Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Maryland has had their moments, to be sure (29 & 20 point covers vs Texas & Minnesota), but were mauled in each of their 3 losses (32½, 18, 13 point ATS misses), with a 769-177 rushing yard deficit. That being the case, the Badgers (264-79 rushing yards per game edge) could and should have a field day

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

They continue to impress. Knights now own a 190-46 point edge (+82½ points ATS). QB Milton 16-of-19 (374 yards) last week, & nation's 2nd rated passer with 13 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. Solidly balanced offense. Pirates are the pits, allowing no less than 51.8 points per game in their L9 games. Take the Knights no matter the line.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Navy is 5-0 for just the 2nd time since '79, & why not, with the nation's #1 rushing offense (414.2 yards per game), behind Abey. Memphis can also light it up. QB Ferguson had 431 passing yards with 7 touchdowns vs UConn. However, the Visitor is 8-0 ATS in Navy games.  I can't pass that up.

Rating: 4 Unit Conference USA Game of the Week

What happened to that 28 points per game offense of Marshall in 14-3 win over Charlotte & its 102nd defense?  Not to worry, they should regain former pizazz vs Old Dominion defense which has 149-51 point deficit in its last three games (-54½ points ATS).

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Yes, I know that the Vanderbilt normally is the series play, but  Georgia is riding high: 5-0 ATS (+81 points), 72-3 point edge the last 2 weeks, holding Tennessee to 7 first downs, 142 yards, & ranking 2nd, 3rd, in scoring, total defense. Vanderbilt a 714-86 rushing yard deficit in the last 2 weeks. Home field didn't help vs Alabama and it won't help here either.

Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the  Day

Once the Tigers get in the groove, they are nearly unstoppable. And a 100-24 point edge over the last 2 weeks (500 passing yards & +49½ points) proves that they are there. Rank 6th & 9th in scoring & total defense. Mississippi has one of the worst rushing offenses in the land. QB Patterson (361.5 passing yards per game) bit that's not enough.

Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day

Until they lose. The Hokies have been a study in consistency, with current 7-0 ATS run. Check 85-0 point run since trailing East Carolina, along with frosh QB Jackson's 282 passing yards per game with 11 touchdowns and only 1 interception. Tigers now at 43.9 points per game in their L11 games, with 639 rushing yards in their last 2 games, while owning 3rd best defense

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Penn State had dropped 2-of-3 to the points, but still on an 11-2 spread run. Check Barkley in last week's heart stopping win at Iowa: 211 rushing yards (7.8 yards per rush) & a school-record 358 all-purpose yards. Penn State now at 46.4 points per game in L13 games. Indiana is improved, but owned worst run offense in the land before Georgia Southern.

Rating: 4 Unit  Big-12 Game of the Week

The dog is a splendid 11-4 ATS in Baylor games, including last week's near upset of 3rd-ranked Oklahoma, despite a rushing yard deficit of 342-60, but a 463 passing yard (4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions) display from Smith. Rested Kansas State return to friendly confines of Manhattan, resolved to bounce back off 7-point effort at Vandy.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Kentucky trailed South Carolina 6-0 on the 1st play, but immediately applied the clamps in 20-13 win (184-54 rushing yard edge), with nicely balanced offense. The Gators are doing it with mirrors. Just 14 first downs but a "Hail Mary" to beat Tenn. They've topped 20 points in only 4 of last 11 games.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

The Mississippi State scoring machine proved its worth vs Lsu's always rock solid defense: 25-13 first down and 285-133 rushing yard edges. Mississippi State's last 4 covers: 19, 44, 26½, 37 points. Ten returning defensive starters have the Georgia stop unit at #16 in land, but note their offense coming in at 85th. Can't give points in a conference battle.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Oklahoma State's Rudolph is now at 378 passing yards per game with 11 touchdowns and only 1 interception (5 touchdowns last week). Try an average of 41.8 points per game in Oklahoma States L24 regular season games. TCU counter with balanced attack, behind QB Hill (8 touchdowns with 2 interceptions), & 245.7 passing yards per game. Tcu covered its last road game by 18 points, but is on a 4-9 spread slide.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Mismatch of the Week

The Hawkeyes don't let this type get away. QB Stanley has 8 touchdowns in his 1st 2 starts, tying Iowa State in the final 1:09, winning it in OT. North Texas has a 288-164 point deficit in their last 7 lined games. They trailed SMU 54-17 in the 4th.  No brainer here!

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

The Baylor Bears are fast approaching pre-RG3 status. A home loss to UTSA, with greater than a 100-yard deficit is simply unfathomable, on heels of allowing 48 points and 585 yards to Liberty. Duke comes in with a nicely balance 538-191 yard edge in 26-point cover vs Northwestern (41-10 in 4th). I just can't see any other outcome.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

The Boise State Broncos must regroup off blowing a 31-10 lead in the 4th vs Washington State, losing in OT (had won 110 straight, with 21+ point lead in 2nd half). And QB Rypien is ailing.. The New Mexico Lobos turned a 30-5 deficit after 3 vs New Mexico State into 30-28 loss (missed 2-point try in final 1:11). The visitor is 16-3 ATS in Boise State games

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week

Series is full with classic outcomes so why not another on tonight? Rested Cardinals got 180 rushing yards from Love in rout of Rice (led 55-0 in 4th). USC found itself in dogfight (they were tied 21-21 in 4th) before disposing of Western Michigan, 49-31. Jones had 159 rushing yards) and Darnold again. However, the visitor is a perfect 8-0 ATS in Stanford games.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Inter-Conference Play of the Day

Star RB Pettway should return for Eagles, who needed no help in last week's 41-7 undressing of Georgia Southern, with 351-70 rushing yards and 535-78 total yard edges. Bryant for Watson last week: 16-of-22, 236 passing yards & 77 rushing yards. A 56-3 win, & 34-5 first down edge. Champs obviously still loaded.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

'Herd killed us last week, with a pair of kick off returns for touchdowns and a pick-6 in 31-26 (2-point cover) win over Miami-O (25-15 first down, 429-267 yard deficits). 'Pack did everything but win at South Carolina (29-12 first downs, 504-246 yards, and 36:41-23:19 time edges), behind Finley's 415 passing yards. Give the points in a romp.

Rating: 4 UnitsNCAAF Game of the Week

Vols give you your money's worth, topping 37 points 8 times last year, while allowing more than 30 points 7 times. Replacing QB Dobbs & RB Kamara not an easy task for HC Jones. Jackets always among top rushing teams (#9 in '16), while Vols came in at 103 in containing the run

Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Preseason's 1st & 3rd ranked teams. The 'Noles retain 10 starters from last years 21st ranked defense, so moving it against this unit quite a task for "normal" opponents. However, the 'Tide, despite losing 10 starters, simply reloads, with QB Hurts & RBs Scarbrough & Harris true elites. Florida State QB Francois first to test latest Saban stop unit

Rating: 3 Unit Bowl Play of the Day

This year marks an historic first for Temple, which had managed just a single 10-win season in its first 85 years ('79), & hadn't matched it, before last year's 10-4 mark. So back-to-back double digit win campaigns for a school that had formerly achieved that milestone just once, previously. And as far as bowl appearances go, this is their 4th in the last 8 years, but just their 6th in their history ('79 Garden State, & '34 Sugar, with Pop Warner on the sidelines). They've run off an unprecedented ELEVEN straight covers, & enter this on a 7 game SU run, with a 157-33 point edge in their last 5 games (+73½ points ATS). QB Walker is the first Temple player to reach the 10,000 yd mark for his career, while RBs Thomas & Armstead have an exact same 918 yards (13,14 TDs). But it's the defense that rules, ranking 2nd, 8th, & 3rd in passing, scoring & total defense. Probably, Owls' most impressive game was their 528-352 yard edge in 46-30 win over potent South Florida, as Bulls average 515 yards per game.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week

The Jays snapped a 9-game losing streak in OT win vs Texas, after tying it in final 0:07. Six take aways were obviously the key. Kansas State a 28-7 wind up in win at Baylor, so now bowl eligible. Kansas State at 264 rushing yards per game in their L4 games, and should continue vs KU's 111th ranked run defense. The Cats own them

Rating: 4 Unit Holiday Weekend Game of the Week

Total mismatch here, as Tulsa at 44 points per game in L8 lined game, and in off 348-88 rushing yard edge at Central Florida. Evans, Brewer, Flanders, & Co keep on doing it. Cincinnati a 26-112 point deficit in their L4 games. Just one cover since Sept 10th.

Rating: 3 Unit CFB Play of the Day

The visitor still the way to go in Bronco games. No TD passes from Rypien vs Unlv, but another 206 McNichols rushing yards (143 per game and 22 TDs). Four straight wins for Falcons (8-3 SU), but on 1-6 ATS slide, needing 22-yard TD pass in final 0:32 to get by 3-8 San JoseState. Broncos in this one!

Rating: 4 Unit CFB Game of the Week

Pirate woes continue: 1-7 SU & 1-6-1 ATS since Sept 10th. And are -90½ points ATS in those 8 games. Own #4 passing offense , but no defense. Middies are at 356 rushing yards per game in their L5 outings, & in off 390 rushing yards in 2-pt win over highly potent Tulsa, (just 1 punt). QB Worth (233 yards last week) leads rout.

Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day

Shocking upsets for these 2 last week, with Pittsburgh never quitting at #2 & 3-TD favorite, Clemson, winning on 48-yard field goal in L 0:06. So underdog now 20-10 ATS in Pittsburgh games. Never-say-die Devils overcame 14-0 deficit vs #17 North Carolina, for 1st ACC win, behind nicely balanced 467 yards. Take any points.

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week

Washington State finally exploded in 69-7 blowout over Arizona, with Falk 32-of-35 (91%) and 6 touchdowns. Califormia 66-27 point and 704-362 yard deficits hosting Washington. Cougars are +88 points ATS at home this year

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Blowout of the Week

Just a single cover for Arizona, that coming vs mighty Washington. Arizona allowing 43 points per game in 16-of-17 lined games of late (82-24 point deficit L2 home game). Colorado held Ucla without a TD over final 49:04 and are 8-1 ATS by 80 points.

Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day

The perfect Huskies enjoy a 48-17 point per game edge so far, and in off aforementioned 704-362 yard edge (California), with Browning a sweet 6/0 (34/3 this year). Trojans super hot, with 5-0 run (40-19 point per game edge) behind 18/5 from Darnold and 394 Jones rushing yards in the L2 weeks. Still a Universitl of Washington call

Rating: 3 Unit Play of the Day

I know that this may seem like a habit, but the fact is that the Cowboys have been extremely good to me, amd there is no reason not to continue the ride, as they've been down for so long that the word "complacency" just isn't their vocabulary. Check balanced 261 rushing yards, 257 rushing yards last week behind QB Allen RB Hill. They have won last 5 games, while covering all 5 by combined 85 points. And a year ago, Hill wrecked the Rebs, with 232 rushing yards. Sure, this one is on the road, but the 'Pokes upset Boise in last vistor role (16-0 point cover). Vegas has had sporadic success but has allowed 38 or more points 4 times this year, and the visitor is 17-8 ATS in Unlv contests.

Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day

Wyoming continues with solid run, capped with overcoming 28-20 deficit in 4th versus Boise, winning on a safety. Nice balance and Hill at 144.5 rushing yards per game (#3). Utah State at -144½ points ATS their L14 lined games. To cap it off, they come in off a 40-7 thrashing.  Wyoming on a 4-0 SU run (+66 points ATS), and no sign of slowing down. In this, they have a few scores to settle, while Utah State is a shadow of former self.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Relentless Tulsa superb of late. Six wins (43+ points in all 6), with 362 rushing yards (Flanders: 249, 5 TDs), in last weeks romp over Memphis. Pirate QB Nelson at 297 passing yards per game, but ECU not hosting UConn this week.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Three straight losses for Virginia, but not until final 0:13 vs Louisvile. So Virginia now on 10-2-1 ATS run, while the underdog is 16-4-1. Just 1 Wake TD in last L2 games. They can't run (#120) so 4-0 start history.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Vanderbilt has flexed defensive muscles more than a few times, but not vs this oncoming train, that has 192-53 point edge their L4 games (+89 points ATS), with 1,488-345 rushing yard edge (Pettway: 236 yards last week, and 123+ in 5-of-6). Vandy has posted

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

The perfect Broncos impressive enough to rank as #20 in this week's national polls. They are led by Sr QB Terrell, who ranks 4th in the land in passing efficiency with 1,995 passing yards, with a 72% completion rates and 20 touchdowns with only 1 interception, Jr RB Franklin, who ranks 7th in rushing: (909 rushing yards per game), and Sr WR Davis, who comes in at 20th (92.4 receiving yards per game). Terrell has burned the Cards for 617 passing yards the past 2 years, and Western Michigan has 179-71 point edge in its last 4 games. Ball State counters with RB Gilbert (538 rushing yards the last 3 weeks), but that is not enough.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Well, I liked the Tigers a hole lot last week thinking that they would rout Arkansas , but I never stepped out. A 42½ point cover, with a 543-25 rushing yard edge. Now a 1,181-240 rushing yard edge in their last 3 games. Mississippi was at 42 points per game, before 21 at Lsu, as 10-0 lead turned into 38-21 loss. Just 133 rushing yards per game the last 2 weeks. Kelly: 308 passing yards.  this choice is not any knee-jerk reaction to last week. The fact is that the War Eagles are once more among the elites, losing early to just #3 Clemson and  #9 Texas A&M.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Broncos blew most of a 25-point lead over Colorado State and a 14-0 lead over Byu. But still a 571-322 yard edge over the Cougars. Rypien and McNichols: 295 passing yards per game and 131 rushing yards per game. Cowboys +50 points ATS L3, and Hill in off 289 rushing yards (10.0 yards per rush) vs Nevada. But stepping up in class in this one.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week

Four losses for Texas this year, with 3 coming by just 7, 5, 3 points. Nicely balanced offense, with Foreman's 146 rushing yards per game ranking 2nd in the land, and Buechele has 13 touchdowns with 5 interceptions. The home team is now 6-0 ATS in Steer contests, which matches a 5-0 ATS home run in Baylor games. Baylor is a perfect 6-0, but I am calling a mild upset

Rating: 4 Unit Prime Time Game of the Week

Panthers come in rested off taking Virginia, on 93-yard KO and 59-yard INT return for touchdowns.  Pitt ranks 7th in rushing defense, but Virginia Tech is 10th in that column, and 10th in total defense. A 174-36 point edge in 4-of-5 Virginia Tech games (Syracuse), with a +115 point ATS edge. Also take note QB Evans has 19 touchdowns with only 2 interceptions.

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week

Not only do the Huskies own this series, but are at +219 points ATS in L18 lined games, while posting a 257-82 point margin for the season, and an incredible 114-27 point edge in their L2 games (+75 points ATS) vs likes of Stanford and Oregon. Hopeful Beavers improved, but only serves as focus.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

The 'Tide has been installed as 17-point or less favorite 4 times this year, responding with 52, 48, 49, 49 points. So why not another, despite Aggies ranking 16th in scoring and 8th in total offense? Last week, Alabama held Tennessee and its 437 yards per game offense to 143 yards in 26-point cover

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week

The Cougars for real. They come into this contest with 1,109 yards, a 93-49 point edge, and +53 points ATS in the past 2 weeks vs Oregon and Stanford. Falk has 370 passing yards per game with 16 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions. Bruins' Rosen has 750 passing yards in the L2 weeks, but can't run (1 rushing yard vs Arizona State). Washington State 13-1 ATS along with being +43 points their L2 home games

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

The Rockets come into this one at +164 points ATS in their L19 games (15-3-1), with rout of Eastern Michigan cushioning 55-53 loss at Byu. Late Falcon cover last week, but still a 311-110 point deficit in their L6 lined games. This one is going to be over early

Rating: 3 Unit Conference Play of the Day

The Raiders have but a single loss, a 47-24 setback at 2-4 Vanderbilt, while Western Kentucky stands at 3-3, losing in OT to Vanderbilt, and by 2 points in last week's 55-53 final at Louisiana Tech (trailed 49-24). So competitive vs all but 1 opponent: Alabama. Beat Middle Tennessee by 30 points last year

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week

Bears sure didn't lose much with Webb for Goff, as he now has 5 straight 4-TD games, and at 429 passing yards per game with 22 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions. Last year, Cal posted 36 first downs and  760 yards in 30-point win over the Beavers. So, with Oregon Stat now allowing 40 points per game in its L13 lined games, and on 5-18 ATS run, I'll call for a repeat.

Rating: 3 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day

Huge line move following last weeks results, which saw Washington hold 214-29 rushing yard edge over Stanford (0.9 yards per rush). Multiple Browning TD passes in every game. A 187-61 point edge so far. Three straight OU losses ('07). Seeking a defense (46 points per game in Pac12), and -46 points ATS in L3 home game.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-12 Game of the Week

Can be no questioning the vast improvement of Long Horns, who are now at 261 rushing yards, 256 passing yards per game (329 rushing yards, 239 passing yards at Oklahoma State (killed by the big play). Texas is +64½ points ATS L3 versus Oklahoma, who shook demons with 1st cover in last weeks 52-46 win at Tcu. Still -68½ points ATS L5 games.

Rating: 3 Unit ACC Play of the Day

You won't find another game this season that means so much. Louisville's mercurial QB Jackson: 1,451 yards, 17 touchdowns in the last 3 weeks. Plus a 254-90 point edge this year (+84 points ATS). Clemson proved worth with 82-52 play, 318 yard edge in rout of Georgia Tech. Watson: 304 passing yards. However, I am sticking with the Cards in this one.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

All South Carolina games are close to spot, but they had just 91 rushing yards versus Kentucky's 254 rushing yard per game defense last week (#124, #127, #124 in run scoring, total offense). Texas A&M comes into this one cooking: 29-9 and 38-7 windups versus Auburn & Arkansas (Knight: 407 yards last week).

Rating: 4 Unit Conference Game of the Week

Yellow Jackets came from 511 yards versus Vanderbilt to just 124 versus Clemson, with QB Thomas minus 25 yards on 10 rushes. Now on 2-9-1 ATS slide. The visitor is 11-4-1 ATS in Miami contests, and with them rested off 45-10 point, 549-241 yard edge at Appalacian State QB Kaaya 21-of-27 and  368 yards in that one.

Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Game of the Month

I don't know if there are any questions on this one!  Try a 195-62 point edge for Cards so far (+81 points ATS), with Jackson at 972 yards and 10 touchdowns the L2 weeks (led  Florida State 63-10). Simply amazing. Marshall in off just 2nd home loss in L23 games, but it was something else: 44½ point ATS loss, despite 413 passing yards from Litton. No doubt about this one!

Rating: 4 Unit PAC - 12 Game of the Week

Just a 50-yard edge for Cards over Southern California, but a 27-10 win, behind McCaffrey's 165 rushing yards and 56-yard TD catch. Now +138 points ATS in their last 20 games. Just 125 and 50 rushing yards for Ucla versus only 2 legitimate opponents, so this will depend almost entirely on Rosen, who ranks 73rd in passing efficiency. And the Bruins have been lit up for 30+ points 8 times since last year. This is a very reasonable number.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Vastly improved Knights took Maryland into OT, despite 4-0 turn over deficit. Nicely balanced 455 yards in that one. FIU owns 211-47 point deficit in their L5 lined games, and  QB Holman hurting. Give up the points

Rating: 4 Unit Mismatch of the Week

Trojans showed their mettle in tight loss to Clemson (29-point cover, only 28-yard deficit). But Eagles have an 83-0 point edge in their L6 quarters, and are 10-2 ATS. QB Mullens, RB Smith, etc, etc

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Oh, how Alabama wants this one, after 2 straight losses to Mississippi, with last years 5 turn overs the key. Kelly bombed 'Tide for 3 long TD passes last year, but Ole Miss was manhandled in 2nd half by Florida State. Visitor is 10-1 ATS in Alabama games, so site not a problem. Revenge rears its head here.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Aztecs lost cover versus Cal in final 0:56, despite another splendid showing by Pumphrey who had 281 rushing yards (#1 rusher in land). Now +168 points ATS last 11 lined games, with a 135-38 point edge in L3 road games. NIU has 177-71 point deficit their L4 games, as well as a 536-290 rushing yard deficit this year.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Inter-Conference Game of the Week

Both teams are off to routs of horrible teams, with the Raiders in their usual passing display with 633 passing yards (Mahomes had 483 yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. The Sun Devils in 34-10 2nd half edge for their wipe out, but return only 4 offensive starters. The did get 180 passing yards and 89 rushing yards from Wilkins, but they are allowing 369 passing yards. Texas Tech can't wait for this one.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Vols were tied for 8th in the land in the "Polls" column, after winding up 2015 with a 35 points per game average, and 9 returning offensive starters. But they needed a 67-yard Dobbs TD pass to extend Appalachian State into OT (20-13 win), with only 127 rushing yards. Beamer-less Tech overcame 4 lost fumbles for rout of Liberty, allowing just 1 offensive TD. Hokies as a double digit dog is definitely the play.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

It was a huge comeback win for Jags at Mississippi State last week, overcoming a 20-7 deficit in the 4th, behind QB Davis and RB Thomas. But they had a 239-94 rushing yard deficit in the game.  That in itself spells big trouble versus and unstoppable Georgia Southern running game that has been #1 in the nation the L2 years.  Last week in their opener they had 420 rushing yards along with 34 first downs.

Rating: 4 Unit Inter-Conference Game of the Week

A premier matchup the first week of the NCAAF season, despite Eagles failing to get a single preseason vote, while Clemson is once again figured as one of the Top 2 teams in the nation. As Watson is under center for Clemson, there is only 1 way to go. Now +115 points ATS in last 15 games, and on 27-4 SU run. Auburn still respectable, but outgained only 4 opponents last year

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Can the hapless 'Cats finally turn the corner? Have been whipping boys since '10, but their faithful have hopes of a resurgence, behind 9 returning offensive starters, although that defense is, as always, cause for concern. I rode the Eagles, with much success, last year, including a 167-44 point edge in their L3 regular season road games. Chalk inviting 9-0 in UK games, but not here

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

Quite a comedown for Broncos, despite last year's 9-4 mark, as they were -107½ points ATS in L6 regular season games, before routs in final 2 outings (38½ bowl cover). UL-La lost L2 home games by 46 points ATS, and came from 8-1 line skein to current 2-7-1 ATS mark. No offense or defense to compete

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Day

This years Kansas State team is not Snyder's most dominant edition, outplaying only 1-of-9 conference opponentss (0-12 Kansas). QB Hubener is just 9 touchdowns with 9 interceptions  and 47.8%, and cannot ignore Kansas State's #109 and #101 offense an defense rankings. Also, a 226-139 point deficit in its L6 games, and 2-10 ATS bowl record. It's another matter for the Hogs, who've had stat edges in 9-of-12 games, and that includes bowl-bound Toledo, TexA&M, Tennessee, Auburn, Ole Miss, and Lsu. QB Allen (3,125 yards, 65.1%, 29 touchdowns with 7 interceptions) leads the SEC in touchdown passes, yards per attempt (9.08), and total QB rating (87.2). RB Collins ranks 16th in the land with 1,392 yards, 17 touchdowns. Thus, a balanced attack that was held in check just once. Guess who? Right, Alabama. And the Wildcats are no Crimson Tide. Obviously, I always respect Snyder in the dog role, but allowing 31+ points 7 times in an 8-game stretch this year hardly a hopeful sign. And UA (-7) took Texas, 31-7, in last year's Texas Bowl.

Rating: 5 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Year

What a start Michigan made, opening at 5-1, with a 160-14 point edge when they entertained Michigan State, holding a 23-21 lead in the closing seconds only to botch a punt, which was returned for a touchdown after the clock ran out. But then 4 straight wins, before wipe out 42-13 finale loss Ohio State (369-57 rushing yard deficit). Improved, but vulnerable. Offense revolves around QB Rudock (2,739 yards, 64%, 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions), as UM ranks 97th in rushing. But try nation's 4th-ranked defense though. Thus, the Gators, and their 109th ranked offense should definitely feel the heat. Florida has also welcomed new head coaching (McElwain from Colorado State), with a 10-3 log the result, although it has been the takeaway that has been the major contributor (4 in upset of OleMiss, 5 in rout of Georgia). In their SEC title match with Alabama (29-15 loss), the Gators were on the short end of 25-7, 233-15 rushing yard, 437-180 rushing yard margins (touchdowns on 85-yard   punt return and 46-yard pass). At least Michigan can move it.  In addition, Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last six after an ATS loss.   5-1 ATS in their last six after a straight up loss. 9-3 ATS in their last 12 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Bowl Game of the Day

Since 2004, the Vols have posted just 5 winning campaigns, including a pair of 7-6 years. That is, until this season, when they took full advantage of no less than 18 starters (10 offensively), although it hardly seemed the case, as they opened at 3-4, with tough losses to Alabama, Oklahoma, Florida, and Arkansas (combined 40-10), after leading or tied in the 4th quarter in each. However, note turning a 21-point deficit to Georgia, into a 38-31 win, along with a 5-game SU run to wind it all up, including that 53-point outburst versus a Vandy team which had allowed just 21 points per game in its first 11 games. QB Dobbs is their key, although he finished 68th in pass efficiency (2,125 yards, 60%, 15 touchdown and 5 interceptions). However, he led the SEC in QB rushing yards (9 touchdowns).

Rating: 4 Unit Bowl Game of the Day

For the Sooners, high hopes abounded, as they got off to a 4-0 start, averaging 42 points per game, but were dashed in a dispirited 24-17 loss to eventual 5-7 Texas, including a 313-67 rushing yard deficit. However, that's when they took stock and streamed to their current 7-0 SU run (6-1 ATS), by an average score of 52-19. They are led by QB Mayfield (#2 in pass efficiency, 3,389 yards, 68.6%, 35 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions), RB Perine (1,291 yards, 6.1 yards per rush, with 15 touchdowns), and WR Shepard (1,201 yards, 15.2 yards per catch, 11 touchdowns). Not quite like last year, when the Sooners quarterbacking was shaky. Sooners electrifying, and the Tigers just continue to win. Clemson couldn't stop North Carolina's Williams, so I am going for Mayfield and the Sooners.  Oklahoma is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up

Rating: 4 Units

This year appeared dismal for Mississippi State, until Prescott and his do-everything talent, opted to return for his Senior year. And he is once more extremely dangerous, as shown in Mississppi State's 51-50 win over Arkansas, in which he threw for 508 yards and 5 touchdowns, and ran for 46 yards and 2 touchdowns. By season's end he became only the 6th SEC player to account for at least 100 touchdowns. This year, he is at 284.4 passing yards per game, 67%, and 25 touchdowns with 4 interceptions, while leading the Bulldogs with 541 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. The Wolfpack of North Carolina State opened at 4-0, but those wins came versus teams with Power Ratings of 25, 27, 28, along with a non-lined outfit. Just 3 wins thereafter, against Wake Forest, Boston College, and Syracuse, teams with 3-9, 3-9, and 4-8 records. So nary a win over any sort of quality opponent, although they did stay with Clemson for a half, before inevitable 56-41 loss (623-389 yard deficit). QB Brissett is an efficient 61.3%, and solid 19 touchdowns with 4 interceptions,  but the North Carolina State running game is a shambles with the loss of Dayes (6.5 yards per rush, 12 touchdowns), and Thornton. The Bulldogs with a totally different psyche from last year's bowl loss

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Quick revenge shot for Falcons, who were taken apart, 38-0, just 2 weeks ago, along with a 424-230 yard deficit. At least Atlanta save some face, by snapping 0-6 SU and 0-9 ATS slides (1st cover since Oct 4) in 23-17 win over Jags. Still -79 points ATS last 10 games, and 0-5 ATS in division play. Panther magic continues, although blowing 35-28 lead in 3rd was a bit scary. Cam simply superb: 5 touchdown passes in 3-of-5 tilts (19 in those 3). Now 18 straight regular season wins. Falcs 1-15 ATS as underdogs of greater than 3 points off 2 road games

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

- It has all fallen apart for the Ravens, who got off to that horrid 0-3 and 1-6 start. At least they've been competitive at home, with first 5 games decided by 4 points or less SU. That is until the last 2 weeks, namely 35-6 and 34-14 losses to smoking Seahawks and Chiefs. First time in their 20-year history, that the Ravens have dropped 5 home games. And it hardly gets any easier, as Pittsburgh not only finished last weeks game with Denver on a 24-0 run, but has topped 29 points in its last 6 games. Ben is now at 337 passing yards per game. No stopping the Steelers now.

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

Seven straight wins for the Cards, who were saved when vet Freeney forced Minny fumble in final 0:05. No question that Arizona plays its best ball on the road (32-19 points per game edge), and not about to go into late swoon after last years disastrous finish (without Palmer, who is now at 4,003 yards and 31 touchdowns with only 9 interceptions). Eagles 6-2 SU when Bradford starts and finishes, but no Philly touchdowns in final 40:38 versus Buffalo. Kelly is 2-10 ATS off 2 wins, and 1-8 ATS versus the NFC West. And Eagles are 0-9 ATS off 2 SU/ATS wins versus non-division.

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

The perfect Panthers stand at 12-0 SU this year, and 16-0 SU in regular season play, behind 2nd best defense in the league, and Newton's leadership (5 touchdowns with 1 interception last week and now 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this year). Missed spread last week via pair of botched PATs and 2-point runback off failed 2-point try (497-334 yard edge) versus Saints. For Falcons, it all continues. Five straight losses (last 1:39 at Tampa), and now at 6-6 SU, after 5-0 start, and a horrid 0-8 ATS run (-58 points).

Rating: 5 Unit NFL Game of the Month

Talk about opposite directions! The Saints are in off their 1st no-TD showing in 155 games, with Brees TDless for first time in 46 games. New Orleans on 0-3-1 ATS slide (-61½ points), and 6-12-1 ATS since '14. Panthers, of course, are perfect: 11-0 SU, 9-2 ATS TY, & 11-3 since last year, with their only misses by 3½, 3½, 2½ points. Have topped 26 points in their last 9 games, are +16 turn overs. That defebse is superb, while Cam and mates should feast on Saints horrid stop unit (NFL's worst). And Carolina 11-3 ATS as series visitor

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Talk about streaky. Chiefs came from 9-1 ATS run, to 3-9, to current 5-0 (+89 pts). Five straight wins, with 761 rushing yards, and a 14/0 turnover advantage. They have a 62-16 point edge in their 2 division road games so far, with vastly improved Raiders victim #3. The dog is 7-3 ATS in Oakland games, with the only misses by a mere 1½, 4, & 2 points. Carr's touchdown pass in final 1:21 versus Titans snapped 3-game Oakland slide, but note the Raiders losing their last home game by 19 points ATS. Chiefs 9-3 ATS as series guests

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Current Falcon futility continues. Opened at 4-0 (+42 points ATS), but just the reverse since, going 2-4 SU and 0-6 versus the points (-43½ pts). And Ryan, who has been remarkably steady, was responsible for 3 of Atlanta's 4 second half turnovers in blowing a pair of 14-point leads versus the Colts. The Vikings had their confidence shaken a bit with 30-13 loss to the Packers, but are still +44½ points ATS in their last 9 games. Minny is 7-1 ATS off a division game, and a superb 19-4 ATS versus non-division opponents. I'll grab this dog

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

Now that's what I call a statement. Tampa Bay QB Winston tied a rookie record with 5 touchdown passes in 45-17 rout of a decent Philly squad, with Martin contributing 235 rushing yards just for good measure. Indianapolis is going it without Luck, with Hasselbeck leading a 17-0 windup versus the Falcons. So a field goal favorite here. Well, the underdog has covered ALL TEN Colt games this season, and Tampa is 13-0 ATS as a road underdog off reaching 28+ points. Underdog call here!

Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week

Ten straight wins for North Carolina +108½ points ATS in their last 8 games. They blew a 14-point lead in the final 3:00 at Virginia Tech, but won in overtime.  NC State highly respectable 7-4 SU, but the fact is that they've played nobody (last 3 wins versus 3-8, 3-8, 3-8 squads). The favorite is 8-2 ATS in NC State games.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

"Iron Bowl". Tigers bowl eligible, but on a 2-12 ATS run. Note allowing 26 first downs and 479 yards to 3-8 Idaho, and ranking 87th on offense. Won't do much with 3rd-ranked Alabama defense, which has held 8-of-11 opponents under 18 points. And check Jones with 3 punt returns for touchdowns the past 2 games. Alabama in an easy one.

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

 Bye-bye to perfect season for Houston, who came from 256 rushing yards per game to 110 in loss to U Conn. A bit gimpy at QB, but still 12th in rush defense. So Navy won't run on that unit, right? Wrong. Winner to AAC title game, and Navy at 348 rushing yards per game, behind Reynolds' leadership (418.5 per game last 4 games)

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

The Aztecs are super hot. Six straight wins and covers (+118 points ATS), with Price and Pumphrey: 292 rushing yards versus Wyoming. Won't be contained by hopeful UNLV's  109th-rated defense. Add that to the fact that the visitor is 12-3 ATS in Vegas games

Rating: 3 Unit NCAAF Play of the Day

The Eagles have a 175-43 point edge their last 4 games, and +103 points ATS this year. AB Mullens had 5 touchdowns with 0 interceptions last week and had 30 touchdowns with 7 interceptions this year.  ODU a 296-167 point deficit in their last 9 games, ranking #101 and #103 in scoring and total defense.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

Michigan defensive mystique about vanished (27.5 points per game in their last 4). Needed all of Rudock's 440 passing yards and 6 touchdowns to take Indy in OT. Home team is 6-0 ATS in Penn State Big-10 games and the they covered their last home game by 35 points

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Redskins in middle of Patriot, Saint, Panther, Giant run, so it doesn't get any easier for 3-5 outfit, which ranks 25th on offense. That 210-yard deficit at New England was fully expected in light of the unrelenting machine that the Pats represent. But note a 748-172 Redskin rushing yard deficit over their last 4 games. Ripe for the plucking. Saints in off OT loss, despite another 387 passing yards with 3 touchdowns and 1 interceptions from Drew who now has 898 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions the past 2 weeks. They have amassed 66 first downs in those 2 games.  Blowouts have become a near norm for the Redskins. They’ve lost 10 games by 17 or more points during the last two and one-half seasons. Historically November is a brutal month for Washington. The Redskins have dropped 20 of their last 27 games during the month, including going 0-4 last November.

Rating: 3 Unit Play of the Day

Peyton Manning returns to his former home once again. What a defense the Broncos displayed in rout of splendid Packers, with a 500-140 yd edge, neutralizing Rodgers, in the process. Now at 7-0 for the 1st time since '98, when they upset the Packers in the SuperBowl. Catching Colts off their Monday Nighter with Carolina is a definite plus, as is the revenge motive for last years 24-13 home playoff loss to Inddianapolit. the Underdog is 7-0 ATS in Colt games this year and Andrew is 2-0 versus Peyton. But Denver is 6-0 ATS off a SU underdog win, while Indy is 1-10 ATS at home versus a non-division opponent who is off a SU and ATS win.

Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Game of the Week

Miraculous overtime win for Oregon last week, giving up 37 first downs and 742 yards. They are -62½ points ATS this year, and rank 84th, 125th, 117th, 115th in run, pass, scoring, total defense. Th Underdog is 13-4-1 ATS in California games. I call the upset here.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

Return of QB Browning paid instant dividends for the Huskies (263 passing yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions), in 41-point cover versus Arizona. Washington is now +94 points ATS in their L8 lined games. Just 60-yard edge for Utah in 11-point ATS loss versus Oregon State. Rank 75th on offense, with QB Wilson only with 10 touchdowns with 7 interceptions for the season. Plus they lost their last road game 42-24.

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

A week ago, I gave a couple of solid reasons for backing the Browns over the Rams, such as Cleveland with an 11-3 ATS record as an underdog, as well as 10-1 ATS off a loss. Well, four lost fumbles put those stats into the trash bin. Still, the dog is 12-3-1 ATS in Cleveland games, and the Browns are 9-0 ATS as non-division home dogs. And try 6-0 ATS off scoring less than 14 points. But the Cards have a 34-22 points per game edge away this year, and are 7-0 ATS versus an opponent off a double digit SU loss. All things considered, Card call.

Rating: 4 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

It was a good time for Michigan's bye week, off that incredible loss to Michigan State. Harbaugh won't let them stay down. A 183-41 point edge in their last 6 games. Minnesota was also off last week. However, they have just one cover since thei opener, and lost their last underdog role by 23 points ATS. Michigan gets revenge for last year.

Rating: 4 Unit ACC Game of the Week

A resounding 58 point shutout win at Miami for perfect Tigers (567-146 yard edge). Now +125½ points ATS their L8 games. NC State in off 4 touchdowns of 57 or more yards and 322 yards in the 1st quarter of 35-17 win versus Wake. Days: 205 rushing yards (12.8 yards per rush). But they just aren't up to this task

Rating: 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

Well, what do you know? He's human after all. The initial interception (pick-six) for Brady in win over Indy (not by enough: Colt touchown in final 1:19), so he is now only 14 touchdowns with 1 interception for the season (71%). The Jets just continue to do it, now standing at 4-1, both SU & ATS, with the SU winner covering New York games by 17½, 20, 9, 11½, & 7½ points. So why not another? Home team is 29-8 ATS in Pat games, and New England is at 36.4 points per game in their last 8 games. Jets +39½ points ATS on road this year, but Pats are 8-0 ATS at home versus opponents who are off 2 wins

Rating: 4 Unit Pac-12 Game of the Week

Stanford comes into this one on a 7-1 ATS run of late, (+82 points), with a 949-410 rushing yard edge in their L3 games (McCaffery: 605, including 243 and 4 touchdowns versus Ucla). The Huskies in off 385-338 yard edge versus Oregon, but a 26-20 loss (RB Gaskin: 155 yards). But Washington ranks 112th and 100th in rushing and total offense.

Rating: 4 Unit Game of the Month

- Eagles finally came alive in the 39-17 throttling of the Saints, who are in search of  anything that will come to their aid. No, those 34 first downs, 186 rushing yards, and 519 total yards (Bradford: 333 passing yards, and now has 8 touchdowns with 6 interceptions) aren't to be dismissed, but consider the opponent. That snapped a 9-0 ATS dog run in Philly games. And the pup is 8-2-1 ATS in the Giants' last 11 games, as well. Three straight wins for New York,  but no cover versus the Niners, despite 30 first downs and 525 yards. Eli a superb 41-of-54 with 3 touchdowns and only 1 interception in that one, and is a respectable 10 touchdowns wih 2 interceptions for the season, which hasn't been the case, recently.

Rating 4 Unit NFL Game of the Week

After facing the likes of Tyrod Taylor, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Marcus Mariota, Blake Bortles and Ryan Mallet, the Colts step way up in quarterbacks drawing Tom Brady and the NFL’s top offense. New England is averaging 37.2 points per game while leading the NFL in total yards and passing yards. Indianapolis is 21-7-1 ATS in its last 29 home games. That record is trumped by New England’s dominance of the Colts during the Chuck Pagano era. The Patriots are 4-0 SU and ATS versus the Colts in the last three years – and that’s against Andrew Luck. The  Patriots have buried the Colts during this span winning 59-24, 43-22, 42-20 and 45-7. That comes out to average victory of 29 points.

Rating: 3 Unit Big-10 Game of the Week

The Wolves are a true force. First FBS team with 3 straight shutout wins in 20 years, with a 160-14 point edge in their last 4 games, ranking #2, #2, #1, #2 in run, pass, scoring and total defense. Spartans are 6-0 SU, but -45½ points ATS. They had the #8 defense last year but are 56th this year.  The Spartans failed to cover the spot in any of their first six starts.  They were out-yarded by Oregon, Air Force, and Central Michigan and were hard-pressed to dismiss disheveled Rutgers.

Rating: 4 Unit NCAAF Game of the Week

The Mountaineers have surrendered 17 sacks. To date, no one has figured out how to slow down the Baylor attack. Baylor is on pace to lead the nation in total offense for the third straight year; this after finishing #2 in 2011 and 2012. And their best players, OL Spencer Drango and DE Shawn Oakman – surefire first round draft picks – work in the trenches. The Bears have won 18 straight in Waco. WVU’s best player, DB Karl Joseph, has been lost for the season. The Mountaineers have won only 11 of their last 29 league games.

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

The Cardinals defeated the Lions with Drew Stanton at quarterback last season, 14-6. Arizona is much more potent this season with a healthy Carson Palmer averaging 37 points per contest. Arizona had covered its past eight games with Palmer as a starter until last Sunday’s loss to the Rams when the Cardinals had to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns during many trips inside the Red Zone. Matthew Stafford entered Week 4 having thrown the most interceptions in the NFC. A short week after playing the physical Seahawks on Monday doesn’t leave the Lions in a great spot either physically or mentally.

Rating: 4 Unit BIG-12 Game of the Week

After facing Tcu and Baylor (118-88 point deficit), the Raiders will feel like a runner with weights removed. Mahomes at 367 passing yard per game, but no run defense for Tech. Iowa State's in off most lopsided win in 2 years. But even after all that, it won't happen hear!  Tech primed to unload on Cyclones for a big win.

Rating: 3 Unit SEC Play of the Day

This is the first underdog role for Alabama since the '09 SEC title game where they beat Florida 32-13. Alabama ranks just 37th on offense, but 4th and 12th in run and total defense. Georgia comes in off a 318-yard edge over South Carolina, with another 3 touchdowns from Chubb who has 100+ yards in 12 straight games. Georgia is formidable, but Alabama excels in this setup.

Rating: 4 Unit BIG-10 Game of the Week

Michigan comes into this one owning a 94-14 point edge in their last 3 games (24½ point cover versus BYU), with a 733-201 rushing yard edge. Maryland was exposed by West Virginia, and just out of their league versus the BIG-10 upper echelon teams. It's the first road game since 9/3 for Michigan, but own the 2nd best defense in the nation. No contest in this one.

Rating: 3 Unit NFL Play of the Day

The Bills have a 307-120 rushing yard edge this year, while the Dolphins have a 284-116 rushing yard deficit. And Miami is a 3 point favorite? As per usual, Buffalo couldn't stay with the Patriots, despite an overly hyped crowd, as a quick 7-0 lead melted into a 37-13 deficit. But Taylor was 23-of-30 (76.7%) for 242 yards, but he had 3 touchdowns with 3 interceptions and now has 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions for the season. Tannehill comes in with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions while completing 67% so far, but that rushing yard edge for Buffalo cannot overlooked. The Bills won, 29-10, here a year ago.

Rating: 4 Unit SEC Game of the Week

Tigers were never in the LSU game going down 24-0 at the half, with a 411-160 rushing yard deficit. QB Johnson their only offense? They are Now 1-8 ATS in SEC play. Bulldogs and Prescott 5 touchdowns a 0 interceptions this year picking up where they left off in '14, and the dog is 8-1 ATS in Mississippi State contests. The wrong team is favored in this one