Oregon State +1.5 3.3* NCAAB POD
Oregon State seeks revenge coming off a loss where they are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 following a SU loss. Stanford beat them the first time, but I have a feeling this game could be different as Stanford shot 56% from three at home in that game. Stanford shoots well on the season, but could struggle on the road where Oregon State is defending the perimeter (32.5%) a lot better. Oregon State is also + in FTA rebound margin and even turnovers. So I expect them to turn that around in this game. Stanford shoots just 41.1% overall from the field on the road and could have major issues scoring if they can not hit the three. Stanford is also looking ahead to their road game at Oregon on Saturday. Look ahead could be part of the reason why they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 Thursday games.

Texas Tech +10 4.4* NCAAB POD
This is a great spot for Tech in my opinion Oklahoma is just 4-5 on the road yet they already beat Tech handily at home and won't be looking seriously at this game. Meanwhile they just lost to their rival in OT and have Baylor up next. This is an interesting sandwich game for them that they will not take seriously. Tech on the other hand tend to stay around in games and in the first match up they were -13 FTA and -5 TO two things that will chagne in this game. Texas Tech biggest reason for not winning more at home has been their ability to defend the three pointer. Luckily for them they face a team that does not bother attempting much from there just 23% of their shots will come from three and whent hey do take them they don't make them only 29%. The fact that Tech does not turn the ball over much will make this a close game throughout in my opinion. Oklahoma is also just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Evansville +1 2.2* bonus
Another interesting spot for the road team. Illinois State won already against Illinois State, but they come into this game after losing against Wichita State by just 1 point at home. Major hang over spot here as they face a team they already beat. They also have a non conference bracket buster game up next vs. Utah State. Evansville was -18 FTA int he first match up and still only lost the game by 5 as a +7 dog. There is a reason they are 12-3 at home. Illinois State could have major issues turning the ball over in this game too. Illinois State just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at Evansville who almost beat Creighton here in their last game.

Boston College +1.5 5.5* NCAAB POD Maryland comes off a huge victory over Duke at home and there are ton of distractions despite what their fans did after the game. Right now this team is due for a huge hang over in this game against a BC team that has done some good things. For one they already nearly beat Miami and Duke losing by just 1 point in both of those games. Maryland already beat BC at home by 5 points and BC played poorly in that game shooting just 35% from the field and even worse 58% form the FT line. That won't happen at home I expect Ryan Anderson to also have a better game. Maryland on the other hand turns the ball over 15.5 times on the road and rarely force any turnovers. They won't shoot 42% from three like they did in game 1 as they are shooting just 29% from three on the road. I was very impressed with the way BC played defense against Duke in their last home game and I think they can duplicate that here tonight and get a big win.

Bucknell +2 4.4* NCAAB POD
Both teams are 8-2 in conference play and when you look at Bucknell is the better team. They did lose this match up at home as a 7 point favorite, but Lehigh shot 10 for 18 from three point range. I don't see that happening here today as Bucknell is not only 4th in 2 point defense in the nation, but on the road they defend the perimeter really well allowing 29.6%. Lehigh just 214th in 2 point defense and they are also 282nd in total rebounding% where Bucknell is 24th in rebound %. With revenge on Bucknell's mind I expect them to win this game outright.

Clemson +6 4.4* NCAAB POD
Clemson is a tough opponent on their own court and Miami will be in for a real test today. Clemson is ranked 31st int he nation in two point defense and Miami's offense really has not been tested on the road until today. If you recall this is a team that struggled on the road against Boston College. Clemson really needs this victory for any hopes at a post season and facing the #3 team in the nation is something to be excited for the home crowd. I also like that this game is on a Sunday and that Miami has Virginia up next which is more of a serious game for the Hurricanes being that Virginia is 3rd in the ACC. I see Clemson being able to shock Miami today. While they may not win they are going to give Miami issues.

Nebraska +9.5 4.4* POD; Nebraska +425 1* bonus

This is an interesting spot for the Spartans who just beat their rival in Michigan in dominating fashion. Next they have Indiana back at home who they lost to earlier in the year. This is an odd spot for a road trip to play Nebraska a team they don't have any kind of rivalry with. Nebraska on the other hand is looking to be taken seriously in the league still and have revenge after they lost to Michigan State on the road by 10. The one thing Nebraska has going for them is their defense. They actually play better defense from a FG% perspective in conference play than Michigan State which is saying a lot. Nebraska at home is even better where they allow opponents to shoot just 39.3% compared to Michigan State's 44.5% on the road.

Nebraska won't allow Michigan State to get out in transition as they are only turning the ball over 9.9 times a game and only allowing opponents 49.9 FGA so I expect this game to be your typical Big Ten match up with Nebraska having a real shot in the end at pulling off the upset at home with Michigan State looking ahead to their big match up with Indiana.

Manhattan +2.5 3.3* NCAAB POD
Iona beat Manhattan at home by 8 as 13 point favorites but really the only difference was Iona shooting 10-16 from three and being +11 in FTA and +6 in turnovers. Manhattan out rebounded them by 10 and shot 48.2% from the field. IN conference play these teams are literally identical as far as raw stats go. Manhattan will pick up their defense in this game and give Iona issues especially at home where they only allow opponents to shoot 26.7%. Iona who will chuck up 20+ three points nearly 40% of their shots is just 32% on the road. Different ball game here as Manhattan wins.

Colorado +2.5 5.5* NCAAB POD
Huge revenge game here for the Buffaloes and they are at home against a ranked team in the national spot light. They nearly beat Arizona on their own court, but a 3 that won it at the buzzer by Sabatino Chen was later called back because his finger was still on the ball as time expired. They ended up losing in OT and this happened after they led by 16 with 12:40 left and 8 with 1:35 left. Colorado plays better at home and Arizona could be in a little bit of a hang over spot after losing to Cal in shocking fashion. Playing at elevation is never easy and Arizona is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. PAC 12. I think we are getting a lot of value especially since Colorado is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a win % > .600.

Penn State +7.5 (2.2* bonus)
Nothing great separates these two teams and Penn state lost by just 2 on the road despite being -23 FTA and -9 rebounds and -4 TO. Those three things won

[b]Rockets +10.5 3.3* NBA POD[/b]
Rockets are a pretty decent team and the Clippers just played awesome back to back games on the road to beat the slicers and Knicks but come home after the long road trip and have a game tomorrow night against their rival Lakers. This is an interesting sandwich game and I could see the Clippers slipping up or slacking off in the fourth while theRockets will cover.

[b]Texas +1.5 4.4* NCAAB POD[/b]
Texas really needs this game to jump start their season at any hopes of any post season action. Iowa State is 2-6 on the road 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and already beat Texas at home by 20 points. Iowa State relies on the three a ton shooting 43.5% of their shots from their. At home against Texas they dominated shooting 11-26 from there. That won't happen again as Texas defense the perimeter better than most teams in the nation only allowing 22.3% from three at home and 28.2% in conference play. Overall they only allow teams to shoot a combined 31.9% from the field. Iowa State will have issues scoring here and they won't get to the FT line 14 more times than the Longhorns like they did at home. This is a revenge game for Texas and this is a team that has played really well at home at times nearly beating Kansas earlier this year.

Manh +8 4.4* pod

[b]Bobcats +4 3.3* NBA pod[/b]
I think there is value here with the bobcats facing an older Boston team here tonight on 0days rest and after playing in 3 ots last night. They also are still playing without Rondo and they have the bulls up next.

Celtics -2 5.5* NBA POD

[b]BC +12 4.4* NCAAB POD BC +625 1* Bonus[/b]
Duke has their biggest rival up next in UNC and now they have to travel Sunday morning instead of Saturday night to play Boston College. BC should be ready for this game in a unique environment because of the blizzard that hit the Northeast. I expect a pretty energized crowd. BC is 2-7 in conference play but they are only losing by an average margin of 4.9 points. 43% of their shots come from three and Duke is clearly vulnerable on the road allowing opponents to shoot 37.3%. I can see BC getting hot at the right time here. Duke also relies on the three but on the road they shoot 30.7%.

Boston is 15-7-1 ATS following an ATS loss as they lost to Miami in Miami who had revenge. BC has been good at home they nearly beat Miami as +6 and NC State as +7. 12 points is a lot for Duke in this spot and if BC can get hot from three they could pull out a shocker.

3.3* pod

Memphis +2.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
I feel their is some good value here on Memphis. For one this is the best defensive team Southern Miss will play all year and that could be a problem. They are just 4-4 vs. teams ranked in the top 103 in the country in 2 point % defense. Memphis is 18th and 10th on the road in 2 point defense where most of Southern Miss shots come from. Even in their 4 wins vs. those top teams they never won by more than 4 points. Memphis in my opinion does not drop off on the road where they are 5-0 and they know this could decide the conference here today. Memphis should get to the line more as they have all year +8.7 FTA compared to Southern Miss -5.5 FTA. Southern Miss is also just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 vs. the Conference USA.

Wizards -1.5 3.3* NBA POD

Yale +1 3.3* NCAAB POD
I like Yale in this spot they are 16-7 ATS following an ATS loss while Penn is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. a losing team. Penn is beat up by injuries and they'll have troubles tonight rebounding the ball with Fran Dougherty injured again. Dougherty was their one bright spot as they are 306th in rebounding %. Yale meanwhile is 133rd and has been rebounding even better in recent weeks with a 53.7% in their last 3 games. I see them winning this game tonight.

4.4* play

Pistons -1.5 3.3* NBA POD
I like the Pistons in this spot, the Brooklyn Nets are not playing good basketball and they will likely be a little hung over from their effort against the Lakers where they came up short just last night. They are clearly disappointed in that game and the Pistons are the type of team that gives them issues. The Pistons are among the best in defense ranked 10th in opponent shooting %. The Nets are just 2-7 vs. teams ranked in the top 11 and beat Detroit by only 2 in OT at home. I think the Pistons will have some revenge on their mind and they are clearly playing better ball right now. The Nets have eclipsed 100 points only 1 time in their last 10 games and on 0 days rest they allow their most points. Pistons have averaged 102.4 points in their last 5 home games. Detroit is also 8th in total rebound % and has won 42 of 47 at home against the Nets who clearly do not like paying here.

Wofford +8 5.5* NCAAB POD
Davidson getting a little too much credit here as they'll face off against the #1 scoring defense in the Southern Conference in Wofford. The fact that Davidson relies on the three so much and Wofford has allowed just a 26.2% at home makes me believe Wofford could have a shot to win this game. Wofford outscored Davidson in the second half on an earlier season meeting as they lost 56-63 at Davidson. A team that shoots a ton of threes on the road is not going to win rebound margin and that's where Wofford could win this game. They are also getting to the line more frequently than opponents and they don't turn the ball over. These are all recipes for pulling off the upset. Davidson is just 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 road games and Wofford is 12-4 ats in their last 16 home games. This is a hidden gem in the many games going on this Saturday

4.4* pod

TX San Antonio +8.5 4.4* NCAAB POD; TX San Antonio +355 1* play
Denver nearly shoots 50% of their shots from three and they are not very good at it on the road shooting just 30% beyond the arch. Now Texas San Antonio already lost by 25 at Denver, but this is a revenge game and a long way to travel for Denver. In that game Denver shot 53.1% from the field and 47% from three. That won't happen again tonight and if we look at the other stats TX San Antonio actually out rebounded them by 8 and were +14 in FT attempts. TX is playing better ball winning 3 ATS as big time dogs winning two outright. I would not be shocked to see them win the game tonight considering Denver will also lose the FTA and rebound margin here tonight.

DePaul 3.3* pod

Ole MIss -2.5 3.3** NCAAB POD
This game should be a tight one, but Miss has a lot to prove and show at home with the national spotlight against a young Kentucky team. Kentucky goes up against the best defense they have faced all year and they have struggled against the top 100 defensive teams they have faced. The Rebels are ranked 22nd in effective field goal % defense and Kentucky has struggled against Louisville 75th, Notre Dame 92nd, and Bama 93rd. I look for the same story line here as Miss is 5th in points per game on the season and has been a juggernaut at home. They should dominate free throw attempts and points as well as turnovers as Kentucky is 92nd in the nation in turning the ball over with a 20.3% of possessions on the road. Meanwhile Miss has been forcing 20+ at home and is ranked 14th with a 26.8% of opponent possessions ending in a TO. Kentucky is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 and may not be ranked, but there is no way MIssissippi will be overlooking Kentucky who are the defending National Champions.

Cavs +1.5 5.5* NBA POD Kylie Irving has the Cavs playing some good basketball and the Warriors are playing their 4th game in just 5 days and they are short handed again. Curry and Bogut I believe will likely be out of this game but if they start I still feel comfortable with the Cavs covering and winning this game. Cavs have won 4 of their last 5 games including their last three straight up as under dogs.

E. Wash -2 4.4* NCAAB POD
Both Portland State and Eastern Washington have been struggling to find wins, but Eastern Washington should get one tonight being that they are home. Eastern Washington shoots 43.5% of their shots from three point rangea nd it just happens that Portland State is terrible defending the triple ranked 335th and their are only 3 teams worse than they are at defending it on the road where they allow opponents to shoot 42.4%. Ironically Eastern Washingtons three wins at home have come against teams ranked in the bottom in effective FG % defense in Idaho State (282nd), Northern Arizona (324th), and Cal Fullerton (322nd) and Portland State is worse than all of them ranking 333rd. Eastern Washington has also proven they can play good defense in conference play holding opponents to 39.8% from the field. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and I expect them to be 8-1 after tonight.

Magic +9.5 3.3* NBA POD I think we are getting tons of value here with the Magic since the Nets are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are looking ahead to their showdown at home against the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Orlando meanwhile has been having their own problems losing 5 straight up and ATS and now we catch some major value. The Nets don't deserve to be laying 9.5 points the way they've been playing. For one they have been dominated in the paint and they could have issues again tonight as the Magic are 10th in 2 point offense % wise. Brooklyn has already beaten the Magic 3 times so I doubt they'll take them too seriously in this one. Expect the Nets to be a little laid back int his one just coming off a 4 game road trip their longest of the season. The Nets are 6-15-2 ATS in their last 22 after allowing 100+ points in previous game.

Missouri State -1 5.5* NCAAB POD
Drake is just 2-4 on the road this year and lost by 12 on their own court earlier to Missouri State. Drake getting some extra credit here after beating ranked Creighton in their last game and I think there is potential for a major hang over here as they have allowed opponents to shoot 49% from the field and 40.7% form 3 in their road games. MIssouri State has played much better in conference play and is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the MIssouri Valley Conference while Drake is 6-13-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings.

Auburn +7.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
Great spot for Auburn at home on a Saturday night to pull a major upset against a very good and ranked Mississippi team. Ole Miss may be peaking ahead to Tuesday night when they'll host Kentucky followed by a big match up with Florida to follow. Ole Miss is struggling of late to score as they shot just 36.7% from the field on Thursday so I feel this team is very vulnerable right now. Auburn's ability to force turnovers at home get to the FT line more than opponents and win the rebound margin are all reasons why I'm confident you could even see Auburn pull the upset tonight. Auburn after all has won the last two meetings at home as an under dog and are 33-15-4 ATS in their last 52 Saturday games as well as 45-20-2 ATS in their last 67 vs. the SEC.

Wizards +2 3.3* POD

Mavericks +1 (4.4* NBA POD)
The Mavericks won

W. Carolina +8 2.2* bonus play
Davidson has never been a good road team partially because they rely on the three pointer way too much. Theya re 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 road games. West Carolina lost to Elon in their last home game as a favorite and will look to redeem themselves. They play great defense from the perimeter ranking 55th in the country holding opponents to 30.6%. In conference plays these two teams are pretty close as West Carolina

Bradley +7.5 2.2* BONUS
I like Bradley in this spot against Evansville again both of these teams are very similar and neither one of them rebounds the ball well. 7.5 points is a lot of value especially since Evansville has not been a dominating home team allowing opponents to shoot better from the floor 46.2% than their % of 45.2. They also are only +.2 in rebound margin and Bradley can be efficient with the perimeter game shooting 40% from the field in conference play while Evansville has given up 40% in conference play from 3. That should be enough to allow Bradley to cover.

New Mexico State -1.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
Denver has the losing record on the road at 3-5 to New Mexicos 9-1 record at home. Denver has played better in conference play outscoring opponents by nearly 14 while New Mexico is at 4.1, but Denver relies too much on three pointers which does not transition well on the road. In fact they are shooting nearly 50% of their shot attempts from three point range thus they are one of the worst rebounding teams and they are going up against one of the best rebounding teams in New Mexico state ranked 7th best in home rebounding % while there are only 13 teams worse than Denver in rebounding % on the road. New Mexico St should dominate in the paint as Denver is ranked 143rd in 2point % defense. Until Denver proves they can shoot the ball from 3 on the road I

Clippers +1.5 4.4* NBA POD
The Clippers were clearly looking ahead to this game after losing last night in Golden State while the Thunder have played in back to back OT games on the road. The Clippers are 19-4 at home and all 4 of their losses are against subpar teams. This team always seems to muscle up for the big opponents beating the Grizzlies, Spurs, Heat, Bulls, Nuggets, Celtics, and Jazz at home. The dog is 10-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the Thunder are 2-5 ats in the last 7 meetings. I think we get some value here because of the Clippers are on 0 days rest, but I think they have a significant advantage with this game being at home at 10:30pm when the Thunder are not used to playing. Right now these are the two favorite for the conference finals and the Clippers would like to make a statement.

Alabama +4.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
I really like Alabama here in this spot as Kentucky is now 1-6 ATS in their last 7 in conference play. You bet Alabama wants to defeat Kentucky who is a young team once again and now they are continuing to get too much credit in my opinion. They'll have to play a style of basketball they are not accustomed to as the Tide love to throw 4 guards on the court and go up tempo. Now Kentucky definitely has the talent and athleticism, but they did lose to Texas A&M a team that uses a similar approach at times. I also like Alabama's ability to win the turnover battle as they are +3 at home to Kentucky's -4 turnover margin at home. I believe Alabama's guards will out play Kentucky's for a quality win as a home dog.

Bulls -1 3.3* NBA POD
With or without Luol Deng I think the Bulls should win this game the way the Lakers are playing right now. The team

Georgetown +6 3.3* NCAAB POD
Georgetown will have an advantage in the paint on Monday and Notre Dame is struggling right now. They lost consecutive games at home before winning on Saturday, but this is a team that looks lost when they don

Nuggets +1.5 4.4* NBA POD
Denver definitely looking ahead to this game after losing Friday night at home to the Wizards as a 10.5 point favorite. Now the public is backing the Thunder to the tune of 70% and the line is not moving much. Denver plays up to the competition at home already beating the Clippers, Grizzlies, Spurs and Lakers. The Thunder will have a tough time after allowing over 100 points in their game on Friday night. Denver is 54-26-1 ATS in their last 81 when facing an opponent who allowed 100+ in previous game. The Thunder were lucky to get by the Mavericks and now Russell Westbrook will face a team that's better on defense than the Mavericks.

Grizzlies -125 5.5* NBA POD
Got to love the Grizzlies tonight. Both teams are on 0 days rest and without arguably their best players in Luol Deng and Zach Randolph. Grizzlies seem to have the better defensive team despite both being in the top 10 in defense efficiency. I like the Grizzlies ability to play on short rest and the Bulls just came off an emotional victory in Boston last night that took OT to get there. Memphis is actually 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games on 0 days rest and they are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games when their starting 5 combined for more than 160 minutes so they are used to playing well in these type of situations.

The Bulls also have the Lakers up next and played Boozer and Noah over 40 minutes last night. Those two guys are the key to their defensive intensity and I think they'll struggle with the athletic Grizzlies tonight who are ranked 2nd in defense efficiency. The Bulls have not fared well against good defense teams going just 1-8 straight up against teams ranked in the top 7 in defense efficiency. They already lost and were held to a season low 71 points in a loss to Memphis.

Texas +9 4.4* NCAAB POD; Texas +340 1*bonus
Texas has a very talented back court that can lead them to victory here at home. Thus far they are winless in the Big 12 so they'd love to get that out of the way and what better time than against #4 ranked team in the country on national television. Kansas comes into this game very confident just blowing out Baylor 61-44 at home, but on the road they have not been nearly as good. Texas meanwhile has been one of the best defenses in the Big 12 and hold opponents under 30% shooting in their home games where they beat North Carolina handily as +4.5 under dogs. I think the Texas back court will be the difference today led by Sheldon McClllellan, Julien Lewis and Javan Felix, but they will win this game with defense.

***Bonus Play***
4 point teaser
Texas A&M +11.5 with Arizona State +11 3.3* play

Mavericks +6 4.4* NBA POD; Mavericks +200 .5* play I think there is just too much value here to not play this game especially the way the Mavericks have been playing winning their last 3 at home and holding opponents to 39% from the field. Dallas have given Russell Westbrook fits in Dallas as he only averaged 16 points in two games here last year and 35.5% shooting. I think this Mavericks team is rounding into form with a healthy Dirk Nowitzki and I think they will look to make a statement here tonight after losing in OT in December on the road to the Thunder with Dirk coming off the bench in just his second game. The dog is 21-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

3.3* TOP PLAY

Warriors +2.5 3.3* POD

3.3* NCAAB POD

Depaul +7 3.3* NCAAB POD
I like Depaul here being at home against Cincinnati whose offense has started to struggle in conference playing averaging over 11 points less than their season average in their last 7 games. In those 7 games they have only averaged 62.9 points and now they go on the road to play a Depaul team that has one of its best teams in recent years. The Blue Demons have averaged 75.3 points and have not scored less than 69 all season. They have a duo in Brandon Young and Cleveland Melvin. Depaul needs a big time conference win and the dog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 match ups.

Rockets -145 4* NBA POD
Clippers just played last night and got a much needed win and now they'll play the Rockets who have had a couple of days off which is huge for a team that relies on their starting 5 score more than 75% of their points. The Clippers have played their worst defense by far on 0 days rest allowing 100.4 points per game. Their next worst defense is on 3+ days rest allowing 92.5 so it is obvious this team has trouble playing on back to back nights in my opinion where they are 3-5 ATS. I see the Rockets who have played well at home getting a big time win.

NORTHWESTERN -1 4.4* NCAAB POD

Citadel +4.5 4.4* NCAAB POD Citadel will take on Samford who just came off a road victory as a +15 under dog. That was a huge win for a program that lost at home in the previous game to Chattanooga by 4 points the same team Citadel lost to in their last game by 5 so I feel comfortable with the 4.5 points we are getting here especially since Samford just came off a huge win. Citadel is also a better rebounding team as Samford is ranked 338th with a 43.6% total rebound rate. They have also shown the ability to shoot FT's better than Samford by a far margin as they are shooting 80% at home from the charity stripe. Meanwhile their biggest weakness is turnovers averaging 17.4 per game. A lot of that came against some stiff competition, but here today they face Samford's guards who are only forcing 10.5 turnovers per game and rank 224th in the nation in turnovers forced per possession at 19.3%.

3.3* NBA POD

3.3* pod

Memphis +2 3.3* pod

3.3* NCAAB POD

3.3* TOP PLAY ON S. UTAH +3

4.4* NBA POD

Arizona 3.3* POD

4.5* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

Jazz +9 3.3* NBA POD
I think we are getting tremendous value on the Jazz in this spot and I feel they match up well against the red hot Heat. However, the Heat are in a tough spot in their own as they look ahead to Christmas when they play the Thunder. I don't think the Heat believe it takes their full attention to dismiss the Jazz, but they will get the Jazz best. Jazz also have a couple extra days rest compared to the Heat and the Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record so most of their ATS dominance has come against weak opponents.

3.3* NCAAB POD

4.4* NCAAB POD

Twolves +4 -115 4.6* NBA POD
This is a huge game for Minnesota and for the Thunder this is just another game. I actually think the Twolves match up extremely well vs. the Thunder despite going 0-4 last year both of their home games were decided by 1 and 4 points and one went to OT. On the road they lost by 8, and 9 (which was in OT). The Thunder are in an interesting spot here playing on 0 days rest and their starters combined for 160+ minutes last night and they'll face the Heat on Christmas next which is drawing tons of hype. Minnesota just got their buts whooped by the Heat but are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 following a SU loss by 10+. Look for Minnesota to come away with a win here.

3.3* NBA POD

MTSU +2 3.3* NCAAB POD
This is an interesting match up and one that either team could win, but I'm taking the points even if Belmont is home here. MTSU won last year in shocking fashion, but this team is the real deal and they match up very well with Belmont who relies on their senior guards and three point attempts. They are 3rd in the nation in three points made, but 41% of their shots are from beyond the arch which is 29th in the country. It just so happens they face a team that is backed by strong defense from the guards. They are long and physical and have held opponents to 29.7% from three. My other favorite stat is rebound % and MTSU should have another significant advantage here as they are ranked 41st while Belmont is ranked 267th. Belmont also has a bigger game up ahead with Kansas on Saturday they could be peaking ahead to.

Bobcats +8.5 4.4* NBA POD; Bobcats +360 0.6* play
Charlotte has been in these games at home and if it weren't for a slow start the other night we would have won on our POD with them facing the Warriors. I'm still not sold on this Clippers team right now especially on the road. They are also coming off a huge win last night in Chicago in a late start. The game was on ESPN and started at 9:30pm ET and now they travel on 0 days rest where they play their worst defense. This is also their 4th game in 5 days and they did win last night. The Clippers rely heavily on the road on their ability to force turnovers. Chicago while they are a dominant defense is 25th in turnovers per game and had 17 last game that really cost them here. The Bobcats are 8th in the league in fewest turnovers. I just feel 8.5 points is far too many for a team on the road playing on 0 days rest and 4th game in 5 days. I don't see them taking the Bobcats seriously and the Bobcats are still trying to win a game against a meaningful opponent and this would be a good one and a good situation. I would not be shocked if they do pull the outright victory and I'll lay 0.6** on it.

Knicks -3 3.3* NBA POD I love the Knicks in this spot with a chance to rebound after losing in OT to the Nets the first time in their own building. I look for the Knicks to rebound here with a strong effort and an easy win. Not only may the Nets be without Brook Lopez, but the Knicks will have Jason Kidd in this game someone they didn't have last time. Kidd makes this team flow and is a winner. I see the Knicks continuing to stay hot while the Nets continue to struggle.

4.4* ncaab play of the day

Bobcats +5 4.4* NBA POD; Bobcats +2.5 1H 2.2* play
Bobcats played well against a few really good teams at home of late losing by 2 to the Knicks, 6 to Portland, and 6 to the Sixers and then they were destroyed by the Spurs by 30. Teams often come back strong in their next game after a big time blow out and they get the Warriors who are riding high winning 3 straight and getting a lot of love. The Warriors think they can skip this game mentality and look ahead to the Miami Heat who they have on Wednesday. I think the Bobcats could seriously steal this game if not play really well in the first half.

Rutgers +1.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
Despite having one of their best players back in Momo Jones, Iona is not the same. They even are moving Momo to the point and I think that's going to take some time playing against some of the better teams this year. Jones had a great year last year playing off Scott Machado and this will be a bit different. Iona also has 9 new players this year and lost a ton of talent from last year's squad. Meanwhile Rutgers returns 4 starters and got a ton better when Wally Judge decided to transfer from Kansas State. Judge gives this Rutgers team balance as it solidifies their front court to go along side Miller and Johnson. This team should dominate on the boards tonight and they have capable perimeter players in Carter/Mack/Seagears. I think we are getting line value here as both of these teams have played St Peters and Rutgers did not look very good, but it was their first game of the year. Rutgers has an extra 4 days rest so if Iona decides to push it Rutgers should be able to keep up.

Bulls +2.5 3.3* NBA POD
Rebounding and defense. That's how the Bulls are winning right now. They are ranked 2nd in rebounding percentage to the Knicks 27th rank and should have the advantage on the boards. The Knicks come off a great game without Carmello Anthony against the Heat. Really the Heat play down to the competition, and the when they knew Carmello was not going to play you could almost see them not take them as seriously. Meanwhile the Knicks went on to hit 18 three's, but going against the Bulls that won't happens as the Bulls have only allowed 27% shooting from the perimeter and are #2 overall in three point defense. Bulls will be motivated to have this game and I think they will win it.

iowa St +3.5 (4.4* POD) Iowa State has a lot of veterans led by McGee and Clyborn their two leading scorers. Meanwhile Iowa has played well thus far but has got beaten by the "good teams." Iowa is also very very young and I don't see a huge advantage playing at home against an instate rival. I look for Iowa State to win this game out right tonight with their veteran leadership.

Manhattan -3.5 2.2* bonus

76ers +2 3.3* nba pod
I see that we have a ton of line value here with the Sixers. Both teams played the same team in their last game (Twolves). Both teams played them at home while the Celtics controlled the game and the Sixers got blown out. Because of that Vegas knows they can get away from setting the line a point or so higher. Not to mention Rajon Rondo coming back which I feel is a bit over rated and the oddsmakers are giving him and the Celtics too much credit. The Sixers on the other hand will have an extra day of rest and have also played the Celtics tough at home going 6-1 ATS over their last 7. Sixers also have played well following double digit losses at home 7-3 ATS the last 10 times that has happened, but at the end of the day I feel the Sixers will rebound and there is tremendous line value given the circumstances. I expect Boston to seek revenge tomorrow night when the two teams meet in Boston.

3.3** play

3.3*

Celtics -3.5 4.4* NBA POD
This is a nice spot for the Celtics despite not playing well. This is another team that seems to step up the competition when they need to. I think tonight is another opportunity to do that with the Nets coming in with a ton of hype. On the Nets side I think they are due for a huge hang over here after they beat the Knicks at home for the first time in their new building. That was huge in itself, but it took OT, and people outside NY do not realize how big of a deal that game was. It

Celtics -3.5 4.4* NBA POD
This is a nice spot for the Celtics despite not playing well. This is another team that seems to step up the competition when they need to. I think tonight is another opportunity to do that with the Nets coming in with a ton of hype. On the Nets side I think they are due for a huge hang over here after they beat the Knicks at home for the first time in their new building. That was huge in itself, but it took OT, and people outside NY do not realize how big of a deal that game was. It

NC State +6 2.2* play
At this point I feel Michigan is a bit over rated and NC State is a bit under rated which gives us good value on Tuesday with 6 points. NC State should stay in this game the entire way as they seem to match up well with Hardaway and the Wolverines. Michigan beat Kansas State in their last game giving them a little credit with the odds. Now they face an NC State team that runs a tricky offense under Coach Gottfried. It

3.3* nba pod
The Suns have been in 9 of their last 10 games and even had shots at winning many of those. Meanwhile the Cavs come into this game playing their 4th game in 5 nights after being out on the road. I see a hang over here as they hung tough against the Grizzlies. The Suns will clearly take this team seriously since they had to come back against them at home, but I like the way the Suns have played of late and they should be motivated to win tonight considering they are on a rough road trip.

3.3* POD

3.3* POD

3.3* POD

3** NCAAB POD

Celtics +1.5 3.3* NBA POD
Boston played terribly in their last game, but they usually play their best games after a loss especially if it is in embarassing fashion. They'll play host to the Spurs who are thin on their front line after losing Stephen Jackson on Monday night. This team already was having issues rebounding the ball and they went -10 in rebound margin when Jackson left. The Celtics should have an advantage being off for a couple of days as this is a huge game for them. The Spurs have not played that great and even lost 2 of 3 at home. The Dog in this meeting has been 10-0-1 in their last 11 meetings.

3.3* POD; UC DAVIS +175 1* BONUS

Magic +5 3.3* POD
I get that the Pistons have played well of late beating Sixers in easy fashion on the road and nearly upsetting the Thunder at home, but they are still 1-8 for a reason and the Magic finally are in a game where they could technically be favored. The Magic played right with the Knicks a few days ago in our last POD and lost as the Knicks took over in the second half. Tonight they face a team that rebounds worse than they do, has a worse FG% from the field and plays just about the same defense. Orlando should have the advantage on the boards, but overall these are two even teams and the game should stay close the entire way.

Lehigh +12 3.3* NCAAB POD
This team already went up against a big and athletic Baylor team on the road and now they

Magic +7.5 3.3* NBA POD
Cavs +6 1.1* bonus
Knicks are high flying leading the league in scoring defense and offense. I

3.3* NBA POD

4.4* NBA POD

Bulls +3 3.3* NBA POD
Bulls have been solid to start the season while, the Thunder are off to an inconsistent start. Bulls led by Luol Deng and Joakim Noah and a defense that is among the leagues best allowing 88.8 per contest. Thunder shot 47.1% from the field last year, but are done on those numbers to start this year. Thunder really are still coming together and gelling with the new additions and the loss of James Harden who was traded to the Rockets. Thunder beat the Bulls without Rose before, but the were at home last year in the 14 point win and they were lucky to hold Deng, Noah, and Boozer to 21 points and a season low 33%. Look for the Bulls to seek revenge tonight against an inconsistent bunch still trying to find their way.

3.5* nba pod

3.3* NBA POD

3.3* NBA POD

3.3* NBA POD

5.5* MBA pod

Thunder +150 5.5* NBA POD

5**nba pod

Thunder +5 4.4* NBA POD

5* NBA POD

4.4* nba pod

Sixers +6 4.4* NBA POD