Washington beat Pittsburgh 8-4 last night, but we expect a much different outcome on Wednesday night.  The Nationals will start Jacob Turner who projects to have a poor outing against Pittsburgh’s lineup.  Turner projects to give up 3.4 earned runs with a 4.09 ERA in this game.  He has struggled mightily against Pittsburgh’s offense.  The Pirates’ lineup owns a respectable .308 batting average, and a solid .822 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Turner during his career.  He is backed by a terrible Washington bullpen that has a 5.19 ERA and 1.45 WHIP this season, including a 6.23 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the road.

Pittsburgh will send Gerrit Cole to the mound and he has an excellent 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP at home this season.  Cole projects to have another strong outing against Washington’s lineup based on my numbers.  Cole is slated to give up 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.37 ERA and a strong 1.19 WHIP in this game.  Cole also projects to have a terrific 8.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a fantastic 3.4 strikeout/walk ratio against the Nationals in this game.  Washington’s lineup has hit just .235 (12-for-51) with a terrible .617 OPS against the right-hander during his career.  We’ll back Pittsburgh with Cole on the mound in this game on Wednesday night.

10* Play PIRATES (-).

Philadelphia will open their series in Washington on Saturday night after being rained out last night.  The Phillies will start Nick Pivetta who has a terrible 5.40 ERA and 1.90 WHIP this season.  My numbers project another poor outing for Pivetta against Washington’s lineup as he projects to give up 2.4 earned runs with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP in this game.  Pivetta has struggled mightily against Washington’s offense.  The Nationals’ lineup owns a fantastic .364 batting average, and a terrific 1.073 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Pivetta during his career.  He is backed by a weak Philadelphia bullpen that has a 4.66 ERA and 1.45 WHIP this season while blowing 8 of their 13 save opportunities.  The Nationals’ offense has been fantastic this season, averaging 6.1 runs per game with a .283 batting average, including 5.9 runs per game at home while batting .301.

Washington will send Tanner Roark to the mound tonight and he projects to have a fantastic outing against Philadelphia’s lineup based on my numbers.  Roark is slated to give up 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.63 ERA and a strong 1.26 WHIP in this game.  Roark has had a lot of success against the Phillies’ offense.  Philadelphia’s lineup has hit just .230 (29-for-126) with a terrible .588 OPS against Roark during his career.  We’ll back Washington with Roark on the mound in this game on Saturday night.

10* Play NATIONALS (-).

Kansas City beat Tampa Bay 7-3 last night, but we expect a much different outcome on Tuesday night as the Royals are still just 3-11 on the road this season.  Kansas City will start Chris Young and my numbers project a poor outing for Young against Tampa Bay’s lineup.  Young projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a terrible 4.75 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in this game.  Young has struggled mightily against Tampa Bay’s offense.  The Rays’ lineup owns a respectable .297 (11-for-37) batting average, and a solid .990 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Young during his career.  He is backed by a Kansas City bullpen that is 0-5 with an awful 7.11 ERA and 1.74 WHIP on the road this season.

Tampa Bay will send Matt Andriese to the mound and he projects to have a fantastic outing against Kansas City’s lineup based on my numbers.  Andriese is slated to give up 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.40 ERA and a strong 1.14 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a fantastic 3.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Royals in this game.  Kansas City’s lineup has hit just .186 (8-for-43) with a terrible .425 OPS against Andriese during his career.  The Royals' offense has been by far the worst in MLB this season, ranking dead last in almost all major statistical categories, including runs scored (2.9 per game), batting average (.213), on-base percentage (.275), slugging percentage (.335), and OPS (.609).  We’ll back Tampa Bay with Andriese on the mound in this game on Tuesday night.

9* Play RAYS (-).

Milwaukee will begin a 4-game series in St. Louis on Monday night.  The Brewers will start Zach Davies and my numbers project a poor outing for the right-hander.  Davies projects to give up 2.3 earned runs with a weak 3.94 ERA in this game.  The Cardinals’ lineup owns a respectable .282 (24-for-85) batting average, and a solid .774 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Davies during his career.  St. Louis’ offense is in fantastic current form as they’ve scored 51 total runs in their last nine games.  Davies has been awful this season with a 6.57 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in five starts and he is backed by an inconsistent Milwaukee bullpen that has a 4.10 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.

St. Louis will send Michael Wacha to the mound tonight and he projects to have a fantastic outing against Milwaukee’s lineup based on my numbers.  Wacha is slated to give up 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.31 ERA and a strong 1.14 WHIP in this game.  Wacha also projects to have a fantastic 8.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.4 strikeout/walk ratio against the Brewers in this game.  Milwaukee’s lineup has hit just .207 with a terrible .534 OPS against Wacha during his career.  He has been strong at home this season with a 1.93 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in three starts.  We’ll back St. Louis with Wacha on the mound in this game on Monday night.

10* Play CARDINALS (-).

Oakland comes into this second game of their 3-game series in Houston on a current five-game losing streak.  The Athletics will start Andrew Triggs tonight and my numbers project a poor outing for Triggs against Houston’s lineup.  He projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 4.49 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in this game.  Houston’s lineup owns a terrific .455 batting average, and an excellent 1.182 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Triggs during his career.  The right-hander is backed by an inconsistent Oakland bullpen that has a weak 4.22 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the road this season.  The Astros’ offense is in fantastic current form as they have averaged 5.3 runs with a .290 batting average in their past seven games.

Houston will send Joe Musgrove to the mound tonight and he projects to have a fantastic outing against Oakland’s lineup based on my numbers.  Musgrove is slated to give up 2.4 earned runs with a solid 3.81 ERA and a strong 1.21 WHIP in this game.  He also projects to have a fantastic 8.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.5 strikeout/walk ratio against the Athletics in this game.  Oakland’s lineup has hit just .176 with a terrible .498 OPS against Musgrove during his career.  The right-hander is backed by a strong Houston bullpen that has a 2.83 ERA and 1.05 WHIP this season.  We’ll back Houston with Musgrove on the mound in this game on Saturday night.

9* Play ASTROS (-).

Minnesota will continue on the road as they begin a 3-game series in Kansas City on Friday night.  The Twins will start Kyle Gibson who is 0-3 this season with an awful 9.00 ERA and 1.88 WHIP.  My numbers project another poor outing for the right-hander against Kansas City’s lineup.  Gibson projects to give up 2.3 earned runs with a weak 4.22 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in this game.  Gibson also projects to have a poor 5.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.0 strikeout/walk ratio against the Royals tonight.  Kansas City’s lineup owns a respectable .274 (55-for-201) batting average against Gibson during his career, scoring 23 runs on those 55 hits.

Kansas City will send Ian Kennedy to the mound who has a solid 2.08 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this season.  He projects to have another strong outing against Minnesota’s lineup tonight based on my numbers.  Kennedy is slated to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.72 ERA and a solid 1.24 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a fantastic 9.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 2.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Twins tonight.  Minnesota’s lineup has hit just .234 (25-for-107) against Kennedy during his career.  The Royals have been a much better team at home this season, going 5-3 compared to 2-11 on the road.  Their bullpen has also been much stronger at home with a 2.91 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.  We’ll back Kansas City with Kennedy on the mound in this game on Friday night.

9* Play ROYALS (-).

Seattle was embarrassed 19-9 by Detroit last night, but we expect a strong bounce back by the Mariners on Wednesday night.  Seattle will send James Paxton who is also due to bounce back after a loss at Oakland last week.  It was a rare bad outing for the southpaw who still has an excellent 1.78 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in his four starts this season with a powerful 30/5 strikeout/walk ratio.  Paxton projects to have a fantastic outing against Detroit’s lineup based on my numbers.  He is slated to give up 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.63 ERA and a strong 1.28 WHIP in this game.  Paxton also projects to have a fantastic 8.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio against the Tigers tonight.  Detroit’s lineup owns has a mediocre .658 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Paxton during his career.

Detroit will start Daniel Norris tonight who has a 3.71 ERA and a terrible 1.53 WHIP this season.  My numbers project another poor outing for Norris against Seattle’s lineup.  The southpaw projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a weak 4.07 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in this game.  Seattle’s lineup owns a terrific .348 batting average, and an excellent 1.027 OPS against Norris during his career.  The Mariners’ offense is in fantastic current form as they have scored 59 total runs in their last ten games.  Detroit's bullpen has been terrible this season with a 7.50 ERA and 1.80 WHIP.  We’ll back Seattle with Paxton on the mound in this game on Wednesday night.

9* Play MARINERS (-).

Kansas City lost 1-0 at Texas last night, and we expect more of the same tonight.  The Royals will send Nathan Karns to the mound and my numbers project a poor outing for him against the Rangers’ lineup.   The right-hander projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 4.42 ERA and a poor 1.49 WHIP in this game.  The Texas lineup owns a solid .314 (11-for-35) batting average with a terrific .982 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Karns during his career.  The Rangers have scored 7 runs on their 11 hits against Karns.  Kansas City's bullpen has a horrible 7.50 ERA and 1.75 WHIP on the road this season.

Texas will start Cole Hamels who projects to have a fantastic outing against Kansas City’s lineup based on my numbers.  Hamels is slated to give up 2.5 earned runs with a solid 3.66 ERA and a strong 1.31 WHIP in this game.  The southpaw also projects to have a fantastic 7.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 2.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Royals in this game.  Kansas City’s lineup has only hit .250 (16-for-64) against Hamels during his career.  The Royals have gone 2-5 SU on the road this season with a horrible .189 batting average.  We’ll back Texas with Hamels on the mound in this game on Friday night.

10* Play RANGERS (-).

Texas will continue their long road trip after getting swept in Seattle as the Rangers begin a 3-game series in Oakland against the Athletics tonight.  The Rangers will send A.J. Griffin to the mound and my numbers project a poor outing for Griffin against Oakland’s lineup.  The right-hander projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 4.45 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in this game.  Oakland’s lineup owns a terrific .921 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Griffin during his career.  The Athletics have scored 5 runs on 6 hits in a limited 25 at-bats against Griffin.  The Texas' bullpen has been horrible this season with a 6.99 ERA and 1.47 WHIP, including a 7.72 ERA and 1.72 WHIP on the road.

Oakland will start Jharel Cotton who projects to have a fantastic outing against Texas’ lineup based on my numbers.  Cotton is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.62 ERA and a strong 1.25 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have an excellent 9.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 2.7 strikeout/walk ratio against the Rangers in this game.  The Rangers’ lineup has only hit .125 with a terrible .375 OPS against Cotton during his career.  We’ll back Oakland with Cotton on the mound in this game on Monday night.

10* Play ATHLETICS (-).

St. Louis will conclude their 3-game interleague series in New York against the Yankees on Sunday night.  The Cardinals have lost the first two games of this series, and we expect them to get swept tonight.  St. Louis will send Adam Wainwright to the mound and my numbers project a poor outing for him against New York’s lineup.  Wainwright projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a weak 4.46 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a poor 6.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched against the Yankees.  Wainwright has struggled in his two starts this season, going 0-2 with a horrible 7.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP.  He has no support on the backend as the Cardinals' bullpen has been equally bad with a 6.68 ERA and 1.71 WHIP.  St. Louis is now just 3-8 SU this season, including 1-4 on the road.

New York will start Michael Pineda who projects to have a fantastic outing against the St. Louis lineup based on my numbers.  Pineda is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.44 ERA and a fantastic 1.16 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have an excellent 9.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 4.2 strikeout/walk ratio against the Cardinals tonight.  Pineda is coming off an excellent home start on Monday when he allowed just 1 run on only 2 hits in 7.2 innings for an easy 8-1 win with a 1.17 ERA and 0.26 WHIP.  He is backed by a Yankees' bullpen that has a strong 1.30 ERA and 0.84 WHIP this season.  We’ll back New York with Pineda on the mound in this game on Sunday night.

9* Play YANKEES (-).

New York will continue their road trip as they’ll begin a 4-game series in Miami on Thursday night.  The Mets will send Robert Gsellman to the mound this evening.  My numbers project a poor outing for the young right-hander against Miami’s lineup.  Gsellman projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 4.28 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in this game.  He also projects to have a poor 6.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched against the Marlins.  Miami’s lineup owns a solid .316 batting average with a sterling .995 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Gsellman during his career.  He is backed by an inconsistent New York bullpen that has a 3.94 ERA and a poor 1.59 WHIP this season.

Miami will start Wei-Yin Chen who projects to have a fantastic outing against New York’s lineup based on my numbers.  Chen is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.48 ERA and a fantastic 1.14 WHIP in this game.  The southpaw also projects to have an excellent 3.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Mets in this game.  New York’s offense has been awful against Chen during his career; the Mets have only hit .228 (23-for-101) with a weak .646 OPS in 104 plate appearances.  Both teams are averaging 4.9 runs per game this season, but the Marlins are a better offense as evident by their .271 batting average, compared to a New York's weak .229 batting average.  We’ll back Miami with Chen on the mound in this game on Thursday night.

10* Play MARLINS (-).

New York will start Jacob deGrom who projects to have a fantastic outing against Philadelphia’s lineup based on my numbers.  deGrom is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a terrific 3.05 ERA and a fantastic 1.14 WHIP in this game.  deGrom also projects to have a strong 9.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and an excellent 3.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Phillies tonight.  Philadelphia’s offense has been awful against deGrom during his career; the Phillies have only hit .190 (12-for-63) with a woeful .465 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric).

Philadelphia will send Jerad Eickhoff to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Eickhoff against New York’s lineup.  Eickhoff projects to give up 3.0 earned runs with a weak 4.39 ERA in this game.  The Mets own a respectable .739 OPS with ten of their twenty hits against Eickhoff going for extra bases.  The right-hander is backed by a weak Philadelphia bullpen that has a poor 4.87 ERA and 1.43 WHIP this season.  We’ll back New York with deGrom on the mound in this game on Monday night.

9* Play METS (-).

Cincinnati will continue their road trip as they’ll be begin a 3-game series in Pittsburgh on Monday night.  The Reds will send Brandon Finnegan to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Finnegan against Pittsburgh’s lineup.  Finnegan projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a terrible 4.54 ERA and an ugly 1.57 WHIP in this game.  The Pirates have hit .308 with a strong .772 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) in a limited 39 at-bats against Finnegan in his career.

Pittsburgh will start Tyler Glasnow who projects to have a fantastic outing against Cincinnati’s lineup based on my numbers.  Glasnow is slated to give up just 1.6 earned runs with a solid 2.84 ERA and a fantastic 1.24 WHIP in this game.  Glasnow also projects to have a strong 9.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched.  Cincinnati’s offense has struggled mightily against Glasnow in his career; the Reds have only hit .231 with a woeful .564 ops against him.  We’ll back Pittsburgh with Glasnow on the mound in this game on Monday night.

10* Play PIRATES (-).

Chicago will play Game 1 of the World Series in Cleveland on Tuesday night.  The Cubs will send Jon Lester to the mound tonight on just four days of rest, instead of Jake Arrieta who has six days of rest.  My numbers project a poor outing for Lester against Cleveland’s lineup.  The left-hander projects to give up 2.4 earned runs with a mediocre 3.53 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in this game.  Cleveland's lineup has hit a solid .300 (36-for-120) with a strong .846 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Lester during his career.  The Indians have been a strong offensive team at home this season, going 57-28 SU while averaging 5.5 runs per game with a .286 batting average.

Cleveland will start Corey Kluber who projects to have a fantastic outing against Chicago’s lineup based on my numbers.  Kluber is slated to give up 2.0 earned runs with a terrific 2.54 ERA and an excellent 1.01 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a strong 10.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a solid 4.4 strikeout/walk ratio against the Cubs.  Kluber is backed by a Cleveland bullpen that has an excellent 2.96 ERA and 1.11 WHIP at home this season while converting 80% (20-25) of their save opportunities.  Kluber has been fantastic against Chicago’s lineup during his career; the Cubs have hit just .098 (4-for-41) with a woeful .290 OPS against the right-hander.  We’ll back Cleveland at home with Kluber on the mound in Game 1 of the World Series on Tuesday night.

10* Play INDIANS (+).

The Dodgers will play NLCS Game 6 in Chicago on Saturday night.  Los Angeles will start Clayton Kershaw who projects to have a fantastic outing against Chicago’s lineup based on my numbers.  Kershaw is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a terrific 2.55 ERA and an excellent 0.95 WHIP in this game.  The left-hander also projects to have a tremendous 12.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and an incredible 6.1 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  Chicago's lineup has struggled mightily against Kershaw, hitting just .210 (34-for-162) with a poor .592 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against the southpaw during his career.  Kershaw has a fantastic 1.93 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his nine career starts versus the Cubs, including a dominating performance six days ago in NLCS Game 2 when the left-hander allowed 0 runs and only 2 hits in seven innings of work.

Chicago will send Kyle Hendricks to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Hendricks against the Los Angeles lineup.  The right-hander projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 3.82 ERA in this game.  Hendricks had a terrific season, but he suffered an arm injury late in the year, and he hasn’t been quite the same since.  Over his last three outings, Hendricks has given up 7 earned runs in just 14 innings of work while earning a poor 4.50 ERA.  The Dodgers have been a much stronger offensive team this season versus right-handed pitchers, averaging 4.9 runs per nine innings with a .260 batting average, compared to just 3.5 runs and .210 versus LHP.  We’ll back Los Angeles with Kershaw on the mound in NLCS Game 6 on Saturday night.

9* Play DODGERS (-).

Los Angeles lost Game 1 in Chicago 8-4 last night, but we expect a solid bounce back win by the Dodgers on Sunday night.  Los Angeles will start their ace Clayton Kershaw who has an incredible 1.96 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in his 23 starts this season.  He projects to have a fantastic outing against Chicago’s lineup based on my numbers.  Kershaw is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a 2.57 ERA and an excellent 0.95 WHIP in this game.  Kershaw also projects to have a tremendous 12.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and an incredible 6.1 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  Chicago has struggled mightily against Kershaw; the Cubs have hit just .230 (32-for-139) with a poor .612 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against the southpaw during his career.

Chicago will send Kyle Hendricks to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Hendricks against the Los Angeles lineup.  Hendricks projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 3.82 ERA in this game.  Hendricks has been dealing with a sore arm, and he hasn’t pitched in eight days.  This is a difficult start for him, especially since he allowed 6 earned runs on 10 hits in his last 8.2 innings of work prior to getting hurt.  The Dodgers have been a much stronger offensive team versus right-handed pitchers this season, averaging 5.0 runs per nine innings with a .261 batting average, compared to just 3.5 runs and .210 versus LHP.  We’ll back Los Angeles in Game 2 of the NLCS on Sunday night.

9* Play DODGERS (-).

Toronto will play Game 1 of the ALCS in Cleveland on Friday night.  The Blue Jays will send Marco Estrada to the mound.  My numbers project a poor outing for Estrada against Cleveland’s lineup.  The right-hander projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 3.99 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in this game.  The Indians' lineup has hit a solid .273 (12-for-44) with a strong .947 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Estrada during his career.  Cleveland has been a strong offensive team at home this season versus right-handed pitchers, averaging 6.4 runs per nine innings with a .284 batting average, compared to just 4.8 runs and .278 versus LHP.

Cleveland will start Corey Kluber who projects to have a fantastic outing against Toronto’s lineup based on my numbers.  Kluber is slated to give up 2.0 earned runs with a terrific 2.64 ERA and an excellent 0.99 WHIP in this game.  Kluber also projects to have a strong 10.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a solid 4.8 strikeout/walk ratio against the Blue Jays.  He is backed by a reliable Cleveland bullpen that has a 3.03 ERA and 1.13 WHIP at home this year.  Kluber has been fantastic at home where he is 11-5 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the season, including a 6-0 playoff win versus the Red Sox last week in which the right-hander allowed 0 runs and only 3 hits in seven innings of work.  We’ll back Cleveland with Kluber on the mound in ALCS Game 1 on Friday night.

9* Play INDIANS (-).

Los Angeles beat Washington 4-3 in Game 1 on Friday night, and we expect another win by the Dodgers on Sunday afternoon.  Los Angeles will start Rich Hill who has a strong 2.12 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including a 1.89 ERA and 0.89 WHIP on the road.  Hill has a 1.83 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in his past six starts since the Dodgers acquired him from Oakland.  The southpaw projects to have another fantastic outing against Washington’s lineup based on my numbers.  Hill is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a terrific 3.14 ERA and an excellent 1.20 WHIP in this game.  Hill also projects to have a tremendous 10.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a strong 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio today.

Washington will send Tanner Roark to the mound.  My numbers project a poor outing for the right-hander against the Los Angeles lineup.  Roark projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a poor 4.17 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in this game.  He has struggled in his past two starts, allowing 6 earned runs in just 9.2 innings of work for a weak 5.59 ERA.  The Dodgers have been a much stronger team versus right-handed pitchers this season, averaging 5.0 runs per nine innings with a .261 batting average, compared to just 3.5 runs and .211 versus LHP.  We’ll back Los Angeles with Hill on the mound in Game 2 of the NLDS on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play DODGERS (-).

Baltimore will play in Toronto for the AL Wild Card on Tuesday night.  The Orioles will send Chris Tillman to the mound who enters in poor current form, allowing 8 runs (7 earned) in his past three starts (13 innings) for a weak 4.84 ERA and 1.69 WHIP.  My numbers project another poor outing for Tillman against Toronto’s lineup.  Tillman projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a weak 4.63 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in this game.  Toronto has hit the right-hander hard in the past; the Blue Jays' lineup is batting .301 (97-for-322) with a strong .943 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Tillman during his career.

Toronto will start Marcus Stroman who projects to have a fantastic outing against Baltimore’s lineup based on my numbers.  Stroman is slated to give up 2.4 earned runs with a solid 3.33 ERA and an excellent 1.15 WHIP in this game.  Stroman also projects to have a strong 9.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a solid 4.6 strikeout/walk ratio against the Orioles tonight.  Stroman comes into this game in terrific current form; he has given up just 6 earned runs on 17 hits in his last 20 innings of work while earning a 2.70 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.  We’ll back Toronto with Stroman on the mound in this game on Tuesday night.

10* Play BLUE JAYS (-).

San Diego lost 5-3 in Arizona last night, and we expect a similar outcome on Saturday night.  The Padres will send Clayton Richard to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Richard against Arizona’s lineup.  The southpaw projects to give up 3.1 earned runs with a poor 4.79 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in this game.  Richard also projects to have a terrible 5.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Diamondbacks.  Arizona has hit Richard hard in the past as 8 of their 21 hits against him have gone for extra bases while scoring 12 runs.  The Diamondbacks have been a much stronger offensive team at home this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging 6.6 runs per nine innings with a .285 batting average, compared to just 4.7 runs and .259 versus RHP.

Arizona will start Archie Bradley who projects to have a fantastic outing against San Diego’s lineup based on my numbers.  Bradley is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a solid 3.10 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a strong 9.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a solid 2.8 strikeout/walk ratio against the Padres.  Bradley has had success against San Diego’s lineup in the past.  The Padres have hit just .245 (13-for-53) against Bradley during his career.  San Diego has been weaker versus right-handed pitchers this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per nine innings with a .227 batting average, compared to 4.9 runs and .245 versus LHP.  We’ll back Arizona with Bradley on the mound in this game on Saturday night.

9* Play DIAMONDBACKS (-).

Chicago will conclude their 4-game series in Pittsburgh against the Pirates on Thursday night.  The Cubs have already clinched the best record in the league and they are expected to rest some starters tonight, including their two best players, 1B Anthony Rizzo (.292, 32 HR, 106 RBI) and 3B Kris Bryant (.293, 39 HR, 101 RBI).  Chicago will also go with a first-time starter in Rob Zastryzny this evening.  My numbers project a poor outing for Zastryzny against Pittsburgh’s lineup.  The southpaw projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a weak 4.16 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in this game.  Zastryzny also projects to have a lowly 1.7 strikeout/walk ratio against the Pirates.  Pittsburgh has hit Zastryzny hard in the past; the Pirates have hit .667 with an incredible 1.417 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against the Chicago pitcher.  Zastryzny has made seven relief appearances for the Cubs this season, however this will be his first start.  He did not pitch well in the minors with a 4.31 ERA in 24 games this season (23 starts) and overall he has a weak 4.60 career ERA during his 73 minor league appearances (68 starts).  The Pirates have been strong against left-handed starters this season, going 20-9 while averaging 5.7 runs with a .278 batting average, compared to just 58-71 in all other games.

Pittsburgh will start Ivan Nova who projects to have a fantastic outing against Chicago’s lineup based on my numbers.  Nova is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.37 ERA and an excellent 1.17 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a 7.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio against the Cubs.  The Pirates are 7-3 in Nova's ten starts since acquiring him from the Yankees two months ago.  Nova has pitched well against Chicago’s lineup in the past.  The Cubs have hit just .217 (10-for-46) with an awful .539 OPS against the right-hander during his career.  Chicago has nothing to play for in this game and they will begin resting starters and key players as they focus on the playoffs which begin next week.  We’ll back Pittsburgh with Nova on the mound in this game on Thursday night.

10* Play PIRATES (-).

Cincinnati will conclude their 3-game series in Milwaukee against the Brewers on Sunday afternoon.  The Reds will send Brandon Finnegan to the mound; they are just 11-19 SU in his 30 starts this season.  He struggled in his two starts versus the Brewers earlier this year, allowing 9 runs (7 earned) in just 11.1 innings of work for a weak 5.56 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.  My numbers project another poor outing for Finnegan against Milwaukee’s lineup.  Finnegan projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a poor 4.60 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in this game.  The Brewers have been a much stronger offensive team at home versus left-handed pitchers this season, averaging 5.3 runs per nine innings with a .251 batting average, compared to just 4.1 runs and .238 versus RHP.  Finnegan has struggled on the road this season where he has given up 38 earned runs with 56 walks in 84.2 innings of work while earning a 4.04 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.  He is backed by a terrible Cincinnati bullpen that has a 5.04 ERA and 1.58 WHIP away from home this year.

Milwaukee will start Wily Peralta who projects to have a fantastic outing against Cincinnati’s lineup based on my numbers.  Peralta is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.64 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in this game.  Peralta also projects to have a 7.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched.  Peralta has had a lot of success against Cincinnati’s lineup in the past.  The Reds have hit just .211 (24-for-114) with an awful .567 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Peralta during his career.  The right-hander pitched well against Cincinnati in two recent starts this season, allowing just 4 runs and only 10 hits in 12 innings of work for a 3.00 ERA and a solid 1.00 WHIP.  We’ll back Milwaukee with Peralta on the mound in this game on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play BREWERS (-).

Texas beat Oakland 3-0 on Friday night, and we expect another win by the Rangers on Saturday afternoon.  Texas will start Yu Darvish who projects to have a fantastic outing against Oakland’s lineup based on my numbers.  Darvish is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a terrific 2.93 ERA and an excellent 1.08 WHIP in this game.  Darvish also projects to have a tremendous 11.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a strong 4.1 strikeout/walk ratio today.  Oakland’s offense comes into this game in poor current form; the Athletics have gone 0-4 SU in their past four games while only scoring 8 total runs (2.0 runs).  Overall, Oakland is 33-46 at home this year, averaging only 3.6 runs per game (29th in MLB) with a .235 batting average (28th in MLB).

Oakland will send Raul Alcantara to the mound today.  My numbers project a poor outing for the right-hander against the Texas lineup.  Alcantara projects to give up 2.4 earned runs with a poor 4.15 ERA in this game.  Alcantara also projects to have a weak 6.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched against the Rangers.  In three starts this season, Alcantara has been hit hard.  In 14.1 innings of work, Alcantara has allowed 9 earned runs on 17 runs while earning a horrendous 5.65 ERA.  At home, Alcantara has given up 7 earned runs on 12 hits in just 8.2 innings of work for an atrocious 7.27 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.  We’ll back Texas with Darvish on the mound in this game on Saturday afternoon.

10* Play RANGERS (-).

Kansas City will begin a 3-game series in Detroit against the Tigers on Friday night.  The Royals will send Danny Duffy to the mound who has already faced Detroit six times this season (4 starts, 2 relief) so the Tigers' hitters will be very familiar.  Duffy has allowed 15 earned runs in just 26.2 innings this season versus Detroit for a poor 5.06 ERA.  My numbers project another poor outing for Duffy against Detroit’s lineup tonight.  The southpaw projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a poor 4.45 ERA in this game.  Duffy has been roughed-up by Detroit’s lineup in the past.  The Tigers have a solid .711 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Duffy after scoring 22 runs with 15 of their 42 hits against him going for extra bases.  The Tigers have hit 8 home runs against Duffy during his career.  Detroit enters tonight with four straight wins, scoring 30 during that span (7.5 runs per game).

Detroit will start Mike Fulmer who has a solid 3.03 ERA and 1.08 WHIP and 17-7 SU team record in his 24 starts this season, including an excellent 2.90 ERA and 0.97 WHIP at home.  Fulmer projects to have a fantastic outing against Kansas City’s lineup based on my numbers.  He is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a 3.41 ERA and a strong 1.21 WHIP in this game.  Fulmer also projects to have a 7.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.5 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The right-hander has had success against Kansas City’s lineup in the past.  The Royals have hit just .240 (18-for-75) with a poor .656 OPS against Fulmer during his career.  Kansas City has been a weaker offensive team versus right-handed pitchers this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per nine-innings with a .252 batting average, compared to 4.5 runs and .271 versus LHP.  We’ll back Detroit with Fulmer on the mound in this game on Friday night.

10* Play TIGERS (-).

Washington will begin a 3-game series in Pittsburgh against the Pirates on Friday night.  The Nationals are just 1-4 SU in their past five games on this current nine-game road trip.  They will send Gio Gonzalez to the mound tonight and my numbers project a poor outing for the southpaw against Pittsburgh’s lineup.  Gonzalez projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 3.98 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in this game.  Gonzalez also enters this matchup in poor current form; he has allowed 13 earned runs on 21 hits in his last 14.1 innings of work.  He has earned a horrendous 8.16 ERA and a poor 1.53 WHIP in his past three starts.  Overall, the Nationals are just 4-11 SU in the 15 road starts made by Gonzalez this season.  Pittsburgh is 19-9 SU versus left-handed starters this season, compared to just 57-67 versus right-handed starters.  The Pirates have been a better offensive team against southpaws this season, averaging 4.9 runs per nine-innings while batting .269, compared to just 4.5 runs and .252 versus RHP.

Pittsburgh will start Jameson Taillon who has a strong 2.95 ERA and 1.04 WHIP at home this year.  He projects to have a fantastic outing against Washington’s lineup based on my numbers.  Taillon is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a 3.19 ERA and an excellent 1.14 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a strong 8.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a tremendous 4.3 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  Taillon has never faced Washington’s lineup during his career, so that gives him a nice matchup advantage in this game.  The Nationals have been a weaker offensive team versus right-handed pitchers this season, averaging just 4.7 runs per nine-innings and batting .249, compared to 5.0 runs and .254 versus LHP.  We’ll back Pittsburgh with Taillon on the mound in this game on Friday night.

9* Play PIRATES (-).

Toronto will conclude their 3-game series in Seattle on Wednesday afternoon.  The Blue Jays will send Aaron Sanchez to the mound who was terrible in his most recent start last week when he allowed 6 runs in just 3.2 innings.  My numbers project another poor outing for Sanchez against Seattle’s lineup.  The right-hander projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 3.94 ERA and a weak 1.44 WHIP in this game.  Sanchez has been roughed-up by Seattle’s lineup in the past.  The Mariners have hit .333 with a strong .868 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Sanchez during his career.  The Mariners have been stronger versus right-handed pitchers this season, averaging 5.0 runs per nine innings, compared to just 4.3 runs versus LHP.

Seattle will start Felix Hernandez who projects to have a fantastic outing against Toronto’s lineup based on my numbers.  Hernandez is slated to give up 2.2 earned runs with a terrific 3.15 ERA and an excellent 1.18 WHIP in this game.  Hernandez also projects to have a strong 9.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.1 strikeout/walk ratio today.  Hernandez has stymied Toronto’s lineup in the past.  The Blue Jays have hit just .173 (34-for-197) with a terrible .560 OPS against Hernandez in his career.  He dominated the Blue Jays in two wins last year, allowing just 2 earned runs and only 10 hits in 14 innings for a 1.29 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.  We’ll back Seattle with Hernandez on the mound in this game on Wednesday afternoon.

10* Play MARINERS (+).

Texas will conclude their 3-game series in Houston on Wednesday night.  An overnight pitching change for the Rangers who will now send Derek Holland to the mound tonight, instead of Yu Darvish.  Holland has been terrible on the road this season, going 2-6 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in ten starts.  My numbers project another poor outing for Holland against Houston’s lineup tonight.  The southpaw projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a horrendous 5.07 ERA and a terrible 1.51 WHIP in this game.  Holland has been roughed-up by Houston’s lineup in the past.  The Astros have hit .314 (37-for-118) with an outstanding .927 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Holland during his career.  He is backed by a Texas bullpen that has a poor 4.73 ERA in all games this season.

Houston will start Joe Musgrove who projects to have a fantastic outing against the Rangers’ lineup based on my numbers.  Musgrove is slated to give up just 2.4 earned runs with a 3.72 ERA and an excellent 1.15 WHIP in this game.  Musgrove also projects to have a strong 8.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a tremendous 5.2 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The young right-hander was strong in the minors earlier this year with a 2.74 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 16 games with an 87/10 strikeout/walk ratio.  He made his MLB debut last month and has pitched extremely well at home with a 1.47 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in his three starts in Houston.  The Rangers' offense enters this game in poor current form, averaging just 3.6 runs and batting only .226 in their past seven games.  We’ll back the Astros with Musgrove on the mound in this game on Wednesday night.

10* Play ASTROS (-).

Arizona won 12-9 last night, and we expect another home win by the Diamondbacks on Tuesday night.  Colorado will send Jorge De La Rosa to the mound who has a terrible 5.26 ERA and 1.65 WHIP this season in his 22 starts, including a 5.40 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 11 road starts.  My numbers project another poor outing for the southpaw against Arizona’s lineup.  De La Rosa projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a poor 4.36 ERA and a weak 1.47 WHIP in this game.  He has been roughed-up by Arizona’s lineup in the past.  The Diamondbacks have hit .298 (39-for-131) with an outstanding .892 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against De La Rosa during his career.  Arizona has been  much stronger offensive team at home this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging 6.5 runs per nine innings with a .284 batting average, compared to just 4.5 runs and .256 versus RHP.

Arizona will start Robbie Ray who projects to have a fantastic outing against Colorado’s lineup based on my numbers.  Ray is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a terrific 3.09 ERA and an excellent 1.17 WHIP tonight.  Ray also projects to have a strong 10.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.3 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  The Rockies have been a much weaker offensive team on the road this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging just 3.7 runs per nine innings with a .219 batting average, compared to 4.5 runs and .251 versus RHP.  We’ll back Arizona with Ray on the mound in this game on Tuesday night.

10* Play DIAMONDBACKS (-).

San Francisco will conclude their three-game series in Arizona on Sunday afternoon.  The Giants will send Matt Moore to the mound who has a weak 4.61 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in his 13 road starts this season.  My numbers project another poor outing for Moore against Arizona’s lineup.  The southpaw projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a weak 4.44 ERA in this game.  Moore has struggled in daytime games this season; he is 1-2 with a horrendous 5.68 ERA and an ugly 1.68 WHIP after giving up 12 earned runs in 19 innings of work.  Moore has been roughed-up by Arizona’s lineup in the past.  The Diamondbacks' lineup has hit .297 (11-for-37) with a solid .802 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Moore during his career.  Arizona has been a much stronger offensive team at home this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging 6.4 runs per nine innings with a .278 batting average, compared to just 4.4 runs and .255 versus RHP.

Arizona will start Zack Greinke who projects to have a strong outing against San Francisco’s lineup based on my numbers.  Greinke is slated to give up 2.5 earned runs with a solid 3.57 ERA and a strong 1.20 WHIP in this game.  Greinke also projects to have a terrific 7.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.9 strikeout/walk ratio today.  The Giants' lineup has only hit .255 (59-for-231) with a weak .672 OPS against Greinke during his career.  The right-hander has pitched better than his 4.54 ERA indicates this season as he owns a 1.27 WHIP and a solid 120/29 strikeout/walk ratio.  Overall, he is 9-1 with an excellent 2.35 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in his 13 career starts versus San Francisco.  We’ll back Arizona in this game on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play DIAMONDBACKS (-).

New York lost 8-0 at Baltimore last night, and we expect another loss by the Yankees on Saturday night.  New York will send CC Sabathia to the mound this evening.  My numbers project a poor outing for Sabathia against Baltimore’s lineup.  Sabathia projects to give up 3.0 earned runs with a poor 4.49 ERA in this game.  Sabathia comes into this game in poor current form; he is 1-2 with a 5.03 ERA after giving up 11 earned runs in his last 19.2 innings of work.  Sabathia has been roughed-up by Baltimore’s lineup in the past.  The Orioles have hit a respectable .272 (99-for-364) with a solid .762 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against the southpaw during his career.  Sabathia is backed by a New York bullpen that has been weaker on the road this season with a 4.07 ERA, compared to a 2.98 ERA at home.

Baltimore will start Kevin Gausman who projects to have a fantastic outing against New York’s lineup based on my numbers.  The right-hander is slated to give up 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.42 ERA and a strong 1.20 WHIP in this game.  Gausman also projects to have a terrific 8.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  He is backed by a solid Baltimore bullpen that has a 3.25 ERA and 1.25 WHIP at home this year.  The Yankees have only hit .221 (34-for-154) with a terrible .549 OPS against Gausman during his career.  He has an excellent 1.78 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in his nine career starts versus the Yankees, and he has dominated New York this season in four starts, allowing just 3 runs in 27.2 innings of work for an incredible 0.98 ERA.  We’ll back Baltimore with Gausman on the mound in this game on Saturday night.

9* Play ORIOLES (-).

Cincinnati will conclude their 3-game series in Los Angeles against the Angels on Wednesday night.  The Reds will send Brandon Finnegan to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Finnegan against the Los Angeles lineup.  Finnegan projects to give up 3.0 earned runs with a terrible 5.15 ERA and an ugly 1.64 WHIP in this game.  Finnegan also projects to have a poor 6.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 1.2 strikeout/walk ratio this evening.  On the road, Finnegan is just 4-5 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.49 WHIP while giving up 36 earned in 72.2 innings of work with a horrible 56/51 strikeout/walk ratio.  He is backed by a terrible Cincinnati bullpen that has a 5.01 ERA and 1.56 WHIP on the road this year.  The Angels are expected to rest Albert Pujols and Mike Trout tonight, but overall the team still enters this game in excellent current form, going 6-1 in their past seven games while averaging 5.3 runs per game and batting .314 overall.

Los Angeles will start Ricky Nolasco who projects to have a fantastic outing against Cincinnati’s lineup based on my numbers.  Nolasco is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a terrific 3.36 ERA and a strong 1.23 WHIP in this game.  Nolasco also projects to have a solid 7.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.4 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  Nolasco has pitched better than his 5.24 ERA suggests this season as he has a decent 1.36 WHIP with a strong 113/36 strikeout/walk ratio.  The right-hander will now face a Cincinnati offense that is in poor current form; the Reds have only scored 6 total runs in their past three games.  We’ll back Los Angeles with Nolasco on the mound in this game on Wednesday night.

10* Play ANGELS (-).

St. Louis beat Milwaukee 6-5 on Monday night, and we expect another win by the Cardinals on Tuesday night.  St. Louis will start Adam Wainwright who has a strong 2.29 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his 26 career starts versus the Brewers, including pitching a seven inning shutout earlier this season.  The veteran right-hander projects to have another solid outing against Milwaukee’s lineup tonight based on my numbers.  Wainwright is slated to give up 2.5 earned runs with a 3.54 ERA and an excellent 1.17 WHIP in this game.  He also projects to have a strong 8.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.6 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The Brewers' lineup has only hit .230 (28-for-122) with a terrible .583 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Wainwright during his career.  Milwaukee has been a much weaker offensive team at home this season versus right-handed pitchers, averaging just 4.1 runs per nine innings with a .240 batting average, compared to 5.6 runs and .257 versus LHP.  The Brewers are in terrible current form, going 0-5 in their past five games and just 4-11 in their past fifteen games overall.

Milwaukee will send Wily Peralta to the mound who has a weak 5.87 ERA and 1.73 WHIP.  My numbers project another poor outing for Peralta against the St. Louis lineup.  Peralta projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a poor 4.44 ERA in this game.  He has been crushed at home this season with a horrendous 6.10 ERA and an ugly 1.70 WHIP after giving up 35 earned runs on 68 hits in just 51.2 innings of work.  Peralta has been roughed-up by the St. Louis lineup in the past.  The Cardinals have hit .338 (50-for-148) with a terrific .913 OPS against Peralta during his career.  St. Louis has been a much stronger offensive team on the road this season versus right-handed pitchers, averaging 6.0 runs per nine innings with a .267 batting average, compared to just 4.4 runs and .231 versus LHP.  We’ll back St. Louis in this game on Tuesday night.

10* Play CARDINALS (-).

Cincinnati will begin a 3-game series in Los Angeles against the Angels on Monday night.  The Reds will send Dan Straily to the mound who has a terrible 6.69 ERA and 1.57 WHIP against the Angels during his career.  My numbers project another poor outing for Straily against the Los Angeles lineup this evening.  Straily projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a weak 4.49 ERA in this game.  The right-hander has pitched much better at home than on the road this season.  At home, Straily is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.  On the road, Straily is just 5-5 with a 4.27 ERA this year.  He is backed by a terrible Cincinnati bullpen that has a horrible 5.05 ERA and 1.57 WHIP on the road this season.  Straily has been roughed-up by the Los Angeles lineup in the past.  The Angels have hit .395 (15-for-38) with an incredible 1.008 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Straily during his career.  Los Angeles enters in solid current form, going 4-1 in their past five games while scoring 24 total runs (4.8 runs per game).

The Angels will start Matt Shoemaker who has a solid 3.10 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in his 11 home starts this season.  Shoemaker projects to have a fantastic outing against Cincinnati’s lineup based on my numbers.  The right-hander is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a terrific 3.12 ERA and an excellent 1.12 WHIP in this game.  Shoemaker also projects to have a strong 8.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a tremendous 4.2 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  Shoemaker comes into this game in outstanding current form; he has allowed just 2 earned runs in his past two starts (13 innings) for a 1.38 ERA and 0.85 WHIP.  We’ll back Los Angeles with Shoemaker on the mound in this game on Monday night.

10* Play ANGELS (-).

Pittsburgh has won the first two games in this series, and we expect another win on Saturday night.  The Pirates will start Jameson Taillon who projects to have a fantastic outing against Milwaukee’s lineup based on my numbers.  Taillon is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a 3.21 ERA and an excellent 1.10 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a strong 9.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a tremendous 4.7 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  He is backed by an excellent Pittsburgh bullpen that has a 2.76 ERA and 1.28 WHIP on the road this season, while converting 88% of their save opportunities (21-for-24).  Taillon has held Milwaukee’s lineup in check during his career; the Brewers have only hit .250 (9-for-36) with a poor .611 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric).  Taillon has a solid 3.04 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in his 12 starts this season, including an even better 2.25 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in his two starts versus Milwaukee.  The Brewers have been a much weaker offensive team versus right-handed pitchers this year, averaging just 3.9 runs per nine innings with a .239 batting average, compared to 4.9 runs and .247 versus LHP.

Milwaukee will send Jimmy Nelson to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Nelson against Pittsburgh’s lineup.  The right-hander projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a weak 4.20 ERA in this game.  Nelson comes into this game in poor current form; he has allowed 11 earned runs on 19 hits in his last 16 innings of work while earning a horrendous 6.19 ERA and a poor 1.50 WHIP in his past three starts.  We’ll back Pittsburgh with Taillon on the mound in this game on Saturday night.

10* Play PIRATES (-).

Houston will begin a 3-game series in Pittsburgh on Monday night.  The Astros will send Doug Fister to the mound this evening.  My numbers project a poor outing for Fister against Pittsburgh’s lineup.  The right-hander projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a weak 4.10 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in this game.  Fister also comes into this game in poor current form; he has allowed 9 earned runs on 15 hits in his last 11 innings of work.  Fister has earned a horrendous 7.36 ERA and an ugly 1.64 WHIP in his past two outings.  He is backed by a Houston bullpen that has been weaker on the road this season with a 4.22 ERA, compared to a 2.71 ERA at home.

Pittsburgh will start Jameson Taillon who projects to have a fantastic outing against Houston’s lineup based on my numbers.  Taillon is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a solid 3.00 ERA and an excellent 1.09 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a strong 8.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a tremendous 5.0 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  Taillon comes into this game in outstanding current form; he has allowed just 4 earned runs on 15 hits in his last 20 innings of work.  Taillon has earned an incredible 1.80 ERA and a sterling 0.95 WHIP in his last three outings.  The Astros have been a weaker offensive team on the road versus right-handed pitchers this season, averaging just 4.8 runs per nine innings with a .254 batting average, compared to 5.4 runs and .263 versus LHP.  We’ll back Pittsburgh with Taillon on the mound in this game on Monday night.

10* Play PIRATES (-).

Seattle will play the third game of this four-game series in Los Angeles against the Angels on Wednesday night.  The Mariners will send Cody Martin to the mound who is a reliever and is making a spot start tonight.  He started two games last season, and he got shelled in both of those outings; he gave up 11 earned runs on 12 hits in just 6 innings of work for a horrendous 16.50 ERA and 2.67 WHIP.  One of those awful starts last year came against the Angels and my numbers project another poor outing for Martin against the Los Angeles lineup tonight.  Martin projects to give up 2.3 earned runs with a poor 4.28 ERA and a weak 1.44 WHIP in this game.  Martin also projects to have a mediocre 6.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 1.7 strikeout/walk ratio this evening.

Los Angeles will start Tyler Skaggs who projects to have a strong outing against Seattle’s lineup based on my numbers.  Skaggs is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.05 ERA and an excellent 1.14 WHIP tonight.  Skaggs also projects to have an incredible 9.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.8 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  The Mariners have been a weaker offensive team versus left-handed pitchers this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per nine innings with a .245 batting average, compared to 5.0 runs and .260 versus RHP.  We’ll back Los Angeles with Skaggs on the mound in this game on Wednesday night.

10* Play ANGELS (-).

Toronto lost 1-0 to the Yankees last night, and we expect another loss by the Blue Jays on Tuesday night.  The Blue Jays will send Marco Estrada to the mound and my numbers project a poor outing for the right-hander against New York’s lineup.  Estrada projects to give up 3.0 earned runs with a poor 4.53 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in this game.  Estrada has been handled by the Yankees’ lineup in the past.  New York has hit a respectable .273 (44-for-161) with a terrific .832 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Estrada during his career.  The Yankees enter in solid current form, going 5-1 in their past six games while averaging 5.2 runs per game and batting over .270 as a team.

New York will start Michael Pineda who projects to have a fantastic outing against Toronto’s lineup based on my numbers.  Pineda is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a fantastic 3.24 ERA and an excellent 1.08 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have an incredible 10.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 4.6 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  Toronto's lineup has only hit .222 (16-for-72) with a terrible .612 OPS against Pineda during his career.  He allowed just 2 earned runs and only 5 hits in six innings versus Toronto earlier this season.  Pineda is backed by a Yankees' bullpen that has a fantastic 2.49 ERA and 0.96 WHIP at home this year while converting 20 of their 24 save opportunities.  We’ll back New York with Pineda on the mound in this game on Tuesday night.

10* Play YANKEES.

Seattle will begin a 3-game series in Oakland on Friday night.  The Mariners will send Ariel Miranda to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Miranda against Oakland’s lineup.  Miranda projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a poor 4.69 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in this game.  Miranda is also projected to have a weak 6.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 1.7 strikeout/walk ratio against the Athletics.  In one start this season, Miranda gave up 8 hits to the Red Sox in just 6 innings of work.  Miranda also owns a horrendous 13.50 ERA and an ugly 2.00 WHIP on the road after getting shelled in one outing this season.

Oakland will start Sean Manaea who projects to have a fantastic outing against Seattle’s lineup based on my numbers.  Manaea is slated to give up 2.4 earned runs with a solid 3.65 ERA and a terrific 1.26 WHIP in this game.  Manaea also projects to have a strong 8.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched in this game.  Manaea has pitched much better at home where he owns a 3.36 ERA and 1.18 WHIP after giving up just 24 earned runs on 59 hits in 64.1 innings of work this season.  We’ll back Oakland with Manaea on the mound in this game on Friday night.

10* Play ATHLETICS (-) (action).

NOTE:  Pitching change as Joe Wieland is now expected to start for Seattle instead of Ariel Miranda.  The Athletics are play either way, regardless of the Seattle starter.

Seattle will begin a 3-game series in Oakland on Friday night.  The Mariners were originally planning on starting Ariel Miranda who has made just three appearances this season, earning a poor 6.00 ERA and 1.67 WHIP, allowing 6 runs and 14 hits in just 9 innings pitched.  However, now Joe Wieland is the listed starter after a pitching change this afternoon.  Wieland has just been called up from the minor leagues where he was terrible this season with a 5.38 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 22 games (20 starts) with his opponents hitting .305 against him.  Wieland has appeared in 11 major league games during his career (9 starts) with an awful 5.85 ERA and 1.49 WHIP, including two starts for the Dodgers last year when he earned a horrendous 8.31 ERA and 1.73 WHIP.

Oakland will start Sean Manaea who projects to have a strong outing against Seattle’s lineup based on my numbers.  Manaea is slated to give up 2.4 earned runs with a solid 3.65 ERA and a terrific 1.26 WHIP in this game.  Manaea also projects to have a strong 8.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched tonight.  The southpaw has pitched much better at home where he owns a 3.36 ERA and 1.18 WHIP after giving up just 24 earned runs on 59 hits in 64.1 innings of work this season.  Seattle has been a weaker offensive team against left-handed pitchers this season, averaging just 4.0 runs per nine innings with a .246 batting average, compared to 5.0 runs and .259 versus RHP.  We’ll back Oakland with Manaea on the mound in this game on Friday night.

10* Play ATHLETICS (-).
 

Atlanta will begin a 4-game series in Milwaukee on Monday night.  The Braves will send Rob Whalen to the mound for his second career Major League start.  My numbers project a poor outing for Whalen against Milwaukee’s lineup.  Whalen projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a poor 4.37 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in this game.  Whalen is also projected to have a lowly 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Brewers.  In his only other start this season, Whalen gave up 4 earned runs in just 5 innings of work, earning a horrendous 7.20 ERA and an ugly 1.60 WHIP versus Pittsburgh last week.  The right-hander is backed by an inconsistent Atlanta bullpen that has a 4.02 ERA and 1.42 WHIP this season.  The Brewers' offense enters this game in solid current form, averaging 4.8 runs while batting over .270 during their past eight games.

Milwaukee will start Zach Davies who projects to have a fantastic outing against Atlanta’s lineup based on my numbers.  Davies is slated to give up 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.63 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in this game.  Davies also projects to have a strong 7.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched tonight.  Davies comes into this game in excellent current form; he is a perfect 3-0 while giving up just 5 earned runs on 15 hits in his last 18.1 innings of work with a 2.45 ERA and 1.09 WHIP during that span.  The Braves have the worst record in the league (41-70) this season and a weak offense that is averaging just 3.6 runs per game with a paltry .244 team batting average.  We’ll back Milwaukee in this game on Monday night.

10* Play BREWERS (-).

Boston will begin a 4-game series in Seattle on Monday night after a fortunate 5-3 win yesterday in which the Red Sox overcame a 0-3 deficit in the final inning.  Boston is still just 3-7 in their past ten games and they will now send Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Rodriguez against Seattle’s lineup.  Rodriguez projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a poor 4.28 ERA in this game.  Rodriguez has been terrible on the road this season; he has allowed 16 runs on 27 hits in 20.1 innings of work.  Rodriguez has earned a horrendous 7.08 ERA and an ugly 1.67 WHIP away from home.

Seattle will start James Paxton who projects to have a fantastic outing against Boston’s lineup based on my numbers.  Paxton is slated to give up 2.5 earned runs with a solid 3.64 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in this game.  Paxton also projects to have a strong 7.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched in this game.  Boston has only hit .188 with a terrible .485 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) in a limited 16 at-bats against Paxton during his career.  He was fantastic in his one career start against the Red Sox last year, allowing no runs and only five hits in eight innings for a perfect 0.00 ERA and 0.88 WHIP.  The Red Sox have been a much weaker offensive team on the road this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging just 3.5 runs per nine innings with a .243 batting average, compared to 5.4 runs and .274 versus RHP.  We’ll back Seattle in this game on Monday night.

10* Play MARINERS (-).

Boston is just 2-7 in their past nine games and they will conclude this four-game series in Los Angeles against the Angels on Sunday afternoon.  The Red Sox will send Steven Wright to the mound who has an awful 6.61 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in his three career starts versus the Angels.  My numbers project a poor outing for Wright who projects to give up 3.0 earned runs with a poor 4.27 ERA and 1.44 WHIP today.  Wright comes into this game in poor current form after allowing 8 runs and 9 hits in just 4.2 innings five days ago.  The Angels have been a stronger offensive team at home this season versus right-handed pitchers, averaging 4.6 runs per nine innings with a .258 batting average, compared to just 4.3 runs and .243 versus LHP.  Overall, the Angels enter this game in fantastic current form, averaging 5.5 runs per game while batting over .300 during this past week.

Los Angeles will start Tyler Skaggs who projects to have a fantastic outing against Boston’s lineup based on my numbers.  Skaggs is slated to give up just 1.8 earned runs with a solid 3.26 ERA and an excellent 1.21 WHIP in this game.  The southpaw also projects to have a strong 8.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.1 strikeout/walk ratio today.  In his lone outing this season, Skaggs held the Royals scoreless on just 3 hits over seven innings of work for a perfect 0.00 ERA and 0.57 WHIP.  He is backed by an Angels' bullpen that has a 3.17 ERA and 1.13 WHIP at home this year.  The Red Sox have been a much weaker offensive team on the road this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging just 3.8 runs per nine innings with a .246 batting average, compared to 5.4 runs and .273 versus RHP.  We’ll back Los Angeles with Skaggs on the mound in this game on Sunday afternoon.

10* Play ANGELS (-).

Pittsburgh lost 3-1 to Milwaukee last night, but we expect a much different outcome on Saturday night.  The Pirates will start Jameson Taillon who was strong in his one career start against Milwaukee two weeks ago when he allowed just one run in six innings with a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP.  The right-hander projects to have another fantastic outing against Milwaukee’s lineup tonight based on my numbers.  Taillon is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.34 ERA and an excellent 1.14 WHIP in this game.  Taillon also projects to have a strong 9.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 4.2 strikeout/walk ratio this evening.  The Brewers have only hit .190 with a poor .429 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) in a limited 21 at-bats against Taillon during his career.  He is backed by a strong Pittsburgh bullpen that has a 2.88 ERA and 1.25 WHIP on the road this season while converting 83% of their save opportunities (15 out of 18).  Milwaukee has been a weaker offensive team at home versus right-handed pitchers this year, averaging just 4.1 runs per nine innings with a .239 batting average, compared to 5.4 runs and .251 versus LHP.

Milwaukee will send Chase Anderson to the mound who has a weak 5.89 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in his four career starts versus the Pirates.  He has been particularly bad the past two years, allowing 10 runs and 15 hits in just 8.2 innings for a horrible 8.31 ERA and 2.19 WHIP.  My numbers project another poor outing for Anderson against Pittsburgh’s lineup tonight.  The right-hander projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a poor 4.61 ERA this evening.  Anderson comes into this game in poor current form; he has allowed 7 runs on 17 hits in his last 13 innings of work with a 4.85 ERA and a horrible 1.92 WHIP.  Pittsburgh's lineup has hit .396 (21-for-53) with a sterling 1.129 OPS against Anderson during his career.  He is backed by an inconsistent Milwaukee bullpen that has a 4.41 ERA and 1.40 WHIP at home this season.  We’ll back Pittsburgh in this game on Saturday night.

10* Play PIRATES (-).

Philadelphia beat Atlanta 7-5 last night, and we expect another win by the Phillies on Friday night.  The Phillies will start Vincent Velasquez who projects to have a fantastic outing against Atlanta’s lineup based on my numbers.  Velasquez is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.44 ERA and a terrific 1.23 WHIP in this game.  The right-hander also projects to have a strong 8.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched against the Braves tonight.  Atlanta has only hit .200 with a poor .400 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) in a limited 20 at-bats against Velasquez during his career.  The Braves have the weakest home field in the league, going just 14-36 this season.  They are also a terrible offensive team, ranking at the bottom of the league in batting average (.240) and runs per game (3.4) overall.

Atlanta will send Tyrell Jenkins to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Jenkins against Philadelphia’s lineup.  The right-hander projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a poor 4.29 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in this game.  Jenkins also projects to have a weak 6.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Phillies tonight.  Philadelphia has hit .308 in a limited 13 at-bats against Jenkins during his career.  He is backed by a weak Atlanta bullpen that has a 4.45 ERA and 1.52 WHIP at home this season while converting only 36% of their save opportunities.  We’ll back Philadelphia with Velasquez on the mound in this game on Friday night.

10* Play PHILLIES (-).

St. Louis will conclude their 3-game series in New York against the Mets on Wednesday night.  The Cardinals will start Adam Wainwright who projects to have a fantastic outing against New York’s lineup based on my numbers.  Wainwright is slated to give up 2.5 earned runs with a solid 3.57 ERA and an excellent 1.16 WHIP in this game.  Wainwright also projects to have a strong 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio against the Mets tonight.  New York has only hit .267 (28-105) with a poor .684 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Wainwright during his career.  The right-hander enters in excellent current form with a 1.23 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in his past three starts with a 22/3 strikeout/walk ratio.  He is backed by a St. Louis bullpen that has a strong 2.75 ERA and 1.08 WHIP at home this season.

New York will send Logan Verrett to the mound who has a weak 4.97 ERA and 1.54 WHIP this season with an ugly 26/21 strikeout/walk ratio.  My numbers project a poor outing for Verrett against the Cardinal's lineup.  Verrett projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 4.27 ERA tonight.  Verrett comes into this game in poor current form as well.  In his last three starts, Verrett earned a weak 4.50 ERA after giving up 9 runs in 18 innings of work.  The Cardinals have been a much better team on the road (28-17) than at home (25-30) this season, especially against right-handed pitchers as St. Louis averages 6.4 runs per nine innings with a .276 batting average, compared to just 4.3 runs and .224 versus LHP.  We’ll back St. Louis with Wainwright on the mound in this game on Wednesday night.

10* Play CARDINALS (-).

Los Angeles lost 4-3 in St. Louis last night, but we expect a much different outcome tonight.  The Dodgers will start Kenta Maeda who projects to have a fantastic outing against St. Louis’ lineup based on my numbers.  Maeda is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.46 ERA and an excellent 1.15 WHIP in this game.  Maeda also projects to have a terrific 8.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a strong 3.8 strikeout/walk ratio against the Cardinals tonight.  Maeda has never faced the Cardinals before, so that also gives him a nice advantage in this game.  Overall, the right-hander has a 3.25 ERA and a strong 1.12 WHIP in his 19 starts this season with a powerful 112/32 strikeout/walk ratio.  He is backed by a Los Angeles bullpen that has a solid 2.97 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this year.

St. Louis will send Mike Leake to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Leake against the Dodgers who have been stronger against right-handed pitchers this season, averaging 4.5 runs per nine-innings with a .249 batting average, compared to just 3.5 runs and .215 versus LHP.  Leake projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a poor 4.09 ERA in this game.  Leake has been a weaker pitcher at home this season, going just 2-4 with a 4.11 ERA after giving up 29 runs in 57 innings of work.  The Cardinals' bullpen also has worse numbers at home this year with a 4.06 ERA while converting only 60% of their save opportunities.  St. Louis is one of just two teams in the entire league that has a losing record at home (25-28) and a winning record on the road (27-16) this season.  We’ll back Los Angeles with Maeda on the mound in this game on Saturday night.

10* Play DODGERS (-).

Baltimore has lost the first two games of this series against the Yankees in New York by a combined score of 9-2, and we expect another loss on Wednesday night.  The Orioles will send Yovani Gallardo to the mound who has a weak 5.77 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his ten starts this season, including a horrible 7.39 ERA and 1.86 WHIP on the road.  My numbers project another poor outing for Gallardo against New York’s lineup.  Gallardo projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a terrible 4.85 ERA and an ugly 1.57 WHIP in this game.  Gallardo has been hit hard by New York’s lineup during his career.  The right-hander has given up 22 runs on 47 hits in 161 at-bats against New York with the Yankees hitting a solid .292 against him.  New York is averaging a solid 5.0 runs per nine innings at home versus right-handed pitchers, compared to just 3.9 runs versus LHP this year.

New York will start Michael Pineda who projects to have a fantastic outing against Baltimore’s lineup based on my numbers.  Pineda is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a terrific 3.09 ERA and an incredible 1.04 WHIP in this game.  Pineda also projects to have an excellent 10.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 6.4 strikeout/walk ratio against the Orioles tonight.  He is backed by a New York bullpen that has been much stronger at home this season with a 2.41 ERA and 0.92 WHIP while converting 83% of their save opportunities.  Baltimore’s offense is in poor current form; the Orioles have only scored 6 total runs in their last four games, including just 2 total runs in their two games against the Yankees in this series.  We’ll back New York with Pineda on the mound in this game on Wednesday night.

10* Play YANKEES (-).

Toronto will conclude their 3-game series in Oakland on Sunday afternoon.  The Blue Jays lost the first two games of this series, and we expect another loss in this game.  Toronto will send J.A. Happ to the mound today.  My numbers project a poor outing for Happ against Oakland’s lineup.  Happ projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a poor 4.30 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in this game.  Happ has been hit hard by Oakland’s lineup during his career.  Happ has given up 13 runs on 25 hits in 84 at-bats against Oakland with the Athletics hitting a solid .298 against the southpaw.  He is backed by a Toronto bullpen that has struggled on the road this season with a poor 4.53 ERA and 1.45 WHIP while blowing 35% of their save opportunities.  Oakland has been stronger at home versus left-handed pitchers this season, averaging 4.8 runs per nine innings with a .257 batting average, compared to just 3.9 runs and .233 versus RHP.

Oakland will start Rich Hill who has an excellent 2.25 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in his thirteen starts this season.  The left-hander projects to have another fantastic outing against Toronto’s lineup based on my numbers.  Hill is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.66 ERA in this game.  Hill also projects to have an excellent 9.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched against the Blue Jays today.  Toronto has struggled versus Hill; the Blue Jays are only hitting .171 (6-for-35) with a terrible .636 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Hill during his career.  The Blue Jays have been a weak offensive team on the road this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging just 3.96 runs per nine innings with a .231 batting average, compared to 5.01 runs scored versus right-handed pitchers.  We’ll back Oakland with Hill on the mound as the Athletics go for the three-game home sweep on Sunday afternoon.

10* Play ATHLETICS (-) (action).

Kansas City will begin a 3-game series in Detroit on Friday night.  The Royals will send Ian Kennedy to the mound who has a weak 5.14 ERA on the road this season.  My numbers project a poor outing for Kennedy against Detroit’s lineup.  Kennedy projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a terrible 4.58 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in this game.  Kennedy has been hit hard by Detroit’s lineup during his career.  Kennedy has given up 7 runs on 21 hits in 59 at-bats against Detroit.  The Tigers have hit .356 with a .915 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Kennedy.  Detroit has also been stronger at home this season versus right-handed pitchers, averaging 5.7 runs per nine-innings with a .287 batting average, while averaging just 5.0 runs and .259 versus LHP.

Detroit will start Justin Verlander who has pitched much better than his 4.07 ERA seems to suggest as Verlander has a solid 1.13 WHIP and 120/33 strikeout/walk ratio in his 18 starts this season.  The right-hander projects to have a fantastic outing against Kansas City’s lineup based on my numbers.  Verlander is slated to give up just 2.5 earned runs with a solid 3.53 ERA and an excellent 1.20 WHIP in this game.  Verlander also projects to have a solid 7.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 3.6 strikeout/walk ratio against the Royals tonight.  The Tigers' bullpen has pitched much better at home this season with a 3.22 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, compared to a 5.73 ERA and 1.62 WHIP on the road.  We’ll back Detroit with Verlander on the mound in this home game on Friday night.

10* Play TIGERS (-) (action).

Miami will begin a 3-game series in New York against the Mets on Monday afternoon.  Miami is also in a bad situational spot after playing a national TV game last night in Atlanta and now playing a daytime game after travel.  The Marlins will send Tom Koehler to the mound who has a weak 5.40 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in his past three starts.  My numbers project another poor outing for Koehler against New York’s lineup.  Koehler projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a weak 4.29 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in this game.  Koehler also projects to have a lowly 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio today.  The Mets have scored 23 runs on 36 hits in 128 at-bats against Koehler during his career.  New York enters in solid current form after sweeping the Cubs in four games and averaging 5.4 runs in their past seven games overall while batting .298 as a team.

New York will start Matt Harvey who projects to have a fantastic outing against Miami’s lineup based on my numbers.  Harvey is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a 3.19 ERA and an excellent 1.09 WHIP in this game.  Harvey also projects to have a strong 8.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and an incredible 4.3 strikeout/walk ratio against the Marlins today.  Miami has hit just .169 (21-for-124) with a terrible .408 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Harvey during his career.  He is backed by a solid New York bullpen that has a 3.35 ERA and 1.24 WHIP this season while converting 83% of their save opportunities.  We’ll lay the price with the Mets and Harvey in this game on Monday afternoon.

10* Play METS (-).

Miami will conclude their 4-game series versus Atlanta on Sunday night in Fort Bragg.  The Marlins will start Adam Conley who projects to have a fantastic outing against Atlanta’s lineup based on my numbers.  Conley is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.49 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in this game.  Conley also projects to have a strong 7.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.7 strikeout/walk ratio against the Braves tonight.  Atlanta’s lineup has hit just .241 (14-for-58) with a mediocre .663 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Conley during his career.  Atlanta's offense has been poor this season, averaging just 3.4 runs per game with a weak .238 team batting average.

Atlanta will send Matt Wisler to the mound who was awful in his one career start versus Miami last season, allowing 5 runs and 9 hits in just 5.1 innings (8.44 ERA, 2.25 WHIP).  My numbers project another poor outing for Wisler against Miami’s lineup.  Wisler projects to give up 3.1 earned runs with a terrible 4.51 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in this game.  The Marlins have hit .368 with an excellent .996 OPS against Wisler during his career.  He is backed by a weak Atlanta bullpen that has a 4.20 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in all games this season.  The Marlins remain an underrated offensive team as they have the best road batting average (.286) in the league.  They enter in excellent current form, averaging 5.1 runs in their past seven games overall while batting .302 as a team.  We’ll lay the price with Miami and Conley in this game on Sunday night.

10* Play MARLINS (-).

Baltimore will begin a 4-game series in Seattle on Thursday night.  The Orioles will send Chris Tillman to the mound who enters in poor current form with a 5.82 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in his past three starts.  My numbers project a poor outing for Tillman against Seattle’s lineup.  Tillman projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a weak 4.32 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in this game.  Tillman also projects to have a lowly 2.1 strikeout/walk ratio against the Mariners tonight.  Tillman has given up 20 runs on 38 hits in 128 at-bats against Seattle’s lineup in his career.  The Mariners have hit .297 with an .806 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Tillman.  Seattle has been much stronger versus right-handed pitchers at home this season, averaging 5.2 runs per nine-innings while batting .256, compared to just 3.7 runs and .238 versus LHP.

Seattle will start Taijuan Walker who enters in excellent current form with a 1.65 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in his past three starts.  Walker has also been strong at home this season with a 2.92 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.  He projects to have a strong outing against Baltimore’s lineup based on my numbers.  Walker is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.67 ERA and an excellent 1.17 WHIP in this game.  Walker also projects to have a strong 9.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and an impressive 3.9 strikeout/walk ratio against the Orioles tonight.  Baltimore’s lineup has hit just .244 (11-for-45) against Walker in his career.  We’ll back Seattle with Walker on the mound in this game on Thursday night.

10* Play MARINERS (-).

San Francisco has lost their first two games against Oakland in this four-game home-and-home series, and we expect another loss tonight.  The Giants will send Jake Peavy to the mound who has a terrible 6.25 ERA in his seven road starts this season.  My numbers project a poor outing for Peavy against Oakland’s lineup.  Peavy projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a weak 4.79 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in this game.  Peavy also projects to have a poor 5.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 1.7 strikeout/walk ratio against the Athletics tonight.  Peavy has given up 15 runs on 29 hits in 98 at-bats against Oakland’s lineup in his career.  The Athletics have hit .296 with an .811 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Peavy.  Oakland enters tonight's game in excellent current form, going 5-1 in their past six games while averaging 7.7 runs and batting over .300 as a team.

Oakland will start Sean Manaea who projects to have a strong outing against San Francisco’s lineup based on my numbers.  Manaea is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a 3.48 ERA and a solid 1.30 WHIP in this game.  Manaea also projects to have a strong 7.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.3 strikeout/walk ratio against the Giants tonight.  San Francisco’s lineup has never faced Manaea before, so that gives him a nice advantage in this game as well.  The Giants have been a much weaker offensive team on the road this season versus left-handed pitchers, averaging just 3.5 runs per nine-innings with a .229 batting average, compared to 5.5 runs and .268 versus RHP.  We’ll lay the price with Oakland and Manaea on Wednesday night.

10* Play ATHLETICS (-).

Los Angeles will begin a 4-game series in Pittsburgh on Friday night.  The Dodgers will send Nick Tepesch to the mound tonight who is making his first start in nearly two years.  My numbers project a poor outing for Tepesch against Pittsburgh’s lineup.  Tepesch projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 4.45 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in this game.  Tepesch also projects to have a poor 5.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a mediocre 2.1 strikeout/walk ratio against the Pirates tonight.  Pittsburgh has hit .312 with an 0.865 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Tepesch during his career.  He is backed by an inconsistent Los Angeles bullpen that has a 3.57 ERA on the road where they have blown 9 of their 21 save opportunities this season.

Pittsburgh will start Jameson Taillon who projects to have a fantastic outing against Los Angeles’ lineup based on my numbers.  Taillon is slated to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.40 ERA and an excellent 1.19 WHIP in this game.  Taillon also projects to have a strong 8.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 3.3 strikeout/walk ratio against the Dodgers tonight.  Talon will face an inconsistent Los Angeles offense that has only scored 13 total runs in their last four games.  We’ll lay the price with Pittsburgh and Taillon in this game on Friday night.

9* Play PIRATES (-).

Milwaukee’s West Coast road trip continues as they’ll play a 2-game series in Oakland beginning on Tuesday night.  The Brewers will send Jimmy Nelson to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Nelson against Oakland’s lineup.  Nelson projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a weak 4.44 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in this game.  Nelson also projects to have a poor 6.2 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 1.6 strikeout/walk ratio against the Athletics in this game.

Oakland will start Sonny Gray who projects to have a fantastic outing against Milwaukee’s lineup based on my numbers.  Gray is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a terrific 3.49 ERA and a solid 1.29 WHIP in this game.  Gray also projects to have a strong 8.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.7 strikeout/walk ratio against the Brewers in this game.  Gray will face a struggling Milwaukee offense that has only scored 20 total runs in their last six games.  We’ll lay the price with Oakland and Gray in this game on Tuesday night.

9* Play ATHLETICS (-) (action).

Texas will play the third game of their 4-game series in Oakland on Wednesday night.  The Rangers will send Derek Holland to the mound and he has an awful 5.97 ERA and 1.41 WHIP on the road this season.  The Rangers are just 2-5 in those games and my numbers project another poor outing by Holland tonight.  He projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a weak 4.48 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in this game.  Holland also projects to have a weak 5.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio against the Athletics tonight.  He has no support on the backend as the Rangers' bullpen has a terrible 5.12 ERA and 1.48 WHIP this season.  The Athletics have been much stronger in games versus left-handed starters this season, going 9-6 while averaging 5.9 runs with a .300 batting average, compared to just 18-31 with only 3.4 runs scored in all other games.

Oakland will start Sonny Gray who is 7-3 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in his ten career starts versus Texas.  The right-hander projects to have a strong outing against the Texas lineup tonight based on my numbers.  Gray is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a 3.52 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in this game.  The Rangers have hit just .190 (30-for-158) with a terrible .522 OPS against Gray during his career.  Texas has been a weaker offensive team on the road this season, averaging just 4.4 runs per game with a .249 batting average, compared to 5.3 runs and .281 at home.  We’ll lay the price with Oakland and Gray in this game on Wednesday night.

9* Play ATHLETICS (-).

Houston will begin a two-game series in St. Louis on Tuesday night.  These two teams come into this game from opposite directions as the Astros have lost five of their last seven games while the Cardinals have won five consecutive games and seven of their last eight games overall.  Houston will start Doug Fister who has struggled in his two career starts versus the Cardinals with a 6.00 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.  Fister projects to have another poor outing against the St. Louis lineup tonight.  My numbers project Fister to give up 2.6 runs with a poor 4.14 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in this game.  Fister has given up 8 runs on 15 hits in just 47 at-bats versus St. Louis’ lineup during his career.  The Cardinals are hitting .319 with a terrific .957 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Fister.  St. Louis enters in fantastic current form offensively, averaging 7.0 runs per game and batting over .290 as a team during their past eight games.

The Cardinals will send Jaime Garcia to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a strong outing for Garcia against Houston’s lineup.  Garcia is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.34 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in this game.  Garcia also projects to have a strong 8.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and also a solid 2.9 strikeout/walk ratio this evening.  He is backed by a St. Louis bullpen that has pitched better than their 3.68 ERA would seem to indicate as the Cardinals' relievers have a solid 1.19 WHIP and 81% save ratio this season.  The Astros enter in terrible current form, averaging just 3.0 runs with a .215 batting average during their past seven games.  They have also struggled against left-handed starters this season, going 5-12 and averaging just 3.4 runs with a .212 batting average in those games.  We’ll lay the price with St. Louis and Garcia in this game on Tuesday night.

10* Play CARDINALS (-).

The two best teams in baseball will square-off on Monday night as Chicago will play in Washington.  This will be the second series between these two teams; the Cubs swept the Nationals in 4 home games earlier this season.  Washington has been waiting for this series ever since.  The Cubs will send Kyle Hendricks to the mound tonight.  He has a mediocre 4.23 ERA on the road this year and my numbers project a poor outing for Hendricks against Washington’s lineup.  Hendricks projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a poor 4.22 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in this game.  He is facing a Washington offense that is in fantastic current form, going 6-1 in their past seven games while averaging 7.7 runs per game with a .324 batting average.

Washington will send their ace Max Scherzer to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a strong outing for Scherzer against Chicago’s lineup.  Scherzer is slated to give up just 2.4 earned runs with a solid 3.27 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in this game.  Scherzer also projects to have a strong 11.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and also a fantastic 4.2 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  He enters in strong current form with a 2.86 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in his past three starts.  The Cubs have hit just .233 (21-90) against Scherzer during his career.  The right-hander is backed by a Nationals' bullpen that has a solid 2.50 ERA and 0.97 WHIP with a 100% save ratio at home this season.  We’ll back Washington with Scherzer on the mound Monday night.

10* Play NATIONALS (-).

Detroit will conclude their 3-game series in New York against the Yankees on Sunday afternoon.  The Tigers will start Michael Fulmer who projects to have a poor outing against New York’s lineup based on my numbers.  Fulmer is slated to give up 2.5 earned runs with a weak 4.12 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in this game.  Fulmer also projects to have a mediocre 2.3 strikeout/walk ratio versus the Yankees today.  He is backed by an inconsistent Detroit bullpen that has a 4.70 ERA and 1.45 WHIP on the road this season.  The Yankees enter in solid current form, going 6-2 in their past eight games, averaging 5.4 runs per game while batting over .300 as a team.

New York will start Michael Pineda who just allowed only 1 run in 5.2 innings versus Detroit on June 2nd with a powerful 8/0 strikeout/walk ratio in that game.  My numbers project Pineda to give up just 2.3 runs with a 3.46 ERA and an excellent 1.14 WHIP in this rematch today.  Pineda also projects to have a fantastic 9.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a terrific 5.5 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  The Tigers have a weak .623 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Pineda during his career.  He is backed by a strong New York bullpen that has an excellent 2.29 ERA and 0.98 WHIP at home this season with an 85% save ratio.  We’ll lay the short price with New York and Pineda in this game on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play YANKEES (-).

Texas lost 5-7 in Seattle last night, and we expect another loss for the Rangers on Saturday night.  The Rangers will start Colby Lewis who has a weak 4.76 ERA in his past three starts.  Lewis projects to have a poor outing against Seattle’s lineup in this game.  My numbers project Lewis to give up 3.0 runs with a poor 4.66 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in this game.  He is backed by a weak Texas bullpen that has a 4.90 ERA and 1.45 WHIP this season.  Lewis has given up 19 runs on 42 hits in 145 at-bats versus Seattle’s lineup during his career.  The Mariners are hitting .290 with a terrific .894 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Lewis.  Seattle has been a much stronger offensive team against right-handed pitchers this season, averaging 5.6 runs per nine innings with a .264 batting average versus RHP, compared to just 4.3 runs and .247 versus LHP.

Seattle will start James Paxton who was excellent in his first home start of the season last week (1.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP).  The southpaw projects to have another fantastic outing against the Texas lineup based on my numbers.  Paxton is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a solid 3.34 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in this game.  Paxton also projects to have a strong 8.5 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched tonight.  The Rangers have been a much weaker team on the road this season, going just 13-14 while averaging only 4.1 runs per game with a .247 batting average, compare to at home where they are 24-10 while averaging 5.3 runs and batting .281.  Texas will also be without 3B Adrian Beltre (hamstring injury) for the third straight game.  We’ll back Seattle and Paxton in this game on Saturday night.

10* Play MARINERS (-).

Cleveland beat Los Angeles 6-2 on Friday night, but we expect a different outcome tonight.  The Indians will send Trevor Bauer to the mound and my numbers project a poor outing for Bauer against the Los Angeles lineup.  Bauer projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a poor 4.08 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in this game.  Bauer is also slated to have a lowly 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The Angels have been a stronger offensive team against right-handed starters this season, averaging 4.6 runs with a .262 batting average in those games.

Los Angeles will send Matt Shoemaker to the mound tonight.  After a slow start to the season, he has pitched well in his past three starts with a 3.13 ERA and a solid 1.09 WHIP with an incredible 25/0 strikeout/walk ratio.  My numbers project another strong outing for Shoemaker against Cleveland’s lineup.  Shoemaker is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.24 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in this game.  Shoemaker also projects to have a strong 8.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and also a fantastic 3.4 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The right-hander has an excellent 1.29 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in his two career starts against the Indians.  He is backed by a Los Angeles bullpen that has a solid 2.96 ERA and 1.09 WHIP at home this season.  Cleveland's offense has been much weaker on the road this year, averaging just 4.1 runs per game with a .224 batting average, compared to 5.4 runs and .285 at home.  We’ll lay the short price with Los Angeles and Shoemaker in this game on Saturday night.

9* Play ANGELS (-).

Cleveland will hit the road on Monday night for a 4-game series in Seattle after finishing a 10-game homestand on Sunday afternoon.  The Indians will send Trevor Bauer to the mound who has a poor 5.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his past three starts.  My numbers project another poor outing for Bauer against Seattle’s lineup.  Bauer projects to give up 2.8 earned runs with a poor 4.51 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in this game.  Bauer is also slated to have a lowly 1.7 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The Mariners have hit .380 (19-50) with a terrific 1.096 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Bauer during his career.  Seattle is averaging 5.8 runs per game with a .272 batting average versus right-handed starters this season and they enter in fantastic current form, averaging 8.0 runs with a .304 batting average in their past seven games overall.

Seattle will start James Paxton who projects to have a strong outing against Cleveland’s lineup based on my numbers.  Paxton is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a solid 3.41 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in this game.  He is backed by a Seattle bullpen that has a solid 2.94 ERA and 1.11 WHIP this season.  The Indians have hit just .267 in a limited 15 at-bats against Paxton during his career.  Cleveland is averaging only 4.3 runs per game with a weak .230 batting average on the road this season.  We’ll lay the price with Seattle and Paxton in this game on Monday night.

10* Play MARINERS (-).

Chicago has lost the first two games of this series, and we expect them to get swept by Detroit on Sunday afternoon.  The White Sox are just 2-9 SU in their past eleven games and they will start Jose Quintana who projects to have a poor outing against Detroit’s lineup in this game.  My numbers project Quintana to give up 2.7 runs with a poor 4.18 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in this game.  He has no support on the backend as Chicago's bullpen has an awful 5.13 ERA and 1.60 WHIP on the road this season while blowing 9 of their 16 save opportunities.  Quintana has given up 24 runs on 65 hits in 189 at-bats versus Detroit’s lineup during his career.  The Tigers are hitting .344 with a terrific .805 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Quintana.  Detroit has been a strong offensive team at home this year, averaging 5.2 runs per game with a .280 batting average.

Detroit will send Justin Verlander to the mound this afternoon and he enters in excellent current form with a 2.78 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in his past three starts.  My numbers project another strong outing for Verlander against Chicago’s lineup.  Verlander is slated to give up just 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.27 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in this game.  Verlander also projects to have a strong 8.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and also a fantastic 3.5 strikeout/walk ratio today.  Chicago's offense is struggling, batting below .220 during the past two weeks.  We’ll lay the price with Detroit and Verlander in this game on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play TIGERS (-) (action).

Colorado will hit the road to begin a 3-game series in San Diego on Friday night.  The Rockies will start Chris Rusin who has a terrible 6.58 ERA and 2.04 WHIP this season, including a 5.28 ERA and 1.76 WHIP on the road.  Rusin will likely have another poor outing against San Diego’s lineup as my numbers project Rusin to give up 2.7 runs with a poor 4.11 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in this game.  Rusin has given up 7 runs on 19 hits in 38 at-bats versus San Diego’s lineup during his career.  The Padres are hitting .500 with a strong 1.237 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Rusin.  San Diego has been solid against left-handed starters this year, averaging 6.0 runs per game with a .278 batting average.  The Padres also enter in fantastic current form offensively, averaging 7.7 runs with a .330 batting average in their past seven games overall.

San Diego will send Drew Pomeranz to the mound tonight.  The southpaw has a solid 2.48 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in his ten starts this season, including an excellent 1.02 ERA and 0.96 WHIP at home.  My numbers project another strong outing for Pomeranz against Colorado’s lineup.  Pomeranz is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a solid 3.00 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in this game.  The Rockies have only hit .156 (5-32) with a weak .538 OPS against Pomeranz during his career.  We’ll lay the price with San Diego and Pomeranz in this game on Friday night.

10* Play PADRES (-) (action).

NOTE:  This line has jumped from -150 to -185 today due to multiple Kansas City starters being out of the lineup.  There is still plenty of line value as my ratings make the Indians -230 in this game tonight.

Kansas City hits the road after a 6-game homestand to begin a 4-game series in Cleveland on Thursday night.  The Royals will start Yordano Ventura who has a terrible 5.88 ERA and 1.77 WHIP on the road this season.  My numbers project a poor outing for Ventura against Cleveland’s lineup.  Ventura projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a 4.07 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP in this game.  Ventura has been hit hard by the Indians during his career.  Cleveland has scored 10 runs on 28 hits with a solid .721 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Ventura.

Cleveland will start Carlos Carrasco who enters in excellent current form with a 1.06 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in his past three starts. He projects to have another fantastic outing against Kansas City’s lineup based on my numbers.  Carrasco is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a solid 2.79 ERA and a fantastic 1.12 WHIP in this game.  The Royals have hit just .224 (26-116) with a terrible .584 OPS against Carrasco during his career.  Kansas City is also without multiple starters because of injury, so they are using a short-handed offensive lineup.  We’ll lay the price with Cleveland and Carrasco in this game on Thursday night.

9* Play INDIANS (-) (action).

Tampa Bay lost 6-2 to Kansas City yesterday, but we expect a much different outcome on Tuesday night.  The Rays will start Drew Smyly who has a solid 3.16 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the road this season.  He projects to have another strong outing against Kansas City’s lineup based on my numbers.  Smyly is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a solid 3.11 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in this game.  The Royals have hit only .233 with a terrible .624 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) in 73 at-bats against Smyly who has a 2.20 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in his four career starts against them.  Kansas City’s lineup is currently without several starters because of injury and they have averaged just 3.6 runs per game versus left-handed starters this season.

Kansas City will start Dillon Gee who has a terrible 5.65 ERA and 1.75 WHIP this season.  My numbers predict another poor outing for Gee against Tampa Bay’s lineup.  Gee projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a 4.16 ERA in this game.  Gee has been hit hard by the Rays during his career.  Tampa Bay has hit .312 with an excellent .978 OPS against the right-hander.  The Rays have been a better team on the road this season where they are averaging 5.0 runs per game with a .255 batting average, compared to just 3.3 runs and .217 at home.  We’ll lay the price with Tampa Bay and Smyly in this road game on Tuesday night.

9* Play RAYS (-) (action).

Texas will begin a 3-game series in Cleveland on Monday night.  The Rangers will start Derek Holland who has a terrible 6.41 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in his five road starts this season.  The southpaw projects to have another poor outing against Cleveland’s lineup in this game.  My numbers project Holland to give up 2.8 runs with a poor 4.36 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.  Holland has given up 11 runs on 23 hits in 79 at-bats versus Cleveland’s lineup during his career.  The Indians are hitting .291 with a strong .864 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Holland.  Cleveland has been a strong offensive team at home this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game with a .283 batting average.

Cleveland will send Josh Tomlin to the mound tonight.  The Indians are a perfect 8-0 SU in Tomlin's eight starts this season where he has a 3.35 ERA and a strong 0.98 WHIP.  My numbers project another strong outing for Tomlin against the Texas lineup.  Tomlin is slated to give up just 2.4 earned runs with a solid 3.53 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in this game.  The Rangers have only hit .214 with a weak .651 OPS against Tomlin during his career.  We’ll lay the price with Cleveland and Tomlin in this game on Monday night.

9* Play INDIANS (-) (action).

Houston will conclude their 3-game series against the Angels in Los Angeles on Sunday afternoon.  The Astros will send Doug Fister to the mound today.  My numbers project a poor outing for Fister against Los Angeles’ lineup.  Fister projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.20 ERA in this game.  Fister is also slated to have a weak 4.6 strikeout rate per 9 innings pitched, and a terrible 2.3 strikeout/walk ratio.  He is backed by an inconsistent Houston bullpen that has a 4.95 ERA on the road this season, while converting only 64% of their save opportunities.

Los Angeles will start Nicholas Tropeano who projects to have a fantastic outing against Houston’s lineup based on my numbers.  Tropeano is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.40 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in this game.  The Astros have hit just .214 with a terrible .429 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) in a limited 14 at-bats against Tropeano.  He is backed by an Anaheim bullpen that has a solid 2.83 ERA and 1.10 WHIP at home this season.  The Angels are 3-0 SU in Tropeano's past three starts as the right-hander enters in excellent current form with a 1.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in those games.  We’ll lay the price with Los Angeles and Tropeano in this game on Sunday afternoon.

10* Play ANGELS (-) (action).

Miami opens a 3-game series against the Braves in Atlanta on Friday night.  The Marlins will start Adam Conley who projects to have a fantastic outing against Atlanta’s lineup based on my numbers.  Conley is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.28 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in this game.  The Braves have hit just .118 with a terrible .284 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) in a limited 17 at-bats against Conley.  Atlanta has the weakest home field in the league, going a pathetic 2-20 at home this season while averaging only 2.9 runs per game with a .230 batting average.

Atlanta will send Williams Perez to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Perez against Miami’s lineup.  Perez projects to give up 2.5 earned runs with a 4.25 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in this game.  Perez is also slated to have a terrible 2.2 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The Marlins have hit .438 (14-32) with a whopping 1.147 OPS against Perez during his career.  He has no support on the backend as Atlanta's bullpen has an atrocious 5.38 ERA and 1.63 WHIP at home this season, while blowing 100% of their save attempts (0-for-4).  Miami is the best hitting road team in the league with a .287 batting average, and they enter in excellent current form with a .299 batting average in their past seven games overall.  We’ll lay the price with Miami and Conley in this game on Friday night.

9* Play MARLINS (-) (action).

Washington beat Miami 4-1 last night, but we expect a much different outcome on Saturday night.  The Nationals will send Joe Ross to the mound.  My numbers project a poor outing for Ross against Miami’s lineup.  Ross projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.10 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in this game.  Ross is also slated to have a mediocre 2.6 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  Miami is hitting the ball much better than their 4.0 runs per game suggests as they have the third best batting average (.272) in the National League this season.

Miami will start Jose Fernandez who projects to have a fantastic outing against Washington’s lineup based on my numbers.  Fernandez is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a solid 2.79 ERA and an excellent 1.11 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Fernandez to have a strong 11.2 strikeout rate per 9 innings pitched, and a solid 3.7 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The Nationals have hit just .198 with a terrible .576 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) in 131 at-bats against Fernandez.  Despite three straight wins, the Nationals are still batting below .225 as a team during their past six games.  We’ll lay the price with Miami and Fernandez in this game on Saturday night.

9* Play MARLINS (-) (action).

Los Angeles will begin a 3-game series in San Diego on Friday night.  The Dodgers will start Scott Kazmir who projects to have a fantastic outing against San Diego’s lineup based on my numbers.  Kazmir is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.36 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Kazmir to have a strong 8.7 strikeout rate per 9 innings pitched, and a solid 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  The Padres offense is in terrible current form, scoring 1 run or less in five of their past eight games while batting less than .180 as a team.

San Diego will send Christian Friedrich to the mound.  My numbers project a terrible outing for Friedrich against the Los Angeles lineup.  Friedrich projects to give up 3.2 earned runs with a horrendous 5.86 ERA and an ugly 1.56 WHIP in this game.  Friedrich has given up 6 runs on 12 hits in just 31 at-bats against the Los Angeles' lineup in his career.  The Dodgers have hit .387 with a terrific 1.022 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Friedrich.  He has no support on the backend as the Padres' bullpen has a terrible 5.02 ERA and 1.45 WHIP at home this season.  We’ll lay the price with Los Angeles and Kazmir in this game on Friday night.

10* Play DODGERS (-) (action).

Kansas City will hit the road and begin a 3-game series in Chicago against the White Sox on Friday night.  The Royals will start Dillon Gee in this game.  Gee projects to have a poor outing against Chicago’s lineup.  My numbers project Gee to give up 3.1 runs with a terrible 5.25 ERA and a poor 1.44 WHIP in this game.  Gee has given up 11 runs on 21 hits in 49 at-bats versus Chicago’s lineup in his career.  The White Sox are hitting .429 with a robust 1.214 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Gee.

Chicago will send Jose Quintana to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a strong outing for Quintana against Kansas City’s lineup.  Quintana is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.19 ERA and a terrific 1.18 WHIP in this game.  The southpaw is also slated to have a strong 4.2 strikeout/walk ratio against the Royals.  He is backed by a solid Chicago bullpen that has an excellent 1.92 ERA and 1.03 WHIP at home this season while converting 83% of their save opportunities.  We’ll back the White Sox with Quintana on the mound in this game on Friday night.

9* Play WHITE SOX (-) (action).

Texas will begin a 3-game series in Houston on Friday night.  The Rangers will send Colby Lewis to the mound tonight.  Lewis projects to have a poor outing against Houston’s lineup in this game.  My numbers project Lewis to give up 3.0 runs with a poor 4.53 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.  Lewis is also slated to have a lowly 2.8 strikeout/walk ratio against the Astros.  He has no support on the backend as the Rangers' bullpen has been horrible this season with a 5.61 ERA and 1.57 WHIP overall.

Houston will start Lance McCullers in this game.  My numbers project a strong outing for McCullers against the Texas lineup.  McCullers is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.46 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in this game.  He is backed by a Houston bullpen that has been strong at home this season with a 2.39 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.  The Rangers’ offense is in terrible current form as they’ve only scored 7 total runs in their last three games.  They've been a weaker team on the road this season, going just 8-12 with 3.7 runs per game, compared to 14-7 at home with 5.3 runs scored per game.  We’ll lay the price with Houston and McCullers in this game on Friday night.

9* Play ASTROS (-) (action).

Colorado beat St. Louis 3-1 last night, but we expect a different outcome tonight.  The Rockies will send Chris Rusin to the mound this evening.  Rusin projects to have a poor outing against St. Louis’ lineup in this game.  My numbers project Rusin to give up 3.0 runs with a poor 4.69 ERA and 1.44 WHIP tonight.  Rusin is also slated to have a lowly 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio against the Cardinals.  St. Louis has a strong offense that is averaging 5.5 runs with a .270 batting average in all games this season.

St. Louis will start Adam Wainwright tonight.  My numbers project a strong outing for Wainwright against Colorado’s lineup.  Wainwright is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.18 ERA and a terrific 1.21 WHIP in this game.  The Rockies have scored just 3 runs in 73 at-bats with a weak .649 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Wainwright.  He is backed by a solid St. Louis bullpen that has a 3.23 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with an 80% save ratio this season.  We’ll lay the price with St. Louis and Wainwright in this game on Wednesday night.

9* Play CARDINALS (-) (action).

New York will begin a 3-game series in Arizona on Monday night.  The Yankees will send Chad Green to the mound.  Green will be making his Major League debut, but the scouting report on him doesn’t inspire much confidence.  According to scouts, Green’s “fastball has below-average command and lacks the movement or deception to stick routinely in the majors; advanced hitters read his pitches with ease; he lacks the secondary pitches to provide consistent value.”  Green is projected to be more of a bullpen guy, so we don’t expect him to have much success against the Diamondbacks tonight.  When Green struggles, he will not have much support on the backend as New York's bullpen has a terrible 5.66 ERA on the road this season.

Arizona will start Robbie Ray in this game.  My numbers project a strong outing for Ray against New York’s lineup.  Ray is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.47 ERA and a terrific 1.23 WHIP this evening.  New York has been a terrible road team this season, going 4-10 while averaging just 2.7 runs per game with a weak .218 batting average.  The Yankees haven’t played a road game in eleven days, and they had to travel across the country for tonight’s game without rest while also playing in a different time zone.  This is simply a terrible spot for New York, so we’ll back Arizona and Ray in this game on Monday night.

10* Play DIAMONDBACKS (-) (action).

St. Louis will conclude their 3-game series in Los Angeles against the Dodgers on Sunday night baseball.  The Cardinals will send Mike Leake to the mound.  My numbers project a poor outing for Leake against Los Angeles’ lineup.  Leake projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.19 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in this game.  Leake has given up 8 runs on 17 hits in just 285 pitches thrown to the Dodgers' lineup during his career.

Los Angeles enters on a perfect 3-0 streak, outscoring their past three opponents 18-7, and they will now start Alex Wood who projects to have a fantastic outing against St. Louis’ lineup based on my numbers.  Wood is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.33 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Wood to have a strong 8.5 strikeout rate per 9 innings pitched, and a solid 3.0 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  St. Louis has only hit .211 with a .461 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Wood.  He is backed by a solid Los Angeles' bullpen that has an incredible 1.85 ERA and 0.86 WHIP at home this season while converting 83% of their save opportunities.  We’ll lay the price with Los Angeles and Wood in this game on Sunday night.

9* Play DODGERS (-) (action).

Chicago beat New York 7-1 last night, and we expect a similar outcome this afternoon.  The White Sox are now 24-12 this season and will send Jose Quintana to the mound today.  My numbers project a strong outing for Quintana against New York’s lineup.  Quintana is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.24 ERA and a terrific 1.16 WHIP in this game.  The Yankees have only hit .109 with a weak .329 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Quintana in his career.  New York is just 4-9 against left-handed starters this season, averaging only 3.3 runs with a .234 batting average in those games.

New York will start Ivan Nova today.  Nova projects to have a poor outing against Chicago’s lineup in this game.  My numbers project Nova to give up 2.6 runs with a poor 4.19 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in this game.  Nova has given up 10 runs on 23 hits in 61 at-bats versus Chicago’s lineup in his career.  The White Sox are hitting .377 with a robust 1.006 OPS against Nova.  They enter in fantastic current form offensively, averaging 7.3 runs with a .307 batting average in their past seven games.  We’ll lay the price with Chicago and Quintana in this game on Saturday afternoon.

9* Play WHITE SOX (-) (action).

Kansas City and New York are two teams heading in opposite directions.  The Royals are on a 3-game losing streak, and they are just 1-5 over their last six games.  Their pitching has been atrocious, allowing 6.7 runs and a .300 opponents' batting average during the past seven games.  Kansas City will send Yordano Ventura to the mound tonight.  Ventura projects to have a poor outing against New York’s lineup in this game.  My numbers project Ventura to give up 2.4 runs with a 3.96 ERA and 1.43 WHIP tonight.  Ventura is also slated to have a lowly 1.8 strikeout/walk ratio against the Yankees.

New York is 4-1 over their last five games, and 5-2 during their past seven games overall, including going 2-0 versus the Royals while scoring 16 runs offensively the past two nights.  The Yankees will start Michael Pineda tonight and my numbers project a strong outing for Pineda against Kansas City’s lineup.  Pineda is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.08 ERA and a terrific 1.13 WHIP in this game.  The Royals are only hitting .178 with a weak .503 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Pineda.  He is backed by a Yankees' bullpen that has a solid 2.62 ERA and 1.04 WHIP at home this season with an 86% save rate.  We’ll lay the price with New York and Pineda in this game on Wednesday night.

9* Play YANKEES (-) (action).

St. Louis will begin a 3-game series in Los Angeles against the Angels on Tuesday night.  The Cardinals will send Mike Leake to the mound.  My numbers project a poor outing for Leake against Los Angeles’ lineup.  Leake projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.17 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in this game.  Leake has given up 3 runs on 14 hits in just 44 at-bats against the Angels lineup in his career.  Los Angeles is hitting .318 with an .832 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Leake.

Los Angeles will start Hector Santiago who projects to have a fantastic outing against St. Louis’ lineup based on my numbers.  Santiago is slated to give up just 2.4 earned runs with a solid 3.51 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Santiago to have a strong 8.2 strikeout rate per 9 innings pitched in this game.  St. Louis has only hit .167 with a .452 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Santiago.  We’ll lay the price with Los Angeles and Santiago in this game on Tuesday night.

10* Play ANGELS (-) (action).

The Tigers will look to avoid a rare three-game home sweep this afternoon and Detroit should be successful.  The Rangers will send Martin Perez to the mound today.  My numbers project a poor outing for Perez against Detroit’s lineup.  Perez projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 4.50 ERA and a woeful 1.60 WHIP in this game.  Perez has given up 6 runs on 9 hits in just 27 at-bats against the Tigers lineup in his career.  Detroit is hitting .333 with a .997 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Perez.  The Rangers' bullpen has been inconsistent this season with a weak 4.64 ERA and 1.46 WHIP, including a 1.50 WHIP on the road where they have blown 40% of their save opportunities.

Detroit will start Justin Verlander who projects to have a fantastic outing against Texas’ lineup based on my numbers.  Verlander is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.21 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Verlander to have a strong 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  Texas has only hit .252 with a .655 OPS against Verlander.  The right-hander is backed by a Detroit bullpen that has a 3.19 ERA and a solid 1.23 WHIP in all games this season with an 89% save ratio.  We’ll lay the price with Detroit and Verlander in this home game on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play TIGERS (-) (action).

Seattle and Houston have split the first two games in this series, and we expect back-to-back wins from the home team tonight.  The Mariners will send Nate Karns to the mound this evening.  My numbers project a poor outing for Karns against Houston’s lineup.  Karns projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 4.29 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in this game.  Karns owns a terrible 4.41 ERA and a poor 1.53 WHIP on the road this season.

Houston will start Dallas Keuchel who projects to have a fantastic outing against Seattle’s lineup based on my numbers.  Keuchel is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a solid 2.79 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Keuchel to have a strong 3.6 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  He is backed by a Houston bullpen that has been strong at home this season with a 2.53 ERA and 0.96 WHIP.  We’ll lay the price with Houston and Keuchel in this game on Saturday night.

10* Play ASTROS (-) (action).

Boston lost 3-2 to New York last night, but we expect a different result on Saturday afternoon.  The Red Sox will start David Price who projects to have a fantastic outing against New York’s lineup based on my numbers.  Price is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a terrific 2.73 ERA and an incredible 1.05 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Price to have a strong 8.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and an excellent 5.0 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  The Yankees are just 3-8 against left-handed starters this season, averaging just 3.1 runs with a .229 batting average in those games.  New York enters in poor current form offensively, averaging just 2.9 runs with a .214 batting average in their past seven games overall.

New York will send Nathan Eovaldi to the mound this afternoon.  My numbers project a poor outing for Eovaldi against Boston’s lineup.  Eovaldi projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 3.91 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in this game.  Eovaldi has allowed 13 runs on 27 hits in 82 at-bats to the Red Sox lineup in his career.  Boston is hitting .329 with a .824 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Eovaldi and they enter in strong current form, averaging 5.0 runs with a .308 batting average in their past seven games overall this week.  We’ll lay the price with Boston and Price in this game on Saturday afternoon.

9* Play RED SOX (-) (action).

Philadelphia and St. Louis have split the first two games in this series.  The Cardinals won easily 10-3, but then lost a close 1-0 game last night.  Look for a strong bounce back win from the home team tonight.  The Phillies will send Adam Morgan to the mound and my numbers project a poor outing for Morgan against St. Louis’ lineup.  Morgan projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a 4.73 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in this game.  Morgan is also slated to have a lowly 5.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a poor 1.9 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  He has little support on the backend as the Phillies' bullpen has an ugly 5.66 ERA and 1.48 WHIP on the road this season.  Philadelphia's 6-1 record during their past seven games is extremely misleading as their offense has been poor, averaging just 2.9 runs per game with a weak .217 team batting average.

St. Louis will start Mike Leake who projects to have a fantastic outing against Philadelphia’s lineup based on my numbers.  Leake is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.20 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Leake to have a strong 3.3 strikeout/walk ratio this evening.  He is backed by a solid bullpen that sports a strong 2.94 ERA and 1.16 WHIP at home this season.  We’ll lay the price with St. Louis and Leake in this game on Wednesday night.

9* Play CARDINALS (-) (action).

Los Angeles lost 8-5 in Milwaukee last night, but we expect a better outcome for the Angels tonight.  Nicholas Tropeano will get the start for Los Angeles in this game.  My numbers project a strong outing for Tropeano against Milwaukee’s lineup.  Tropeano is slated to give up just 2.1 earned runs with a solid 3.59 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Tropeano has never faced a hitter in the Brewers’ lineup before, and that gives him a nice advantage in this game.  He is also backed by a Los Angeles bullpen that sports a 3.09 ERA and a solid 1.07 WHIP this season.

Milwaukee will send Junior Guerra to the mound in this game.  Guerra projects to have a terrible outing against the Angels.  My numbers project Guerra to give up 2.9 earned runs with a woeful 5.25 ERA and an ugly 1.42 WHIP in this game.  Guerra is also projected to have a weak 2.3 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  He has little support on the backend as the Brewers' bullpen has struggled this season with a 4.84 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.  The Angels' offense enters in excellent current form, averaging 5.3 runs with .305 batting average during their past seven games.  We’ll lay the price with Los Angeles and Tropeano in this game on Tuesday night.

10* Play ANGELS (-) (action).

Boston has won the first two games in this series by a combined score of 12-2, and the Yankees are now likely to get swept on Sunday night baseball.  New York will send Nathan Eovaldi to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Eovaldi against Boston’s lineup.  Eovaldi projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 4.17 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in this game.  Eovaldi has allowed 7 runs on 17 hits in just 58 at-bats to the Red Sox lineup in his career.  Boston is hitting .293 with a .736 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Eovaldi.  He has little support on the backend as the Yankees' bullpen has struggled on the road this season with a horrendous 6.41 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.

Boston is 6-1 during their past seven games, and their winning ways should continue tonight.  They are averaging 6.1 runs with a .298 team batting average during the past week, while the Yankees are just 2-5 with a terrible .208 team batting average while averaging only 1.7 runs during their past seven games.  The Red Sox will start David Price who projects to have a fantastic outing against New York’s lineup based on my numbers.  Price is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a terrific 2.60 ERA and an incredible 1.04 WHIP in this game.  My numbers also project Price to have a strong 9.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and an excellent 5.3 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.  We’ll lay the price with Boston and Price in this game on Sunday night.

9* Play RED SOX (-) (action).

Miami is on a 6-game winning streak, and we expect their winning ways to continue tonight.  The Marlins will start Wei-Yin Chen who has dominated Milwaukee’s lineup in limited chances.  In 183 pitches thrown to the Brewers, Chen has allowed just 3 runs on 9 hits with Milwaukee’s lineup hitting .220 against him.  Chen has held Milwaukee to just a .622 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) as well.

Milwaukee will send Chase Anderson to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Anderson against Miami’s lineup.  Anderson projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.30 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in this game.  The Marlins are hitting .273 (12-44) against Anderson, and that will continue tonight, especially since their offense has scored 27 runs during their 6-game winning streak.  We’ll lay the price with Miami and Chen in this game on Saturday night.

9* Play MARLINS (-) (action).

Chicago comes into tonight’s game off back-to-back losses after winning six games in a row over the last week.  We expect the White Sox to lose once again tonight as they send Mat Latos to the mound.  Latos has given up 8 runs on 13 hits in just 43 at-bats to the Baltimore lineup in his career.  The Orioles are hitting .302 with a .912 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Latos.  My numbers project Latos to have a weak 4.68 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in this game.

Baltimore will start Kevin Gausman in this game.  My numbers project a strong outing for Gausman against Chicago’s lineup.  Gausman is slated to give up just 2.2 earned runs with a solid 3.24 ERA and a terrific 1.17 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Gausman has given up just 2 runs on 6 hits in a limited 24 at-bats versus the White Sox lineup in his career.  We’ll lay the price with Baltimore and Gausman in this game on Saturday night.

10* Play ORIOLES (-) (action).

Toronto won Game 1 of this series 6-1 last night, but we expect a much different outcome tonight.  The Blue Jays will start J.A. Happ in this game.  Happ has been hit hard by the Tampa Bay lineup in his career.  Happ has allowed 15 runs on 38 hits in 119 at-bats against Tampa Bay’s lineup.  The Rays are hitting .319 with a terrific .884 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against him. 

Tampa Bay will send Chris Archer to the mound in this game.  My numbers project a strong outing for Archer against Toronto’s lineup.  Archer is slated to give up just 2.0 earned runs with a solid 3.02 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Toronto has hit just .186 with a weak .569 ops against Archer in his career.  We’ll back Tampa Bay in this game on Saturday night.

9* Play RAYS (-) (action).

Washington will begin a 3-game in St. Louis on Friday night.  The Nationals will start Stephen Strasburg this evening.  My numbers project a strong outing for Strasburg against St. Louis’ lineup.  Strasburg is slated to give up just 1.8 earned runs with a solid 2.94 ERA and a terrific 1.11 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Strasburg has recorded 13 strikeouts in 55 at-bats versus the Cardinals' lineup during his career.  He is backed by a solid Nationals' bullpen that has a 2.44 ERA and 1.04 WHIP this season, including a 2.16 ERA and 1.00 WHIP on the road.

St. Louis will send Mike Leake to the mound in this game.  Leake has given up 20 runs on 25 hits in 85 at-bats to the Washington lineup in his career.  The Nationals are hitting .294 with a .895 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Leake.  My numbers project Leake to have a weak 6.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched tonight.  We’ll lay the price with Washington and Strasburg in this game on Friday night.

9* Play NATIONALS (-).

Kansas City has lost the first two games of this series in Los Angeles, and we expect the Royals to get swept tonight.  Kansas City will send Chris Young to the mound in this game.  Young has given up 10 runs on 19 hits in 55 at-bats to the Los Angeles lineup in his career.  The Angels are hitting .345 with a .991 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Young.  My numbers project Young to have a weak 4.26 ERA with a lowly 1.7 strikeout/walk ratio in this game.

Los Angeles will start Nicholas Tropeano tonight.  My numbers project a strong outing for Tropeano against Kansas City’s lineup.  Tropeano is slated to give up just 1.9 earned runs with a solid 3.20 ERA and a terrific 1.14 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Tropeano has only thrown 6 total pitches to the hitters in the Royals' lineup, so that gives the right-hander a nice advantage in this game.  He is also backed by an Angels' bullpen that has pitched better than their 3.12 ERA at home would seem to suggest as the relievers have an excellent 0.89 WHIP in those games.  We’ll lay the price with Los Angeles and Tropeano on Wednesday night.

9* Play ANGELS (-) (action).

Texas lost 5-0 to Chicago last night, and we expect another defeat on Saturday afternoon.  The Rangers will send Colby Lewis to the mound in this game.  Lewis has given up 14 runs on 32 hits in 112 at-bats to the Chicago lineup in his career.  The White Sox are hitting a solid .286 with a .785 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Lewis.  My numbers project Lewis to give up 3.0 runs with a weak 4.46 ERA in this game.

Chicago will start Carlos Rodon in this game.  My numbers project a strong outing for Rodon against Texas’ lineup.  Rodon is slated to give up 2.3 earned runs with a solid 3.57 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Rodon has allowed just 2 runs on 6 hits in 26 at-bats against the Rangers lineup in his career.  Texas is only hitting .231 with a poor .555 ops against Rodon.  We’ll lay the price with Chicago and Rodon in this game on Saturday afternoon.

9* Play WHITE SOX (-) (action).

Miami will begin a 3-game series in San Francisco on Friday night.  The Marlins will send Jarred Cosart to the mound tonight.  Cosart has been hit hard by the Giants in limited work.  Overall, Cosart has allowed 2 runs on 6 hits in just 18 at-bats against San Francisco in his career.  The Giants are hitting .333 with a terrific .817 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Cosart. 

San Francisco will start Jeff Samardzija who has pitched well against Miami’s lineup in his career.  Samardzija has allowed just 7 runs on 16 hits in 76 at-bats with the Marlins hitting just .211 with a poor .562 ops as a team against him.  Samardzija is projected to give up just 2.2 runs with a 2.96 ERA and an incredible 1.14 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  We’ll lay the price with San Francisco and Samardzija in this game on Friday night.

9* Play GIANTS (-) (action).

Houston will conclude their 3-game series in Texas on Thursday night.  The Astros will send Dallas Keuchel to the mound tonight.  Keuchel is projected to have a fantastic outing based on my numbers.  He is slated to give up just 2.4 runs while earning a solid 3.07 ERA and a terrific 1.25 WHIP in this game.  Keuchel is also projected to have a 7.4 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and also a solid 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio in this game based on my numbers.

Texas will start A.J. Griffin in this game.  Griffin has been hit hard by the Astros in his career.  Overall, Griffin has allowed 8 runs on 12 hits in just 40 at-bats against Houston.  The Astros are hitting .300 with a terrific .949 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Griffin.  He is projected to have a 4.50 ERA in this game based on my numbers.  We’ll lay the price with Houston and Keuchel in this game on Thursday night.

9* Play ASTROS (-) (action).

Toronto will begin a 3-game series in Baltimore on Tuesday night.  The Blue Jays will send Marcus Stroman to the mound tonight.  Stroman has pitched well against Baltimore’s lineup in his career.  Stroman has allowed just 2 runs on 4 hits with the Orioles hitting just .143 with a poor .458 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) as a team against him.  Stroman is projected to have a solid 8.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and also a strong 3.2 strikeout/walk ratio in this game based on my numbers.

Baltimore will start Mike Wright in this game.  Wright has been hit hard by the Blue Jays in his career.  Overall, Wright has allowed 6 runs on 10 hits in just 26 at-bats against Toronto.  The Blue Jays are hitting .385 with a terrific 1.274 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Wright.  He is projected to have a 4.75 ERA in this game based on my numbers.  We’ll lay the price with Toronto and Stroman in this game on Tuesday night.

9* Play BLUE JAYS (-) (action).

Washington lost yesterday for just the second time this season; they suffered a 3-2 defeat in Philadelphia.  The Nationals are 9-2 on the season, but they’ve played nine games against either the Phillies and Braves who are a combined 9-16 on the season.  Washington will send Tanner Roark to the mound tonight.  Roark already got shelled by the Marlins earlier this season; he gave up 3 runs on 9 hits in just 4 innings of work.  Overall, Roark has allowed 15 runs on 43 hits in 141 at-bats against Miami in his career.  The Marlins are hitting .305 with a terrific .786 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Roark. 

Miami will start Jose Fernandez who has pitched well against Washington’s lineup in his career.  Fernandez has allowed just 6 runs on 19 hits with the Nationals hitting just .241 as a team against him.  Fernandez is projected to give up just 1.9 runs with a 2.87 ERA and an incredible 1.08 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  We’ll lay the price with Miami and Fernandez in this game on Monday night.

9* Play MARLINS (-) (action).

Baltimore lost 6-3 to Texas last night, and we expect a similar result tonight.  The Orioles will send Vance Worley to the mound tonight.  Worley has been roughed-up by the Rangers in the past; he has allowed 4 runs on 10 hits in just 31 at-bats.  Texas is hitting .323 with a terrific 1.032 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Worley.  My numbers also project a poor outing for Worley against the Texas lineup.  Worley projects to give up 3.6 runs with a 6.12 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in this game.

Texas will start Martin Perez in this game.  Perez is projected to give up just 2.4 runs with a 3.87 ERA and a solid 1.29 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Perez is also slated to have a good 7.7 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched.  To compare, Worley is projected with a 4.9 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched.  We’ll lay the price with Texas and Perez in this game on Friday night.

10* Play RANGERS (-) (action).

Baltimore suffered their first loss of the season in a 4-2 defeat in Boston last night.  Now the Orioles will continue on the road and begin a 4-game series in Texas against the Rangers on Thursday night.  Baltimore will send Chris Tillman to the mound.  Tillman has been roughed-up by the Rangers in the past; he has allowed 7 runs on 18 hits in just 54 at-bats.  Texas is hitting .333 with a terrific .873 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Tillman.  My numbers also project a poor outing for Tillman against the Texas lineup.  Tillman projects to earn a 4.61 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in this game.  He also projects to a have a lowly 6.1 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched.

Texas will start Cole Hamels who has pitched well against Baltimore’s lineup in his career.  Hamels has allowed just 4 runs on 13 hits with the Orioles hitting just .228 as a team against him.  Hamels is projected to give up just 2.7 runs with a 3.71 ERA and a solid 1.19 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Texas is returning home off a 7-game road trip, and since they’ve lost their last two home games, we expect a strong performance tonight.  We’ll lay the price with Texas and Hamels in this game on Thursday night.

10* Play RANGERS (-) (action).

Kansas City bounced back with a 3-2 win last night after losing the series opener 8-2 on Monday night.  The Royals will send Yordano Ventura to the mound tonight.  He projects to have a solid outing based on my numbers.  Ventura is projected to give up just 2.4 runs with a 3.74 ERA and a solid 1.28 WHIP in this game.  He also projects to have a very strong 9.3 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched.

Houston will start Scott Feldman in this game.  My numbers project Feldman to get shelled by the Kansas City lineup in this game.  Feldman projects to give up 3.4 runs while earning a terrible 5.07 ERA in this game.  He also projects to a have a lowly 5.0 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched.  We’ll back Kansas City and Ventura in this game on Wednesday night.

9* Play ROYALS (+) (action).

Baltimore remains the lone unbeaten team in baseball after a 9-6 win over Boston yesterday afternoon.  The Orioles will send Mike Wright to the mound tonight.  My numbers project a poor outing for Wright against Boston’s lineup.  Wright projects to earn a 5.25 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in this game.  He also projects to a have a lowly 5.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched.

Boston will start Clay Buchholz who has pitched well against Baltimore’s lineup in his career.  In 525 pitches thrown to the Orioles lineup, Buchholz has allowed just 7 runs on 34 hits.  Buchholz is projected to give up just 2.5 runs with a solid 3.53 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in this game.  We’ll lay the price with Boston and Buchholz in this game on Tuesday night.

9* Play RED SOX (-) (action).

New York will begin a 3-game series in Toronto on Tuesday night.  The Yankees will send Masahiro Tanaka to the mound in this game.  My numbers project a strong outing for Tanaka against Toronto’s lineup.  Tanaka is slated to give up just 2.6 earned runs with a solid 3.63 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in this game based on my numbers.  Tanaka has allowed just 20 total hits in 94 at-bats thrown to the Blue Jays lineup in his career.  Toronto is hitting just .213 with a weak .604 ops (on-base plus slugging percentage metric) against Tanaka.

Toronto will start Aaron Sanchez in this game.  Sanchez has limited experience against New York’s lineup, but the Yankees own a solid .739 ops against him.  My numbers project Sanchez to have a 4.28 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in this game.  He also projects to a have a lowly 1.5 strikeout/ratio against the Yankees.  The wrong team is favored in this game, so we’ll back New York on Tuesday night.

10* Play YANKEES (+) (action).