Take the under as SA is up 3-0 and the 4th quarter should be a slow affair if the Spurs have a solid lead especially after LA blew a 33-11 lead on Saturday.

I think we see under 190.5 on Sunday.

Take under the total

Game 7 is a special event and uually focuses on defense, especially after the first round of playoffs. Not including the Phoenix Suns series the under has won the money close toi 70% in the last 10 years.

These two just played an over in Denver as the Nugglets ran and scored agaisnt Bynum and Gasol but the Lakers will have Metta World Peace back on defense.

These two have played 22 unders in the last 30 meetings and unders 8-3 in last 11 at LA.

Look for a good number and take the under in Game 7 of Denver at LA.

Under 197.5

The last few games at Denver have reached 180, 183, 182 and 189. Denver will want to slow it down some at home and keep the Laker attack from getting going with Kobe, Gasol and Bynum especially after the Lakers lost at home.

Take under 197.5 and GL.

I like another under as we have seen in this series as well as many of the other NBA series. SA is up 3-0 and plays at Utah. The Jazz have struggled to make shots. All SA will need to do is win and move on to the next series. I see a final in the low 190's so take under.

under 198.5

The playoffs have seen their share of unders. Denver played good defense in game 3 and needs to shut down Kobe and Bynum to keep the Lakers from winning. Ty Lawson can dribble and use clock to keep the score lower as he did on Friday.

I think we see a game in the 190's and an under.

Take under 201

Take under 205 as these two have combined to play 20 unders and 6 overs in the last 26 games. They are 6-1 under in the last 7 at Denver. The theme for the playoffs so far is UNDER THE TOTAL as we got two unders last night.

The long season will result in tired legs and an under.

under 204

Take over 204 as the trends point to an over in Game two. In the last 26 meetings 18 overs have occurred. Over in 11 of the last 14 at San Antonio and SA has seen 21 overs in its last 30 with a push. Look for Duncan and Parker to lead the way and for Hayward to play well for Utah..

over 204

Take the over after a low scoring first game. The Hawks and Celtics play defense well but I expect some points with the Hawks at home with Joe Johnson, Josh Smith and Marvin Williams.

The Celtics have Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett.

I think we see some key three pointers, inside baskets and both shoot FT's well. Look for a game in the mid-170's and over.

Take under 193.5

These two are used to each other and will be prepared to guard Dirk on the Mavs and cover Kevin Durant and Westbrook for Okla City. In Oklahoma, the under has won 13-4-1 in the last 18 there while 4 of the last 5 meetings have stayed under.

Both teams get solid coaching and Game One of the plays should be a nervous time. Hopefully, we see some misses and no Overtime or late free throws.

under 193.5

I like the under in the last game of the regular season as Atlanta is the home team and Dallas should rst some key players. I think we see a game in the upper 180's that stays under.

Atl 96
Dallas 90

Take the under.

under 196.5

The season is almost over. Both teams were bad this year. I think they will rest some players and be happy to get the game over and play an under before they both have to travel to play their last game on Thursday.

under 196.5 is the play.

I like the over as Cleveland is getting points from Kyrie Irving, Manny Harris and Antwan Jamison. The Spurs have been offensive machines lately at home and have Duncan, Kidd, Ginoboli as well as players like Danny Green to score.

I think we see a game in the upper 200's and over.

Take under 188 as both teams have struggled to score lately. I think we see a game in the low 180's.

Tor 85
Det 91

Let's go with under 188 on Sunday.

I like over 200.5 as the Mavs have gone over at home in 7 of 10 games. GS has allowed 123, 118, 112, 120 and 99 in their last 5 games and getting points from Thompson, Nate Robinson, Tyler and Wright. Dirk and J Kidd can score for the home team.

Dallas 108
GS 98

Take over 200.5 and GL!

The Suns have scored 125 in the last two at home and shot 60% in the last game and beat the Lakers by 20 even without Kobe.

OK City does have Durant and Westbrook to score.

I think we see a 211 to 213 game so take the over!

over 207!

I like under. They have played ywice this year and both finished under 200 points. Raymond Felton hasn't played well this year and Sac ramento can be inconsistent with Cousins inside. I think we see low 200's that stays under.

My guess is 101-100 for 201 points.

Take under 208 and GL!

Cleveland vs. Washington
7pm

over 196.5

I expect to see an over as Washington just lost badly and their offense stunk. Clevlenad did not play well in their last game, which was a loss. These two are out of the playoffs and should bounce back and play some offense. John Wall should be able to lead the Washington attack and help them reach the 100+ mark.

Cleveland is without Kyrie Irving and that does hurt but Jamison has been hot as he had 34 last game and Gee has played well too.

Look for 200-206 to be scored. Take over.

Memphis at San Antonio
8:30pm

under 197

Both played last night as SA lost at home to the Lakers, who were without Kobe and should bounce back. Hope to see them focus on defense against Memphis who beat Phoenix and Steve Nash last night.

Memphis has 11 unders in the last 13 games. The Spurs have seen their share of overs at home but back to back nights on Duncan and Parker can be tough.

under 197

Take the over.

Steve Nash has helped the Suns' attack. They beat the Lakers on Saturday even if Kobe didn't play and should be well rested and confident. Grant Hill and other veterans help provide points for Phoenix and Minnesota gets points from Kevin Love and Luke Ridnour. Ricky Rubio is out with an injury but I think we can get to 210 on Monday night.

Take over 209'

Atlanta vs. Charlotte
8pm

pick: over 187

Take the over 187. These two have reached 213, 192 and 198 this year. Atlanta has gone over in 6 of 7 and is the better team and should control the pace.

Charlotte has gone over 5-1 after allowing double digit losses in the last two games.

I think we see over 190 led by Josh Smith and Marvin Williams, who have been hot for the Hawks.

over 187

I think we see an under. It will be in a dome and there will be pressure on both teams being from the state of Kentucky. They play a game this year that reached 131 points and 11 of the last 13 have stayed under.

Rick Pitino will do all he can to keep it under and the team has great defense led by Siva.

under 137 is my pick even though the Cats have been scoring quickly.

under 137

I think we see a game in the 209 range that stays under the total. Both teams play average defense. Demarcus Cousins can play solid defense when he wants to but most of the time he is not trustworthy on that side of the ball.

Utah has played more unders than overs and I think we see a slip in offense tonight and a game in the 205-211 range.

under 214.5

I like the under as it will be on a neutral floor at MSG. It should be a good game and I hope we don't see OT. Both teams are solid on defense and Tubby Smith Gopher squad is playing nice defense. I think we see a game in the 120's that stays under.

Under 131.5

I like the over as all the trends point to a high scoring over.

Over is 10-4 in UTA last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Boston: Over is 9-1-1 in BOS last 11 home games.
Over is 6-2 in BOS last 8 vs. Western Conference.

Head to Head: Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings.

Take over 189 on Wednesday night. GL!

This game will be played in the NIT at Madison Square Garden. UMass likes to score and play uptempto while Stanford can slow it down. UMass averages 149 ppg while Stanford is at 135. The court will be new to them as well as the pressure of being on TV and trying for an NIT title.

Take the under.

I like the over as Milwaukee has played overs in 10 of 11 road games. They are getting points from Brandon Jennings and the trade of Andrew Bogat has helped by adding Monta Ellis.

NYK have Jeremy Lin and Stoudamire and Carmelo to add points. I think we see 210 + tonight. Take the over.

over 207'

UNC vs. Kansas
5pm

under 144
Kansas only made one 3-pointer against NCSU and the game ended with less than 120 points scored. UNC's game with Ohio stayed under even with OT.

The Tar Heels did not play with Kendall Marshall and if he plays won't be 100%. Stilman White only scored 2 points and had 6 assists but was real careful in not passing inside for stelas. UNC still had 24 turnovers. UNC doesn't shhot 3's or FT's well and that should hurt the over.

I think we see a game in the 130's with all the pressure of a Final Four berth and Roy Williams facing his old team.

Under 144

I think we see an under as UNC will not be in the state of NC and will be facing a team with solid guards as Cooper and Offult can control the pace. Ohio played 118 and 125 point games in the tourney so far. UNC has Marshall with a bad wrist and won't be 100% but UNDER 143 seems like the play.

under 143.5

Mercer at ODU
7pm Wed. (March 21, 2012)
over 128

ODU just played SC Upstate on Sunday and the game went UNDER but it was played at the Norfolk Scope, an arena a few miles from the campus. They were using their regular facility for the women's tournament. ODU is on an 8-1-1 over run and let's look at their recent home games at the TED (Ted Constant CC):

Coastal Car 134 (made 9 3's)
Del 162 (made 9 3's)
Drexel 145
UNCW 145
VCU 132
JMU 151

ODU doesn't shoot very well from the field or the FT line but they have great rebounders and get points from senior Kent Bazemore (15.4 ppg). Cooper adds 10.5. Trian Iliadis is out with an injury but Wright, Batten, Hill and Ross can score.

Mercer hasn't played many true road games lately but let's look at their recent away games:

at No Fla 141
at Jackson 156
at Kenn 118 (the only low score)
at FL GC 141
at Stetson 139
at SC Up 139
at ETSU 137

Earlier road games at Belmont (160 points) and Lipscomb (151) reached high scores. Here are the Mercer scorers:

Hall 11.7
Cecil 11
Gallon 10.7
Thomas 8.5 (scored 19 in the last 2)
Coursey 8.2 (62% FG)
Smith 8

Mercer has played under 15-5-2 in the last 22 but many of their games aren't lined. I wouldn't be shocked to see an under but suggest a play on the over. Hopefully, we get a 70-65 type of game. GL!

Mercer at ODU
over 128

Monta Ellis just joined the Bucks and the team is on a roll with OVER trends. Bogat was mostly injured so they traded him away. Skiles seems to be OK with a faster pace and Brandon Jennings likes not having as much pressure to score and he likes the open play.

Portland doesn't play the Bucks very often and with a young interim coach I expect Lamarcus Aldridge and Felton to play well.

Take over 206.

Northern Iowa/Drexel over 121.5 (11am SUNDAY)

The early start does concern me but Drexel's last few at home have reached 137, 139, 124, 145 and 126. Early home games vs. non-conf foes reached 124 with Princeton, 141 with Bradley and 146 with Fairfield. They made 11/24 3's in the game with Central Florida.

Massenat had 14 assists. Givens, Lee, Thomas, Fouch and Ruffin have all been playing well and they seem motivated after being left out of the NCAA's.

Northern Iowa's last few road games:

at St Joes 132 (only made 3/20 3's)
at So ILL 126
at VCU 145 (league foe of Drexel)
at Evansville 125
at Wichita St 139

Scoring for N Iowa:

James 12.7
Tuttle 9.6
Sonnen 8.7
Koch 8.7
Moran 7
Mitchell 7
Rank 6

NI/Drexel over 121.5

Go with the under as Mercer has 10 unders and a push in its last 11 at home. They have very few lined games and are 0-6 with all unders this year. Ga State has 12 overs and 17 unders this year and 45-20-1 unders in last 66 on the road.

Ga State has an experienced team with solid defensive stats and focus.

under 126

We get one of the fastest teams in the nation in UNC and they will be playing in Greensboro in front of Tar Heel fans. They are off a bad loss to FSU after playing 3 games in the ACC Tourney. Now they get to play Vermont in the #1 vs. #16 game. Vermont has scoring options:

McGlynn 12 ppg
Glass 12
Apfeld 10
Bald 7.7
Carissimo 7

Vermont has been playing small schools like Sacred Heart, New Hampshire and Stony Brook. They did play Niagara and made it to 168 in a 92-76 score. 145 points with Boston, 145 Iona, 155 LIU and 159 with Marist.

UNC may not have Henson at 100% but he is a shotblocker to keep the score down. VT has 11 overs in its last 13 non-conference games. UNC hasn't played a non-conference game since December and will get the ball inside to Zeller and Barnes and Marshall will get all involved. Hairston is from Greensboro and McAdoo will get inside.

Vt. shoots 74% from the line and that is good.

I think we see a game in the low 150's that goes over.

UNC/Vermont over 144

American vs. Buffalo
9:30pm

pick: under 134

Look for an under as American is tough at hoem and plays strong defense while Buffalo is an offensive team known for points. American can shift defenses and play man and zone. They like to take the air out of the ball and 60% of home games went under.

UNDER 134

This total seems too high with all the pressure of this game on a neutral floor. Both teams are solid on offesne with Carlino and Davies for BYU and Machado, Jones and Glover for the Gaels. The whole country will be focused on these teams.

Take under 161.5

I think the Celtics and Lakers will go over the total today in this afternoon rivalry. Boston plays great defense but Rondo leads an attack that can score easy layups with his size and strength and the Lakers have leading scorer Kobe Bryant and Pao Gasol inside. All we need is for both teams to reach 90 for an over.

over 180

I expect a game that goes under with the pressure of this game. NM State is a solid defensive team that can play man as well as zone. Louisiana Tech struggles to score at times so I would expect to see a game in the low 140's and an under.

NMSU 75
LT 68

under 149.5

UTSA vs. McNeese State
#667/668
9:30pm

over 133
These two played an ugly 58-54 game this year but in recent games UTSA has 185, 133, 115, 154 and 153 while McNeese has 146, 121, 153, 182 and 135.

UTSA has overs in 10 of 11 and last year's tourney totals were 196, 149 and 142 and they did lose Gibson from last year. McNeese scored 115, 173 and 147 in last year's tourney.

UTSA

Burrage 13.7
Johnson 13
Hill 12.7
Hale 10


McNeese

Richard 18
Cannon 11
Mitchell 11

UTSA played a 82-71 (153) total at Georgia State, a slow down team. UTSA average score was 73-67 (140) while their opponent was 66'-65' gor 132.

over 133

Take under 188.5 as these two have combined for 29 overs and 42 unders this year. Houston has played 12 unders in its last 17. Both play good defense and don't shoot many free throws. Boston has played overs in 7-0-1 in their last 8 at home and that does concern me but I like our chances for an under.

under 188.5

VCU vs. Drexel

over 118

VCU is basically playing a home game in Richmond. They hade 11 3's on Saturday and lost at Drexel earlier in a game that made it above 120 points. Burgess and Brandenburg can make 3's and Theus can make FT's at the end if VCU is up. The energy should be provided by a large crowd and a national TV audience.

Drexel has Massenat and Lee to score as well. They played nicely vs, ODU.

I think both come close to 60 points and we get an OVER!

over 118

I think we see an over on the last day of the regular season. Both teams have scorers as Hudson and Green ofr VT and 5 starters are at 11 to 13 ppg for NCSU. Look for over 133 today.

VMI vs. UNC Asheville
12 noon EST
under 165

This will be the third game in 5 days for UNCA but VMI's 4th game in 6th days. VMI depends on Keith Gabriel and Stan Okoye to score as both are in double figures. Their two games with UNCA made it to 175 and 179 but there should be a little defense in this one to determine who represents the Big South in the Big Dance.

Last year, UNCA beat Coastal Carolina by 60-47 after VMI and CC played a 89-81 game.

UNCA has played 116, 150, 143, 132, 122, 122, 147 and 155 points in the last 8 games while VMI has played 108, 153 and 130 point games in the tourney so far. The Keydet totals before that reached 138, 147, 138, 171 and 145.

UNCA has 5 double digit scorers in Dickey, Primm, Stephenson, Lane and Atkinson. Musician Bruce Hornsby's son Keith also plays for the Bulldogs.

I won't be shocked by a high score but the early 12 noon start and the importance of this game makes me look for an under. GL!

VMI vs. UNC Asheville
Under 165

JMU vs. UNC Wilmington
12 noon Friday

under 139.5

This tournament is known for low scores even though there were mostly overs last year. JMU had some injuires to Wells and Hitchens this year an dis not deep. UNCW lost KK Simmons, their second leading scorer.

The early start is not somehting they are used to. I think we see a game in the mid 130's that stays under.

under 139.5

Duke at Wake Forest
9pm est (Tuesday 2/28/2012)
under 143.5

Duke just played a 70-65 (135 points) overtime at home vs. Virginia Tech. They have UNC on Saturday. They play at Wake Forest tonight in Wake's last home game. WF has won their last two at home rather easily vs. weak teams (BC, Ga Tech). The first meeting ended in the 160's as Andre Dawkins made 7 3-pointers early in the game and the Deacons ended up shooting over 30 foul shots.

WF is led by two solid scorers (CJ Harris and Travis McKie). The role players average 10 points or less. They do have some good rebounders and shotblockers like Ty Walker and Carson Desrosiers. WF has played unders in 12 of their 14 ACC games and only the home game vs. UNCW ended above 143.

In the games against UNC, FSU and NCSU the Demon Deacons only scored 53, 52 and 40 points. The ACC home games reached 141, 109, 136, 121, 127, 116 and 113 points.

Duke on the road in the ACC opened with 154 points at Georgia Tech,but here are the totals since:

at FSU 140
at BC 125
at UNC 169
at VT 135
at Md 135
at Clem 139

I won't be shocked by an over as Duke can score inside and make 3's but other good ACC teams have shut down Wake at home on offense, why can't the Blue Devils focus on the key scorers?

I have seen 143 to 144.5 on Tuesday morning so look for the best number. GL!

Duke at WF
under 143.5

I won with over in the NFL Pro Bowl, over in the NHL All Star game and will go with over on Sunday. The last few games have seen 291, 280, 263, 262 and 284 points. I won't be shocked by a game in the 270's but like our chances to get both teams over 140 like last year.

Take over.

Take the under in this game. This is a rival match and 151 is a lot of points. The under has won 11-5 in the last 16 meetings. Look for a game in the upper 140's that goes under.

under 151

9 of the last 10 meetings have gone under and the first game at Saint Peters was 64-40. Iona did played some games at home in the 130's with Loyola and Niagara.

Iona has some great players in Machado and Glover. Iona is a big favorite and should win by 15 or so and not run the score up with late free throws.

Take the under 142.

The last 8 meetings at FSU have gone under. FSU played UNC over as well as an early home game but the last 4 at home have stayed under. Duke has played under in 3 of last 4 on road and 27 of their last 44 road ACC games are unders.

The Plumlees play solid defense and both defend the 3's.

Under the total

Take over 134 as the last few meetings have seen 151, 149, 146, 133, 148, 153 and 147. Rendleman scores well inside at 15 ppg and Adam Smith scores at 14 ppg. VCU plays a fast paced game on the road and this should get to 140 with Reddic and Burgess scoring for VCU.

Take over.

Take the under.

Phoenix is off a nice satisfying win over the Lakers while Washington allowed planty of points in their last game and finish up a road trip. Steve Nash has the ball most of the time for the Suns and he is getting older. He uses up plenty of clock at times on offense.

Take the under as the Suns may have a letdown after the Lakers.

Depaul likes to run and gun but St. John's plays a little defense. The game is being played in New York and the crowd should favor the Red Storm. I think 154 is too many points and should go under a little.

Take under 154.

Take the under.BC has played 6 home ACC games and they ended with 124, 107, 130, 127, 120 and 116 points. They have 7 overs and 13 unders while Duke has 17 overs and 9 unders. In BC's last home game they beat FSU in a close one so they will be confident. They just lost at Md and gave up too many points.

Duke's road games saw high score at UNC but 135, 135, 139 before that. Their game with Ga Tech was in the 150's.

I expect BC to keep it low scoring and stay under.

I think we see a game in the 155 range as the 49ers have a great point guard who can score and dish it off. Creighton is led by Doug Mcdermott at 23 ppg. Look for an over in this late game.

Over 150!

#729 NCSU at #730 Duke
9pm

over 150.5

Look for an over as 7 of the last 10 meetings have gone over. Duke averages close to 149 ppg while NCSU is at 143 but they have played some low scores with Ga Tech and Wake Forest. NCSU has 5 starters all in that 11 to 14 ppg range and Duke is at home where they are fast paced and have Curry, Rivers and Dawkins for 3's.

Look for 151+.

UNC at Miami
8pm Wed. (Feb. 15, 2012)
under 146.5

UNC is a fast paced team but they have played unders in 32 of their last 47 in the ACC. Their last road game was a high scoring game at Maryland that made it to 157 points as the Terps shot 27 foul shots. UNC's other road games made it to 121 (Wake Forest), 140 at VT and 147 at FSU when the Noles put up 90 by themselves.

The first meeting between these teams ended 73-56 (129 points) as Miami didn't play well. The last few meetings have seen 129, 120 (ACC Tourney when UNC made 10 3-pointers!), 145 (last year at Miami), 131, 134 and 147 (at the Dean Dome vs. the Tar Heel team that won the tiitle).

Here are Miami totals:

123
114
138 (before OT with Duke)
138 (before OT with Md)
130
123
151 with NCSU
149 with Clemson

UNC is not deep and as they have had to play Stillman White as a backup PG and suffered injuries to McDonald, Strickland and Hairston. Tyler Zeller has played well lately inside and with Henson and Barnes, the Tar Heels have solid weapons. Kendall Marshall is a nice PG who is always looking to attack.

Miami gets points from Reggie Johnson inside. He played well vs. Duke but did struggle badly in the first game with UNC. Malcolm Grant and Durand Scott are good guards but have struggled this year. Barry Larkin's son has shown promise as a PG for the Hurricanes.

On the year the Tar Heel games have averaged 150 points (includes early nonconference blowouts) and Miami's are at 137 ppg (and that includes several overtime games).

Miami would be smart to play a slow type of game vs. UNC and not get into a run and gun game. I could see some late 3's and FT's helping this go over but like the under. GL!

UNC at Miami
under 146.5

Look for an under as these two played a high scoring game at Fordham earlier this year and ended with over 200 points the last time at Duquesne.

The Dukes are off a road loss. I think we see a game in the upper 140's and an over tonight.

Looks like both teams will have players out. Alabama has some suspensions to key plays and Billy Donovan's squad won't be 100%.

I think we see a game in the 120's since the Tide defense will prevent 3's from the Gators.

Under the total

Virginia at Clemson
7pm EST (Tuesday Feb. 14)
over the total


Virginia has played 3 overs and 16 unders this year and just played a 70-52 (122) game at UNC. UVA/Clemson played earlier and it was 65-61 (126 points) and the o/u was set at 112.5.

Virginia lost shotblocker Assane Sene earlier and he is the only key player with more than 9 blocks. The Cavs average games are 63-52 (115) while Clemson's are 65-60 (125). These two did play a 49-47 game last year at Virginia.

On the road here are the UVA ACC scores:

at UNC 122
at FSU 113
at NCSU 121
GT 108 (GT only scored 38)
Duke 119

Mike Scott leads UVA at 17 ppg while Joe Harris is at 12.5. Zeglinski will be needed for 3's and he is at 8.5 ppg.

Clemson has young 13.5, Smith 11, Booker at 11 ppg and Jennings at 10 ppg. They have already faced Virginia this year and lost so they should be motivated by that and will be familiar with their style. This should be an ugly game. I won't be shocked by an under with UVA involved but Clemson has shown some offense this year and they will be at home. This looks to be a close game with a chance of overtime which is always helpful in overs. GL!

Virginia/Clemson
over the total

Phoenix has 8 overs and 17 unders in their last 25 games. Nash is getting older and he controls the pace of many games and this one is on the road at Golden State. GS has 12 unders in the last 17 as a favorite. I think we see a game in the 195 points range that stays under.

UNDER 203

Take the under as Charlotte has the worst scoring offense in the NBA. They have rookie Kemba Walker who led UConn to the NCAA title last year but they have struggled to score but play OK defense. LA Clippers play good defense and can score with Blake Griffin and Chris Paul.

I think we see a game in the low 180's range and under!

Wichita State at Creighton (5pm)
#591/592
under 147

The last 6 meetings have all gone under. Creighton averages 147 points in their games while Wichita is at 141.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Creighton.
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

The first meeting was in the upper 120's. I think we see an under in this game.

These two teams are rivals from the CAA (Colonial Athletic Association). Virginia Commonwealth University and Old Dominion are both located in Virginia about 90 miles apart. Both are scrappy defensive teams that have experienced players. They have played overs in 16 of the last 21 meetings. The first meeting at VCU stayed under as ODU struggled to score. Iliadis did not score for ODU and Burgess only had 2 for the Rams.

ODU plays better at home as they have scored 80, 68, 69, 69 and 74 in the last five at home in conference. They are led by senior Kent Bazemore at 13.5 ppg, Cooper at 11 and Iliadis at 9. I expect Trian Iliadis to score 8 or more as he had 0 in the first game.

VCU has played totals of 165, 117, 123, 122 and 143 in its last five on the road. Burgess, Reddic, Daniels and Theus lead the VCU attack. They try to press and it makes the game faster. ODU rebounds well and should get some putbacks from misses.

It does worry me some that ODU plays in a zone and it could slow down the game but we should get some late free throws and 3's from the side that is behind. ODU is -1 so there is a chance for overtime.

I like our chances for both teams to reach the 60 point level and get above 120 points for an over. GL!

Take the under. They played last month at Ioan and made it to 137 points. This game is at Loyola and they have played good defense lately with no totals higher than the Iona game and Iona has played road finals of 104, 133 and 127 in recent games.

Take under.

Take under 139.5

Gonzaga has 7 overs and 14 unders this year and home team has 24 unders, 8 overs and 2 pushes in last 34 at home.

These two are conference rivals and the game should be intense with good defense inside and on the perimeter.

Take the under.

ODU at William & Mary
7pm EST (Wednesday)
over 118.5

ODU games average 64-60 (124 points) while William and Mary's are 60-70 (130). ODU is off a low scoring loss at George Mason and will look forward to playing at Williamsburg which is only 40 miles from their campus. The Monarchs do have rival VCU on deck and may be looking ahead to that game on Saturday.

In ODU's last game before GMU they played a high scoring game with JMU that ended 81-70 (151 points). ODU made 13 3-pointers in that game. W&M likes to shoot 3's and struggled in a loss at ODU just two weeks ago. Let's look at the W&M home games as all but the Drexel game made it to 129 or above.

VCU 165
Drexel 112
UNCW 134
Dela 139
JMU 129
Iona 148
Rich 153
Liberty 147

ODU does play great defense but last year's game at W&M made it to 122 points. The Tribe likes to shoot 3's and are decent at it at home with McDowell, Britt, Rusthoven, Thornton, Rum and Boatner. The home team does have 7 overs and 14 unders this year. They have underachieved this year.

ODU gets points from Bazemore, Cooper, Wright, Iliadis, Batten and Hill. They rebound well and should get some easy putbacks after missed shots. Hopefully, we can get to 120 points and over the total. GL!

ODU at W&M
over 118.5

Look for an under on Saturday night. Kansas has played unders in their last 8 Saturday games and the last 4 on the road have seen 136, 135, 133 and 127. The last two at Missouri have made it to 136 and 135.

Take under 147.5.

UNC has played under in 30 of the last 43 ACC games and has reached 121, 150 and 147 on the road. They have Duke up next. Md has just one player over 10 ppg with Stoglin at 22 ppg. UNC's H. Barnes yweaked his ankle and won't be 100%. The Tar Heels do not shoot 3's or FT's well and Md has played 142, 135, 110 and 134 at home in the ACC.

Take under 150.5

Under is 8-2 in PHO last 10 vs. Western Conference.
Under is 8-2 in PHO last 10 vs. NBA Southwest.
Under is 13-4 in PHO last 17 games as an underdog.

Houston: Under is 11-4 in HOU last 15 home games.

The trends point to an under on Friday night. Steve Nash is turning 38 and still plays well but I think we see a game in the low 190's on Friday night!

under 134.5

Niagara has played unders in 16 of the last 21 on the road while Fairfield has played unders in 6 of the last 8 and the home games for them have seen 134 or less in the last 8 at home, even the Iona game went under and stayed in the 130's!

under 134.5

UNC at Wake Forest
9pm eastern (Tuesday, Jan. 31)
under 152.5

UNC is one of the highest scoring teams in the country and plays ACC conference weakling Wake Forest on Tuesday night. Wake has played some low scoring conference games at home:

Florida State 127
NC State 116
Va Tech 113

The other ACC games for Wake Forest:

at Clemson 131
at BC 127
at Duke 164 (73-91)

The game at Duke was fast paced as both teams made plenty of 3's and the Blue Devils are a top ten team. WF has played 2 overs, 6 unders and a push at home this year. They have 6 unders in their last 8 overall games and UNC has played unders in 30 of its last 43 conference games.

The Tar Heels just played at home and won 93-81 (174) but the conference games before that reached 129, 150, 147, 129 and 143 points.

Wake does have CJ Harris and Travis McKie to score as both are in the 16 ppg range but next highest is at 10. Both Ty Walker and Carson Desrosiers can block shots and rebound.

UNC is fast paced with Kendall Marshall, Henson, Zeller, Barnes, etc. but I expect the Demon Deacons to struggle to score unless they can make some 3's. I like the under 152.5 for this Tuesday night game. GL!

UNC at Wake Forest
under 152.5

UNC has played unders in 29 of the last 41 ACC games and will not have Strickland as Bullock will play more and Stillman is the backup at PG. UNC shoots 3's and FT's poorly. The last 4 meetings have been at 148 or less.

Under.

Red Dog Sports

Tuesday


Eastern Michigan at Buffalo
7pm eastern (Tuesday, Jan. 24)
over 114

These two play in Buffalo on Tuesday night. They have each played unders in 7 of the last 8 conference games. Buffalo games average 71-67 (138) while low scoring EMU averages 53-59 (112). The game is at Buffalo and they are favored by 16 so they should be able to score and dictate the pace.

These two played last year at EMU and it was 78-65 (143 points) and the total was 128.5. Many of the players in that game will be involved in Tuesday's game.

EMU recent games have been low scoring as they have reached only 99 points with their opponents while at Ball State and 87 at Northern Illinois. Here are some other road games:

at Santa Clara 55-75 (130)
at Va Tech 50-71 (121) only scored 9 at the half
at Purdue 30-61 (91)
at Drake 53-66 (119)
at Colgate 70-74 (144) Lampley scored 37 points!
at Syracuse 48-84 (132)
at IUPUI 66-64 (130)

Darrell Lampley leads them at 12.6 ppg and Green puts in 7 ppg. There are 4 others in the 5 to 6 points per game range. As you can see by the statistics they are a low scoring team.

Buffalo scoring:

McRae 17 (57% FG)
Watt 15 (53% FG)
Filzen 11.7
Robinson 7

Buffalo home games have reached 152, 131, 152, 126, 153, 127 and 137 points. Hopefully, Buffalo will dictate the pace and score which will force Eastern Michigan to try to catch up and we can get a game in the 70-50 range. GL!

EMU at Buffalo
over 114

Wisconsin at Illinois
2pm

pick: over 108.5

These two played twice last year and both games were in the 130 range. Illinois just played a low scoring game at Penn State but they now return home where they are 11-0.

Wisconsin has Jordan Taylor and guys who can hit 3's. Illinois makes 38% of their 3's and we could get some late FT's to help us get to 112 and over by a few points!

ODU and VCU are rivals with 16 of the last 20 going over. Bazemore leads ODU and Burgess leads VCU. I think we see a game in the 120's that goes over the total!

Rider at Iona 10pm (Friday on ESPNU)
under 164

The last 8 meetings at Iona have gone under the total. Rider games average 148 points and Iona's are at 158. The last 3 home games for Iona have rwached 137, 147 and 134 points. However, they did get to 176 points in the last game on the road and played a 167 point game vs. Richmond and 184 with LIU as well as some early season overs.

Also, this game is at 10pm eastern and much later than a normal game start. Over 164 won't shock me but I like our chances for an under with such a high total with a late start on Friday night.

Rider/Iona under 164

The unders have prevailed so far in the NBA but I like our chances for an over tonight when the Bucks and Knicks play. Brandon Jennings plays well vs. the Knicks and Andrew Bogat does too. Look for 195 points and an over!
GL as always!

These two played earlier in the year and made it to 119 as the Waves were 0-10 from the 3-point line. Jordan Baker has scored 10+ in 7 in a row and had 26 points last game. I think we see a game in the 128 range that goes over!

BC played a 83-60 (143) at UNC but just finished some low scoring unders at home. NCSU has played overs in 7 of the last 8 at home and the two ACC home games vs. Md and Ga Tech made it to 153 points.

Take the over.

ODU at Towson
#781/#782
7pm eastern (Wed. Jan. 18)
over 108.5


These two already played this year at ODU and it was 75-38 (113 points). Towson is a bad team that hasn't won a game this year. ODU plays at VCU on Saturday and may be looking ahead to the game with the Rams.

ODU games average 63-63 (126 points) while Towson's are at 49-74 (123).

Towson should be motivated to play well after the first game and be familiar with the Monarchs defense. Last year, when these two met at Towson they only reached 98 points but in the second game it made it to a total of 137 points. Towson's team has changed since then.

Damas leads the team at 11.7 ppg and he struggled in the first game. Robert Nwankwo averages 11.2 ppg and has struggled this year but has played against ODU in the past.

ODU scoring:

Bazemore 14.5
Cooper 10.5
Iliadis 8
Batten 8
Wright 8
Hill 7
Ross 6

The over has won 7 of the last 8 meetings. I am hoping that Towson will score some at home vs. a team they have already played. They only made two 3-pointers in the first game. Hopefully, Towson plays more like Tigers than kittens!

ODU/Towson
over 108.5

3* Texas A&M/Missouri over 132.5 (5:30pm)

The last 6 meetings have reached 155, 154 (before OT), 151, 182, 146 and 172. Missouri is home and the least amount of points they have scored with an opponent in a game has been 135 this year. Even the road game at ODU ended with 143 scored and the o/u was set for 135.5 in that game.

Mo. games average 147 ppg while A&M is at 120 so the oddsmakers split the difference. Missouri gets 18 ppg from Denmon and 15 ppg from English while Ratcliffe is at 13.7.

A&M has Middleton 13 ppg, Turner 13 ppg and Loubeau 10 ppg. A&M did play an 84-64 (148) game with Florida on a neutral court.

This game does start at 5:30pm and the odd time does concern me for a slow start but the Tigers are the home team and should control the pace.

over 132.5

The last 8 metings have seen 6 unders, 1 over and a push. Both teams play solid defense using man to man and zone. Look for a game in the low 130's that stays under the total.

Columbia is at home and they like to play slowly as they have unders in 20 of last 28 Ivy League games. Penn does have Rosen and Bernadini but Agho is out for the Lions.

Take under 124.

Take the under as the 76ers have won their last three home games and allowing only 39% FG and won easily. Sacramento added a new coach last week and they have not played well under the old coach on the road. I think we see a game in the 100-88 range that stays under the total.

over 119

These two played a 64-60 game last year at Drexel. VCU has played overs 58-28-1 on the road while Drexel has played unders in 18 of 25. VCU can make 3's and foul late so we have a good chance for late points. My guess is both get to 60 and over profits.

#581 Boston College at #582 UNC
2:30pm

over 146.5

Boston College has played just two true road games and one was at Providence which has a new coach. They did play Sacred Heart at home and the game made it to 156 while the game at Holy Cross was at the 156 points. Other games were at home or neutral courts. Last year at BC it was a high scoring game but the return game at the Dean Dome was low scoring and ugly.

BC has new players and they are young and raw. Here are the scorers:

Heckmann 11 ppg
Humphrey 10
Anderson 9
Clifford 9
Jackson 7

UNC will be at home and want to get off to a quick start in the ACC opener. They get points from Barnes, Zeller and Henson as well as Bullock and Hairston off the bench.

I think we see above 150 points as BC will need to shoot 3's to keep up.

Take over 146.5 and good luck!

Fordham at UMass
7pm eastern (Thursday, Jan. 5)
over 142


UMass is short for the University of Massachusetts. They are undefeated at home and led by point guard Chaz Williams at 15 ppg and 5.8 assists. UMass is the 6th fastest team in the NCAA at 74 possessions per game. These two teams have played in last 4 years and here are the scores:

77-73 (150) in 2011
78-76 (154) in 2010
91-68 (159) in 2009
76-72 (148) in 2008

All four have reached 148 or more. Fordham has played overs in 7 of 8 vs. the Atlantic 10 while UMass has played overs in 7 of 9 home games.

Fordham is led by Gaston at 16 points per game. Hopefully, the Rams can keep up as 12 point underdogs and add to our total.

over 142

The Terp coach spoke of more offensive sets for P'Shon Howard and Alex Len plus Terrell Stoglin can score for them as he is at 20 ppg.

Cornell will need to make a few 3's to help the over. Look for 145 on Tuesday and an over!

SD just started playing in a new conference and should struugle to score in a new arena. I think we see a game in the low 120's that stays under.

My guess is 63-60.

Take the under tonight!

I expect a game in the 60's that makes it to the low 130's. These two played last year in Missouri and reached 137 and two years ago it was 66-61 (127) on a neutral court. It is Missouri's first road game. Look for the under!

Look for an over tonight as BYU did lose Jimmer Fredette last year but has added transfer Matt Carlino and their pace is now #11 in the nation. They played a low scoring game at Utah due to their slowdwon but last year's meeting with St. Mary's made it to 147 on a neutral court.

Noah Hartsock and davies should score well for the road team and St. Mary's should get to the mid-70's.

USC found their touch last game and put up pelnty of points vs. TCU. Kansas is off a home loss to Davidson and should play well. All it takes is fro one team to get hot and we have a score in the 60's and over. Take over 121.

#585 UCSB at #586 BYU
9pm

pick: over 147
BYU has played 5 Division 1 teams at home and scored 92, 90, 94, 83 and 93 points. Their 71.3 possessions per game is #21 in the nation. UCSB is off a bad loss and now goes to high scoring BYU led by Orlando Johnson who scored 36 vs. UNLV. UCSB's game at Washington was 87-80 (167 points). This game looks to get to 150 and over. UCSB has played 8 overs and 2 unders in the last 10 non-conferecne games.

over 147

Iona likes to score while William & Mary likes to study......and needs to work on making baskets. Richmond crushed the Tribe and it ended up with about 153 points. Iona ended 148 at denver who is another low scoring team. Iona averages 162 while the Tribe is at 130. The only chance they have is to keep it low and ugly. I won't be shocked to see 150 = but hope to see 82-62 and under.

Red Dog Sports


Tuesday


Cal-Irvine/UCLA under 136.5 (10:30pm)
#567/#568

UCI has 7 unders in last 10 road games while UCLA has 9 unders in last 14 v. Big West. UCI games average 138 while UCLA's are at 130 points. Here are UCLA's last 5 at home:

121 UCD
107 Eastern Wash
128 Texas
101 Pepperdine
152 MTSU
127 Loyola Mt.

UCI's last four on road:

125 LSU
106 Wyoming
101 SJSU
133 Cal

UCI/UCLA under 136.5

#561 Buffalo at #562 BYU
9pm

over 146.5
These two played a 90-82 game last year in NY. Jimmer Fredette played well but the BYU team makes plenty of 3's and led by Hartsock, Abouo, Davies and Rogers all over 10 ppg while Buffalo has McRea and Filzen at 16 ppg. I think we see a game in the 150's. Take over!

LMU's top scorer is out. FSU has played under in 10 of the last 14 home games. I think we see a game in the upper 120's that stays under.

These two played last year and it ended with 125 points at Syracuse. This is the Ornage's first road game and their zone will make NCSU take some time before shots are taken. Look for low 140's or high 130's and an under.

UC-Irvine at LSU (8pm)
under 138.5

LSU has played 24 unders and only 8 overs in the last 32 at home and 42-17 unders overall.

The last few games for LSU:

Boise ST. 64-45 (109)
at Rutgers 55-50 (110)
at Houston 59-58 (117)
So Alabama 69-69 (138)
Ga Tech 59-50 (109)

Cal Irvine's last road game was 58-48 (106 points) at Wyoming and an earlier game at San Jose State was 51-50 (101 points).

I am hoping that LSU will control the pace as they are at home and are a big favorite. I have seen 138.5 at a book but 137.5 is at Olympic.

UCI at LSU under 138.5

Iona should dictate the pace and I think we see a game in the upper 140's or 150-152 points. Iona has Glover and Scott Machado at point guard. Richmond just played at VCU in a slow game and will run and gunwith the Gaels in a nice action filled game.

Central Michigan at Minnesota
#545/#546
9pm eastern (Dec. 13, 2011)
under 129

Minnesota has lost just one game and are playing at home. They lost their best player (Trevor Mbakwe) to an injury a few weeks ago. Since the injury they have focused more on defense. Let's look at their last 4 home games:

St. Peters 116
App St 126
USC 95
Va Tech 113

Let's look at Central Michigan as they have played 21 unders and 6 overs in their last 27 road games. Let's look at some recent CMU games. The Charlotte game went into overtime and made it into the 150's.

Tenn St 122
Temple 160
Dartmouth 113
Buffalo 114
Pepperdine 124
Char 122 (before OT)

There were two other CMU games that were high scoring but Minnesota is the better team and playing at home so they should dictate the pace. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are led by Ralph Sampson Jr., whose dad is a former college Player Of The Year at Virginia.


CMU/Minnesota
under 129