CALGARY is 2-11 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons.CALGARY is 2-9 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons.

CFL favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off a win over a division rival, in July games are 17-50 ATS L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

The Lions defence is ranked first overall in fewest offensive points allowed (7.0 per game) and was dominant in last week's 30-6 road win over Winnipeg and here against a Argos team that will concentrate an above average amount of ball control on their run game Im betting the Argos production will be limited,Note:  The Argos enter the contest leading the CFL in rushing, averaging 152 yards per game. With that said Im  betting on a lower scoring affair based on a game that will feature time grinding ground wars. Lions  opponents are averaging just 76 yards rushing against the unit this season.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 UNDER  off 3 straight division games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 42 ppg scored.TORONTO is 32-14 UNDER  as a home underdog of 3 points or less with a combined average of 45.7 ppg scored. 

Play under 

The Tiger-Cats have won seven consecutive Labour Day contests and Im betting nothing changes here in the 2022 version- this Monday.  Hamilton is 37-13-1 all-time against Toronto on Labour Day.

Tiger-Cats are 7-0-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.

Play on Hamilton 

These two West Division rivals went head to head  a couple weeks ago with  Winnipeg (7-0) coming out on top of the Stamps 26-19. Im betting on a diff result this time as  well rested Calgary (4-1) has had time to study film, after a bye week while Winnipeg plays their 2nd straight road game.

Dickenson is 14-4 ATS as an underdog as the coach of CALGARY.

Teams off a bye week like Calgary have won SU 6 of 8 times this season.

CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CALGARY) - off a road loss, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 39-15 ATS L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Calgary Stamps to cover

Roughriders top tier rush game Im betting gives the Toronto Argos nightmares here this week.Toronto averages just 15 points/game which is 10.8 ppg less than the league average. It is unlikely they can keep up with this explosive Saskatchewan side. 

Dickenson is 13-4 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of SASKATCHEWAN.

Play on Saskatchewan to cover 

CFL Playoffs - 108TH GREY CUP

Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and are being over rated here in a game I have pegged as a pickem. Blue Bombers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Meanwhile, the Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. and  are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff home games.

HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - giving up 23 or less points/game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - allowing 340 or less  yards/game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 8-0 ATS  after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.  HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS  in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

O'Shea is 0-6 ATS  in road games after allowing 300 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of WINNIPEG.

CFB team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 5-21 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate.

Play on Hamilton to cover 

Saskatchewan barely got by Edmonton when they played last week here in Alberta 19-17  and Im betting on another closely contested battle again.

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) - after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 21-4 L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. 

CFL Home underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - average passing team (245-290 PY/G) against an average passing defense (245-290 PY/G) after 9+ games. are 37-13 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors,

Play on Edmonton to cover

 The Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-1) host the Montreal Alouettes (6-5) at IG Field on Saturday. the Bombers are a team on a mission and Montreal is not a team that can slow them according to my power rankings. Note: the Blue Bombers faced the Lions a last week and won by a score of 45-0 count. Another explosion and cover is my call here this evening. 

WINNIPEG is 18-2 ATS off a division game over the last 3 seasons.WINNIPEG is 18-4 ATS    after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.The Blue Bombers are allowing 11.5 points per contest,  rankings 1st in the CFL. The Blue Bombers are 1st in the CFL   in offensive output averaging  of 27 ppg.

Play on Winnipeg to cover 

According to my projections the Ti Cats should be 6 point favs here this giving us value on this line. 

HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS  as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 9-1 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 season. HAMILTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

 is 5-19 ATS L/24 in road games vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 6.9 or less passing yards/att. MONTREAL is 16-32 ATS  in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 6.4 or less yards/play. 

CFL team (HAMILTON) - after allowing 9 points or less last game against opponent after a loss by 8 or less points are 35-12 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - after allowing 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-5 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.1 ppg. 

Play on Hamilton to cover

Well rested Montreal showed some explosive offensive pop last time out  when they put 51 points on the board in a win vs Ottawa and Im betting that they continue to produce on their home field this week in what Im predicting will be a cover. Note: BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-6 ATS  in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

CFL team vs the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - an average offensive team (23 to 28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-32 PPG), after allowing 14 points or less last game are 13-39 SU l/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Montreal to cover 

Edmonton upset the Calgary Stampeders last time out  and now going against a  revenge minded rival. With that said,  Im now betting  the Stamps get their  redemption behind now healthy QB  Bo Levi Mitchell who is expected to start today under center . 

Dickenson is 11-1 ATS  after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game as the coach of CALGARY.

CALGARY is 16-6 ATS in road games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite .

CFL Underdogs or pick (CALGARY) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 34-9 L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate.

Play on Calgary to cover

Both Calgary and Edmonton have proved to have pedestrian offenses so far this season, and for their defenses to be of the top tier variety. 

The Elks have gone under 3 straight times and Calgary 3 out of 4 games. Non of the Edmonton games have seen a combined average above 43 points and only 1 of the Stamps games have eclipsed this offered total. 

Calgary has seen an average of 37.2 ppg scored in their 4 trips to the gridiron and  Edmonton an average of 38.8 combined  ppg scored. 

Under is 3-0-1 in Stampeders last 4 games in Week 5.Under is 6-1 in Stampeders last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 12-4 in Stampeders last 16 games following a ATS win.

Under is 4-0 in Elks last 4 games overall.Under is 5-1 in Elks last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. .Under is 13-4-1 in Elks last 18 road games.Under is 8-3 in Elks last 11 games as a road underdog.Under is 7-3 in Elks last 10 vs. West

EDMONTON is 6-0 UNDER in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.5 ppg scored. 

EDMONTON is 7-0 UNDER  allowing 275 or less total yards/game over their last 2 games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 35.8 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Play on the UNDER 

The Ticats will come into Molson Stadium well rested and motivated to get a W on the board .  Fresh off of a bye week  Hamilton is a dangerous opponent for a Als side that is showing just how undisciplined they are , taking bad penalty after bad penalty. Advantage Ti Cats. 

CFL Favorites vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers are 64-16 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Hamilton TiCats to cover 

Edmonton has beaten BC three straight times and matches up well against them again tonight despite of already being 0-2 on the season. The fact they are looking for their first victory of the season makes Edmonton even more dangerous. 

CFL Favorites (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season are 24-60 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Campbell is 10-22 ATS as a home favorite in all games he has coached since 1996.

Edmonton. to cover

The new-look Argos Im betting will take time to get the rust off against a Calgary side that has dominated them here in Calgary over the years having won 12 straight meetings in Alberta. Note: Argos QB  Nick Arbuckle is dealing with a glute injury. 

Stampeders are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games in August.

Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover 

CFL Grey Cup - McMahon Stadium - Calgary, Alberta (The Sunday evening weather in Calgary calls for a high of -2 C. No significant precipitation is expected.)

The public loves Hamilton here this week, but Winnipeg has proven their metal as underdogs, and must be respected here  getting more than FG. Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.The Bombers’ road to success lies in its ground attack. Winnipeg led the CFL in rushing (147.9 yards a game) but was last over all in passing (212.2 yards a game). Needless to say Im betting they pound the rock on the ground to today and remain much more competitive then they were in the 2 losses they suffered to the TiCats this season. Note: Hamilton’s passing game despite of its explosiveness , has an ugly 24 interceptions tranking 2nd worst in the league.  Meanwhile, Winnipeg s  defence that registered 24 picks, second only to Calgary (26) and have the ability to sway this game to the underdog.

WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. WINNIPEG is 11-1 ATS off a division game this season.

O'Shea is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 400 or more  yards/game - after 9 or more games as the coach of WINNIPEG.

WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS versus poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season.WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 6.4 or less yards/play - after 9 or more games this season.

CFL Favorites (HAMILTON) - off a home win by 17 points or more, when playing on a Sunday are 8-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Winnipeg to cover 

There is very good news coming out of Edmonton for  the Eskimos as starting  Quarterback Trevor Harris, has been activated off the six-game injured list. He can practice this week and it is likely, but not confirmed that he will start against the Roughriders on Saturday. However sources close to the team say he's ready to go. His presence Im betting buoys the Eskies to a cover and possible SU win this Saturday. 

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) - with a good defense - allowing 350 or less total yards/game, after allowing 5.5 or less yards/play in their previous game are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 

Both teams have clinched playoff berths.but  Montreal is playing with momentum and motivation and still trying to track down Hamilton who are in first place in the East while Winnipeg  is struggling mightily having lost 3 straight. Montreal has already proved they can hang with the Bombers when they scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to storm back and beat the Bombers at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, and an upset here is not out of the question, thus making getting points golden in my humble opinion. 

Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Alouettes are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. .Alouettes are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 Saturday games.Alouettes are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.

MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS  versus good defensive teams - giving up 23 or less points/game this season. MONTREAL is 10-1 ATSin road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 7-0 ATS  when playing on a Saturday this season. MONTREAL is 12-3 ATS  as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) are fade material in the long term- after scoring 9 points or less last game are 44-91 L/23 seasons for a lowly 32.6 % conversion rate for bettors. 

CFLUnderdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

In the first matchup between these two teams back in Week 13, the Argos went into TD Place and rolled to a 46-17 victory and now its payback time for the RedBlack. Toronto will also have a new face under center. McLeod Bethel-Thompson  and Im betting this will hinder the Argos offence here tonight

Argonauts are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 games in October.Argonauts are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. East.Argonauts are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 18.RedBlacks are 28-13 ATS in their last 41 road games.

TORONTO is 2-11 ATS versus good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. - after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

CFB Road teams (OTTAWA) - off a home loss against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more are 33-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Toronto's HC Chamblin is 1-14 ATS  versus struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse - after 9 or more games in all games he has coached since 1996.Chamblin is 1-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games in all games he has coached since 1996.

CFL Road underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 39-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Ottawa to cover 

Saskatchewan has won 5 of their L/6 and on the radar of most CFL pundits as Grey Cup contenders. Because of this recency bias we get a good number to bet into here with a Toronto team that  is a up trending  side  and that has been very competitive of late . The Argos deserve our respect on this line. SASKATCHEWAN is 18-37 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1996.

Note: Three of the Roughriders  four defeats this season have come away from Regina.

SASKATCHEWAN is 2-17 ATS L/19 in road games versus poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 35-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 

The Lions snapped their seven game losing streak last weekend against the Redblacks in Vancouver and now in desperation and pay back mode the Redblacks get their opportunity to end their own losing streak at 5 games. Im betting on Dominique Rhymes and Receiver Brad Sinopoli who is due to come off the one-game IR to spark this Ottawa team to a possible upset victory and more importantly a cover. 

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-12 ATS after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 31-16 L/47 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3.

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (OTTAWA) - after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 30-13 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL team vs the money line (OTTAWA) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 9+ games, after gaining 95 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 24-6 L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 

Montreal comes in  to this tilt vs Saskatchewan having won three consecutive games and are now  6-4, on the season with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, the Roughriders after  getting their butts handed to them 35-10 in the  Banjo Bowl  at the hands of the division-leading Blue Bombers will now be in a bit of a letdown situation. They were sky high for the above mentioned beatdown and still got clobbered which Im betting will effect their confidence going forward. 

MONTREAL is 9-1 ATS when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 2 seasons.

SASKATCHEWAN is 18-36 ATS  after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1996 and is 0-5 ATS L/5 September games.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 34-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

The Redblacks are coming off their biggest meltdown of the season, a 46-17 loss to the last place, and provincial rival Toronto Argos. Coach Campbell of Ottawa was visibly upset and equally embarrassed and Im betting he motivates his team to bounce back here in a game vs another under performing team the BC . Lions. 

OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-12 ATS in home games versus awful passing teams averaging 6.9 or less passing yards/att - after 9 or more games since 1996.. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS  in road games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Campbell is 12-4 ATS in road games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game as the coach of OTTAWA.

CFL Underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a losing record are 46-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Ottawa to cover 

Ottawa is having a bad season, and the usual hard nosed type of football they play under Campbell their coach is almost non existent. Meanwhile, Toronto, after dismal start to their campaign, have shown some spark lately winning on the road vs a a top tier Winnipeg team 4 weeks ago, and staying fairly competitive in recent games as  McLeod Bethel-Thompson has thrown for 300-plus yards in six of his 10 appearances this season and he hasn’t been picked off in his last four outings.  I know the Argos will not inspire bettors, but according to my current projections they matchup well vs the Red Black that has lost 7 of their L/8 and get my support here getting points. 

OTTAWA is 0-7 ATS  in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 430 or less yards/game since 1996.

OTTAWA is 5-24 ATS  versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game since 1996.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 33-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 

The battle of Alberta between Edmonton 6-4 and Calgary 5-4 has the makings of a hard fought battle, that makes getting points a golden opportunity. Both sides are off home losses as it might seem their attention might have been in a look ahead spot and  diverted to this inter provincial rivalry. 

Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.Eskimos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss

Stampeders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.Stampeders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.Stampeders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.Stampeders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

CFL Underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 38-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 

The B.C. Lions outplayed the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last month in  their best road game of the season and still ended up with the L despite of covering as 8.5 dogs. Its been a very frustrating year for the Lions, and now they get a chance for redemption vs the TiCats here tonight at home . I know the public is all over the TiCats, because of the BCs horrible record ( 2-10 ATS) but travelling from East to West and playing in a different time zone is never easy. Plus the Lions have already proved they match up well vs this group of Hamilton players and must be respected in their ability to even pull off the SU upset. Note: CFL Home teams vs. the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 29-12 SU  L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with the ppg diff 0f +6.1 ppg clicking in on the scoreboard.

Tiger-Cats are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 Saturday games.Tiger-Cats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in AugustTiger-Cats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in BC.

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

Saskatchewan is having a good season, winning 4 in a row and well Ottawa is not as they have now lost 6 of their L/7 overall. Tonight because of the direction and path both teams are on we get to bet into a recency bias line, that is bloated according to my power rankings charts. Despite the RedBlacks below .500 record at 3-6 Campbells troops are a hard working blue collar group that never say die and deserve my respect on a DD underdog line. Note: Ottawa has covered 14 of their L/19 as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Ottawa has won and covered their L/2 visits to the Prairies and get my support here again in this spot. 

SASKATCHEWAN is 4-13 ATS in home games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1996.

CFL Favorites (SASKATCHEWAN) - after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are just 43-81 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Ottawa to cover

  Montreal after 3 straight victories  is off two hard fought losses one in OT, and one that was only played into the third quarter before being cancelled because of a vicious storm. Two unfortunate events that will have them hungry to compete here tonight, in Calgary. With Calgary off a heart breaking loss to Winnipeg last week 26-24, in a gruelling affair I wont be surprised if the Stamps suffer a let down scenario, and come out here on the slow side, and fail to cover this spread.

MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS  in road games versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 9-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

CFL Road teams vs. the money line (MONTREAL) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, after the first month of the season are 21-9 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a 5 point per game margin differential. 

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

BC played their hearts out last time out, and still found a way to lose, 35-34 to Hamilton, and now will be in a complete letdown scenario against a Winnipeg team that is allowing just 16.7 ppg at home this season. Prior to scoring 34 points last week the Lions scored, 18,6,25,18 and now revert back into that range here which will help keep this combined score on the low side of the total.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 UNDER in August games over the last 3 seasons.

CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (WINNIPEG) - off 2 or more consecutive overs, good offensive team - scoring 29 or more points/game are 62-28 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

BC continues to showcase a struggling O line and despite of some changes expected this week Im betting they will have problems generating offence vs a stingy Hamilton D that is allowing an average of 16.2 ppg at home this season.With star linebacker Simoni Lawrence back after a 2 game suspension the Lions are in trouble. I know the Lions D, has also had issues but the Ti Cats offensive cohesiveness has been challenged of late, which will result in a total combined score that remains on the low side of the total.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-0 UNDER  in August games over the last 3 seasons with a . combined average of 47.3 ppg scored.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 18-7 UNDER  after gaining 5 or less yards/play in their previous game with a combined average of 46.2 ppg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

Montreal after a slow start  to their current campaign has held its last three opponents to 58 total points 1,177 total yards. Meanwhile, Ottawa their opponents  have not scored 20 or more points in any game during its currentfour-game losing streak, and last time out had just 13 first downs in the loss to the Stampeders. Im betting on the Red Blacks continuing to struggle offensively and for Montreal D to continue to stand tall, and for this tilt to be a very physical affair that stays under the set total.

These teams have a history of low scoring affairs, with only one of the L/7 meetings seeing more than 52  combined points scored. All three of the most recent meetings here in Montreal have gone under with the average combined score of 48 ppg scored.

OTTAWA is 15-3 UNDER  after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 41.8 ppg scored. OTTAWA is 24-9 UNDER  in road games versus division opponents since 1996 with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored.

CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after gaining 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are 45-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games are 31-9 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

When these teams played on July 20 the Saskatchewan Roughriders came out of that game with a 38-25 win, and Im betting on a offensive similar output here this week in a game I have slated to eclipse the total. I know there has been alot of frustration in BC so far this season, but this is still a talented overall team, that Im betting can be explosive if they cant protect star QB Reilly. With that said Im betting the Lions will provide protection for Quarterback Mike Reilly  tonight even though previous to this game  he’s been sacked a league-high 21 times this season.Head Coach DeVone Claybrooks has confidence in his squad, telling the media earlier this week, “I have all the ingredients for this soup and I’m just trying to season it to get the right taste.” END QUOTE.  It must also be noted that the Riders defence has shown some lapses this season, especially in their two road games and are currently allowing 33.5 ppg . Meanwhile, BC has allowed 33 or more points in 5 of their first 6 games, and despite of me expecting a uptick in offensive production it is their defence that really looks weak. 

Over is 4-1 in Roughriders last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 5-2 in Roughriders last 7 road games.Over is 5-2-1 in Roughriders last 8 Saturday games.

Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 vs. West.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 5-2 in Lions last 7 games overall.

Play on the OVER 

The Tiger-Cats are well rested coming off a bye week in week six and a win in week five against the Stampeders (30-23) and will be primed to pull he upset as home dogs vs the undefeated Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Tiger-Cats are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

O'Shea is 0-6 ATS  in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game as the coach of WINNIPEG. 

CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - with a turnover margin of 0.75 or more /game or better on the season, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 15-40 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hamilton Ti cats to cover 

Scoring has been an issue for the Toronto offence so far this season, averaging 15 ppg . Meanwhile, Edmonton is proving staunch on D, and are allowing an average of 20.4 ppg.  Even if Toronto has a defensive breakdown, which is not uncommon, and Eskimos explode on them, Im still betting the combined total output by both teams will not eclipse this slightly bloated number. These teams met twice last season, taking part in  16-15 and 20-17 affairs in a home and away series. Im betting on more of the same here this Thursday night. 

Under is 5-1 in Argonauts last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 4-1 in Eskimos last 5 games in July.

Play UNDER 

Both these teams the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders need wins, and I am expecting a hard fought affair here making getting points a viable investment option.The spread has shot up after opening at Saskatchewan -2 and now at this level is slightly bloated. I know the Lions have struggled to score, thanks to a struggling offensive line, but their better then their 17 sacks suggest and Im betting they prove that here in desperation mode vs another inconsistent side.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 19-6 ATS L/25 in road games against teams with a turnover margin of -0.75 per game or worse. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 60-36 ATS  L/96 as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points . 

SASKATCHEWAN is 3-12 ATS  off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival ( Calgary clobbered the Riders last week 37-10) 

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

Efficiency on offence and a little luck have seen Winnipeg go 4-0 SU/ATS so far this season. However it must be noted  that QB Matt Nichols despite of  leading the CFL with 10 passing touchdowns and only one interception, still only has 855 passing yards  and attempted only 98 passes in four games. So unloading here vs a decent RedBlack secondary wont come that easily. Meanwhile, Ottawa is currently struggling mightily , and are 0-2 L/2 as their offense has become stagnant, not scoring a offensive TD in those tilts with QB Davis under center. Even though they  expect to replace injured QB Davis with Jennings the offensive line has shown weakness and Im doubting their attack will suddenly become more efficient. 

My power rankings suggest both teams strengths are based on solid defences and a hard nosed blue collar mind set . This will Im betting be on full display this week in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.

WINNIPEG is 16-4 UNDER  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1996 with a combined average 45.4 ppg scored.WINNIPEG is 6-0 UNDER  off a home win by 17 points or more over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 43.8 ppg going on the board.

OTTAWA is 13-3 UNDER after allowing 450 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1996 with a combined average of 47.7 ppg going on the board.

Under is 9-2 in RedBlacks last 11 games in July.Under is 13-6 in RedBlacks last 19 road games.Under is 21-10 in RedBlacks last 31 games following a ATS loss.

CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (WINNIPEG) - after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers are 43-16 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (OTTAWA) - after 2 consecutive games where they committed 3 or more turnoversUnder is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 home games are 64-29 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The recency of Winnipeg going 4-0 SU/ATS to start their season give us value on what Im betting is a bloated line. I know the Red Black have struggled in their L/2 games , one of which came at home to Winnipeg by a 29-14 count,, but now this hard nosed Rick Campbell coached team with revenge on board must not be underestimated in their ability to cash . With that said look for Ottawa to be hard to handle this this week , just like was the case when they walked into Calgary in week 1 of this season vs the defending Grey Cup champs and won SU as underdogs. 

Campbell is 15-3 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 7.2 or more yards/play as the coach of OTTAWA. 

OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS in road games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.OTTAWA is 11-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 7.2 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons.

Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OTTAWA) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, in the first half of the season are 25-4 ATS L/22 seasons. (Which was the case vs a Montreal team they overlooked last week)

Play on the Ottawa RedBlack to cover

Rain is in the forecast in Calgary, with a predicted 60 percent chance of precipitation .

The Argos own the worst scoring offence, averaging 14.8 points per game this season and I doubt they will eclipse that amount here this week vs a staunch Calgary D. Meanwhile, the Stamps allowed 4 sacks last week, and showed weakness on their offensive line, which Im betting going forward will hinder back up QB Arbuckle, who replaces the injured Bo Levi Jr.   Arkbuckle was sacked 4 times last week. Im expecting the Stamps to be in a letdown mode after their loss to Hamilton last week 30-22 and for them to start slowly  on offense vs a 0-4 Argos side that Im betting they are not motivated to face. With that said, bet on a total combined score that fails to eclipse this total. 

Under is 5-1 in Argonauts last 6 games following a ATS loss.Under is 4-1 in Argonauts last 5 games following a straight up loss.

Under is 4-1 in Stampeders last 5 games in July.Under is 6-2 in Stampeders last 8 games overall.

Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Calgary.

Play on the UNDER 

  Calgary is a defence first team and  has gone below the total in each of its last four road games, including last week’s 37-10 beatdown of the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Against this explosive run and shoot Hamilton offence Im expecting they drag out their offensive plays, and slow the game down, and on defence show their formidable presence by limiting the Ti Cats production in a game that I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. Note: HAMILTON is 12-2 L/14 UNDER  in home games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing 6.0 or less yards/play with a combined average of 46.4 ppg going on the board. CALGARY is 13-4 UNDER  vs. excellent passing teams averaging 325 or more passing yards/game with a combined average of 42.4 ppg scored.

CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games are 42-15 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 73% conversion rate. 

CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season are 28-7 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

These teams have a recent history of playing low scoring games with 5 of the L/6 staying on the low side of the number, and 3 straight here in Montreal. None of the L/6 meetings have seen more than 46 points scored and the average combined score of those tilts has clicked in at 38.8 ppg and Im expecting another low scoring tilt this week. 

The Alouettes hav gone under in 10 of their previous 13 games away from Montreal, and are 41-17-1 to the under in their past 59 games against divisional rivals. Meanwhile, the the RedBlacks are 4-13 to the UNDER in their previous 17 outings against the East.

OTTAWA is 10-2 UNDER versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 46.8 ppg. OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER in July games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 44.2 ppg going on board. 

Play UNDER 

Getting up for the 0-3 Argos will be difficult for the 3-0 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, and Im betting they're offence  start slow as motivation becomes a key factor. This will effect the the total combined score to the under. 

WINNIPEG is 16-3 UNDER L/19  in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread with the average combined score clicking in at 44.1 ppg.

TORONTO is 22-8 UNDER L/30  versus excellent rushing defenses -allowing 4.25 or less rushing yards/carry with a combined average of 43 ppg scored.

Under is 4-0 in Argonauts last 4 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 home games.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall.

Play UNDER

The defending Grey Cup champion Calgary Stampeders are being made underdogs here, and Im betting we have value taking the points here this Saturday night in Saskatchewan. Last week Quarterback Nick Arbuckle helped his team to a unlikely come from  victory  after coming off the bench in the final 3 minutes, completing a 21 point  comeback against the B.C. Lions. Now with the momentum of that win on their sides, Im expecting another big game from the Stamps.

Considering 55% of games have been decided in the final 3 minutes and wont be hard for me to imagine this game going down to the wire here and for the points to eventually be golden. 

Dickenson is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game as the coach of CALGARY.

CFL team (SASKATCHEWAN) - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 10 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 11-43 ATS L/22 seasons for go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover 

My projections based on both these teams style of play estimates a total of closer to 48.5 to 49 thus giving us an edge on a under wager here this evening. 

Under is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 home games.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 games following a ATS win.Under is 3-0-1 in Roughriders last 4 games following a straight up win.Under is 3-1-1 in Roughriders last 5 games overall.Under is 3-1-1 in Roughriders last 5 vs. West.

CFL Home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (SASKATCHEWAN) - after outgaining opp by 90 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 70 or more total yards 2 consecutive games are 28-8 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

Im betting the Redblacks offence rusty and off a bye week will have a tough challenge, as Winnipeg has allowed just one offensive touchdown in two games this season. Im also expecting Ottawa to be punting alot today, but are in good hands in that department,

behind Richie Leone who  is averaging 53.6 yards to lead the CFL in punting average, putting him on a record pace thus far. With that said, field position should help the Red Black out defensively as well, in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total. 

OTTAWA is 8-1 UNDER  after a playing a game where 63 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons which was the case in a 44-41win vs Sask last time out. 

CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (OTTAWA) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 26-5 L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

The Argos allowed 64 points in week one , and now Im betting they will be very focused on  slowing Saskatchewan down, and playing a much better defensive game which wont be hard. Meanwhile, the Argos offence has absolutely no flow, and I expect nothing will change here on Canada Day vs the Saskatchewan Roughriders  who are looking to bounce back  after giving up 44 points in a 44-41 loss to the Ottawa Redblacks on June 20. In 2018, the Riders’ defence gave up 40 points only once — a Week 2, 40-17 loss to Ottawa.

It looks like the linesmakers are not being swayed by the recency of these teams total  points outputs and are sticking to a lower total, and now Im betting their number is not low enough.

TORONTO is 15-4 UNDER L/19 off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival with a combined average of 44 ppg scored.TORONTO is 28-6 UNDER when playing with 8 days rest with a combined average of 42.7 ppg scored. 

CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (TORONTO) - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 107-64 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Both these teams are going to have viable defences this season, according to my early  assessments. In the past both these teams have taken part in lower scoring defensive affairs as is evident by the under cashing 5 straight times with the average combined score clicking in at 41 points per game with no score going past the 47 point plateau. Im betting for a conservative rinse and repeat type game here.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 22-8 UNDER  after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game with a combined average of 45.8 ppg scored.CALGARY is 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in June games since 1996 with a combined average of 48.5 ppg.

CFL Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after gaining 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games are 45-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (CALGARY) - after playing a game at home, when playing on a Saturday are 41-15 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

Im betting we have a slightly bloated total here because of the recency bias attached to the Ti Cats 64 point offensive explosion vs the hapless defence of the Toronto Argos. This week I expect the Ti Cats to have a natural regression in their output, while Montreal with a back up QB at the helm (Adams Jr) will struggle to score. With that said Im expecting this total score to fail to eclipse this number. 

HAMILTON is 10-1 UNDER  after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game since 1996.HAMILTON is 16-3 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 56 since 1996 with the average combined score clicking in at 50.7 ppg.

MONTREAL is 19-4 UNDER in June games since 1996 with a combined average of 44.6 ppg scored. MONTREAL is 6-0 UNDER  in road games off a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 41.9 ppg scored.MONTREAL is 12-3 UNDER  as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996wth a combined average of 42.9 ppg scored. 

CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (HAMILTON) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 25-5 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Eskimos offence has been rolling, but their defence has been very efficient as well, as was evident when the unit got to BC Lions quarterback Mike Reilly seven times last week. On the other side of the ball,  Winnipeg is well rested and off a bye, and will be ready to have their revamped D, do some work in the trenches this week and cool off the Eskimos attack. My projections make this total a little bloated and with that said, Im recommending we take and under stance here.

EDMONTON is 9-1 L/10 UNDER in road games in June games with the combined average of 45.9 ppg scored. EDMONTON is 27-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 56 with a combined average of 49 ppg going on the board.

CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (WINNIPEG) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season are 48-22 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Mike Reilly BCs newly acquired star QB Im betting will be key here to them covering vs his former team the Edmonton Eskimos a side  that is not disciplined and takes to many penalties.  Reilly in three straight seasons  produced  5,500-plus passing yards and gets my support here in what could be coin flip game , which makes getting points a value investment option. 

EDMONTON is 0-8 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.Edmonton  is 0-7 ATS  in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or worse) as the coach of EDMONTON.Maas is 8-19 ATS ( as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of EDMONTON.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - good passing defense from last season - allowed 245 or less passing yards/game are 25-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate.

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

CJ Gable had a big game in  debut in Week 1 for the Edmonton Eskimos, putting up the second highest total rushing yards in his time in Edmonton.  He amassed 20 carries and Im betting after that success the Eskimos will look to the ground game consistently in effort to set up their aerial attack. However, Im estimating BCs top tier secondary will clamp down here and hold the Eskies offence to limited production. Also from my perspective I believe the Eskimos secondary will be ready for their former QB Reilly and will formulate some strong defensive schemes that will slow him down. Overall I expect a hard fought battle between long time rivals and a score that stays on the low side of the total. 

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-14 UNDER  in road games after allowing 200 or less passing yards in their last game with a combined average score in those 46 games clicking in at  46.6 ppg.

CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 (EDMONTON) - after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse and are 39-14 UNDER L/22 seasons fora 74% conversion rate.

Play UNDER 

 Despite of all the off season departures the Red Black found a way to beat the defending Grey Cup Champion Calgary Stampeders last week by a 32-25 count winning and covering at 8 point plus dogs. However, this week, in an emotional let down scenario Im betting they will have their hands full with what Im betting will be this leagues strongest defence .  Yes, Even with the loss of Willie Jefferson, the Saskatchewan Roughriders will have the best defence in the CFL  especially with the addition of Micah Johnson and Solomon Elimimian.

SASKATCHEWAN is 46-20 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) since 1996. SASKATCHEWAN is 86-61 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.

CFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OTTAWA) - first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a winning record last season are just 9-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SASKATCHEWAN) - good passing defense from last season - allowed 245 or less passing yards/games are 25-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Saskatchewan to cover 

Both BC and Winnipeg should have viable offences this season, and some pundits expect a shootout. However, both should also be defensively staunch. The Bombers will have defensive stalwart Adam Bighill back and  he is joined by the best defensive free agent signing of any team this offseason in Willie Jefferson. Meanwhile, Claybrooks the former Grey Cup champion defensive coordinator in Calgary takes over here in BC, and Im betting will have this stopping group humming with energy. 

 Under is 5-1 in Blue Bombers last 6 vs. West.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall.

Under is 4-0-1 in Lions last 5 Saturday games.Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games in Week 1.Under is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games in June.Under is 5-1-2 in Lions last 8 vs. West.Under is 6-2-1 in Lions last 9 home games.

Play UNDER 

The Ottawa Red Blacks offence  were decimated via free agency in the off season and have a QB in Dominique Davis, who is talented but raw and will be learning on the job. So scoring consistently at least early on this season will be a problem for the RedBlack, and here today in Calgary.  Meanwhile, the defending Grey Cup Champion have also had big turnovers on D, but brand new defensive coordinator Brent Monson has what it takes to keep this defence operating at a very high level. The Stamps offence should remain competent , but a Campbell coached team ( Ottawa) are tough as nails and wont be easily beaten up on from the line of scrimmage. With that said Im betting a total score that stays on the low side of the total. 

CALGARY is 16-4 UNDER in June games since 1996. 

Play UNDER

Montreals offensive line is weak, and last season they allowed 66 sacks. I dont know if they will break that record this season, but I am betting that giving their QB protection will be a problem, and thus producing consistent offence will also be an issue. Meanwhile, their hosts The Eskimos will not be totally be focused on the Alouettes in week one with a Week 2’s match-up with former Eskimo and now BC Lion Mike Reilly looming on the western horizon. With that said, Im expecting the Als to struggle to score while, Edmonton is limited just enough to keep this combined score on the low side of the total.

Montreal    is 19-3 UNDER  in June games since 1996 with the combined average of 44.1 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

Under is 5-0 in Alouettes last 5 games in Week 1.Under is 24-3 in Alouettes last 27 games in June.Under is 9-2 in Alouettes last 11 road games.Under is 13-6 in Alouettes last 19 games overall. 

Play UNDER 

CFL 106th Grey Cup Championship - Commonwealth Stadium - Edmonton

Im betting the old adage that says " The  Third time is a charm " will see the Calgary Stampeders win and cover and grab this years Grey Cup. For the third straight season the Stampeders finished the regular season with the best regular season record, but in the previous two tries they failed in the finale. Not this time. This team is primed and ready to leave everything on the field here this time around.the Stampeders swept the two game series against the Redblacks this season and another 3 is my call here. With the this game being held in Edmonton Alberta just a few hours away from Calgary I expect the majority of the crowd to be on the Stamps side giving them an extra boost. 

CFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Calgary to cover 

 CFL Playoffs - Western Semifinals

Im betting the running game of Saskatchewan will  have success on the  ground and pound  away with success vs a over rated Bombers front-seven, opening up the passing option for Shaq Evans and Jordan Williams-Lambert.

SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 5.7 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games .

CFL Favorites (SASKATCHEWAN) - off a home win by 17 points or more, when playing on a Sunday are 32-8 ATS L/22 years for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Saskatchewan  to cover 

CFL Playoffs - Eastern Semifinals

Both of these teams enter this playoff tilt  after  inconsistent seasons.They spilt their two meetings, but my own current updated power rankings suggest the Lions will come out of this with the victory. Look for the Lions to rally around HC Buono who is in his final year of his illustrious career, and get the victory. 

Note: Hamilton enters the Eastern Semi-Final with just one of their key receivers remaining in their lineup from the start of the season — Luke Tasker.

HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS  in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 15-4 ATS L/19  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 38 or more points .BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season.

CFB Underdogs or pick (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, when playing on a Sunday 105-54 ATS L/22 seasons. 

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

 BC comes into this game on fire having won three straight games, but Im betting their run ends here today vs a Saskatchewan side that has won 4 of their L/5 overall, and that matches up well against the Lions according to my head to head power rankings. Saskatchewan already went into BC and took out the Lions earlier this season 24-21 and smashed BC last year at home by DDs. I know the Lions have revenge on board, but you don't always get what you want as Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones can tell you. 

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. 

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (SASKATCHEWAN) - after allowing 275 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 8.1 or more yards/play in their previous game are 31-7 L/22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Sask Roughriders to cover 

These two teams look pretty evenly matched in their current losing forms, as both display ugly 3-12 SU records. Montreal does however matchup well vs the Argos and won their L/ meeting. Despite of  Toronto having revenge on board, the Als from a statistical standpoint deserves my backing a FG or more. 

TORONTO is 1-8 ATS  versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 26-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.TORONTO is 2-10 ATS  versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. 

CFL team vs SU (TORONTO) - with a struggling defense - allowing 7.5 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game 3-27 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

Edmonton after three straight losses came out in their last game and laid a beatdown on visiting Ottawa by a 34-16 count, but Im betting things won't come so easily this week at BC. The Lions have won 5 of their L/6 games and are 6-1 at home this season and have played consistent ball all season long while the Eskimos have not. 

EDMONTON is 13-34 ATS L/47 in road games after gaining 8.1 or more yards/play in their previous game.Maas is 3-12 ATS after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game as the coach of EDMONTON.

CFL team (EDMONTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in October games are 6-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

Calgary after starting their season with 7 straight wins is just 2-2 in their L/4 games, and have failed to cover 3 of their L/4 overall. Both SU losses came on the road where they play today. Meanwhile, Hamilton after a slow start to their campaign are humming along right now having won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 SU/ATS and get the nod today in their current form vs a side that could be in an emotional down situation after a high energy meeting and  48-42 loss  vs provincial rival Edmonton last time out. 

HAMILTON is 10-1 ATS struggling  passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse - after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons. 

HAMILTON is 7-0 ATS after gaining 8.1 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CALGARY) - after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFL team vs the money line (CALGARY) - with an excellent offense - averaging 7.25 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game are 6-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFL team vs the money line (CALGARY) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 5-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Hamilton to cover 

Its always a big game for  CFL home teams when Calgary comes to town, and you can bet the Eskimos and their fans will be tuned up to pull off the upset. Edmonton is just 6-5 on the season, and have lost 3 of their L/4 with all the losses closely contested. The Eskies are however,  undefeated at home this season, and actually matchup well vs this visiting power house , according to my rankings and have the ability to hand the Stampeders just their 2nd loss of the season. Take the points. 

EDMONTON is 9-2 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. 

CFL Home underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - off a road loss, in September games are 61-27. ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 

 Saskatchewan has won three straight games, while Winnipeg has lost 3 straight. In my humble opinion and based on both sides recent performances this game should be closer to a pickem, thus giving us value the Green Riders on this tainted line. Saskatchewan has covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and get my support here in this spot. 

SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 11-2 ATS off in 2 straight division games over the last 3 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 16-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against division rivals since 1996. 

CFL Underdogs or pick (SASKATCHEWAN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games are 132-73 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover 

This is the annual Labor Day classic between two long time rivals, and a upset is not out of the question, as is a cover for the underdog.

TORONTO is 13-3 ATS L/16 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game.

CFL Underdogs or pick (TORONTO) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a losing record are 46-17 ATS L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

CFL team vs the money line (HAMILTON) - with an excellent offense - averaging 7.25 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game are 5-21 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 

Calgary (7-1) must be considered the front runner for the Grey Cup this season despite of suffering an upset lost to Saskatchewan last time out , and Winnipeg (5-4) their opposition while competitive have proven inconsistent this season. The Bombers over the last few years are solid in the underdog role, and tonight I'm betting they give this powerful Stamps team all they can handle.WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Winnipeg also lost last week , and were run over, by Ottawa, but have proven resilient in a comeback role going ,9-0 ATS in road games after being outgained by opp by 70 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 8-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams averaging 8.3 or more passing yards/att over the last 3 O'Shea is a perfect 8-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams averaging 8.3 or more passing yards/att as the coach of the Bombers. WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Blue Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Calgary.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover

Calgary 6-0 on the the season is the class of the league and the front runner for taking the Grey Cup this season. Saskatchewan has lost 4 of 6 games, with their only wins coming in back to back tries vs the Hamilton Ti Cats. The Green Riders don't have much fire power, averaging just 21 points a game on offence and thats not a good thing considering the visiting Stamps own the leagues top D, allowing just 12.3 ppg. The Stamps have won and covered their L/3 trips Saskatchewan and another win and cover is on todays agenda. 

CALGARY is 8-0 ATS off 2 straight wins against division rivals over the last 3 seasons with the average combined margin of victory coming by 19.5 ppg.

Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover

Toronto's biggest issues are currently  on defense , something that the pundits thought was a  strong point earlier on this season but after allowing 38, 40, 41 points in successive weeks its become obvious theirs some big time problems on board that won't be easily fixed by the Argos coaching staff. I know the visiting BC Lions might not inspire many bettors, but from a  overall power rankings matchup perspective the Lions actually look like viable bets here to win this game straight up, and the linesmkakers agree with me. Taking the Lions SU here actually offers value as compared to laying the points at .20 less. So with that said, I recommending a moneyline selection on BC. Note: The Lions have won their L/2 visits here to TO. 

CFL Home teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games against opponent after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 3-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL  team vs the money line (TORONTO) - with a struggling defense - allowing 7.5 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game are 2-23 L/5 seasons for a go against 92% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the BC Lions to win 

Montreal has looked less than consistent this season, and are off two horrible defensive performances and losses. There has been a lot of soul searching going on in the land of the Allouettes, after last weeks embarrassing 50-11 defeat to Hamilton, and now somewhat of a bounce back effort must be expected against their Eastern rivals Ottawa this week, from a group that desperately need some redemption medicine. Meanwhile, Ottawa lost a heart breaker in a back and forth battle last week to Toronto 42-41 and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown scenario vs a struggling team that Im sure will not inspire them. With that said, lets take the points. with a downtrodden side. Note: Road dogs off a loss in the CFL L/21 seasons with at least 4 days rest are 60% proposition. 

OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS in home games after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

OTTAWA is 4-20 ATS L/24 versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game.

OTTAWA is 4-13 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.

CFL Road underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 30-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover

Calgary's defence has been brilliantly amazing to this point in the season. The Stamps  have allowed an average of just 9.2 ppg, and today vs a Stampeders team, that is averaging just 22 ppg overall and 20.7 ppg at home on offence, I'm betting more of the same smash mouth stopping action will be featured once again. Meanwhile, the Stamps despite of not scoring on a consistent basis this season, have played solid D, and in 3 home games have allowed just 18.3 ppg this season. With that said, everything points to this being a low scoring affair that fails to eclipse the Total. Note: The L/5 meetings in this series have remained on the low side of the Total with a combined average score of 35.4 ppg scored, with the last 2 in Saskatchewan seeing 24, and 29 Total points go on the board.

CALGARY is 11-2 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons has seen a combined average of 41.4 ppg go on the scoreboard. CALGARY is 7-0 UNDER off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 44.9 ppg scoredCALGARY is 9-2 UNDER  versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 41.5 ppg scored.SASK HC Jones is 10-1 UNDER inches career in home games after allowing 275 or less total yards in their previous game  with a combined average of 41 ppg scored.SASK HC Jones is 9-1 UNDER in his career in home games versus good passing teams averaging 8.3 or more passing yards/att with a combined average of 40.1 ppg scored.

Play UNDER 

The Toronto Argos took it on the chin last week, vs this same Winnipeg Blue Bombers team by a 38-20 count as short home dogs, and now have revenge on board in the quick turnaround rematch of a home and home series. I know the Bombers dominated, but last week they were being underestimated by the lines makers, and now this week their is over reaction to the last result. Toronto despite of exhibiting some issues, showed some promise at QB with James Franklin (65.5 %  Comp) and look very much to be a value choice here vs this slightly bloated line. It must be noted that the Blue Bombers have failed to cover five straight games as a double-digit favorite while TO has covered 5 of their L/7 as underdogs. Also from a league wide database it must also be noted that road dogs off a loss, with at least 4 days rest are a long term solid wagering opportunity cashing at 62% or more of the time, if they are less than 14 point dogs. 

 HC O'Shea of Winnipeg is 0-7 ATS  after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game , which the Argos were able to accomplish.

WINNIPEG is 5-17 ATS  after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game and is 10-24 ATS after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game.

CFL Road underdogs or pick (TORONTO) - with a poor defense - allowing 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game are 54-25 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 

As bad as perceptions of the Allouettes might be, their still a proud group playing at home. Losing to what my power rankings suggest is the leagues best team last week   (Calgary ) by a 25-8 count , is nothing to be embarrassed of. The Als also went right into Saskatchewan this season and pulled off the SU upset , and despite of their 1-4 record are being underestimated vs a Edmonton side that has lost both their road games this season.  Right or wrong  there is just to much home value to pass in taking the home dog in this spot. 

EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons ands 4-12 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and s 2-9 ATS L/11  in non-conference games.

CFL team vs the money line (EDMONTON) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

The Argos continue to play without their starting QB Ricky Ray, and my humble opinion are in trouble. The Toronto offence has already shown signs of floundering without Ray at the helm, and tonight vs an under rated Winnipeg side those problems could easily be magnified. Winnipeg owns a +48 point differential this season while, Toronto is a chilly -40. Yes, the Argos D, has looked solid, but will tire if the team continues to stagnate on offence and the D  remains on the field for extended periods of time. The Argos have already shown lapses in their pass defense and more breakdowns are possible going forward. I know Winnipeg lost last week, vs the Lions thanks to a late collapse, but the Bombers are legitimate contenders despite of a 2-3 record , and must not be underestimated. 

Bombers are 17-4 SU ATS L/21 road games.

WINNIPEG is 13-4 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game over the last few seasons.

WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS in road games off a division game over the last few seasons.

CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - off a non-conference game are  11-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Winnipeg to cover 

With Jonathon Jennings struggling, the Lions have promoted veteran Travis Lulay to the No. 1 spot for Saturday’s home game against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. I'm betting he will be worth one more score and that that this combined total score will be eclipsed. The Lions are going to need it , as they are allowing  more than 30 ppg, and were clobbered 41-19 last week vs these same Bombers. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has a great deal of depth on offence, and it is their strength and I'm betting they will do some damage today as well, as teams have a hard time preparing for the different talented options. Winnipeg has averaged 36 ppg this season, and I won't be surprised, if they come close to equaling those numbers here. These teams have gone OVER in their L/3 meetings in BC overall, with the Lions scoring 35,31,42 points in closely contested back and forth battles, that also saw 67,63, and 87 combined  points going on the board. 

Over is 4-0 in Blue Bombers last 4 games in July.Over is 13-4 in Blue Bombers last 17 road games.Over is 18-7-2 in Blue Bombers last 27 vs. West.Over is 5-2 in Blue Bombers last 7 games overall.Over is 15-6 in Blue Bombers last 21 games following a ATS win.Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games in July.Over is 4-0 in Lions last 4 vs. West.Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games overall.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 Saturday games.

WINNIPEG is 15-6 OVER in road games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 58.3 ppg scored. O'Shea is 12-4 OVER off a home win as the coach of WINNIPEG with combined average of 60.1 ppg going on the board.

WINNIPEG is 21-8 OVER versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 58 ppg going on the scoreboard.

Play on the OVER 

The Bombers continue to play  without star quarterback Matt Nichols, but Chris Streveler has played well as his replacement. However, that may be short lived as the scouts get better reads on this QB.  I'm betting his current fluidity will be tested, most probably tonight vs a BC Lions defence, that despite of giving up some big plays and points last week vs Edmonton are a solid speedy group that must not be disrespected or underestimated. Meanwhile, the Lions are also capable of taking advantage of a Bombers D, that was dominated on time of possession last week by  the Tiger-Cats , and were on the field for a total of 37:30 of the tilt and could still be feeling the effects of that exhausting sub par performance. In their two losses this season, the Bombers  have  allowed opposition quarterbacks to throw 777 yards via their aerial attacks, and could get torched again, by a a QB in Johnathon Jennings that is itching be let loose by HC Buono.

Its interesting to note that BC won the last meeting between these teams by a 36-27 count , but the previous 5 meetings were close affairs, with 4 of those games decided by a FG or less, and one by 6 points.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 38-20 ATS L/58  as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.BC HC Buono is 35-8 ATS  as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points in all games he has coached in his career and 24-9 ATS  in road games off a loss against a division rival in all games he has coached.

Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - in the first month of the season are 33-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on BC Lions to cover 

  The  Riders have been  giving up a some big plays that look great on highlight films but their overall defence is of the top tier variety and has not given up a lot of yards so far this season. Hamilton has a lot of playmakers,  that begins with the arm of QB Masoli ,but moving the ball I'm betting won't be as easy as the pundits might think against this Riders D. With that said, take the points with the home dog Roughriders.

Tiger-Cats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.Tiger-Cats are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in July. Roughriders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss and ATS loss.

SASKATCHEWAN is 22-9 ATS L/31 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 325 or more passing yards/game. SASKATCHEWAN is 49-25 ATS L/74 as a home underdog.

Saskatchewan has won the last 3 meetings in this series, including the last 2 here at home. 

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SASKATCHEWAN) - in the first month of the season are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a  70% conversion rate for bettors.

CF L teams like (HAMILTON) - with an incredible offense - averaging 7.5 or more yards/play are just 10-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate.  

Play on the Saskatchewan Riders to cover 

 The Winnipeg Blue  Bombers are of a grueling loss to the Edmonton Eskimos  by a 33-30 count last week in their home opener, blowing a late lead , that will now have them in an emotional letdown scenario. Also here on the road with stating QB Matt Nichols ( Knee ) his inexperienced backups may have some problems dealing with an improved Al's defense.  Meanwhile, this will be Montreal's first home game with HC Mike Sherman at the helm, and with his team backed by a rowdy home crowd will be primed and motivated to move this franchise back to the illustrious history it had previously enjoyed in the CFL prior to the last ugly couple of seasons.

O'Shea is 3-13 ATS  after a loss by 8 or less points as the coach of WINNIPEG.

CFL Underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - in the first two weeks of the season are 29-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 37-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Montreal Als to cover

After a fast start last season, the BC Lions fell apart as the season progressed, and lost 9 of their L/11 games thanks to offense that had very little flow as is evident by scoring 25 or less points in 5 of their L/7 tilts. The Als have a new offensive coordinator but its the talent on board, that does not mix well, and I'm doubting a significant increase in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Montreal is off a horrendous season, but now with former GB Packers Mike Sherman in town and the speedy WR Chris Williams haul down passes their on their way to a rebound season, and more importantly  be competitive here tonight.

CFL Underdogs SU (MONTREAL) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 22-11 SU L/5 22 seasons.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games are 36-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

CFL Road underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Montreal to cover

Calgary annihilated the Ti-Cats 60-1 in an embarrassing affair here last season. You can bet the Ti -Cats will be hell bent on revenge and more importantly making sure they don't get run over again. Hamilton has a lot of speed on offense and can take advantage of the off season changes the Stampeders have made on defense. I know that Calgary QB bo Levi Mitchell is a stud QB ,and has a lot of weapons to work with, but Hamilton's newly revamped D, might surprise us here today. With that said, Ill recommend we take  take the points .

HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last few seasons.

CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 22-11 L/22 seasons for a 68% SU conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at Team 27 Opp 24.2 .

CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 36-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Road underdogs or pick (HAMILTON) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Road underdogs or pick (HAMILTON) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 61% or better are 23-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HAMILTON) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Hamilton Ti Cats to cover

Two teams off 12-6 campaigns go head to head today here in Winnipeg in the opening game of the season for both clubs. Edmonton has two veteran QBs with Reilly and Glen at the helm of the offense, but have lost offensive weapons in the off season. The defense on the other hand despite of some veteran stalwarts like Almondo Sewell are a over rated group in my humble betting opinion, and susceptible to down campaign.  Meanwhile, the Bombers despite of having to replace starting QB Matt Nichols because of a knee injury, are more than capable of competing with Alex Ross and Chris Streveler under center, who will be buoyed with Darvin Adams and Andrew Harris as well as all purpose star RB Weston Dresser. On defense the Bombers return their two best tacklers, Loffler & Santo-Knox and one of the best pass rushers in the league Jackson Jeffcoat.

With that said, I expect the home crowd will help motivate this under appreciated Bombers team to being an extremely competitive opponent for the visiting Eskimos.

WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last few seasons. HC Maas is 4-12 ATS  L/16 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of EDMONTON.

Winnipeg is 4-2 SU L/7 meetings in this series.

CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse are 36-25 L/22 seasons for a 59% SU conversion rate with the average deficits coming out at an aggregate of 0. This 61 game long term sample size has seen these types of games play out as even on the scoreboard.

CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) - in the first two weeks of the season are 21-10 L/5 seasons wit the average margin between both opponents clicking in at 5.6 ppg Underdog 28.3 Fav 23.2.

CFL Underdogs or pick (WINNIPEG) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 35-7  ATS L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Winnipeg to cover

CFL Playoffs - Western Semifinal

Winnipeg played their most complete game of the season in their last effort before the play offs against Calgary beating the leagues best team by a 23-5 count on the road . Now I'm betting they use the momentum from that game here today and get us the cover vs a Edmonton team that they  beat in both meetings this season home and away.

WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATS L/13 when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season and is 7-0 ATS  versus good passing teams averaging 300 or more passing yards/game this season. WINNIPEG is 15-4 ATS L/19 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

CFL Home underdogs or pick like Winnipeg - average passing team (245-290 PY/G) against an average passing defense (245-290 PY/G) after 9+ games are 35-11 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Edmonton - after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 6-27 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Dan LeFevour will earn the start at quarterback Friday when the Winnipeg Blue Bombers travel to Calgary for the regular-season finale against the Stampeders. He matches up very well against this type of team, and I'm betting he will move the ball against a top tier Calgary team and help us get the cover here.

It must be noted that the Bombers are a cover machine:

WINNIPEG is 11-1 ATS  L/11 when playing against a team with a winning record.  WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS  L/6 in road games versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better - after 9 or more games and 8-1 ATS  L/9 versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game.WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS  L/7 after playing a game at home this season.

Bombers HC O'Shea is 14-2 ATS  L/16 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 .

Winnipeg got beat 29-10 in the first meeting between these teams back in July 29-10, but are now in a better flow and look like viable underdogs in this spot.

Underdogs or pick Winnipeg - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 58-20 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Winnipeg is a contender for this seasons Grey Cup according to my power rankings, an are in a uptrend at the moment winning 8 of their L/10. and despite of Toronto from time to time pulling off some quality performances, are needless to say not a real threat .

TORONTO is 0-7 ATS  against teams who commit 1.25 or less turnovers/game on the season and is 2-12 ATS  L/14 versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game.WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS  L/16 versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90  or less rushing yards/game.WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS  L/11 versus awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse this season.WINNIPEG is 9-0 ATS L/9 off a home win , which happened last time out.WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS   in road games after being outgained by opp by 70 or more total yards last game and  is 7-0 ATS L/7  in road games in non-conference games.TORONTO is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games in October games and  is 4-14 ATS  L/18  in non-conference games.

CFL team vs the money line like Winnipeg - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 48-16 over the L/5 seasons and so far a perfect 8-0 this season!

CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Toronto - off a non-conference game are 12-45 ATS in their follow up game over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Calgary enters this game against Hamilton as the class of the league, after having won their first 7 games and covering 6 of those 7 tilts. The Stamps can beat you in many different ways, and when focused are a lethal force. Tonight against a Hamilton team that has been improving since a horrendous start to their season, and off a upset win vs the Winnipeg Blue Bombers last time out, will now have the full attention of a well coached Stampeders team. I know the Ti-Cats will be primed to compete and pull off another upset, but Calgary has a way of feeding off other teams ramped up home crowds, and use that energy to smack around their hosts. Lay it and play it with the visitors tonight.

Stampeders are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.Tiger-Cats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Tiger-Cats are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 home games.Tiger-Cats are 4-12-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Stampeders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Hamilton.

CFL team Calgary - after allowing 325 or less total yards in 3 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-5 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover 1 unit reg selection

Hamilton after a horrendous start to their season have been very competitive of late, and have covered their L/2 as DD road dogs, at Ottawa and BC winning both times SU. Now we are getting more than two TDs again with the Ti Cats vs a Winnipeg side, off a grueling and emotional underdog road win vs Edmonton last time out, and now will be in a letdown mode vs a side they maybe over looking and underestimating.

Tiger-Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 16.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Winnipeg.

CFL Road underdogs or pick like the TI Cats - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 45-18 ATS for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Hamilton to cover 1 unit reg selection

Montreal has revenge on board for a embarrassing 38-6 beatdown at the hands of the Argos last time these teams met on Aug 19.  That loss triggered a current 5 game losing streak for the Als, and now I expect a big time motivated effort from Montreal in this spot as they look for payback and a chance at correcting their current run. It must be noted that Montreal did beat the Als the week before the above mentioned loss  by a 21-9 count, and actually matchup well vs Toronto.

TORONTO is 2-9 ATS L/11 versus poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse - after 9 or more games.TORONTO is 2-16 ATS L/18 in home games versus good passing defenses - allowing 7.4 or less passing yards/att - after 9 or more games . TORONTO is 1-9 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

CFL Dogs or pick like Montreal - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 57-19 dating back 21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Also CFL Underdogs or pick like Montreal - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite 35-9 ATS dating 21 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection

The defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBlacks after winning 3 straight games conclusively, fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out and were upset by the lowly Hamilton Ti Cats 26-22. The usually hard working RedBlacks were dismal in that game, and now I'm betting they rebound in a big way  vs a Montreal team that has lost 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 SU , and that they clobbered 32-4 at Montreal on Aug 31.  .

Ottawa is 7-1 SU/ATS L/8 meetings in this series.

OTTAWA is 10-1 ATS  L/11  in road games after playing a game at home.OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS   in road games versus division opponents .MONTREAL is 3-14 ATS    in home games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less - after 9 or more games.MONTREAL is 0-6 L/6 ATS  as a home underdog of 3 points or less.

CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Montreal - off a non-conference game are 43-11 ATS for a 80% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons.  

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection

Saskatchewan took out the Bombers last week in a big Labor Day game by a 38-24 count as home favs of -2.5. Now in the rematch I expect home field advantage to once again be golden, and for the Bombers to get the revenge they so dearly want.

WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS  L/10 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATS   in home games after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game .SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS    in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.

CFL Road teams vs. the money line like Saskatchewan - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games are 23-3 L/26 for a 89% conversion rate for bettors on a SU bet. With the line under -2 this trend fits perfectly into me recommending we back the Bombers at home this Saturday.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection

Both these teams are on 3 game losing streaks and both are hungry to get back into the win column. With that said , I'm betting  for this tilt to be a hard hitting and grueling affair that will see getting points being golden.

Underdogs or pick like Montreal - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 57-18 ATS for a 76% conversion rate over the L/21 seasons. AQnd under the same perimeters if its a same season loss these teams like the Als are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS during the same time line for a 82% conversion rate.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection

These two CFL teams took part in a 43-40 offensive slugfest in their  first meeting this season with Winnipeg notching the win. Now in the rematch I'm expect a more subdued and conservative approach by both teams. I also expect both defensive coordinators to shore up their Ds, in preparation for this tilt.  

 SASKATCHEWAN is 10-2 UNDER  revenging a same season loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of just 40 ppg going on the board. 

Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 like Sask- off 1 or more straight overs, a good offensive team (28-32 PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-32 PPG) are 24-5 UNDER the l/20 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Ottawa after winning the Grey Cup last season, came into this season with a huge target on their backs. The RedBlacks played hard like they always do , but ran themselves down, in some grueling hard fought early season games. Last week after 8 days of rest, they smashed the lowly Hamilton Ti-Cats by a 37-18 for their first comfortable win giving them a 2-6 record on the season.  Now this week , against a hungry and under rated BC Lions team, I'm betting they will experience a let down effort, vs a team that played the leagues top team Calgary last week very tough losing a heart breaking 21 -17 decision, and that  a week after losing the 2nd of a home and home vs the Saskatchewan Riders. BRITISH COLUMBIA has reacted well in this situation going   6-0 ATS  L/6 after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses .

BRITISH COLUMBIA is also 10-1 ATS  L/11 in non-conference games winning SU by an average of 9.1 ppg.

Meanwhile, OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS  L/6  in home games after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game which happened against Hamilton last time out.

. Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.RedBlacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Lions are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games.

CFL team vs the money line like the RedBlacks - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 7-38 L/45 dating back 5 seasons also  CFL  team vs the money line like the RedBlacks - a lower tier team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are just 5-43 for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors.

CFL Road underdogs or pick like the Lions- in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games are a long term profitable side to back going 95-48 ATS dating back 21 seasons.

Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

After a hard fought physical 27-20 win vs Ottawa last week as visitors , I expect the Eskies at 7-0 will be a little tired and vulnerable here this week in their 2nd straight road game , vs what is now becoming a very explosive Winnipeg offense, that beat up on Hamilton last time out by a  39-12 count . Look for Winnipeg team that averages 34.4 ppg  to come out of this on top, buoyed by their home field advantage and under rated talent.

EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game. EDMONTON is 6-17 ATS  L/23 after 2 straight wins by 8 or less points. WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS  L/14 as an underdog.

CFL team Winnipeg - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents are 107-63 ATS 63% conversion rate 21 years.

CFL Road teams vs. the money line like Edmonton - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game are 5-33 L/38 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors. Also Road teams vs. the money line like the Eskies - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 90 or more total yards in their previous game are 4-26  L/30 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors.

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection

 BC has had the Sask Roughriders number for a while now , as is evident by having won 7 straight meetings SU including 3 straight as visitors. Now we have a situation where , a famous Einstein quote comes into play.

The definition of insanity is when you do the same thing over and over again and expect different results.

While all good and bad runs must come to end, this individual situation I'm betting does not warrant a change in flow in my humble opinion. The Lions on paper matchup very well, vs the Green Riders, and barring some unforeseen circumstances are the right side here tonight.

SUSASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring opponents by 5+ PPG on the season . BC HC Buono is 11-1 ATS L/12 off 1 or more consecutive unders , which has just happened. SASKATCHEWAN is 0-7 ATS   after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game .

Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

The Hamilton ti Cats were completely embarrassed last week losing 60-1 to the Calgary Stampeders. That was the 2rd worst loss in the franchise history, and third worst loss in league archives history. That loss came a week after they almost defeated this weeks opponent the Edmonton Eskimos, losing a heart breaking 31-28 battle at home. Now after that last ugly effort, and redemption at hand, I expect we will see  a much better effort from the Ti-Cats this week vs a Eskimos side off an emotional win vs the BC Lions last week for first place in the West. Now in a natural letdown spot, I expect Edmonton will not be in top form, making getting points a solid proposition. I know its hard, backing a side that was just annihilated , but I'm betting last week result was an anomaly , and that the coaching staff and player personnel will  be better prepared.

EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS l/6  when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ). EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS  L/6 after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game.  The Ti Cats have won and covered their L/2 visits to Edmonton. The L/5 games in this series have been decided by 3,3,3,6, and 7 points .

Play on the Hamilton Tiger Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection

Toronto (3-2) played hard in a recent win vs the Ottawa RedBlacks, and came away with a 3 point victory. The margin was not impressive but the work ethic, and coaching staff impressed me as did some of their defensive stands. Maybe just maybe, the Argos are on their way back up the proverbial ladder. Meanwhile, the Saskatchewan (1-3) Roughriders remain very talented, finished 2016 with a 15-2-1 record , but were upset in a key play off game in OT vs the eventual Grey Cup Champion RedBlacks. Watching them lose to Calgary last week, showed me this team seems to still feeling the effects of last years deflating final result, and their not playing with the same urgency they played last season with. Today I'm expecting the hungrier team (Toronto) to cover the number and possibly pull off an upset. This I'm also betting might finally wake the Roughriders up moving forward. 

The Argos are 2-0 SU/ATS in their L/2 games in Saskatchewan.

SASKATCHEWAN is 2-11 ATS L/13 versus good passing defenses - allowing 7.4 or less passing yards/att. SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS  L/12 after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games .SASKATCHEWAN is 1-9 ATS L/10 as a home favorite of 7 points or less.

CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Saskatchewan - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are just 8-33 ATS L/41 opportunities for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors. Also CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Saskatchewan - good passing team - with a completion pct of 61% or better, after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game 4-24 L/28 for a go against conversion rate of 86% for bettors.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection

This CFL conflict between host Edmonton and visiting BC features two teams with four-game win streaks vying for first place . This is a big early season game, and 'm betting the Eskies top tier D that has, allowed a league-low eight touchdowns in total and 307.5 yards of net offence per game outperforms the Lions top tier offense.

B.C. is the West Division’s best passing team with 338.6 yards per game, while the Eskimos boast the fewest passing yards allowed in the league at 240.8 yards per game. The Eskimos key to key stops and frustrating opposing offenses has been the pressure generated by the defensive line, who will once again give the Eskimos the edge tonight and get us the win. Edmonton has won the three most recent meetings in Alberta and took the first game they played this year on the road by a FG, and  tonight I'm betting nothing changes.

CFL Road teams straight up like BC Lions - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opposition by 70 or more total yards in their previous game are just 5-32 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 1 unit reg selection

The line on this game has moved enough for me to back the hard working defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBalcks vs a upstart Toronto team that maybe getting a little to much respect in this spot. The RedBalcks maybe just 1-3 on the season, but have played a hard early season schedule, that might be taxing on some teams, but will be a catalyst for the RedBlacks , to get back in winning form vs a Toronto team that despite of being 2-2 is not the superior team in this matchup. It must be noted that Ottawa's first 4 games of the season were decided by a total of 7 points, and their win vs under rated Montreal on the July 24 was by 5 points. If the RedBalcks lose this game Im betting the margin , will be extremely close and we will get the cover. I however, won;t be surprised by a straight up win by the visitors here.

OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS  after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game. OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good defensive teams - allowing 6.4 or less yards/play.TORONTO is 0-6 ATS  versus poor rushing teams - averaging 4.6 or less rushing yards/carry .OTTAWA is 15-4 ATS L/19 versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game.TORONTO is 1-10 ATS L/11 after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games .

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

BC defense has looked tremendous in their L/3 games, allowing an average of 19 ppg,and I feel they have not peaked yet. Meanwhile, Winnipeg despite of doing decently offensively to this point in the season, will have alot of problems putting points on the board against a staunch D, according to my own cross reference data power rankings. The Bombers expected low output  I am betting will directly effect the total score of this tilt, to the low side of the number.

Historical Trends: BRITISH COLUMBIA is 48-22 UNDER L/70 games versus poor defensive teams - giving up 29 or more points/game with a combined average of 50 ppg getting scored.WINNIPEG is 28-14 UNDER L/42 in road games in July games with a combined average of 28.9 ppg going on the scoreboard.

League Wide Situational Trends: CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 like the Lions - off 1 or more straight overs, a good offensive team (28-32 PPG) against a poor defensive team (28-32 PPG) are 24-4 UNDER dating back 20 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for under bettors. Also CFL Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 52 like the Lions - off 2 consecutive road wins, with a winning record on the season are 24-5 UNDER dating back 20 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for under bettors.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

BC was upset in their first game of the season but have responded with two strong back to back road efforts. The Lions defense, has been particularly strong, with the offense still not hitting its full potential yet. Meanwhile, Hamilton in partial rebuild mode, has come out looking much weaker than anticipated, on both sides of the ball, and very much looks like fade material after two straight losses by DD deficits. 

HAMILTON is 2-11 ATS L/13 in home games versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 75 or less rushing yards/game.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-1 ATS L/10 in non-conference games .BRITISH COLUMBIA is 10-1 ATS L/11 off 1 or more consecutive unders.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games in the first half of the season.

CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the ti Cats - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 8-32 ATS L/40 times dating back 5 seasons.CL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 ti -Cats - off a non-conference game are 9-37ATS dating back 5 seasons.

Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

After two grueling tilts against the Calgary Stampeders to start their season, the defending Grey Cup Champs, had a down performance last time out, and were upset vs the  Toronto Argos , a scenario that I envisioned. Now however, after their shabby effort, they will now be ready to perform, vs a Edmonton Eskimos team that despite of 2 straight wins, are still a little over rated. No body plays harder than the RedBlacks in this league, and  despite of the Eskies wanting to make a mark vs the defending champs, the RedBalks won't go without a hardcore fight and must be respected as underdogs.

OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.EDMONTON is 5-15 ATS  after 2 straight wins by 8 or less points.

CFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ottawa - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, in the first half of the season are a bankroll expanding 25-4 ATS in the followup game dating back 20 seasons for an amazing 86% conversion rate for betting backers.

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

After two straight grueling games to begin their season, vs the defending champion RedBlacks, the talented Calgary Stampeders started slowly last week  vs the Winnipeg Jets, but came on strong in 

the 2nd half to get the win. Now back on the road again, they find themselves  even more exhausted than last week, and after putting out even more energy in the 2nd half of the last game come in here very vulnerable and susceptible to being upset.  The Als have been very competitive in all 3 games they have played to this point, and very much look like viable home underdogs in this spot.

CALGARY is 5-20 ATS L/25  after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.

CL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Calgary - off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season.are 8-30 ATS L/38 in their follow up game.

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection