MLB Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
10-07-18 | Dodgers -169 v. Braves | 5-6 | Loss | -169 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Atlanta's offence is slumping at the worst possible time, and Im betting things will not get much better vs Buehler, who had a 2.03 ERA after the All-Star break. He is off a top tier performance recording 6 2/3 scoreless innings Monday in the NL West tiebreaker against Colorado that gave the Dodgers their sixth straight division title. Buehler beat the Braves in his only regular-season start against them allowing a run and two hits over 5 1/3 innings at Los Angeles on June 8. With that said, the Dodgers get the nod to take game 3. ATLANTA is 0-8 against the money line in home games in a playoff game, facing elimination since 1997. ATLANTA is 4-15 against the money line in home games after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. (Braves were shutout in back to back games to start tis series) MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (ATLANTA) - good offensive team - scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games are just 14-78 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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10-07-18 | Brewers +147 v. Rockies | 6-0 | Win | 147 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Public money keeps rolling in on Colorado, but Milwaukee is in a groove right now, and feeling the momentum of being up 2-0, and on a current 10 game win streak and with the reliable Wade Miley (5-2, 2.57 ERA) on the hill are capable of taking the Rockies out here in their own back yard.Brewers are 7-0 in Mileys last 7 starts and 6-1 in his L/7 road outings. Meanwhile, Marquez suffered through one of his worst outings at home against Milwaukee on May 10, when he permitted five runs on 12 hits and three walks in just 4 2/3 innings. The way the Brewers are hitting right now , the righty could once again find himself in trouble. MILEY is 12-4 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 23-6 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less this season, which was the case last time out. Rockies are 2-10 in their last 12 playoff games.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games.Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff home games.Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado MLB team (COLORADO) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less 4 straight games are 49-94 L/21seasons for a go against conversion rate of 66% for bettors. Play on Milwaukee to win on the moneyline |
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10-06-18 | Indians +144 v. Astros | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Carrasco the Tribes starter loves pitching here in Houston , where he has a 1.17 ERA with 28 strikeouts vs. three walks in 23 innings in his career. In Game 3 of the ALDS against the Yankees last year, Carrasco logged 5 2/3 shutout innings and thrives in this environment. Carrasco pitches his best away from home, as opposition hitters are averaging .220 against him. If he tires, he is backed with a bullpen that has gotten much better down the stretch and must be respected in their abilities to support him. Meanwhile, Garret Cole the Astros starter despite of his good numbers this season, has struggled bit of late at home where he has allowed 4 runs or more against 2 of his L/3 above .500 opponents . Coles top pitch the fastball is a favorite of Tribes key hitters and I won't be surprised if they tee off on him today in a big way. You have to remember Houston has not played well at home this season, and have lost 8 of their L/12 at home vs an above .500 team like the Indians. We have a lot of value here taking the Tribe to come out of this tilt with a victory. Note: Indians are 20-9 in their last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the Cleveland Indians |
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10-05-18 | Yankees +166 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Happ has been dominant since the Yankees got him -- he's 7-0 with a 2.69 ERA . That includes a six-inning, four-run win over the Red Sox at Fenway on Sept. 28 and six innings of one-run ball against them in New York on Sept. 18. He was brought over by the Yankees partly because of his ability to deal with the BoSox batting order well, and Im betting he does just that here today in Fenway. It must be noted that Chris Sale the Red Sox pitcher has also pitched well against the Yanks this season, but that was before he went on the DL. Since than his velocity has diminished and he just does not look as dominant and could easily get in trouble with a power hitting Yankees lineup that leads MLB in Home Runs. If Sale falters, he is backed by a bullpen that is slumping heading into the post season, as BoSox relievers owna cumulative 4.84 ERA in their last 126 1/3 innings.The Boston bullpen had a 6.75 ERA in 19 games against New York this season. Play on the Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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10-04-18 | Rockies v. Brewers -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
Both teams come into the series in good form . Milwaukee won seven straight games to finish the regular season tied atop the NL Central with the Cubs, then made it eight straight by knocking off the Cubs for the division title Monday at Wrigley Field. But Im betting the Brewers are much fresher after a couple days of rest as they waited for Colorado ,. The Rockies after two exhausting emotional games that have them in this play off series their now at a disadvantage . Also Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.38 ERA) despite of pitching well of late has gotten tired quickly as is evident In his last five starts, where he’s averaging less than six innings per outing. With the Brewers bullpen fresher than the Rockies bullpen they have the advantage as this game progresses. Note:Look for Christian Yelich, who is slugging an insane 1.294 in the last week. Milwaukee also matches up well vs the Rockies and have won 5 of 7 meetings this season. Play on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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09-28-18 | Yankees -127 v. Red Sox | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Every time southpaw JA Happ goes to the hill for his team they have a chance to win. I know the BoSox have a tremendous record at home this season. But NYY needs just one more win to clinch home-field for the AL Wild Card matchup with the Athletics and with with Happ on the hill this could easily be their best chance to get a win here in Fenway. You can bet we are on a very motivated team here tonight. HAPP is 11-2 against the run line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HAPP is 7-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.270. The Red Sox have lost 18 straight as a dog vs a lefty when they are off a game as a favorite and faced righties in each of their last three games. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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09-28-18 | Cardinals v. Cubs -156 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Chicago right-hander Kyle Hendricks (13-11, 3.49) has been a Dr.Jekyll Mr Hyde pitcher this season but he has been in top form for a while now and has allowed , two earned or less in his last seven trips to the hill. He is 2-0 against the Cards this season, and his team has won his L/7 starts against them overall, and he gets my support here in this critical opener in this series. Meanwhile, Wainwright, who is still feeling the effects of some injuries this season, and suffering something what I call jokingly Vampire anxiety syndrome asis evident by his 0-2 recored along with a 5.17 ERA in three day starts this season. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - good NL offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after scoring 2 runs or less are 33-95 L/5 seasons for a 73% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Chicago to win on the moneyline |
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09-26-18 | A's +101 v. Mariners | 9-3 | Win | 101 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Oakland’s Edwin Jackson (6-3, 3.18 ERA) has been in top form for a while as is evident by allowing two runs or less in four of his last five starts. Since last July he has permitted more than two runs only twice, with both coming against Texas. The last time he started against Seattle he allowed one run against them and matches up very vs their batting order. Oakland is 7-1 in his starts against division rivals and he once again looks like a viable pitcher to back in the spot play Jackson is 5-0 with a 1.30 ERA in five career starts against Seattle. meanwhile, former Cy Young award winner, Felix Heranadez continues to struggle and has not won since June 30, going 0-7 with a 6.14 ERA in his past 10 games. He's o my current fade list and gets the X marks the spot here tonight at home. ACKSON is 6-0 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record)JACKSON is 7-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. (Team's Record) Play on the As to win on the moneyline |
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09-25-18 | Braves v. Mets -144 | 7-3 | Loss | -144 | 3 h 3 m | Show | |
The Mets are a perfect 6-0 when their opponent's starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season which Toussaint has. NY METS are 9-1 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. SYNDERGAARD is 9-0 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (NY METS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings are 88-27 L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Mets to win |
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09-25-18 | Royals v. Reds -154 | 4-3 | Loss | -154 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Skoglund the Royals starter is winless in his L/8 outings and is fade material here today vs the Reds. I know the Reds struggled with their offence during their recent 10 game road trip, but here at home in the friendly confines of Great American ballpark I'm betting they rebound enough to notch a victory. Note: The Reds have averaged 4.9 rpg at home this season. Meanwhile, Harvey the Reds starting hurler despite of being highly inconsistent this season, owns a 5-2 record at home and stable 1.096 WHIP and gets my support in this spot play. Royals are 0-6 in Skoglunds last 6 starts.Reds are 4-1 in Harveys last 5 home starts. The Reds are 29-0 as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs. MLB Home teams (CINCINNATI) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more are 86-52 L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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09-23-18 | Rockies +114 v. Diamondbacks | 2-0 | Win | 114 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
Freeland the Rockies starter has not lost since Aug. 1 and owns a 7-1 record and 2.69 ERA in 12 trips to the hill since the All Star break.Meanwhile, Arizonas starter Godley has lost three straight and has allowed13 runs - 12 earned - and 16 hits over 12 2/3 innings of non quality work during that span for a ugly 9.23 ERA. FREELAND is 7-0 against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) GODLEY is 2-9 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) Rockies are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Rockies are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.Rockies are 4-1 in Freelands last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ARIZONA) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a very good starter (ERA 3.00 or less ) (NL), in September games are 10-36 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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09-22-18 | Giants v. Cardinals -165 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Wainwright turned back the clock with six shutout innings in his most recent start, cementing a spot in the end-of-season rotation. This could be his final start at Busch Stadium before his contract expires. I expect the Cards veteran hurler will be at his best today. He faces a strong looking rookie pitcher in Rodrigues, but the Cards have the edge here playing at home and with a superior batting order that is more consistent. Mike MIKE is 25-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better as the manager of ST LOUIS. ST LOUIS is 11-1 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. WAINWRIGHT is 14-3 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals have won 19 straight on the moneyline and 10 straight on the runline when Adam Wainwright starts as a 135-plus favorite in September or later. Play on the Cardinals to win on the monyeline |
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09-20-18 | Phillies v. Braves -142 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Atlanta salvaged the last game of their series vs the Cards yesterday with a 7-3 win and now have some momentum and confidence entering this tilt vs the Philadelphia Phillies. Now with the Phillies sending the slumping Velasquez to the hill the Braves have a edge. The Philly starter has been abysmal recently recording a 9.82 ERA with 16 hits allowed in 11 innings in three September starts and has lost all four starts against the Braves this season, posting a 7.41 ERA with 29 hits allowed in 17 innings of ugly work. Meanwhile, Atlantas starter Gausman has looked very good since coming over from Baltimore in a trade on July 31, as is evident by his solid 5-2 record in eight starts along with a stable 2.61 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. Braves are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 home starts.Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win. PHILADELPHIA is 5-11 against the money line in September games this season. The Phillies have lost 19 straight as a 125-plus dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss. Play on the. Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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09-19-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -133 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Price the BoSox starting hurler is in top form, and as always a dangerous opponent for all comers. But unfortunately he takes on a NY Yankees team in a place Yankee Stadium that has not beenkind to him, as is evident by allowing 8 runs in just 3.1 innings of work back in July and previous to that in 2016 and 2017 allowed 6 runs each time. Price has defintely struggled at Yankee Stadium since joining the Red Sox, going 0-5 with a 10.44 ERA in five starts . It must also be noted that active Yankee batters are hitting .307 and slugging .530 in their career against Price. Yes, he is a star hurler, but has been unable to show his light here in the new Bronx Zoo. Meanwhile Luis Severino after a tough stretch after the all star break is now getting his 2nd wind and has permitted two runs or less in three of his last five starts and gets my support tonight behind a top tier bullpen that will back him efficiently.The Yanks have won 15 of his L/17 starts at Yankee Stadium and 14-1 when he goes head to head with a southpaw hurler. Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Red Sox are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in New York. MLB Home teams when the opening money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.000 or less over his last 3 starts are 33-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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09-19-18 | Cardinals -103 v. Braves | 3-7 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
The Cards have now won 8 straight games at Atlanta and I see no reason for this streak to end now as they send out Flaherty to the mound.Flaherty in 26 starts had held opposition hitters to a .193 batting average on the season and gets my respect and backing here to continue his hot hand this afternoon vs a Braves team that has lost 14 of their L/18 home games. Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.Cardinals are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 17-5 in their last 22 road games.Cardinals are 14-5 in their last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.Cardinals are 19-7 in their last 26 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Cardinals are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series. Braves are 17-35 in their last 52 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.Braves are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a loss.Braves are 7-19 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 5-17 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Braves are 3-13 in their last 16 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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09-18-18 | Cardinals +128 v. Braves | 8-1 | Win | 128 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Cards enter this game against the Braves having owned this series here in Atlanta of late winning 7 straight meetings . Im betting Gomber (5-1, 3.78 ERA) the Cards starter who has seen his team win 5 of his L/6 road starts to be enfuego again tonight. Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter. I know Gomber is off a down effort, last time out, but overall he permitted just eight earned runs in his previous six starts and more than capable of bouncing back. Note: Atlanta has lost 17 of their L/23 games vs a winning team and have lost 9 of their L/12 home games overall. Cards have also cashed in 13 of their 23 as road dogs. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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09-18-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -128 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Happ has been one of the Yankees' top hurlers since his acquisition in late July from the Blue Jays. In eight starts for New York, Happ is 6-0 with a 2.70 ERA. More of the same top tier pitching action is on board here this afternoon vs the Red Sox. Meanwhile, Eovaldi the BoSox starter has seen his team lose his last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Yanks were off yesterday and are ready and fresh for a win here vs their long time rivals. Note: Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day.Red Sox are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in New York. The Red Sox have lost 17 straight as a dog vs a lefty when they are off a game as a favorite and faced righties in each of their last three games. HAPP is 29-7 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) is 29-13 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 28-9 against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 season. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (BOSTON) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a top-level team (62% or more ) playing a team with a winning record are 84-171 L/21 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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09-17-18 | Rockies +143 v. Dodgers | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Gray the Rockies starter hasn't lost since June 12 at Philadelphia which has seen him record a 14-start unbeaten streak. Meanwhile, Ryu the Dodgers starter tonight vs the visiting Rockies has lost back-to-back starts. Considering the current form of both pitchers, and the fact that the Dodgers are coming home off a road trip and on tired legs , after playing last night out in St.Louis, it will be an easy decision to recommend we wager on the Rockies. Note:RYU has lost his L/4 starts vs the Rockies. RYU is 0-7 against the money line in September games over the last few seasons. (Team's Record).RYU is 4-12 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)RYU is just 3-6 with a 5.77 ERA in nine career starts vs the Rockies . GRAY is 10-3 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record) MLB Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - on a streak where they have hit a home run in 15 consecutive games are just 18-33 L/21 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to won on the moneyline |
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09-16-18 | White Sox -115 v. Orioles | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
LUCAS GIOLITO (R) vs. DAVID HESS (R) BALTIMORE is 23-76 against the money line against right-handed starters this season.The White Sox have won 13 straight as a road favorite after a victory in which they drew one or fewer walks.
Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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09-16-18 | Blue Jays +205 v. Yankees | 3-2 | Win | 205 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
Lynn the Yankees hurler is an average at best pitching option and is just 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against the Blue Jays. He and Yankees team that is just 8-10 on the moneyline since Aug. 26 look to be viable fade material here today. The Yankees have lost 7 straight after a game in which they drew 5+ walks, which happened yesterday. TORONTO is 10-4 against the money line in road games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA 4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 152-102 L/21 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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09-11-18 | Dodgers v. Reds +165 | 1-3 | Win | 165 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R) Ryu the Dodgers starter is still not 100% and has made only 11 starts because of an ongoing problem with a groin injury that sidelined him from May 2 until Aug. 15. Ryu look completely out of sync last time out, giving up five runs (only one earned) and an alarming 10 hits in six innings of a 7-3 Dodgers loss to the New York Mets on Wednesday.In his current form he is suceptiavbleto be lit up. Dodgers are 2-5 in Ryus last 7 road starts. LA DODGERS are 12-16 against the money line against NL Central opponents this season. Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central. Reds are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. National League West.Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Dodgers have failed consistently against weak defences and pitching staffs. LA DODGERS are 4-13 against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 5 or more runs/game on the season this season.The Dodgers have lost 7 straight with Hyun Jin Ryu after August. Dodgers are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings. Road teams (LA DODGERS) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game. are just 62-87 L/5 seasons for a go against 59% conversion rate for bettors. Considering hr value here attached to this tilt, we will take the Reds in this spot to deliver a nice underdog ticket. Play on the CincinnatiReds to win on the moneyline |
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09-10-18 | White Sox +111 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
In five career outings against the Royals, Giolito the White Sox starter is 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA. He picked up his first win against Kansas City in 2017 and has two victories in three starts against the club in 2018 with his team winning all his outings. Junis the White Sox starter is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA in three career starts against the White Sox. He pitched well in his L/2 starts but has proven himself in the past to be less than consistent. White Sox are 5-0 in Giolitos last 5 road starts.White Sox are 7-0 in Giolitos last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. White Sox are 5-0 in Giolitos last 5 starts vs. Royals. Royals are 2-7 in Junis' last 9 home starts.Royals are 1-5 in Junis' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Royals are 0-6 in Junis' last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. LUCAS GIOLITO is 6-0 against the money line in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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09-10-18 | Brewers v. Cubs -133 | 3-2 | Loss | -133 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Two quality hurlers go here tonight for the visiting Brewer and host Cubs, but what is notable is that after pitching only one inning in a game that was rained out on Friday night in Washington, Lester is well rested and motivated as his team opens up a crucial three-game series against the Brewers at Wrigley Field. He threw six scoreless innings in an 8-0 win at Milwaukee on April 5.and gets the nod over Miley and the Brewers in this spot . Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts vs. Brewers. Cubs are 7-0 in Lesters last 7 starts with 7 or more days of rest.Cubs are 11-0 in Lesters last 11 Monday starts.Cubs are 7-1 in Lesters last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Cubs are 25-5 in Lesters last 30 starts during . Brewers are just 1-5 L/6 meetings in Chicago. CHICAGO CUBS are 12-4 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season. (Brewers starter Miley owns a 2.12 ERA on the season) The Cubs have won 16 straight on the moneyline when Jon Lester starts as a favorite and he gave up no walks in his last start. MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - good offensive team (4.7 or moreruns/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better ) (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing are 84-43 L/21 seasons for a 66% long term conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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09-09-18 | Indians -164 v. Blue Jays | 2-6 | Loss | -164 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Clevinger the Indians stater worked at least six innings in each of his last four starts while permitting a total of four earned runs in that period, and gets my support here vs a very inconsistent Toronto Blue Jays team that is just playing out the string. The Cleveland bats are humming and have produced 9 runs in 3 of their L/5 games 4 of them wins. Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series. The Blue Jays have lost 20 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a 130-plus dog when they are off a loss in which they held the league, which happened yesterday. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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09-08-18 | Phillies v. Mets -142 | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
The Mets lost last night, but have proven resilient of late winning 11 of their L/14 after defeat. NY Mets starter Syndergaard pitched a gem last time out , allowing the San Francisco Giants to one run and two hits with 11 strikeouts in his first career complete game. He has gone six straight starts spanning 40 innings without allowing a home run and is my pitching choice tonight vs the Philadelphia Phillies and Z. Eflin who looks exhausted coming into this start as is evident by allowing 14 runs (10 earned) and 25 hits along the way in his L/3 starts spanning just 13 2/3 innings of ugly work. Phillies are 0-4 in Eflins last 4 road starts.Phillies are 0-6 in Eflins last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Mets are 5-0 in Syndergaards last 5 home starts New York has won 20 of its last 26 series against Philadelphia. The Mets are 19-1 L/20 as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which they used five-plus pitchers and it is post All-Star break. The only loss came 2-1 with hard luck super star pitcher DeGrom on the hill. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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09-07-18 | Astros -105 v. Red Sox | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
Houston has played their best baseball on the road this season, as is evident by a 47-21 record away from home. They have also been hard to stop when facing LHP like Price the BoSox top tier hurler as is evident by a 20-6 record against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season. Price might be in top form, and the BoSox hitters and are also heating up but the Astros pitching staff on the whole including the bullpen has been on fire and have allowed a total 12 runs in their L/6 games and deserve our respect and backing here on the road in their current form. Note:Teams that have allowed less than six total runs like Houston in their last three games against opponents who have scored more than 20 runs in their last three games like Boston are 97-76 showing us that hot pitching trumps hot hitting a majority of the time. With that said, lets take the Astros to deliver the cash. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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09-07-18 | Padres v. Reds -151 | 6-12 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Reds usually don't inspire many bettors, but tonight they have an edge vs visiting San Diego, behind their starter DeSclafani who is the Reds most consistent pitcher . The right-hander has a stingy 2.75 ERA in his last 36 innings of work, and he lasted at least six innings in five consecutive starts until he had a rocky outing last time out.DeScalfani however is a bounce back type hurler who has helped the Reds win 10 of the 16 games he's started and gets my support here tonight. DESCLAFANI is 18-7 against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Rec SAN DIEGO is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons. The Reds have won 28 straight as a home 135-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs. MLB team (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against an average starting pitcher (ER 4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start are 13-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline |
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09-06-18 | Braves v. Diamondbacks -162 | 7-6 | Loss | -162 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Greinke Arizona's starter today vs the Braves today had one of his best outings of the season in the first series, when he gave up four hits in 7 2/3 innings of a 3-0 victory at Sun Trust Field on July 14. He struck out seven without a walk and according to my power rankings matches ups well vs this Braves side. Greinke won his only start against the Braves last season and Is 4-1 with a 2.56 ERA in nine career starts.He is 6-3 with a 2.16 ERA in 14 home starts this season after going 13-1 at Chase Field in 2017 and gets my support tonight. The Diamondbacks have won 27 straight times as a 120+ home favorite off a home game when their starter went more than seven innings and struck out at least five in his last start and in the L/6 games in this trend set has won by a combined 45-9 count. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP 1.100 or less over his last 10 games are 38-5 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Arizona to win on the moneyline |
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09-05-18 | Yankees v. A's +142 | 2-8 | Win | 142 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R) Oakland starter Fiers, has seen the A's go unbeaten in his starts since being acquired from Detroit last month. He's 3-0, with Oakland with his team going 5-0 with the new staff ace on the mound. I'm recommending we back him to help us convert this ticket into a profitable outcome tonight vs the Yankees.Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. FIERS is 8-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)FIERS is 7-0 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record) NY YANKEES are 7-12 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. Athletics are 24-9 in their last 33 home games. Yankees are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Oakland.The Athletics have won 22 straight on the moneyline after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break, with 12 of those victories coming this season. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY YANKEES) - below average AL hitting team (AVG .265 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games are 23-39 L/5 seasons for a 63% go against conversion rate for bettors. |
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09-05-18 | Cardinals +117 v. Nationals | 7-6 | Win | 117 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Mikolas' the cards starter's unbeaten streak ended at 10 starts last timeout, despite permitting just two runs over five innings. In those 10 tilts he allowed fewer than three runs in seven games and is a viable pitcher to back in the underdog role here tonight vs the Washington Nationals. ROARK the Nationals tarting hurler is 2-8 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)ROARK is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.16 and a WHIP of 1.789. Cardinals are 4-0 in Mikolas' last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Cardinals are 7-0 in Mikolas' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.Cardinals are 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 6-1 in Mikolas' last 7 starts.Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 road games.Cardinals are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series. Cardinals are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Nationals are 5-14 in Roarks last 19 starts with 4 days of rest.Nationals are 2-6 in Roarks last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Nationals are 2-8 in Roarks last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Nationals are 1-5 in Roarks last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are a bankroll expanding 80-38 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB Home teams (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 38-90 L/5 seasons for. go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-18 | Mets +215 v. Dodgers | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Jason Vargas the Mets starter in top form and 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA over his last four starts. With the Mets as a team suddenly playing better, Vargas looks like a viable pitcher to back in the underdog role. Meanwhile, the LA Dodgers send out Hill (6-5, 3.59) a pitcher that has gone against the Mets seven times in his career, with five of those as a starter. He however is just 1-2 against New York with a nasty looking 7.83 ERA over 23 innings of ugly work. The Mets have won 10 straight as a road 170+ dog when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than two on the season and it is post All-Star break and have won 3 times this season under those perimeters by multiple runs. CALLAWAY is 8-3 against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 as the manager of NY METS. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-18 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -165 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Rookie pitcher Lucchesi, the Padres starter hoas shown himself to be equality hurler this far and sports a 3.59 ERA in 21 starts, However he has not matched up well vs Arizona as his last two losses have come against the Diamondbacks. He has a less than pretty 0-4 record along with a bloated 7.71 ERA in four starts, two at home and two on the road. Arizona has five homers and 16 runs off him in 18 2/3 innings. Today the kid is fade material here in Arizona. Meanwhile, Ray the Dbacks starter is a inconsistent commodity on the mound , but in his last two starts has allowed a total of 2 ERs , 1 in each game. RAY is 15-2 against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Yes, San Diego has been playing well of late but it must be noted that they are just 6-21 against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. The Diamondbacks have won 13 straight as a favorite in the last game of a series after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ARIZONA) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings are 50-9 L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Arizona to win on the moneyline |
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09-04-18 | Red Sox -126 v. Braves | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. SEAN NEWCOMB (L) The former Cy Young Award winner Porcello the BoSox starter today has not pitched very well of late, but an interleague start could be just what the doctor ordered for his recent ills.Porcello has also pitched much better on the road than at home this season, going 9-3 with a 3.88 ERA compared with 6-4 with a 4.74 ERA at Fenway. ParRed Sox are 5-0 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. National League East.Red Sox are 12-0 in Porcellos last 12 interleague starts.Red Sox are 6-2 in Porcellos last 8 road starts.Red Sox are 19-7 in Porcellos last 26 starts on grass.Red Sox are 22-9 in Porcellos last 31 starts during game 2 of a series.Red Sox are 9-4 in Porcellos last 13 starts.BOSTON is 28-7 against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Newcombe the Braves starter is also struggling, asa evident by having allowed five or more runs in three of his last four trips to the hill including an interleague loss to Tampa Bay last time out.Newcomb had a 6.35 ERA in August. Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 interleague games vs. a team with a winning recordBraves are 1-4 in Newcombs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Braves are 0-4 in Newcombs last 4 starts vs. American League East.Braves are 0-4 in Newcombs last 4 interleague starts. ATLANTA is 6-21 L/27 against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs/game on the season. Red Sox are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.Red Sox are 26-9 in the last 35 meetings. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or more ) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or better ), after scoring 2 runs or less are 33-94 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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09-02-18 | Mariners v. A's -130 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Hernandez (8-12, 5.49 ERA) is having a down season and has faced todays opponent the A's four times already this season and lost three of them. Meanwhile, Jackson the as starter has started four games in his career against the Mariners and won all four, compiling a 1.26 ERA in the process.Jackson lost last time out, but I'm betting he bounces back vs a team he matches up well against. JACKSON is 6-0 against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) JACKSON is 9-1 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. (Team's Record)JACKSON is 6-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 29-12 against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season The third-place Mariners took a nerve racking , 8-7 victory Saturday night vs the As, but now I expect them to bounce back and notch a victory. Note:The Athletics have won 21 straight on the moneyline after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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09-01-18 | Rockies -137 v. Padres | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
The Rockies will be starting right-hander Jon Gray (10-7, 4.67 ERA) to the mound Saturday night against Padres' left-hander Robbie Erlin (3-4, 3.69). Gray had a no-decision last Monday in Colorado's 10-7, interleague loss to the Angels in Anaheim. that ended a streak of nine straight victories by the Rockies in games started by Gray dating back to June 22. Gray was 4-0 with a 3.02 ERA in those starts. Gray has had alot success when pitching against the Fathers. He is 7-3 with a 2.67 ERA in 14 career starts against the Padres, and is 3-1 this season along with a stable 3.33 ERA in four starts vs SD. The Padres have been playing well of late, and are on a 4 game win streak, but have proven disappointing when looking like they are about to go on a roll. SAN DIEGO is 4-21 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. The Rockies have won 16 in a row as as a opening line 140+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four games. The Rockies have averaged more than 8 rpg and won by an average of more than 5 rpg. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (COLORADO) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (.350 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or better, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 92-34 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-29-18 | Tigers v. Royals -106 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 2 h 32 m | Show | |
MICHAEL FULMER (R) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L Duffy (7-11, 4.85 ERA) made a quick return from the disabled list after dealing with shoulder tendinitis. Duffy's fastball velocity returned to the usual 93-95 MPH range after dipping toward 90 in his previous outing and he is ready to roll over a team that might be even worse than his own. He also has revenge on board, for two losses he suffered to the Tigers earlier this season. FULMER Motowns stater is 8-20 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Fulmerhas lost his L/2 starts going opposite Duffy and KC. MLBHome favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.50 or more over his last 3 starts are 57-16 L/21 seasons. Play on KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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08-29-18 | A's v. Astros -159 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) Oakland squeaked out 4-3 win in game 2 of this series, yesterday, but Im betting on a now healthy Houston team rebounding in a big way here this afternoon. The Athletics have lost 19 straight in the last game of a series as a 170+ opening line dog after a game in which they used five-plus pitchers. Look for a explosive Astros batting order to take advantage of the As Trevor Cahill, a hurler who has struggled away from home this season, as is evident by his bloated 6.92 road ERA in eight starts , as he has allowed 30 ERs in 39 innings of work. Meanwhile, the Astros are 7-1 in Keuchels their starters last 8 home starts vs. Athletics. HOUSTON is 15-2 against the money line after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals this season. MLB team (OAKLAND) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are just 22-44 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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08-28-18 | Mariners -121 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -121 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
The Mariners are 4 1/2 games behind the Athletics in the race for the second AL wild card and motivated to keep winning. Meanwhile, the Padres are off being swept by the Dodgers on the weekend and have now lost 8 of their L/10 and look like they have very little fight in them at the moment.MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - after being swept on the road in a 3 game series by a division rival are 12-35 :/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Hernandez will make his second start since returning to the rotation after a brief stint in the bullpenHernandez is 6-3 with a 2.90 ERA in 12 career starts against San Diego.HERNANDEZ is 15-4 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Nix the Padres starter after a winning MLB debut allowed a total of eight runs and 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings over his next two trips to the hill and no longer looks as formidable as he did in that first game, and is fade material here in this spot. Padres are 5-22 in their last 27 home games.Padres are 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. SAN DIEGO is 1-11 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.SAN DIEGO is 3-16 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.SAN DIEGO is 9-32 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.SAN DIEGO is 3-15 against the money line in home games after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandezs last 5 starts with 7 or more days of rest.Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.Mariners are 18-6 in their last 24 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 vs. American League West.Padres are 17-38 in their last 55 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Padres are 16-39 in their last 55 interleague games.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 games following a loss.Padres are 8-20 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Padres are 10-25 in their last 35 interleague home games. The Mariners are 20-1 on the moneyline as a 135-plus favorite off a road game vs a team that has lost at least their last two games. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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08-28-18 | A's +197 v. Astros | 4-3 | Win | 197 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
The As started strong vs the Astros in game 1 of this series, and than fell apart and lost 11-4. But the As in the past have proven resilient in a rebound mode, going 14-3 after a loss, and 25-6 after allowing 5 runs or more. Athletics are also 20-8 in their last 28 during game 2 of a series. Jackson the As starter struggled through 4 1/3 innings last time out, yielding four runs on seven hits vs. the Rangers on Wednesday. Before that he had a stellar August garnering a stingy 2.35 ERA on the month.Morton the Astros starter is off one of his worst starts of the season, tying a season high in earned runs (six) against the Mariners on Wednesday. Astros are 1-5 in Mortons last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. .Athletics are 5-0 in Jacksons last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Jacksons last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.Athletics are 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts.Athletics are 5-1 in Jacksons last 6 starts on grass.Athletics are 4-1 in Jacksons last 5 road starts. OAKLAND is 5-0 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% this season.HOUSTON is 2-7 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season this season. The Athletics have won 20 straight on the moneyline after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break. The Astros have lost 7 straight on the moneyline when they are off a home game and they are a 140+ favorite over a divisional opponent that is behind them in the standings and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-27-18 | A's +173 v. Astros | 4-11 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. GERRIT COLE (R) Cole despite of a impressive overall record has worked at least seven innings only once of his last 11 starts after opening the season with five consecutive 7+ inning appearances. The Astros are 1-4 in his last five starts and he is susceptible to a down effort vs a top tier team. Meanwhile, Anderson the As starter has produced consecutive scoreless starts, allowing six hits and one walk with eight strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners and the Texas Rangers. He is 1-0 with a 0.68 ERA this month and gets my backing as a solid value based underdog in this spot. Astros are 0-4 in Coles last 4 starts vs. American League West.COLE is 3-11 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) HOUSTON is 1-7 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. OAKLAND s 27-8 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season.HOUSTON is 8-17 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. Athletics are 20-8 in their last 28 road games.Oakland is 7-0-1 in its last eight series.The Athletics have won 6 straight as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings. The Athletics have also won 12 straight on the moneyline on the road after they hit multiple home runs and it is post All-Star break. MLB Home teams (HOUSTON) - off 4 straight wins vs. division rivals, starting a pitcher who gave up 2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 17-36 L/5 seasons for a go against 67% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-27-18 | Nationals v. Phillies +120 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R) Strasburg makes his second start since returning from the DL, after allowing five runs in four innings Wednesday against the Phillies in D.C. Strasburg threw 84 pitches in that game and blamed a lack of endurance for a velocity dip in the fourth .With that said, I Still think the righty needs a another start or two before he gets back into a groove which makes him and his team susceptible to defeat here in this spot.I know his pitching opponent from the Phillies Eflin has been struggling of late, but the inconsistent bats of the Nats are just 7-19 L/26 vs a right handed starter this season . Yes, they blasted out 15 runs yesterday in a shutout win vs the lowly Mets, but prior to that were shutout 3 straight times. Feast or famine for Washington. I'm taking famine here and recommending we back a Phillies team that is 41-22 at home this season. Also Eflin has pitched his best at home where he owns a 6-1 record along with a 3.51 ERA at home this season, in 8 starts. Nationals are 1-5 in Strasburgs last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.Phillies are 11-4 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Nationals are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia. The Phillies have won 15 straight on the moneyline post All-Star break in the first game of a series with no rest off a road game when facing a divisional opponent with fewer wins. The L/13 wins were by multiple runs. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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08-26-18 | Astros -118 v. Angels | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
FRAMBER VALDEZ (L) vs. FELIX PENA (R) The Astros are as healthy as they have been a while, and are dangerous opponents to any MLB no matter who goes to the hill from they're pitching rotation. Meanwhile,Pean the Angels starter who was converted to a starter earlier this season, is winless in his last eight starts, and is fade material again in this spot. Im betting on the Astros getting this game and sweeping the series. HOUSTON is 19-4 against the money line in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season. HOUSTON is 29-8 against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. ANGELS are 4-17 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season this season. The Astros have gone 17-5 in 22 games in California this season – including 6-2 against the Angels. The Astros have won 21 straight on the moneyline as a 130-plus road favorite when facing a team they just beat by five-plus runs, with 20 of those games coming by multiple runs. Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline |
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08-26-18 | White Sox -111 v. Tigers | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Detroit right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (6-5, 4.18 ERA),has not done well against Chicago in three starts this season (0-1, 9.42) and is fade material here in this spot. Meanwhile, his Pale Hose pitching opponent, Kopech has 174 strikeouts in 128 1/3 innings between Triple-A and the majors and when he's in the zone, can be over powering to say the least. Against a struggling Motown offence he should do just fine. The Tigers have lost 21 straight on the moneyline as a home dog after a game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. CHI WHITE SOX are 8-2 against the money line in road games in August games this season. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA 4.50 or more), after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games are 61-33 L/21 seasons for a long term 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-25-18 | Cardinals v. Rockies -141 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
JOHN GANT (R) vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) Marquez the Rockies stater today vs the Cards is in very good form as he goes for his third straight victory after allowing three runs and eight hits over 14 innings in victories vs Houston and Atlanta.Marquez has made two career starts against St. Louis and cashed both times permitted three runs and 12 hits over 10 2/3 innings of quality work. Yes, I know how hot St.Louis is but I'm betting they show us their not invincieble and take it on the chin here today vs Marquez and company. Cards starter Gant has seen his team go 3-8 in his last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies have won 15 straight on the moneyline as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has won at least their last four games. ( The Cards have won the first 4 games of their current 6 game road trip) COLORADO is 26-10 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season and won have also cashed in 19 of their L/24 under the same perimeters . MLB team (ST LOUIS) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%) are just 20-42 L/5 seasons for a go against 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-24-18 | A's -129 v. Twins | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R) Manaea is his teams wins leader, and despite of down effort last time out, is a prime candidate to bounce back. As a matter of fact Manea has not lost back to back games since May and must be respected here a short road favorite. MANAEA is 10-2 against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) The Athletics own a four-game lead over AL West-rival Seattle for the wild-card spot but fell behind 1 1/2 games to division-leading Houston with a 6-4 loss on Thursday and are now desperate for a win and with that said I expect to see them very focused and motivated here today vs the Twins. MINNESOTA is 7-23 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.OAKLAND is 24-7 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 15-2 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. The Athletics. have won 14 straight on the moneyline as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener which happened in last nights 6-4 loss to the Twins. Twelve of the 14 straight wins came by multiple runs. As 6.36 Opp 2.64 Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-23-18 | Braves -173 v. Marlins | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
SEAN NEWCOMB (L) vs. Newcombe the Braves starter has pitched his best baseball on the road this season, where he owns a 6-3 record and stable 3.39 ERA in 13 starts. He won his last trip to the mound on the road in Washington, and once again looks like a viable hurler to back here vs the light hitting Marlins. NEWCOMB has won his L/3 efforts vs the Marlins allowing just 5 runs in 18 innings of quality work. .NEWCOMB is 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record) Interesting anomaly in play today...MIAMI is 0-12 against the money line when playing on Thursday this season. ATLANTA is 17-4 against the money line vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. The Braves have won 17 in a row on the moneyline as a 135+ road favorite vs a righty when they won the last three times they faced a righty with 16 of those games coming by multiple runs. Average margin of victory came by 4.65 rpg. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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08-22-18 | Indians v. Red Sox +104 | 4-10 | Win | 104 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. BRIAN JOHNSON (L) Carrasco is having a good season, but is just 1-2 with a 6.83 ERA in seven games -- five starts -- lifetime against the Red Sox, 0-1 in four games -- three starts -- at Fenway.My own power ranking matchup stats also say he does not matchup particularly well against an explosive BoSox batting order, that will be primed to bounce back after last nights 6-3 home loss to this same Cleveland team. MeanwhileJohnson his pitching opponent has won all three starts in August and getting good run support, and will my support here tonight as well. JOHNSON is 12-2 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BOSTON is 71-27 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. The Red Sox have won 16 straight on the moneyline after a game as a home favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is not a series opener. MLB team (CLEVELAND) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are just 56-91 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-22-18 | Twins v. White Sox +101 | 3-7 | Win | 101 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L) The White Sox enter this game playing some good baseball of late winning 5 of their L/7 overall. With Rodon their starting pitcher currently in top tier form, as is evident by garnering a 1.23 ERA and 3 straight wins , Im betting the Pale Hose have the edge vs a poor travelling Minnesota Twins teams with a 22-39 against the money line record road games this season. RODON is 9-1 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest since 1997. (Team's Record) White Sox are 5-1 in Rodons last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. MINNESOTA is 8918 against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season this season. Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. The White Sox have won 13 straight on the moneyline as a favorite off a home game in which their starter pitched three or fewer innings and it is post All-Star break. MLB Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a terrible OBP (.310 or worse) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.300 or less ) -AL, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 168-138 L/5 seasons for a 55% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-21-18 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -161 | 5-2 | Loss | -161 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
DANIEL PONCEDELEON (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L) After missing three months with a strained groin, Ryu (3-0, 1.77)the Dodgers starter tonight vs the Cards showed us all how good he can be when healthy with six scoreless innings against the Giants on Wednesday. He owns an extremely solid 0.92 WHIP in three career games against the Cardinals and gets my support here tonight. Dodgers are 8-2 in Ryus last 10 home starts. Poncedeleon is being inserted into the rotation in place of Luke Weaver, who has been moved to the bullpen after losing four of his past five decisions. This hurler looks solid in the stats sheet but according to my cross reference pitcher vs Batting order power rankings looks to be at a disadvantage here this evening despite of LAs hitters never having faced him before. Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Cardinals have lost 23 straight on the moneyline as a road 130-plus dog when playing a team that has a worse record and it is post All-Star break and not a series opener.The Cardinals have lost 12 of 13 on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game in which they hit at least one home run which happened last night in a 5-3 9th inning win. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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08-21-18 | Indians v. Red Sox -142 | 6-3 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R) The power pitching righty looks to continue his dominance at Fenway, where he won his first two starts for the Red Sox while allowing no runs over 15 innings. Eovaldi is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his career against Cleveland and looks like a strong candidate for a BoSox victory in this spot. Meanwhile,Cleveland’s starter Shane Bieber (6-2, 4.37 ERA) has not performed well on the road as is evident by allowing three or four runs in three of his last four road starts. The kids really not very effective at the moment, and telegraphs his pitches, making everything seem like a beach ball crossing the plate for opposing batters, as is evident by opponents slugging .540 vs his fast ball. Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Indians have lost 21 of their L/22 as a road dog after they had a comeback win and it is post All-Star break. BOSTON is 23-4 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season and is 33-8 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.BOSTON is 71-25 against the money line against right-handed starters this seasonBOSTON is 18-3 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-21-18 | Phillies v. Nationals -131 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
VINCENT VELASQUEZ (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) After struggling for more than a month, Roark the Nats starter tonight vs the Phillies has become one of the teams most consistent starters . In his last five starts he has posted a minsucle 1.77 ERA with 28 strikeouts and just five walks and gone a perfect 5-0. Meanwhile,Phillies Right-hander Vince Velasquez (8-9, 4.13) is in a bit of a funk of late, lasting just four innings in a tilt vs Arizona, and then just 2.1 innings last Wednesday vs. Boston in allowing three runs and walking four. I really like Roarkes current form, and Im expecting the Nats to stand tall here tonight and garner the victory. Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.Phillies are 0-5 in Velasquez’s last 5 road starts. The Phillies have lost 18 in a row as a 125-plus dog off a home game in the first game of a series when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss. Phillies are 22-53 in their last 75 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.MLB Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - team with a poor SLG (.400 or less) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL are 35-10 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline |
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08-20-18 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -155 | 5-3 | Loss | -155 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
Dodgers - A. Wood -L vs Cardinals - A. Gomber -L Wood has held four straight opponents to two or fewer runs and in his current form looks like a very viable pitcher to back. Meanwhile, Gomber, his pitching opponent despite of doing well in limited major league baseball work has allowed opponents a .246 batting average on the road compared to a .188 at home and looks more susceptible to being lit up as a visitor. Dodgers are 8-1 in Woods last 9 starts vs. National League Central.Dodgers are 11-2 in Woods last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 17-4 in Woods last 21 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series. The Cardinals have lost 14 straight on the moneyline as a road dog after a game as a home favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits with 13 of the 14 games coming by multiple runs. The Cardinals have lost 11 straight on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game in which they hit at least one home run which happened yesterday. MLB team (ST LOUIS) - having won 18 or more of their last 25 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are 53-89 L/5 seasons for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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08-20-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -162 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R) Toronto has owned Baltimore this season winning 9 of their 10 meetings including all 7 here in Toronto. I'm betting the Jays will notch another victory here tonight behind their starting pitcher ESTRADA who is 8-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.146 in 15 starts with his team winning 11 of those15 games. Estrada has been in good form registering a 0.895 WHIP in his L/3 trips to hill, allowing just 12 hits in the process, 4 of which were unfortunate long balls. Blue Jays are 5-0 in Estradas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Jays are 7-0 in Estradas last 7 home starts vs. Orioles.Blue Jays are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Meanwhile, the Orioles are 0-5 in their starters Cashners last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Orioles are 18-60 in their last 78 road games. BALTIMORE is 8-24 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.BALTIMORE is 7-26 (against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. The Blue Jays have won 20 straight on the moneyline as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and it is post All-Star break.The Orioles are 3-20 L/23 vs the moneyline as a dog with no rest in the first game of a series when they are off a road game and facing a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline |
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08-18-18 | Rockies +145 v. Braves | 5-3 | Win | 145 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
ANTONIO SENZATELA (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R) Foltynewicz, the Braves starter is 0-4 lifetime with a 5.14 ERA against Colorado in five starts and two relief appearances. His team lost all 5 appearances He went 0-2 with a 9.72 ERA against Colorado last season and according to my power rankings does not matchup well vs the Rockies 9. Meanwhile, COLORADO is 24-10 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season and have value here on the moneyline vs a team that they beat 11-5 yesterday for their 7th win and 8 games.Colorados Manager BLACK is 15-5 against the money line in road games after scoring 8 runs or more as the manager of COLORADO. Meanwhile, Colorado's stater Senzatela, pitched a simulated game on Tuesday in Houston, is 4-3 with a 4.56 ERA in 15 overall appearances this year after going 10-5 with a 4.68 ERA in 20 starts and 16 relief appearances a season ago as a rookie. He a quality young pitcher who could easily help his team to the promised last here today vs the Braves in Atlanta. Braves are 0-5 in Foltynewiczs last 5 starts vs. National League West.Rockies are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-17-18 | Mets v. Phillies -163 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R) The Mets embarrassed the Phillies at home in their first game of the double header yesterday putting 26 runs on board, and then the 2nd game saw the Phillies bounce back with a 9-6 win, and now Im betting on the Phillies getting it done here in what could easily be a pitchers duel with Syndergaard and Nola on the hill with Nola according to my power rankings having the edge here at home where he has been unbeatable this season. NOLA is 11-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record) NOLA is 11-0 (against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record) NOLA is 14-1 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season . PHILADELPHIA is also 13-2 against the money line in home games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse this season. PHILADELPHIA is 16-3 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The Mets have lost 26 straight on the moneyline as a road dog of more than 135 after a game as a road dog in which they left 18+ men on base and it is post All-Star break, which happened in the night cap. MLB favorites with a money line of -150 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 3.70) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 69-17 L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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08-16-18 | Tigers v. Twins -150 | 8-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R) Detroit enters this tilt against Minnesota hitting only .228 on the road this season while averaging just 3.3 rpg. Meanwhile, Minnesota does their best work at home offensively where they are hitting at a solid .261 clip and averaging 4.7 rpg and own a viable 33-23 record. Both of todays pitchers are far from in solid form, but the difference maker will come via the home teams ability to put runs on the board as compared to their opponents consistent lack of run support for their pitchers. MINNESOTA is 11-1 against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season.MINNESOTA is 18-3 against the money line in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. DETROIT is 6-26 against the money line in road games in night games this season.DETROIT is 15-40 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Tigers have lost 18 straight on the moneyline after the All-Star break in the first game of a series with no rest when they are off a game as a dog and facing a divisional opponent with more wins.The Tigers have also lost 15 straight on the moneyline by multiple runs in the first game of a series with no rest when they lost by one run in their starter's last start and it is post All-Star break losing by an average of 3.4 rpg. MLB team (DETROIT) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 6.20 or worse (AL), with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season are 13-34 L/21 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Minnesota Twins to win on the moneyline |
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08-15-18 | Rockies +187 v. Astros | 1-12 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-4, 3.94 ERA) vs. Astros RH Gerrit Cole (10-5, 2.75) The Rockies have chance for a two game interleague road sweep vs a Astros team in a vicious slump. The Astros have lost 5 straight overall and 9 straight at home and look to be fade material vs a Colorado team playing great ball at the moment winning 4 straight while allowing an average 2.5 rpg. Anderson the Rockies starter has lost just one of his last six trips to the hill . The southpaw hurler took a no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers in his last appearance after giving up just one run and four hits over six innings. Anderson in his one career start against Houston on July 24, up two runs - one earned - and three hits over 7 1/3 innings of quality work and matches up well vs the Astros 9.HOUSTON is 9-14 against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
Astros are 1-4 in Coles last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies are a perfect 6-0 L/6 as a road 170+ underdog vs a team that has lost at least their last four games. Some of the pitchers that the Rockies beat were: Kershaw, Darvish, Syndergaard, and Verlander so Cole starting for the Astros does not mean a whole a lot. Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games.Rockies are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.HOUSTON is 27-27 with dime player supporters losing in excess of 31000.00 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-15-18 | Indians -165 v. Reds | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Indians RH Shane Bieber (6-2, 4.24 ERA) vs. Reds RH Robert Stephenson (0-1, 6.75) Bieber the Tribes starter tonight vs the Reds, haas looked very good recently as is evident by his last two starts allowing just 2 ERs runs over 12 innings of quality work. Bieber has done his best work on the road this season where he has garnered 2-0 record along with a 3.82 ERA in five road starts. Im betting the Indians have the edge with Bieber. facing the Reds Stephensen. Reds are 1-7 in Stephensons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Cincinnati won the first two games against the Indians this season but have since been outscored 37-8 in the last three contests in the Battle of Ohio. More of the same one side action looks to be on tonights agenda. Reds are 4-17 in their last 21 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Reds are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.Indians are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Cincinnati CLEVELAND is 52-17 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Reds have lost 27 straight on the moneyline as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times, which happened last night in their 8-1 loss to the Tribe. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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08-15-18 | Red Sox -123 v. Phillies | 4-7 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.74 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Vince Velasquez (8-9, 3.98) Bostons on fire and are beating the heck out of all comers, and always finding new ways to win, as has been the case in 14 of their L/16 games overall, which puts them at 52 games over .500. Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.74 ERA) has shown an ability to bounce back in a big way after a rough outing which happened vs lowly Baltimore, as team he may have had problems getting up for. Prior that down effort, he owned the Twins and Yankees It must be noted that Eovaldi has not permitted more than one run after his last three starts where he allowed at least two runs , which happened against the Orioles last time out. This guy has some of the most electric stuff in all of MLB, and must be respected here as a short favorite. Here against a slumping Philadelphia offence scoring just 4 runs in 4 games, he should have a terrific outing and help us garner a wining ticket.Note: Eovoldi is backed by the 4th best bullpen via FIP stats. VELASQUEZ the Phillies starter tonight is 0-10 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Phillies are 8-20 in Velasquezs last 28 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Red Sox are 28-9 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season and is 19-6 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Red Sox are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - below average NL hitting team (AVG .255 or less ) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are along term bad bet going 23-64 L/21 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-14-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers +162 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Diamondbacks LH Patrick Corbin (9-4, 3.15 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Yovani Gallardo (7-1, 6.11) The Rangers have won 11 of their last 17 and scored 11 or more runs six times during that positive span. I know Corbin the Backs starter is in top form, but Texas in their current form can light up the best of pitching staffs and today I'm betting on them doing exactly that. Meanwhile, the Rangers go with the red hot Yovani Gallardo who is 7-1 on the season, thanks to getting a whopping 9.78 per game in run support. Gallardo has also had a great deal of success in his long career vs the Backs garnering a 7-2 record and a stingy 2.37 ERA, and gets my support here in this spot today as a hefty dog. Rangers are 7-0 in Gallardos last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rangers are 6-0 in Gallardos last 6 home starts.Rangers are 16-5 in their last 21 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Diamondbacks are 5-16 in their last 21 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.Diamondbacks are 3-8 in the last 11 meetings in Texas.GALLARDO is 8-0 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record).GALLARDO is 16-4 against the money line when the total is 10 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 38-16 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline . |
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08-13-18 | Indians -158 v. Reds | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Indians RH Mike Clevinger (7-7, 3.38 ERA) vs. Reds RH Homer Bailey (1-9, 6.19) Cincinnati Reds starter BAILEY is 1-13 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.Team's Record) and is 2-15 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) BAILEY is 1-10 against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) and is 0-9 against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record) CLEVELAND is 50-17 against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Reds are 9-23 in their last 32 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The Reds have lost 26 straight on the moneyline as a dog of more than 145 after a game as a home dog in which they did not hit a home run and struck out more than six times. Cleveland has won 5 of the L/ 6meetings in this series in Cincinnati and get the nod here again. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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08-12-18 | A's +108 v. Angels | 8-7 | Win | 108 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (4-2, 3.12 ERA) vs. Angels RH Taylor Cole (0-2, 1.59) Cahill the As starter has won three consecutive starts and gone unbeaten in eight straight and has done well against the Angels in his career, going 5-3 with a 2.07 ERA in 10 starts and one relief appearance. He will face a relief pitcher in Taylor Cole who is making his first MLB start. Athletics are 5-0 in Cahills last 5 starts.Angels are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series.Angels are 16-36 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Angels are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Angels are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starterOAKLAND is 35-18 against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season OAKLAND is 13-3 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.LA ANGELS are 8-23 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better this season. Athletics have won 17 straight on the moneyline as a favorite in the last game of a series after a road win in which they had 12+ hits. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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08-12-18 | Phillies -109 v. Padres | 3-9 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Phillies RH Jake Arrieta (9-6, 3.11 ERA) vs. Padres LH Joey Lucchesi (5-6, 3.70) Arrieta enters this tilt unbeaten in seven starts. He did not get the win last time out because his teams bull pen blew a two-run lead after he threw eight scoreless innings. Arrietta is 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA since the beginning of July and has not allowed more than three runs six times over that span. I like Arrieta against any pitcher the Padres trot out here this afternoon. SAN DIEGO is 13-33 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. SAN DIEGO is 7-27 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.. Padres are 4-17 in their last 21 home games. The Phillies have won 15 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a favorite after a game in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline |
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08-11-18 | Dodgers v. Rockies +127 | 2-3 | Win | 127 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Rockies left-hander starter Freeland is 7-2 with a 2.81 ERA in 10 starts at Coors Field this season and is a viable underdog pitcher to back here vs the Dodgers. FREELAND is 8-2 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Rockies are 4-0 in Freelands last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 5-0 in Freelands last 5 home starts.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts.Rockies are 6-1 in Freelands last 7 starts on grass.Rockies are 5-1 in Freelands last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rockies are 5-1 in Freelands last 6 starts with 4 days of rest. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Buehler does not have a decision against the Rockies in six appearances over the past two seasons (two starts) but has garnered a hefty 5.71 ERA against Colorado in 17 1/3 innings of work and is fade material , as he could be in a huge letdown situation after defeating Houston in his last effort. MLB Road teams (LA DODGERS) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 55-112 L/21 seasons for a long term 67% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Rockies to cash on the moneyline |
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08-11-18 | Twins -138 v. Tigers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Twins RH Kyle Gibson (5-9, 3.60 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Francisco Liriano (3-6, 4.37) Gibson the Twins starter is under rated according to my power rankings, and matches up well vs the Tigers. It must be noted the righty is 3-4 with a 3.23 ERA in 12 road starts keeping opponents guessing as is evident by permitting a .210 batting average.GIBSON is 12-5 in his career against the money line in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game in the second half of the season .Team Record) and is 12-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record( Meanwhile, Liriano is winless in his last 13 appearances and I'm betting against him here again today. The tigers ended a 6 game win streak, yesterday vs the Twins with a 5-3 win but are 0-8 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Tigers have lost 19 straight as a home dog after they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Twins to win on the moneyline |
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08-09-18 | Dodgers -124 v. Rockies | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Dodgers RH Ross Stripling (8-3, 2.68 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-4, 4.05) Colorados offence has been very inconsistent this season, and have struggled to bring runs across the plate of late as evident by scoring three or fewer in 11 of the past 16 games, including each of their last three tilts, which included yesterdays 4-3 loss to visiting Pittsburgh. I know that the Dodgers bats are slumbering as well right now, but they have shown a lot more consistency on offence then the Rockies. Also from a head to head pitching perspective my power rankings suggest that Ross Stripling has the edge over Tyler Anderson. ANDERSON is 0-6 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. (Team's Record) .COLORADO is 3-10 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season this season. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.Dodgers are 58-26 in their last 84 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 24-11 in their last 35 road games.Dodgers are 5-0 in Striplings last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Dodgers are 4-0 in Striplings last 4 starts vs. National League West.Dodgers are 4-1 in Striplings last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.Dodgers are 4-1 in Striplings last 5 starts. Rockies are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Rockies are 2-7 in Andersons last 9 home starts.Rockies are 1-4 in Andersons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Rockies are 1-4 in Andersons last 5 starts. Rockies are 1-5 in Andersons last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Rockies are 0-4 in Andersons last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Dodgers are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado.Dodgers are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.Rockies are 1-6 in Andersons last 7 starts vs. Dodgers. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL are 79-33 L/21 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the moneyline |
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08-08-18 | Red Sox -134 v. Blue Jays | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (2-3, 3.74 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Mike Hauschild (1-0, 0.00) Boston came from behind to defeat the Blue Jays yesterday and are on a roll entering this game. It must also be noted that the the Red Sox have won 12 straight as a road favorite after a comeback win and it is post All-Star break. Johnson the BoSox hurler is a left hander, which is a disadvantage for a Blue Jays side, that is 14-26 against the money line against left-handed starters this season.Johnson owns a 2-0 mark with a 3.94 ERA in three career starts at Toronto. Red Sox are 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts vs. American League East. BOSTON is 17-6 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Blue Jays are 4-17 in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. BOSTON is 24-5 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. BOSTON is 25-9 against the money line in road games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston has won 11 of the 14 games these teams have played this season, and another win I'm betting on todays agenda. Red Sox are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings in Toronto. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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08-08-18 | Pirates v. Rockies -125 | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Chris Archer (3-5, 4.40 ERA) vs. Rockies RH German Marquez (9-8, 4.70) A blown save with 2 outs in the ninth on Friday in Milwaukee cost Marquez his fifth consecutive victory after the right-hander pitched well once again. In 7 innings, he allowed 2 runs and struck out 9, lowering his ERA to 2.95 over his last 6 starts.Marquez is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three career starts versus Pittsburgh.He is in top form and gives the Rockies the advatangte here on the mound .Meanwhile, the Pirates starter Archer allowed five runs (four earned) with six strikeouts in 4 1/3 innings on Friday, in Pirates debut. He looked tired in that game and here in the high altitude of Coors Field exhaustion may rear its ugly head. The Pirates won yesterday but are recently just 1-4 after a victory. Pirates are also 21-47 in their last 68 road games vs. a team with a winning record.PITTSBURGH is 3-17 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. The Rockies have won 10 straight on the moneyline by multiple runs at home off a game as a dog in which they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-06-18 | Pirates v. Rockies -135 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Pirates RH Joe Musgrove (4-5, 3.63 ERA) vs. Rockies LH Kyle Freeland (9-7, 3.20) Colorado snapped a 4 game losing streak last time out, and enter this game having won 9 straight off a win when playing at home. The Rockies are also 13-3 in their last 16 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies starter Freeland being one of the few pitchers in this league that has flourished in the launching pad known as Coors Field as is evident by his 6-2, 2.45 record in nine starts at Coors Field this season, I'm betting we have a viable pitcher to back. It must also be noted that Freeland last bad start this season came against Pittsburgh, but since that game his catcher Chris Iannetta, determined that Freeland wasn't throwing his four-seam fastball inside enough to right-handed hitters. Since that loss to the Bucks Freeland has gone 9-4 2.73 in 18 starts and should be primed to keep things going with revenge on his mind here. PITTSBURGH is 8-24 against the money line in road games against left-handed starters like Freehand over the last 2 seasons. Meanwhile, Musgrove the Pirates young starter despite of pitching well of late has never pitched at Coors Field in could easily find himself over whelmed vs a Colorado Rockies team scoring 5.3 rpg at home this season via a hefty .283 team batting average. Pirates are 0-4 in Musgroves last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.The Pirates have lost 12 straight on the moneyline as a road 130-plus dog off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.Which happened yesterday. In the last 9 losses the Pirates have scored 1 or less runs 7 times and scored 3 and 2 runs in the other 2, with a combined 10 runs crossing the plate for the Pirates in those 9 tilts. The average deficit of defeat for the Pirates in the 12 games comes in at just under 4rpg. PITTSBURGH is 8-18 against the money line against NL West opponents this season. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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08-05-18 | Yankees +109 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (9-2, 3.84 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH David Price (11-6, 3.97) Price the BoSox stater is just 2-6 with an 8.43 ERA in nine starts against the Yankees since he joined the Red Sox in 2016 and is 0-2 with a 24.52 ERA this season. The Yankees have his number, and I'm betting nothing changes here tonight. Meanwhile,Tanaka (9-2, 3.84) the Yanks starter has not lost since April 17, going 7-0 with six no-decisions since. In his last two starts, he has worked 15 scoreless innings, yielding six hits while striking out 17.He is 8-4 with a 4.18 ERA lifetime against the Red Sox, 4-2 with a 4.09 ERA at Fenway, and despite of some struggles this season vs the Red Sox won his only start and is well equipped to turn things around in this spot and notch another win. BOSTON is a below .500 team at 15-19 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. NY YANKEES are 11-1 against the money line after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season. NY YANKEES are 86-56 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts vs. American League East.Yankees are 17-4 in Tanakas last 21 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 7-2 in Tanakas last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 17-5 in Tanakas last 22 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.Yankees are 8-3 in Tanakas last 11 road starts.Yankees are 20-8 in Tanakas last 28 starts.Yankees are 45-21 in Tanakas last 66 starts on grass.Yankees are 53-26 in Tanakas last 79 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the moneyline |
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08-05-18 | Royals +142 v. Twins | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Royals LH Danny Duffy (7-9, 4.50 ERA) vs. Twins RH Ervin Santana (0-0, 6.10) Duffy the ace of the KC Royals rotation will close out the Royals' road trip in Minnesota. In his last outing 5 days ago he became the first AL pitcher in the live-ball era to allow one run or fewer in six straight starts on the road. The veteran has won three of his last four trips to the hill and held the opposition without a run in six of his L/ 23 outings overall. Duffy permitted one run over seven innings of quality work to grab the victory versus the Twins back In late July, which gives him a 1-0 record along with a 0.95 ERA in three meetings this season. Needless today he matches up well vs the Twins 9 and gives them a great chance for a underdog victory here today. Royals are 5-1 in Duffys last 6 road starts . Royals are 11-4 in Duffys last 15 starts vs. Twins. Duffy is 24-13 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in his career. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Santana the Twins starter despite of pitching a little betterin his second start of the season than his first, he still gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings against the Indians. His average fastball velocity remains around 90 mph and very seeable and hittable. Santana, is just 7-10 with a 4.71 ERA in 25 career starts versus Kansas City. Twins are 1-4 in Santanas last 5 home starts vs. Royals.Twins are 2-9 in Santanas last 11 starts vs. Royals. MINNESOTA is 10-15 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |
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08-03-18 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -155 | 7-2 | Loss | -155 | 16 h 47 m | Show | |
RYAN BORUCKI (L) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L) Marco Gonzales has notched a victory in each of his last five starts, pitching to a 1.57 ERA over 34 1/3 innings in that span. The righty pitched six viable innings last time out after the Mariners put up seven runs in the first inning. He gets my support here again today vs a poor travelling Toronto Blue Jays side that has gone 12-26 against the money line against left-handed starters this season. It must noted that the Mariners are a perfect 11-0 on the moneyline in franchise history with Marco Gonzales on the hill when he went at least five innings gave up fewer that three runs in his last start. GONZALES is 10-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. (Team's Record)GONZALES is 9-0 against the money line after giving up 2or less earned runs in his last 2 outings this season.(Team Record) TORONTO is 8-23 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 30-71 L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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08-02-18 | Giants v. Diamondbacks -163 | 8-1 | Loss | -163 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (3-4, 3.06 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (12-5, 2.96) Greinke a former Cy Young award winner is currently in top form as is evident by striking out 48 while issuing just 5 walks in his last seven starts.His current run is at 6-0 in those 7 trips to the hill along with a minuscule 1.16 ERA . When this top tier hurler is hitting on all cylinders he's a night mare for opposing batters. GREINKE is 98-27 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more in his career.(Team's Record)GREINKE is 12-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.043. This line has steamed form around -149 on the opener and rightly so. Meanwhile, Bumgarner the Giants starter is off a loss last time out, and despite of looking better since coming of the DL has not done well against the Backs from a W/L perspective as his team is 0-5 in his last five battles with Arizona. Giants are 0-4 in Bumgarners last 4 road starts.Diamondbacks 1B Paul Goldschmidt is 18-for-43 with three homers, nine RBIs and eight runs scored versus the Giants this season and Im betting he will be a key proponent in them winning here tonight. The Giants have lost 19 straight on the moneyline as a 140+ underdog after they allowed 5+ walks and it is post All-Star break and are also 0-15 on the moneyline on the road after the All-Star break when they score three or less runs and still won which happened yesterday. MLB Road teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, after 2 straight games where their bullpen blew a save are 51-111 L/21 seasons for a 69% go against conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/star are 37-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Arizona Backs to win on the moneyline |
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08-01-18 | Brewers +150 v. Dodgers | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Brewers RH Chase Anderson (7-7, 3.69 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (4-4, 3.82) Anderson the Brewers starter is off a win last time out and has allowed fewer than three runs in seven straight outings and is a viable pitcher to back here in this spot in his current form. It must also be noted that the Dodgers have lost 3 straight and have scored just 3 runs and look to be in a down mode at the moment , making them fade material vs a side that matches up well agains them. Meanwhile, the Dodgers starter Hill has seen his team lost 4 of his L/5 home starts. Brewers are 4-0 in Andersons last 4 starts vs. National League West.Brewers are 8-2 in Andersons last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Brewers are 4-0 L/4 in LA vs the Dodgers.Milwaukee is 17-5 playing against the NL West this season, including a 3-2 record vs the Dodgers. The Dodgers have lost 12 straight on the moneyline at home after a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits and it is post All-Star break. LA scored an average of 1.17 runs per game in those above mentioned games. Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline |
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08-01-18 | Astros v. Mariners +132 | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (8-9, 3.60 ERA) vs. Mariners LH Wade LeBlanc (6-1, 3.51) Keuchel is currently a below .500 pitcher, off a loss in his last game and this season is 0-2 against Seattle accumulating a 5.52 ERA.Astros are 2-5 in Keuchels last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Mariners have won all 15 games in franchise history when Wade LeBlanc starts at home and look like viable underdogs vs a Houston team that has lost 5 of their L/6 overall. Anomaly or not Im going to ride Wade LeBlanc here at home behind a Seattle team that is 35-20 at home this season and that have won 26 of their L/36 on their own field. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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08-01-18 | Blue Jays v. A's -127 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (4-7, 5.20 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Sean Manaea (9-7, 3.46) The As 29-10 L/39 overall are for the most part playing some great ball , especially against lower tier teams like Toronto. OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 13-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season.OAKLAND is 30-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Today Im betting they have the edge on the struggling Blue Jays behind their starter MANAEA who is 9-0 against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record). the southpaw is also 14-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Blue Jays are 2-14 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Blue Jays are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Athletics are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 home starts.Blue Jays are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-31-18 | Indians -150 v. Twins | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
Indians RH Trevor Bauer (9-6, 2.32 ERA) vs. Twins RH Kyle Gibson (5-7, 3.42) Bauer registered his ninth quality start in 10 outings last time out and according to my power rankings matches up very well vs the Twins 9 despite getting roughed by them the last time they met. The righty hurler is 2-0 with a 1.87 ERA in four starts this month . I know the Twins have won seven of their 10 meetings with Cleveland this season after recording a walk-off 5-4 victory in the series , but now in a bounce back situation and a surge towards the play offs of ultimate importance I expect we see the Tribe at their best tonight in Minnesota. The Indians have won 20 straight on the moneyline as a 140+ favorite after All-Star break when they are facing an AL opposition and they are off a one-run loss with the average margin of victory coming by more than 5.5 rpg. Indians are 51-18 in their last 69 vs. American League CentralIndians are 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts.Twins are 0-5 in Gibsons last 5 starts during game 2 of a seriesTwins are 1-7 in Gibsons last 8 home starts vs. Indians. MINNESOTA is 9-24 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CLEVELAND) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or less) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 43-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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07-31-18 | Cubs +100 v. Pirates | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Cubs starter tonight John Lester has struggled a bit of late, but Im expecting a bounce back by the veteran hurler here today. The Cubs southpaw has pitched his best ball on the road this season where he has garnered a 7-1 record along with a solid 3.16 ERA in in 10 trips to the hill and repeat performance vs Pittsburghs up and down 9 according to my power ranking pitcher vs offence numbers. Cubs are 6-0 in Lesters last 6 road starts. Cubs are 6-0 in Lesters last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.Cubs are 5-0 in Lesters last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Cubs are 23-4 in Lesters last 27 starts during game 1 of a series. Cubs are 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts vs. Pirates.LESTER is 12-1 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. (Team's Record) LESTER is 11-2 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) The Cubs have won 15 in a row on the moneyline when Jon Lester starts as a favorite and he gave up no walks in his last start. Meanwhile, Taillon despite of pitching well of late, has not pitched well enough at home to get wins, as the Pirates are 1-4 in Taillons last 5 home starts and where he has allowed 8 of the 11 HRs he has given up this season. MLB Home teams (PITTSBURGH) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 61-95 L/5 seasons for a go against 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline |
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07-31-18 | Mets +170 v. Nationals | 4-25 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. TANNER ROARK (R) The Nationals starter Roark has lost all three of his starts against the Mets this season, with the right-hander allowing 11 runs in 17 innings of sub par work and is fade material here in this spot as a over valued favorite. ROARK is 0-5 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record) The Nationals have lost 6 straight on the moneyline with Tanner Roark as a home favorite when they scored more than six runs in his last start.ROARK is 0-6 against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. (Team's Record) Nationals are 0-4 in Roarks last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Nationals are 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.Nationals are 0-5 in Roarks last 5 starts vs. National League East.Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Matz from the Mets has allowed six earned runs in 15 innings of three starts against Washington this season. Matz is only 1-3 vs the Nats in his career but has posted a solid 2.64 ERA in seven starts against the Nationals. Mets are 4-1 in Matzs last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.WASHINGTON is 4-11 against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Play on the NY Mets to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -146 | 5-2 | Loss | -146 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
FREDDY PERALTA (R) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R) |
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07-30-18 | Blue Jays v. A's -145 | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R) Estrada is set to return after missing the last four weeks with a strained glute and I won't be surprised if he exhibits some rust here in this spot vs the Athletics. Blue Jays are 1-7 in Estradas last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Blue Jays are 0-4 in Estradas last 4 starts vs. American League West.The Jays did win yesterday, by a 7-4 count, but in the recent past have not done well after garnering a victory as is evident by a 2-7 mark after a win, and when they scored 5 or more runs in a previous game they are a lowly 8-23 so expecting another negative outcome here tonight in Oakland is likely considering the pitching matchup and overall play both teams over the long haul. Meanwhile, the As lost yesterday, and will now be primed to recover quickly, after also being swept in their previous series vs the red hot Rockies. Athletics are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss. JACKSON the As starter is 15-4 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season JACKSON is 11-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 23-9 against the money line vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this .OAKLAND is also 12-2 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season and is 32-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.OAKLAND is 29-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. Blue Jays are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Rockies +135 v. Cardinals | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Rockies LH Tyler Anderson (6-3, 3.57 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-6, 3.39) Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Martinez, has lost his last two starts, and despite of a 3-1 record vs the Rockies in his career owns a nasty looking 6.35 ERA in 5 starts and 4 relief appearances. Note:Martinez has allowed nine runs (eight earned) on 13 hits his past couple starts and is not looking like an ace right now, and may also not be 100% healthy. Cardinals are 1-4 in Martinezs last 5 home starts.Cardinals are 1-6 in Martinezs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. TYLER ANDERSON is a perfect 7-0 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse this season. COLORADO is 16-4 against the money line vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.COLORADO is 22-13 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-30-18 | Indians -117 v. Twins | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R Ervin Santana (0-0, 5.40 ERA) is scheduled to make his second start of the season - - when he goes against the Indians' rookie Shane Bieber (5-2, 4.80 ERA) in a battle of right-handers. My own power ranking suggest we have value with the visiting Tribe and Bieber.Santana is 7-11 with a 3.70 ERA in 25 career starts against the Indians. Bieber is 1-0 with a 3.97 ERA in two career starts against the Twins. Twins are 9-21 in Santanas last 30 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Indians are 4-0 in Biebers last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.MINNESOTA is 9-24 against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. MLB teams like (CLEVELAND) - after a game where they had at least 10 more hits than their opponent, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 80-40 L/21 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Mariners v. Angels -115 | 8-5 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. FELIX PENA (R) The Angels have looked explosive offensively of late and have scored 14, 11, 11, 12 runs in 4 of their 7 games, and roughed up the visiting Mariners yesterday by a 11-5 count. The way the Halos are swinging the bats of late, it does not matter who the Mariners send to the hill. Yes, I know Gonzales the Ms starter has been in good form but, Angels center fielder Mike Trout is 7-for-15 in his career against Gonzales, shortstop Andrelton Simmons is 6-for-13, and backup first baseman Jefry Marte is 3-for-10 with two home runs and I'm betting on them continuing to heat up here. Mariners are 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record and have lost 6 straight on the road overall. Mariners are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.The Angels have won 21 straight on the moneyline as a favorite in the last game of a series when they are off a five-plus run win as a favorite and they are not on a wining streak of more than five games.The Mariners have lost 14 straight on the moneyline after the All-Star break as a dog in the last game of a series when they are off a game in which their opponent scored first. Play on the LA Angels to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Rangers +220 v. Astros | 4-3 | Win | 220 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
The Astros have had their hands full with the Texas Rangers this weekend and lost the first two games of this 3 game series. I know the Astros will be primed to avert a embarrassing sweep at home but I'm betting that won't be an easy proposition vs vs a Rangers teams playing loose. It must also be noted that Astros starter McCullers has struggled of late , permitting 11 runs on 10 hits and 10 walks with only four strikeouts over 8 1/3 innings in consecutive losses . McCullers is also just 1-3 with a 5.72 ERA over six career starts against the Rangers and is far from being a solid pitcher to back in this spot play. Astros are 0-7 in McCullers Jr.s last 7 starts with 6 days of rest.MCCULLERS JR. is 2-9 against the money line vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team Record) MCCULLERS JR. is 1-6 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) The Rangers have won 9 in a row as a 170-plus underdog after All-Star break when seeking same-season revenge vs their opponent's starting pitcher for a loss in which they had at least five hits. MLB team (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 19-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (HOUSTON) - off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -200 or higher, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest are 18-31 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Mets v. Pirates -135 | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
ZACK WHEELER (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R) New York right-hander Zack Wheeler (4-6, 4.33 ERA) is scheduled to face righty Joe Musgrove (4-4, 3.90 ERA). The Pirates after yesterdays shut out win vs the Mets have won 13 of their past 15 games after picking up their league-leading 12th shutout . It must be noted that the Mets have lost 22 of their L/26 when they have failed to score at least 2 runs. The momentum is very much on the Pirates side, and I'm betting they feed off what have been packed houses in Pittsburgh this weekend. Mets are 0-4 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Mets are 4-12 in Wheelers last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Pirates are 11-1 in their last 12 games following a win.Pirates are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.Mets are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Pittsburgh. The Pirates have won 11 straight on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a home 135-plus favorite after a game in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Dodgers v. Braves +130 | 1-4 | Win | 130 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Stripling has been a quality hurler for the Dodgers , but was kicked around in the All-Star game and in his first start after the break his confidence looked wobbly as he suffered in that game as well, giving up 5 runs in less than 5 innings of sub par work. I know it might seem like the Braves won't be able to take advantage of any issues Stripling might have right now because of their recent offensive struggles it must be noted the Braves are 7-0 against the money line after batting .175 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 2 seasons. On the flip side Newcombe the Braves starter is looking better of late, after some recent struggles, and took a 12-1 win allowing 4 hits in his last start.Newcombe has also pitched well at home this season , garnering a stable 3.19 ERA and should once again keep his team in this tilt and help us cash a value line underdog ticket. Braves Manager SNITKER is 11-4 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80% as the manager of ATLANTA. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Phillies v. Reds -110 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R) Phillies RH Zach Eflin (7-2, 3.41 ERA) vs. Reds RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.30) The Philadelphia Phillies are in first place in the National League East, but have struggled against lower tier teams away from home this season, and have lost consecutive series to the Mets and Marlins on the road and are fade material in this spot play. I know the Phillies starter Eflin is a strong hurler, but Reds starter Castillo has allowed a total of seven runs over his last four trips to the hill and must be respected in his ability to slow the Phillies here. Phillies are 1-6 in Eflins last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Phillies are 0-4 in Eflins last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Reds are 6-1 in Castillos last 7 home starts.Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Phillies are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Cincinnati.PHILADELPHIA is 25-41 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 22-37 (-14.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI) - NL team with a low slugging percentage (.400 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or worse), playing on Sunday are 98-39 L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Cincinnati Redsto win on the moneyline |
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07-29-18 | Twins v. Red Sox -147 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Twins RH Jose Berrios (10-7, 3.48 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (3-4, 4.26) The Twins enter this game losing 12 of their L/14 vs an above .500 team, and have lost 15 of their L/21 on the road with Barrios on the hill. The Twins have also lost 14 of their L/19 road games overall, and are in a bad spot vs a hot hitting BoSox crew. The Red Sox have been solid finishing off opponents as well, and are 6-0 in game 4 of series, and have cashed in 16 of their L/21 at home vs a below .500 team like Minnesota. These two teams are playing with different emotional mind sets, and at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, giving us an advantage with the home side. MINNESOTA is 8-21 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season.BOSTON is 22-8 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game this season.BOSTON is 51-19 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) this season.BOSTON is 23-8 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 this season.BOSTON is 25-5 against the money line in day games this season. HC MOLITOR is 8-33 L/41 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season . favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (BOSTON) - good offensive team (5.1 or more runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.50 or better) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL are 42-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-28-18 | Brewers v. Giants -106 | 7-1 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R) The Brewers beat the Giants yesterday 3-1 and have now lost 7 of their L/8 games, but it must be noted that SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is also 27-16 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. With San Francisco hurler Johnny Cueto 11-1 at home in his career team starts against the Brewers, including 11-0 the last eleven overall I'm betting on the Giants bouncing back here and getting us a win. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00or less) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start 62-156 L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average hitting team (AVG .255 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or less ) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start are 37-100 L/5 seasons for go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the SF Giants to win on the moneyline |
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07-28-18 | Mariners +115 v. Angels | 5-11 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JAIME BARRIA (R) Barria the Angels starter has gone 0-6 L/6 in seven starts and his team has lost all 7 starts .Barria has made three of his last seven starts against Seattle, losing all three despite allowing three runs or fewer in each outing. Meanwhile, Hernandez the Mariners veteran starter owns a solid 2.99 career ERA at Angel Stadium and is the best ERA among pitchers who haven't played for the Halos and gets my support in this road spot. The Angles beat the Mariners yesterday 4-3, but the Mariners have proven resilient after a 1 run loss.SEATTLE is 11-1 against the money line after a one run loss this season and once again look like viable investment proposition. Note: Angles have lost 7 of their L/10 after a victory. Play on the Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline |
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07-27-18 | Blue Jays v. White Sox +125 | 10-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) STROMAN Toronto's starter is 1-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.303 and his team has lost 5 of his lifetime appearances. Meanwhile, Lopez, the Pale Hose starter loves pitching in Southside Chicago and has recorded a a 3.17 ERA and .209 batting average against as opposed to 4.95 and .275 on the road. The Blue Jays have really been going deep into their bullpen of late and this I'm betting that will effect them going forward. Note: TORONTO is 2-10 against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.TORONTO is 18-32 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more over the last 2 seasons. Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Blue Jays have lost 11 straight on the moneyline on the road off a game as a dog in which they scored in at least four separate innings and it is post All-Star break. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-27-18 | Dodgers v. Braves +145 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Kershaw despite of throwing the ball well still does not look 100% as was evident against Milwaukee this past Saturday .Kershaw pitched six innings and gave up four runs. He only threw 88 pitches and struck out five. The Dodgers lost the game 4-2 and I'm betting he won't lead his team to victory here as well. Kershaw has battled injuries all season. He missed 21 games with left biceps tendinitis in May and missed 18 games with a lower back strain in June, so he's far from healthy as he try to adjust to nagging injuries. KERSHAW is 0-5 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. (Team's Record) ATLANTA is 16-9 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better this season. MLB Home teams (ATLANTA) - average hitting team (AVG. 255 to .269) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA 3.00 or better) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season (NL) are 163-87 L/5 seasons for a long 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the moneyline |
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07-27-18 | Mets v. Pirates -152 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. IVAN NOVA (R) |
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07-26-18 | A's -130 v. Rangers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Athletics RH Trevor Cahill (1-2, 2.95 ERA) vs. Rangers RH Bartolo Colon (5-8, 4.85) Cahill the As starter tonight vs the Texas Rangers is 10-4 with a 2.81 ERA in 18 career starts against the Rangers, including a no-decision at Texas this season, with the 10 victories he has earned are the most versus any MLB team. Athletics are 6-1 in Cahills last 7 road starts vs. Rangers.Meanwhile, Rangers starter Colon is a down turn as is evident by a 0-3 record along with a slightly bloated 5.30 ERA in three starts this month . He looked like a tired 45 year old middle aged man in his last effort , allowing five runs and eight hits over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to Cleveland on Saturday. With that said Im betting the starting pitching matchup favours the As in this tilt. From a offensive perspective it must be noted that the Athletics have averaged 5.7 rpg on the road this season, and have scored 19 runs in the last two games of this series, and are in top form now and hitting on all cylinders and must be respected here as short favorites. The As look like a viable investment option to sweep this 4 game series with a victory here. Note: The Athletics have won 16 straight on the moneyline as a favorite in the last game of a series after a road win in which they had 12+ hits. Athletics are 24-8 in their last 32 road games.Athletics are also 26-7 in their last 33 overall. Rangers are 1-8 in their last 9 home games.Rangers are 0-8 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Rangers are 6-21 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 OAKLAND is 10-3 against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.OAKLAND is 33-21 against the money line in road games this season.OAKLAND is 41-26 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. TEXAS is 7-21 against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasonsTEXAS is 5-18 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | Twins v. Red Sox -145 | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Twins RH Kyle Gibson (4-7, 3.57 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Brian Johnson (1-3, 3.81) The Twins play their best ball at home, but here on the road where they are tonight, their poster boys for futility as is evident by losing 20 of their L/28 away games. Tonight against a rested Boston team off a cancelled game yesterday I'm betting their in trouble. Note: BOSTON is 13-1 against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. The Red Sox have also won 15 straight on the moneyline as a rested favorite in the first game of a series after a loss as a road favorite in which they held the lead. (Which happened the day before yesterday in a 7-6 loss to Baltimore as -155 chalk) The Twins starting pitcher Gibson despite of a being in good form , immolates his teams lack of success on the road as is evident by the Twins going 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 road starts. Twins are 1-4 in Gibsons last 5 starts vs. Red Sox. Meanwhile, the RedSox starter Johnson has seen his team win his last 5 home starts. The Twins have lost 20 straight on the moneyline in the first game of a series with no rest as a dog of more than 120 after a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter. MINNESOTA is 1-11 against the money line in road games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.MINNESOTA is 7-20 against the money line in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game this season. JOHNSON is 9-1 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 3.20 or better) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 40-129 L/21 season for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | Rays v. Orioles +110 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Alex Cobb has been a good pitcher most of his career, but this season in Baltimore has been night mare as it has been for the entire team. Cobb has however, pitched well of late , and has garnered a stable 3.86 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill despite of losing all 3 games. His close but no cigar outings, Im betting come to an end today vs a TB side in a letdown situation and now using to their bullpen to start, after taking the finale of a 3 game set vs the Yankees last time out which cliched the series. Im betting they will now over look this downtrodden opponent to their own detriment. QUOTE:"I know that there's a lot of discussions about wins and losses and how they don't matter," Cobb said after the game. "But I worked really hard my whole career to try and have a real nice-looking record because whether you're a casual fan or real in-depth into the numbers, the first thing you see on the back of your (baseball) cards is your win-loss. I've always taken pride in that in my whole career. I think I've always had a winning record. It sucks. END QUOTE: Rays are 4-15 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Note:The Rays have lost 26 straight on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits , which happened against the Yankees last time out. The Rays have also lost 14 straight on the road after a game as a home dog in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base. Play on the Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline |
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07-26-18 | White Sox +177 v. Angels | 8-12 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
Covey (4-5, 4.95 ERA) the Pale Hose Hurler should be primed and ready to pitch well in front of family and friends, after coming off the best effort of his short career. The young right hander took a no-hitter into the sixth inning against the Seattle Mariners on Saturday going into the 9th inning. The White Sox went on to win 5-0. LA ANGELS are 5-14 (against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season. Meanwhile, Halos right-hander , Tropeano (3-5, 4.58) will make his second start since missing nearly six weeks with inflammation in his throwing shoulder and I'm betting he is still not 100%. In his L/3 starts overall he owns a ugly looking 7.07 ERA and is fade material here this afternoon. Note: The White Sox have won 6 straight on the moneyline after they had six or fewer hits and it is post All-Star break. The Pale hose were a +200 underdog on average. MLB Road teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - team with a poor SLG (.410 or less ) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) -AL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 35-22 L/21 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the moneyline |
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07-25-18 | Astros v. Rockies +112 | 2-3 | Win | 112 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. JON GRAY (R) Morton is 2-2 with a 4.53 ERA in eight career starts against the Rockies and 1-1, 6.97 in four starts at Coors Field and is fade material according to my power rankings in this spot. In his last start before the All-Star break on July 12, Morton allowed six hits and three runs in 4 1/3 innings against Oakland and ended up with a no-decision in Houston's 6-4 loss and overall allowed 8 runs and 11 hits in his L/2 starts before the break spanning just 10 innings. Astros are 1-4 in Mortons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Gray, the Rockies starter permitted the Mariners to just five hits and one run in a season-high 7 1/3 innings with one walk and six strikeouts last time out in comes in this tilt brimming with confidence and has the added incentive of facing the defending world champs. That above mentioned effort was an efficient outing for Gray, who threw 64 of 93 pitches for strikes. GRAY is 8-2 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)GRAY is 7-0 against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Gray has recorded a 5-1 record and 3.42 ERA in nine career interleague starts. Rockies are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. The Rockies have won 10 straight on the moneyline at home off a game as a dog in which they did not hit a home run and it is post All-Star break with all 10 victories coming by multiple runs. Play on the Colorado Rockies to win on the moneyline |
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07-25-18 | Tigers v. Royals -115 | 8-4 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
MATT BOYD (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L) The Royals grabbed a win this series vs the Tigers yesterday, and have proven to be a solid side to back in this situation as they are 14-2 against the money line in home games off a one run win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers will start left-hander Matthew Boyd, who is 4-9 with a 4.62 ERA in 19 starts. He went 6-11 with a 5.27 ERA in 25 starts last season and is one of the Tigers least consistent options for victory. Boyd has made 11 career starts against the Royals, recording a 2-6 record with a bloated 6.79 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts this season against Kansas City. Tigers are 0-6 in Boyds last 6 starts.Tigers are 2-12 in Boyds last 14 road starts. Meanwhile, KCs starter Duffy's is currently in top form garnering aminsucle 0.45 ERA in his L/3 starts. After beginning the season 1-6 with a 6.88 ERA in his first 10 starts, Duffy is 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA in his past 11 starts and is a dangerous opponent for a inconsistent Tigers batting order. Royals are 5-1 in Duffys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 11-0 L/11 on the moneyline in the last game of a series as a home favorite off a game as a dog in which they hit more home runs than their opponent.The Royals are also 14-1 L/15 on the moneyline when Danny Duffy starts at home when they won his last two starts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (DETROIT) - after a one run loss against opponent after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games are 49-120 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 71% for bettors on the blind. Play on the KC Royals to win on the moneyline |