C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) The Yankees will start left-hander CC Sabathia (2-1, 3.73 ERA) against Blue Jays right-hander Marco Estrada (2-6, 5.68). Sabathia is who I'm backing  as he is in  better form and has an offense backing him that is more consistent than the Blue Jays attack. Eastrada the Jays starter in his last  seven starts   is 0-5 with a 5.89 ERA.Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 

The Yankees did have a 5 game winning streak snapped in the second game of a Double header vs the Tigers last time out, but are a very good bounce back candidate as is evident by their  36-16 record in their last 52 games following a loss. 

 SABATHIA team  is 23-9 when he starts   against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 16-3   against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season and are  13-3 against the money line rested bullpen - threw  2 innings or less in each of the last 2 games over the last 2 seasons. 

 The Blue Jays  have lost 14 straight   as a home dog vs a southpaw when they lost the last three times they faced a left handed pitcher.

 Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline

JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)

The Braves just took 3 of 4 games in a weekend series from the Nationals, and are now flying out west feeling pretty good about themselves, standing in first place in the NL East and  and brimming with confidence. Sometimes situations like this can have a team in a letdown spot, but this Braves team has good chemistry and leadership and is taking nothing for granted, especially when they ponder how many struggles the organization has dealt with over the last few seasons. With that said, I'm going to ride the momentum of the Braves from East to West and bet on them to bring home the cash to their backers in the first game of this series.

Tonight's pitching matchup features pitchers in good form, but not getting the support they need to get wins of late. But Teheran according to my power rankings matches up better vs the Fathers batting order than Richards does vs the Braves clutch hitters.

Teheran is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA in eight career starts against San Diego, including a win in his lone start against the Padres last season. SD starter Richard  has never beaten the Braves and is 0-6 with a 6.75 ERA in nine career games - six starts.

Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 8-3 in Teherans last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Braves are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings. Braves are  9-3  against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season doing their best offensive work producing 5.6 rpg and 26 HRS.

 Padres are 5-21 in Richards last 26 starts vs. National League East.Padres are 7-23 in their last 30 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 2-5 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

ATLANTA is 23-14  against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season and is s 15-9   against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

  ALEX WOOD (L) vs. CHAD BETTIS (R)

The Dodgers (28-30) have won 12 of their past 16 games and are currently in good from, and get the nod here today according to my pitcher vs pitcher vs batting order power rankings. it must be noted that the Dodgers starter Bettis has yet to win or have a decision at home this season, going 0-0, 7.06 in four starts. His form has gone down hill of late despite of solid early season numbers,  as is evident by his last four consecutive no-decisions covering 22 innings, Bettis has a 6.95 ERA, and opposing hitters are batting .315 with a .869 OPS during that time frame and is fade material in his current form. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter has pitched his best ball away from home this season, garnering a solid 2.88 ERA , and despite of pitching here at the launching pad known as Coors Field should do enough to hold the Rockies very inconsistent offense in check.

COLORADO is 9-18 L/27  against the money line in home games after 5 or more consecutive home games .

MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less), playing on Sunday ae 95-35 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the LA Dodgers  to win on the moneyline

The Cards starter Wacha hasn’t lost since his season debut way back in March. He’s completed at least five innings in each of his 10 starts since. Cardinals are 5-0 in Wachas last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, Kingman the Pirates starter  since taking a perfect game into the seventh inning in his debut against the Cardinals, he has allowed three or more earned runs in each of his past three starts.

Pirates are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Pirates are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

ST LOUIS is 16-3 L/19  against the money line in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games  dating back to last season, which happened yesterday.PITTSBURGH is 19-39   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 dating back to last season.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ST LOUIS) - with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL), after a one run win are 97-38 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline

JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)

Hellickson the Nats  starter continues to be a pleasant surprise  since taking over as their No. 5 starter. In his last five outings, he owns a 1.30 ERA and Washington is undefeated in those five games.. In five career starts against Atlanta, Hellickson is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA. HELLICKSON team when he starts is 11-5   against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%).

Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 like Sanchez.

Atlanta won the first two games of the series between the National League East frontrunners, but Washington won the four-hour marathon Saturday and pulled to within a half game of the Braves and are now my choice to get a split of this 4 game series set.

WASHINGTON is 30-15  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 dating back to last season.Nationals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games.

MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - allowing 3.5 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season are 41-13 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline

AARON SANCHEZ (R) vs. MICHAEL FULMER (R)

Neither one of these two pitchers inspire me, but baseball is more than a pitching matchup. With that said, and even though the Tigers are in good form and the Jays in a slump, my own power rankings suggest a favorable matchup situation for the desperate Jays here in the final game of this series. The Tigers have struggled against RHP this season like the Jays Sanchez, and are averaging just 3.9 rpg via a below the Mendoza line .244 BA. The Jays are 15-4 L/19 after having lost 6 or 7 of their L/8 games.

DETROIT is 61-99 against the money line against right-handed starters  dating back to last season.

The Tigers took the first two games of this series Note: Blue Jays are 23-10 in their last 33 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.

Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline

JON LESTER (L) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)

Lester is coming off a win vs. the Bucs in which he not only struck out 6 over 6 innings but collected 2 hits himself. Even better, the lefty didn't walk a batter. He's 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Mets, including 5 quality starts. . Jon Lester is 17-0  L/17 a favorite of 120+ off a start in which he did not allow a walk. He goes against a  Mets team that has shown no clutch capabilities of late at all as they  stranded 11 runners and left the bases loaded in the 13th and landed their eighth loss in 10 games yesterday.

LESTER team when he starts is 36-9  against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse dating back to last season.

Meanwhile, Matz the Mets starter left his last trip to the hill after three innings due to a strained left index finger and is less than 100% here, but the Mets need him to start. He went through a throwing program over the week , but that tells me a lot about what could be expected of his here today. Matz is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in two starts against the Cubs

NY METS are 2-15  L/17  against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more .

MLB  underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), playing on Sunday are 19-78 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline

CHAD KUHL (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)

 Kuhl the Pirates starter has pitched decently of late, but is one of those pitchers that just cant find consistent positive results even when he's in a groove.  The righty has given up one run or fewer in three of his last five trips to the hill overall but has only one win to show for it.Pirates are also just 2-7 in Kuhls last 9 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Meanwhile, Weaver after a strong run, has struggled of late, and is on the verge of losing his spot in the rotation. Because of this however, I expect we see him out to prove his detractors wrong and be hell bent on mowing down the Pirates inconsistent offense. Note: The Pirates have  given up 59 runs and have lost 9 of their L/11 and own a  lowly.285 OBP in their L/7 games overall.

Pirates are 0-4 in Kuhls L/4 starts vs the Cardinals .Pirates are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in St. Louis.

Cardinals are 8-2 in Weavers last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

PITTSBURGH is 18-38   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150  dating back to last season.

MLB Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - good offensive team ( 4.7 ror more uns/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are not long term good bets going just 44-77 L/5 seasons for a 64% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline

JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)

I went with the Brewers yesterday , and they did start fast ripping out a 3-0 lead , but faded as the game went on, and were eventually beaten 8-3. Today I'm coming right back with the Brewers as my choice in spot vs an inconsistent White Sox side,  that is 1-9 in their L/10 home games vs a team with a road winning record of .600 or better. note: Brewers are 20-6 in their last 26 games following a loss and are obviously adapt at bouncing back with ferocity.

Brewers are 40-15 in their last 55 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The White Sox have lost 8 of their L/10 after scoring 5 runs or more.
The White Sox starter -Shields has seen his team go 0-7 L/7 when he starts against a team with an above .500 record. Meanwhile, the Brewers starter Chacin has seen his team go 4-0 in his L/4 road starts vs a losing team and 4-0 vs a below .500 team overall. Brewers are 7-1 in Chacins last 8 starts.

CHI WHITE SOX are 4-22 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. The Brewers  have won 12 straight as a road favorite off a road game in which they had more strikeouts than hits, winning by an average of 4.4 rpg.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) are 42-85 L/21 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline

CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. HECTOR SANTIAGO (L)

These are two teams are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. Milwaukee consistently keeps finds ways to win, and the Chicago White Sox keep finding interesting new ways to lose. The Brewers have won 20 of their L/28 overall and  10 of their L/13 away tilts and the Pale hose have now lost 4 straight and are off being swept by the Cleveland Indians.

Chase Anderson the Brewers starter today has pitched his best ball away from home this season, garnering a stingy 2.19 ERA and 2-1 record in 4 road starts this season and is my choice today on what my own projections estimate to be a Brewers victory. He will be backed by a top tier bullpen that has registered a equally stingy 2.35 ERA on the road this season.

Brewers are 11-4 in Andersons last 15 starts.Brewers are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Brewers are 6-1 in Andersons last 7 road starts.White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the Southsiders return fire with Hector Santiago a southpaw that has not liked pitching in Chicago this season, as is evident by his nasty looing 10.61 ERA.

Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.White Sox are 0-5 in Santiagos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.White Sox are 0-6 in Santiagos last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.

CHI WHITE SOX are 3-22 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6  or less errors/game this season. White Sox are 0-9 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

MILWAUKEE is 9-0   against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.MILWAUKEE is 9-2  against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. MILWAUKEE is 20-8  against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. MILWAUKEE is 19-7   against the money line when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 38% or less ) dating back to last season.

MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival, with a losing record are 18-40 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival are 11-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline

AARON NOLA (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-2, 2.27 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (1-4, 2.86)

Kershaw the Dodgers ace struggled earlier this season before going on the disabled list, allowing 7 HRS and offenses to hit .234 against him. He is said, to be healthy and strong again, and I expect he gets back to the form that saw the southpaw  hold  opponents below .200 in four straight seasons and a career .206 BA .Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said there isn't a definitive pitch limit for Kershaw, saying, "I think he's fine to go deep, depending on how he's throwing."

I know the Phillies starter Nola is a top quality pitcher, and right now looks like one of the betters hurlers in MLB, but he has a recent history of sub par road efforts, and not getting the support he needs from his teams inconsistent offense  as is evident by the following trends.Phillies are 1-7 in Nolas last 8 road starts. Phillies are 1-4 in Nolas last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

KERSHAWs team when he starts  is 31-7   against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last few seasons. KERSHAWs starts have seen his team go  69-24    against the money line in day games in his career. Dodgers are 15-2 in Kershaws last 17 starts during game 4 of a series.

Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games  umpire Little behind home plate.

MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP = 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 35-5 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline

KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)

Gibson a usually reliable hurler, who owns  a 2.61 ERA on the road this season, but  has struggled a little bit in has last few efforts. However, it must be noted that the Royals  are less than capable of taking advantage of pitchers in a funk as they are just  3-23 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 plus they struggle vs orthodox pitchers as is evident by a  2-15 record in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

Meanwhile, the Royals starter Duffy despite of a quality effort in his last trip to the hill has seen his team go 0-5 in his followups  after a quality start and  0-5 in his L/5 home starts overall, and is  4-17 in his last 21 starts vs. American League Central . Needless to say Duffys numbers should not inspire anyone, and give credence to me fading him and a KC team that has lost 20 of their L/27 home games.

Twins are 6-0 in Gibsons last 6 starts vs. Royals.Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League Central Twins are 19-3 in Gibson's last 22 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.GIBSONs team when he starts  is 9-1  against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last few seasons and is  9-1  against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game during the same time period. GIBSONs team when he starts  is  also 11-2 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse dating back to last season. GIBSON is  also 25-8 in his career against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season .GIBSON is 11-1  against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last few seasons.

DUFFY is 3-13  against the money line against division opponents dating back to last season.KANSAS CITY is 8-25  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.KANSAS CITY is 2-14  against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.KC has lost Duffys L/3 starts vs the Twins.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00or more over his last 3 starts are 5-34 L/5 seasons for a go against  87% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R)

Verlander the Astros starter has allowed one earned run or less in all five starts this month and gets the nod today for me vs  Yankees starting hurler Domingo German who   has given up six runs in each of his last two trips to the hill. I know the Astros blew a 5 run lead yesterday and succumbed to the Tribe in extra innings, but that I'm betting makes this top tier team even hungrier and anxious for redemption. Yes, the Yankees are also a hot team, but the veteran Verlander according to my power rankings is a viable matchup for the pinstripe 9. Note: HOUSTON is 36-14    against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 dating back to last season and is 47-18  against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 during the same time parameters.

 Astros are 8-2 in Verlanders last 10 road starts.Astros are 6-1 in Verlanders last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.Astros are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA  3.75 or better ), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 12-50 L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline

MATT HARVEY (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R)

Harvey the Mets starter is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA overall. He went 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in eight games (four starts) with the New York Mets and is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts for the Reds and is fade material here today in Colorado. Harvery is 0-1, 7.94 in one start at Coors Field in May 2016.COLORADO is 7-2  against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

The Reds have had a hard time vs RHP like Marquez, going  14-31 in their last 45 games vs. a right-handed starter and have lost 12 of 17 on the road vs orthodox pitchers.Rockies are 5-0 in Marquezs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.

The Reds took out the Rockies yesterday by a 6-5 count ,coming from behind for the win, but it must be noted that the Rockies have won 19 straight games as a favorite of more than 125 when they are off a loss as a favorite in which they led the lead, winning by an average of more than 5 runs per game.Reds are also 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.

Reds are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in Colorado.

MLB  favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 or less ) -NL, ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games are 51-16 L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

Astros RH Gerrit Cole (5-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (4-3, 2.35)

Gerrit Cole the Astros starter today is getting all the headlines, because of his top tier start to this campaign (5-1 1.86 ERA), but his pitching opponent and former UCLA teammate Bauer is no pushover and has garnered a stingy 1.93 ERA in his L/3 starts and is every bit as strong looking as Cole is at the moment. Bauer has not allowed  a run in his last two outings, permitting just  11 hits on just two walks  and  16 strikeouts  in 14 innings of quality work. Yesterday, the Indians showed some positive energy by blasting 4 HRs in a 8-6 win vs the Astros, and I;m betting on them feeding off that today and notch a win.

Indians are 29-13 in their last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter and are 35-16 in their last 51 during game 4 of a series and are also 47-21 in their last 68 home games.

BAUERs team  is 14-2 in his starts  against the money line in home games against AL West opponents in his career.

BAUER is perfect  7-0  in his career when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.076.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)

Houston has won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 19-4 and once again look like they matchup very well against the Tribe.On May 20 in Houston, McCullers and the Astros beat Carrasco and the Indians 3-1 and a repeat type performance is a strong possibility. Note: HOUSTON is 15-3  against the money line in road games after a win by 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons which happened yesterday.

CLEVELAND is 4-12 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season.

The Cleveland Indians are 0-9 on the moneyline  in franchise history with Carrasco at home when their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.  Carrasco has six straight non-quality starts as the Indians lost by multiple runs.

CARRASCO is 1-7  against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons

MLB Road teams (HOUSTON) - poor AL hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA  4.50 or less ), with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games are 37-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros on the moneyline

CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. DANIEL MENGDEN (R)

Losers of seven straight and 13 of 14 before making the trip to Oakland, Arizona was in a full nose dive  entering play here in Oakland yesterday, until a miraculous complete team effort buoyed them to a win yesterday in the the opening game in this series. However, their inconsistency remains an issue, and I'm doubting they have suddenly found their way out of this slump just yet and I'm betting against them here in this spot.

The DBacks will send former Boston Red Sox starter  out for his  10th career start against the A's. He has a winning record ( 4-2 ) vs the As but has a troubling  6.85 ERA in the first nine.He has not enjoyed pitching at the Coliseum in Oakland, going 1-2 with a 9.58 ERA in three starts. Meanwhile, As starter Mengden (4-4, 3.30) has never faced the Diamondbacks, but h has gone 3-3 with a 3.74 ERA in seven interleague starts. The righty hurler has looked to be in top form in May, allowing just four earned runs in 24 2/3 innings over four starts and get the nod again here.

Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OAKLAND is 21-10   against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last couple of seasons.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (OAKLAND) - starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings, cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 45-7 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline

DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)

Baltimore enters this tilt vs the White Sox experiencing a disappointing season to this point, while the Pale Hose have been exhibiting  an uptick in their performance date as they shake themselves out a funk off their own after having won 4 of their L/5 games and are off a 11-1 smash down of the O's yesterday. Baltimore will now send the supposed ace of their pitching staff right-hander Dylan Bundy (2-6, 4.70 ERA)  out to the hill to make his  11th start of the season. The  power pitcher  has really struggled of late as he mimics his teams lack of success. Since April 26, Bundy is 1-4 with a 9.41 ERA in five starts. He has allowed 23 earned runs in 22 innings, including  12 home runs and he  has given up at least three home runs in three of his past four starts. His mechanics are way off and he is  telegraphing his pitches, and once again looks like fade material vs a team that feeling a lot more confident of late and starting to heat up offensively.

BALTIMORE is 0-11  against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season.BALTIMORE is 0-10  against the money line after a 3 game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season. BALTIMORE is 0-9  against the money line after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span this season. BALTIMORE is 8-23(against the money line against right-handed starters this season like White Sox Starter right-hander Lucas Giolito .
BALTIMORE is 1-10  against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 dating back to last season.BALTIMORE is 1-14  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

MLB All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less ) against a decent starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 4.70 or less) -AL, in May games are 44-28 L/5 seasons  for a 61% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by 10 runs or more are 33-15 L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline

LUIZ GOHARA (L) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)

Braves starter Gohara, is a big strong 6-foot-3, 265 pounds hurler ,  that made five starts for Atlanta at the end of the 2017 season . In those efforts he registered  31 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings. The Phillies thrower is under rated according to my own power rankings and matches up well vs this Philly lineup. Meanwhile, Arietta the Phillies starting pitcher, is in top form of late, but  has seen his team lose 12 of his L/19 starts vs divisional opposition and his L/4 starts overall . ARRIETA is 3-10 L/13  against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 .

ATLANTA is 7-1  against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 9-3  against the money line in road games vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 15-5   against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season and is  11-2   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season.

Atlanta has won seven of its first 11 games against the Phillies this season, and the team is 20-10 against divisional opponents. Braves a perfect 8-0 this season in the rubber game of a three-game series  this seasons and are 12-1 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series.

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

Right-hander Aaron Sanchez (2-4, 4.47 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays against Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs (3-3, 2.88).

The Jays enter this game struggling thanks to their pitching rotation. Their last two wins, one of which came yesterday were with hurler AJ Happ on the hill. Now back in the rotten part of the rotation the Jays are fade material in this spot behind, Aaron Sanchez who finished his last outing tied for the third-most walks in the Majors with 29 walks. He's had difficulty repeating his mechanics after missing all of last year with a blister issue, and command has been the first thing to suffer. I know the Angels are struggling offensively of late, but I'm betting Sanchez will not do himself any favors here thanks to his wild ways vs a Angels side that is still doing their best offensive work on the road this season averaging 5.8 rpg. Meanwhile Skaggs the Halos starter gave up one run over six innings in his last start Thursday against the Rays. The left-hander is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA in four career starts against the Blue Jays and get the nod in this spot play. Angels are 4-1 in Skaggs' last 5 road starts.

TORONTO is 12-22 L/33 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters like Sakggs.

LA ANGELS are 11-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win.Blue Jays are 1-7 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Angels are 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Toronto.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (LA ANGELS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 5 games, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 58-20 L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline

BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R)

I said it before this  season started, that the Atlanta Braves would be a dark horse possibility, and I'm now saying that their recent top tier play is not an anomaly, but their opponents the Phillies, strong performance to this point in the season might be. The Braves have been especially strong on the road where they have recorded 17 wins in 26 games. They lost yesterday to the Phillies, by a 3-0 count, but today I expect the Braves to bounce back.

Note:Braves are 4-0 in their starters McCarthys last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game . Braves are also 5-1 in McCarthys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Phillies starter Velasquez has seen his team lose 15 of his last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record like the Braves

.Phillies are also just 5-12 in Velasquezs last 17 home starts.VELASQUEZ is 0-8 L/8 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season dating back to last season.Phillies are 1-5 in Velasquezs last 6 starts vs. Braves. ATLANTA is 6-1 against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. ATLANTA is 10-2 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +150 this season. ATLANTA is 8-2  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

 Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline

 GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)

The Dodgers are on a 5 game win streak, after finishing off a east coast road trip by sweeping the Nationals . But now after travelling all the way back  out to  the West coast last night and now tired and in the precarious situation of having to get acclimated to being home again.  I  now expect the Dodgers will be prone to a let down situation against a Colorado team that travels well as is evident by their 18-11 away record and  are  13-4 record   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season Note: LA DODGERS are 7-13  against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season

The Rockies will send right-hander German Marquez to the mound Monday . He has pitched his best ball away from the launching pad known as Coors field posting a 2.25 ERA in his five road starts.  He is an under rated hurler who gives the Rockies a great opportunity for a outright underdog victory. Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter .

LA DODGERS are 7-15  against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. COLORADO is 8-0  against the money line after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

 ALEX WOOD (L) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)

Strasburg the Nats starter today is in top form of late, going 3-0 along with garnering a stingy 2.61 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and gets my support here today vs a LA Dodgers team tht has  lost 19 of their L/27 games vs a RHP starter. Meanwhile, Alex Wood the Dodgers starter is a off a good effort last time out, but that has not been a recipe for continued success as his team is 0-4 when he is  off a quality outing.

STEPHEN STRASBURG is 14-0  against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons. WOOD is 6-18  against the money line in day games in his career.

Someone seems to like Sunday baseball. STRASBURG teams when he starts are  28-4 against the money line when playing on Sunday .Nationals are 58-18 in Strasburgs last 76 starts. Nationals are 14-3 in game 3 of a series.

MLB All favorites with a money line of -150 or more on the opening line (WASHINGTON) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) are 88-21 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline

MIKE CLEVINGER (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)

Clevinger the Indians starter is in top form, as is evident by his 3-0 record and stingy 2,70 ERA.  He has pitched some of his best ball on the road recording a 10-5 record along with a 3.22 ERA in 24 appearances (19 starts) . The Tribes right hander will now face a Houston team that has been futile at home from a offensive perspective scoring just 3.9 rpg on a nasty looking  .223 team BA. Clevinger, is 1-1 along with a minuscule  1.04 ERA in two starts versus the Astros. It must be noted that HOUSTON is 0-6   against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season and is is 0-5   against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. Clevinger qualifies under both these trends.

Meanwhile, the Astros will return fire with Charlie Morton who is also in top from with a 5-0 record along with a 2.03 ERA. He is looking good , but according to my cross reference pitcher vs Batting order power rankings, does not matchup excessively well vs the Tribes hitters.Edwin Encarnacion  and  Jason Kipnis  have Homered in a combined nine at-bats versus Morton, who is a lowly  0-2 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts versus Cleveland.

Cleveland has won 24 of the 34 meetings since the Astros joined the AL in 2013, including five of six during this campaign. Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

HOUSTON is 9-16 L/25  against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games.

MLB Any team (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 43-75 L/5 seasons for a go against  64% conversion rate for bettors.

MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games are 21-43 L/5 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline

CHAD BETTIS (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)

Right-handers Chad Bettis (4-1, 3.12 ERA) of the Rockies and Jeff Samardzija (1-2, 6.94) of the Giants  are the two starting pitchers in this series opener.

Bettis in 5 road starts owns a stingy 1.35 ERA and that is where his 4-1 record has been garnered. Meanwhile, his Giants pitching opponent SAMARDZIJA has not liked pitching at home in AT &T this season as is evident by  recording a ugly 8.30 ERA in two starts, and recently has notched a equally nasty 7.36 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill, allowing 12 ERS spanning 14.7 innings of sub par work. Needless to say Bettis is in better form and gets my backing here tonight.

Giants are 1-5 in Samardzijas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 1-4 in Samardzijas last 5 starts vs. Rockies.

BETTIS is 30-19   against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. SAMARDZIJA when he starts has seen his team go   15-32 L/47  against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125.

COLORADO is 14-1   against the money line after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base dating back to last season, which happened vs SD last time out in a 4-0 loss.   COLORADO is 11-4   against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. COLORADO is 10-4   against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.

Giants are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.SAN FRANCISCO is 18-33  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game over the last couple of seasons.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline

ERIC LAUER (L) vs. CHAD KUHL (R) 

 To open the series Thursday, the Padres will send out rookie left-hander Eric Lauer (1-2, 8.27 ERA) against Pirates right-hander Chad Kuhl (4-2, 4.17).    I don't regularly lay a lot of lumber, but the averages according to my head to head power rankings  are on our side in this spot, and worth the extra outlay. The Pirates have clobbered southpaws like Lauer this season, for an average 5.9 rpg via powerful .286 team BA.  Yes, I know the Padres have been playing decently of late, but that has not been a recipe for success for this  team In the past as is evident by their   8-25 record against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last  couple of seasons.

SAN DIEGO is 20-51  against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 dating back to last season. Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series . Padres are 18-40 in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pirates are 5-1 in Kuhl's L/6 home starts. Pirates are 20-8 vs a road team with a below .500 record.

MLB  Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PITTSBURGH) - good NL offensive team (4.7  or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after a game where they had 4 or less hits are 44-11 L/21 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (SAN DIEGO) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, in May games are just 18-59 L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate  for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

JACOB FARIA (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)

Hammel the KC Royals starting pitcher today is currently struggling as is evident by having allowed 20 ERS in L/3 starts spanning 15 innings on 24 hits and 5 HRS.
HAMMEL team when he starts is  is 0-9  against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season dating back to last season and in his current form is fade material.

Meanwhile, 
Faria the TB starter today had a five-game unbeaten streak came to an end last time out when he allowed seven runs on eight hits  in six innings of sub par work in a loss at Baltimore. Prior to that Faria had allowed one run or fewer in five of his first seven starts and is more than capable of bouncing back here vs a struggling Royals offense that has scored just 5 runs in their L/3 games and are averaging just 3.7 rpg at home via a team BA under the Mendoza line ( .249).

I know the Rays are dealing with some nagging injuries, but I'm betting they still have enough offensive weapons to get the job done this afternoon vs a Royals team that  are ranked  last in the majors with a 5.48 ERA, including 5.64 from the bullpen - the second-highest average in mlb..

KANSAS CITY is 5-20  against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

KANSAS CITY is 4-13  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.

Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Rays are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Rays are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 to 6.20 on the season (AL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or more over his last 3 starts are 33-5 L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA  5.00 or worse), starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 47-17 L/21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the TB Rays to win on the moneyline

TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L)

Anderson the Rockies starter  has a eight-game unbeaten streak come to an end Wednesday, when he allowed four runs over five innings in an 8-0 set back to the Los Angeles Angels. I'm expecting he will bounce back here today.Anderson is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in five career starts versus San Diego, including a 1.50 ERA with no-decisions in two outings this season.Rockies are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 road starts. Anderson goes against Padres team off a win yesterday, but in the recent past this has not necessarily been a good omen for the Fathers  as they have lost 7 of their L/9 after notching a victory.

Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 15-7 in the last 22 meetings and 4-1 L/5 here in beautiful San Diego.

COLORADO is 12-3  against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. COLORADO is 13-5  against the money line in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season. COLORADO is 11-4  against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.COLORADO is 5-0   against the money line in road games in May games this season.

Play on the Colorado Rockies to cash on the moneyline

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)

Sabathia the Yankees starter  is 2-0 with a 0.39 ERA in four starts since coming off the disabled list April 19, and that includes a top tier effort in his last trip to the hill as threw six scoreless innings and a season-high seven strikeouts against Cleveland on Friday. Sabathia, owned the BoSox last season going  4-0 with a 1.04 ERA in four starts and is my choice tonight vs another strong pitcher in Rodriguez, who despite a s strong start to his campaign has given up 5 runs in back to back trips to the hill. It must be noted that after a strong start to their season , Boston has lost  9 of their L/17 and not operating at a high level , while the Yankees are red hot winning 7 straight and look to be run away freight train that you want to ride and not  stand in front of in their current form.

BOSTON is 3-8   against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 20-4  against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. NY YANKEES are 12-0 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. NY YANKEES are 9-1  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.

SABATHIA team when he starts is  21-9   against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game. SABATHIA when he starts has seen his   team go 8-0 L/8 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 .

Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East.

Yankees are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 home games.Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathias last 4 starts.Yankees are 17-4 in Sabathias last 21 home starts.Yankees are 42-17 in Sabathias last 59 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 starts vs. Red Sox.

Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyliine

Pirates RH Trevor Williams (4-2, 2.63 ERA) vs. White Sox RH Reynaldo Lopez (0-2, 2.43)

Pirates starter Williams  has held opposition hitters to a .193 batting average, and he also owns a viable 3-1 record and an ERA of 1.69 in interleague play, and must be respected here as a short favorite. The Pirates currently own a 7-2 record in interleague play this season, and have the edge vs a struggling  White Sox team has lost 4 straight games and 8 of their L/9 overall. Pittsburgh also owns a  23-9 against the AL Central dating to June 15, 2015. I know the Pale Hose starter Lopez has been very capable this season, but with a offense that is capable of very little run support he is currently fade material. Note: HURDLE is 34-18  against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

The White Sox are a team that rarely takes advantage of any teams weaknesses because of a inconsistent offense as is obvious by their  4-16 record  against the money line vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season and struggle against strong defensive teams like the Pirates as they are 2-13   against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 1-9  against the money line in home games in day games this season.

MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a very good NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game are 10-41 L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline

ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ERIC LAUER (L)

Lauer, 22, was the third of the Padres three first-round picks (25th overall) in the 2016 draft out of Kent State University where he was named college baseball's Pitcher of the Year off a 10-2 record and 0.69 ERA.
 He was 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in three starts for Triple-A El Paso this April before being promoted to the Padres.Lauer’s career got off to an less than favorable start when he allowed 7 runs in cold and rainy Colorado and 3 in the first inning on Monday in SF. But, he blanked the Giants for four innings after that, and the Padres see lots of potential for the 22-year-old lefty to build on. I think this kid is under rated and gives us a good opportunity for cashing an underdog ticket here today. Meanwhile, Stripling the Dodgers starter gets the spot start after management decided not to activate Rich Hill from the DL. Stripling,, started in Hill’s spot five days earlier and allowed four runs on eight hits in 4 IP vs. Arizona and lost to the Padres the only other time he started against them.

Dodgers Manager ROBERTS is 14-23  against the money line after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs  which happened yesterday vs the Padres In a loss. LA DODGERS are 6-12 against the money line after a loss this season. LA DODGERS are 3-11 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

MLB team (LA DODGERS) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 15-30 L/5 seasons for a for a go against conversion rate of 68% on the money-line.

Play on the SD Padres to win on the moneyline