Utah +2 4.4* NCAAB POD
Even though this is not a conference game it is still a big rivalry game for these two programs. It's called the Holy War game in college football and there is nothing lost in the college basketball match up that BYU has dominated by winning 7 straight. It's obvious this is not just another game to Utah. Especially listening to some of the interviews with Utah's head coach Larry Krytkawaiak, "we will scratch and claw and try to win." I think this is Utah's best chance to win in many years after they lost by only 3 last year on the road as a 12.5 point under dog. They've got some players including junior college transfer Delon Wright who is as dynamic as any other player on the court to pair along with Jordan Loveridge who was only a freshman last year. Wright has ridiculous stats with over 6 rebounds, over 6 assists, over 3 steals and over 16 points per game. Utah wants this more and BYU could be peaking ahead to Oregon who they play next.

[b]Bulls -1 3.3* NBA POD[/b]
The Bulls who have been decimated by injuries are starting to get healthy as they got Jimmy Butler back in their last game and they hope to have Deng back on Saturday. The Raptors meanwhile made a big trade sending Rudy Gay away and bringing in Vasquez, Patterson and Salmons. When you mess with the dynamic of a team you will struggle a bit to find chemistry and even though they won their first game I think they will struggle on the road especially with 0 days rest and no time to practice or put a plan together to face off against a Bulls team that is one of the best defensive teams in the league. Toronto won't have enough offense in this game and the Bulls will look to build momentum off their win last night.

[b]Grizzlies +2.5 3.3* NBA POD[/b]
Just working our way into this NBA season with selective picks and tonight I think we have value here on the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies come into this game a bit banged up, but now they get to face a team in the Hornets who are too without their best player in Anthony Davis. Memphis also wants a little revenge after they lost to the Hornets at home in early November. The Grizzlies have been playing much better on the road and in fact have won 5 straight on the road including 2 as under dogs. The Hornets have won 7 of their last 100 but they haven't cover any of their last 8 games vs. the West. They are getting wins against the East, but when they play the West they are just over valued right now. They have not beaten an elite team at home just yet losing to the Pacers, Warriors, Mavericks and Thunder and are coming off an OT win over the Pistons. I look for Memphis to step up here and get another key road win with a little revenge. They are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning home record.

[b]Thunder +2.5 3.3* NBA POD[/b]
I'll take the better defensive team going up against a team off a huge win. The Blazers just beat the Pacers at home handing the Pacers only their second loss of the season. The Blazers have been a surprise this year, but I don't think they are ready to handle the intensity of back to back games against elite opponents. The Thunder dominated this series last year and have been good on 0 days rest in the past. None of their players played over 40 minutes last night so I think they'll be in good position to win this game outright.

Virginia -3.5 2.2* pod

[b]Milwaukee Bucks +3 3.3* NBA POD[/b]
30% of the public are backing these Bucks and rightfully so as they are off back to back humiliating games, but much like the NFL on any given night any NBA team can win. I would agree that's even more so true in the NBA with the game riding on less people. Washington meanwhile just won 4 of 5, and is coming off wins against the Lakers and Knicks and has caught the public's attention. They are over valued at this point and I'll fade them in the right spot. Tonight is the right spot because the Wizards have the Pacers coming up next so it's a perfect let down spot with Thankgiving to follow tomorrow. I think Bucks win this one outright.

[b]Celtics +4 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
This game was just too hard to pass up. The Celtics have revenge after losing at home to the Bobcats earlier in the season. Boston has had a very challenging schedule while the Bobcats at 7-7 are a bit phony beating bad teams and have the leagues easiest schedule only facing 4 teams over .500 to date. In all 4 of those games they lost by double digits. The Bobcats just won and I hardly would be confident in them winning back to back games with a look ahead to the Pacers. Boston is stacked with young talent and can pull off upsets on any given night. They already have 3 outright road wins as significant under dogs including at Miami.

RHODE ISLAND +6 3.3* NCAAB POD

Magic +2 4.4* NBA POD

[b]Sacramento -1.5 3.3* NBA POD[/b]
These two teams just faced off last night, but nowt he series moves back to Sacramento and despite a 13 point win, the Kings are favorites. The Kings early in this season go as their rookie Ben McLemore go and he picked up 4 fouls in just 7 minutes of playing time. I expect him to bounce back with the rest of this team. Demarcus Cousins seems focused and had 35 points on Friday night, now going back home they should be able to pull off a victory against a Blazers team that is a bit over rated here in the early going.

Cavs +4 4.4* NBA POD The Cavs are going to be the surprise team early on. Kyrie Irving is a super star already and they add some solid players in free agency along with #1 overall pick Anthony Bennet out of UNLV. This team is stacked with depth and are under rated. The Nets went out and got Pierce and Garnett so the hype is there for the Nets. However, we have seen with teams that bring in big names to an already talented roster struggle early in the season. These players will defer to each other since they are all talented and it will be challenging to see the chemistry come together early. However, vegas does not take those things into consideration. They know the public will jump all over the Nets especially early on. I think Vegas is gambling here too allowing people to play the Nets knowing if the Nets win and cover they'll lose money. Nets also have a bigger game on Friday at home against the Heat so a look ahead is only natural. Cavs will take this game outright.

Spurs +6 4.4* NBA POD; Spurs +230 2* bonus; Spurs/Heat U189 2.2* bonus We got robbed in game 6 on the total with it going to OT as we covered the under in regulation. Tonight I expect the defenses to be even more intense in this game. The Spurs really have dominated this series at times or at least have been in control the entire way. I don't see a blow out here in Game 7 and the Spurs are a close team with a ton of veteran leadership that went 23-5 after a loss this season, 17-11 ATS. This series has been up and down and once again everyone is counting the Spurs out. The coaching advantage is still huge as Greg Popavich had his team rally together after the game instead of head to their rooms in disgust after blowing a 10 point 4th quarter lead. The fact of the matter is the Heat laid it all on the line and should have lost. They got so lucky with offensive rebounds in the closing minutes and clutch three pointer by Ray Allen. The Spurs are more motivated in my opinion to take this game because it really could be their last time around. I think they will fuel on being the first team in 35 years to win a game 7 on the road.

[b]Heat/Spurs U192 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
I like the the under in this game after some high scoring affairs in San Antonio. Whenever the Heat have won they have won with their defense and I think that is where they buckle down in tonight's game as they force a game 7. I think you will see less of the Heat's small ball philosophy which has not worked which should slow down the game and get Tiago Splitter more playing time for the Spurs too. The total has gone under 16 of the Spurs last 21 road games where they just are not the same offensively. They scored 92 and 84 in Miami in games 1 and 2 and I expect a lower amount. Look for the Heat to keep them in the 70's or low 80's and San Antonio will do all they can to avoid a game 7. Both games in the series in Miami went under and I think this game will too.

[b]Spurs +1.5 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
I like the Spurs in this game as everyone is over reacting once again to the previous game. We saw it after the Heat won in convincing fashion in game 3, then after game 4 with the Spurs blowing out the Heat, and again now everyone thinks the Heat will win the series because they looked so good in game 4. There was a lot of sloppy play by the Spurs in game 4 that should be cleaned up tonight in my opinion. 2 days off will leave the Spurs fresh for this game and once again the coaching edge and preparation on the Spurs side gives them a tremendous edge. The Spurs are also 22-5 on the season following a loss and 17-1 following a loss at home. That only loss at home after a loss came at the end of the season when the Spurs were resting up. This team has not lost more than 2 games in a row at home all season and even if the Heat are the best team I don't see Tim Duncan and his veteran led Spurs going down that easy. Spurs should take this game sending it back to Miami where they hope to get one win. The Heat are also 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win while the Spurs are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 on 2 days rest, and 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a SU loss of 10+ points

Heat +1 4.4* NBA POD Lets not over react here the Spurs hit an NBA Finals record 16 three pointers in game 3 in their blowout win. I expect the Heat to turn that around tonight and there is no way the Spurs can will shoot that way again tonight. Expect the Heat to come out and win with defense tonight by defending the perimeter. I also expect Lebron James to be more aggressive. The media is flipping out on this game and it appears like the Heat have no shot, but remember this team has won 11 in a row following a loss and have not lost 2 in a row since January. After game 2 we thought the Spurs were done, so it's hard to imagine that this game won't be much different. The Heat are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 revenging a loss to a team while the Spurs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points in their previous game. The Heat absolutely need this game and I don't see the best player in the game losing this game.

[b]Spurs -2 -107 4.5* NBA POD[/b]
The Spurs are 41-7 at home this season and are outscoring opponents by double digits. The Heat dominated game 2, but we have seen time and time again where opponents have made adjustments after getting beat big by the Heat. Once again Eric Spoelstra will be out coached and the Spurs will make the right adjustments to win at home. The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a SU win. The Spurs are a determined bunch who still are the fresher team because they swept the Grizzlies and I think their defensive adjustments and the ability of Leonard to rebound will be the overall difference in this one. I don't expect the Heat to get any wide open three's like they did in game 2 that allowed them to pull away late in the game.

Heat -5.5 2.2* bonus, Heat/Spurs O187.5 4.4* NBA POD
The Heat have bounced back from losses better than anyone this year so I do think they will take this game, but it will be close in the first half. I think we are getting great value with the total as it was 190 in game 1 and it was looking like it was on pace to easily go over the way the game was going, but then both teams started missing shots in the 2nd half and the Spurs missed plenty of wide open threes. I don't expect that to happen here. Miami has been great offensively after losing their first game of a series scoring 115 and 114 in their last two series and the Spurs are good enough offensively that the Heat will let them do what they want this is a team that scored over 100 points on the road and have plenty of offensive options. I expect this to be very much like game 1's first half throughout as both teams play their best going up and down the court and the Heat can play some of their normal line ups that allow them to spread the court vs. the Spurs defense.

Spurs +5 4.4* NBA POD; U188.5
I really like the Spurs to win the series and if they are going to do so they must steal game 1. I really do not anticipate them to be too rusty, but I do anticipate the Heat to have a let down off a grueling 7 game series with the Pacers. The Spurs pose some of the same challenges the Pacers did in the conference finals only the Pacers are a bit stronger on the front line, but the Spurs still have Tim Duncan and Tiago Splitter is 6'11 and 240 and should be a handful in this series. What the Spurs do have is better back court play and a true point guard in Tony Parker who can take over a game. We saw it all series against the Pacers that when the Pacers got output from their guards they won the game.

On the flip side the Spurs defensively match up wellas Kawhi Leonard is 6'7 and young and quick enough to at least tire Lebron James out and should offer a challenge much like the Pacers were able to do. Greg Popavich is a tremendous coach and he's got 9 days to prepare for this game. This is a veteran group and I don't see them coming out flat if anything I see the Heat who are not as hungry as the Spurs coming out in a let down spot. They have not played well in game 1's all post season and lost game 1 last year after beating the Celtics in a grueling 7 game series.

Pacers +7 5.5* NBA POD; Pacers +305 1*
I have watched all 6 games in this series and I have been right in 5 of the 6 games on POD's. It is obvious the Heat are not the same team right now because of a few reasons. #1 Wade is clearly not 100%, and #2 match up issues. I said from the beginning this would be a tough match up for the Heat because of the Heat's weakness inside and how Indiana has the strongest front line in the NBA and they have clearly showed that in this series. Their rebound advantage has been remarkable and they have been in all three of the games in Miami. The one game we had the Heat -7.5 was in game 5 and I will even admit we were extremely lucky when George Hill got into foul trouble because up until then the Pacers controlled that game as they did in game 1 and game 2.

Once again with everyone doubting the Pacers I will back them this is a team with a huge chip on their shoulder. If you disagree just youtube Roy Hibbert's response on defensive player of the year comment by the press. This entire team knows they are not getting respect and they would love nothing more than to beat Miami in their own house tonight. I was there for game 7 against the Celtics a year ago when the Heat should have ran away with the game, but the Celtics hung tough for all 4 quarters and I expect the Pacers to do so as well controlling the game like they have controlled this series.

Pacers +3 4.4* NBA POD
I love the Pacers in game 6 here this has been a resilient group all season long and they should be in this game. If it was not for Lebron completely taking over the third quarter they could easily be up in the series as they led at the half on the road again. The Heat can not win with Lebron being the only viable scorer and it is clear the Pacers defense has taken the other Heat shooters out of the series. The Heat are actually playing to what the Pacers do and have gone away from their regular rotation for the most part with guys like Allen and Battier getting less minutes. Now the Pacers don't have Birdman for game 6 which will hurt their rebounding even more. I expect Haslem to play a key role, but just like in game 4 the Pacers did not let Haslem hurt them after they killed them in game 3. The Pacers are also 27-12 after a loss and 18-2 at home. If the loss was between 10-19 points which it was they were 13-1 this year.

Heat -7.5 3.3* NBA POD/ Heat 1H -4 2.2* bonus
We saw how the Heat responded in game 3 after a loss and a chance at losing their grip on the series. Now back at home where they have not come close to playing their best game against the Pacers I expect them to come out with a lot of intensity and win and cover the spread. I really expect the Heat's defense to play extremely well while Lebron and his supporting cast should take the game over in the 4th to cover the spread and win by double digits sending it back to Indiana for Saturday.

Pacers +3.5 4.4* NBA POD Sportsinteraction
I am not backing off the Pacers now. The Heat made a clear strategy change in game 3 to get home court back. They put Lebron in the post and they ran the court every chance they got. Expect Indiana to have a response for this whether they double team Lebron in the post or come out in a zone they should be able to limit the Heat shooting over 60% again. After all this Pacers team was among the best in FG% defense. Expect this defense to rebound in a big way and for their offense to continue to produce as they did in game 3. This to me is just far too many points and I'll gladly take it. Remember the Pacers have a huge advantage on the boards and their front line is a match up advantage.

GRIZZLIES -143 5.5* NBA POD

Pacers +1.5 4.4* NBA POD I backed the Pacers in game 1 and 2 and will continue doing so in game 3. I think the Pacers have a real chance at upsetting the Heat as they seem to have the main ingredients to pull off the upset because their strengths are also the Heat's weaknesses. Now Paul George is continuing to solidify himself as a star in this league that even saw Lebron James take notice in game 2. The Pacers are 6-0 SU and ATS at home in the playoffs this year and they have are 2-0 against the Heat during the regular season here at home and I expect them to win yet again.

Grizzlies -5 3.3* NBA POD The big question is after 3 days off who has the advantage? Some will say the Spurs and others the Grizzlies who even though are the younger team came off a heart breaking loss in OT after they made a huge come back. Let's be honest the Spurs have dominated 7 Quarters in this series. What that means is the Grizzlies have a lot to look at and change and I believe they will have the advantage of the time off and extra preparation. Trends agree, going back to 1991 home teams in a game 3 after 3 days off are 40-23 SU and 36-27 ATS and if that team is down 2-0 they have gone 20-10 and 18-12 ATS. I really like how the Grizzlies played in the 2nd half and the refs seem to favor the home teams while the Grizzlies took care of business all year going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less. Tony Parker has a calf issue but will play, but there is no reason to really stretch him when they are up 2-0. Expect that once the Grizzlies have this game in hand in the 4th for the Spurs to really take the foot off the pedal and look toward game 3. I still think we have a great series ahead.

Pacers +7.5 -105 3.5* NBA POD
I think we still have value in Game 2 with the Pacers. As I mentioned in my analysis in game 1 the Pacers match up extremely well with the Heat. They have defenders in George and Stephenson who can match up pretty well with the Heat's top two scorers. Indiana's biggest strength is Miami's biggest weakness - rebounding, and front line play and when you have match up advantages like the Pacers do 7.5 points seems like an awful lot.

I also believe the Pacers will come out in this game with everything they got in order to get this series back to Indiana with the series tied. This has been a resilient group all year and could have easily won this game on Wednesday. The Pacers were never down by more than 5 throughout the entire game and they still did not play their best game defensively. I expect them to come back in game 2 with a better effort with another chance to come away with an outright win. The Pacers are 23-13 ATS in their last 36 following a loss and 18-7 ATS after a road loss. The Heat are 2-4 ATS in the playoffs at home this year.

Pacers +8 4.4* NBA POD; Pacers +4.5 1H 2.2* bonus The Heat have had an easy road playing the only team in this years playoffs with a losing record in the Bucks and then facing the banged up Chicago Bulls. In that same situation they had a long lay off and came out in Game 1 against the Bulls very rusty. I expect the same thing and the Pacers are very much under valued here. First of all they have all of the ingredients of a team that gives the Heat trouble. They have the biggest front line in the NBA in HIbbert, George and West and it's the reason they are #1 in rebound margin while the Heat are last. They also have very under rated defenders who can guard Lebron and Wade in Stephenson and George. I really like the value we are getting here with the Pacers and I think they could steal game 1 or game 2. The Heat have also been a 2nd half team in many games this year and I expect the Pacers to play well early. The 3 refs for tonight's game seem to also favor the road dogs as home favorites 5-9.5 points on the season are a combined 28-47 ATS. Pacers should be in this game because of their defense and their offense continues to improve as they are able to spread it out.

Knicks +5.5 4.4* NBA POD A lot has changed since game 5 in Indiana, but the spread has not. The Pacers are due to lose their first game at home and I think it happens tonight. The Knicks were in striking distance for much of the game in Indiana despite shooting 35% and getting out rebounded by 18. A lot of those rebounds were long rebounds that were just unlucky. As Reggie Miller said many times during the broadcast the offensive rebound is the Pacers best offense. The Knicks will have a game plan to avoid that situation and if they can do it they should win this game. What else is different? Well Pablo Prigioni and Chris Copeland saw significant more playing time. 25 minutes more than in game 4 combined. That's a different ball game for the Knicks as Copeland can stroke the 3 and Prigioni can distribute and make an occasional 3. JR Smiths hot the ball 10 less times and overall the Knicks played better defense without double teaming as much. I expect the same things here tonight and the Pacers are also likely without their PG George Hill (concussion) which is a huge loss. Stating all of that I don't see how the spread is the same as it was for Game 4 so I think we get value on the side of the Knicks.

Warriors +2 3.3* NBA POD
The Warriors had not lost 2 times in a row at home all season and it nearly happened in game 4, but they escaped in OT. That tells me how resilient this team is and they are 26-13 ATS on the season following a SU loss, 14-3 ATS in their last 17. I think there is value in this line considering the Warriors were 3 point favorites earlier in the series at home. Curry and Thompson had just 13 points combined and Andrew Bogut had series lows of just 2 poitns and 6 rebounds. Expect much better play while the Spurs have been wildly inconsistent shooting wise in this series, L4 they have shot 36%, 39% 51% and 52% I think the Warriors defense steps up tonight again. The Warriors have also dominated the boards in this series +9.4 margin despite losing the margin by 2 in their last game. Point being they couldn't play any worse in San Antonio.. Now they host the Spurs to force a game 7 in Oakland where the crowd will be wild. The Spurs also have not played well on 1 days rest all year and have gone 5-13 ATS in their last 18.

knicks +5.5 4.4* NBA POD

Bulls +8 3.3* NBA POD; Bulls +320 1* bonus I think the value is on the Bulls clearly they have been underestimated and if you had the Bulls in game 3 you know you were moosed when this was a 1 possession game for most of the 4th quarter. I expect the Bulls who are 8 point under dogs against to be in this game again throughout the 4th quarter. The Bulls who have been running with the short line up have 2 days rest now and have been at home meanwhile Miami has been on the road still. I have said all along Miami does not match up well against the Bulls because the Bulls have post players in Noah and Boozer who can dominate the boards and score. That's really where the Bulls strengths lie and now they continue to play physical. The Bulls have a lot of hungry leaders and I don't see them letting this game get out of hand. Nate Robinson has also been extremely impressive with his passing skills and timely shooting. Though he was just 1-7 from three in the last game I expect that to change enough to get the Bulls the win. Chicago is 13-4 ATS off a home loss this year and 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more games.

Warriors +2.5 4.4* NBA POD; Spurs/Warriors Over 197 2.2* bonus
I am going against the line movement today I think there has been significant line movement to find value in these lines right now. The total has been set 201-205 all series long and though I've played the under I have been nervous at times because both teams like to shoot early in the shot clock. Now that the total is at 197 and both teams are on shorter rest I think the defenses will suffer.

I like the Warriors because they hung in there last game despite the Spurs having there best shooting % game and the Warriors having their worst shooting % performance. At one point they were down 1 late in the 4th quarter and now I see nearly a 6 point swing in the spread because of 1 game? Steph Curry will play and will have the same type of impact so I'm not worried about that. The Warriors win with defense and they haven't lost 2 in a row at home all season long and I don't expect it to happen now. The Spurs will suffer form the energy they expended in the last game. They are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 on 1 days rest and just 2-8 ATS after scoring 100+ points in their last 10 while the Warriors are 13-3 ATS following a SU loss and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 after their opponent scored 100+ in previous game. Take the Warriors and the over here today.

Grizzlies/Thunder U187.5 4.4* NBA POD
I really like the under and expect it to drop. A few books have it around 187.5 if you can grab it at 187 you are in great shape. I think we are getting good value with the under in this game today. The more these two play the more familiar they are and the more the defenses step up. Both teams know they need the defense to step up in order to win. The Thunder do not have as many scoring options since losing Westbrook, and the Grizzlies are a half court team and they should dictate the pace in this game. I do not see Michael Conley going off like he did in Game 2 and the Thunder have had 3 days to prepare a defensive scheme. The 3 days off also helps both teams really be ready for this game defensively where they know they have to win the game.

Both teams are ranked 2nd and 3rd in effecient FG% defense. When facing the other top 5 teams this season on the road the Thunder are under the total 5 out of the 6 games while the Grizzles are under the total 4 out of the 6 games at home. Making it a 9-3 under situation. 1 of the overs came in an OT game for the Grizzlies, and when these teams met in Memphis during the regular season the game went under the total despite going to an OT. The Thunder are under the total 12-4 this season when playing on revenge and they are also 9-4 on the under in their last 13 with 3 or more days of rest.

[b]Spurs +3 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
Everyone is jumping on the Warriors now, but I think the Spurs will use their veteran leadership to take back home court advantage on Friday night. Their defense has not lived up to expectations so far in this series and considering they are well rested playing just 3 games in the last 10 days I expect them to come with a full effort tonight. The Spurs also bounce back from losses pretty well including an 11-1 ATS record over the last 2 seasons after an upset loss as a home favorite. You also have to think the Warriors will be in a hang over spot here after winning in San Antonio for the first time in 30+ trips or since the Chris Mullin days which is pretty substantial. I don't expect Klay Thompson to shoot like he did in game 2 and the Spurs in back to back games have come out in the 2nd half with a defensive tenacity. Expect it to happen from the start. I would also like the under in this game, but the fact is both teams have decided to push the pace and take shots early in the shot clock.

Spurs/Warriors U205 5.5* NBA POD
Game 1 went into double OT and I think that has increased the total to 205 where it was 201 in game 1. 63% of the public actually still like the over yet you see the total dropping in some places. I think this is a great spot especially since the Spurs showed they can defend this team limiting them to 14 points in the 4th quarter. I think the Spurs will continue to want to turn this into a half court game and I don't see the Warriors shooting 51% again. I expect the Spurs to be up in the 2nd half and slow it down even more while playing excellent defense. The Spurs are 8-1 to the under in home games after scoring 110 points in their previous game. They are also 12-2 to the under at home when facing a team ranked in top 10 in efficient FG% defense and 205 is the highest total on the season in this situation which included two home games against the Warriors at home with both going under the total.

4* NBA POD Thunder -135
I think it will be hard for the Grizzlies to duplicate there performance from game #1. First of all the Thunder have found an answer for missing Russell Westbrook and that's Kevin Martin. People forget how good this team was on defense this year and it has held up since losing Westbrook. I definitely think the Thunder will win this game as the Grizzlies played there best game and still came up empty. Look for the Thunder to keep scoring and for the Grizzlies to struggle offensively here tonight.

Grizzlies +3 4.4* NBA POD The Grizzlies are red hot after winning 4 straight over the Clippers and now they go up against a Thunder team that barely got by the Rockets. The Thunder were able to get by the Rockets without Rusell Westbrook because the Rockets are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. Now that the Thunder have to play one of the best defenses we will really see what they are made of. The Grizzlies beat the Thunder twice int he regular season and they seem poised to make a run to the NBA Finals. Memphis is 26-17-1 ATS on the road this year and 31-16-2 ATS on 1 days rest. I expect Mike Conley to play a major impact in this series without Westbrook guarding him.

3.3* NBA POD

Knicks -130 5* NBA POD The Knicks are in serious trouble, but only 3 times this year did they lose 3 or more games in a row. And in the NBA Playoff history only 3 teams in 103 attempts have forced a game 7 after trailing 3-0. We have seen the Knicks come into Boston and win in dominating fashion in 2 of their last 3 trips. Their only loss was in game 4 which they lost in OT. Don't be surprised if the Celtics feed off the crowd and go up early in this game again, but the Knicks will have the youth and the legs in the end to pull off the victory. Celtics only went with 7 players in their last game as they logged some serious minutes. Rivers knows he can't do that again and if he does he'll be in serious trouble on Sunday. I don't think it will come to that as the Knicks will wrap it up tonight with Anthony having a huge game.

Pacers/Hawks U187.5 3.3* play
This is a critical game for the Hawks and I anticipate them to dictate the pace once again today and force this game under the total like they finally did in the last one. These are two top 10 defensive teams and the longer this series goes the more we see them take over.

4.4* NBA POD BUCKS +9

Under 4.4* play

[b]Nuggets -1 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
I think the Nuggets won't play a third poor game in a row and the Warriors won't shoot 65% from the field again. The Warriors will finally feel their loss of David Lee tonight as Faried will play a more critical role for Denver as they will dominate the boards and steal home court advantage back. The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS this season on revenge following a double digit loss and I think they also have the better coach who knows how to motivate his players and win a road playoff game.

Under 179 Clippers/Grizzlies 4.4* NBA POD
I see a ton of value here on this line despite it going over in the first two games. Not only is it due to go under, but the line has not changed and with the game being in Memphis that makes a huge difference as the Grizzlies should be able to dictate the pace of the game which they want to turn into a half court battle where they hold an advantage. The last 4 meetings here have gone under between the two and as a series goes on the defenses tend to take over as both realize what they need to do to stop the other. Memphis is also 9-2 on the under at home when playing a team ranked in the top 10 in 2 point defense.

Pacers/Hawks U187 3.3* NBA POD
We had the under in game 1 and I'm backing it up again like I should have done with the Bulls + the points. Pacers played fine defensively, but the Hawks need to wake up. This is a playoff game and they need to show that they are alive and I think they will show it tonight against the Pacers. These are two top 10 defensive teams with a pretty high total.

Celtics +7 (3.3* NBA POD)
Game 1 was played close the entire with the Knicks pulling the trigger late to win by 7. I see more of the same as the Celtics can easily win this game considering the Knicks are a 1 man shooting shop. Yes, JR Smith can catch fire, but generally not against the better defensive teams. The Knicks were extremely lucky that Carmello had some wide open three point shots he was able to step into. I don't anticipate that happening again with Doc as the coach. I also think the Celtics will use their bench more in this game which should lead to a more balanced game.

Bulls +4.5 4.4* NBA POD
The Bulls took 3 of the 4 match ups this year and are used to playing without Noah. This is a gritty tough team that has played all year with injuries and I expect them to take this game against the Nets. The Bulls win with defense and were ranked 5th in 2 point defense. The Nets were just 2-4 and 1-5 ATS at home this year vs. teams ranked in the top 5 in 2 point defense. The Bulls won on the road here without Noah this year and they lost the other one by just 4 points after leading by 4 entering the 4th quarter. I expect a game that comes down to the last minutes once again as the Bulls have kept Joe Johnson in check as he averages just 13ppg vs. the Bulls this year. The Bulls also were 12-4 SU and ATS vs. teams ranked in the bottom 10 in 2 point defense as the Nets are.

Bulls -8.5 3.3* NBA POD
The Bulls seem to have the most motivation and are playing the worst team today. The Wizards whose defense was their strength all season has faded as they have allowed 100+ poitns in 4 of their last 5 games. I expect them to give that up here again today to the Bulls who looked really healthy the other night. The Bulls defense will also strangle the Wizards who have no motivation to be in Chicago. The Bulls on the other hand win and they get the 5 seed, lose and a Hawks win they get the 6th seed. The difference will be playing the Pacers who they have lost 3 of 4 or playing the Nets who they have won 3 of 4. I think they match up much better against the Nets and would prefer playing them.

Nets/Pacers U187 4.4* NBA POD
I think there is a ton of value considering the total has gone under this number in the last 4 meetings between these two. This will also be a playoff type atmospher as the Pacers who are known for their defense any way are just two games behind the Knicks for the #2 seed while the Nets are trying to also stay in the #4 spot to keep home court advantage. The Nets on the road playing a good team has usually resulted in the game going under the total in fact 20 times in the last 28 meetings vs. teams with a home record of .600 or better.

Louisville -4 4.4* NCAAB POD
I've faded Michigan this entire tournament and I've gotten beat but I'm sticking with it I don't think Beilein is a good coach despite being here. Russ Smith and Peyton Siva are not going to play as bad as they did last game and they have shown they can beat teams that don't turn the ball over. Duke and Colorado State were top 30 in turnovers per possession % and Louisville took care of them 26 and 22. Louisville has a very good defense in the half court when they are not getting turnovers and I think that combination with their own offense will be the difference. Louisville has guys who can score in the post and take it to the basket where Syracuse was just more limited on their offensive style as they really only had CJ Fair to rely on and nearly pulled out the victory. We saw just how much better Louisville is than Syracuse when they dominated the second half of the Big East Championship and I think we see more of the same tonight against Michigan.

Syracuse +2 4.4* NCAAB POD
I like the Orange to continue their role in the Final Four and move onto the National Championship. Michigan will struggle in the half court because Jim Boeheim will eliminate the wide open looks that Nick Stauskas took against Florida. Syracuses sufficating defense won't let Michigan get out in transition either which will turn this game into a half court game. Syracuses defense is the best Michigan faced all year because they shut down the three rankin 3rd in the nation and allowing 18.2% over their last 5 games combined from 3 and 31.5% overall.

There is a reason John Beilein is 0-9 vs. Boeheim and I think that will continue. Michigan is also not a deep team so expect Syracuse to try to get some of these players in foul trouble. Syracuse has plenty of offensive talent that is showing up in this tournament led by point guard Michael Carter Williams who could be a lottery pick in the draft. CJ Fair and James Southerland can knock down the three while Christmas and Keita will get offensive rebounds for second chance points. Syracuse was ranked 12th in offensive rebounding % and I think that will be the difference.

[b]BYU +3 3.3* NCAAB POD[/b]
It's not every day that a team loses against a non-conference foe and gets revenge. Baylor won at home earlier in the year 79-64 on 9-18 shooting from 3 point land. Baylor can hit the three with Grady Heslip, but they are extremely streaky. With 3+ days off going into this game I think that will come back to hurt them along with BYU playing lights out on their way to the Garden. I feel these are two evenly matched players and Davies and Haws were a mismatch for Baylor in the first game and they will be again as they will the Cougars to victory.

Florida -2.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
Florida is one of the few teams that is top 30 in 2 point, 3 point % offense and defense and that is what Michigan will have to contend with today after their dramatic OT win over Kansas. I see Michigan with a bit of a hang over here today as a veteran led Florida team should dominate this game from start to finish. The one theme that's true of this Michigan team is that they struggled when they faced a balanced offense or defense and Florida has both. Really the only team they beat this year that was an overall balanced team was Kansas and they had to come from 14 down to do it. Florida has much better guards than Kansas and I don't see that type of dramatic come back being a possibility in this game. Michigan went 1-4 vs. teams that were top 33 in both 2 point and 3 point defense losing twice to Indiana and Wisconsin and of course beating Kansas.

To put this in perspective Florida played Wisconsin earlier in the year and won by 18 points. They shot 61.9% from the field and that was against Wisconsin who is 26th vs. 2 pointers and 8th vs. the 3 ball. Florida was also +18 rebounds in that game and should have a sizeable advantage on second chance points today where they are ranked 65th overall in offensive rebound % with 33.8% while Michigan is ranked 168th in that category. Florida over its last 3 games though have been pulling down 37.8% rebounds. Overall Florida is the better team and I've been saying it all along that the Big Ten is a bit over rated and we saw it once again yesterday with Ohio State going down and today it will be Michigan's turn.

Twolves +3.5 3.3* NBA POD
Memphis defense has really struggled of late and they come into this game on 0 days rest and are letting Marc Gasol play with his rib injury. I don't think it's the greatest idea and this team will likely be a bit hung over after beating Houston in a big game last night and with their next game being against the Spurs on Monday night they will surely be looking ahead to a potential playoff match up. Meanwhile Minnesota just keeps playing well they come into this game also on 0 days rest and that is where they seem to get in a groove shooting as they score their most points. Coming off a 100 point effort against the leagues 2nd best defense was impressive and I think it carries over to tonight as they improve on their 7-4 ATS record at home vs. teams in the top 10 in 2 point defense %. Minnesota has gotten some big wins at home recently and on the season vs. this type of team including beating Indiana and Oklahoma City twice, and the Spurs.

Wichita State +5 4.4* NCAAB POD
I won't go as deep into this match up, but I really like Wichita St to come out on top. Neither team is great in one category as they only are top 25 for 1 category a piece. So nothing really sticks out when looking at team strengths vs team weaknesses. I will say this about Wichitah State, this program is built on rebounding, toughness and defense and that's the type of team I like to back when we are talking about being a significant under dog in a big game. Wichitah State is 6th in rebounding % and 9th in offensive rebounding % in the country. Ohio State has fared well against these type of teams going 5-3 vs. top 25 offensive rebounding teams, but 3 of their 5 wins were by 3 points per game. So 6 of the 8 games they played top rebounding teams they would not cover the chalk they are laying today.

I also think the Big Ten is a bit over rated as we have seen some of the top programs go down yesterday (Michigan St, and Indiana the day before.) Michigan should have followed that trend if Kansas did not choke away a 14 point lead late, but what I looked at in this match up today again was 2 point offense and defense along with who these teams have had to face in the tournament. I looked at opponents and their balanced offenses and defenses and I think we are getting value here with Wichita.

First of all Wichita 41st in 2 point defense, and 66th in 2 point offense while Ohio State is 46th and 80th. What I noticed was Wichita definitely played better against better competition. First of all they kept their season average of 50% from 2 point range against 2 point defense ranked 10th, 277th, 54th and those defenses also could defend the 3 ranking 116th, 25th and 33rd. Ohio State has shot more than 3% worse (46%) against defenses ranked 37th, 220, and 230th and their defenses were also bad from 3 ranking 265, 45th and 315th nationally. They have not faced a team ranked top 100 in both categories and today will be the first time as Wichita is ranked 41st in 2 point defense and 100th in 3 point defense. Same facts are true about each others defense. Wichita's defense has allowed 39.6% from 2 and faced the 6th, 92nd, and 37th 2 point % offense all of which had pretty good balanced ranking 60th, 29th and 118th in 3point% offense. Ohio State faced 3 balanced offenses and allowed 45.9% from 2 during the tournament far worse than their season averages.

My point basically is Ohio State won't be able to get away with playing like this today and if they do it will be a close win and we will cover the spread which is what I am betting on.

Duke -2 4.4* NCAAB POD
Duke gives me the most value here today in my opinion as these two great coaches face off against each other. For what it

Hornets +6 3.3* NBA POD
Miami's long win streak finally came to an end and now they get a mental break as they go to play the Hornets, a game that means literally nothing. The Heat have wrapped up the 1st seed and home court throughout so this game literally means nothing to them. I expect them to have a major hang over after playing a very physical game against the Bulls. Don't be surprised if the Hornets win this game outright. Anthony Davis and Eric Gordan did not play in the first match up in Miami and they have been playing great at home of late beating Denver to end their long win streak then beating Memphis and 1 day ago they were in a battle with the Clippers before LA ran away with the game. The Heat have the Spurs and Knicks coming up and I'm sure they'd like to concentrate their efforts on those games rather than this one. The Hornets are also 22-5 ATS in their last 27 following a SU loss of 10+. They have the advantage down low as they are 11th in rebounds +8.4/game over their last 5 where Miami is 24th and -6/game over their last 5.

Syracuse +5.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
Indiana had quite the scare in their last game against Temple and they really did not look that great against James Madison. This team maybe is not as good as advertised? Syracuse meanwhile has looked good throughout their Big East Tournament run into the NCAA Tournament. They are among the few teams ranked in the top 30 in both 2 point and 3 point defenses. Indiana is one of the top offenses in the nation, but when they have gone up against good defenses that's when they are involved in some tight games. They only faced one team ranked in the top 30 in 2 and 3 point defenses and that was Wisconsin who beat Indiana twice.

The other top 30 2 point defenses they faced were Minnesota who they went 1-1 against and beat by just 7 at home. Ohio State was ranked 42nd and they also went 1-1 against them. As far as 3 point defense Syracuse is ranked 6th while Indiana lost to the 8th best 3 point defense in Wisconsin. They went 2-0 vs. Michigan State ranked 17th, but the wins were just 4 and 5 points and Michigan State doesn't have the 2 point defense that Syracuse has. They also went 2-0 vs. Iowa who are ranked 9th vs. the three, but the win on the road came by just 4 points. Looking at the numbers Syracuse adds different dynamics than any of these opponents and they are playing their best basketball. Wisconsin does not have skill players and as much of an offensive ability like Syracuse and they beat Indiana twice. Syracuse also features a defense that has the ability to turn you over ranked 25th in turnover per possession percentage. The best Big Ten team in terms of forcing turnovers was Ohio State and Indiana had plenty of problems beating them. At the end of the day Syracuse is poised here and I think this is a bad match up for Indiana as I expect Syracuse to win this game outright.

Grizzlies +1 4.4* NBA POD
I think this is a good spot for the Grizzlies after losing to defensive minded Wizards on the road. Now they go and play a bottom tier defense in the Knicks who rank 23rd in 2 point defense where the Grizzlies will take 84% of their shots. Both big mans are out in this game in Tyson Chandler and Marc Gasol for me that's a wash. Not only are the Grizzlies 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS on the road facing a team ranked 20-30th in the league in 2 point defense, but they play the Knicks who are on 0 days rest after coming off a huge win vs. the Celtics.

The Knicks should be a bit hung over in this game as the Grizzlies try to rebound from a disappointing loss against the lowly Wizards. Memphis is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 following a SU loss and going back further are 51-25-3 ATS in their last 79 vs. teams with a win% over .600.

Mercer +7.5 3.3* NCAAB POD
BYU is just 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 following an ATS win. They are the only team from their conference still a live, but they have not gotten any big wins all year long. They beat Washington in the first round, but that was not a complete surprise as Washington was up and down all year. Now they host Mercer out of the same conference as Florida Gulf Coast.

Mercer won AT Tennessee in round 1 of the tournament, but that was not the first time they won on the road against an SEC team. They also beat Alabama on the road and they beat the ACC Florida STate on the road holding them to 35.4% shooting from the field while BYU lost on neutral court by 18 points to Florida State. That right there tells me we have value in this line. Despite being under sized Mercer plays great defense ranking 38th in 2 point defense where BYU will take 73% of their shots tonight. BYU is 178th in that category. Mercer will also slow the game down if they can making us have even more value at 7.5 points as they are in the top 20 in opponent points scored. I look for Mercer's back court duo of Travis Smith and Langston Hall to lead them to a nice victory.

Wizards +4 4.4* (NBA POD)
Ton of value here in this line. Memphis is going to be playing without Marc Gasol which is a huge key for them since they take roughly 85% of their shots from 2 point range and they'll be going against one of the better 2 point defensive teams in the Wizards who rank 7th.

Memphis also just beat Boston and has the Knicks and Rockets up next so they'll likely also be looking ahead to those games. The Wizards are a solid home team and I think they will win outright tonight as they have the ingredients to pull off the upset. They have the 2 point defense and the ability to hit 3's which is where Memphis is vulnerable allowing 37% from there on the road which is good for 16th.

However, without Gasol in the lineup I think the Wizards can shoot a bit better in the paint as well. Washington is 39.1% from three at home which is good for 4th in the NBA. The Wizards also score their most points on 1 days rest while the Grizzlies score their least. Wizards are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 after allowing 100+ points, 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games and 23-7-1 ATS in their last 31 vs. the West.

La Salle +2.5 1st Half 2.2* play
This is a game where La Salles guards should have a bit of an advantage and should be able to continue their hot shooting. However they give up a lot on the blocks and that's something that will wear on them in the second half. Mississippi has been a slow starting team all year and with Marshal Henderson jacking up threes that should continue. Look for La Salle to come out hot once again in this game and fade late, but I won't be shocked to see them move on to the Sweet 16.

Minnesota +8 4.4* NCAAB POD
Love Minnesota here as they have a lot of talent for an 11 seed and the Big Ten is backing it up on the court in the tournament. This is a team that relies a lot on 2 point offense and I'll back a team getting this many points going up against a team like Flroida that really jacks up too many threes. If Florida is not hitting those threes they can and will lose this game because Minnesota is 18th in 2 point defense. They also have been defending the perimeter allowing just 27.5% over their last 5. They have the guards to stay with Florida's great guard play with Andre and Austin Hollins who put up 44 points on UCLA on Friday.

Look for Minnesota to avoid turning the ball over and turn this into a half court game. They want to slow you up and play physical and I believe they will be able to dictate pace here today making this game a lot closer in the end. Minnesota is a great rebounding team, better than Florida in rebounding % so it will be hard for Florida to get rebounds and push it. Florida is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. teams with a win % > .600. They lost to a lot of bad teams on the road and did not even win their conference championship. I think they may go down here or in the next round.

California +7.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
What beats Syracuses great zone defense? Good guard play and the ability to penetrate and score and pass to open shooters. Allen Crabbe and Justin Cobbs have shown that ability over and over this year. We have already learned that the Big East is a bit over rated which seems like a trend the last few years as Nova, Georgetown, Pitt, Notre Dame and Cinci are already out of the tournament. Syracuse will struggle in this game and the line is inflated due to their recent play including their blowout walk over Montana. They will be contending with a top 10 2 point defense in California.

Syracuse has not had good results against top 25 2 point defenses this year going just 3-5. 2 of the 3 wins were by a combined 5 points and one came in over time. California is holding it's last 5 opponents to 35.3% from the field and they just defeated a very good UNLV team that was ranked Top 25 in 2 point defense themselves, but Crabbe and Cobbs found a way to get easy baskets for their team and I see it happening here again. It will also benefit them playing the late game just 50 miles away from their campus. Syracuse will be playing in what feels like a road game here tonight.

Pistons +16 3.3* NBA POD
Call me crazy but I see a ton of value on the Pistons here as the heat come off an exhausting 4 game road trip. They are 0-5 ATS off 4game or more road trips this season and three of those games went to OT and the opponents are not very impressive with Charlotte, Cleveland, Toronto, Dallas, and Milwaukee. Detroit also just lost to Brooklyn at home in a blow out so the line is a bit inflated for obvious reasons. The Heat had to try really hard to win their last 2 games and they'll want to enjoy a couple of easy victories. Meanwhile the Pistons did beat this team at home earlier in the year and are on 3 days rest. I'm sure they were scheming in those 3 days just how they could beat the Heat. I don't think it will happen, but who thought the Cavs would be up 27 poitns on the Heat on Wednesday. The Heat have struggled of late blowing teams out like this as they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. teams with a win % less than .400

Colorado +1.5 5.5* NCAAB POD
I like the Buffaloes here as I feel Illinois relies far too much on their three point shooting. They shoot the ball from beyond the arch 41.2% of the time and that just does not translate well on neutral court with shooting depth especially when you are only a 32.3% shooting team to begin with. Colorado is top 30 in 3 point defense on the road allowing just 30.4% and they are top 100 overall allowing 32.3% on the season. The Buffaloes also defend the paint well ranking 76th in 2 point defense while Illinois is 171st, and has allowed 56.6% over their last 3 games.

Illinois main scoring threat is Brandon Paul and I expect the Pac 12 defensive player of the year to be guarding him in Andre Roberson who has 3 inches on Paul and is also the nations second leading rebounder. That will be the difference in the game. Colorado will take the majority of their shots inside 71.3% of the time to be exact and that's where Illinois is vulnerable. Colorado also has a significant rebounding advantage in this game 52.2% rebounding percentage to Illinois 48.9%. The Buffs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten teams, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games while Illinois is 8-18 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games.

Portland +6 3.3* NBA POD I see a lot of value here for the Blazers as they have been competitive on the road over their last 5. They lost by 7, 1, 2, and 6 to Memphis and beat the Spurs by 30. Portland is also 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning SU record while the Bulls are 10-23 in their last 33 home games. I also think the Bulls who have had 2 days off are going to struggle a bit after their tough loss to Denver in OT. They also have Indiana up next which is more of an important game at this point in the season. Chicago is 4-12 ATS this season on 2 days rest for whatever reason and allows a significantly more amount of points 100.4. That's bad news against Portland and Chicago has been struggling lately any how allowing 52.5% from 2 point range over their last 3 games. Portland can also knock down the three so they'll have more than one way to score in this game.

California +3.5 5.5* NCAAB POD
Cal and UNLV went toe to toe with each other earlier in the year in California's own building. UNLV won at the buzzer and they also beat Cal the year before. Cal was a -1.5 favorite then and now they are +3.5 on a neutral court so how much has changed? I don't think a ton has changed and I see a ton of value in Cal in this spot which is why I think they'll get their revenge. Cal has two of the more talented guards in their back court in Allen Crabbe and Justin Cobbs who can generate offense and create shots for others as well as themselves. UNLV had a hard time stopping them the first time as CAl shot 54.5% from 2 point range and 4-9 from beyond the arch. Expect more of this as Cal shut down UNLV holding them to 42.6% from the field.

Cal is 9th in the nation in 2 point defense 36.6% over their last 3 so don't be surprised if they win this game and get on a roll with these guards. A big part of why this team lost earlier in the year at home is they lost the rebounding battle by 10 as UNLV pulled down 13 offensive rebounds, yet they are 100th in the county in offensive rebounds. I don't expect Cal who is a decent rebounding team in their own right to be at that much of a disadvantage. They also shot 15-28 from the FT line and they are a better FT% team than UNLV 72.5% on the year and 80.2% on neutral court.

UNLV 7-15 ATS in their last 22 overall as the oddsmakers continue to over rate them. They are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a win % of greater than .600 and the dog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two west coast teams. Add in that Cal is finally getting a region on the west coast and will play less than 2 hours away from Berkely.

StonyBrook +4.5 4.4* NCAAB POD (1-5 SCALE)
I think we are catching some good value with one of the betst teams out of the American East Conference. Umass may be a little foggy after losing in the A10 semifinals to VCU and we already know how Vegas and the general public love the A10 so I do believe we are getting an inflated line. Just how good is StonyBrook? Well they are the first American East team in conference history to have all three player of the year awards. They have the freshmen of the year, player of the year and defensive POY.

In addition looking at the stats I see that Stonybrook's size could be a real issue for a Umass team that relies on their game inside the 3 point line and Stony Brook is 10th in the nation allowing just 42% from 2 point range on the season and they were better on the road at 41.9%. Umass is 136th and even worse in 2 point defense at home allowing 47.2%. Stonybrook is also +1.6 TO so they won't allow Umass to get out in transition on turnovers or rebounds. Granted they play in a weaker conference, but the size they have in their front line should give Umass head aches scoring and rebounding. In additiona Umass is also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. I look for Stonybrook to win the game outright and move on to the next round of the NIT tournament.

Washington +6.5 3.3* NCAAB POD
This will be my one and only college play today until the regular neutral tournament starts, but I find tremendous value in this Washington team that has been here before. Washington got to the semi-finals in last years NIT tournament after being left out of the NCAA. I'd think they have a huge chip on their shoulder and they always seem to play up in these type of games as they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 vs. teams with a win % above .600. BYU meanwhile has not played since March 8th which could really be an issue for them early. Both teams will shoot 2 pointers more often than 3's roughly at a 73% rate so 2 point defense will play a crucial factor. BYU is 184th in 2 point defense and has allowed 50% over their last 3. Washington is not much better at 143rd, but the athleticism and depth along the front line should give BYU issues. Offensively I like Washington's ability to runt he pick and roll, something that has given BYU issues when they've seen it this year. CJ Wilcox leads Washington and this is some sort of a home coming for him so I expect him to step up big in this game.

Celtics +5.5 5.5* NBA POD
I fully expect Garnett to dress for this game and I think the Celtics match up quite well with the Heat in terms of what the Heat's biggest weakness is which is scoring and keeping opponents from scoring in the paint. The Celtics would just love to end this run and they come into this game on some decent rest while the Heat are coming in on 0 days rest flying in from Toronto. That's a huge deal for a team that relies on their starting 5 to score 75% of their points. The Heat are actually just 5-6 ATS on 0 days rest and score their least amount of points which falls into the hands of the Celtics defense which is ranked 4th in 2 point % defense and is even better at home. That could be a major issue and it's no coincidence that the Heat are just 3-6 overall in road games against teams ranked in the top 10 currently in 2 point % defense. The Heat are also 2-11 ATS in their last 13 at Boston and this line is inflated quite a bit because the books are tired of losing $ to Heat backer.s I love the Celtics to play this game like a playoff game tonight.

Raptors +8 NBA POD

[b]Mississippi +10.5 3.3* NCAAB POD[/b]
10.5 is a lot of points for a championship game and I see some value in the Rebels. Ole Miss can knock down the threes just like Florida who relies on the 3 ball way too much, but is shooting it less of late. I think Miss will get a little revenge from their road loss at Florida where they shot just 38% and lost by 14. The Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning % greater than .600 and the under dog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Syracuse +5 4.4* NCAAB POD
I like Syracuse in this spot after Louisville won the Big East Tournament a year ago when Syracuse should have. Syracuse is just on a roll right now with their offense especially from outside. As long as they can limit the turnovers against Louisville's pesky pressure defense and turn this game into a half court battle they should be able to win. Louisville's star Siva typically struggles vs. Syracuses zone defense and if he's not able to get out in transition it could be a long day for Louisville.

Twolves +14 +100 4* NBA POD (1-5 SCALE)
This is an interesting game because Minnesota is off a 16 point loss and Houston is off a 30 point win thus this line is a bit inflated in my opinion. Houston is 4-12 ATS in theri last 16 vs a team with a losing SU record. Reason? I think they tend to rest some of their stars more since 80% of their points come from their starting 5. Given that they have a huge game up next with the Warriors on Sunday they should be heavily motivated to do the same thing.

Meanwhile Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 following a SU loss of 10+ points. Despite their 16 point loss they actually scored 91 points vs. the best defense in the league. A game before they beat the Spurs who are another top defense and if you recall they were in a battle with Miami in the 4th quarter before Miami turned it on late to win comfortably. Minnesota will have an opportunity to stick around in this game because Houston's 2 point defense is suspect and that's where Minnesota will take a huge percentage of their shots 78% of them. Minnesota has lost just 1 game by more than 14 on the road vs. a team ranked in the bottom 10 in 2 point defense and is 6-4 ATS. Houston ranks 22nd and add in that Houston takes too many 3 pointers they could easily struggle in a game. I look for the Twolves to stick around and continue to play spoiler.

Alabama +2 4.4* NCAAB POD
Alabama is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings with Tennessee and they split hte season series overall on a 1 point game and a 3 point game. I think there is value here with Alabama they really should have been 2-0 against TN but they were robbed by a no foul call in the last game. Despite getting out rebounded in both of these meetings by a total of 32 they still held Tennessee in check. If Alabama can just come close to winning the rebounding battle they could win this game easily. Alabama does make up for the differential in rebounds by their ability to force turnovers and that's where Tennessee struggles. Overall these two teams are very similar on both sides, but I"m banking on Tennessee to struggle here. Alabama has gotten better and more production from younger players and Tennessee has really struggled offensively away from home.

Texas State +16 4.4* NCAAB POD
I think there is a lot of value in Texas State right now they are coming into this game with a lot of momentum after beating Seattle as a +3 yesterday. Texas State lost at Denver by 11 and 15 at home so this spread is right inside those numbers. Denver in both games shot better than their season averages while Texas State shot below their season averages. I expect those numbers to revert back to the mean here today. Ironically when both of these teams are on the road Texas State played the better defense FG% wise and in my opinion Denver is to reliant on the three ball where they are shooting nearly 50% of their shots. That's part of the reason they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral court games. I expect this to be a close game with a playoff like atmosphere and for Texas State to carry their momentum into the game

Ball State +3 -105 3.5* NCAAB POD (Based on 1-5* scale)
I think Ball State + the points provides enough value in this situation as they finished the season on a nice winning streak winning 5 in a row and 3 of those wins came on the road as under dogs of +4.5, +9.5 and +6. They also have revenge after leading at half time at home against Buffalo. I think this team will have the advantage playing on the neutral court closer to home compared to Buffalo who has a longer travel to Cleveland.

Both teams playing on the road or neutral court and the splits for away/away are in the advantage of Ball State. Ball State is slightly better at rebounding and turnover margin as well as getting to the FT line more often. both teams rely on the 3 35%+ of the time and Ball State shoots 34.9% compared to Buffalo at 30.9%. Ball State's defense is better too from the perimeter.

2point defense is where Buffalo had the advantage during the regular season, but they have allowed 52% over thier last 3 while Ball State has allowed 47.7%. Buffalo is also 3-7 ATS following an ATS loss. I like how Ball State is playing of late and I think it's a trend that will continue into the MAC Tournament here tonight.

Wizards ML -110 4.4* NBA POD
This is an interesting match up of two polar opposite teams. The Wizards win with defense specifically from 2 point range where they are ranked 3rd in the league on the road and 6th overall, meaning they play better defense on the road and they are playing even better in their last 3 games. Meanwhile the Cavs are last in the league in 2 point defense. That's important because both teams shoot a bevy of 2 pointers per game at over 75% of their shots. Cleveland does not have their best perimeter shooter that led them to two victories over the Wizards this year to help them spread the court so I think the Wizards will finally get their revenge.

Cleveland at home vs. top 10 2 point defenses has not been pretty as they have gone 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS. The Wizards on the road vs. teams ranked in the bottom 10 in 2 point defense are 6-3 ATS winning many times SU as a dog.

Charleston +7 3.3* NCAAB POD (Based on 1-5* scale).
Davidson won by 9 and 16 and they were -9.5 and -3 favorites this year against Charleston. Really I feel that these two match up well and based on where the spreads were during the season Davidson is getting a couple extra points for this game seeing as it's on neutral court. I think there is great value in Charleston. Davidson is coming into this game quite confident, but Charleston is very well capable of shutting down an opposing offense. That's something they did not do in the two match ups against Davidson during the year but facing them for a third time they should be able to make adjustments.

After all Charleston has proven they are one of the better defenses in the country rankings 58th in 2 point defense and holding opponents under 29.8% from beyond the arch. Davidson shoots 40% of their shots from the perimeter so that could be a key here tonight. Charleston actually plays better defense on the road than Davidson does as well as offensively from a FG% aspect. When you add in that they are also getting more FTA and have a better rebound margin I think their -13 FTA and -10 rebound in the 2 match ups combined are bound to come back to each teams averages. Charleston is also playing better of late holding opponents to 35.5% form the field over their last 5 and are +12.2 rebounds as well.

Penn State +8.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
Wisconsin just came off a tough road loss to Michigan State and they will be coming into this game a little beaten up and hung over and wanting to look ahead to the start of the Big Ten Tournament on Thursday. Penn State only has 2 conference wins all season, but have 2 of them in their last 3 games including a home win against Michigan. They nearly beat Iowa as a +8 a few days before.

Wisconsin is not a high power scoring team but win with defense so this to me is a lot of points for them on the road against anyone. Penn State who was -25 FTA and -11 turnovers in the first match up only lost by 9. I expect Penn State to improve on those numbers as they are only -1.2 FTA and +.7 TO at home. Penn State also plays good defense on the perimeter where Wisconsin will take 41% of their shots allowing just 32.4% from beyond the arch. They held Wisconsin to 3-17 from three in the first game and Wisconsin has struggled going 10-50 in their last 2 games from beyond the arch. I expect those struggles to continue here today.

Texas Tech +6 4.4* NCAAB POD
Texas is 1-9 on the road this year and they are 6 point road favorites? They beat Tech 73-57 at home and have plenty of confidence going into this match up and that's the time I like to fade a team. Tech was +6 rebounds, but -9 TO's and -6 FTA in the first match up while shooting just 37% and allowing 46.3%. I'm not shocked that they shot only 37% as they take 70% of their shots from inside the arch where Texas is a dominant force at home ranked 20th overall but allowing just 38.6%, but on the road they allow 46.8%. I think Tech will have an advantage there that will allow them to have a chance to win this game as Texas is also -2 turnovers, -.9 rebound and -10.3 FTA on the road where they only shoot 39.2% themselves. Texas just beat Baylor as a home dog and is likely looking towards the Big 12 tournament. I suspect Tech to get up for this in state rivalry game.

Warriors -1.5 5.5* NBA POD (1-5* SCALE)
The Rockets may be #1 in points per game but they'll have their hands full Friday night in an important game against the Warriors who would liket o hold their spot in the playoffs as they are a game up on the Rockets. The Warriors can score themselves so I see a lot of value in the -1.5 spread.

Houston just relies too much on the three point basket shooting it 35.2% of the time and they'll go up against the Warriors who defend better than many think. Golden State is 14th vs. the 2 point basket, but more importantly are ranked 7th against the 3 and ranked 4th at home allowing under 32% from 3. On the flip side the Warriors will shoot mostly two pointers 76% of the time in fact and the Rockets are suspect especially on the road.

The Rockets rank 22nd in 2 point defense and allow 50.3% on the road and are allowing 57.2% in their last three. The Warriors meanwhile have played 11 games against the bottom 12 teams in the leage in 2 point defense. In those games they have gone 9-2 and their victories have come by an average of 8.7 points. Warriors also have revenge in this game after losing at home to the Rockets earlier in the season.

Butler +2 3.3* NCAAB POD (Based on a 1-5* scale)
I like Butler in this spot despite their 6-4 record on the road as I believe this team is starting to get up for the last few games of their conference season in order to go into the post season with a head of steam. Umass on the other hand is content after beating Xavier as a road dog and could be getting just a little too much credit here.

In conference play one this is for sure Butler has the better defense. They are also +1.2 FTA to Umass -1.3, +6.4 rebounds to Umass +1.7, and turnovers they lose the battle at -3.8 to Umass -0.5. Butler actually plays better defense ont he road holding opponents to 39.5% shooting. Butler will rely on the 2 point game 70% of the time on the road and Umass has shown a difficult time of late defending the 2 ranking 138th in the nation at 46.6%, and 52.4% over their last 3. They are no better at home just 46%.

Butler on the other hand is ranked 82nd in 2 point defense allowing 45.1% and they allow the same % on the road. Ironically Umass is 10-3 at home and their 3 losses came to the hands of the three teams that play excellent defense on the inside. They lost to Temple who is ranked 145th overall, but plays about the same on the road as Butler holding opponents to 45% inside. They lost to George Washington who was ranked 52nd in 2 point defense and plays worse on the road than Butler and then they lost to Miami ranked 44th in the country and also holding opponents to 45.3%. There seems to be a common ingredient in Umass home losses and Butler has it.

Mavericks -1.5 3.3* NBA POD
Houston just beat Dallas by 33 points so they are not likely to take them seriously after out playing them and shooting 57.5% from the field going 41.2% from three, out rebounding by 13 and getting to the FT line +16 times. However, Dallas is not about to rollover as they are 5.5 games out of the playoffs. Meanwhile Houston has the Warriors up next and could be looking ahead considering the Warriors are 1 game up on them.

The thing I like in this game is Dallas relies much more on the 2 point game shooting 76% of their shots from there while Houston shoots 35% of their shots from three which normally does not transition well on the road. Houston actually struggles big time in defending the paint rankings 22nd ont he year. It just so happens the Mavericks are 10-2 SU and ATS at home against teams ranked 20th or worse in 2 point % defense.

Purdue +6.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
Purdue is in an interesting spot in tonight's game with another chance to play spoiler against a top Big 10 opponent. They just knocked off Wisconsin on the road and have held their last 3 opponents to 33% shooting from the field. I see no hang over after beating Wisconsin because this team is not going to the NCAA Tournament. At this point they are taking one game at a time and looking to improve for next year, but if they win tonight all of a sudden this team could have a shot if they go deep in the Big Ten Tournament.

Michigan on the other hand came off a huge win against their rival Michigan State by one point in a physical game something they are not accustomed to winning. They beat Purdue at home by 15 points the first time and likely won't take them seriously as they look ahead to facing Indiana with revenge at home on Saturday. This is your classic look ahead and Purdue does a lot of things well enough to win this game. In the first match up Purdue only shot 38.9% and were -3 FTA, -7 rebounds and -2 TO, while Michigan shot 49.1% and 43% from three. I don't see that happening Purdue actually has played better overall defense in conference play and at home they are holding opponents to 40.7% from 2 point range 31.6% from 3 point range. They are also +3.9 FTA, +7.5 rebound and +0.5 TO whiel Mich is -2.7 FTA, -1.1 rebounds. I like Purdue to have some success shooting the ball tonight too. They'll take 78.2% of their shots form inside the arch and that's where Michigan's weakness is defensively. The Wolverines are ranked 167th overall allowing 47.2% and 48% on the road. I see Purdue getting their revenge tonight.

Loyola +2.5 3.3* NCAAB POD
Youngstown won 2 x this year by a combined total of 3 points against Loyola. Conference wise Loyola had the better season offensively and defensively by a pretty wide margin from a FG% perspective. They are also +2 rebound margin to Youngstown -5.2. Despite all of that they lost both times against Youngstown and easily could have won both games. In the first game they blew a 5 point lead and in the 2nd game they nearly came back from a 15 point half time deficit outscoring Youngstown 39-26 in the second half on their own court. I think Loyola will get the last laugh in the conference tournament in a close game.

Texas +1.5 3.3* NCAAB POD
Baylor already beat Texas and just suffered a devastating loss on Saturday to Kansas State on their home court. They also have Kansas up next after this game so it's a hang over / look ahead game in my opinion, but Texas has been tough at home. Baylor had a hard enough time against them in the first match up winning in OT despite getting to the FT line 31 more times than the Longhorns. That won't happen on the road where they are -3.8 FTA and Texas is +3.5 FTA. Texas is also + in rebound margin even in TO margin while Baylor is negative in both categories.

I think my favorite stat is that Texas is ranked 4th overall in the nation in 2 point defense at home holding opponents to 38.4%. They are ranked 24th overall on the season and Baylor will have a hard time scoring from there and the perimeter where Texas is holding opponents to 26.8% from the field.

Hawks +5.5 -105 4* NBA POD
I like the Hawks in this game here. Not only do the Lakers have the Thunder up next in what should be a potential let down spot or look ahead, but they are 1-12 on the season vs. teams ranked in the top 7 in two point % defense. The Hawks are ranked 6th in two point % defense and play better two point defense on the road. Considering over 70% of the shots taken by both these teams will be from two point land this is an important statistic. The Hawks also have a better perimeter offense statistically overall and on the road vs. what the Lakers do at home. I think the Lakers should win the game, but 5.5 points is a lot of points and I think we are getting it because they just came off a big win vs. the Twolves while the Hawks just lost on the road to Phoenix as a 4 point favorite. This is a favorable spot with a lot of value.

Boston College +4.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
I'm fading Virginia who is in a huge hang over game here. BC already has gone 5-0 ATS as a home dog this year and nearly beat Duke and Miami, losing by 1 point to both. They would love to get revenge against Virginia who beat them by 14 in the first meeting. The first game Virginia shot 56.2% from field and attempted 81% of their shots from two. BC is much better at defending the paint at home, roughly an 8.6% swing. BC should also get to the FT line a lot more and their offensive production can only go up from where they were in the first game where they shot just 36.2% from the field. Virginia's defense is not great on the road allowing 46.4%. Virginia is also 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games while BC is 17-8-1 ATS following a loss.

Miss State +12.5 4.4* NCAAB POD

Celtics -4 -105 4* NBA POD (based on 1-5* rating)
I like the Celtics in this match up as this is the Warriors 3rd game in 4 nights after Curry played all 48 minutes vs. the Knicks. The Warriors also have to play again tomorrow making it 4 games in 5 nights meanwhile the Celtics are well rested.

Boston is on 3+ days rest where their offense has flourished this year. They need wins right now to climb the playoff ranking ladder or to get in so you know they are going to come with their best defensive effort. Meanwhile they don't play for another couple days. Speaking of defense the Celtics are ranked 9th in shooting defense. The Warriors are just 3-8 on the road this year vs. teams ranked in the top 10 in shooting defense. Those 3 wins came really early in the season 2 in November and 1 on December 8th vs. the Wizards.

All 8 losses have been by more than 4. 11, 25, 6, 21, 7, 16, 26 and 9 points. I expect the Celtics to come out and dominate here tonight. They are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Warriors defense continues to slip especially on the road and especially in the paint where they have allowed over 50.5% over their last 3 games. The Celtics take nearly 80% of their shots inside the arch and should dominate here tonight.

Seattle +1 4.4* NCAAB POD
Seattle is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and they go up against Texas State who beat them in Seattle the last time these two met. Both are similarly bad in conference play with losing records so this game is all about revenge. I see Seattle as the better team when you look at conference stats they are only -4.9 points per game while Texas State is -11.9. Seattle is also +2.5 FG% as they are shooting better than opponents in conference play while Texas State is -8.5 FG% in that department. Seattle is also +5 rebound margin while Texas State is -10 rebound margin. Texas State has not played well at home either where they are -8.9 points. Seattle

Connecticut +1.5 3.3* NCAAB POD
I looked over about 8 games and I only liked this one. First of all Georgetown is coming off a huge win at Syracuse and now their ranking is a bit inflated. Uconn meanwhile has been playing lights out and continue to play hungry. UConn has 3-0 at Gampel vs. Georgetown where they don't normally play. Gampel will have more energy than when they play at the XL Center tonight and should be a great environment. On the other hand Georgetown has lost 6 of their last 7 visits to Uconn by an average of 22 points.

I think we get a mix of Georgetown playing a little hung over with too much confidence. Also Uconn's greatest weakness which is rebounding is not a real strength of Georgetown who is -1.6 over their last 5 games and ranked 131st in rebounding %. Uconn meanwhile is uncharacteristic of their past teams shooting 74% from the FT line at home and is getting to the line +7.1 times vs. opponents. They also should win the turnover margin with their guard play and if they continue shooting the ball like they have of late they should cruise.

[b]Kings +15.5 4.4* NBA POD[/b]
I don't recommend watching this game as I'm sure the Heat will control the entire game, but lets be honest the Oddsmakers are about 2 points off here and they should inflate the number as the Kings are 20-3 ATS in their last 23 games vs. the Heat 1-10 ATS in Miami. However, the Kings have turned it up a little against tough competition going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. a winning team. More than anything this game should get the most out of Demarco Cousins who will have the advantage in the Heat. The Heat also lack a guy that can guard Isiah Thomas as he showed in the first match up where the Kings lost by 29 points. The Kings will want to play for a little respect right here.

On the other hand the Heat have been looking ahead to the Grizzlies who they lost by 20 to in November and have a game with the Knicks following that. This team is not mentally checked in for this game. There is no way they can be against a team they beat on the road (in recent memory) by 29 points. Players are most likely planning their next two days off and looking ahead to the two playoff teams they have on schedule. I like this play a lot and I think we are getting a ton of value. I mean if the Heat cover this what is next? 20 point favorites for games?

Minnesota +5.5 3.3* NCAAB POD
Indiana beat Minnesota by 7 points at home when the two were still in the top 10. Now Indiana is clearly the #1 team but they are going on the road after just defeating Michigan State. Minnesota is a desperate team playing for their NCAA Tourney lifes. Indiana is full of confidence and they should be having just beat Michigan State on the road. However, I think there might be one more stop in the Gophers. They beat Wisconsin and Michigan State at home why not Indiana?

In the first match up they were -25 FTA and -3 rebounds. They also allowed Indiana to shoot 50.9% from the field. Getting back to playing at home should allow them to improve on those numbers where they are +16.1 ppg. Minnesota is also holding opponents to 37.6% from the field and is +13 in rebound margin +8.2 in FT attempts. This games comes down to defense inside the arch where both teams take 70% of their shots. Both are ranked in the top 30 in the nation in 2 point defense. Minnesota however allows opponents just 40.2% in home games while Indiana is allowing 43.7%. Offensively Minnesota is also playing better inside the arch in the home/away splits. Stats are not everything but I think it's enough to justify getting 5.5 points. I think there is a lot of value on a desparate Minnesota team here tonight and I think they will capitalize and have a chance to win the game.

Twolves +2.5 3.3* NBA POD
Many may see this line and jump all over the Warriors. In fact 70% of the public are thinking just that, but I can possibly back the Warriors on the road as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 and I already mentioned in my article on the 2nd half that Warriors would come down. I had the Warriors +4 on Friday as our NBA POD and won. Now I'm fading the Warriors after they just upset the Spurs. This is a major hang over game for them and with upcoming games against the Knicks and the Pacers I see them peaking ahead and not taking the Timberwolves seriously. Meanwhile Minnesota just came off a double digit loss to the Thunder and are 19-7 ATS following a SU loss of 10+ points.

Cincinnati +3 3.3* NCAAB POD
Cinci lost the first match up by 6 at home due to the fact that they allowed Notre Dame to shoot 50% fromt he field and 9-16 from three point land. That is not usually the theme of this Bearcats team that preaches defense by their head coach Mick Cronin. I look for the Bearcats to come up with a huge win here today on the road. They are losers of 4 of their last 5 games and need a win badly to continue their quest to the NCAA Tournament. Notre Dame meanwhile is off a big win at Pitt where they were +10.5 under dogs. Cinci 16-6 ATS in their alst 22 road games, 18-8 ATS in their last 26 following an ATS loss.

Nova -1.5 4.4* NCAAB POD
Villanova is 10-4 at home playing Marquette who is just 3-5 on the road. Both play similar styles in conference play so what separates them is their ranking which we benefit from in this situation because we are getting Nova at home with value in my opinion. Marquette will take nearly 71% of their shots from two point land and that falls into Nova's strengths where they are ranked 19th in the country in 2 point defense. Marquette on the other hand is ranked 75th in that department.

Nova's biggest weaknesses however are turnovers and three point defense. We already touched on Marquette's ability to knock down threes and how often they take them. Marquette is also -2.1 turnover margin in their road games so I think this will give Nova the edges they need to come up with a big win today.

Warriors +4 3.3* NBA POD
You'll find this line up to 4 in some places and I grabbed it. The Spurs coming off a huge victory in dominating fashion vs. the Clippers last night now they go on the road again as they continue this ridiculous road trip to face the Warriors. The Warriors ended the All Star break playing terrible defense, but they are still ranked 9th in the league in shooting % defense and I think that will give the Spurs trouble coming off a game where they had the adrenaline flowing.

The Warriors will have revenge from their 7 point loss in San Antonio. The Warriors have been a tough opponent at home and have beaten many of the top playoff teams. The Clippers twice, Thunder, Celtics, Pacers, Nuggets, Nets and Hawks to name a few. The Spurs play their 2nd worst defense on 0 days rest which could be an issue against the Warriors who can light up the scoreboard at home. I expect this to be one of those games the Spurs realize they don't absolutely need after getting up for their game last night. Most of the players already making plans to go back home Sunday night after they play the Suns.

Princeton -2 -102 3.3* NCAAB POD
Columbia beat Harvard at home, but other than that they have not been a very good home team. They were -13 against Dartmouth and lost, and then -8 vs. Cornell and lost. Princeton is sitting in 2nd place with games ahead vs. Cornell and Harvard. Those are exactly the two teams that stand in their way to get to the NCAA Tournament. Princeton is smart enough not to look ahead to those games as they need to win tonight and they are the superior team. Normally I would fade Princeton in this spot looking ahead, but now all these games are critical and what exactly is Columbia playing for?

I think the fact that Columbia nearly beat PRinceton on the road will be enough for Princeton to take them seriously. Statistically on the road Princeton has some solid number including shooting 41% from three, but over 70% of their shots will come from inside. Columbia is ranked 120th in 2 point defense, but they are worse at home and over their last 3 are allowing opponents to shoot 57.4%. Princeton has been solid over the years especially after a loss. They are 22-6 ATS following an ATS loss, 21-7 ats L28 foll a SU loss. 36-16 ATS in their last 52 road games and 21-6 ATS in their last 27 Friday nights.