50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UConn -15) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn laying it on Cornell at home tonight. The Huskies laid an egg in the 2nd game of a back-to-back against Iowa after their big win over Syracuse. That's a really good Hawkeyes team that a lot of people don't know about. I think they bounce back here in a big way against a Cornell team that has lost by double-digits at home to the likes of Colgate and Delaware. Should be pretty easy for the Huskies to win here by at least 20. Give me UConn -15! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nebraska -14) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cornhuskers to cash in an easy win and cover against the Bears. Missouri State comes in at 3-0, which I think is definitely keeping the number here lower than it should be, but they haven't played anyone. Bears are picked to finish near the basement of the Missouri Valley and have not been less than a 7-point favorite, so that tells you the level of talent they have been playing. Nebraska is 3-0 and while they have a couple of cupcake wins, they also won by 23 as a mere 8-point favorite against Seton Hall. I think everyone calling last year's surprise 4th place finish in the Big Ten a fluke and them getting snubbed on the NCAA Tournament, has this team playing with a big chip on their shoulder this year. Give me Nebraska -14! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Colorado -14.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Buffaloes at home against Drake, a I think Colorado wins this thing by 20+ rather easily. Drake made a surprising turnaround last year under first-year head coach Niko Medved, but he bolted for Colorado State. Not only did they lose the guy that made them respectable, but that team was built around 5 seniors. There's only two guys back from last year's team that scored for Drake in any game. Buffaloes got a ton of talent a rising star in the Pac-12 in sophomore McKinley Wright. Give me Colorado -14.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota -8) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gophers to win at home by at least double-digits against the Utes. I cashed in on Minnesota -14.5 in their season opening 104-76 victory against Nebraska-Omaha. I mentioned in that writeup how underrated this Gophers team is because of all the injuries that derailed the 2nd half of their season last year. This team is way better than people think. As for Utah, they lost three double-digit scorers and 4 of their top six scorers from last season. They went more than 9 minutes without scoring in the 2nd half of their mere 14-point win over Maine. The same Maine team that lost by 43 to San Francisco. Give me the Gophers -8! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Texas -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Longhorns laying what I feel is a favorable number against the Razorbacks. Texas might not have the NBA big guy to lean on like they have the last two seasons with Jarrett Allen and Mo Bamba, but I think the roster as a whole is the best of the Shaka Smart era. I think they are very talented an, have a couple of senior leaders who are starters and depth across the board. Arkansas is coming off a 23-12 season, but are likely in rebuilding mode after losing 4 starters, including the dynamic duo of Jaylen Barford and Daryl Macon (34.7 ppg -combined). I also like the edge Texas has here having already played a game, while this is the season opener for the Razorbacks. Give me the Longhorns -6! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (UConn -11) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies at this price against a team like Morehead State on their home floor. I get that Morehead State returns all 5 starters and UConn is coming off a bad season and just made a big coaching change. It doesn't change the fact that the Huskies are the far superior team and should win here by 20-plus points. I think UConn made a massive upgrade at head coach bringing in Dan Hurley to replace Kevin Ollie. He takes over at team that might have the best player in the AAC in Jalen Adams. While I like teams with experience early, Morehead State lost by 52 to Xavier, 33 to Virginia Tech and 16 to Butler. They will be improved, but more of that will come inside conference play. Give me UConn -11! 

40* NCAAB OPENING NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Minnesota -14.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Minnesota coming out in their season-opener and laying it on the Mavericks. The Gophers ended up finishing last season at 15-17 and I think it has them way undervalued here to start the new season. This team actually started out the year 13-3 before injuries and suspensions resulted in 4 of their top 6 players unavailable. They got a bunch of guys coming back and keep an eye on true freshman Daneil Oturu. As for Omaha, they got 3 starters back from a team that went 9-22 last year and were awful on the defensive side of the ball. I just don't see them keeping this within 20 points on the road. Give me the Gophers -14.5!  

50* MICHIGAN/VILLANOVA SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan +7) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Wolverines as a big dog against Villanova in the title game. If you listen to the major media outlets, there's really no point in even playing this game, as most experts on TV/Radio are already claiming Villanova as the winner. I love teams that are considered to have no chance of winning in big games. I not only think the Wolverines can keep this close enough to cover, but I give them a good shot at winning this game outright. Michigan is much better equipped than Kansas was to defend the 3-pointer and are a better offensive team than they have shown in their last two games against FSU and Loyola. Sure, if Villanova hits 50% from long distance they likely win this game going away, but given how well the Wolverines defend the 3-pointer, I don't see that happening. Michigan is the better defensive team and defense wins championships. Give me the Wolverines +7! 

40* NCAAB FINAL FOUR ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines covering the 5.5-point spread against the Ramblers. Loyola-Chicago is this year's Cinderella team and it's been quite a run for this program, but I think they are in for a rude awakening in the Final Four. There' have been multiple No. 11 seeds reach this point and none have been able to reach the finals. The thing you can't overlook with the Ramblers making it this far is just how lucky they have been. They won their first two games on a last second shot and their first 3 wins came by a combined 4 points. They also played in a region where all the top teams went out early, as they got to take on No. 7 Nevada in the Sweet 16 and No. 9 Kansas State in the Elite 8. Michigan is by far the best team they have played to this point and the Wolverines should win here going away. Give me Michigan -5.5! 

40* NCAAB NIT SEMIFINAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Utah +2) 

I'll take my chances with the Utes in Tuesday's semifinal action of the NIT against Western Kentucky. Utah didn't make the NCAA Tournament, but there's no denying that this team was playing their best basketball down the stretch and likely could have made some noise in the Big Dance. The Utes closed out the regular season 9-3 over their final 12 games. They lost a heartbreaker in their only game in the Pac-12 tournament, falling 66-68 to Oregon, despite shooting 51.2% from the field and limiting the Ducks to a mere 37.7% shooting. Utah responsded with 3 straight impressive wins over UC-Davis, LSU and St. Mary's to get a chance to play at Madison Square Garden. WKU has also played great, but I think they benefited quite a bit from playing teams like USC and Oklahoma State, who were bubble teams that got left out and weren't all that interested in making a deep run in the NIT. I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me the Utes +2! 

50* NCAAB ELITE 8 GAME OF THE YEAR (Duke -3) 

My money is on the Blue Devils to cash in a winning ticket and cover the small spread in Sunday's Elite 8 action against Kansas. Duke didn't play all that well in their last game and had to grind out a 69-65 win over Syracuse as a 11-point favorite. While Kansas ended up not covering in their 80-76 win over Clemson, that was a much more lopsided affair than the final score would suggest. 

The Blue Devils shot just 39.3% against the Orange, as they struggled to crack Syracuse's zone defense. While Kansas isn't a horrible defensive team, I think this is a really tough matchup for the Jayhawks. I just feel that Duke is the better team and will find a way to win this game. Give me the Blue Devils -3! 

40* NCAAB ELITE 8 ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a decently priced dog against the Wildcats. Nothing against Villanova, but I think the Wildcats are getting a little too much respect here against a very good Texas Tech team that just beat a strong Purdue team by 13 points on Friday. Villanova ended up covering in a 90-78 win over West Virginia, but that was far from a comfortable win, as they actually trailed by 6 with just over 11 minutes to play. I think that game took a lot out of Villanova and now they have to go up against a Texas Tech team that can lock you down defensively. I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Red Raiders pulled off the upset. Give me Texas Tech +6.5! 

50* NCAAB ELITE 8 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -4) 

I was all over the Wolverines in Thursday's complete annihilation of Texas A&M. One of the big reasons I like Michigan so much, was they just weren't themselves in their first two games and I thought a big reason for that was the long lay-off from the Big Ten Tournament being played a week earlier than it had in the past. As expected, we saw a completely different team against the Aggies. As impressive as FSU looked in their win over Gonzaga, they did catch some breaks. For one, the Bulldogs were without a key piece to their rotation in 2nd leading scorer Killian Tillie. The Seminoles also benefited from Williams and Hachimura got in early foul trouble. Let's not forget the game before against Xavier, they benefited from a big collapse by the Musketeers, who had a 12 point lead with around 10 minutes to play. Simply put, I think FSU is extremely fortunate to have made it this far and will be outclassed by Michigan. Give me the Wolverines -4! 

40* NCAAB ELITE 8 NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas St -1) 

I'll take my chances with Kansas State to come out victorious against Loyola-Chicago. The Ramblers have been this year's Cinderella story outside of No. 16 UMBC. Loyola has won 3 games in the tournament in about as dramatic a fashion as you could envision. They took out Miami and Tennessee on last second shots and barely escaped with a 1-point win over Nevada. The Ramblers are built around a strong defense that looks to frustrate opponents and really take them out of their game. That plays right into the hands of the Wildcats, who look to beat you in the exact same way. I just feel that Kansas State is the far superior team and when you look at what the Big 12 has done in this tournament, I don't understand how they aren't getting more respect. Give me the Wildcats -1! 

50* NCAAB SWEET 16 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Texas Tech +2)

I have a lot of respect for this Purdue team, but I just think they are behind the 8-ball after losing big man Isaac Haas. He was such a difference maker inside and really forced defenses to collapse, creating wide open looks on the perimeter. They were very fortunate to get past Butler in their last game, escaping with a 76-73 win. Luckily for them Butler isn't a great defensive team, at least not on the level of what they will face tonight with Texas Tech. A lot of people forget this Red Raiders team was playing as well as anyone to start the year before the injuries started to mount up. They are finally back to full strength and aren't just a team capable of winning this game, but making the Final 4. I think their ability to lock down the Boilermakers on the defensive side of the ball will be the difference. Give me Texas Tech +2! 

40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS NO-BRAINER (Villanova -5)

There's no denying that West Virginia is a difficult team to prepare for with their unique style of play, especially if you haven't seen it. It's really a difference maker when you have just that 1-day off between the first and second round, which I believe explains the annihilator of Marshall in the Round of 32. While these two programs haven't played each other since 2011, Villanova is one team that I think can handle the pressure. They are an experienced bunch with outstanding guards, which you have to have to beat this Mountaineer team. West Virginia might be able to hang around early, but I see Villanova winning here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -5! 

40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS SLAUGHTER (Clemson +5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Tigers as a decently priced dog. I'm just not a believer in this Kansas team and while they have made it this far, I haven't been all that impressed. I know Azubuike was able to play 22 minutes in their last game against Seton Hall, but he's still not 100% and Seton Hall's Delgado really had his way inside, scoring 24 points and grabbing 23 rebounds. This Clemson team has been way undervalued ever since they lost Grantham for the season, but have continued to play at an extremely high level. I thought their 84-53 win over Auburn was one of the most impressive wins in the first two rounds, yet no one is talking about this team or giving them much of a chance to win this game. I really like their chances to pull off the upset, but will gladly take the points as some added insurance. Give me Clemson +5! 

40* NCAAB SWEET 16 ATS KNOCKOUT (Gonzaga -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs. It feels like this game is flying under the radar in Thursday's Sweet 16 lineup. I'm not sure why. Either way, I see some decent value here with Gonzaga, who I think was one of the most underrated teams in the tournament. On the flip side of this, I'm not a believer in the Seminoles. Sure they took out No. 1 seed Xavier, but was it really a big surprise to see the Musketeers bow out early. Let's also not forget that it was more Xavier collapsing than it was FSU being the better team. The Musketeers blew a 12-point lead late in the 2nd half. I also think there's a massive edge here in coaching with Gonzaga's Mark Few going up against the Seminoles Leonard Hamilton. Give me the Bulldogs -6! 

50* NCAAB SWEET 16 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Michigan -2.5) 

My money is on the Wolverines as a short favorite here against the Aggies. Michigan got off to a slow start and barely covered their opener against Montana and then needed a 3-pointer at the buzzer to escape with a 64-63 win over Houston. I think because they didn't dominate, all the buzz around this team has taken a hit and I believe it has them undervalued here. That Houston team was way better than most people realized. On the flip side of this, Texas A&M is getting all kinds of love right now after their dismantling of North Carolina (won by 21) in the Round of 32. That was impressive, but let's not forget they barely got by Providence in their first game. I also think Michigan wasn't in top form after the long layoff from the Big Ten Tournament and will be a different team when they take the court tonight. Give me the Wolverines -2.5! 

40* NIT LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Western Kentucky +5) 

I'll take my chances here with Western Kentucky and the points on the road against USC. The Trojans were one of the bigger snubs for the NCAA Tournament and I just don't think playing in the NIT means a whole lot to this team. They certainly didn't play up to their potential in their first round game, as they needed double-overtime to escape with a win over UNC Asheville. It's a lot easier for these smaller schools to find motivation in these NIT games and this Western Kentucky team is no joke. The Hilltoppers had wins over Purdue and SMU in non-confernece play. They also played Villanova tough in a mere 8-point loss as a 22.5-point dog. It's not out of the question that WKU is the better team here, especially with USC being without the likes of Bennie Boatwright and Chimezie Metu. Give me the Hilltoppers +5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Xavier -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Musketeers as what I feel is a great price given the circumstances. Xavier might not have deserved a No. 1 seed, but that doesn't mean this isn't one of the best teams in the country. I think all the people doubting them has them playing with a chip on their shoulder. I give FSU credit for their win over Missouri, but I wonder if the Tigers wish they wouldn't have brought back Michael Porter Jr. While he's a great player, I think it really messed with the chemistry this team had going. The Seminoles suffered a massive blow in that win, as arguably their most important player, Terance Mann, suffered a groin injury and is doubtful to play. Even with Mann I thought this FSU team was going to struggle to keep pace with the explosiveness of the Xavier offense. Now I give them little to no shot. Give me the Musketeers -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kansas St -10) 

My money is on the Wildcats to not just win but blow the doors open against UMBC. The Retrievers pulled off the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history on Friday, as they laid it on No. 1 overall seed Virginia in a 74-54 win. As impressive as that win was, it has UMBC in the biggest of all letdown spots and we often see this big double-digit seeds struggle to play well in the Round of 32 after a big upset. People just don't understand the emotional toll a win like that takes on a team. Players likely didn't sleep much on Friday and have been all over the media. Kansas State isn't an elite team and I know Dean Wade is questionable, but I don't believe it's going to matter here, as this team won't overlook the Retrievers like Virginia. Give me the Wildcats -10! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan St -9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Spartans winning by double-digits over the Orange. There's no denying that Michigan State is one of the most talented and well-coached teams in the country. While the game wasn't as close as the final score would lead on, Izzo isn't going to be happy about a mere 4-point win over Bucknell in the opener. He's going to be on his team about playing a full 40 minutes. Syracuse proved a lot of people wrong getting this far, as most thought they didn't deserve to even be in the field, but due to having to play a play-in game they are now playing their 3rd game in 5 days. I just don't think there's going to be enough gas left in the tank to compete with Michigan State and this is a team that has had their struggles against the top teams in the ACC, especially away from home. Give me the Spartans -9! 

50* NCAAB ROUND OF 32 GAME OF THE YEAR (Michigan -3) 

I have the Wolverines making the Final 4 and absolutely love the value here with them laying just 3-poitns against Houston. Michigan came out extremely flat in their first game, as they let Montana get out to a 10-0 lead. The Wolverines found their stride and went on to cover in a 14-point win. The thing to keep in mind, is Michigan hadn't played in over a week with the Big Ten Tournament being played a week earlier this year. They clearly weren't in sync to start that game, but should be a full go here against the Cougars. Houston is a quality team and won't go down without a fight, I just think this Michigan team is playing as well as any team in the country right now and are a very difficult team to prepare for on just 1-day of rest. Give me the Wolverines -3! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Florida +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gators as a short dog against the Red Raiders on Saturday. Florida is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. They really looked good in their first game, defeating St Bonaventure  77-62. The Gators really brought the defensive intensity, as they limited the Bonnies to just 35.4% shooting. I had high hopes for this Texas Tech team early in the year, but injuries really got them off track. They aren't playing anywhere close to their potential right now and that's evident by the fact that they are 0-7-1 ATS over their last 8 games. I just don't think the Red Raiders have the offensive fire-power to pull this one out. Give me the Gators +1.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS SHOCKER (Charleston +9.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cougars, who I think has an excellent shot of not only covering the spread but winning this game outright. Charleston has three big time scoring options in Riller, Brantley and Chealey, who all average at least 17 ppg. The Cougars will make Auburn work for every basket with their 3-quarter court man defense that often leads to opponents taking bad shots late in the shot clock. Charleston also rarely turns the ball over and do an outstanding job of getting to the free throw line and racking up easy points. Auburn was a great story and are a solid team, but they went just 4-5 down the stretch and really padded their record with a pretty easy non-conference schedule. Keep in mind this team desperately needed a win or at least show well in the SEC Tournament and they came out and got rolled by Alabama 81-63. I just don't trust the Tigers here. Give me the Cougars +9.5! 

50* SOUTH REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nevada -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolf Pack at basically a pick'em against the Longhorns. Nevada ran into a buzz-saw in the MWC Tournament and lost by 17 to San Diego State. The fact that they still made it as an at-large tells you just how good this team was during the regular season and I think the Wolf Pack could be a major cinderella story this year. People just don't realize how much talent Nevada has on this roster, but a quick look at their non-conference schedule tells you all you need to know. The Wolf Pack knocked Rhode Island and Davidsona nd lost by just 6 at Texas Tech and by only 4 to TCU on a neutral court. Keep in mind the Red Raiders and Horned Frogs were two of the hottest teams in the country to start the year. Texas isn't a bad team, but they are limited on the offensive end and could easily shoot themselves out of this game early. As for Nevada, they got 3 big time playmakers on offense, plus they take exceptional care of the ball and can strike from long-range (12th in the country at 39.8% from deep). Give me the Wolf Pack -1! 

50* EAST REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marshall +12) 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHER (Texas A&M -3.5)

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan -11)

50* MIDWEST REGION SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iona +20)

My money is on the Gaels to make the Blue Devils sweat in the opening round. Iona didn't play the toughest of non-conference schedules, but they did travel to both Syracuse and Rhode Island. While they lost both games, the margin of defeat was in the single-digits. Like previous versions of the Gaels teams that we have seen, Iona can light it up from all over the floor. They have 5 games who average double-figures and just as many that can knock down the open 3-pointer. The Gaels also like to push the pace and get out in transition, which is not something Duke has defended all that well. The Blue Devils are also playing a lot more zone defense, which can be a recipe for disaster against a quality shooting team like the Gaels. As good as Duke is, 20-points is a lot for them to win by against this quality of an opponent right out of the gate. Give me Iona +20! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Rhode Island -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rams at basically a pick'em against the Sooners on Thursday. I think Oklahoma was fortunate just to get in and if it wasn't for all the hype around Trae Young I don't know if they would be in the field. Either way this is not the same Sooners team that caught the country by surprise back in November and December. After starting out 12-1 the Sooners have gone a mere 6-12 over their final 18 games. Young is no longer putting up video game like numbers and I just don't see Oklahoma flipping a switch and returning to their old form in the NCAA Tournament. Teams that can keep Young from going off have had all kinds of success against this team and Rhode Island has one of the deepest backcourts in the country and can really get after teams with their pressure (ranked 3rd in the nation in forcing turnovers). On the flip side they have plenty of offensive fire-power to have their way with a very poor Oklahoma defense. Give me the Rams -1.5!

50* NIT VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Utah -12.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Utes covering this big number at home against UC-Davis. This was a bit of a transition year for Utah, but they still managed to go 19-11 and were a rock solid 13-3 on their home floor. They closed out the year winning 6 of their final 8 games, which included a 5-game winning streak. 

UC-Davis is simply outclassed here and will struggle to keep this within 20-points. Note that the Aggies lost Chima Moneke, their best player, in early February. They just don't have enough fire-power without Moneke to compete against the big boys. Give me the Utes -12.5! 

40* NIT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Lafayette +4) 

Most are going to just jump on the small number here with LSU at home, but I'll take my chances with the Ragin' Cajuns in this one. These two teams are both from Louisiana and that adds a little more to this game, especially for Lafayette, who will be extremely motivated to play here against the Tigers. This Ragin' Cajuns team is no joke. They won 27 games and can light it up on the offensive end, as they averaged 83.4 ppg on the season. I think they simply will want this one more. I'll take the points as some added insurance, but I expect them to win this one outright. Give me Lafayette +4! 

40* NIT BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (NC-Asheville +16.5) 

My money is on the Bulldogs to cover this big spread against the Trojans. This is simply a play against USC, as teams who just miss out on the NCAA Tournament typically have a hard time getting up for their NIT matchup. However, because the perception is that the Trojans are the vastly superior team, they are overvalued. Making matters even worse for USC is they might not have Chimeze Metu, which would be a massive blow given they are already without Bennie Boatwright. Look for Asheville to give the Trojans a big scare in this one and maybe even win this game outright. Give me the Bulldogs +16.5! 

40* NIT BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (SE Louisiana +14.5) 

My money is on the Lions to keep it close enough to cover against St. Mary's on Tuesday. In fact, I think there's a decent chance SE Louisiana wins this game outright. That's because I don't see the Gaels being all that excited about playing in the NIT, as they were one of the last 4 teams left out of the Big Dance. Keep in mind one of the strengths of St. Mary's is their defense, which only allowed 64.5 ppg. Motivation is a key component of playing good defense, so look for a few more holes in the Gaels stop unit tonight. St. Mary's last game was against BYU in their conference tourny and they lost by 13 points. The Gaels are a 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games off a conference loss by 10 or more. They are also just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Give me the Lions +14.5! 

50* NIT VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hampton +20.5) 

My money is on the Pirates to give the Fighting Irish a much bigger scare than the books are expecting. The biggest thing here is I just don't see Notre Dame being excited at all about playing this game. The Irish came into the season thinking they had the talent to be a legit Final 4 contender, but injuries to star players like Bonzie Colson put those hopes to rest. Winning the NIT isn't going to make them feel any better about how this season went and I don't expect them to be around long. Take Hampton! 

40* NIT PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Northern Kentucky +8) 

My money is on the Norse to cash in here as a decently priced road dog against Louisville on Tuesday. The Cardinals played their way out of the NCAA Tournament by going just 4-8 over their final 12 games and simply put this is not a program that is use to not being in the field of 68. It can be extremely hard for programs like Louisville to get up for a tournament like this. I not only think the Cardinals will fail to cover the spread, but I think Northern Kentucky has a great shot at winning this game outright. The Norse are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. Give me Northern Kentucky +8! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Arizona -3) 

My money is on the Wildcats here as a short favorite against the Trojans. There's been so much negative talk around this Arizona team that I think it has them undervalued, despite the fact that they are playing some of their best basketball. I feel like all the off the court crap has actually been a positive for this team and they are using the negative talk as motivation. The Wildcats are also an elite team with two of these best players in the country. Great teams win in March and I expect a very motivated Arizona team here. USC has been playing well, but are short-handed and that should play a big factor here in what will be the Trojans 3rd game in 3 days. Give me Arizona -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Virginia -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Virginia taking down the Tar Heels and covering the spread in Saturday's ACC title game. For whatever reason the Cavaliers continue to be underrated, which isn't easy to do for a team that's sitting No. 1 in the country. They just don't play a style of basketball that draws attention to them and the public typically struggles to get on board with teams that rely so much on their defense. Not only do I think Virginia is the better team, but I also think this is a really tough spot for North Carolina. They invested a ton in yesterday's rubber match against their biggest rivals in Duke. Beating Virginia won't bring the same satisfaction as that victory over the Blue Devils and I think they struggle to bring the energy needed here to take down this Cavaliers team. Give me Virginia -4.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gators laying a short number against the Razorbacks. Florida had a brutal stretch where they went just 3-6 over a 9 game period, but they closed out the year with 3 straight wins. They knocked off Auburn at home 72-66, one ton the road and routed a good Alabama team 73-52 and closed things out with another big win in a 80-67 victory over Kentucky. I think the Gators are primed to carry over that success here against a pretty average Arkansas team that had to scratch out a 69-64 win yesterday over South Carolina. While the Razorbacks were in a dog fight, Florida had a bye and that rest edge should be huge in the outcome. Give me the Gators -3.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Arkansas -3) 

My money is on the Razorbacks to cover this short number against the Gamecocks on Thursday. South Carolina was able to escape with a 85-84 win over Ole Miss in the opening round of the SEC Tournament yesterday. The Rebels are the worst team in the league, so that's nothing to get excited about. South Carolina is still just 4-8 SU in their last 12 games and lost both meetings against the Bulldogs during the regular season. I don't see any reason to expect anything different, especially with Arkansa playing on rest and the Gamecocks on no rest. Give me the Razorbacks -3! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Tulane +5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Green Wave at least keeping it close enough to cover against Temple in Thursday's AAC Tournament play. Tulane comes in just 2-10 in their last 12 games, but they haven't played as bad as the record would suggest. Of those 10 defeats during this rough stretch, 6 came by 7 ore fewer points. The Green Wave won at Temple earlier this year by double-digits and kept it close in the rematch. I wouldn't be surprised at all of they won this game outright. Let's not overlook the Owls haven't been playing great either down the stretch, as they are just 1-4 in their last 5. Give me Tulane +5.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Mississippi St -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs taking out the Tigers in the SEC Tournament. Mississippi State did just lose at LSU in the regular season finale by 21-points. Needless to say they will be out for revenge from that embarrassing showing. The thing with that outcome is LSU is simply a different team on their home floor and the Bulldogs were coming off a much bigger game against Tennessee at home. The Tigers finished 11-4 at home compared to just 4-9 on the road. LSU is also just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 off a conference home win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a  conference win by double-digits. Give me Mississippi State -1.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders knocking off the Longhorns and covering this spread. Texas Tech got a huge win in their regular season finale over TCU, snapping a 4-game skid. However, I still think this team is undervalued because of the fact that they are just 1-4 in their last 5. A big reason for the poor stretch was injuries. Texas Tech got back Keenan Evans in that last game against TCU and he responded with 23 points in the 2nd half. Texas barely scraped by ISU in the opening round last night are going to be without Eric Davis Jr and possibly Mohamed Bamba. Give me the Red Raiders -5.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR (Kansas -2) 

My money is on the Jayhawks to cash in with an easy win over Oklahoma State. This will be the 3rd meeting between these two teams this season and surprisingly the Cowboys won both games. The most recent game in the regular-season finale, where Oklahoma State routed Kansas by 18-points. To say the Jayhawks will be motivated for revenge here is an understatement. Let's not forget that blowout loss to Oklahoma State in the finale came right after Kansas had secured the regular-season conference title. No disrespect to the Cowboys, but they are going to be outmatched here, especially after having to play yesterday in the opening round against their in-state rivals in Oklahoma. Give me the Jayhawks -2! 

50* NCAAB BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Marquette -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Golden Eagles covering this number against the Blue Demons. Marquette is the far superior team here. They went a respectable 9-9 in Big East play, while DePaul was a mere 4-14. I think a big reason why we are getting such a favorable number here is the fact that the Blue Demons did knock off the Golden Eagles 70-62 at home recently on 2/24. They also lost by 18 on the road at Marquette and keep in mind that last meeting was a tough spot for the Eagles, who were playing on just 2 days of rest and their 3rd game in a week span. The Blue Demons are a mere 1-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a neutral side underdog. Give me Marquette -5.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Notre Dame -2)

I'll gladly back the Irish here as a short favorite against Va Tech. I just feel like this line represents the Notre Dame team that struggled in ACC play, when they are a much better team right now with Bonzie Colson back in the lineup. I also think we are seeing the Hokies overvalued because of a 9-3 ATS run over their last 12 games. I'm not saying Va Tech won't make a game of this, I just don't think they are good enough defensively to win this game. Give me Notre Dame -2! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS KNOCKOUT (Syracuse -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange laying what I think is a short number here in the opening round of the ACC Tournament. Syracuse comes in off a huge 55-52 home win over Clemson to keep their NCAA Tournament hopes alive, but the Orange are still firmly on the bubble and need to take out the Demon Deacons. I think that win over the Tigers was huge for the morale of this Syracuse team and I look for them to blow Wake Forest out of the gym today. The Demon Deacons are not a good team. They are a mere 3-13 in their last 16 games with the only road win a mere 6-point win at Pitt, who is hands down the worst team in the conference. Wake is just 3-11 ATS this season as an underdog and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games with a lower total in the range of 130 to 139.5. Give me the Orange -4.5! 

40* BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP ATS KNOCKOUT (Purdue -3) 

It's been a great run here for the Wolverines to get to the Big Ten Tournament title game, but my money is on Michigan struggling to finish off the job against the Boilermakers. I really like this Purdue team and they are rolling right now, having won 5 straight. A stretch in which they have been ridiculously efficient from the field. During this 5-game run the Boilermakers have shot 52.9% from the field, while averaging 82.6 ppg. They have not only played 1 fewer game to get to the title contest, but I also think it's going to be tough for Michigan to bounce back and play as well as they just did yesterday in their upset win over in-state rival Michigan State. Give me Purdue -3! 

50* NCAAB ACC GAME OF THE YEAR (NC State -3)

This is every bit a play on the Wolfpack as it is a fade of the Cardinals. NC State comes in off an ugly 75-78 loss at Georgia Tech and that should have them 100% locked in for what will be their final home game of the season. On the flip side of this, Louisville is coming off about as gut-wrenching of a loss as you will see. The Cardinals had a 4-point lead with less than 1 second to play in a near upset of No. 1 Virginia and somehow lost the game 66-67. It's hard enough bouncing back from any kind of close loss, but almost impossible to rebound from a loss like that, especially with only 1 day off between contests. Give me the Wolfpack -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders righting the ship at home against the Horned Frogs in their regular-season finale. Texas Tech is in the ultimate bounce-back spot, as they come in having lost 4 straight after opening up 10-3 in Big 12 play. The biggest thing has been the schedule during this run, as 3 of the 4 were on the road and the other was at home against red-hot Kansas. Note that the Red Raiders were competitive in all 4, as each defeat came by 10-points or less with two of the 3 by less than 3 points. TCU comes in having won 4 straight and a favorable schedule has played a big part in that, as 3 of the 4 were at home and the lone road contest was at lowly Iowa State. Let's also not forget that Tech whooped up on the Horned Frogs at TCU earlier this season 83-71 as a 3.5-point dog. I think we see another double-digit win and easy cover. Give me the Red Raiders -6.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Marquette -2)

My money is on the Golden Eagles to take care of business at home against the Bluejays. Marquette has been playing well here down the stretch. They are 4-2 in their last 6 games and 5 of those 6 contests were on the road. I think we are going to get a max effort here from the Golden Eagles on senior day against a top tier opponent. Creighton comes in off back-to-back wins, but both of those wins came at home. The Bluejays are just 5-7 SU and 4-8 ATS in road lined games this season. The other big key here is just how well Marquette matches up with the Bluejays. The Golden Eagles won 80-86 at Creighton in mid February as a 6-point dog and are now 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in the series. The Bluejays are also just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 as an underdog and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a home win by 10 or more. Give me Marquette -2! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Clemson +1.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Tigers at basically a pick'em on the road against the Orange this Saturday. Most will be looking to lay the short number with Syracuse at home on senior day, but I just don't like how this team is playing down the stretch. The Orange come in having lost 3 straight and are just 3-6 SU in their last 9 overall. As for Clemson, I think the Tigers continue to be undervalued because of the season-ending injury to Donte Gratham. This team has continued to play extremely well without him. The only hiccup came when starting point guard Shelton Mitchell got hurt at FSU and missed the next two games. They lost all 3 of those contests, but since Mitchell's return have won 2 straight. To top it off we got a great system in play here. Road dogs off 2 straight wins at home against an opponent off 2 straight road losses by 10 or more are 38-15 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me Clemson +1.5!

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Ohio St -2.5) 

My money is on the Buckeyes laying a short number here against the Nittany Lions. I just don't understand why this Ohio State team doesn't get more respect than they get for going 15-3 in the Big Ten with a 16-point home win over Michigan State and road win at Purdue, the consensus two best teams in the conference. I was on Penn State yesterday in their game against Northwestern, but that was more of because of how bad the Wildcats were playing. I think the Nittany Lions are going to run into a serious problem here, as this Ohio State isn't going to take this game lightly after losing both regular-season meetings. The Buckeyes get their revenge when it matters the most. Give me Ohio State -2.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Louisville +4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cardinals as a home dog against Virginia on Thursday. I just think this is going to be a tough spot for the Cavaliers to match the intensity of Louisville. Virginia has already locked up the regular-season ACC title and a loss here wouldn't keep them from a No. 1 seed. The Cardinals on the other hand are no sure thing to make the NCAA Tournament. They are currently one of the last teams in as a No. 11 seed. A win here would secure a spot and there's every reason to believe they can pull off the upset. Louisville gave the Cavaliers all they could handle in a 10-point loss at Virginia and did so by shooting 50% on the road against one of the best defenses in the country. The Cardinals are even better offensively at home, where they are 11-1 this season. Give me Louisville +4! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Boston College -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home against the Orange. While Syracuse rolled over BC 81-63 on their home floor earlier this season, the Eagles are simply a different team at home than on the road. Boston College is 13-3 at home this season compared to just 3-10 on the road. Add in the extra incentive here for the Eagles to play well on senior night in their final home game and I think we are getting some big time value. Keep in mind that Syracuse is in a bit of a letdown spot here. They just lost at Duke, which concluded a brutal 3 game stretch where they had to go at Miami, host UNC and go to Duke. They lost to the Blue Devils by 16 and are a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games off a road loss by 10 or more points. Give me the Eagles -1.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUST ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgia -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs at basically a pick'em at home against the Aggies. Georgia comes in playing well, as they have won 3 of their last 4. That's definitely a positive, but the real key here is where the game is being played. The Bulldogs are 11-3 at home this season and will be extra motivated here with this being their final home game of the season. Another key here is Georgia has owned Texas A&M of late. They are 5-1 in the last 6 with the lone loss coming at Texas A&M by 1-point. Aggies are also a mere 1-7 ATS this season in games with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Bulldogs -1! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St +6.5) 

I'll gladly back the Wildcats here as a big road dog against the Horned Frogs, as I actually think there's a good chance Kansas State wins this game outright. TCU has won and covered their last 3 games, but it's far from an impressive run with two of the wins at home against Oklahoma St and Baylor, with the other a road win at ISU. K-State did lose last time out at Oklahoma, but that's won of the toughest places to play in the country. The Wildcats have only lost back-to-back games twice all season. The first being a 2-game set against West Virginia and Texas Tech. The other being Kansas and West Virginia. K-State has racked up 4 road wins already in Big 12 play. It's also worth noting that even with the recent run they are on, TCU is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU win. Give me the Wildcats +6.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Miami +10)

I think the price is right here to take a shot on the Hurricanes as a double-digit dog against the Tar Heels. Miami is a young team that can sometimes come out flat/not give a lesser opponent the respect they deserve, but this team has consistently shown up against the top tier teams in the ACC and I expect nothing but their best effort here, as a win would all but secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament. As for North Carolina, I know they have won 6 straight, but I think the books have finally adjusted here. Keep in mind they were a similarly priced 10.5-point home favorite against Notre Dame just a couple weeks ago and Miami is a far superior team than the Irish right now. While it is senior night, with no shot at winning the ACC and their resume for the Tournament a sure thing, I think they have a hard time not looking ahead to this Saturday's rematch with Duke. Give me the Hurricanes +10! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Va Tech +6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies keeping this within the number at home against Duke and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Virginia Tech is a very talented team and are 20-9 overall (just 4 fewer wins than Duke) and own a 13-4 record on their home floor. They did just lose at home to Louisville over the weekend, but I think that was a result of them looking ahead to his game. The Blue Devils defeated Syracuse in their last contest, but now are in a major lookahead spot of their own with a revenge on the line in Saturday's upcoming rematch with UNC. Note this is also a revenge spot for the Va Tech, as they got embarrassed at Duke a couple weeks back by 18 points. Give me the Hokies +6!  

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Temple -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Owls winning by a comfortable margin at home over the Knights.  This is a golden spot to jump on Temple. The Owls suffered a crushing 86-93 loss at Wichita State, where they blew a 56-42 halftime lead. As is often the case with teams, Temple came out flat at home against Houston and got embarrassed by the Cougars 80-59. Not only will the Owls be motivated off that ugly performance at home, but there's added incentive here, as they will be out for revenge from a 39-60 defeat at UCF back in January. Give me Temple -5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan St -7.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Spartans laying what I think is a short number on the road against the Badgers. While Michigan State has already earned a share of the Big Ten regular season title, a loss here would have them sharing the title with Ohio State and losing out on the No. 1 seed in the Big Ten Tournament due to a loss at Ohio State in the only meeting between the two teams. Keep in mind this is a team that still needs to build their resume for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. I think we get the very best the Spartans have to offer. As for Wisconsin, yes they have been playing better of late, but they are completely outmatched here. Note that Michigan State was a 17-point home favorite in the first meeting between these two teams. Based on that line they should be around a 13.5-point favorite on a neutral site and a 10-point favorite on the road. My money is on a double-digit win for the road team. Give me the Spartans -7.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT NO BRAINER (Oregon -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Ducks at home against the Wildcats. Arizona is a complete mess right now. Star point guard Alonzo Trier is no longer eligible because of a failed PED test and now future NBA lottery pick DeAndre Ayton is questionable to play after the recent wire tap that came out with head coach Sean Miller (also not likely to be around for this one) taking a payment. On top of all of this, Oregon has been playing extremely well of late. The Ducks have won 5 straight at home and likely need to win out to feel comfortable about making the NCAA Tournament. Give me Oregon -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -2.5) 

My money is on the Gators to knock off the Tigers at home on Saturday. Florida will be in desperation mode here after losing their last 3. The simple fact that they are favored here over the No. 12 team in the country really says it all. Auburn is a comfortable 2-games ahead of the next best team for the outright SEC regular-season title and could be in line for a letdown here after a big home win over their biggest rival in Alabama. Florida is an impressive 34-14 ATS in their last 48 games when they come in having failed to cover 3 straight and are 16-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Gators -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kentucky -6)

My money is on the Wildcats making easy work of the Tigers tonight. Not much went right for Kentucky during a recent 4-game losing streak, but the Wildcats got back on track with a 81-71 win at home over Alabama and carried over that momentum with an even more impressive 87-72 win at Arkansas. I like Kentucky's chances of keeping it rolling against the Tigers, who come in having lost their last 2. The Wildcats are 12-2 SU at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 10.3 ppg and I think they have no problem winning here by more than that margin. Give me Kentucky -6! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Notre Dame +1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Irish pulling out a win on the road against the Demon Deacons. Notre Dame comes in off a close 3-point loss at home to Miami and I feel that has them in a prime bounce back spot. The Irish had won 3 of their previous 4 with the only other loss at UNC. Wake Forest comes in off a win at Pitt, but the Panthers are the worst team in the league. The Demon Deacons are also still a mere 4-12 in ACC play and have gone just 5-8 ATS in lined home games this season. Notre Dame has won and covered each of the last 3 meetings in the series and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Irish +1! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Oregon -3.5) 

I'll be the first to admit I wasn't high on this Ducks team coming into this year, but Dana Altman has done a tremendous job once again turning Oregon into a contender. I expect a very motivated and locked in Ducks team here at home after losing two hard fought games on the road to USC and UCLA. Oregon had won 5 of their previous 6 before the recent skid, are 5-1 in their last 6 home games and 13-3 at home overall. Arizona State comes in off a crushing home loss to Arizona after two big wins over USC and UCLA and I just don't think the Sun Devils will have enough left in the tank for this one. The Ducks won the first meeting at Arizona State 76-72 as a 7.5-point dog and the Sun Devils are a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a road loss. Take Oregon! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR (Northwestern -3.5) 

My money is on the Wildcats at home with or without senior Bryant McIntosh. Northwestern comes in having lost 4 straight, so motivation will not be a problem here, but this is also senior night, so there's even more incentive to play well in front of the home fans the final time this season. As for Wisconsin, I'm not buying the recent success of the Badgers, which includes an upset win over Purdue.

That win over the Boilermakers came just after they suffered that crushing 3-point loss at Michigan State, so a letdown was not a surprise for Purdue. Then they pulled a rabbit out of their hat in an OT win at home against Minnesota, rallying from 7 down in the final 6 minutes of regulation. Their only other 2 wins in their previous 11 games were both against bottom-feeder Illinois.

There's just not a lot of incentive for Wisconsin to get up for this game and it will be even harder to focus on this contest with a massive home game against Michigan State on deck. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St -3) 

I'll gladly lay a mere 3-points at home with Kansas State against the Longhorns. I believe this Wildcats team is one of the more underrated teams in the country. While they are just 8-6 in the Big 12, all 6 of those losses came against the top 3 teams in Kansas, Texas Tech and West Virginia. They have had their way with the rest of the conference and already won on the road at Texas earlier this season. They are 12-0 at home against any team not named Kansas, Texas Tech or West Virginia. I also think we are seeing some unwarranted respect here for the Longhorns off a road win at Oklahoma. The Sooners are in a free-fall right now. Prior to that, Texas had lost 3 straight, including an ugly 16-point loss at TCU. Give me the Wildcats -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (North Carolina -4)

If this were earlier in the season I might consider taking the points with Syracuse, but not right now. It's getting down to it and teams are doing whatever it takes to build up their resume and make sure they are playing well going into tournament time. North Carolina comes in having won 5 straight and two of those were on the road against really good teams, as they knocked off NC State 96-89 and laid it on Louisville 93-76. I think this team is locked in right now and will make easy work of a good but not great Syracuse team. Keep in mind the Orange have lost 2 of their last 3 at home, including an ugly 15-point loss to Virginia. Give me the Tar Heels -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Va Tech -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hokies at home. This isn't just a play on Virginia Tech, but I also think it's a great spot to go against Clemson. The Tigers somehow didn't miss a beat after losing one of their best players in Donte Grantham and were likely due for a regression here soon. Then came the injury to guard Shelton Mitchell, who will still be out for this game because of a concussion. I just think it will be too much to overcome on the road against a very good Hokies team that is playing well and this feels like a game they need to win to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament (final 3 games are Louisville, Duke and @ Miami). Give me Virginia Tech -4! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Penn St -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nittany Lions at basically a pick'em on their home floor tonight. Penn State has been very good at home this year, where they are 14-3 with a winning ATS record. This is a game they desperately need to win and we know we are going to get a big time effort here with this being their final home, which means senior night. Michigan is a quality team, but are not nearly as good on the road and could struggle to match Penn State's intensity after laying it all on the line in their last game at home against rival Ohio State, which was their senior night. Give me the Nittany Lions -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -3.5) 

I'm sure that some will be calling this a trap game for the Red Raiders with their big game against Kansas on deck, but the fact of the matter is this game means just as much to Texas Tech, as they try to win the Big 12. If they win here and beat KU at home, they would then be able to lose at West Virginia and still claim the crown. While they did just lose on the road at Baylor, the Bears came into that game playing their best basketball of the season. Prior to that the Red Raiders had won 3 straight on the road, including a 66-47 win over Kansas State. I just don't think Oklahoma State is good enough to pull off the upset and certainly aren't playing well, as they come in just 2-6 over their last 8 games. Give me Texas Tech -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (LSU -4.5) 

I just think the price here is too good to pass up on the Tigers laying a short number at home against the Commodores. LSU has been a pleasant surprise under first year head coach Will Wade, who has been every bit as good as advertised. While the Tigers are just 15-11 overall, they 11-4 on their home floor. They come in having won 4 straight at home in SEC play over the likes of Texas A&M, Arkansas, Ole Miss and most recently Missouri. Vanderbilt comes in having won their last two, which I think is getting them some respect here, but the Commodores are winless at 0-11 away from home this season and all but one of their 7 conference losses have come by more than the number listed here. Give me the Tigers -4.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Texas A&M -6.5) 

My money is on the Aggies to make easy work of the Bulldogs at home tonight. Texas A&M is going to be 100% locked in for this contest after dropping 2 straight on the road to Missouri and Arkansas. The Aggies return home, where they are 12-2 on the season, winning by an average of 13.2 ppg. A huge factor here that will get overlooked is the health of Mississippi State forward Aric Holman, who has really emerged this season. He's questionable after suffering a knee injury that forced him to leave early in their last game against Ole Miss. With just 2 days off from that game against the Rebels, I have a hard time seeing Holman play and even if he does he won't be 100%. That's a massive loss for the Bulldogs, as they don't have a ton of depth inside and this Aggies team can abuse you with their size. Give me Texas A&M -6.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Duke -1.5) 

You have to give Clemson credit for how well they have played after Donte Grantham tore his ACL and was lost for the season. However, I believe that success has them way overvalued here against Duke. That's because the Tigers will now also be without starting point guard Shelton Mitchell. Not only is Mitchell a big part of the scoring, but he's also the guy that runs the show and has been playing over 30 mins a game. Even with Duke expected to be without Marvin Bagley III, I don't see the Tigers being able to hang with the Blue Devils here. Give me Duke -1.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -4.5) 

My money is on the Wildcats snapping out of their funk at home against the Crimson Tide. Kentucky has dropped 4 straight, so we know they are going to be 100% locked in here. Three of those 4 losses came on the road, with the lone loss at home by just two points to Tennessee. Kentucky has owned this series of late, as they are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5. This is a statement game for the Wildcats and I expect them to deliver the goods. Give me Kentucky -4.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Iowa +1.5)

I think the wrong team is favored here. Sure it's been an ugly season for the Hawkeyes, but they do have a respectable 8-5 mark at home and have been strong against the bottom-tier teams in the Big Ten on their home floor. Indiana is a mere 3-7 SU on the road this season and are simply getting way too much respect here after winning 3 straight over the likes of Illinois, Minnesota and Rutgers (only road win). Indians is a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games off a home win and 0-6 ATS in this scenario when the win was by 10 or more points. Give me the Hawkeyes +1.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oklahoma -6.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Sooners at home against the Longhorns. This feels like a must-win game for Oklahoma, who comes in having lost 4 straight. Three of those losses came on the road and the Sooners come in at 11-1 on their home floor. I know Texas beat them at Texas earlier this season, but Oklahoma is simply a different team at home and they appear to be catching the Longhorns at the right time, as Texas has lost 3 straight. Longhorns have also dropped 5 straight on the road in Big 12 play. Take Oklahoma! 

50* HORIZON LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH (Ill-Chicago -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Flames laying less than 3-points on the road against the Phoenix. Illinois-Chicago is sitting 3rd in the Horizon at 10-4, while Green Bay is near the bottom of the league at 5-10. The Flame are 10-2 in their last 12, but are fresh off a loss at home to lowly Cleveland State. I think that loss will serve them well here, as we should get a max effort here after a lackluster performance. Note that winning on the road hasn't been a problem for Chicago. In fact, both losses during their 10-2 stretch have come at home. They are a perfect 6-0 on the road during this stretch. One of the reasons I think we aren't seeing a bigger spread here is due to the Phoenix having gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 with the most recent being a mere 6-point loss as a 16.5-point dog at Northern Kentucky. Green Bay is just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games on Friday night and are 0-7 ATS when they come in having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Flames -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (USC -4.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Trojans covering this short number at home against the Ducks. While these two teams come in with similar overall and conference records, I've been a lot more impressed with what I have seen from USC. Oregon is simply getting too much respect here after going 5-1 in their last 6 games, but a closer look shows that 4 of the 5 wins came at home and the lone road win was against Pac-12 bottom feeder Cal. USC is 10-3 at home and will be 100% locked in for this one after dropping their last 3, all on the road against top tier teams in UCLA, Arizona State and Arizona. Give me the Trojans -4.5! 

50* NCAAB AAC GAME OF THE MONTH (Connecticut -3.5) 

My money is on the Huskies to take care of the Golden Hurricane at home tonight. There's no denying that the UConn program is down, but these are two evenly matched teams in my opinion and there's a decent edge here with the Huskies given the home/away splits. UConn is a respectable 10-3 at home with the losses coming against the likes of Wichita St, Villanova and Cincinnati, three of the best teams in the country. Tulsa is a mere 4-8 on the road compared to 10-2 at home. Hurricane are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after failing to cover in their last game, while UConn is 12-1 ATS when raving a loss where they allowed 85 or more points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games when they come in having failed to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Huskies -3.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida St -4) 

Clemson comes in ranked No. 11 and FSU isn't even in the Top 25, yet it's Florida State that is favored by 4 at home. That right there is a great indicator that the books like the Seminoles in this spot, as the public is pounding Clemson. I couldn't agree more. FSU might not be ranked right now, but they are certainly a Top 25 caliber team. 

I think we get a big time effort here from the Seminoles at home, as they aren't going to take kindly to being an underdog to this team. Especially given that Clemson recently loss one of their best players in Donte Grantham. They are 4-1 without him, but 3 of those were against bottom feeders in Georgia Tech, Wake Forest and Pitt. They also lost by 25 at Virginia. The one impressive win they had was over UNC, but it was at home. FSU is 10-2 on their home floor and I believe are the better team and should be favored. Give me the Seminoles -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Vanderbilt +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Commodores pulling out a win at home against the Bulldogs. The fact that this line is even close to a pick'em says it all. Mississippi State is 18-7, 6-6 in the SEC and are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Vanderbilt on the other hand is just 9-16 overall, 3-9 in the SEC and fresh off a 18-point blowout loss at Arkansas. That alone will have most people backing the Bulldogs here. 

What they will overlook is how much Vanderbilt is at home. In fact, all 9 of the Commodores wins have come at home, as they are a horrific 0-11 away from home. They have won three straight at home over the likes of LSU, TCU and Georgia. Mississippi State is just 2-6 on the road this season. The offense has struggled to show up away from home, as they average just 65.6 ppg on the road, well below their season average of 74.4. Vanderbilt's offense greatly improves at home, where they average 78.3 ppg and are shooting 47% from the field. Give me the Commodores +1! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Alabama -7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide making easy work of LSU. Alabama will be playing with a ton of confidence after their dismantling of Tennessee at home on Saturday (won 78-50). The key here is they can't afford a let down here against the Tigers if they want to make the NCAA Tournament (currently projected around a 7 seed). Alabama hasn't had many lapses at home, where they are 11-2 on the season. I believe that home court edge will prove to be the difference against a LSU team that has really struggled on the road. The Tigers have lost each of their last 4 conference road games, with the last 3 all coming by 9 or more points. LSU averages a respectable 78.2 ppg on the season, but only 69.5 ppg on the road. The defense also gets worse, as they give up 77.3 ppg away from home, compared to 73.2 ppg on the season. Alabama only allows 65.7 ppg and is holding opponents to just 39% from the field at home. Give me the Crimson Tide -7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech -7) 

The betting public has fallen in love with Oklahoma because of all the nationally publicity this team gets with star fresh Trae Young and the ridiculous numbers he's been putting up. It's had the Sooners overvalued for quite some time (0-5 ATS L5 and 1-8 ATS L9). This might seem like a favorable number to catch Oklahoma, as a near double-digit dog, but I think Young and company are in for a long night. The Red Raiders are the real deal. However, while they are ranked No. 7 in the country, they don't get the publicity of other top teams. They just won by 19 at Kansas State, which was their straight victory by 12 or more. They aren't going to be overlooking Oklahoma, as they lost to the Sooners by 10 in Norman back in early January. Look for Texas Tech's defense to be the difference in this one. Give me the Red Raiders -7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan State -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Spartans as a slim 3-point home favorite against Purdue. Michigan State has won 7 straight, but aren't getting a ton of love during this run, as they have gone just 2-4-1 ATS during this stretch. I think a big reason for the Spartans not being as dominant as most would expect, is all the off-court drama they had to deal with during the Nassar deal. That's no longer on the front page of the news and I expect Izzo to have Michigan State locked in for this one. I also think they are catching Purdue in a good spot. The Boilermakers just played a huge game at home against Ohio State on Wednesday and lost in heartbreaking fashion 63-64. Those close losses are tough to bounce back from, especially on the road. Give me the Spartans -3!  

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland -4.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terrapins laying a short number at home against Northwestern. Maryland has is just 1-4 in their last 5, but 3 of those came on the road, where they are a mere 3-8 on the season. The lone loss at home during this run was to one of the best teams in the country in Michigan State. Even with that loss the Terps are 13-2 at home, winning by an average of 16 ppg. Northwestern has won 4 of 5, but I think that's helping this number. The Wildcats are just 4-7 on the road, where they are getting outscored by 8 ppg. Maryland is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team with a losing road record and 11-3 in their last 14 home games off a loss by 6 points or less. Give me the Terrapins -4.5! 

50* ATLANTIC 10 GAME OF THE MONTH (Duquesne +8)

I love the price we are getting here with the Dukes as a near double-digit dog against the Flyers on Wednesday. Duquesne comes in at 15-9 and are 6-5 in A-10 play, while Dayton is just 10-12 and 4-6 in conference action. These two teams played once earlier this season on the Dukes' home floor and they won 70-62 as 3.5-point home dog. The books were way off with that line and I don't think they have come close to making the proper adjustments here. Offensively both of these teams come in right around 73 ppg, but it's a whole different story on the defensive side. Duquesne is only giving up 67.3 ppg, which is the 59th best mark in the country. Dayton is allowing 72.9 ppg, which is 201st. Note the defense hasn't been a whole lot better at home like it is for a lot of teams, as they give up 72.4 ppg at home. I actually think there's a decent chance the Flyers lose this game outright. Note they are just 1-4 in their last 5 games with the only win a 1-point victory at home over Davidson. Give me the Dukes +8! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -7) 

My money is on the Cardinals to not just win at home Monday against Syracuse, but put a beating on the Orange. Louisville is going to be all business after losing a close one at home against Florida State on Saturday. That was the Cardinals first home loss in ACC play, as their previous 3 had been on the road against the likes of Clemson, Miami and Virginia. Louisville has won and covered all 3 meetings with the Orange over the last 3 seasons and are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home against Syracuse. The Orange come in off a 15-point home loss to Virginia and are just 4-6 in ACC play with their only road win at Pitt, who they have beat twice, which is the worst team in the league. I just don't think they will have enough gas in the tank here, as they used a mere 6-man rotation against Virginia (4 players played 35 or more minutes, 3 played all 40 minutes). Give me the Cardinals -7! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Tulane +2) 

I think this is an ideal spot to go against Temple. The Owls are in a massive letdown spot after their big come-from-behind overtime win at home against No. 16 Wichita State as a 7-point dog. I think it has the Owls overvalued here on the road, where they are just 6-6 on the season. Tulane clearly isn't perceived to be on the same level as Temple, but both of these teams have 4 wins in conference play and the big key here for me i the Green Wave are 9-3 at home this season. They have also won each of their last two games as home dogs, beating Houston 81-72 as a 7-point dog and SMU 73-70 as a 8.5-point dog. It's also important to note we know that Tulane matches up well with the Owls, as they went into Temple earlier this season and won 85-75 as a 10-point dog. Give me the Green Wave +2! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mississippi State -3) 

I'll gladly lay just 3-points at home with Mississippi State against Georgia. Mississippi State is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. They followed up a 12-point win at home over Missouri with a 81-76 win at South Carolina as a 4.5-point dog. They are just 4-5 in SEC play, but 4 of the 5 losses have come on the road. Mississippi State is a dominant 14-1 at home this season, where they are winning by close to 15 ppg. Georgia is coming in off a big upset win over Florida, but I just think that was more of the Gators not showing up to play, as Georgia only shot 39.7% in the win. Georgia is also not a great road team, which makes this an easy play for me. Give me Mississippi State -3! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa +9) 

The price is right here to take a shot on the Hawkeyes as a near double-digit dog against the Nittany Lions. While Penn State beat Iowa in Iowa City earlier this season, that was a closely contested game that could have went either way. I think it's a good indicator that the Hawkeyes will be able to keep it competitive, despite their road woes in Big 10 play. Nittany Lions have failed to cover the spread each of the last 6 times they have been a favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and have lost on average by 6.4 ppg in these contests. Give me the Hawkeyes +9! 

50* NCAAB BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Marquette -5) 

I think this is the ideal spot to jump on the Golden Eagles. I think we are getting a good price here on Marquette with them coming in off back-to-back losses and the most recent being a 20-point home loss to Butler as a 2.5-point favorite. A lot of people had the Eagles in that game against Butler, but what they failed to factor in is how hard it is to bounce back from a heartbreaking loss like they had in their 82-85 defeat to Villanova. Marquette has also had problems against that Bulldogs team. The Golden Eagles are 15-5 in their last 20 and 9-1 in their last 10 at home against Providence. Tough spot here for the Friars playing their 3rd straight on the road. Last time out they lost big at Seton Hall and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games off a conference loss by 10 or more points. Give me Marquette -5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Virginia Tech -4) 

I'll jump on the Hokies here as a small home favorite Saturday against Miami. Virginia Tech is coming into this game playing their best basketball of the season. It started with a 80-69 win at home over UNC as a 3.5-point dog. They then when on the road and won and covered against both Notre Dame and Boston College. I expect another huge effort here at home against the Hurricanes, as this would be a big win for the resume. More than anything I just don't feel this is a big enough number given the Hokies are 11-2 at home. Va Tech is also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after covering 3 straight and are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3-point shots. Hurricanes are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a win. Give me the Hokies -4! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (TCU -4) 

I'll gladly back the Horned Frogs at this price on their home floor against the Red Raiders. TCU is a team on a mission and simply are flying a bit under the radar right now due to their 3-5 record over their last 8 games. The thing is all 5 of those losses came by 5-points or less. and the only home loss they have suffered in Big 12 play was a 4-point defeat to Kansas. Texas Tech has won 3 straight and are off that thrilling win at home over Texas, but this is a team that has not been good on the road in Big 12 play and I think their road woes continue here against a TCU team that is 11-2 on their home floor this season. Give me the Horned Frogs -4! 

50* AMERICAN ATHLETIC GAME OF THE MONTH (Temple +7) 

I'll gladly take the points here with the Owls at home against nationally ranked Wichita State. The Shockers come in off a pair of wins at home, but prior to that they lost at home to SMU and on the road at Houston by 14 points. Wichita St has a target on their back in the first season in the AAC and I expect Temple to lay it all on the line here against the Shockers at home. Temple won 3 of their last 4 with the only loss being a road defeat to Cincinnati, which is nothing to be ashamed about. This is also a team that went on the road and beat SMU and nearly upset the Bearcats on their home floor. This team has also gone 21-9 ATS under Dunphy when matched up with high-scoring teams that average 77+ points/game at least 15 games into the season. They are also 4-1 AATS in their last 5 at home vs a team with a winning road record, while the Shockers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs a team that's won 60% or more of their home games. Give me the Owls +7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBUT ATS KNOCKOUT (Alabama -5.5) 

I think the price is right here to roll the Crimson Tide. Alabama is playing as well as they have all season. The Crimson Tide have won 5 of 6, which includes a 7-point win over Trae Young and the Sooners last time out. They also have a win over Auburn during this run, the only team to beat the Tigers in SEC play. Missouri on the other hand has lost 3 straight and are 1-4 in their last 5. The Tigers have not been nearly as good on the road as they have at home and Alabama has big time home court edge. They are 10-1 at home, behind an offensive attack that averages 77.5 ppg and shoots 51% from the field. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia Tech +1) 

I think Syracuse is getting way too much respect here as a road favorite against the Yellow Jackets. The Orange have won 3 straight, but two of those are against the worst team in the league in Pitt and the other was a home game against BC. Prior to this run Syracuse had lost 4 straight. With a massive home game against Virginia looming on deck, I think we see the Orange struggle to match the intensity of Georgia Tech, who I don't think will take too kindly to being an underdog at home. Give me the Yellow Jackets +1!