50* NBA --Cavs/Warriors NBA Guaranteed Top Play-- (UNDER 210)

This has been arguably the most anticipated game of the regular season and I'm expecting both of these teams to bring the defensive intensity in this one. All 6 games in the Finals last year finished with 208 or fewer points. We are simply seeing an inflated total here due to this being such a big game and the books inflated the total knowing the public will be all over the OVER. Both teams are also well-rested and that's been a strong indicator for both of these teams to go UNDER. In fact, the UNDER is 15-5 in Cleveland's last 20 road games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. UNDER is also 14-3 in Golden State's last 17 when playing 5 or less games in 14 days. Give me the UNDER 210!

50* NBA --Non-Conference Total of the Month-- (Under 203)

Portland is expected to be without their top two scorers in this game, as Damian Lillard has been ruled out and C.J. McCollum is doubtful. These two combine for over 44 ppg, which is nearly half of the Blazers entire offensive output (101.4 ppg). I just don't see them being able to do enough offensively for this game to be high-enough scoring to eclipse this total. New Orleans should be able to jump out to an early lead and they will be more than happy to coast down the stretch of this game with a road game against Miami on Christmas coming up. Give me the UNDER 203! 

50* NBA --Hardwood Guaranteed Total Top Play-- (Under 196)

Whenever a quality team is coming off a blowout loss in their last game, more times than not that leads to an inspired defensive effort in their next contest. It just so happens that we have two teams facing off against each other in this spot. Toronto lost 90-106 at Indiana in their last contest, while the Hornets got embarrassed 98-113 at Orlando last time out. Look for both of these teams to bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball tonight and their season numbers definitely support this play. The Raptors are only giving up 95.9 ppg on the road and the Hornets are allowing just 96.4 ppg at home. Give me the UNDER 196! 

50* NBA -Hardwood Guaranteed Total Top Play-- (Under 202)

The Cavaliers turned in one of their best defensive efforts of the season in their last game, as they held the Magic to 76 points or 38.9% shooting. No surprise that this performance came in the return of defensive specialist Iman Shumpert. With Cleveland having had 3 full days of rest before this game and Boston off 2 days of rest, I look for both teams to bring the defensive intensity in a game that will be televised on NBATV. Keep in mind that 7 of the last 11 in the series have gone UNDER the total. We also find a strong system in play, as the UNDER is 39-14 (74%) over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 200 or more with a team off an upset win as underdog against an opponent off a road win by 10 or more points. Give me the UNDER 202! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 202)

I think we are seeing an inflated total here due to the fact that the Clippers come into this game having scored 100+ in 5 of their last 6. The key thing to keep in mind with this stretch is 5 of those 6 games came at home and the lone road game came against a poor defensive team in the Timberwolves. Milwaukee has won 4 straight at home and during this stretch have allowed 88, 74, 91 and 88 points. The Bucks only average 95.5 ppg offensively and know they can't get into a shootout with the Clippers, so look for them to slow this game way down. You also have to factor in that LA has a nationally televised game against the Bulls on TNT tomorrow, so they aren't going to want to waste their energy against a team like Milwaukee. Give me the UNDER 202! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (UNDER 198)

Orlando comes into this game off a 101-103 loss at the Clippers, which snapped a streak of 5 straight games where they had allowed 95 or fewer points. The Nuggets have won 2 straight with a 106-105 win at Toronto and 108-105 win at Philadelphia. Prior to those two games Denver had allowed 99 or fewer in 4 straight and scored 94 or less in 5 consecutive games. I believe we are seeing an inflated total based on the recent performances of these two teams. UNDER is 10-1 in the Magic's last 11 road games off a close loss by 3-points or less and 24-9 in the Nuggets last 33 games in the month of December. Give me the UNDER 198! 

50* NBA --Eastern Conf Total of the Month-- (UNDER 193)

I'm expecting a very low-scoring matchup tonight between these two Central Division rivals. The Bucks come into this game off an ugly 70-95 loss at San Antonio. That should have Milwaukee highly motivated to bounce back and that's now 3 straight games where they have allowed 95 or fewer points. Detroit is coming in off a 127-122 overtime win at home against the Suns, which followed a 116-105 win at home against the Rockets. Those two results are a big reason we are seeing a total as high as we are. Even with those outcomes, Detroit is only giving up 97.9 ppg and scoring 98.2 ppg. The Bucks only average 95.3 ppg and just 90.5 ppg on the road. UNDER is 19-7 in Pistons last 26 home games after playing 2 straight games where both teams scored 100+ points. Average final score in these games have been 189.8. Give me the UNDER 193! 

40* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 202.5)

The Pistons are coming off a 116-105 home win over the Rockets in their last game and I believe that has the total inflated here. Even with Detroit allowing 105 to Houston, they are still giving up just 93.9 ppg at home. I look for their defense to be on point tonight against the Suns, who are coming in off a 91-point effort last night at Brooklyn. Phoenix won't be looking to push the tempo like normal playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. It's also worth noting that these two teams combined for just 192 points in Phoenix back on 11/6 and that was with a 58-52 second half surge. UNDER is 13-4 in the Suns last 17 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 and 8-1 in the Pistons last 9 with a total set at 200 to 209.5. Give me the UNDER 202.5! 

50* NBA --Blockbuster Total Crusher-- (UNDER 190)

The Spurs have seen the under go 11-5-1 in their 17 games so far this season and 5-1 in their last 6 overall. The Bulls have seen the under go 11-3 in their 14 games with each of the last 6 finishing under the mark. San Antonio is allowing just 89.7 ppg and have not given up more than 90 points in 5 straight. The Bulls are allowing just 95.7 ppg at home and really seem to pick up their intensity at home when facing a quality opponent. Their 3 biggest home games to day have been against the Cavs, Thunder and Pacers, all 3 of which finished UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 190! 

50* NBA --Eastern Conf Total of the Month-- (UNDER 196)

I think we are going to see a very low-scoring game here between the Knicks and Magic. Neither of these teams shoot well from the field. Orlando comes in at 42.7% on the season and the Knicks are even worse at 41.5%. I also look for both teams to come out motivated defensively after a blowout loss. New York lost 78-95 at Miami in their last game, while the Magic fell 103-117 at Cleveland. Out of the 4 meetings last year, 3 finished with 182 or less points, with the highest output in Orlando being 172. UNDER is 47-18 (72%) over the last 5 seasons in games with a total of 190 to 199.5 where the home team is off a loss by 10 or more points and road team off a loss by 15 or more. Give me the UNDER 196! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 201.5)

The Bulls come into this game averaging 100.5 ppg with an even better 103.7 clip on the road. While Chicago's offense has put up more points away from home, so has their defense. The Bulls are giving up 103.2 ppg on the road and will be facing a Portland team that averages 103.8 ppg at home and gives up 102.5 ppg. Both these teams like to play with a lot of tempo and the Bulls will be full go after a much-needed 3-day break. OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Portland and 11-4-1 in the last 16 overall. OVER is 6-2 in Blazers last 8 vs the Eastern Conference and 7-3 in their last 10 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Give me the OVER 201.5! 

40* NBA --No Doubt Total Crusher-- (Over 214)

I have no problem backing the over with this high total in tonight's game between the Rockets and Kings. Both Houston and Sacramento have been awful defensively to start the season. The Rockets are giving up 112.0 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 50.4% from the field, while the Kings are giving up 109.0 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot 48.7% from the field. The fewest points either of these teams have allowed this season 103. Adding value is the OVER is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings. Give me the OVER 214! 

50* NBA --No Doubt Total Top Play-- (OVER 202)

The Celtics are coming off a game against the Spurs where the two teams combined for just 182 points and the Pacers playing last night against the Pistons in a game where 176 points were scored, which raises a big red-flag when you see a total for this matchup at 202. The books are basically telling you that this will be a much-higher scoring game than expected an I agree with them. Indiana's defense wasn't very good in their first 3 games and they really got after it last night to get their first win of the season. I look for them to relax on that side of the ball in the second game of a back-to-back set. Boston had scored 100+ in each of their first two before shooting 35.7% against San Antonio. They come in off 2 days rest and will be looking to push the tempo. Give me the OVER 202! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Dominator-- (Over 207.5)

Neither of these are any good and I just don't see either side playing with much energy on the defensive side of the ball. Denver is dealing with some key injuries inside that will limit their defense and the Lakers are a team that can score the basketball, as they come in averaging 106.0 ppg, despite only shooting 40.1% from the field. At the same time, Los Angeles is vulnerable on defense, as they are allowing 115.7 ppg and opposing teams are making 48.0% of their attempts. Denver's offense is poised for a big showing here and I see both teams eclipsing the century mark without much problem. Give me the OVER 207.5! 

40* NBA --Over/Under Total Crusher-- (Over 197.5)

The Hawks lost a huge part of their defense when Carroll left in free agency to sign with the Raptors and right out of the gate we see this team allow an uncharacteristic 106 points at home in a 94-106 loss to the Pistons. Atlanta managed 94 points despite an awful shooting night from behind the 3-point line. This is still a very talented Hawks offense and one that will be ready to go off that loss. The Knicks are a much-improved team, especially offensively. They are playing at a much faster pace and it showed with their 122-points on 93 attempts in a blowout win at Milwaukee last night. Atlanta will gladly turn this into a shootout and the pace here should have this one finishing well over the mark set. Give me the OVER 197.5! 

40* NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

Game 1 would have went UNDER the total had it not been for overtime. With the Cavaliers now without Irving, there only hope is going to be to bear down defensively and hope James can be special offensively. The key here is Cleveland can't get into a shootout against the Warriors and I look for them to slow the tempo way down with James running a lot of isolation plays in the halfcourt. I just don't see there being enough possessions given how good these two teams are defensively for this one to go over the mark. Pound the UNDER 202!

40* NBA FINALS *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

I look for nerves to play a big factor here in Game 1, as most of the players on these two rosters have never experienced the adrenaline that comes with playing in the NBA Finals. I believe it's going to lead to some sloppy play offensively and guys missing some shots they normally would make. However, that extra energy should payoff defensively. Golden State is one of the most efficient defensive teams and have the DPOY in Green to matchup against James. On the flip side, the Cavs are playing extremely well defensively right now. Roll the UNDER 204!

50* NBA PLAYOFFS *PERSONAL FAVORITE TOP PLAY* TOTAL

Big Game 3 with a chance for the Rockets to win their first game of the series or the Warriors to go up 3-0. Expect another strong defensive effort out of both teams. Golden State's offense isn't quite as potent on the road, while the Rockets defense is significantly better on their home court. Roll the UNDER 214.5!

40* NBA PLAYOFFS *TOTAL CRUSHER*

Atlanta has had a full 4 days of rest since closing out the Wizards and the Cavaliers have enjoyed 5 days off since finishing off the Bulls. With fresh legs and two explosive offensive teams, I look for Game 1 to fly over the total posted of 197. One of the big keys here is the extra time off should prove to be huge for Irving, who was really limited against Chicago. You also have to keep in mind that each of the 4 meetings during the regular season featured at least 205 points with both meetings in Atlanta reaching at least 210. Roll the OVER 197!

40* NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

All 5 games so far in the series have finished UNDER the total with 188 being the highest scoring game to this point. I look for the streak to continue. Memphis is a defensive-minded team and know there only hope is to grind out a win in a low-scoring game. Facing elimination and getting Allen back in the lineup, should have the Grizzlies locked in defensively. The problem for Memphis is they can't score enough even when their D plays well. The Grizzlies offensive output continues to falter as the series progresses and I don't see the Warriors letting up on that side of the ball with a chance to advance to the conference finals. Roll the UNDER 194!

40* NBA PLAYOFFS *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

Theses two teams flew over the total in Game 5, combining for 207 points in Cleveland. I don't think we are going to see anywhere close to that kinda of scoring output in Game 6 at Chicago. The last time these two teams played in Chicago, they combined for just 170 points. The Bulls season is on the line and this is a team that defines itself on the defensive end. Chicago is going to bring every ounce of energy they have on that side of the ball. Cleveland's focus could be lacking, knowing they have a game to spare and get the all-important Game 7 at home. Bulls intensity defensively and their inability to score consistently on offense, should have this one going well below the mark. Roll the UNDER 192!

40* NBA PLAYOFFS *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

The books continue to set the total too high for these two teams. Each of the first four games in the series have seen a combined score of 188 or less points. I don't see any reason why that trend will come to an end in the all important Game 5 with the series tied at 2-2. Memphis had done an outstanding job defending the 3-point line in the series before allowing the Warriors to go 14 of 33 (42%) from long distance in Game 4. Even with that hot shooting from the outside, Golden State still only managed 101 points. Roll the UNDER 195.5!

40* NBA *TOTAL KNOCKOUT*

I believe we are in for the lowest scoring output of the series. These two teams combined for just 191 in Game 1 and 197 in Game 2 at Cleveland. Chicago simply didn't show up defensively in Game 2 and yet that still almost finished under the mark. With the series shifting to Chicago, I look for a huge defensive effort here from the Bulls. On top of that, I look for the Cavs roll players to cool off from long-distance on the road. Keep in mind Cleveland hit a ridiculous 12 of 26 (46%) from behind the 3-point line in Game 2 (only 7 of 26, 27% in Game 1). Roll the UNDER 195.5!

40* NBA PLAYOFFS *LINE MISTAKE*

I believe we are seeing a huge overreaction here to the fact that these two teams combined for 218 points in Game 2. You have to keep in mind that 30 of those points came in overtime, as the two only combined for 188 in regulation. They only combined for 199 in Game 1. Series tend to get lower scoring as the progress and I especially think that will be the case with this one being locked up at 1-1 and the Spurs more than likely having to slow the pace down with Parker at less than 100%. Roll the UNDER 203!

40* NBA PLAYOFFS *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

This is do or die for the Celtics down 0-2 heading home for Game 3. Boston doesn't have the size inside or the talent offensively to beat this Cleveland team in a halfcourt game. The Celtics are going to be looking to push the pace and should be able to get a few more shots to fall at home. Keep in mind Boston scored 91 points in Game 2, despite shooting a mere 38.8% from the field. Cleveland is going to score, as the Celtics have no answer for James and Irving. It's also about that time that J.R. Smith shows up to the playoffs (3 for 15 from 3-point distance). Roll the OVER 203.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL CRUSHER*

With both teams playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, I'm not expecting either team to look to push the pace and neither plays at a very fast tempo anyway. The key thing here is that this game means a lot to Memphis, who is currently tied for 2nd in the west with Houston. Washington on the other hand seems content with the No. 5 seed as they have already started rest players. Grizzlies should dictate the tempo and whenever that's the case the under is a wise investment. Roll UNDER 188!

50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

The Spurs have won all 3 of the previous meetings this season, which sets up a very profitable system on the total in this matchup. UNDER is 31-9 with a total of 200 to 209.5 when you have a team playing with triple-revenge against an opponent off a road win by 10+ points. Adding to this is the fact that the UNDER is 10-2 in Spurs last 12 off a road win by 10+ and 0-4 in the Nuggets last 4 road games when listed as a dog of 12.5 or more points. Roll the UNDER 208.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL SMASH*

This is too many points for how important a game this is to these two teams, plus you have the Clippers coming off a huge game last night at home against Golden State. Teams coming off a home loss against the Warriors and are playing as a road dog on no rest have seen the UNDER cash 6 out 7 times this season. Adding to this is the fact that the UNDER is 16-6 in Blazers last 22 home games with a total set at 210 or more points and 15-6 in their last 21 home games against teams who give up 99+ points/game. Roll the UNDER 210.5!

50-STAR NBA *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

The Trail Blazers recently lost starting shooting guard Wesley Matthews for the rest of the season and are also expected to be without the services of starting power forward LaMarcus Aldridge, starting small forward Nicolas Batum and backup center Chris Kaman. That leaves Portland with a thin bench, which I believe is going to have them looking to slow down the pace of this game against the Warriors. Golden State has continued to play extremely well without Klay Thompson, but could struggle to come out motivated here against a depleted Portland roster in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 4th in the last 5 days overall. UNDER is 12-4 in Portland's last 16 home games against teams averaging 103+ ppg and 15-3 in their last 18 home games with a total set at 200 or more points. Roll the UNDER 205!

40-STAR NBA *OVER/UNDER TOTAL SMASH*

Both teams will be missing key parts of their offense and I look for that to translate into a low-scoring game that finishes well below the mark set here. The Celtics will be without Jared Sullinger, Isaiah Thomas, and Marcus Smart, while the Pistons will be missing big man Greg Monroe. On top of this Detroit is only averaging 95.8 ppg over their last 5 and Boston has scored fewer than 100 in 4 of their last 6. UNDER is 10-1 in Pistons last 11 road games after covering 2 of their last 3 and 13-3 in the Celtics last 16 after covering 3 of their last 4. Roll the UNDER 196.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL CRUSHER*

Both of these teams are struggling offensively right now, as each comes in averaging just 91.8 ppg over their last 4. I'm expecting that trend to continue and for this one to finish well below the mark tonight. These two teams combined for just 183 points in their previous meeting this season. UNDER is 21-5-1 in Memphis's last 27 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 off a SU win by more than 10 points and 7-2 in their last 9 vs the Eastern Conference. UNDER is 10-3 in Detroit's last 13 overall, 9-3 in their last 12 following a loss and 5-1 in their last 6 vs the Southwest. Roll the UNDER 185!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL CRUSHER*

This is too high a total for this matchup. The Knicks are clearly outmatched here, which is evident by the massive spread. Blowouts tend to lead to lower scoring games and I expect that to be the case here. Knicks play at a painfully slow pace and I don't expect Golden State to be looking to up the tempo in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, especially after just playing on the road in the high altitude of Denver. UNDER is 39-10 (80%) since 1996 in games where you have a total set at 200 to 209.5 with a home team that is averaging 102+ ppg against an opponent that is only scoring 92-98 ppg, after 42+ games and after a loss by 10+ points. Roll the UNDER 202.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

This is too many points for this matchup. The Knicks offer little to no threat offensively and are coming in off a game at home against the Kings where they scored just 86 points on 36.6% shooting. The Pacers are only allowing 95.2 ppg at home and just held a similarly bad team in the 76ers to just 74 points in their last contest. New York isn't a great defensive team, but the Pacers aren't a great offensive team and I look for a strong effort here from the Knicks off that ugly 38-point home loss to the Kings. UNDER is 21-9 in New York's last 30 off 3 or more consecutive games that finished over the total and 7-0 in the Pacers last 7 home games after winning 3 of their last 4. Roll the UNDER 189!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL KNOCKOUT*

The books have set the mark too high in this one. The Pacers are one of the league's best defensive teams, especially when playing at home. That's not a good sign for the 76ers, who are one of the worst offensive teams. Philadelphia has eclipsed 98 points just once in their last 8 games and come in having scored less than 90 in each of their last two. UNDER is 31-19 in the Pacers last 50 games off a home win and 13-4 in the 76ers last 17 when revenging a home loss of 10 or more points. Roll the UNDER 189.5!

50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

The books have set the mark too high in this one. These two teams combined for just 178 points at New York in their most recent meeting on Jan. 2 and I wouldn't be surprised to see a similar low-scoring game here. The Knicks have scored 97 points or less in each of their last 10 games and are averaging just 89.3 ppg during this stretch. UNDER is 16-5 in the Knicks last 21 against a team with a losing record and 11-2 in the Pistons last 13 after allowing 100+ in their last game. Roll the UNDER 194!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR*

The Bulls will have to rely even more on their defense right now with the unfortunate news that Derrick Rose will have to undergo another knee surgery. On top of that, their offense figures to struggle without Rose on the floor to bail them out of possessions. Chicago just played at home against the Bucks in a game that saw a combined 158 points and I'm expecting a similar type of game against a Hornets team that scored 81 or fewer points in 3 of their last 5 and rely heavily on their defense to win games. UNDER is 11-2 in the Bulls last 13 off 2 or more consecutive home wins and 9-1 in their last 10 home games off a contest with a combined score of 175 or less. UNDER is also 12-2 in the Hornets last 14 road games in the month of February. Roll the UNDER 188.5!

40-STAR NBA *TOTAL ANNIHILATOR*

We are seeing an inflated total here due the Timberwolves having scored and allowed 100+ points in 4 of their last 5, but the thing you have to keep in mind is that those 4 games came against some of the top scoring teams in the league. The addition of Garnett has brought a new attitude to the Timberwolves and I look for that to carry over to a renewed intensity defensively. The Wizards have been a funk offensively. John Wall isn't shooting well at all and they are without Bradley Beal. The Wizards have scored 96 or less in 4 of their last 5 and will be looking to slow down the pace in this one with it being their 4th game in 6 days. UNDER is 12-3 in the Wizards last 15 after a combine scored of 205 or more and 10-2 in the Timberwolves last 12 after a road games where both teams scored 100+ points. Roll the UNDER 203!

50-STAR NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* TOP PLAY

I'm expecting a defensive showdown in Detroit today between the Wizards and Pistons. UNDER is 12-2 in Washington's last 14 games in the 2nd half against a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) and 12-3 in the Wizards last 15 games after a combined score of 205 or more points in their last contest. Roll the UNDER 195.5!

40-STAR NBA OVER/UNDER *TOTAL ANNIHILATOR*

The books have set the total too high for this huge Western Conference showdown. Both of these teams are looking to come out strong after the All-Star break and we can expect max defensive effort here with both teams well rested. On the flip side of this, I look for both offenses to come out flat after the long break, which should have this one finishing well below the mark. UNDER is 16-6 in Thunder's last 22 home games when listed as a favorite of 6-points or less and 17-5 in the Mav's last 22 road games against good rebounding teams (3+ rebounds/game). Roll the UNDER 212!

50-STAR NBA OVER/UNDER *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

I think we are getting an inflated total here due to both of these teams coming off high-scoring games against the league's best offensive team in Golden State. These two teams have finished UNDER the total in each of their last 5 meetings, plus UNDER is 23-11 in Kings last 34 at home when playing with double-revenge and 16-5 in the Mavs last 21 road games against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 3+ boards per game. Roll the UNDER 209!

10* Timberwolves/Mavericks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 206

The Mavericks offense has struggled to find their rhythm since acquiring Rondo in a trade, but he's not expected to play tonight. Minnesota plays no defense and I look for Dallas to put up a big number offensively. The key here is that the Timberwolves should be able to keep it close enough to push this over the mark. OVER is 21-9-1 in the Timberwolves last 31 games when their opponent comes in having scored 100 or more in their last game and 7-3 in the Mavs last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Roll the OVER 206!

10* Heat/Celtics NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 187

Value here is with the total. UNDER is 28-7 (80%) since 1996 in games where you have a total set between 180 to 189.5 points that features an average offensive team (92-98 ppg) against a horrible defensive team (102+ ppg) after scoring 85 or less. UNDER is also 14-4 in Miami's last 18 road games when listed as the underdog and 10-1 in the Celtics last 11 off back-to-back losses. Roll the UNDER 187!

10* Clippers/Spurs NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 202.5

Value here is on the total. UNDER is 39-14 (74%) in all games with a total of 200 to 209.5 where you have a team that's won 60% to 75% of their games that are playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. Roll the UNDER 202.5!

10* Warriors/Jazz NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 205

I'm expecting a shootout tonight in Utah between the Warriors and Jazz. OVER is 11-2 in the Warriors last 13 road games after a game with 30 or more assists, 4-0 in their last 4 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 4-1 in their last 5 games played on Friday. These two teams combined for 221 points at Utah back on Jan. 13. Roll the OVER 205!

10* Bulls/Warriors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 212

Great system backing a play on this one finishing below the mark. UNDER is 104-55 (65%) since 1996 in games with a total of 200 or more points where you have a top level team (75% or better) that has covered 3 of their last 4 against a team with a winning record. Roll the UNDER 212!

10* Nuggets/Clippers NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 215.5

With both teams playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, I look for this one to finish well below the mark of 215.5. Neither team is going to be playing at their normal pace and the Nuggets have not been good offensively in their last 2 road games against quality teams, scoring just 79 at Golden State and 89 at Dallas. Clippers are only giving up 98.3 ppg at home. UNDER is 12-3 in Los Angeles' last 15 home games after a combined score of 205 points and 5-1-1 in Nuggets' last 7 road games against teams that have won more than 60% of their home games. Take the Under!

10* 76ers/Pelicans NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 188

The Pelicans aren't going to be overlooking the 76ers in this one, as they got embarrassed at Philadelphia 81-96 back on Jan. 16. With New Orleans focused, I look for this one to finish well below the mark. 76ers have gone OVER the total just once in their last 12 games and have failed to surpass 90 points in 5 of their last 7. UNDER is 15-4 in Philadelphia's last 19 off a loss by 15+, 9-0 after allowing 60 or more in the first half and 16-7 this season when listed as a road underdog. Take the Under!

10* Celtics/Warriors NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 214

Great long-term system in play. OVER is 117-65 (64%) since 1996 in games where you have a team off two road wins by 5 points or less. OVER is also 13-2 in Celtics last 15 after 3 or more consecutive unders and 8-0 in the Warriors last 8 after covering at least 8 of their last 10 games. Take the over!

10* Pacers/Magic NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 208.5

Each of the last 20 meetings in this series have finished with a combined score of less than the total posted here. Also a strong system in play. UNDER is 41-16 (72%) when you have a team off 4 or more straight loss against an opponent off 5 or more straight losses. Take the under!

10* Magic/Knicks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 206

This is way too many points for these two teams. The Knicks play at a snails pace and the Magic aren't exactly flying up and down the floor. These two teams only combined for 192 points in New York in their previous meeting this season. UNDER is 8-3 in the Knicks last 11 overall and 13-5 in the Magics last 18 road games against bad teams that have won less than 40% of their home games. Take the UNDER!

10* Spurs/Nuggets NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 203.5

UNDER is 13-3 in Spurs last 16 road games when they come having covered the spread in 3 or more straight games, 14-5 in Denver's last 19 games against teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game, 5-1 in San Antonio's last 6 road games and 13-3-1 in Nuggets last 17 after allowing 100+ in their last game. UNDER is also 49-24 (67%) over the last 5 seasons in games where you have a team that allowed 80 or less (Spurs) against an opponent that has allowed 105 or more in each of their last 2. Take the UNDER!

10* Thunder/Heat NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 199

UNDER is 13-3 in the Thunder's last 16 road games when listed as a favorite of 6.5 to 9 points, 23-12 in the Heat's last 35 when listed as an underdog and 13-3 in Miami's last 16 non-conference games. UNDER is also 74-39 (66%) over the last 5 seasons in games where you have a team off a win by 10 or more points (Heat) against an opponent off a combined score of 215 or more in each of their last two games. Take the UNDER!

10* Hawks/Bulls NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 200.5

UNDER is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Chicago and there's also a strong system back this one to finish below the mark. UNDER is 28-7 (80%) since 1996 in games with a total of 200 to 209.5, where you have a team that has beat the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games. 

10* Hawks/Celtics NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 205

Not expecting a lot of defense in this one and got a strong system supporting this one to go over the mark. OVER is 51-29 (64%) since 1996 in games with a total of 200 or more points where you have a road team that is an average defensive team (92-98 ppg) against a horrible defensive team (102+ ppg) after 2 straight wins by 10 or more points.

10* Pacers/76ers NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 188.5

With both teams playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and the Pacers off an overtime game against the Celtics, I'm not expecting a lot of defense to be played in this one. 76ers don't play any defense as it is and Indiana has allowed 100+ in 3 straight. OVER is 16-5 in Pacers 21 road games this season and 9-1 in their last 10 games when playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Take the over!

10* Hornets/Raptors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 199.5

Charlotte is only average 93.6 ppg on the road this season and the Raptors are giving up just 95.4 ppg at home. I'm fully expecting the Raptors to win here in a blowout, which should have this one finishing well below the mark of 199.5. Keep in mind in last year's 3 meetings the highest total was 190, so clearly we are getting some value here. UNDER is 21-10 in Charlotte's last 31 after covering 2 or more consecutive games and 19-7 in Raptors last 26 home games after allowing 110+ points in 2 straight games.

10* Knicks/Grizzlies NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 191

These two teams both play at a painfully slow pace. New York ranks 29th at 92.4 and Memphis is 27th at 93.9. The Knicks have scored 82 or fewer points in each of their last 4 games and Memphis is coming off an 85-point performance against the Nuggets. This game has blowout written all over it, but I think the real value here is with the UNDER 191.

10* Nuggets/Timberwolves NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 209

Minnesota has allowed 100 or more points in each of their last 11 games and I look for that streak to continue, as the Nuggets come in averaging 101.9 ppg on the season. The important thing here is Denver doesn't play any defense, especially on the road, where they are giving up 106.9 ppg. The average score in this series over the last 3 years is 215 points.

10* Bucks/Knicks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 191.5

The Knicks play at a painfully slow pace offensively and its a big reason why the UNDER is 11-5 in their 16 home games this season. With all the injuries that New York is dealing with right now, I look for this to be an ugly low-scoring game today against the Bucks. UNDER is 10-2 in Knicks last 12 home games against teams who allow 99+ points/game.

10* Suns/Hornets NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 200.5

10* Mavericks/Knicks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 203

10* Hornets/Cavaliers NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 199.5

10* Pistons/Kings NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 196.5

10* Clippers/Bucks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 209

10* Warriors/Mavericks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 215

10* Pistons/Suns NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 204

10* Pacers/Raptors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 198.5

10* Trail Blazers/Bulls NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 200

10* Cavaliers/Thunder NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 204.5

10* Nets/Bulls NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 195

10* Clippers/Pacers NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 200

10* Kings/Lakers NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 206

10* Raptors/Cavaliers NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 206.5

10* Jazz/Kings NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 197.5

10* Suns/Rockets NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 208

10* Cavaliers/Raptors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 208

10* Pelicans/Warriors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 206

10* Mavericks/Bucks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 207

10* Bulls/Hornets NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 192.5

10* Thunder/Pelicans NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 196

10* Nuggets/Jazz NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 208

10* Magic/Suns NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 206.5

10* Pelicans/Hawks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 204.5

10* Raptors/Hawks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 204.5

10* Pistons/Bucks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 192.5

10* Wizards/Bucks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 193.5

10* Raptors/Cavaliers NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 204

10* Knicks/Bucks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 190

10* Lakers/Hawks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 212.5

10* Clippers/Suns NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 209.5

10* Hornets/Suns NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 200

10* Jazz/Knicks NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 191.5

10* Bulls/Raptors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 197

10* Magic/Knicks NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 192.5

10* Pacers/Heat NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 188.5

10* Magic/Raptors NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 201

10* Pistons/Bulls NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 191

10* Jazz/Pistons NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 193.5

10* Kings/Suns NBA Top Play

BET: OVER 206

10* Bucks/Pacers NBA Top Play

BET: UNDER 192