Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -5.5 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils. Round Of 64 Top Play. Game 782 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM With all respect to the Golden Eagles, they do not belong on the same court as the Blue Devils. I know this team had a nice Cinderella story a few years ago in the Tourney. I also know they were 18-0 in the Summit League and are riding a 17-game win streak. But folks, who did they beat? They started off the campaign with an eight-point loss to Saint Mary’s. A week later got devoured by Houston, 83-45. And another week after that, they took a 10-point defeat on the road at Utah State. So, my friends, they stepped up in class three times and got beat all three times this season. Duke is a monster team with a monster roster. They are no strangers to the NCAA Tournament. They have intelligence, height, muscle, speed, and depth. They enter this matchup winning nine consecutive games, straight up against a much higher level of opposition than their counterpart is accustomed to facing. It’s true, Oral Roberts does have a 7‘5“ player on their roster. And he’s a damn good player at that. However, Duke has four players on their roster 7 foot or taller. They also don’t choke. A couple of the big names on the Golden Eagles are known to have choked when it comes to bigger games. Facing the Blue Devils, in the first round of the Big Dance is the biggest game this team will ever see. You can expect Duke to dominated both ends of the court and particularly on both the offensive and defensive glass. Oral Roberts has failed to cover four consecutive games against teams with a winning record, 12 of the last 15 games played versus teams is a winning percentage above .600, and seven of the last nine games played overall. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you. |
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03-16-23 | Howard v. Kansas -21.5 | 68-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Wiseguy Move. Game 758. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. My friends, I’m not a big fan of laying big wood in the first round of the Big Dance. But a win is a win is a win. Head coach Kenny Blakeney won a national championship with the last time Howard appeared in the NCAA tournament, 31 years ago. That was 1992 when Kansas hammered Howard in the first round, 100-67. The last time these two teams met was in December, 2011 when the Jayhawks shellacked the Bison, 89-34. Déjà vu all over again my friends. Howard was 11-3 in MEAC play and an overall 22-12 on the campaign. This is a very talented team. However, this is also a team that lost 95-63 in the first game of the season against Kentucky, 85-75 a few days later against George Washington, 95-69 even a few days after that against James Madison, and over the upcoming weeks, got downed by Wyoming 78-71, devoured by Bellarmine 96-73, shredded by Yale, 86-40, beaten by Hampton 74-65, and dismantled by VCU, 70-60. Every time they stepped up even a little bit in class, they were decimated. Kansas doesn’t have a problem, flexing their muscles, especially against lesser teams. Looking at their first few weeks of their nonconference schedule, they beat some opponents by over 30+ points my friends. And coming off an embarrassing loss in the Big 12 Championship against Texas, 76-56, you can expect Bill Self, who, by the way will be back on the sideline here, to have his team, primed, prepped, ready, and make a statement to the rest of the field. The Jayhawks need to get back in sync, following that dismantling at the hands of the Longhorns. They also need to get a big confidence-builder. And furthermore, they need to let the rest of the teams in the tournament. know that they are a team to be reckoned with. Howard had problems as I mentioned earlier coming out of the conference against teams are strong defenses. Not only can Kansas play defense, but they are one of the most complete teams in the nation. They have speed, strength, height, depth, and are well-coached. They are also 6-1 ATS the last seven games played following a double-digit loss played in Lawrence, Kansas. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you. |
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03-15-23 | Celtics -4.5 v. Wolves | 104-102 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 581. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Boston Celtics have relinquished the Eastern Conference’s top-spot to the Milwaukee Bucks. They now sit three-games behind them in second place in the Conference. Yes, even in the Atlantic Division, they have just a one-game lead over the Philadelphia 76ers. Teams are closing in on them. They have dropped five of the last seven games entering tonight’s matchup. They need to get back on track and they need to do it now. They face depleted Minnesota Timberwolves opponent here. Let’s face it, they’ve got a laundry list of players either banged up, questionable, or out. This is an ideal situation for the Celtics to earn a big victory and get back on the winning track. They took the only meeting with the Timberwolves this season back in December at home 121-109. I look for their explosive offense to absolutely dominate the lackluster Minnesota defense here. The Celtics have covered five of the last six games played at the Timberwolves and five of the last seven overall games played on the road. The Timberwolves have failed to cover six of the last eight games played following a straight up win and four consecutive games at home. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 702. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. Many out there, including the Pitt Panthers themselves, didn’t think they would be playing in the First Four brackets. However, dropping four of the final seven games is the reason why. This is a very deep and talented squad with a very smart coach. Let’s not forget they play in a very good conference. As a matter fact, they finished tied for second place in conference play at 14-6, and with an overall record of 22-11. The first few weeks of the season were very difficult on the team as they were still trying to find their sea legs. Then they got into a groove and started winning. Moreover, they started taking down some very solid opposition. Please remember they play in one of the most competitive conferences in college basketball. And have they held their own. Offensively, they are a powerhouse. During the regular season, they were led by four double-digit scorers and a slew of solid rebounders. They have strength upfront, and quickness in the back court. Mississippi State is known for defense. They rank in the top-10 in the nation, in both points allowed and field-goal percentage allowed. However, (and there’s always a however), however, offensively, they are absolutely deplorable. There is no aspect of their offense that brings any hope to this team contending on the scoreboard with Pitt today. They have just one double-digit scorer in forward, Tolu Smith. He is only one of two solid, frontcourt, big men for this team. While they were loaded at the guard position, they just don’t have the talent up front to compete in this matchup. By the way, they have failed to cover four straight games. Not only that, but they have failed to cover five straight games played on neutral sites. Meanwhile, the Panthers have been money, covering 11 of the last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record and 21 of the last 28 games played overall. Take Pitt. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Villanova +3.5 v. Liberty | 57-62 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Villanova Wildcats. Game 677. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Despite a slew of injuries to major contributors, Villanova won seven of the final 10 games. They enter the NIT pissed off as they felt they earned a spot in the Big Dance. Liberty earned a share of the Atlantic Sun regular season title and enter today’s contest the No. 2 seed. Statistically, the Flames possess better numbers, both offensively and defensively than does the Wildcats. But it really isn’t about your record. It’s about the record you achieved by beating certain teams. Liberty stepped up early in the season and lost to Alabama. A few weeks later, took a beating at the hands of Northwestern. So, you could say when it counted, the team folded like a cheap suit. Villanova certainly was a “Jekyll and Hyde” team this season. At times showed signs of greatness. At times fell flat. However, you cannot dispute the disparity between the talent and depth on these two squads. The Wildcats play in a very physical conference. They have big, strong, physical players. While, the Flames are certainly talented, they just don’t have the height or the muscle to contend in the paint here. They have also covered just one of the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, Villanova has covered four in a row following a straight up loss. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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03-14-23 | Toledo +6.5 v. Michigan | 80-90 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Toledo Rockets. Game 685. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Michigan Wolverines are certainly a storied college basketball team. But if you really look back as many times as this team has been a top-tier team going into the Big Dance, they’ve only walked away with one national title. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Wolverines, folks. But let’s be honest, this teams falls way short when it comes to the postseason. Let’s fast forward to this campaign and their NIT chances. Michigan, which was ranked No. 22 in the preseason poll, and really had a disappointing campaign, finishing 17-15 overall and a dismal 11-9 in Big Ten play. They have lost three consecutive games, including their last as they were bounced out of the Big Ten tournament in the first game, falling to Rutgers, 62-50. You may think because they’re a Big Ten team, that they will roll over a MAC opponent. However, the Toledo Rockets finished the regular season, winning the MAC championship outright for the third year in a row. They possess a record of 27-7 overall, which includes a 16-2 mark in league play. They had a 17-game win streak going until the last outing, a tough loss to Kent. That defeat got them to where they are here in the NIT. This is a very good team that knows how to win. While they don’t step out of their conference often, when they do, they can compete. I really feel giving this team this many points is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. They have scorers and are loaded with rebounders. That will give them some second-chance opportunities offensively, and take away some of Michigan’s second-chance opportunities defensively. The Rockets have covered four in a row following a straight up loss, seven in a row following an ATS loss, four of the last five on the road versus teams with a winning home record, and six of the last seven overall. Take the Rockets. Thank you. |
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03-12-23 | Texas A&M +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 63-82 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 655. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Say what you want about the 4th ranked Alabama team, but when it comes to Texas A&M, the Aggies have had their number. The Crimson Tide has lost and failed to cover five consecutive meetings with the Aggies. This includes the only matchup this season, a little more than a week ago being defeated, 67-61. Texas A&M, since Christmas has been striding, going 19-3 straight up (this includes this post season). Their defense has stepped it up over recent months, and once again today will frustrate their opponent. They possess one of the only rebounding cores in this conference that could compete up front with Alabama. We can expect another physical matchup, which will certainly benefit Texas A&M, as they are significantly better from the free-throw line. The underdog has covered six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Aggies have covered 20 of the last 27 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 26 of the last 35 games played following a straight up win, and 38 of the last 56 games played overall. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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03-11-23 | Cornell v. Yale -6 | 60-80 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Yale Bulldogs Game 602. 8:00 AM PST/11:00 AM EST. Yale shared the top-spot the Ivy league during the regular season at 10-4 in conference play enroute to an overall record of 20-7. They face a Cornell team that went just 7-7 in Ivy League play this regular season. The Big Red kind of stumbled their way into the semifinals. Let’s face it, this team is just 3-6 straight up the last nine outings, in which they have only covered one of those contests. They are absolute point spread poison. And in all sincerity, do not belong on the same court as today’s opponent. The Bulldogs are a monster squad, winning nine of the last 10 straight up, and covering seven of the last eight coming into today’s game. Granted, Cornell scores a bit more, but Yale counters with a frustrating top-25 defense that allows just 62.7-points per game. On the flipside, the Bulldogs can score points as well. And they will light up the scoreboard here against the nations 329th rank defense of the Big Red, which has gotten plowed this season for 75.9-points per game, allowing 47.1% from the floor. Cornell has failed to cover seven consecutive outings against teams with a winning record. Yale has covered 20 of the last 27 games played at neutral sites. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you |
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03-10-23 | Clemson +3.5 v. Virginia | 56-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Clemson tigers. Game 851 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM Yeah, yeah, yeah, we all know Virginia has a defense. But their “D” just can’t compensate for the lack of offense, especially against solid opponents. I know they have a great record. But they are overvalued by the oddsmakers. Case in point, they’ve only covered once over the last seven outings. Meanwhile, Clemson, which has the experience and the talent to make this a very competitive contest, enters today’s matchup covering five straight outings. The Tigers have a very big, strong front court. And now that the Cavaliers, are without forward, Vander Plas, I looked for them to fall a little short in the paint. And once these teams go to the line, because this will be a physical matchup, Clemson gets a big edge because they hit nearly 80% from it. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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03-10-23 | Wichita State +2.5 v. Tulane | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Wichita State. Game 827. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST Very simply, my friends, the wrong team is favored here. I know Tulane has a bit of a better overall record and a better mark in conference play than does Wichita State. But the Shockers play the Green Wave very tough. In the two meetings this season, the first went into overtime and saw Tulane winning, 95-90. The second was a Wichita win and cover, 83-76. Coming into this match up there is no question the Shockers are hotter, winning five of the last seven straight up and four straight against the spread. Meanwhile, the Green Wave, although have won their last two-games following a three-game slide, has failed to cover five consecutive outings. I know Tulane has an explosive offense. But I do like the way Wichita State counters with a very frustrating, swarming defense. No matter how good they are offensively, the Green Wave cannot compensate for their doormat of a defense, which is allowing over 76.6-points per game. If you look closely, you will see over the last month and a half they have gotten lit up. Take the Shockers. Thank you. |
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03-10-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas -4.5 | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks Game 854 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite splitting out their two meetings, this season, Iowa State has covered both against Kansas. The last matchup, about five weeks ago, the Cyclones embarrassed, the Jayhawks, 68-53 on their home court. One thing Kansas doesn’t take lightly or sits well with, is losing, let alone losing badly. The Jayhawks are playing their best basketball of the season right now. There is also a big motivation factor here for the team as they are playing for their head coach, Bill Self, who is recuperating from a medical procedure. Emotions will run high in this matchup for the squad. I know how good the Iowa State defense can be. But the way the Kansas offense is playing right now and the fact that they’re looking to get a little revenge from that embarrassing loss last month, I just see them annihilating their conference rival here. Remember the Cyclones are just 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played versus teams with a winning record and 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played overall. By the way, the favorite has covered seven of the last nine meetings in the series. Take the Jayhawks. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | New Mexico v. Utah State -3 | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Utah State. Game 780. 8:30 PM PST/11:30 PM EST If you recall, New Mexico was the last unbeaten team in the nation. But that was in 2022. Since the New Year began, this team has struggled. Since January 3, in regular season play, they went just 7-10. Not only that, but they’ve only covered six games during that span. Granted, they won yesterday’s match up with Wyoming. But in all sincerity, the Cowboys are the worst team in the Mountain West Conference. Tonight, they face one of the best teams in the MWC. The Aggies are a monster squad folks. They own a 24-7 overall record, which does include a 13-5 league mark. They enter today’s matchup red-hot, winning and covering five straight contests. They took the only meeting in this rivalry this season back on February 1, 84-73. That marked the fifth consecutive straight up win for Utah State over New Mexico, covering four of the five meetings. Most of New Mexico’s statistics are skewed because of their success through December. The Aggies were better on the boards and from downtown in the first meeting. Nothing changed since to make us think that this outcome will be any different. They are deeper, stronger, are better on the boards, and are striding. The favorite has covered four of the last five meetings. The Aggies have covered five of the last six games played at neutral states and four of the last five games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take Utah State. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | TCU v. Kansas State +2.5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. Game 756 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Kansas State had the better record in Big 12 play. Kansas State had a better overall record. And Kansas State is higher-ranked. So, for the life of me, why are they an underdog here today? If I have ever seen a trap, this looks like it folks. The Wildcats finished the regular season campaign winning four the last five, both straight up and against the spread. They also took the most recent meeting with the Horned Frogs, approximately one month ago. Granted, both teams are 3-0 neutral sites this season. But TCU should not be favored here today my friends. They are just 3-6 straight up and 2-7 ATS the last nine outings. And I believe they are going to have a tough time today against the frustrating KSU defense. Kansas State is also money in the bank when playing solid opposition, covering eight of the last 11 versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Texas Christian has only covered one of the last six games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Make no mistake of it my friends, this is the game the Horned Frogs will severely miss the big man in the middle, Lampkin. The Wildcats are very strong upfront, will dominate the glass, and win this game. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | North Carolina +3 v. Virginia | 59-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
North Carolina. Game 723. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST What can you say about Virginia? Yes, they won their last two games to salvage a share of the ACC regular season title. Yes, they own a 23-6 overall record. And yes, they rank 13th in the country. But when it comes to ACC tournament action, let’s face it, they fall short. Moreover, they are point spread poison, failing to cover the last six outings. Overall, on the campaign they are just 10-17-2 ATS. There is no question they get overvalued. But this will work to our advantage today. North Carolina enters this matchup striding, winning four of the last five straight up, and three of their last four against the spread. They took the most recent meeting in this conference rivalry a few weeks back at home, 71-63. Many out there also feel that if they didn’t lose Armando Bacot in the first matchup, they would have won that meeting as well. The Tar Heels cannot only put up a ton of points, they can rebound with the best in the nation. They are big and strong upfront. And have a talented back court. They also have a very smart coach who knows how to handle the Cavaliers. To be quite honest, Virginia has their Big Dance invitation locked up. I don’t see them going above and beyond here today. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | Wake Forest v. Miami-FL -6 | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Game 720. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans forgive me. I normally write a little more in-depth analysis on my games. Being that there are so many games today and many are going off early, I’m keeping my analysis brief. It was by no accident Miami was atop the ACC this regular season. They were 15-5 in conference play and an overall 24-6 on the campaign. They have had their way with Wake Forest in this rivalry, winning and covering the last three meetings. This includes a 96-87 win and cover in the only matchup this season, just three weeks ago. The Demon Deacons certainly struggled towards the end of the campaign, winning just two of the final five outings straight up, and failing to cover six of the last seven contests. I just don’t see them keeping pace on either end of the court with the superior Hurricanes squad. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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03-09-23 | Rutgers v. Michigan -3 | 62-50 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Michigan Wolverines. Game 36. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans forgive me. I normally write a little more in-depth analysis on my games. Being that there are so many games today and many are going off early, I’m keeping my analysis brief. There’s a very good possibility whichever team loses today will be out of any possibility for a Big Dance appearance. Having said that, you must go with the more reliable, better coached team. And that is without a doubt, Michigan. Rutgers, which has only covered one of the last eight outings, finished the regular season struggling to win just two of the last eight games. Meanwhile, the Wolverines, in their final 10 outings covered eight of those 10 contests. And following a 6-2 straight up run, I think we could all forgive them for being tired in the last two outings, both road overtime, two-point losses at the hands of Illinois and Indiana. This did follow an overtime win at home against Wisconsin. However, this team did finish the regular season covering five consecutive matchups. They had no problem this season dispatching with Rutgers, taking the only meeting back at the end of February, 58-45 on the road. I know the Scarlet Knights possess a solid defense. But they did get plowed for 140 combined points in the last two games. I do feel coach Juwan Howard will have the Wolverines primed and ready here, as he knows a loss means no Big Dance for the storied Wolverines. By the way, Michigan is also 36-15-2 Ats the last 53 games played on neutral sites. Take the Wolverines. Thank you. |
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03-08-23 | Bulls v. Nuggets -9 | 117-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 560. 6:10 PM, PST/9:10 PM EST These are two teams certainly trending in opposite directions. The Denver Nuggets, which are perched atop the Western Conference at 46-19, have won eight of the last nine games straight up and seven of those games against the spread. The Chicago Bulls are just outside the postseason cut line at 29-36. They have turned ice-cold folks, dropping nine of the last 12 straight up, and 10 of those 12 against the number. If you recall, the Nuggets dissected the Bulls one 126-103 in the only meeting this season back in mid-November on the road. On both sides of the court and on the boards, the Chicago is significantly outclassed here. They have gotten blown up in the last two outings (both losses) defensively, getting plowed for a combined 250-points. Now they face a top-five offense accounting for over 117.2-points per game. Not only that, but defensively Denver leads the NBA on the glass, which will take away any of Chicago’s second-chance opportunities. The Bulls have failed to cover six consecutive games on the road and six of the last seven versus teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have covered 20 of the last 28 games played at home and have covered 10 of the last 11 games played following an ATS loss. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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03-08-23 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -5.5 | 78-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers. Game 682. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. I know it’s not easy for a conference rival to sweep three games against one another. However, if anyone can do it this season, it is Nebraska over Minnesota. The Cornhuskers have taken four consecutive meetings over the Golden Gophers, straight up. And are just a half-point away from covering all four. They enter today’s matchup, one of the hottest teams in the league, winning six of the last eight, both straight up and against the spread. Meanwhile, their opponent today is colder than ice, dropping 13 of the last 14 straight up. They have covered six of those 14 outings. However, most of those were as double-digit underdogs. I feel this line is a little short. It should be a little higher folks. Offensively, Nebraska scores more points. Defensively they allow less points. They’re also healthier. Momentum is a big part of this first round in conference tournaments and the Cornhuskers certainly have momentum. By the way, they have also covered 20 of the last 27 games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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03-07-23 | 76ers +2.5 v. Wolves | 117-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Game 537. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST The Philadelphia 76ers are exactly where they want to be right now. They are currently in second place in the Atlantic Division, just two-games behind the Boston Celtics. Overall, in the Eastern Conference, they sit in third place four-games behind the Conferences top team, the Milwaukee Bucks. They are relatively healthy and are playing some excellent basketball. This is a team which happens to be equally impressive on the road as they are at home. While playing in Philadelphia, they possess a 24-10 record. When they travel, they are a stellar 18-12, one of the better away marks in the NBA. They face a Minnesota Timberwolves team riding a three-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread. However, those three victories were all on the road. Things happen to change for the team, when hosting, as they are being overvalued of late, losing and failing to cover their last two outings at the Target Center. They will once again be without two key cogs in the wheel, as both Karl-Anthony Towns and Jaylen Nowell continue to be sidelined tonight. I am well aware the 76ers played a barnburner at the Pacers last night, prevailing 147-143. Tonight’s contest will conclude a five-game road trip for the 76ers, which has won three of four already. Please understand they took control of last night’s matchup in the second half, riding the momentum coming into this outing. Granted, it’s always an issue if starters are going to play back-to-back games for any of the top teams in the NBA these days. But I do expect Joel Embiid and James Harden to be on the floor tonight (check status). There is even a good chance at least one, if not both, Tobias Harris, and P.J. Tucker will see some action as well (check status). This is a team that has covered seven of the last 10 outings played on zero days rest and seven of the last 10 as a visitor. They have also dominated this series, covering 13 of the last 16 meetings with Minnesota, which does include four straight on the road. In the only meeting this season, a mid-November matchup in Philadelphia, the T-Wolves prevailed 112-109. It was a cover for the 76ers, but the home loss left a bitter taste in their mouth. They want to sweeten that up with a big victory, and earn a little revenge and get payback here tonight. Take note, the home defeat, came without Harden, Harris, or Maxey playing. Minnesota is just 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played on two-days rest and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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03-06-23 | BYU +7.5 v. St. Mary's | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
BYU Cougars. Game 881. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. This’ll be the Cougars final WCC tournament. As we all know they are moving to the Big 12 next season. The Cougars have certainly left their mark in the conference. However, the top-team in the West Coast Conference this season is Saint Mary’s. Although they are favored here today. I have a funny feeling that coming off their loss on the road to Gonzaga at the end of February, it’s going to be significant here. Along with the Bulldogs, the Gaels are the strongest teams in the WCC. I have a feeling they are going to get caught in look ahead mode, focusing on a conference show down with Gonzaga down the road. This way they can prove for once in all that they are the best team in the league However, don’t sell BYU short folks. This team enters this contest today heating up, winning her last three in a row straight up and covering eight of last 10. It’s true, Saint Mary’s has taken the last three meetings in this conference rivalry, including both regular season meetings this season. However, covering is a whole different story. The Cougars have covered six straight against the Gales. In the last three matchups, the games were settled by five, one, and six-points. BYU knows St. Mary’s very well and plays them extremely tough. The Gaels tend. to get overvalued. They have only covered three of the last nine overall outings coming into todays contest. I believe they’re being overvalued again here. Take BYU. Thank you |
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03-05-23 | Maryland +4 v. Penn State | Top | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Best Bet. Game 767. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. I am well aware of the fact the Terrapins are 10-0 at home in conference play but a dismal 1-8 on the road. They also know this stat as too. Coach, Kevin Willard also knows his team is one of seven Big Ten squads all tied for second place in the standings at 11-8. This game is a must win for Maryland. They took the first meeting in this matchup at home and come off a loss. They are an outstanding bounce-back team, not having suffered back-to-back defeats since early-January. They have also covered four of the last five following both, a SU and an ATS loss. For us bettors, they have turned it up recently, covering nine of the last 13 games played overall. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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03-04-23 | Kansas +3.5 v. Texas | 59-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 657. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. You would think that clinching another Big 12 regular season championship would allow Kansas to rest on their laurels here today. But that isn’t the case. If you recall, the Jayhawks began conference play in a mediocre fashion. However, they have won the last seven league contests to claim their 17th Big 12 title in coach Bill Self’s 20th season at the helm. They have won and covered the last two meetings with the Longhorns. This does include the only matchup this season back on February 6, at home, 88-80. Texas is looking fatigued. They have dropped the last two games straight up, and five of the last seven against the spread. Kansas doesn’t want to take any chances going into the conference tournament next week. They want to enter it making a statement and letting the rest of the Big 12 know they are the top-team in the league. In the earlier matchup, the Jayhawks had five players in double-digits and outrebounded the Longhorns, 36-29. Momentum is a big thing this time of year and coach Self wants to go into the tournament finishing the season continuing his teams win streak. Giving this team here points is a mistake. They have covered four of the last five on the road. Meanwhile Texas has only covered seven of the last 26 following an ATS win. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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03-02-23 | 76ers +4 v. Mavs | 126-133 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Game 541. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Well, my friends, Philadelphia has won six of the last eight outings coming into tonight contest, both straight up and against the spread to bring them just 4.5-games back for the top-spot in the Eastern Conference. Overall they possess a very solid record of 40-21. They’ve been good to us sports bettors, D donning a 36-25 ATS mark this season. The Dallas Mavericks are struggling. They are just one-game over .500 overall, at 32-31, currently the seventh seed in the Western Conference and seven games behind the Memphis Grizzlies and the Southwest Division. They have lost and failed to cover five of the last six outings, including their last two. The recipe of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving has been far from successful. As I mentioned this team is just 1-5, both SU and ATS the L6. The Mavericks certainly have issues on the defensive side of the court. They have been getting smoked, sports fans. Well, in comes a very well-rested Joel Embiid (check status). The 7,0”, 285 lb. center was rested last night so we can be in perfect form for this evening‘s match up. Overall, the Sixers have won four in a row straight up when playing the second of back-to-back games. And is 6-2 ATS this season when unrested. By the way, Embiid is just two-tenths of a point behind Doncic as the NBA’s leading scorers. I look for him to turn it up tonight. I doubt anybody on Dallas can slow him down, let alone stop him. Philly has won and covered three of the last four meetings in this series. They’ve also covered six of the last eight on the road and seven of the last nine playing on zero days rest. Dallas is just 2-6 ATS the last eight at home and has only covered two of the last eight meetings in Dallas against Philadelphia. Take the 76ers. Thank you. |
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03-02-23 | Wichita State +18 v. Houston | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Wichita State Shockers. Game 735. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Without question, the Cougars deserve to be the No. 1 team in the country and all the accolades that go along with it. However, you cannot ignore the fact the Shockers give them a tough time. In the only meeting this season, Houston took down Wichita State, 70-61 is a 13-point favorite. That marked the fifth consecutive no cover in this rivalry for the team. They have the AAC locked up as they are 15-1 in conference play, with this game this evening and a game on the road at Memphis three days from now. As I said they have the conference locked up folks. They are also the No. 1 team in the country right now. Obviously, a loss to Wichita State would hurt them in the national rankings. But they don’t have to go all out here folks, they really don’t. Meanwhile the Shockers can finish the regular season with a decent record. They are currently 15-13 overall, which does include an 8-8 mark in league play. They have this game this evening than the regular season finale at home against South Florida. This is a team playing very good basketball right now, winning five of the last eight, both straight up and against the spread. I think we can all agree the Cougars tend to get over valued by oddsmakers. Especially lately as they have failed to cover five of the last eight. I know how good their defense is. But I just don’t see the team going all out this evening and jeopardizing any of their key players. The underdog has covered five straight meetings in this rivalry. The Shockers are 7-0 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning home record, and 35-14-2 ATS the last 51 overall road games played. Take Wichita State. Thank you. |
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03-01-23 | Missouri -4 v. LSU | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Missouri Tigers. Game 701. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Missouri is certainly looking to win this game tonight. They are trying to better their position for the SEC tournament and maybe even beyond that. They are 21-8 overall on the season, which does include a 9-7 mark in conference play. They finish up the regular season campaign at home against Mississippi on Saturday. They have a chance at earning a double bye, a single bye or no bye at all in the upcoming tournament depending on the next two games and the results of some other conference teams. On the other hand, LSU knows their future. They currently dwell in the SEC cellar at 2-14 in league play. Overall, they are 13-6. Since the New Year began, this team has only won one single game. If you’re keeping score, that’s a 1-15 straight up mark in 2023. They’ve only covered four games since January 1. Missouri took the first meeting exactly one month ago at home, 87-77. I just don’t see LSU and their lackluster offense, which account for a dismal, 67.2-points per game, keeping pace on the scoreboard with the explosive “O“ of Missouri, which posts 80.0-points per game on 47.5% shooting from the field. LSU is just 7-20 ATS the last 27 home games, 1-8 ATS the last nine games versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, and 3-12 ATS the last 15 overall games. Take Missouri. Thank you |
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03-01-23 | Pittsburgh -3.5 v. Notre Dame | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Panthers. Game 673. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite Notre Dame most-likely getting back a couple of players this evening, it’s a little too little and a little too late for the “not so” Fighting Irish. They have lost seven in a row and 11 of the last 12 straight up. They have sunk to 2-16 in conference play. They face the league’s top-team and top-25 ranked Pitt here today. A Panthers victory here tonight would clinch at least a share of the ACC regular season championship and a double bye in the upcoming conference tournament. They need a victory here because their next game is against the conferences second place team, the Hurricanes, which is the opponent in the regular season finale on March 4. This is a big game for the Panthers my friends. They come into it winning eight of the last line straight up, covering six of their last eight. This would also be a sweet revenge situation for them, as they have lost the last four meetings against the Fighting Irish going back three years. Pitt has covered 10 of the last 11 on the road and 20 of the last 26 overall. Meanwhile, Notre Dame has coverage just five of the last 20 at home and nine of the last 29 overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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03-01-23 | Fordham +3.5 v. George Mason | 58-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Fordham Rams. Game 675. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I have this line much different than what the oddsmakers have put it out. I have Fordham actually a favorite of several baskets. This is a team sitting in third place in the Atlantic 10 at 11-5. Another victory here this evening would confirm a top-four finish in the conference and all that goes with it in the upcoming league tournament. Overall, the Rams own a very respectable 23-6 record on the campaign. They enter this matchup knowing that they have had their way with the Patriots, winning and covering both meetings a season ago. George Mason started to get a little hot, winning their last four straight up and going 3-1 ATS. However, I just don’t see them competing in this matchup. They have a couple of players that are out. And this will be a factor. That’s not the case for Fordham, which is 100% healthy. A rare benefit this time of the season. They’re also red-hot, winning 10 of the last 12 straight up and nine of those 12 against the spread. Without questions they possess a stronger backcourt that will control the tempo and the pace of this contest. They have also have covered five of the last seven as a visitor. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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02-28-23 | Texas A&M -5 v. Ole Miss | 69-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 639. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Guys, there is no way this line should be this low. At 13-3 in conference play, Texas A&M sits two-games behind 1st-place, Alabama. They have this contest tonight against Mississippi then finish up their regular season schedule at home against the Crimson Tide. Alabama is 15-1 in SEC play. The Aggies have an opportunity to grab a share of the top-spot in the league. But they must win-out. Following a six-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread, Texas A&M took a tough loss three nights ago on the road at Mississippi State, 69-62. They must get back on the winning track here tonight and get in sync before their season finale against ‘Bama. They enter tonight‘s match up with confidence, as they swept Mississippi a season ago, taking both games straight up and against the spread by an average margin of victory of 13.0-points per game. I look for the Rebels to be in a huge letdown situation here. This is a team that struggled quite a bit this season. They were on a 2-15 SU run since just prior to Christmas, covering just five of those outings. That was before Saturday’s home win and cover over the LSU Tigers. On both sides of the court, Mississippi is outclassed here. They do not possess the personnel to keep pace on the scoreboard with Texas A&M‘s offense. And they are facing one of the better defenses in the conference to boot. The Aggies only allow 65.9-points per game on 40.4% shooting. The superior backcourt of Taylor IV and Radford, who combine for 29.1-points per game, 8.0-rebounds per game, and 6.4-assist per game, will control the pace and the tempo here. The Aggie’s are 7-3 ATS the last 10 road games played versus teams with a losing home record, 12-4 ATS the last 16 overall road games played, 4-0 ATS the last four games played versus teams with a losing straight up record, and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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02-28-23 | Pacers +8.5 v. Mavs | 124-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
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02-28-23 | Clemson +6.5 v. Virginia | Top | 57-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Clemson Tigers. Game 619. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Despite these two teams both tied for 3rd-place in the ACC at 13-5, only Clemson has a shot at least for a share of the conference’s top-spot. A couple of things have to go their way, but it is still mathematically possible. Both teams need this win as neither want to be in a situation falling out of the top-four in the standings for the upcoming ACC tournament. I am fully aware of the fact Virginia is 13-1 straight up at home this season, covering five of their last six as host. I really do feel that they may lose this game outright, let alone cover. This is a team struggling right now, losing their last two straight up and failing to cover the last four in a row. On the other hand, the Tigers have won and covered three of the last four and come off perhaps their best performance of the season. They stomped the Wolfpack on the road, 96-71 has a 5.5- point underdog a few nights ago. They come into this contest tonight with momentum. Granted the Cavaliers defense is very frustrating. But it just can’t compensate for their lack of office anymore. They face a Tigers “O” averaging over 75.7-points per game and just shy of 37% from beyond the arc and almost 80% from the line. Without question Clemson possesses the much stronger front court with Tyson, Hall, and Schieffelin. I look for the big men to dominate on the glass, allowing successful transition. The road team has covered six consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Clemson has covered 10 of the last 14 games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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02-27-23 | Nevada -5 v. Wyoming | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
Nevada Wolfpack. Game 865. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Although a few things have to happen, Nevada still has a chance for a share of the top-spot in the Mountain West Conference. In my opinion, they are also on the right side of the cut line for the Big Dance. However, a loss here to the leagues bottom-dwelling Wyoming squad, might just put some doubts in the minds of the Selection Committee. The Wolfpack seems to have gotten stronger as the season progressed. Just over the last month or so, they have won six of the last seven, both straight up and against the spread. Sorry to say things didn’t go too well for the Cowboys this campaign. And it seems things have gone from bad to worse for this team, dropping and failing to cover the last three. During their current slide, the average margin of defeat is a whopping 9.6- points per game. Offensively, defensively, and on the boards, this team is significantly outclassed in tonight‘s matchup. They just do not Possess the talent to run with Nevada here. Whether it be in the back court where they are thin because guard, Reynolds has been out, Or upfront in the absence of forward, Ike, this team just cannot contend with guards, Lucas, and Blackshear, or big men, Baker and Williams. As I said earlier, they are significantly outclassed. The road team has covered 11 of the last 16 meetings. The Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage below .400, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 22-8-2 ATS the last 32 games played overall. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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02-25-23 | San Francisco +6.5 v. BYU | 61-87 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
San Francisco Dons. Game 783. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. In the final regular season contest for both San Francisco and Brigham Young, the Dons have an opportunity to finish .500 in WCC action. They can also solidify themselves for a nice spot in the upcoming conference tournament. They enter today’s matchup running hot, winning three in a row and six of the last nine, while covering five of those nine. Meanwhile, the Cougars are struggling. It seems as though as the season progressed things got tougher for this team. And currently they are riding a four-game straight up a losing streak. Granted, they played some good opponents. But they are struggling folks. Without question, the Don’s possess a better backcourt, consisting of three phenomenal guards. Just the tandem of Shabazz and Roberts are combining for 33.4-points per game at 8.8-rebounds per game. Upfront, they are talented and deep. They have the personnel to contend with BYU’s two star forwards. The road team has covered 17 of the last 22 meetings in this rivalry. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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02-25-23 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Mississippi State | 62-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Texas A&M Aggies. Game 673. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Sitting in second place in the SEC at 13-2, Texas A&M has a chance to win the conference. They have this game today against Mississippi State. Then over the next week and change, they go on the road at Mississippi and finish the regular season off at home against Alabama. The Crimson Tide is the only team possessing a better record in the Southeastern Conference. As I mentioned, the Aggie‘s have a chance at taking the conference. But it all starts with a big win here. This is a team running red-hot, winning six in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They face a Bulldogs opponent that should come in here a little bit fatigued following an overtime loss on the road at the Missouri Tigers a few nights ago. While Mississippi State themselves have played good basketball recently, and have covered recently, I just think they’re in for a very tough contest here today. They have a lackluster offense, ranking 320th, and scoring an average of 65.8-points per game. This does not bode well as they face the very stingy, very frustrating defense of Texas A&M. Despite this team possessing a top-10 defense, it just can’t compensate for their lack of offense folks. The Aggies come in here with confidence, knowing they have taken three of the last four meetings with the Bulldogs straight up. And for our purposes, have covered three of those last four meetings as well. They are also a whopping 12-3 ATS the last 15 games played on the road, 23-9 ATS the last 32 games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, and 21-7 ATS the last 28 games played following and ATS win. FYI, Mississippi State has only covered four of the last 15 games played at home. Take Texas A&M. Thank you. |
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02-23-23 | Thunder +2.5 v. Jazz | 119-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. Game 513. 6:10 PM PST/9:10 PM EST. My friends, you may not realize this, what is Thunder/Jazz matchup tonight is significant. As we begin the second half of the NBA campaign, Oklahoma City sits in 10th in the Western Conference, a half-game ahead of Utah. Strangely enough, this is the first meeting between these two division rivals this season. It’s true, the Jazz have taken seven in a row straight up. However, they are just 3-4 ATS during that span. As a matter of fact, going back a bit further, the Thunder have covered 12 of the last 16 overall meetings in this rivalry. Both teams are very different currently than they were even a season ago. Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert are no longer sporting Utah uniforms. OKC isn’t the same team either as SGA, Giddey, and Williams are three of their four players all averaging double-digits. They also happen to be one of the most successful ATS road teams in the NBA, covering 44 of the last 66 as a visitor. On the other hand, despite a respectable straight up home record of 18-12 at the Vivint Arena, the Jazz are just are just 8-14 ATS as a home favorite the last 22. This does include losing and failing to cover the last three on their own court. The Thunder a little healthier, a little hungrier, and the stronger side here. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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02-23-23 | Michigan +6 v. Rutgers | 58-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Michigan Wolverines. Game 795. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST In all honesty, time is running out for Michigan to make a case for the NCAA Tournament at-large bid. There are only a few regular season games left before the conference tournaments begin. They really have to make a good showing and they must start now. What better team to face to get them a step closer to the goal, than Rutgers. The Wolverines own an all-time record of 15-1 against the Scarlet Knights. The two teams did split last season’s matchups, both winning and covering their home contests. Michigan has started to heat up a bit, winning four of the last six, both straight up and against the spread. Meanwhile, Rutgers has started to slide, going just 1-3 straight up the last four, failing to cover all four. The Scarlet Knights claim to fame this season is on the defensive side of the court. However, they are starting to show signs of fatigue and certainly cracking. This does not bode well as they face a Wolverines offense that is very capable of lighting them up. I don’t feel the Rutgers “O“ which is averaging a mere 62.0-points per game over the last five outings, can keep pace offensively in this matchup. This is way too many points to give a hungry Wolverines team that could certainly win this game outright. But I will take the points with them as a ‘dog and take my bookmaker‘s money. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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02-22-23 | Providence +7.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Providence Friars. Game 657. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I’ve been doing this for over four decades, and I just can’t figure out why the Huskies are this much of a favorite over the Friars. I understand that Connecticut possesses a 13-2 record at home, while Providence owns a 4-5 away mark. However, that’s where the advantages for the home team here end. Providence has won and covered the last two meetings in this rivalry, which includes a 73-61 outright win and cover in the only meeting this season, at the beginning of January at home as a 5.5-point underdog. Since December, not only have the Friars won 15 of 19 contest straight up, they have also covered 15 of those 19 outings. They enter this matchup running hot, winning and covering the last several games. Granted, their overall road record isn’t the most impressive. But they have covered seven of the last nine as a visitor. There isn’t a lot of time left in the regular season, and the Friars, which are sitting in second place in the Big East, three-games behind the Golden Eagles, have a chance at taking the conference. To do so, they must continue to keep their foot on the gas. Since December 31, the Huskies are just 6-7 straight up. Going back a bit further, prior to Christmas, they have crushed bettors, going a mere 5-10 ATS. Granted UConn possesses a very good defense, but they just can’t compensate with their erratic offense. Particularly when facing solid adversaries. Both teams are excellent on the boards. Both team score about the same. But I do see a major advantage for the visitors here getting this many points. I think the odds makers are way off here, sports fans. By the way, Connecticut has covered just two of their last seven against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Take Providence. Thank you. |
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02-21-23 | Miami-FL +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | 76-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Miami Florida Hurricanes. Game 617. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With the regular season soon coming to an end, Miami sits just a half-game behind Virginia in second place in the ACC. They are the hottest team however in the conference, winning six consecutive outings. Many people out there feel that this year’s edition of the hurricanes are even stronger than last year‘s “Elite 8“ version. They face a conference rival here that is not the team they once were. The Hokies are just 6-10 in league play this season. They do not possess the defense they once did. And their offense just isn’t strong enough to compensate for it. They took a 92-83 road loss at the hands of Miami three weeks ago. Trust me when I tell you the game was not as close as on the scoreboard. They were beat offensively, defensively, and on the boards. They are still thin in the backcourt as Maddox and Rice are both out. They do possess four double-digit scorers. However, they cannot contend with the outstanding backcourt of Wong and Miller, who are combining for 31.4 points per game and 10.3 rebounds per game. I see the tandem controlling the tempo and the pace and leading the team to an outright victory here. The underdog has covered six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Hurricanes have covered 21 of the last 26 on the road. Take Miami. I like them outright. But I will take the points here anyway. Thank you. |
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02-20-23 | Kansas +2.5 v. TCU | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 869. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. As it is projected that Kansas will continue to be ranked a top-five in the nation when the new rankings come out this week, TCU is looking to better their situation and slide down the top-25. The Jayhawks are running hot, winning six of the last seven, both straight up and against the spread, which includes four straight in both. Just looking at the Horned Frogs recent outings, you’ll see that they have dropped four of the last five, straight up and against the number before Saturday’s decisive, 100-75 win and cover at home against Oklahoma State. They did see the return of Mike Miles Jr., who is their leading scorer. He did miss basically five of the six previous contests in which they went 1-5 both SU and ATS. Having him back on the floor is huge for this team. However, they are catching Kansas in full stride. Not only that, but the Jayhawks are pretty darn good in bounce-back mode. If you recall, back towards the end of January the Jayhawks got humiliated at home at the hands of the Horned Frogs, 83-60. As I mentioned, revenge is something that Kansas thrives on. Two of their losses came at the hands of Kansas State and Baylor, which they came back to avenge both of those losses. They had an early season loss against Tennessee, which they won’t see again on the schedule. And just lost to Iowa State at the beginning of the month. But they did meet the Cyclones mid-January and beat them then. So, this is the only team left that has beaten them that they have a shot at redemption. And I believe they’re going to take advantage of it. Understand that they still share at the top-spot in the Big 12 with Texas and need to pull away with only a few weeks left in the regular season. They are 10-4 in conference play, while TCU is just playing .500 ball against league opponents, going 7-7. The underdog has covered four of the last five meetings, while the road team has covered seven of the last nine matchups. I do believe revenge is a dish best served cold. And the Jayhawks will serve up a dish of revenge here tonight. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | Duquesne +6 v. St. Louis | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
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02-18-23 | Pittsburgh +5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 707. 2 PM PST/5 PM EST. The Panthers are enjoying their best league campaign since joining the conference a decade ago. They are tied for the top spot with the Cavaliers at 12-3 in league play. They enter today’s contest riding a six-game straight up win streak, covering their last five outings. As a matter fact, they have been a covering machine. Pitt has covered 12 of the last 13 on the road, nine of the last 11 versus teams with a winning record, and 20 of the last 26 overall. They’re starting-five consists of four double-digit scores. Trust me when I tell you they will light up Virginia Tech here. The Hokies have fallen. They no longer possess a defense that puts the fear into opponents offenses. This is a team with a lackluster offense that just isn’t good enough to compensate for their lack of defense. They are also crushing bettors, covering just four of the last 14 overall. The ‘dog has covered nine of the last 12 meetings. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | South Carolina +7.5 v. LSU | 82-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
South Carolina Gamecocks. Game 625. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Well folks, it is official. LSU is the worst team in the conference at 1-12 in SEC action. Granted, South Carolina is just above them at 2-11 in league play. But they have covered four of the last six and have gotten us paid in this rivalry, covering five of the last seven meetings. They enter this match up quite a bit healthier. It’s true, the Gamecocks statistics aren’t flattering. However, the Tigers are absolutely deplorable and should not be laying this amount of wood. South Carolina has covered seven of their last eight on the road and four of their last five following a straight up loss. Meanwhile LSU has only covered seven of the last 26 at home, and has failed to cover seven straight at home versus teams with a winning percentage on the road of less than .400. Take the Gamecocks. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | St. Joe's +6 v. Davidson | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Saint Joseph’s Hawks. Game 617. 9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST. Saint Joseph’s has been money, covering eight of the last 10 games coming into today’s matchup. It doesn’t matter if they are at home or on the road, as they have covered four of the last five as a visitor. As a matter of fact, despite Davidson taking the last three meetings in this rivalry straight up, they have failed to cover six of the last eight matchups in this rivalry. The Wildcats are slumping right now, losing and failing to cover their last two outings. They are looking sluggish. And I just don’t see their lackluster offense doing any damage here today. They’ve also failed to cover seven of the last nine at home. Take the Hawks. Thank you. |
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02-18-23 | Rutgers +1.5 v. Wisconsin | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show | |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Game 613. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Wisconsin comes in here off a big emotional win over Michigan on Valentine’s Day. They are going to attempt to do something they haven’t done yet in the New Year. And that is to win back-to-back games. The last time the Badgers won consecutive outings was December 30/January 3. They are facing a Scarlet Knights team that on both sides of the court, outclasses them. Rutgers averages 5.2-points per game more and allows 3.4-points per game less. As a matter of fact, it is their defense here that will earn them a big victory. The Scarlet Knights rank in the top-10 in both points allowed and field-goal percentage allowed (39.0%). I understand they are on a three-game slide, both straight up and against the spread. But this is the perfect opponent to face coming into this matchup in a huge “letdown” situation. Wisconsin is just 1-7 ATS the last eight games played at home 1-8 ATS the last nine games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, and 3-12 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take Rutgers. Thank you. |
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02-16-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa -8 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
Iowa Hawkeyes. HR play. Game 818. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Boy has Ohio State slipped. The Buckeyes have lost nine of the last 10, both straight up and against the spread, including a six-game cold streak. They face a red-hot Hawkeyes squad, riding a 4-1 straight up win streak. Ohio State has been just awful. Particularly on the road where they own a dismal 1-7 straight up record, failing to cover their last six as a visitor. With less than a month in the regular season, Iowa is currently tied for fourth place in the Big Ten. If they’re going to make a move, they must make a move right now. And what better team to face to achieve their goal than Ohio State. Granted, the Buckeyes own a pretty decent defense, but offensively they are absolutely horrible and cannot keep pace on the scoreboard with a 22nd ranked Hawkeye‘s “O“. The favorite has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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02-16-23 | Wizards +3.5 v. Wolves | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Washington Wizards. LVSM. Game 577. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Washington is starting to heat up, winning and covering three of the last four outings. They come into tonight’s match up with confidence, knowing they have taken the last six meetings against Minnesota, both straight up and against the spread. This includes a late November 142-127 victory at home. They face a Timberwolves team which has been very predictable. Over the last nearly three weeks, they have alternated wins and losses. Well folks, their last game they had a win on the road at the Mavericks. Their defense has gotten plowed. And their offense is going to have some trouble against the frustrating Wizards “D.” On both sides of the court, Washington is far better on the boards. I look for them to get quite a few second chance shots offensively. And to pull down any second chance opportunities for Minnesota. The Wizards have covered the last five meetings at the Timberwolves, six of the last eight overall on the road, and nine of the last 13 overall outings. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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02-16-23 | Purdue v. Maryland +2 | Top | 54-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. Big Ten Game of the Month. Game 750. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. There is no question Purdue is a very good team. However, they’re starting to show cracks. They have dropped two of their last three, both straight up and against the spread at Indiana and at Northwestern. Now they go on the road and play a Maryland team which is owns a very respectable 13-1 record at home this season. Maryland has been a thorn in the side of Purdue when it comes to ATS. They have covered seven of the last eight meetings for us bettors. And if you look at the past several meetings, they have been decided by three, one, one, and three-points. They play this team very tough. As a matter fact, the Terrapins are playing some pretty good basketball themselves, winning five for the last six straight up and seven of the last 10 against the spread. Both teams are relatively healthy. And both teams match up well with one another. The big difference here is the fact the Boilermakers are starting to struggle and they are not the greatest road team. They’ve only covered one of their last five as a visitor. By the way folks, Maryland has covered 16 of the last 21 at home. And the underdog has covered four straight in this rivalry. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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02-13-23 | Miami-FL +5.5 v. North Carolina | 80-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Now that football is in the rearview, we can focus on basketball. We start off the week with a BIG PAYDAY in my coveted NCAAB HIGH ROLLER release. My HR plays are on an impressive 36-17 run. These are normally reserved for my personal clients that can be the minimum of $10,000 a game. Miami Florida Hurricanes. High Roller play. Game 867. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Don’t look now, but Miami is just a game behind the conferences co-leaders, Virginia and Pittsburgh. That’s right, the Hurricanes are in second place in the ACC at 11-4 in league play en route to an overall mark of 20-5. This team that’s playing very good basketball folks. They have won four in a row straight up, covering three of those four. And they enter tonights matchup with a very dangerous offense, accounting for over 79-points per game. They face a North Carolina squad that is sitting in the middle of the pack in the conference at 8-6, owning an overall record of 16-9. They do have a very impressive 11-1 mark at home. However, this team has been seriously overvalued. They have covered just once over the last five outings. As I mentioned earlier, they are pretty darn good at home straight up. But over the last six games playing host, they went 3-3 ATS. I see a serious mismatch here as their defense is allowing over 72.2-points per game and over 43.6% from the floor. This does not bode well as Miami hits nearly 50% from the floor. The Hurricanes are also 21–6 ATS the last 27 road games. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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02-11-23 | Clemson +7 v. North Carolina | 71-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. ACC Game of the Week. Game 647. 11 AM PST/2 PM EST. Tied with Virginia and Pittsburgh for the top-spot in the ACC at 10-3, Clemson travels to the Dean E. Smith Center today to take on North Carolina. The Tigers have had a full week to muster back-to-back losses and prepare for the matchup today with the Tar Heels. With less than a month to play in the regular season, Clemson needs a victory here for sure. They have covered five consecutive meetings with UNC going back to 2018. This is a squad playing at full strength, having no players listed on their injury report. They possess one of the most frustrating defenses in the conference, allowing just 67.1-points per game, allowing only 32.3% from beyond the arc, and a mere 39.7% overall from the floor. I look for this to be a very physical matchup, which will also benefit the Tigers as they own the second-ranked free-throw shooting team in the nation. hitting over 80.3% from the line. North Carolina is struggling badly at the moment. They have lost three in a row straight up, failing to cover their last four. By the way, they’ve only covered three of their last 16 versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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02-11-23 | Providence -5 v. St. John's | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Providence Friars. Big East Blockbuster. Game 603. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. With less than a month left in the regular season, the Big East has four teams vying for the top-spot. One of those teams, tied for second place, is Providence at 10-3 in league play. Overall, this team has played some outstanding basketball. They enter tonights matchup with momentum and confidence. The Friars have won four of the last, five both straight up and against the spread. And have dominated the Red Storm, taking the last three meetings going back a year. This does include an 83-80 win at home, approximately five weeks ago. Speaking of St. John’s, they are one of the worst teams in the conference at 4-10 in Big East action. Overall, they own a respectable 14-11 record. But this team has really struggled. Since mid-January, they have taken just one of the last six outings straight up, failing to cover all six. This team has become absolute point spread poison. On both sides of the court, they are outclassed. The Friars average over 78.4-points per game and are monsters on the offensive glass. They face a doormat of a defense in SJU. Granted, the Red Storm can score as well. But they’re playing a very tough, very frustrating Providence “D“. The road team has covered 10 of the last 14 meetings in this series. The Friars have covered 16 of the last 21 on the road, six of the last seven road games versus teams with a winning home record, and 13 of the last 16 overall. Meanwhile, St. John’s has only covered one of the last seven games played at the Carnesecca Arena. Take Providence. Thank you. |
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02-10-23 | New Mexico -6 v. Air Force | Top | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
New Mexico Lobos. HIGH ROLLER Game of the Month. Game 891. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. The Lobos finished 2022 as the last remaining unbeaten team in college basketball. Since the New Year began, they slid a bit splitting out their last 10 games. They are a respectable 19-5 overall, which includes a 6-5 mark in the Mountain West Conference. This team needs to get back on track right now if they’re going to make a run at the Big Dance. And what better opponent to face to do just that than the Falcons. They have taken three consecutive meetings over their conference rival straight up, winning by an average mark of 7.6-points per game. This does include an 81-73 home victory approximately two weeks ago. Air Force is absolutely atrocious. They are just 3-9 in conference action, enroute to an overall, 12-13 record. The last several weeks, things have gone from bad to worse for the team as they are currently riding a six-game straight up a losing streak in which they have failed to cover four of those six outings. New Mexico will light up the scoreboard this evening behind their 16th ranked scoring offense, which averages over 81.8-points per game. By the way folks, a major mismatch here is their 11th ranked field goal shooting squad (which hits 49% from the floor), matching up against the nations 206th ranked field goal percentage defense. Oh, by the way guys, the Falcons average over 15.4-points per game less. And on both sides of the court, they are outclassed on the boards here as well. The road team has covered seven of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. Take the Lobos. Thank you. |
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02-09-23 | Northwestern +5.5 v. Ohio State | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats. High Roller Play. Game 785. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. My friends, the Big 10 is wide open right now. Granted, Purdue sits atop the conference at 11-2 in league play. Then there are three teams tied for second place at 8-5 and then three more tied for third place at 7-5. One of those teams happens to be Northwestern, which have become quite bankable to us sports bettors, covering six of the last 10 overall. So far, this regular season, they’ve covered five of seven games as a true road team as well. They catch a hated rival struggling right now. Ohio State possesses the next to last poorest record in the Big Ten at 3-9 in conference action. Overall, they’re just 11-12, losing four in a row both straight up and against the spread. As a matter fact, since January 5, there are a dismal 1-9 both SU and ATS. The Buckeyes offense is basically nonexistent. And their defense is so overworked trying to compensate, come the second-half, they are getting fatigued. They have a strong frontcourt. However, they are significantly outclassed in the back court in this match up. This is also a huge revenge spot as they took down Northwestern back on New Year’s Day on the road, 73-57. By the way folks, they’ve only covered one of the last six games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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02-08-23 | Hofstra -6.5 v. Northeastern | 72-53 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Hofstra Pride. High Roller play. Game 659. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. Tied for first place in the conference, Hofstra is playing some great basketball. They have won five straight en route to a 10-2 league record, and an overall mark of 17-8. Since the New Year began, this team has been money, covering nine out of 10 contests in 2023. This is a team, that on both sides of the court, that is far superior than their opponent this evening. Offensively, they ranked 26th in the nation, hitting 48% overall from the floor, and 46th in college basketball, hitting 37% from beyond the arc. This does not bode well as they face a Northeastern defense that possesses some of the ugliest defensive numbers in those categories. Not only that, but the Pride also own a very nasty and frustrating defense. While both teams are healthy, Hofstra has three starting guards, each averaging double-digits, and by far the best player on the floor in Aaron Estrada (21.6 PPG/5.5 RPG). The Huskies have failed to cover the last five games played at home and 29 of the last 43 games played overall. Hofstra has covered five of the last six games played on the road and five consecutive outings against teams with a straight up losing record. Take the Pride. Thank you. |
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02-07-23 | San Jose State +3.5 v. Fresno State | 62-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
San Jose State Spartans. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 651. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. In all sincerity folks, I feel the wrong team is favored here. The Bulldogs haven’t won back-to-back games since the New Year began. They were also downed by the Spartans approximately one month ago on the road, 74-64. They possess a very lackluster offense that I feel will once again be completely shut down here tonight. In the first matchup, they were out rebounding, 33-22. I doubt very much that will change here this evening. They will not have the opportunity for too many second chance shots. Meanwhile, San Jose State will, owning the far superior boardsmen. To me that would be the major difference in this matchup. The Bulldogs are just 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played at home. Meanwhile, the Spartans are 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played on the road. Take San Jose State. Thank you. |
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02-07-23 | Rutgers +5 v. Indiana | 60-66 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Best Bet play. Game 601. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Indiana comes in to this matchup tonight following Saturday’s victory over No. 1 Purdue. The Hoosiers are playing good basketball, there’s no question about that. But I feel in this situation they are due for a major letdown coming off the victory over the Boilermakers and also looking ahead to the next game against the Wolverines. The Scarlet Knights enter this matchup playing some great basketball as well. They have won and covered the last two outings with authority over the Golden Gophers and the Spartans. Rutgers took down Indiana in the first meeting, back at the beginning of December at home, 63-48. That gave them their sixth consecutive win and cover over their conference rival. While Indiana is playing some very good basketball, I just don’t feel anything will change in this outcome against one of the most frustrating and nastiest defenses in college basketball, which ranks fifth in points allowed and fourth in field-goal percentage allowed. They have also covered nine of the last 10 versus teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 10 of the last 13 games overall. Take the Scarlet Knights. Thank you. |
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02-05-23 | Fordham +4.5 v. Richmond | 58-68 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Fordham Rams. Game 829. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans, the A-10 has some very good teams. And very quietly Fordham has become one of their best teams. The Rams sit in third place in the conference at 6-3, possessing an overall record of 18-4 on the campaign. This team is red-hot, winning five in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They face one of the poorest teams in the Atlantic 10. Richmond is towards the bottom of the barrel at 4-6 in league play, owning an overall 11-12 mark on the campaign. It’s true, they are significantly better at home than they are on the road. However, this team is definitely struggling, dropping fourth straight and six in a row against the number. As a matter fact, they are pointspread poison. They have not covered their last six attempts against teams with a winning percentage above .600. And have also failed to cover their last four games played at home inside the Robins Center. Statistically, on both ends of the court the Rams are just stronger. Quisenberry and Moore are one of the most exciting 1-2 punches in the conference. They are combining for 28.5 points per game, 10.3 rebounds per game, 4.8 assists per game, and 2.5 steals per game. I just don’t see anyone on the Spiders slowing this tandem down. Granted, Richmond does have Tyler Burton, who is a monster player. But they just don’t have the depth, nor the overall talent to compete in this one. The road team has covered nine of the last 11 meetings. Meanwhile Fordham has covered the last four on the road versus teams with the winning home record and four the last overall five games played as a visitor. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Pacific +13.5 v. BYU | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Pacific Tigers. Late Bailout Play. Game 789. 6:00 PM PST. Guys, we all know that BYU defeated Pacific at the end of December, 69-49. But something changed following that loss. The Tigers started to get hot and started covering. That’s right folks, they have won five of their last eight straight up, and six of those eight against the spread. Meanwhile since the New Year began, the Cougars started to struggle. They have dropped five of eight straight up, and have split out those eight against the spread. Granted BYU possesses a little stronger of a defense. But they do have one major weakness defensively. And that is defending the “3“. And guess what guys? Pacific is one of the best in the nation from downtown, hitting just shy of 39% from beyond the arc. They can keep this game very close from the perimeter folks, that is for sure. The Tigers have covered seven of their last 10 on the road, four of their last five following an ATS win, and four of their last five games played on Saturday. Take Pacific. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Murray State +7.5 v. Indiana State | 56-99 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Murray State Racers. MVC Game of the Month. Game 681. 1:00 PM PST. Murray State has already taken down Indiana State a few weeks ago at home, 82-73. This is a team that’s running red-hot, winning four of their last six straight up, and five of those six against the spread. Granted, the Sycamores have won their last two straight up, and their last three ATS, but this team will hit a wall here today. I understand that on paper they possess a little stronger of an offense. But the Racers are deeper overall on both sides of the court. In addition, they possess a much bigger, much stronger, and much more talented front court. And that is where this game will be won. This is way too many points to give this team. I honestly feel that Indiana State should be maybe a one or a two-point favorite, and that is only because they are playing at home. Take the points with Murray State. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Texas v. Kansas State +1.5 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. ESPN TV winner. Game 700. 1:00 PM PST. These are certainly two of the best teams in the Big 12. And today, in this matchup, a share of first place is on the line. The Longhorns sit a top the Conference in first place coming into this game. But the Wildcats are one of four teams just a game back halfway through the Conference season. Kansas State devoured Texas in the first meeting, approximately one month ago on the road, 116-103. Now normally I would look to take the team seeking revenge in the matchup. However, playing Texas on the road against Kansas State at home would be a mistake. The Longhorns are 3-2 straight up away from home, while the Wildcats are a perfect 12-0 at the Bramlage Coliseum. And they certainly can’t be too thrilled about coming into this contest as an underdog in their own house. These two teams statistically match up pretty darn well. As a matter fact, on both sides of the court their numbers are very similar. But I do feel possessing the stronger front court, is going to significantly benefit K State here. The Longhorns are just 2-7 ATS their last nine games played on the road. The Wildcats are 5-0 ATS their last five games played at home. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Miami-FL +2 v. Clemson | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Miami-Florida Hurricanes. ACC Annihilator. Game 673. 12:00 PM PST. Guys, I am well aware of the fact Clemson owns the top spot in the Conference. I am also well aware of the fact Miami has alternated wins and losses in the New Year. But something we certainly cannot ignore, is the fact the Tigers are being overvalued, covering just three of their last seven outings. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes enter this matchup on a 7-3 ATS hot streak. They have taken the last two meetings straight up, and the last four against the spread. They certainly have the offensive prowess to dominate Clemson here, both on the boards, and on the scoreboard. This is a very healthy squad, possessing four double-digit scoring starters. By the way, Miami has covered 20 of their last 26 games played on the road. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you. |
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02-04-23 | Auburn +9.5 v. Tennessee | 43-46 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Auburn Tigers. Shocker play. Game 649. 11:00 AM PST. There are three teams tied for second place in the SEC. And today, two of those teams square off. Auburn and Tennessee both sit at 7-2 and conference play (along with Texas A&M). Both teams are playing very good basketball. However, despite the Volunteers possessing one of the toughest defenses in college basketball, I just don’t see this team being this much of a favorite over a very tough and scrappy Tigers opponent. Auburn has taken six of the last seven meetings both straight up and against the spread. To be quite honest, the last two matchups were each settled by five-points. Tennessee might own a very good defense, but Auburn does too. They allow just 64.6-points per game, 39.4% shooting overall from the field, and a mere 27.8% from downtown. The underdog has covered five of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Tigers have covered their last four on the road. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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02-03-23 | Boise State +6 v. San Diego State | Top | 52-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
Boise State. Best Bet. Game 883. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. My friends, this line is way off here. This should be a Pick ‘em or at most, the Aztecs should just be maybe a one-point favorite only because they are at home. These are the two best teams in the Mountain West Conference, tied for the top-spot in the League at 8-2. Overall, the Broncos own a little bit better of a record at 18-5, while the Aztecs are 17-5. A season ago, Boise State took all three meetings over San Diego State straight up covering two of the three. Interestingly enough, all three meetings were settled by a combined seven-points. These two teams play each other very tough, my friends. Offensively, they are very similar. But defensively the Broncos are much stronger. They rank 12th in the nation yielding just 60.7-points per game. They’re also 24th in field-goal percentage allowed and fourth in three-point percentage allowed. Both teams have had a few days off to rest and prepare. However, BSU certainly comes in here hotter, winning eight of the last nine straight up and six of the last eight against the spread, while SDSU is just 4-2 their last six straight up and have only covered five of their last 10 against the number. The underdog has covered the last four meetings in this rivalry. The Broncos have covered 20 of their last 26 on the road. Meanwhile, the Aztecs have only covered four of the last 14 at home. Take Boise State. Thank you. |
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02-02-23 | Michigan v. Northwestern -3 | 68-51 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Northwestern. LVSM play. Game 772. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Wildcats come into tonight’s contest possessing a 15-6 overall record and are tied for third in Big Ten play with a 6-4 mark. They were riding a three-game straight up and against the spread win streak prior to Tuesday night’s loss on the road at the Hawkeyes. They are in bounce ack mode here. I look for them to exact a bit of revenge here tonight as in the first meeting with the Wolverines, back in mid-January, they were downed on the road, 85-78. Now, Michigan has dominated the recent matchups, winning six in a row straight up, covering four of the six. But I think we can all agree these two teams are very different from past squads. The Wolverines are absolutely atrocious at 11-10 and sitting in sixth place in the Conference at 5-5. They’re also burning bettors on the road, failing to cover their last four as an away team. Overall, on the campaign they are just 1-4 straight up as a visitor. Oh, by the way folks, they’ve covered just once since January 4. Their once-feared defense has become a thing of the past, as they are now allowing over 70.4-points per game. The home team has covered seven of the last nine meetings in this rivalry. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
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01-31-23 | Kansas State +7 v. Kansas | Top | 78-90 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Kansas State Wildcats. BIG 12 GOM. Game 633. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The seventh ranked Wildcats will look to take their first regular-season sweep over the eighth ranked Jayhawks in years. They took the first meeting at home in overtime just two weeks ago, 83-82. Granted, Kansas is a pretty darn good home team. But this year‘s Jayhawks squad has started to struggle. They’ve lost three of their last four overall straight up, and five of their last six overall against the spread. As far as us bettors are concerned, K State has been money, covering eight of their last nine contests coming into tonight’s matchup. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 35 of their last 52 on the road, 10 of their last 11 against teams with a winning record, and their last four straight overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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01-30-23 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech | 77-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Sport fans, there is no better opponent to face to turn things around than Texas Tech, as Iowa State has struggled a bit lately. The Cyclones are currently still ranked No.12 in the nation prior to the new rankings coming out. This is a team that has dropped three of their last five games and needs to get back on track. They have also failed to cover their last three contests. They face a League rival in the Red Raiders, which has not won a single game in the Big 12 yet this season, going 0-8 in conference play. As a matter of fact, this they were riding an eight-game SU losing streak before Saturday’s win against LSU. These two met three weeks ago ago as the Cyclones took down the Red Raiders, 84-50. There is no reason to think that this outcome will be any different. ISU possesses a defense that will once again swarm and frustrate TTU defense. They rank 12th in the nation, allowing just 60.5-points per game and are one of the best on the defensive glass in college basketball today. I just don’t see the Red Raiders getting too many second-chance opportunities. Texas Tech has failed to cover the last four games played at home, 13 of their last 16 versus teams with the winning percentage of .600, and seven of the last nine overall. By the way folks, to favorite has covered eight of the last nine meetings in this rivalry. Take Iowa State. Thank you. |
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01-28-23 | Miami-FL +1.5 v. Pittsburgh | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami Hurricanes. OM PLAY. Game 693. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. With over 100+ college basketball games on the board Saturday, the oddsmakers overlooked this game and made a huge mistake. There is no way the ‘Canes should have opened up a small ‘dog against the Panthers. They have dominated in this rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering seven of them. For starters, they are money as a visitor, riding a three-game ATS win streak, while Pitt has failed to cover their last three contests at home. The Panthers are without three top players, including their top-recruit, Johnson, and two starting forwards, Hugley and Jeffress. This is the contest, they will sorely miss those sidelined playmakers. Miami has the talent, the depth, and overall, better hustlers, which will result in more, assists, steals, blocks, and rebounds. The road team has covered the last four meetings in this series. The Hurricanes have covered 26 of their last 33 games played on the road. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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01-28-23 | Xavier +5.5 v. Creighton | Top | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
Xavier Musketeers. GOM. Game 613. 9:15 AM PST/12:15 PM EST. Guys, the line is way off here as it should be closer to a pick ‘em or even maybe a -1 fav for Xavier. Atop the Big East and the No. 13 team in the nation, the Musketeers are confident, knowing they took down the Blue Jays earlier this month, 90-87, extending their dominance over their Conference rival for the fourth consecutive meeting, and for our purposes, four Ats covers in the last five matchups. Xavier devoured Creighton on the boards, 40-29. This time around, they will once again own the glass, possessing the bigger, stringer front court. Overall, they are healthier and deeper. The Musketeers have covered four of their last five on the road, 13 of their last 16 versus teams with a winning record, and six of their last eight overall. Take Xavier. Thank you. |
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01-26-23 | Arizona -4.5 v. Washington State | 63-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
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01-25-23 | Hawks v. Thunder +1.5 | 137-132 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City Thunder. LVSM. Game 562. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. To put it very plainly, Atlanta is in trouble. The Hawks had won seven of the previous nine before losing at home against Charlotte when at the end of the game in which they blew a 19-point third quarter lead, head coach Nate McMillan and star guard Trae Young had an argument. Well, if they had any sort of reconciliation, then they wouldn’t have gotten downed in Chicago the following game, 111-100. This team is in a serious funk, folks. Now they travel to the Paycom Center to take on an Oklahoma City Thunder opponent which has won seven of the last nine straight up and nine in a row against the spread. The Thunder took the only other meeting with the Hawks this season, back in December on the road, 121-114. I just feel that the issues in the locker room for Atlanta are spilling over on the court. Oklahoma City has covered four straight at home, 11 of the last 14 on two days rest, and 20 of the last 27 overall. Oh, by the way, they’ve also covered 25 of the last 36 meetings in this series. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you. |
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01-25-23 | Xavier +6.5 v. Connecticut | 82-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Xavier Musketeers. Big East GOW. Game 661. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I don’t think Xavier is too happy coming into this matchup as the top team in the Big East at 8-1 in Conference play, being a big underdog against a League rival, which is just 5-5 in Conference action. Both teams tumbled a bit in the rankings following some recent losses. However, without a doubt, the Musketeers have shown they are a lot more consistent than the Huskies. They enter this matchup winning 12 of the last 13 straight up, covering nine of the last 14 outings. On the other hand, UConn is on a 2-5 straight up run and has only covered two of the last nine outings. These two teams met on December 31st as Xavier took down Connecticut at home 83-73. While the Huskies own a very solid defense, offensively I just don’t see them keeping pace with the eighth-ranked scoring unit in the nation. That’s right, Xavier accounts for over 84.1-points per game on 50.1% shooting overall from the floor, which does include just shy of 40% from downtown. This is a team that has also covered five of the last seven on the road. This is way too many points to give the Big East’s No. 1 team. Take Xavier. Thank you. |
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01-23-23 | Kansas +2.5 v. Baylor | 69-75 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Kansas Jayhawks. Game 871. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. At first glance, you’re supposed to play Baylor here. And I mean why not, they have won four in a row straight up, and are just a half-point away from covering all four of those outings. Kansas has failed to cover their last four outings, while dropping their last two straight up. Only once a season ago did the Jayhawks drop back-to-back games, and never did they let it go past that. This is a team steeped in pride, tradition, and talent. As a matter of fact, it is the last loss that truly compels me to side with them today. They took an embarrassing, 83-60 beat down at the hands of the Horned Frogs just two nights ago at home. You know folks they are 6-0 ATS the last six games played following a double-digit loss at home and 10-0 ATS the last 10 games played following a straight up defeat of 20 or more points. They have done pretty well against this conference rival against the number, covering four of the last five meetings. On both sides of the court these two teams match up pretty well. However, I look for KU to take advantage of their superior fire power offensively, against a BU defense that has allowed opponents to hit 33.2% from downtown and an overall 43.7% from the floor. The ‘dog has covered nine of the last 13 meetings in this series, while the road team has covered 25 of the last 36 matchups. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Celtics v. Raptors | 106-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics on the moneyline. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 501. 2:10 PM PST/5:10 PM EST. Boston is striding, winning 12 of the last 14 straight up, covering four of the last five against the spread. Let’s face it sports fans, the Celtics are playing some great basketball. At 34-12, they possess the best overall record in the NBA. To say they have dominated the Raptors, would be an understatement. They have taken seven of the last nine both straight up and against the spread, including the only meeting this season, a December 5, 116-110 win and cover on the road. Toronto seems to be struggling, losing and failing to cover three of the last four outings. Yes, I know Jason Tatum is supposed to be sidelined this evening (check status), but the way Boston is surging right now, I don’t think it will matter. They have enough depth and talent with their second-ranked scoring offense to outgun the lackluster Toronto squad. The Celtics have covered four of the last five games played on the road. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +3.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Best Bet Play. Game 652. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. Wake Forest has done quite well in this conference rivalry, covering the last three meetings with Virginia and winning the most recent, 63-55 approximately one year ago. They enter this matchup running red-hot, winning six of their last seven both straight up and against the spread. While the Cavaliers are a good team, no denying that, they are seriously overvalued by oddsmakers. They have only covered six of their 17 outings this season thus far. And while overall they sport a very good straight up record, most of their wins have come at home where they are 9-1. When they take to the road, they are just 3-2 straight up and have failed to cover the last two as a true road team. On the other hand, the Demon Deacons are a very good home team winning all 10 of their contests at the LJV Memorial Coliseum, covering the last four as host. While the Cavaliers certainly possess a very good defense, I just don’t think they can compensate for their lack of offense against Demon Deacons “O” that accounts for just shy of 78-points per game. Virginia has covered just three of their last 13 overall. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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01-20-23 | Boise State +2 v. New Mexico | 79-81 | Push | 0 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
Boise State Broncos. Best Bet. Game 895. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 EST. Sports fans, I was talking about the Broncos at the end of December and saying how you should watch out for them pretty soon because come January, they usually start to really stride. Well, since the New Year began, this team is a perfect 5-0 straight up going 4-1 against the spread. I’m not looking to take away anything from New Mexico, which has amassed a 17-2 overall record. However, since League play began, this team has dropped a couple of games and they’ve had a tough time covering. They lost on the road at Fresno State and took a bad beating at home against UNLV, both games in which they were favored. Now since those defeats, they have rattled off three consecutive wins and covers. But I will tell you playing the conferences co-leading Broncos is a whole different monster folks. This is a team that has taken four consecutive meetings straight up and going back a bit, has covered seven of the last eight against the Lobos. While New Mexico possesses the backcourt of Mashburn Jr. and House, Boise State possesses six players either averaging or flirting with double-digit scoring. Not only that, but they’ve got a slew…and I mean a slew of stellar rebounders as well. I just don’t see the home team here competing on the boards at all. This will hurt him in transition. And to be honest with you guys, they already have their hands full trying to score on the 15th ranked scoring defense in the nation. Boise State has covered 19 of the last 26 on the road. Take the points with the Broncos. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | Providence +7.5 v. Marquette | 75-83 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Providence. SD. Game 711. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Sports fans, sports betting is not about who wins, it is about who covers. I do feel Marquette is a slightly better team than Providence in this situation. Obviously, they’re playing at home and they score a few more points per game. However, the Fryers, on both sides of the court are superior on the boards. They ranked 15th in the nation on the offensive glass and 40th on the defensive glass. Not only that, but they have taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up, including the last two. I think this is way too many points to give a very game team which has proven to us bettors that they are money, covering nine of the last 10 outings. By the way folks, they have covered the last five overall games played on the road as well. Take Providence. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | Oklahoma +2.5 v. Oklahoma State | 56-72 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Oklahoma. BIG 12 GOW. Game 713. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. There is no doubt that when it comes to conference matchups, the teams know each other very well. In this case, the Sooners and the Cowboys know each other as well as they dislike one another. However, you cannot deny the fact that Oklahoma comes in here a little hotter, winning two of the last three straight up and four of the last six against the spread, while Oklahoma State has dropped their last three in a row, both straight up and against the number. Both teams are loaded with playmakers and scorers. And both are excellent on the defensive board. The best player on the floor, OU’s Grant Sheffield shines in games like this. The guard averages 17.6-points per game, 2.9-rebounds per game, and 3.5-assists per game. By the way, this team runs primarily with three forwards and two guards or four forwards and one guard. There is going to be a lot of physicality down in the paint. And they have the edge there for sure. The Sooners have covered seven of the last nine on the road, are 5-1 ATS the last six following an ATS loss, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 following a straight up win. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | Cincinnati -3.5 v. South Florida | 85-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Cincinnati. LVSM. Game 681. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Cincinnati enters this matchup winning 10 of their last 13 outings, both straight up and against the spread. On both sides of the court, they outclass South Florida. Offensively, they’re putting up just shy of 77-points per game. And defensively, they’re allowing just 67-points per game. It is on the defensive side which will give them a big victory here tonight as when the Bulls face solid defense of opposition, they fold like a cheap suit. The Bearcats possess a starting lineup of four double-digit scorers and one player averaging 9.6-points per game. They have an outstanding backcourt that will control the tempo and the pace of this match up. By the way, South Florida has only covered 13 of their last 40 games played at home. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | Florida v. Texas A&M -3.5 | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Texas A&M. SEC GOW. Game 686. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Texas A&M has dominated Florida, winning and covering three consecutive meetings, including a January 4th, 66-63 away victory. As a matter of fact, the Aggies are one of only two undefeated teams in conference play in the SEC. They’re running red-hot right now, winning six in a row straight up and covering their last five. Meanwhile, the Gators have shown signs of life since that early January loss to today’s opponent, winning three in a row straight up and covering the last two. However, folks, they were supposed to win their last three games as they came in as favorites against the Conference rivals, Georgia Bulldogs, LSU Tigers, and Missouri Tigers. Both teams matchup quite well with one another as their statistics are almost mirror images of one another. But Texas A&M certainly has a bit more talent in their starting-five and without question, some of the bigger, stronger muscle down in the paint. They are also money to us sports bettors, covering and 22 of their last 30 games played overall. Meanwhile Florida is just 4-14 ATS the last 18 games played following straight up win, 3-8 ATS the last 11 road games played versus teams with a winning home record, and 6-16 Ats the last 22 game played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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01-18-23 | TCU +3 v. West Virginia | 65-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
It doesn’t happen often. But when it does, WE MUST MAKE THEM PAY! I have uncovered a MISTAKE made by the oddsmakers. So, I have my coveted 21-8 NCAAB ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY which are 100% in 2022/2023 season. TCU. OM. Game 691. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST My friends, for the life of me I can’t figure out how the 14-3 Horned Frogs, which bounced back after back-to-back losses for the first time this season, are an underdog against the 10-7 Mountaineers team, which has not won a game since before Christmas and has only covered once since early-December. This astounds me folks. I know the home team has covered nine of the last 11 meetings. But I think we can all agree that these teams this season are very different from recent teams. TCU comes into this match up with a very, very good defense. They will frustrate the West Virginia offense and force mistakes, folks. To make matters worse, WVU had second-half leads in three of their last five conference losses. That tells me a lot about how good they are and how good their coaching staff really is. There is no way they could contend with Horned Frogs on the boards in this matchup. Texas Christian has more than a few big men up front and they will dominate the glass here. By the way, they’re also 22-8-1 ATS the last 31 games played on the road. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers are just 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. Take the Horned Frogs. Thank you. |
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01-17-23 | Georgia +11 v. Kentucky | 71-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
Georgia Bulldogs. Slam Dunk Play. Game 655. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Georgia is off to a wonderful start this season, going 13-4 overall, which does include a 3-1 mark in SEC play. They enter this matchup red-hot, winning six of the last seven straight up and seven of their last eight against the spread. They have covered six consecutive outings as an underdog and as of this morning, the line on this game is better than double-digits. They have had their way covering the last three in this conference rivalry. Speaking of double-digits, Kentucky has failed to cover their last six contests this season as a double-digit favorite. As a matter fact, the Wildcats are absolute point spread poison. They were riding a 10-game ATS no cover streak until Saturday’s big win on the road at the Volunteers, themselves as a double-digit underdog. I expect them to be in a big “let down” mode here as they face a very gritty Georgia team. The Bulldogs possess one of the stingiest and most frustrating defenses in the conference, let alone in the nation. They are allowing just 63.9-points per game. They are also a top-10 unit defending the perimeter, allowing a mere, 27.7% from beyond the arc. This is going to be a big problem for Kentucky, which heavily relies upon three-point shots. The Wildcats are 0-7-1 ATS the last eight games played at home, 1-7 ATS the last eight games played versus teams with a winning record, and 7-18-1 ATS the last 26 games played following a straight up win. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -3.5 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Slam Dunk Play. Game 846. 11:15 AM PST/2:15 PM EST. Sports fans, the last two meetings in this rivalry have been decided by just one and two-points, as Rutgers has covered both (1-1 SU). Ohio State has lost and failed to cover three straight coming into this matchup. Two of those teams they have lost to, Purdue and Maryland, are two teams that Rutgers took wins and covers against this month alone. While the Buckeyes certainly own some better offensive numbers, the Scarlet Knights rank fourth in the nation in both points per game allowed and field goal percentage allowed, and eight in three-point percentage allowed. This is a very good defense that has held some very strong opponents to some low scoring affairs. Meanwhile Ohio State has only cover two of the last seven games played on the road and only one of the last six games played versus teams was a winning percentage above .600. On the other hand, the Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS the last five games played at home, 6-0 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage over .600, and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Take Rutgers. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | Northwestern +4.5 v. Michigan | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 40 m | Show | |
Northwestern Wildcats. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 829. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Both teams are at 3-2 in conference play. However, Northwestern owns a much better overall record at 12-4 as opposed to Michigan’s, 9-7 mark. Both teams come off losses. But the Wolverines have lost back-to-back games, failing to cover their last two as well. While Michigan certainly puts up slightly better numbers offensively, Northwestern possesses one of the best defenses in the nation, ranking eleventh in points allowed (59.3 PPG) and 10th in field-goal percentage allowed (37.8%). The Wildcats will also get as many second-chance points as they wish facing the 322nd ranked Wolverines defensive rebounding core. Northwestern is 5-1 ATS the last six games played following and ATS loss. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | St. John's +14.5 v. Connecticut | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
St. John’s Red Storm. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 831. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. My friends, there is no way Connecticut should be laying these many points. As a matter fact, I have them winning, but only by seven or eight-points. The underdog has covered the last four meetings in this rivalry. And by the way, that has been St. Johns. They have covered four in a row and six of the last seven meetings with their conference rival. They enter this matchup covering their last two outings, while the Huskies have failed to cover five of their last six contests. Yes, both teams can score. And yes, UConn’s defense certainly has better numbers. But the SJU offense can put up just shy of 79-points per game, and they rank 10th in the nation on the offensive boards. This means they’re going to get a ton of second-chance shots. Listen, the Red Storm starting-five all either average or are flirting with double-digits. Way too many points to give a team that could put up a ton of points. Take St. Johns. Thank you. |
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01-14-23 | Cincinnati -5.5 v. SMU | 54-52 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bearcats. AAC Game of the Week. Game 711. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. My friends, Cincinnati is 3-2 in conference play on the road to an overall record of 12-6. SMU, on the other hand, has struggled everywhere so far this season, going just 1-3 against AAC opponents and own an overall dismal mark of 6-11. The Bearcats have had their way in this series, winning eight of the last nine straight up and covering the last six in a row. They enter this matchup playing pretty darn good basketball. Not only have they won nine of their last 12 outings straight up, they are riding a 10-2 ATS hot streak. Meanwhile, the Mustangs last either won or covered on January 1, riding a three-game slide, both straight up and against the number. Not only that, but they’ve taken some beatings, losing by 34 to Houston, 32 to Central Florida, and by 9 to Tulane. I don’t see them keeping pace on the scoreboard here with an offense that averages just 69.0-points per game. Defensively, they are at a big disadvantage as well. The Cincy offense is putting up over 78.1-points per game and just hitting 36.6% from beyond the arc. They are also pretty darn good on the offensive glass as well. So, they get a lot of second chance shots. Guys, the Bearcats entire starting-five average double-digits. Like I said, a big mismatch here tonight. The Mustangs are 4-10 ATS the last 14 games played at home, 4-11 ATS last 15 games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, 9-23 ATS the last 32 games played following and ATS loss, and 7-17 ATS the last 24 games played overall. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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01-12-23 | Utah +12.5 v. UCLA | 49-68 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Utah Utes. PAC-12 Game of the Week. Game 849. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. The conference’s top-two teams face one another this evening as UCLA is 5-0 and Utah is 5-1 in Pac-12 play. Granted, the Bruins rank seventh in the nation and are riding an 11-game straight up win streak. However, this team is starting to look a little tired folks. And they’re certainly getting overvalued by the odds makers. They have covered just one of their last three outings. And they come off a very tough, physical, barn-burning to two-point win as an 11-point favorite over the rival, Trojans. UCLA blew an 18-point halftime lead and needed a three-pointer with 14.8 seconds left to escape with the win the other night. They shot just 22.7% from the field in the second half. Guys, this team is tired. Utah, on the other hand is going to be in bounce back mode here this evening. Following a three-game win and cover streak against Cal, Stanford, and Oregon State, they took a 10-point loss at home against Oregon five days ago. That was the Utes first conference loss. I looked for them to bounce back big time here. This is a team very healthy and on both sides of the court matchup very well here. Particularly on the boards, where they rank eighth on the offensive glass. Defensively, they will dominate there as well as UCLA is just atrocious on the offensive glass. Both teams possess four double-digit scores. However, without question, Utah has the bigger, stronger rebounders. Look for 7’0” 235 lbs. center, Branden Carlson (15.7 PPG/7.4 RPG) to go uncontested in the paint. The Utes are 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road. The Bruins are 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home. Take Utah. Thank you. |
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01-12-23 | Colorado +4 v. USC | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. TV Game Winner. Game 827. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. My friends, USC is taking their home court for the first time since December 18. I can tell you that their long away trip has taken its toll on this team. They have lost their last two outings straight up on the road at Washington State and at UCLA. Coming off the Bruins lost, I doubt they’re going to be able to bounce back here mentally as they were down by 18 at the half and cut the lead to just two points in the final minute before UCLA won 60-58. This is a team both mentally and physically fatigued. On the other hand, Colorado enters this matchup red-hot, winning seven of the last eight straight up and three of the last four against the spread. They’re playing very good basketball. You know they’ve had their way in this conference rivalry, taking seven of the last eight meetings with USC straight up and covering six of those eight meetings. This is a relatively healthy team that matches up well with the Trojans on both sides of the court. They have a big strong front court and a very talented back court as well. Both teams have a couple of double-digit scores and solid rebounders. However, there is no question, the Buffaloes are a little bit deeper. The road team has covered five of the last six meetings. The Trojans are just 7-19 ATS the last 26 teams played at home. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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01-11-23 | Mississippi State v. Georgia +2.5 | 50-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Georgia Bulldogs. SEC Game of the Week. Game 666. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST Well, I can honestly say that I feel the Georgia team, the coaching staff, and the entire crowd at the Stegeman Coliseum enter the tonight’s matchup with an excitement that will be unrivaled, coming off of Monday’s Georgia football team win for the National Title. Granted, Mississippi State did beat Marquette and Utah in the third week of November, failing to cover both games. But this teams record and stats have been padded by a lot of, let’s just say, less than mediocre opponents. Since the schedule started getting a little tougher, well let’s face it, they’ve lost three of their last four straight up. Not only that but they have point spread poison, only covering twice since mid-November. If you’re keeping score, that’s a 2-10 ATS slide. On the other hand, Georgia is a heck of a team. They’ve covered seven of the last nine. And following a four-game straight up win streak, although they covered on the road at Florida in their last outing, they did lose. I look for the team to bounce back big time. Yes, I know the Mississippi State owns a decent defense. But folks, this is the team that allowed the Crimson Tide and the Volunteers to put up a combined 165 points against them just recently. Trust me when I tell you the statistics are padded. The Georgia “D” is pretty darn good themselves, only allowing 65.2-points per game. This does not bode well as the Mississippi State offense leaves a lot to be desired. As a matter of fact, they rank worse than 300th in scoring, three-point percentage, and overall field goal percentage. The “O” is just atrocious. I don’t see them keeping pace with Georgia at all. There’s a lot more talent on the Georgia side than their counterparts here. Plus, they’re a lot deeper as well folks. Both upfront and in the backcourt, they are far superior. Mississippi State is just 2-6 ATS the last eight on the road, while Georgia is 5-2 ATS the last seven at home. Oh, by the way the home team has covered four of the last five meetings in this rivalry. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
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01-10-23 | Nevada +9.5 v. San Diego State | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Nevada Wolfpack. MWC GOW. Game 659. 8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST. What a matchup! Nevada and San Diego State are the final two remaining unbeaten teams in the Mountain West Conference. Very quietly, the Aztecs are in their 94th week appearing in the rankings since the start the 2010/2011 season, more than any other program in the state of California during that span. They are a very good team my friends. However, they are being significantly overvalued by the oddsmakers. This is a team that is covered just twice since the last week of November, going on a 2-8 ATS slide. To make matters worse, they are laying just about double-digits here. As a favorite of 8.5-points or more, they are 0-8 ATS this season. Well, the Wolfpack enter this matchup covering five straight games. And to be honest with you, this is a team that is surprising most as they were picked to finished towards the bottom of the barrel in the MWC and have already taken down two of the preseasons top-four league teams. They possess a defense that will frustrate the San Diego State offense and force them into making quite a few mistakes, folks. Offensively, they are every bit as strong as their opponent tonight with a starting-five consisting of three double-digit scorers and a couple of monsters on the boards. This game will tend to get a bit physical, which will also benefit the Wolfpack as they hit just shy of 80% (79.4%) from the line. A far cry better than the 72.9% the Aztecs hit from the free-throw line. The road team has covered seven of the last eight meetings, while the underdog has covered five straight in this rivalry. San Diego State is just 1-5 ATS the last six at home while Nevada is 10-4 ATS the last 14 on the road. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you. |
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01-05-23 | Purdue +1.5 v. Ohio State | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
Purdue Boilermakers. Big Ten GOW. Game 759. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Purdue began this week as a number one team in the nation. On Monday they took their first loss, a heartbreaking one-point defeat at the hands of Rutgers, giving the Boilermakers their first “L” of the season. I looked for them to bounce back here in a Big Ten matchup against a team they know very well. They have taken five of the last seven meetings straight up in this series and making them an underdog here tonight is a mistake. Ohio State is riding a three-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread. However, opponents like Maine, Alabama A&M, and Northwestern have not prepared the Buckeyes for the step up in class here this evening. Yes, I know the Boilermakers haven’t covered since the end of November. But this is going to be a very physical contest and I don’t see anyone on the OSU roster that can contend with Center, Zach Edey. While the road team is 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings in this rivalry, the Buckeyes are just 3-9 ATS the last 12 games played following a straight up win. Take Purdue. Thank you. |
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01-04-23 | Wake Forest +10.5 v. North Carolina | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons. ACC Game of the Week. Game 721. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Guys, the number is way off in this matchup. The odds makers know that we are all going to look at Wake Forest’s away record and compare it to North Carolina’s home record. Currently, the Demon Deacons are just 1-2 as a visitor this season, while the Tar Heels are 6-0 at the Dean E. Smith Center. Let’s go over history first my friends. These two teams met four times over the last two seasons, with each team winning two of the match ups. However, Wake Forest covered three of those four and going back a bit, six of the last eight against North Carolina. They enter this matchup winning and covering their last two games over Duke and Virginia Tech. Mind you they were underdogs in both. The Tar Heels, following a four-game straight up win streak in which they went 3-1 ATS, lost a few nights ago on the road at the Panthers, 76-74. This is a team struggling right now folks. They are just 9-5 on the campaign. And once again this season are being overvalued by the odds makers, covering just four of their 14 outings. Both teams currently possess four double-digit scores and a handful of solid rebounders. Both teams are deep up front and have talented backcourts. As I said earlier, these two teams match up quite well. And I just don’t see how the odds makers can make the Demon Deacons a double-digit ‘dog. Take a Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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01-04-23 | Miami-FL -6.5 v. Georgia Tech | 70-76 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Miami Florida. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 675. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The 12th ranked Miami Hurricanes have won nine consecutive contests. Not only are they winning, they are getting us paid, covering six of their last eight. Such teams as Providence, Central Florida, Rutgers, NC State, Virginia, and Notre Dame have all fallen victim to Miami-Fl. If you’re worrying about them being a visitor here tonight, don’t be. The Hurricanes have won eight straight regular season away games and seven straight conference road games going back to last season. They have dominated the Yellow Jackets, winning and covering both meetings a season ago by an average of 10-points per game. Georgia Tech enters this matchup dropping three of their last four straight up and four of their last five against the spread. On both sides of the court, they are outclassed here. I just don’t see their lackluster offense, which averages a mere 71.2-points per game keeping pace with the explosive Miami “O“. The favorite has covered five of the last six meetings in this rivalry, while the road team has covered nine of the last 13 matchups. Once again, the Hurricanes are money on the road, covering 23 of their last 29 as a visitor. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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01-04-23 | Penn State +4 v. Michigan | 69-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
Penn State Nittany Lions. Shocker Play. Game 683. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Sports fans, as of this morning most of the wagers are coming in on Michigan. Now while they’ve taken down Penn State the last two meetings straight up, the Nittany Lions have covered the last four matchups with the Wolverines. And before the last two, won the previous to straight up. Penn State is starting to be recognized as a contender in the Big Ten. They enter today’s game winning five in a row straight up, covering three of those five. They match up very well with today’s opponent. Speaking of Michigan, they are just 8-5 on the campaign. And it seems that each time they try to step up in class, they get romped. They took an early season beating at the hands of Arizona State, got crushed by Virginia, lost to Kentucky, and then lost to North Carolina. What they should really be concerned with is the fact that less than a week ago, as a 21.5-point favorite, they lost 63-61 to Central Michigan. Now they did bounce back and destroy Maryland three days ago, but to be honest with you I just don’t see them matching up with Penn State tonight. Both up front and in the back court, the Nittany Lions are chock-full of talent. The underdog is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this rivalry. Penn State is 7-1 ATS the last eight games played on the road and 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 games played following an ATS win. Michigan is 5-2 ATS the last seven games played at home and 6-20 ATS the last 26 games played following an ATS win. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you. |
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01-03-23 | LSU +9.5 v. Kentucky | 71-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
LSU Tigers. ESPN TV Winner. Game 625. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. My friends, I just can’t figure it. The Tigers possess a 12-1 record, are 1-0 in conference play, have rattled off seven consecutive straight up victories, and come off a 60-57 win over the ninth ranked Razorbacks, and yet they enter this matchup as of this analysis, nearly a double-digit underdog. No, it’s true, they do not have an explosive offense. But they down a defense holding opponents to just 63.4-points per game. I mean this is a team that each time they stepped up this season, has come through. They’ve already taken down Akron, covered against Kansas State, beat Wake Forest, and just come off that big win over Arkansas. While Kentucky is always a very competitive team, they’re just 9-4 straight up and a dismal, 4-8-1 against the spread on the season. To be quite honest, they haven’t covered a game since November 23, riding a seven-game ATS slide. Outside of a win at the beginning of December over Michigan, they have not played well against any formidable adversaries. Last season these two conference rivals split out straight up victories. However, the Tigers covered both as they were each decided by just five-points. Both teams have monster big men in KJ Williams and Oscar Tshiebwe. The better supporting cast and the deeper squad belongs to the visitor here. The road team has covered five of the last seven meetings. The Tigers have covered five of their last six on the road. Meanwhile, the Wildcats have failed to cover the last six at home. Take LSU. Thank you. |
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12-31-22 | San Diego State v. UNLV +4.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
UNLV. MWC Game of the Month. Game 726. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. San Diego State has played some pretty good basketball. And I feel there is a very decent team. However, since the end of November they’ve only played one formidable foe and that was Saint Mary’s in a seven-point loss on a neutral site as a 1.5-point favorite. Other than that, they’ve been double digit favorites or had no line in every other contest. So, I feel they got to come in here very overconfident. They face a UNLV team that has played some very good basketball as well. They have dropped two of their last three both straight up and against the spread. And I feel are in serious bounce-back mode here today. This is a team that knows the Aztecs very well. The Rebels have three double-digit scorers and without question will control the tempo with the superior back court. I feel this is way too many points to give a very game UNLV team which is 5-1 ATS the last six following a straight up loss, 4-1 ATS the last five at home, and 6-2 ATS the last eight overall. By the way, the San Diego State is 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS loss, 0-5 ATS the last five following a straight up win, and 1-7 ATS the last eight overall. Take the Rebels. Thank you. |
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12-20-22 | Mississippi State -5 v. Drake | 52-58 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
Mississippi State Bulldogs. Best Bet. Game 603. 2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST. In a game being played at Pinnacle Bank Arena in Lincoln, Nebraska we see the 8-3 Drake Bulldogs face the 11-0 Mississippi State Bulldogs. Drake is playing some decent basketball. However, they have stepped up in class three times this season and lost and failed to cover all three against Indiana State, Richmond, and Saint Louis. They are also on an 0-5 ATS run. On the other hand, Mississippi State possesses a perfect record and has already taken down such notables as Akron, Marquette, Utah, and Minnesota. By the way, they have covered three of those four games against formidable opponents. While Drake has played some good basketball, they are in big trouble here today facing Mississippi State’s third-ranked defense, allowing is 52.1-points per game and just 35.8% shooting. They are absolutely stifling, defensively. Offensively, you can expect Mississippi State to also get a lot of second-chance shots as they rank 16th nationally on the offensive glass and they are facing one of the worst teams in the nation on the defensive boards. This is a big mismatch here, folks. Take Mississippi state. Thank you. |
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12-19-22 | Mavs v. Wolves +4 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Minnesota Timberwolves. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 508. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. My friends, there is no way Minnesota should be an underdog in this matchup. I have them a two-point favorite on my power ratings. They come off back-to-back wins and covers, including a huge 150-126 victory last night at home against Chicago. They set a franchise mark for points scored and field goals. Don’t expect a let down here as they will keep their foot on the gas because a victory tonight would bring them a better than .500 record. They play a Dallas team that they have taken three of the last five meetings against a season ago. This will be the first meeting this season. However, the Mavericks over the last few weeks have been very inconsistent, going just 2-4 both straight up and against the spread. While both teams have a few questionable players here, the Timberwolves are certainly deeper and can’t sustain the injury situation a little bit better. They are the third ranked field goal shooting team in the league, hitting just shy of 50% from the floor, while the Mavericks rank 26th, allowing 48.1% shooting. Dallas is 6-14 ATS the last 20 games played on the road and 7-17-2 ATS the last 26 games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-17-22 | Heat v. Spurs +7.5 | 111-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
San Antonio Spurs. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 552. To 10 PM PST/5:10 PM EST. As of 6 AM PST this morning, the Miami Heat have 15 players listed on their injury report. I guess being fined for violating the league’s injury reporting rules had no effect LOL. Now I will tell you only two are listed as out, six are listed as questionable, and seven as are listed as probable. That has little to do with why I am coming in on the San Antonio Spurs. But it does play a small part. Obviously overall the Heat are a little banged-up. But Miami travels down to Mexico City after playing two games back-to-back down to the wire in Oklahoma City and in Houston. I think this team is going to be a little weary and a little tired. Despite winning three in a row, the Miami still ranks 29th in the NBA in scoring, averaging just 108.0-points per game. They’re also absolutely horrible on the boards, and shooting from downtown and overall, from the floor. Granted, the Spurs defense leaves a lot to be desired, ranking 30th in several categories. However, they’re not too bad on the defensive glass. They enter this matchup winning and covering three of their last four outings. They are also no strangers to playing in Mexico City. Over the years they have played six games south of the border, with the most recent coming in 2019. San Antonio took down Miami just seven days ago on the road, 115-111. Normally I look at the losing team in a rematch within a week, however they’re traveling south of the border and as I mentioned at the beginning of this analysis, the Heat are weary and tired. They are also 0-3-1 ATS their last four games played versus teams with a losing record, 7-18-2 ATS their last 27 games played following a straight up win, and there’s 1-5-1 ATS their last seven games played overall. Take the Spurs. Thank you. |
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12-16-22 | Delaware v. Princeton -7 | 76-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Princeton Tigers. LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE PLAY. Game 876. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, Princeton is a very good team. They are off to an 8-3 start already on the campaign, winning eight of the last nine straight up. Getting them off their first loss since mid-November will be fatal for Delaware team that is severely overmatched here. The Tigers had won eight straight outings before Tuesday’s heartbreaking, 70-64 loss against the Gaels, a game in which they did cover. As a matter fact, they have covered three of their last four games. Now Delaware has won three in a row straight up, covering two of those three outings. And they looked pretty good beating Davidson, 69-67 at the beginning of the month. However, their only contest this season against an Ivy League team happened at the end of November when they visited Penn and got devoured, 86-73. The Blue Hens have an outstanding player in Jameer Nelson Jr., who is averaging just shy of 20-points per game. He is a stud. But his supporting cast leaves a lot to be desired. When your best rebounders are all guards, there will be an issue when you have to face a big, strong front court. And that is exactly what the Tigers possess. They have four double-digit scores. But they are very strong upfront with their three best rebounders all being big men. They significantly overmatch their opponent here on both sides of court, particularly on the boards, where they will absolutely dominate. Delaware is just 5-12 ATS their last 17 games played following a straight up win, 4-10 ATS their last 14 games played on the road following three or more consecutive games played at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five games played on the road. Take Princeton. Thank you. |
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12-15-22 | Cal-Irvine +2 v. Santa Clara | 74-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
UC Irvine. Best Bet Play. Game 863. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Guys, UC Irvine is a very strong team. They have taken down the likes of Oregon, Loyola Marymount, and New Mexico State. All this and they played very tough in a heartbreaking three-point loss to San Diego State as a 12-point underdog. This is a very good team. Not only that but they are 6-2 against the spread this season in lined games. They enter this match up against a Santa Clara team that has failed to cover their last five outings. Once again, this season this team is being overvalued. The Anteaters have an enormous amount of confidence knowing they have won and covered the last four meetings against the Broncos going back seven years. This includes last years meeting, 69-64. They possess an explosive offense averaging 80.1-points per game. And a defense allowing just 63.5-points per game. Offensively they are one of the best in the nation both from downtown and on the glass. Defensively they’re one of the best in field goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed. Outside of a mid-November win against Depaul, Santa Clara really hasn’t showed us very much. They took some beatings already to the likes of Utah State, Central Florida, and San Jose State. I will not argue that the best player on the floor is guard Brandin Podziemski. But the Anteaters certainly have the depth and the talent to frustrate the stand out guard and also overwhelm him. They also have a team that rotates players a lot more because they’re so deep and this will be a major factor here. They are 4-0 ATS their last four games played on the road, 5-1 ATS their last six games played following a straight up win, and 4-1 ATS their last five games played overall. The Broncos are 0-5 ATS their last five games played at home, 0-4 ATS their last four games played followed a straight up win, and 0-5 ATS their last five games played overall. Take UC Irvine. Thank you. |
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12-15-22 | Heat v. Rockets +4 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
Houston Rockets. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 524. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Houston Rockets have shown signs of life. They are coming off back-to-back victories for just the second time this season. And the last two opponents were no pushovers in the Milwaukee Bucks and the Phoenix Suns. If they would’ve had a letdown situation, it would’ve been following the Bucks victory. But instead, they clobbered the Suns by 15-points. As a matter of fact, they have won five consecutive games at home while covering their last six outings at the Toyota Center. Their defense has really played well. I understand that the Heat are a very good team, however they are just 5-9 straight up on the road this season. And to be quite honest with you their offense leaves a lot to be desired. I know defensively they are one of the better teams in the league. But the way the Rockets are playing I just don’t see the Heat contending as a visitor here tonight. By the way, Miami is just 7-18-1 ATS their last 26 games played following a straight up win, 2-7 ATS the last nine games played versus a team with a losing record, and 1-5 ATS their last six games played overall Take Houston. Thank you. |
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12-14-22 | UCF +6.5 v. Ole Miss | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Central Florida. Best Bet Play. Game 651. 4:30 PM PST 7:30 PM EST. In my opinion this is one of the best matchups on the board Wednesday night. You have two very strong teams both sitting at 7-2 on the campaign. Many people out there are expecting a very high-scoring a fair. I’m looking at the side in this match up. Mississippi, according to headlines come off their best performance of the season a few nights ago. However, beating a team like Valparaiso by 37-points when you’re a 15-point favorite does not impress me much. Their previous two outings were both losses and no covers against Oklahoma and Memphis. Two solid opponents. On the other hand, Central Florida has played consistently the entire season. They opened up the campaign with an overtime loss against UNC Asheville then rattled off five consecutive wins and covers. They dropped a two-point heartbreaker to Miami and then won their following two games. Their last two opponents, Samford and Tarleton State are not the strongest adversaries. I will admit that. However, they got back on track. Both teams have several solid scorers and a couple of good rebounders. But the big difference in this matchup is the fact that the Knights are quite a bit stronger defensively. They are allowing just 60.3-points per game, 37.6% shooting from the floor, and only 26.7 shooting from downtown. This game is going to be a very close game. Central Florida is 6-2 ATS their last eight games played overall. Ole’ Miss is 1-3-1 ATS their last five games played following an ATS win. Takes a nice. Thank you. |