The defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa Grey Blacks took part in two very close back and forth grueling games to start their season, vs the same team they upset for the Championship last season, the Calgary Stampeders. Now in a natural letdown situation the exhausted RedBlacks look susceptible to being upset, vs an improved Toronto Argos squad that despite of being upset as favorites last week vs BC, have a good chance at pulling off the upset and more importantly getting us the cover in this spot. 

Argos HC Trestman is 7-0 ATS  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite in his career.TORONTO is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games in the first half of the season dating back a few seasons.

CFL Favorites like Ottawa - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 2 or more straight wins are 16-43 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors.

Play on Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection

Calgary just played two straight grueling close games against the defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBlacks and are now in a letdown situation heading into this tilt against a Winnipeg team that has covered 6 straight games vs a winning team dating back to last season. Winnipeg is also adapt at cashing as underdogs and have turned the trick 9 of the L/11 times getting points. Make no mistake that the Stamps are the superior team, but this is a good spot, for Winnipeg to keep the contest close or pull of the upset at home in front of their own fans.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like th Bombers - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 49-15 ATS dating back 20 seasons for a potent 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Winnipeg to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Edmonton was in top form and hyped up in a a underdog win on the road vs the BC Lions last time out, and will be in a natural letdown state this week vs the visiting Montreal Als , who won a 17-16 decision vs Saskatchewan.The Als have a new quarterback, a rebuilt offensive line and have added receiver Ernest Jackson, one of the Canadian Football League’s most-coveted free agents last February and Im betting they can now compete tonight vs the explosive Edmonton Eskimos. I know lat week was not an indication of what their able to achieve offensively, but this team will come around. QUOTE: We’re not at all concerned about the offensive output. I have supreme confidence everything’s going to work,”  END QUOTE: general manager Kavis Reed, the architect of this team, said Monday as he watched his club practice indoors at Olympic Stadium. 

EDMONTON is 11-26 ATS L/37 after gaining 8.6 or more yards/play in their previous game and is 20-36 ATS L/56 off an upset win as an underdog. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Als - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games 35-7 ATS dating back 20 seasons. 

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection

A strong Edmonton Eskimos side upset a very good BC Lions team last week and now the Lions will be very motivated for redemption. Meanwhile,  the under rated Toronto  Argos also pulled off an upset vs the over rated  Hamilton Tiger Cats  last week. In the long run, I'm not sold on a rebuilding Argos ability to perform well vs a loaded side like the Lions and feel this week they are going to get knocked down a few notches.

BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-16 ATS L/48  off an upset loss as a home favorite. TORONTO is 1-8 ATS  in home games in non-conference games and TORONTO is 4-13 ATS in home games.TORONTO is 4-15 ATS  in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog.

CFL Underdogs or pick like the Lions - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse, in non-conference games are 43-14 ATS  for a 75% conversion rate for bettors dating back 20 seasons.CFL Road underdogs or pick like the Lions - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-5 ATS L/31 for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the British Columbia Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection

The defending Grey Cup Champs fought hard last week in a OT tie to these same Calgary Stampeders  in Ottawa in rematch of last season championship game. Now in the 2nd rematch I once again expect the RedBlacks will not roll over and die and have alot to prove to their detractors who constantly tell us their inferior championship team. What few seem to realize is that, this RedBlacks team may not be as talented as some other teams in this league, but what they do have is grit and pride, and no one in this league plays as hard as they do. With that said, I'm recommening we take the points here. 

OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS  in road games off a non-conference game and 9-1 ATS in their L/10 June games. OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS L/14  in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 points.

CFL Road underdogs or pick like the RedBlacks - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-5 ATS. CFL Favorites like the Stamps - first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 6 or more wins in last 8 games, team that had a winning record last season are just 13-37 ATS dating back 20 seasons.

Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Hamilton and Toronto both underachieved last season. In the final meeting between both teams the Argos prevailed by a 33-21 count.   

Hamilton had a boatload full of injuries, and despite of their starting QB being healthy now (Zach Collaros) the offensive line is under reconstruction, and will take time to jell and protect their man under center. Meanwhile, /Toronto is a senior laiden team with a vertran QB at the helm in Ricky Ray, a decent running game behind veteran Brandon Whittaker and and a above average WR with Green and Fuller. The Argos defense was horrible last season, but with Corey Chamblin now at the helm, things will improve. With that said, the Argos look very much like viable dogs in this spot.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Argos  - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse. CFL Underdogs or pick like Toronto - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are also 73-33 ATS.

Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

These offenses lineup to look pretty potent on paper, but in early season games, alot of kinks still have to be worked out and flow will still be a few weeks from being at a peak optimal point. I think this Total would have been more accurate after 3 games are played, but right now this Total looks weak, which makes for a viable under wager.

Under is 6-1 in Eskimos last 7 games as a road underdog of -3.0 or less.Under is 7-2 in Eskimos last 9 games as a road underdog.Under is 7-2 in Lions last 9 games in June.Under is 19-7 in Lions last 26 games as a favorite of 3.0 or less.

EDMONTON is 8-0 L/8 UNDER  in road games in June games with a combined average of 42.4 ppg going on the board.EDMONTON is 24-7 L/31 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 56.

 Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Ottawa's offense, is going through a change this year at the starting QB position, as Henry Burris retires and is replaced with Trevor Harris,  The  RedBlacks will also see two of four 1000 yard receivers depart, which will see them replaced with two younger WRs which will result in  ,  the teams offense taking some time to jell. Tonight against a revenge minded Calgary group that they beat for the Grey Cup, a concerted effort to slow the Stamps down, and take away their flow will result  in a game  Im expecting will see a combined score that remains on the low side of the number.

My own projections estimate that this line is a full FG higher than it should be, giving us an edge with an under wager.

Calgary in their L/7 road games with a total of 49.5 to 56 have seen an average combined score of 51.6 ppg go on the board. CALGARY is 13-2 UNDER  L/15 in June games with a combined average of 45.9 points per game going on the scoreboard. Ottawa in their L/32 games with a line of 3 to +3 has seen a combined average score of 48.3 ppg go on the scoreboard.OTTAWA in their L/12  home games in the first month of the season have seen a  combined average of 51.5 ppg go on the board. 

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Over the last few seasons the pundits keep expecting a Saskatchewan turnaround, but it has not happened. Now many of the so called experts have abandoned the possibility of the Roughriders return to glory. I myself am still waiting and watching, on how it all plays out, but one thing I do believe is that this line on this game is now slightly bloated, as these same experts expect a miraculous Allouettes turnaround and a new era under new GM Reed & HC Chapdelaine and often injured QB Durant who is out looking for revenge for being released by the Roughriders last season. I'm betting that revenge angle is over played and Roughriders Chris Jones and company will be well prepared to face a QB that has struggled recently and that they know like the back of their hands.

CFL Underdogs or pick like Saskachewan - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse, in non-conference games are 41-14 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Tigtening the peremiters even more it must be also noted that CFL Road underdogs or pick like Saskatchewan - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 24-5 L/29 for a 83% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons.Also CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Sask - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games are 34-7 ATS for a 83% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons.

SASKATCHEWAN is 78-54 ATS  as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back 21 seasons.

 Play on the Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover 1 unit reg selection 

 Home underdogs or pick like Hamilton are 30-7 ATS L/37 - with a winning percentage of between .400-. 490 in the second half of the season.

Play on Hamilton to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Eskimos QBs and recievers are dangerous and can score on anyone in this league, and as long as they play adequate D, the Eskies will be hard to beat   .  Yes, I know their Defense, has out right been a bust so far, but their talent level suggests they, may not be as bad as the media keeps telling us. The Red Blacks still have not won at home this season, and have yet to find offence, defence and special teams,” in front of their own fans, The REDBLACKS scored a huge overtime win with Trevor Harris coming off the bench in Edmonton earlier in the season. Its now payback time. 

Edmonton to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Projected total combined score : 53.5 ... Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Projected score: Hamilton Ti Cats 34 BC Lions 16 

Play on the Hamilton Ti Cats to win vs the spread 

Former Alouettes cornerback Mitchell White continues to suggest he was a victim of the salary cap and intimated there’s a deep-rooted problem between some defensive players and their coordinator, Noel Thorpe. I think its obvious and that the Als overall  chemistry situation will rare its ugly head in tonights opening event in Winnipeg. Montreal enters tis game off a horrendous 1-6 run to finish last season and have only won 3 of their L/12 road games.Winnipeg linebacking corps which is going to be anchored by two Americans this season, Ian wild and Khalil looked set to finally stop explosive runs.The Bombers have one of the league’s elite Canadians in defensive end Jamaal Westerman, who finished second last season with 17 sacks.Their placekicking game should be excellent thanks to the free agent signing of Justin Medlock, the most accurate kicker in CFL history. The offensive line is also set to improve and will Im betting provide QB Willy with much needed protection. Winnipeg has done well vs Montreal in the past and won 5 of the L/6 meetings and Im betting on more of the same tonight.

Play on Winnipeg to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats have amazing stoppers and own the  CFL  most prolific defense and will once again go with a record-setting group as they did last season, even though they have lost 7 starters.  The replacement group coached by Orlando Steinhauer is even better than the last group. Not since the 1989 Edmonton Eskimos, who allowed just 302 points, have you seen such a defence that is so friggin hard  to score on. Meanwhile, Toronto will be much improved this season, but putting points up on the board against this kind of over powering opponent will be no easy feat. Yes, even if oftern ijured QB Ricky Ray is healthy. Add to that , a  Toronto D, that is less than top notch , I cannot see the Argos coming out of this one unscathed and eventually  looking for answers. I know this is the opening game at  BMO Field  , but getting points here is a value play with Hamilton who are now operating behind a  healthy QB Collaros and underrated pivot Masoli. 

Play on the Hamilton Ti-Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Toronto Argos  to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Toronto is 6-0 UNDER L/6 in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons 38.8 ppg on average . Ottawa is 8-1 UNDER  in home games after playing their last game on the road  with an average of 33.9 ppg going on the board. Argos are 9-1 UNDER   after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread with an average 41.1 ppg going on the board!  With QB Ricky Ray out for the Argos their offense will not be as fluent, and their defense will once again be what they base their successes or failures on. 

Play UNDER the set Total 1 unit reg selection 

This Saskatchewan team is 0-8. But with just a few breaks, should have a much better record. Desperation is no longer an issue, as a calm has come over this team, after this nasty run!  Losing game in and game out despite of having enough talent, to get wins, can be frustrating. But like a grizzled war veteran that has been through hell and back this should make the Roughriders a better more cohesive team, and Im betting tonight they get the cover, vs a Ottawa side in a down mode after a emotional loss to inter provincial rival Toronto last time out. No team in this league wants the be the first to lose to the Riders, which will put added pressure on this young core of RedBlack players. 

Saskatchewan to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Play OVER the set Total 1 unit reg selection 

The BC Lions have won two games this season, both against winless Saskatchewan. Truth is despite of the accolades and praise the  media seem to throw around when describing the Lions, the team seems to continue to lack chemistry, and cohesiveness. Remember this is a team that in the off season made alot of changes both to  player personal and coaching staff, and it has shown itself on the field. Meanwhile, despite of a early season loss to Grey cup contender Toronto, the Eskimos are now rolling on all cylinders and will be hard to stop and are viable road favorites in this spot.

BC has failed to cover in 8 straight games going back to last season. 

Toronto has won two straight in this series both home and away.

Eskies have won 4 straight by DD, and are 7-3 ATS vs the West dating back to last season.

Play on the Edmonton Eskimos 1 unit reg selection 

Projected score: Hamilton Ti Cats 34 Toronto Argos 21

Hamilton Tiger cats to cover 1 unit reg selection

After last weeks humiliating 32-2 loss. and the possible loss of their starting QB Glenn, the linesmakers over reacted and posted the Bombers as 5 point home dogs. Truth is Glenn only has a minor injury and will now probably play, and secondly after the last game being their third consecutive road game the Bombers were exhausted. Before that, the team played admirably, and were in every game. Meanwhile, BC with a completely new coaching staff and some new key cogs  on both defense and offense can not be counted on to be consistent, especially in the visitors role. Big time value in my opinion with the home side. 

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection 

The Blue Bombers defensive will be ready to take advantage to injuries of both offensive tackles of the Stampeders in this matchup. Also Calgary did not look all that cohesive in their win over Toronto and looked a little more ragged than expected, which has me backing a Bombers team that could surprise and I feeel could certainly cover this number ?  The Stamps  on a short week and with a makeshift offensive line,  might not have the guns to cover this number, and I am betting on a hard fought affair. 

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover the number 1 unit reg selection 

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers 1 unit reg selection 

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats are well rested after their bye week in Week 3. After losing a heart-breaker to Calgary, they crushed the Bombers in Week 2, the team tonights opponent the Als  just lost to.  TiCats are  2-1 coming off the bye week - their lone loss was last year without Zach Collaros and they nearly defeated Calgary, in Calgary and still covered the all important number. With Montreal dealing with a pile of injuries and an inexprienced QB at the helm of the offense, things may not go smoothly tonight vs a side with two weeks to prepare for this battle, 

Hamilton Ti Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection

These teams have played some very competitive games in the recent past, with 9 of the L/12 getting decided by 10 or less points. Both teams look at themselves as Grey Cup Contenders, and Im betting, on both sides to be sky high and ready to compete.

Argos are 4-1 L/5 road games and are 8-2 ATS L/10 meetings including 4 straight covers here in Calgary.

Take the points with the Toronto Argos 1 unit reg selection 

Im very impressed by the Riders offesnsive line and believe that with the new rules, the Riders are going to be darn explosive and have run only one play so far for a loss of yards. I know that the Riders defense, looked bad last time out vs Toronto, but they were more solid than many might think, and that will become obvious tonight. BC in  my opinion looks disorganized, and will take time to adjust to a new coach- Tefford, who had some up down seasons, with the University of California. Personaly I do not like his coaching style. Taking the points is a viable wager here this evening. 

Sask Roughriders to cover 1 unit reg selection 

And now, without the injured Jonathan Crompton and Dan LeFevour behind centre, the season might rest on Montreal’s defence. The Als are acutally down to their 4 and 5th QBs which is problematic to say the least.  The odds are high that this team will struggle to score. That was evident last week against the Ottawa Red Blacks where the team had alot of problems moving the ball. Against a tough Calgary team, that must be considered Grey Cup contenders the problems could even more intense. Meanwhile, Calgary is off a come from behind 24-23 win vs Hamilton which they failed to cover in dramatic fashion, and could easily be in a let down situation, which might very well have them slow off the mark which could also contribute to what Im betting will be a lower scoring affair.

 Under is 8-3 in Stampeders last 11 games following a ATS loss.Under is 10-2 in Alouettes last 12 games following a S.U. loss.Under is 18-7 in Alouettes last 25 games overall.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

The Blue Bombers were a very surprising 30-26 underdog winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Roughriders in a rivalry game,that  had alot of big time energy attached to it and I can see a natural deflation situation occurring today vs a strong Hamilton Tigers Cats squad. Last time out for Hamilton, they were a 24-23 loser as they battled the Stampeders on the road in a heart breaking loss, and will be prepared for a bounce back effort this week vs a side that they have beaten 5 straight times.

Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.Winnipeg is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games . Winnipeg is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home.

Play on the Hamilton Tiger Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection 

Projected score: Hamilton 28 Winnipeg 23

Ottawa had dismal season last year, via an offense that averaged just 15.4 ppg, but now  should be much improved offensively because of a new offensive coordinator in Jason Maas and  wide receiver corps, that has the talent to get the job done. Meanwhile the host  Als plan to go with a two quarterback system early this season, with Jonathan Crompton taking snaps, and Dan LeFevour coming in later to add a completely different dimension. This will keep the Red Blacks defense from getting comfortable, which should help the Allouettes put some points on the board. The Als offense, will face , a D-line that had league-low 37 sacks from last season. Im betting both teams do more damage than many might expect. 

Note:Plus the new no contact rule should help to promote offence by giving receivers a free release off the line.The flow of the game will be increased, and  there will be more up tempo pace to it and more opportunities for scoring.

Play on the OVER 1 unit reg selection 

The Ticats, despite their 2-7 record, are second in the league against the run , SO SASKATCHEWAN will be going to the pass alot more , and will stretch the TiCats secondary. Interim QB Sunseri has done just fine when called upon this season, winning two games in relief of  the injured Durant, including last week’s Banjo Bowl against Willy and the Bombers. This is going to force the home team to get away from the run and keep up offensively with a heavy aerial attack which is going to make for a high scoring tilt. 

OVER the set Total 1 unit reg selection

CFL  |  Sep 07 '14 13:05
Montreal Alouettes vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats

 The Ticats are a better team than many might think, and have been in every game they have played this year despite of the results associated  with a quirky record. With  now healthy quarterback Zach Collaros completing 27-of-38 passes for 317 yards and a TD in his first game since suffering a concussion July 4 they (the Ticats) are now  a team to be reckoned with. (Last weeks win vs Toronto also showed me how staunch the Tabbies defense can be allowing TO just 146 net yards in a 13-12 win in their new digs. Considering Montreal inept offense, and some key injuries on defense this past week, I feel the Als are at a disadvantage. 

Hamilton Tiger Cats to win/cover 1 unit reg selection 

CFL  |  Sep 01 '14 16:35
Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Eskimos

The Battle of Alberta will also be for top spot in the CFL’s standings.

The Calgary Stampeders host the Edmonton Eskimos on Monday (TSN, 4:30 p.m.) to kick off their annual Labour Day home-and-home series. The teams will meet again Sept. 6 at Commonwealth Stadium with much more on the line than just bragging rights.

There’s not much separating Calgary and Edmonton. They boast the CFL’s top offences (Calgary first at 27.9 points per game, Edmonton next at 26.8) and their defences are 1-2 in fewest points allowed (15.1 for Calgary, 17.8 for Edmonton).

The diference maker here today will come via home field, the intuitive fact that   that tells me Calgary has not turned on the high octane engines yet, and will be ready to let them roll today as they will prepared to send a message to the Eskies. 

Calgary is 16-5 SU versus Edmonton since 2008, having won the last nine head-to-head matchups. Im betting on one more and more importantly a win and cover.

Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Eskimos-Calgary Stampeders 

-4.5 -110 1 unit reg selection 

The Bombers had to play two games within a five-day span last week, with predictable results. Winnipeg dropped a 23-17 home decision to the defending Grey Cup champions Saskatchewan Roughriders on Aug. 7, then suffered a 38-21 setback in Toronto on Aug. 12.

The Bombers will now be well rested and ready for an explosive performance when they host the Montreal Alouettes (1-6) on Friday night.West teams have dominated their Eastern brethren, amassing an amazing 20-3 sU head-to-head record.

Getting points have been a problem for a Montreal offence averaging a league-low 15.8 per game, and wont get much better as starting QB Troy Smith is down with an injury and will have to use Alex Brink who went just 19-31 last week . While Winnipeg seems to be able to generate alot of offense, when in a groove especially through the air (2nd in the league) behind QB Willy. The Bombers came from behind for a 34-33 victory earlier this season when the teams met, but Im betting the Bombers will be well prepared to take down the Als tonight in much more decisive fashion in front of their home town fans. 

Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers 1 unit reg selection 

 It's a very difficult proposition for a West Coast side trying to win back to back games ATS on the road. The Eskies took out Montreal last week 33-23 and covered, but this week Im betting on Ottawa standing tall and making a game out of this , much like they did earlier this season against Toronto and got the 18-17 win and cover. The Red Blacks at home, on their own turf will be much more formidable than many pundits might believe. 

*Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win

Play on the Ottawa Red Blacks to cover ( 1 unit reg selection)

Edmonton returns to action after sitting idle this past week, as the Eskimos go up against the Montreal Alouettes on Friday at Percival Molson Stadium. Im betting the Eskies will be ready to unload in a big way on rested legs. I know the inability of the  Als offense to become even a minor threat is troublesome, but the team has been working on their offense, and will be more dearing this week, as they look to get untracked. This will translate into a game that goes over the total. Note: the Als added former CFL/NFL quarterback Jeff Garcia to the coaching staff on Monday.

Play OVER the set Total ( 1 unit reg selection)