Cleveland Browns.

Angle Play.

Game 456.

10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST.

Since Deshaun Watson took over the reins, the Browns are 2-1. Overall, Cleveland has won and cover three of the last four outings coming into this matchup. And now they see the return of Nick Chubb to spearhead the NFL’s fifth ranked rushing attack. Trust me when I tell you they are going to steamroll the very lax 23rd ranked New Orleans run defense. The Saints are going to be missing several key players. But even if they were at full strength, I still don’t see them even competing in this matchup. They are 0-5 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win and 1-5 ATS the last six games played on grass. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals.

No Limit.

Game 459.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, very few teams can come back from the devastating loss like the Patriots suffered last week in Las Vegas. Trust me when I tell you this is not the Bill Belichick New England squad that we are so used to seeing over the last two decades. Just over the last four weeks they are on a 1-3 run, both straight up and against the spread. And things aren’t looking too good for them as they face a team a arguably with the most momentum going into this weeks games. Cincinnati Bengals are running red-hot, winning and covering six consecutive outings. Joe Burrow and the Bengals top-10 offense are salivating just knowing they get to line up across from the leaky Patriots defense. Sure, overall, on the season the New England “D” has impressive stats. However, over the last four weeks they have allowed a combined 99-points. By the way the Patriots have lost the last five as home underdogs without Tom Brady, going 1-4 against the spread. Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS the last five games played in December, 35-17 ATS the last 52 games played on the road, and 20-7 ATS the last 27 versus the AFC. Take the Bengals. Thank you.

Seattle Seahawks.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 465.

10:00 AM PST,1:00 PM EST.

Both teams need to win here this week. Kansas City is looking to claim the AFC‘s number one seed. And Seattle is just looking to add to their chances of making the postseason. Folks I’m here to tell you that there is no way that the Chief should be a double-digit favorite against any opponent in the NFL. Especially one that matches up this well with them. Kansas City is absolute point spread poison folks. To be honest with you they have covered just one game since mid-October. I think we can all agree the odds makers tend to overvalue them because they know the general public likes to bet them. However, they’re making a huge mistake here. Seattle is on an 0-5 ATS slide themselves. But they have not been given this many points. The Chiefs defense has allowed 27, 28, 24-points over the last three outings. And to be honest with you, a couple of those foes possess lower-tier offenses. Seattle will be able to pass the ball with ease against the 22nd ranked pass defense of Kansas City. Granted the Chiefs will do what they do and put points up. But the lack of a major rushing game will not allow them to eat up a lot of clock in the process. There are also 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home, 1-10-1 the last 12 games played following a straight up win, and 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games overall. Take the Seahawks. Thank you.

Detroit Lions on the moneyline.

NFL Game of the Month.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Momentum means a lot in the NFL in the month of December. The Detroit Lions have momentum. They enter Saturday’s matchup winning six of the last seven straight up and as far as us bettors are concerned; they have covered seven straight outings. This is a team that has not been to the playoffs in over six years. Head coach, Dan Campbell has them believing not only that they can get to, but they could win in the postseason as well. But they have to get there first. Standing in their way this week is the Carolina Panthers. Granted this team has covered six of the last eight games. But they are banged up, depleted, and fatigued. I know the Lions defense leaves a lot to be desired. But I doubt they’re going to be in too much hot water here this week against one of the worst offenses in the league. On the opposite side of the ball, Detroit has become a monster scoring machine. They face a Carolina defense that over the last few weeks has been outmuscled and steamrolled for a combined 48 points. Detroit is 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus the NFC, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five games played in December, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

MNF WINNER.

Game 332.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Let’s go to Lambeau Field as the Rams take on the Packers. There is no question that both Los Angeles and Green Bay have fallen way short of expectations this season. I mean the Rams are just 4-9 following up their Super Bowl season. In all fairness a lot of their woes are due to injuries. But in all sincerity, a lot is also due to inconsistent play. They finally got a win last week, their first since October 16, as they faced the lowly Raiders. Baker Mayfield, who just joined the team two days earlier, rallied his team back from a 16-3 deficit late in the fourth quarter to steal a 17-16 win. The Packers will be a much, much different opponent here this week. First of all, Green Bay has dominated this series, winning seven of the last eight straight up, and all eight against the spread. Next, to say that Los Angeles is running on fumes would be an understatement. Their injured list is longer than Deshaun Watson plaintive list LOL. They already rank 25th in passing, 30th in rushing, and 29th in points scored. Oh, by the way, they also rank 28th in turnovers committing 20 miscues on the campaign. Green Bay got a big December 4 win over division rival Chicago, 28-19. What will certainly benefit this team is coming off that win and then having a bye week to rest, heal, and prepare for this week’s matchup. In rookie wide receiver, Christian Watson, Aaron Rodgers finally has a go to receiver to complement wideout Allen Lazard. On the ground, the Packers are pretty stable as Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon have combined for nearly 1,500 yards rushing and five TDs. The offense is now well-balanced and will certainly exploit the depleted, Los Angeles defense. It’s true, the Packers have lost three straight as a home favorite this season. But, in all sincerity, two of those games were earlier on, and before Rodgers started connecting with Watson. Throw into the mix that the biggest defensive threat Los Angeles has, Aaron Donald is unlikely to play here and I will tell you that I do feel Green Bay is going to light up the scoreboard. Oh, by the way, they also had a while to prepare for Mayfield at the helm. The Rams are 1-4 ATS their last five games played following a straight up win and 1-3-1 ATS their last five games played versus NFC opponents. I see the Packers making a push late in the season, and it starts here. Lay the TD with Green Bay, folks. Thank you. 

Dallas Cowboys.

Angle Play.

Game 321.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

If there is one team in the NFL that you could actually say is “Jekyll and Hyde“, it’s the Jacksonville Jaguars. However, one trend you cannot ignore is the fact that since they started winning, they alternate weeks winning and losing. November 6 was a win and cover against Las Vegas, November 13 was a loss and no cover against Kansas City, November 27 was a win and cover at home against Baltimore, December 4 was a loss and no cover on the road at Detroit, and December 11 was a win and cover away from home at Tennessee. They are alternating wins and losses. Well, I think you’re going see the trend continue for them again here this week. The Jaguars are running into the NFL’s second ranked defense of the Dallas Cowboys, which is allowing just 17.6-points per game. The Cowboys are winning. Let’s face it they’ve won for in a row and six of their last seven straight up en route to an overall record of 10-3. During their current four-game hot streak, they are accounting for over 37.2-points per game. Not only that, but I do see them moving the chains with their well-balanced unit against the Jacksonville defense that last played a well-balanced unit and gave a 40-points to Detroit. The tandem of Pollard and Elliott have teamed up for over 1,600 yards rushing and 18 TDs this season. They will control the pace of this game, move the chains, and open up the passing game for Dak Prescott. One more item that is very important folks, the Cowboys are one of the most bankable teams in the NFL. They are 8-1 ATS their last nine games played in the month of December, 13-3 ATS their last 16 games played versus teams with a losing record, and 11-3 ATS their last 14 games played on the road. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

AFC EAST GOM.

Game 310.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Following four consecutive straight up victories, Buffalo needs a win this week to earn an AFC playoff spot and bring them one step closer to an AFC East title. The Bills dominated the Dolphins, taking seven consecutive meetings in this division rivalry prior to the very strange September 25 “Butt punt“ game resulting in a 21-19 loss on the road. Revenge plays a big factor in this contest this week. But so does Buffalo trying to further widen their lead in the AFC East. They face a Miami team that has lost back-to-back games the last several weeks. The Dolphins offense has sputtered, tallying a combined 34-points in losses and no covers to the 49ers and the Chargers both on the road. This is their third straight outing away from home. Miami is not known to play well in cold-weather places and their record In Orchard Park, New York is not very good, as they are just 2-7-1 ATS the last 10 meetings there. The Dolphins have one of the worst rushing attacks in the NFL. As a matter fact, they rank 29th in the league, averaging just 89.8 yards per game on the ground. Being that they are no threat on the ground, the Buffalo defense, which ranks second overall in the league, allowing at 17.0-points per game, can key on their passing attack. They have had success in the air. However, the last few weeks, their aerial assault has crash-landed, producing almost as many interceptions as touchdowns. The Bills have a very well-balanced offensive attack, averaging sixth in the air and eighth on the ground. Overall, they are fourth in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.2-points per game. Their ground assault will keep the Dolphins defense honest while Josh Allen opens up the sixth ranked passing game against the 23rd ranked pass defense in the league, and work his magic. Temperatures are expected to be in the 20’s and wind gusts of over 35 miles per hour for this game. And possible chance of snow. All things that work in Buffalo’s favor. One more item folks. The Bills in their only other attempt this season facing a team that has beaten them previously, crushed the Jets last week 20-12. They are very good when seeking revenge. Miami is 0-4 ATS their last four games played following a straight up loss, 1-5 ATS their last six games played on the road, and 3-7 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS their last six games played in Week 15, 9-3-2 ATS their last 14 games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS their last 10 games played in the month of December. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

Angle Play.

Game 124.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

The number is short here due to the QB situation. Brock Purdy has the luxury of stepping in to a monster offensive unit. San Fran is loaded with playmakers on the “O”. They also possess one of the NFL’S best stop-units, ranking in the Top-10 in just about every major category. They are 13-3 ATS their last 16 games played versus the NFC and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games played at home. Take the 49ERS. Thank you.

OVER in the VIKINGS/LIONS matchup.

NFC NORTH TOM.

Games 105/106.

10:00 AM PST/1:00PM EST.

The over went money in four of the last five meetings in this division rivalry, including the September 25 matchup which tallied 52 points. Take the over. Thank you.

Bengals.

AFC NORTH GOM.

Game 114.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Cincy is 8-4 SU and 9-3 ATS this season and is looking for some revenge here after a late-October humiliating loss to Cleveland. The Bengals are playing solid ball, and making bettors money, covering nine of their last 10 outings. They have also covered 12 of their last 16 meetings with the Browns. Cincinnati is healthier, is at home, and is rolling. Take the Bengals. Thank you.

New York Jets.

No Limit.

Game 451.

Ready 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

For those of you who remember Rodney Dangerfield, his catchphrase was “I get no respect“. Meanwhile he was one of the most successful comedians that ever lived. I kind of think the New York Jets feel the same way. No matter what this team does, they just can’t earn any respect. No respect from the league. No respect from the media. And no respect from the odds makers. Well, we can’t do too much about the league or the media. But we can certainly take advantage of the odds makers. Not only does the team own one of the best records in the AFC at 7-4. But they’re also 7-4 against the spread in 2022. As far as the Minnesota Vikings go, I have been saying for quite a while now that this team is one of the luckiest in the NFL. Guys, I cannot argue the fact they have won nine-games. But they got a little luck in winning those nine-games. One thing for sure, you can’t bet on them because they’re just 5-5-1 against the spread this season. This tells me that the odds makers know the general public is going to bet on them and they inflate the line because of it. And once again here in this weeks match up, they’re doing that exact thing. Ya’ know they rank 32nd in the NFL in passing defense. The way Mike White looked last week passing for over 315 yards and three touchdowns, and most importantly, no interceptions, tells me he’s going to have another successful performance this week. On the flipside, very quietly New York possesses the fifth ranked defense in the NFL, yielding a mere 17.8-points per game. And being that Minny has no rushing attack to speak of, the Jets defense can key on the passing game, pressure Kirk Cousins, and force mistakes. New York has been money on the road this season covering four of five as a visitor. Oh, by the way this is usually the time of year when Minnesota starts to fold like a cheap suit, only covering twice over the last eight in the month of December. I like the Jets outright. But I’ll take the points here with Gang Green. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans.

High Roller.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

There is no questioning the fact that the Philadelphia Eagles are a very good football team. However over recent weeks we seen teams play them a lot tougher. They could not cover the point spread in Houston at the beginning of November. They lost outright at home against Washington. They eked out a one-point victory at Indianapolis. And then they got a little lucky with a seven -point victory over the struggling Green Bay team at home. Over the last month, each of their opponents have come to realize they can exploit the Eagles weakness. That is when adversaries control the clock and the time in possession. By running the football each of those opponents have made it very difficult for Philly and their office to get an any rhythm on the field. Well, this week they have to go up against one of the best running backs in the NFL in Derrick Henry. The stellar ball-carrier already has over 1,048 yards rushing and 10 touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him running the ball and pounding the Eagles defense play after play. This will keep the Philly “D” honest and on the field. And most importantly Jalen Hurts and their offense off it. By the way, last weeks 20-16 loss to Cincinnati was Tennessee’s first no-cover since mid-September. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up loss, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

Angle Play.

Game 460.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM PST.

You know guys, sports betting isn’t about who wins. It’s about who covers. And right now, no team is running as hot against the spread as the Detroit Lions. Detroit has covered four consecutive contests. Meanwhile they’ve also won three of their last four and to be honest, had the Buffalo Bills on the ropes the entire game last week. The Lions are without question, a much-improved team right now from the start of the season. And they are getting better with each passing week. And you know what folks, they’re getting healthier too. They should see the return of some key cogs in the wheel on both the offensive and the defensive squads this week. Lots of the headlines surrounding the Jaguars are about Trevor Lawrence orchestrating a game-winning drive last week against the Ravens. But in all sincerity, their defense was steamrolled the entire game. And I think we would all agree Lamar Jackson and Baltimore has been known to give up quite a few leads this season. I know both defenses here rank among the worst in the NFL. However, running back Jamaal Williams has very quietly tallied over 13 touchdowns on the ground. And wide receiver D’Andre Swift looks to be 100% healthy again. Having both of these guys full throttle this week will allow quarterback Jared Goff some time to do what he used to do… and that’s pick defenses apart. Let’s not forget Detroit had an extra few days to rest, heal, and prepare. And Dan Campbell has proven to be a pretty sharp guy. Jacksonville is 1-1-7 ATS the last nine games played on the road, 0-7 ATS the last seven games played in the month of December, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played versus teams with a losing record, and 5-13-1 ATS the last 19 games played overall. Detroit is 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played at home, 5-1 ATS the last six games played following in against the spread win, 5-2 ATS the last seven home games played versus teams with a losing road record, and 15-7 ATS the last 22 games played on field turf. Take the Lions as my best bet this week and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Guys I am all over the NFL LEADERBOARDS. My pro football has been HOT, HOT, HOT. And going into Conference Championships and Bowl Season the upcoming weeks in college football, I will crush every sports book on the planet. I have been documented at as much as 90% during this time of year in NCAA FOOTBALL. I have had Bowl campaigns in which I brought you nearly perfect Bowl seasons. This I the time of year you MUST follow a winning capper and I am one of the mot successful cappers in December and January in the history of this business. Grab a discount and ensure yourself a winning season.

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Thursday’s FREE WINNER: New England Patriots.

Game 302.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Do you know what I hear out of the Buffalo camp? I hear that travel has been an issue for this team, short weeks has recently been an issue for this team, and weather has been an issue for this team. You know what I don’t hear? Anybody taking responsibility for any of their issues. Guys, I’m not looking to put down the Buffalo Bills or their fans. But I will tell you looking closely at their record so far this season, this team is only a couple of unlucky plays away from being a sub .500 team. Yes, guys they will make the playoffs. But this isn’t the powerhouse many out there believe they are. First of all, Josh Allen is a good quarterback. But he’s not a genius guys. He is far from it. He still doesn’t know when to tuck the ball and take a sack or throw it out of bounds. Their offense has over 19 turnovers already. And they all fall on the shoulders of Josh Allen. This doesn’t bode well when you’re facing a defense like the Patriots possess. Not only did they allow just 18.4 points per game, but they’ve also snagged 16 turnovers already. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Granted their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But to be very honest with you, the Buffalo defense is overworked and tired. Their last three outings, they’ve allowed 81 points to Minnesota, Cleveland, and Detroit. Every week their defense is leaking a little more and more. My friends, I feel this is the week that running back Rhamondre Stevenson will really break out against an overworked and tired Buffalo defense. This will allow Mac Jones to open up their passing game a bit. I also think you might catch the Bills maybe looking ahead a bit. Between this game and the next two contests, they are facing three division rivals in the Patriots, the Jets, and the Dolphins. The next three weeks will decide who takes the AFC East my friends. And right now, it isn’t looking like Buffalo. By the way, I think of all the players that are injured this week, linebacker Von Miller’s absence will be the most significant. Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on the road and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, New England is 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played at home and 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus AFC opponents. I really like the line on this game. So, I am siding with the Patriots. Thank you.

Washington Commanders.

95% ANGLE PLAY.

Game 256.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Ron Rivera has the Washington Commanders not just believing they can win, he has them winning. This is a team that has won five of the last six straight up and is just a half-point away from covering six in a row. It seems that they are progressing with each game. If they were going to drop a game, it would’ve been last week in a letdown mode following the thumping of the Eagles a few weeks back. However, they came out strong a week ago and took down the Texans with authority. I don’t see the team slowing down. They have a very good chance of the postseason. Believe it or not they are still in the running for the Division. With teams like the Eagles and the Cowboys looking mortal, and the Giants, well being the Giants, the Commanders have a mathematical chance of taking the competitive NFC East. And what better team to face the Atlanta Falcons. Talk about a “Jekyll and Hyde” team. This team is not just struggling, they are also failing to get bettors paid covering just once since mid-October. The once high-flying aerial assault of their offense is currently ranked 31st, passing for just 154 yards per game. This offense solely relies upon the run. Well, that does not bode too well as Washington enters this matchup with the sixth ranked run defense. Overall, they allow just 20.3 points per game. I know their offense, statistically leaves a lot to be desired. But you can’t ignore the fact that they put up 55-points the last two weeks. One thing the Commanders string together is paydays for those who bet on them. They are 18-7-1 ATS 26 following a straight up win. Take Washington. Thank you.

New England Patriots.

NO LIMIT PLAY.

Game 109.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

Sports fans, I have been saying for months that I feel Minnesota is a very lucky team. Yes, I am noy going to argue the fact that they have won eight games. But I feel that scheduling and may be a little bit of luck has gone their way this season. If you look at the teams they’ve beaten, only one really good team did they get the better of and that was a few weeks ago at Buffalo, winning 33-30 in overtime. Let’s talk truth, they had a few things go their way for them to earn that victory. Other than that, they have played only two decent teams, and lost both of those contests in Philadelphia and against Dallas. In last weeks 40-3 embarrassing rout at the hands of the Cowboys, the Vikings weaknesses were exposed. One thing head coach Bill Belichick can do is exploit weaknesses. Put a pin in that we’re going to come back around to it. Very quietly, the Patriots are winning. They have won five of the last six straight up and six of their last seven against the spread. The Minnesota offensive line got flattened last week, allowing seven sacks. Like I said Belichick and his very smart coaching staff will exploit this weakness. Not only is the Vikings offensive line in for a long day here, but overall, their offense is going to have a tough time moving to chains whether it be on the ground or in the air against the top-10 Patriots “D”. In every category the stop-unit of New England is extremely strong. To add insult to injury, they only allow 16.9 points per game. Oh yeah, Minny has also lost one of their better receivers and a starting cornerback. Look for the New England offense to spring back to life here and further beat up on an overworked and overrated Vikings defense. The Patriots are 7-0 ATS the last seven in November, 3-0-1 ATS the last four on the road, and 3-0-1 ATS the last for versus teams with winning record. Take New England. Thank you.

Detroit Lions.

ANGLE PLAY.

Game 106.

9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST.

Guys, I know how good the Buffalo Bills are. But this long and arduous season seems to be taking its toll on the team. And I think that we can all agree that over the last several weeks not only have they looked beatable, they have been beatable. This is a team that has dropped two of their last three and has failed to cover three of the last four. Their defense in the month of November has allowed 20, 33, and 23-points. Well, in comes the Detroit Lions, which have won and covered three straight. A victory here would put them in the NFC wildcard race. There is very little pressure on this them and they are starting to roll. Offensively, they account for over 25-points per game with a squad that is very well-balanced, having success both in the air and on the ground. It is through the air in which they will exploit the 20th ranked pass defense of Buffalo. Because they run the ball also with success, they can eat up the clock and keep the Bills defense on the field, and Josh Allen and their offense off it. I understand how poor the Lions defensive statistics are. But the Bills are looking mortal these days. Not only that, but their turnover ratio is now -3 over the last eight games. They’ve also only covered one of their last four as a visitor this season. Oh, by the way, they failed to cover the little last two as a double-digit favorite as well. Detroit is 6-0 ATS the last six in November, 7-2 ATS the last nine at home, 6-2 the last eight versus teams with a winning record, and 13-6 ATS the last 19 overall. Take the Lions. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

AFC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 469.

5:25 PM PST/8:25 PM EST.

Injuries are really starting to pile up for Los Angeles, despite covering their last two outings. On both sides of the ball, the list of injured players is too long to even name. Kansas City has their own health issues. But I think we would all agree the Chiefs are much deeper and more talented than the Chargers. Looking at the L.A.’s five victories this season, not one has come against an opponent currently owning a winning record. Meanwhile K.C. is starting to stride, Patrick Mahomes is about to surpass 3,000 yards passing and as long as he has Travis Kelce at his disposal, the Chargers can not trade scores with the Chiefs. Kansas City is posting over 30.0 points per game while their “D” has held their last two foes to just 17.0 points per game. To make matters worse for Los Angeles, they have failed to cover the last three at SoFi Stadium. The Chiefs are 8-1 ATS the last nine in Los Angeles and 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Washington Commanders.

91% ANGLE PLAY.

Game 457.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

You know sports fans, with the Eagles looking mortal and the Cowboys…well looking like the Cowboys, the Commanders certainly have a chance at possibly competing for the NFC East crown. Moreover, sitting at 5-5 right now and a lot of NFC mid-level squads like the Seahawks, Cowboys, and Falcons all dropping games a week ago, this team has a very, very good chance at making the postseason. Taylor Heinicke will remain the starting QB, and why not? He’s been adequate and will be under center for his fifth start this season. Chase Young is expected to make his return. While it was released and he will be on “pitch count“, he will still have an impact on this game. Washington enters this matchup motivated and rolling. Let’s face it, they’re a half-point away from covering five straight and a little better than a field goal away from winning five straight. This is a team that is playing with momentum, enthusiasm, and optimism. No, they’re not flashy, but they do play good solid football. It seems that with each passing week, they are getting better and better. Their defense is holding teams to just over 21-points per game. And as I mentioned, their offense is improving with each outing. As a matter fact, the 32-points they put up, throwing a monkey wrench into Philly’s perfect season was the most they’ve accounted for in any outing thus far. On the other hand, the Houston Texans own the worst record in the NFL at 1-7-1. This is a team with very little talent, playing with no motivation, and let’s be honest, a head coach who hasn’t led a winning team in over a decade. They pose almost no threat offensively. And I feel things are going to get worse for this team. There are rumors that the Texans might have a quarterback change very soon. But it really doesn’t matter who is at the helm here, this team has very little talent. And because their offense is so weak, their defense is overworked. The Commanders are 15-6-1 ATS the last 22 games played following a straight up win, 4-1-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a losing record, 6-0-1 ATS the last seven games played in November, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Take Washington here. Thank you.

New York Giants.

High Roller Play

Sunday, November 20, 2022.

Game 462.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

-3.

Consensus.

The New York Giants are sitting in second place in the competitive NFC East, just one-game behind the Philadelphia Eagles. Many people out there feel that the Eagles schedule wasn’t the toughest so far this season. And judging from their performance on Monday night against the Washington Commanders, I think we all can visibly see they have some weaknesses that can be exploited. Just FYI my friends, they have trouble against teams that can run the ball and control the time of possession. And over the following few weeks, they are facing opponents that have strong rushing attacks. My point being, New York has a very good opportunity to win this division. But they can only do so if they keep their foot on the gas. They face a Detroit Lions team here that ranks 32nd in the league defensively. That’s right, they are dead-last in points allowed, getting steamrolled for over 29.3-points per game. To be quite honest, every major defensive category they rank amongst the worst in the NFL. But the one that truly stands out to me in this game, is their 31st ranking against the rush. Let’s put a pin in that and come back around to it. Detroit had only one straight up victory up until the last few weeks. They did beat Green Bay at home and Chicago on the road this month. But let’s talk turkey (so close to Thanksgiving LOL). Neither the Packers nor the Bears have any sort of offense. We all know that Aaron Rodgers is struggling as the team possesses the poorest record and some of their worst statistics in as far back as we can remember. As far as Chicago goes, no one expected them to do too much this season, and yet they’re still underachieving. By the way folks, these are two teams that Detroit knows very well and see several times each season, sharing the same division. Going back to New York, following their first loss of the 2022/2023 campaign in late-September, they then rattled off four consecutive wins and covers. They did lose a few weeks ago in Seattle. But last week they absolutely decimated Houston at home. This tells me they will start rolling again. Now offensively the Giants possess the third-ranked rushing attack in football. Saquon Barkley has accumulated over one 931 yards rushing and six touchdowns on the ground. You’re going to see a heavy dose of him this week. Not only that but he also has 29 receptions. He will star in his own highlight reel here in this matchup. He will keep the Lions defense honest, move the chains, and cross the goal line at will. His presence will also allow Daniel Jones to open up the passing game. The quarterback has very quietly passed for just under 1,600 yards on a 65.8% completion rate, with eight touchdowns and only two interceptions. He doesn’t make many mistakes. He’s not flashy. But he doesn’t have to be in this offense. This is also a unit that makes very little mistakes altogether, only committing three turnovers thus far this season. With the running attack New York possesses, they will control the time of possession, keep the Detroit defense on the field, and most importantly, Jared Goff and the Lions offense off it. When Goff and the “O” is on the field, they will have a tough time against a Giants “D” that is holding opponents to under 20-points per game (19.6 PPG). The Giants are 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played versus teams with a losing record, 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of November, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take New York. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans.

Game 311.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Very quietly the Tennessee Titans have covered seven consecutive contests, winning six of those seven outings straight up. Keep in mind they didn’t have Ryan Tannehill under center for a few of those games. The quarterback returned to lead this team from a 10–0 deficit to a 17-10 victory last week against the Denver Broncos. Granted, the Green Bay Packers did end a five-game losing streak themselves by rallying from a 28-14 deficit to force overtime and take a 31-28 decision over the Dallas Cowboys last week. But pump the brakes on that game my friends. I think we can all agree that Cowboys head coach, Mike McCarthy may have contributed to that. His decision making all season once again has been suspect. But in that specific game, I believe he caused Dallas to lose. Now we know that Aaron Rodgers’ numbers have fallen significantly this season. A lot of people are saying it’s because his receiving core is gone or injured. That is true. But at the same token, he can’t make plays like he used to. So, the Packers offense is leaning heavily on the running game. But this week they have to face the NFL’s second-ranked rush defense in the Titans. Tennessee only allows 85.1 yards per game on the ground this season. They will have some success in the air here. But overall, I think quarterback in real trouble. I don’t see this offense lighting up the scoreboard here. Let’s remember they only account for 18.5-points per game to begin with. On the flipside, Tennessee is going to give Green Bay a heavy dose of Derrick Henry on the ground. Especially because this is a place where Green Bay has gotten steamrolled defensively, ranking 26th and allowing over 140.6 yards per game to the rush. Green Bay has dropped three straight the season laying points at home. They are not reliable as chalk even if it is in Lambeau Field. Tennessee is 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a losing record, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played on grass. Take the Titans. Thank you.

Washington Commanders.

Game 265.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

My friends, the Philadelphia Eagles certainly deserve all their accolades. I mean let’s face it, we are just past halfway through the season, and they are sitting at 8-0. They are a good football team. But I do feel that the odds makers are overvaluing them, especially here on Monday Night. Making them more than double-digit favorites against a very game division opponent like the Washington Commanders is a mistake. Washington enters this match up winning three of their last four straight up and are just a half-point away from covering all four of those outings. This is a team that’s getting better as the season progresses. They’re not as flashy and they don’t have as many big names on this team as the Eagles, but this team can play football. No, their offense isn’t breaking any records. But their defense is pretty darn good. And head coach Ron Rivera has them believing they can win. You know Philadelphia as I mentioned is a very good football team. But I think a little bit of luck and good situations have helped them a little bit to stay undefeated. I feel there’s a lot of pressure on this team to win at this point. However, Washington does not have any pressure on them. Every victory they get is just a bonus for them at this point. And the fact that they are 4-5 right now they still have a chance of making the playoffs. I just feel the Eagles come in here a little overconfident. And I believe is in a huge letdown mode. You know they haven’t played the strongest opponents yet this season. Outside of one or two games, most of their matchups have been against subpar teams. The Commanders are 8-3-2 ATS the last 13 games on grass, 5-0-1 ATS the last six games in November, and 3-0-1 ATS the last four games overall. Take Washington. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

NFC GAME OF THE WEEK.

Game 261.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Without question, Aaron Rodgers is a first ballot Hall of Famer. Also, without question he is one of the most successful quarterbacks of this generation. What is questionable is the fact that some think the Green Bay Packers can turn things around the season. Well sports fans, we are more than halfway through the regular season and they are just 3-6 both straight up and against the spread. They have dropped five in a row straight up and five of the last six against the number. The offense ranks 27th, accounting for a dismal 17.1-points per game. Yes, the defense has been more than adequate. They rank second against the pass and only allow 20.9-points per game. But they are tired and overworked. There was a high-hopes for this team as a true NFC competitor. They took a season-opening loss at Minnesota. Then they followed that up with three straight up victories. But since October 2, the Packers have failed to win a single contest. There once explosive offense has mustered just 15.8-points per game during their current slide. Because of this, their fatigued stop-unit is starting to spring leaks. I am well aware of the fact that they have taken three in a row against the Cowboys, both straight up and against the spread. But these aren’t the same two squads that have met in recent years. Dallas comes into this matchup winning six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. And had an extra week to rest, heal, and prepare. The Cowboys offense is adequate. But what makes them so good is they make so few mistakes. It has been their defense that has very quietly been one of the league’s best, holding opponents to just 16.6-points per game, ranking third in that category, fourth in passing yards allowed, 10th in total yards allowed, and fifth in takeaways, snagging 14 turnovers. This is particularly a place where the Packers have struggled, committing 13 turnovers thus far. The road team has covered the last four meetings in this NFC rivalry. Meanwhile the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus NFC opponents, and 22-8 ATS the last 30 games played overall. The Packers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 2-6 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Dallas. Thank you.

Indianapolis Colts.

AFC GOW.

Game 257.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

Sports fans, it’s not an often occurrence that a team gets a second-chance during the regular season. I’m here to tell you the Indianapolis Colts have just that, a second-chance this season. This is a team which has had their offensive line break down, affecting their running game, and even a change at the quarterback position. And most recently, the firing of their head coach. However interim head coach former center, Jeff Saturday is very well-liked by the front office, the fans, and most importantly, the players. He will bring a fresh new look, attitude, and optimism to this team this week. And what better opponent the face than the struggling Las Vegas Raiders. My friends I know the Raiders team very well. I live here in southern Nevada. I know the coaching staff. I know the players. I even watch practices. This team is not a very good team. Their head coach is one of the worst I have seen in recent memory making in-game decisions. And their quarterback is absolutely horrible. Guys this is not Fresno State. And Carr is not a big-game NFL quarterback. They enter this weeks matchup losing and failing to cover the last two games against teams that on paper, they were better than. Listen, the rumor mill around Vegas is there is a lot of dissension in the locker room. And things are going to get worse for this team before they even show a glimpse of getting better. As of this post, Sam Ehlinger is to remain the starting quarterback for Indy. And I believe he will have huge success in the year against the 26th-ranked pass defense of Vegas. On the flipside, please understand that the Colts possess a very strong, well-balanced defense. They rank 13th in the league allowing just 20.3-points per game. They rank sixth against the pass, 11th against the rush, and 5th overall in yards allowed. While the Raiders do have talent. I’m not gonna’ argue that. They just can’t get their act together. And forget about the quicksand factor. If anything goes wrong with this team during the game, things get significantly worse thereafter. They just don’t have real leadership, a smart coach, or a quarterback that can take them down the field with authority. The road team has covered four consecutive meetings in this series. Indianapolis is 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 road games versus teams with a losing home record. And guys Las Vegas is just 1-5 ATS the last six games played in November. They tend to fold like a cheap suit later on in the season. Take Indianapolis. Thank you.

New York Giants.

89% Angle.

Game 246.

10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST.

My friends, the New York Giants are not pretty, they’re not flashy, and heck they’re not a very exciting football team. But what they are is successful this season. This is a team that was touted to be the poorest in the NFC East. But nearly halfway through the regular season, they are tied for second place at 6-2. What is astounding to me is the fact the 1-6-1 Houston Texans are only a 4.5-point underdog here. New York comes off a bye week following their first loss since September. It was also their first no cover since September. Look for them to bounce back strong here as they will steamroll the worst rush defense in the NFL with their fourth-ranked rushing offense. Let’s face it, Houston is just horrible. Offensively, defensively, their numbers are dismal. But as far as their offense goes, they rank 28th in scoring averaging a laughable 16.6-points per game. They have to line up against a New York Giants stop-unit, ranking ninth in the NFL, yielding just 19.6-points per game. The Giants had two weeks to stew over their first loss in quite a while, rest, heal, and prepare for this next contest. I look for them to not just come out here win and cover, but make a true statement. Going back a way, New York has won and covered four straight in this series. They are also 19-8-1 ATS the last 28 versus teams with a losing record, 7-2 ATS the last nine in November, and 4-1 ATS the last five overall. They may not do it pretty, but they do, do it. Take New York. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

NO LIMIT GOM.

Game 254.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

My friends, let’s face it the line in the Vikings/Bills matchup should be closer to eight or nine-points. It is this low due to the fact that we are uncertain as to the status of Josh Allen as of this point. If he goes, this line will skyrocket. If he doesn’t, then it looks like backup quarterback Case Keenum will be at the helm. And people are all nervous about this. With all respect, I could step up and take the helm and guide this team to victory. They rank third in the league in scoring, lighting up scoreboards for over 27.5-points per game. Now they do own the third-ranked passing attack in the NFL. Even if Allen does not go and Keenum is under center, please remember he is a 10-year veteran of the NFL. And he has put up some solid numbers on a couple of different teams. He has a receiving corps so good and so deep that trust me when I tell you, he can put up good numbers in the air here. But overall let’s not forget the fact that this team is one of the better rushing teams in the league. So, they can crutch on their ground game to open up the passing game. And that is all moot because they own the top-ranked defense in the NFL. They have been shutting down offenses all season long, allowing just 14.8-points per game. I mean they rank in the top-10 in every single defensive category. Now let’s talk about the Minnesota Vikings. In my opinion they are the luckiest team in the NFL. They are certainly not nearly as good as their 7-1 record. I think they’ve gotten darn lucky folks. I mean they needed the final two-minutes to beat the Commanders by just three-points, they beat Kyler Murray after he admittedly spent the night before without sleep playing Call of Duty (true story), they beat the Dolphins with a  third-string quarterback, they beat the Bears by seven when they were really struggling, they needed a missed field goal to beat Andy Dalton and the Saints, they did beat the Lions, which are own one of the worst defenses in the league, they lost to the Eagles badly and beat the what now we have come to realize, a very overrated Packers. Like I said, they’re a very lucky team. No matter what they do offensively, they have to line up against a ferocious defense that knows they may have to compensate for a backup quarterback on offense. Plus, guys this team is horrible at defending the pass. As I said if Josh Allen plays this line is going to soar. And he’s gonna’ light them up in the air. And if he doesn’t, Case Keenum is good enough to light them up too. No, he’s not is flashy as Allen or as successful, but in this system against this pass defense, he could put up some good numbers. To add insult to injury, the Bills come off their first loss since September. And they are 6-1-2 ATS the last nine following a straight up loss, 5-1-1 ATS the last seven at home, and 11-4-1 the last 16 in the month of November. Take Buffalo no matter who is at the helm here. But get it in early just in case Allen does start on this line skyrockets. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Baltimore Ravens.

MNF WINNER.

Game 473.

5:15 PM PST/8: PM EST.

There are a few certainties in the NFL. One such certainty is if the Baltimore Ravens start winning, watch out they’re gonna’ continue to win. This is a team that has won consecutive games for the first time in the 2022 campaign. Behind Lamar Jackson, they own the fifth-ranked scoring unit in the NFL, averaging over 26=points per game. And once again, their defense is extremely strong, allowing just 22.9-points per game. One word that can certainly describe the New Orleans Saints is “inconsistent.“ Overall, their numbers are decent offensively. However, I don’t see them moving the ball with any success on the ground against one of the toughest rush defenses in the league. And if they can’t move the ball on the ground, they will have trouble in the air. Since mid-September, this team has mustard just two victories. There’s a reason for that. They’re not a very good team. While there is talent on the Saints, there’s no true leadership and as I mentioned, they lack of consistency. While their offense can score some points, when facing aggressive defenses, they seem to sputter. And there’s no debate that prior to last weeks blanking of Las Vegas, New Orleans defense has been a doormat. They rank 28th in the NFL, allowing over 25-points per game. They are also 1-4 ATS the last five following a straight up win, 0-4 ATS the last four at home versus teams with a winning road record, and 0-4 ATS the last four on Monday Night Football. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans.

AFC GOW.

Game 471.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

My friends, I’m not looking to ruffle any feathers here. I know the Kansas City Chiefs are one of the best teams in the NFL. But who the heck are they to be laying this type of wood against the Tennessee Titans? I get it, the Titans are having some quarterback issues. But no matter who is under center, the Tennessee offense is not a passing offense. This is a team that has accumulated a 5-2 straight up record, and for our purposes also a 5-2 ATS record, with the 31st ranked passing attack. So, I’m not going to let the odds makers trap me into thinking that if Tannehill can’t go and it’s Willis, that the Titans aren’t still the play here. This is a team that relies upon the rush. I know the Chiefs are good against defending the run. But they have yet to face a ground attack like the caliber of this one. Not only will Tennessee give them a heavy dose of Derrick Henry, who by the way is going to play sports fans, not only will they get a heavy dose of Henry, but Tennessee will also have the luxury of eating up a lot of clock, keeping the Chiefs defense on the field. Let’s not forget, no matter who is at the helm, KC ranks 30th in the league defending the pass. Defensively, I know the Titans are going to give up some yardage in the air to Patrick Mahomes. But I doubt that the Chiefs are going to have any success on the ground here at all against one of the stingiest run defenses in the league. The Titans have won five of the last six meetings in this series, both straight up and against the spread. This includes last years, 27-3 drubbing. They have also covered five straight coming into this matchup, are 4-0 ATS the last four versus the AFC, 5-2 ATS the last seven on grass, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Just in case you’re keeping count, the Chiefs are 0-4 ATS the last four following a straight up win, 0-5 ATS the last five versus AFC opponents, and 0-4 ATS the last four in Arrowhead. Take Tennessee folks. Thank you.

Cincinnati Bengals.

No Limit.

Game 464.

10:00 AM PST 1:00 PM EST.

Following a 4-1 straight up run, in which Cincinnati covered all five games, last week in Cleveland they were humiliated, 32-13. I look for them to bounce back strong here as on both sides of the ball they are significantly stronger than Carolina. It’s no secret the Panthers are one of the worst teams in the NFL. And after last weeks 37-34 near miss in overtime in Atlanta, I just feel this team is going to throw the white flag up on the season this week. As of this point, the Carolina starting quarterback has not been determined. But whether it’s Walker, Donald, or Mayfield, they are going to have to line up against a Cincinnati defense that did not allow a second-half touchdown prior to Monday. They will come here angry and looking for redemption. When the Bengals have the ball, their sixth-ranked passing offense will dissect one of the worst pass defenses in the league. And things will go better from bad to worse the Carolina here as they will be without starting safety, Justion Burris and have a banged-up cornerback Donte Jackson in the secondary. The Panthers are 1–6 ATS the last seven on the road, 0-4 ATS the last four versus teams with the winning record, 2-9 ATS the last 11 following a straight up loss, and 5-17 ATS the last 22 overall. The Bengals are 6-1 ATS the last seven at home, 4-1 ATS the lats four following a SU loss, 7-3 ATS the last 10 at home versus teams with a losing road record, and 13-3 ATS the last 16 overall. Take the Bengals. Thank you.

New York Giants.

NFC GOW.

Game 269.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

My friends, I do several sets of my own power ratings. And on both of my sets, I have the New York Giants a small favorite in this matchup. They are now 6-1 on the season, both straight up and against the spread. Not only are they winning games but they’re winning games that they are coming back from deficits. That shows you how good certain teams really are. With a healthy Saquon Barkley running the ball and the ever-maturing David Jones at the helm, this team is playing some great football. You may not realize this, but they possess the number two rushing attack in the NFL, while also possessing the number five scoring defense in the league. When you combine those two benefits you will win ball games. Plain and simple. I understand Geno Smith has the highest quarterback rating of his career. But let’s face it, he was never a standout quarterback folks. I do like Kenny Walker running the ball. He has a bright future. But when push comes to shove and the game is in crunch-time, is Geno Smith the guy you want making decisions on the fly? I doubt it. I wouldn’t put too much stock in the Seattle’s last two games, which were both victories over Arizona and Los Angeles. Neither of those teams have shown any consistency. I do feel it’s going to be a slow-moving game, with a heavy dose of running the ball by both offensive units. So, this comes down to defense. And there is no way the 28th ranked scoring defense of Seattle isn’t going to get steamrolled here. As I mentioned earlier, I have the Giants a slight favorite on both sets of my power ratings. They will win this game out right and get another big “W”. So, getting points here is an early Christmas gift. Take New York. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers on the moneyline.

NFL GOM.

Game 273.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

A lot of people thought that when San Francisco brought in Christian McCaffrey, that their woes would be behind them. Well, they came back down to reality last week in a devastating 44-23 loss at home against the Kansas City Chiefs. However, I think this is the week you’re going to see Christian McCaffrey have a very successful game and Jimmy Garoppolo, most likely have one of his best performances thus far this season. McCaffrey only had two days to acclimate himself with his new playbook and get in sync with Jimmy G. I look for him to have a very good game this week. Take note Deebo Samuel is out. But, coming off that embarrassing loss a week ago will really motivate the 49ers here. Please understand that the Los Angeles offense is one of the worst in football. They rank at or near the bottom in just about every major offensive category, including the most important one, which is scoring. The average just 17.3 points per game. They must now face one of the most ferociously stop-units in the NFL, coming in here angry and looking for redemption following last weeks loss. The San Fran “D” allows just 19-points per game. They are equally good against the pass as well as the rush. I don’t see the Rams having any success offensively in this matchup. I feel you’re going to see a lot of three-and-outs and multiple turnovers, thus resulting in the Los Angeles defense spending a lot of time on the field. Eventually by the second half they will tire-out and get exploited. Let’s not forget the 49ers have beaten the Rams seven consecutive regular season meetings. They’ve also covered the last six overall meetings in a row. They are also 4-0 ATS the last four versus the NFC West, while the Rams are 1-4 ATS the last five at home. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans on the moneyline.

NO LIMIT.

Game 267.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

After starting the campaign 0-2, Tennessee has rattled off four consecutive wins and covers. Derrick Henry has tallied over 536 yards rushing and five TDs on the ground. It seems as though each week the stand out ball-carrier gets better and better. Now he goes up against the 32nd ranked Houston rush defense here. There is no doubt he will have the best performance of the season. During their current hot streak, the Titans defense has gotten better and better with each week, yielding just 16.5 points per game. I just don’t see the Texans 28th ranked offense moving the chains at all here, let alone getting into the end zone. Tennessee is 7-0 ATS the last seven games played in October, 4-1 ATS the last five games following an ATS win, and 6-2 ATS the last eight versus the AFC South. Take the Titans. Thank you.

New York Jets.

Late Info Move.

Game 266.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST

My friends, the worm has turned in the AFC East. For decades we have watched the New England Patriots reign supreme. And we have also watched as the New York Jets have been the division doormat. While currently New England sits in last place in the division, New York has taken over the second-spot just behind Buffalo. After big road victories playing in tough places like Lambeau and Mile High, the Jets return to East Rutherford in front of their home crowd here. With the news that Mac Jones will be returning this week under center, the general public is playing New England. Come on folks. I like Jones. But let’s be honest. He has two touchdowns and six interceptions. And now he has to face the very stout New York “D”. You may not realize this but the Jets are not only yielding just 19.6 points per game, but they have also snagged 11 turnovers. The Patriots are one of the worst teams in the league committing turnovers, already coughing up the ball 15 times. In my opinion Bill Belichick and his team has an enormous amount of pressure on them. A lot more pressure than Robert Saleh and his boys. Actually, if you think about it, New York has almost no pressure on them because nobody expected them to win. Every victory they get is a bonus for the team at this point. Things will go from bad to worse for New England, while New York get another “W” here. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS the last four versus the AFC East. The Jets are 5-0 ATS the last five in October. The wrong team is favored here. But I will take the points with the Gang Green here, folks. Take New York. Thank you.

Baltimore Ravens.

Thursday Night Football Winner.

Game 101.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

Funny thing, the Baltimore Ravens are just a couple of plays away from being 7-0 instead of being 4-3. Coming in here needing some victories, I feel the Ravens are much hungrier for sure. Not only that, but I just don’t see the Buccaneers defense compensating for their lack of offense anymore. I mean let’s face it, this is a team that has dropped four of the last five straight up and all five of those against the spread. The Tampa Bay offense is so deplorable, that their defense has become overworked and fatigued. I just don’t see Tom Brady getting out of his funk. Nor do I see this team coming back in what we call the “do for “ factor. I understand the Bucs have quite a few injuries that has contributed to their current downfall. But this team is just not playing with any emotion. And they certainly have no momentum whatsoever. Look for quarterback Lamar Jackson to work his magic on the ground, keeping the Tampa Bay defense honest, which will open up the Baltimore passing game. As I mentioned, the Bucs defense is fatigued and overworked. There is no way they could content in this matchup. The road team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in the series. The Ravens are 23-11-1 ATS the last 35 games played on grass. The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs on the moneyline.

BEST BET.

Game 469.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

With the news of Christian McCaffrey being traded to San Francisco, the line dropped in this game. At the beginning of the week this is a game I circled because it stood out to me. Getting Kansas City off that tough heartbreaking loss at home in front of their loyal fans against Buffalo last week seem the right way to go. Since the news of the McCaffrey trade, the line has dropped. I have to tell you I like it even more now. McCaffrey certainly will bolster the offense. But understand that the Falcons exploited the 49ers weaknesses last week in the 28-14 dismantling of San Francisco. I’m not going to argue the fact that injuries have hurt San Francisco. This is the reason why they sputtered a week ago. Nothing has changed on that front. Key cogs in the wheel are still out. And Kansas City isn’t a team that you want to face coming off a loss. They are now tied with Los Angeles in the AFC West and need a big win here to build up a little bit of confidence and give them some momentum. I know the Chiefs are dealing with their own injuries in their secondary. Guys, I just don’t see the lackluster 49ers offense keeping pace with the mighty Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes score-for-score. Let’s not forget Kansas City is pretty damn good at stopping the run. And that is where San Francisco’s strength comes offensively. Under a field goal is a gift to here. Take Kansas City and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

New York Jets on the moneyline.

AFC Game of the Week.

Game 465.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

If we would go back in time to just before the season began, none of us would have predicted that after nearly two months into the regular season, New York would be 4-2, while Denver would be 2-4 at this point. Believe it or not, the Jets are a perfect 3-0 both straight up and against the spread on the road this season. Going into places like Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Green Bay and coming away with victories is no small task. Now the team goes into Denver to face a Broncos squad that is riding a three-game SU slide. Sure, Denver possesses a very solid defense. However, when your offense ranks dead last in the NFL in scoring, no matter how strong your stop-unit is, you cannot compensate. That’s right, the Broncos are averaging a laughable 15.2 points per game and are absolutely crushing bettors, going 3-11 against the spread the last 14 versus the AFC, 0-5 against the spread the last five following an ATS win, and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 overall. Take the Jets. Thank you.

New York Giants.

No Limit.

Game 453.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

I know a lot of people out there are waiting for a shoe to drop on the New York Giants. But I’m here to tell you folks, that their carriage is no way turning into a pumpkin. At least not this Sunday. At this time last year, they lost five of their first six games. What an improvement! You may not realize this, but they own one of the three best records in the NFC. And one of the four best records in all of football. Believe it or not, I think this team is going to actually get better because they welcome back a couple of key defenders last week. And what can we say about quarterback Daniel Jones? He seems to be more and more comfortable with each passing week in this system. Love them or hate them, this team is for real. If you don’t believe me, just look at last weeks win over the Ravens. They were down 20-10 in the fourth quarter and then they came back to take down Lamar Jackson and the mighty Baltimore team. On the flipside you got a Jacksonville Jaguars team that is riding a three-game loss and no cover streak. I get it, they should have lost in Philadelphia back at the beginning of the month. But no way should they have taken defeats at the hands of Houston at home or even in Indianapolis last week. They are going to have a tough time trying to move the chains against the feisty seventh-ranked New York defense. And I do feel you are going to see Daniel Jones and workhorse running back Saquon Barkley, who by the way is listed as questionable with the soldier issue but reports are that he will play…I believe we going to see these two have their best performances so far this season. I have New York being a two-point favorite in my power ratings line. Take the Giants and take them to the bank. Cinderella continues in that dress, in that carriage, and goes to another ball. Thank you.

Baltimore Ravens.

AFC North Game of the Month.

Game 460.

10:00 AM PST /1:00 PM EST.

The Ravens return home this week following another disappointing loss in which they blew another lead. They sit at 3-3 and are tied for the top spot in the division. In their three defeats this season, the Baltimore was ahead in all three, only to give up late leads. The Browns are absolutely horrible, failing to win or cover their last three outings. They possess one of the weakest defenses in the NFL, ranking 30th and yielding 27.2 points per game. Look for Lamar Jackson and company to bounce back here and take over the AFC North against their division rival. They have covered the last five meetings in this series. And are 5-1 ATS the last six games played following an ATS loss. Take Baltimore. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Bookie Buster.

Game 463.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Aaron Rodgers has his lowest QB rating of his career. The team has dropped their last two games and sit in second place in their division at 3-3. There is no way the Packers will let another poor opponent get the best of them. The Commanders are down to Taylor Heinicke at the helm. The team got a win last week over the Bears breaking their four-game slide (both SU and ATS). Their offense is non-existent, ranking 29th in the league, averaging a dismal, 17.0 points per game. They just won’t be able to content with an angry Rodgers and the Green Bay “O”. The Packers are 11-5 ATS the last 16 vs. the NFC. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

Chargers.

MNF PAYDAY

Game 2576.

5:15 pm pst/8:15 pm est.

There is no love lost between the Broncos and Chargers. A win here would certainly help Los Angeles jump another game ahead of Denver in the AFC West. And why shouldn’t they win? They have won their last two outings both straight up and against the spread. Meanwhile the Broncos are slumping. They have dropped their last two both straight up and against the number. Denver‘s offense is sputtering. They rank 31st in the NFL, averaging a dismal 15.0 points per game. I just don’t feel no matter how good their fourth ranked defense is, that they can keep pace offensively with the Chargers in this game. I do feel that the 1-2 punch of quarterback Justin Herbert and running back Austin Ekeler will be enough to put the Broncos on the ropes and eventually knock them out. The home team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in the series. The Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS the last seven games played on Monday night, 1-7 ATS the last eight games played versus AFC opponents, and 0-5 ATS the last five games played on the road. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Dallas.

LATE BAILOUT.

Game 273.

5:20 pm pst.

If you got a guy winning you stay with him. And that’s why I feel Cooper Rush will be under center, Sunday Night. Very quietly, the Dallas “D” has held all opponents to 19-points or less per game, yielding an average of just 14.4 points per game. They are equally strong against the rush as well as the pass. Not only that, but they’ve already snagged seven takeaways that’s far this season. Dallas took both meetings a season ago. And going back to December 2020, they’ve won and covered the last three consecutive matchups in this division rivalry. The Eagles have a very good offense. But the Dallas “D” can certainly slow them down while Cooper Rush and his offense wears down the Philly ”D” and does some damage. The last few weeks, both Jacksonville and Arizona gave Philadelphia all they can handle. And I don’t think either of those teams are on the level of Dallas. This is way too many points to give a Cowboys team that can win this game outright. Dallas is 7-2 ATS the last nine overall meetings with the Eagles and 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia. They are also 10-1ATS the last 11 on the road, 22-7 ATS the last 29 versus the NFC East, and 20-7 ATS the last 27 overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.  

Buffalo.

Late Info Move.

Game 271.

1:25 pm pst.

Both teams are perched atop their divisions with records of 4-1. They both suffered a loss to an opponent they should’ve beaten. And they both, since those losses, come back to win pretty decisively over some solid opponents. Many out there will tell you that this is a big revenge factor for Buffalo, which lost to Kansas City in the AFC divisional round last January, when they took the lead with just 13-seconds left in regulation, only to lose in overtime. Many might also tell you that the Chiefs have a psychological edge because of that victory. But if you recall during the regular season, the Bills spanked the Chiefs in Arrowhead just a few months prior to losing that playoff matchup. The big difference in this matchup, I believe will be the defense of Buffalo. They have played equally good against the pass and the run. On the flipside, you can’t ignore the fact that Kansas City‘s pass defense has been very vulnerable and has given up a lot of yardage in the air. I do believe Josh Allen will have a good game here. And I do believe Patrick Mahomes will have one as well. But once again, the difference to me will be the defense of the Bills. I’m not crazy about laying points on the road in Arrowhead. But under a field goal I have to side with Buffalo. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS the last four game splayed versus the AFC and 1-4 ATS the last five game splayed following a SU win. Take the Bills. Thank you.

Jacksonville.

MVP PLAY.

Game 255.

10:00 am pst.

A bit of luster has come off the Jaguars shine after starting the season 2-1 and now falling to a subpar 2-3. But they have certainly been the Achilles’ heel for Indianapolis, going 13-1-1 ATS the last 15 meetings in this series. This does include a 24-0 spanking in mid-September. The Colts offense is nonexistent and facing the Jaguars top-10 defense, I doubt they have what it takes to finally cover a game in this division rivalry, let alone win here. The underdog is 6-0 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Jaguars are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven meetings in Indianapolis. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.

Miami.

NO LIMIT PLAY.

Game 264.

10:00 am pst.

In my opinion, the Minnesota Vikings are the worst 4-1 team in the league. I’m not going to argue the fact there is talent on this team. But they just can’t string together consistent solid performances. Not only that, but they are crushing bettors, failing to cover four consecutive contests. Miami has some well-documented quarterback issues. But even if it is Skylar Thompson is at the helm, he has had a week to prepare. And you can bet that he and his stellar arsenal of wideouts will exploit the very vulnerable, Minnesota pass defense. There is no way I can, in good conscience lay points with Minnesota on the road. The Vikings are 1-5 ATS the last six games played on the road. The Dolphins at 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played at home. Take Miami. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

10 Dimes Play.

Game 265.

Sunday, October 16, 2022.

10:00 AM PT/1:00 PM ET.

-5.5 Consensus line.

(As an early release I know the line can move. I have this number closer to -8.5. If it moves to -7, we are still good. If it goes to a 7.5, I would advise you just to err on the side of caution and buy it down to a TD).

My friends, I have the line in this game closer to -8.5. Now obviously releasing this on a Tuesday we see -5.5. This is due to several reasons that I want to inform you about. For starters, it is the second of back-to-back road games for San Francisco. And their third road game in four weeks. Let’s put a pin in that. We are going to return to it in a moment. The number is also a little low due to the fact that the 49ers, as of posting this release have a few players that were injured in Carolina on Sunday. Cornerback, Emmanuel Moseley will be out, safety Jimmy Ward broke his hand, defensive lineman, Nick Bosa is dealing with a groin injury, and kicker, Robbie Gould tweaked his knee. The status of Bosa and Gould will be determined sometime this week. But early reports are optimistic that they will play on Sunday. Let’s go back to me addressing the 49ers playing on the road. Something you must know and something I feel is a significant advantage for the visiting team here, is that head coach Kyle Shanahan, over the last few seasons has implemented staying over on the east coast when he has back-to-back road games. They happen to stay at the very posh Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia. And just FYI, the last two seasons they stayed on the east coast which preceded with wins over the Eagles and Jets. They have had a lot of success utilizing extended stays on the road going 7-1 straight up their last eight implementing this option. Going back to the injuries, I don’t know if there is another team in the NFL this season that has adapted to banged-up players as well as San Francisco. They are deep at key positions. And following quite a few major injuries to starters this team is 3-1 both straight up and against the spread their last four games. I am well aware of the fact that the Atlanta Falcons are a perfect 5-0 against the number this season. But the clock strikes midnight this Sunday for this team at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This is a very difficult matchup for Atlanta. To begin with, their passing unit is absolutely deplorable, ranking 30th in the league accounting for just 166.8 yards per game in the air. Their strength has come from their rushing attack. Well without Cordarrelle Patterson, their leading ball-carrier (out with a knee injury), they ran for only 151 yards combined against Tampa Bay in Sunday’s 21-15 road loss. When your quarterback leads the team in rushing with 61 yards, it’s an issue. By the way two of their rushes combined for more than a third of the rushing yards. Without Patterson pounding the ball on the ground, Mariota is going to be running for his life the entire game. He must face the NFL’s top-ranked defense here. The ferocious, 49ers stop-unit leads the league in points allowed (12.2), total yards allowed (249.2), and rushing yards allowed (71.4), and also ranks third in passing yards allowed. (177.8). Jimmy Garoppolo is looking very comfortable at the helm. As a matter fact, with each passing week, his performances are getting better and better. He gets to lineup against Atlanta’s 29th-ranked pass defense. You we’ll see the quarterback have enormous success in the air here. He has the luxury of a backfield that ranks eight in rushing, averaging over 138.8 yards per game on the ground. There is no way the inferior Falcons “D” can slow down, let alone stop this well-balanced offense. Throw in to the mix, playmaker extraordinaire, Deebo Samuel and San Francisco will be able to move the chains and score at will here. It won’t just be Garoppolo‘s numbers that will go up, so will running back, Jeff Wilson Jr. tight end, George Kittle, wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk, and as I mentioned, you can expect a lot from Samuel as well. Despite the Falcons against the spread success this season, they are just 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home and 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. San Francisco is 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, and 8-1 ATS the last nine games played versus NFC opponents. Take the 49ers here. Thank you.

Kansas City Chiefs.

MNF GOM.

Game 480.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

I live in Las Vegas. And I also have the opportunity to watch the Raiders practice on a regular basis. I know this team inside and out. Don’t think for a second that getting a win last week is going to inspire this squad. It was no fluke that they begin the 2022 campaign 0-4 both straight up and against the spread. And now that they got a win under their belt, trust me when I tell you they’re going to fall back down to Earth here. Serious “let down” mode folks. The Chiefs are looking to remain atop the AFC West by continuing their stellar play thus far this season. After starting the campaign 2-0, Kansas City did fall in a tough match up at Indianapolis several weeks ago. However, their bounce back in an outstanding performance in Tampa Bay last week showed just how good this team really is. That loss to the Colts a few weeks ago show them what they need to work on and improve. And now they are better than ever. Just in this series they have dominated Las Vegas, winning 13 of the last 15 meetings straight up as well as sporting an 8-1 straight up and 7-2 against the spread marks at Arrowhead Stadium. Derek Carr has talent. I will not debate that. But he makes very poor decisions. Especially when he is under pressure. That is exactly what Kansas City is going to do in this matchup. They’re going to blitz, blitz, blitz, throwing, throw a lot of different packages and schemes at him and pressure him badly. They are going to force him to turn the ball over for sure. There is no way the Raiders 24th ranked defense can’t even slow down, let alone stop the Chiefs offensively. The juggernaut which is the Patrick Mahomes-lead “O“, ranks in the top-10 in just about every major offensive category. This includes the most important category, scoring. They are accounting for over 32.3 points per game. This does not bode well for the lowly Raiders “D” which is getting plowed for over 25-points per game. On the flipside, please understand that the only success Las Vegas has had offensively thus far, is establishing the run and then passing off of it. Well, the Chiefs stop-unit tops the NFL against the rush. They are only allowing 65.8 yards per game on the ground. Las Vegas is 1-5 against the spread the last six games played on the road and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 games played on grass. Kansas City is 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played at home and 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played on Monday Night. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.

Bookie Buster.

Game 473.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

There is only one undefeated team in the NFL. And that is the Philadelphia Eagles. You know you would think that after the first full month of regular season, a team going 4-0, that they were due for a letdown. But the Eagles are showing no signs of taking their foot off the gas. They have covered three straight games, Guys, this is a team which has seen their quarterback, Jalen Hurts mature significantly coming into this season. You may not realize this, but this offense ranks second in total yards per game, sixth in passing yards per game, fifth in rushing yards per game, and fourth in points scored. Not only do they have a very dangerous receiving corps, but the legs of Miles Sanders and quarterback, Hurts, have combine for over 561 yards rushing and seven TDs on the ground. On the flipside, their “D” has played outstanding football. They rank in the top-10 in every major category defensively. And they lead the NFL in turnovers, already grabbing 10 takeaways. That is just outstanding to me. On the other hand, Arizona has been very typical thus far. They lost to two teams that on paper, they are better than in Kansas City and Los Angeles. But did beat two teams on paper, once again they should’ve beaten in Las Vegas and Carolina. They are struggling offensively. While Kyler Murray, I’m not going to argue the fact he is a very good athlete, but he is just not getting the job done. Neither is his supporting cast. And defensively, this team ranks 28th and the league, getting plowed for over 25.8 points per game. I’ll look for them to get absolutely picked apart in the air by Hurts and his arsenal of receivers, Brown, Smith, and Goedert. I know Philadelphia has failed to cover the last five meetings in Arizona, but these are two very different teams this season. The Cardinals are one of the worst home teams in the league ATS, failing to cover seven straight at State Farm Stadium. Not only that but they are also 2-5 ATS the last seven versus the NFC, 1-4 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the 10 overall. Take the Eagles here too soar. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Dallas Cowboys.

Late Info Move.

Game 475.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

My friends, we’ve all heard of Super Bowl hangovers. However, it seems that the Los Angeles Rams are taking back to another level. I know they are just 2-2 after a month into the regular season and a lot can happen between now and December. But they be quite honest this team is in serious trouble. They beat the teams that on paper they should’ve beat in Atlanta and Arizona. And they lost to the teams that on paper they should’ve lost to in Buffalo in San Francisco. But it is the 49ers game that really influences my angle on this matchup. First of all, they come off a short week having played on Monday night. And normally I don’t gauge a current game solely on a previous team’s performance from the week before. But it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Rams just can’t move the chains or put any points on the board folks. I mean they rank 28th in total yardage, 20th in passing yards, 30th and rushing yardage and 29th and points scored. They are not just struggling; they are out of sync offensively. There are some underlying deep issues here for sure. They’re averaging a dismal 17.5 points per game. Granted the Cowboys “O” is not lighting up any scoreboards. But when your defense is allowing just 15.5 points per game, you don’t really need to light up the scoreboard folks. There’s a lot of talk this week that we may see the return of Dak Prescott. But with the way that Cooper Rush has looked, if I was a Dallas coach, I would definitely keep Prescott on the sidelines until I know he was 100% healthy. The backup quarterback has committed zero mistakes. And in my opinion, that’s the most impressive stat about Rush. They’re going to keep the ball on the ground with a heavy dose of the rushing attack. This will allow the passing game to open up and Rush can pick his spots in the air, guys. This is going to be a very slow-moving contest. Dallas is going to keep the ball on the ground, controlling the clock and the tempo, keeping the LA defense on the field. And more importantly their offense off of it. Not only do I think this game is going to be a lot closer than the point spread, I think Dallas has a good chance of winning it out right. This is a team that is 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played versus the NFC. Meanwhile Los Angeles is just 1-4 ATS their last five games played at home and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the points to the bank with the Cowboys here folks. Say it with me…GO COOPER RUSH!!! Take Dallas folks. Thank you.

San Francisco 49ers.

MVP Game of the Month.

Game 471.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

Starting the season off going 1-3 both straight up with against the spread, shouldn’t be too much of a shock for Carolina fans. I mean if you recall, last year they finished the season rattling off seven consecutive losses both straight up and against the number. Bringing in Baker Mayfield was supposed to be the remedy for this team. However, Mayfield’s quarterback rating of 30th is downright laughable. The offenses average a mere 19.5 points per game, ranking 24th in rushing, 30th in passing, and dead-last in total yardage. They must now go up against a San Francisco defense that has yet to allow an opponent to put up 20-points. The 49ers stop-unit tops the league in both total yards and points allowed while raking second against both the pass and the run. I see serious mismatches between these two squads here. Carolina has already coughed-up the ball six times, while San Francisco has snagged five turnovers already. No matter who is at the helm for the Panthers, I doubt very much they are going to be able to move the chains at all against this defense. On the flipside, Jimmy Garoppolo certainly has looked more comfortable at the helm. This last Monday he led the team to a 24-9 win and cover over the Los Angeles Rams. Some key cogs in the 49ers offensive wheel are returning as the entire offense is looking more and more in sync. And unbeknownst to many, this unit has a top-10 rushing attack. Throw into the mix playmaker extraordinaire, Deebo Samuel, and things are starting to significantly improve for San Francisco. They will completely shut down the Carolina “lack of” offense, while Garoppolo, Samuel and George Kittle make their way down the field and into the end zone at will. The 49ers are 7-1 ATS the last eight versus the NFC, 4-1 ATS the last five versus teams with a losing record, and 7-2 ATS the last nine overall. Under a touchdown is a gift here. Take San Francisco.

Detroit Lions.

No Limit Play.

Game 469.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Believe it or not, the wrong team is favored in the Detroit Lions/New England Patriots game on Sunday. Obviously, this is new territory for Bill Belichick and the Pats. We haven’t seen them start a season 1-4 in as far back as I can remember. Not only are they not winning, they are crushing bettors. They just got their first cover of the 2022 campaign. To add insult to injury they’re running out of quarterbacks up in Foxborough guys. Mac Jones out. Brian Hoyer out. That leaves the offense in the hands of Bailey Zappe. Who? Bailey Zappe. I mean in all sincerity, even with Jones and then Hoyer, they were struggling. They’re putting an atrocious 18.5 points per game on the board. And they’ve already committed nine turnovers. I know, I know, I know the Lions defense is absolutely horrible. But that’s old news. Nothing new there. But what is a new headline, is the fact that they possess the top-scoring offense in the NFL right now. That’s right, the Detroit Lions are accounting a whopping 35-points per game. They rank number one in total yardage, number five in passing yards, and number six in rushing yards. Jared Goff has a better receiving corps here that he has ever had in his tenure in the NFL. Not only that but he has the luxury of a very potent ground game to keep defenses honest. And it will be that ground game that will keep the Patriots defense backpedaling, allowing Goff to open up the very passing attack. Once again, yes, I know the Detroit defense is absolutely horrible. But I just don’t see the New England offense keeping pace with them score-for-score. And how about the fact that they’re 9-2 against the spread the last 11 in the underdog role. As a matter fact they’re ATS trends are some of the best in football; 13-3 the last 16 following and ATS loss, 6-2 the last eight on the road, 7-2 the last nine following a straight up loss, and 4-1 five overall. Personally, I think they win this game out right. But I will take the points just the err on the side of caution. I’m going to say something I haven’t said in years. Take the Lions folks. They are winner this Sunday. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Under in the Colts/Broncos matchup.

AFC Total of the Month.

Games 301/302.

5:15 pm PT/8:15 pm ET.

My friends, it’s no secret that both Indianapolis and Denver are struggling. Both teams had high expectations coming into the regular season. And yet they are combined 3-4-1 straight up thus far. Both offensive units rank amongst the worst in the league as the Colts average just 14.3 points per game and the Broncos average only 16.5 points per game. Neither unit has had any success on the ground. And let’s face it overall, they are both experiencing a nightmare the first quarter of this campaign. To add insult to injury, both offenses have coughed the ball up a combined 13 times already. It’s no secret that Indianapolis running back Jonathan Taylor is banged-up. As of posting this play, he is listed as questionable. It’s also no secret that Denver’s leading ball-carrier, Javonte Williams is out. But both defenses have played pretty well. Indy ranks 14th in the NFL allowing just 21.3 points per game while the Broncos rank sixth, yielding a mere 17.0 points per game. One more thing they both have in common folks, is the fact that they have combined to play seven unders in their eight total contests in 2022. As a matter of fact, going back a bit, Indianapolis has played to nine consecutive unders. And the Broncos have played to 11 unders over their last 15 outings. Here’s a few more under trends that confirm why we are going under the total here; Indianapolis has played under in five straight on the road and eighth straight against the AFC, while Denver has played to six unders over the last eight in Mile High and nine of the last 12 overall played on grass. This game goes under the total. Take the under. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

MNF winner.

Game 279.

5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST.

All week long all I keep hearing about is how strong the San Francisco 49ers defense is. And granted, so far this season they are looking good, only allowing 12.3 points per game. However, folks, who have they played? They’ve gone up against the Chicago Bears, the Seattle Seahawks, and the Denver Broncos. Not one of those offenses is a powerhouse, let alone a mediocre squad. As a matter fact, all three of those units are struggling badly. So once again who have they faced? They must now go up against a Los Angeles Rams team that after a season opening embarrassing loss to the Buffalo Bills, rattled off two consecutive straight up wins against the Atlanta Falcons and the Arizona Cardinals. The 49ers have also had problems putting points on the board themselves. Outside of putting up 27-points against the Seahawks, they put up 10-points against the Bears and 10-points against the Broncos. These are two defensive squads that have gotten smoked against good solid well-balanced offenses so far this campaign. Now, San Francisco has covered five straight in the series. But, they were an underdog in all five of those meetings. Now the Rams come in here as the underdog. And guess what folks? The ‘dog has covered seven consecutive matchups in this rivalry. The Rams are money on Monday Night, covering four of the last five. And are very good against the NFC sporting a 31-15-1 against the spread mark the last 47 against the conference.  I think the wrong team is favored here. Los Angeles should be a field goal favorite for sure. And that is why we’re taking them tonight. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Denver Broncos.

Late Info Move.

Game 273.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

A lot of people out there in both the sports and the sports betting worlds feel that Las Vegas is due for a win. Well folks the “due for” factor only applies when you actually have some talent and some motivation. This team has neither. I know this team. I live here in southern Nevada. And I’ve watched several of their preseason games and I was in the stands for the debacle a few weeks ago when Arizona beat them in overtime. This team is not very talented. While there is some talent on the team, they have no organization. Their quarterback makes very bad decisions. And their coaches play calling is among the worst in the league right now. This is a team that has lost and failed to cover their last four games going back to last season. With a win here Denver can take hold of first place in the AFC West at least for a few hours. Because Kansas City, who is also tied with them at 2-1 in the division, has a very tough late-Sunday evening matchup against Tampa Bay. That game can go either way folks. So, the Broncos really have a chance of taking sole possession of first place in a very competitive division. Let’s face it, Denver played very competitively in their season opener in Seattle. Then came back to win the following two games against Houston and San Francisco at home. So far, this team has shown very little offensively. I’m not going to argue that fact. But when you’re playing a team that gives up nearly 26 points per game, your offense will to come to life. Trust me folks when I tell you that. One thing about this Broncos offense, they rarely turn the ball over. They have just three turnovers so far this season. But it will be their defense that will give them a win here this week. They have only allowed 12 points per game behind a very stingy stop-unit equally tough against the pass and the rush. The Raiders cannot run the ball at all. They own one of the worst rushing teams in the league, ranking 28th and averaging a dismal 80 yards per game on the ground. Any of their success comes in the air. And they must face the third ranked pass defense in football this week. The Broncos “D” will get to Carr and force mistakes from the shaky quarterback. The underdog is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in the series. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 versus the AFC, 2-7 ATS the last nine on grass, and 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS loss. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

Buffalo Bills.

Touchdown Play.

Game 257.

10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est.

Sports fans, the Bills come off their first loss of the season as both their offense and defense looked out of sorts against the Dolphins last Sunday. It was the first time they looked to be outplayed in quite a while. They are now 2-1 and sit in second place in the division behind Miami. Well, Buffalo has to get back on track right now and make a statement. Not just a division, but to the rest of the AFC. And what better opponent to do that than Baltimore. News is that Lamar Jackson, through the first several games of the season is without a doubt the clear MVP. But who has he faced? The Jets, a loss to the Dolphins, and a banged-up Patriots squad. The last time these two teams faced one another, the Bills absolutely shut down Lamar Jackson, getting the win and cover 17-3 in January of 2021. I don’t think that will be a problem once again here as Buffalo owns one of the nastiest and most ferocious defenses in the NFL. They rank number one in total yards allowed, number two in passing yards allowed, number two in rushing yards allowed, number four in points scored, and already have snagged six takeaways. The Ravens have yet to face a defense like this. Especially getting this team off a loss, they’re going to come in here angry and motivated. On the flipside, Josh Allen who, let’s face it had a very subpar game last week, will be able to pass at will against the Ravens 32nd ranked pass defense. One thing for sure, Baltimore gives up a lot of points. This doesn’t bode well when you’re going up against the third ranked scoring offense in the NFL that averages over 30.3 points per game. Josh Allen will bounce back here and have one of his best games so far the season. And Buffalo will come out and make a statement that they are back on track. The Bills are 7-1-1 ATS the last nine following an ATS loss, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 on field turf, and 6-2-1 ATS the last nine overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Minnesota Vikings.

No Limit Play.

Game 251.

6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST.

With the NFC North currently in a three-team tie for first place, the Minnesota Vikings must put their foot on the gas immediately. And what better team to face than the struggling New Orleans Saints. New Orleans is 0-3 against the spread this season. They opened up the campaign with a one-point late win against Atlanta. Then they were humiliated at home by Tampa Bay. And then on the road in Carolina, they were so bad, they allowed the Panthers to stop their nine-game straight up and against the spread losing streak. Granted, Jameis Winston was certainly playing hurt. As of posting this play, his status is still undecided. If he plays, he is not going to be 100%. If he doesn’t, that means Andy Dalton will take the reins. Talk about picking the lesser of two evils (LOL). This is a team struggling to have any success on either side of the ball. On the other hand, Dalvin Cook is scheduled to play here. Look for the running back to run amok against the 26th ranked rushing defense of the Saints. Defensively, look for the Minnesota to completely shut down the struggling New Orleans offense. The Saints are 4-10 ATS the last 14 versus teams with a winning record. The Vikings are 10-1-1 ATS the last 12 on turf. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Touchdown Play.

Game 481.

1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est.

Both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are two of the best teams in the NFC. The Packers redeemed themselves from a season-opening loss in Minnesota to come back last week and devour Chicago at home. Tampa Bay has won and covered both of their outings this season, both on the road in Dallas and in New Orleans. It’s no secret the Buccaneers offense is sputtering. I know how good their defense is but their offense is sputtering. Now they are stepping up in class and facing the best “D” they have had to face so far this season. That’s right, the Green Bay Packers own a very good defense. Tom Brady is going to run into some issues trying to get the passing game going as his receiving core is severely depleted. To make matters worse, he hast to face the fourth ranked pass defense in the NFL. Now I know how good the Buccaneers defense is. They currently ranked first, yielding just 6.5 points per game. However, the Packers are running the ball with enormous success. They will be able to control the tempo and the clock here, keeping the Bucs defense on the field and tired and come the second half. I feel Tampa Bay is due for a huge let down folks. As I mentioned earlier this is the first big test of the season and Green Bay knows they can’t afford another loss like they did two weeks ago. The Packers are 10-4 ATS the last 14 versus the NFC, 20-8 ATS the last 28 on grass, 12-5 ATS the last 17 following a straight up win, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 versus winners. Take the Packers. Thank you.

Atlanta Falcons.

Late Info Move.

Game 483.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

One of the worst mistakes to make in sports betting is the judge a current weeks games from the last few weeks outcomes. Having said that, I feel the Atlanta Falcons should not be an underdog in this game with the Seattle Seahawks. At the very least, this game should be pick ‘em or even the Falcons minus one. I understand that Atlanta is 0-2 straight up. But we don’t get paid here with wins. We get paid with covers. They are perfect 2-0 against the spread the season. They kept very close games with two very good teams; the New Orleans saints and the Los Angeles Rams. Meanwhile, the Seattle Seahawks, which own one of the worst offenses in the NFL, are favored here. Let’s face it, Seattle’s offense ranks 31st in total yards, 28th in passing yards, 32nd in rushing yards, and 29th in points scored. Not only that, but they’ve turned the ball over four times already. The Atlanta Falcons defensive statistics are not the most impressive. But they have improved quite a bit this season. On the flipside, the Falcons offensive passing game has struggled to say the least. But reports are that Marcus Mariota is going to get Kyle Pitts more involved this week. If that happens great. If it doesn’t, they can still rely on one of the most proficient running games we have seen so far this pro football season. They rank seventh in rushing, averaging over 145 yards per game on the ground. You are going to see a heavy dose of Cordarrelle Patterson here. He is running for over 5 yards per carry. And trust me when I tell you he is a workhorse. He he’s going to keep the lackluster 25th ranked rush defense of the Seahawks on their toes and honest. Thus, allowing Mariota to open up the passing game. Remember the Falcons are still scoring points, accounting for over 26.5 PPG already. And I do think Mariota will have success in the air in this matchup especially without safety Jamal Adams in the secondary for the ‘Hawks. Atlanta is 4-1 against the spread the last five meetings with Seattle. And they are money on the road covering seven of the last nine away from home. By the way just in case you’re keeping score, Seattle is a 6-13 against the spread the last 19 versus NFC opponents. I Like the Falcons outright here. But I will take the points. Take Atlanta. Thank you.

Los Angeles Rams.

NFL Game of the Month.

Game 485.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Guys, the Rams are one of the best teams in football. They opened up the season against the Bills and got shellacked. They followed up last week with a win over Atlanta. Now odds makers overvalued them last week, making them a double-digit favorite while they only won by four-points. That was the team just getting back on track after their season opening loss. On the other hand, the Cardinals were thumped in their season-opener by Kansas City at home. Now I was in the stands for their trip to Las Vegas last week as they beat the Raiders in overtime. Guys in all honesty, Arizona didn’t beat Las Vegas. Las Vegas beat themselves. Following that game, the Cardinals are due for a big let down here. And trust me, the Rams are just the team to put them in that let down spot. Los Angeles has taken 10 of the last 11 meetings straight up, going 9–1-1 against the spread since 2017. FYI, just in case you’re keeping score, they are 7-0 against the spread the last seven meetings at the State Farm Stadium. The Cardinals defense ranks 32nd in scoring, getting plowed for over 33.5 points per game. Rams quarterback, Matthew Stafford is going to absolutely dissect and decimate the 31st ranked passing defense in football. Look for Los Angeles to get back on track here, lighting up the scoreboard offensively, while their defense gets a well-needed dominating performance. The road team is 11-4-1 ATS the last 16 overall meetings in this series. The Cardinals are 0-6ATS the last six at home, 1-4 ATS the last five following a straight up win, and 1-4 ATS the last five versus the NFC. My friends the Rams are going to make a statement in this match up. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans.

No Limit Play.

Game474.

10:00 am pst.1:00 pm est.

My friends I live here in Las Vegas. I watch the Las Vegas Raiders practice. And I was at the game last week when they blew the lead and lost in overtime to the Arizona Cardinals. In the second quarter of that game, while they were still up 20-0, I leaned over to my buddies and I said they’re gonna’ lose this game. My friends, this is not Fresno State. Quarterback Derek Carr, while he has talent, he is not a winner. He makes very bad decisions and does not react well to defenses. Not only that but the Raiders play-calling so far the first several weeks of the season has been absolutely atrocious. To be quite honest with you, the wrong team is favored here. I have the Tennessee Titans at least a two-point favorite on my power ratings. The Titans strength, without question comes from the legs of running back Derrick Henry. And they have certainly had trouble establishing the run so far thus resulting in their winless record, both straight up and against the spread sports fans. But coming off that embarrassing 41-7 loss in Buffalo last week is going to prompt this team to get back on track. That defeat will light a fire under their butts and will be the reason why they start winning again. This team has a lot of talent guys. And let’s face it, the Raiders defense is absolutely horrible. I know the Titans stop-unit’s numbers are just as bad. But that is a direct result of the fact that their offense isn’t running the ball with success and they are experiencing a lot of three and outs. That will all change here in this matchup. Like I said I know the Raiders team. And mentally they will not recuperate so fast from last week’s overtime loss. By the way, they are point spread poison. Here’s a few against the spread stats for you; Las Vegas is 1-7 the last eight versus teams with losing record, 1-5 the last six following a straight up loss, 1-4 the last five on the road, and 4-9 the last 13 overall. Tennessee will win this game out right. Look for Derrick Henry to run wild. Take the Titans. Thank you.

Green Bay Packers.

Late Bail Out Play.

Game 288.

5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST.

The Green Bay Packers are one of the favorites to win the NFC and furthermore, to win the Super Bowl this season. And yet in their season-opener against the Minnesota Vikings, they took a 23-7 spanking. On the other hand, the Chicago Bears fans are talking playoffs already after their season-opening 19-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers. One thing about Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers is that they do not take losing lightly. They are 6-0 against the spread after the last six regular season losses, with an average margin of victory coming by better than 15-points per game. You have got to admit, Chicago is severely outclassed here. And with the way Green Bay is looking for some vengeance and little payback after the week 1 ass-whoopin’, the Bears are in big trouble. To add insult to injury, the Pack have dominated this division rivalry, taking six consecutive meetings, both straight up and against the spread. By the way, the average margin of victory in those six wins is 12.5-points per game. I think we can all agree that Justin Fields is a long way away from running the Chicago office with any efficiency. And trying to compete with an angry Green Bay team…wow I feel bad for the young quarterback. Green Bay is 11-3 ATS the last 14 following a straight up loss, 7-2 ATS the last nine at home, and 9-4 ATS the last 13 versus the NFC. Chicago is 4-12 ATS to last 16 as an underdog, 0-5 ATS the last five versus the NFC North, and 4-9 ATS the last 13 overall. I’m not crazy about laying double-digits in the NFL, especially in Week 2. However, the Packers are going to open up a can of whoop-ass here and get back on track, making a statement to the NFC and the entire league. Lay the points and take Green Bay to the bank. Thank you.

Atlanta Falcons.

Late Info Move.

Game 277.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

Guys, I’m not looking to take away anything from the Rams. But they are way overvalue here. They were outscored by 21-points in the second half and absolutely dominated by the visiting Bills, getting thumped, 31-10 and their season-opener a week ago. Granted Buffalo is one of the AFC‘s favorites to take the conference and moreover the Super Bowl, but coming off a beating like that will affect any team mentally. On the other hand, Atlanta will come in here, I believe a little extra-motivated, having blown a 26-10 fourth-quarter lead at home against their division rival, New Orleans last week. Let’s face it, losing the game by two-points with a field goal with 19 seconds left in regulation, will sting quite a bit. Watching Los Angeles’ defense get gashed last week tells me that Atlanta’s running back, Cordarrelle Patterson and rookie wide receiver, Drake London can and will move the chains here this week against them. Let’s not forget that the Falcons defense was one of the poorest in the league last season and did rank dead-last in sacks. However, last week they did get to the fleet-footed Jameis Winston four times. Until Matthew Stafford gets the luxury of a capable ground attack to keep the defenses honest, I think he’s in for a very long season. I’m not trying to compare the Falcons defense to the Bills, which did tally seven sacks and three interceptions a week ago. But the Atlanta stop-unit is definitely much-improved. And certainly, good enough to make some noise here. And once again, because they have a good ground game to control the clock and the tempo. This game will be a lot closer than the double-digit point spread. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings against the Rams and 5-2-1 ATS the last eight on the road. The Rams are 1-4 ATS the last five as a favorite and 2-5 ATS the last seven overall. This is way too many points for Los Angeles to lay. Especially looking the way they look right now. Take Atlanta here. Thank you.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

NO LIMIT GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 271.

Sunday, September 18.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

Both Tampa Bay and New Orleans opened this season with wins. The Buccaneers dominated the Cowboys, 19-3 to get the victory and the cover. Meanwhile, the Saints had a very tough time with what was supposed to be the division doormat Falcons, needing to outscore them 17-3 in the final quarter to get a one-point victory, 27-26, failing to get a cover as a six-point favorite. Tampa Bay is slated to win the NFC South and touted want to win 11.5-games this season. On the other hand, New Orleans many people predict to finish second in the competitive division. But are forecasted it to win just 8.5-games. If the Buccaneers are going to get their goal of an NFC Title, they must beat their division rival here. Last season they dropped both meetings straight up and against the spread in this rivalry. Trust me when I tell you the Buccaneers have had this game circled since the schedule came out. They are fully aware of the fact that the only team that could give them a hard time in the NFC South season is the Saints. There is no arguing the fact that Tom Brady is a much more reliable and capable quarterback than Jameis Winston. Although the Saints roster is chock-full of ball-carriers, none of their running backs had a season opening performance as good as Leonard Fournette’s 127 yards rushing. The 1-2 punch of Brady and Fournette will keep the New Orleans defense very honest. They cannot key on either their passing game or the run game. They have to be ready for anything as Brady and Fournette are one of the most-dangerous QB/RB tandems in the NFC. The Saints defense have a few leaks in it and playing against the Falcons last week exposed those leaks. Head Coach, Todd Bowles is looking to make a splash here in his first year in Tampa Bay at the helm and make a statement to the rest of the division, and moreover the entire conference that the Buccaneers are a team to be reckoned with. His coaching staff, a unique one, as both Kacy Rogers and Larry Foote are sharing the role of defensive coordinators, have watched the tapes from last week’s game and will further exploit those leaks here in this week’s matchup. New Orleans is 4-9 ATS the last 13 versus teams with a winning record, 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, and 0-5 ATS the last five games played in Week 2. Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record, 6-2 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC South, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played as a road favorite. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Dolphins/Ravens Under.

NFL Total Blockbuster.

Games 263/264.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

My friends, I’m going to keep this analysis just like me, very short and extremely sweet. (Lol) Last year’s meeting between these two teams resulted in a total of 32-points scored. As a matter fact, coming into this match up eight of the last 11 Dolphins contests have gone under the total. And seven of the Ravens last 10 have gone where? That’s right, under the total as well. Both offenses seem to be a little bit out of sync at the moment, looking like it’s going to take a little while for the squads to mesh and get in a groove. However, both defenses are looking pretty strong right now. Both head coaches are looking to continue their winning ways. And therefore, will not tolerate any mistakes or turnovers by their teams here. I think this is going to be a very slow-moving game as both teams will try to establish the run. Something they’ve yet to do this season. The under is 5-0 in the Dolphins list five on the road as well as seven of their last nine versus the AFC. It is also 6-0 in the Ravens last six as a favorite and 5-2 in their last seven versus the AFC as well. Take the under here in a very low scoring contest. Thank you.

Tennessee Titans.

Touchdown Play.

Game 475.

1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST.

Very quietly the Tennessee Titans have become the favorites to take the AFC south. A lot of smart money here in Vegas came in on them to actually win the Super Bowl at 15-1. And here in Week 1 of the regular season, they match up against the New York Giants team that is touted to finish dead-last in the NFC East, and win only seven games. New York is in a rebuilding year once again. And to be quite honest there’s a lot of question marks surrounding the team. Their quarterback has it big question mark on him as well as the entire offensive line. The team was the dismal 4-13 a season ago. Now they must face a perennial playoff contender which ranked second in the NFL in rushing defense and sixth on third down defense. The Giants are 0-5 ATS the last five on the road, 0-5 ATS the last five during Week 1 of the season, and 0-6 ATS the last six overall. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

New Orleans Saints.

High Roller play.

Game 455.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

It is imperative that as the season begins the New Orleans Saints get a big division win here. The Atlanta Falcons are a team in transition to say the least. This is a true rebuilding year for them. And is an ideal opportunity for New Orleans to make a statement in the NFC South. The Falcons are in real trouble in this series opener. They are without Matt Ryan for the first time since 2008. This team was one of the worst in all of the NFL a season to go offensively. And it doesn’t look like they made too many improvements to better themselves. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in Atlanta. By the way the road team is 5-1 ATS the last six overall meetings in the series. Take the Saints. Thank you.

Philadelphia Eagles.
Las Vegas Strip Move.
Game 465.
10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

The Philadelphia Eagles are one of the best teams in the NFC. They’re loaded with talent both on offense and on defense. My friends, this line of this game should be definitely closer to a touchdown. Once again, this season of the Detroit Lions have very little to be excited about. They are slated to win just six-games. Jalen Hurts is another year older and more experienced. He will exploit the vulnerable Lions secondary. Meanwhile, the Eagles “D” will take advantage of serious mismatches here. This game will get ugly. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Bengals.

Super Bowl 56 Winner.

Game 102.

3:30 pm pst.

Two evenly matched teams. But Joe Burrow has already won on a national level at LSU. And Zac Taylor is 100% in the NFL postseason. We all know what happened to Sean McVay and the Rams the last time they made it to the Big Game. Not to overlook the fact that the Bengals have faced and beaten some tougher competition to get here. By the way, without question, Los Angeles is carrying way more pressure here. With all sincerity, Stafford isn’t the best when under pressure. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, 5-0 ATS the last six games played as a ‘dog, 6-0 ATS the lats six games played following an ATS win, 3-0-1 ATS the last four games played in the playoffs, and 7-0 ATS the last seven games played overall. I like the Bengals outright. But I will take the points here. Thank you.

PROPS

Joe Burrow To Throw 2 Or More TD’s

Sony Michel Rushing Yards Over 16.5

Cooper Kupp To Score A TD in 1H

Game Will Be Tied After 0-0

Totals QB Sacks Over 5

Total FG’s By Both Teams Over 3.5

Totals INT’s By Both Teams Over 1.5

49ERS.

NFC GAME OF THE YEAR.

GAME 323.

3:40 PM PST.

San Francisco has beaten Los Angeles six straight meetings, covering five of the six, including four straight. We all know this. And so do both the 49ers and the Rams. It can’t but help boost the confidence in San Fran coming into this matchup. And moreover, it can’t but put further pressure on the minds of L.A. Both have outstanding passing attacks. But the Rams pass defense is a bit shaky. So, I give an advantage to the 49ers. Offensively, Los Angeles doesn’t really run the ball with all that much success. I mean folks, they average under a hundred yards per game on the ground. This makes them very vulnerable to the ferocious San Francisco pass rush which has wreaked havoc on their offense in both earlier meetings. So, I give another advantage to the 49ers. San Fran does own a top-10 rushing attack and will stress the run here thus allowing them to control the clock and the tempo, keeping the L.A. defense on the field, and most importantly, Stafford and their offense off the field. I think both teams without question deserve to be here. But I give a real edge to Jimmy G and the 49ers for sure. So, giving them 3.5 points, to me offers an incredible amount of value to us bettors. The ‘dog is 6-0 ATS the last six meetings. The 49ers are 5-1 ATS last six as a road ‘dog and 16-5 ATS the last 21 in the month of January. Take the 3.5 and bank on it. Take San Francisco. Thank you.  

CHIEFS.

AFC GAME OF THE YEAR.

GAME 322.

12:05 pm pst.

When these two teams met on January 2, the Bengals prevailed, 34-31. Following the game, Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes gave each other a handshake. Mahomes uttered five words…”See you in the playoffs.” Burrow is 2-0 in NFL postseason play. Mahomes owns an 8-2 career playoff record, including a 7-1 mark at Arrowhead Stadium. The Bengals OL allowed nine sacks in last week’s outing. To make matters worse, they claimed just one sack on Ryan Tannehill. The lack of playoff experience for their QB is significant. The breakdown of their offensive line is significant. Going on the road to KC (playing here is much different than playing at Tennessee) is significant. Throw in the mix that Cincy doesn’t run the ball with too much success makes the aforementioned issues even more significant. Then there is the play of Mahomes. The QB has taken his game to another level. With the momentum following last week’s OT win, the Chiefs roll here. Kansas City is 6-0 ATS the last six games played at home, 6-1 ATS the last seven playoff games played at home, 7-2 ATS the last nine games played vs. the AFC, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the Chiefs. Thank you.  

Tampa Bay.

NFL GOM.

Game 316.

12:00 pm pst.

Rematches in the NFL are tricky. Los Angeles bested Tampa Bay, 34-24 back in September. But if you recall, last season the Buccaneers beat several teams in the postseason they had lost to in the regular season. They are an outstanding rematch team. Over his career, Matthew Stafford has played in just four playoff games. Tom Brady has played in 45. Things change come the playoffs. They change significantly. Both teams should be able to pass the ball here. But once again the playoffs change things. And if you’re not used to playing in January, the pressure is evident. Leonard Fournette is expected back and gives the Bucs the luxury of a ground game to keep the Rams defense honest. Brady will see the return of a key offensive lineman to give the seasoned veteran a bit more time in the pocket. Let’s be honest, defenses have been trying to contain the quarterback for decades without success. With two underdogs winning outright Saturday, Tampa Bay won’t take any chances here. This game rests on Brady’s experience and shoulders. L.A. is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record. Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at home, 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the postseason, and 5-1 ATS the last six game splayed vs. NFC foes. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

Let’s start with the health of Jimmy Garoppolo. I don’t care what you hear about his shoulder or his thumb. It’s all propaganda and no merit. The QB is healthy and playing some of his best football ever. The offense is now utilizing Deebo Samuel very creatively and will move the chains here. On the other side, you have on of the best QB’s in the history of the sport having a career year. There hasn’t too many opponents, if any this season that has contained Aaron Rodgers when he is 100%. Both teams will be able to have success in the air which will allow both offenses to open up their ground games. When these two teams met in September, it resulted in 58 points scored making it the third consecutive matchup going over the total just since January of 2020. Green Bay comes in here with six of their last seven going over the total. Granted San Francisco, just three of their last eight have gone over the total. But in all sincerity, they really haven’t faced too many spectacular offenses. This game flies over the total folks. The over is 4-1 the last five meetings between these two teams, 5-0 in the Packers last five vs. the NFC and 7-0 their last seven playoff games, 5-2 in the 49ers last seven Saturday games and 9-4 in their last 13 games played following an ATS win. Take the over. Thank you.

Tampa Bay.

NFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 146.

10:00 am pst.

We all know Philadelphia might have eked their way and backed into the playoffs. Tampa bay did not. As a matter of fact, they not only came in through the front door, they kicked the damn door down. Things change significantly when the postseason arrives. Jalen Hurts does not have the playoff experience needed to succeed. He will feel the pressure and buckle to it. Tom Brady is the most successful QB in the history of the sport and feels right at home come January and February. The Buccaneers OL is healthy. RB, Fournette is expected to make his return. Let’s not forget Brady’s number one go-to guy, “Gronk.” The October 14 matchup, Tampa Bay held Philly to just 215 yards of offense, while the Bucs nearly doubled that number. If you’re concerned about the Eagles rushing attack, don’t be. The Bucs counter with the NFL’s 3rd ranked run defense. Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played as a road ‘dog and 1-4 ATS the last five WC games. Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you.

New England.

AFC GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 143.

5:15 pm pst.

As we all know, these two division rivals met twice in December. The earlier meeting in Foxborough, the Patriots staff changed their entire offensive scheme to minimize Buffalos defensive strengths, thus leading to a 14-10 victory. The latter meeting in Orchard Park, in which the Bills prevailed, 33-21. They deserved their victory, but Buffalo showed all their cards. They have nothing left hidden up their sleeve. Guys, Belichick and his staff are pretty sharp. There’s no question they will come in here doing two things: Number one, offensively leaning on their potent ground attack which controlled the clock and slashed the Bills defense for over 371 yards on the ground on over 5 yards per carry in the December matchups. The second thing they’re going to do is to come in with a totally different defensive gameplan, throwing tons of different looks at Josh Allen who may have the physical tools but not mental ones just yet, and they will force mistakes. On both sides of the ball, these two teams are very similar talent-wise. So, this game comes down to preparation and coaching. There is no way Sean McDermott can outthink the “hoodie” in January. NO WAY! The road team is 19-6-2 ATS the L27 meetings in this series, the underdog is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, and the Patriots are 15-3 ATS the L18 meetings played at the Bills. Take New England. Thank you.  

Las Vegas.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 141.

1:30 pm pst.

Joe Burrow has had a good season. But he is playing with a sore knee and his team is just 5-5 the last 10 regular season contests. And some of those wins were against depleted opponents. Things change drastically come the playoffs. The QB doesn’t have the postseason experience needed to succeed. Derek Carr has nearly 5,000 yards passing (4,804 YP). His fourth consecutive season throwing 4,000-plus yards and has some playoff swagger under his belt and much more overall savvy. He and his team which has momentum winning four in a row SU and three in a row ATS (last three all as a ‘dog), will pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of the Bengals. Look for Waller and the 6th ranked receiving corps in the NFL to have a season-best performance here. Looking closely at the Las Vegas defense, they have held their last six foes to an average of 294 YPG. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road ‘dog. The Bengals are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played at home vs. teams with a winning road record. Take Las Vegas. Thank you.  

New England.

EIP.

Game 455.

1:25 pm pst.

Bill Belichick has his team back in the playoffs and with a chance to win the AFC East. He wants his Patriots primed and ready to roll into the postseason. If you want proof as to how much, just look at last week’s, 50-10 demolishing of the Jaguars. The Dolphins are done for the season. Next Sunday, they will be playing golf. LOL. Outside of maybe a rookie receiving record, they have nothing to play for here. Nor do they want to jeopardize next season by getting any of their key players injured here. Let’s throw into the mix that revenge plays a factor too. If you recall, Miami bested New England back in September. And the Patriots are a team that do like their revenge. Here’s some trends you might find interesting: New England is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played as a favorite, 6-2 ATS the last eight games played vs. the AFC, 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, and most importantly, 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played in the month of January. Take the Patriots. Thank you.

Tampa Bay.

HR play. Game 462.

1:25 pm pst.

Tampa Bay is banged-up. But it won’t matter. After almost losing last week’s game, they will take no prisoners this week as they have an opportunity to grab the NFC’s #2 seed. They do need some outside help. But they must win here to have any chance at it. This is a team that owns one of the NFL’s best home records at 6-1 at Raymond James Stadium. They face a Carolina team on the verge of setting their own record, the team to finish with the worst record in the history of the NFL after starting the season 3-0. The Panthers are on an 0-6 run both SU and ATS, with the average margin of defeat during the slide coming by 14.6 PPG. Tampa Bay’s 2nd ranked scoring offense can and will light up the scoreboard here. And if that wasn’t enough, the Bucs have won and covered the last three meetings in this series, including a December 26th, 32-6 shellacking. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Chiefs.

HR play.

Game 115.

10:00 am pst.

With last week’s 36-10 demolishing of Pittsburgh, Kansas City clinched a playoff spot. Right now, the Chiefs own a one-game lead over the Titans for the AFC’s best record. They want to be the top-seed come the postseason guys. Patrick Mahomes leads the No. 4 scoring offense in the league. This is a huge mismatch as the quarterback the will absolutely shred the Cincy 29th ranked pass defense. That would be enough for me to side with them here. But the Chiefs defense puts the icing on the cake my friends. They have allowed 17 points or less in seven of the last eight outings, which by the way were all wins. That’s right, this team has rattled off eight straight victories and six straight covers. Now folks Joe Burrow and the Bengals have come a long way. But this is still a young squad and I feel after last week’s beating of the Ravens, they are in serious let down mode here. KC is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents while Cincy is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take the Chiefs all the way to the bank. Thank you.

Colts.

TEN DIMES play.

Game 101.

10:00 am pst.

Let’s pump the breaks there, Raiders fans. The last two weeks in your 16-14 win over the Browns and your 17-13 win over the Bronco were both against teams that were ravished by missing starters and both came against backup quarterbacks. As of posting, Carson Wentz “may” be cleared to play here. But either way, Vegas is truly outclassed. Jonathan Taylor is chomping at the bit to face the Swiss-cheese like Las Vegas run defense. Let’s face it, when you match up the NFL’s 5th ranked scoring offense with its 26th ranked scoring defense, things are gonna’ get ugly folks. On the flipside, the Raiders are having issues crossing the goal line and now have to line up across from a Colts defense that has yielded 17 points or less in five of their last six contests. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played on the road while Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take the Colts under a TD. Thank you.  

New England.

HIGH ROLLER.

Game 472.

10:00 am pst.

With a win here, New England will lock up the AFC East. These two teams met a few weeks ago with the Patriots prevailing, 14-10. That game was won in the trenches where the Bills are outmanned and outclassed. Bill Belichick and the much-sharper New England coaching staff prepared a perfect game plan for that contest. And will come in here with a different scheme but still very effective. Josh Allen is in for another long and unproductive day here facing one of the NFL. The Bills “O” took a big hit with the loss of WR, Cole Beasley. Coming off a loss, following a seven-game win streak (SU and ATS) expect the Patriots to win here with authority. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS the last four game splayed following a SU win. New England is 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a favorite, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home. Take the Patriots. Thank you. 

Colts.

HR play.

Game 415.

5:15 pm pst.

If you recall, a season ago, Arizona flatlined down the stretch going 3-6. Well history repeats itself here and this season, they dropped four of their last seven outings. Kyler Murray hasn’t been the same since returning from his ankle injury and with WR Deandre Hopkins sidelined, the offense has shown very little consistency. Just the opposite for Indy which has won seven of their last nine SU and eight of their last 11 ATS. The Colts are very much alive in their division, coming off a big win vs. the Patriots last week. And if you’re concerned about them being on the road, Don’t be, they are 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a visitor winning some big games on the road vs. such notables as San Francisco and Buffalo. Jonathan Taylor and the 2nd ranked rushing unit in the NFL will take this game on his shoulders, or should I say his legs and demolish the beat-up, ‘Zona run defense. The Cardinals are 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played at home. Take Indy here. Thank you.

Green Bay.

LVSM.

Game 454.

1:30 pm pst.

I don’t care how depleted a team is, when you lose to the Raiders, you’ve hit rock bottom. Playing with just five days to rest, heal, prepare, and travel is tough. When you still have a slew of players in COVID-protocol that can’t practice and not knowing if they’re gonna’ play is even tougher. But the toughest thing of all is having to go into Lambeau and face the Packers and their loyal fans. The only 11-win team in the NFL still needs victories to lock up the NFC’s top seed and home field come the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers is on the cusp of being the teams all-time leader in TD passes. Look for this game to get uglier than Patrick Mahomes’ brothers tik tok videos. The Browns are 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. the Packers and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. The Packers are 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS the last five games played as a home favorite. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

49ers.

TNW.

Game 451.

With no real offensive threats to rely on since Derrick Henry went down, the Tennessee “O” has been nonexistent. Ryan Tannehill can not carry the load all by himself and has started to crack committing multiple turnovers on a regular basis. Well, in comes Nick Bosa and the mighty San Francisco defense. The 49ers are in a key position to earn an NFC WC spot, winning five of their last six. Jimmy G has the offense humming like a 57” Chevy. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS the last five games played as a road favorite, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Rams.

BLOCKBUSTER.

Game 328.

4:00 pm pst.

The Rams won at the Cardinals on MNF. They are just one GB or Arizona in the conference. Seattle, at 5-8 mathematically can still make the postseason. But most-likely must win-out to do so. L.A. has Minny, Baltimore, and San Francisco remaining on the schedule. So, they really need a victory here to boost their confidence as it looks to be the least competitive foe left. The 3rd ranked passing offense in the NFL will shred the 32nd ranked pass defense here. The Seahawks are 1-5 ATS the last six meetings in this series, 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played on the road, and 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played vs. the NFC. Take the Rams. Thank you.

Green Bay.

LVSM GOM.

Game 315.

1:25 pm pst.

Sports fans, whether it is Lamar Jackson or Tyler Huntley at the helm, trust me, it won’t matter. Guys, this Ravens offense is mediocre at best. Just over the last month or so, they were outscored by Miami, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland once. None of those teams are powerhouses. In their two victories over the last five games, they eked out a 16-13 win over Chicago and a 16-10 win in an earlier meeting with Cleveland. Guys, this team is not a contender. But Green Bay is a contender. Aaron Rodgers will pick apart the leagues 31st ranked pass defense. This just might be his best performance of the season. On the flipside, whether it be on the ground or in the air, the Packers “D” will completely shut down the already stunted Ravens offense. With NFC reps, the Buccaneers and the Cardinals both also sporting 10 wins, the Packers want this win. My friends, since the Week 1 loss, Green Bay is on an 11-1 ATS run. They are money going 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a favorite, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played overall. The Packers win by double-digits. Take Green Bay. Thank you.

New England.

HR play.

Game 311.

Guys I have been rooting for Jonathan Taylor all season. And much of Indy’s success is because of the running back. But New England comes in here with the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing defense and the overall top-scoring stop-unit. They are a swarming and stifling squad that will frustrate the Colts offense and slow down Taylor. During their seven-game SU and ATS winning streak the Pats “D” has allowed a mere, 10.4 PPG. On the flipside, Mac Jones is playing well beyond his years. He’s got a 70% completion rate on the campaign and over the last seven games, just two INT’s. He doesn’t make mistakes and the offense wears down opponents BIG TIME. The wrong team is favored here folks as the Patriots are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Colts, 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a bye week, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. Take New England. Thank you.

Kansas City.

TNW.

Game 301.

5:20 pm pst.

Kansas City has won six in a row SU while covering four straight. During their last six games, the Chiefs defense has forced 16 turnovers while yielding a mere 10.9 PPG. Los Angeles is getting plowed for a ton of points and seem to lose to any solid foe. The last two months the Chargers have been defeated by the Ravens, Patriots, Vikings, and Broncos. With KC’s defensive issues behind them we must side with the hot-handed Chiefs. They are 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at the Chargers, 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of December, and 22-10-1 ATS the last 33 games played vs. the AFC West. The Chargers are 19-40-1 ATS the last 60 games played at home, 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played as a home ‘dog, and 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents. Take Kansas City. Thank you.

Arizona.

MNF GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 130.

5:15 pm pst.

This is an ideal opportunity for the division-leading Cardinals to further distance themselves from the rest of the NFC West. Kyler Murray is back and shook off the cobwebs in last week’s win and cover in Soldier Field. What impressed me most in the quarterbacks first game back is that he committed zero mistakes. It’s now evident that head coach Sean McVay is in way over his head. To make matters worse, there is no possible way for the team to compete in this matchup. L.A. is on a 1-3 run SU and a 1-5 run ATS. Sure, they can pass the ball. But, ‘Zona counters with one of the NFL’s best pass defenses and ranks 4th overall in the league, allowing just 18.7 PPG. Mistakes, turnovers, penalties, and a weak pass rush will prove to be fatal for the Rams here. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played on the road. Arizona is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. NFC West opponents. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Tampa Bay.

HR play.

Game 126.

1:25 pm pst.

This is the time of year when cream rises to the top in the NFL. Over the course of the week, I keep hearing one thing. The Bills are a very good road team. Looking closely at their away record, they beat the Dolphins and the disappointing Chiefs, lost to the Titans, lost to the Jaguars, then beat two last-place doormats in the Jets and Saints. Now they must travel to Tampa to take on a Bucs team that has won and covered three straight. Tom Brady will dissect and decimate the overworked and overrated Buffalo defense here. On the flipside, Josh Allen is in for a long day lining up against a Tampa Bay “D” that is back at full strength and ranks 2nd against the rush. Without a successful ground game to crutch on, Allen is going to be a sitting duck here. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played at home, 12-3-2 L17 games played in the month of December, and 5-2 L7 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you.

Under in the Lions/Broncos matchup.

LVSM play.

Game 121/122.

1:05 pm pst.

These two teams have combined to play six overs and 18 unders in the 2021 season. When you match up two offenses that combine for a dismal 36.7 PPG, expect a low-scoring affair. The Broncos defense is top-10 in every major category while the Lions “D” has vastly improved over the last month (18.0 PPG allowed last four games). The under is 5-0 in Detroit’s last five games played on the road and 5-1 in Denver’s last six games played at home. Take the under. Thank you.

New Orleans.

CONSENSUS play.

Game 107.

10:00 am pst.

Riding a five-game SU slide, if the Saints are going to salvage their season and save head coach, Sean Payton’s job, they must win here. No matter who is under center, New Orleans is expected to see the return of running back, Alvin Kamara and a few other key players. Let’s be honest, facing the 32nd ranked scoring defense of New York would remedy any offenses ailments. New Orleans is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played following an ATS loss and 17-8 ATS the last 25 games played as a road favorite. Take the Saints. Thank you.

Under in the Jaguars/Titans.

AFC SOUTH TOTAL of the Month.

Games 111/112.

10:00 am pst.

Ever since running back, Derrick Henry went down, so did the Tennessee offense. They went from scoring 34, to 28, to 23, to just 13 points each of the last two outings. Granted, Jacksonville accounts for a mere 15.0 PPG. With both the Titans and the Jaguars struggling to cross the goal line. I doubt this will be a high-scoring contest. As a matter of fact, the scorekeeper can probably take a nap here. The under is 5-2 in the Titans last seven games played at home and 10-1 in the Jaguars last 11 games played overall. Take the under. Thank you.

Dallas.

NFC EAST BB.

Game 117.

10:00 am pst.

The general public moved on the WFT team early this week because they have won and covered four in a row. But they will not be able to keep pace on the scoreboard with Dallas’ high-flying “O”. The Cowboys got back a few key cogs in the wheel on both sides of the line of scrimmage last week when they beat New Orleans on the road, 27-17. Dak Prescott and the 4th ranked aerial assault will shred the WFT’s 30th ranked pass defense. Throw in the mix the stellar 6th ranked rushing attack controlling the clock and the tempo and the Cowboys are going to hand the WFT and general public a big loss here. Dallas is 7-0 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played overall. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Steelers.

TNW.

Game 101.

5:20 pm pst.

Minnesota is struggling. With back-to-back losses to San Francisco and Detroit, things have gone from bad to worse for the team. To add insult to injury (no pun intended), OT, Darrisaw and WR, Thielen will be sidelined here. Their only true offensive weapon, RB, Cook (check status) is questionable. Defensively, the Vikings have gotten plowed, allowing a total of 94 points the last three contests. Pittsburgh’s numbers aren’t too much more impressive. But QB, Roethlisberger (check statis) is most-likely playing and with the team coming off a win against rival Baltimore, the come in here with some momentum. The Steelers are 35-16-3 ATS the last 54 games played as a ‘dog and 13-5 ATS the last 18 games played as a road underdog. The Vikings are 2-7 ATS the last nine games played at home and 1-9 ATS the last 10 games played as a fav. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.  

Patriots.

MNF Winner.

Game 475.

5:15 pm pst.

Guys the Bills are a very good team. But they are not a great team. At least not yet. Not crazy about the coaching staff and not crazy about the quarterback. The staff has made some poor late-game decisions and Allen, he has the physical talent, but guys, he’s a lunkhead. He takes too many unnecessary chances. Bill Belichick and his coaching staff knows this and will throw a lot of different schemes at him, shake him up, and force turnovers. The Patriots “D” rank No.1 in the NFL, allowing just 15.8 PPG and as importantly, have snagged 25 takeaways. Mac Jones is not, I repeat, is not a lunkhead. Apparently, you get a much better education in Alabama than you can in Wyoming. Guys every game he matures more and more and he has the confidence of six straight wins and for us we have the confidence of six straight covers. Not only that but New England also has the luxury of an ever-improving running game to keep the Buffalo defense honest. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. the AFC while the Bills are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC. I like New England outright here. But I will take the points anyway. Thank you.

49ers.

LVSM play.

Game 473.

1:25 pm pst.

Very simply, San Francisco is starting to heat up while Seattle is as cold as ice. One team has won and covered three straight while the other has not. Jimmy Garoppolo has the 49ers offense purring like a 57’ Chevy. They have accounted for over 95 points during their three-game hot streak. Meanwhile, Russell Wilson and the dismal Seahawks (lack of) offense has tallied a total of 28 points over their three-game skid. Look for the NFL’s 6th ranked rushing attack to exploit the 23rd ranked run defense and allow Jimmy G to open up the passing game. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road favorite. Seattle is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. the NFC West. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Under in the Vikings/Lions matchup.

NFC NORTH TOM.

Games 451/452.

10:00 am pst.

The Lions are trying everything they can to earn their first victory, playing extremely competitive in four of their last five outings. Their lack of offense along with their scrappy defense has resulted in playing to eight unders over their last nine games. The Vikings lost their only true offensive weapon in running back, Dalvin Cook. The under is 11-5 the last 16 meetings in this series. Take the under. Thank you.

Eagles.

HR play.

Game 461.

10:00 am pst.

Philly, my friends, believe it or not is just a half-game out of the final Wildcard spot in the NFC. The Jets, guys, the only thing the team is showing up for is to give QB, Zach Wilson some playing time following is month long hiatus. LOL. Sports fans, you don’t have to love the Eagles here as much as you have to hate the Jets. New York hasn’t won back-to-back games since a few opponents pulled their starters late last December. Wilson is in for a very long day trying to shake off the rust against the ever-improving Philadelphia pass rush. But the biggest mismatch is between the Eagles No.1 ranked rushing offense and the Jets 27th ranked run defense. Jalen Hurts, who it looks like should play here (check status), will put up his best numbers of the campaign both in the air and on the ground as he lines up against the NFL’s worst scoring defense. Going back a ways, Philly is 5-0 both SU and ATS in this series. Take the Eagles here. Thank you.

Dallas.

TNW.

Game 301.

5:20 pm pst.

Losing their last two outings, 7-4 Dallas must turn things around here to both, widen their lead in the division and to keep pace with the conference teams sporting eight and nine wins. Don’t put too much stock in the fact that the Cowboys are dealing with COVID-19 issues. Dan Quinn takes the reins on the sidelines and most of the squad is still intact. They should see the return (check status of all players) of receiver, Lamb. And whether Elliott plays or not, Pollard can handle the load on the ground. But it will be Prescott who shines here facing the leagues 23rd ranked pass defense. Dallas is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road. New Orleans is 2-5 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC, 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-3 ATS the last four game splayed at home. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Consensus.

Game 267.

1:25 pm pst.

Minny is red-hot, winning and covering three in a row and four of their last five games. Dalvin Cook will run amok here against the NFL’s 20th ranked run defense. The only games San Fran has covered in Santa Clara since 2019, were against the LAR. They are 0-8 ATS against every other visitor. They are also 3-10 ATS the last 13 games played as a fav and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win. Minnesota is 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road and 6-2 ATS the last eight games played as a road ‘dog. Take the Vikings. Thank you.

Green Bay.

NFC GOM.

Game 270.

1:25 pm pst.

Making Green Bay an underdog in Lambeau Field is a huge mistake. The Packers are an NFC elite team for sure. And following a two-game skid, if the team is going to turn things around, it is this week. Their defense allowed the most points since Week 1 last week. Playing a sliding Rams offense that has accounted for 26 total points the last two games will remedy this. LA hasn’t covered since mid-October and making them a fav here truly is a huge mistake. They are 0-7 ATS the last seven games played vs. Green Bay and 3-8-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of November. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. the NFC and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take the Packers. Thank you.