College Football Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-10-12 | South Alabama Jaguars +7.5 v. North Texas | Top | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
The Mean Green like to run the ball and the strength of South Alabama is stopping the run. . The visitors have exhibited a definite home/road dichotomy in their inaugural FBS campaign as the road team stands a perfect 8-0 ATS in USA games this season. Were not about to mess with that, not with a bunch whose 7-3 ATS ledger against losing teams looks good until you notice the losses have all occurred this season! Bottom line is we cant lay more than a touchdown with a North Texas team that's clearly headed south. Lets back the better defense with S Alabama getting 8 points on Saturday evening. 5*
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11-10-12 | Iowa State v. Texas -10 | Top | 7-33 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show |
Texas is clearly the more talented team, and it hasn't forgotten about the loss it suffered the last time Iowa State visited Austin in 2010. The Longhorns won last season's meeting 37-14 at Iowa State, and I expect them to roll again here. Texas is the far more explosive offensive team, and it should be able to move the football at will on an Iowa State defense that is minus its best player - Jake Knott. The Cyclones haven't been able to defend the pass to save their lives in recent weeks as they've given up over 400 yards passing in each of their last three games. Texas should score early and often here and get a big win!
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11-10-12 | Northwestern +8.5 v. Michigan | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
Northwestern has been off since their 28-17 win and cover at home over Iowa, as the Wildcats improved to 8-1 versus the line for the season, while also improving to 7-2 overall for the season.
The Wolverines were able to pull away from Minnesota last week despite the absence of QB Denard Robinson, and while Robinson is expected to be back for this one, you have to wonder if that right hand won't give him problems as the game moves on? Michigan is just 4-5 overall against the spread this year, and this impost seems a few points too high for them to cover against a rested and capable pup playing with revenge from last years loss. Take Northwestern plus the points. 10* |
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11-08-12 | Florida State -12.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 28-22 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
This is not your normal Hokies squad. they are inconsistent on offense, their defense is not doing good and they have had plenty of breakdowns in special teams. Not good when your about to face a Florida State team that has one of the better defenses in the Nation, has had a week off before this one and is seeking revenge for a 44-33 loss to these Hokies back in 2010. Florida State has a Top 5-ranked run defense and I expect a big game from them tonight! The FSU offense has been very good all year, but even more special in their last 3 games, averaging 552 ypg and 44 ppg. They will be taking on a struggling Hokie defense that has allowed 32.6 ppg in their last 5 games. T Florida State is the better team in all phases of this game and should with this one big! 10*
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11-03-12 | Oregon -8 v. USC | Top | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
10* OREGON
Both teams are allowing 19.5 points per game but Oregon has the more explosive offense and quicker players. USC |
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11-03-12 | Syracuse +5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
10* Syracuse has won 3 of their last 4 and playing great ball. Syracuse
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11-02-12 | Washington +4 v. California | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
Pick on WASHINGTON U. Cal quarterback Zach Maynard looked good in a few games, but now back to ugly play for him. The strenght of Washington is their defense and strong cornerbacks. Wash's QB led the team to 31 points and a win against the Bears last season, 19-for-25, 11.7 yards per attempt with 3-0 TD-INT. Look for a very close game here and I love Washington plus the points on Friday night. 5*
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11-01-12 | Virginia Tech -1.5 v. Miami (Florida) | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
VTech aren't happy with 4 losses so far this season with four games to play. But as we keep saying, Tech will probably still win the ACC Coastal, which 3-2 Duke leads, tied with 3-2 North Carolina and Miami-FL, with Va. Tech 2-2. There
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10-27-12 | Baylor v. Iowa State -2.5 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
The Cyclones are on their home field, with the better defense, against an opponent that hasn
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10-27-12 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 24-55 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
K-State was out-gained in Lubbock 580 to 339 last season, but was 4-0 in turnovers, returned one of them for a touchdown, returned a kickoff for a touchdown, and won 41- 34. After 2 straight road games, Kansas St returns home, but Texas Tech is very dangerous and this line is way too high. I like TEXAS TECH plus the points here on Saturday afternoon. 10*
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10-26-12 | Cincinnati +4 v. Louisville | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
The Bearcats are coming off their first loss on the season last week at Toledo but the final score was not indicative as to how the game was played. Toledo scored 29 points but two touchdowns were on special teams and there was an interception scores. Cincinnati dominated in yardage and lost with a negative turnover differential. Because of that outcome we have an extremely motivated underdog here who has won the last four meetings in this rivalry. This is the game the Bearcats have circled on their schedule, especially since the Cardinals enter play undefeated.
Louisville has beaten just a single team with a winning record, North Carolina, and they almost blew a huge lead in that contest. Louisville is 7-0 on the season but even in victory they have been less than impressive. A 28-21 win at Florida International when the Panthers QB didn't play the entire game, a 21-17 win at Southern Miss who has been a disaster this season, and last week they needed a late rally to beat South Florida 27-25, as S FLA was coming off a BYE in that game and we had them. I think Cincy is the better team and I expect them to play much better tonight in this primetime game. 5* |
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10-20-12 | Kansas State +3 v. West Virginia | Top | 55-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
5* Kansas St. Kansas State is simply good this year - really good. West Virginia has received a lot of attention for their offense, and QB play rightfully so, but the Mountaineers
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10-20-12 | South Florida +6 v. Louisville | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
10* Underdog on South Florida The Bulls are 5-4 in this all-time series, including a 24-21 overtime win in 2010 when the programs last met in Louisville. S Florida is hungry and off a very intense bye week. Bridgewater is coming off one of the best performances of his career. The sophomore completed 17 of 26 passes for 304 yards with a 75-yard touchdown to DeVante Parker and no interceptions last Saturday. 'Opening up the Big East schedule with a win is a big confidence boost for us,' Bridgewater said. 'Hopefully it will send a message to the rest of the Big East.' The Bulls offense is led by senior quarterback B.J. Daniels. He's thrown for 1,504 yards and 10 TDs while ranking second on the team with 277 rushing yards and four scores. 'If you look at South Florida, they have anywhere from 20-23 seniors and a lot of those seniors are fifth-year guys, so the talent is there,' Strong said. 'Their quarterback, B.J. Daniels, runs and throws the ball very well, but what's key for them is playing and coming together.' The Bulls are coming off their bye week, and one thing they may have worked on is taking better care of the ball. They have 14 giveaways and rank 115th in the country in turnover margin. With 2 solid weeks to prepare for this senior led team, S Florida will be focuses as they take on this ranked opponent.
10* Underdog Shocker |
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10-20-12 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -13.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
Oklahoma State's No. 1 ranked offense and strong revenge motive have pushed this line past the two-touchdown mark. Oklahoma State just slipped past Kansas, 20-14, last week as 26 1/2-point road favorites and most likely looking ahead to this revenge game.
The Cowboys have fancy offensive numbers such as a nation-best 601.4 yards per game and scoring 48.6 points per game. Last year the Cowboys were 13-1 and that loss was to this Iowa State team that were 27 point dogs! Oklahoma State has way to much offense, and are a better balanced team than this Cyclones unit. This time, not only is Iowa State off a loss but Oklahoma State is playing its homecoming game. In other words, the situation is entirely different from what it was last season. Even with last week's ATS loss, the Cowboys are a terrific 7-2 ATS (8-1 SU) in October the past few seasons. Oklahoma State had this game circled all year and while they were game-planning for this game last week against Kansas they didn't want to show them any new looks or formations. I expect the revenge-minded Cowboys, who destroyed the Cyclones in the last meeting here at home, by a 59-17 score and should have no problems on Saturday in a big blowout win on Senior Day. 10* College Game of the Year! |
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10-13-12 | Florida v. Vanderbilt +10 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
I like Vanderbilt as the home dog +9.5 points in an SEC showdown with Florida, in what we like to call a "sandwich game". Florida is fresh off a huge emotional upset win at home over LSU, and the Gators have a home clash with Top-5 South Carolina up next, not to mention their annual "cocktail party" with Georgia the weekend after. All the hype and national attention this week, I beleive they get caught looking ahead here today at Vandy
Vandy just pulled the upset win over Missouri last weekend, and the Commodores are a perfect 9-0 against the spread at home under head coach John Franklin, including their opening night underdog cover against South Carolina in a game they surely could have won outright. Look for Vandy to hang tough at home in this Saturday night prime spot. 10* Diamond in the ROugh play. |
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10-13-12 | Alabama v. Missouri +22.5 | Top | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Nick Saban believes Alabama faces a unique challenge with a visit to SEC-newcomer Missouri on Saturday. The test seems far greater for the Tigers, however, as they face the nation's No. 1 defense, but a closer look reveals that Alabama really hasn't played a very difficult schedule.
Alabama, which is coming off a bye week, lost backup running back Dee Hart and wide receiver DeAndrew White to season-ending injuries against the Rebels, but seems to have enough other weapons on offense.This is just too many points to a tough Missouri team playing at home. I dont think they will win, but 22 poins is too much to pass up. 5* |
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10-13-12 | Auburn +6 v. Ole Miss | Top | 20-41 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 46 m | Show |
AUBURN has owned old Miss the last 3 years and 7 of the last 8 meetings. Auburn has the talent and players and will put it all together this week. Auburn had 5 turnovers last week including a pair of INT's in the endzone which hurt. The play at quarterback has been about as bad I have seen in some time. Keihl Frazer and Clint Mosely would be lucky to find a starting job in the Sun Belt Conference. These two have combined to throw 10 interceptions with just three touchdowns. Ole Miss has been the laughing stock of the SEC West for a few years now and and dont see them winning here today. A lot of people don't realize how much talent the Tigers have on the offensive side of the ball. It was only the second time in 4 years that they were held to less than 10 points in a game. This is a FG type of game and I love Auburn PLUS THE points on Saturday afternoon. 10* Underdog Game of the Month
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10-11-12 | Western Kentucky v. Troy +2.5 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
I like the Troy Trojans plus the small number at home vs. Western Kentucky. I believe the wrong team is favored. The Trojans are 8-1-1 all-time versus Western Kentucky including a 4-0-1 mark at Veterans Memorial Stadium.
This one should be extra fun because it pits two strengths against each other... Troy's passing attack vs. W. Kentucky's pass defense and (more importantly) pass rush. Quanterus Smith is an absolute beast at defensive end. He leads the nation averaging 1.62 sacks per game. Conversely, Troy |
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10-06-12 | Nebraska +3.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 38-63 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Since the UCLA debacle, the Huskers defense has came together. The Husker offense is the story here. OSU one demsional with a running QB in Miller and running QBs do give NU trouble, but Huskers can trade points with QB Martinez throwing to WR Stills and RB's Burkhead and Abdullaha are one of the best 1-2 punches at RB in the nation, and Nebraska is a much better tackling team. Nebraska is 4-1 behind their powerful running game, that's gained 259 rushing yards or more in each of their first 5 games. And the way Ohio St has trouble tackling Big Red should be able to move the ball throughout the game. Both teams won their Big 10 openers last Saturday, with OSU winning at Michigan State by a point, 17-16. Ohio State may be undefeated, but they've played a terrible schedule, beating teams like Miami-OH, UCF, and UAB and this will be their toughest opponent by far this season- and their first loss! I like Nebraska's experience and veteran offense that is clicking here. 5*
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10-06-12 | Georgia v. South Carolina -1.5 | Top | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Overall the Gamecocks defense as a whole has been extremely impressive this year giving up just 11.2 points per game (6th in FBS). South Carolina has also yielded just 288 yards per game this season which ranks 13th overall in total defense. Georgia has 2 young RB's and will be without their best WR.
QB Connor Shaw is a guy that can make plays with his feet and is one of the most under rated passers in the SEC. Shaw completed 20 straight passes in the 31-10 victory over Missouri two weeks ago in one of the best performances in the SEC in recent memory. Shaw missed some playing time earlier this season with a banged up shoulder, but he has completed an impressive 78% of his passes this season resulting in 5 scores and 2 picks. South Carolina has the passing game to make some plays but the Gamecocks offensive success will most heavily ride on the legs of Marcus Lattimore. Lattimore is without a doubt one of the best tailbacks in the country. SC had 2 weeks to prepare and I expext a huge performance from them tonight to win by 4-10 points. 10* |
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10-06-12 | LSU -2.5 v. Florida | Top | 6-14 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
The LSU defense, which is only allowing 217.8 yards and 12.6 points per game, will be the difference in this one. Florida is 0-6 ATS since the beginning of the 2010 season when matched up against good defensive teams that allow 4.5 yards or less per play. The Gators have lost to these teams by an average of 14.2 points. Everyone is doubting LSU, but they will be focused against a young Florida team. Plus, LSU 5-1 as a road favorite the last 3 seasons. Florida 3-12 versus teams with a winning record the last 3 seasons.Florida is 1-7 the last 3 seasons as an underdog. Look for LSU to pull away in the 2nd half.
10* LSU |
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10-04-12 | USC -14 v. Utah | Top | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
This is a prime spot for Matt Barkley and USC on ESPN. I watched the replay of when Utah went down to Tempe and got abused by the Sun Devils and frankly guys, that offensive line was a joke. I have a difficult time seeing Kiffin's kids coming out flat here because let's face it, those kids like the spotlight of prime time just as much as the Utah kids do. I would like to see Lane Kiffin step out of his comfort zone some on offense and open up the playbook some. Last years game was close and I just don't see that here. USC holds huge athletic and skills advantage on the play making and the Trojans will breeze here. 5* USC
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09-29-12 | UCLA Bruins -20 v. Colorado | Top | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
5*
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09-29-12 | Arizona State v. California +3 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
CAL has played a very difficult schedule so far and has hung tough with all opponents. Look for a tight game throughout, but the home team to use the home field and their speed to pull away late. 5*
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09-29-12 | Tennessee v. Georgia -13.5 | Top | 44-51 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
The Bulldogs (4-0, 2-0 Southeastern Conference) have scored more than 40 points in each of their first four games. Georgia has also won two straight games in the series, including a 41-14 decision in Athens two years ago and a 20-12 victory at Tennessee last year. Georgia's attack has good balance. Freshman tailback Todd Gurley has 406 yards rushing and six touchdowns. Gurley is averaging 9.2 yards per carry. Keith Marshall, another freshman, has 264 yards rushing with three touchdowns. Tenn already struggled and lost to Florida, whose offense isn
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09-27-12 | Stanford v. Washington +7 | Top | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
First road start for Stanford QB Nunes, who's completed only 53.9% of his passes. Cardinal was outgained in narrow 20-17 win over San Jose State, but then beat USC in last game- they've won six of last seven tilts with Washington, crushing Huskies 41-0 and 65-21 last two years but that was with Luck at QB and his top tight ends on the field.
The Stanford Cardinal is off the big upset win over USC and has been celebrating for 2 weeks now. Washington had last weekend off after rebounding with a 52-13 win over Portland State on Sept. 15, but coach Steve Sarkisian is well aware of the challenge that awaits his team in its Pac-12 opener.Look for Sarkisian to have his team ready for this Thursday night National TV game. |
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09-22-12 | Fresno State v. Tulsa -5.5 | Top | 26-27 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Fresno State was jumping around like a cage of monkeys at the zoo about winning by 54 points last Saturday have to realize that Colorado State is pretty horrible, and that Tulsa can steamroll the visitors on the ground as well as frustrate QB Derek Carr with an overloaded secondary playing nickel from the outset. TULSA has too many weapons and playing at home, they will pull away in the 2nd half.
10* College Blowout Burial! |
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09-22-12 | San Jose State +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 38-34 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
San Jose St is a much improved team this year and getting no respect. Their defense is very tough and if can stand tall, they
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09-22-12 | California v. USC -15 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
The last thing the Trojans want to do is let Cal beat them after just losing to Stanford. The season is still young, and they aren't about to quit after one loss. I expect USC to be motivated, and it will take its frustrations out on a Cal team it has owned. The Trojans have won 8 straight against the Golden Bears by an average of 18.5 points and have gone 6-2 ATS in these contests. USC has won the last 3 meetings by 27, 34 and 21 points, respectively. The Trojans are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a loss. The season is early so USC needs to win and win big in the remainder of their conference games if they want to get back in the BCS picture. 5*
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09-22-12 | Temple +8.5 v. Penn State | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Temple seems to play better on the road and this is a HUGE in-state battle. Temple has a BYE next week, so they would love to get this one. The Temple defense is tough and had 2 weeks to prepare for Penn St. Temple was more competitive in each of the last 3 games against Penn St and I like them to battle right to the end here today.
10* College Game of the Week |
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09-15-12 | Notre Dame +6 v. Michigan State | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a huge Saturday night Prime-time college match-up as two national rivals put it one the line as Michigan State host Notre Dame. ND's defense will limit the Michigan St offense this evening. The ND Irish have been rejuvenated by defensive minded Brian Kelly and his in-game decision making. Last week replaced starting quarterback Everett Golson for senior Tommy Rees who lead the game winning scoring drive. ND has strong linebackers and defense and are strong enough up from to repeat last's year run defense against Le'Veon Bell keeping him to 70 yards. Michigan St is very one-dimensional and their secondary is suspect. I expect a very tight game here so I am taking the +6 points with Notre Dame on Saturday night! 10* College Game of the Week!
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09-15-12 | USC -8 v. Stanford | Top | 14-21 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
USC senior quarterback Matt Barkley leads the nation with 10 touchdown passes through two games. Barkley has two dangerous targets in receivers Robert Woods and Marqise Leeand the passing game is complemented by two strong runners in Curtis McNeal and Penn State transfer Silas Redd who had his first 100-yard rushing game as a Trojan last week. The Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last four conference games and the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. USC has also scored at least 30 points in 10 consecutive games. 5*
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09-15-12 | Texas A&M -10.5 v. SMU | Top | 48-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
SMU won 52-0 last week against Stephen F Austin while Texas A&M blew a halftime lead against Flroida in their SEC Opener, a game they dominated for almost 3 quarters before losing a tight one. SMU's score is very skewed as they were given 10 turnovers in that game. Also bear in mind that Kevin Sumlin played SMU the past 5 years as Houstons head coach and know this team well enough to have a 5-0 SU and ATS record against them!
The Aggies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus C-USA while the Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the SEC. I love Texas A&M here with a QB who can run and pass the ball, by far the better team here and should cruise. 10* COLLEGE BURIAL! |
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09-15-12 | Navy v. Penn State -7 | Top | 7-34 | Win | 104 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
This will be Penn St's breakout game. They have the defense and linebackers to stop and control Navy's rushing attack. I also think Penn St will move the ball easily through the air and on the ground. I realize they have a kicker issue,but that means they'll probably go for it on 4th downs more and convert TD's instead of FG's and help us cover this 7 pt number. PLAY ON PENN ST here at home to get their first win and I expect them to pull away in the 2nd half. 5*
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09-08-12 | Nebraska -5 v. UCLA | Top | 30-36 | Loss | -101 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
Last week Nebraska put up 600 yards on offense on S Miss and dominated from start to finish. UCLA won last week too big but were only 2-11 on third down conversions against a weak Rice team and 3 of their TD's were for 70 yards or more on defensive meltdowns. QB Taylor Martinez worked all offseason on his throwing and the early returns do look promising. The talent is there and this will be the best team Coach Bo Pelini has had and they are senior led against a UCLA team with a freshman QB and new head coach. UCLA has questions on the offensive line with a really young squad. UCLA is just 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games. Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez will play well here as a homecoming in his home state of CA. BIG RED by 13 HUGE Saturday Night 10* play.
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09-08-12 | Toledo v. Wyoming -2.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
Lets jump on this Wyoming team as the line is at 2.5. This is a terrible spot for Toledo this week as they had to travel to Arizona last Saturday and play in 100 degree temps in a game that went into OT. Then again this week its a long travel to the high altitude of Wyoming and play a senior led team who is very agressive and played Texas very tough last week and well coached.
Wyoming played a very impressive game, as the Cowboys averaged 6.1 yards per play against a very good Texas defense while allowing 6.0 yppl to the Longhorns. Wyoming did have an 82 yard pass play that skewed their yards per play average but they certainly played much better than expected offensively thanks to the effective passing of sophomore quarterback Brett Smith, who completed 57% of his passes and 9.2 yards per pass play. Smith would have averaged an impressive 6.9 yppp even without the 82 yard play, so his numbers were very good against one of the best defenses in the nation. Wyoming |
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09-08-12 | Air Force v. Michigan -21 | Top | 25-31 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
Michigan will bounce back this week against a very poor AF team who only returns 5 starters this year. ALL purpose player Tim Jefferson is gone and this Air Force squad will struggle to score this Saturday! Michigan will be able to score at will after facing the huge Alabama defense last Saturday. Look for Robinson to have a monster game rushing and passing and Michigan to romp in the big house by 35+ points 5*
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09-02-12 | SMU +8.5 v. Baylor | Top | 24-59 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
The SMU Mustangs got Texas transfer QB Garrett Gilbert a ND he'll help keep this game close. The Baylor Bears lost five players from last year's offense to the NFL draft, and that also includes all-time leading receiver Wright, and RB Terrance Ganaway who accounted for over 1,500 yards rushing last season! Some mighty big holes to fill if you ask me, and my thinking is this impost will be a little bit difficult for the Bears to cover. SMU does have some firepower in their arsenal - Zach Line and Darius Johnson to name a pair - that should be able to take advantage of Baylor's leaky defense that allowed 40-points per game last season.
5* |
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09-02-12 | Kentucky v. Louisville -13 | Top | 14-32 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
The Louisville Cardinals are picked to win the Big East and host their arch rival the University of Kentucky Wildcats Sunday afternoon. Louisville is expected to dominate the weak Big East while the Cats are picked to struggle thru the very tough SEC. It shows how confident the UK fans are in that they passed and only bought 2000 of their 5000 ticket allotment. L-Ville comes in with big expectations, while UK comes in with real questions in their secondary, while the Cards have a veteran very strong defense. Louisville QB Teddy Bridgewater appears to have some upside while being further along than any of the Kentucky quarterbacks who have proven to be different shades of lousy. Louisville had bowl practices in December; Kentucky
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09-01-12 | Clemson -2.5 v. Auburn | Top | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Auburn, without Newton, dropped from 14-0 to 8-5 last fall and brought plenty of off season changes. Offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn left to become Arkansas State's head coach and Chizik brought in Steve Loeffler to take over. National championship defensive coordinator Ted Roof moved to Central Florida and eventually Penn State in the same position and Auburn hired Brian VanGorder of the Atlanta Falcons. There are a lot of changes on this team and it takes players time to get used to the new style. Auburn quarterback Kiehl Frazier will make his first start Saturday night and the backfield won't include its top rusher the past two years in Michael Dyer, who left after he was suspended indefinitely by Chizik for violating team rules. Clemson's record-breaking offense from a year ago -- the Tigers posted the most yards and points in its long history -- will be minus All-American receiver Sammy Watkins, serving the first of a two-game suspension for an off season drug arrest. Clemson center Dalton Freeman knows facing Auburn early is a perfect opportunity to build on last year's championship season and Clemson gave up 70 in their last game in the Bowls and defense has been the focus all summer.
10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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09-01-12 | Northwestern v. Syracuse | Top | 42-41 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 59 m | Show |
Syracuse front 7 is going to be scary good this year, returning all 3 starting LBs and have the biggest D-line in Marrone's tenure...including Defensive player of the year at JUCO Markus Pierce-Brewster(who has been dubbed the next freeney by coaches) add in Goggins, Sharpe and Bromley and this D-line is going to be awesome. Senior led QB facing a Northwestern secondary who was one of the worst in the country last year. Northwestern in its history, has struggled against the Orange, going 1-5 SU. And the Wildcats haven't beaten Syracuse in the Carrier Dome in their last three tries. Syracuse will love to win this game because next week they have to play the USC Trojans, and I do not believe the Orange will beat the Trojans. Northwestern is 2-7 ATS as a road favorite and the Syracuse Orange are 9-4 ATS in the month of September. Syracuse Freshman RB Ashton Broyld is one of the top recruits in the country and I'll back the bigger, faster, and more athletic home team here with Syracuse. 10* College Game of the Week
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08-30-12 | UMass v. Connecticut -21.5 | Top | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
4*
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08-30-12 | Eastern Michigan +3 v. Ball State | Top | 26-37 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Anytime you get a proven winning coach like Ron English getting points versus a team that is only 2-9 at home the last 3 seasons that is just too good to pass up. Eastern Michigan continues to surprise and has a ton of returners. Last year they went 6-6 for the first time since the 1995-96 season, and may have turned the corner. They have a lot back from that team, including QB Alex Gillet who passed for over 1500 yards, and ran for another 700+. He also cut down his INTs from 13 to 7. He should continue to improve.
The Ball St Cardinals have no magic at home where they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21. Take Eastern Michigan with bigger,faster,and stronger athletes than they have had in their painful decades of football with a senior quarterback to kickoff your college football season with an underdog win. 5* |
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01-09-12 | Alabama v. LSU | Top | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 0 m | Show |
The Tide roll in with the top-ranked scoring defense in the land, just 9 PPG, while holding all 11 FBS foes to 14 or fewer points this season. I dont see Nick Saban losing twice in the same year to the same team.
Alabama |
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01-06-12 | Kansas State +9.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 16-29 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Don't for a second think that this is not a statement game for Kansas State against Arkansas and the SEC. Kansas State has a dynamic rushing attack as they are Top 25 in the country in rushing and Top 30 in the country in points scored. Kansas State is also excellent against the rushing attack as well so this will force Arkansas into the air and I suspect that they will move back here to force Arkansas into many underneath throws.
This is the same Kansas State team that lost 45-52 against Oklahoma State on the road, who are 9-3 ATS this year, who beat Miami on the road 28-24, and who beat Mizzou, Baylor and beat Texas outright on the road. In fact, Kansas State has been placed as an underdog eight times this year, they are 7-1 ATS in those eight times and won six of those games outright. This team really get motivated as an underdog and I like them here on Friday night plus the points. 5* |
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01-04-12 | West Virginia v. Clemson -3 | Top | 70-33 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Clemson battled through a tough final month of the season, falling from an Undefeated contender to limp into the ACC championship. The Tigers came up big In that game and several other big games and this is an explosive offensive team. West Virginia has really struggled Against several average teams and may not be able to keep up in this match-up if Clemson plays up to its potential. CLEMSON is now healthy and has the better defense. 5*
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01-03-12 | Michigan -3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
Michigan has a major edge on the offensive line and I expect Robinson to have a monster night. Michigan seeks its fourth straight victory when it faces a Virginia Tech tonight and I like them to get us the cash. The Wolverines will run the football with QB Denard Robinson (97 rushing YPG) and RB Fitzgerald Toussaint (92 rushing YPG) have led Michigan to 738 rushing yards (246 YPG) in the past three weeks. Michigan finished the season very strong and I like them by double digits in the dome tonight. 5*
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01-02-12 | Stanford +5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
The Cowboys felt slighted by the BCS and have been depressed the last few weeks.
I expect a huge game for Andrew Luck and he'll spread the ball around to his WR's and TE's. Stanford has a good pass rush, and Stanford did well against the run this season and I like them to pull the upset here in the Fiesta Bowl so take the 5 points and the Underdog Stanford. 10* |
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01-02-12 | Wisconsin v. Oregon -4.5 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
CHip Kelly takes a ton of pride in his style of play and is out to prove it will
work on a national stage. The Ducks defense was also better against better teams, where Wisconsin was not. In conference games, Wisky |
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01-02-12 | Penn State +8 v. Houston | Top | 14-30 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 56 m | Show |
Penn St has always played well in their Bowl games. Head coach BRadley will have the boys ready.
the Nittany Lions might not be in such bad shape here, as couldn |
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12-31-11 | Virginia v. Auburn -2.5 | Top | 24-43 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
I beleive with the extra time off Auburn with the extra practice time will be ready for this game. Auburn is one of the youngest bowl teams with only 5 senior starters and they played one of the toughest schedules this season. I'll take an SEC team over an ACC team anytime and Viringia is usually turnover prone.
Also we have a SUPER STAT on our side as Bowl teams who were shutout in their previous game are 1-9 ATS 90% since 1985. Lets back Auburn here. |
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12-31-11 | Utah v. Georgia Tech -2 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
I like Georgia Tech over the Utes, giving the points. The Yellow Jackets controlling running game will be a monster to defend against, with QB Tevin Washington and Orwin Smith. Georgia Tech has no problem putting up big numbers on anyone they face. Utah started the season sluggish, but came back on the year, although never really beating anyone with clout. Led by a good run defense, but it wont be good enough to stop Tech
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12-30-11 | Iowa v. Oklahoma -13.5 | Top | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
5*
On the Oklahoma side of the offense the Sooners have had little trouble this season moving the football. QB Landry Jones has put up huge numbers completing 63% passing for 4,302 yards with 28 scores and 14 picks but finished the season poorly. If he wants to be a top draft pick this year for the NFL he needs to shine today
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12-30-11 | Rutgers v. Iowa State | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Look for ISU and their swarming D to come up with a couple of turnovers in this game and take care of a Rutgers team who is lost on offense and a special teams disaster.
Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. They are shading this line to give Rutgers some |
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12-29-11 | Washington v. Baylor -9.5 | Top | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Seeing Robert Griffin carry off the Heisman Trophy re-affirmed some of our faith
in the often-convoluted world of modern college football (we won |
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12-29-11 | Notre Dame v. Florida State -3.5 | Top | 14-18 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
I'll ride the Seminoles because of their quick and tough defense. The Irish have struggled offensively all season. Tommy Rees, pulled from the season-closing loss to Stanford, starts today again at quarterback, but don't be surprised to see Andrew Hendrix get considerable time. ND turns the ball way to much and it will hurt them today.
They face a very athletic FSU defense that gets after QBs and is No. 2 in the nation at stopping the run, holding opposing backs to 2.3 yards per carry. It is the speed of that defense that is the key element here, helping to create field position along with a punting unit that was #1 in the nation. And while the State offense did not develop on schedule, some of that was the result of E. J. Manuel missing some key stretches (like those losses to Oklahoma and Clemson). They bring enough to handle what is asked of them in this matchup. The Noles go as QB E.J. Manual goes, and the signal-caller is the healthiest he's been in a while after battling injuries throughout the regular season. FSU upset South Carolina in bowl play last year. Today they get the job done again. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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12-28-11 | California v. Texas -3.5 | Top | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Texas, while not close to where they want to be, are an improving squad after a sub-.500 record last year. Head coach Mack Brown made some nice preseason coaching hires and the results showed. TExas struggled late in their last 5 games as several players were injuried including their top 2 RB's. Now that they are back, I expect a big performance tonight! A win in this game would be get that arrow squarely pointed upward with Texas as an up-and-coming squad. 5*
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12-28-11 | Toledo v. Air Force +3.5 | Top | 42-41 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Air Force has put up 42 or more points in 3 of their last 5 games as the offense was ticking.
It is now 5 bowl trips in as many seasons for the Falcons as a tribute to the fundamentals and discipline they play with, and their ability to tweak the playbook. Yes, there is still a lot of option football being played, but with SR QB Tim Jefferson at the controls, they were also able to open up and throw it down the field |
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12-27-11 | Louisville +2.5 v. North Carolina State | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
I like Louisville tonight they can eliminate an aspect of NC State and make them one dimensional and that's the running game which is ranked 107th anyway. Give Strong 4 weeks to prepare for a one dimensional offense that can't protect their QB's and I see Louisville which has been an underdog all year coming up with another big win. The Cardinals put up 34 points in back to back games to close out the regular season against two very talented defenses in South Florida and Uconn and now they play another talented defense in NC State.
NC State has had a much easier schedule to get to this point as they've faced two FCS foes and the average defense as far as total yards allowed was 60th compared to Louisville's opponents which came in at 45th. Louisville had to go up against 5 top 20 rushing defenses from ypc stand point and they themselves are ranked 9th. NC State did not play too well vs. Cincinatti ( Big East Opponent) and FSU who are the closest in scoring defense and rushing defense both in the top 10 too. I like Louisville here plus the 2 pts. 5* |
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12-27-11 | Western Michigan v. Purdue -1.5 | Top | 32-37 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
Purdue is a lot better than what people think. Western Michigan gave up an average of 434 yards a game, which was second to last in the MAC, a conference that
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12-26-11 | North Carolina +5 v. Missouri | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
This is probably a disappointing Bowl for both teams that thought their seasons had much greater potential. But, both finished with identical 7-5 records. The Tigers offense struggled down the stretch where they scored just 24 points per game in their last three. Two of those games were against Texas Tech and Kansas.
The Tar Heels lost three of their last five, but two of them were to Virginia Tech and Clemson. Their defense was strong down the stretch allowing just 20.5 ppg, and with a struggling Missouri offense, the points look like the valued side here. The Tar Heels have been a very good choice as a dog where they are now 19-9 ATS in their last 28. Missouri has laid a goose egg (0-7 ATS) vs teams that can pass the ball and NC can pass and have a very good defense. I like NC plus the points here. 5* |
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12-24-11 | Nevada +10 v. Southern Mississippi | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
Southern Mississippi's head coach Larry Fedora has accepted the North Carolina coaching position, but Southern Miss elected to have him coach the team in this bowl game. I'm not really sure that was a wise idea and I'm not really sure that the players will be 100% focused for this game.
We have seen it time and time again when a team rallies around a coach that has been fired, but you have to question the teams motivation when the coach leaves for another school on their own. Nevada is a very dangerous team and the pistol offense of the Wolfpack will put points on the board with the one two punch of quarterback Cody Fajardo and Tyler Lantrip. The Wolfpack also knows how to focus for a trip to the Islands as this will be their sixth game that they have played here in the last seven years while Southern Miss might be enjoying the warm weather and the beaches a little too much. Take the points with NEVADA here. 5* |
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12-22-11 | Arizona State +15 v. Boise State | Top | 24-56 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
Arizona St has talent and is much better than their record. They have also played a much tougher schedule than Boise St.
Dennis Erickson is coaching his last game for the Sun Devils after being let go following a disappointing finish to the season but we've seen many teams in the past rise to the occasion under the same circumstances and play their asses off to try and send their coach off a winner. The Sun Devils closed the year with four straight losses but it wasn |
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12-21-11 | Louisiana Tech v. TCU -9 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The TCU Horned Frogs wrapped up their 4th straight 10 win season with a 56-9 shellacking over UNLV in the regular season finale. The Horned Frogs finished the year with a 10-2 mark on the season. Looking back, the argument could be made that TCU just narrowly missed a 2nd straight undefeated season. TCU fell to Baylor 50-48 in their opener and then again in overtime to Southern Methodist midway through the year.
TCU is young, but gained confidence and experience as the season went on. The Bulldogs of Lou Tech closed out the season with 7 straight victories to capture just their 2nd Western Athletic Conference Championship in school history but this isn't a strong conference. TCU knows how to put up a lot of points on opponents. In fact, the Horned Frogs rank 9th in scoring and have averaged over 41 points per game this year. The offense is led by a solid rushing attack that has racked up over 210 yards per game on the ground this season. The TCU offense is loaded with 3 different tailbacks in the backfield and they can all be very effective. TCU's record in the postseason is rather impressive as they have won 6 of their last 7 bowl games. Also, the Horned Frogs are 2-0 in their previous two Poinsettia Bowl appearances as well. 10* BOWL BLOWOUT! |
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12-20-11 | Florida International -4.5 v. Marshall | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
I realize that Marshall played the 5th toughest schedule in the nation, but they lost all of those games by 23 or more points.
The Herd did go 4-2 in their last 6 games and their 4 wins were all vs losing teams, but they did struggle in the wins as they needed OT to beat a bad East Carolina team, they won by just 1 point over a 2-10 Memphis team and they won by just 4 over a 4-8 rice squad. This is a team with many problems on defense as they are 87th overall (418 ypg) and 84th in points allowed 30.2 ppg, plus they are 100th vs the pass (262.8 ppg). The Offense for the Herd has not been that impressive as they have put up just 335 ypg (101st) and 22 ppg (98th). FIU has a very talented, athletic, and aggressive defense. The Panthers are ranked 16th in the nation in scoring defense with just 19.4 points allowed per game. FIU was ranked in the top three in every defensive category in its conference, and led the Sun Belt in sacks per game with 3.6 per contest. On offense FIU has a star in T.Y. Hilton. The senior wideout caught 64 passes for 950 yards this year despite dealing with injuries along the way. Hilton was the favorite target of senior quarterback Wesley Carroll throughout the year. Carroll has not thrown an interception in three games, and has had the luxury of one of the better pass-blocking units in the nation, as FIU is only allowing 1.1 sacks per game. I'll take the veteran team with better special teams with TY Hilton and they should with this one rather easily. 5* |
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12-10-11 | Army v. Navy -7 | Top | 21-27 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
Navy is by far the better team here. They offensive line and QB is much better. Navy also played a much tougher schedule and beat SMU and only lost to San Jose on the road and SC by only 3 points. In the last 9 meetings between these 2 teams the closest game was 12 points. 5*
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12-03-11 | Oklahoma +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 10-44 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Defense is the key word for tonight's game! Unlike Oklahoma State who are ranked 107th in total defense Oklahoma is ranked 52nd and they are 30th vs. The run and 28th in scoring defense while Oklahoma State is ranked 65th. Oklahoma is 7th in the nation in sacks, while Oklahoma State has only allowed 11 on the season but they have faced 6 team defenses that are ranked 92nd or worse in sacks this year. It is also going to be very cold Saturday night in Stillwater and a chance of rain.
The Sooners are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings and a PERFECT 9-0 ATS when they won their previous game by 20+ points. I still think Oklahoma is the better team they have a defense that can make stops and the advantage Oklahoma State has in turnover margin won't be a factor as both teams turn the ball over around the same amount overall this year. Also when it came to 3rd down defense and red zone defense on the road Oklahoma got better showing that they are capable of stepping it up in hostile environments. Look for Oklahoma to step up in this rivalry and to get the outright win! 10* PERFECT PLAY! |
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12-03-11 | Georgia +14 v. LSU | Top | 10-42 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
Georgia opened the season with 2 straight losses,they were a very young team and continues to grow and get better each week and now has won 10 in a row. They have an explosive offense, averaging 34 ppg behind sophomore Aaron Murray (32 TDs, 10 INTs) and talented freshman RB Isaiah Crowell (832 yards).
The defense (is great and burried Auburn with an edge in yards 527-195, so they are clicking at the right time. LSU is very good, but 14 points is a little too much. In their last 8 meetings, only once has LSU won by more than 7 points. 10* Underdog Diamond in the Rough |
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12-01-11 | West Virginia -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Things aren
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11-26-11 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia +5.5 | Top | 38-0 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
VIRGINIA is having a great year knocking off ranked GT, Miami, and FSU.
Now they host #6 VTech and its a huge rivalry. Hokie sophomore QB Logan Thomas is still a question mark, we'll see how he plays on the road in a pressure situation this afternoon. Virginia is very good and continues to get better. Their defense is limiting opponents to an average of 17.0 points over its last four games. I think this is a defensive battle and is decided late by a FG. PLAY VIRGINIA plus the points. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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11-25-11 | Arkansas v. LSU -11.5 | Top | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
As we all know, the Tigers defensive reputation precedes itself. The Tigers own the 2nd best scoring defense giving up just 10 points per game and the 2nd best defense overall allowing just 247 points per game. Of course earlier this year, the Tigers shut down some of the nation's most potent offenses in Oregon and West Virginia. The Tigers defense has been their best offense this season keeping the Tigers "O" on the short side of the field. Therefore, it will be interesting to see if the Razorbacks are able to put together some drives to score points or at least just keep the field position battle neutral to allow their defense an opportunity. The key to LSU's offense is not beating their selves because their defense plays so well. I expect LSU to move the ball against Arkansas here this afternoon. Lee has done an outstanding job doing that this season and avoiding turnovers with just 3 picks on the year compared to 14 touchdowns. Even though LSU is not necessarily a big passing team, when Lee throws the ball well the offense can be explosive. Look for LSU to have a big game on the ground and through the air and their defense to keep Arkansas in check. PLAY LSU 10*
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11-19-11 | Navy v. San Jose State +6.5 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
The final home game of the season is on tap for the San Jose State Spartans this weekend as they break from Western Athletic Conference play to welcome the Navy Midshipmen to Spartan Stadium.
In the last few weeks, the San Jose State offense has finally been able to get on track, but wins have still been hard to come by, which was the case last week in the one-point loss to Utah State at Romney Stadium. Quarterback Matt Faulkner connected on 27-of-49 passes for 340 yards and one score, and Brandon Rutley ran for another, but it was kicker Jens Alvernik who really made things interesting with his four successful field goals. This San Jose team is much better than its record indicates with 3 losses by 3 points or less this year. Look for San Jose to put out a huge effort on Senior Day and their final home game of the season to cover this one as a home underdog. 10* |
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11-19-11 | Iowa -1.5 v. Purdue | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 3 h 40 m | Show |
The Iowa Hawkeyes are 6-4 with two games remaining while Purdue is
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11-12-11 | Rutgers -8.5 v. Army | Top | 27-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
Rutgers has been led by Mohamed Sanu, and the receiver continued his great season by hauling in 11 passes for 113 yards. The veteran wideout now has 844 yards and seven scores on 81 catches.
The offense has been able to work through its kinks because the defense has been outstanding for much of the season. Rutgers is a turnover forcing machine and comes into this weekend with 28 takeaways, which is second most in the nation while Army is very young and turns the ball over a lot this year. Raymond Maples is Army's best player and he is OUT for this game. Army will get its production on the ground, but it will not be at its normal pace, because the Scarlet Knights have been tenacious defensively. Rutgers won't score much, but the team won't need to because the defense will do most of the work. Rutgers shut down the Navy offense who runs a much better offense than Army does. I like RUTGERS BIG on Saturday as my 10* COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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11-12-11 | Texas v. Missouri +2 | Top | 5-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
Texas has had only two true road games this year defeating weaklings UCLA and Iowa State and now travel to Missouri to play a desperate Tigers club (4-5) that needs a win here to become Bowl eligible. Texas finally hits the road for the first time in over a month as they played 4 straight home contests. Missouri likes to run the ball and pound it 40 times or more and with Henry Josey. Texas is ranked and played well at home, but now go on the road to play a very good Mizzu team. Don't get fooled by their records.
TAKE MISSOURI as 10* SHOCKER. |
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11-05-11 | South Carolina +5.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 28-44 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
The Gamecocks
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11-05-11 | Utah +4 v. Arizona | Top | 34-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Arizona's defense was victimized by Washington running back Chris Polk a week ago, as Polk gained 144 yards and scored four touchdowns on 34 carries. The secondary picked off quarterback Keith Price three times, but Polk was able to score two touchdowns in the fourth quarter against a worn down defense to seal the win. Arizona is currently 113th in the country in total defense (467.2), and 110th in scoring defense (34.8). UTAH will be able to run the ball and control this game. The Arizona unit is also near the bottom in pass defense, ranking 116th and surrendering 293.2 yards per game. The Wildcats, who have recorded just seven sacks as a team this season, are led in tackles by Paul Vassallo, who has 53 stops. Arizona is a poor team with a new coach and Utah is better and will win here. 10*
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11-05-11 | Virginia v. Maryland +3 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -104 | 0 h 23 m | Show |
Virginia seems to play up or down to the level of their competition as they have beaten Georgia Tech and Miami and yet lost to NC State and Southern Miss as they are 2-6 ATS against teams with losing records. Terrapins coach Randy Edsall's club has lost six of seven but this is a major rivalry and the final home game for the Maryland seniors. Overall this season, Maryland is averaging 24.0 ppg and 382.4 total ypg. It is impressive that the Terps have lost only one fumble so far this season, and the club's 4.7 ypc average on running plays is solid. Meggett is a player to watch, as his quickness has enabled him to compile 625 rushing yards and three scores to date. Maryland has also generated 20 takeaways and is a plus-nine in turnover margin. In this final home game of the season for Maryland, expect the squad to gut out a narrow victory. 10*
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11-03-11 | Florida State v. Boston College +15.5 | Top | 38-7 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
I think we have a solid play on Boston College to keep their game within the number hosting Florida State. It's not so much that I think the Eagles are any good, but rather the tremendous public backing of the obvious favorite here that has me fading the Seminoles.
Oddsmakers aren't stupid. They know everyone in the betting world will be playing the surging 'Noles here on National TV, so why in the hell would they give away money by setting a line that would reward all their backers? In other words, this line is big enough for BC to cover, but not big enough to scare away a public that's all hot and heavy for FSU. Also, BC knows they must win here to keep their slim bowl hopes alive. Between motivation, home field, cold NorthEast weather, familiarity and a generous number look for the Eagles to deliver the cash tonight. Take Boston College plus the points here. 5* |
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11-02-11 | Temple v. Ohio +4 | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
The home team has dominated this series winning all 4 matchups. Ohio has a huge passing attack and solid defense.
The Bobcats look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games in November. Ohio is the pick here tonight at home where the crowd will be rocking and wearing all black for a ESPN Nationally televised game.5* |
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10-29-11 | Wake Forest v. North Carolina -7 | Top | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
NORTH CAROLINA self destructed last week versus Clemson. They are now 5-3 and need a big win here. Last week they had a bunch of penalties and 6 turnovers.
North Carolina |
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10-29-11 | Syracuse v. Louisville -3 | Top | 10-27 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Defense vs no defense in this game. Simply put, Syracuse isn't a big fan of stopping the other team from scoring, they are supported on offense.
A better team putting pts on the board, bottom line, and moving the ball. With accurate Ryan Nassib at QB there are no issues there. And with Phillip Thomas roaming the secondary, he can disrupt some plays, but he |
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10-26-11 | Connecticut v. Pittsburgh -10 | Top | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
The last 2 meetings between these 2 teams were decided by 3 points or less.
Pitt has only scored 2 touchdowns in their last 9 quarters. Neither was from a pass, and one was a kickoff return. Their offense has been tentative, one dimensional and regressing. UConn seems to be improving as they had only one bad half all season and that was the 2nd half versus W Virginia. Their defense improved lots in their last game against S. Fla, when coordinator, Don Brown, made cover adjustments. The matchups tonight seem to be in Connecticut's favor and we'll take the double digits here. 5* |
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10-22-11 | Wisconsin -7 v. Michigan State | Top | 31-37 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
This Wisconsin team is for real. No weakness for this Badger team as every aspect of the game they have an advantage. MSU defense is getting too much credit as they really have played one good team in ND and they lost. WISC is a 6-0 and this run includes leading the nation with an average of 50.2 points while the Badgers' 523.2 yards per game of offense ranks eighth.
The Badgers are trying to prove they're worthy of being a BCS title contender, and the defense is doing its best to back that up by yielding 9.7 points per game. The Spartans are right behind at 10.8 per contest and boast a punishing defense with a growing reputation for intimidation. It'll be important for Wisconsin to protect Russell Wilson, a Heisman Trophy contender and the Big Ten leader with 1,557 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and only one interception. The Michigan St defense is talking smack and guarantees a win, but that will backfire tonight! Wisconsin's Montee Ball is among the top rushers in the nation, ranking second with 16 TDs while his 653 rushing yards are near the top of the conference. He's totaled 293 yards with seven touchdowns on 44 carries over the last two games. Wisconsin has a huge offensive and defensive line and that game has blowout written all over it. Michigan State will also be without William Gholston after the Big Ten suspended the defensive end for this game because he threw a punch at a Michigan player last weekend. 10* BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH |
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10-22-11 | USC v. Notre Dame -9 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
After years of frustration vs the Trojans and many blowout losses, the Irish got their first bit of revenge with a close win last year. Now it's time for this team to payback the Trojan for the many blowout losses, with a blowout win of their own Saturday night. The Irish are rolling right now after a slow start, as they have won 4 in a row, with 3 or the wins being by 18 points or more. The Irish this year are 22nd in total offense (468 ypg) and they have outgained their opponents by 105 ypg on the year. ND puts up 32.3 ppg, but in they come in averaging 48.5 ppg in their last 2 games and have put up 45 ppg in their last 2 games at home this year.
I fully expect them to win this game by double digits. The crowd in South Bend will be fired up, as this is the first night game that they have played since 1990 at home. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play against any dog of 3.5 to 10 off 2 straight conference wins, if their win pct is 80% or higher and they are taking on a winning team. This has gone 30-6 ATS the last 5 years 5* |
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10-22-11 | Penn State v. Northwestern +4 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Penn State must be the worst 6-1 team out there. Both of their QB's stink and their offense is lost. They cannot move the ball at all.
To be honest, Penn State has no business being a 4 pt favorite on the road against a talented Northwestern team. This is a must win game for Northwestern if they plan on making a run for a bowl game. The home team has been the side to play in this series, as they have covered 9 of the last 11 meetings. Look for Persa to have a big game at home against the Penn St defense. Play Northwestern. 5* |
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10-22-11 | Oklahoma State v. Missouri +7.5 | Top | 45-24 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
The Cowboys have one of the best offenses around, but this OKL ST team can't stop anyone. The Cowboys come in ranked 99th in total defense (427 ypg) and 95th vs the pass (250 ypg).
Now they must face the Missouri offense that is 13th overall (496.2 ypg) and 34th in passing (260 ypg). Missouri is also 13th in rushing at 237 ypg and 5.5 ypc, while OSU has allowed 177 ypg on the ground and 4.5 ypc. Missouri has something to hang their hat on as well as they have won 10 straight at home and are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Mizzu is one of only eight teams that are ranked in the top 30 in both offense (13th) and defense (29th). Oklahoma State has played a relatively weak schedule so far this year and needed a huge second half rally to beat Texas A&M on the road. That win looked impressive at the time but doesn't look as good now that the Aggies have struggled lately. Missouri played a tougher schedule playing Kansas State, Arizona State, and Oklahoma and is a lot better than their record indicates. Missouri will be fired up for this featured home game, while Oklahoma State is coming off of a big win at Texas. The Missouri ground game should really take over here and that will help them control the game and keep this powerful OSU offense off the field. I also look for that ground game to wear down this OSU defense that already spends too much time on the field, cause their offense scores so quickly. Take the points here with MISSORUI as our 10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH |
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10-22-11 | Illinois v. Purdue +4 | Top | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
I really see Purdue as a live home dog here. They are catching "#23 ranked" Illinois in a "sandwich scheduling spot" here. They are coming off a 17-7 loss at home to Ohio St last weekend, & they travel to play AT Penn St. following this game at Purdue.....Illinois has played ONE ROAD GAME all season...and that was at lowly Indiana.
This will be a FG game either way. Take the home underdog.5* |
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10-21-11 | Rutgers +1 v. Louisville | Top | 14-16 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
This is a big revenge game for Rutgers as Louisville beat them 40-13 on their home field last November, when Rutgers quarterbacks were sacked
9 times. Rutgers had this game circled on their schedule and remember the LVille players dancing around on their home field after the game. Last year |
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10-15-11 | Virginia Tech -6.5 v. Wake Forest | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show |
Wake Forest was handed the game last week by FSU as they had were +5 in turnover margin and FSU was heavily penalized but won by only
5 points. On the other hand VTech had their worst defensive game in years giving up(520 yards). VT has a solid QB in Logan Thomas and you can bet they'll be amped up this week on both sides on the ball and VT has the Special Teams edge as well. I dont see VT with 5 turnovers and they'll cruise to a double digit win. 10* Oddsmake Mistake Play |
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10-15-11 | Baylor v. Texas A&M -8 | Top | 28-55 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
Texas A&M which has won 18 of 20 from Baylor since the teams tied 20-all on Oct. 20, 1990. A&M has played the much tough schedule and while their defense is average, they do have a ton of sacks and a strong defensive line.
Texas A&M is also coming off its first conference victory of the season, defeating Texas Tech 45-40 on the road last Saturday as Ryan Tannehill threw for 188 yards and accounted for three TDs - two on the ground. Senior Cyrus Gray posted the 13th 100-yard game of his career, compiling 116 rushing yards and a touchdown, while Christine Michael added 52 and another score. Gray, who rushed for 137 yards and a career-high four TDs during last season's 42-30 come-from-behind win at Baylor, and Michael have combined to form one of the most productive backfield duos in the conference. Texas A&M ranks third in the Big 12 with 220.0 rushing yards per game.Look for Texas A&M to get a double digit win at home as they'll pressure Griffen all day long. 10* College Conference GAME OF THE YEAR! |
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10-15-11 | Utah v. Pittsburgh -6 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
QB Tino Sunseri of Pittsburgh should be able to pick apart Utah Saturday afternoon at home.
Pitt |
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10-13-11 | San Diego State v. Air Force -7 | Top | 41-27 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
The SDSU Offense is playing sloppy! Hillman has been awful his last 2 games and their offense looks confused.
The Aztecs lost both of last season's WR's Vincent Brown and Demarco Sampson to the NFL. Then both replacements suffered season ending injuries in the spring. What does it tell you when your starting WR's are a walk-on (Denso) and a converted defensive back (Lockett)? I knew the offense would struggle some this year but it's worse than I thought. Contain Hillman and you have a good chance to beat the Aztecs. Air Force will be able to run the ball and the Aztecs have always struggled against AF. Plus this game is on the road at altitude on a short week and tough to prepare for the option. Air Force wears them down in the 2nd half and wins by 15. |
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10-08-11 | Iowa +4.5 v. Penn State | Top | 3-13 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Penn State failed to cover once again last weekend in their conference opener against lowly Indiana. The Nittany Lions are on an 0-7 spread slide dating back to last season, and Joe Pa's team has been offensively-challenged this season with 16-points or less scored in three of their five games thus far.
Iowa has had a week to get ready for their conference foe, and the Hawkeyes have controlled this series of late, winning and covering each of the last three meetings. They're also a positive 10-4 against the spread as the road underdog since the 2007 season. Iowa signal-caller James Vandenberg has thrown just one interception this season versus 10 touchdown passes, and I certainly feel he is capable of leading the visitors to the outright win. The fact we are getting a few points makes me like this play that much more versus Penn St who hasn't even decided on a QB yet. Penn St seems to be headed in the wrong direction this year. 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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10-08-11 | Pittsburgh v. Rutgers +7 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Rutgers has had one game circled since last season, and it
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10-08-11 | Missouri -4 v. Kansas State | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Vegas is begging you to take Kansas St here. K st is ranked #20 while MIzzu is unranked and favored on the road. However Missouri is the better team who is coming off a BYE week and very talented.
Kansas St is 3 plays away from being 1-3 and Missouri is 1 play away from being 3-1. Franklin is a very good QB for Mizzu with only 1 INT on the season. Missouri will be too much for Kansas St and the extra week to prepare will be the difference. Mizzu by 14 a 5* play. |
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10-01-11 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -9.5 | Top | 17-48 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
Welcome to the Big Ten! The Nebraska Cornhuskers make their Big Ten debut at Wisconsin Saturday night where both clubs enter this fray 4-0. Each of these teams crushed all the early season weaklings on their schedule but there is a difference in the defenses between the two. Nebraska has allowed mediocre competition to move the ball on the ground and that is something the Badgers (5.4 yards per run) will be sure to take advantage. Russell Wilson's passing rushing ability has given Wisconsin that little extra that they need to get to the National Championship game. Taylor Martinez can run the ball, but he cannot pass and it will hurt the Cornhuskers on Saturday.
Lay it as the Badgers wear down the Huskers down in the second half in route to a big double digit win. 5* |
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10-01-11 | Baylor -3 v. Kansas State | Top | 35-36 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
Robert Griffin III has put up gaudy numbers through Baylor's 3-0 start, but the versatile quarterback may face his toughest challenge yet when his team opens Big 12 play.
Griffin and the 15th-ranked Bears visit undefeated Kansas State on Saturday, pitting the nation's most accurate passer against one of the top-ranked defenses in the country. Griffin is coming off another impressive game after he combined for a career-high six touchdowns - including five passing for the second time this season - in Baylor's 56-31 win over Rice last Saturday. Baylor is seeking its first 4-0 start since 1991. This is the Bears' first visit to Manhattan since a 51-13 loss in 2007. Baylor just has the better athletes and much better QB which will lead them to a TD or more victory. 10* Game of the Week. |
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10-01-11 | Western Michigan +3 v. Connecticut | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN here. This is a talented unit. QB Alex Carder is completing nearly 69% of his passes, has a WR in Jordan White who is on his way to 100+ catches (44) this season. Flying under the radar this team is for real.
They also have a pair of backs averaging over 5 yards a carry. The UConn offense looks terrible. They barely averaged 2 yards a carry vs Buffalo last week, a fellow MAC team that returned just 3 starters on defense. The Broncos have played well vs Big 10 teams Michigan and Illinois. Take the points with W Michgian as I like them to WIN OUTRIGHT! 10* Oddsmaker Mistake Play |
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10-01-11 | Air Force +4 v. Navy | Top | 35-34 | Win | 100 | 2 h 6 m | Show |
A lot of teams are at a disadvantage when facing the Naval Academy, but not this Air Force group as they both run the same Option offense. The Navy offense does come in ranked 4th in rushing at 358 ypg, but they don't have the better rushing offense on the field today as Air Force checks in with the top ground game as they have averaged 412 ypg on the ground so far. Not only can Air Force run, but they can throw a little as they have put up 153 ypg through the air so far, compared to Navy throwing for just 69 ypg.
Look for the Air Force offense to have the better showing here vs a Navy defense that is weak and really hasn't even played a great offense so far. Air Force wins outright. KEY TRENDS--- Navy is 2-11 ATS as a home favorite vs an opponent off a win, while Air Force is 17-3 ATS in road openers, plus 10-2 ATS as road dogs off a non-conference game. 5* |