New York Knicks.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 519.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

New York is one of the season’s most pleasant surprises. The Knicks currently sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, at 26-17. On the other hand, to say Brooklyn has been disappointing, would be an understatement. They sit in 11th place in the East, at 17-25. The Knicks have dominated the Nets, winning and covering all three meetings just in the last 11 months. They also enter tonight's matchup rolling, winning nine of their last 11 SU, and eight of those 11 ATS. They've had an extra day to rest, heal, and prepare for tonight's crosstown matchup. Brooklyn is on a 4-15 straight up run, in which they have only covered three of those 19 contests. They are a little more banged up, and in my opinion, are inferior at both ends of the court. Speaking of both ends of the court, look for the Knicks to dominate the boards, as they rank third on the offensive glass and second on the defensive glass. Take New York. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

SEC Smash Play.

Game 627.

4:00 PM PST should 7:00 PM EST.

The new rankings just came out, and the Wildcats are sitting in sixth nationally. They are tied for second place in the conference at 4-1, along with the Volunteers and the Crimson Tide. Of course, the Tigers of Auburn are a perfect 5-0 in SEC action. The Gamecocks are a respectable, 3-2 in conference play so far. And are an equally respectable, 15-3 overall. Kentucky (11-6 overall) has dominated South Carolina, taking seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering six of those 10 matchups. They enter today's contest red-hot, winning eight of their last nine straight up, and covering seven of those nine against the spread. Meanwhile the home team here, since starting to step up in class, has fallen a bit short, splitting their last four games, both SU and ATS. This is a big game for the Wildcats. And one thing they know how to do is prepare for a big game matchup. I look for them to come out and flex their muscles and show the rest of the conference exactly what they are made of. By the way, they lead the nation in scoring and are in the top-10 in both, field goal percentage overall and three-point percentage. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace on the scoreboard here. Take Kentucky. Thank you.

Florida State Seminoles.

ACC Annihilator.

Game 720.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

There is no denying Clemson has had their way over the last three or four years in this rivalry. They have taken five of the last seven meetings straight up, going 4-2-1 against the spread. But this season, these are two very different teams. The Tigers enter this matchup losing four of their last five, both SU and ATS, en route to an overall record of 12-5. They are just 2-4 in ACC play thus far. To be honest with you, when they hit the road, things go from bad to worse as they are just 2-3 in true road games this season. On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Seminoles are rolling. They have won five in a row and seven of their last eight straight up, and are red-hot ATS, covering five consecutive games. They have played some very good opponents since the New Year started and have taken down all of them in the: Yellow Jackets, the Hokies, the Demon Deacons, the Fighting Irish, and the Hurricanes. Mind you, a couple of those games that were underdog. Speaking of underdogs, I feel the wrong team is favored here. I feel this game should be a pick ‘em or even Florida State a slight one-point fav. Take the Seminoles. Thank you.

Baylor Bears.

Early Winner.

Game 615.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

These two teams are certainly both looking for a victory here today. The ninth-ranked Baylor Bears are a monster team, my friends. They are tied with the Kansas Jayhawks, the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and the Kansas State Wildcats, atop, the conference, all at 3-1. Meanwhile, the Texas Longhorns are just 1-3 in Big 12 play this season. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. The line should be closer to a pick ‘em as far as I am concerned. The Bears have dominated this rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 straight up and covering seven of those 10 meetings. Following a five-game win streak, in which they went 4-1 ATS, they come off, a tough loss on the road at the Wildcats, just four days ago. Meanwhile, the Longhorns are struggling. They are on a 1-3 straight up run. And they have covered only one of their last five outings. Going back a little further until the beginning of December, they are on a 3-7 ATS cold streak. Both teams are about the same defensively. However, you must be in awe of the explosiveness of the Baylor offense which ranks 14th in the nation in both points (84.8) and field goal percentage (49.6%). That would be enough for me to side with the underdog here. However, they are also one of the best in college basketball from downtown, ranking third nationally, hitting over 40.4% from beyond the arc. I just don't see the Texas “D”, which is allowing over 33.5% from three-point land, even slowing down the sharp shooting squad here. Even further, the Bears rank 12th in the nation on the defensive glass. I don't see Longhorns getting too many second-chance opportunities. Take the underdog. Take Baylor. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 536.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

You may not realize this because it's so early in the regular season, but this game is a big matchup. Very possibly, these two teams can face each other come the NBA Finals. Trust me when I tell you, each wants to win this contest. However, there's a few things that certainly compels me to take the home team here. First of all, the Denver Nuggets, although they are very good, are 17-4 at home, but just 11-10 on the road. As a matter of fact, when it comes to covering as a visitor, their numbers aren't very impressive at all, failing to cover their last four games played as a guest. On the other hand, the Boston Celtics are 20-0 at home this season and have covered three of their last four as host. But going even further into this, the last time these two teams met was last New Year's Day, January 1, 2023 in Denver when the Nuggets bested the Celtics, 123-111. That stopped a six-game Boston straight up win streak in this rivalry. By the way, the Celtics still covered six of the last eight meetings, going back several seasons. Boston certainly is one of the most complete teams in the NBA at both ends of the court, ranking in the top-five and most major categories. They are excellent from beyond the arc, which will be a big advantage for them as Denver ranks 16th in the league at defending the “3”. Two other major factors really urge me to side with the “green and white” here. First, they are the best in basketball on the offensive glass, which means they're going to get a ton of second-chance opportunities. And secondly, they are significantly stronger from the free-throw line. You can expect this game to get very physical. The Celtics hit over 80.6% from the line, while the Nuggets are just 75.2% from the line. This might be a lot of points, but it doesn't scare me. Take Boston. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

PAC 12 PAYDAY.

Game 839.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

Even with the absence of one of their big men (out since November), I still don't see the Pac 12's top team, the only undefeated team in the conference, getting this many points here. I know Colorado is a decent team. However, they’ve dropped three of their last four straight up and five of their last six against the spread. I know they are a lot better at home than they are on the road. But Oregon is no slouch when playing visitors, themselves. The Ducks are 3-0 in true road games this season. And they are riding an amazing, six-game win streak, in which they have played and beaten some solid opposition. I know the Buffaloes are pretty good at both ends of the court. But they aren't good enough to lay this many points against a team which doesn't want to lose a game in Pac 12 play. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Baylor Bears.

Big 12 Money Maker.

Game 639.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

I am aware of the fact Kansas State won and covered both of last year's meetings in this rivalry. However, prior to that Baylor had taken seven in a row. The Bears enter this matchup with a top-10 ranking (ninth), winning five in a row straight up, and covering four of those five. The Wildcats are a good team, don't get me wrong. And they are a respectable 2-1 in conference play. However, the Bears are a perfect 3-0 against Big 12 opponents this season. And let's face it, they want to stay undefeated in the conference. They are running hot, are relatively healthy, own a top-10 scoring offense, and are the best squad in the nation from beyond the arc. I believe that's where this game will be won. Oh, by the way, they are also monsters on the defensive glass. Take Baylor. Thank you.

Richmond Spiders.

Best Bet.

Game 611.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Guys, the wrong team is favored here. I have the Spiders favored on all of my power ratings by at least one-point. They come in here hotter, winning six in a row straight up and covering five of those six. And they have had the Dukes number, for sure. Richmond has taken eight of the last 10 meetings in this conference rivalry straight up, covering six of those 10 meetings. This team is playing very good basketball. Meanwhile, Duquesne is riding a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. As a matter fact, they've been point spread poison of late, covering just once since mid-November, riding a 1-8 no cover streak. The Spiders possess a frustrating defense and shoot lights out from downtown. Those two factors will be the difference. Take Richmond. Thank you.

Cleveland Cavaliers.

Slam Dunk.

Game 560.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Cleveland comes into tonight's matchup, both with momentum and well rested. The Cavaliers have won their last four games, covering three of the four. They will have fresh legs to boot, having not taken the floor since January 11. Granted, Chicago has won four of their last five, straight up. But they have failed to cover their last few games. And as we all know the Bulls lose a little something when they travel. They are just 6-12 on the road this season, and have only covered one of their last four as a guest. To say Cleveland has had their way in this rivalry would be an understatement. They have taken five in a row, both straight up and against the spread over Chicago. This does include a 109-95 win and cover on the road in the only meeting this season, back at the end of December. The Bulls certainly have some talent. But facing a Cavaliers team on the road, that is well rested, riding a win streak, and that has had their number will be fatal for the team. Take Cleveland. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

SEC Slam Dunk.

Game 779.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

I feel Mississippi State is going to come in here a little overconfident following their first victory over a top-five opponent since 2002. They took down the fifth-ranked Tennessee team the other night. Granted, this team is playing some good basketball, at 12-3 overall. But Alabama is a pretty darn good team too. And giving them points, I believe as a mistake. The Crimson Tide are 10-5 and are riding a four-game win streak, in which they went 3-1 against the spread. They have dominated this rivalry, winning eight of the last 10 SU. The Bulldogs have a good defense, no doubt about that. But the Crimson Tides offense is explosive, averaging over 90.6 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the floor and 39.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Too much firepower here on the visitor. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Houston Cougars.

Big 12 MONEY MAKER.

Game 737.

3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST.

Facing a Houston team, following their first loss of the campaign will prove to be fatal for the undermanned and outclassed TCU squad. I know the Horned Frogs are 8-0 straight up at home this season. But facing the No. 1defense in college basketball is going to be an impossible task for the home team here. That's right, the Cougars allow just 50.3 points per game on 34.6% shooting from the floor. I just don't see TCU putting up too many points. Take Houston. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

Odds Makers Mistake Play.

Game 657.

11;00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

The wrong team is favored here. I have the Wildcats a slight favorite of -1.5. The team will record its seventh consecutive victory along with its seventh consecutive cover here. This team is on fire, and they've had the Aggies number, taking eight of the last nine straight pp covering six of those nine meetings. Speaking of Texas A&M, they are ice cold, dropping two in a row, and four of their last six straight up, failing to cover five of those last six. I just don't see Texas A&M keeping pace on the scoreboard offensively with the second-ranked scoring offense in college basketball. Take Kentucky. Thank you.

Minnesota Golden Gophers.

Big Ten Blockbuster.

Game 867.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

Minnesota is on fire, winning seven consecutive games straight up and covering their last nine. They are in second place in the conference, tied with Northwestern and Illinois at 3-1. Overall, this team is a very respectable, 12-3. Granted, Indiana has had their way in this rivalry, but these are two very different teams this season. The Hoosiers are just 11-5, which includes a 3-2 record in Big Ten play. At both ends of the court, I see the Golden Gophers far superior. They're averaging over 78.9 points per game, on a whopping 48.9% shooting from the floor. Defensively, they have been very stingy, allowing a mere 66.3 points per game. I also see them far better on both ends of the court on the boards. I really feel the line is off here only because the oddsmakers are giving the Hoosiers too much credit for being at home. The wrong team is favored. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Kentucky Wildcats.

SEC Early Winner.

Game 615.

9:30 AM PST/12:30 PM EST.

Kentucky and Florida know each other very well. Trust me when I tell you they don't like each other too much either. However, the Wildcats have taken nine of the last 10 meeting straight up, covering eight of those 10 meetings, which includes four straight in both of those areas. Both squads have bounced back following early-season losses to start rolling. However, I feel Florida just isn't exactly where they want to be at this point in the season. I feel Kentucky is a little more in sync, a little deeper, and a lot hungrier. Let's not forget they also rank second in the nation from beyond the arc, hitting over 41.6% from downtown. This is a major mismatch as Florida allows over 34.1% defensively from the arc. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Illinois Fighting Illini.

Illinois/Purdue Winner.

Game 691.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

I'm not going to ruffle any feathers and say Purdue isn't deserving of their top-ranked college basketball status. This is an amazing team. And they have taken the last three meetings in this series. But Illinois is playing some very good basketball this season, at 11-2 overall, winning four in a row straight up, and nine in a row against the spread. By the way, they have covered all four games they have played away from home this season. The Fighting Illini possess a very deep roster with one of the best starting back courts in the land. They have speed, they have height, they have muscle. Obviously, the Boilermakers are a monster squad. Arguably, they have the best player in college basketball at the helm. But these two teams mirror one another statistically. They both score north of 80 points per game, while both defenses allow under 70 points per game. I do feel college basketball’s second-best offensive rebounding core of Illinois will be the difference. They're going to get a ton of second-chance opportunities. I just think this is way too many points. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you.

Quinnipiac Bobcats.

Under the Radar play.

Game 590.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

The Bobcats have dominated this conference rivalry, taking six in a row, and eight of the last nine straight up, and eight of the last 10 against the number. While both teams will be making their first appearance of the New Year here, Quinnipiac certainly comes in hotter and possessing a much better record. Overall, they are 9-4, including 1-1 in conference play. They return home to the M&T Bank Arena, where they are 5-1 this season. Rider is struggling, dropping 10 of their first 13 overall games and both contests played in the Metro Atlantic conference. They are also just 1-7 on the road this season. Granted, neither team puts up impressive numbers, but the Bobcats are certainly stronger at both ends of the court. And as expected, this game will be physical, which benefits them as well as they hit nearly 79% from the line. Take the home team here with Quinnipiac. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Michigan has certainly had their way in the series, taking eight of the last 10 straight up. However, Minnesota has covered six of those 10 meetings. And my friends, the worm has turned this season. The Golden Gophers enter this matchup with a 10-3 overall record, winning five in a row SU. Meanwhile, they are one of the best covering teams in college basketball right now, going 12-1AT. And just FYI, they've covered both of their Conference matchups thus far. On the other hand, the Wolverines are a disappointing 6-7 straight up, only covering five of their 13 outings this season. At home they are just .500, at 3-3. To make matters worse, they've only covered two of their last 10 games. Both teams possess high-powered offenses. They both average over 80 points per game. But there's no denying Minnesota's rebounding superiority. They are also a little tougher on the defensive end of the court. Giving this team this many points, especially the fact that they are a covering machine this season, is a gift. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you.

Oregon.

I know Washington has taken the last two meetings over the last two seasons in this Conference rivalry. But prior to that, Oregon took six straight. This season these teams are on opposite sides of the Pac-12. The Ducks are tied atop the division with three other teams at 2-0 in Conference play, possessing an overall record of 10-3. The Huskies are towards the cellar at 0-2 against Pac-12 opponents, owning an overall mark of 8-5. The visitors are certainly hotter as I mentioned earlier. While Washington puts up a few more points on offense, they also are allowing a lot more points on defense. I think that's where this game will be won. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder on the ML.

Best Bet play.

Game 535.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Don't look now, but the Thunder possess the Western Conference’s second-best overall record and the NBA's fourth-best overall mark. This team is playing some great basketball, my friends. Last night they took down the team with the best overall record in all of pro basketball, the Boston Celtics, at home, 127-123. They are now on a five-game win and cover streak. Going back a little further, they have won and covered eight of their last nine contests. They go into State Farm Arena to face a very disappointing, Atlanta Hawks opponent here. Overall, Atlanta is just 13-19, losing four of their last five straight up and riding a five-game no cover slide. I remember a day when the Hawks were money at home. However, they have failed to cover 11 consecutive games on their own court this season, and overall, 12 of 13 games played at the State Farm Arena this campaign. They can still score points on offense. But their defense is absolutely atrocious. They've become a league doormat, allowing over 122.7 points per game, which ranks them 27th in scoring. To make matters worse, they are allowing 50% shooting from the floor, which ranks 28th, and 37.9% from downtown, which ranks them 24th. In today's league that still wouldn't be that bad but they are horrible on the defensive boards as well. They face one of the leagues best scoring offenses. Not only does the Thunder average over 121.5 points per game, they rank in the top-three in field goal percentage, three-point percentage, and if the game gets physical, they are also the best team in basketball from the free-throw line. They've got a pretty frustrating defense as well. This game will get out of hand. But I am posting this very early, so just to err on the side of caution, take Oklahoma City on the Moneyline. Thank you.

Saint Joseph's Hawks.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 671.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

The Hawks have taken the last two meetings in this conference rivalry over the last two seasons, both straight up and against the spread. They enter this season's matchup running red-hot, winning seven of their last eight straight up, and seven of their last nine against the spread. They have played very competitively against the likes of Kentucky. But they have won some matchups with such notables as Villanova, Temple, and Princeton. The Rams have not done so well. The only bright spot they have this season was starting to campaign off 3-0. But since then, they have dropped seven of 10 straight up, and eight of 10 against the number. On both sides of the court, St. Joe’s outclasses Rhode Island. The Rams already have trouble putting points on the board, and now they have to face a very frustrating hawks defense, that is putting up impressive numbers in every major defensive category. Take Saint Joseph’s. Thank you.

George Washington Revolutionaries.

Atlantic 10 Annihilator.

Game 676.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

My friends, in my opinion, GW should be a favorite of at least seven or eight points here. This line just doesn't make sense to me. This is a team that is tied with George Mason for the best overall record in the Conference, at 11-2. They are 9-0 at home this season. And they are riding a five-game win streak. Fordham is off to a very lackluster, 6-7 start. This is a team having trouble putting points on the board, averaging just 72.9 points per game on 41.1% shooting from the floor. To make matters even worse, they hit just 30.8% from downtown, and a dismal, 65.1% from the line. Their defense isn't that much better. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the sharpshooting, explosive offense of George Washington, which is averaging over 80.8 points per game and shoot lights out from beyond the arc, hitting over 37.3%. They are also monsters on the offensive glass, which means they will get a lot of second-chance opportunities. That would be enough for me to decide with this team at home. However, they also allow just 38.6% shooting on defense.  The line is way off here. Let's make the oddsmakers pay for their mistake. Take the Revolutionaries. Thank you.

Oklahoma Sooners.

Game 688.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Very simply, the Tar Heels have not looked good against strong opponents this season. While this is not a true home game for North Carolina, it is still being played in Charlotte, in front of some friendly fans. However, that does not negate the fact Oklahoma is 10-0 this season straight up covering eight of the 10 outings against the spread. They have looked very good against solid opponents at both ends of the court. Their average margin of victory this season has come by 23.1 points per game. There are equally strong offensively as well as defensively, and are far superior on the boards in this matchup. I really feel the only reason why Tar Heels are favored in this game is due to it being played in North Carolina. Take the Sooner. Thank you.

Virginia Cavaliers.

Game 617.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Tonight's contest between Virginia and Memphis is going to certainly move one of the teams up and rankings, while dropping the other probably out of the top-25. The Cavaliers are 9-1, while the Tigers are 8-2. Both have faced solid opposition thus far in this short season. I think asking Memphis to face Virginia and their frustrating defense following consecutive games against Virginia Commonwealth, Texas A&M, and Clemson, is way too much to ask of the team. They have gotten to be running a bit ragged because all of those contests I just mentioned were very tight games. But none of those were against defenses as solid as they're facing here tonight. The Cavaliers are allowing just 53.3 points per game, while holding opponents to just 35.9% shooting. They're also one of the best in the country against the “3”. On the other hand. They are also pretty darn good at shooting the “3”. I know their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But your defense is so frustrating, I just feel Memphis is in way over their head here tonight. They can score points, but their accuracy from either the floor or beyond the arc isn’t anything to brag about. And if it gets physical, they are also not too good from the free-throw line. Take Virginia. Thank you.

Temple Owls.

Game 617.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Temple took last season’s matchup with VCU at home, 83-73. They enter this contest winning their last two games straight up. And winning and covering both road games this season. They've already stepped up in class and beat the likes of Drexel outright, a tough LaSalle foe, while covering but not getting the win against Mississippi with a heartbreaking, one-point loss. Meanwhile, the Rams have already taken outright losses against the McNeese State Cowboys and the Norfolk State Spartans. This certainly raises a red flag for me, my friends. Giving the Owls this many points is a huge mistake. Take Temple. Thank you.

Brooklyn Nets.

Game 525.

6:10 PM, PST/910 PM EST.

With all respect to the defending world champion, Denver Nuggets, they are not the same team they were a season ago. At least not yet. Right now, they sit in fourth place in the West at 16-9. This is a respectful record. But I think we can all agree they are just not in sync. Something isn’t clicking on the Nuggets, and it is showing. Yes, they are a good team. But they are not good enough to lay double-digits against just about any opponent in the NBA, especially the surging, Brooklyn Nets. The Nets have won seven of their last 10 straight up and eight of their last 10 against the spread. They are playing superb basketball. They have covered three of their last four as a visitor, and have given the Nuggets all they can handle in recent matchups. At both ends of the court, they are playing so0lid basketball. They are the best team in the NBA on the offensive glass. So, second-chance shots are huge here. And there is a big mismatch between their third ranked three-point shooting offense, and the Nuggets 14th ranked three-point defense. Giving Brooklyn this many points as an early Christmas present. Take the Nets. Thank you.

Louisville Cardinals.

Game 634.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Last year was head coach. Kenny Payne's first season at the helm for the Louisville Cardinals. And to say it was a disastrous season would be an understatement. The team went 4-28. Now, I'm not saying this team is going to compete for the conference title. But one more victory and they surpassed last season's win total. This is a very big, very emotional game for this team. Arkansas State is less than a formidable opponent, for sure. They are winless on the road and an overall 3-7. They have played three power conference squads already, and got outscored by a total of 67 points at the hands of Wisconsin, Iowa, and Alabama, all resulting in losses. Although Louisville is not as strong as those teams, they are still a step up in class here. I expect the Red Wolves to fold like a cheap suit. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

Game 620.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

Following back-to-back straight up losses to USC and Alabama, Oregon is now back on track winning and covering their last few games against Michigan and UTEP. As a matter of fact, the team is 5-3 ATS this season already. At home. They are perfect at 4-0 and what better team to face to continue their win streak than Cal Baptist. With all respect to the Lancers, they don't pose too much of a threat here tonight against the Ducks. This is a team that's already suffered losses at the hands of the Portland State Vikings and the Utah Tech Trailblazers. I know several of the Oregon big 0names have been sidelined. But this team is stacked deeper and higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast establishment. Granted, California Baptist possesses a statistically solid defense. But they haven't played any decent opponents yet, let alone the caliber offense that accounts for over 80.8 points per game on 47.8% shooting from the line and 37.6 shooting from beyond the arc. Take the Ducks. Thank you.

Gonzaga Bulldogs.

Game 743

8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST.

The No. 7 Bulldogs have dominated the Huskies, winning seven consecutive meetings straight up, going back quite a while. This contest will be the seventh matchup just over the last eight years for the two West Coast squads. Gonzaga, has gotten the bettors paid, covering all but one. Since suffering their lone defeat back on November 20, at the hands of Purdue, the Zags seem to be on a mission, riding a five-game straight up hot streak, taking down such notables as Syracuse, UCLA, and USC. Washington is struggling, with three losses already. It is obvious the Huskies beat the beatable opponents, while get beat up by the solid ones. Granted, losing to Nevada, San Diego State, and Colorado State isn’t something to be ashamed of, but they seem to fold when facing strong competition. And folks, Gonzaga is just about as strong as it gets (LOL). No matter how you look at it, the Bulldogs are far superior here. Take Gonzaga. Thank you.

Memphis on the moneyline.

Game 619.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Memphis has some very high expectations this season, led by Coach, Penny Hardaway. The team is already taken down such notables as Missouri, Michigan, and Arkansas. But come off their first loss of the campaign over a week ago at the hands of Villanova. I expect them to rebound here and come back and make a statement against Mississippi. Granted, the Rebels are undefeated at 6-0 straight up. But they are just 1-5 against the spread so far, and they really haven't faced the cream of the crop. This is a big step up in class for them. And I don't see them coming out of it with a victory. The Tigers have height, speed, depth, and some serious rebounders. Take Memphis on the money line. Thank you.

Purdue Boilermakers.

Game 875.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

They say revenge is a dish best served cold. And right now, the No. 1 team in the nation, the Purdue Boilermakers have had this game circled since the schedule came out. If you recall a season ago, the Northwestern Wildcats took them down, 64-58. Last season, Purdue went 15-5 straight up in Big Ten play to win the Conference regular season title. They then followed that up by winning the Big Ten Tournament. But that loss against Northwestern will motivate them here tonight, not just to win, but to win big. They were ranked No. 1 last season when they did take the loss to the Wildcats. The Boilermakers are a monster team, with arguably the best player in the country, owning an explosive offense, and a frustrating defense. They have already taken down such notables as Gonzaga, Tennessee, and Marquette. They have done quite well so far possessing an unblemished 7-0 record straight up, while going 6-1 against the spread. While Northwestern is a formable opponent, they just don't have the personnel to stack up here. They enter this match 5-1 SU, but just 2-4 ATS. And to be honest with you, they haven't faced anyone near the caliber of opponent as they're facing here tonight. The boilermakers get their revenge. Thank you.

Texas Longhorns.

Game 756.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Following their only loss of the season at the hands of defending National Champion, UConn Huskies, the Texas Longhorns, crushed the Wyoming Cowboys, 86-63 at home. They continue to stay at the Moody Center where they are perfect this season at 4-0 SU. I think that loss at the hands of the Huskies motivated this team to keep their foot on the gas. After this matchup, they have a pushover opponent in Houston Christian before playing a neutral site game against LSU. So, this is their final last few games to get in sync and work out any kinks. What better opponent to face than the Texas State Bobcats. They have taken the last 12 meetings in this series. Just going back, the last 10, they have one by an average margin of 24.9 points per game. They seem to take a lot of enjoyment in beating up on their in-state rival. Lol. Outside of the Sooners, which they were annihilated, 93-54, the Bobcats haven't faced any teams of the caliber as they are facing here tonight. Let's face it, the Longhorns average over 82.0 points per game, while allowing just 67.2 points per game. They hit over 51.4% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc, while making over 72.2% of their free throws. They're also monsters on the boards. None of these matchups will benefit the visitor here. Take the home team Texas. Thank you.

Sacramento Kings.

Game 570.

7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST.

This line might be a bit skewed here, due to the fact that Kings played last night in a barnburner, eking out a one-point victory over the Warriors at home. But let's face it, this team is playing some great basketball. They have won eight of their last 10 straight up, riding a momentum wave for sure. On the other hand, the Clippers are certainly struggling. They were highly touted this season. Meanwhile, they are just 7-9 straight up. And as far as covering your spread goes, they are atrocious, going 6-10 ATS. They struggle went on the road as well where they are just 2-6 straight up away from home. And by the way, overall, just 2-6 ATS their last eight in the role of a favorite. Many out there might think they're in for a bounce back situation here tonight after getting embarrassed a few nights ago at home against the Denver Nuggets. I don't see it. This team is not built to bounce back the way they are currently struggling. I just don't see them keeping pace offensively on the scoreboard in this matchup. Take Sacramento. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 521.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

My friends, Indiana is playing some very solid basketball. Offensively, they lead the NBA in scoring, averaging over 125.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, in just about every offensive category, they rank in the top-10. Granted, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. But their rebounding core is strong on the stop end of the court. On the other hand, Atlanta is struggling. Right now, they sit at 6-6 and to be quite honest with you, they are point spread poison, failing to cover five of their last six outings. I remember a time when the Hawks were money at home against the number. Not anymore. They have failed to cover their last four games played at the State Farm Arena. This is a team that can score, but is getting manhandled on the boards. Particularly on the offensive glass. So, they aren’t getting too many second-chance opportunities. Defensively, they are in big trouble here trying to stop the deadly, seventh-ranked three-point shooting team of the Pacers. I just don't see the Hawks. Keeping pace here (No pun intended). I really think the wrong team is favored. So, take Indiana. Thank you.

Colorado Buffaloes.

Game 647.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

At 4-0, Colorado is off to their best start since the 2019/2020 season. The team is ranked 18th in the nation right now. Not only are they winning, but they are covering, going 3-1 ATS. This is a team that beat some very good opposition a season ago, including some very solid, non-conference foes. If you recall, last November, they took down Tennessee outright as a 15.0 point ‘dog and Texas A&M outright as a 6.5 point ‘dog. I feel Florida State is not on the same level at all. If you recall last year, they began the campaign off going 1-9 straight up and 3-7 against the spread. They lost to teams they should've beaten; Stetson, Central Florida, Troy, and Siena. As the season progressed, things didn't get too much better for the Seminoles. Offensively, the Buffaloes possess better scorers, both inside and out. As a matter fact, they're hitting just shy of 50% from downtown. They're also a lot stronger from the line And I do believe this game will get physical. Oh, by the way, on the defensive side, they are feisty and own the better rebounders. Take Colorado. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers.

Game 555.

12:10 PM PST/310 PM EST.

Like many teams in NBA Philadelphia has dominated. But there might not be a team they have flexed their muscles more against than the Brooklyn Nets. The 76ers have taken eight in a row in this series straight up, going 7-1 against the spread. They enter today's match up sitting in second place in the Eastern Conference, just 1.0 game behind the Celtics at 9-3. They can further distance themselves from the third place team in the East, the Milwaukee Bucks. Let's face it, Philadelphia does not like Brooklyn, at all. They take an enormous amount of enjoyment in beating the Nets. The 76ers are significantly healthier than their counterpart this evening as the Nets will be without Ben Simmons and Cam Thomas once again. On a sidenote, as a big basketball fan, it seems like the 76ers are also enjoying success even more without James Harden on the roster. On both sides of the court, they possess significantly stronger statistics. They are all so much stronger at both ends of the court on the boards. But where I feel you are going see the biggest advantage for the visitor, is at the free-throw line, where they top the NBA, ranking first, hitting over 86.3%, while Brooklyn ranks 21st, making a mere 76.2% of their free throws. Take the 76ers. Thank you.

UCF.

Game 827.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

This is just way too many points to give a very capable, very feisty, and very underrated, Central Florida squad. The Knights are motivated by the preseason prediction of finishing last in the Conference. They will come out here with something to prove and make a statement. Take UCF. Thank you.

Phoenix Suns.

Game 561.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Obviously, at 3-4 the Phoenix Suns aren't looking like the team they were just a season ago. However, injuries are a big part of that. When you don't have all-universe, players, like Booker and Beal on the floor, it’s going to show in the record.  On the other hand, the Chicago Bulls, at 3-5 are exactly where many thought they would be at this point. This is not a very good team. So, this is a perfect opportunity for the Suns to flex their muscles. They have had an extra day off to prepare and rest for this match up. They have also covered three of four road games this season. On the other hand, the Bulls have covered just one of their four games played at home in 2023. And to say Phoenix has had their way in this series would be an understatement. Just going back the last few seasons, they have taken seven in a row straight up, covering five of the seven meetings. They need a big ego boost and this is the situation they get it. Take the Suns. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Game 556.

4:10 PM, PST/710 PM EST.

The Indiana Pacers offense is proving to be one of the most explosive in the NBA thus far. As a matter fact, they top the league in scoring, averaging over 124.9 points per game. They rank in the top-10 in every major offensive category. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, facing an opponent like the Utah Jazz isn't going to be a problem this evening. The Jazz have a mediocre offense and a defense that's allowing a league-ranked, 26th, allowing 120.1 points per game. It is ridiculous. They are going to get lit up like a Christmas tree in November.  Look for a little payback from the Pacers as they lost their last two outings against the Jazz last December and this past February. But these are two different teams this season. As you know, Utah is on a 0-3 run, both straight up and against the spread. They just don't have what it takes to keep pace on the scoreboard here. Taking Indiana. Thank you.

Oregon Ducks.

Game 768.

1:30 PM, PST/4:30 PM EST.

The Georgia Bulldogs seriously underwhelmed a season ago. They also lost several key players, including their three-top scorers. As a matter of fact, they do not return a single player that averaged double-digits a season ago. On the other hand, the Oregon Ducks are expected to be one of the best teams in the Pac-12. They return their top-scorer. Overall, three of their four top-scorers from last year's roster are back. While the Bulldogs haven't been to Sin City, since Tom Crean was on the sidelines, the Ducks are a fan-favorite here. And are certainly used to the bright lights on the Strip, playing in Las Vegas the last six seasons. They have a lot to prove in the season-opener. This is a team that should've won the Conference Title season ago. And when they went to play in the postseason in the brackets, won and covered against UCI and UCF, but lost a heartbreaker to Wisconsin. They have a lot to prove here and they will. Take Oregon. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Crash the Boards

Game 521.

3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST.

Guys, there is no alternate universe that the Cleveland Cavaliers should be a favorite over the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors have taken the last 10 meetings in a row straight up, going back to June, 2018, covering nine of the 10 meetings. They enter this matchup red hot, winning their last five outings, which includes all four away games thus far this season. They are also 3-1 ATS as a visitor in this short season. Guard, Klay Thompson is listed as questionable here. That's going to be closer to a gametime decision. Obviously, we would want him on the floor. But please remember this team is deep with talent and have one of the smartest coaching staffs in the League. The Cavaliers are just 2-4 on the season straight up, covering just one of their six contests. They have lost and failed to cover all three games played at home so far. They possess a very low-scoring, lackluster offense, averaging nearly 12 points per game less than tonight's opponent. That would be bad enough, but the Warriors enter this match up with a top-10 defense as well.  Oh, by the way, look for one of the sharpest-shooting outside teams in basketball to absolutely shred the Cavaliers from beyond the arc as well. They Golden State. Thank you.

Dallas Mavericks.

Game 573.

7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST.

The Denver Nuggets are an amazing team. They will definitely be there at the end of the regular season to defend their NBA title, barring a major injury. However, they haven't played the best of the best yet. And I get it, coming off their first defeat of the season, they should look strong this evening. However, Dallas matches up quite well with them. They are also 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS so far. Granted, they haven't played the best of the best in the league yet either. But they have covered four of the last six meetings in this series, winning four of those last six straight up as well. Kyrie Irving is listed as questionable this evening. Even without him on the floor (check status), they still are deep enough to run in this match up. Way too many points to give them. Take the Mavericks. Thank you.

Washington Wizards.

Game 571.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Guys, Miami is certainly off to a disappointing start at 1-4 so far this season. This is a team that won 44 games a season ago. But please take note, only 13 wins were by the margin of 10 or points or more. This is a lot of points to lay for this team. The Heat aren't known to be the best scorers in the league…by far. And to add insult to injury lol, they are just 1-4 ATS this season as well. This is just way too many points for a team that is in crisis to give. Take the Wizards. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Game 566.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

 Milwaukee suffered not just a big defeat, but an embarrassing ass-whooping at the hands of Toronto on the road a few nights ago. This is a team that does not take losing lightly. They will bounce back here against an inferior opponent. The Bucks have had their way with the Knicks, winning and covering six consecutive meetings going back to November, 2021. I just don't see New York's lackluster offense keeping peace on the scoreboard here with a team that is looking to redeem themselves. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Indiana Pacers.

Fast Break play.

Game 539.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

The Boston Celtics are an outstanding basketball team. They are only one of three teams in the NBA currently that are still undefeated. But after tonight's contest, they have to go on the road to play Brooklyn, Minnesota, and Philadelphia. I'm not saying they're gonna’ take it easy this evening, but they are certainly going to be in a lookahead mode. Please understand that the Indiana Pacers are 2-1, both straight up and against the spread this season. Not only that, but they have covered four of the last five meetings with the Celtics. They play them very competitively, and I just don't see them getting this many points. Taking Indiana. Thank you.

Milwaukee Bucks.

Slam Dunk play.

Game 531

4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST.

These two teams normally play each other very competitively. However, this season they look to be going in opposite directions. The Bucks are going to settle for nothing less than an NBA title. Meanwhile, the Raptors are just trying to stay alive. Milwaukee started the season 2-1, while Toronto is 1-3. They are on a three-game losing streak, failing to cover their last two outings. They have some grit on the team, they just don't have the personnel to contend with Milwaukee. They've only faced one solid upon thus far, and yet are averaging just 99.5 points per game. I just don't see them keeping pace on the scoreboard with the Bucks here. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Detroit Pistons.

Game 511.

5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST.

Guys, I'm not going tell you, I expect the Detroit Pistons to win the NBA Championship this season. But I will tell you, as far as sports betting goes, look for them to be an under-the-radar, ATS, cover machine, particularly in the beginning of the campaign. They have already gone 3-0 ATS in their three outings this season. They have actually won two of the three SU. They went on the road to Charlotte as an underdog and won outright, 111-99. Then at home a few nights ago, they crushed the Bulls as a 2.5-point underdog, 118-102. Oklahoma City is a good team. They are really a decent team… but not world beater. And I don't see them laying this many points to anyone, especially a team that matches up well with them. Last night, they hosted the defending NBA Champions, Denver Nuggets and took a beating, 128-95. Not only will they come in here with tired legs, I believe they are going be outmuscled. As I mentioned earlier, I don't expect the Pistons to win the NBA title. But they are playing very unselfish ball, playing tough in the paint, and their defense has certainly stepped up a bit. This game is going to be a lot closer than the point spread. Take Detroit. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

Fast Break.

Game 537.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Guys, I had Cleveland on the moneyline the other night, to get us all paid on the road at Brooklyn. And I expect great things from the Cavaliers this season. I really do. While Oklahoma City is certainly an improved team, I feel that many out there, including the odds makers and the general public don't feel they going to be able to compete too well this season. Well, that would be a big mistake my friends. I do feel they are going to be able to compete. I feel especially this time of the campaign, so early, we could take advantage of some lines that might be a little bit off. And I feel this line is certainly off. For starters, they've covered seven of the last 10 meetings with Oklahoma City. They are also a very unselfish team. I watched this team in their season-opener on the road in Chicago, absolutely beat the Bulls in every aspect of the game, including tallying over 30 assists. They match up well here. And I think giving them this many points, is a mistake. Take the Thunder. Thank you.

Miami Heat.

Crash The Boards.

Game 541.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

Guys, the Boston Celtics are monster team, no doubt about that. Their season-opener, was a tough one. They visited Madison Square Garden to face their archrival, New York Knicks, and believe me, the game was even closer than the 108-104 score. They did not cover the game as it landed on the number. Going back a bit, this team gets seriously overvalued. They've only covered two of their last eight coming into tonight's matchup. And by the way, their opponent tonight is a very good team. As a matter fact, they've covered eight of the last 10 meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry. You can expect a very physical game this evening. And I think that definitely benefits the road team here. Miami can play very physical basketball, especially down low. I think they're going to come in here a little better rested than the Celtics.  These two teams know each other very well. And as I mentioned earlier, I expect a very physical game. I just think this is way too many points for the Celtics to lay against a very formidable foe. Take the Heat. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk.

Game 535.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

Guys, if this was a different situation, I would look at this match up very differently. These two teams, over recent seasons have played one another very competitively. However, having said that, the Nuggets will take out some revenge over the Grizzlies here tonight. We all know that Ja’ Morant is going to be sidelined for a while. That's bad enough. But now without, center, Steven Adams, I just don't see Memphis competing in the paint here at all. The Nuggets have been money on the road covering, their last five a season ago as a visitor. Take Denver. Thank you.

Phoenix Suns.

Fast Break play.

Game 503.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

Last season, both of these teams left the playoffs a lot earlier than they expected. They enter this season the second and third choice (at most books) to win the Western Conference Title. The Suns have taken four of the last five meetings over the Warriors, which includes three of four a season ago. There's a lot of underlying storylines going on here like Kevin Durant taking the floor in a Phoenix uniform against his former team. Plus, his old buddy, Chris Paul is now sporting a Golden State uniform. However good, Steph Curry and company is, especially at home, it is going to be an uphill battle for the Warriors in this matchup as they face a bolstered front line of Durant, Booker, and Beal. As in any game, always do your due diligence and check injury reports…especially in the NBA. I expect a faster start out of the gate by the Suns this season. Take Phoenix. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk play.

Game, 502

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Of course, there is no love lost between these two teams. The Nuggets ousted the Lakers from the postseason last year. Not only that, but they really had their way with them the entire season. Denver took six of the eight meetings last season over Los Angeles. There was a lot of talk this off-season about revenge. Both teams lost a few players and both teams game the few players. However, age has certainly caught up with the nucleus of the Lakers. Meanwhile, depth and talent are certainly on the side of the Nuggets. They must come out and make a statement here on the opening game of the season. To add to their motivation, unveiled during this game will be their Championship banner. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Game 519.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

For the third straight time in as many games in this series, the Miami Heat shot better from downtown than the Denver Nuggets. And yet, Denver leads the series 2-1. There are a few reasons for this my friends. For starters, in each matchup in the Finals, the Nuggets have outrebounded the Heat. They are winning the battle of the boards, giving themselves more second-chance opportunities on offense, and taking away their opponents second-chance opportunities on defense. Next, Jokic and Murray are playing on another level, folks. They are putting up record numbers, and are outshining their counterparts. After the Game 2 loss, Denver knows they cannot allow Miami to get back into this series. So, they put their foot on the as in game 3 and revved the engine. They will not take a chance here and allow the Heat to tie the series up. Lastly, and most importantly, they are just plainly and simply…a better team. Deeper, healthier, and better-coached. You may not realize this, but Miami has now lost five of their last seven games straight up. Denver has covered fourth straight games played on the road, four of their last five games played on one days rest, and four of their last five games played overall. Oh, by the way, the Heat have failed to cover five consecutive games played following a double-digit loss at home. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Miami Heat.

Game 513.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Well folks, the Denver Nuggets have had a full week more to rest, heal, and prepare for this series. They are also playing at home, where they own a 42-7 record this season. I believe they are the stronger team. But giving a number eight seed, which has made it to the NBA Finals. this many points, is a huge mistake by the oddsmakers. I think we can all agree that lines on the Nuggets at home tend to be inflated. They did fail to cover Games 1 and 2 of the Western Conference Finals against the Lakers, which were both played at the Ball Arena. While I mentioned a few benefits for Denver earlier in this analysis, I will tell you one benefit for Miami. They do not have as much pressure on them to win here. That will play a big part. I know, I know, I know. It’s the Finals and everybody wants to win. But there are people in the sports world, in the betting world, and just all over the world in general, that aren’t giving them a snowballs chance in hell in this series. I am well aware of the fact the Nuggets won and covered both meetings with the Heat this season. I am furthermore aware of the fact that Denver has covered five of the last six meetings against Miami played at home. But the Heat has played very well, and they have gotten that us bettors paid against the spread in the postseason. They have covered six of the last eight games played on the road, eight of the last 10 games played following a straight up win, and 12 of the last 16 games played overall. I just think this is way too many points. Take the Heat. Thank you.

Miami Heat.

Crash The Boards Play.

Game 509.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

It’s no secret that Miami took the first three games of this series, only to drop Games 4, 5, and 6. Game 6, we did see Jimmy Butler and company come to life, playing a lot more competitively than the two previous matchups. We all know the statistics that in 150 times teams were down 3-0, never, and I mean never has a team come back to win a seven-game series. Miami doesn’t want to be the butt of all jokes my friends. I expect them to come in here very competitively, fight for every loose ball, and crash the boards like they did in the first few meetings of this round. On the other side of the spectrum, the Heat can also make history themselves. They can be only the second team in the ever to make the NBA Finals as the number eight seed. If you recall, games 1 and 2 of this Eastern Conference Finals series were played at the TD Garden and Miami won both. They have also covered 15 of their last 21 meetings played in Boston, 11 of their last 15 games played on one days rest, five of their last seven games played following a straight up loss, five of their last seven games played on the road, and 11 of their last 15 games played overall. Take the points with the Heat. Thank you.

Miami Heat.

Slam Dunk Top-Rated GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 549.

5:30 p.m. PST/8:30 PM EST.

After taking the first three games of the Eastern Conference finals, on Wednesday, the Miami Heat were outhustled and outplayed, losing to the Boston Celtics, 116-99. Obviously, the Celtics are a very good team folks. However, this long season has taken its toll on them. They went six tough games with the Hawks in the first round, and seven very physical matchups with the 76ers in the second round. Everything did go right for Boston in Game 4. However, Miami is a very good team also. And they match up very well with a Celtics. The Heat also know that if they allow their opponent to get another win here tonight, they can easily let this series slip away. There is another item also my friends. The Denver Nuggets closed out the Western Conference Finals over the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. So, every day that the Eastern Conference Finals continues, the Heat be allowing the Nuggets to get another day of rest, another day to heal, and another day to prepare for them. I do expect Boston to show up here once again tonight at home. However, giving Miami this many points is a huge mistake. Boston is 2-5 ATS their last seven games played following a straight up win, 2-5 ATS their last seven games seven games played versus teams with winning record, 1-4 ATS their last five games played on one days rest, 2-5 ATS their last seven games play at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five Conference Finals games. Take the Heat. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Crash The Boards Play.

Game 543.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

My friends, very simply, the Denver Nuggets are a much better team than the Los Angeles Lakers. They are up 3-0 in this series. And will close it out tonight. So, making them an underdog is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. Obviously, they feel that the general public is going to be compelled to side with the home team Lakers here because of urgency. Let me break this down for you, my friends. In Games 1 and 2, the Nuggets out rebounded and outhustled them and won both games with authority. Now granted, those games were at home where Denver happens to be one of the strongest home teams in the NBA. Game 3 took place in L.A. And despite Los Angeles winning the battle of the boards and making most of their free throws, they still lost. What does this tell you? That they are outclassed here. There is no way that they can win this series, and they know it. Even if they did win here, they would be humiliated the next game on the road. Don’t put too much stock in the fact that the Nuggets might want to take it easy here and then go home and win in front of their hometown fans. They want to close this game out quickly and get some extra time to rest, heal, and prepare for the Finals. Take the points with Denver. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Crash The Boards Play.

Game 539.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

My friends, I know a lot of people out there subscribe to the “zigzag” style of sports betting come the NBA playoffs. However, the Denver Nuggets took both Games 1and 2 with authority. I understand they are on the road right now. We all know they’re one of the best home teams in the league. And when they travel, they lose a little bit of luster. However, they cannot afford to allow the Los Angeles Lakers to get back into this series. Another win here tonight and it would be virtually impossible for the Lakers to have any chance to advance. This is a team that has dominated the boards in both contests during this round. Understand that Anthony Davis cannot do it all himself in the paint for Los Angeles. Let’s be honest, LeBron James, although will always get his numbers, is not the player he once was. But it doesn’t stop him for calling for the ball as much as possible. I just feel with the way the Nuggets have dominated the glass, they will get a more second-chance opportunities offensively, and will take away second-chance opportunities for their opponent here, defensively.  This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 11 of their last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the points with a Nuggets. Thank you.

Miami Heat.

Game 537.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

I know many people out there subscribe to the “zigzag“ angle of sports betting in the NBA postseason. As an 8.5-point underdog in Game 1 of this series, on the road, the Miami Heat took down the Boston Celtics, 123-116. While, I did like the Miami Heat. I had no idea they were going to come in that strong. We all know what happened quarter by quarter in the series-opener. At one point, the Celtics were up by 11. The third quarter, the Heat took the game over. It’s hard to argue with the 30-points Jayson Tatum put up for the Celtics. But when he has to carry a game on his shoulders, that means some of the other players just aren’t doing their job. I know Boston will come in here a lot more competitive, looking to even this year is up, before they have to travel on the road. But giving Miami this many points, is a huge mistake. Please understand that Miami has won and covered the last three meetings in this Eastern Conference rivalry, all since December. This is just way too many points my friends. By the way, Miami has covered 14 of their last 19 meetings played at the TD Garden. Let’s not forget that they have covered four of their last five games played on the road, eight of their last 10 games played on one days rest, and eight of their last 10 games played overall.  Take the Heat. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 532.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Very simply, the Denver Nuggets are a better team than the Los Angeles Lakers. I know these two teams have split out (both straight up and against the spread) four meetings this season. But let’s face it, when the Nuggets play at the Ball Arena, their game rises to another level. Overall, on the season they are 40-7 straight up at home. Not only that, but they’ve covered 23 of their last 32 games played as host. Let’s face it, the Lakers lose a little bit of their luster when they travel, as they are just 22-25 straight up away from home this season. Moreover, for our purposes, they’ve only covered one of their last five outings played as a visitor. By the way, Denver won and covered both meetings against Los Angeles this season at the Ball Arena. Having said that my friends, the Nuggets also come in here a bit better rested, having had an extra day off to rest, heal, and prepare. Furthermore, they have played three less contests this postseason than did the Lakers. Especially, with that tough, fast-paced series Los Angeles just came off of going six full games with Golden State. I believe they are going to come in here a little tired, especially come the second half. They will run out of gas. To make things worse for L.A., Denver is more accurate from beyond the arc, and overall, from the floor. They also come into this matchup possessing the league’s top-ranked defensive rebounding unit. This means Los Angeles will not get as many second-chance shots as they are accustomed to getting. The Lakers have only covered one of their last seven meetings played in Denver. Meanwhile, Denver has covered five of their last six games played on three or more days rest, 11 of their last 15 games played versus teams with a winning record, and six of their last eight games played following a straight up win. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 503.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

I’m gonna keep my breakdown of this matchup very brief, my friends. Very simply, under Steve Kerr, the Golden State Warriors are 8-2 when faced with an elimination game. This is a team that always has a punchers chance. And let me tell you right now, they are not going down without swinging. I am well aware of the fact they’re not the greatest road team overall. I’m also well aware of the fact they lost and failed to cover both games played at the Crypto.com Arena in this series. As a matter fact, going back a bit, they have failed to cover the last five games played in Los Angeles. But once again under Steve Kerr, this team is very good in an elimination situation. Not only that, but Steph Curry will take this game on his shoulders and show you why he’s one of the greatest to ever walk on the pro basketball hardwood. Also, one more thing folks... I’m not saying the Lakers are going to intentionally lose here. But being up 3-2, they don’t have to play as hard because they know they have a Game 7 to still try and win the series. We’ve seen this time and time again in the NBA postseason my friends. Take the points with Golden State. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 556.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

To say this series has been “heated“, would be an understatement. These two teams seriously do not like each other. To say that the Nuggets are a better team, would also be an understatement. I think we could all agree that Nikola Jokic has shined, while Deandre Ayton has tarnished. The absence of Chris Paul certainly plays a part in the outcome of this matchup. Losing a player with his postseason experience is significant. But this is still a professional basketball team, the Phoenix Suns, that are 51-41 this season. They seemed to have a real look of defeat on their faces and the faces of their coaching staff at the end of last game. Just since the beginning of January, these two Western Conference rivals have met eight times, as Denver has covered six of those eight meetings. Now they come in here with a chance to eliminate a hated rival from the postseason. Making them underdog is a serious mistake made by the odds makers. The Suns are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600.  Oh and by the way, they are also 2-5 ATS their last seven Conference Semifinal games. Take Denver. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers.

Fast Break Play.

Game 554.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Boston was leading the series 2-1 and then things fell apart for the Celtics. Philadelphia has taken the last two games and have an opportunity to eliminate their Eastern Conference rival from the postseason. I keep hearing about Joel Embiid’s injury issues. My friends, on a bad knee the other night, he accounted for 33-points, seven rebounds, and four blocks. So, don’t put any stick into the injury rumors. Feeling the pressure now having to take it to the road, Boston is in big trouble. I just don’t see them coming back. Momentum is definitely on the side of Philadelphia. And momentum means quite a bit in the NBA. Now they got to close out the series of a hated rival at home in front of their loyal fan base. The 76ers are 27-13 ATS their last 40 games played at home, 5-2, ATS their last seven games played on one days rest, and 9-2 ATS their last 11 games played overall. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 548.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

All four meetings in this playoff series have been won and covered by the home team. Denver took the first two at home, while Phoenix took the last two at home. Now this series moves back to the Ball Arena, a place that is by far the hardest in the NBA for any visitor to be successful at. The Nuggets are 39-7 straight up at home this season. Just going back the last several weeks, they have covered six of their last seven games played as host. We all know the Suns are not the greatest road team, sporting a 19-26 away record this season. They have failed to cover four of their last five games played as a guest. There is no question in my mind that Denver is a better team than Phoenix. And being that they allowed the Suns to even up this series on the road, I look for them to come out with a vengeance here tonight, prove something, and get a big win and cover.  They have covered five of their last seven overall meetings in this Western Conference rivalry. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers.

First Break play.

Game 545.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

With the series now tied at 2–2, I feel we’re going to see a very competitive game here. It seems that Philadelphia’s success rides on the success of James Harden. If he plays, well, they win. If he doesn’t, they do not. I really feel the line here is inflated. I just don’t see Boston being a 7.5-point favorite, even at home. The 76ers are an excellent road team winning 28 of their 45 games played away from home this season. They have covered five of their last six games played as a visitor and eight of their last 10 games played overall. They have been very good to us bettors against the number. Granted, the Celtics are pretty good ATS as well. But once again, I just feel the odds makers have put out an inflated line here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Game 531.

7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, I expect this game to be the most competitive yet in this series. We all know Denver is up 2-0 in this round as they have taken both games so far with at home with authority. They took Game 1 by 18-points and Game 2 by 10-points. We are also all well aware of the fact that they are a much better home team than they are a road team. The same could be said for Phoenix. And normally being down 2-0 in a series and going home for your first contest played in front of your fans, I would look to play that team. However, the Nuggets did cover the last two games played at the Footprint Center. But that’s not all, folks. The Suns will be without Chris Paul. While he hasn’t put up monstrous numbers this round, the point guard is a true veteran that has a ton, and I mean a ton of postseason experience. He has averaged a lot of minutes both during the regular and the postseason. They lose a true seasoned veteran with him on the bench here tonight. I think that will be a major factor in this matchup. Please remember Denver has covered five straight meetings in this rivalry, their last five games played on three or more days rest, 20 of their last 28 games played versus teams with a winning record, five of their last six games played following a straight up win, and six of their last eight games played overall. Meanwhile Phoenix has only covered one of their last five games played on three or more days rest, three of their last 10 games played following a straight up loss, one of their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, none of their last four Conference Semifinal games played, and only one of their last five games played overall. I have to take the points with the Nuggets. Thank you.

Los Angeles Lakers.

Game 550.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST

Up 3-2, Los Angeles cannot afford to allow Memphis to tie this series up. Playing at the Crypto.com Arena certainly benefits the Lakers, as they have covered four consecutive meetings against the Grizzlies on their home court. What furthermore prompts me to side with them here in this game 6 matchup is the fact that they were absolutely humiliated in Game 5 on the road, 116-99. That was an embarrassing loss. And that’s something that does not sit well with King James and company. Whether you love him or love to hate him, LeBron James is one of the most successful postseason players in the history of the NBA. He wins when it counts. Memphis has won just one of their last six games played on the road, seven of their last 22 road games played versus teams with the winning home record, none of the last six games played following a straight up win, and just three of their last seven games played overall. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

Miami Heat.

Game 527.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

With another victory, Miami will send Milwaukee home for the season. Not many out there gave the Heat a chance in this series with the Bucks. After all, Milwaukee was the top seed. While the Heat are dealing with injuries, what has helped them is the way head coach Eric Spoelstra has rotated in players in their absence. It makes it very difficult for Milwaukee to prepare for any one starting lineup. You can expect the Greek Freak to come out here today and try to take this series on his shoulders. However, this will also benefit Miami, as Milwaukee’s offense will become more one-dimensional. No matter what, you can expect the Heat, which have covered seven of their last 10 overall meetings with the Bucks, to come out here and be extremely competitive. They do not want their opponent to gain any momentum. They have also covered five consecutive outings played on one days rest. Meanwhile, the Bucks have failed to cover five of their last six games played overall and four straight outings played on one days rest. Take Miami. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

Game 529.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

A lot of people did not give the New York Knicks even a slim chance in this series with the Cleveland Cavaliers. Coming into the postseason, Cleveland possessed the NBA’s top-ranked scoring defense. However, the switch has been flipped in this match up with New York, as the Knicks have swarmed them with a stifling defense, allowing just 94.0-points per game. In the series opener, the New York proved that they can beat the Cleveland on their own court. My friends, New York has covered six of their last seven meetings with Cleveland going back to December. By the way, they’ve also won six of their last seven meetings straight up. They are a monster road team as far as us bettor‘s are concerned, going 37-16-1 ATS their last 54 games played on the road. They also seem to step up against good teams against the spread, covering 16 of their last 21 games played versus teams of the winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Cleveland has struggled, covering just one of their last five games played at home and one of their last six games played versus teams with a straight up winning record. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Denver Nuggets.

Game 507.

6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

I feel the line is a little low here, because the odds makers are looking to throw a trap at you folks. Don’t fall for it. Denver has dominated Minnesota, winning and covering all three games of the series thus far, taking the first meeting by 29-points, the second by 9-points, and the third by 9-points as well. Yes, they can afford to ease back a bit. But my friends, why would they? They finish the series off today, and they will have a huge edge over their next opponent, resting, healing, and preparing. The Timberwolves have only covered two of their last 10 games played at home, one of their last seven games played on one days rest, and one of their last five games played following a straight up loss. They are deeply overmatched and they are going to end their season today and start making plans to play golf. Take the Nuggets. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Game 505.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Knowing that their next opponent, the Philadelphia 76ers are already resting and preparing for the upcoming series, the Boston Celtics can not take their foot off the gas here. It is obvious that they are a better team than their opponent in this series. After taking Games 1 and 2, they were beat in the first road game played on Friday, 130-122. They don’t want to let Atlanta back into series, nor do they want to give up any edge whatsoever. There is no way the Hawks, which are seriously overmatched, can contend with the Celtics. Understand that Boston has dominated Atlanta prior to Friday’s loss, taking seven in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They want to finish the series off so they can get a little time to rest against Philadelphia. By the way, they’ve also covered five of their last six games played following a straight up loss. Take the Celtics. Thank you.

Sacramento Kings.

Game 503.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Taking Games 1 and 2 at home was big for Sacramento. But Game 3, which obviously was the first game being played at Golden State, they were not just embarrassed, they were downright humiliated, being downed 114-97. Perhaps the Warriors have gotten back on track. However, giving a team like the Kings this many points is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. Don’t let them trap you here, my friends. Sacramento is not just a healthy squad they also possess the top-scoring offense in the NBA. This is a team that matches up very well with their opponent here. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 15 of their last 21 overall meetings with Golden State, 11 of their last 14 meetings played at Golden State, and 11 of their last 14 overall road games. Take the Kings. Thank you.

Boston Celtics.

Vegas Insider Move.

Game 555.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Obviously, up to two games to none in the series, Boston has had their way with Atlanta. But their domination in this rivalry goes much further back. The Celtics have now taken seven consecutive meetings over the Hawks, both straight up and against the spread. Two of those games were played at the State Farm arena. Speaking of Atlanta, and their home court “advantage,“ they used to be one of the most bankable teams in the NBA when hosting. That’s not the case anymore folks. They have failed to cover four of their last five games played at home. But overall, this team has been quite inconsistent of late, winning just one of their last five outings, both straight up and against the spread. Overall, their defense has been absolutely deplorable, ranking 26th in the league, allowing 118.1 points per game. They just cannot stop, let alone slow down the Boston offense. The Celtics enter this contest running red-hot, winning seven of their last eight games, straight up. And also covering seven of those last eight games as well. You can expect the same outcome here tonight as they will once again dominate Atlanta. And get another win and cover. Take the Celtics. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers.

VI MOVE.

Game 547.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

There is no way around it. No matter how you cut it, the Brooklyn Nets just do not possess the personnel to compete with the Philadelphia 76ers. Not only do they not have the talent to run in this series, but they are being outcoached as well. Doc Rivers adjustments have been crucial to Philly’s success, taking an overwhelming lead two games to none. For our purposes, not only has the 76ers won four games in a row, they have also covered fourth straight overall outings. They have certainly had Brooklyn’s number. They have won all six meetings with them this season straight up, covering five of the six. It doesn’t matter if they are at home or on the road, they dominate Brooklyn. Oddsmakers continue to overvalue the Nets, particularly at home, where they have only covered three of their last seven games played. By the way, they’ve also failed to cover five straight Conference Quarterfinals games as well. The 76ers are just too strong, too deep, too well-coached, and have too much power in the paint. They will once again own the glass here and get another win and cover. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

Above The Rim Play.

Game 553.

4:30 PM PST for 7:30 PM EST.

I know a lot of people subscribe to the zigzag method of betting when the NBA postseason comes around. However, I just don’t see the Cavaliers coming out here and dominating the Knicks. New York came out in the series opener with authority, winning and covering, 101-97. That win and cover gave them four consecutive wins and covers against their Eastern Conference rival. A few things did not go their way in the first meeting, and yet they still prevailed. The way the Cavaliers defense has been playing, I just don’t see them stopping the motivated New York offense right now. Just since the last few days of March, they have allowed 120, 130, 105, 113, 94, 106, and 101-points in consecutive contests. New York has covered six of the last eight meetings played in Cleveland, while the Cavaliers have failed to cover four consecutive outings played at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. Take the Knicks. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

RD 1 GOY.

Game 513.

7:30 PM PST.

Coming into the postseason healthier than your first-round opponent means a lot. There is no question the Timberwolves enter today’s Game 1 matchup with the Nuggets with a bit of a healthier edge. Not only that, but something else I put a lot of stock in going into the playoffs, is momentum. Minnesota has won four of the last five games straight up, covering all five of those outings. They also come in here a little fresher. Denver has not taken the floor since the ninth of the month. And has only won two of the last seven outings straight up. The Timberwolves have covered six of the last seven meetings overall. And going back a bit 24, of the last 31 matchups played in Denver. They have also covered five of the last six games played on the road. This is way too many points to give a very game team that comes in here healthier and riding some momentum. Take the Timberwolves. Thank you.

Golden State Warriors.

Game 507.

5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST.

Guys, in my opinion this is one of the best matchups we will see in this round of the playoffs. Both teams are very talented. Both teams have some veteran leadership. Both teams have some solid youth. And both teams also go pretty deep bench wise. Unlike several of the other matchups in this round, these two teams aren’t listing a million players on the injury reports. straight up, Golden State got the better of Sacramento this season, taking three or four meetings. They also enter this contest a little bit hotter, both straight up and against the spread. Personally, as I mentioned, I think it’s going to be a very competitive contest. But it’s hard to go against the team that has without question one of the most successful postseason players of this or any generation. And yes, I’m talking about Steph Curry. I really do like Golden State in the first game. The Warriors are 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played on three or more days rest and 32-14 ATS the last 46 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Kings are 1-6 ATS the last seven games played on three or more days rest and 0-4 ATS the last four games played at home. The Take the Warriors. Thank you.

New York Knicks.

Game 505.

3:00 PMN PST/6:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, it’s no secret that both of these squads have a laundry list of injuries. For New York, they have questionable‘s on Brunson and Keels. While, Randall and Washington are both out. For Cleveland, they have quite a few players questionable in Okoro, Windler, LeVert, Garland, and Mitchell. Now a couple of those names have no real significance. But several of those players certainly will have a bearing on the team having success in this series. Having said that, the Cavs come into this matchup possessing one of the best defenses in the NBA. However, the Knicks have won and covered both meetings in this rivalry this season. This does include a matchup just two weeks ago on the road at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. As you know, Cleveland tends to get overvalued when hosting, covering just two of the last seven at home. Their ugly, against the spread trends don’t stop there either folks: they’ve also only covered one of the last five games played on three or more days rest, one of the last five games played versus teams with a winning record, one of the last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and just one of the last five overall games. New York may not do it very pretty, but they do, do it. What I’m talking about is covering: they have covered 37 of the last 52 games played on the road, four the last five games played against teams with a winning percentage above .600, and four the last five games played on three or more days rest. Oh, by the way, they have also covered five of the last six games played on the road against teams with a winning home record. I do feel this is way too many points to give New York. Take the Knicks plus the points here in Game 1. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

Las Vegas Strip Move Play.

Game 569.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

It is impossible to overlook Chicago winning and covering all three meetings against Miami this season. They enter today’s match up winning and covering five of the last seven contests. For the most part, which is very rare for this season, particularly at this time of the campaign, they are relatively healthy. The Heat, on the other hand have lost and failed to cover two of the last three outings. And have several key players either banged up or out this evening. Momentum certainly plays a part in a matchup like this. And the Bulls certainly have momentum, winning 11 of the final 17 regular season games and continued to win to rally back from a 19-point third quarter deficit to beat the Raptors two days ago. They have covered eight of the last 11 meetings at the Kaseya Center, four all the last five games played on one days rest, and seven of the last nine games played on the road. Take the points with Chicago. Thank you.

Minnesota Timberwolves.

Fast Break Play.

Game 547.

7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST.

With all the brouhaha surrounding the anticipation of Kevin Durant finally back in the lineup, don’t be fooled by the smoke and mirrors. Minnesota is surging, winning four in a row straight up, and going 3-1 ATS. By the way, they’ve covered all three road games during that span. The Suns are safely above the postseason cut line. The Timberwolves are just on the border and can better themselves significantly by winning here tonight, and then again through the next several games. Minnesota has been money, covering the last four games played versus teams with a winning record, seven of the last nine games played on the road, and five of the last seven games played following a straight up win. Meanwhile, Phoenix has failed to cover four of the last five games played versus teams was a winning record and seven of the last nine games played overall. Take the T-Wolves. Thank you.

Chicago Bulls.

Las Vegas Strip Move Play.

Game 515.

7:40 PM PST/10:40 PM EST.

Following a very embarrassing loss for a playoff-bound team, I would normally look to jump back on the Clippers in a situation like this. Los Angeles comes off at 131-110 defeat at home against New Orleans two nights ago. However, this team is banged up. And there are certain angles here that prompt me to side with Chicago. With only a handful of games left in the regular season, the Bulls are just north of the postseason cut line. They need every win they can get right now. They are starting to run hot, winning seven of the last nine ball straight up and against the spread. They come in here off of back-to-back road wins and covers. As a matter fact, they won and covered five consecutive outings as a visitor. Chicago is looking for a little payback, as they took a home loss the last day of January to the Clippers 108-103. It looks like Paul George (check status) will not be ready again this evening. Los Angeles has struggled, to say the least, in his absence. In the first meeting, the forward put up 16-points and 10-rebounds. As I mentioned, they are struggling without him on the floor. I just don’t see the Clippers and their lack luster offense putting too many points up on the very nasty, very frustrating, seventh ranked defense of the Bulls. Chicago has covered four of the last five meetings in Los Angeles and five of the last seven overall games played versus Los Angeles. Take the Bulls. Thank you.

Miami Florida Hurricanes.

Tournament Top Rated Play.

Game 655.

2:05 PM PST/5:05 PM EST.

With all respect to the Longhorns, the Hurricanes match up well with them. They also come in here 100% healthy. Texas will not know until just prior to the game time if their top postseason scorer and rebounder, Dylan Disu (check status) will be playing here. Even if he plays, the forward will not be 100% as he is dealing with a foot injury. As I mentioned earlier, Miami matches a very well here. Offensively, they score a little more per game. They are also more accurate from downtown, the free throw line, and overall, on the floor. Let’s not forget that defensively, the Hurricanes are monsters on the boards. Arguably, one of the best backcourts in college basketball belongs to the Hurricanes with Wong and Miller. Throw into the mix that forward, Omier and guard, Pack have taken their games up a notch, and that spells doom for Texas. The Hurricanes have the speed, the height, the muscle, the intelligence, and the depth to not just contend here this matchup, but to win it. Giving this team four-points (at the time of posting this) is a huge mistake. They have covered six of the last seven games in NCAA Tournament, nine of the last 12 games played versus teams with a winning record, and four of the last five games played following an ATS win. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers.

Fast Break Play.

Game 555.

7:10 PM, PST/10:10 PM EST.

Both Philadelphia and Phoenix come off road losses last night. But there are a few differences coming into today’s match up. The 76ers are on a 9-2 straight up run, covering seven of those 11 outings. Meanwhile, Phoenix is on a 1-6 straight up slide, failing to cover all seven outings. With only a few weeks of games left in the regular season, Philly sits four-games back in the Eastern Conference, and can catch Boston, which is only 1.5-games ahead of them. And are certainly within reach of the four-game gap between the Conference’s top team, Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Phoenix is kind of clustered in the fifth seed in the West, tied with Golden State, just a half-game behind Los Angeles Clippers. And a few games separating Minnesota, Los Angeles, Lakers, New Orleans, Oklahoma City, and Dallas. James Harden missed last night’s contest. He is listed as questionable this evening (check status). However, Joel Embiid is putting up MVP-type numbers. Without Kevin Durant, who won’t be back until early April at least, and Deandre Ayton banged up (check status), I just don’t see the Suns competing here tonight. Philadelphia took the only meeting of the season back in early November at home, 100-88. There is no question that they are significantly stronger offensively. And defensively they have been frustrating opponents with a swarming stop-unit. Phoenix has already been struggling and I just don’t see them outscoring Embiid and the explosive 76ers lineup. Philadelphia has covered five of the last six games played on the road, nine of the last 12 games played on zero days rest, and five of the last seven games played overall. Phoenix has failed to cover five of the last six games played at home, four straight games played versus teams with a winning record, and five consecutive games played following a straight up loss. Take the 76ers. Thank you.

Texas Longhorns.

Tournament Top Rated Play.

Game 646.

6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST.

This is the matchup that being depleted will prove to be fatal for Xavier. The Musketeers are without a couple of key cogs in the wheel. Yes, I know they can score points. But let’s face it, they are going up against a team that scores just about as much as them. And an opponent that defensively can frustrate here immensely. Texas has the size, the speed, and the depth to take this game on their shoulders, control the tempo, and send Xavier home packing. The Longhorns also had better success playing out of their conference this season. They had early season wins over Gonzaga, Stanford and yes, even Creighton. They enter this matchup running red-hot, winning and covering every single postseason game thus far. I think both teams have very strong backcourts. But the difference in this matchup will be the Longhorns having the height and the muscle in the paint to dominate. Take Texas. Thank you.

Miami Hurricanes

No Limit Play.

Game 643.

4:15 PM, PST/7:15 PM EST.

My friends, Houston is a monster team. I’m not looking to take anything away from the Cougars. However, I think we can all agree, this team gets vastly overvalued by oddsmakers. Case in point, they have only covered five of the last 15 outings. This team possesses one of the best backwards in the nation. But for the first time in a long time, they do not have the best backcourt on the floor in a matchup. Wong and Miller are the driving force behind the Miami Hurricanes. Not only can the tandem score, they can rebound, they can steal, and let’s face it, they are amazingly unselfish, earning assists. I know Houston possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in college basketball. But Miami has a very complete offense and as I mentioned earlier, they are very unselfish. It is so hard to key on any one or two players on the floor. They are also vastly superior from the free throw line, which I believe will play a major factor in this game. One more thing folks. On a regular basis, playing in the ACC definitely benefits a team like Miami, which faces tougher opposition from day-to-day than does Houston in the AAC. By the way, the Cougars are just 1-6 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS win and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record. The Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS the last six NCAA Tournament games played and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played versus teams are the winning percentage of 1.600. Take Miami. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 636

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

With all respect to the Owls, they just don’t face the same level of competition the Volunteers do on a regular basis. Yes, they have tallied a record of 33-3 this season. However, they just can’t contend with their opponent in this matchup. I understand they score 79.3-points per game. But they are going up against one of the toughest, stingiest, and most frustrating defenses in college basketball. Tennessee allows a mere 57.5-points per game, which ranks fourth in points allowed. They also rank first in the nation in field-goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed. And the advantages don’t stop there either. They are excellent on the defensive boards as well. Not only that, but I offensively they will dominate inside and out in this matchup. They too can score points and rank 14th on the offensive glass. They will get a ton of second-chance opportunities. If you really wonder how good this team is defensively, just look at how they completely shut down the Duke, just five days ago. While both teams here possess solid back court talent. Upfront, there is no doubt that the Vols will dominate in the paint. They are bigger, stronger, and will be more physical here. Take Tennessee. Thank you.

U Conn Huskies.

Tournament Top Rated Play.

Game 640.

4:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST.

My friends, Arkansas is in way over their head here. With all due respect, this team played their best basketball of the season a few days ago when they took down top-seeded, Kansas. Not only are they going to be in letdown mode. They’re actually going to come back down to Earth, plummeting from the penthouse to the ground floor very quickly. We all know that the Big East conference teams play a very physical game. Well folks, the Razorbacks faced one Big East squad this season, back in November and fell to the Blue Jays. Meanwhile, the Huskies covered both meetings with that same Blue Jays team this season, winning the first match up 69-60 and then falling just a bit short in the second matchup, 56-53. Meanwhile, Connecticut has done extremely well against the South Eastern Conference once again this season. They won their only two meetings against SEC representatives this season, taking down Alabama, which happens to be the SEC‘s No. 1 team, 82-67. They also decimated Florida 75-54. Granted the Razorbacks had no problem with the Gators in their sole matchup. But did lose and failed to cover two meetings with the Crimson Tide. The Huskies possess an overwhelming defense that just smothers you. I mean they play in a very competitive conference, and yet they only allow 54.8-points per game, and also happened to be a top-10 squad on the defensive glass. I mentioned earlier how physical the Big East teams play. Well, that is going to be a big disadvantage for the Razorbacks, which only hit 69% from the free-throw line. If you’re worried about UConn’s scoring ability, don’t be. Since the season began, they’ve been one of the best in the nation in scoring, averaging over 79.0-points per game. Let’s not forget they are also monsters on the offensive glass as well. When it comes to NCAA Tournament matchups, they have been money to anybody who wagers on them, covering 18 of the last 24 in that situation.  Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

NO Limit Play.

Game 638.

3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.

After taking down the Big East champ and No. 2 seed Marquette, 69-60 on Sunday, I feel Michigan State is in a huge let down situation here. We all know Tom Izzo‘s squads fall a little short when it comes to the Big Dance. We don’t have to rehash that issue. I do think the Spartans are very lucky to be here at this point. This is a team that’s just 5-3 straight up the last eight outings, going 4-4 ATS. They really don’t have the most explosive offense. They’re only real asset offensively, is their accuracy from beyond the arc. However, the Wildcats counter with the 13th ranked three-point shooting defense in college basketball. As a matter fact, they’ve played very good defense for most of the season. This is a team that plays in arguably the toughest conference in college basketball today, and yet only allows 68.7-points per game. They’re hotter entering this matchup, winning and covering six of the last eight outings. Kansas State has scorers, height, strength, speed, and depth. They are also 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, 4-1 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

UAB Blazers.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 625.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Most of the action as of this post is coming in on Vanderbilt. However, the sharp money is by far coming in on UAB. And that is for a good reason, my friends. This entire season the Blazers have played very well. But over the last two months, this team has taken it up a notch. They finished the regular season on a 10-1 straight up run, covering six of those 11 games. So far this postseason, they have won and covered four of five contests. Look for the top-10 ranked hellacious offenses of UAB, which by the way, accounts for over 82.2-points per game to be a little too much for Vanderbilt to compete with. The Blazers will get as many second-chance opportunities as they need with the nations No. 2 offensive rebounding core dominating the 313th ranked defensive rebounding squad of the Commodores. By the way folks, UAB won and covered both meetings against SEC opponents this season. Take the Blazers. Thank you.

Oklahoma City Thunder.

First Break Play.

Game 581

7:40 PM PST/10:40 PM EST. With only a few weeks left in the regular season, wins are vital right now for the Thunder. They currently sit in the ninth seed in the Western Conference at 12.5-games back. However, they are tied with the Timberwolves and the Jazz. But only a few games, separate a cluster of teams in the Conference. As a matter of fact, they are just 2.5-games behind the Clippers. A win here and they can close that gap and possibly move up a seed. They have dominated the series, taking both meetings this season, straight up and against the spread. SGA, who leads the team in scoring at 31.4- points per game, returns to the court where his career started. And the team comes off a big win at home against Phoenix, which marked their seventh victory in the last nine outings, both straight up and against the spread. They happen to be the best team in the NBA on the road this season, covering 17 of 26 when they travel. They’ve also covered four of the last five games played on one day rest. Meanwhile, the Clippers have failed to cover four consecutive games played on one days rest and six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. Take Oklahoma City. Thank you.

There is NO LIMIT to what you will profit off this big documented tournament winner.

Oregon Ducks

No Limit Play.

Game 616.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

Wisconsin has won back-to-back games for the first time in the New Year. But facing opponents like Bradley and Liberty are a far cry from facing Oregon. Let’s not forget the Badgers are point spread poison, only covering six of the last 23 games coming into today’s matchup. To make matters worse, as far as the point spread goes, when traveling, they have only covered two of the last 10 road games played. Meanwhile, the Ducks are running hot, winning six of the last seven games played straight up and three of the last four against the number. You know, Oregon has been dealing with injuries all season long and despite that, they have still played solid basketball. There is a huge mismatch here on the boards, where the Ducks will dominate at both ends of the court. They will have quite a few second-chance opportunities on offense, while taking away that same second-chance opportunities defensively on the Wiscy “O”. By the way, they have also covered four of the last five games played at the Matthew Knight Arena. Take Oregon. Thank you.

North Texas Mean Green

Slam Dunk Play

Game 613.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

North Texas is straining winning 13 of the last 15 outings straight up, and covering 11 of those 15. This is a healthy team which very quietly happens to possess the top ranked defense in college basketball. That’s right, they are ranked No. 1 in points allowed, yielding just 55.4-points per game. Not only that but they also rank 18th in field-goal percentage and 39th in three-point percentage. Oh yeah, they also happen to be the third best team in the nation on the defensive glass. Let’s face it folks, Oklahoma State‘s offense leaves a lot to be desired. This is a team that averages just under 70-points per game as most of their offensive numbers are downright deplorable. I just don’t see the Cowboys “O”, which has really struggled all season, putting up any points here today. I know the Mean Green offense isn’t anything to write home about either. But they run with a four- guard set, which are all averaging double-digits in this postseason and will control the tempo of this game. They’ve also been money to us bettors, covering nine of the last 11 games played following a straight up win and 26 of the last 35 games played on the road. Meanwhile Oklahoma State has only covered one of the last six games played at home and two of the last 10 games played overall. Take North Texas. Thank you.

Philadelphia 76ers

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 560.

4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST.

The red-hot 76ers are surging, winning eight straight contests, to bring the team within 2.5-games behind the Milwaukee Bucks in the Eastern Conference. They come into today’s game with confidence, having taken eight of the last nine meetings with the Chicago Bulls, both straight up and against the spread. The Bulls have covered just two of the last nine meetings in Philadelphia, only two of the last eight games played against teams with a winning record, and one of the last eight games played on the road. The 76ers have a covered 22 of the last 31 games played at home, four straight games played following a straight up win, and four of the last five games played on one days rest. Take Philadelphia. Thank you.

Gonzaga Bulldogs.

Second Round GOY.

Game 852.

6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST

With a victory today, it will mark Gonzaga‘s eighth consecutive NCAA Tournament reaching the Sweet 16. The first month of the season was a little shaky for the Bulldogs. They lost games against Texas, Purdue, and Baylor. Then something happened. They got back on track to turn the season around and between December 5 and March 17, only dropped two outings. I am well aware two of their losses came against Big 12 teams. But as I mentioned a moment ago, those took place in November and the first two days of December. They are playing on another level at this moment. They are playing like the Gonzaga team that we are used to seeing at this point. On the other hand, TCU has only won 5 of the last 12 outings straight up. And have only covered three of those 12 contests. Let’s face it, they eked by Arizona State in the last round with a 72-70 victory. It’s one thing to have a decent defense. And the Horned Frogs do have a decent defense. However, facing the number one scoring offense in the nation is a whole different monster. Even if they could slow down the Bulldogs, a bit, I just don’t see them competing offensively on the scoreboard here. They do not possess the personal upfront to even battle in the paint in this matchup. And if the game moves to the outside, well, we all know how good the Bulldogs are from downtown. The Horn Frogs have failed to cover six consecutive games played following a straight up win. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have covered five consecutive outings following an ATS loss. Take Gonzaga. Thank you.

Miami Hurricanes.

No Limit Play.

Game 839.

5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST

Indiana played good in the last round against a formidable Kent State opponent. But I think we can all agree. They may come in here a bit overconfident as the Golden Flashes are not on the same level as the hurricanes. Miami is a team that is once again at full strength, 100% healthy. And enters today’s match up striding, winning 10 of the last 12 games straight up. The Hoosiers are banged up and depleted. Even if they were at full strength, I don’t think they have the personnel to run in this matchup. The back court of Wong and Miller are one of the best tandem of guards in the nation. I see them controlling the pace and the tempo in this contest. I honestly believe the Hurricanes current edition is even stronger than last season’s Elite Eight squad. Giving them points. Here is a mistake. They have covered four of the last five NCAA Tournament games and seven of the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Miami. Thank you.

UConn Huskies.

Slam Dunk Play.

Game 838.

3:10 PM, PST/6:10 PM EST.

It is impossible to ignore the statistic the Huskies have accumulated this season of being a perfect, 12-0 outside of conference play. By the way, they’ve covered 11 of those 12 nonconference contests. The Gaels are a good team. But this team lives and dies by their defense. Well folks, they go up against one of the most explosive and potent offenses in the nation. Connecticut averages over 79-points per game and ranks 12th in the nation on the offensive boards. That would be enough for me to put a lean on the Huskies here. However, defensively, they are one of the best in the nation in points allowed, field-goal percentage allowed, three-point percentage allowed and rank sixth in college basketball on the defensive boards. They will take away Saint Mary’s opportunities for any second-chance shots. The Gaels are good up front. However, they are no match for the frontcourt of Sanogo and Karaban. The tandem or forwards will dominate in the paint here and go uncontested. Saint Mary’s has failed to cover five of the last seven games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, five of the last six games played following a straight up win, and none of the last five games played following and ATS win. Connecticut has covered five of the last six games played versus teams are winning percentage above .600, 17 of the last 23 NCAA Tournament games, and six of the last seven games played overall. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

Pitt Panthers.

Early Wake Up Winner.

Game 845.

9:10 AM, PST/12:10 PM EST

To get this game up early I’m going to give you a condensed version of my analysis. Very simply, Pitt not only matches up well with Xavier here, but they enter today’s contest playing some great basketball. They have won each of the last two outings outright as an underdog against Mississippi State, and Iowa State. Meanwhile, the Musketeers have failed to cover four of the last five, which does include the last two outings. They are in a situation where the team will come in here overconfident following the five-point victory over Kennesaw State in the last round. Mind you, they were 12-point favorite in that matchup. As I mentioned, they will come in overconfident against a Panthers opponent, that scores just about as much as them and possesses a monster defense that will frustrate the Xavier offense.  Pitt has covered 23 of the last 30 games played overall. The Musketeers have covered just two of the last seven games played following a straight up win. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Houston Cougars.

No Limit Play.

Game 808

4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST.

With No. 1 seeds, Alabama and Purdue already ousted from the Big Dance, Houston will take no chances in this matchup. They know obviously, that Auburn is a good adversary. So, they will keep their foot on the gas from the tip-off to the buzzer. Say what you want about the Tigers, but this is a team that dropped nine of the last 14 outings. They possess a lackluster offense, which accounts for just 72.7-points per game on a mere, 43.9% shooting from the floor, and only hit 31.4% from downtown. They must go up against one of the nastiest and most-frustrating defenses in the nation here today. The Cougars rank second in many defensive categories. Especially the ones that count most, points allowed, field-goal percentage, and three-point percentage. But it doesn’t just stop there. They are also a top-10 defensive rebounding squad as well. So, I don’t see Auburn getting too many second-chance opportunities at all. Offensively, the Cougars are a powerhouse. They are loaded with talent. They have speed, height, strength, and savvy. I look for them to light up the scoreboard here with a very talented offense, and a deep bench. Furthermore, they’re not just great on the defensive glass. They are awesome on the office boards as well, ranking 19th in the nation. By the way, the Tigers have only covered seven of the last 28 games played following a straight up win. They have been absolute pointspread poison. I don’t see them competing on the scoreboard at all in this matchup, and I certainly don’t see them covering this game. Take the Cougars. Thank you.

Duke Blue Devils.

Top Play

Game 803.

11:40 AM PST/2:40 PM EST

This has been a strange tournament thus far. We have seen several No. 1 seeds go down. With Purdue out-of-the-way, Duke knows they have a very good shot of making it to the Final Four. They will take no chances in this matchup. Tennessee is a formidable opponent. However, this is a team that enters this matchup losing seven of the last 13 outings. Many thought they could be a No. 1 seed come the Tournament. However, as the season progressed, they started to show signs of fatigue and showed signs of cracking. The Blue Devils are surging. They enter today’s contest one of the hottest teams in college basketball, winning 10 consecutive outings straight up, covering seven of those 10, which includes five consecutive ATS covers. Duke, listing zero injuries are a healthy team and are significantly stronger on the boards in this game. They will get as many second-chance shots as they need, offensively. And defensively, they will take away the Volunteers opportunities for a second-chance shots. With a slew of players, 6’7” and taller, which does include four 7’-footers, Duke has too much height and physicality in the paint for Tennessee. The Volunteers have covered just one of the last eight NCAA Tournament games, one of the last six following a straight up win, and one of the last six against teams is a winning percentage above .600. On the other hand, the Blue Devils have covered four of the last five NCAA Tournament games, five consecutive neutral site games, and five consecutive games against teams are winning percentage above .600. Take Duke. Thank you.

Kent State Golden Flashes.

Blue Chip Play.

Game 771.

6:55 PM PST/9:55 PM EST.

Kent state is red-hot, winning six consecutive outings, which does include a perfect 3-0 mark in the recent MAC Tournament. This is a team that when asked to step up this season in nonconference play, hung in very tight with Houston, covering a 19-point spread, 49-44, and Gonzaga, covering a 16-point spread, 73-66. They are not easily intimidated. They can score. And they have a monster defense. Two areas in which Indiana falls short. The Hoosiers enter today’s matchup, splitting out the last eight games, straight up, only covering two of those eight outings. One of the best players in college basketball certainly wears an Indiana uniform in Trayce Jackson-Davis. However, one player cannot carry the team. Especially come Tournament time. He faces a very aggressive defense of the Golden flashes. They are big, strong, quick, and they can frustrate opponents. I actually feel the wrong team is favored here. But I will take the points with the underdog, which has covered four consecutive games played on neutral sites, 15 of the last 20 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600, and 36 of the last 51 games played overall. Indiana has only covered two of the last eight games played versus teams with a winning record, two of the last seven games played versus teams are winning percentage of a .600, and two of the last eight games played overall. Take Kent state. Thank you.

Arizona State Sun Devils.

NO LIMIT.

Game 797.

7:05 PM PST/10:05 PM EST.

Personally, I think the wrong team is favored here. This game should be at the very least a pick ‘em. Having said that, we all know Arizona State is known for defense. However, the offense really heated up in the First Four game against Nevada on Wednesday, accounting for 98-points. They have won three of the last four straight up, and five of the last eight against the spread. They face, in my opinion, are very overrated, TCU opponent here. This is a team that faded down the stretch, dropping six of the last 10 straight up, and only covering three of those 10 outings. Please understand the Sun Devils come off recent contests against the Bruins, two against the trojans, and two against the Wildcats. In all sincerity, they are stepping down in class here today. Giving them points is a mistake. The Horned Frogs have covered just three of the last 10 games played versus teams with a winning record. The Sun Devils have covered five of the last seven games played against teams with a winning record. Take Arizona State. Thank you.