NFL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
09-23-18 | Patriots -7 v. Lions | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 21 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my NFL GOM. Game 487. 5:20 pm pst. The big story this week is that Matt Patricia faces his former team. The Detroit Lions 1st-year Head Coach spent 13 seasons with the New England coaching staff. But it won't be a warm reunion. The Patriots come off an embarrassing, 31-20 defeat at Jacksonville last week. Bill Belichick and Tom Brady don't take losing lightly, going 25-7 ATS following a SU loss since 2008. Take New England. Thank you. |
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09-23-18 | Cowboys v. Seahawks UNDER 41.5 | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 13 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the Cowboys/Seahawks matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Games 485-486. 1:25 pm pst. The Dallas offense is in trouble, as they have mustered a mere, 14.0 PPG (29th). the passing game is non-existent, ranking a dismal, 30th. Let's face it, they haven't really went up against any tough defenses either (Carolina, NYG). The one good thing they do possess, is a solid defense. Seattle's offense is just as bad. Russell Wilson has struggled. The squad has no true ball-carrier as they did in recent years. The Dallas "D" will contain what "limited" passing game Wilson will try. The UNDER is 4-1 the L5 meetings in this series, 10-1 in the Cowboys L11 overall games, and 10-3 in the Seahawks L13 vs. the NFC. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-17-18 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my MNF Winner. Game 285. 5:15 pm pst. Chicago won just 5 games LY and blew a 20-point lead LW in their opener. A stinging defeat that will linger. Now, the general public has bet this game up to a -4.5. They face a Seattle team that has Russell Wilson at the helm and Pete Carroll on the sideline. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series and 8-3-1 ATS the L12 on MNF. The Bears are 3-9 ATS the L12 in September and 2-5-2 ATS the L8 vs. the NFC. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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09-16-18 | Lions v. 49ers -6 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -107 | 68 h 14 m | Show |
Take San Francisco. This is my LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE. Game 282. 1:05 pm pst Jimmy Garoppolo lost his first ever game as a pro starter last week. But the QB has nothing to be ashamed of as he faced one of the NFL's elite, and certainly one of the stoutest defenses in the 24-16 defeat in Minnesota. He now returns to Levi's Stadium in front of a friendly, home crowd to face a Detroit team that comes off a short week, having gotten crushed on MNF. The Lions have no pass rush whatsoever, allowing rookie QB, Sam Darnold of the Jets to put up 198 YP and 2 TD's in the air. On the flipside, the 49ers are going to blitz, blitz, and blitz, wreaking havoc on an already-battered, Matthew Stafford. Detroit has dropped 12 in a row SU at San Francisco and have a dismal, 1-11-1 ATS record vs. NFC West opponents. Under a TD is a gift here. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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09-16-18 | Eagles -3 v. Bucs | 21-27 | Loss | -116 | 65 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT PLAY. Game 275. 10:00 am pst. Ryan Fitzpatrick will not have the same success against the tough, Philly defense as he had LW, throwing for 439 YP and 3 TD's in the teams, 48.40 victory over New Orleans. Tampa Bay scored on 6 of their first 7 possessions. I looked this up, I couldn't find this ever happening before in the teams history. The Eagles have one of the fastest, hungriest, and most-ferocious stop-units in the NFL. Overall, they come in here with a lot to prove after winning the Super Bowl LY and having a lackluster, 18-12 win over the highly-touted Falcons in their opener. Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS the L7 on the road, 10-3 ATS the L13 vs. the NFC, and 4-0 ATS the L4 overall. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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09-13-18 | Ravens +1 v. Bengals | 23-34 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my THURSDAY NIGHT WINNER. Game 101. 5:20 pm pst. Baltimore has revenge on their mind for 9 months. The Ravens had this game marked on their calendar since a December 31st, last-minute, come from behind, Bengals victory, ousted them from an AFC Wild Card spot. The Baltimore defense allowed just 153 total yards and 3 points, while recording 6 sacks in their opener vs. Buffalo. This along with a healthy, Joe Flacco, and his newly stocked arsenal of receivers, will be the difference here. Cincy had a big, 34-23 win over Indianapolis in Week 1. However, their "D" let Andrew Luck throw for 305 YP, while the Colts ST's unit tallied 86 return yards. The Ravens are 12-3 ATS the L15 vs. the AFC North, 3-0-1 ATS the L4 on the road, 5-1 ATS the L6 in Week 2, and 5-2 ATS the L7 in the month of September. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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09-10-18 | Rams -3.5 v. Raiders | 33-13 | Win | 100 | 106 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my MNF Winner. Game 481. 7:20 pm pst. Living in Las Vegas, I read about the Raiders every day. I wish the team well, but I feel there's a lot more hype to them than anything. Oakland has a new boss that hasn't coached in a decade, in Jon Gruden. The team just dealt away their most0talented defender to Chicago, in Khalil Mack. And, they enter this campaign with the oldest roster in the NFL. Los Angeles is one of the most-complete teams in the League. They have a frustrating "D" (48 sacks LY). You can bet that Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh will get to QB, Derek Car, who is looking out-of-sync in the scheme. Offensively, the Rams are stacked higher than pancakes at your favorite diner. Todd Gurley is a bruising RB and Jared Goff will exploit a Raiders secondary that had only 5 INT's last season. Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series while Oakland is 3-9-2 ATS the L14 overall games. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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09-09-18 | Bills v. Ravens -7.5 | 3-47 | Win | 102 | 73 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my AFC GOM. Game 460. 10:00 am pst. Nathan Peterman was named the starter for Buffalo this week. Making just his 3rd career start, this QB just doesn't have that it takes to move the chains on a very tough, Baltimore stop-unit, even without CB, Jimmy Smith (suspended 4 games). The Ravens come in here motivated, having missed the Playoffs for the 3rd straight season. HC, John Harbaugh is tired of playing bridesmaid to the Steelers in the AFC North. QB, Joe Flacco has a slew of talented, new receivers in Michael Crabtree, John Brown, and Willie Snead. The Home Team is 6-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. The Bills are 1-4 ATS the L5 at the Ravens. The Ravens are 7-3 ATSZ the L10 in Week 1. Baltimore gets the win and the cover here. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots -4 | 41-33 | Loss | -109 | 57 h 60 m | Show | |
Take New England. Game 102. 3:30 pm pst. Most people tend to over-think the Super Bowl. This is because of a few reasons. To begin with, it is last chance to bet football for 6 months. Lastly and even more significant, due to 2 weeks between Conference Championships and Super Bowl, with media days, most people tend to overanalyze this game. But the Super Bowl really does come down to BIG GAME experience, which New England has tons of. People also judge this game by the Conference Championships. So, Philly steamrolling Minnesota and New England having to come from behind to beat Jacksonville has quite a bit to do with the line and the line movement. What people aren't realizing is that the Patriots, once again did what it takes to win. The Super Bowl against Seattle, the Super Bowl LY against Atlanta, and now 2 weeks ago against Jacksonville. QB play is vital. Nick Foles is still erratic and so is the Eagles offense at times. Foles' QB rating is just 79.5. Now compare that to Brady's rating of 102.8. Everyone is talking about the Eagles "D", but the Patriots defense is best in the NFL the L15 weeks. Keep it simple guys, Play the Patriots. Thank you. PROP BETS -When playing PROPS it's all about VALUE for me. --------------------------------------------------------------- SERIOUS PROP PLAYS Jay Ajayi Rushing Yards 60.5 OVER -110 Jay Ajayi/Dion Lewis Most Rushing Yards -4.5 yards AJAYI -110 Tom Brady TD Passes 2.5 OVER +150 ------------------------------------------------------------------- PROP PLAYS W/ VALUE Will There be a ST or Defensive TD +175 YES Total QB Sacks 4.5 OVER EVEN Nick Foles TD Passes 1.5 OVER +120 Longest FG 47.5 Yards OVER -110 More TD Passes Brady or Foles BRADY-130 Tom Brady Rush Yards 2.5 OVER +150 Dion Lewis Rush Yards 51.5 OVER -110 Jay Ajayi Longest Run 14.5 Yards Over -110 ----------------------------------------------------- PROP SCORES W/ VALUE. Hitting 2 or more makes you money. Player to Score a TD- Amendola +190 Gronkowski +130 Lewis +160 Ertz +170 Ajayi +180 Thank you for a great season. -Joe D'Amico |
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01-21-18 | Vikings -3 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -100 | 57 h 26 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. Game 313. 3:40 pm pst For starters guys, every single handicapper I have spoken to, likes the Eagles outright. Not only that, but I read 7 publications this week, and all 7 also like Philly outright as well. Not just because I am a contrarian, but I like Minnesota. Not just to win but to cover. The Eagles deserve their accolades but I've got to tell ya', the L6 weeks or 5 games, this team hasn't impressed me. They lost 24-10 to the Seahawks, let the Rams post 35, the Giants post 29, and eked out a 19-10 victory over the Raiders. Ok, they ended the regular-season with a non-important, 6-0 loss to the Cowboys. And then LW, they played a mediocre Falcons team and won 15-10, scoring just 1 TD and 3 FG's. Both teams play solid defense but Philadelphia ranks 17th vs. the pass...and that gives Minnesota, who already has much better receivers, a big leg up. Flip side, the Vikings own the #1 "D" in Points Allowed (15.8 PPG), #1 in Total Yards Allowed, and are 2nd vs. the Pass and 2nd vs. the Run. Nick Foles lost his anchor when Tackle, Jason Peters went down with a knee injury, LW. This is huge guys. This, along with the fact that Minny is much stronger against the Pass, are major factors. I feel the way the Vikings won LW, gives them momentum and the fact that they will be the first team to play a Super Bowl in their own stadium gives them further motivation. The team is 5-1 ATS their L6 games played on the road, 5-2 ATS their L7 games played following an ATS loss, and 42-18 ATS their L60 games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -7 | 20-24 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 23 m | Show | |
New England has more post-season experience than any 2 teams in the League, while Jacksonville has almost none. make no mistake of it, when it comes to the post-season, throw out just about everything that has occurred in the regular season. I want to address the two biggest news stories this week. First, Brady's hand. This is usual Belichick BS propaganda, so pay it no mind. Second, everyone is talking about the Jaguars defense, but this "D" allowed the 49ers to put up 44 points a month ago and the Steelers to post 42 points just last week. The Patriots bring into this game the #2 scoring offense, averaging 28.6 PPG. Remember that New England (ranked 10th in rushing) can run the ball too, which doesn’t fare well against a Jacksonville defense that ranks 21st against the run. The Jags "D" has had issues with offenses that can do both throw and run the ball. The Jaguars defense must face Terrific Tom. Brady has 26 playoff wins which is more than the entire Jacksonville roster of players and coaches put together. On the flipside, the Jacksonville "O" is going up against a New England stop-unit that has yielded just 14.0 PPG over their L13 contests. Blake Bortles is making just his 3rd Playoff start and only his 2nd road playoff start...and playing in Foxborough in January isn't easy. He heads up an offense that lacks superstars and big game playmakers. I understand that New England ranks 20th against the run but this is team, over the last 18 years, every weakness they have ever had, they have overcame. You can bet your ass that DC, Matt Patricia has fixed this while Bill Belichick will have his defense throw a new looks at Bortles and force mistakes. The Patriots are 27-11-2 ATS their L40 games played vs. teams with a winning record, 5-0 ATS their L5 home Playoff games, and 36-15-2 ATS their L53 overall games. Take New England. Thank you. |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers -7 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. Game 306. 10:05 am pst. In the October 8th meeting, Big Ben tossed 5 INT's. That won't happen again. Speaking of 5 INT's, that's how many Blake Bortles has thrown over his L3 games against just 1 TD. All season long, their rushing game and their defense has earned the Jaguars wins. Well, we are in the post-season, and a QB has to contribute. I watched as Bortles has made some of the poorest pass attempts of the campaign, over and over. Pittsburgh comes in here healthy and rested and let's face it, the Steelers are certainly no strangers to the post-season, particularly at Heinz Field. The Steelers well-balanced offense (who is the best unit the Jags have faced in months) will wear down this defense while the Pittsburgh stop-unit is going to create multiple TO's. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS their L8 home Playoff games while the Jaguars are 1-5 ATS their L6 road Playoff games. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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01-13-18 | Titans v. Patriots -13 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 30 h 32 m | Show | |
Take NE. Game 304. 5:15 pm pst. Tennessee came from behind to beat Kansas City LW. But, don't put too much stock into that victory as the Chiefs tend to crumble come the 2nd half. Also, overlook all the off-the-field headlines surrounding New England. The team is a machine and will come out focused here. The Titans numbers are pedestrian and the 2 times they faced good, passing QB's (Watson and Roethlisberger), they were burned for a total of 97 points. The Patriots enter this contest well-rested and well-prepared. Their offens4e can score points on anyone, while their defense has allowed just 14.0 PPG over their L12 outings. Marcus Mariota ran out of miracles LW and will get blitzed, rushed, hurried, and sacked. New England has taken the L6 in this series, going 5-1 ATS. they are 6-1 ATS their L7 Playoff games and 35-15-2 ATS their L52 home games. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Saints -6.5 | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -115 | 96 h 3 m | Show |
When it comes to BIG GAMES, you know, who to come to. this Sunday, I have my NFL WILD CARD GAME OF THE YEAR. Sportsfans, if you never play another NFL game again, you MUST be on this BIG GAME WINNER of the YEAR. Take New Orleans. This is my Wild Card Game of the Year. Game 108. 1:30 pm pst. New Orleans took both of this season's meetings over Carolina (SU and ATS), posting a combined, 65 points. Drew Brees has figured out the Panthers "D". The QB leads an offense that accounts for over 28.0 PPG, equally strong in the air as well as on the ground. But it will be in the air here that the Saints offense will soar. Cam Newton has no passing attack to speak of and the fact that he is the team's leading rusher is a scary, scary, scary fact. New Orleans is 6-0 ATS the K6 meetings in this series, 4-0 ATS their L4 games played in the month of January, 13-4 ATS their L17 games vs. the NFC South, and 5-2 ATS their L7 games played at home. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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01-07-18 | Bills v. Jaguars OVER 39 | 3-10 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo/Jacksonville OVER. This is my AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR. Games 105-106. 10:00 am pst. These two teams have played to 5 consecutive OVERS. (as of print) Le Sean McCoy is listed as questionable. But Tyrod Taylor and Mike Tolbert will move the chains (if Murray doesn't go) on the ground against a weak, Jacksonville run defense. I understand the Jaguars have the top pass defense in the NFL, however, their secondary has sprung some leaks and will have problems with the dual-threat QB. Jacksonville has the #1 ground attack in the NFL and Blake Bortles has tallied 3687 YP as both combined for 26.1 PPG. The Buffalo "D" ranks in the bottom third both vs. the run and the pass. The OVER is 6-2 in the Bills L8 games played in January, 9-4 in the Bills L13 vs. teams with a winning record, 4-1-1 in the Jaguars L6 Playoff games, and 10-4 in the Jaguars L14 games played at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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01-06-18 | Titans v. Chiefs -8.5 | 22-21 | Loss | -105 | 72 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Kansas City. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT play. Game 102. 1:30 pm pst. Andy Reid rested most of his starters LW and brings in a team that has won and covered 4 straight. Tennessee finished the season 1-3 SU and really didn't face the toughest competition (Arizona, San Francisco, Carolina, and Jacksonville). Not only are the Chiefs a better team that happens to be striding, but the well-balanced offense (7th pass/9th run) will shred a Titans secondary that ranks 25th against the pass. Offensively, Tennessee's only weapon is DeMarco Murray, who (as of print) is most-likely sitting this game out. The Titans are 8-20 ATS their L28 games played on the road, 2-5-1 ATS their L8 games played in the month of January, and 14-38-4 ATS their L56 games vs. AFC opponents. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS their L5 games played at home, 8-2 ATS their L10 games played following an ATS win, and 4-0 ATS their L4 games vs. AFC foes. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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12-31-17 | Saints -5 v. Bucs | 24-31 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
Take NO. This is my BB. Game 307. 1:25 pm pst. New Orleans can sew up the NFC South with a win here and risk a WC situation if they don't as they face a 4-11 Tampa Bay squad. The Buccaneers are riding a 6-game losing streak. Drew Brees heads up the 5th ranked passing and rushing units, resulting in 28.3 PPG (4th) and face the League's worst pass defense. New Orleans is 13-4 ATS their L17 games played on the road, 13-3 ATS their L16 games vs. the NFC South, and 9-4 ATS their L13 games played overall. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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12-31-17 | Raiders v. Chargers -7 | 10-30 | Win | 105 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
Take LAC. This is my AFC WEST GOM. Game 326. 1:25 pm pst. Los Angeles need a win here along with some help to capture an AFC WC spot. The Chargers L6 victories all came by 7 or more points and average an overall, 25.0 PPG at home TY. Philip Rivers (4128 YP, 61.7% CR, and 25/10) brings the #3 ranked passing unit against the 21st ranked pass defense, consisting of one of the worst secondary's (2 INT's). The raiders once-dangerous passing attacks has fallen flat and must go up against the 3rd ranked pass "D" in the NFL. Oakland is 2-6-1 ATS their L9 games played vs. AFC opponents, 1-4-1 ATS their L6 games played on the road, and 3-8-2 ATS their L13 games played overall. Take LA. Thank you. |
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12-24-17 | Rams -6.5 v. Titans | 27-23 | Loss | -114 | 48 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my STL play. Game 109. 10:00 am pst. Tennessee is finding new and improved ways to lose while Los Angeles, who needs this game, once again bounced back nicely from a rare loss, to thump Seattle, 42-7. With the #1 scoring offense, and a very stingy defense, the Rams will win and cover here over a Titans team that just doesn't match up well in this contests. LA is 5-1ATS their L6 games played on the road and 7-2 ATS their L9 games played overall. Tennessee is 17-36-1 ATS their L54 games played vs. teams with a winning record and 20-43-4 ATS their L67 games played overall. Take The Rams. Thank you. |
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12-24-17 | Falcons +6 v. Saints | 13-23 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my NFC SOUTH GOM. Game 115. 10:00 am pst. This is a quick turnaround from a December 7th, 20-107 victory for Atlanta. a game in which Matt Ryan tossed 3 INT's. That won't happen again as this is a team that is striding at the right time, winning 5 of their L6 SU, and going 4-2 ATS. New Orleans has covered just once over their L5 outings and it seems that defenses have figured out their schemes. Giving the Falcons 5.5 points is a gift as the team is 12-5 ATS their L17 vs. NFC opponents. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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12-18-17 | Falcons -6.5 v. Bucs | 24-21 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my MNF WINNER. Game 331. 5:00 pm pst. Atlanta, who has won and covered 4 of their L5, is in control of their own Playoffs destiny. The Falcons have won and covered the L2 over the Bucs, including a 34-20 victory just 3 weeks ago. Tampa Bay is riding a 3-game skid (both SU and ATS). the teams lack of protection on their OL (10 sacks allowed the L2 games) has resulted in the offense going flat. The Favorite is 7-2 ATS the L9 meetings in this series. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS their L5 MNF games, 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the NFC, and 6-2 ATS their L8 vs. teams with a losing record. The Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS their L5 vs. the NFC South, 1-10 ATS their L11 vs. the NFC, and 2-9-1 ATS their L12 road games. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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12-17-17 | Eagles -7.5 v. Giants | 34-29 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 207. 10:00 am pst. The headlines this week were all about Carson Wentz going down. But QB, Nick Foles is a solid backup, with an above .500 record as a starter. To aid Foles, is the NFL's 2nd ranked rushing attack behind LeGarrette Blount and Jay Ajahi along with of the League's top defenses. Regardless of who is at the helm for New York, the Giants offense have mustered a mere, 13.4 PPG over their L7, while possessing the 28th ranked "D", yielding 24.7 PPG, including over 27.0 PPG their L7 outings. The Giants are 1-5 ATS their L6 at home, 0-5 ATS their L5 vs. the NFC, and 2-5 ATS their L7 overall. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS their L5 on the road, 7-1 ATS their L8 vs. the NFC, and 13-3 ATS their L16 overall. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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12-17-17 | Ravens -7 v. Browns | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 321. 10:00 am pst. Baltimore badly needs a victory her to stay in the Playoffs race. The Ravens come in here pissed off after blowing a lead and losing to the Steelers LW, 39-38. RB, Alex Collins is surging, allowing QB, Joe Flacco to open up the passing game. They have taken the L4 in this series both SU and ATS, including a September, 24-10 win when the team was still working out some issues. The winless Cleveland team has no offense whatsoever, ranking dead-last (15.2 PPG) and just won't be able to stop Collins on the ground. Baltimore 7-1-1 ATS the L9 at Cleveland while Cleveland is 7-20 ATS their L27 overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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12-16-17 | Chargers -1 v. Chiefs | 13-30 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT play. Game 305. 5:25 pm pst. Los Angeles is looking for payback after a September, 24-10 loss to Kansas City. A lot has changed over the L3 months. The Chargers are 7-2, both SU and ATS their L9, while KC is just 2-6 both SU and ATS, their L8. The Chiefs can not keep pace with the Chargers point-wise. Philip Rivers will shred the 28th ranked pass defense of Kansas City. The Road Team is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. San Diego is 4-1 ATS the L5 at KC while KC is 1-4 ATS their L5 overall. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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12-14-17 | Broncos v. Colts UNDER 40.5 | 25-13 | Win | 100 | 26 h 11 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER. This is my TV Game winner. Games 301/302. 5:25 pm pst. Neither team can light up the scoreboard offensively. Denver, putting up 23 points LW, matched their highest scoring output since mid-September. Overall, the Broncos account for an average of 17.6 PPG. During their current, 4-game skid. Indianapolis hasn't mustered more than 17 points in a contest. On the season, the Colts average a mere, 16.3 PPG. Denver, at times, can still play a tough "D". The UNDER is 6-1 in the Broncos L7 vs. teams with a losing record, 5-2 in the Broncos L7 games played in the month of December, 9-2 in the Colts L11 games at home, and 5-0 in the Colts L5 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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12-11-17 | Patriots -10.5 v. Dolphins | 20-27 | Loss | -113 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my MNF Winner. Game 133. 5:30 pm pst. New England has Pittsburgh up next, their only competition for the AFC crown. But don't think for a moment that the Patriots are going to get caught looking ahead here. Bill Belichik knows all too well his past troubles IN Miami Gardens. But, this team has taken the L3 over Miami, both SU and ATS. New England enters this game, winning 8 straight, going 7-1 ATS. Even more impressive, is that their defense hasn't let an opponent score more than 17 points in those 8 outings. Miami, meanwhile, before facing a stunted Denver offense, gave up 27 or more points in their previous 6 contests. The Dolphins are 0-3-1 ATS their L4 vs. AFC East opponents, 1-5 ATS their L6 vs. teams with a winning record, 0-8 ATS their L8 MNF contests, and 1-4-2 ATS their L7 overall games. The Patriots are 20-8 ATS their L28 vs. AFC opponents, 10-1 ATS their L11 vs. teams with a losing record, 13-3 ATS their L16 road contests, and 34-15-2 ATS their L51 overall games. Take New England. Thank you. |
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12-10-17 | Ravens +4.5 v. Steelers | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 47 h 39 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 131. 5:30 pm pst. Baltimore is a much different team than the one that lost to Pittsburgh, 26-9, back on November 1st. A now healthy OL, has resulted in Flacco hooking up downfield with Wallace, to give the team 3 straight wins. Yes, Pittsburgh has rattled off 8 consecutive victories, but only 1 of those opponents have a winning record (Tennessee). The Steelers are missing key players on both sides of the ball in WR, Smith-Schuster (#2 overall receiver but hottest of late), due to suspension and team leader in tackles and interceptions, LB, Shazier (spinal surgery). The Ravens "D" ranks 3rd overall, allowing a mere, 17.2 PPG. They will counter Big Ben and his one-dimensional offense (passing) with the NFL's #3 pass defense. Baltimore is 4-1-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series, 10-2 ATS their L12 vs. the AFC North, and 7-2-1 ATS their L10 on grass. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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12-10-17 | Redskins v. Chargers -6 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 43 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT play. Game 122. 1:05 pm pst. Going 6-2 (both SU an ATS) their L8, the Chargers have put themselves in a three-way tie for first place in the NFC West. BTW, those 2 losses were by 8 to the Patriots and by 3 to the Jaguars. Philip Rivers heads up the #2 passing attack in the NFL. The veteran, gunslinger has over 3292 YP and 21/7, hooking up with his favorite WR, Keenan Allen (1032 YR and 5 TD's). Henry and Williams join Allen to make up a very dangerous receiving corps. Lest not forget, Gordon and Benjamin coming out of the backfield. Add to this, the #4 overall defense, yielding just 17.7 PPG (on a side note, the "D" is a league-best 19 TO's during the L8 games). LB, Perrymen is back, while DE duo, Bosa and Ingram are all salivating, knowing they get o face the "happy feet" of Kirk Cousins behind a patchwork OL. Washington's defense is led by Zach Brown (leads NFL with 117 tackles), who will play, but is nagged by a hamstring issue. Under a TD is a gift here. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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12-07-17 | Saints -1 v. Falcons | 17-20 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 60 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE. Game 101. 5:25 pm pst. New Orleans bounced back from their first loss in over 2 months to get a 31-21 win and cover over NFC South rival, Carolina, to bring them a 3-0 mark in the Division. During their 9-1 run, the New Orleans defense has allowed just 17.8 PPG. Atlanta, after a 3-game win streak, fell flat, yet again, against a very good, Minnesota "D", 14-9, on Sunday. New Orleans has a well-balanced attack, consisting of the 3rd ranked passing unit and the #3 rushing unit. Atlanta has problems with well-balanced offenses. On top of that, the Falcons despite decent numbers, just can't succeed in putting points on the board (22.8 PPG). The Road team is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. The saints are 13-3 ATS their L16 on the road, 12-2 ATS their L14 vs. the NFC South, and 41-18-1 ATS their L60 vs. teams with a winning record. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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12-03-17 | Rams -7 v. Cardinals | 32-16 | Win | 106 | 33 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my LATE BAILOUT. Game 373. 1:25 pm pst I highly doubt the erratic, Cardinals can string together solid back to back outings. Arizona has not covered consecutive games TY. Los Angeles, who blanked Arizona, 33-0, back in October, comes into this game riding a 5-1 streak both SU and ATS and leads Seattle in the West by just 1 full game. The very gnarly, Rams pass rush will get to Blaine Gabbert (who by the way is just 10-33 as an NFL starter), while the defense has no fear or respect for the Cardinals 32nd ranked running game. 'Zona is 6-13-1 ATS their L20 at home, 5-14-1 ATS their L20 vs. teams with a winning record, and 6-14-1 ATS their L21 overall. Take LA. Thank you. |
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12-03-17 | Vikings +3 v. Falcons | 14-9 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT PLAY. Game 355. 10:00 am pst. Atlanta has won and covered 3 in a row but Minnesota is on-fire, winning 7 in a row SU and the L6 ATS. The Falcons, in order to win, must equally have success both running and throwing the ball. This is going to be a very difficult task here against the #5 overall defense, allowing just 17.7 PPG. The Vikings have NFC Offensive Player of the Month, Case Keenum, who has an OL that has yielded just 12 sacks on the campaign. Minny has won and covered the L2 meetings as well as being 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. teams with a winning record, 22-7 ATS their L29 in the month of December, and 39-15 ATS their L52 vs. the NFC. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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12-03-17 | Patriots -8.5 v. Bills | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 25 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE. Game 357. 10:00 am pst. Tyrod Taylor is back at the helm for Buffalo, who eked out a 16-10 win over Kansas City, LW. But, let's face it, the Chiefs are a team that has been exposed. Prior to that game, the Bills were 0-3 both SU and ATS, with their defense getting plowed for 45 PPG to the Jets, Saints, and Chargers. Well, Tom Brady leads the #1 passing unit in the NFL. Overall, the Patriots have won 7 in a row SU, going to 6-1 ATS. On top of that, their defense has allowed just 13.1 PPG during the streak. The Buffalo offense cannot keep pace score-for-score here and just won’t be able to contain Brady and the New England offense. The Patriots are 11-2 ATS the L13 games played at the Bills. Take New England. Thank you. |
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11-30-17 | Redskins -1.5 v. Cowboys | 14-38 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my Consensus play. Game 301. 5:25 pm pst. Dallas' woes run a lot deeper than just the absence of Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys are riding a 3-game skid (both SU and ATS) in which they haven't put up better than 9 points (22 total points scored) in a game, while QB, Dak Prescott has been sacked 14 times. The defense (or lack thereof) has gotten plowed for 30.6 PPG during the skid due to a combination of being left too long on the field and also missing LB, Sean Lee. Also at 5-6, Washington can get some payback from a late-October defeat and make a push for a WC spot. The Road Team is 7-0 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. The Redskins are 9-1 ATS the L10 at the Cowboys, 15-7 ATS the L22 overall vs. the Cowboys, 7-1 ATS their L8 in November, and 12-4 ATS their L16 overall on the road. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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11-26-17 | Jaguars -5 v. Cardinals | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Jacksonville. This is my CASH MONEY PLAY. Game 269. 1:25m pm pst. After their lackluster, 19-7 win (4 straight) over Cleveland LW, expect a red-hot, Jacksonville squad to continue winning over an Arizona team giving 3rd string QB, Blaine Gabbert (9-33 as NFL starter) the nod. Leonard Fournette leads the NFL’s top rushing offense while the #1 pass ”D” turns Gabbert's pro career from bad to worse. The Jaguars are 7-1 ATS their L8 on the road while the Cardinals are 8-20-1 ATS their L29 overall. Take Jacksonville. Thank you. |
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11-26-17 | Seahawks -6.5 v. 49ers | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 42 h 11 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 265. 1:05 pm pst. Seattle has taken the L8 over San Francisco and enter this matchup pissed-off after Monday’s, 34-31 loss to Atlanta. The Seahawks are right behind the Rams in the Division and match up well in this contest. After 9 straight losses to start the season, San Francisco got their first victory LW over a crappy, New York Giants squad. So look for a let-down here, especially after three DD losses preceding their sole victory. The 49ers are tied for last in the NFL, allowing 32 sacks and must face a ferocious, pass-rush here and cardboard cut-out of a HC, Kyle Shanahan announced that rookie QB, CJ Beathard will start. Well, the 24-year-old (who has 4 TD's against 5 INT’s) is going to get his bell rung. The Seahawks offense will light up one of the weakest, doormat defenses in the League. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS the L5 at the 49ers and 9-2-1 ATS the L12 overall vs. the 49ers. The 49ers are 3-9 ATS their L12 at home and 4-12-1 ATS their L17 vs. teams with a winning record. Oh BTW, they are also 0-4 ATS their L4 following a bye. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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11-26-17 | Panthers -5.5 v. Jets | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 39 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT PLAY. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. Carolina is striding with 3 straight wins and covers. The Panthers are just 1 GB of the Saints in the NFC South. The team owns a well-balanced defense, comprising of a fierce, pass-rush (29 sacks) that will spell doom for the Jets QB, Josh McCown, who was sacked 6 times in the teams, 15-10 loss to the Buccaneers their last game. Offensively, Cam Newton will see the return of his favorite target, TE, Olson to complement WR, Funchess. New York is a mess, dropping 4 of their L5 SU. The Panthers are 6-1 ATS their L7 on the road while the Jets are 4-11 ATS their L15 in the month of November. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
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11-19-17 | Eagles -5 v. Cowboys | 37-9 | Win | 100 | 32 h 34 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my LBO. Game 473. 5:30 pm pst Ezekiel Elliot is out and pro bowl tackle, Tyron Smith is also out. Either of these would be a blow but both together should prove to be fatal. This doesn’t bode well against the #1 rush defense in football. Dak Prescott is a darn good QB, but his receiving corps is banged up as the Dallas offensive flaws were exploited in last weeks, 27-7loss in Atlanta. Now the team has to face a Philadelphia squad that is red-hot, winning 7 in a row SU and covering the L6. The Eagles come off a bye week and enter this game well-rested and well-prepared. Look for QB Carson Wentz and his favorite receiver, Zach Ertz to exploit the very vulnerable Cowboys pass defense. The Road Team is 8-3 ATS the L11 in meetings in the series. Philly is 4-1 ATS their L5 games played on the road and 4-1 ATS their L5 against the NFC East. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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11-19-17 | Jaguars -7.5 v. Browns | 19-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Jacksonville. This is my STL. Game 463. 10:00 am pst. Does anyone know who owns the NFL's #1 defense? Allowing just 14.9 PPG, ladies and gentlemen, I give you the Jacksonville Jaguars. #1 in PA, #2 in Total Yards, and #1 vs. the Pass. The Jags are riding their first 3-game win streak since 2013. Offensively, LW, Jacksonville had 5 RB's active and spread the ball around pretty well, behind the leagues #1 rushing offense. The ground game has allowed QB, Blake Bortles to throw the ball, which doesn’t bode well against a Cleveland secondary that has allowed 55 TDP’s since 2016. The winless Browns are 31st in scoring, averaging just 15.9 PPG. And let’s face it guys, DeShone Kizer is getting worse, with 4 TD's and 12 INT's. They can’t pass, they can’t run, and they can’t score. The Jaguars are 6-1 ATS their L7 on the road and 8-3 ATS their L11 vs. AFC opponents. The Browns are 3-11 ATS their L14 at home and 5-20-1 ATS their L26 overall. Take Jacksonville here. Thank you. |
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11-19-17 | Redskins v. Saints -7.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -111 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my LVSM. Game 466. 10:00 am pst. Future Hall of Famer, Drew Brees, is known to usually have one of the best passing units in the OLeague. But this season, the 3rd ranked running game has complemented the pass quite well. The tandem of Ingram and Kamara have combined for 1089 YR and 11 TDs. They keep defenses honest and allowed Brees to open up the passing attack. The gunslinger will pick a part a defense that just allowed Case Keenum to put up 304 YP 4 TD's. On top of that, the Saints own the #6 defense in the NFL, allowing just 18.3 PPG. They have a fierce pass rush this season unlike previous seasons. They will get to Kirk Cousins and forced turnovers, especially due to the fact that the Redskins have no ground game to speak up. Washington is 1-4 ATS their L5 vs. NFC foes and 1-5 ATS their L6 overall. New Orleans is 20-7-1 ATS their L28 vs. NFC opponents, and 20-7 ATS their L27 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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11-13-17 | Dolphins +9 v. Panthers | 21-45 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Take Miami. This is my MNF WINNER. game 275. 5:30 pm pst. I don't see Carolina's offense improving too much on their 11.2 PPGF road average as they face a Miami "D" playing very solid, particularly against the run, where Carolina relies upon. Look for Ndamukong Suh to add to his 3.5 sacks over the L5 games. The Dolphins are 5-0 ATS their L5 vs. the Panthers while the Panthers are 1-4 ATS their L5 at home. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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11-12-17 | Saints -2.5 v. Bills | 47-10 | Win | 100 | 41 h 20 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my Contrarian GOW. Game 10:00 am pst. 10:00 am pst. Guys, I’m going against the grain here as every handicapper under the sun is taking the home team in this matchup, but I am going to release the away team with the hottest squad in pro football, the New Orleans Saints who are riding a 6-game win and cover streak. One of the best play-action pass QB's in the game, and future Hall of Famer, Drew Brees will devour the Buffalo 26th rank passing defense. Now every year we know that New Orleans, behind Brees, has one of the passing units in the NFL, but this season they also rank 7th on the ground. The tandem of Ingram and Kamara will run the ball with authority, keep the Bills "D" on the field, and allow Drew Brees to open up the passing game. While on the subject of a passing game, Buffalo has none to speak of, and has the face the very much-improved Saints defense, that has allowed just 15.0 PPG during the current hot streak. Not only does New Orleans stay atop the NFC South, but they get another win another cover here. Oh by the way, they are for 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in the series, 12-2 ATS their L14 road games, and 19-7 ATS their L26 games played overall. Take the Saints again here and line your pockets. Thank you. |
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11-12-17 | Jets -2.5 v. Bucs | Top | 10-15 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 27 m | Show |
Take New York. This is my STL play. Game259. 10:00 am pst. How can things get any worse, guys for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers? Ryan Fitzpatrick will be taking over the reins, while the teams top receiver, Mike Evans has to serve a 1-game suspension. The Bucs are riding a 5-game SU skid and haven’t covered a single game since Week 1 against the Bears. They don’t have a pass rush at all as a team has just 8 sacks on the season. This will benefit Jets QB, Josh McCown, who looked pretty darn good LW in the team's, 34-21 victory over the Bills. He gets to face a TB defense ranking 30th against the pass. Meanwhile New York comes in here covering 7 in a row and feeling pretty damn good about themselves. The Jets are 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings against the Bucs and guess what guys? They’re going to win and cover here. With a line under a FG, take New York as an early Christmas gift. Thank you. |
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11-09-17 | Seahawks -6 v. Cardinals | 22-16 | Push | 0 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my CONSENSUS WINNER. game 111. 5:25 pm pst. Seattle has a lot to motivate the squad here. For starters, the 5-3 Seahawks need to keep pace with the 6-2 NFC West-leading Rams. Next, the team was riding a 4-game win and cover streak before Sunday's, 17-14 (SU & ATS) loss as an 8-pt favorite to Washington. A big, bounce-back, win is a must as the team enters the 2nd half of the season. Lastly, the Seahawks have won and covered the L4 meetings in this series in Arizona. Newly-acquired, OT, Dwayne Brown is a huge pick-up to give Russell Wilson some added protection. Cards QB, Drew Stanton played and beat a winless 49ers team LW and will be facing the 6th ranked "D"" (18.6 PPG allowed) tonight and won't have a ton of time in the pocket as the running game (AP) also won't have the same success as last game. The Road Team is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Arizona is 5-13 ATS their L18 home games, 4-14 ATS their L18 vs. teams with a winning record, and 2-6 ATS their L8 overall games. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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11-06-17 | Lions -130 v. Packers | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Take Detroit. This is my MNF winner. Game 473. 5:30 pm pst. It's not going to matter that Brett Hundley had a week off to work with injured starter, Aaron Rodgers and the offense. The QB faces a Detroit defense with 10 INT's and 16 overall takeaways. Matthew Stafford and company will move the chains, and score points. The Lions are 4-1 ATS their L5 MNF contests, 6-1 ATS heir L7 in Week 9, and 6-0 ATS their L6 in October. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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11-05-17 | Rams -3 v. Giants | 51-17 | Win | 100 | 44 h 46 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my Consensus play. Game 453. 10:00 am pst. A very well-balanced, 2nd ranked Rams offense takes the field against a deplorable, depressing, and dismal, Giants team. New York is once again without WR, Odell Beckham jr., which leaves a very immobile and aged, Eli Manning with almost no options. The Giants score just 16.0 PPG, with no running game to speak of at all. That would be bad enough but LA‘s defense is starting to grasp Wade Phillips' schemes. The Rams bring in the 9th ranked passing defense that can and will keep Manning and create TO‘s. QB, Jared Goff and RB, Todd Gurley will dissect the Giants very weak defense. The Giants woes continue. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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11-05-17 | Bucs v. Saints -6.5 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 41 m | Show |
Take New Orleans. This is my STL. Game 456. 10:00 am pst. Sports gambling is about streaks and the hottest team in pro football with 5 straight wins and covers, is the New Orleans Saints. They play host to just about the coldest team in the NFL, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who haven’t won a game in over a month and haven’t covered since Week 1. Bucs QB, Jameis Winston is dealing with a shoulder issue. He failed to throw a TD in LW‘s, 17-3 loss to the Panthers and now much face a much-improved Saints secondary. On the flipside, New Orleans starting RB, Mark Ingram fumbled twice in the 4th quarter and LW‘s, 20-12 victory over the Bears. You can be sure he will come in here with something to prove. But it will be a season-best performance by gunslinger, Drew Brees, who faces the 30th ranked pass "D" with a pass rush that has only tallied 7 total sacks on the year. The Buccaneers are 0-3-1 ATS their L4 games played on the road, 0-4 ATS their L4 games played against NFC opponents, and 0-5-1 ATS their L6 games played overall. The Saints are 8-1 ATS their L9 vs. teams with a losing record, 19-7-1 AYS their L27 games vs. NFC Foes, and 20-8 ATS their L28 games played overall. Take the Saints here. Thank you. |
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11-02-17 | Bills -3 v. Jets | 21-34 | Loss | -114 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my TD play. Game 307. 5:25 pm pst. Yes, New York has been covering, but in higher spread games. With a line of -3 here, I must say it was a Buffalo team that has already beaten New York, 21-12 back in September. The Bills can run the ball behind LeSean McCoy. The RB will shred the 27th ranked rush defense of the Jets. Buffalo also brings in the 3rd ranked stop-unit in the NFL, allowing just 16. 4 PPG. The Bills are 6-2 ATS the L8 meetings in this series and 5-1-1 ATS their L8 games played overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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10-30-17 | Broncos v. Chiefs -7 | 19-29 | Win | 100 | 72 h 52 m | Show | |
Take KC. This is my MNF GOM. Game 274. 5:30 pm pst.
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10-29-17 | Steelers -2.5 v. Lions | Top | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 48 h 59 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my NFL GOM. Game 271. 5:30 pm pst. Pittsburgh is back, not just winning, but covering as well. The Steelers come of b-2-b wins and covers over the Chiefs and the Bengals. A 30-9 embarrassing loss to the Jaguars 3 weeks ago, lit a fire under their ass. Le Veon Bell is back, as the RB has registered at least 134YR or more in 3 of their L4 outings. With the ground game rolling, it allows Ben Roethlisberger to work play-action with a slew of great receivers. Detroit comes in losing their L2 both SU and ATS and 3 of the L4 overall. QB, Matthew Stafford looks to be still hampered with a lingering injury. Golden Tate is banged-up and I just don’t see the Lions moving the chains with any success against me #3 defense in football (16.6 PPG allowed). The Steelers are 7-3 ATS their L10 games played on the road, 14-6-1 ATS their L21 games played in October, and 11-5-1 ATS their L17 games played overall. The Lions are 1-4 ATS their L5 games played at home, 1-6 ATS their L7 vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-8 ATS their L11 games played overall. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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10-29-17 | Cowboys v. Redskins OVER 47.5 | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 44 h 0 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Cowboys/Redskins game. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK. Game 269/270. 1:25 pm pst.
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10-26-17 | Dolphins +3 v. Ravens | 0-40 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Miami. This is my TNW. Game 101. 5:25 pm pst. For a team that is ranked 31st in scoring, Miami still holds a 4-2 record. Why? Because they can play defense. The Dolphins stop-unit is allowing just 18.7 PPG. This contest is an ideal spot to play the 'Fins, as a journeyman QB, Matt Moore offers a lot more options than fallen starter, Jay Cutler. Moore came off the bench to eclipse a 14-point deficit in Sunday’s 31-28 win over the Jets. Another edge here is the legs of Jay Ajayi, who gets the face a Ravens “D“ that ranks dead-last (32nd) in the NFL vs. the run. The already stagnant, Baltimore “O“ (18.6 PPG) won’t be able to do much as usual against a very strong, and stingy Miami defense. The underdog is 7-3 ATS the L10 meetings in this series. The road team is 5-2 ATS the L7 games in the series. The Dolphins are 4-1-1 ATS their L6 games played in October, while the Ravens are 1-4 ATS their L5 games played overall. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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10-23-17 | Redskins v. Eagles OVER 49 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
Take the OVER. This is my MNF TOTAL GOM. Games 477/478. 5:30 pm pst. The first meeting back on September 10th resulted in a 30-17 Eagles victory. The Redskins turned the ball over 4 times. That was the first Under in the L4 meetings in this series as now, 7 of the L10 have gone OVER the Total. Both teams are well-rested and will come in here fresh. Washington is looking for revenge. QB, Kirk Cousins will shred the Philly secondary, ranking 29th in the League while Carson Wentz will do the same with the 7th ranked scoring offense in football. OVER is 8-0 in the Redskins L8 following an ATS loss and 9-2 in the Eagles L11 vs. the NFC East. take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-22-17 | Jets v. Dolphins UNDER 38.5 | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 45 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the NYJ/Miami game. This is my TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 459/460. 10:00 am pst. Both Miami and NY have surprised a lot of people by playing some very solid football. They both have 3 wins, which is more than 9 teams in the League at this point. Of their combined, 11 games this season, 9 have gone UNDER the Total. The Jets' offense is posting a mere, 18.2 PPG behind QB, Josh McCown and RB, Bilal Powell. The Dolphins offense is even worse, averaging a League-worst, 12.2 PPG. Jay Cutler is his old self while the offense relies upon Jay Ajayi a bit too much. The one positive thing these 2 teams have in common...Good defenses, as Miami allows just 16.8 PPG and NY yields only, 21.7 PPG. With the AFC East still up for grabs, look for both teams to play as safe as possible. The UNDER is 5-0 in the Jets L5 vs. AFC opponents and 6-2 their L8 overall, 4-0 in the Dolphins L4 vs. AFC foes, and 6-0 their L6 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-22-17 | Saints -4 v. Packers | 26-17 | Win | 100 | 41 h 40 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my NFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. Brett Hundley gets his first career start as the 24-year old has 3 INT's vs. just 1 TD. It wouldn't be as bad as it is if the Green Bay running game wasn't such crap. They rank 26th, averaging a laughable, 88.3 YPG on the ground. New Orleans is red-hot, winning 3 in a row both SU and ATS, behind veteran gunslinger, Drew Brees and an emerging ground game from then tandem of ball-carriers, Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. they aren't just tallying yards on the ground, they are very dangerous coming out of the backfield as receivers. The Packers are horrible against the run. Add in 2 factors here. #1, the saints don't turn the ball over (just 3 TO's), and #2, their defense is causing TO's and only yielding, 23.2 PPG. New Orleans is 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series, 11-2 ATS their L13 games played on the road, and 5-1 ATS their L6 vs. NFC foes. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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10-19-17 | Chiefs -3 v. Raiders | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 26 m | Show |
Take Kansas City. This is my THURSDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 301. 5:25 pm pst. Kansas City suffered their first loss of the season (both SU and ATS) in Sunday', 19-13 defeat at the hands of a Pittsburgh team that matched up well with them and caught the Chiefs in an ideal spot. Don't expect another subpar effort from Alex Smith and the 7th ranked passing game or from the 4th ranked rushing game, led by RB, Kareem Hunt. Smith goes up against the 20th ranked pass defense while Hunt faces the 21st ranked run defense of the Raiders. Derek Carr returned to action but the Oakland offense obviously was scaled back because of the immobile QB. Oh, BTW, the play-caller has already tallied 4 INT's. Alex Smith is 9-1 with 19 TD's and just 4 INT's in his L10 games vs. the Raiders as the Chiefs have taken 5 in a row SU, going 4-1 ATS. The Road Team is 21-7 the L28 meetings in this series. Kansas City is 11-3 ATS the L14 games played at Oakland, 14-3 ATS their L14 games played on the road, and 6-0 ATS their L6 games played vs. AFC West opponents. Oakland is 0-4 ATS their L4 games played vs. teams with a winning record, 2-5 ATS their L7 games played AFC West foes, and 0-4 ATS their L4 games played overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-15-17 | Giants v. Broncos -11 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Denver. This is my SNLB. Game 274. 5:30 pm pst. If you would have shown me the current records of both New York football teams before the season began, I would have bet the house that the Jets would be 0-5 and the Giants 3-2. New York, whose offense ranks 28th, posting just 16.4 PPG, lost another WR last week and have a few that are questionable this week. The teams injury report is longer than your arm. The Giants can not run the ball at all (77.8 YPG on the ground), which leaves Eli and the passing game to try to get things done. Well, Manning's OL allowed 5 sacks LW and now must face Vonn Miller and a well-rested, Broncos defense. CJ Anderson leads the 3rd ranked rushing assault in the NFL. Sports fans, the RB has been salivating all week, knowing he goes up against one of the worst run defenses in football. The Giants are 0-4 ATS the L4 meetings in this series while the Broncos are 3-0-1 ATS their L4 at home and 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. teams with a losing record. Take Denver here. Thank you. |
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10-15-17 | Packers -3 v. Vikings | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -104 | 41 h 58 m | Show |
Take Green Bay. This is my STL play. Game 259. 10:00 am pst. Sports fans, this is the game that Green Bay makes their statement to rest of the NFC. For starters, Minnesota RB, Dalvin Cook is out and both QB, Matthew Stafford and the NFC's leading WR, Stefon Diggs are both banged up and as of print, have not practiced all week. Aaron Rodgers has the passing game running smoothly, as usual. BUT, the big news is the OTHER Aaron, RB, Aaron Jones. Jones replaced Ty Montgomery LW and tallied 125 YR on 19 carries for 1 TD against a very good Cowboys front-7. No matter what, the Vikings offense is relying upon a non-existent running game. Latavius Murray ain't no Adrian Peterson. The Packers are 46-22 ATS their L68 vs. NFC North foes and 10-4 ATS their L14 games played overall. The Vikings are 1-6 ATS their L7 for NFC North opponents and 2-5 ATS their L7 vs. teams with a winning record. Take GB here minus the FG. Thank you. |
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10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers OVER 45 | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Eagles/Panthers matchup. This is my Thursday Night Winner. Games 103/104. 5:25 pm pst. Cam Newton got off his early season skid by tossing 6 TDP's over the L2 games, both on the road in wins over New England and Detroit, while the Carolina defense has allowed 34, 30, and 24 points. Their defense ranks 9th, allowing 18.8 PPG, BUT that's because they only gave up 6 total points on their first 2 contests. They now face Carson Wentz, LeGarrette Blount, and Zach Ertrz and a Philadelphia offense posting over 27.4 PPG as their "D" gave up 27, 24, and 24 points to KC, NYG, and LAC. The OVER is 4-1 the L5 meetings in this series. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-08-17 | Seahawks v. Rams OVER 47.5 | 16-10 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 29 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the Seahawks/Rams game. This is my AFC WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 467/468. 1:05 pm pst.
I expect one of the highest-scoring games on the card here this Sunday. All 4 of the Rams games TY went OVER the Total as L.A. owns the #1 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging over 35.5 PPG and the 5th in yardage, piling up 386.8 YPG. Seattle's offense has gotten healthier of late, resulting in 73 total points scored the L2 games. The problem both teams face are on the defensive side of the ball, where the Seahawks don't match up well here, ranking 27th vs. the run and the Rams, well guys, the Rams "D" ranks 30th vs. the rush and 28th overall (26.2 PPG allowed). The OVER is 4-1 in Seattle's L5 on the road and 5-0 in LA's L5 at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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10-08-17 | Bills v. Bengals UNDER 39.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 37 h 21 m | Show |
Take the UNDER in the Bills/Bengals game. This is my SKY'S THE LIMIT PLAY. Game 453/454. 10:00 am pst. I know the Cincinnati offense has improved since Bill Lazor took over as OC, but, they're still mustering just 16.0 PPG and they face the #1 stop-unit in the NFL, of Buffalo here. The Bills, under new HC, McDermott has gotten a lot more out of the defense that predecessor, Rex Ryan, as the unit yields a mere, 13.5 PPG, and folks, they've faced such teams as the Lions, Broncos, and Falcons. Let's talk the Bengals defense now, as they rank 3rd in football, yielding only 16.8 PPG. Offensively it's ugly, as Andy Dalton and company are posting 16.0 PPG. The Bills manage 18.2 PPG and have the 31st ranked passing unit. Together, these 2 teams have combined for 6 UNDERS in their 8 outings in 2017. The UNDER is 4-1 in Buffalo's L5 overall and 7-1 in Cincinnati's L8 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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10-05-17 | Patriots -5 v. Bucs | 19-14 | Push | 0 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Take New England. 5:25 pm pst. At 2-2, New England is not looking like the storied Patriots team that is without argument, the best team of this generation. But the team owns the #2 scoring offense in the NFL, averaging 32.2 PPG and lest not forget Tom Brady is at the helm. Belichick and Brady don't take losing lightly. After their opening season loss at home to the Chiefs, they came back to spank the Saints, 36-20, in New Orleans. Tampa Bay is 2-1 but Jameis Winston can't keep pace with Brady. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS their L4 games played on the road and 9-3 ATS their L12 games played overall. The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS their L4 games played on Thursday and 1-4 ATS their L5 games played overall. Take New England. Thank you. |
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10-01-17 | Steelers -3 v. Ravens | Top | 26-9 | Win | 100 | 44 h 28 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 265. 10:00 am pst.
Both Pittsburgh and Baltimore come off disappointing losses. I like the Steelers to bounce back here, STRONG, as they are much further along than the Ravens. Baltimore's offense is absolutely non-existent. Joe Flacco heads up heads the 32nd ranked passing unit. Listeners I never thought he was a world-beater, but the QB is obviously still not 100% and sitting out the entire pre-season prevented him from shaking off any rust. Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger came out and took the blame for the offense sputtering earlier this week. But a slow start for RB, LeVeon bell has to take some blame as well. this is an excellent "BOUNCE BACK" team. But, Big Ben has a very potent arsenal of receivers at his disposal while the defense is yielding just 16.7 PPG. The Steelers are still the best team in their Division and will prove it here. Lay the FG as they won't have any problems covering it while trying to bring back some of their recently departed fan base. Take Pitt. Thank you. |
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09-28-17 | Bears v. Packers -7 | 14-35 | Win | 105 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my TNW. Game 102. 5:25 pm pst. Touted as one of the worst teams in the NFL, Chicago beat a "distracted" Pittsburgh team LW, 23-17. Well, sportsfans, that was their Super Bowl. Expect the Bears to come down to Earth tonight against a Packers squad that is a legitimate NFC Title contender. Green Bay is 10-3 ATS the L13 meetings in this series. Aaron Rodgers is 2nd in the League with 967 YP. Over the L6 matchups with Chicago, the QB has 16 TD's and just 1 INT. The Bears can't run the ball and their leading receiver happens to be a RB. Chicago is 2-8 ATS their L10 games played in September and 2-7 ATS their L9 games played on the road. Green Bay is 7-3 ATS their L10 games played in September and 5-1 ATS their L6 games played at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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09-25-17 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Cardinals | 28-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Take Dallas. Game 489. 5:30 pm pst After a very lackluster performance on both sides of the ball in LW's loss to Denver, expect the highly-touted Dallas team to bounce back strong here. The offense has the use of RB, Ezekiel Elliott (at least for now) for 2 more games. This specific situation favors the Cowboys as they possess a very good secondary to slow down Carson Palmer and the one-dimensional offense of Arizona. The Cardinals average just 64 YPG on the ground, living and dying by the pass. Behind one of the NFL's best OL's, you will see Elliott break out here and finally "contribute." Arizona is 3-7 ATS their L10 vs. NFC opponents, 4-11 ATS their L15 at home, and 3-9 ATS their L12 overall. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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09-24-17 | Chiefs -3 v. Chargers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 48 m | Show | |
Take Kansas City. This is my AFC West GOM. Game 483. 1:25 pm pst. Kansas City is off to a 2-0 start both SU & ATS and have dominated Division opponents, winning 11 straight over AFC West foes. Against the Chargers, the Chiefs have taken 6 in a row, going 4-2 against the #. KC enters this game with decisive victories over both New England and Philly. Alex Smith leads the #3 scoring offense in the NFL as the QB has completed a whopping, 77.8% of his passes with 5 TD's and more importantly, 0 INT's. Having Kareem Hunt is the factor as the rookie RB leads the League with 229 rushing yards and 355 yards from scrimmage with 5 TD's (3 on the ground & 2 in the air). Kansas City has a defense that's tallied 9 sacks already. Los Angeles is 0-2 SU, and 0-1-1 ATS as Phillip Rivers has played well himself, but their offense has averaged just 19.0 PPG, because they have no running game, ranking 31st, and accounting for just 54 YPG on the ground. The Chargers "D" has allowed over 125.5 YPG to the run. Hunt will run amok while Smith shreds a secondary without their top CB, Verrett. The Road Team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS the L4 games played at the Chargers and 7-0 ATS their L7 overall on the road. The Chargers are 0-6-1 ATS their L7 overall and 5-17 ATS their L22 at home. Take KC here. Thank you. |
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09-24-17 | Dolphins -6 v. Jets | 6-20 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Miami. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Game 467. 10:00 am pst. Miami swept the season series LY, winning and covering both meetings over New York. Jay Cutlers first start went well but it will be slashing RB, Jay Ajayi that will crush the worst rush defense in the NFL. The Jets are yielding 185 YPG on the ground. They also rank last in Points Allowed, getting racked for 33.0 PPG. This game is going to get ugly as the Road Team is 14-6-1 ATS the L21 meetings in this series. Miami is 5-2 ATS Their L7 games played on the road, 7-3 ATS their L10 games played vs. AFC opponents, and 9-4 ATS their L13 games played overall. New York is 1-5 ATS their L6 games played in the month of September, 1-5 ATS their L6 games played vs. AFC foes, and 1-4 ATS their L6 games played overall. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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09-24-17 | Browns v. Colts UNDER 42.5 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 37 m | Show |
Take the UNDER in the Cleveland/Indianapolis matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 463/464. 10:00 am pst. Both Cleveland and Indianapolis are winless through their first 2 games, as the Browns offense is averaging just 14.0 PPG and the Colts, a mere, 11.0 PPG. Deshone Kizer is making his 2nd NFL road start and will be without one of his top weapons in WR, Corey Coleman. Kizer is completing only 57.4% of his passes with 1 TD and 4 INT's. Cleveland has no running game to speak of so the offense is in the hands of a 21-year old rookie QB. Jacoby Brissett is scheduled to make his 2nd straight start and didn't look all that bad in LW's, 16-13 OT loss to Arizona. But Indy also has no running attack, averaging only 75.5 YPG on the ground and let's face it, Cleveland's defense is far from the worst in the League. The UNDER is 5-1 the L6 meetings in this series, 8-2 in the Brown's L10 overall, and 6-0 in the Colts L6 at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-18-17 | Lions v. Giants UNDER 42.5 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the DET/NYG game. Game 289/290. 5:30 pm pst. With our without Odell Beckham jr., the Giants offense is still lacks a ground game. But the G-Men do have a rugged defense. The Lions have a similar issue offensively, with a sputtering running game. Expect a low-scoring contest like last December's, 17-6 outcome. The UNDER is 9-3 in the Lions L12 overall, 20-7 their L27 on the road, and 7-3 their L10 vs. NFC, 8-2 in the Giants L10 overall, 4-0 their L4 at home, and 8-3 their L11 vs. NFC. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-17-17 | Cardinals -7 v. Colts | 16-13 | Loss | -105 | 42 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 269. 10:00 am pst. The Colts are likely going to be without QB, Andrew Luck, C, Ryan Kelly, and CB, Vontae Davis. Backup's Scott Tolzien and Jacoby Brissett can't combine to make 1 complete QB. Don't read into the loss of RB, David Johnson as 'Zona has a slew of solid ball-carriers, including Chris Johnson. Plus, the Cards gave away a late lead to the Lions in LW's eventual loss and are looking to bounce back strong here. I don't see the Colts secondary slowing down Carson Palmer from busting out this week. Indy is 1-4 ATS their L5 at home, 1-6 ATS their L7 in September, and 1-4 ATS their L5 overall. Take Arizona here. Thank you. |
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09-17-17 | Browns v. Ravens UNDER 39 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 31 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the BROWNS/RAVENS game. This is my TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 263/264. 10:00 am pst. 10 of 12 games last Sunday went UNDER the Total. This game is going to continue in that fashion. Neither Cleveland nor Baltimore possess explosive offensive units. Browns fans got excited about the team going 4-0 in pre-season play, but when you are a Browns fans, you can get excited over a root canal. The Ravens too, their offense is stagnant. But the Browns defense showed some signs of life in LW's 21-18 loss to the Steelers, as they held a solid Leveon Bell to just 32 yards rushing. AND, let's face it, the Ravens "D" made Andy Dalton and the Bengals offense look like a Pop Warner team. Rookie QB, Deshone Kizer is playing his first road game in Baltimore, UH-OH!!! The UNDER is 5-1 the L6 meetings in this series in Baltimore, 9-2 in the BROWNS L11 vs. teams with a winning record, and 5-1 in the Ravens L6 vs. AFC North foes. TAKE THE UNDER . Thank you. |
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09-14-17 | Texans v. Bengals UNDER 38 | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
Take UNDER. Games 101/102. 5:25 pm pst. 10 of the 12 Sunday NFL games went UNDER the Total, including both the Houston and the Cincinnati contests, as both offenses managed a total of 7 combined points. At best, both QB's are going to need more time to move their offenses. The L4 games in this series went UNDER the Total. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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09-11-17 | Saints +3 v. Vikings | 19-29 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Take NO. This is my MNF winner Game 479. 4:10 pm pst. Maybe the Saints are a little long in the tooth but Drew Brees and company can score. The Vikings have a solid defense but all of LY and into this pre-season, their offense struggled to put points on the board. Lest not forget AP now dons a New Orleans uniform. The Saints are 9-1 ATS their L10 games played on the road while the Vikings are 1-8 ATS their L9 MNF games. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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09-10-17 | Jaguars v. Texans -5 | 29-7 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my PPP. Game 458. 10:00 am pst. The Defending AFC South Champion Texans have dominated this series, taking 6 straight by an average of 9.83 PPG. The Jaguars are in for another disappointing year despite the addition of LSU RB, Leonard Fournette. But a healthy, JJ Watt and a highly-touted Houston stop-unit are going to shut down the Jacksonville offense. The state of Texas has been through a lot recently and the Texans are extra motivated to give their fans something to smile about. The Jags are 7-19 ATS their L26 games played in September , while the Texans are 8-2-1 ATS their L11 games played vs. AFC South opponents. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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09-10-17 | Falcons -6 v. Bears | Top | 23-17 | Push | 0 | 36 h 4 m | Show |
Take Atlanta. This is my HR. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. The Falcons take the field for the first time since giving away a 25-point halftime lead in the Super Bowl. Atlanta boasts a well-balanced offense along with a very tough defense. Meanwhile, even Chicago faithful will be hard-pressed naming their starters with all the new faces they've added. As of print, Mike Glennon will be at the helm but the offense is sorely missing a solid workhorse, like Matt Forte. The Falcons will come out with something to prove and make a statement. Atlanta is an excellent road team, going 8-1 ATS their L9 games played away from home while Chicago is a notoriously slow starter, going 0-7 ATS their L7 games played in September . Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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09-07-17 | Chiefs v. Patriots -9 | 42-27 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Take New England. This is my Season Kickoff Winner. Game 452. 5:30 pm pst. Tom Brady shines all the time but on Thursday Night's, the future HOF'er takes it to another level as he is 9-0 with 24 TD's and 2 INT's. Even without Julian Edeleman, the Patriots are loaded with an incredible group of receivers. This doesn't bode well for a Chiefs secondary that showed some serious issues in pre-season play. Remember that Brady was out the first four game in 2016 and will look to start out the 2017/2018 campaign with authority. lest not forget New England was 16-3 ATS LY, 5-0 ATS their L5 September games, and 18-6-2 ATS their L26 home games. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 59 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
Take the UNDER. Games101/102 3:30 pm pst Yes, Atlanta certainly deserves their status of the #1 offense in the NFL, averaging over 33.8 PPG, 3rd in passing, 5th in rushing, and it is all due to a very well-balanced, well-coach unit. All the media hype surrounding the powerful Atlanta offense, along with the fact that New England's "O", ranks 3rd and scoring, averaging 27.6 PPG, 4th in passing, and 7th in rushing. And it is because of these two explosive offenses that the oddsmakers have put out the highest TOTAL in post-season history. Yes, technically, the Patriots did have the 32nd ranked, or the softest schedule in the NFL, however you just can't take away from the fact that their stop-unit only allowed 15.6 PPG at this level. They're extremely solid on the DL, a very quick LB corps, and a savvy veteran secondary. No matter what Ryan, Freeman, and Jones will move the chains and put a few points on the board. On the flipside, the Falcons defense certainly progressed over the season and specifically during the second half of the campaign, seemed to get better with each passing game. On paper, at first glance, this does look like a game that could will go over the Total, however there's more than a few reasons why it won't. Both coaching staff's come in well-prepared with a regimented game plan, and what these 2 HC's do very well, is make quick adjustments like no other coaches in the game. Another stat which really solidifies to me why this game will go UNDER to the Total... both Atlanta and New England were tied for fewest turnovers in the NFL, they each had just 11 TO's. These 2 well-disciplined teams don't make mistakes. Not mental mistakes while either take unnecessary, chancy risks . They both have several outstanding ball-carriers to keep the clock running and the opposing "D" honest. To be quite clear, I see a more conservative game than just about everybody is expecting. Now, on one side, we have the most-explosive offense we've seen over the last few seasons, and on the other side, we have the most-experienced post-season squad chock-full of veterans in the current era. Dan Quinn is been in the Title game several times of the last few years and yes, Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have won 24 playoff games, easily more than any other HC/QB in history. I don't see these coaches or these QB's taking too many unslated chances. Remember that both teams have amazing PK's (ranked 1st & 3rd in the NFL). Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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01-22-17 | Steelers v. Patriots -6 | Top | 17-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my AFC Game of the Year. Game 314. 3:40 pm pst. Tom Brady has had amazing success against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Just over the last six meetings in this series, the future Hall of Fame quarterback has tallied 19 touchdown passes and zero interceptions. Over his career, Brady has faced the Steelers 11 times, boasting a 9-2 record and accumulating a whopping, 26 touchdown passes against just three interceptions. Yes, Pittsburgh has won 9 straight, but ask yourself who did they win against? And if you look at their schedule, they haven't had to face a team of the caliber they're going to face today. Over the season, their offense had problems in the red zone. In the beginning, their quarterback was injured, running back was injured, some receivers were injured, and both their offensive and defensive lines were missing some players. Then as the season progressed, they became healthy and returned, but yet, they were still having problems punching it in for touchdowns in the red zone so the talk was they were rusty. But now they're all healthy and they are still having trouble in the red zone settling for field goals instead of touchdowns, as you saw last week against Kansas City, when they accounted for 18 points on six field goals and zero touchdowns. New England has the number one defense in the NFL (15.6 points per game allowed), and they've yielded 17 points or less in seven of their last eight contests. On both sides of the football the Patriots are way too speedy in this matchup. HC, Bill Belichik, along with DC, Matt Patricia got together with the rest of the defensive coaches and trust me, they are going to change up schemes, and change players and confuse the Steelers offense, particularly the OL, and force mistakes. By far, New England possesses the much better coach both as far as preparation goes and on the field. The Pittsburgh defense is not the same as it was a few years ago, although it did improve this year but please remember they are starting three rookies that must go on up against a great offensive unit that now possesses a healthy and solid offensive line that will allow the speedy running back, Louis and also the veteran, Blount to keep the Pittsburgh defense honest and open up Tom Terrific and the passing game. Ben Roethlisberger threw some unnecessary passes and made some risky decisions last week against a less than stellar Kansas City defense. He will not be able to get away with that today against the New England stop unit. Let's face it, the Steelers really haven't faced a defense like the one they will face today since probably the last meeting back in October. There is no way they could keep a score for score here. Pittsburgh is 4-11 against the spread their last 15 games played versus New England and 1-3-2 against the spread their last six road playoff games. New England is 5-0 against the spread their last five games played against AFC opponents, 4-1 against the spread the last five playoff games, and 25-9-2 against the spread their last 36 games played at home. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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01-22-17 | Packers v. Falcons OVER 60 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the PACKERS/FALCONS matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR. Game 311/312. 12:05 pm pst. In the October 30th meeting, Atlanta edged out Green Bay, 33-32. It's nearly 3 months later and another shoot-out is in the cards. Green Bay has won eight in a row straight up (7-1 against the spread), posting 30 or more points over their last six, with each going OVER the Total. Overall, the Packers played to 12 OVERS of their 18 contests, including seven of nine road games. Aaron Rogers is playing some of his best football in years, leading the seventh ranked passing unit. Atlanta owns the 28th ranked defense against the pass and is ranked 27th in the league in points allowed. Offensively, the Falcons topped the NFL in scoring, averaging over 33.8 points per game. Their well-balanced offense is ranked third in passing and fifth in rushing. On the season, Atlanta has played to14 OVERS, against just 2 unders, and 1 push. Oh by the way, all nine of their home games went OVER the Total. They are going to face a Packers defense that ranks 31st against the pass. The OVER is 6-0 in the Packers last six games played versus NFC opponents, the OVER is also 4-1 in the Packers last five playoff games, while looking at the Falcons statistics, the OVER is 11-1-1 in the Falcons last 13 games played against NFC opponents, and the OVER is also 11-0 in the Falcons last 11 games played on field turf. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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01-15-17 | Steelers +2 v. Chiefs | Top | 18-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. Game 305. 5:20 pm pst. Pittsburgh drubbed Kansas City, 43-14, in Week 4. The Steelers enter this matchup winning 8 straight, scoring 24 or more in each. Big Ben, Leveon Bell, and Antonio Brown are all 100% healthy. Speaking of Roethlisberger, he has a career, 12-6 post-season record, including a 6-3 mark on the road. KC's 2016 Wildcard win over Houston was their first after 8 consecutive playoff losses. Then they lost the following week to New England. Their running and passing games are mediocre at best. Pittsburgh matches up well here and they will be blitzing all day long. Bell will get his yards against the 26th ranked run defense of the Chiefs. KC is 1-7 ATS their L8 playoff games, 0-4 ATS their L4 home playoff games, and 3-8 ATS their L overall home games. Pittsburgh is 12-3-3 ATS their L18 games played in the month of January, 3-0-1 ATS their L4 Divisional playoff games, and 4-0 ATS their L4 on the road. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys OVER 52 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the GB/Dal matchup. This is my PS Total of the Year. Games 307/308. 1:40 pm pst. Green Bay enters this game having played to 5 straight OVERS. Aaron Rodgers has 15 post-season starts under his belt as he and his offense have been lighting up scoreboards for 30 or more their L5 outings. Dallas' one defensive weakness is their secondary. They own the 26th ranked pass "D" in the League. On the flip side, the Cowboys offense has a healthy OL, the #2 running attack in the NFL, and face a Packers defense that prior to last week, allowed the Bears, Vikings, and Lions (all offensively stunted) to post 27, 25, and 24 points because they have the 31st ranked defense vs. the pass. The OVER is 5-1 the L6 meetings in Dallas. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks +6 v. Falcons | 20-36 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my LVSM. Game 301. 1:35 pm pst. For starters, quarterback, Matt Ryan is 1-4 in his career in the playoffs. In the first match up between these teams. earlier this season, running back, Freeman had his league worst 40 yards rushing. The Atlanta Falcons offense is very good, however they haven't played very many top-tier defenses. They also own a defense that is ranked 25th in yards allowed, 28th versus the pass, and 27th in points allowed. Let's face it, Seattle can play defense. And they have faced some of the league's most elite offensive units. Offensively, the Seahawks have posted 31, 31, 26, 5, 40, 10, 24, 31, 25, and 26, over consecutive games. Take the points with a very healthy Seattle Seahawks. Thank you. |
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01-08-17 | Dolphins v. Steelers -12 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my LVSM. Game 106. 10:05 am pst. Tannehill is out and Moore is in. That's not the only difference from the earlier meeting, back in October. Pittsburgh has rattled off 7 straight victories, going 6-1 ATS and have rested their "Big 3", in Roethlisberger, Bell, and Brown. Miami is banged up defensively, losing their best LB and CB. Even before losing their best CB< the Dolphins had no one to cover star wideout, Antonio Brown, who will light up the scoreboard today. The Steelers "D" will get to Moore and force mistakes. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks -8 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my LVSM. Game 104. 5:15 pm pst. Don't put too much stock in Seattle's late-season losses to Green Bay and Arizona as well as their 3-pt squeaker over San Francisco in their final regular season game. This team has a tough defense that will get o Detroit QB, Matthew Stafford. The Lions had trouble with elusive QB's this season, resulting in 3 season-ending losses to Eli Manning, Dak Prescott, and Aaron Rodgers (losing all 3 by a combined 39 points) and in comes a healthy, Russell Wilson. The Seahawks have won 9 straight home Playoff games in the loudest stadium in the nation. HC, Pete Carroll and company have the post-season experience to not just win here, but cover. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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01-07-17 | Raiders +4 v. Texans | 14-27 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Take Oakland. This is my Inside Info play. Game 101. 1:35 pm pst. Both teams are down to backup QB's but the Raiders have a much better supporting cast on offense in this matchup and Texans play-caller, Brock Osweiler (15 TD's and 16 INT's) makes way too many mistakes. I know Houston has had success at home TY, but Oakland is 6-2 SU and ATS on the road in 2016/2017 with one of those losses coming LW, when the team pulled their starters and didn't need the game. Khalil Mack is the best pass-rusher on the field and will get to Osweiler and create TO's. The Raiders are 4-0 ATS their L4 games played following a SU loss, 9-2 ATS their L9 games played on the road, and 6-2 ATS their L8 games played vs. AFC foes. The Texans are 1-6 ATS their L7 games played overall. 1-5 ATS their L6 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-5 ATS their L6 vs. AFC opponents. Take Oakland. Thank you. |
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01-01-17 | Browns v. Steelers -5.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my BEST BET. Game 320. 10:00 am pst. Cleveland won their first game and are now going to land back on Earth as they face a Pittsburgh team that must stay sharp going into the post season. Under a TD is a gift here. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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12-24-16 | Vikings v. Packers -6.5 | 25-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my LVSM. Game 112. 10:00 am pst. This is not the same Green Bay team that lost to Minnesota, 17-14, in mid-September. The Vikings were amidst a 5-0 record to start the season back then and now have lost 7 of 9, both SU and ATS. To make matters worse, yesterdays news that AP is out once again. The Packers have won 4 in a row SU and won't take this game lightly after seeing a 17-point lead eclipsed until a last-second FG to beat the Bears LW. The Vikes allowed Andrew Luck and the Colts to light them up for 34 points a week ago and now must face a striding packers team that is led by one of the NFL's most-experienced, crunch-time QB's, Aaron Rodgers. Minny is 2-5 ATS the L7 games played at the Packers and 1-4 ATS their L5 games played on the road. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-24-16 | Titans -5 v. Jaguars | Top | 17-38 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Take Tennessee. This is my HR. Game 115. 10:00 am pst. Very simply, Tennessee has quietly become a solid, 8-6 team behind a maturing, Marcus Mariota and the NFL’s 3rd ranked ground attack of DeMarco Murray. The Titans need to win out to host a playoff game and facing a Jaguars team that is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS at home, riding an overall 9-game skid, and ranking towards the bottom of the League both offensively and defensively will get them one step closer. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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12-22-16 | Giants -2 v. Eagles | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Take New York. This is my Thursday Night GOY. Game 101. 5:25 pm pst. New York is seeking their first post-season berth in 5 years. The Giants have won 8 of their L9 SU, going 7-2 ATS, and possessing a rejuvenated defense now ranking 3rd in the NFL, yielding just, 17.96 PPG. Philadelphia has 1 weapon in RB, Ryan Matthews, who now must face the #6 rush "D" in the League. The Eagles are riding a 5-game SU skid and have covered only 2 of their L8 contests. The Road Team is 15-7-1 ATS the L23 meetings in this series. Take New York. Thank you. |
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12-18-16 | Steelers -3 v. Bengals | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my LVSM GOY. Game 329. 10:00 am pst. The Steelers are red-hot, winning and covering 4 straight and put themselves in the thick of the playoff hunt. In the first meeting, Ben Roethlisberger threw TDP, none to Antonio Brown, who is now in-sync with his QB. Cincy's problems went from bad to worse, with AJ Green now most-likely sitting. Pittsburgh is 16-4-2 ATS their L22 at Cincinnati. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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12-18-16 | Packers -4 v. Bears | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
Take Green Bay. This is my NFC NORTH GOY. Game 311. 10:00 am pst. With 3 straight wins and covers, Green bay is back in the playoff race and are no strangers to winning at Soldier Field where they are 17-5 ATS the L22. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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12-12-16 | Ravens +6.5 v. Patriots | 23-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. Game 133. 5:30 pm pst. New England comes into this matchup having won 3 straight against teams that are a combined, 8-28, are minus Gronkowski and Amendola, and having to face the League’s top run defense. The Ravens have played spoiler in Foxborough, going 4-0-1 ATS the L5 and handing the Patriots 2 of their 4 home playoff losses. Take Baltimore plus the TD. Thank you. |
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12-11-16 | Falcons -5.5 v. Rams | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my LVSM. Game 129. 1:25 pm pst. Jared Goff has not gotten a win yet and he won't here. Atlanta has the NFL's top-scoring offense and L.A. just can't keep pace, score-for-score. The falcons are the play here. Thank you. |
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12-11-16 | Steelers -3 v. Bills | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my HR play. Game 113. 10:00 am pst. Pittsburgh comes in here with 3 straight wins and covers as Big Ben is healthy, and LeVeon bell is averaging 128 YPG on the ground the L3. Buffalo can beat up crappy teams. Pittsburgh ain't no crappy team, guys. To top it off, the Steelers have tightened up their rush defense, which is the only way Buffalo can move the chains. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS the L8 meetings in this series. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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12-11-16 | Bears v. Lions -7 | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Detroit. This is my NFC North GOM. Game 118. 10:00 am pst. Well, it's mid-December and Detroit is leading the NFC North by a few games. The last time that happened was in the Wayne Fontes era. Chicago is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the road this season and albeit, Matt Barkley added a brief spark in place of Jay Cutler, the youngster has his hands full in this matchup. The Bears account for a dismal, 15.0 PPG as a visitor in 2016 and play a rival team who comes in here winning and covering 4 straight and 7 of their L8 overall. I see some 7.5's here. Buy it down just to be safe. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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12-05-16 | Colts -1 v. Jets | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Indianapolis. This is my MNF winner. Game 377. 5:30 pm pst. Indy was without QB, Andrew Luck, their top receiver, TY Hilton left the game with an injury, and their defense was missing several key starters, in LW's loss to Pittsburgh. But they are all in the lineup tonight. These two teams have totally opposite mindsets here as the Colts, at 5-6 are very much live in the AFC South chase, as the Texans and Titans are both 6-6. And Indy gets to play Houston at home next week. The Jets, at 3-8, are out of it, and most likely won't be motivated at all here, while certainly not going to jeopardize any key players. The New York defense has allowed 22 or more points in 9 of 11 games this year and has become very vulnerable to the pass. They are 1-4 SU at home in 2016, averaging just 17.2 PPG with their only win coming more than 6 weeks ago. Indianapolis is 23-7 ATS their L30 games played vs. teams with a losing record, 25-9 ATS their L34 games played following a SU loss, and 10-4 ATS their L14 games played on Monday Night Football. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
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12-04-16 | Redskins +2.5 v. Cardinals | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my Late Info. Game 371. 1:25 pm pst. Expect the Redskins, who are still very much alive in the NFL WC race, to come in here with emotion after a tough loss to the Cowboys LW. Kirk Cousins and company have covered 8 of their L9 (4 straight) and is 5-1 ATS as a 'dog this season. Washington is 4-0 vs. top-defensive teams and despite having a strong "D", Arizona has been burned for 118 points their L4 contests, which includes yielding 20 points to a lowly, San Francisco team. Carson Palmer, behind a depleted OL, has been sacked 28 times and turned the ball over 14 times, just over the L8 games, while the team is on a 5-game no-cover streak. The Cardinals are 3-10 ATS their L13 games played at home while the Redskins are 7-1 ATS their L8 games played on the road. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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12-04-16 | Texans v. Packers -6.5 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my LVSM. Game 356. 10:00 am pst. Green Bay exploded on MNF to rout Philadelphia, 27-13 and return home here for the first time in a month. They are back in the playoff race knowing that every game counts. Aaron Rodgers has the addition of RB, James Starks to keep opposing defenses honest. The Packers biggest concern is their pass defense, which won't be threatened here, as Brock Osweiler (12 TD's & 13 INT's) and the 31st ranked passing unit is 1-3 both SU and ATS on the road this year, averaging a mere, 11.5 PPG, with their only road win coming over the 2-9 Jaguars. Aaron Rodgers owns a current, 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS mark at home in the month of December. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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12-04-16 | Broncos -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Take Denver. This is my High Roller. Game 351. 10:00 am pst. Denver is 3rd in the AFC West at 7-4 and will start the very capable, Paxton Lynch at QB. The offense will score against the Jacksonville 27th ranked defense (allowing 26.6 PPG). Meanwhile, Blake Bortles and the League-worst TO squad (-15) must face the 2nd ranked pass "D" of the Broncos, who got even better LW, with the return of CB, Aqib Talib (missed 4 games). The Jaguars are 0-4 SU (1-3 ATS) at home this season and have been outscored by 8.8 PPG during their current 6-game skid. The Broncos are 14-5 ATS their L19 games following a SU loss. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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11-28-16 | Packers v. Eagles -3.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Philly. Game 276. 5:30 pm pst. Things seem to be going from bad to worse for Green Bay, who haven’t won a game in over a month...and let’s face it, they haven’t exactly played the NFL’s elite. Despite cooling after a red-hot start, Carson Wentz is still 4-0 both SU and ATS at home this season. The Eagles have more than enough offense to exploit the 27th ranked “D” of the Packers here. The line is floating around –3.5, so but it down just to air on the side of caution. Take Philly. Thank you. |
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11-27-16 | Titans -6 v. Bears | 27-21 | Push | 0 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Tennessee. This is my PPP. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. Marcus Mariota and DeMarco Murray lead the 7th ranked offensive unit in the NFL and have averaged over 31.2 PPG over the L7 games. Chicago is just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS and ranks 31st offensively, posting a dismal, 15-7 PPG. Their OL can't stop anyone. The Bears are 9-24-1 ATS their L34 at home. Take the Titans. Thank you. |