Big game in the NFL as the 10-1 Cowboys take on the 6-5 Vikings. Vikings are desperate to stay in the race for the NFC North and the Cowboys pretty much have their division locked up. I just don't see the motivation for the Cowboys here and its pretty much do or die for the Vikings here at home. Vikings are better at home 4-1 SU.  NFL teams with a wining % better than .900 are 0-12 at Week 12  and forward on the road against foes with a point spread win percentage between .540 and 690. I've spoken to both offshore and Vegas insiders and all 4 people say the same thing the Vikings are the best play on the board Thursday. 20* Vikings

Tonight we have the 4-6 Packers at the 5-5 Eagles. Both teams season's are really on the line tonight even more so with the Packers who really need to win out. I see this game being a field goal game either way so getting 4 points is a huge advantage here especially with Aaron Rodgers feelings like he needs to show the world he hasn't lost a step. NFL teams playing their 3rd straight road game off Back to back losses who scored 14 or more points in their last game are a money making 7-0 100% ATS since 1980 when facing a non-division team which we have here. Public bets are slightly on the Eagles as 54% have taken them but I love the Packers plus the points here for a 20* winner. 

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This game has the 8-2 Patriots at the 3-7 Jets. Jets have been hit hard by injury a'lot of that has lead to their terrible record. We get the Jets off a bye week with an extra week to prepare for the hated Patriots. This is the Jets Superbowl and I expect them to be ready to compete tough. Pats are on their second of back to back road games which always makes things harder.  The Jets off a home loss are a money making 11-0 ATS as an underdog of +3 or more points. The public as always is all over the road Patriots at 83% of the bets. The public has been overall winning this season and I think the books take a'lot back today and this one will be a big slaughter. Take the Jets plus the points 20*

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Here we have the 7-3 Giants at the 0-11 Browns. Giants have won 5 straight 3 in a row at home now they have to take to the road to take on the lowly Browns. I know we have had our troubles backing the Browns but this is a game that they can win and getting 7 on the home team is a gift here as Vegas is padding this line. I don't see the Giants motivated in this one. The public is as always on auto fade of the Browns as 83% are taking the road Giants a recipe for disaster. Play the Browns plus the points. 20* Browns

Huge game for both teams as the 5-5 Steelers take on the 5-5 Colts. The Colts are getting a ton of points in theory that Andrew Luck will not play I am not 100% sold on that even though it is unlikely that he will play. If Tolzien does get that start you will see a Quarterback motivated like few before with such a massive audience and the Colts season hanging in the balance if he has a great or even a good game it will do nothing but help him keep his spot as a solid NFL backup. Players normally step up in the first game when their leader is out and I believe the other Colts will play that much better. The public is all over the road Steelers because of Luck being out as 73% are taking them but as we all know Vegas has already counted Luck as being out so if he happens to suite up to try and save his coaches job well then we get a nice bonus. Take the points and the Colts for a big 20* winner. 

This early Thanksgiving game has the 6-4 Vikings at the 6-4 Lions. A little revenge will be in play as the Lions stole a win from the Vikings early this season on at their home and look to return the favor. Both teams are beat up but I don't see the Lions as the better team and getting points is a big value here. Vikings have played a much harder schedule and have beaten teams like the Titans,Packers,Panthers,Giants,Texans and Cardinals. The public is only backing the Vikings with 44% of the money but we will join that number. Take the Vikings plus the points for a 15* winner. 

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15*

This game features the 4-5 Steelers at the 0-10 Browns. Boy every week it seems like I'm backing the Browns it just seems like we are getting very good value here with the home team. Joe Haden is set to return from injury and I think that will really help out a hurting Browns defense add to that the many Steelers injurys and I think a big Ben that is not 100%.  The Browns are 7-1 ATS as home dogs vs teams off back to back losses. I think the Steelers will win this game but it will be hard fought and come down to who scores last. Take the Browns plus the points 15*

Huge game for us as the 5-4 Ravens take on the 8-1 Cowboys. I'm not buying into the Cowboys being an elite team sure Prescott has looked very good but this team has it's holes. They are facing a desperate team today and one that is the best in Run defense in the league something the Cowboys must do to win. On average the Ravens only give up about 73 yards per game and if that happens today it's a easy cover for us. My top Vegas source emailed me telling me he's has his biggest NFL play this season and it's on the Ravens. Ravens for all their short comings are in first in the NFC North by a game where as the Cowboys have a nice little cushion and with their division rival on deck for Thanksgiving we might see some look ahead here. With Jason Garrett as their head coach they are a money burning 2-13 13% as a home favorite against a rested team off a win. That's another big deal we have a very well rested planned out game for the Ravens. Only 39% are backing them yet this line is holding steady. I love the Ravens today for a 20* massive play.

This game has two desperate teams as the 4-4-1 Cards take on the 5-4 Vikings. Vikings have lost 4 straight but are 3-1 at home and really need this game to show they are contenders. I really love to fade west coast teams that have to play at 1pm that usually is a winning combination. 67% of the public has lined up their bets behind the road Cardinals. I love the sharp money as you can see this line up to -2.5 in some spots. Take the Vikings minus the small line for a 20* winner. 

This prime time game has the 3-4-1 Bengals at the 5-3 Giants. They're are a'lot of surprises in this game tonight one is that the Bengals defense part of what made them a contender year in year out is ranked 25th in total defense something I think will effect tonight's game as that side of the ball will be playing very tough. Also Bengals come in rested off a bye week and a tie against the Redskins. Giants come in off an emotional 28-23 win over the Eagles. I just don't see the Giants as being very good they have zero running game and their defense does nothing to impress me I think we are getting a very angry and better team the Bengals on national T.V. AT A PK. I've reached out to both offshore and my Vegas sources all say Bengals tonight big and I concur. Monday night teams with a +3 to -3 line that are off a bye week vs a team off a home game have won and covered every time since 1989. Only 37% are backing the Bengals yet this line went from +2.5 roughly to a PK to -1 a huge sharp money move. Take the Bengals for a 20* winner. 

Revenge is in the air tonight as the 5-2-1 Seahawks face off with the 7-1 Patriots. Patriots have won 4 straight and are off 3 straight emotional conference wins last week a heated division rival. Seahawks are playing with revenge in mind and getting a'lot of points some of that is due to being off a bye week. Russell Wilson 12-3-1 80% ATS as a underdog. Only 29% of the public are backing the road Seahawks a big mistake in my book as I believe they keep it close and maybe even pull off a shocker. Take the Seahawks for a 20* winner. 

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This game has the 5-3 Texans and the 2-6 Jags. This now has become due or die for the Jags another loss or two would finish them. They have 2 games left against the division leading Texans that I believe they can win. My top source in Vegas says he is all over the Jags today and looking at the game I can see why the public is all over the road Texans at a rate of 67% yet this line went from 0 to +2.5 Texans as Vegas tries to sucker players in on the Texans. Take the Jags minus the points for our max play on the Jags. 20* Jags

This game is due or die for both teams as the 3-6 Rams take on the 3-6 Jets. I really think the Rams are a much better team on both sides of the ball. Biggest issue the Rams have is a sub-par Quarterback Case Keenum but luckily he's facing off with another sub-par QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. I reached out my Vegas contacts and my offshore guys all 4 say they think the Rams are the top play on the board today. Just 38% are backing the road Rams and this line went from +2.5 to -1 the public is set up for the slaughter. Take the Rams for a 20* winner. 

Boy some match-up tonight as the 0-9 Browns take on the 4-4 Ravens. Earlier this season the Ravens won 25-20 at Cleveland to the Browns will be looking for revenge here tonight. This is another week where we will be backing the Browns but there are many stats and trends that support that position. Since 1980 road dogs of 5 or more off back to home losses with back to back home games on deck are 100% vs an opponent that scored 21 or more. The Ravens are a money burning 1-12 7% ats as a divisional home favorite of 3 or more against teams who are winning les than 40% of their games and here we have a 0-8 team. Money is 50/50 on this game yet we have seen this game drop from the +10 it opened at. Take the points and the Browns to keep it close and cover tonight. 20* Browns

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This game has the 6-1 Dallas Cowboys facing off with the 0-8 Browns. Browns just can't seem to cover a game for us as we pushed with them last week and this week we will back them again. Dallas is fresh off a big division overtime win at home and now has to take to the road to take on the worst team in football the Browns. This game is a huge trap game for the public and the Cowboys. Cowboys also play the Steelers next week so their is a prime look ahead spot too. I talked to my top sources in Vegas and offshore all 4 tell me the Browns are the best play on the board Sunday and I can see why. 76% of the public are backing the road Cowboys here. Public will get crushed on this one. Take the Browns plus the points here. 20* Browns

Big match-up between the 4-4 Lions and the 6-2 Vikings. Vikings come off two losses in a row and are happy to be back home and the Lions lost at Houston. I think you will see a similar game to that one as the Vikings defense will suffocate the Lions. Vikings will try and prove they have a running game today but I believe Stafford will come back to his normal throwing Interceptions in key spots. 58% of the public backing the road Lions here as they are probably thinking this line is high not me this line is set to scare off the public bets and set up the side Vegas thinks is gonna cash. Take the Vikings at home minus the points. 20* Vikings

This game features the 5-3 Falcons at the 3-4 Buccaneers. Tampa won the week one game 31-24 but I really feel both defenses will be playing motivated here tonight. Atlanta even though they won last week their defense has been getting crushed the last 3 weeks. Falcons have gone over the number in 7 or their last 8 games. I think Vegas has taken that into account and is looking to butcher the public on this total tonight as 69% are taking the over. Take the Under here for a 20* play. 

The 5-1 Vikings take on the 1-6 Bears. Bears get back Jay Cutler tonight and I think you will see him want to show the best he's got on national T.V. Surely the Bears will cut this QB at the years end so finishing out strong is very important to him and this Bears team where John Fox is on the hot seat. Nothing much has changed from last week Vikings still have no running game and Jordan Howard looks pretty good for the Bears getting almost 5 yards a carry. Bears head into this game having not played since the previous Thursday Night Football. So I expect a super fresh Bears team. Vikings are on their second straight road game off an upset loss in Philly. Since 1980 Chicago's gone 32-11 74% ATS when not favored by 2 or more points off back to back losses. This is a huge game for the books as Sunday was not good for them. 84% of the public are on the road Vikings I'll take the well rested Bears plus the points for a 20* winner. 20* Bears

Big time NFC East battle as the 4-2 Eagles visit the 5-1 Cowboys. The battle for the NFC East here and the Eagles are 5-1 last 6 games in Dallas SU. The Visitors are also 9-0 100% ATS in the last 9 in this series. Only 40% of the public are backing the Eagles here as per normal as the Cowboys thanks to there base is always largely bet. Cowboys are off a huge road division win and I wonder if they will have the fight needed to cover what to me is a big spread. I see this being a 3 point game either way and with the trends what they are I will gladly take the Eagles plus the points for a 15* winner. 15* Eagles

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This big game for us has the 5-2 Oakland at the 3-3 Tampa Bay. The Bucs are back at home for a 3 game home stretch where they know they need to win games. They have an Oakland team for the second straight week is flying coast to coast to play at 1pm last week we lost playing the Jags against this team this week I think it will be a different story. I've spoken to both offshore and Vegas guys all 4 love the Bucs this week. And when you look at public bets you will see a whopping 77% are backing the road Raiders here so the public is set up for a mass slaughter IMO. Tampa Bay Bucs are a money making 8-1-1 88% ATS versus winning AFC West teams if not off a division game. Bucs are 0-2 at home and I believe they will really want to get one for the home fans and these are the games you must win. 20* Buccaneers

Huge game here as the 4-1 Seahawks take on the 2-4 Saints. This is as must win as must win gets one more loss and you can pretty much write off the Saints. Seahawks are a west coast team playing at 1pm angles like that I love to play on top of that Seattle always has it's struggles on the road and the Saints always play on another level at home which I think you will see today. 56% are backing the road Hawks here yet this line has gone from -3.5 to -1.5. Seahawks are off an emotional Division game where they tied I don't see them getting up for this game. Take the Sains plus the points. 20* Saints. 

This game has the 2-4 Jags at the 3-4 Titans. Jacksonville let us down last week as they were blown out by Oakland. I just feel this Jaguars team is very talented and will turn around and win their division. Gus Bradly coach of the Jags is in his fourth year and a loss Thursday could spell the end for him as their were raised expectations going into this season. Public is riding the home team here at a rate of 64% grab the points asap as I love the Jags +3.5 but anything under 3 and you lose value. 15* Jaguars

The two best NFL pass defenses square off as the 4-2 Texans take on the 4-2 Broncos. I believe next to the Seahawks and Arizona the Broncos have the most balanced defense. Quarterback spot you gotta love what Trevor Siemian has done and when you look at Brock Osweiler he looks like a normal Texans bust at QB. The Broncos got out of what they do best run the ball and play great defense as they threw the Football 50 times last week. I think you will see a super effort from Denver tonight and a big night from C.J. Anderson and when it comes down to it a easy cover. 15* Denver

Big time rival game as the 4-1 Seahawks take on the 3-3 Arizona. Boy did Seattle screw us last week as I missed the mark with that one. But I'm very confident after the Cardinals lost last years game at home that in prime time they will want to win and win badly especially at 3-3. Cardinals were beat 36-6 at their building last season. Only 39% of the public are btting Arizona I love this line as IMO they are the better team. More balance on offense and Defense. Take the Cardinals minus the small line here for a 15* winner. 

What a huge game as we have the 5-1 Patriots going to the 4-2 Steelers. We played against the Steelers last week and cashed big on the Dolphins this week we will get behind the Steelers as teams that lose their leader tend to play strong in the first game. Patriots come in off two blowout wins. Steelers are also playing with revenge in mind as they lost last year 28-21. Steelers are a money-making 82-45-3 65% ATS at home in the regular season since 1981 off a ATS defeat furthermore they are 28-11-2 ATS when playing with revenge. We are seeing a massive amount of public money back the road Patriots in fact 87% are yet this line is basically holding at 7 in most books. But I believe you will see a fired up Steelers crowd will them to a win and I will gladly take the points though. 20* Steelers plus the points. 

This game has the 5-0 Vikings at the 3-2 Eagles. Vikings come in fresh off a bye week and the Eagles come in off a bad loss to the Redskins. I believe we are getting a much hungrier team in the Eagles who need a win badly. Vikings have zero run game and I think they will be forced to put it in the air. No one gives the Eagles a chance and the public is banking big on the road Vikings as 76% are on them. This line opened at Vikings -1 and has grown to -3 I love the Eagles with 3 points to win outrite but take the points for a easy winner. 15* Eagles

This game has the 4-2 Oakland at the 2-3 Jags. Jags won a tight game at the Bears and now come home against a Oakland team fresh off a division blowout loss at home to the Chiefs. Oakland now to fly from coast to coast and play at 1pm I love to fade teams in this spot. The Jags are much better then their 2-3 record and I believe they will win this division when all is set and done. 79% of the public are backing the road Raiders here a huge mistake as I believe the public will once again get hit hard in this one. Take the Jags minus the points for a big 20* winner. 

15*

This game has the 1-5 Bears at the 3-2 Packers. Normally I would stay away from this game as the Packers really need this game and the Bears are just a bad team but I think there are big problems in Green Bay. Brian Hoyer has not been bad he has 6 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and a 100.8 rating while Aaron Rodgers the golden boy has not looked that great with his modest 88.4 rating. Bears have a better ground game as well and when your getting over a touchdown in a division fight you gotta take a hard look at the Bears. Head coach John Fox is 30-12-1 71% in road games ATS. The public is all over the home Packers at a rate of 68% yet we seen this line fall to close to 7.5 in most spots. Packers are a money burning 1-8 ATS on Thursday's facing off with a team off a loss in it's last 9. I love the Bears tonight and typically I'd be in for a 20* play but I am gonna hold back and make this a 15* play. Bears 15*

Big time match up here as the 4-1 Falcons take on the 3-1 Seahawks. Boy IMO and in the opinion of my top Vegas source this is a great time to bet the Seahawks. Seattle is off a bye week and they have had two weeks to prepare for this Atlanta team that is off a huge win at Denver but that bodes very well for us today. I think the Seahawks rested defense will just be way to much for the Falcons who have covered 4 straight games. My top source in Vegas tells me he's going huge on the Seahawks and states this should be a big trap game for the public and I agree. 57% are locked in on the road Falcons and I think you will see a bigger shift closer to the game. We will play the Seahawks minus the points for a 20* winner. Seahawks 20*

15*

This game has the 4-1 Steelers at the 1-4 Dolphins. Miami has been a train wreck but I think they are catching the Steelers at the right time and Miami needs to show up this week or their head coach could very well be history. Steelers could be in a prime look ahead spot with the Patriots on deck at home in Pittsburgh. I reached out to several key contacts both offshore and in Vegas all love the Dolphins this week as this is a key flat spot for the Steelers I don't see them getting up and covering such a big number. 76% of the public is backing the road Steelers which in this case is looking like a public slaughter but not for us. Take the Dolphins plus the points here for a 20* winner. 

Must win game for the Chargers tonight as the 4-1 Broncos face off with the 1-4 Chargers. Trevor Siemian should make his return from his shoulder injury but will he be 100%. Denver will be 100% focused on the run tonight and I think the Chargers will be using a'lot of running as well to tire out this Denver Defense that will be missing a few cogs and on a short week. With exception of giving up just 14 to the Jags the Chargers defense has gotten crushed and I believe they will be hugely motivated tonight in prime time. Public is all over the over in this game but this number is dropping from the opening at 46. Take the Chargers to go Under here for a 20* winner. 

Tampa comes into this game 1-3 and plays a Panthers team which is off to a very slow 1-3 start as well. Panthers will be without Cam Newton and this will motivate the rest of the team to play beyond themselves. I always love to bet a team that has just lost it's star player in their first game without him. Carolina is a money making 16-1 94% ATS off an away game when facing an opponent off a home game. The public is playing on the Panthers but I'm seeing just 55% backing them yet this line is moving up fast. Take the Panthers minus the number to beat this bad Buccaneers team easy tonight. 20* Panthers

15*

Big game for both teams as the 3-0 Eagles take on the 1-3 Lions. Lions off a loss to the Bears last week in Chicago and game where we had the Bears big this week we will back the Lions as I believe the Eagles have been lucky catching teams at the right time like they did again'st the Steelers. Lions will be hungry to get back to winning on the field I believe they have more talent and I expect the Eagles to come out flat. They also have division rival Redskins on deck next week. Teams with a 3-0 record and a team scoring margin better than 14 points a game are a money burning 8-22 27% since 1981. Public is all over the road Eagles at 76% this line is moving right I just think there is huge value in the Lions here at home today. Take the points and the Lions for a 20* winner. 20* Lions

Big game for us in the AFC as the 1-3 Jets take on the 3-1 Steelers. Steelers crushed the Chiefs 43-14 and this week they take on the lowly Jets I think the Jets defense that is under fire will show up Sunday and give Big Ben fits. I've spoken to both offshore and Vegas contacts all 4 are telling me Jets huge today. As I write this 78% of the public are backing the Steelers yet this line has not moved much at all. The Jets are a money making 67-49 58% ATS as a road dog against a team off a win. I think the Jets win in a upset today but take the points and the Jets for a 20* winner. 20* Jets

Thursday Night showdown with the 1-3 Arizona and the 1-3 Niners. Who would have thought the Cardinals would be 1-3 at this point after a loss to big time underdogs the Rams and Bills last 2 weeks most would think tonight would be an automatic win for the Cardinals but I disagree. Drew Stanton makes his first start and in years past has done well but I question his skills coming into this game on a short week it always benefits the home team and to me this line looks very fishy. Blaine Gabbert's Job I think is on the line tonight and I think you will see the Cardinals load up the box and force Gabbert to beat them. I've talked to both offshore and Vegas guys all tell me the Niners will cover easy tonight wire to wire and I believe them. Only 36% of the public are backing the home Niners and this line has gone from 4 to 3 in some spots. Take the points and the Niners for a 20* winner. 20* Niners

This big Monday Night game has the 2-1 Giants and the 3-0 Vikings. Vikings are playing great Football the only bad feeling I get taking them is they are off a huge road win at Carolina but the Giants just are not that good. They have a above average Quarter back and great receivers but really no running game and no defense imo. Giants are coming off a tough kiss at home to the hapless Redskins. Vikings have a very nice schedule down the stretch and with already beating the Packers and Panthers tonight's win would be big and I believe you will see a even more comfortable Sam Bradford. Vikings won last season 49-17 While I don't see a ton of points going up tonight I think the Vikings cover easy. Take the Vikings for a 15* winner. 

Really a good match-up for Sunday Night football as the 2-1 Chiefs meet the 2-1 Steelers. Chiefs dismantled a good Jets team last week while the Chiefs lost to a mediocre Eagles team. Granted we cashed easy with the Eagles but that was simply playing off the Steelers previous win over the Bengals. I think these two teams tonight are ultra close and I'll take the points any day in a close match-up like this. Not sure why but the public is all over the Steelers at a rate of 62% and this line has dropped from a +5 Chiefs. We will again follow the sharps with a nice 15* play on the Chiefs. 15* Chiefs

15*

Here we have the 3-0 Denver Broncos at the 1-2 Tampa Bay Bucs. Tampa has not won against Denver since 1999 and looks to break that streak Sunday. Both my offshore and Vegas contacts told me they are all over Tampa Sunday. Defending Super Bowl champs are a money burning 0-6 ATS as favorites 6 points or less as non-division road favorites in games in which the champion from the previos year is undefeated and off a Straight up and ATS non-division win. Broncos beat the the Bengals in Cincinnati last week so I see some real trouble when I look at public money as well. 83% is backing the road Broncos here and this line is holding tight at 3. Take Tampa plus the points if you can buy up to 3.5 do it. 20* Tampa

This early game has the 1-2 Lions at the 0-3 Bears. Bears are bad no doubt about it but something just doesn't seem right here. Lions have a super week defense and the Bears are hungry for a win. Lions have won 6 straight in this series just seems like a huge set-up here 80% of the public is backing the road Lions who are never good on Grass. I'll take the points here with a 15* play on the Bears.

This early game has the 1-2 Panthers at the 2-1 Falcons. Over the years a'lot of times the team that loses the Super Bowl has a off year the following season and I think that is what you are seeing this year. A'lot of other handicappers see a bounce back today from the Panthers and I just don't. Falcons are tough in Atlanta and they come in with the top ranked offense averaging 34.7 points a game. I think you will see an ultra determined effort from their super star running backs today and any time your giving the home team points I'm taking a good hard look. Only 30% of public wagers are taking the home Falcons yet this line is moving the other way add to that a'lot of other pro cappers like the Panthers to makes it a easy Falcons play for me today. 20* Falcons plus the points. 

This Thursday Night match-up has two teams that are in dire need of a win as the 1-2 Dolphins meet the 1-2 Bengals. We lost on the Bengals last week as Denver came in and dominated them 29-17 a real let down and maybe a look in that this team is just not that great. Dolphins got lucky and beat the Browns in Overtime but had to come back big time in that game and I think you will see some momentum carry over. Dolphins have won 3 straight in this series. Dolphins are 4-0 ATS last 4 games at Cincinnati. Bengals come in a money burning 3-22 ATS as a favorite in games before playing a NFC team. The public is all over the home Bengals this week at 66%. I will gladly take the points with the Dolphins for a 15* winner. 

This big Monday Night game has the 1-1 Atlanta Falcons and the 0-2 Saints. Saints took both games last season so the Falcons are coming in with revenge in mind and a road win at Oakland last week. Saints have not looked good this season and yes I know they are a different team at home. Falcons have gone 9-3 75% ATS as a dog in their last 12. Falcons are simply the better team imo. Add this to the Falcons winning trend the Saints are 9-2 ats as a home favorite. The public is all over the home Saints as 66% are backing them yet this line is going from -3 to -2.5 in most spots. I'll take the better team and the points for a 20* winner. 

Big time inter state game between the 2-0 Steelers and the 2-0 Eagles. Yes the Steelers are the better team and a team I think will be in the Super Bowl this season but there are trends and records working again'st the Steelers today one is they have not won in Philly in the regular season since 1965 they are 0-8 SU. I've talked to my sources both in Vegas and offshore both say this is the play of the day and looking at public numbers It's hard not to agree. 74% of the public are backing the Steelers here and virtually no line move. Steelers are 1-6 14% ATS in games following the Bengals. Easy money here take the Eagles plus the points for a big 20* winner. 20* Eagles

15*

Here early we have the 0-2 Redskins at the 2-0 Giants. This is a must win game for Washington as a 0-3 start would be the end of another season and probably cost head coach Jay Gruden his job.  Teams are 11-0 ATS when any 0-2 division dog in Game Three of the season if they are off back-to-back ATS losses and are facing a 2-0 team off a spread win in its last game if that opponent failed to win 13 games last season and that is the case with the Giants. Only 38% of the public are backing the road Redskins yet this line has gone from 3.5 to 3. I love the Redskins to upset the Giants but I will gladly take the points and the Redskins. 15* Washington plus points

15*

Here we have the 1-1 Arizona at the 0-2 Bills. I love this play and I've had it circled almost all week Buffalo is in a must win spot today they have the Patriots on the road next week a always difficult game. Bills have had extended rest last game was the loss to the Jets on Thursday Night. West coast team that have to fly coast to coast never fare well at 1pm add in to that they have division rival Rams on deck and I love the Bills more and more. Arizona has covered the spread in it's last 9 road games but I believe there luck stops today. If you look at the public money it's easy to see who the sharps prefer. 79% are laying on the road Cards and this line has gone from -5.5 to -3.5 in most spots a big move. We will take the Bills plus the points for a big 20* winner. 

This prime time game has the 1-0 Eagles at the 0-1 Bears. I really loved what I saw from Carson Wentz game 1 but I believe the Eagles will struggle tonight again'st a Bears team desperate to start the season with a win. They were 1-7 last year SU at home I think you will see a focus on running the ball with Langford from the Bears that will cause problems for them. I think you will see the Bears mix up blitz packages and really confuse the rookie QB the public is all over the road Eagles here as 56% are going with them and this line went from 2.5 to the standard 3. Take the Bears minus the points for a big 20* win tonight. 

Prime Time game tonight has the 1-0 Packers at the 1-0 Vikings this game will be a huge trap game for the public as how could Shaun Hill defeat Aaron Rodgers. Well the Vikings have a better overall team IMO and on the road the Packers just are not the same team. I expect a very loud crowd tonight for Sunday Night football. 82% of the Public money is on the Packers and this line still managed to drop a point. We will follow the sharp money with a big play on the Vikings tonight plus the points for a 20* play. Vikings 20*

15*

Big game in the NFL West as the 1-0 Seahawks take on the 0-1 Rams. Now we all know the Rams got off to a rough start losing 28-0 to a bad team in the Niners but that can happen in the NFL and I believe that Jeff Fisher really got these guys ready to go today. Last year they won both games with the Seahawks and remember this line is inflated due to the Rams loss. Seahawks have never been as good on the road and I love the points we are getting here with a team that is determined to look good in their first regular season game in LA in years. The Seahawks barley beat the Dolphins last week and after speaking to 2 of my Vegas sources and 2 offshore they both say this is their top play today and I can see why. 75% of the public is backing the road Seahawks and this number has held at 6. We will follow the sharps with a big play on the Rams plus the points. 20* Rams

15*

This game matches up two team both with 0-1 records as the 0-1 Jets take on the 0-1 Bills. The Jets are off a very tough loss at home to the Bengals 23-22 luckily we got 2 points in that game and we covered I''m gonna fade the Jets tonight for a few reasons. Bills have won the last 5 meetings between the two teams. Since 1989 teams playing at home off a road loss playing on Thursday at home against a team that suffered a home dog loss are 6-0 SU and ATS since 1989. The public has really moved this line as it's now +1 from a opening of -3 Bills. 72% are backing the road Jets but not me I'll take the Bills at home to win outrite. Take the Bills for a 15* plus or minus the points doesn't matter.

Big time match-up here as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Washington Redskins. Redskins were 6-2 last season at home and I think you are going to see an improved Redskins team plus playing on Monday Night is added motivation for the team. Steelers are 1-7 ATS as a road favorite in non-division games before facing the Bengals. I love getting points here with a team that is just as good as the other team imo. Non-Division underdog playing at home since 1996 of 6 points or less are 12-0 ATS on Monday Night in game 1 of the season. Only 30% of the public are backing the Home Skins yet this line is dropping from the +3 at a'lot of spots. Take Washington plus the points on Monday Night. 20* Redskins

Both teams open up their season in this big time NFL match-up between the Detroit Lions at the Indianapolis Colts. Andrew Luck still has many health concerns flying around and I question if he really is 100%. Colts #1 corner Vontae Davis is out and they have really been banged up at corner so will the returning corners be up to speed? I've talked to both my offshore and Vegas contacts all 4 tell me this is the best play all day Sunday. Public is all over the home Colts at a rate of 67% yet this line has gone from -5.5 to -3.5 -3 in some spots. We will follow the sharp money with a 20* big winner on the Lions plus the points. 

This big NFC East game has the New York Giants facing off at the Dallas Cowboys. Man I was excited to hear from my top Vegas source he tells me he's all over the Cowboys in this one going very big and looking at the numbers I can see why. 69% of the public are backing the road Giants here and this line is moving the other way going from +1 to -1 in most spots. The books will clean up here as without Tony Romo the public is just going crazy with the Giants at a PK but not us we will back the Cowboys for a 20* big winner.

15*

This is a great first game featuring the Carolina Panther at the Denver Broncos. Wow has this line moved from when it first came out and a'lot is due to Denver's lack of a quarter back but at a general line of +3 Denver it looks like a big public trap set. Denver is a great team at home with a superb defense I love getting points with this team as I see them winning outrite. Defending Super Bowl Champions are 19-3 SU in home openers since 1993. The Broncos are also 19-7-1 73% ATS as a non-division home dog since 1983. The public is all over the road Panthers as 77% are backing them. I see a huge public slaughter to start the season off the Books will make a killing. Take the Broncos plus the points. I'm holding off trying to get +3.5 with them but like I said I see them winning overall. 20* Broncos

15*

The big game is finally here and I have a chance at redemption from my loss with the Seahawks last season that was stolen from us because of a bad coaching call. We are getting a super inflated line here simply because the Panthers absolutely crushed their opponents in the playoffs and the Broncos had close calls. I got the call from my top source a few days ago his advice was wait until game day to get in or the day before that we will get a great line. 68% of the public are behind the Panthers and really who is giving the Broncos a shot at winning this game? Don't forget this is Peyton's last game and the Broncos will be giving even more in this game to send out Peyton as a winner. Broncos have the better defense in this game and aside from Cam newton I'd argue the Broncos have a better offense as well. Now put that together and give me 5-6 points to me it's a no brainer. We will take the points and the Broncos for a big 20* play. 

This game features the Arizona Cardinals at the Carolina Panthers. To me the best team in Football this year is the Cardinals. I predicted a Steelers Cardinals Superbowl so no reason to waiver from that. I just don't buy that the Panthers are the best team in football Cardinals have better Offensive players and are just as good on special teams and Defense. This for me is the Superbowl and I love getting points with the Cardinals and I surely will be sprinkling some cash on this money Line. We lost with the Cardinals who looked atleast like a sure push until that bomb by Aaron Rodgers gave the Packers a chance in overtime but that plays into our hands here. Since 1980 dogs of +3 or more points off a game where they did not cover the spread as a favorite of 7 or more and is on the road in a Playoff game against a .625 or better team are a money making 12-0 ats. This line first opened at 3.5 but has dipped to 3 this in spite of just 30% of public money going on the Cardinals. If you can buy up to 3.5 but if not no problem as I see the Cards winning outrite. 20* Cardinals plus the points.

This big game has the Patriots at the Broncos. Not very many people giving the Broncos a shot here and that gives us a great line. Now I don't think Manning has much left in the tank but the Broncos Defense is lights out and the Broncos are 7-2 at home in AFC Title games. It's very important to buy up to 3.5 if possible. I see the Patriots winning last second by 2 or 1. Several contacts offshore and in Vegas are all over the Broncos. Take the points and the Broncos for a nice 20* winner.

This big AFC showdown has the Steelers playing at Broncos. Weeks ago I picked the Steelers to win it all and that's still a possibility. I don't buy that Peyton Manning has much left in his tank and that he is not rusty. 7.5 points to me is a gift I buy what Brian Billick SAID ABOUT Big Ben being a drama queen I think he is 100% ready to go and the shoulder is just so the Broncos think he won't be 100%. Steelers showed last week that they to have a good defense as they shutdown the Bengals pretty well. The public as usual is in love with Peyton Manning as 68% are backing the Broncos here. Steelers cover here and imo upset the Broncos so I'm gonna sprinkle that Moneyline. 20* Steelers

15*

Best game of the weekend for my money featuring the Seattle Seahawks and the Carolina Panthers. Yes the Seahawks have issues at running back and the Panthers are well rested and at home. Carolina upset the Seahawks earlier this year so Seattle would love to return the favor. My contact in Vegas says to take the Hawks on the moneyline but buying up to 3 is optimal if possible. 68% of public bets are on the Panthers big time public burial here as we get the better team playing at the top of it's game plus points which might become a favorite come kick off. Big time sharp money move here we are taking the Panthers plus points or straight here for a 20* winner.

Huge late game between the Packers and the Cardinals. The Cardinals are my pick to be in the Superbowl this season and I think the Packers are a very weak team right now plus the have to face a rested upset Cardinals team. Packers beat a team in the Redskins that let's face it was less then sub par. Since 1980  teams off a win in the Wild Card round that lost their last regular season game have covered just 10% when matched up against opponents off a loss to end their regular season. And the Cardinals were humiliated. This line will do nothing but go up. Take Arizona Minus the points for a 20* winner.

This game features the Kansas City Chiefs and the New England Patriots. Chiefs have had a nice long run but their run puts many trends against them Saturday. The Patriots are an awesome 30-0 ATS off a loss since October 2000 and the Patriots are not favored by double-digits. Teams off back to back losses are a perfect 6-0 ATS in the Conference Semi-Finals since 1980. Public is 50/50 here but I really think the smart money is on the Patriots Saturday. Take the Pats minus the points for a 20* winner. 

This big NFL Playoff game features the Seahawks at the Vikings. The Vikings are 13-3 ats this season the Seahawks are 8-7-1. Seahawks are never as good on the road as they are at home and this game will be the Vikings first home playoff game in 6 years these fans will be rocking add to that temps around -1 degrees and wind chill at -15 and this game is going to be cold. I expect that will lead to having to run the ball which heavily favors the Vikings. Who does Seattle have to run the ball they will have to depend on Christian Michael and for me that will be there downfall. I've spoken to both offshore and Vegas sources all 4 love the Vikings big time today. The public well they are drinking the Seahawks juice as 72% are backing this road team and this line is holding pretty much steady at 4.5. Take the Vikings plus the points for a big 20* winner.

Huge playoff and rival game between the Steelers and the Bengals. Both teams have been hit hard by injuries. I got a email from my top source in Vegas and he assures me this is his biggest play of the year. Impressive considering the winners he has had. Bengals will start A.J. McCarron at QB not really a big deal since Dalton has struggled in the playoffs. The Bengals have a much better defense and are playing at home which we all know is a big deal plus now you have the public all over the Steelers as 60% are backing the them this is a recipe for a public slaughter. Steelers are playing their 3rd road game in a row and since 1980 teams playing their 3rd straight road game 5-25 ATS in the Playoffs if the home team is playing a road team with a win percentage worse then .666. There are many numbers backing the Bengals here and for me it's a no brainer. Take the Bengals plus the points for a 20* winner. 

15*

This game has the 12-3 Patriots at the 5-10 Dolphins. Miami has dropped 3 straight games and their locker room is divided and I believe they have packed it in for the year. The Patriots need to win here or risk giving up home field advantage. The Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a loss. Normally we don't back big public sides but my top source in Vegas tells me this is his biggest play today so we will take the Patriots minus the big line for a 20* winner.

20*

20*

This big total features the 6-9 Eagles at the 6-9 Giants. Boy what a bad game we have here. NFC East games are typically low scoring affairs and I believe there is little motivation on either side but I think now that Chip is gone the defense will play better. The under is 6-3 ats in the last 9 these two teams have played. We are seeing a big number of public bets come in on the over as 61% are on the over yet this line has dropped a point. We will follow the sharp money here with a big play on the Under for 20*.

This big Monday Night game has the 11-3 Bengals at the 10-4 Broncos. The Bengals can still get home field throughout the playoffs with a win here tonight and I don't see why they can't win this game outrite. Denver has dropped 2 straight and really have not looked sharp. The Bengals are 11-2-1 ats this season and are 6-1 SU on the road. Bengals Defense is just as good if not better in my opinion. The public is in love with the Broncos for some reason as 71% are backing them. I reached out to both of my Vegas and Offshore sources all 4 are telling me Bengals here. Take the Bengals for a 20* winner plus the points.

This game features the 6-8 Rams versus the 9-5 Seahawks. Rams have been playing good football to close out the season winning two straight. I think this line is set way to high for a team like the Rams who can shut you down on defense. Seahawks have nothing to play for as the Cardinals have locked up the division and this game for the Rams is there Super Bowl as they finish up with the Niners next week. I reached out to 2 of my Vegas and 2 of my offshore sources all 4 agree the Rams are the best play on the board today. Only 38% of the public are on the Rams and this line dropped from 13.5 to 12 something is fishy here. Take the Rams plus the points for a 20* winner.

15*

This huge AFC East game has the 12-2 Patriots and the 9-5 Jets. This game means everything to the Jets and even wining the last two and being 11-5 they still can be left out of the big show. Patriots have won 9 of the last 10 in this series but this is a new Jets team and they have covered the last 5 in meeting between these two teams. This is the game of the day imo and I think the Jets come out and make a statement. 74% of the public are laying on the road Pats I expect a public burial here. 20* Jets plus the points.

15* 

15*

Two very disappointing teams play as the 4-9 Lions play the 5-8 Saints. Lions are just 4-9 ats this season but they have the better team then the Saints on both sides of the ball the Saints Defense is a mess. My top source in Vegas promises to get back on track tonight. Monday Night teams off back to back losses and priced from -7.5 to +3.5 are 91% ATS on Monday Night since 1980 when matched up against teams off upset wins. Saints upset Tampa last week and the Lions have dropped two straight. 71% of the public are betting the Saints at home and after yesterday where the books got roasted aside from the Giants cover I see the books getting there money back tonight. Take the Lions plus the points for a 20* winner.

20*

15*

This game has the 6-7 Texans at the 6-7 Colts. Division is on the line today and I think the Colts are up for the challenge I got a email from my top source and he's all over the Colts and looking into the game I can see why. I took the Colts Defense on my fanduel this week they have looked god awful last two week and I think they step up against a sub par QB this week. 69% are on the road Texans why? They looked brutal last week and I don't think they get any better today they have zero offense. Take the Colts to win or minus the small line here for a big 20* winner.

This game features the 13-0 Panthers at the 6-7 Giants. Do or die time for the Giants as they need this win badly to keep pace in the NFC East. The Panthers are banged up and I don't believe they are going to push there starting players hard in this one. Since 1980 NFL teams with a record of 13-0 or better are an awful 1-11 ATS. 63% of the public are backing the road Panthers here big mistake. I reached out to my sources offshore both are telling me Giants big very big. Giants 20*

Tonight Prime Time game features the 8-5 Jets at the 4-9 Cowboys.  Cowboys are just 1-5 at home this season and I'm sure they will be motivated to give their home crowd a early Christmas gift as this has been a lost year but the Cowboys have talent. Jets have lost 7 of their last 10 versus Dallas and might be looking forward to next weeks game at home versus the Patriots. 81% backing the road Jets here is a recipe for disaster. I've reached out to my offshore guys all are laying huge amounts on the Cowboys today and so will we as we go for a 20* play on the Cowboys plus the points. 

This NFC game has the 6-7 Bucs at the 5-8 Rams. Rams continue to play with their QB position as Nick Foles starts tonight. I believe he is the better of the two the big difference in these teams is the defense and the Rams are much better in that phase especially in sacking the quarterback.  Rams enter on a 13-3 ATS run against teams that allow no more than 3.5 yards rushing per game. I expect Winston to be under pressure all night and his youth will really show tonight. Take the Rams for a 20* play.

Big time game for the 5-7 Giants at the 5-7 Dolphins. Why should the Giants be a road favorite against a team with a better defense a better run game and playing at home? Giants have lost 3 straight and are fading fast. 75% of the public are backing the road Giants which to me is kinda crazy for a team with zero run game which causes these late losses inability to run out the clock. I love the Dolphins here straight but take any points you can get for a 20* play. 20* Dolphins