NFL Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
09-07-14 |
New England Patriots v. Miami Dolphins +5 |
|
20-33 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
This game features the Patriots at the Dolphins. I said this last year and was wrong that the Dolphins would take over the AFC East but this year I believe that will happen last season had alot of behind the scenes issues that won't be there this season. Vegas and the public are giving the Dolphins zero credit in this game as in this spot getting this many points with the phins is a gift. The Patriots have won the last 5 meetings between these two teams expect the Dolphins to really want and have to have this game. 80% of the public is backing the road Patriots here this is a square players delight today. Take the Dolphins plus the points here for a 15* winner.
|
09-07-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Atlanta Falcons -1.5 |
Top |
34-37 |
Win
|
100 |
2547 h 18 m |
Show
|
This game features the New Orleans Saints at the Atlanta Falcons. Yes it's only May 24th as I write this but as a seasoned sports investor you are trained to jump on a line you feel is way off and that is the case with this play. The Falcons are off a brutal year last year but that is mainly due to many many key injurys. That will not be the case in 2014 as they will add key draft picks and will have the Saints at home for this one. The public is salivating over getting the Saints with points as 70% of the betting public has pounced on this line but I expect this line to be -3 to -3.5 at kickoff 9/7 so grabbing the Falcons at close to a pk is a early Christmas gift from Vegas. Take the Falcons here minus the small spread for a big time 20* EARLY INVESTOR SPECIAL. Lock this in asap.
|
09-04-14 |
Green Bay Packers +5.5 v. Seattle Seahawks |
|
16-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
107 h 0 m |
Show
|
This opening night NFL game has the Packers at the Seahawks. I expect revenge to be in the mind of the Packers tonight as they get their rematch with the team that beat them under controversy a few years back. Packers I believe have a Super Bowl ready squad and getting points like this is a gift. Public is 50/50 in this game and despite the fact it's very tough to play in Seattle I expect the Packers to be ready to go and keep this game tight till the end. Take the plus points and the Packers for a 15* winner.
|
02-02-14 |
Seattle Seahawks +3 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
43-8 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 39 m |
Show
|
This game features the 13-3 Seahawks versus the 13-3 Broncos. When this line opened the public swarmed all over the Broncos betting them huge. Still to this point the betting public is at 70% bets placed are on Denver. 3 is a key number here wait or buy up to 3 as I believe Seattle wins this game outrite but getting a field goal with this defense is a gift. The public is wrong alot when it comes to the Super Bowl and betting this game sharp is key. We will follow the Sharps here with a big 20* play on the Seahawks plus the points. Also take Lynch to win Super Bowl MVP for some extra cash.
|
01-26-14 |
Team Rice v. Team Sanders UNDER 89.5 |
Top |
22-21 |
Win
|
103 |
12 h 43 m |
Show
|
This game features Team Rice versus Team Sanders. Let's face it the NFL Pro Bowl is almost unwatchable but I'm seeing a investment opportunity on the Under tonight as this total continues to drop from where it opened at. It opened at 93 and is at 89 in most spots so shop for the best line. 60% of the betting public is backing the over here and despite that it's dropping. Last year the score was 62-35 but this year we will see a more focused defensive effort by both teams as they strive to make the game more legit. Take the under here for a nice 10* win.
|
01-19-14 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -3 |
Top |
17-23 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 0 m |
Show
|
This game features the 49ERS at the Seahawks. Before the playoffs started I was asked to write a article giving out what team had the best futures odds to win the Superbowl. I gave out the Niners at 5-1 odds. But I have to use real world stats and trends so for us the Seahawks will be our play here thanks to a trend that's cashed 28 straight times. San Francisco is in a tough spot as historically teams do not do well when playing in a 4 straight road games and system tighteners get the system a 91% investment in this line range, In championship games the spread has not played much of a factor as the winning teams have covered 73 of 81 with a few ties mixed in. This is the 3rd game between these two teams. In the first contest here in Seattle the Seahawks destroyed the 49ers 29-3, then they lost a close one 19-17 back in San Francisco. These teams have near identical Offensive numbers.Seattle is 11-3 ats in a revenge spot and has won 8 of 9 here when the total is between 38.5 and 42. Niners are 0-4 straight when the line is between a pk and 3. The Seahawks are 17-4 straight up and ats at home off a home game and perfect if they failed to cover that last home game. The public is all over the Niners here at a rate of 67% yet this line hasn't budged. Take Seattle minus the points but I would buy to key number of -3 if possible for a 20* max play.
|
01-19-14 |
New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos -4 |
Top |
16-26 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 41 m |
Show
|
This game features the Patriots at the Broncos. Now if you follow my plays all season we have been very very good playing on or against the Patriots all year. Hell we even open up the season with a win with the Broncos. Denver is very tough 8-1 at home this season. Broncos got a wake up call against the Chargers last week as they had a 17 point lead going into the 4th that they almost gave away. The Patriots are 0-4 ats in there last 4 conference championships. The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Alot of public money has been pouring in on the Road dog Patriots at a rate of 67% I'll gladly take the home team here minus the points for a 10* play.
|
01-12-14 |
San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos -8 |
Top |
17-24 |
Loss |
-120 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
This game features the Chargers at the Broncos. Just like the Pats last night that we backed to easy money I think this Broncos game will go pretty similar to that game. Denver is just flat out a'lot better then the Chargers they've had a extra week to prepare and get fresh. Chargers have had a few emotional wins in a row. The public is pounding the road Chargers here at a rate of 56%. Take the Broncos minus the points for a big 10* winner.
|
01-12-14 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers +3 |
Top |
23-10 |
Loss |
-140 |
44 h 56 m |
Show
|
This game features the San Francisco 49ers at the Carolina Panthers. Two Great team square off Sunday and before the playoffs started the Niners were my pick to win it all at 5-1 odds but here we get great value with the home team. The 49ers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 meetings and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Carolina. The Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games & are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. Lot's of public action on the away Niners 76% of the public are locked and loaded yet the line has gone from +3 to near a PK. Lot's of sharps backing the Panthers here and so will we for a big 20* play.
|
01-11-14 |
Indianapolis Colts v. New England Patriots -7 |
Top |
22-43 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 40 m |
Show
|
This game features the Colts at the Patriots. Two teams that in my mind aren't the best but here in this case rest and experience will win out as the Pats off a bye week are tough.The Patriots are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games coming off a bye including easy wins the last two years in the Divisional round against teams coming off home wins. The Patriots are 8-0 at home this season Covering all six of those when the line is less than 9.5 points. We play against road teams that are coming off a win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 53-21 ATS 71% since 1983. The public is hitting up the road Colts here at a rate of 57% but we are hitting up the home Patriots minus the points for a 10* play.
|
01-11-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks -8.5 |
|
15-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 18 m |
Show
|
9*
|
01-11-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 46 |
Top |
15-23 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 28 m |
Show
|
This game features the Saints at the Seahawks. Last Sunday I hit my NFL playoff total of the year and honestly this one should be much easier. We are catching quite a weather event here in Seattle winds of 30-35 mph with heavy heavy rain. It'll be next to impossible to throw the ball making this a running Football game which should keep that clock moving. Add to that Seattle's great Defense and the Saints whose looked alot better against the Eagles last week. The under is 5-0 in Seattle's last 5 ats. Play on the Under ASAP for a huge 20* play.
|
01-05-14 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 47 |
Top |
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
54 h 22 m |
Show
|
This game features the 49ers at the Packers.At quick glance you would think over in this game but that is very far from true. This line is going to drop the closer it gets to game time as there will be brutal conditions in Green Bay. It's going to be very windy and the wind Chill be be around -10. I expect a normal the Niners Defense to play very well and with the extreme conditions look for Green Bay to play solid on D. Grab this number asap for a 20* play on the Under
|
01-05-14 |
San Diego Chargers +7 v. Cincinnati Bengals |
Top |
27-10 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 46 m |
Show
|
This game features the Chargers at the Bengals. The Chargers are 3-1 ats as a playoff underdog under QB Phillip Rivers. Chargers are also in a great trend play where you play against home favorites off back to back straight up and ats wins of 10 points or more vs an opponent off a win of 3 or less points. Dating back to 1991 these teams are just 3-10 straight up and 1-12 ats. Bengals are also 0-5 straight up and ats in the last 24 years in the playoffs. The public is all over the home Bengals here at a rate of 59% and really this line has stayed at 7 all week and if anything will drop below 7 at gametime. Take the Chargers +7 here for a 10* play.
|
01-04-14 |
New Orleans Saints v. Philadelphia Eagles -125 |
Top |
26-24 |
Loss |
-125 |
34 h 45 m |
Show
|
This game features the Saints at the Eagles in the Saturday Night prime time showdown game. A'lot of squares will be playing on the perceived better team the Saints but there's a reason the Eagles have been favored by Vegas here one reason is they now they will get a ton of action on the Saints if they are giving points with them and just check out the Public they've taken the bait. Saints are 1-5 straight up in there last 6 road games and 0-6 ats in there last 6 on the road. Add to all this the extreme cold tonight in Philly with temps to be around 22 degrees something the Saints are not used to. Expect Philly's ground attack to take over and take the Eagles to win tonight for a 10* winner
|
01-04-14 |
Kansas City Chiefs +2 v. Indianapolis Colts |
Top |
44-45 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 11 m |
Show
|
This game features the Chiefs at the Colts. First off we have well rested starters for the Chiefs in this game and really their backups showed alot of fire. There's just more talent on both sides of the ball for the Chiefs. The public is sitting on the colts at 56% yet this line has moved a ton in the other direction. Telling us a ton of sharp money is on the road Chiefs. Chiefs are 7-1 ats in their last 8 road games. The Colts are 2-5 ats in there last 7 playoff games. Colts are 0-4 ats in there last 4 January games. Take the Chiefs here plus the points or just to flat out win for a 10* play.
|
12-29-13 |
Philadelphia Eagles -7 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
24-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
144 h 22 m |
Show
|
10* Write up pending
|
12-29-13 |
Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears +3 |
Top |
33-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
|
This game features the Packers at the Bears. Who would want to back the Bears after they were dismantled by the Eagles last week? I would yeah I backed the Eagles last week against the Bears but this is a whole other spot for the Bears as they are at home against a Packer team that is a shell of it's former self. Yea they got Aaron Rodgers back but he has got to be rusty after being out as long as he has. The Public is ALL OVER the Packers here at a rate of 70% yet this line hasn't budged off the 3 point spread even after Rodgers was announced as the starter. Take the Bears here plus 3 for a 20* winner.
|
12-29-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals -130 |
Top |
23-20 |
Loss |
-130 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
10*
|
12-29-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. San Diego Chargers -8 |
Top |
24-27 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
This game features the 11-4 Chiefs at the 8-7 Chargers. This game means alot to the Chargers and nothing to the Chiefs who will be resting their starters. The Chargers come in hot having won 3 games straight and won at KC earlier this year 41-38. This number is set really high for a reason the books know how motivation pays a key factor in NFL games. The public is seeing this high number out there for the Chiefs and they are eating it up betting Chiefs at a 58% clip. Take the Chargers minus the points for a 10* play.
|
12-29-13 |
Cleveland Browns v. Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 |
Top |
7-20 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 38 m |
Show
|
This game features the Browns at the Steelers. Browns started off the season pretty nice as they had some good wins but since then have gone on a 1-9 stretch and to me they look lifeless out there. Normally I steer clear from heavy public games but this one looks easy. Steelers offense looks like they are back on track scoring 38 and 30 points last two weeks. Steelers have to win this game to have any shot at the playoffs I expect a fully motivated home team here. Take the Steelers minus the points here for a 10* play.
|
12-23-13 |
Atlanta Falcons v. San Francisco 49ers -14.5 |
Top |
24-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
24 h 47 m |
Show
|
This game features the 4-10 Falcons at the 10-4 Niners. Rarely do I take big public favorites but this is one of those plays you can't pass up. The Falcons can't match up with the Niners and they will be fired up to send out their home stadium out with a big win. Falcons are 0-5 in their last 5 games ats and their Defense is ranked 29th in the league. Niners are 5-0 this season ats versus teams with losing records. Take the Niners for a 10* play minus the points.
|
12-22-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles -145 |
Top |
11-54 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 5 m |
Show
|
This game features the 8-6 Bears at the 8-6 Eagles. Last week we played against the Eagles and took the Vikes for a easy cover. Well this week we are backing the Eagles in this spot. Should the Cowboys not win against the Skins this week the Eagles can clinch there division with a win today. Even if the Cowboys win this game is still important to the Eagles as they could grab the third seed and avoid a trip to Seattle. The Bears are 2-4 in there last 6 Road games. Eagles are a money making 10-1 ats in their last 11. The public is on the Bears here but we are taking the Eagles ML here to win for a 10* play.
|
12-22-13 |
Oakland Raiders +10 v. San Diego Chargers |
|
13-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 47 m |
Show
|
9*
|
12-22-13 |
New England Patriots v. Baltimore Ravens -122 |
Top |
41-7 |
Loss |
-122 |
28 h 49 m |
Show
|
This game features the 10-4 Patriots at the 8-6 Ravens. We were on the wrong side of the Lions at Ravens one of my few losses in the NFL this season as usually I've been right on point. Ravens have won 4 straight and are red hot right now and in pursuit of a playoff bid. Patriots are banged up on offence and last week got exposed by the Dolphins who are no Superbowl team.64% of the public is pounding the Pats here as they think they are getting a great deal when really the best deal is on the Ravens here. Take the Ravens to win for a 20* plays.
|
12-22-13 |
Indianapolis Colts +7 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
|
23-7 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 28 m |
Show
|
9*
|
12-22-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Washington Redskins +3 |
Top |
24-23 |
Win
|
110 |
15 h 29 m |
Show
|
This game features the 7-7 Cowboys at the 3-11 Redskins. There isn't a'lot to play for if your Washington but there's one thing certain the Redskins hate the Cowboys and will be up to try and beat them today at home. We played on the Skins last week and cashed as I really believe they are better with Cousins back there. Skins have lost 6 straight and the Cowboys 2. Dallas just isn't a December team. 65% of the public is backing Big D here and I believe the Skins win out rite today but take the points and Washington for a 10* play.
|
12-16-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Detroit Lions -6.5 |
Top |
18-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
|
This game features the 7-6 Ravens at the 7-6 Lions. Both teams really need a win in tonight's game the Ravens have won 3 games straight but are just 1-5 on the road and just 2-4 ats on the road. Lions carry a 4-2 mark at home and with a Bears and Packers win yesterday they know they will have to win to keep up. Ravens have the Pats next week so a little focus might be on that game next week at home. The Ravens are 2-8 ats in December games and Super Bowl champs on the road vs non division teams off a home game have failed to cover 12 of the last 14. Lions will be ultra focused at home and I believe they will get a easy win here so get a 10* play on the Lions minus the points.
|
12-15-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 |
Top |
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 8 m |
Show
|
This game features the Bengals at the Steelers. There no question the Bengals are the better team but Pittsburgh is a desperate team and really just came up inches short from a huge come from behind win in Miami. The Bengals just aren't the same team on the road. Bengals are 6-0 at home and 3-4 on the road. We played on the Bengals last week and won easy and this week we will be going against them. Pittsburgh falls into a superb situation as we play against road favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after covering the spread in five or six out of their last seven games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 60-29 ATS 67% since 1983. Pittsburgh is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game. Play on the Steelers here for a big 10* winner!
|
12-15-13 |
New England Patriots v. Miami Dolphins +1.5 |
Top |
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 6 m |
Show
|
This game features the 10-3 Patriots at 7-6 Dolphins. There's no question who needs this game more Sunday and it's the Dolphins. There playoff hopes hinge on this game. Really who is Tom Brady going to throw to Sunday with Gronk out and Pats are off 3 straight division wins so this is a major possible let down spot. The public is all over the Pats here at a rate over 70% which is insanity. I've spoken to several locals and all expect to make a killing there is a reason there making this basically a pick they want action on the Pats. I want all clients behind Miami Sunday plus the points if they are giving any for a 20* play!
|
12-15-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. NY Giants +7 |
Top |
23-0 |
Loss |
-105 |
25 h 28 m |
Show
|
10*
|
12-15-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Cleveland Browns +1 |
Top |
38-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
25 h 26 m |
Show
|
This game features the 7-6 Bears at the 4-9 Browns. The Browns are not as bad as their 4-9 record indicates. This line just looks off to me and any seasoned NFL capper knows where to spot the games Vegas are baiting the public into. Bears are just 2-4 on the Road and Jay Cutler should be showing alot of rust. The Browns have a very good defense this season. 67% of the public are backing the road Bears here yet this line has stayed around a pick all week. Take the Browns to win for a 10* play Sunday.
|
12-12-13 |
San Diego Chargers +10.5 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
This game features the Chargers at the Broncos. The Chargers are 4-1 ats in their last 5 games after getting more then 350 total yards in their previous game. They are 5-2 ats versus a team with a winning record. Broncos conversely are 1-5 ats in their last 6 games in week 15. Chargers are a money making 5-0-4 last 9 games ats in Denver. The public is pounding Denver here at a rate of 67% yet this line is going the other way. Take the Chargers plus the points tonight for a big 10* winner.
|
12-09-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears +1.5 |
Top |
28-45 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 20 m |
Show
|
This game features the 7-5 Cowboys at the 6-6 Bears. I really expect a improved effort from the Chicago Bears Defense which is 28th in the league right now. The Cowboys are just 2-4 away from Dallas. Both teams are desperate but I think the Bears will want to show up for their home crowd on national t.v. tonight. 70% of the public money is floating the road Cowboys here which is crazy when you look at their road numbers. I want all clients backing the Bears here plus the points for a 10* play.
|
12-08-13 |
Carolina Panthers +4 v. New Orleans Saints |
Top |
13-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
10*
|
12-08-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers -2.5 |
Top |
17-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 11 m |
Show
|
This game features the 11-1 Seahawks at the 8-4 Niners. How big a game is this for the Niners it's a must win game and a super revenge spot for them as they were man handled earlier this season on National TV in Seattle. The Seahawks are off a short week and emotional big win over the Saints. So alot of factors are in our favor here. Seattle isn't the same team on the road plus they are down some starters here. Seattle has lost 5 straight at the Niners. The public is backing the road Seahawks here and I believe they are dead wrong. Take the Niners minus the points for my 20* NFL GOY play.
|
12-08-13 |
Minnesota Vikings +7 v. Baltimore Ravens |
|
26-29 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
9*
|
12-08-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Cincinnati Bengals -7 |
|
28-42 |
Win
|
101 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
9*
|
12-08-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Washington Redskins +3.5 |
Top |
45-10 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 22 m |
Show
|
10*
|
12-02-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks -4.5 |
Top |
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 46 m |
Show
|
This game features 9-2 Saints at the 10-1 Seahawks. What a game we have Monday Night two of the best teams in the NFC. Rarely do we take favorites but here is one we can't pass up. Saints aren't the same team on the road. The are just 3-2 on the road losing to the Jets and really should have lost to Tampa early on. The Seahawks have the best home field advantage in the league. The public is 50/50 but the true advantage is with the Seahawks. I want all clients on the Seahawks Monday night for a big 10* winner!
|
12-01-13 |
Denver Broncos -5.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
Top |
35-28 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 48 m |
Show
|
This game features the 9-2 Denver at the 9-2 Chiefs. We have really played very well on the Broncos this season. They helped us open the year with a winner and we've played on or against them correctly almost every time this season. I played on the Pats Monday night and I feel just as confident taking the Broncos today as I know both teams are motivated but I think the Chiefs Defense has been really banged up as of late and a motivated Peyton Manning will be tough to beat. I want all clients on the Broncos minus the points for a 10* play as I see blowout written all over this game here.
|
12-01-13 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 |
Top |
21-24 |
Push |
0 |
17 h 46 m |
Show
|
This game features the 7-4 Cardinals at the 6-5 Eagles. Both these teams have been red hot lately. Cards have won 4 straight and the Eagles have won 3 straight. Don't forget the Cardinals are off a very emotional home win against the Colts and now travel west to east and are playing early at 1pm which is a recipe for disaster for west coast teams. Vegas is teasing the public hanging the Cardinals out there at +3 hoping to get some suckers on them. 58% of the public is backing the road Arizona Cardinals me I want all clients on the Eagles minus the points for a huge 20* play please make sure you get -3 if you have to buy a half point do it.
|
12-01-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings -102 |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 40 m |
Show
|
10*
|
12-01-13 |
New England Patriots v. Houston Texans +9 |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
This game features the 8-3 Patriots at the 2-9 Texans. The Patriots made a Huge comeback for us last week as we had them for a BIG play against the Broncos. Coming back after getting down 21 points half way through the first quarter. Teams who come back from monumental deficits tend to play very flat the next week. The Texans play very close games last 5 games decided by 7 or less. They have covered 8 straight after playing the Jags. Look for the Texans to maybe steal this one and I love them plus the points for a 10* play.
|
11-28-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 |
Top |
20-22 |
Loss |
-126 |
35 h 40 m |
Show
|
This game features the 5-6 Steelers at the 5-6 Ravens. Ravens are a different team at home as they are 4-1. Teams on Thanksgiving usually have a big advantage not having to travel on a short week and not being at home with their family. Steelers won a close contest 19-16 earlier this season and so the Ravens have a added revenge factor. Steelers are also on a B2B road spot here which also greatly favors the Ravens. This is a must win game for the Ravens even more then the Steelers. The public is split 50/50 on this game but line has moved toward the Ravens from -1 to -3 in some spots. Take the Ravens minus the points here for a big 10* winner.
|
11-28-13 |
Oakland Raiders +10 v. Dallas Cowboys |
|
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 7 m |
Show
|
9*
|
11-28-13 |
Green Bay Packers v. Detroit Lions -5.5 |
Top |
10-40 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 8 m |
Show
|
10*
|
11-25-13 |
San Francisco 49ers -4.5 v. Washington Redskins |
Top |
27-6 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 13 m |
Show
|
This game features the 6-4 Niners at the 3-7 Redskins. Last weeks loss to the Eagles basically eliminated the Skins from the Playoffs and really made this game a non factor for the Skins. I expect a super motivated Niners team that has dropped 2 straight to want to take the Skins to the woodshed tonight. Normally I stay off of heavy public teams. The Niners are 4-1 ATS as a road favorite -3.5 to -7. They are a great 27-9 ats on Monday night football including 8-0 ats as a road favorite. The Redskins are 1-6 ats as a dog and have lost 4 of their last 5 to the Niners. Road teams are 17-3 ats if both teams played on artificial turf in their last game. All angles lead to a niners bounce back win tonight take them minus the points tonight for a big 10* cover.
|
11-24-13 |
Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots +2.5 |
Top |
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 36 m |
Show
|
This game features the 9-1 Broncos at the 7-3 Patriots. Last week on .Monday Night Football we went against the Broncos and played heavy on the Panthers but tonight we will be siding with The Patriots. Brady leads Manning in one on one match ups 9-4. I just feel the Patriots have alot more to play for off of a bad National TV game there is no doubt they don't want to repeat that against the Broncos here. I believe there was a look ahead Monday night to this game and the Pats will be super prepared. 62% of the public is backing the road Broncos here so we are getting a really nice line with the Pats here. Don't forget the Broncos are off a huge division win over the Chiefs and getting up two weeks straight is hard. I want all clients backing the Pats here plus the points for a 20* play.
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11-24-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Arizona Cardinals -155 |
Top |
11-40 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 12 m |
Show
|
This game features the 7-3 Colts at the 6-4 Arizona. Arizona is red hot right now winning 3 games straight and there defense is playing great. Bruce Arians knows alot about Andrew Luck and will be able to put this hands on info to good use for the Cardinals today. This is like Arizona's Superbowl they want to show the world they are for real and in their mind that's beating the Colts at home. This line went from -1 to -3 even with the public being 50/50. I want all clients to take the Arizona ML here if possible but no need to worry they will easily cover a -3 today so take them for a 500* play
|
11-24-13 |
San Diego Chargers +4.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs |
Top |
41-38 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 7 m |
Show
|
10*
|
11-21-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. Atlanta Falcons +10 |
Top |
17-13 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 5 m |
Show
|
This game features the 8-2 Saints at the 2-8 Falcons. The public has pushed this game all the way up to 10 points. Yes the Falcons are nothing like they were last season but folks there getting 10 at home on national TV. We just can't pass up this great number. 82% of the public is backing the Saints here and this being a short week and the Saints traveling we are going to have a close game here folks. Play on the Falcons +10 here for a 10* play!
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11-18-13 |
New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers -1 |
Top |
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
This game features the 7-2 Patriots at the 6-3 Panthers. Panthers come in red hot having won 5 games in a row and this game means everything to the Panthers. This is their prime time shot to show there for real. Monday night non-division home teams are 12-2 ats off back to back wins vs an opponent that scored 30 or more in their last contest. Tom Brady has failed to cover 5 times after a bye week if he is playing a team that has covered the last 2 games. Look for the ultra motivated Panthers to take it too the Pats tonight. The public is humping this number at a rate of 68% yet this line went 2 points the opposite direction. Take the Panthers to win or minus the small line for a 20* winner.
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11-17-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Denver Broncos -7.5 |
Top |
17-27 |
Win
|
103 |
24 h 16 m |
Show
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This game features the 9-0 Chiefs at the 8-1 Broncos. This game means everything to Denver as they will be out to show they are the dominant team in the NFL. This has been a long season but this is only the second time this season we have backed Denver not because I don't like taking favorites the situation just wasn't right. Denver would take over first place with a win and that's something this team is aware of. The public is all over the Chiefs here as they see it as a great deal.65% of the public is backing the Chiefs here. The Chiefs are 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games against teams averaging 260 or more passing ypg while the Broncos are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games against teams allowing 14 or fewer ppg. Take the Broncos minus the points for a 10* play here.
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11-17-13 |
Minnesota Vikings +13 v. Seattle Seahawks |
|
20-41 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
9*
|
11-17-13 |
Arizona Cardinals -8 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
27-14 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 27 m |
Show
|
This game features the 5-4 Cardinals at the 1-8 Jags. Well we shouldn't see as much fight from the Jags as they finally won last week and the Cardinals are still very much in the Playoff race. Cardinals are 4-0 ats in there last 4 road games and 6-1 ats following a ats loss. Jaguars are 8-19-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. Jaguars are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. So many numbers going against the Jags and the public is 69% backing the Cardinals which is the only bad factor. Take Arizona minus the points here for a easy cover and 10* win.
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11-17-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 |
Top |
27-37 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
10*
|
11-17-13 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 40.5 |
Top |
27-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
This game features the Cardinals at the Jags. Jags are coming off their two highest scoring outputs of the season and two straight overs I really think we are headed to a Under today as the Jags offence will struggle. Jags have stayed Under in all 3 actual home games this season. The Cardinals offence has scored a total of 40 points in it's last 3 road games combined and their Defense is strong. The money is coming in on the Over here yet this total is staying put or dropping. I want all clients to put a 20* play on the under here.
|
11-14-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans +3 |
Top |
30-27 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 33 m |
Show
|
This game features the Colts at the Titans. Two teams here heading in two different directions as the Titans lost their starting qb for the year on Sunday. We are catching a great line with the Titans at home here with a backup QB even though he is a seasoned NFL veteran. We also catch a great system play tonight The Titans apply to a solid Thursday night specific system that plays on Thursday home teams off a home favorite loss vs an opponent off a home loss. This system has worked all but one time this season. The Titans also fit another system that plays on teams off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent off a loss by 26 or more points if this is a division game. This system has cashed 88% of the time. Titans have covered 6 of 7 games on Thursday Night Football over their history. And are 5-0 ats in revenge spots! The Colts are not a great road team and are 0-4 against a division opponent as a road favorite off division loss. Huge public action here on the Colts as 87% are backing the Colts here. Take the Titans for a 20* play!
|
11-11-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 |
Top |
19-22 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 17 m |
Show
|
This game features 4-4 Dolphins at the 0-8 Bucs. Alot of team termoil surrounds the Miami Dolphins these days. With the Jags winning Sunday the Bucs will have extra motivation playing at home in prime time tonight. Dolphins are 2-6 last 8 on the road. Money is 50/50 from the public tonight but for me it's a clear play on the Bucs for a 10* play.
|
11-10-13 |
Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers +7 |
Top |
28-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
31 h 58 m |
Show
|
This game features the 7-1 Broncos at the 4-4 Chargers. Last time these two teams met it was a high scoring close game that Denver won 30-23 this time around I feel the Chargers have a chance to win this game outrite. Broncos are a little banged up and the Chargers are desperate and playing at home. Chargers are 9-3-2 in the last 14 games in this series and the public there always in love with Peyton Manning and the Broncos backing them here at a rate of 77% which is a recipe for disaster when the Broncos have a Chiefs team waiting on deck I see a look ahead here take the Chargers plus 7 here for a 10* play!
|
11-10-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Chicago Bears |
Top |
21-19 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 22 m |
Show
|
This game features the 5-3 Lions at the 5-3 Bears. 58% of the public are backing the road lions here not sure why though. The Bears get Jay Cutler back today and are playing at home with revenge in mind from earlier loss this year at Detroit. I believe the Bears defense will answer the call today and show up big. Both teams have new life since Aaron Rodgers went down and both want to claim there team as the best in the NFC North. Lions haven't done well on the road in the last few years and today will be more of the same. Take the Bears to win the game today for a 10* play!
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11-10-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens +2 |
Top |
17-20 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 22 m |
Show
|
10*
|
11-03-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +7 v. New England Patriots |
Top |
31-55 |
Loss |
-115 |
21 h 31 m |
Show
|
10*
|
11-03-13 |
Philadelphia Eagles +3 v. Oakland Raiders |
|
49-20 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 17 m |
Show
|
9*
|
11-03-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. NY Jets +7 |
Top |
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 13 m |
Show
|
This game features the Saints at the Jets. Last week the Jets got crushed by the Bengals because they had a emotional letdown from the previous weeks big game win against the Pats. I feel this is a great bounce back spot as the Jets know the Saints are another top tier NFL team. Jets are 3-1 at home this season. This is the Saints 3rd road game out of their last 4 games and they are not the same on the road and off astro turf. Jets are 4-0 straight up and ATS as underdogs of less than 7 points against opponents that are coming off a win. The Jets also fall into a great league-wide situation where we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half going up against an opponent after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 28-8 ATS 78% since '83. The public is pounding the Saints here at a rate of 82% grab the Jets here plus the points and try to buy up to +7 for a 10* play.
|
10-31-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Miami Dolphins +3 |
Top |
20-22 |
Win
|
105 |
13 h 13 m |
Show
|
This game features the 6-2 Bengals at the 3-4 Dolphins. Dolphins have lost four in a row and are very desperate the Bengals come in riding a four game win streak. Last two Thursday Night games have gone to road favorites so the public will be riding the Bengals huge giving us a great line with the Dolphins. Dolphins have covered 4 of it's last 5 Home games against teams with a winning record. Also the Bengals are 0-2 as a road favorite this year. Take the Dolphins at home plus the points as we want a +3 here as a key number so don't be afraid to buy up. 10* play Dolphins.
|
10-27-13 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Arizona Cardinals -1 |
Top |
13-27 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 9 m |
Show
|
This game features the 2-4 Falcons at the 3-4 Cardinals. Don't let the Falcons fool you they are not the team from last year this team is beat up missing their two all pro wide outs and having no running game puts alot on their defense which really hasn't been good. They finally won last week against the lowly Bucs even though the Bucs out played them. Cardinals are 4-1 ats following a 20 point or more loss at home and 4-0 ats against the last 4 teams with losing records. This is the first time this season Arizona has been the Favorite but heavy action on Atlanta here by a public that is still riding last years team. The Cardinals are 20-7 home ats following a home loss. I want all clients to place a big 20* play on Arizona to win outrite here.
|
10-27-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Oakland Raiders +3 |
Top |
18-21 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 18 m |
Show
|
10*
|
10-27-13 |
Buffalo Bills +11 v. New Orleans Saints |
Top |
17-35 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 14 m |
Show
|
10*
|
10-24-13 |
Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 |
Top |
31-13 |
Loss |
-125 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
This game features the 3-3 Carolina at the 0-6 Tampa. Both teams need a win here tonight but none as much as the Home Buccaneers. The Bucs fit into some real nice systems week six. A great system plays on any Divisional home underdog thats scored 20+ points the last 2 weeks vs an opponent off a win. Tampa has covered 6 of 6 with rest. The Panthers are 0-3 straight up on Thursdays and have lost and failed to cover the last 3 times after scoring 30+ points on back to back games. 73% of the public is backing the road Panthers here there no superbowl champ and are beatable. Take the Bucs plus the points for a big 10* winner!
|
10-21-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. NY Giants -3 |
Top |
7-23 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 23 m |
Show
|
This game features the 1-4 Vikings at the 0-6 Giants. Both teams come into this game under alot of turmoil. Josh Freeman was awful for the Bucs this season I don't see how he will be able to get it done in a new system so fast. Giants are 26-11 in their last 37 ATS in October. Giants are probably the best 0-6 team I have ever seen in this league. A huge 69% of public is backing the Giants here and so will be for a big 10* selection take the Giants minus the points try to get a -3 or buy down if possible.
|
10-20-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers -1 |
Top |
16-19 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 4 m |
Show
|
10*
|
10-20-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Tennessee Titans +4 |
Top |
31-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
20 h 41 m |
Show
|
10*
|
10-20-13 |
San Diego Chargers v. Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 |
Top |
24-6 |
Loss |
-127 |
17 h 8 m |
Show
|
This game features the 3-3 Chargers against the 0-6 Jags. We played on the Chargers Monday night over the Colts for a huge big 10* winner. Now the Chargers have to travel west to east coast and play at 1pm off a short week and emotional win. We have alot going our way in this game. I fully expect the Jags to maybe even win outrite! Let's face it the Chargers are no superstar team and they are beatable. San Diego is 0-11 ATS in its last 11 games when going from an underdog to a favorite the next week no matter the stadium. The public is pounding the Chargers here at a rate of 62% but I want my clients pounding the Jags here for a 20* winner!
|
10-20-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 |
Top |
17-3 |
Loss |
-120 |
17 h 43 m |
Show
|
10*
|
10-17-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Arizona Cardinals +7 |
Top |
34-22 |
Loss |
-120 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
|
This game features the 5-1 Seahawks at the 3-3 Cardinals. Last time these two teams played Seattle won 58-0. Few games are remembered in the NFL but this game is a major revenge game for the Cardinals. Seattle is 2-4-1 ats on the road under QB Russell Wilson as road favorites. Last season Seattle lost all three road division games. Seahawks are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous contest. Cardinals are 5-0 ats after giving up 30 or more in their previous game. The home team is also 4-0 ats in the last 4 matchups in this series. The public is POUNDING the road Seahawks here at a rate of 69%. Take the Cardianls here plus the points for a easy 10* winner I fully expect the Cardinals to possibly upset the Seahawks tonight!
|
10-14-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. San Diego Chargers +2.5 |
Top |
9-19 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
This game features the 4-1 Colts at the 2-3 Chargers. We have a very good money making situation Monday Night in San Diego. The Colts have won three very hard game in a row against teams like the Seahawks and 49'ers it's really hard for teams to bring their A game every week. This is a spot for the Chargers to show they are for real in front of their home fans. The Colts are just 1-6 ats in their last 7 against the Chargers. The underdog in this series is a whopping 8-0 ats in the last 8 meetings. The public is all over the Colts here at a rate of 78% yet this line really hasn't moved much. I want all clients backing the Chargers here plus the points for a 10* winner.
|
10-13-13 |
New Orleans Saints v. New England Patriots -1 |
Top |
27-30 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 36 m |
Show
|
This game features the 5-0 Saints at the 4-1 Patriots. Last week we cashed big taking the Bengals over the Pats. This week we are going to back the Patriots as the public turns against them here. A huge 71% of the public is backing the road Saints here. Major head shaker yes the Saints are the better team right now but this isn't a good spot for them going on the road playing on grass against a pissed off Patriots team. This is the second straight road game for New Orleans and its second straight road game on grass which may not seem big but considering how strong of a team they are indoors putting them on grass is factor in this game. Saints are 0-3 ats in second games of back to back grass road games. Backing the Favorite is now 13-4 ATS versus the Saints last 17 games. I'm Putting my career behind this game as I see it as a statement game for the Patriots here take them minus the points for a 20* winner!
|
10-13-13 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Buffalo Bills +7 |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 31 m |
Show
|
This game features the 3-2 Bengals at the 2-3 Bills. Last week we played on the Bengals to a big win over the Patriots. This week we will switch sides to back the Bills who are in a nice home spot here. The Bengals are 9-20 ats in there last 29 games in October and 1-5 in there last 6 ats in October games. Bills are also 4-0 following a straight up loss and 4-0 ats last 4 playing on turf. Bengals are 1-4 ats in their last 5 meetings against the Bills. Also add in that the Bengals are fresh off a big time win and will be hard to get up for the Bills and a seemingly easy win. The public is all over the road Bengals here at a rate of 62% yet this line has dropped to -6 in some spots. Take the Bills plus the points here for a cover and a 9* winner.
|
10-13-13 |
Green Bay Packers v. Baltimore Ravens +3 |
|
19-17 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
9*
|
10-13-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Cleveland Browns +3 |
|
31-17 |
Loss |
-125 |
1 h 4 m |
Show
|
9*
|
10-13-13 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 |
Top |
31-20 |
Loss |
-120 |
17 h 14 m |
Show
|
10*
|
10-06-13 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Tennessee Titans +3 |
Top |
26-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
28 h 5 m |
Show
|
This game features the 4-0 Chiefs at the 3-1 Titans. It's pretty easy conclusion that the Chiefs are the worst 4-0 team out there. The Chiefs have played the easiest schedule in the NFL so far as the teams have a combined 3-13 record.The public is all over the Chiefs here because of the perceived huge advantage of there starting QB being out. 83% of the public is on the Chiefs here and that spells a huge payday for local books and offshore websites. Titans are 3-1 but dropped a game in overtime in Houston they should've won. The Chiefs are 2-11 ATS in its last 13 road games after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games. I've been in contact with three of my local books all point to this game to make them huge money on Sunday. I want all clients on the Titans here and buy up to +3 for safety but they will win outrite. Titans 20* plus points!
|
10-06-13 |
Seattle Seahawks v. Indianapolis Colts +3 |
Top |
28-34 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 26 m |
Show
|
This game features the 4-0 Seahawks at the 3-1 Colts. The Seahawks are on back to back early starts witch is normally big trouble for west coast teams. Colts see this game as a major proving itself game. They beat the Niners at home and look to show what they can do versus Seattle. 54% is on Seattle here not a huge public amount but the Colts are a great play if you can get three points as I think they win outrite. Take the Colts plus the points for a 10* play Sunday.
|
10-06-13 |
New England Patriots v. Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 |
Top |
6-13 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
This game features the 4-0 Patriots at the 2-2 Bengals. Last week I hit it huge with my AFC NORTH GOY on the Browns playing against these Bengals. This week is the week I jump all over these Bengals. Bengals will be on the road for four of the next five games making this game very very important. The Patriots are 4-0 but who have they beaten. Yes they had a nice win at Atlanta but really this team is not that great. The public is backing the Pats here 72% yet this line really hasn't budged. This is telling me Vegas wants as much SQUARE money as it can get on the Pats. There is a great situation we can play in this game we want to play against road underdogs or pick-ems after scoring 30 points or more last game going up against an opponent after scoring three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 41-15 ATS 73% over the last 10 seasons. I want a huge 10* play on the Bengals here to win outrite.
|
10-03-13 |
Buffalo Bills v. Cleveland Browns -4.5 |
Top |
24-37 |
Win
|
100 |
59 h 3 m |
Show
|
This game features the 2-2 Bills at the 2-2 Browns. Both teams here have played improved football this year. Bills are really banged up at running back possible starting 3rd string running back tonight in Cleveland. Speaking of Cleveland that stadium will be rocking as it's not often that it get's a prime time game at home. Bills are 2-14 over the last 16 road games. Buffalo will be playing on a short week following there big win over Superbowl champion Ravens. Browns are ranking third in the league in total defense and really can shut down the Bills offence. Buffalo is 1-9 in it's last 10 games ats road games after playing a game at it's home. The Browns meanwhile are 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games coming off a win against a divisional opponent as an underdog. We are backing a public side again tonight like we did on the Saints Monday but I want all clients to go with the Browns minus the points for a 10* play.
|
09-30-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. New Orleans Saints -7 |
Top |
17-38 |
Win
|
103 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
This game features the 3-0 Dolphins at 3-0 Saints. I've been riding Miami pretty much all year so far but this week it's time to jump on the other side. The Dolphins have been outgained in all of it's first three games. The Saints are a money making 19-6-1 when hosting a non-division opponent and have won eight straight Monday Night prime time games. This team is just a different animal at home. Teams that are 3-o ATS to start the season are a MONEY BURNING 11-21 34% in their fourth game against the spread. The public is all over the Saints and so are we with a 10* play at -7. If possible buy a half point to reduce line to -6.5 or off of -7.5.
|