New Jersey Nets vs Portland Trailblazers
8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 223 points and is valid to 220.5 points.

Portland is 9-1 Under when on the road and having failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games spanning the past two seasons. Portland is 27-13-1 Under in non-conference games over the past two seasons. Nets head coach Vaughn is 28-12 Under in road games and having lost four of their last five games for his career.

From the predictive models, we are expecting Portland to score 108 or fewer points and in past games when they have has seen the Under go 50-9-1 for 85% winning bets in home games over the past five seasons.

Timberwolves vs Pistons
5-Unit Bet on Timberwolves -11.5 points.
8-Unit Bet on the Under at 223 points and is valid down to 220.5 points

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons. This algorithm has earned a 144-92-8 Under record for 61% winning bets and if our team is the road favorite in the matchup, the Under has gone 66-33-5 for 67% winning bets and our team has gone 64-37-3 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2017.

One strategy would be to bet 75% of you 8-Unit bet size on the Under preflop and then look to get the remaining 25% booked at a price of 229.5 points during the first half of action. The side strategy would be not bet 2.5-Unit amount preflop and look to get the Timberwolves at -7.5 points for the remaining 2.5 units during the first half of action.

Denver vs Philadelphia
8-Unit Bet on the 76ers using the money line.

Betting on any team after losing to the spread by 48 or more points over their last seven games and is a solid team winning 60 to 75% of their games and facing a winning record team has earned an outstanding 45-27 SU and 47-24-1 for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If both teams have won 60% o more of their games, our team has earned a 31-16 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game occurs after the 25th played game of the regular season our team has posted a 30-14 SU record for 68% and 31-13 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks
8-Unit best bet on the Spurs plus the 8 and points and is valid down to 6.5 points.

Betting on road underdogs that previous lost the last matchup to the current foe by three or fewer points and with that foe coming off an upset loss has earned a highly profitable 48-16 ATS record for 75% winning bets since 2016. If our road dog is playing on one day of rest exact they have gone 17-20 SU and 28-9 ATS for 76% winning bets.

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs
8-Unit bet on the Bulls -6 points and is valid to -7.5 points

Betting on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a 51-26 ASTS record for 66% winning bets over the past 25 seasons.

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat
8-Unit bet on the Magic +2 points and is valid to pick-em

Betting on road teams that lost to the current foe in the same season and are coming off a double-digit home loss has earned an outstanding 178-108-3 ATS for 62.2% since 2016. This betting algorithm has not had a losing season since 2013. If our team is facing a divisional foe, their record soars to 68-20-1 ATS for 70% winning bets over the past 8 seasons.

Houston Rockets vs Detroit Pistons
8-Unit best bet on the Rockets -7.5 points and us valid up to 9.5 points.

Bet on road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that saw the OVER win by 18 or more points in their previous game and with the foe seeing their over-under margin play Over by 18 or more points spanning their last 10 games has earned a 66-17 SU record and 50-32-1 ATS for 61% winning bets over the past 11 seasons. If it is a conference game, which this one is not, the record soars to 41-18-1 ATS for 70% winning bets.

Sacramento Kings vs 76ers
8-Unit bets bet on the Kings using the money line unless this game would move to make the Kings +2.5 or more-point dogs. The money line is the bet even if the Kings move to a -1.5-point favorite.

Betting on teams that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more points and priced between a 3.5-point favorite and 3.5-point underdog and with their foe having played their last three games with 220 or more points scored in each one has earned a 56-31-2 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. If the matchup is NOT a conference one, these teams soar to a 24-9 SU and 24-8-1 ATS record good for 75% winning bets.

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks
8-Unit bet on the Bucks -2.5 points and is valid up to -3.5 points.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3-[point underdog that are coming off two consecutive losses priced as favorites and who lost to the current foe in their previous matchup. has earned an outstanding 55-27 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2016 and has earned a 42-17 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Nuggets vs Jazz
8-Unit bet on the Nuggets minus the 7 points and is valid up to -9.5 points.

Bet on a road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that is outscoring their opponents by at least 3 points per game and facing a foe that won their previous game by 20 or more points has earned an outstanding 55-7 SU record and 46-16 ATS mark for 74% winning bets since 2007. If the opponent has a losing record, then record soars to an incredible 35-3 SU and 32-6 ATS record for 84% winning bets since 2007.

76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks
8-Unit bet on the 76ers +1.5 points and is valid up to -1.5 points.

Betting on dogs that have lost to the spread by 20 or more points over their last three games, is on a two-game losing streak exact, shot 43% or lower spanning the last three games, and the game is played in the first half of the regular season has earned a 20-9 ATS mark good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons. If they are playing a losing record team, like the Hawks, the record has been 9-4 ATS for 69% winning bets.

No Embiid tonight and that is already baked into the line.

Thunder vs Heat
8-Unit bet on the Thunder -4.5 points and is valid to -6 points.

Bet on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss in which the opponent scored at least 100 points and that opponent is coming off a home win scoring at least 115 points has gone 61-19 SU and 50-27-3 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. If our team has an assist to turnover ratio of 2 or higher, then these teams have produced a remarkable 20-7-1 ATS for 74% winning bets.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns
8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies plus the 4.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 74-38-3 ATS for 66% winning bets. If the game is after game number 25, the record then goes to a money-making 60-32-3 ATS machine for 65% winning bets.

Trail Blazers vs Nets
8-Unit bet on the Trailblazers plus the 8.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points. A sprinkle on the money lie is a great opportunity too.

Betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have lost their last three road games and now facing a non-conference foe has earned a 47-47 SU record and 60-32-2 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total in these games is229.5 or fewer points, our dog has gone 43-34 SU and 55-20-2 ATS for 73% winning bets over the pat 10 seasons.

Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings

Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
8-Unit Bet on the Raptors plus the five points and is valid down to and including 3.5 points.

Bet on road underdogs who have won 25 to 40% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record has been 74-37 ATS for 67% winning bets. If the game is after game number 30, the record then goes to a money-making 51-27-3 ATS mark for 65.4% winning bets.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston
8 ET
8-Unit best bet on the Wolves -3.5 points and is valid to 5.5 points. If this line drops to 2.5 or fewer points, consider the money line as an alternative wager.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5 point underdog that lost their last two games priced as a favorite and also lost the previous meeting to the current foe has earned a solid 55-27 ATS record for 67% winning bets since 2016. If our team is priced as a favorite of 5.5 or fewer points including pick-em has led them to a solid 47-24-1 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2016.

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
7 ET
8-Unit bet on the Hawks plus the 3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off three consecutive road losses and now facing a non-conference foe has gone 46-47 SU and 59-32-2 ATS for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If our team has a losing record and the foe has a winning record, our dogs have gone 25-17 SU and 31-9-2 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX | 8 ET
8-Unit Bet on the Nets plus 6.5 points and is valid down to 4.5 points.

The Nets are struggling recently and sit with a 15-19 record and are 6-11 in road games, but this is an excellent situation for them to cover the spread and potential win the game outright. The Nets have lost four straight games failing to cover the spread in all four. They have lost nine of their last 11 games and have failed to cover in 10 of those games. Simply, the market now has put the Nets in an oversold situation and they will be priced on the cheap side for many games coming up.

They are coming off a 112-85 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans as 5.5-point underdogs and shot a horrid 36% from the field. The Rockets are coming off 136-113 win over Detroit and covered easily as 9.5-point favorites and shot 56% from the field.

Betting on dogs between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are facing a host that has scored 120 or more points in each of their previous two games has earned a 121-79-2 ATS for 61% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our road dog is playing on back to back nights, they soar to a 28-10 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Oklahoma City vs Atlanta
State Farm Arena | Atlanta | 7:30 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Hawks getting 1.5 points and is valid bet if they are pried at pick-em or the dog.

The Hawks are a miserable 13-19 SU and 7-25 ATS for just 22% on the season ranking worst ATS win percentage in the NBA. On the other side of the spectrum sits the Thunder who are league-best 24-8 ATS for 75% and are 23-9 SU on the season. In this situation and having had more than 30 games played, the market has overreacted in pricing both teams. From my Wall Street Days as an institutional bond and currency market strategist, we have a situation in this game for an arbitrage selling a team in the3 Thunder that is overbought and simultaneously buying a team that severely oversold in the Hawks. This does not mean that this game is going to win ATS for us tonight, but over the next few weeks I am expecting the Hawks to show up more often on the betting radar.

Home teams that are playing at least their 30th game of the regular season and have cover the spread in less than 30% of those games and facing a foe that has covered better than 50% of their games has earned a solid 11-6 SUATS record good for 65% winning bets.

Betting on underdogs that have allowed 115 or more points in five consecutive games and now facing a foe that has scored 115 or more points in their two previous games has earned a 56-29-1 ATS record good for 65.9% winning bets over the past five seasons. Further, if our home team is a single-digit dog including pick-em and the total is at least 230 points, their record soars to 32-14 ATS for 70% winning bets.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
7:00 ET

8-Unit best bet on the Bucks minus the 3.5 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 20% on the Bucks at pick-em and the remaining 10% at +2.5 points during the first half of action. The total is priced at 258.5 points which is within two points of the all-time high of 260.5 points recorded earlier this season when the Wizards hosted the Pacers in a 137-123 Wizards win on December 15. There have been four previous games with a total of 255 or more points this season and the Pacers have been involved and were the road team in every game.

Betting on road favorites that lost to the current opponent in the same season and is also coming off a home loss and playing with one day of rest have gone 55-28 ATS for 66% winning bets since 2015.

From the predictive models we learn that the Bucks are 38-2 SU and 36-4 ATS for 90% winning bets when they have scored 130 or more points and had the better and more efficient assists to turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.

Memphis vs Denver
8-Unit bet on Memphis plus the 7.5 points and is valid down to 4.5 points.

Betting on road underdogs that have won between 25 and 40% of their games on the season and facing a winning record foe and has played 25 or more games and with a total of not more than 230 points has gone 57-23-2 ATS for 71% winning bets since 2016.

New York Knicks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center
8:00 ET
8-Unit bet on the Ny Knicks +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog to a 3.5-point favorite that are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and facing a foe that has seen their last three games produce 220 or more points in each one has earned a 59-26 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2018. If our team is on the road they improve to 19-7 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Bet on road teams priced between 3.5 dog and favorite that has allowed 120 points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that is coming off a game in which 235 or more points were scored in total has earned a 31-16 SU record and 32-13-2 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL
7 PM EST
8-Unit bet on the Magic -2.5 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

The reigning NBA MVP Joel Embiid will be out of action again tonight as he continues to recover from a strained ankle he suffered Friday night in the first quarter of a 121-111 win over the Toronto Raptors. He did continue to play on it logging regular game minutes. An ankle injury gets evaluated the next day, but seeing him play that many minutes makes for the possibility he will be back on the court by the weekend.

The 76ers are 0-4 straight-up (SU) and 1-3 ATS this season with Embiid out of the lineup.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog to a 3.5-point favorite that are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and facing a foe that has seen their last three games produce 220 or more points in each one has earned a 59-26 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2018. If it is a non-divisional matchup, these teams have produced a 49-20 ATS mark for 71% winning bets since 2018. If the total is between 220 and 234.5 points, these home teams have gone 26-12 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 2018.

Memphis vs New Orleans
8-Unit Bet on the Memphis Grizzlies plus the 5 points and is valid to 4 points.

Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, these road dogs have produced a 43-24-1 ATS for 64% winning bets. If our dog is priced between pick and 7.5 points the have earned a 12-4 ATS record for 75% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Boston Celtics vs. LA Lakers
8-Unit Best Bet on the Celtics -3 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

Betting on road favorites coming off a win by 20 or more points and is facing a host that has scored and allowed 107 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a highly profitable 36-7 SU (84%) and 30-13 ATS (70% winning bets overt the past 10 seasons.

We were on the Celtics as an 8-Unit blowout win over the Clippers defeating them 145-108 and covering the spread by 32.5 points. They are playing great team basketball and I see them rolling in this game as well.

Boston Celtics vs LA Clippers
8-Unit Best Bet on the Celtics minus the 2.5 points and is valid up to -4 points.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off a win by 20 or more points that are facing a host that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 104-30 SU record for 78% wis and 84-47-3 ATS for 64% winning bets since 2015. If the foe scored and allowed 105 or more points in each of their last three games, our road favorite has gone 54-12 SU and 44-12-1 ATS for 68% winning bets since 2015.

Brooklyn vs Denver
8-Unit bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid if they remain the dog.

Nets are 19-8 ATS when revenging a road loss in games played over the past two seasons. From the predictive model, the Nets are 62-13 SU and 52-22 ATS (70%) at home when making at least 37% of their 3-point shots and scoring at least 110 points in games played over the past five seasons.

Clippers vs Thunder
8-Unit Bet on the Thunder -4.5 points and is valid up to and including 5.5 points.

Betting on winning record home teams that are facing a winning record foe that has covered their last three games priced as favorites has earned an 82-53 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2015. If that foe is playing on back-to-back nights, our home teams has gone 18-6 ATS for 75% and 18-6 SU.

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks if they remain the underdog and includes pick-em. Consider using the money line if they are priced at +1.5 or fewer.

Betting on home underdogs of not more than four points and including pick-em that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG and taking on an opponent that has seen their last three games each have more than 220 points scored has earned a 28-16 SU record and 30-13-1 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 2018. If the game has a total between 220 and 239.5 points, our home dogs have gone an impressive 24-9 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Minnesota vs Philadelphia
8-Unit bet on the 76ers minus the points and is valid up to 5.5 points.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 favorite and underdog that are outscoring their foes by at least 6 PPG and is facing an opponent that has seen each of their last three games score a combined 220 or more points has gone 56-28 SU and 56-26 ATS for 68% winning bets over the past 6 seasons of action. If the game is a non-divisional matchup then our team soar to 44-18 SU and 45-16-1 ATS for 74% winning bets. If the total is between 220 and 229.5 points, our team has gone 18-6 SUATS for 75% winning bets.

Timberwolves vs Heat
10-Unit Bet on the Heat currently priced as 1.5-point home underdogs and is valid down to -1.5-point favorite.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point favorite to 3.5-point underdog that is facing a foe, who is outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG and who has played three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored in each game has produced a 59-23 ATS record for 72% winning bets over the past 6 seasons. If the total in these games has been 220 or fewer points, our teams have gone a highly profitable 14-2 ATS for 88% winning bets over the past six seasons.

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat
8-Unit best Bet on the Under currently priced at 217.5 points.

Consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to add the remaining 1.5 units at 224.5 points during the first half of action.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has earned a 143-90 record good for 61% winning bets. If our team has won 40% or fewer of their games, the Under has gone 32-12-2 for 73% winners.

Hornets vs Heat
8-Unit Best bet on the Under currently at 222.5 points and is valid to 221.5 points.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has produced a 142-90-9 record good for 62% winning bets since 2017. If our team has a losing record, the Under has gone 52-22-4 for 70% winning bets since 2015.

Let’s bet the Under. Consider betting 6.5 Units preflop and the look to get the Under at 227.5 points during the first half of action only.

LA Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit Best bet on the Dallas Mavericks +4.5 points and is good if they remain the dog.

Betting on winning record road teams that are facing a winning record guest that has covered the spread in the last three games in which they were priced as the favorite has earned a 79-50 ATS record for 61% winning bets since 2015. If the game takes place in the first half of the season our dogs have gone 37-17 ATS for 69% winning bets since 2019.

Let’s bet the Mavericks. Consider betting 6.5 Units preflop and the look to get the Mavericks at +9.5 points during the first half of action only.

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks
8-Unit Best Bet on the Bulls if they are a double-digit underdog

Bet on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record has earned a 28-99 SU mark and 77-48-2 ATS for 62%. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 71-39-2 ATS for 65% winning bets.

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets
8-Unit bet on the Heat minus the four points and is good up to 5.5 points.

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 or more points coming off two straight games in which they allowed 100 or more points in each game and now facing a foe that is coming off a narrow by three or fewer points has earned a 102-34 SU record and 81-52-3 ATS for 61% winning bets. If the total is 225 or fewer points, this algorithm has gone 85-25 SU and 71-37-2 ATS for 65.7% winning bets.

Pacers vs LA Lakers

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Under in a game with a total of 230 or more points coming off two consecutive home wins and facing a foe coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points has earned a solid 28-11-2 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019.

Lakers are 35-55 ATS following an ATS win over the past three seasons. They are 5-16 ATS after covering the spread in four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons.

New Orleans vs LA Lakers

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Under in a game with a total of 230 or more points coming off two consecutive home wins and facing a foe coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points has earned a solid 28-11-2 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers plus the points, currently priced as 6.5-point underdogs.

Betting on teams revenging a loss to the current opponent and is coming off an upset loss has gone 67-41 SU and 69-37-2 ATS good for 65% winning bets. If we drill down into the data a bit deeper we find out that if the game is a divisional matchup and our dog is priced more than 7 points, they have gone 6-2 ATS for 75% winning bets.

Portland Trailblazers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
8-Unit best bet on the Trail Blazers plus the 11.5 points and is valid if they remain a double-digit underdog.

Betting on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win and now facing a host with a winning record after the 15th game of the regular season has been played has earned a 78-45-2 ATS for 65% winning bets. If the total in the game is 220 or fewer points our double-digit dog has gone 26-10 for 72% winning bets.

Sun vs Knicks

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Knicks minus the 3-points.

Betting on winning record home teams that are facing a winning record foe that has covered the spread in their last three games priced as a favorite has produced a 89-48 ATS record good for 65% winning bets since 2015 and if priced as a favorite has produced a 41-19 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets. Let’s bet on the Knicks

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Pelicans using the money line and they must not be favored.

Betting on away dogs that are playing with revenge from previous loss of three or fewer points and with that foe coming off an upset loss has earned a 43-18 ATS record good for 71% winners since 2016 and our dog is priced at 4.5 or fewer points they soar to a 15-5 ATS mark for 75% winners.

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic
2:30 PM EST NBA TV Friday

8-Unit Bet on the Celtics minus the 6 points and is valid up to and including 6.5 points.

Betting on road favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are revenging a previous loss to the current foe, who scored 100 or more points in that loss, the foe is also coming off a home win where they scored 115 or more points has earned a solid 47-25-3 ATS for 65% winning bets.

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Lakers
10:30 PM EST

8-Unit Bet on Dallas minus the 2.5 points and is valid up to 3.5 points.

Betting on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a 49-25 ATS record good for 66.2% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. If a conference matchup these favorites soar to 33-12 ATS for 73% winning bets.

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic
7 ET

8-Unit Bet on the Nuggets minus the 3.5 points

Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 95 points that are revenging loss in which the opponent scored at least 100 points and that opponent is coming off a home win scoring at least 115 points has earned a 47-24-3 ATS or 66% winners.

Cavaliers vs 76ers
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers -7.5 points and is valid up to 9.5 points

Betting on favorites between 6.5 and 9.5 points that are coming off back-to-back double-digit win and are outscoring their opponents by 8 or more PPG and with a win percentage at least 10 percentages higher than the current foe has produced a 41-7 SU record and 33-16-1 ATS for 67.3% winning bets since 2016.

Teams that are coming off a 20+ point win and are outscoring their foes by 9 or more PPG and are priced between a 3.5 and 9.5-ppoint favorite has gone 128-76 ATS since 1996.

Heat vs Bulls
8:00 PM EST
8-Unit best Bet on the UNDER 208.5 points.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has earned a 140-87-9 record for 62% winning bets since 2017. If our team is on the road in a game with a posted total of 215 or fewer points and is priced between a 3-dog and a 3-point favorite, the Under has gone 43-21-1 for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

76ers vs Nets
8-Unit best bet on the Nets +3.5 points and is good down to 2.5 points. Betting on teams in a game pricing them between a 4-point dog to 4-point favorite that is facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by at least 7.5 PPG and with that foe seeing their last three games have at least 220 points scored in each one has earned a 27-12 ATS record for 69% winning bets since 2018.

Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz

10:00 PM EST
10-Unit Best Bet on the Suns minus the 5.5 points and is valid up to 6.5 points.

Betting on road favorites between -3.5 and -9.5 points that saw their previous game play over the total by 18 or more points and has seen their last 10 games play over by a combined 48 or more points has earned a 56-15 SU record and 45-25-1 ATS for 64.3% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the host is playing on two days of rest exact, our road favorites have gone a perfect 7-0 SUATS.

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Suns to score at least 117 points and have the better assist-turnover ratio. In past games in which they met these performance measures has seen them go on to a 47-7 SU record and 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the past three seasons.

Bet the Suns.

Philadelphia vs Atlanta
8-Unit best bet on the Hawks in a game priced at pick-em and is valid up to the Hawks being favored by 1.5 points.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and underdog that are facing a foe that has seen their last three games each play over 220 points and are outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG has earned a 58-21 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. If our team is playing at home they have produced a 38-17 SU and 38-14 ATS record good for 74% winning bets and if priced from pick-em to +3.5 points 27-10 SU and 30-7 ATS for 81% winning bets.

Cleveland vs Portland

Moda Center, Portland, OR
10:00 ET

8-Unit Best bet on Portland if they are a double-digit underdog

Betting on teams playing on back-to-back nights and are coming of three consecutive road losses has gone 36-42 SU and 53-23-2 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2016. If they are playing at home, their record improves to 17-16 SU and 22-10-1 ATS for 69% winning bets and if priced as a 7 or more-point underdog has produced a terrific 24-9-1 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets.

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia

7:05 ET

8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the 4.5 points

Betting on any team that is facing a foe that is coming off back-to-back double-digit wins over divisional foes and has won at least 75% of their games on the season has earned a solid 31-26 SU record and 53-23 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets since 1996. If our team is the host and it is a divisional matchup has seem them go 11-2 ATS for 85% winning bets since 1996.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
10 PM | Chase Center, San Francisco
8-Unit best Bet on the Warriors minus the 1.5 points and is valid up to and including 3.5 points.

Betting on teams that have lost their last two games priced as the favorite and facing a foe that they lost to in their previous meeting and are priced between a 3.5-point favorite or underdog has earned a 49-28 SU record and 50-27 ATS mark for 65% winning bets since 2016. If the home team they have gone 25-11 SU and 26-10 ATS for 72.2% winning bets.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 7.5 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 28-11 SUATS for 72% winning bets since 2014. The clincher is if the game is priced with a total of 221 or fewer points, these home teams have gone 11-1 SUATS for 92% winning bets since 2014.

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans
8 PM | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
8-Unit Best Bet on the Pelicans plus the 3.5 points and is valid if the Pelicans remain the underdog.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point dog and favorite that are facing a foe that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG and have seen their last three games play over 200 points in each one has earned a highly profitable 55-21 ATS for 72.4% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home as the dog, they have gone to a 23-9 SU record and 25-7 ATS mark for 78% winning bets since 2018. If the game has a total of 230 or more points, these home dogs have gone 9-1 ATS and SU for 90% winning bets.

Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors

8:30 PM, Chase Center
8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the 1.5 or money line, whichever is cheaper at your book.

Bet on teasms that are facing a foe that is coming off three straight games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one, that foe is outscoring their opponents by at least 6 PPG and the line is priced between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5 point underdog has gone 55-20 ATS for 73% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing at home the record soars to 37-13 ATS for 74% winning bets since 2018. If our team is playing on no more than a single day of rest, they get even better producing a 29-9 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets since 2018.

Take the Warriors today.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
10 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on the Warriors plus the 2.5 points

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5-point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 8 PPG on the season has earned a 21-9 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total in these games is 225 or mor points, the record has been 12-5 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

This matchup could easily be a preview of a showdown in the playoffs and even the conference finals and has significant meaning despite being so early in the 82-game season schedule. Warriors are 12-2 ATS when facing a foe that has won at least 70% of their games in each of the past three seasons.

LA Clippers vs Brooklyn Nets

Barclays Center
7:30 PM EST
8-Unit best Bet on the Nets plus the 4.5 points

Betting on teams that have posted three straight games with a solid assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.5 or higher and is facing a foe that has posted a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.0 or lower on the season, and with a total between 226 and 240 points has earned a solid 35-18-1 ATS record for 66% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Nets are playing pretty darn good basketball to start their season and the fans will be welcoming back James Harden with their version of the Bronx cheer. The fan base will be into this game simply because they want to see their team defeat any team that harden will ever be a member of and for good reason.

The Nets are sharing the ball and passing the ball with speed and accuracy in the half court sets. They rank 11th in the Association averaging 27 APG and third bets committing an average of 12 turnovers per game. The Clippers do not move the ball well in the half court and rank 28th committing 16.3 TPG. The Nets mistake-free play will go a long way to seeing them pull off the upset win. 

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Arena, Philadelphia, PA
7:10 PM EST
8-Unit Best Bet on the 76ers plus the points

It is early in the season yet these two divisional rivals are at the top of the Eastern Conference standings as expected both with 5-1 records. The Philadelphia fans will be loud and supportive for their franchise and their dislike of the foe and that will be a factor.

76ers are 19-1 SUATS with revenge and facing that foe, who is averaging 13.5 or more turnovers per game over the past two seasons. They are 10-1 SU and 11-0 ATS in home games playing with revenge and with a posted total of 227 or more points over the past five seasons.

Betting on teams priced between a 3.5 point favorite and dog and facing a foe that has seen their last three games see 220 or more points scored and are outscoring their foes by at least 6 PPG on the season has earned a 54-20 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Looking at the standard deviations of scoring by quarters so far this season, the Celtics have been one of the most inconsistent first quarter scoring teams in the league. In fact, they rank third with a STD of 7.34 points scored in the first quarter. The Philadelphia defense has been quite good so far and no reason to expect otherwise tonight, especially at the start of the game.

Celtics vs Timberwolves
Monday, November 6

8-Unit Best Bet on the Timberwolves

Betting on home teams that allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and facing a foe that scored 120 or more points has gone 86-35 SU and 79-39-3 ATS for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Mavericks vs Magic
8-Unit Best Bet on the Mavericks plus 4.5 points

Betting on teams that are outscoring their foes by 6 or more PPG, priced between 3.5-point dog and favorite and facing a foe that saw their last three games go over 220 points has earned a highly profitable 51-20 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2018.

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs
8-Unit best bet on the Raptors -4 points

Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 103 PPG, and are coming off a game in which they lead by 20 or more points at the half has earned a highly profitable 48-24 ATS record good for 67% winning bets.

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
8-Unit Bet on the Celtics minus the 9.5 points

Bet on road favorites of at least three points that have allowed between 100 and 110 points in each of their two previous game and facing a foe that is coming off a win by three or fewer points has produced an outstanding 24-9 ATS record for 73% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

If our road team is playing this game with more rest than the host, their record has been 7-2 ATS for 78% winning bets.

Brooklyn vs Chicago

8:00 PM EST

8-Unit Best Bet OVER the total currently priced at 223.5 points

Betting on road teams with a posted total of 220 or more points, has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and is playing their third game in 5 days has produced a highly profitable 60-41-2 Over record good for 60% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total is between 221 and 230 points, the Over has gone 43-19 for 69.4% winning bets.

I know it sounds crazy, but as a pizza-money prop bet, consider no more than a unit for Ben Simmons to record a triple-double at +1600 as offered at FanDuel. He has played four games and is shooting 56% from the field averaging a 7.2 PPG, 10.2 Rebounds per game, and 7.5 assists-per-game. Moreover, he is averaging 31 minutes per game, which is five more minutes than he averaged last season. He looks different on the court, is playing incredible defense as he once did. In an expected high scoring game, this would be the best opportunity to get his first one of the season and let’s not forget he ranks 13th on the all-time list with 33 career triple doubles.

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

10 PM, Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

8-Unit Best bet on the Warriors -7 points.

Betting on teams that have allowed 105 or fewer points in each of their last two games and now facing a foe that scored 120 or more points in their previous game have gone 132-103 SU (56%) and 134-97-4 ATS for 58% winning bets over the past five seasons.

In the 2022 season this system went 29-14-1 ATS (67.4%), 2021 season it went 42-31-5 ATS (58%), 2020 it went 28-28-1 ATS (50%), 2019 it went 33-23 ATS (59%). So, only the shortened COVID-19 season did not make significant profits.

Now, if our team is playing at home, then five-season record went 84-35 SU and 78-38-5 ATS (67.2%). If playing at home and favored by not more than 8 points has produced a 39-8 SU record and a 32-13-2 ATS mark for 71% winning bets.

For Live Betting consider betting 6-units preflop and then look for the Kings to get out in front early and add the remaining 2-units at -2.5 or fewer points. Noting that these teams are 39-8 SU, consider a money line bet for the remaining 2-Units if the line does get to -2.5 or lower during the first half of action. If the Kings score 10 or more unanswered points in the first half of action would also be an attractive point to add the 2-units.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz
9:00 PM, Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
8-Unit Best bet on the Grizzlies plus 2 points or consider the money line.

Memphis is 9-0 ATS coming off a loss to a divisional foe over the past three seasons. Utah is on a 2-11 ATS losing streak as a home favorite of six or fewer points spanning the past two seasons.

Memphis head coach Jenkins is 14-3-1 ATS in road games when coming off a loss of 15 or more points.

Betting on a road team that has shot 43% from the field over its’ last three games and is on a two-game losing streak, has lost to the spread by 18 or more points in total over their last three games and with the game occurring in the first 41 games of the season has earned a 15-14 record and 20-9 ATS mark for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs NY Knicks

Madison Square Garden

7:30 PM

8-Unit best bet on the Cavaliers plus the 6.5 points

Betting on teams in the second of back-to-back games against the same foe having lost at home by double digits has earned a solid 17-7 ATS record good for 71% winning bets. If the total is 220 or fewer points, the record has been 17-6 ATS for 74% winning bets. This algorithm has yet to have back-to-back ATS losses and is coming of an ATS loss.

Bet on underdogs that are coming off a loss and have lost four or more of their last five games during the first six games of the season if they were a playoff team in the previous season has produced a 14-6 ATS record good for 70% winning bets since 2004 (20 seasons).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks

7:30 PM, October 30, 2023

State Farm Arena

Atlanta, Georgia

8-Unit Best Bet on the Wolves -2 points or if you prefer the money line. This bet is good up to and including 3.5 points.

This graded betting opportunity is reinforced by the following betting system that has earned an outstanding 42-12 SU record for 78% winners and 35-19 ATS for 65% winning bets since 1995.

Bet on road favorites, who are facing an opponent that is allowing at least 105 PPG and are coming off a game in which they led by 20 or more points at the half. That’s all there is to it.

If our road favorite is involved in a game with a posted total of 235 or fewer points, they have gone to a 40-8 SU record (83%) and 33-15 ASTS for 69% winning bets since 1996.

Golden State vs Houston
7:00 PM EST
8-Unit best bet on the Rockets plus the 5.5 points.

Betting on dogs priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points that had a losing record last season and facing a team off a road win in which they scored 125 or fewer points and had a winning record last season and the current game has a total of at least 224 points has earned a highly profitable 60-38-2 ATS for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If in a non-divisional matchup and with our dog having one-day of rest improves their record to 38-19 ATS for 67% winning bets.

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

8:00 PM EST
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX

8-Unit Best Bet on the Houston Rockets plus the points

ü  Bet on road teams (Rockets)

ü  Road team scored

76ers vs Bucks

7:30 PM

8-Unit bet on the 76ers plus the 6.5 points

I would not be making this bet regardless of the model grading if James Harden had joined the team in Milwaukee. The 76ers front office has done the right thing in preventing him from joining the team. The fact that the line has not moved since the news was released clearly shows he has made himself a meaningless piece of the 76ers squad and they are going to play far better without him on the court.

From the predictive mode, the 76ers are 154-21 SU and 148-27 ATS for 85% winning bets when shooting at least 48 or better from the field, making at least 38% of their 3-pointers and having fewer turnovers than their foe.

Cleveland vs Brooklyn

7:30 EST
8-Unit best bet on the Nets plus the 2.5 points.

Opening Night in Brooklyn and with hopes and aspirations and expectations run high. The wild card this year is focused on Ben Simmons and if the practice sessions during this preseason will translate to the regular season games. Let’s not forget the fact that Simmons ranks 13th ion the all-time triple-double list with 33 such games. Granted, that is a million light years behind all-time leader Westbrook with 133 games or Oscar Robinson with 181 games, but he has always had the skillset to reach 100 career triple-doubles. Now, he is not the reason for this bet, but if his play is anywhere close to his peak performances with the 76ers (had game with 42 points), the Nets will have little difficulty winning this game.

Cavaliers are just 33-65 ATS in games with a posted total between 220 and 229.5 points; 42-64 ATS in road games with a total of at least 220 points. Cavs head coach Bickerstaff is just 45-73 ATS in road games for his career.

From the predictive mode, we are expecting the Nets to score at least 111 points and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio. In past games, the Nets are 95-18 SU and 81-32 ATS for 72% winning bets in home games and scoring >=111 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2019.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 
10-Unit best bet on the OVER 

The Celtics gave up. Period. They scored 63 points through three quarters. A team with a high payroll and those high-priced players had no chance of containing FOUR undrafted Heat players. So, just five days ago, a franchise picked as heavy favorites to advance to the NBA Finals, and now a franchise in chaos. Blame will be assigned to many within the organization and players and moves and firings will take place. Jaylen Brown, who is just 2-for20 from beyond the arc in the first three games of this series will most assuredly be traded. He will command a $280MM extension and there will be many teams, the 76ers one of the leaders, that would welcome Brown with open arms to pair up with Maxey.  

So, the Celtic launched 98 shot attempts and made 40% of them in Game 3. The Heat took 81 shots and made 57% of them. The Celtics were outscored in the paint 52-42. The Celtics' biggest lead was three points and that occurred early in the first quarter. The Heat led by as many as 33 points in a game that Boston was highly expected to show up and get a huge dominating win. Thank goodness we were on the Heat again.  
 
So, the OVER is 12-3 for 80% in the NBA playoffs when a team (Miami) is coming off a game attempting 15 or fewer shots but making at least five or more shots. If the game is played at home, the Over has gone a perfect 8-0! 

From the predictive model, the Heat has seen the OVER post a 25-5 record for 83% cashed tickets when scoring 111 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers in home games spanning the past three seasons.  
 
Player Props for no more than 1-Unit Pizza money-sized bets unless otherwise noted 
Jimmy Butler OVER rebounds+ assists 13.5 -102 at FanDuel 
Jayson Tatem OVER 3.5 turnovers +110 at BetMGM 
Jaylen Brown OVER 33.5 PRA –120 at DraftKings 
Gabe Vincent OVER 16.5 PRA -110 at FanDuel 
 

Miami vs Boston  
8-Unit best bet on the Heat plus the points 
The Boston Celtics fell apart again, this time in Game 1 holding a 12-point lead early in the third quarter only to squander the lead and fall 12 points behind at the end of the stanza. Marcus Smart had 10 assists in the first quarter, none in the second, just one in the third, and mome in the fourth. Celtics head coach failed to even call a timeout during the third quarter collapse and his inexperience really showed against one of the best veteran head coaches in the NBA in Spoelstra. Jimmy Butler is not going to let his team think they accomplished what they set out do by earning a split in the first two games.  

From the predictive model, we are expecting Miami to shoot better than Boston and to have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past road games in which Miami met these performance measures has earned them a 63-11 SU record, 64-10 ATS mark (87%) winning bets in road games played in the past five seasons. In road playoff games, the Heat have gone 20-0 SU and 18-2 ATS for 90%. In playoff games, the Celtics are 1-11 SUATS when not shooting better than their foe and having the worse assist-to-turnover ratio spanning the past five seasons. 

 
Player Props for no more than 1-Unit Pizza money sized bets unless otherwise noted 
Max Strus Over 2.5 made 3-pointers –123 at BetMGM 
Jimmy Butler to record a double-double +390 at DraftKings 
Al Horford to commit at least 1 turnover –125 at BetMGM 

Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers 
8-Unit Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points. My LIVE I-game strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% more at Warriors +6.5 and the remaining 20% at Warriors +9.5 points during the first half of action. I do like the Under for a 5-Unit amount too.  
  LeBron is 15-0 in games that close out a series, but this is the reigning world champion Warriors that still has Steph, Klay and Draymond in it. I have stated that I thought this series woud go 7 games despite the Warriors being down 3 games to 1. The Warriors have played 28 consecutive playoff series attaining at least one road win in every series.  
  The 7 seeds are 59-164 SU (27%), 85-135-3 ATS (39%) in the playoffs since 2002. A 7-seed has not made it to the Conference Finals since at least 2002. In a series in which the 7-seed was leading or was tied, they have gone 31-80 SU and 44-64-3 ATS for 41% and the Under has been solid at 63-45-3 for 58% winning tickets. From game-5 on, these 7-seeds are just 3-24 SU and 8-19 ATS. The Under is 18-5 for 78% winning tickets when favored.  

Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination.  
 
 

Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers 
8-Unit Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points. My LIVE I-game strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% more at Warriors +6.5 and the remaining 20% at Warriors +9.5 points during the first half of action. I do like the Under for a 5-Unit amount too.  
  LeBron is 15-0 in games that close out a series, but this is the reigning world champion Warriors that still has Steph, Klay and Draymond in it. I have stated that I thought this series woud go 7 games despite the Warriors being down 3 games to 1. The Warriors have played 28 consecutive playoff series attaining at least one road win in every series.  
  The 7 seeds are 59-164 SU (27%), 85-135-3 ATS (39%) in the playoffs since 2002. A 7-seed has not made it to the Conference Finals since at least 2002. In series in which the 7-seed was leading or was tied, they have gone 31-80 SU and 44-64-3 ATS for 41% and the Under has been solid at 63-45-3 for 58% winning tickets. From game-5 on, these 7-seeds are just 3-24 SU and 8-19 ATS. The Under is 18-5 for 78% winning tickets when favored.  

Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination.  
 
 

Knicks vs Heat 
8-Unit Best Bet on the Heat minus the points. My in-game LIVE strategy is to bet 75% on the Heat preflop and then look to add 25% more on the Heat at pick-em or better.  
 
From my predictive models, we are expecting the Heat to shoot 48% or better from the field and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past home games, in which the Heat met these performance measures has earned an outstanding 50-5 SU record and 45-10 ATS record for 82% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 

8-Unit best bet on the Warriors minus the points. I like the strategy of betting 60% preflop at the current price and then looking to add 20% more at Warriors – 4.5 and Warriors –1.5 points. 

Betting on any team off a loss of three or fewer points to a divisional foe and with that foe having covered the spread in their last two games priced as a favorite has earned an outstanding 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets over the past 27 seasons.  

Betting on any playoff team trailing in the series 3 games to one, coming off a heart-breaking loss by three or fewer points and is now the favorite up to and including -9.5 points has earned a perfect 7-0 SUATS record.  
 
Take the Warriors 
 

Boston vs Philadelphia Game-3 
8-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the points, currently priced at +2 points.  
For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at +5.5 points and 15% more at +7.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. 

Philadelphia is 12-2 ATS revenging a road loss in games played this season, and 15-5 ATS when revenging a loss in which the foe scored 110 or more points this season. 
 

From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 114 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 116-13 SU (90%) record and 97-31-1 ATS mark good for 76% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 34-3 SU and 28-8-1 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 6-17 SU and 6-15-2 ATS record (29%) when allowing 114 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.  
Bet on the 76ers and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours! 

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 
8-Unit best bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at –9.5 points.  
(Repeat from yesterday) For those new to the service, thank you for trusting me and my 28 years of pro experience and looking to build strong long-lasting relationships with all of you. The 8-unit bet is your normal bet size, but I do highly recommend you make it 4% of your total bankroll. The 8-Unit best bet is the most common and is the foundation of my betting methods and strategies. The sacle for sides and totals ranges from 5 to 10-Units with 10-Units being akin to other’s Games of the month or Games of the Year. Even though the 10-Unit best bets have hit at 68.4% across all major sports and spanning more than 3 calendar years you must be disciplined and resist the temptation to bet more than what a 10-Unit betting amount is for you. So, if you bet $100 per unit, the 8-unit is $800 and the 10-unit $1000. Note, that there is a 25% increase in the amount wagered between the 8 and 10-unit bets. So, if you bet $100 per 8-unit wager, the 10-unit would be $125.00 and never more than $150 no matter what.  

     Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. 

     Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. (end of repeat intro) 

Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we?  

For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the 76ers at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the 76ers at 14.5 points and 15% more at 17.5 points during the first half of action only. You are betting the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It’s like trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second-half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. 

From the predictive models, we are looking for the 76ers to score 110 points and have a better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the 76ers met these performance measures have led them to post a 57-7 SU record (89%) and 48-16 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the 76ers are 24-1 SU and 19-6 ATS. The Celtics have posted a money-losing 25-31 SU and 20-36 ATS record (36%) when allowing 110 or more points and the lower assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons.  
Bet on the 76ers and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours! 

LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 
5-Unit best bet on the OVER 228.5 points. 
 
Live In-Game Strategy: With a total above 220 points, the volatility of scoring is going to be significant in this game tonight and is expected to provide excellent LIVE game betting opportunities. So, the strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% at 222.5 points and 20% more at 218.5 points. You may not get one or both 20% bets placed at your book, But if that occurs, it also implies that the 60% preflop is winning comfortably. These price levels re calculated specifically using a modified version of the implied volatility metric commonly used in options trading. Again, this is all for another show. 

Teams in Game-1 of an NBA series that are coming off a road win in Game-7 are 12-6-1 Over for 67% winning bets. if they are the home team in Game-1, then the Over is a perfect 5-0.  

Betting the Over when the total is between 220 and 229.5 points with a home team that lost the previous meeting to the current foe and is coming off a road win to a divisional foe has earned a 45-19-4 Over record good for 70% winning bets since 2017, which is the year scoring in the NBA began to increase significantly. 
 
 
 

Miami Heat vs NY Knicks 
8-Unit best bet on the Knicks minus the points, currently priced at –6.5 points. For those new to the service, thank you for trusting me and my 28 years of pro experience and looking to build strong long-lasting relationships with all of you. The 8-unit bet is your normal bet size, but I do highly recommend you make it 4% of your total bankroll. The 8-Unit best bet is the most common and is the foundation of my betting methods and strategies. The sacle for sides and totals ranges from 5 to 10-Units with 10-Units being akin to other’s Games of the month or Games of the Year. Even though the 10-Unit best bets have hit at 68.4% across all major sports and spanning more than 3 calendar years you must be disciplined and resist the temptation to bet more than what a 10-Unit betting amount is for you. So, if you bet $100 per unit, the 8-unit is $800 and the 10-unit $1000. Note, that there is a 25% increase in the amount wagered between the 8 and 10-unit bets. So, if you bet $100 per 8-unit wager, the 10-unit would be $125.00 and never more than $150 no matter what.  

Player prop bets will range from 0.25% to 2% of your bankroll or $25.00 for the 2% bet if you are wagering $100 per 8-unit bet. 

Pizza money bets mean that it is up to you to decide whether it is a plain pizza costing 0.25% or a full supreme double cheese, double pepperoni for $25.00 or 2% of the bankroll. 

Let’s now get to the analytics, shall we? In the second round of the NBA playoffs teams that lost Game-1 and are the lower seed (better regular season record) and are favored between 5 and 10 points in Game-2 have gone 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets. This obviousy supports the bet on the Knicks. 

For live in-game betting consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Knicks at the line offered at your book. Then, bet 15% on the Knicks at –2.5 points and 15% more at pick-em during the first half of action only. You are bettig the full game lines during the first half of action. The reason we are not betting these two 15% amounts in the second half is simply that there is too little time remaining in the game to be right. It Islike trading options in the market on the S&P 500 and having a month till the contracts expire or less than 2 weeks. The value of your options will decay (Theta) much faster with just two weeks left till expiration just as the value of a second half LIVE bet will diminish the closer it gets to the final buzzer. Don’t be concerned with what Theta means and how it is calculated as I will present that in an upcoming university show. 

From the predictive models, we are looking for the Knicks to score 114 or more points and shoot 49% or better from the field. In past games in which the Knicks met these performance measures has led them to post a 36-9 SU record (80%) and 33-11-1 ATS mark good for 75% winning bets over the past three seasons. If the game occurs after the all-star break and playoffs, the Kicks are 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Miami has posted a money-losing 11-35 SU and 10-36 ATS record (22%) when allowing 115 or more points and allowing a shooting percentage 49% or higher in games played over the past three seasons. If after the break and including playoffs 1-3 SU and ATS. 
 
Bet on the Miami Heat and always bet with your head and not over it and may all the wins be yours! 

Minnesota vs Denver 
8-Unit best bet on the Over currently priced at 225 points 
Betting on the Over in playoff games with a total of 225 or more points in matchups involving the #1 seed and leading in the playoff series are 25-10 Over for 71% winning bets. 

From my predictive models, we learn that Denver is 74-9 SU and 59-22-2 for 73% winners when scoring 114 or more points and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. The Wolves are just 14-62 SU and 18-58-2 ATS (22%) when allowing 114 or more points and having the weaker assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. 

Boston vs Atlanta 
Game-4 
8-Unit Best bet on the Boston Celtics minus the 6 points 
Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who lost the last time they played this opponent and that opponent scored 100 or more points. The host is coming off a home win in which they scored 120 or more points and has earned an outstanding 34-8 SU 81% record and 29-13 ATS mark for 69% winning bets. This situational betting system has not had a losing season since 2004. If the game is taking place in the playoffs, our favorite is 7-2 ATS. 

Cleveland vs Knicks 
8-Unit best bet on the Knicks minus the points 
 
Betting on home teams in the same playoff round that are priced between a 3.5 dog and 3.5 favorite that defeated their foe in the previous game and with that foe shooting a horrid 25% from beyond the arc have gone 24-8 ATS for 75% since 2006. If our host is a favorite from pick-em to –3.5 points has earned an even better 18-4 ATS mark for 82% winners. 

From my predictive models, we learn that the Cavs are just 1-20 SU and 3-17-1 ATS for 15% when allowing 111 or more points and getting outrebounded by 10 or more boards in games played over the past three seasons. The Knicks are 26-8 SU and 27-7 ATS for 79% winning bets when outrebounding their foes by 10 or more boards and scoring 111 or more points in games played over the past three seasons. 

Nets vs 76ers 

8-Unit bets bet on the 76ers minus the points, currently priced at 10. 

The Nets had a game plan to double-team Joel Embiid and force the other 76ers on the floor to make perimeter shots and they sure came through with a franchise record 21 made 3-pointers. So, now that the Nets went all-in with that game plan and it failed, the alternative to not double-team Embiid could lead to an even worse outcome for the Nets.  

Over the past five playoff seasons, teams that have won between 45 and 55% of their games during the regular season and are trailing in the series are just 7-30 ATS for 19%. Playing on the home teams in Game-2 of an NBA Round 1 playoff series regardless if they are priced as a dog or favorite has gone 16-6 ATS for 73% winners over the past five seasons. Double digit favorites in the playoffs are 23-4 SU and 18-7-2 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

From my predictive models, we are expecting the 76ers to score 115 or more points and shoot 48% or better from the field. In past home games in which the 76ers met or exceeded those performance measures, has led them to a 45-1 SU record and 34-12 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.  

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers (April 15) 
10-Unit best bet on the Cavaliers minus the points 
 

The top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% of winners since 2017. Drilling down a bit further, if the total is between 205 and 215, these home teams have gone a quite impressive 15-2 SU and 13-4 ATS for 77% winning bets since 2017.  

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Cavaliers to score 111 or more points and have a better assist-to-turnover ratio. In past games in which the Cavs have met or exceeded these measures in home games has led to a highly profitable 27-6-1 ATS for 82% winning bets over the past three seasons. The Knicks in road games are just 12-24-2 ATS for 33% in the same scenarios.  
 

Nets vs Sixers Game-1 Round 1 (April 15)  
8-Unit best bet on the Sixers minus the points 
 
Betting on home teams in the playoffs facing a 6th seed or higher seed that has the lower opponent effective field goal percentage during the regular season are 11-5-1 ATS for 69% winning bets. Also, seeds 1 through 4 in the first two games of a playoff series that have the better season-to-date effective field goal percentage are 72-51-1 ATS for 59% winners since 2017. Moreover, the top-4 seeds in the first two games of a playoff round are favored by 6 to 10 points and have the higher effective field goal percentage is 38-17-1 ATS for 69% winners since 2017.  
The 76ers had the third-highest scoring fourth-quarter scoring differential in the NBA this season. Playoff home favorites that outscored their foes by an average of 1.75 or more PPG in the fourth stanza are 87-58-2 ATS for 60% winners. Overall, the 76ers went 54-28 SU and an impressive 48-34 ATS for 59% winning bets and in home games went 29-12 SU and 25-16 ATS for 61% winning bets this season.  

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat 
8-Unit Best Bet on the Chicago Bulls plus the points. I lik betting this matchup with a 70% bet preflop on the Bulls plus the current points available. Then during the first half of action only, look to add 15% more at 7.5 and 16% more at 9.5 points. 
 
From my predictive models, we are looking for the Bulls to score 111 or more points and to have the same or fewer turnovers than the Heat. In past games in which the Bulls met or exceeded these performance measures has led to a 17-9 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. When Miami has been home they are 4-20 ATS for 17% when having more turnovers and allowing 111 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.  
 

Chicago Bulls vs Toronto Raptors 
8-Unit best bet on the Bulls plus the 5.5 points 
 
Live In-Game Strategy 
Bet 80% of your 8-Unit betting amount on the Bulls preflop, then add 15% more at 8.5 points preflop and then 5% on the money line if the in=game betting line moves to +10 or higher during the first half of action only.  
 
Situational Betting System 

The following betting system has produced exceptional and consistent results for many seasons sporting a 16-10 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past five seasons Betting on any team that has held their last three opponents to more than 30 points below the opponents’ team total and has win percentage between 40 and 49% in games played in the last 20 games of the season and playoffs.  

Toronto won their last game of the regular season 121-105 over the Milwaukee Bucks, who were resting starters and really had no interest in the game. However, this trend does get my attention knowing that Raptors Nick Nurse is just 19-36 ATS in home games following a double-digit win.  

Player Prop Best Bet 

Tyler Hero Over 29.5 -112 at FanDuel Points, Assists, Rebounds 

76ers vs Bucks 
10-Unit best bet on the 76ers plus the points 

LIVE Betting Strategy 
If you will be watching this game, then the following strategy is recommended. Place 50% of your 10-Unit bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at Sixers plus 7.5 points and 25% more at Sixers plus 10.5 points.  
 
Betting on winning record underdogs that are facing a winning record host that is fresh off a 20 or more-point loss priced as the favorite has earned a highly profitable 18-10 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons and a 40-22 ATS mark good for 65% winning bets over the past 15 seasons.  
In Thursday's 41-point home loss, Giannis Antetokounmpo posted a -32 plus-minus, his worst in any game of his career. Prior to this game, Antetokounmpo posted a -30 or worse plus-minus twice with a -31 against the Indiana Pacers on December 12, 2018, and a -31 against the LA Clippers March 29, 2021.  

The 76ers have won two straight games, covered the spread in three consecutive games. The Bucks are on a 4-game Over streak. Bucks are 13-25 when facing a team that has won 60 to 70% of their gamers on the season in games played over the past three seasons; 5-17 ATS when facing a team that has outscored their opponents by at least an average 3 PPG in games played in the second half of each of the past two seasons.  

From the predictive model, the 765ers are 31-4 SU and 24-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in road games, scoring 117 or more points, and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots spanning the past three seasons.  
 

NBA 10-Unit 5% Max Bet of the Month 
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns 
10-Unit best bet on the Phoenix Suns –5.5 points.  
5-Unit bet Over the posted total, currently priced at 235 points. An alternative wager is to bet 70% of your 5-unit amount at the current price preflop and then look to add 30% more at 226.5 points during the first half only. The higher the total, the greater the potential scoring volatility can be in an NBA game. I do not recommend a parlay unless you do it with pizza money amounts. 
 
The Suns are 19-6 ATS for 76% winning bets coming off a game shooting less than 43% from the field and facing a foe that is coming off a sharp shooting game hitting more than 50% from the field over the past five seasons.  

Betting on favorites that are taking on a foe that is ocming off two road upset wins and has won 50 to 60% of their games on the season has gone 69-33-2 ATS for 68% winning bets since 1996. This system has had just one losing season, going 3-2 ATS in 1999. 

Betting the Over with a home team that has posted an excellent 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio in each of their last three games and facing a foe that has trouble moving the ball and taking care of it as reflected by an assist-to-turnover ratio under 2 for the season has earned a 28-13-1 Over record good for 68.3% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the home team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record has earned a 20-7-1 mark for 74% winning bets. If the road team is playing on one day of rest, the Over record soars to 20-6-1 record for 77% winning bets. 

Magic vs Grizzlies
8-Unit bet on the Grizzlies minus the 7 points
Betting on home teams that are on a five or more-game win streak and defeated the current opponent in their previous same-season meeting, has won between 60 and 70% of their games on the season and facing a foe that has won betw3een 40 and 50% of their games on the season has earned a solid 11-5 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons and 38-17-3 ATS for 69% winning bets since 1996.

From the predictive model, Memphis is 90-21-1 ATS when scoring at least 115 points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played since 2018. The Magic are 24-76 ATS for 24% when allowing 115 or more points and with the foe having the better assist-to-turnover ratio since 2018.

Heat vs Raptors
8-Unit best bet on the Miami Heat plus the 3.5 points
Betting on road teams that are coming off a double-digit home loss and lost to the current foe in their previous same-season meeting have gone a solid 162-100-3 ATS record for 62% winning bets over the past 7 seasons and 107-64-2 ATS over their past five seasons. This set of parameters has produced profits for nine consecutive seasons.

From the predictive model, the Heat are 44-5 ATS for 90% winning bets when scoring 110 or more points and holding their opponent to 46% or lower shooting in games played over the past five seasons.

Celtics vs Wizards
8-Unit bet on the Celtics minus the 11.5 points
Betting on road favorites that are coming off a 20 or more-point win and facing a foe that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a solid 79-42-2 ATS for 65.3 % winning bets since 2015. If the game is taking place after the all-star break the record has gone 34-18 ATS for 65.4% winning bets and if after the break and priced as double-digit favorites 7-3 ATS for 70% winning bets. 

From the predictive model the Celtics are 80-18-2 ATS for 82% winners when scoring 117 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past five seasons.

New Orleans vs Portland

8-Unit Bet OVER the posted total currently at 226.5 points
Betting the OVER with a total between 220 and 229.5 points with one of the teams, New Orleans, having led at the half by five or more points at the half in each of their past three games and facing a foe that has allowed 115 or more points in each of their past two games has produced a 48=25=3 Over record good for 65.8% winning bets. If the team has won each of their past three games that they led at the half by five or more points, the OVER improves to 36-15 OVER for 71% winning bets. 

Houston Rockets vs NY Knicks
8-Unit bet on the Rockets plus the 12.5 points

Betting on teams that have lost their last three games all on the road and playing on back-to-back nights has gone 52-22-1 ATS for 70.3% winners over the past 7 seasons. If our weary team is facing a team with a winning record, they soar to 24-8 ATS for 75% winning bets. 

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers
8-Unit best bet on the Mavericks +1 point or the money line whichever is cheaper for you.
Betting on teams that are coming off back-to-back losses priced as the favorite and facing a foe that that lost to in the previous same-season meeting, priced between the 3’s and with a total between 225 and 235 points have gone 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets since 2017. 

Chicago vs Portland 
8-Unit best bet on the Bulls minus 2 points 
Betting on losing record favorites after going under the total by 30 or more points in total spanning their last three games, facing a losing record foe, and with the game occurring in the second half of the season has earned a 62-30-1 ASTS record for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our losing record favorite is on the road, the record goes to 23-7-1 ATS for 77% winning bets over the past five seasons.  

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings 
8-Unit best bet on the Suns plus 4.5 points 
Betting on teams that have failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, has a winning record and taking on a winning record opponent has produced a 189-125-6 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the past five seasons. If the total is 235 or more points, our team improves to 15-6 ATS for 75% winning bets.