a few sloppy starts he has had this season.  

On the other side of the pitching matchup is James Shield who has been having a pretty solid season with a 2.70 ERA and 1.125 Whip in all starts.  He is coming off a very strong outing against the San Diego Padres where he gave up not a single run in seven innings.  Looking back to the start prior to that excellent performance, he gave up seven earned runs in just six innings and we expect another poor performance like that one back on 5/2.  Shields hasn’t started against the Rockies since back in 2007 where he gave up five earned runs in just six innings and they ended up losing the matchup 12-2 as -120 favorites.  

Look for the Royals to struggle while the Rockies shock the public with a solid underdog win here tonight.

Play on Colorado

Grassi’s 25* 2nd Round East Conf Game of the Year

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Tom Grassi 20* MLB Favorite of the Week

The Rangers look to open the new series against the Astros with a road win at Minute Maid Park. The Books are showing the Rangers very little respect as only -130 favorites against a struggling Houston Astros team.  The Astros are coming off a win to finish the series against Baltimore 5-2 as +170 dogs but will struggle in this matchup tonight.

The Astros have only won two of their last nine matchups and are sitting at a miserable  12-26 season while the Rangers are right at .500 with a 19-19 season record.  Houston is 6-13 so far at home and have lost every matchup after a win of +140 or more which puts them in a bad situation tonight coming off that +170 win yesterday.

The Rangers are coming off back to back losses and are due for a winner.  They are an epic 24-4 against the Astros over the last three seasons and 11-2 when playing at Minute Maid Park. 

Colby Lewis is starting for the Rangers and is coming off a terrible start to the Rockies where he gave up seven earned runs in just under four innings pitched.  Look for him to bounce back from that terrible outing with a solid start to help gain a little respect back and to also improve that terrible 6.12 season ERA. Looking back to past starts against the Astros, Lewis is 4-1 with an ERA of 1.90 and Whip of 0.727.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Brad Peacock who helped us cash our AL West Game of the Year on the +180 Astros over Seattle back on 5/2 but we don’t see him having that same type of outing tonight.  He has not yet earned a winning decision this season and we expect him to really struggle tonight, even against another team who just hasn’t been able to hit the ball.

Play on the Texas Rangers

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Books opened the Braves as -180 favorites and despite about 70% of the action coming in on Atlanta the line has moved down to the Braves being -165 home favorites. The Public will be loading up heavy on the Braves and will be shocked as the sharp betters cash the +155 Cubbies.

The Cubs are coming off back to back losses against Atlanta and have only won one game out of their last seven matchups. We did end up cashing that one win back on Thursday when they beat the White Sox 12-5 as +115 Dogs. We expect another shocking performance from them tonight as right hander Jackson takes the mound. 

Jackson is coming off a solid start against the Sox, giving up only one earned run in seven innings but the Cubbies just couldn’t get it done as they ended up losing 5-1.  On the other side of the pitching matchup is Aaron Harang who has a very solid 1.87 ERA and 1.208 WHIP at home this season but is in somewhat of a funk with a 6.48 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in his last three starts.  In his last start he gave up two earned runs in just six innings and they ended up losing to St Louis 3-4.  The start prior to that was against the Miami Marlins and he gave up a miserable nine earned runs in just under five innings and the Braves lost 3-9 as -110 favorites.

Look for the Cubs to get a close win tonight as they have suffered two close losses in their only two matchups against the Braves this season. Go against the Public and cash this winner at the betting window.

Play on Chicago Cubs

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoff Side Winner

The Books opened the Spurs as -1.5 point road favorites and despite over 60% of the action coming in on San Antonio, the line has bumped down a tick to a pick at most books.  The Spurs lead the series 2-0 and the public will be loading up on them tonight.

The Spurs are coming into this matchup off three straight wins, both straight up and against the spread and are due for an ATS loss.  Portland on the other hand hasn’t cashed an ATS win in six straight games, but we see that losing ATS run ending tonight as they get their first win of the series.

San Antonio has been playing some solid basketball, hitting over 50% from the field in their last four games including a 57% shooting night in their last matchup against Dallas. In game two of this round two series against the Blazers, they hit 60% behind the arc (12-20) for a total of 36 points.  Look for the Blazers to tighten up their defensive efforts and for the Spurs to have a shockingly poor offensive night. 

Don’t side with “Joe Public”, and cash the Blazers at the Betting Window!

Play on Portland

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

With the Sox going for a sweep, Scott Carroll takes the bump against their cross town rivals. For the Cubs, Jake Arrieta starts, and is coming off a very good outing against the Cards on 5/3 in which he went 5.1 innings giving up 4 hits and no earned runs in a no decision.

Scott Carroll also has pitched well, even though he took a loss against the Indians on 5/3 giving up only 2 unearned runs. Chi White Sox are 23-30  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

As a +110 dog, look for the Cubbies to avoid a sweep, and get their bats going as well. Play on Chicago Cubs.

Play on Chicago Cubs

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Nets/Heat Winner

The Offshore Books opened the Heat as eight point favorites and even with slightly more action coming in on Miami, the line has bumped down a tick to seven and the hook.  We expect the Nets to come out strong in this matchup tonight, and 7.5 points seems to be a few too many after such a strong win from the Heat.

The Miami Heat opened up the new series with an epic 107-86 game one win as eight point favorites at the betting window.  The Heat had a very strong offensive night, hitting just under 57% from the field, 39% from behind the arc and 88% from the free throw line.  The Nets need to tighten up their defensive efforts and that is exactly what they will do in this second game of the best of seven series.

Looking back to regular season results, the Nets did go a perfect 4-0 both straight up and against the spread against Miami.  Their biggest win was back in January when they beat the heat 104-95 as 5.5 point home dogs.  They also beat them twice on the road, once back early April where they won 88-87 as 7.5 point road dogs and also back in March when they won 96-95 as 9 point road dogs. We expect another strong performance like they did back in the regular season and for them to shock the public with a close matchup.  The Nets probably won’t win this game two matchup, but we expect them to stick within the 7.5 point number.

The Heat are due for an ATS loss as they are coming in off three straight ATS wins and have covered four of their last five.  Brooklyn was due for a loss after having a tough seven game series against Toronto and coming into that game one matchup off back to back wins and three straight ATS covers.

The Nets are 26-17 ATS when revenging a loss to an opponent and 10-2 ATS off a road loss by ten points or more this season.  Don’t side with the public as everyone and their brother will be expecting another huge double digit blowout. Take the points!

Play on Brooklyn

Tom Grassi 20* Underdog of the Week

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Smart Money

Washington lead the series 1-0 and came in and took home court advantage away from the 1 seed Pacers. Bradley Beal and John Wall proved to be too quick, too athletic, and more energized than a slumping Indiana squad.

With the Vegas line opening at 4.5, and remaining at 4.5, most pundits are feeling that this is a must win game for Indiana, and with home court are a strong play but we expect another solid performance from the Wizards.

The eyes don’t lie, and Washington is the more focused team, and Indiana is in full panic mode. Considering we scored as many points as Roy Hibbert in Game 1, and the generous folks in Vegas will continue to give 4+ point with the Wiz, TAKE THE POINTS!

Play on Washington

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Nets/Heat Side Winner

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Wizards/Pacers Side Winner

The Books opened the Pacers as 4.5 point home favorites and we expect a close game but Indiana should have some trouble with the cover.  The Wizards have been playing some good basketball and have some decent momentum moving into game one of the new series. 

Indiana is coming off back to back wins over Atlanta but they should have never let the series go to seven games.  They suffered a few embarrassing losses, including game 1 in the first round, where they lost 101-93 as huge 8.5 point home favorites.  In Game three they lost 98-85 as two point favorites and suffered another double digit loss in game five, losing 107-97 as once again big seven point favorites. 

The Wizards on the other hand, almost swept the first series against the Bulls, and finishing the first round in only five games.  They only lost one matchup to Chicago and that was a close 100-97 home loss.  Washington has been very profitable on the road all season and they have continued their huge run at the betting window over the past few weeks as they are coming into tonight’s matchup on a 8-1 winning run, both straight up and against the spread.  Taking a look at season long stats, the Wizards are 46-39 for the season and 29-15 ATS in all road games.  Look for them to continue this trend tonight and cash another ATS Winner.

The Pacers had a strong 60-29 season but looking at against the spread records, they are four games under .500 with a 42-46 ATS season record.  They have been really falling apart throughout the playoffs and we expect them to come out with another shockingly poor performance tonight.  It seems the books wanted to trap as many public players as possible with that short home line and we are not falling for it.

The Wizards are a solid 27-17 ATS as an underdog this season and are a very solid 21-12 ATS when playing as a road dog.  They have some rest coming into this matchup as their last game was back on April 29th and the Pacers are only coming off two days of rest as they finished off game seven this past Saturday. 

Take the four points with the Wizards.

Play on Washington

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Trap Game of the Week

The Books opened the Tigers as -130 favorites and despite the public coming in heavy on Verlander (77% of the action), the books have bumped the line down to as low as -120 at some books.  This seems like a huge trap by the books and we plan to go against the public and cash the Royals at the betting window.

Detroit is coming into this matchup with some momentum, coming off four straight wins and they have won ten of their last 14 games.  We see that run coming to an end tonight as the Tigers are due for a loss. On the other side of the matchup, the Royals have been in a funk.  They are coming off three straight losses and look to finish off this three game series with a win after losing the first two matchups. 

Verlander is on the mound for the Tigers and has been having a strong season.  His first start of the season was against the Royals and the Tigers barely pulled off the win. They won 4-3 with Verlander giving up three earned runs in seven innings.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Vargas, who has also off to a decent start to the season.  He has a very solid 2.40 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in all starts this season. He is coming off a tough start to Toronto where he gave up five earned runs in just six innings but they ended up beating the Blue Jays 10-7.  Look for him to bounce back with a very strong performance and give up very few runs. 

Detroit is only 21-33 on the road as a -100 to -125 favorite and Verlander has a team start record of only 11-17 when coming off a win over the last two seasons. Don’t side with the public and take the sharp side of this matchup with the Royals.

Play on Kansas City

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Signature Selection

The books opened the Rockies as -130 favorites and has only moved slightly up to about -135 or -140 depending on which offshore book you use.  We normally stay away from the favorites, since most of them seem to be trap plays, but Colorado shows some under-rated value in tonight’s game three of the four game series.

The Rockies lead the series 2-0, with a 7-4 game one win (-135 favorites) and 10-3 game two win (-130 favorites) last night. Look for them to build off that momentum and continue the series with another small favorite win.

Franklin Morales is starting for the Rockies tonight, and after opening up the season with back to back poor starts, he has won three straight moving into tonight’s game.  His last outing, he gave up four earned runs in just five innings, but the Rockies still won 8-5 against the D-backs as +120 road dogs.  Look for him to come back with another strong start giving up very few runs and pitching late into the sixth or seventh inning.

Colorado is not only perfect 2-0 against the Mets so far this season but they are 10-6 against them over the last three seasons including a 6-3 record when playing at  Coors Field. The Rockies are 33-12 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and we plan on this trend to continue tonight as we cash the Rockies as small home favorites.

Play on Colorado

Tom Grassi 25* NBA Playoffs 1st Round Game of the Year

Tonight, the Hawks face the Pacers in a very important game seven matchup.  The Books have opened the Pacers as six point favorites and despite about 60% of the action coming in on the Hawks, the line has moved up to the Pacers being favored by six and the hook. Indiana started off the series playing some bad basketball but look for them to finish the series with a very strong home win!

Indiana is coming off a nice 95-88 road win over Atlanta as two point dogs and we expect them to have an even better performance tonight at the Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Looking back to game 2 of the best of seven series, the Pacers had no problem crushing Atlanta 101-85 as 7.5 point favorites and we expect a replay of that matchup. 

The Pacers played some strong defense in game six, and we expect the save effort tonight. The Hawks have a rough long term road record in playoffs games, as they are only 12-28 ATS in that situation.  The Pacers are 44-30 ATS as 3.5 to 9.5 point favorites over the last two seasons, and even laying 6.5 points in this game seven matchup, we see them having no problem covering at the betting window.

Play on Indiana

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Triple Play

The Books opened the total between the Rockets and Blazers at 213 points and despite about 72% of the action coming in on the over the total has actually come down a point to 212 at most books. The Public is going to be loading up on the Over in this late night matchup but will be shocked as it slides under the number.

Both teams have season averages of about 107/108 points per game but we expect some strong defense from the Rockets as they try to avoid the loss and move on to game seven of the series. The Blazers will also be focused as they want this series to end and move onto the second round.

On Wednesday, the Rockets won 108-98 and sent the total way under the 214.5 number. It ended up at 206 and the public got crushed as they were expecting another high scoring matchup. Before that over, the Blazers have went over the total in seven straight matchups and the Rockets went over in four straight. Throughout the season, the Over has been the play with these teams but now moving towards the end of the first round of the NBA Playoffs, the over seems to be a bit of a trap.

Go against the public and play the UNDER!

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Triple Play

The Books opened the Blazers as -3.5 point favorites and the money is coming in slightly heavier on the Rockets. Even with that action leaning towards Houston, the line has bumped up a tick to Portland laying four points.

Houston is coming into this game six matchup with some momentum at the betting window, cashing three straight against the spread. The Rockets beat the Blazers 108-98 in their last matchup back on Wednesday but we don’t expect another strong performance. Portland leads the best of seven series 3-2 and plan to avoid a game seven with a home win at the Moda Center.

After that double digit win, Houston is in a 2-11 ATS situation. They have only cashed 2 of 13 in road games after a win by ten points or more this season and they are only 1-8 ATS on the road after covering two or more back to back games. Portland on the other hand is 26-17 ATS coming off a road game and 21-10 ATS revenging a loss where the opponent scored 100 points or more this season.

Houston is 6-1 ATS when playing against Portland at the Moda Center but we expect that trend to fade tonight as the public load up on the Rockets, hoping for a game seven. Take the Blazers at home and finish off Friday night with a win!

Play on Portland

Tom Grassi 25* AL West Game of the Year

Some heavy action coming in on the Seattle Mariners (80% of the money) as -200 favorites and despite all that action, the books have already dropped the line down to -190 at most books. 

The Public will be all over the Mariners as they are coming into this matchup with some momentum, coming off a 2-0 sweep against the Yankees as +160 dogs in the first game against Sabathia and +140 dogs on Thursday night.  They have won three straight and also five of their last six which followed there absolutely miserable eight game losing streak. 

The Astros on the other hand are off to a pretty bad start to the season but are due for a winner.  They started off with a winning series against the Yanks, but have only won nine games all season.  We did cash a nice win with a 20* Double Dog play back on April 10th with them as +185 favorites against Toronto and we plan to cash in on another Underdog Winner tonight with this huge 25* Selection! Houston is coming off back to back losses against Washington included their last matchup which was a 7-0 shutout.  Look for them to come out strong after such a terrible performance with a win, since they are due. 

The Square betters will be all over Felix Hernandez with his solid 2.40 ERA and 0.895 WHIP for the season but after starting off the season with three straight wins, the Mariners have not won a matchup yet when Hernandez started.  One of those two loses were against Houston back on April 21st, the Mariners lost 7-2 as huge -245 favorites and the sharps cashed in big.  His most recent start was against the Texas Rangers and they ended up losing 6-3 as once again, big -170 favorites!  Look for this trend to continue again tonight and the square betters get crushed.

Peacock is starting for the Astros and looks to finally get a win after two rough outings to start the season.  Both starts were against Oakland and he gave up two earned runs in five innings of the first matchup, and three earned runs in five runs in the most recent matchup but the Astros couldn’t get it done and lost both games.  Look for him to get out of this funk and get Houston a win.

So far this season, Houston is already up 2-1 against Seattle and we expect them to help us cash another big underdog this evening. Don’t side with the public and play the sharp side.

Play on the +180 Houston Astros

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Triple Play

The Spurs take on the Mavericks in game six in the best of seven series at the American Airlines Center on Friday night. The Spurs look to close out the series as they lead 3-2 but we don’t see the Mavs just laying down and they should keep this one close and possible win another one outright. They should come out strong and cash another ATS win as they have in every game of the series.

The Mavericks are 6-0 ATS their last six matchups including a Perfect 5-0 ATS record against the Spurs in this first round Playoff series. All five were underdog wins including two outright wins. In game two, they beat the Spurs 113-92 as 7.5 point dogs and in game three, they won 109-108 as 3.5 point dogs. Most people will be expecting this winning ATS run to end tonight but we expect them to keep the momentum going.

The Spurs are coming off a strong offensive night in game five of the series. They hit over 46% from the field and were 50% behind the arc, going 8 of 16 for 50% with three pointers. Don’t expect another offensive performance like that as Dallas will be focused and playing some tough defense.

Dallas is 32-16 ATS when the line is between +3 and -3 and they have been profitable this season with a 49-38 season record. They have cashed 23 of 35 when playing as an underdog and are 15-6 ATS against division opponents. They are 15-4 ATS when coming off a road loss this season and are 25-13 ATS coming off a close loss of six points or less over the last two seasons.

Everything points at Dallas covering another matchup tonight. Look for them to keep the perfect ATS record going!

Play on Dallas

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Favorite of the Week

Tom Grassi 20*  NBA Playoffs Customer Appreciation Play

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Late Night Bailout

The Offshore Books opened Washington as -210 favorites and despite about 80% of the action coming in on the Nationals, the line has moved down to -185. The Padres opened up the four game series with a 4-3 +140 win.  The Public will be all over the Nationals as they expect them to bounce back with a win and will risk wagering the chalk.

Robbie Erlin takes the mound for the Padres and has an average 4.15 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in all starts but looking back to his first start of the season, which was on the road against the Indians, he only gave up one earned run in six innings and the Padres ended up winning the matchup 2-1. Expect another strong road start from Erlin tonight as he faces Washington.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Stephan Strasburg.  He has a pretty lousy 5.33 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in all starts so far this season.  He has four starts so far this season with only one win.  He opened up the season with a bad start against the Braves, giving up three earned runs in just four innings and the Nationals ended up losing 6-2 as -155 home favorites.  He came back with a decent start against Miami, giving up just one run in six innings but faced Miami again the following week and gave up six earned runs in just four innings. 

Go against the public and take the +170 Padres.

Play on San Diego

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Double Dog

The Cubs are at Miller Park tonight to open up a new series and the Books opened Milwaukee as -185 favorites. The Public is loading up on the Brewers with around 85% of the action. Even with all that action, the line has moved down to -170 at a few books. The Public is going to be wrong again tonight and go down a couple units with all that chalk.

Milwaukee is having a much better season then the Cubs with their 16-6 season record and the Cubs sitting way under .500 with a terrible 7-14 start to the season.  But don’t fall into the trap, as the Cubs are due for a win. Chicago is coming off back to back losses to Arizona after they opened up the series with back to back wins including a huge 9-2 win with Hammel on the mound. 

Villanueva is starting for the Cubs and after starting off the season with a solid win against Philadelphia, where he gave up only one earned run in five innings which brought the Cubs to a 8-3 win against the Phillies, he has struggled in his last two starts.  He is coming off a loss to the Reds, giving up five runs in just under five innings and his start prior to that, he gave up a ridiculous nine runs in just three innings.  Look for him to bounce back and gain some respect back after those two pathetic starts. 

Matt Garza is on the other side of the pitching matchup and is also coming off a very bad performance.  He started against Pittsburgh in his last outing and he gave up five earned runs in just five innings but the Brewers found a way to come back and win that one 8-7.  The start prior to that was against the St Louis Cardinals and he gave up four earned runs in just seven innings and Milwaukee lost 4-0 as -120 home favorites.

Look for a huge let down for the Brewers and cash in big at the betting window as +165 Dogs.

Play on Chicago Cubs 

Tom Grassi 25* MLB Favorite of the Month

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Playoffs Signature Selection

Tom Grassi 20* NBA Smart Money

The Offshore Books opened the Chicago Bulls as 5.5 point favorites and the public will be loading up on the Bulls to come back after such an embarrassing 102-93  outright loss to the Wizards. Even with more action coming in on the Bulls, the line has bumped down a tick to 5 at a couple books.

Taking a look at game one of the best of seven series, the Bulls got crushed 102-93 as 4.5 point home favorites. The Bulls only hit 42% from the field and were slacking on defense as the Wizards were shooting almost 50%. Chicago was only 25% behind the three point line hitting only five of 20 attempts.  

The Wizards are 5-1 ATS when playing against the Bulls at the United Center including a huge 102-88 outright blowout back in January when the Bulls were laying 2.5 points at home. They are 15-7 ATS when playing as a decent underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season while the Bulls are only 19-38 ATS when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  

The Wizards have been somewhat profitable this season at the betting window, especially on the road.  They are 43-38 ATS in all games and have a very solid 27-15 ATS road record. The Bulls on the other hand are sitting right at .500 for the season with a 41-41 ATS record and are 21-21 ATS at home. Watch as the Wizards add another ATS winner to their huge winning road record!

Don’t side with the public as this is not going to be a bounce back win for the Bulls and take the points with the undervalued Wizards.

Play on Washington

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Easter Special

The Offshore books opened the Dodgers as -155 favorites and despite about 75% of the action coming in on them, the line has bumped down to -145 at most books.  The Public will be all over the Dodgers in tonight’s matchup as the sharps cash in on the Dbacks.

Arizona has been in somewhat of a slump ever since there series against the Dodgers last week.  After getting beat in all three games, they had another home series against the New York Mets where they suffered another 3 game sweep.  They ended that six game losing streak in game one of this series against the Dodgers with a 4-2 win but took the 8-6 loss last night.  They will finish this series off with a strong performance, ending in a win.

The Dodgers on the other hand have been playing some good baseball but they are due for a loss.  Josh Beckett takes the mound for LA and he has only two starts so far this season.  In his first start which was at Dodger Stadium, He gave up four earned runs in just four innings.  He came back with a decent start in his second outing, not giving up a single run in five innings but the Dodgers still lost to San Francisco 3-2. Watch as he has another poor home start tonight. Beckett has a terrible team start record of only 6-16 when starting as a -100 to -150 favorite. He is also 6-14 TSR when coming off a win.

Collmenter is starting for the Dbacks and looks to gain some respect back after starting off the season with a rough start against the New York Mets.  He gave up three earned runs before he was pulled in just four innings.  He will come out strong tonight to make up for that terrible first start.

Don’t side with the Public and take the +135 Dbacks to cash at the betting window!

Play on Arizona

Charlotte gets a taste of playoff basketball today when they go to Miami to take on the Heat. Unfortunately for the Bobcats the Heat slipped to the second seed and they open up against the two time defending champs. The last time Charlotte was in the playoffs was in the 2008-09 season when they were swept by the Magic.

Miami didn’t play very well to finish the season losing five of their last six games. They apparently weren’t worried about the number one seed as they wanted to get Wade and a few others some much needed rest. And the way the Pacers are playing it doesn’t appear like the Heat will need the top seed.

We’re passing on the side in this contest, but instead playing the game under the total. These two teams met four times this season with three of the four games going over, including the last three. However, prior to those three going over the previous six had gone under. This game opened with a 189.5 point total but has dropped to as low as 187 points at some books. We going with the money as Miami is well rested for this game and we look for them to play their smothering defense today.

Play Miami and Charlotte Under

Tom Grassi 20* Mem/OKC Side Winner

The Memphis Grizzlies take on the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight and OKC should have no problem covering the seven points at the betting window.

The Grizzlies are sitting at a solid 50-32 season while OKC is 59-23.  OKC has only lost 7 games at home all season and should have a very strong performance in game one of the series. They are having a profitable season with a 43-38 ATS record and at home they are six games over .500 against the spread with a 23-17 ATS home record.  Memphis on the other hand is only 36-43 ATS for the season and are one game under .500 on the road with a 19-20 ATS road record.

Memphis is coming into this matchup on a very strong five game winning streak but they are due for a loss and are only 1-8 ATS when coming off four or more consecutive wins this season.  They only beat OKC one time so far this season in four meetings but that was back in January.  The first game of the season OKC beat Memphis 116-100 as six point road favorites and then in February beat them twice, 86-77 as eight point home favorites and 113-107, missing the cover in that last matchup as they were laying seven points at home.

Last year the Memphis Grizzlies eliminated the Thunder in five games as Russel Westbrook was out due to the right knee injury.  This year is going to be completely different, as you may see the Grizzlies get eliminated in the same fashion as OKC did last year.

Expect a high speed matchup with OKC leading the pace and Memphis struggling to keep up. 

Play on Oklahoma City Thunder.

The books have opened Tampa Bay as -170 favorites and despite about 60% of the action coming in on the Rays, the line has bumped down a tick to -165 at some books. The Public will be all over the Rays as a heavy home favorite.

Tampa Bay is coming into this matchup ice cold, off three straight losses including a terrible series against Baltimore.  They got shutout 3-0 in their last matchup and in the first game of the series they got blown out 7-1 as -115 road favorites, talk about a trap by the books!

C.C. Sabathia takes the mound for the Yankees and will look to turn things around after starting off the season only winning one of three starts and giving up a decent amount of runs to Houston, Toronto and Boston.  He gave up four earned runs in his last start against Boston in just seven innings but will bounce back with a strong performance in tonight’s start against the Rays.

David Price on the other hand, who is starting for the Rays has started off the season in a very positive direction. He has a 2.91 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in all starts but is due for a poor performance.  He is coming off a very strong start against Cinci, giving up only one earned run in 8.3 innings but don’t expect another start like that against the Yankees!

The Yankees look to continue their win streak after that easy two game series against the Cubs. They shut them out in both matchups winning game one 3-0 and game two 2-0.  They have won four straight games and are sitting at a solid 9-6 season.

Look for them to keep the momentum going in this matchup tonight and cash their fifth straight as +150 to +160 dogs!

Play on New York Yankees

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Double Dog

St. Louis takes on Washington tonight and the Books have opened up St Louis as -155 favorites.  With about 75% of the money coming in on the Cardinals, you would expect the line to move up a bit but it has bumped down to as low as -140 at some books.  The public will be loading up on St Louis while the sharps will cash another underdog win with Washington at the betting window.

Both teams move into Thursday’s matchup with above average 9-6 season records.  This is the first game of the series with Wainwright pitching against Jordan.  Wainwright is having a decent start to the season but gave up four earned runs in his last matchup against the struggling Chicago Cubs as -230 favorites but they ended up winning 10-4. 

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Taylor Jordan who is coming off a very poor start against the Braves, where he gave up five earned runs in just five innings as +130 road dogs.  He did have a very strong home start against the Braves earlier that week giving up only one run in 6.3 innings.  Look for him to have another strong home performance tonight. 

Taking a look at the bullpens, Washington’s Bullpen is having a  very solid season with a 1.12 ERA and 1.042 WHIP at home, while St Louis is struggling with a 5.62 ERA and 1.333 WHIP on the road. 

Side with the Sharps and take the +140 Nationals!

Play on Washington