At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies walloped New Mexico, 52-10, as a 38-point home favorite last Saturday.  But the Aggies have a massive step-up in class this weekend, as they will have to go into Hard Rock Stadium to take on a Hurricanes squad riding high after its season-opening 38-3 win over Miami-Ohio.  The Hurricanes have cashed 68% since 1980 as home underdogs vs. non-conference foes, while Texas A&M is 0-15 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. .600 (or better) foes, if the Aggies weren't getting more than 14 points.  Take Miami-Fla + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes pulled off a massive upset last week, when they went into Fort Worth, and knocked off the Horned Frogs, 45-42, as a 21-point underdog.  But off that stunning win, I'll look for a letdown on Saturday, as home favorites off an upset win as a double-digit underdog to kick off the season have covered just 35 percent over the last 43 years.  Grab the points with Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Notre Dame.  NC State kicked off its season with a win at Connecticut, 24-14, last week, and will welcome the 2-0 Fighting Irish into Carter-Finley Stadium for their home opener.  The Irish come into Raleigh off back to back stifling defensive performances.  Notre Dame blew out Navy, 42-3, in Dublin, and then trounced Tennessee State, 56-3, in South Bend.  But off those two games, we'll fade the Irish as a road favorite on Saturday.  Indeed, since 1980, road favorites have covered just 25% vs. winning teams in Game 3, if our road favorite didn't give up more than 7 points combined in their first two games.  NC State has won its last 13 home openers, straight-up, and I look for an upset win in this early game on Saturday.  Grab the points with NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over the Massachusetts Minutemen.  Last week, we had our College Football Game of the Month on UMass +7 over New Mexico State, and were rewarded with a 41-30 upset win by Don Brown's troops.  UMass has now matched its win total for each of the last three full seasons, as it went 1-11 in each of 2019, 2021 and 2022 (it went 0-4 in the COVID-shortened 2020 season).  But even though victorious, the Minutemen were out-yarded by the Aggies, 458-389.  The difference in the game, of course, was turnovers.  UMass held onto the ball, while New Mexico State coughed it up 3 times.  It would be folly to expect that kind of turnover luck to continue here, at Jordan-Hare Stadium.  Moreover, since 2019, the Minutemen have been miserable against the spread, including 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS when priced from +23 to +38 points.  Meanwhile, Auburn has gone 26-19 ATS in that point spread range.  Off that big upset win, we'll fade UMass, as it falls into a 'letdown' system of mine which has cashed 69.6% since 1988.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen + the points over New Mexico State.  After coaching UMass from 2004 to 2008 (the best 5-year period in UMass' football history), Don Brown returned to Amherst last season to man the sidelines again.  Last season, UMass struggled to a 1-11 record, which was the 3rd straight full season it went 1-11.  This year, UMass will look to improve on that record, and it will open the 2023 season against a team which it lost to each of the past two years.  The Aggies won, 44-27, in 2021, as a 7 point home favorite.  And then, last season, they went into Amherst, and down the Minutemen, 23-13, in a PK'em game.  We'll play on the double-revenge-minded Minutemen, as the Aggies are a poor 3-17 ATS at home when playing an opponent it defeated the previous season, including 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of less than 8 points.  And they're 4-11 ATS vs. teams they defeated each of the two previous seasons, including 1-7 ATS at home.  Grab the points with UMass.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs are the defending champs, and are a deserved favorite.  But they've been an average team against the point spread this year.  They're 7-7 ATS, and have gone 4-4 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 1.75.  In contrast, TCU is 10-2-2 ATS, and has gone 5-0-2 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 7.00.  Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have gone 14-5 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog of more than 9 points.  We'll take the points with the Horned Frogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, in the Cotton Bowl, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave and USC Trojans to go Under the total.  The Trojans had a meltdown in the 2nd half of the Pac-12 Championship game, as they allowed 30 points en route to a 47-24 loss.  Utah bullied the Trojans on the ground with 223 yards on 35 rushes, and Utes QB Cam Rising threw for 310 yards on 22-34 passing.  That was the Trojans' worst defensive performance of the season -- in terms of points surrendered -- and I expect that they will tighten things up today on that side of the ball.  Pac-12 teams have gone 19-8 Under their last 27 Bowl games, while American Athletic Conference teams have gone Under in 16 of their last 19 Bowl games.  Take the Cotton Bowl Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Georgia.  The Buckeyes were a whopping 9-point home favorite, but were blown out in the 2nd half of their season-ending game vs. rival Michigan.  Ohio State actually held the lead, 20-17, at the break.  But it couldn't find the end zone after intermission, and lost, 45-23.  The Buckeyes, though, have excelled as an underdog in Bowl games, including 9-1 ATS when getting 4 or more points!  Even better:  Bowl underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +8 points, off an upset loss as a 9-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 10-0 ATS.  This will be a difficult match-up for the Bulldogs, who are 2nd in scoring defense (12.77 ppg), but whose pass defense ranks 51st, surrendering 215.1 passing yards per game.  Ohio State will be able to exploit Georgia's secondary, as OSU boasts the nation's top QB in passer efficiency rating (CJ Stroud), and a brilliant route-runner (Marvin Harrison, Jr) at WR.  Stroud threw for 3,340 yards, 37 TDs (and just six INTs), while Harrison had 72 receptions for 1,157 yards (16.1 avg yds), and 12 TDs.  Ohio State's covered 15 of 18 away from home off a home loss, including 9-0 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes.  And, finally, defending National Champs are a wallet-busting 22-44 ATS away from home off a win, if priced from -4.5 to -14 points.  Take the Buckeyes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the Music City Bowl, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Kentucky.  The Over/Under line (currently 31) is the lowest OU Line for any FBS game in the past 10 seasons.  And the Hawkeyes have excelled in games with low OU lines, as they're 7-1 ATS their last eight when the line has been less than 42 points.  Iowa's also 7-0-1 ATS their last eight in 'win situation' games where the line was less than 3 points.  The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread by an average of 4.70 ppg away from home this season, while Kentucky's point spread differential away from home has been -0.75.  That bodes well for the Hawkeyes.  As does the fact that they're 13-7-1 ATS their last 21 bowl games.  Take Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the OVER in the Iowa/Kentucky game.  This is the lowest OU line over the past 10 years in a game matching two FBS schools -- in part, due to the fact that each team will be playing without their starting quarterbacks.  Iowa will turn to 3rd string QB, Joe Labas, while Kentucky will have Destin Wade under center.  Still, by my math, the line is too low, and confers value on the OVER.  For technical support, consider that 63% of Big 10/SEC Conference matchups have gone OVER the total the past 10 seasons when the line was less than 60 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Wyoming.  These two teams will meet in the Arizona Bowl, in Tucson, this afternoon.  We'll go against a Cowboys team which laid an egg (literally, a 'Goose Egg'), as it was shut out, 30-0, by Fresno in its final regular season game.  Wyoming is a horrid 8-27 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS loss, if it wasn't getting 5+ points.  And the Cowboys are 3-18 ATS away from home after scoring 14 points or less, if they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game.  Lay the points with Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks come into this game off back to back upset wins over Tennessee and Clemson.  But I expect Notre Dame to halt their win streak, as the Irish are a perfect 13-0-1 ATS, if they owned a winning record, and were installed as a favorite of less than 14 points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We played against the Irish last Bowl season, in Marcus Freeman's debut as Notre Dame head coach, and got the $$$ with Oklahoma State as our 5* NCAA Football Game of the Year.  The Irish blew a big, 21-point lead in that Bowl game.  Rest assured that Freeman won't let that happen here.  Notre Dame is a spotless 5-0 SU/ATS in Bowl games when priced from -2 to -6 points (but 6-18 ATS when it wasn't).  And South Carolina is a wallet-busting 9-27-2 ATS off back to back ATS wins, when the point spread was 13 points or less (or PK).  Take Notre Dame minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Notre Dame/South Carolina game.  This Gator Bowl game will be played in Jacksonville, FL this afternoon.  Seven of the last nine Gator Bowls have gone Under, and we'll look for another relatively-low scoring game today.  Admittedly, it's true that South Carolina's offense has posted back-to-back high-scoring games, in wins over Tennesse (63-38) and Clemson (31-30).  And both of those games went Over the total.  But post-season games have gone Under 61.4% the past 10 seasons if a team has scored, in the aggregate, 85+ points over its two previous games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Pittsburgh/UCLA game.  Over the last 8 seasons, Pac-12 teams have gone Under the total 69% in Bowl games when the O/U Line was 50+ points, including 4-0 Under already this Bowl season.  And when a Pac-12 team has been favored in a Bowl game, regardless of the OU Line, the bowl game has gone Under 70% of the time, including 6-0 Under the last six.  The Sun Bowl game, in El Paso, has had a long Bowl history.  There has often been issues with weather at this time of year in El Paso, and today will be no different.  Rain is in the forecast early in the morning, but should recede by game time.  However, winds will be around 15 miles per hour, with gusts upwards of 20 miles per hour (wind has the most impact on the passing game).  Five of the last six Sun Bowl games have gone Under the total, and that's the way we'll look for this Pitt/UCLA game.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Over in the Maryland/NC State game.  Both of these teams ended the season with high-scoring wins.  Maryland tallied 37 in its win against Rutgers, while NC State scored 30 in its upset victory at North Carolina.  We'll look for both offense to continue to play well on this Friday, as post-season games have gone Over the total 88% the past 10 years if both teams scored 30+ points in their previous game, and the O/U line was 47 or less points.  Take the Over.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas/Washington game.  The Longhorns come into this game off back to back OVERS, as they defeated Kansas, 55-14, and then bested Baylor, 38-27.  Texas has gone UNDER in 8 straight games (and 31 of 46) following back to back games where 49+ points were scored.  And the UNDER also falls into a system of mine which has won 72.9%.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Florida St.  Over the last 42 years, Bowl underdogs of +8.5 (or more) points have gone 84-50-2 ATS if they weren't off back to back wins.  Take the Sooners + the points.

>At 2 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Minnesota/Syracuse game.  Both of these teams played Overs to end the regular season, and that's the way we'll look in this Pinstripe Bowl game.  The Over falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 67.7% since 2013.  And Syracuse has gone OVER the total 83% the past 10 seasons when the line has been less than 50 points.  Take the OVER.

At 9 pm, on Wednesday, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on Mississippi minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders ended their season by scoring the most points they had all season vs. an FBS school, when they upset Oklahoma, 51-48, as a 2.5-point home dog.  Unfortunately for Texas Tech, it's 1-7-1 ATS after scoring 37+ points in its previous game.  And it's 12-25 ATS after an upset win, including 2-11 ATS when priced from +2 to +10 points.  Finally, the Red Raiders are 1-9-1 ATS in the Bowls when priced from +7 to -3.5 points, while the Rebels are 11-3-1 ATS their last 15 Bowl games.  Take Ole Miss minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, on Wednesday, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Arkansas.  The Jayhawks greatly overachieved this season.  Picked by the media to finish last in the Big 12 conference, Kansas went 5-0 SU/ATS out of the gate, and was competitive in defeat vs. teams like TCU and Oklahoma.  Kansas did stumble badly its last two games, as it lost to Texas (55-14) and Kansas St (47-27), but still finished 6-6 to earn a bowl bid.  The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS their last six post-season games, while Arkansas is 8-18-1 ATS its last 27 post-season games.  That bodes well for the Jayhawks as an underdog in this game.  As does the fact that the Underdog has gone 13-5 ATS in the Liberty Bowl games since 2004.  Finally, underdogs that were outscored, in the aggregate, by more than 40 points in their two previous games, have covered 62% in the post-season.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks and Arkansas Razorbacks UNDER the total.  This Bowl game will match-up the Razorbacks from the SEC vs. the Jayhawks from the Big 12.  We'll look for a relatively-low scoring game, as Bowl games involving SEC teams are currently riding a 17-5-1 UNDER run, including 9-0 UNDER if our SEC team was priced between +3 to -7 points.  Likewise, Bowl games involving Big 12 teams have gone 21-5 UNDER, if our Big 12 team was installed as an underdog (or PK), including 14-1 UNDER their last 15.  Four of the last five Liberty Bowl games have gone Under the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, on Wednesday, in the Military Bowl, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Duke.  The Knights owned the nation's 7th most prolific rushing attack, as they averaged 235.6 yards on the ground this season.  And they've been installed as an underdog vs. Duke in this Bowl game.  We'll take the underdog, as we note that Bowl underdogs of +3 (or more) points, that averaged 235+ yards rushing on the season, have gone 77-56-1 ATS over the last 43 seasons.  Take UCF.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 2:30 pm, on Monday, in the Quick Lane Bowl, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Bowling Green.  After going 2-10 last year under coach Doug Martin, the Aggies turned to veteran head coach Jerry Kill to lead the team in 2022.  Kill previously manned the sideline at Northern Illinois (2008-2010) and Minnesota (2011-2015), and as an interim head coach last season at TCU.  Not including TCU, where he coached just 4 games, and went 2-2 ATS, Kill's teams have always been profitable.  Overall, he's gone 63-48-2 ATS, including 44-25 ATS when priced from -6 to +17 points.  His Aggies ended this season in impressive fashion, with a 65-3 blowout of Valparaiso, and a 49-14 upset win (as a 24-point underdog) at Liberty in their penultimate game.  They also were 5-1 ATS down the stretch.  In contrast, Bowling Green was 4-7-1 ATS this season, and 1-3 ATS in their final four games.  They scored just 14 points in their final game of the season -- a 24 point loss at Ohio, as a 5.5-point underdog.  The Mid-American Conference is, generally speaking, a horrible football conference.  And it's teams have gone 12-25-1 ATS as a favorite in the Bowls, if they were off a straight-up loss in their previous game.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over San Diego St.  The Blue Raiders ended the season on a 3-game win streak (2-1 ATS) to finish 7-5 on the season.  The Aztecs also were 7-5, but ended the season with a whimper, as they lost, 13-3, to Air Force.  They're laying a sizable amount of points today to Middle Tennessee, but I can't get behind an SDSU team which was 2-4 ATS as a favorite.  Even worse:  Mountain West Conference favorites of more than 3 points have gone 6-19 ATS in bowl games vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  And Mountain West teams are 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs. Conference USA foes in Bowl games.  With San Diego State entering with a 1-6 ATS mark in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, we'll take the Underdog Blue Raiders tonight.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/Louisiana Lafayette game.  This Independence Bowl match-up will pit 9-3 Houston (from the American Athletic Conference) vs. 6-6 Louisiana (from the Sun Belt).  When the Cougars have been installed as a double-digit favorite, their games have generally been high-scoring, and have gone 11-3-1 ATS Over the total, including 4-0-1 Over their last 5.  BUT when Houston's been installed as a favorite of LESS than 10 points, they've gone Under 30-11 their last 41.  Here, of course, Houston is a single-digit favorite, which bodes well for the Under.  As does the fact that Louisiana is 28-16-1 Under its last 45, including 9-2 Under as an underdog of less than 13 points.  Finally, American Athletic Conference teams have played 7 straight Unders in Bowl games since 2021; are 8-0 Under their last 8 as a favorite in the Bowls; and have gone 13-2 Under their last 15 Bowl games, overall.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Air Force.  The Falcons were 9-3 on the season, while Baylor was 6-6.  But the Bears played a rugged Big 12 schedule (as well as a road game at BYU), while Air Force played a comparatively-easy Mountain West schedule.  The Falcons played 4 teams that earned a bowl bid this season:  Wyoming, San Diego St, Boise St. and Utah St.  And Air Force went 1-3 in those games, with its lone win coming against San Diego St.  This is a big step-up in class for Air Force, and I don't think they'll get the job done tonight.  And especially not with Baylor coming into this game off a SU/ATS loss to Texas.  Key stat:  Baylor's 13-0-1 off an ATS loss when matched up against a foe with a W/L percentage greater than .600.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames plus the points over Toledo.  The Flames have been installed as an underdog for this Boca Raton Bowl.  And Liberty is a solid 14-4 ATS its last 18 when not favored by more than 3 points.  Toledo, on the other hand, is 18-32-1 ATS in Non-Conference games when playing away from home.  Take Liberty.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St Spartans minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles won their last 3 games, including a 38-19 win vs. Central Michigan to end its season.  Unfortunately, Eastern Michigan is a wallet-breaking 30-50 ATS off a win, including 5-18 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with San Jose St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Marshall.  It's never been a bad idea to take double-digit underdogs in Bowl games.  And that's because they've gone 85-64-3 ATS since 1980.  So, while I will go with a double-digit Bowl favorite on occasion, it's not something I will do with regularity.  Moreover, Connecticut was blown out, 34-17, by Army in its season-ending game.  And double-digit Bowl dogs have cashed 63% if they didn't win their previous game (compared to 54% if they were off a win).  Meanwhile, Marshall is 17-26 ATS away from home as a favorite of -7+ points, while UConn is 11-5 ATS as an underdog.  Finally, Sun Belt Conference favorites (or PK) are a dismal 41-75-3 ATS in non-conference games, if our Sun Belt team didn't own a losing record.  Take UConn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the OVER in the Connecticut/Marshall game.  Both of these teams had mid-season stretches where they played a streak of Unders.  UConn went under the total 5 straight games starting on October 1, while Marshall went under in 6 straight games starting on September 24.  But both teams ended the season with high-scoring games that went over the total.  Marshall's season-ending game vs. Georgia St went over the total of 45.5 by 5.5 points, as the Herd lost, 28-23, to the Panthers.  Likewise, Connecticut's season-ending game vs. Army went over the 45-point total by 6 points, as Connecticut lost, 34-17.  And its next-to-last regular season game went over the total of 45 by 24 points, as it upset Liberty, 36-33.  In its last 10 seasons, Marshall has NEVER had a Total this low.  But it's gone Over the total 65% since 2013 when the Over/Under line was less than 48 points.  We'll look for a relatively high scoring game this afternoon.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Boise St.  The Mean Green won't have to travel far from their Denton campus to this Frisco Bowl game, so they'll have most of today's crowd rooting for them.  We'll fade Boise St, as the Broncos have burned money in the post-season when favored by less than 12 points, as they're 1-8 ATS their last nine!  And double-digit Conference USA underdogs have gone 14-7 ATS in Bowl games.  Take North Texas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Southern Miss.  These two teams know each other well, as they battled virtually every year as members of Conference USA.  But Southern Miss left this year for the Sun Belt Conference, so this meeting will be the first time they met in a Bowl game.  Rice won each of the past two seasons (both SU and ATS), and is 8-4 ATS vs. Southern Miss in this series.  It's true that the Owls ended their season with 3 straight losses.  But College football underdogs of 6+ points have covered 68% in post-season games since 1980 off 3+ losses.  Take Rice + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington St Cougars + the points over Fresno St.  The Bulldogs are a horrid 4-15 ATS away from home, when favored against a non-conference foe, including 1-7 ATS in Bowl games.  Take Washington St.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Oregon State.  The Gators are 18-7 ATS as underdogs of +5 (or more) points away from home, when matched up against a foe off a point spread win.  And Oregon State is 2-14 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes off a loss, including 0-8 ATS when favored by 7+ points.  Grab the points with the Gators.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Over in the Louisville/Cincinnati game.  This Fenway Bowl game matches Louisville from the ACC against Cincinnati from the American Athletic Conference.  In games between schools from the ACC and AAC, the OVER has cashed 69% when the Over/Under line was 51 points or less. The Over/Under line in this game actually opened at 45, but has been significantly lowered from that opener.  By my math, the current number confers great value on the Over, and I'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on this Saturday.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over Navy.  The Midshipmen come into this game -- at Philadelphia's Lincoln Financial Field -- off an upset win over Central Florida, 17-14, as a 14.5-point underdog.  But that was just Navy's 4th win on the season (against 7 losses).  They'll now face an Army team which is a red-hot 5-0 ATS its last five after blowing out UMass, 44-7.  We'll lay the points with Army, as NCAA favorites (or PK) off 4 ATS wins have gone 79-42 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. foes that don't have a winning record (including 7-0 ATS the last 7).  And if our red-hot team was playing a non-conference opponent, then our 79-42 record moves to a perfect 8-0 ATS.  Take Army.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Clemson.  The Tar Heels come into this ACC Championship game off back to back losses to Georgia Tech and NC State.  I look for North Carolina to rebound on Saturday night, as it's 37-19 ATS off back to back losses, including 22-10 ATS as an underdog of 7+ points.  Meanwhile, Clemson is a soft 19-36-1 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points when playing a foe off back to back losses.  Even worse:  the Tigers are 11-30 ATS as a favorite away from home, if it was off an ATS loss in its previous game (and 1-12 ATS if the Tigers were off a SU loss).  Take North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Michigan.  Jim Harbaugh's Wolverines won their school's biggest game since they defeated Washington State on January 1, 1998 to earn their last National Championship.  Michigan was a 9-point road underdog, but routed its biggest rival, Ohio State, 45-23, last Saturday in a dominant performance.  It's widely accepted that even a loss to Purdue won't injure Michigan's chances to be in the 4-team playoffs later this month.  So, given this backdrop, we'll have no problem pulling the trigger on the double-digit underdog Boilermakers.  Last week, we had our Big 10 Conference Game of the Year on Purdue, and it rewarded us with a 14-point win over Indiana.  We'll grab the points with the Boilermakers here, and note that Michigan is an awful 0-7 ATS off an upset win over a previously undefeated Big 10 foe.  Additionally, the underdog has gone 7-3-1 in Big 10 Championship games.  And Purdue is 14-1-1 ATS away from home as an underdog of more than 12 points in Big 10 games, if its opponent was off a win.  Take the Boilermakers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Troy.  Coastal Carolina was bombed, 47-7, by James Madison last week, while Troy routed Arkansas State, 48-19.  We'll take Coastal Carolina to bounce back, as road underdogs of more than 4 points in Sun Belt Conference games have gone 83-42 ATS off a loss, if they failed to cover the spread by 5+ points in that defeat.  Take Coastal Carolina.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Ohio.  Last week, Toledo mustered just 14 points, and was upset, 20-14, by Western Michigan, as a 9.5-point road favorite.  Meanwhile, Ohio put up 38 points in a blowout win over Bowling Green.  We'll lay the points with Toledo, as it's 11-0 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points, if it scored less than 17 points in its previous game.  Even better:  NCAA teams have covered 71% of Conference Title games since 2009 if they scored 20+ less points in their final regular season game than did their current opponent.  Take the Rockets minus the points.

At 1 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Akron/Buffalo game.  Five of the last six meetings (and 10 of the last 15) between these two Mid-American Conference rivals have gone Under the total.  And that's the way we'll look, here.  It's true that Buffalo has played its last four games over the total.  But Mid-American Conference teams are 20-10 UNDER their last 30 after playing their three previous games over the total.  And the Under also falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which has cashed 64%.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMcMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Notre Dame game.  Last week, the Trojans outlasted rival, UCLA, 48-45, while Notre Dame blew out Boston College, 44-0.  These two teams tend to play lower-scoring games, and have gone Under each of the last three meetings, and are 17-10-1 Under the last 28.  Additionally, the Fighting Irish are 17-3 Under when playing an opponent which scored more than 42 points in its previous game.  We'll look for another relatively-low scoring game on Saturday evening.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies + the points over LSU.  Brian Kelly's Tigers are having a super season.  They're 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS.  But the one negative spot for them is that they're 0-3 ATS as a favorite away from Baton Rouge.  They lost SU/ATS against Florida St, and also didn't cover as a favorite vs. Auburn and Arkansas.  At 4-7, Texas A&M won't be going to a bowl game this season.  So, tonight's game IS its "Bowl Game."  And the Aggies are a solid 18-6 ATS their last 24 as home underdogs of more than 5 points.  Take Texas A&M + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over TCU.  All good things must eventually come to an end, so don't be surprised if TCU's win streak goes by the wayside on this Saturday.  Iowa State is giving up just 16.5 ppg this season (TCU gives up 25.5).  And at Game 11 forward, NCAA underdogs/pk off a loss, with a defense that gives up less than 17.5 ppg, have gone 57-24-3 ATS vs. foes off a win.   Take Iowa State + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Michigan State.  The Nittany Lions have won all nine games this season other than the two they played against the #2 (Ohio State) and #3 (Michigan) teams in the country.  And dating back to December 5, 2020, the Nittany Lions are 12-0 SU/ATS when priced from -4 to -24 points!  Lay the wood with Penn State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon St. Beavers + the points over Oregon.  The Beavers have been a point spread covering machine in Corvallis.  Over the last 2 seasons, they're a perfect 11-0 ATS.  Even better:  the revenger in this rivalry is 16-7-1 ATS.  With Oregon State off a 38-29 loss to the Ducks last season, we'll take the Beavers + the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers snapped their 7-game losing streak last week when they upset Michigan St, 39-31, as a 12.5-point road underdog.  We'll look for Indiana to go back to its losing ways on Saturday, as it's 47-74 ATS as a home underdog, and 0-8 ATS after winning a game, straight-up, as a 9-point (or greater) dog.  Lay the points with Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors are on a 6-1 ATS run, including back to back ATS wins over Utah St and UNLV in their previous two games.  But the Rainbows are 2-15 SU and 4-13 ATS as an underdog on the road off back to back ATS wins.  And they're 9-16 ATS vs. San Jose.  Lay it.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Buffalo.  Both of these teams enter today's game off a loss.  Buffalo fell, 31-27, at Central Michigan in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Golden Flashes were upset, 31-24, by Eastern Michigan last week.  But off that upset loss, we'll grab the points with Kent St, as MAC Conference teams have gone 58-32-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when playing an opponent also off a loss.  Take Kent St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on Clemson/South Carolina Under the total.  Eight of the last 11 games in this Palmetto State rivalry have gone Under the total, including last year's 30-0 win by the Tigers.  Both teams did go Over the total last week.  But Clemson is 20-11 UNDER off an Over, while South Carolina is 24-12 Under off an Over.  Take the UNDER.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Georgia played (for it) a lackluster game last week.  It won by 10 points over Kentucky, 16-6, as a 22-point favorite.  Still, the Bulldogs have been the best team in football over the past two seasons.  They're 25-1 SU and 16-10 ATS.  And they're 8-1 ATS off a point spread defeat. This afternoon, they'll welcome their cross-state rival, Georgia Tech, to Athens.  But it hasn't been much of a rivalry the past 31 seasons.  Since 1991, Georgia is 24-6 SU and 21-8-1 ATS vs. the Yellow Jackets.  Georgia Tech is a wallet-breaking 21-36 ATS its last 57, including 5-17 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Georgia.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Florida St.  The Gators were upset by Vandy last week, as a double-digit favorite.  This week, they're an underdog, and the Gators are 12-4 ATS their last 16 as a dog (compare to 3-16-1 ATS their last 20 as a favorite).  Take Florida + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the California/UCLA game Under the total.  The last nine meetings (and 11 of the last 12) between the Bruins and Bears have gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we'll look in this game, as the UNDER also falls into a 62% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into this game off an upset road win at Central Michigan.  But they're back home today, and they're a horrid 8-22 ATS as a home underdog.  Take Toledo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Baylor.  The Bears defeated Texas, 31-24, last season.  We'll lay the points in this revenge match, as Baylor's 0-26 straight-up, an 8-16-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, and getting 6+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati/Tulane game UNDER the total.  The winner of this game will claim the AAC regular season title, so the stakes are high.  The game is priced near Pk'em.  And that bodes well for a low-scoring game, as the Bearcats have gone UNDER 33-16 in competitively-priced games with a spread of 3 or less.  They've also gone UNDER 88-63 vs. conference foes.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over Bowling Green.  This game is between the top 2 teams in the MAC East division.  Ohio comes in with a 6-1 conference record, while Bowling Green enters with a 5-2 record.  Last week, Bowling Green upset Toledo, 42-35, as a 14.5-point underdog.  But MAC road underdogs of +4 (or more) points have covered just 34% off a win, if they were matched up against an opponent with a better conference record playing its final home game of the season.  The Bobcats are riding a 6-game win streak, and have covered each of their last seven games.  Take Ohio minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado/Washington game Under the total.  These two teams have generally played low-scoring contests, as the last 5 meetings have all gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we will look here, as the Under falls into a 62% totals system of mine.  For their part, the Huskies have played their last 3 games Under, and are also 14-9 Under off 3+ unders.  Meanwhile, the Buffaloes have gone Under in 10 of 13 November home games.  Take the Under.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Under in the USC/UCLA game. It’s true that USC has gone OVER the total in its last 4 games, and that the last 4 meetings between these two schools have also gone OVER. But teams off 3 or more overs have gone UNDER the total 61.9% when the OU line was greater than 71 points.  Take the Under.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Wake Forest.  The Orange come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and only scored 12 points combined in their 2 previous games.  But we'll grab the points, as road underdogs are 108-82 ATS in conference games, if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and failed to score 10+ points in each of their two previous games.  Take Syracuse.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Tigers were blown out last week, 66-24, by Tennessee.  The good news is that the Aggies are nowhere near as talented as Tennessee.  We'll take Missouri to bounce back in a big way on Saturday night, as it's 14-1 ATS at home off a loss the previous week, if it was favored by 13 or more points in its current game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri/New Mexico St game to go UNDER the total. Missouri had gone UNDER 8 straight games before last week's game at Tennessee, while New Mexico St had gone UNDER in 3 straight games (and 6 of 8) before last week's game vs. Lamar.  I look for these teams to play to form on Saturday night, and for this to be a low-scoring game.  For technical support, consider that Missouri has gone under 16-0-1 since October 26, 2013 at home, if it wasn't getting 7+ points in the game, and the OU Line was 54 or less points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Temple.  The Bearcats have lost each of their last 5 games ATS.  And this long ATS losing streak is working to confer betting value on the side of the Bearcats.  We'll lay the points today, as we note that Temple is a wallet-busting 7-15 ATS its last 22 as underdogs.  Take the Bearcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Iowa.  The Gophers will look to snap their 7-game losing streak to Iowa today.  And I think they'll get the job done, as the Gophers have given up just 6.67 ppg in their six home games this season (5-1 ATS).  Minnesota is 17-10-1 ATS at home vs. FBS schools the past 5 seasons, including 6-3 ATS with revenge.  And revenge-minded teams with stellar defenses that allow less than 14.6 ppg, have covered 65% of their final home games of the season.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Louisiana Monroe.  The Warhawks upset Georgia State last week, 31-28, as a 13.5-point road underdog.  We'll fade Monroe on this Saturday afternoon, as Troy has gone 18-7-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 7-0-1 ATS if Troy owned a W/L percentage of .700+.  Additionally, Sun Belt teams have covered just 10 of 35 games off an upset win as an underdog of more than 9 points, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes with a W/L percentage > .700.  Take Troy minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Boston College.  BC upset NC State last week, 21-20, as an 18-point underdog.  We'll fade the Eagles on Saturday in South Bend, as underdogs of +15 (or more) points have gone 1-12 ATS in non-conference games off an upset road win as a 15-point (or greater) underdog.  Take Notre Dame minus the points

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Arizona.  Last week, the Wildcats shocked UCLA as a 20-point underdog, 34-28.  But Pac-12 teams with a losing record are a horrid 17-40 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of +8 (or more) points.  Before last week's upset, Arizona had lost its four previous games -- each by more than 7 points -- so I expect it to revert to form on Saturday.  Lay the points with Washington St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Kansas St.  The Wildcats blew out Baylor, 31-3, as a 2.5-point road underdog last week.  We'll fade Kansas State here, as road favorites have covered just 36% since 1980 in conference games following an upset win by 28+ points against a conference foe.  Take West Virginia + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/East Carolina game.  The Cougars have scored 42, 63 and 43 in their last three games.  And they've given up 27, 77 and 36.  Dating back to 2013, NCAA Football games have gone Under 67% of the time if a team scored 140+ points, and gave up 140+ points in its three previous games.  And the Under also falls into one of my two favorite College Football totals systems, which has cashed 62%.  Take the Under.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are having a nice season, with a 6-3 SU/ATS record.  But we'll fade them in this game, as the Panthers are 24-12-1 ATS away from home vs. .500 (or better) teams.  Take Georgia State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas-San Antonio/Rice game.  The Roadrunners have gone under in four of their last five games and that's the way we'll look for this game vs. the Owls.  This will be the 10th meeting between these schools since 2012, and seven of the previous nine have gone under the total (including all four games played here, at Rice).  The Under also falls into a College Football totals system of mine which has cashed 61.8% since 2013.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over TCU.  Baylor's 3-game win streak was snapped by Kansas State last week, as the Wildcats blew out the Bears, 31-3.  They'll now take on undefeated TCU.  The Horned Frogs upset Texas last week, 17-10, as a 7.5-point underdog, and have a clear path toward the playoffs if they can continue to win.  Of course, that's easier said than done.  And we'll look for the mild upset in Waco, on Saturday.  Indeed, Big 12 teams have covered just 22.7% since 1981 off an upset win as a dog of more than 5 points, if they were playing an opponent off a SU loss, and weren't getting more than 4 points in the current game.  Take Baylor + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores snapped their 5-game losing streak last week, as they went into Lexington, and upset Kentucky, 24-21, as a 17-point underdog.  Unfortunately for Vanderbilt, SEC teams off an upset conference win as a dog of more than 9 points have fallen flat the next week when matched up against winning SEC teams, as they've gone 9-24 ATS (and 0-7 ATS when getting more than 10 points).  Moreover, the Commodores are 4-16 ATS their last 20 home games, including 0-9 ATS when not getting 16+ points.  Take Florida minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Florida St.  We played against the Orange last week, and got the $$$$ with Pittsburgh in its 19-9 triumph.  Today, we'll back Syracuse as Florida State is a dreadful 35-62-4 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Syracuse + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over TCU.  The Longhorns are 6-3 on the season, while TCU is 9-0, including 3 double-digit wins in its last three games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the undefeated Frogs.  But consider that, since 1980, .667 (or worse) teams have cashed 83%, at Game 7 forward, when favored by 6+ points over an .888 (or better) foe off a double-digit win.  This will be a rout.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over North Carolina.  We played against Wake Forest in each of its two previous games, and we got the $$$ in each, as the Demon Deacons lost to both Louisville and NC State.  But those two games were on the road.  Here, in Winston-Salem, the Deacs have gone 11-1 ATS its last 12 home games vs. conference foes.  Meanwhile, North Carolina is an ugly 1-12 ATS on the road off a conference win.  With UNC, indeed, off a win last week vs. Virginia, we'll fade the Tar Heels tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Auburn/Texas A/M game.  Something's gotta give today, as each of these two teams enters this game on a 5-game losing streak.  The problem for each has largely been on the defensive side of the ball.  Auburn has given up 38.2 ppg over its last five games, while A&M has given up 33.6 ppg.  I look for a lower scoring game here, as NCAA games between 2 losing teams have gone under the total 62% of the time if each went Over the total in its previous game, and the current game is competitively-priced with a point spread of less than 3 points.  Take the Under.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Georgia.  We played on Georgia last week over Tennessee, and were rewarded with a double-digit win against the then-No. 1 team in the country.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the Bulldogs this evening.  Indeed, defending National Champs are an awful 11-26 ATS after winning SU/ATS the previous week vs. an undefeated foe.  Take Mississippi State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over North Texas.  The Mean Green routed Florida International, 52-14, last Saturday.  But off that 38-point win, we'll fade North Texas this afternoon, as it's 13-35 ATS as an underdog off a straight-up win.  Take UAB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Georgia Tech.  These two teams are 4-5 on the season.  So, both need a win in this game in order to have a chance to play in a Bowl game at season's end.  Georgia Tech is a wallet-breaking 0-8 ATS its last eight games as a favorite vs. FBS schools.  And it's 5-17 ATS its last 22, when the game was priced with a point spread less than 10 points.  Take Miami-Fla + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Houston/Temple game.  The Cougars gave up a ghastly 77 points in last week's loss to SMU.  The good news for Dana Holgorsen's men today is that Temple's offense is not very explosive, as it's scored more than 20 points just twice this season.  We'll take the Under as teams that gave up 59+ points in their previous game have bounced back to go under 63.7% if their current opponent's offensive avg. was less than 20.9 ppg.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Temple.  The Cougars lost against the spread for the 2nd consecutive game last week.  But off that defeat, we'll lay the points with Houston this afternoon, as it's 8-1 ATS its last nine off a point spread loss.  Take Houston.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Indiana.  The Bucks come into this game off back to back point spread defeats at  Penn State, and at Northwestern.  But Ohio St is back home at the Horseshoe today, and we'll lay the points.  Indeed, OSU is 41-27-2 ATS in Big 10 games after not cover the spread in each of its two previous games.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over the Liberty Flames.  The Flames pulled off two big upsets in their two previous games.  They defeated BYU, as a 7-point dog, and followed that up with a win at Arkansas, as a 14.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately, road favorites have cashed just 28% the past 43 years after back to back upset wins as 7-point (or greater) underdogs.  Take Connecticut + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the under in SMU/South Florida.  Last week, the Mustangs outlasted Houston, 77-63.  Off that high-scoring win, we'll take the Under this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams have gone Under in 11 straight after giving up 63+ points in their previous game, if their current game had an O/U line of 63+ points.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Illinois.  The Illinois have been historically poor in this point spread range, as they're 17-50-3 ATS at home when priced from +3 to -12.5 points.  Take Purdue.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over LSU.  We had a huge play on LSU over Alabama last week, and were rewarded with an outright win, as a 13-point underdog.  Unfortunately for the Tigers, they've covered just 28% over the last 43 years off an upset win as a double-digit underdog.  Grab the points with Arkansas.

At 8 pm our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Wake Forest.  We played against Wake last week, and easily got the $$$$ when Louisville upset it in blowout fashion.  And we'll once again go against the Demon Deacons on the road in Raleigh.  NC State lost last season's meeting 45-42, but is a solid 31-19 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog.  Meanwhile, Wake is a horrible 6-14-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take North Carolina State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles come into this rivalry game off a SU/ATS win last week against Georgia Tech, while Miami outlasted Virginia in overtime, 14-12, but failed to cover the 3-point spread.  We'll take the underdog Hurricanes, as the underdog has gone 27-13-1 ATS, including 22-6 ATS if getting 9 or less points.  And Florida State is a dreadful 34-62 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Miami + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Clemson.  The Fighting Irish have been installed as a home dog vs. the undefeated (8-0) Tigers.  We'll go against Clemson, as undefeated teams -- at Game 8 forward -- have covered just 41.7% the past 43 years away from home in the regular season vs. foes that weren't undefeated, provided our unbeaten team wasn't laying 5.5 or more points.  This system was a perfect 4-0 ATS last year, and is already 1-0 ATS this season coming into tonight.  Finally, Notre Dame is a perfect 6-0-1 ATS as a home dog since 1985 vs. undefeated foes with a 4-0 (or better) record!  Take the Fighting Irish.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Louisville.  We played on the Cardinals last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 48-21.  Unfortunately, Louisville is a wallet-busting 2-13 ATS off an upset win, if it wasn't getting 3+ points in the current game.  Take James Madison.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers come into this home game off back to back double-digit wins.  They went into Gainesville on October 15, and downed Florida, 45-35.  Then two weeks ago, they blew out Ole Miss, 45-20.  They had last week off to prepare for this big game.  And rested home dogs of +7 or more points, off back-to-back wins have gone 47-21 ATS, including 38-12 ATS vs. foes off wins by 7+ points.  Moreover, NCAA home dogs off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 90 points combined over those two games, have covered 65% the past 43 seasons.  Take LSU.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Boise State.  The Cougars have lost 4 straight games, while Boise has won its last four.  But we'll still take the ice cold Cougars on Saturday, as single-digit underdogs have covered 69% off 3 SU/ATS losses, if they were playing an opponent off 3 SU/ATS wins.  And the Cougars are 8-3 ATS their last 11 meetings vs. Boise.  Take BYU + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns + the points over Troy.  The Trojans went into Mobile last week, and upset South Alabama, 10-6.  But that upset win has triggered one of my very best college football systems which goes against certain teams on the road off upset wins.  Troy's been installed as a road favorite for this Sun Belt contest.  Unfortunately road teams off a SU/ATS win have covered just 23.1% at Louisiana Lafayette if the Cajuns were off an ATS loss (and 0-6 ATS their last 6 in this situation as a favorite or PK).  Take Louisiana + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Liberty.   The Flames come into this game off a 41-14 upset win over BYU, as a 7-point home dog.  Unfortunately, Arkansas has been strong at home vs. foes off upset wins, as it's gone 18-9 ATS.  And double-digit road dogs have cashed just 37% since 1980 off an upset win, if they covered the spread by 31+ points in their previous game, and their opponent was off back to back wins.  Lay the points with the Razorbacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Tennessee.  It's often said that defense wins championships.  Of course, a lot of times people say things that sound good, but aren't actually true.  However, in football, it's absolutely true.  Defense does win championships.  And Georgia brings the better defense into this game.  It's giving up just 10.5 ppg, while Tennessee is allowing 21.0 ppg.  It's true that the Vols have the higher-scoring offense, as they're averaging 49.3 ppg, while Georgia is scoring 41.7 ppg.  We'll take Georgia in this match-up, as the team with the better defense has covered the spread 60% of the time in games between unbeaten teams with a 6-0 (or better) record.  And in these match-ups of unbeatens, teams with the lower-scoring offense have covered 63%.  And if a team has both the better defense, and the lower-scoring offense, they've covered 71%. Take Georgia minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our American Athletic Conf. Underdog of the Year is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Central Florida.  After losing a heartbreaker at home, 33-32, vs. Houston (the Cougars scored 2 TDs in the final two minutes to stun Memphis), the Tigers fell flat on the road the next two weeks.  They lost, 47-45, at East Carolina, and then fell by 10 points to Tulane, 38-28. But they're back home for this game, and have been installed as a home underdog vs. Central Florida.  Memphis is 17-9 ATS at home when not favored by more than 1 point, if it's off a loss, and its foe is off a SU/ATS win.  And UCF is a horrid 3-15 ATS as a road favorite, priced from -3 to -9.5 points, vs. conference foes.  Finally, Memphis falls into a 72-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs against foes off a win.  Grab the points with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers minus the points over Syracuse.  Pat Narduzzi's men come into this home game off back to back road losses against North Carolina and Louisville.  But Pitt has been terrific at home off back to back losses, as it's 12-1 straight-up, and 11-2 ATS (with one of its two ATS losses by a mere half-point).  And the Panthers are 17-3 SU its last 20 meetings vs Syracuse, including 9-0-2 ATS when priced from +4 to -9 points.  Take the Panthers.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies have lost 5 straight games to fall to 2-6 on the season.  And one of those two wins was against FCS Wofford, where it was favored by 39 points.  Going back further, we find that the Hokies have gone 12-21 ATS their last 33, and 19-37 ATS their last 57 vs revenge-minded foes.  With Georgia Tech, indeed, playing with revenge from a 26-17 loss last season, we'll take the points with Georgia Tech.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northwestern/Ohio State game Under the total.  The Wildcats have gone UNDER the total 39-17-1 at home in FBS games, including 14-1 UNDER their last 15 after going Over in their previous game.  Take the Under.