Fordham vs. Siena
#141/142
7pm

under 128.5

Siena averages 128 while Fordham puts up 123 in theirs. Siena has reached 124, 125, 122 and 121 in home games. These two have combined for 1 over and 7 unders this year and the game with UMaa was the only over.

Siena has played 35 unders and 16 overs in the last 51 at home. Take under!

Hawaii has played 8 overs in a rwo at home. UC Davis has to make the trip all the way to the islands to play. I think we get to 152 as they did last year in Hawaii.

over!

These two played at UNC last year and it was 96-91. Long Beach is led by Casper Ware and Anderson and Ennis and should be able to score with the Heels who are the #9 scoring team in the land. They are led by Barnes, Zeller and Henson.

Look for 100-80 and an over.

Both are from the city of Richmond and tend to play scrappy together. VCU is without a good point guard like Eric Raynor or Joey Rodriguez. Richmond is not as good as last year without Anderson and Tucker.

Take the under.

Iona plays at Denver. The home team is at altitude and held St. Mary's to 128 combined. Ioan averges about 160 with opponent while Denver Pioneers like a slow pace with defense. I think we see a game in the 134 to 138 range that stays under since it will be played in the mountains of Colorado.

#553 Evansville at #554 UNC
7pm

over 152

UNC just lost at Kentucky and before that played at home vs. Wisconsin in a very low scoring game that was played at Wisconsin's pace.

Evasville played earlier versus Indiana and made it to 167 points and their only raod game this year made it to 154 at Ill Chicago (79-75).

UNC won at Evansville last year in a low scoing game but their game at UNC back in 2008 ended 91-73 (164 points) and the total was set at 157. The Aces only made 2/10 3-pointers in that game.

Evansville gets points from Colt Ryan 19.7 ppg. Harris adds 13, Cox gets 10.5 and Holmes near 9 points a game.

UNC should set the pace as they did at home earlier vs. Tenn State (171 points) and Miss Valley State (176) and their game at UNC-Asheville made it to 166 points.

I expect Zeller, Barnes, Henson, McAdoo, Hairston, Strickland and Bullock to score points for the Tar Heels as we hope to see a game in the 90-70 range.

over 152

Take the over as Tulane has played an easy schedule so far, which is last of the 345 NCAA teams. They played Ga Tech recently and now face an easier team in Wofford. There should be some steals from the press. Wofford scored 69 and 82 points recently and Tulane shoots 70% from the line so we should get late FT's.

Look for close to 130 to be scored.

Go with the under as FSU has led the nation in FG% the last two years. Charleston just played VMI and scored over 100 points and now must travel to Tallahassee and face a slow down team. These two played back in 2008 and it was 15 under this total.

NCSU likes to run and gun and they are averaging 150 points per game with their opponent but their game at home with Princeton was only 60-58 (118 points!). Stanford played a high scoring game in Madison Square Garden with Okla State but their home games have been much lower even though they played weaker competition. Keep in mind the travel to the west coast.


I think we see a game in the low 130's and under.

GTown has averaged 83 PPg in recent action while Alabama played a high scoring game vs. VCU on Sunday which was our Game Of The Month. GTown should pick up the action with 3's and inside scoring.

I think we see 135 points reached. GL!

Wisconsin at UNC
over 135
15 units

These two played back in 2005 and the halftime score was 88-82 (170 points!). Wisconsin has yet to play a true road game. They did play BYU (34-32 halftime score) and made it to 66 points at the break. Wisconsin games average 112 ppg while UNC is at 159 so they put the total near the middle and came up with 135. They are expecting 63 in the 1st Half and 72 in the 2nd half.

Zeller played poorly in Las Vegas so I expect UNC to get the ball down low to him. Harrison Barnes may or may not play but UNC does have McAdoo, Hairston and Bullock as nice bench players who can score. Here are UNC halftime totals:

UNLV 80
So Car 77
Tenn St 97
Miss V 68
UNCA 87
Mich St 61

The UNC/Michigan State game on the ship even made it to 61 points with all the airballs, missed FT's and ragged play.

The Badgers have played overs in 8 of the last 10 vs. the ACC. Here are the last four halftime scores for Wisconsin in the Challenge:

NCSU 65
Duke 70
Va Tech 68
Duke 73

Wisconsin has 5 players who average 9.5 ppg or more. Brust, Berggren, Taylor, Gassor and Evans can score as well as others. In their last five games the Badgers have made 13, 8, 13, 9 and 10 3-pointers.

UNC likes to push it and play fast, especially at home in the Dean Dome. They do struggle from the line and don't shoot 3's well but there should be plenty of chances for this to reach 135+ and go over.

Wisconsin/UNC
over 135

112 is a low total. Michigan just travelled to Hawaii and should have some tired legs after playing good teams like Duke and Memphis. Virginia likes to play low scoring games but their game at Minnesota in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge was very high scoring.

Mike Scott should score inside and Tim Hardaway all over for the Wolverines. Go OVER!

I expect an over due to the offense of St. Louis and Oklahoma being a little faster tempo than in past years. Rick Majeras stresses defense but I think we see some layups and 3's to get this one into the 130's and over the total.

over 128

Tenn State at UNC
7pm eastern (Nov. 22)

over 145.5
Tennessee State has played some low scoring games this year vs. Western KY, South Carolina and St. Louis. Their final scores have ended with 127, 138, 101 and 108 points. They do have all starters back from last year and are led by Robert Covington at 16.5 ppg. Kenny Moore, Miller, Cyphers and Peters also provide scoring. Let's look at the games that Tenn State played last year and check out the scores:

Memphis 177 (91-86)
Belmont 159 (87-72)
Air Force 159 (87-72)
Eastern Ky 158

UNC has played three games and their game on the ship vs. Michigan State ended with just 122 points scored. Their game at UNC-A ended with 166 points and their last game (only home game so far) made it to 176 (101-75) vs. Miss Valley State. There was no line for their first home game.

UNC should be able to push it at home and get the ball inside to Zeller and Henson and Barnes. Strickland has played well but the Tar Heels have struggled at the line and making 3's but they do have three good offensive players coming off the bench (McAdoo, Hairston and Bullock). Kendall Marshall has struggled with his shot but he is known for his passing. He doesn't get the easy layups and dunks that Felton and Lawson used to get.

Tenn State just won at South Carolina 64-63 so it should get UNC's attention. Tenn State could pack it in and force UNC to shoot from the outside and make plenty of passes before shooting on offense. It does concern me that the teams may play a sloppy game with Thanksgiving only two days away and UNC's next game will be against South Carolina on Friday in Las Vegas.

It should be an interesting game to see if the Tennessee State Tigers can keep it close and keep it under the total but I like our chances for an over.

over 145.5

Take the over. AZ just played one game and the Dukes of Duquesne played 5 exhibition games up in Canada and they ended with 163, 139, 160, 177 and 185 points scored. Point guard TJ McConnell should help his team score a few points to stay with AZ., who have played overs in 9 of the last 12 at home.

over the total

Only one of W&M's first 10 games last year went over this total. I would expect the Tribe to slow it down. They aren't as athletic as the Red Storm. Their game at Syracuse ended with 123 points last year in an early game. Go under!

I think the Mavs push the pace on Sunday and hit some 3's and force Miami to score with them. The last game was right at the total and Game 3 should be in the 190's. Look for an over with Dirk and Jason Terry scoring 20+ for Dallas and Wade and Lebron for the Heat.

The two regular season games went over the total. I would play it up to 190. Dirk, Jason terry and Jason Kidd can score for Dallas as well as Barea. They can make their 3's. Miami is led by Lebron James, Bosh and DWade as well as get points from Mike Miller and Haslem. Both teams should plenty of free throws and make them. I think we see a score in the 190's.

These teams like to play fast and Durant and Dirk are great free throw shooters. The teams put up lots of points in Game one and we have seen how much can change from one to another. I like Dallas to putup points and think we see over 200 on Thursday.

Look for the under to profit on Friday night. The last game was very low scoring as the Thunder jumped out to a quick lead and won easily and held the Grizzlies to under 20 points in all four quarters. Zack Randolph and the rest of the Memphis team struggled.

The first two gamesin Memphis went to overtime and were under the total at the end of regulation. It is always risky to play unders when Kevin Durant is involved but I think we see an under as the teams should be tired after a long season and into the sixth game of the series.

Play under.

The last game at Memphis stayed under with overtime. The game only had 172 points after regualtion. With added pressure look for an under tonight. Play under 198 and let's hope Durant doesn't get hot!

pick: under 182

These two played twice this year and both were unders. The games were 100-77 (177 points) and 85-82 (167 points). Some trends point to an under on Sunday as the Celtics have played 19 overs, 6 unders and a push in their last 26 games and Miami has played unders in 6 of its last 8.

Both teams have veterans who play good defense. The Celtics have Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen and Paul Pierce who are known for offense but are long and good on defense. They have been off for a few days after a sweep and should have legs to focus on defense.

I think we see a game in the 170's that stays under on Sunday. Play UNDER!

The under has been profitable in 21 of 31 playoff games. I expect Oklahoma City to win and keep the Denver Nuggets under their average. This total is set higher than any other series and I think we see a game in the 190's.

Look for an over tonight. Mau Ginobili returns for the Spurs to help Tim Dncan and Tony Parker. The Grizzilies should have confidence with a win in Game One. Look for Battier and company to help this one go over!

Miami is going to rest Wade, Bosh and Lebron James while Mike Miller should play some as well as Mike Bibby. The Raptors have some injury problems as well and tonight is the last game of the season. Bargnani has played well this year but he will not see action tonight and Ivan Calderon is out too. I expect Toronto to win as they are a 5 point favorite for the home finale.

Miami has seen 188, 177, 200+ and 175 scored in the last 4 while Toronto has played totals of 179, 191 and 191 in their last three.

Look for a game to reach the low 190's and stay under. Play the under.

Last home game for the Nets and even though Deron Williams is out they Nets and Bobcats played on Sunday and should have tired legs for defense. Brook Lopez for the Nets should score well as should Kwame brown inside for Charlotte. Look for a game to go over 200 on Monday night.

Look for the Knicks and 76ers to go over the total on Wednesday night. The 76ers are off two low scoring games and will be happy to face the uptempo New York squad led by Carmello Anthony in Mike D'Antoni's fast paced system. Look for a game with close to 220 points.

Good luck as always!

This could easily be an ugly game that stays under as the UConn vs. Kentucky game was. The Wildcats missed many free throws and that cost them the game as one player was 0-5 fromthe line. The teams should be used to the court and background. Kemba Walker and Jeremy Lamb can score for the Huskies while Howard and Shelvin Mack can rack up points insdie and outside for the Bulldogs.

I think the game reaches 130 and goes over.

I like our chances for an under on Saturday as the Wildcats play grea defense and have 11 overs and 18 unders this year with 6 unders, one over and a push in their last 8. 145, 122, 134, 116, 124, 130, 141 and 134 have been the finals tallies in Kentucky's last 8 games.

UConn plays good defense under Jim Calhoun and have a reliable scorer in Kemba Walker and are patient to get him shots. The last six games made it to 128, 141, 127, 132, 135 and 136 before OT.

Play the under on Saturday and good luck!

pick: under 134
This total is anywhere from 133 to 134. Butler has had all week to study VCU and play defense vs. the Ram attack that has been scoring well due to making 3-pointers. They made 12 3's in their last 4 NCAA toruney games, coming from Rodriguez, Burgess, Skeen and Rozzell. Joey Rodriguez has not been shooting as well as the other three players but does have range.

Butler did play in the Fianl Four last year and the two scores reached 102 vs. Michigan State and 120 vs. Duke in the final. The same caoch (Brad Stevens) and players except for Gordon Hayward is still in place. Only Mack and Matt Howard scored 10+ for the Bulldogs this year.

VCU has scored 132 with Kansas, 130 with FSU before OT, 170 with Purdue and 130 with Georgetown. They totaled 105 with USC in the opener.

Butler did play a 61-54 game with Wisconsin and 60-58 with ODU as both easily went under.

I like our chances for a game that stays in the 120's. Play the UNDER and good luck on Saturday!

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over 143
Colorado can score, score , score as they averaged 154 points in a typical game with their opponent and only had a few low scoring games such as 124 points with Nebraska, 136 with Baylor and 127 with Oklahoma. They get 11 points or more from Burks, Higgins, Knutson and Relphorde.

Alabama plays good defense and just played 3 games at home but did play 143 with Miami and 141 with New Mexico. However, they played 158 points total with Alabama (81-77), 152 with Providence and 161 at Seton Hall, which is located next to New York City.

The Tide get 15 points per game from Green and Mitchell, and 11 from Releford.

The players should be nervous away from home and playing on national TV but getting to 144 or more should be doable. Colorado can make the 3's and Bama showed they can score if needed. I won't be shocked with a low score in the 130's in Madison Square Garden but like our chances for an over.

The stakes will be high for this game. Just look at the Ohio State game tonight that went well under as well as the UNC/Marquette game that stayed under by about 6 points.

The Ky defense is pretty good and I expect a game in the 140's that stays under.

VCU/Kansas
under 146.5

VCU just played an overtime game vs. Florida State to help that game go into the 140's. They beat Purdue in a game that saw 170 points scored. Here are the VCU Ram's scores before that:

GTown 130
USC 105
ODU 135
GMU 142
Drexel 122
JMU 141
Drexel 124
Wich St 135

Kansas has played 13 unders in their last 16 NCAA tourney games and have allowed just 57, 59 and 53 points to Richmond, Illinois and Boston. The Jayhawks played a 70-66 (136 points) in a game at fast-paced Missouri.

Kansas did play some overs with Texas this year and can score in bunches. VCU does have Jamie Skeen inside and the hot shooting of Rozzell and Burgess outside. Joey Rodriguez doesn't turn the ball over much and sets up his teammates but his shooting has been off.

146.5 is at many books and seems a little high. I think we see a game in the 72-62 range on Sunday that stays under.

under 146.5

I think we see an under on Friday night. UNC has played their first two games in Charlotte after three low scoring games in the ACC tourney. The Tar Heels don't shoot many threes and only Barnes and McDonald can consistently make them.

Marquette can try and run with UNC but I expect them to play solid defense as they did in an 66-55 win over Xavier.

Play the under on Friday as we see a game in the 140's.

Kyrie Irving should play much more on Thursday night and help the pace of the game. Earlier in the year he led Duke to a game in the 160's at Oregon of the Pac-10. Duke plays plenty of unders in the ACC but did play 159 vs. Marquette, 152 vs. Butler and 163 vs. Michigan State. Duke gets points from Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler as well as the Plumlees and Andre Dawkins and Curry.

Arizona gets points ffomr all everything Derrick Williams. He shot 60% from 3-point range and scored 20 ppg. They played the totals below:

152 Memphis
172 Oregon
173 Wash
149 Wash St
152 BYU
166 Kansas

Look for a game in the 150's and the over.

pick: over 125.5
It may be available at 126 but I like the over. This Belmont team has 5 players that shoot close to 50% from the field yet they only average between 8 and 12.5 points a game. Why? Because the team wins their games by an average of 80-61. The most any players is on the court is just 24 minutes per game. Their scoring averagesd would be a little higher if the games were close.

Belmont did play Duke several years ago and only lost by 71-70. They played Tennessee and Vanderbilt this year so they have played some decent teams and did play Kansas last year.

Clark, Hedgepeth, Saunders, Campbell and Johnson are the scorers for Belmont and they all shoot 3's well too as 4 of them are near the 40% range. This will give them some options to score on Thursday.

Wisconsin just lost an ugly 36-33 game to Penn State in the Big Ten tourney but the three games before that reached 158, 144 and 141. The Badgers have played overs in 6 of their last 8 games.

Jon Leuer puts up 18.6 ppg and should score inside while Taylor is at 18 a game. Nankivil is next at 10 points. Their top four scorers all shoot over 80% at the line so they can score late if fouled.

I think we see a game with over 130 points that goes over on Thursday night. Play OVER!

Last year, ODU and Notre Dame played an ugly 51-50 game. Butler played a 51-49 game vs. Duke in the title game. ODU is a good rebounding team and can control pace. ODU can score in certain games but I expect a slower type of game in this early 12:40pm start.

Look for ODU to win and under 122.5 to profit.

This is their 3rd game in 3 days and SDSU will want to control Jimmer Fredette tonight. Gay, Leonard and White are solid on defense. They have played unders in 7 of the last 10 meetings. I think we see an under tonight!

Duke has played unders in 40 of the last 57 ACC games. The Terps like to run and play fast but I expect a game in the low 140's that stays under after a long season and after Maryland played last night!

Duke is still without Irving and will focus on stopping the Terps.

Oakland and SD State played a game in the 200 point range on Monday. Oakland is an offensive team that scores quickly. I like their chances for another over tonight vs. Oral Roberts. This is the second game in two nights but I would worry if it was their third game as they would possibly have tired legs.

515 VCU vs. 516 ODU
These two have played overs in 15 of 19 but most of the overs have occurred at ODU. I do worry that this is the fourth game in 4 days for VCU and they could have tired legs. The game is at Richmond and the two split games this year with them being a 59-50 ugly VCU win that stayed way under and the 70-59 ODU win that went over by 1/2 point.

ODU gets points from Hassell, Bazemore, Finney and Carter but don't shoot well but should get some inside points. VCU was 11-25 from 3's vs. GMU and will need to get steals and layups to win vs. a tough ODU defense and their rebounding. I guess there is a 10% chance for OT and that would help the over.

They have played OT games before as it was 62-62 (124 points) before an OT sent it over but played an ugly 61-54 gamne in the CAA tourney a few years back.

Rodgiguez, Rozzell and Burgess need to stay hot and make 3's for an over. I think we see close to 129 points and an OVER. Good luck!

OVER 143.5
Miami has played their share of unders but will have a nice chance for an over on Wednesday night facing the Maryland Terps. Maryland just faced UNC and they reached 163 points. Here are the last few games involving Md:

UNC 163
FSU 140
NCSU 167
VT 174
BC 148
Longwood 158
WF 161
Duke 142

Miami gets scoring from their guards and played an 81-71 game vs. Duke for a total of 152 and vs. UNC got to 74-71 (145). They can make 3's and I expect 7 or 8 3-pointers from them on Wednesday night. Jordan Williams, Cliff Tucker and Terrell Stoglin score for Maryland. I think we see a game near 150 that goes over.

Virginia tech has played overs in 7 of 8 home games. They just played Duke at home and played an ugly low scoring game in the 60's that was under by over 15 points. Malcolm Delaney and Jeff Allen should up their scoring tonight vs. a BC team that struggles on defesne. VT did score 102 and 92 in previous home games before Duke. The Eagles get 18 ppg from Reggie Jackson and 14 from Joe Trapani. Look for over tonight!

Virginia Tech has scored 102 and 91 at home in their last two with all 5 starters in double figures. Duke has Nolan Smith and Singler to score. Look for 145-148 scored and an over.

These two have combined for 16 overs and 29 unders this year. Siena has 8 unders in their last 9 on Fridays. The last game saw 127 scored. Play under on Friday night!

VCU has played over in 65% of their road games the last 3 years. The last game at Delaware ended with an 81-79 score for 160 points. VCU is favored and should control tempo to get close to 140 and an over!