Heat vs Celtics

7:00 ET | TNT | TD Garden

8-unit bet on the UNDER currently priced at 203 points

Consider betting 70% preflop on the Under and then look to bet the remaining 30% at 209.5 points during the first half of action. 

The Celtics made 19 three-pointers in Game 1 and they have been arguably the best three-point shooting team in NBA history. However, even these historic shooting teams are prone to regression after a big shooting game. Double-digit favorites that made 19 or more three-pointers in a playoff game have seen the Under go 6-1 for 86% winning bets. Moreover, the Under is 38-28 in playoffs games priced at 205 or fewer points since 2017, which was the start of the steady rise in scoring in the NBA. Since 2019 the Under is 14-8 when priced at 205 or fewer points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 10-2 Under (86%) record over the past 15 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet Under with a total of 200 or more points.

·       The home team is an excellent three-point shooting team making 37.5% or more of those shots on the season.

·       The home team made 19 or more three-pointers in their previous game.

·       The opponent makes between 33 and 37.5% of their three-point shots on the season.

Mavericks vs Clippers

3:30 ET | ABC | Crypto.com Arena

8-Unit Bet OVER priced at 222.5 points.

No sport has demonstrated completely different styles of games between the regular and the post season than the NBA. In the playoffs, players will play in games despite nagging injuries and the matchups see both teams bringing their best efforts. So, allow the scoring volatility to work for you,. Especially when playing totals. In this game I suggest betting 60% preflop at 222.5 points and then look to add 15% more at 218.5 points and 15% more at 215.5 points.

The Clippers have some major locker room issues right now and the rumors that Paul George cannot wait to get out of that locker room and join the 76ers next season are getting quite loud. However, this is the playoffs and their opponent, the Dallas Mavericks, have been playing great basketball in the second half of this season.

218-point totals have become the pivot point for the NBA playoffs. Home underdogs with a total of 218 or more points in a first-round matchup have seen the Over go 27-17 for 61.4% winners.

The following NBA betting algorithm has posted a 47-29 Over record good for 62% winning bets since 2017. The requirements are:

·       Bet Over in a game with a total of 220 or more points.

·       The home team has lost to the spread in two or more consecutive games.

·       The home team is playing with three or more days of rest.

If the game occurs in the playoffs, these home teams have seen the Over go 7-2 for 78% winning bets since 2017, which was the year that NBA scoring began its meteoric rise.

From my predictive mode we are expecting the Mavericks to score at least 113 points and for the Mavericks to have fewer turnovers than the Clippers. In past games since 2019, the Over has gone 82-32 for 72% winning bets when the Mavericks met those performance measures. The Clippers have seen the Over produce a 72-19-4 record good for 79% winning bets when they have allowed 113 or more points and committed more turnovers than their opponent.

Heat vs Celtics

1 ET | ABC | TD Garden

8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 209 points.

Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 30% more at 216.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 27-14-2 Under record good for 66% winning bets over the past 7 seasons (since 2017). The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in games with a total less than 218 points.

·       The road team is priced as five or greater-point underdog.

·       The road team is avenging two previous losses.

·       The total price is 2.5% greater than the average points scored by the road team in their road game plus the average points that the home team allows in their home games.

Look at this rather complex algorithm as taking the standard deviation and scoring variant of these two teams and that when the market has over priced those quotients by more than 2.5%, the Under has won the money in 66% of the games.

Of note too is the fact that double-digit favored #1 seeds in the first round of the NBA playoffs have gone 55-5 SU (92%) and 35-24-1 ATS for 59%. Drilling deeper into the data, double-digit #1 seeds playing game one of a first round series have gone 16-1 SU and 11-6 ATS and 11-5-1 Under since 2004.

The Heat play one of the slowest-paced styles of game in the NBA averaging just 85 shot attempts per game. The Celtics rank 8th fastest averaging 90 shots per game. However, the Celtics have one of the best defenses per possession in the NBA. The Celtics rank 5th in scoring defense allowing 109.2 PPG and the Heat because of their slower style rank 2nd allowing 108.1 PPG. Both teams play suffocating defenses without generating a large amount of fouls. The Celtics rank best in the NBA allowing 17.3 free throws per game while the Heat rank third-best allowing 19 free throws per game.

The Under has gone 512-206-20 for 71% winning bets in games in which both teams attempt less than 40 free throws. My predictive model projects an 85% probability that there will be fewer than 40 free throws attempted in this game.

Pistons vs 76ers

7:00 ET | Wells Fargo Center

8-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 222.5 points and is valid to 224.5 points

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 47-23-1 Over record good for 67.1% winning bets over the past seven seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Over with the home team favored by at least 7.5 points.

·       The home team had 2 or more players scoring 25 or more points in their previous game.

·       The home team is playing on fewer days of rest than their foe.

Maxey scored a career-high 52 points and Oubre had 26 points in the 76ers double-overtime win against the Spurs in their previous game.

Magic vs Pelicans

8 ET | Smoothie King Center

8-Unit bet on the UNDER priced at 208.5 points and is valid to 206.5 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to get the remaining 30% betting amount booked at 211.5 or more points during the first half of action.

The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 58-36-1 UNDER for 62% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·       Bet on the UNDER that is priced between 205 and 219.5 points.

·       The home team allowed more than 100 points in each of their previous two games.

·       The home team is outscoring their foes by 3 to 7 PPG.

·       The opponent has posted a scoring differential between -3 and +3 PPG.

If the Under is priced between 205 and 214.5 points the record improves to 24-13-1 for 65% winning bets and if our team has posted an effective FG% of 50% and higher, the Under goes to 23-12-1 for 66% winning bets.

Georgia vs Seton Hall

NIT Semifinals | Hinkle Fieldhouse | Indianapolis

8-Unit bet on the OVER priced at 145 points and is valid to 146.5 points.

These two teamsd are playing at Hinkle Fieldhouse which will provide different site lines for the players on these teams. I have seen many games go under at this venue in the NCAA Tournament over the years. So, to hedge that a bit, consider betting 70% preflop and then look to get the remaining 30% at a price of 141.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NCAAB situational team and head coach trends support this bet on the OVER.

·       Georgia is 14-2 Over in road games and are coming off a game away from home (neutral or away).

·       Georgia is 16-4 Over when coming off a win away from home (neutral or away) by three or fewer points.

·       Georgia is 8-1 OVER after having won four or five of their last six games spanning the past two seasons.

·       Head coach Holloway is 17-4 Over for his career after his teams had won four or five of their last six games.

·       Head coach White is 8-1 Over after winning four or five of his team’s last six games.

·       White is 37-17-2 OVER after covering the spread in two or more of his previous games for his career.

From my predictive model, Georgia is projected to score 74 or more points and make 9 or more 3-pointers. In past games in which Georgia met these measures has seen the Over go 20-5 for 80% winning bets since 2019.

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add 25% more at 159.5 points during the first half of action. This game will take on the same look that the Alabama vs UNC game did where they got off to a meteoric pace, which allowed us to get all four in-game pieces of the total booked with the highest one being at 189.5 points. So, allow the scoring chaos to work in your favor.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 58-24 Under record good for 71% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under the total priced between 150 and 159.5 points.

·       The game is played in a neutral court setting.

·       One of the teams (Illinois) is coming off an upset win.

·       That team is priced as a 3.5 or more-point underdog.

Here’s a snapshot of some key metrics for both teams:

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at 147.5 points and the remaining 15% at 149.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 45-23-1 UNDER record good for 66% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Tennessee) has allowed 60 or fewer points in two straight games.

If the team is favored, the Under has gone 24-11-1 good for 69% winning bets.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has earned a 21-9 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under the total priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Tennessee) is coming off a game in which they shot 36% or worse form the field.

4-seed Alabama vs 1-seed UNC

9:39 CBS | Crypto Arena, LA

8-Unit bet UNDER the total of 173.5 points and is valid to 170 points.

Scoring volatility is going to be scorching at times during the first half of action between these teams. So, consider betting 60% preflop and then look to add 10% more of your 8-Unit betting amount at 176.5 points, 10% more at a 179.5 points, 10% more at 181.5 points and the final 10% amount at 184.5 points. I also do not recommend a parlay, as I rarely bet them, because you will make more money if you simply bet these opportunities individually over the course of a season. The exception to that rule is when I get two significant MLB dogs of +150 or more where I will take 2-Units and parlay them using the money lines.  With that said be sure to get on board the MLB full season package, which is on sale now on the web site for 40% off the regular price.

In the NCAA Tournament, totals of 165 and more have gone 12-4 Under since 2014. The crypto arena is an NBA stadium where the Lakers and the Clippers call home. The venue is significantly bigger than where these two teams are accustomed to playing and with that change the player’s site lines change. Many times players do find it hard to find their shooting touches from range and lends itself to seeing the Under win the money.

The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced an 86-49-1 Under record good for 64% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

ü  Bet Under in a neutral site game.

ü  The total is between 140 and 149.5 points.

ü  One of the teams led by 20 or more points at the half of their previous game.

If the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament the Under has gone 11-3 for 79% winning bets. If the foe (Texas) is not ranked and the game occurs in the NCAA Tournament, the Under has gone 67-30-1 for 70% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

The Matchup Preview and Things to Watch
Texas Longhorns

Round of 64 Results: Texas showcased their defensive prowess by defeating Colorado State with a score of 56-44. The Longhorns’ defense was the highlight, with Dylan Disu leading the scoring with 12 points and Tyrese Hunter making a significant impact despite scoring only 8 points.

Key Players: Keep an eye on Max Abmas, who leads the team with an average of 17.1 points per game. His matchup against Tennessee’s defense, particularly against Zakai Zeigler, will be critical.

Tennessee Volunteers

Round of 64 Results: Tennessee had a commanding 83-49 victory over Saint Peter’s, asserting their dominance early on and maintaining it throughout the game.

Key Players: Dalton Knecht, the SEC’s player of the year, and Santiago Vescovi, known for his three-point shooting, are the players to watch. Their performance against Texas’ defense, especially against the likes of Tyrese Hunter, will be pivotal.

Matchup to Watch: The defensive strategies of both teams will be under the spotlight, with Texas’ Tyrese Hunter and Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler both being key defensive players for their respective teams.

8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 128.5 points and is valid to 126.5 points.

Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% more at 131.5 and the remaining 15% at 135.5 points during the first half of action.  

The following NCAA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 15-6-1 Under record good for 71% winning bets in the last 10 NCAA Tournaments. The requirements are:

ü  Bet the Under with a team that won their conference Championship (Iowa Sate).

ü  That Champion is facing a team that did not win their conference championship.

ü  The total is priced between 120 and 137 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 144.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games.

·       The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament.

·       The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games.

The following betting algorithm has produced an 89-52 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Auburn) is coming off a double-digit win over a conference rival.

·       Both teams have won 60 to 80% of their games.

If the team is playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 73-41-1 for 64%. If both teams are playing on 4 or fewer days of rest, the Under has gone 65-35-1 for 65% winning bets.

Matchup Analysis:

Keep in mind when playing totals that many of these mid-majors, like Yale will be playing in significantly larger arenas with different site lines than they are accustomed to at their quaint 2 to 5 thousand capacity venues. The Unders have performed very well when college basketball teams of any stature play in the football stadiums like the Luke Oil in Indianapolis, for instance. More on these developments in the rounds ahead.

The following NBA Sports betting algorithm has produced a 58-12 SU (83%) and a 46-23-1 Over record good for 67% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are:

ü  Bet on home favorites of 7.5 or more points.

ü  That home team had two players score 25 or more points in their previous game.

ü  That home team is playing on fewer days of rest.

If the total is priced between 205 and 214.5 points, the Over has gone a near-perfect 5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets.

MOREHEAD ST (26 - 8) vs. ILLINOIS (26 - 8)

3:10 EST | TRU TV | CHI Health Center, Omaha

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 147.5 points and is valid to 145.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 30% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Both teams have near the best predictive scoring variance in their respective conferences, and both have more consistent first half scoring than second half. So, it stands to reason that these teams will get out to faster than expected start and the total will rise into the 150’s at some point during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 23-14-2 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       One of the teams (Morehead) has won 12 of their last 15 games.

·       The game takes place in the NCAA Tournament.

·       The opponent (Illinois) has won 15 or more of their past 20 games.

Both teams meet the requirements of this system.

Nuggets vs Wolves

9 ET |NBA TV | target Center
5-Unit bet on the Over priced at 212.5 points.

Be sure to get the March Madness subscription covering you through the Championship Game and including all NCAA Tournaments for just $200 or 5%0 off last year’s price.

Or get the rest of March Free by paying for April and get All Access covering every sport through April 30, 2024. Why should you do this? Ryan is ranked in the Top-5 OVERALL Cappers here at SportsCapping and has been doing this with us since 2004.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 38-14 SU and 20-21-1 ATS and a solid 33-18-1 Over record good for 65% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

ü  Bet the Over.

ü  The road team is favored. (Denver is favored by 7.5 points)

ü  That road team has played three consecutive games in which they posted a 2.5 or higher assists-to-turnover ratio.

ü  The host has posted a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio that is below 2.00. (Wolves have posted a 1.844 assist-to-turnover ratio ranking 22nd)

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 72-65 SU and 60-75-2 ATS record and a solid 83-5-3 Over record good for 62% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are:

ü  Bet Over the total when it is 210 or more points.

ü  The home team is playing on back-to-back nights.

ü  The home team has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games.

If the opponent (Denver) has a different starting five then in their previous game, the Over improves to 36-17 for 68% winning bets.

Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 154.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting.

·       The total is priced between 140 and 150 points.

·       A team (Wisconsin) is avenging a same-season loss in which the foe (Illinois) scored 85 or more points.

Iowa State vs Houston

6 ET

10-Unit Max Bet Over the posted total currently priced at 122 points and is valid to 123.5 points.

Big 12 Tournament Championship:

The top two teams in the Big 12 conference face off in the championship game: Iowa State Cyclones and Houston Cougars. Both teams have been on fire recently, winning 17 of their last 18 games. Houston boasts the nation’s third-longest active winning streak with 11 consecutive wins. Iowa State and Houston share similarities defensively. They both rank in the top five for near-shot proximity allowed (per Haslametrics).Additionally, they excel in their ball screen coverages on the perimeter, disrupting opponents’ ball handlers. Keep an eye on Iowa State point guard Keshon Gilbert, who ranks 11th in the Big 12 for percentage of possessions and 15th in assist rate.However, facing Houston’s Jamal Shead, who leads the country in Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating, Gilbert may have a tougher time distributing assists. In the regular-season meetings, Gilbert had four-plus assists against Houston, but we’re intrigued by the plus-money value for him to have three or fewer assists in the tournament final. 

The Sports Betting Algorithm

The following betting algorithm has produced a 21-6 Over record good for 78% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Over that is priced between 120 and 129.5 points.

·       One of the teams (ISU) has allowed 65 or fewer points in each of their three previous games.

·       The opponent (Houston) has won each of their last three games by double-digits.

From my predictive models we are expecting both teams to attempt a combined total of 115 or more shots and make at least 75% of their free throws. The Over is 19-2 in Houston games and 11-3 Over in Iowa State games when these measures are met or exceeded.

“Bet with your head and Never Over it and May all the Wins be Yours!”

Consider betting 75% of your 8-Unit betting amount preflop and then look to add 25% more at 129.5 points during the first half of action.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 74-49-3 Over record good for 60% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Over in a neutral court setting.

·       The Over is priced between 130 and 139.5 points.

·       A team (Duquesne) has seen the total play Under by 54 or more points spanning their previous 10 games.

If the team is favored then the Over improves to a highly profitable17-7-1 ATS for 71% winning bets.

From the predictive model, we are expecting Duquesne to shoot 46 or better from the field, make 78% or more of their free throws, and commit no more than 13 turnovers. The Over is a perfect 10-0 in previous games in which Duquesne met or exceeded these measures. St. Bonaventure is expected to shoot 46% or better form the field. In past games that the Bonnies have played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 16-0. In past games that Duquesne has played and both they and their opponent shot 46% or better from the field, the Over has gone 32-4. In game played involving Duquesne in which both teams shot 46% or better from the field and those teams combined for no more than 25 turnovers has seen the OVER produce an 18-2 record and in game involving the Bonnies the Over has produced a 14-0 record.

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% more at a price of 149.5 points and 20% more at 152.5 points during the first half of action. Betting all your 8-Unit amount preflop is always a sound strategy and I provide the live betting strategy as an added extra.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 27-13 SU (68%) SU record and a 24-15-1 ATS mark for 62% and an impressive 28-10-2 Under record good for 74% winning bets. The requirements are:

·       Bet the Under in a neutral court setting that is priced between 140 and 149.5 points.

·       After game number 15.

·       One of the teams (Nebraska) is averaging between 74 and 78 PPG.

·       That team scored 45 or more points in the first half of their previous game.

·       That team is facing a foe that is allowing an average of 67 to 74 PPG.

Over the past three seasons this algorithm is 8-2 Under for 80% winning bets.

Pacers vsThunder 

8:00 ET | Paycom Center 

8-Unit Bet Under 240.5 points. 

Consider betting 60% Under preflop and then look to add 20% more at 244.5 points and 20% more at 247.5 points. With a total above 240 the game’s scoring volatility is expected to be quite high and ought to provide a solid opportunity to get the two Live bets on the books during the first half of action. 

The Sports Betting Algorithms 

The following betting algorithm has produced a80-30-3 Under mark for 73% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under. 

One of the teams is coming off a 20 or more-point home win.  

In that win they held the foe to 7+ fewer points than their season scoring average. 

The opponent is coming off a double-digit road win. 

The total is greater than the opponent’s season total average. 

The matchup is a non-divisional fray. 

The following betting algorithm has produced a 39-17-1 Under mark for 70% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under with a total of 230 or more points. 

One of the teams is coming off two consecutive home wins. 

The opponent is coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points. 

San Francisco vs Gonzaga

11:30 ET | ESPN2 | Orleans Arena, Las Vegas

West Coast Conference Semifinals

8-Unit bet Over the posted total of 149.5 points and is valid to 151.5 points.

Consider betting 50% of your 8-Unit Best Bet preflop and then look to add 25% more at 145.5 points, and 25% more at 142.5 points during the first half of action.

Gonzaga is 26-19 Over following a game in which they allowed less than 40% shooting and shot better than 50% from the field. They have seen the Over go 17-10 over the past five seasons following a game in which they shot better than 50% and with the current game less than 150 points.

San Fran is 35-25 Over for 58% in games with a total of less than 150 points and coming off a game in which they allowed 45% or lower shooting since 2019. IN games against Gonzaga with a total less than 150 points, San Fran has seen the Over go 8-4 for 67% since 2014.

Gonzaga head coach Mark Few is 65-50 Over in all March games; 16-5 Over in road and neutral games coming off an upset win as an underdog.

From my predictive models, Gonzaga has an 83% probability of scoring 80 or more points, shoot at least 49% from the field, and make 78% or more of their free throws. In past games over the last five seasons Gonzaga is 23-1 SU, 12-8 ATS, and 16-4 Over when scoring 80 or more points against San Fran. The Over has posted a highly profitable 13-4 Over record good for 77% winning bets when they have allowed 80 or more points and allowed higher than 49% shooting in games played over the past five seasons.

Suns vs Cavaliers

7:30 ET | Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
8-Unit Bet on the Suns -6.5 points and is valid to -7.5 points

The following betting algorithm has produced a 374-142 SU (73%) SU record and a 316-189-11 ATS mark for 63% winning bets since 1997. The requirements are:

·       Bet on a road team from the Western Conference avenging a same-season loss.

·       That road team is favored between -1.5 and -11 points.

·       The host is from the Eastern Conference.

If the road team is playing on one or more days and the host is playing the second of back-to-back days, the road team’s record improves to 42-14 SU (75%) SU record and a 36-19-1 ATS mark for 65.5% winning bets since 1997.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 96-48-2 Under record good for 67% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are:

« Bet the Under during the regular season.

« The road team is playing their last road game of a three-game road trip.

« That road team has won at least one of their last two games.

« That road team has won 60% or more of their games.

« The opponent is coming off a home game.

If the combined days of rest by each team is one or none, the Under then has produced an exceptional 26-11 record good for 71% winning bets.

North Florida vs Austin Peay
Atlantic Sun Tournament - Quarterfinals

8 ET | ESPN+ | F&M Bank Arena

8-Unit bet on the Under 146 points and is valid down to 144.5 points.

NFU is 27-14 Under in games with a total priced between 140 and 149.5 points spanning the past three seasons; 18-6 Under in road games where the total is priced between 140 and 149.5 points spanning the previous three seasons; 13-4 Under in road games following a game in which they made 13 or more 3-point shots in games played over the past three seasons.

From the predictive model, NFU has seen the Under go 10-3 for 77% winning bets when allowing 75 or fewer points and getting between 34 and 39 rebounds in games played over the past 5 seasons.

Purdue vs Illinois

7:00 ET | Peacock | State Farm Center

8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 163.5 points and valid to 161.5 points

The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned 24-14 Under mark good for 64% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are:

« Bet the Under when it is priced between 160 and 169.5 points.

« The home and road teams are dominant rebounding teams out rebounding their foes by at least 6 boards per game.

« The game occurs after game number 15

The following NCAA Basketball betting system has earned an 18-8 Under mark good for 70% winning bets since 2007. The requirements are:

« Bet the Under in games with the total priced between 160 and 159.5 points.

« One of the teams (Purdue) is on a three-game Over streak.

« Both teams’ defenses allow between 67 and 74 PPG.

« The game take place in the second half of the season after game number 15.

Grizzlies vs Nets 

7:30 PM EST | Barclays Center 

8-Unit bet on the Under currently priced at 208.5 points 

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 35-22-1 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are: 

Bet the Under. 

The road team has lost 60% or more of their games. 

The road team is avenging a same-season loss to the host. 

The road teams average points scored in their road games added to the average points scored at home by the home team is 2.5% higher than the current total. 

The home team has seen the Under win 40% or more of their home games. 

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to add 15% at 234.5 points and then 237.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NBAA Basketball betting algorithm has produced a 79-30-3 record for 72% winning bets since 1995. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Under in a divisional matchup.

·      A team last played at home and won by 20 or more points.

·      That team held their previous opponent to 7 or more points less than their season average.

·      The current foe last played on the road and won by double digits.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 18-8 Under for 70% winners since 2017, which was the season when NBA scoring started to climb rapidly The requirements are:

·      Bet the Under with the dog priced between 2.5 and 6.5 points.

·      That dog won 41 or fewer games last season.

·      The favorite did post a winning record last season.

·      The favorite is coming off a road win scoring 125 or fewer points.

·      The combined days of rest between the two teams is no more than a single day.

Hawks vs Nets

7:30 ET | Barclays Center

8-Unit bet Under 222.5 points and is valid to 220.5 points.  

Consider betting 70% preflop and then look to exploit the scoring volatility of the game and add 15% more at 224.5 and 15% more at 227.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 130-127 record for 51% SU record and 134-119-4 ATS mark good for 53%  and 150-97-10 Under for 61% winning bets since 2017. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Under where the road is avenging a same-season loss.

·      The average points scored in road games by the road team added to the average points scored in home games by the home team is 2.5% greater than the posted total.

·      The home team has seen the Under win at least 40% of their games played.

Iona vs Mount St. Mary’s

2:00 ET | ESPN+

8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 145.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.

The following NCAAB algorithm has earned a n 85-53 record good for 62% over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet the under when priced between 143 and 152 points.

·      The home team has lost the spread by 52 or more points spanning their previous 10 games.

·      The visitor has seen their last five games play Over the total by 30 or more points.

Georgetown vs DePaul
6:00 ET | CBSSN | Wintrust Arena

8-Unit Bet on the Under priced at 150 points and is valid to 148.5 points

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has gone 90-42 Under for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Under in a game priced between 145 and 150 points.

·      The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

·      The opponent has seen their last five games play Over the total by 35 or more points.

Georgetown is 18-7 Under when facing a team that is allowing 45% shooting in games played in the second half spanning the past 10 seasons. DePaul is 29-12-1 Under after having three consecutive games in which they forced 11 or fewer turnovers in each game.

LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies

8 EST | FedEx Forum

8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 223.5 points and is valid to 221.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 41-17 Under record for 71% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on the Under.

·      The road team has won no more than one of their last two games.

·      The road team is playing the last game of a three-game road trip.

·      The road team has won 60% or more of their games.

·      The foe is playing their third straight home game.

If the game occurs in the second half of 22-7 record for 76% winning bets.

Clippers are 11-2 Under when facing a Southwest Divisional member this season; 14-4 Under in games where the total has been 220 or more points. Memphis head coach Jenkins is 43-18 Under when facing a team shooting 48% or better form the field in the second half of the season.

LA Clippers vs OKC Thunder

8 EST | Paycom Center
8-Unit bet on the Under priced at 235.5 points and is valid to 332.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a highly profitable 107-37-2 record for 74% winning bets since 2016. The requirements are:

§  Bet the Under with a total higher than the home team’s average total for the season.

§  The matchup features two teams having won 60% of their games on the season.

§  That team is playing just their third game having 7 or more days of rest in total.

If the game takes place after the all-star break the under has gone 64-19-2 for 77% winning bets since 2016.

Purdue vs Ohio State

1 ET | CBS | Value City Arena

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 145.5 points and is valid down to 142.5 points.

This game is expected to feature scoring runs by both teams and there will be intervals where the teams are combining to score 5 or more points per minute spanning three minutes. Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% at 149.5 points and 15% more at 153.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NCAA betting algorithm has produced an 26-21 SU record and 24-23 ATS record  and 31-16 Under good for 66% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

ü  Bet the under with a price between 143 and 152.

ü  The home team has failed to cover the spread by 55 to 65 points over their previous 10 games.

ü  The visitor has seen their last five games play Over by 35 or more points.

If the game occurs after the 15th of the season, the Under has produced a 28-11 record good for 72% winning bets since 2006.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

8 ET | FedEx Forum
8-Unit Bet Under the total priced at 240.5 and is valid to 237.5 points.

Consider betting 70% Under preflop and then look to add 15% more at 244.5 and 15% more at 247.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 36-16-1 Under record good for 69% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

ü  Bet Under in games with a total price of 230 or more points.

ü  One of the teams (Mavs) is coming off back-to-back home wins.

ü  The road team is coming off a road win scoring 110 or more points.

If our team (Mavs) is playing again at home the Under soars to a 23-8 record good for 74% winning bets over the past 5 seasons.

Minnesota Wolves vs LA Clippers

10 ET | Crypto Arena

8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 224.5 points and is valid to 222.5 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop on the Under and then look to add 15% more of your 8-Unit amount at 228.5 points and 15% more at 233.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 106-70-5 record good for 60% winning bets since 1996. The requirements are:

ü  Bet on the Under in a game where the home team’s previous total was 12 or more points higher than the current total price in their past two games.

ü  The home team is favored between 3.5 and 9.5 points.

ü  The home team has won at least 60% of their games on the season.

If the opponent’s rest is greater than the home team’s test the Under has gone 22-10-1 Under for 69% winning bets.

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

8 ET | NBA TV

8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 231.5 points and is valid to 229.5 points.

Consider betting 70% preflop on the Under and then look to add 15% more of your 8-Unit amount at 235.5 points and 15% more at 239.5 points during the first half of action.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 20-8 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019 and 77-40-1 Under for 66% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

ü  Bet on the Under in a matchup of teams that have won 60% or more of their games on the season.

ü  The total is higher than the road teams’ average total for the season.

ü  The road team is playing their third game with 4 or more days of rest.

Queens NC vs Lipscomb

8 ET

8-Unit bet on the Under currently at 168 points and is valid to 165.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced an exception record going 21-5 UNDER for 71% winning bets. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in a game with a total of 165 points.

Ø  One of the teams (Lipscomb) has had 33 or fewer turnovers over their last four games.

If that team is favored and the total is 160 or more points the Under has produced a 26-14 record for 65% winning bets.

Bradley vs Evansville
8 ET | ESPN+ | Ford Center

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 143.5 points and is va.id to 141.5 points.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games.

Georgia Southern vs South Alabama

8 ET | ESPN+ | Mitchell Center, Mobile, AL

8-Unit Bet on the Under 151.5 points and is valid to 149.5 points.

Here is a Free glance at type of unique and highly profitable research my subscribers get every day for every play I release. Check it out and then check the special discounted subscription I started offering today for the rest of the College Basketball season covering you through the NCAA Championship game.

The following NCAAB betting algorithm has produced a 90-55 Under record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total between 143 and 151 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The road team, has seen the total play Over by 30 or more points spanning their previous five games.

If the game is taking place in the second half of the regular season, the Under has produced a 76-43 record good for 64% winning bets.

From my predictive mode, we are looking to see South Alabama to shoot 45% or lower from the field and with both teams making fewer than 10 3-point shots. In lined games, the Under has gone 9-2 when South Alabama and GS has seen the Under go 9-0.when they have met or exceeded these performance measures.

Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets

Barclays Center | 7:30 ET | NBA TV

8-Unit Best Bet Under the posted total of 237.5 points and is valid down to 235 points.

The Warriors Stephen Curry scored 60 points, but that was not enough as they lost to the Atlanta Hawks on the road by a final score of 141-134 Saturday. He outscored the second and third highest scores by teammates by 43 points. Note that the Under is 22-10 for 69% winning bets following a game in which Curry was the high scorer by 21 or more points over the second and third highest teammates scores added together.

The following NBA betting algorithm has gone 59-25-2 for 70% winning Under bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under with a total of 210 or more points.

Ø  The home team is making 36.5% or more of their 3-point shots.

Ø  The game takes place in the second half of the season.

Ø  The Home team made 19 or more 3-point shots in their last game.

Ø  The foe allows 33 to 36.5% 3-point shooting.

If the total is 220 or more points, the Under has gone an impressive 45-17-2 for 73% winning bets.

Xavier vs DePaul

8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 150.5 points and is valid down to 148.5 points.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 157.5 points during the first half of action.

Eastern Michigan vs. Northern Illinois

8-Unit best bet on NIU -6 points and is valid to -8 points.

The line for this game is likely to get cheaper for us, so give this one a bit of patience and monitor it ahead of the tip.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 32-15-1 Under for 68% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under in games with a total of 148 or more points.

Ø  The home team is the underdog.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount NIU preflop and then look to add 20% more on NIU at -1.5 points during the first half of action.

Detroit Mercy vs Robert Morris

8-Unit best bet on the UNDER 144.5 points and is valid down to 143.5 points.

The following College Basketball betting algorithm has produced impressive results going 39-23 Under for 63% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet the Under between 143 and 152 points.

Ø  The home team has lost to the spread by 50 or more points spanning their last 10 games.

Ø  The guest has seen their last 10 games play OVER by 30 or more points.

If the home dog is priced between 3.5 and 9.5 points, the Under has gone 17-8 for 68% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

For live betting considerations place 80% of your 8-unit betting amount on the Under preflop and then look to add 20% more on the Under at 151.5 points during the first half of action.

Vanderbilt vs Auburn

Neville Arena, Auburn, AL

8-Unit bet Under the posted total of 142.5 points and is valid to 142.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 62-34 Under record for 65% winning bets since 2014. The requirements are:

Ø  Bet Under the total between 140 and 150.

Ø  The road team is coming off a double-digit loss.

Ø  The host is coming off a road upset loss.

If our road team is the underdog, the Under improves to a 56-27 record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Consider betting 70% preflop at 142.5 points and then at 15% more at 146.5 points and 15% more at 149.5 points during the first half of action.

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons
8-Unit bet on the OVER currently priced at 230.5 points.

5-Unit Bet on the Pistons -3 points and is valid up to -4.5 points.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% Over 230.5 and 15% Under at 227.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Over is the following algorithm that has gone 31-18-1 Over for 63% winning bets since 2018. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Over

·      The home team is coming off three excellent games posting a 2.5 or better assists to turnover ratio.

·      The guest has posted a season-to-date assists to turnover ratio below 2.

If the total in the game is between 225.5 and 239.5 points the Over has gone 16-7 for 70% winning bets since 2018.

If the team on with three straight games posting an excellent 2.5 or more assist to turnover ratio has lost their last two games has seen them go 10-3 SU and ATS for 77% wins and if on a three-game losing streak they have gone 5-1 SUATS.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

8-Unit bet on the Bucks minus the 6.5 points and is valid to 7.5 points.

After firing Adrian Griffin, the Milwaukee Bucks have reached out to Doc Rivers and are engaging him in conversations about the franchise's head-coaching job, sources told ESPN on Tuesday. Griffin had a 30-13 (.698) record, but the Bucks had dropped from fourth to 22nd in defensive efficiency from a season ago, although some of that can be attributed to the loss of All-Star guard Jrue Holiday.

So, a breath of fresh air and the removal of the uncertain status of their head coach has been removed from the team culture and many times this lends itself to an outstanding first game under the new head coach or even an interim coach.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 54-29 SU record and a 55-26-2 ATS mark for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on a team that has lost to the spread by a total of 47 or more points over their last seven games.

·      That team has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season.

·      The guest has a winning record.

If the game takes place in the second half of the season these teams have earned a 38-22 SU mark and 29-19-2 ATS mark good for 67.2% winning bets since 2019.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 33-19 SU record and a 34-17-1 ATS mark for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on a home team that has lost three or more games to the spread.

·      The visitor has covered the spread in 7 or more of their last 8 games.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks
8-Unit bet on the Mavericks plus the 2 points and is valid down to pick-em.

Consider betting 70% of your 8-unit bet preflop and then look to add the remaining 30% on two parts consisting of 15% on Dallas at +5.5 and 15% on Dallas at 9.5 points during the first half of action.

Supporting this bet on the Mavericks is the following algorithm that has gone 30-14-1 for 68% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:

·      Bet on underdogs between pick and 7.5 points.

·      That dog has allowed 115 or more points in each of their last five games.

·      The opponent has scored 115 or more points in each of their last two games.

OKC Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
5-Unit bet on the Thunder -7 points and is valid to -9.5 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced a 70-91 SU record and a 95-65-1 ATS mark good for 60% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road teams playing the second game of back-to-backs.

·      The road team has played Under by 48 or more points spanning their 10 previous games.

·      The host that has covered the spread by 54 or more points over their 10 previous games.

If our road team is playing on the second of back-to-back games they improve to 16-20 SU and 25-10-1 ATS for 71% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Jax State vs Middle Tennessee State
8-Unit bet on MTST at pick-em and is good to a -1.5-point favorite.

MTST is 40-19 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams making at least 45% of their shots after the 15th game of the regular since 1997; 24-11 ATS when facing solid defensive teams allowing 64 or fewer points per game; 15-4 ATS in home games following a conference game spanning the past three seasons; 26-12 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive road losses. JAX State head coach Harper is just 4-13 ATS when the total has been fewer than 130 points. MTST head coach McDevitt is 12-3 ATS after the 15th game of the season playing at home and facing a foe that is shooting 45% or better from the field.

Illinois vs Northwestern
8-Unit bet on Northwestern +3.5 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The following college basketball betting algorithm has produced a 158-91 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on home teams from pick-em to any size underdog.

·      Game is after the 15th game of the season.

·      The home team allows an average of 67 to 74 PPG.

·      Facing a foe that is averaging 78 or more PPG.

·      That foe is coming off two straight Over results.

Northwestern plays a bit slower style of game than Illinois and having the home court advantage will allow NWU to control the tempo of the game to their advantage. This is a critical game for Northwestern and with a win puts them into the coference champion conversation and off the NCAA bubble chat.

Auburn vs Alabama
8-Unit bet on Auburn plus the 3 points and is valid if they remain the underdog.

The line and total for this game conveys an 83-79 Alabama win. My predictive models show an 84% probability that Auburn will score 78 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers in this game. In past games in which Auburn met or exceeded these performance measures in their road games has seen them go 22-3 SU and 19-4-1 ATS for 83% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. Alabama is 7-9 SU and 2-14 ATS for 13% winners in home games when they allowed 78 or more points and had the same or more turnovers in games played over the past 10 seasons.

Carolina vs Boston
8-Unit bet on Carolina +115 using the money line
7:37 EST

The following NHL betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 52-30 record for 64% winners and has made 31 Units earning a 40% ROI in each of the past five seasons. The requirements are:

·      Bet on road teams using the money line.

·      That road team has played their two previous games at home.

·      The home team is playing their fifth consecutive home game.

Fairfield vs Manhattan
2:00 EST | ESPN+
Draddy Gymnasium, Riverdale, NY
8-Unit Bet on the Under 148.5 and is valid to 145,5 points.

Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to add 1-Unit at 155.5 points during the first half of action.

Betting the Under in a game with a total between 143 and 152 and the home team has failed to cover the spread by 50 or more points over their previous 10 games and facing a foe that has seen the total play OVER by 35 or more points over their previous five games has earned a 56-28 Under record good for 67% winning bets since 2016.

New Jersey Nets vs Portland Trailblazers
8-Unit Bet on the Under currently priced at 223 points and is valid to 220.5 points.

Portland is 9-1 Under when on the road and having failed to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games spanning the past two seasons. Portland is 27-13-1 Under in non-conference games over the past two seasons. Nets head coach Vaughn is 28-12 Under in road games and having lost four of their last five games for his career.

From the predictive models, we are expecting Portland to score 108 or fewer points and in past games when they have has seen the Under go 50-9-1 for 85% winning bets in home games over the past five seasons.

Timberwolves vs Pistons
5-Unit Bet on Timberwolves -11.5 points.
8-Unit Bet on the Under at 223 points and is valid down to 220.5 points

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons. This algorithm has earned a 144-92-8 Under record for 61% winning bets and if our team is the road favorite in the matchup, the Under has gone 66-33-5 for 67% winning bets and our team has gone 64-37-3 ATS for 63% winning bets since 2017.

One strategy would be to bet 75% of you 8-Unit bet size on the Under preflop and then look to get the remaining 25% booked at a price of 229.5 points during the first half of action. The side strategy would be not bet 2.5-Unit amount preflop and look to get the Timberwolves at -7.5 points for the remaining 2.5 units during the first half of action.

Consider betting 7 units Under preflop and then look to dd the remaining 3 units at 159.5 points during the first half of action.

From the predictive models we are looking for MSST to commit no more than 18 turnovers, score 70 or fewer points and hold Kentucky to 38% or worse from beyond the arc. In past games when they have achieved these measures has seen the Under go 41-6 for 87% winning bets over the past five seasons. The Under has gone 33-9 for 79% winning bets when Kentucky has shot no better than 37% from beyond the arc, allowed 70 or fewer points and forced 18 or fewer turnovers spanning the last five seasons.

Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee Tech
4:00 EST ESPN+ | Hooper Eblen Stadium
8-Unit Bet on the Under 146.5 points and is valid to 143.5 points.

Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Tennessee Tech head coach Pelphrey is 8-0 Under when coming off an upset double-digit win and is 11-2-1 Under coming off a road win by double-digits.

Oakland vs IUPU

2 EST | Indiana Farmers Coliseum
8-Unit best bet on the Under 143.5 and isa valid to 141.5 points.

Bet the under in games priced between 143 and 152 points, the home team has failed to cover the spread by 52 or more points over their last 5 games and facing a foe that has played Over the total by 29 or more points over their last 5 games has produced a 75-38 record for 61% winning bets over the past 20 seasons.

Oakland is 7-0 Under in road games following a close win by six or fewer points in games played over the past two seasons.

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat
8-Unit best Bet on the Under currently priced at 217.5 points.

Consider betting 6.5 units preflop and then look to add the remaining 1.5 units at 224.5 points during the first half of action.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has earned a 143-90 record good for 61% winning bets. If our team has won 40% or fewer of their games, the Under has gone 32-12-2 for 73% winners.

Hornets vs Heat
8-Unit Best bet on the Under currently at 222.5 points and is valid to 221.5 points.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has produced a 142-90-9 record good for 62% winning bets since 2017. If our team has a losing record, the Under has gone 52-22-4 for 70% winning bets since 2015.

Let’s bet the Under. Consider betting 6.5 Units preflop and the look to get the Under at 227.5 points during the first half of action only.

Pacers vs LA Lakers

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Under in a game with a total of 230 or more points coming off two consecutive home wins and facing a foe coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points has earned a solid 28-11-2 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019.

Lakers are 35-55 ATS following an ATS win over the past three seasons. They are 5-16 ATS after covering the spread in four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons.

New Orleans vs LA Lakers

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the Under currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Under in a game with a total of 230 or more points coming off two consecutive home wins and facing a foe coming off a road win in which they scored 110 or more points has earned a solid 28-11-2 Under record good for 72% winning bets since 2019.

Iowa vs Iowa State

9:00 ET

8-Unit Best Bet on the OVER currently priced at 231 points

Betting the Over in a game with a total priced between 150 and 159.5 with one of the teams allowing 77 or more PPG and with that team trailing at the half in their previous game by 20 or more points has produced a 55-32 record good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Heat vs Bulls
8:00 PM EST
8-Unit best Bet on the UNDER 208.5 points.

Bet UNDER where Team A is the road team, and seeking revenge, and the average road points by Team A + average points at home by Team B is greater than the total plus 2.5%, and where the host's home games has seen the UNDER win 40% or more of games played, spanning the last three seasons has earned a 140-87-9 record for 62% winning bets since 2017. If our team is on the road in a game with a posted total of 215 or fewer points and is priced between a 3-dog and a 3-point favorite, the Under has gone 43-21-1 for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Brooklyn vs Chicago

8:00 PM EST

8-Unit Best Bet OVER the total currently priced at 223.5 points

Betting on road teams with a posted total of 220 or more points, has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games and is playing their third game in 5 days has produced a highly profitable 60-41-2 Over record good for 60% winning bets over the past 5 seasons. If the total is between 221 and 230 points, the Over has gone 43-19 for 69.4% winning bets.

I know it sounds crazy, but as a pizza-money prop bet, consider no more than a unit for Ben Simmons to record a triple-double at +1600 as offered at FanDuel. He has played four games and is shooting 56% from the field averaging a 7.2 PPG, 10.2 Rebounds per game, and 7.5 assists-per-game. Moreover, he is averaging 31 minutes per game, which is five more minutes than he averaged last season. He looks different on the court, is playing incredible defense as he once did. In an expected high scoring game, this would be the best opportunity to get his first one of the season and let’s not forget he ranks 13th on the all-time list with 33 career triple doubles.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat 
10-Unit best bet on the OVER 

The Celtics gave up. Period. They scored 63 points through three quarters. A team with a high payroll and those high-priced players had no chance of containing FOUR undrafted Heat players. So, just five days ago, a franchise picked as heavy favorites to advance to the NBA Finals, and now a franchise in chaos. Blame will be assigned to many within the organization and players and moves and firings will take place. Jaylen Brown, who is just 2-for20 from beyond the arc in the first three games of this series will most assuredly be traded. He will command a $280MM extension and there will be many teams, the 76ers one of the leaders, that would welcome Brown with open arms to pair up with Maxey.  

So, the Celtic launched 98 shot attempts and made 40% of them in Game 3. The Heat took 81 shots and made 57% of them. The Celtics were outscored in the paint 52-42. The Celtics' biggest lead was three points and that occurred early in the first quarter. The Heat led by as many as 33 points in a game that Boston was highly expected to show up and get a huge dominating win. Thank goodness we were on the Heat again.  
 
So, the OVER is 12-3 for 80% in the NBA playoffs when a team (Miami) is coming off a game attempting 15 or fewer shots but making at least five or more shots. If the game is played at home, the Over has gone a perfect 8-0! 

From the predictive model, the Heat has seen the OVER post a 25-5 record for 83% cashed tickets when scoring 111 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers in home games spanning the past three seasons.  
 
Player Props for no more than 1-Unit Pizza money-sized bets unless otherwise noted 
Jimmy Butler OVER rebounds+ assists 13.5 -102 at FanDuel 
Jayson Tatem OVER 3.5 turnovers +110 at BetMGM 
Jaylen Brown OVER 33.5 PRA –120 at DraftKings 
Gabe Vincent OVER 16.5 PRA -110 at FanDuel 
 

Golden State Warriors vs LA Lakers 
8-Unit Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points. My LIVE I-game strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% more at Warriors +6.5 and the remaining 20% at Warriors +9.5 points during the first half of action. I do like the Under for a 5-Unit amount too.  
  LeBron is 15-0 in games that close out a series, but this is the reigning world champion Warriors that still has Steph, Klay and Draymond in it. I have stated that I thought this series woud go 7 games despite the Warriors being down 3 games to 1. The Warriors have played 28 consecutive playoff series attaining at least one road win in every series.  
  The 7 seeds are 59-164 SU (27%), 85-135-3 ATS (39%) in the playoffs since 2002. A 7-seed has not made it to the Conference Finals since at least 2002. In series in which the 7-seed was leading or was tied, they have gone 31-80 SU and 44-64-3 ATS for 41% and the Under has been solid at 63-45-3 for 58% winning tickets. From game-5 on, these 7-seeds are just 3-24 SU and 8-19 ATS. The Under is 18-5 for 78% winning tickets when favored.  

Since 2013, the Warriors are 9-3 SU (75%) and 10-2 ATS for 83% winners when facing elimination.  
 
 

LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors 
5-Unit best bet on the OVER 228.5 points. 
 
Live In-Game Strategy: With a total above 220 points, the volatility of scoring is going to be significant in this game tonight and is expected to provide excellent LIVE game betting opportunities. So, the strategy is to bet 60% preflop and then look to add 20% at 222.5 points and 20% more at 218.5 points. You may not get one or both 20% bets placed at your book, But if that occurs, it also implies that the 60% preflop is winning comfortably. These price levels re calculated specifically using a modified version of the implied volatility metric commonly used in options trading. Again, this is all for another show. 

Teams in Game-1 of an NBA series that are coming off a road win in Game-7 are 12-6-1 Over for 67% winning bets. if they are the home team in Game-1, then the Over is a perfect 5-0.  

Betting the Over when the total is between 220 and 229.5 points with a home team that lost the previous meeting to the current foe and is coming off a road win to a divisional foe has earned a 45-19-4 Over record good for 70% winning bets since 2017, which is the year scoring in the NBA began to increase significantly. 
 
 
 

Minnesota vs Denver 
8-Unit best bet on the Over currently priced at 225 points 
Betting on the Over in playoff games with a total of 225 or more points in matchups involving the #1 seed and leading in the playoff series are 25-10 Over for 71% winning bets. 

From my predictive models, we learn that Denver is 74-9 SU and 59-22-2 for 73% winners when scoring 114 or more points and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. The Wolves are just 14-62 SU and 18-58-2 ATS (22%) when allowing 114 or more points and having the weaker assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the past three seasons. 

Betting the Over in any Tournament semifinal game (NCAA, NIT, or CBI) with a total between 130 and 139.5 points and with one of the teams coming into the game on a 7 or more-game win streak has earned a 53-32-2 Over record over the past 25 years. 

New Orleans vs Portland

8-Unit Bet OVER the posted total currently at 226.5 points
Betting the OVER with a total between 220 and 229.5 points with one of the teams, New Orleans, having led at the half by five or more points at the half in each of their past three games and facing a foe that has allowed 115 or more points in each of their past two games has produced a 48=25=3 Over record good for 65.8% winning bets. If the team has won each of their past three games that they led at the half by five or more points, the OVER improves to 36-15 OVER for 71% winning bets. 

UCONN vs Gonzaga
Elite-8 Round
Bet the OVER 153 points currently. My strategy will be to bet 75% preflop OVER the total. As you may have seen on this Tweet and heard on the ERSPN Syracuse shows and Sports Map Radio shows, games that have played UNDER the first half total by 10 or more points have gone a perfect 4-0 OVER since last Saturday alone using the LIVE in game bet that can be executed during the half time break. So, if this first half does play Under by 10 or more points, add the 25% remaining bet amount on the OVER.
     Plus, this one, from the Elite 8 on through the Championship game, DOGS that led at the half went on to a 17-6-1 ATS record for 74% winning bets. So, if Gonzaga is leading at the half, look to get a pizza money size bet on the books at pick-em during the first 7 minutes of the second half only. 

Gonzaga is 7-1 over the posted total on facing elite offensive teams scoring 77 or more points per game in games played this season. UCONN is 12-3 over the total after allowing 65 or fewer points in three consecutive games in all games played over the last two seasons. The head coach Mark Few is 31-15 over the posted total when playing on a neutral court and priced as an underdog for his coaching career.

Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State
8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total of 143.5 points
The same betting strategy I am using in the UCONN vs Gonzaga game also applies to this matchup. 
     Kansas State is 12-3 over the posted total and road gains when playing against a team with a winning record after game #15 of this season. Kansas State is 16-8 over the poster total when facing solid shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots in games played this season. Kansas State is 7-0 over the posted total in road games or games not played at home when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Florida Atlantic is 10-1 over the posted total after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in all games played over the last three seasons.

From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets.

Florida Atlantic vs Kansas State
8-Unit Best Bet OVER the posted total of 143.5 points
The same betting strategy I am using in the UCONN vs Gonzaga game also applies to this matchup. 
     Kansas State is 12-3 over the posted total and road gains when playing against a team with a winning record after game #15 of this season. Kansas State is 16-8 over the poster total when facing solid shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots in games played this season. Kansas State is 7-0 over the posted total in road games or games not played at home when facing excellent ball handling teams committing 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Florida Atlantic is 10-1 over the posted total after a combined score of 125 or fewer points in all games played over the last three seasons.

From the predictive model we are expecting both teams to shoot at least 44% from the field and make at least 78% of their free throw attempts. In past games in which Florida Atlantic met or exceeded these performance measures the over has gone 6-1 for 86% winning bets. In past games in which Kansas State met or exceeded these performance measures has seen the over go 7-2-1 for 78% winning bets.

Miami (Fla) vs Houston 
8-Unit best bet on the Under 138 points. 
Betting the Under in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament with a dog 3 or more points being a member of a Major Conference (B10, B12, SEC, ACC, PAC-12, BEAST) and the favorite not from the Major Conferences has seen the Under go 9-0 Under.  
Miami is 11-3 Under in road games facing a foe that averages 17 or fewer fouls per game in games played this season. Houston is 21-11 Under when facing a non-conference foe in games played over the past two seasons. Miami head coach Larranaga is 47-26 Under after having won four of the last five games for his career. 

San Diego State vs Alabama 
8-Unit Best Bet Over the posted total of 137 points 
Betting the Over in the NCAA Tournament with a total between 130 and 139.5 points, one of the teams (Alabama) has won 15 or more of their last 20 games and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest has earned a highly profitable 14-8 Over good for 64% winning bets. If the line for the game is at least a –2 favorite, the record is 8-2 Over for 80% winners. 

Alabama is 8-2 Over following four consecutive games in which they forced four or fewer turnovers in games played this season. 

Cleveland vs Brooklyn 
8-Unit bet on the OVERR, currently priced at 218.5 points 
     Bet OVER the total in games played in March and when the total is between 215 and 225 points, with a home team priced as 7 or fewer point underdog, who has gone Under the total of 30 or more points spanning their last three games has earned a 16-6 Over mark for 73% winning bets over the past five seasons. Keep in mind that NBA scoring started increasing in a linear trend back in 2017, so there are few totals this high prior to 2017. 
     Brooklyn is 23-8 Over when the total has been between 210 and 219.5 points in games played over the past two seasons.  
 

North Texas vs Oklahoma State 
8-Unit bet on the OVER currently priced at  
 
Betting the OVER when the total is 127.5 or lower involving as matchup of excellent defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 40% or lower on the season, after game number 17, and a matchup of solid rebounding teams out rebounding their foes by 3 to 6 boards PG on the season has earned a 49-25-2 Over for 67% winning bets. 

North Texas is 13-5 OVER when facing a team that is averaging at least 21 three-point shots per game. OKSTATE is 20-6 ATS when having won three of their last four games spanning the past three seasons and 8-1 ATS having won four of their last five games spanning the past three seasons.  
 

Pittsburgh vs Xavier 
8-Unit bets bet over the total currently priced at 147.5 points 
Xavier is 18-9 Over when facing a team that has a solid defense allowing 42 or less opponent shooting in games played over the past two seasons. Xavier is 12-3 OVER following a game in which they did not cover the spread. Pittsburgh is 12-3 OVER following four consecutive games in which they forced 14 or fewer opponents in each game; 13-4 Over following an upset win in games played over the past three seasons.  

The predictive model projects that both teams will score at least 80 points each making this a terrific betting opportunity. If the game starts out slowly and the total drops to a price level between 140 and 144 points during the first half add a bit more to your bet with a sprinkle. An alternative is to bet 75% preflop and then add 25% at 145 or better during the first half of action. Or wait for the first half to be completed and if the first half plays Under then add to the Over bet at that point. There is a significant trend of games that play Under in the first half then play Over full game based on the closing total in the NCAA Tournament.  

 
Xavier is 32-5-1 OVER for 87% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points over the past three seasons. Pittsburgh is 14-3 OVER for 82% winning bets when scoring 80 or more points since 2020.  

Princeton vs Yale 
8-Unit bet on Yale –3 points 
8-Unit Bet UNDER 140 points 
Interesting to note that Yale is the home team despite playing on Princeton’s home court at Jadwin Gymnasium in Princeton, NJ. This does make the line a bit cheaper and adds value to backing Yale in this spot to win and earn the automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. 
This season, the Ancient Eight saw Princeton and Yale tie for the regular season Championship with Princeton getting to host their version of the Final Four. To their credit they get the IVY League Tournament done in just 2 days on a weekend.  

I suggest betting no more than a 2.5-unit amount on the parlay and would encourage you to wait till the game starts and look to get Yale at pick-em and the Under at 146.5 or more points during the first half of action. Perhaps 1.5 units parlay preflop and then 1 more unit in-game.  
 
Princeton lost at Yale 87-65 back on January 28 as 3-point dogs and lost at home in overtime 93-83 as 1.5-point favorites. Dogs of 3.5 or fewer points playing in a conference tournament, having lost two same season games to the foe, who has covered the spread in at least three consecutive games have seen the Under go 20-7 for 74% winners.  

Dogs that are playing in their conference tournament and that lost two same season games to the current foe, with a total between 135 and 145 points and with that foe averaging a higher shooting percentage over their last three games than what they shot for the season have gone just 18-27 ATS for 40%. 
 

Cornell vs Yale 
8-Unit best bet Under the posted total, currently priced at 149 points 
This game start at 11:00 AM EST, Saturday 
Betting the Under in a conference tournament game with a dog of not more than 9.5 points that has failed to cover the spread or pushed in 8 or more of their last 10 games and facing a foe that has covered the spread or pushed in 8 or more of their last 10 games has gone a perfect 7-0 UNDER. All, but one of these Under wins did not win by double digits. 
 
So, if this game starts out faster than expected and the in-game total is approaching 156 or kore, then add a sprinkle to the preflop bet. Another option is to bet 60% preflop at 149 points and add 20% more at 155.5 and 20% more at 157.5 points. 

Ohio State vs Iowa 
8-Unit best bet UNDER the total currently at 154.5 points 
Betting the Under in a neutral court venue with a total between 150 and 159.5 points, averages 70 to 74 PPG and facing a defense that allows 74 to 78 PPG has earned a highly profitable 37-22-1 Under record good for 63% winning bets since 2015. If the game is in a conference tournament the Under has produced a 21-11-1 record for 66% winning bets since 2015. 
 

Alabama vs Texas A&M 
8-Unit best bet on Alabama getting 2 points. 

The two best teams in the SEC Conference square off in this showdown, but there is nothing at stake. Alabama is the #1 seed with a 16-4 conference record and A&M is locked in the #2 seed heading into the SEC Tournament this week. Alabama has used only 3 different starting lineups this season and the quintet of Bediako, Bradley, Clowney, Miller, and Spears have amassed a 17-3 record. They will start today against A&M. 
Alabama fought back from a 17-point deficit in the second half against Auburn by using a 16-0 run that started with about 12 minutes left in the game. With Jahvon Quinerly leading the way with 24 points, Alabama coach Nate Oats saw his club win 90-85 in overtime and end up cutting down the nets to celebrate its second SEC regular-season title in three years. It was the third consecutive close shave by the Crimson Tide and star freshman Brandon Miller. Alabama has won four straight, with the last three decided by a total of 10 points. 

Top-10 road teams in a matchup facing a foe that is ranked between 11 and 25, both teams have won 20 or more games, but the team ranked in the Top-10 has lost fewer games than the foe and are priced between the 3’s are 29-14-3 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

Betting on road teams priced between the 3’s, have allowed 80 or more points in each of their last two games, and facing a foe that has played four consecutive games in which they and their foes scored fewer than 70 points.  

Alabama vs Texas A&M 
8-Unit best bet Under the posted total of 150 points 
Betting the Under in a game lined between the 3’s, the road team has allowed 80 or more points in their last two games, and is facing a host that has scored 70 or fewer and allowed 70 or fewer over their last three games has earned a 26-8 Under record for 76% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. This system is 4-0 over the past two seasons and only 2020 was a losing money one when it went 1-0 Over.  
For in-game betting place 50% preflop at the best price you are offered and then look to add another 50% at 162.5 points full fame and only during the first half of action. If they get out to a slow start, then don’t add anymore to the bet.  

For the in-game betting parlay look to get ‘Bama at +6.5 and the total Under at 157.5 points. This pair of prices may not occur during the first half of the action and if it doesn’tthen so be it and resist the temptation to force the bet. 
 

Florida Gulf Coast vs Stetson (6 ET) 

8-Unit bet Under the total currently priced at 143.5 points 

The same Total system supporting the Under bet in the North Florida and Austin Peay game applies to this one as well. FGCU has lost to the spread by 53.5 points over their last 10 games while Stetson has played over the total by 57 points over their previous 5 games. FGCU head coach Patrick Chambers is 21-12 Under following a game in which his team made 78% or more of their free throw attempts. He coached 7 seasons at Boston University for two seasons 2010-11, then went to Penn State from 2012-2020 and is now in his second season with FGCU. 

New Orleans vs Nicholls State  
4% 8-Unit Best Bet UNDER the posted total, currently at 150 points. 

Betting on the UNDER in games with a total between 143 and 153, the home team has been defeated by 48 or more points against the spread over their past 10 games and facing a foe that have seen their last 5 games play OVER by 28 or more points has produced an 83-46 record for 64.3% winners since 2012 and 39-21 UNDER for 65% winning bets. If our home team is a favorite of at least 6 points, the Under then has earned a highly profitable 24-10 record for 71% winning bets.  

Denver vs North Dakota 

4% 8-Unit bets bet Under the total, currently at 144 points 

Betting the Under with a dog that has seen their last five games play Under the total by at least 36 points and facing a foe that has seen their total play Over by at least 8 points I each of their last four games has earned an outstanding 25-9 for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

If the game is lined between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5 dog, the record soars to 15-4 Under for 79% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.  

LA Clippers vs Brooklyn Nets 

4% 8-Unit bet Under the posted total currently priced at 221 points. 
 
This is one of the more advanced NBA algorithms in my database of over 1,500 algorithms and has produced a 78-44 Under record for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet the Under in games where the total is 2.5% lower than the average points scored by the road team in road games added to the average points scored in home game by the home team, with the home team seeing 50% or more Under bets cashing on the season, and with the road team having lost a same season game by 10 or more points in their last meeting against the host.  

The Nets are 15-5 Under in home games and coming off a home win in games played over the past two seasons. 

Kyrie Irving is now a Dallas Maverick and didn't play Saturday night, with the team citing calf soreness. With Irving off the roster and Kevin Durant missing a 12th straight game due to a sprained right medial collateral ligament, the Nets stormed back for a wild 125-123 victory over the Washington Wizards. The Nets pulled off the comeback with only eight players available as Ben Simmons (sore left knee) and T.J. Warren (left shin contusion) did not play and Seth Curry (left adductor) and Morris (sore left knee) were injured during the game as the Nets allowed 73 points by halftime. Cam Thomas scored a career-high 44 points on 16-of-23 shooting while playing 29 minutes.  

Nets are in a regression situation on the offensive end. Clippers have blown huge leads in each of their last two games and Kawhi Leonard made note of the need to play better defense in his press meeting.  

Lafayette vs Holy Cross 
4% 8-Unit best bet Over the posted total currently priced at 125 points. 

 
Betting the over in a game with a total of less than 130 points, with one of the teams, Lafayette, coming off an upset loss to a conference foe and. facing a foe, Holy Cross, coming off a home loss has produced an exceptional 41-19 record good for 68% Over bets spanning the past five seasons. If that opponent, Holy Cross has won no more than 40% of their games, has produced an even better 41-18-2 Over record for 70% winners over the past 10 seasons.  

LA Lakers vs Denver Nuggets 

4% 8-Unit best bet on the Under 

Betting the Under when the total is 210 or more points in a matchup between two teams getting outscored by 7 or more points per game has earned a highly profitable 29-19 Under record for 61% winning Under bets over the past 10 seasons. If either team allowed 1`25 or more points in their previous game, the Under then has gone 13-3 for 81% winning bets over the the past three seasons.  

Boston vs Milwaukee 

7:30 PM EDT 

4% Bet on the Under 

In certain situations, the market does speak to the possible best bet for a total play. The Celtics are on the road and they have averaged 112 PPG in their road games this season. The Bucks have averaged 110 PPG in their home games. If the combined score of the road team and home team is greater than or lower than the posted total by 2.5% we have one of the conditions met. Why would the market price a matchup lower than what the teams average in their respecive home or road situation? Well, it points us to the Under because there must be some team circumstances, player injuries, uncertain player availability, and recency bias.  

The total is 4.5% or 10 points lowr than the combined score of the Celtics average road game and the Bucks average home game. Plus, we need the road team coming off a loss to the current opponent and the home team having seen the OVER win at least 45% of the ome games played in the current season. This matchup has all those conditions and situations met and the Under has earned a 125-79-2 record for 61.3% winning bets over the last 10 regular and playoff seasons. If the game identified is a playoff game and the rtoad team is a dog of 2.5 points and includes Pick-em the Under has gone 9-2 for 82% winners over the last 10 playoff seasons. 

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks 

3:30 PM EST, May 7, 2022 

4% Bet Under the posted total  

Here is a highly profitable betting system that has produced a 83-51-3 Under record for 62% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet the Under with home teams that are coming off two consecutive games in which the games played Under the posted total by 20 or more points and with the team having won 60% or more of their games. Plus, in playoffs games and the home team seeded lower than their opponent, the Under has gone 7-3 for 70% winners. Moreover, the Under in regular and playoff seasons with a total of 210 or more points and meeting the criteria above has gone 24-12-2 for 67% winners. 

The markets pricing the Bucks as 2-point favorites and the total of 213 points implies a Bucks 107.5-105.5 win. My predictive models are projecting that the Bucks and Celtics will both score fewer than 105 points. In past games played in the second half of each of the last three seasons the Bucks have seen the Under go 22-1 for 96% winners when scoring fewer than 105 points. The Celtics have seen the Under go 25-2 for 93% winning bets.  

Golden State vs Memphis 

9:30 PM EST, May 3, 2022 

4% Best Bet Under the Total 

Warriors are 43-28-1 Under when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. Grizzlies are versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists per game this season.  

Betting the UNDER in a game with a total of 220 or more points, is playing their 4th game over the past 10 days and in a game involving two of the playoff contenders or playoff teams sporting win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season has earned an outstanding 75-30-3 Under record good for 71.4% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and a 45-16-3 Under record for 74% winning bets over the last three seasons. If in the playoffs spanning the last three seasons, the UNDER is 23-5-3 for 82% winning bets. 

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors 

4% Best Bet OVER the posted total, currently at 220.5 and is valid up to and including 224.5 

In Game-1 of an NBA Playoff series from Round two through the Finals the OVER is 20-12 for 63% wins when the home team is playing on just one day of rest and in round two Game-1's, the OVER has earned a 15-7 Over record for 68.2% winning bets. Plus, 9-3 OVER run spanning the last 10 playoff seasons. 

Grizzlies are on a 10-2 OVER run when having faced a team allowing 108 or fewer points I the second half of this season. Warriors are on a 23-12-1 OVER run in the second half of this season when taking on an opponent. 

From my predictive models, Warriors are 15-4 Over for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons in regular season and playoff games in which they and their opponents attempted 190 or more field goal attempts. The Grizzlies are 22-6-1 Over for 79% winning bets. The models alspo project that 27 or more 3-pointers will be made by these two teams. In past home games that the Grizzlies and their opponents made 27 or more 3’s and combined for 180 or more FGA, the OVER has gone 43-4-3 for 92% wins and when the Grizzlies have met or exceeded these under same projections, the OVER has gone 52-10-1 for 84% wins. 

Memphis vs Minnesota 
9 PM EST, April 29, 2022 

4% 8-UNIT Best Bet UNDER the posted total 

The following NBA betting system has earned a 31-9 Under record for 78% winning bets over the last 5 NBA seasons. Bet Under with games lined with a total of 220 to 229.5 points in games played in the second half of the season and playoffs, with a team scoring an average of 114 to 118 points, that team is coming off a loss of six or fewer points and is facing a defensive team allowing an average of 110 to 114 points per game.  

Memphis is 14-4-1 Under when facing an opponent that is averaging 15 or fewer forced turnovers per game in games played over the last two seasons. 

From my predictive models, both teams are projected to shot 45% or lower. The Under has earned an outstanding 64-12-5 record for 84% winning bets over the last five seasons in games in which they and their opponent shot no better than 45% from the field. 

Dallas vs Utah 

4% Best bet UNDER the posted total 

Betting the Under with a total of 205 or more points in a game involving a team that went Under the total by 25 or more points in their previous game and both teams have wo a minimum of 55% of their games on the season has earned a solid 31-15-4 Under record good for 67.4% winning bets over the last 10 NBA playoff seasons. Plus, over the past three NBA playoff seasons, this system has earned a highly profitable 17-7-4 Under record for 71% winning bets.  

Chicago vs Milwaukee 

Game-5  

5% Best Bet Over the posted total. 

This betting algorithm has produced a 45-18 record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on teams that led by 15 or more points at the half of their previous game, the game involved has a total of at least 200 points, and the previous opponent scored 43 or fewer points in the first half of that previous game. 56% of these games played Over the posted total by a minimum of 7 points.  

Here are a few more situational angles supporting the Over bet. Bucks are 12-2-1 Over following two consecutive double-digit wins over divisional opponents and 44-22 Over following two consecutive wins in games played over the last two seasons. Bucks head coach Budenholzer is 49-29-1 Over following two double-digit wins. 

From my predictive models we are expecting the Bucks to shoot at least 48% from the field and to score at least 115 points. In past games played over the last five seasons, the Bucks are 123-30-8 for 80.4% winning bets when meeting or exceeding these performance measures.  

Minnesota vs Memphis  

4% OVER the posted total 

Memphis is 31-22 UNDER when taking on an opponent that is a good passing team averaging 23 or more assists per game this season. Memphis is 19-8-1 Under when facing teams that are forcing 15 or fewer turnovers per game in games played over the last two seasons.  

From my predictive models we are expecting Minnesota to score 108 or fewer points and shoot less than 45% from the field. In past games in which the Wolves met or underperformed these performance measures has seen the UNDER go 42-12 for 78% winning bets over the last three seasons and when the total has been 230 or more points, the Under has earned a 15-4 record for 79% winning bets. 

Philadelphia vs Toronto 
7:30 EST, April 7, 2022 

4% bet on the UNDER  

The Raptors defeated the Atlanta Hawks 118-108 Tuesday, which secured a playoff berth and avoids the dreaded Play-In Tournament. The victory was the 12th of their last 15 games for the Raptors, who have won two of the first three meetings against the 76ers this season. However, the 76ers are in a log jam for the 2-seed among three other teams and need this win far more than the Raptors. 

If the season had ended yesterday, the 76ers would be the 4-seed and would hot the 5-seed Toronto Raptors in the first round of the playoffs. The 76ers have a 3-game lead over the Raptors and have the cellar dwelling Pacers and Pistons up next to conclude the regular season. The Boston Celtics is 50-30 for the season and clinging to a ½ game lead over the Milwaukee Bucks and 76ers, both with 49-30 records. So, I fully expect this game to have a defensive playoff-type atmosphere tonight. 

The line opened at 215.5 points and has steamed its’ wat to a current price of 220 points with a few rogue 221 numbers appearing. I like waiting till after noon EST to see where this line may top out, which I believe will be at the 221.5 points area. My recommendation is to bet 50% of your normal 4% best amount at 221.5 points and then look to add 25% more at 222.5 points and the remaining 25% at 223.5 points.  

76ers are 23-13 Under when facing a team that is allowing an average of 108 PPG in games played this season. The Raptors are 22-12-1 Under when facing a great passing team, like the 76ers, that are averaging 23 or more assists per game in the second half (after game number 41) of this season. 

Southern Utah vs Fresno State 

The Basketball Classic Semifinals 
10 ET, 3/28 

4% bet OVER the posted total 
3% bet on FSU minus the points 
NO PARLAY HERE 

FSU head coach Hutson is 9-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in four of their last five games, 35-20-1 ATS following a home game, and 16-6-1 ATS following two consecutive home games.  

From my predictive models, we learn that FSU is 8-0-1 Over when scoring 70 or more points and making at least 12 free throws in games played over the last three seasons.  

Michigan vs Villanova 

7:29 PM EST, March 23, 2022 

4% best bet Under the posted total 

The last time these two programs met in San Antonio on the basketball court was in the 2016 NCAA Championship game won by Villanova. The Wildcats look to be poised for another Championship run here in San Antonio and credit goes to head coach Jay Wright for having the courage to load up the front end of the season with top-rated superior teams. That ‘seasoning’ is now going to pay off for the remainder of their Tournament run starting tonight. 

When away from Ann Arbor, Michigan is 7-0 Under after two consecutive games attempting 10 or fewer shots than the opponent and 31-15 Under following two consecutive games where the opponent was called for five or more fouls than they were called for. Villanova is on a 7-1 Under run when playing in a neutral court settling and installed as the favorite. 

For his entire career at Villanova, Jay Wright is 45-27-2 Under when facing a marginal winning team sporting a win percentage not higher than 60%, 32-20-3 Under when playing against a winning record team with a win percentage not higher in than 60% in the second half of each season (after game number 15) 

From my predictive models, we are expecting to see a well-played matchup within a slower than average pace of play. The spread and total are telling us that Villanova will win 70.25-64.75 or 70-65. They are also projected to make no higher than 37% from beyond the arc OR not make more than 11 3-pointers in total and not score more than 75 points. In past games when not playing at home, the Wildcats have gone 5-14-2 Over-Under for 74% wining bets when not scoring more than 75 points and not making more than 11 3-pointers in games played since 2019. Michigan is 5-10 Over-Under for 67% winning Under bets in games where they did not make more than 6 3-pointers and did not score more than 70 points.  

Milwaukee vs Minnesota 

5:10 ET 

4% bet UNDER the posted total, currently at 244.5 points after opening at 242.5 points. I like this bet at 244.5 points and higher. Bucks are 7-0 Under when facing teams who attempt 39 or more 3-point shots per game on the season, 8-0 Under when facing teams who make 14 or more 3-point shots per game on the season, 14-2 Under in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  

Here is an awesome NBA Betting algorithm that has produced a 55-17 Under record good for 76% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet Under Play Under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 and with a well-rested team, Milwaukee, playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days, and is an excellent team winning 60% to 75% of their games playing a team with a winning record. It has produced a 24-6 record good for 80% winning bets over the last three seasons and 46-14 Under record good for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons.  

Delaware vs Villanova 

2:45 PM EST, March 18, 2022 
4% best bet on the UNDER 

The total for this game is 133.5 points and has not moved from that opening price. One live in-game strategy worth considering and one that I will look to execute is to bet 50% of your 4% betting amount pre-flop and then hope to see a faster than expected pace at the start of the game. If that happens look to add the remaining 50% at 139.5 points during the first half only. To bet in-game in the second half has a significantly reduced ROI simply because there is less time to be correct. The worst case is that 139.5 is not made available during the first half of play which implies that we are correct on the 4% Under bet looking good to cover. You can also bet 80% pre flop and look to add 20% at 139.5 points. Send me a Direct Message on Twitter @JohnRyanSports1 if you have any questions. 

Betting the Under in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in a matchup of teams that have won 60 to 80% of their games on the season has earned a 67-29-1 Under record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Delaware is 8-2 Under when playing against a team with a win percentage between 60 and 80% this season. Nova is 6-0 Under as a favorite on a neutral court this season and 13-4 Under coming off a win of six or fewer points in games played over the last three seasons. 

Notre Dame vs Rutgers 

9:10 PM EST, March 16, 2022 

4% Best Bet Under the posted total 

Notre Dame and Rutgers will be the participants in the last “Play-In” game prior to the March Madness Insanity begins in earnest Thursday. I thought Rutgers had earned a spot in the bracket by virtue of how well they did play down the stretch. This reflects that the committee only looks at quality of wins and the full-season body of work to give a team a thumbs up or thumbs down vote. I’d like to see more weighting for those teams that played hot down the stretch that would then bump out the teams that finished the regular season in a stumbling manner.  

The former Big East Conference rivals ended up earning two of the last four at-large bids into the 2022 field and will play each other in a First Four game Wednesday night at Dayton, Ohio. The winner will earn a No. 11 seed and move on to play sixth-seeded Alabama on Friday. 

This Under bet is backed by a simple to use betting system that has earned a 200-276 Over-Under record good for 58% winning Under bets spanning the last 15 seasons and is on a 19-42 Over-Under record for 69% winning Under bets spanning the last two seasons. The requirements are to bet the Under in games played in March with a team that allowed 85 or more points in their previous game. Plus, a subset that filters out only the games played with a total between 130 and 135 points that has earned a 17-33 Over-Under record good for 67% winning Under bets over the last 15 seasons. 

Iowa vs Purdue 

3:30 PM EST, March 13, 2022 

4% bet on the UNDER in this Big Ten Championship matchup. 

Iowa’s offense was quite good at the beginning of the season, but now is monumentally better right now than the first time these two teams met. They play fast ranking 5th nationally averaging 64.6 shots per game and the nation’s best ball handling team sporting 1.74 assists to turnover ratio. However, now the betting total has been overpriced by the betting community and both teams are prone to scoring below their average score per game. 

Betting the Under in a game being played on a neutral court, with a total between 150 and 159.5 points, after the 15th game of the regular season including Tournament action, and two teams that are allowing 42.5% to 45% shooting on the season has earned an insanely profitable 32-4 Under record good for 89% winning bets over the last five seasons.  

For March Madness moving forward, totals in the month of March ranging between 150 and 159.5 points, in games being played on a neutral site have gone 176-128-6 Under for 58% winners since 2006. In April games, the Under is 5-1.  

Milwaukee vs Golden State 
8:30 PM EST, March 12, 2022 

10-Unit “Total of the Year” UNDER the posted total.  

This line opened at 231.5 points and has moved up to 234.5 points making this a terrific betting opportunity for all of us. I emphasize betting opportunity, not a LOCK, or guaranteed to win nonsense. These plays hit at 65% to 70% over the course of a calendar year in All Sports and that means that they lose 30 to 35% of the time. So, as I always conclude my shows and I sincerely mean this, “bet with your head and not over it”, is mandatory. Stay disciplined and allow the wins to grind your building profits over the course of the season and not just one single day.  

Bucks are 24-6-1 Under when playing against a playoff-type team that is winning more than 60% of their games spanning the last two seasons.  

Betting the Under in games lined at 230 or more points, with a team coming off a road win and a matchup in which both teams have won 60% to 75% of their games in the current season has produced a 27-3 Under record for 85% winning bets and is a perfect 15-0 Under record spanning the last three seasons. 24 of the games bet over the last five seasons has gone Under the total by at least seven points.  

Nebraska vs Penn State 

7 ET 

4% Best Bet on the Under the posted total 

PSU is 31-14 Under when playing a game in the second half of the season (after game number 15) and taking on a team with a losing record and 23-9 Under when playing a struggling team with a win percentage between 20 and 40% on the season. They are 16-3 Under as a double-digit home favorite and 12-3 Under in the month of February, 11-3 Under after allowing 30 or fewer points in the first half of each of the last two games, and 7-1 Under following four consecutive games committing 14 or fewer turnovers and 6-0 Under following five games. 

Philadelphia vs New York 

4% best bet OVER the posted total 

RJ Barrett will look to build off a career-high performance when the Knicks host James Harden and the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday at Madison Square Garden set to tip at 1:00 EST. RJ Barrett's career-high 46 points weren't enough on Friday for the host Knicks, who dropped a 115-100 decision to the Miami Heat. Having him back in the lineup does make the Knicks a much better offensive team. The presence of James Harden has been impressive despite being just a 1-game sample size. Still, I think the 76ers are a team that is one of the best offensive ones in the NBA and are capable of averaging 120+ points when Jarden is in the lineup.  

Betting the Over in a game lined between 210 and 219.5 points after going over the total by 35 or more points in their last five games (Knicks), and has a losing record on the season has earned a 85-39 Over record for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons.  

76ers are 43-242 Over for 64% in road games and coming off a 20+ point blowout win over the past 25 seasons, and when priced as a road favorite are 21-11-1 Over for 66% winners. 

West Virginia vs TCU 
5% best bet UNDER the total of 132.5 points. I do believe that you will see this line moving higher in price. So, I recommend that you place 5)0% of your normal 5% bet size now and then as we get through the Monday hours ahead of game time look to add the other 50% at a price higher than the first bet. If the market does not move higher than simply add the 50% remaining amount within one hour of game time if possible.

TCU is 82-48 Under for 63% winners coming off a double-digit loss to a conference foe and if suffering this double-digit loss on the road they are 52-30 Under for 64% winners. Even just coming off a double-digit loss regardless if a conference foe or not or site location, they have produced a 91-60 Under record for 60% winning bets. Over the last three season, TCU is 16-6 Under for 73% winners after losing by double-digits to a conference for in their previous game.

The month of February is when the contenders seperate themselves form the pretenders and head coaches look to start coaching more aggressively and with more inspiration for his players. West Virginia’s skipper Huggins is this type of coach and his teams have a tendency every season to play their best in the month of February – and that starts on the defensive end. Huggins is 31-19 Under in games played in February and 77-53 Under when facing a team on the road that is forcing 14 or fewer turnovers on the seasons.
From my predictive models the projections are that neither team is going to score 65 or more points. TCU is 72-20 Under in games in which they allowed 60 to 65 points. They are also 18-10 Under when they have held their opponent to 40 to 45% shooting over the last three seasons.