4* MLB AL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Rangers +

Absolutely love the value here with the Rangers as a big road underdog against the Mariners. Seattle will have starter Yusei Kikuchi on the mound, but only for an inning or two, as they are going to make him an "opener" every now and then to help keep him fresh. No way should the Mariners be priced like this. 

It all adds up to an ideal spot for Texas to snap their 4-game skid. Rangers have a lot of fire-power on the offensive side of the ball and Seattle's bullpen leaves a lot to be desired, even with likely top prospect Justus Sheffield ready to spell Kikuchi. 

Seattle is just 1-6 over their last 7 home games and have lost 5 straight at home vs a right-handed starter. Take Texas! 

4* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Indians +

This is just too good a price to pass up on Cleveland. The Indians will Trevor Bauer on the mound for this one and he's been sensational to start out 2019. Bauer comes into this start with a 2.20 ERA and 0.979 WHIP in 5 outings. 

Houston has a big name on the mound in Gerrit Cole, but he's been off his game early. Cole is 1-3 and has a 5.22 ERA over 5 starts. Last time out he was torched for 9 runs on 9 hits and 3 walks in a mere 4 1/3 innings of work at the Rangers. Indians bats have started to come alive and Jose Ramirez is coming off a big game, which just might snap a massive slump he's been in to start the year. 

Indians are 6-2 in Bauers last 8 road starts, 4-1 in his last 5 series openers and 4-1 in his last 5 vs a team from the AL West. Take Cleveland! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cubs +

This is a great price to get Chicago at home. The Dodgers are perceived to be the team to beat in the NL and are simply overpriced because of it. No way should LA be favored on the road with how much the starting pitching matchup favors the Cubs. 

Chicago will send out veteran Cole Hamels, who is 3-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in 4 starts. Hamels was outstanding in his last start, giving up just 3 hits with 0 walks and 8 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings. 

Dodgers will turn to Walker Buehler, who has struggled to build on a promising rookie season. Buehler has a 2-0 record, but owns an ugly 5.40 ERA. He's also got a 6.00 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in 2 road starts. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Padres -

I think it's worth a shot here to back the Padres as a small home favorite. San Diego snapped their 6-game losing streak with a 4-3 win on Sunday and are going to be extremely motivated to carry over that success and close out this 8-game homestand on a positive. 

Padres will have a decent arm on the mound, as they send out Nick Margevicius for his 5th start of 2019. While Margevicius has a 1-2 record, he's got a strong 3.60 ERA and 0.900 WHIP. He's really just had one poor outing, as he has given up 3 runs on 9 hits in 3 of his starts. 

Padres had Monday off and that's worth noting, as they are 10-2 on the money line following an off day. Mariners are just 2-7 last 9 interleague road games and are 0-4 in their last 4 vs a tstarter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB AL Money Line PLAY OF THE WEEK on Twins +

I just can't pass up on a play here with Minnesota at this price. You know there's going to be value fading the Astros with how big a public team they are and this is no exception. Just no way Houston should be laying this much juice in this specific matchup. 

Astros will have Brad Peacock on the mound, who after a strong first start at Texas, was rocked for 5 runs on 7 hits in 5 inning at home by the A's. With the Twins swinging a pretty hot bat, I like Minnesota to put up a decent number here. 

Twins will counter with Jake Odorizzi, who is coming off a great start against the Blue Jays and is 3-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Astros. Take Minnesota! 

3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Arizona 

Arizona snapped the Cubs 4-game winning streak with a 6-0 win on Saturday and I really like their chances of winning the series finale on Sunday. Cubs have been streaky this season and could see the offense struggling to snap out of their funk from yesterday's game. 

Arizona's Robbie Ray has owned Chicago in his brief career. Ray has a 1.88 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in 4 starts against the Cubs. He faced them twice last year and gave up just 1 run on 5 hits with 14 K's in 13 innings. 

Chicago is turning to back to Tyler Chatwood, who is making his first start since getting the boot from the starting rotation last August. I'm just not convinced it's going to be any better for Chatwood, who finished up last year with a 5.30 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 24 appearance (20 starts). He's came out of the bullpen 4 times this year and owns a 6.00 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Take Arizona! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jays +

Toronto took the series opener 5-1 on Friday and I like them to carry over that momentum to another win on Saturday. This is also an outstanding price to get the Blue Jays off a win with a hot starter like Matt Shoemaker on the mound. Shoemaker is 3-0 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 4 starts. 

He will be facing an A's offense that is in quite the slump, scoring just 4 runs in their last 3 games combined. A stretch where they have only managed 14 hits. On top of that, Oakland will be starting Michael Fiers, who has a 7.06 ERA and 1.569 WHIP in 5 starts. Last two outings, Fiers has given up 12 runs on 14 hits and 5 walks in 6 2/3 innings of work. 

Shoemaker is 13-3 against the money line in his last 16 starts vs an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse and the A's are 1-5 in their last 6 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Toronto! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mets +

Really like the value here with New York at this price. I get the starting pitching matchup looks to favor St Louis with Adam Wainwright throwing well early and Mets' starter Jason Vargas having really struggled in his first two outings.

I just don't trust Wainwright at this point in his career and the Cardinals have not fared well against  left-handed starters. St Louis is only averaging 3.7 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team vs a south paw starter. Take New York! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds +

This is just too good a price to pass up on the Reds. San Diego is simply overpriced because of how lopsided this pitching matchup looks, as well as the Reds having one of the worst records in the game at 5-12 and have lost 4 straight. 

Padres Chris Paddack has a 1.29 ERA and 0.857 WHIP, but he's yet to earn a win and has not completed more than 5 1/3 innings. Cincinnati's Tanner Roark has a 4.30 ERA and 1.705 WHIP in 3 starts, but has gotten better with each start. Last time out he only gave up 1 run in 5 1/3 innings. He's made 4 career starts against the Padres and is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 0.786 WHIP. Take Cincinnati! 

5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers +

No way should Detroit be an underdog at home against the Pirates. I get Pittsburgh is off to a solid 8-6 start, but this is not a playoff caliber team. Neither are the Tigers, but I think we are seeing the Pirates overvalued here in Game 1 due to the Pirates coming off a series win at Washington. 

This is the third straight series on the road for Pittsburgh and it wouldn't surprise me at all if they lost both games at Detroit. I really like the Tigers in the opener, as they send out Matt Boyd, who has been sensational to start the year. Boyd has 29 strikeouts in just over 17 innings of work and has two games already where he's finished with double-digit K's.

Pirates have scored 2 or fewer 5 of their last 10, so it's an offense that can easily be held in check. Pittsburgh is also a mere 9-25 in their last 34 road games vs a left-handed starter and have lost 6 straight road starts with Joe Musgrove on the mound. Take Detroit! 

5* MLB NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockies +

Big time value here with Colorado in Monday's series opener against the Padres. The Rockies are simply not as bad as their 4-12 record and I believe yesterday's 4-0 win against San Francisco could light a fire under this team. That victory snapped a 8-game losing streak. 

Not exactly an easy spot here for San Diego, who just finished up a lengthy 10-game road trip with a loss to the Diamondbacks. Padres have just 1 win in their last 6 at home following a road trip of 7 or more days. 

Another thing is the Padres will send out Joey Lucchesi, who is coming off a miserable start at SF. He gave up 7 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in just 4 innings. Lucchesi is a mere 3-12 in his last 15 starts vs a division opponent. Take Colorado! 

5* MLB NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Marlins +

I absolutely love the value here with the Marlins in this one. Miami snapped a 5-game losing streak in a 10-3 win on Saturday. They had a season-high 18 hits, which is more than they had in their last 4 games combined.

Usually when a team snaps out of a slump like what the Marlins were in, they keep it going, at least for a few more games. With Vincent Velasquez on the mound for Philadelphia, I like their chances of staying hot that much more. 

Phillies are just 7-20 in Velasquez's last 27 road starts, including a mere 1-7 record in his last 8 road starts vs a team with a losing record. Marlins have won 5 of Jose Urena's last 6 starts vs a division opponent. Take Miami! 

5* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +

I really like the value here with Cincinnati. While both teams are riding winning streaks, I really think the series against Miami lit a fire under this Reds team. Cincinnati outscored the Marlins 21-1 and will now be playing with a swagger. 

The offensive breakthrough was huge and I like their chances of staying hot in Mexico against veteran Adam Wainwright. Once one of the best arms in the big leagues, Wainwright has really fallen off in the latter stage of his career. He's made 2 starts in 2019 and has given up 5 runs on 9 hits and 4 walks. He just doesn't pitch well away from Busch Stadium.

Coming into this season, Wainwright had a 6.45 ERA in 32 road starts and a 3.35 ERA in 32 home starts. So far 2019 has held true to those numbers. He lasted just 4 innings, giving up 4 runs on 4 hits and 4 walks at Pittsburgh then shutdown the Padres at home. Look for the Reds to do some damage at the plate. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on White Sox +

Chicago snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 9-6 win in yesterday's series opener against the Yankees, bringing home quite the payday for their backers, as they were close to a +200 dog. I like them to carry over that success with another win as a decently priced dog on Saturday. 

Yankees have been decimated by injuries and the latest to join the list is catcher Gary Sanchez. I also have little to no trust in veteran starter C.C. Sabathia in his first start of 2019. White Sox have some really nice young talent at the plate and starter Ivan Nova has a 1.29 ERA on the road in 2019. Take Chicago! 

5* MLB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers +

Love the value here with Milwaukee as a decently priced road dog against the Dodgers. It's been a rough start to the season for Brewers starter Corbin Burnes, but it's really only the long ball that's hurt him. He's not going to keep giving up 3 HRs per outing and I think the team confirming their commitment to him as a starter, might just be the confidence boost he needs to start pitching to his potential. 

The Dodgers scored 7 runs in a loss on Thursday, but prior to that had scored 3 or fewer in each of their previous 3 games. Let's also not ignore just how potent this Brewers offense is. Even if Burnes isn't at his best, there's still a great chance Milwaukee ends up on top. 

Brewers had yesterday off to get their minds right after being swept by the Angels and are an impressive 20-7 in their last 27 after an off day. They are also 23-9 in their last 32 off a loss and 11-4 in their last 15 vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! 

3* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on Indians -

Cleveland should have no problem leaving Detroit with a win on Thursday. Indians ran into a bit of a buzz-saw in Tigers starter Matt Boyd on Wednesday, but had won 5 straight prior to that loss and I look for them to return right back to form. 

Cleveland will send out Shane Bieber, who was impressive in his first start of 2019. Bieber allowed just 2 runs on 2 hits with 9 strikeouts in 6 innings of work. I think he's a guy to watch out for this season and should have no problem keeping this Tigers offense in check. On the flip side of this, I look for the Indians to be able to get on the board early against Detroit starter Spencer Turnbull. Take Cleveland! 

4* MLB Money Line NO-BRAINER on Mariners -

I got no problem laying a little juice with the red-hot Mariners on the road against a bad team like the Royals, especially with the way Seattle is swinging the bats. The Mariners have scored 104 runs in 13 games. The next best is the Dodgers at 87 thru 12 games. Seattle has scored 6 or more runs in all but 1 game this season and have a ridiculous 56 hits in their last 4 games.

I don't see the offense cooling off in this one, as today's game should heavily favor the offenses. Temps will be in the high 70's with the wind blowing out to left field at 15-20 mph. On top of that, KC is sending out spot starter Heath Fillmyer, who doesn't figure to go too long and will be turning over things to a Royals bullpen that has an awful 8.07 ERA and 2.041 WHIP in 32 1/3 innings of work. Take Seattle! 

4* MLB Late Night NO-BRAINER on Brewers -

I'm not concerned at all with Milwaukee dropping the first game of the series to the Angels on Monday. Brewers had to travel way out west after just finishing up a huge home series with the Cubs the day before. I'm confident they bounce back with an easy win here. 

Brewers clearly have the better offense and will benefit from the DH in this series. I look for that offense to have a big day at the plate against Matt Harvey. Harvey was torched for 8 runs on 10 hits in his last start at home against the Rangers. 

Milwaukee counters with Freddy Peralta, who is coming off a masterful start at Cincinnati. Peralta allowed just 2 hits and struck out 11 over 8 scoreless innings of work. I expect more of the same against the struggling Angels offense. Take Milwaukee! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles +

Big time value here with Baltimore as a huge home dog against the A's. The Orioles responded in a big way after getting swept in a 3-game series by New York, taking the series opener against Oakland 12-4 on Monday. A's have now lost 4 straight and are simply getting too much love here in the middle of a lengthy road trip on the complete other side of the country. 

Brett Anderson has pitched well for the A's, posting a 2.38 ERA in his first 2 starts. However, both those starts came at home and he wasn't nearly as sharp in his second start. Anderson has made 3 starts against the Orioles and his team has lost all 3, while he's posted a 7.54 ERA. 

John Means will be making his first start for the Orioles after being used as a reliever early on. I've been impressed with what I have seen and expect Means to fair well in this one. Take Baltimore! 

3* MLB Vegas Oddsmakers ERROR on A's -

This is just too good a price to pass up with Oakland as a small road favorite against the Orioles. Baltimore was just swept at home by rival New York and have lost 4 straight overall. A's were also swept over the weekend, but that was at Houston and two of those defeats came by a single run. 

I got a lot more confidence in Oakland bouncing back in the series opener on Monday. A's will send out Marco Estrada, who has a 2.76 ERA and 0.796 WHIP in 3 starts. He's also 9-3 with a 3.41 ERA in 17 starts vs the Orioles. 

Oakland has gone 40-14 in their last 54 vs a team with a losing record, 25-10 in their last 35 off a SU loss and 47-22 in their last 69 vs a starter with a WHIP great than 1.30. Orioles are 11-42 last 53 during Game 1 of a series, including a 1-7 mark in their last 8 series openers with Andrew Cashner on the mound. Take Oakland! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Orioles +

Big time value with Baltimore as a massive home dog against division rival New York. Yankees have won the first two in the series, so we should get a big effort here from the Orioles to avoid the sweep. 

The even bigger key here is the guy Baltimore has on the mound. David Hess was really good in his first start of 2019. He had 8 strikeouts over 6 1/3 scoreless innings and didn't allow a single hit while he was out there. If the Orioles weren't so bad last year and Hess was a little bigger name, no way would the Orioles be priced like this. Have to take a shot here with the home team. Take Baltimore! 

5* MLB NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers -

I can't believe how much respect the Cubs are still getting from the books with how bad they have been to start out 2019. Chicago is 1-6 and while the offense is producing at a decent level, the pitching has been atrocious. After giving up 13 runs on 15 hits in yesterday's series opening loss, the Cubs now own a 7.85 ERA and opposing teams are hitting a ridiculous .321 against them. 

Hard to see it getting any better against this loaded Brewers lineup. Lefty Cole Hamels will get the start for Chicago and he was not good in his first outing. Hamels gave up 5 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in just 5 innings of work at Texas. Milwaukee will turn to Corbin Burnes, who while giving up 4 runs in 5 innings, showed some promise with 12 strikeouts to just 1 walk. Cubs are a team that will swing and miss a lot. 

Brewers are 20-6 in their last 26 at home vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.3, 22-7 in their last 29 vs the NL Central and 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs a left-handed starter. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros -

Now is the time to jump on the Astros. Houston has gotten off to a slow start, as they are just 2-5 in their first 7 games. and have just one win since beating the Rays on Opening Day. A big reason they struggled is because they opened the season with 7 straight on the road.

This will be their home opener and I could see them lighting up the scoreboard in their home park. They also have a strong starter going in Collin McHugh. He had 9 strikeouts in 5 innings in start No. 1 and only gave up 2 runs on 3 hits. A's have won 5 of 6, but 4 of those came against lefty starters, which they are better equipped to face. Oakland only scoring 3.2 runs/game and hitting .213 vs right-handed starters. McHugh also owns a strong 3.02 ERA and 1.157 WHIP in 11 career starts against the A's (9-2 team record). Take Houston! 

4* NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK on Nationals +

Most will be quick to back the red-hot Mets as a small home favorite with Thor (Noah Syndergaard) on the mound, but I think the value here is clearly with the Nationals. These two teams actually opened up the season against one another. New York won 2 of 3. 

The Nationals will be out for some payback, including starter Stephen Strasburg, who faced Syndergaard in Game 2 of that previous series. Both gave up 4 runs on 7 hits in 6 innings. Strasburg owns a 3.00 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in 18 starts vs the Mets. New York has only won 5 of Thor's 13 starts against Washington and Syndergaard has a career ERA of 3.65 in the series. 

Nationals are 13-3 in Strasburg's last 16 road starts against a team with a winning record and are a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 road starts against the Mets. Take Washington! 

4* MLB Money Line VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +

This is just too good a price to pass up with a division dog. Houston is considered one of the best teams in the league, but are off to just a 2-4 start, as the offense is not producing at the level expected. Astros are scoring just 2.5 runs/game and have been held to 2 or fewer in 4 of their 6 games. 

So while they will have one of their better starters in Gerrit Cole on the mound, no way should they be this big of a favorite with how they are swinging the bats. Texas is 3-2 to start the year and just won 6-4 yesterday with Houston starting Verlander. Rangers offense has carried them, as they are scoring 6.0 runs/game. 

I know Mike Minor wasn't very good in his first start, but in his last 3 starts against the Astros he he completed at least 6 innings and gave up 3 or fewer earned runs. Take Texas! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Marlins +

We came up short with the Marlins on Monday, but will go right back to them on Tuesday. Miami ended up losing 7-3, but had a 3-2 advantage going into the 7th and were tied 3-3 going into the 9th. 

I just don't trust this hot start by New York and I certainly wouldn't want to be laying this much juice with Mets starter Jason Vargas. He was just 7-9 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 20 starts last year. I just don't see him getting a whole lot better, as he's now 36 and on the final straw of his big league career. 

Jose Urena struggled in his first start against the Rockies, but I like his potential and he has posted a strong 3.17 ERA and 1.106 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Mets. Take Miami! 

4* MLB Situational DOG OF THE WEEK on Marlins +

Really like the value here with Miami as a home dog against division rival New York. The Mets just took 2 of 3 at Washington and I just think it has them overpriced in the opener against the Marlins. Miami just split their 4-game series with the Rockies by winning the final two. 

Everyone expects the Marlins to be bad and chances are they will be, but everyone is playing hard this early in the season. For me, I really like the potential of today's starter Caleb Smith. He was having a strong rookie season before needing left shoulder surgery. He's got swing and miss stuff, as he had 88 strikeouts in 77 1/3 innings of work. He is coming off a dazzling spring, where he had 19 strikeouts to just 1 walk in 13 1/3 innings. Take Miami! 

5* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockies -

Colorado should have no problem bouncing back from Saturday's loss with another win over the Marlins. Rockies had won the first two in the series by a combined score of 12-4 and simply are the better team. Colorado will at worst be in the Wild Card race and could push the Dodgers in the NL West. Miami on the other hand is going to be one of the worst teams in the league and likely the worst in the NL. 

I know Jon Gray didn't have the best season a year ago, but he's just a year removed from going 10-4 with a 3.67 ERA in 20 starts. He's 32-23 over their last 3 seasons. He's pitched well in his 2 starts at Marlins Park (3.86 ERA) and I could see him completely shutting down this Miami offense. 

On the flip side, even with the loss of Murphy, this is still a very potent Colorado offense an one that should be able to take advantage of starter Sandy Alcantara. Alcantara had major control problems last year (13 walks in his last 3 starts of 2018) and those same control problems were there this spring. 

Even with yesterday's loss the Rockies are 20-7 in their last 27 against a team from the NL East. They have also gone 12-4 over Gray's last 16 starts. Marlins are 3-8 last 11 off a win and 5-16 in their last 21 in Game 4 of a series. Take Colorado! 

3* Cards/Brewers NL Central PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals +

St Louis rebounded from a loss on Opening Day with a 9-5 win on the back of 3 home runs from their new slugger Paul Goldschmidt. It could have been a lot worse, as the Cardinals left 13 guys on base. I just like their offense to stay hot in this one. 

Not to mention the Cardinals have a very under the radar starter going in Dakota Hudson, who posted a 2.63 ERA over 26 appearances last year out of the pen and is fresh off a big spring in which he posted a 1.25 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Take St Louis! 

5* MLB NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Phillies -

This is just too good a price to pass up on Philadelphia at home with Nick Pivetta on the mound against the Braves. That's because Pivetta has simply owned Atlanta in his career to this point. He's 4-1 with a 2.72 ERA in 8 starts. 

On top of that, the Braves are sending out Bryse Wilson, who has made just 1 big league start. I just think this is a tall task for the 21-year-old on the road, especially with how talented this Phillies lineup is. Philadelphia put up 10 runs in the opener and that was with their new price free agent Bryce Harper going 0-3 with 2 strikeouts. I look for Harper to have a big day here and for the Phillies to win this one going away. Take Philadelphia! 

3* MLB Late Night Money Line SMASH on Padres -

Padres took the season opener against the Giants on Thursday and I see no reason why they don't improve to 2-0 with another win on Friday. San Francisco has really fallen off the map the past couple seasons, while there's a renewed hope in San Diego with the addition of Manny Machado. 

Giants might just have one of the worst offenses in the league and it showed in Game 1, as they were shutout and managed just 5 hits. I look for them to struggle to score again against Joey Lucchesi, who made 2 starts against the Giants last year and gave up just 4 runs in 11 innings with 17 strikeouts and just 1 walk. 

Derek Holland will go for SF and he faced the Padres 5 times last year, never making it past the 5th inning. He allowed 15 runs and walked 9 in just 24 2/3 innings. Take San Diego! 

5* MLB Opening Day GAME OF THE YEAR on Phillies -

There was going to be a ton of excitement surrounding this season for the Phillies even before they landed Bryce Harper. Philadelphia is all-in for 2019 and I'm expecting a playoff-like atmosphere at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. Keep in mind Atlanta is the defending champs, so they come in as the team to beat in the NL East. 

You also have to love that the Phillies will have Aaron Nola on the mound, who is a legit Cy Young contender. Nola has owned the Braves, going 7-3 with a 2.09 ERA and 1.022 WHIP in 12 starts. That includes a 5-1 record in 6 home starts against Atlanta. Phillies as a team are 22-6 in Nola's last 28 home starts and 12-4 in his last 16 vs a division opponent. 

Julio Teheran will take the mound for the Braves and he's got just a 3.67 ERA in 22 career starts vs the Phillies. In his last 3 starts at Citizens Bank Park, he's given up 12 runs on 14 hits in 14 2/3 innings of work. Take Philadelphia! 

5* LATE INFO INSIDER on Dodgers

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* Dodgers/Red Sox World Series VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers +

I'm confident we are going to be handicapping Friday's Game 3 with this series tied 1-1. The Dodgers let one get away from them in Game 1 and will not make that same mistake in Game 2. 

Kershaw just didn't show up in Game 1, but this time it will be LA's offense that steals the show. David Price takes the mound for Boston and while he pitched great in his last start of the ALCS against the Astros, his previous two outings, both at home, were not good. In those two starts he gave up 7 runs on 8 hits, failing to complete 5 innings in either outing. 

Price is just 2-10 against the money line in his last 12 playoff starts, while the Dodgers are 7-1 in Ryu's last 8 starts on normal rest, 4-1 in his last 5 off a loss and a perfect 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing 5 or more runs. Take Los Angeles! 

4* Dodgers/Red Sox World Seres VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers +

The public is all over the Red Sox in this series and it's created some exceptional value here on the Dodgers in Game 1. Los Angeles will have their ace, Clayton Kershaw on the mound against Boston's ace Chris Sale. 

Kershaw was brilliant in Game 5 against the Brewers in the NLCS and I just trust him a lot more than I do Sale, who hasn't pitched great in either of his two starts in the playoffs. Sale lasted just 5 1/3 innings in his start against the Yankees and a mere 4 innings in his only start against the Astros. In those 9 1/3 innings, he walked 6 and you just can't give free passes to this Dodgers lineup, especially with them getting to use the DH while the series is in Boston. 

Dodgers are 42-12 in Kershaw's last 54 starts against a team with a winning record, 37-14 in his last 51 during Game 1 of a series and 20-8 in his last 28 interleague starts. Take Los Angeles! 

4* Dodgers/Brewers Game 7 VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers -

I'm confident the Dodgers are going to take Game 7 on the road and punch their ticket to the World Series. I just think the fact that LA has been in this type of game several times over the last few seasons in the playoffs is going to pay off big time.

Not to mention, I have a lot more confidence in Dodgers starters Walker Buehler than I do Milwaukee's Jhoulys Chacin. Buehler has a 2.67 ERA and 0.924 WHIP in 25 starts and has really pitched well in each of his two starts against the Brewers this season. Both starts he held Milwaukee to just 5 hits in 7 innings and had 15 total strikeouts. Chacin only had a 3.55 ERA dand 1.297 WHIP in 14 home starts and I think the pressure will get the best of him in this one. 

Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 12-2 in their last 14 off a loss and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 5+ runs. Take Los Angeles! 

3* Dodgers/Brewers NLCS GAME 6 ANNIHILATOR  on Brewers +

I look for the Brewers to have no problem evening up the series with the Dodgers at 3-3 and taking this to a Game 7. When it's mattered the most this season, Milwaukee has stepped up to the challenge and delivered. I expect the same thing here in Game 6. 

Dodgers will send out Wade Miley , who wasn't all that sharp in his earlier start int he series. He only pitched 4 1/3 innings, giving up 2 runs on 6 hits, including a home run. It's been a quiet last couple games for Milwaukee's offense, which has me expecting a big time showing in this one. 

Wade Miley had the wacky start in Game 5, where he was pulled after walking the first batter, in an attempt to take advantage of LA's lineup that had been set to face the southpaw. Miley was sharp in Game 2 at home, giving up only 2 hits over 5 2/3 scoreless innings. Expect more of the same and for the Brewers bullpen to seal the deal. Take Milwaukee +110! 

3* Red Sox/Astros Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Houston -

I look for the Astros to have no problem here evening up the series 2-2 with Boston. Houston's offense simply didn't produce in Game 3, but I'm confident they will revert back to the form that saw them score 12 runs over the first two games, as they will be up against Red Sox starter Rick Porcello, who has a 5.19 ERA and 1.384 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Astros. He made two starts against Houston this season and allowed 7 runs on 12 hits (3 HRs) in just 12 innings of work. 

Astros will counter with Carlie Morton, who they have been being cautious with after he dealt with shoulder problems in the final month of the regular-season. Morton was great when healthy, as he was 15-3 with a 3.18 Era and 1.162 WHIP in 30 starts. I expect him to come out and pitch a gem before handing it over to that dominant bullpen of the Astros. Take Houston! 

5* Dodgers/Brewers NLDS (G2) PLAY OF THE YEAR on Dodgers -

I'm confident the Dodgers will even up the series with a win in Game 2. I think the 4 runs that LA was able to push across in the final 2 innings was a big confidence builder for that offense and I expect them to get off to a strong start here against Milwaukee's Wade Miley. The Brewers went to their bullpen early and their go-to reliever, Josh Hader, threw 3 innings last night. 

Dodgers will send out Hyun-Jin Ryu, who was sensational in his start against Atlanta in the NLDS. Ryu allowed just 4 hits and struck out 8 in 7 shutout innings. Ryu should be in great form having not pitched since last Oct. 4. 

There's also a great system in play, Road teams who have an OBP of .350 or better in their last 20 games and starting a pitcher on 7 or more days of rest are 45-17 (73%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Take Los Angeles! 

3* A's/Yankees AL Wild Card Winner on Oakland +

We saw the Cubs lose at home in the NL Wild Card on Tuesday and I look for the road team to reign supreme again in Wednesday's AL Wild Card showdown between the A's and Yankees. 

I just don't trust New York starter Luis Severino in this spot. While he got back on track over his final few starts, he allowed 6 runs on 6 hits in just 2 1/3 innings against these A's less than a month ago (9/5). You also can't ignore how shaky Severino was in last season's playoffs.

He started New York's 8-4 win over the Twins in the Wild Card game, but recorded just 1 out before he had to be pulled. He allowed just 3 runs in 7 innings of his next start against the Indians, but was fortunate to only give up 3 runs allowing 2 homers. Then in his two starts against the Astros he failed to complete 5 innings in either start. 

Oakland was the better team in the 2nd half and this A's offense is built for postseason success. I also don't have any concerns with Oakland going with "Opener" Liam Hendricks here. The A's used an "Opener" 9 times in September and posted a 1.86 ERA in those 9 games. Take Oakland! 

4* NL West PLAY OF THE WEEK on Dodgers -

This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Dodgers. LA loss 4-3 on a walk-off home run in the bottom of the 9th on Tuesday. The Dodgers are still 10-3 over their last 13 and are definitely a team you want to back off a defeat, as they are 8-1 in their last 9 when coming off a loss. 

Arizona is getting some love from the books because they have their ace Zack Greinke on the mound, but LA has enjoyed going up against top notch starters. In fact, the Dodgers are 22-8 in their last 30 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. 

Arizona has lost 6 straight off a win, are just 8-20 in their last 28 overall and a mere 1-4 in Greinke's last 5 home starts. Take Los Angeles! 

4* NL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK on Brewers +

Milwaukee went into St Louis and took the series opener 6-4 on Monday and should have no problem taking game 2. With the Brewers win and the Cubs losing to the Pirates, Milwaukee is now just 1.5-games back of Chicago for 1st place in the NL Central. 

Hard to not like the Brewers chances on Tuesday, as they send out the red-hot Gio Gonzalez against the struggling Ausin Gomber of St Louis. Gonzalez has a 1.65 ERA and 0.918 WHIP in his last 3 starts, all 3 of which have come after Gonzalez came over from the Nationals. 

As for Gomber, he's got a 7.07 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts and a 5.06 ERA and 1.687 WHIP in 3 home starts. Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, while St Louis is a mere 1-5 in their last 6 at home vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! 

5* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers -

Milwaukee should have no problem securing a win on the road against the Pirates and are showing great value here as a short favorite. The Brewers will be out for revenge after dropping the final 2 games of a 3-game set at Milwaukee against these Pirates last week. 

Jhoulys Chacin will take the mound for the Brewers and he's 9-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 19 road starts. He's also pitched extremely well against Pittsburgh this season. Chacin has made 5 starts against the Pirates in 2018 and has allowed a mere 8 runs in 28 2/3 innings of work, never giving up more than 3 runs in any of the 5 starts. He's also allowed just 2 runs on 7 hits in the 2 starts that came at Pittsburgh. 

Brewers have won 6 of their last 8 on the road and 4 straight series openers with Chacin on the mound. Pirates are just 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs a team with a winning record and 3-3 in Ivan Nova's last 16 starts when he's facing a team that scored 5 or more runs in their previous game. Take Milwaukee! 

4* AL Central PLAY OF THE WEEK  on Tigers -

Detroit is worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home against the Twins. Minnesota has dropped 26 of their 36 road games in the second half and are just 7-16 on the season when listed as a road favorite of -150 to -100. 

Jake Odorizzi will take the mound for the Twins in this one and he's just 6-10 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in 30 starts. That's good news for Detroit, who have won 5 straight against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Minnesota has also lost each of Odorizzi's last 6 starts on the road. 

The Tigers will counter with lefty Daniel Norris and the southpaw will have an edge here against the Twins, who have lost 7 straight against a left-handed starter. Minnesota did win the series opener on Monday, but are just 2-9 in their last 11 following a win. Tigers have also won 9 of Norris' last 13 starts against division opponents. Take Detroit! 

5* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on Diamondbacks -

The Diamondbacks should have no problem here securing a win at home against the Cubs on Monday. Arizona will have one of the best pitchers in the NL on the mound for this one in Pat Corbin and he comes in lights out of late. He's made 7 quality starts in his last 8 outings and enters with a 2.08 ERA and 1.096 WHIP over his last 3 starts. 

Corbin has owned the Cubs in his career, going 5-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 6 starts. He was sensational in his lone start vs Chicago this year, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits with 9 strikeouts in 7 innings of work. He's also catching the Cubs offense in a bit of a slump. Chicago won 2 of 3 at home against the Reds over the weekend, but managed to score just 5 runs on 16 hits in the series. 

Kyle Hendricks will take the mound for the Cubs and he's been hit or miss all season, which is why he's just 11-11 with a 3.71 ERA in 30 starts. Most of those struggles have come on the road, where he's got a 3.89 ERA and 1.374 WHIP in 14 starts. Hendricks lasted just 5 innings after giving up 3 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in his only start against Chicago this season. Take Arizona! 

3* MLB AL WEST PLAY OF THE DAY on Rangers +

This is just too good a price to pass up on the Rangers in a division showdown with the Angeles. LA is simply getting way too much respect with Felix Pena on the mound. While Pena does have an impressive 2.70 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts, he's been awful at home. He's got a 5.85 ERA and 1.392 WHIP in 7 home starts. LA has lost 7 of his last 9 home starts and 7 of his last 10 starts overall. 

Texas will counter with veteran Yovani Gallardo, who was very effective in a recent start against the Angels. Gallardo faced LA on Aug. 19 and held the Angeles to just 2 runs on 6 hits in a 4-2 win. The Rangers are 7-1 in Gallardo's last 8 starts vs a team with a losing record and 8-3 in his last 11 starts on the road. Take Texas! 

4* MLB Money Line MASSACRE on Brewers -

Milwaukee has already won the first two games of the series and are a red-hot 8-2 in their last 10. I look for them to have no problem finishing off the sweep of San Francisco on Sunday. While the Brewers are surging down the stretch, the Giants have lost 6 straight. 

SF will have their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but he's just 2-3 with an ugly 4.73 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 9 road starts. Last time out he gave up 7 runs on 8 hits at Colorado. Look for Zach Davies to be the better starter in this one, in large part because he's going up against a struggling Giants offense that has scored 3 or fewer runs in 9 of their last 11 games. 

Brewers have won 9 of Davies' last 12 home starts against a team with a losing record, while the Giants have dropped 13 of Bumgarner's last 18 road starts. Take Milwaukee! 

4* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Rangers +

Great price here on Texas as a big road dog against the A's on Saturday. The Rangers are going to be highly motivated off a loss in yesterday's opener and I think they have a great shot here at getting a win. Oakland's Edwin Jackson has a 2.91 ERA on the season, but is trending in the wrong direction. Jackson has a 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his last 3 starts.

The Rangers have hit Jackson hard the two times they have faced him this season, scoring 9 runs on 14 hits in 8 2/3 innings. Rangers will have lefty Yohander Mendez on the mound for this one and Oakland has lost 4 of their last 5 vs a left-handed starter. Take Texas! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* National League GAME OF THE WEEK on Cubs +

This is too good a price to pass up on Chicago in Thursday's series opener against the Nationals. The Cubs recently acquired Daniel Murphy in a trade from Washington. He's going to want to show out against the team that shipped him away and I look for the entire Cubs team to be a little extra focused in this one. 

Chicago was able to avoid getting swept at Milwaukee with a 6-4 win on Wednesday and are 7-3 in their last 10 off a win. The Cubs will have Kyle Hendricks on the mound. He's got a 1.35 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Chicago has won 6 of his last 7 starts and Hendricks is 5-0 in his last 5 starts off a Quality Start in his last outing. 

Washington will have Stephen Strasburg on the mound, but he's been pretty mediocre this season. Strasburg is just 7-7 with a 4.09 ERA in 17 starts. He's got a 5.40 ERA in 10 home starts and a 5.06 ERA over his last 3. Cubs have also won 20 of their last 28 games against a right-handed starter. Take Chicago! 

4* AL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on White Sox -

Chicago should have no problem bouncing back from yesterday's 8-3 loss to the Tigers. While the White Sox come in with an overall record of just 56-83, they have been playing like a playoff contender since the middle of August.

Chicago is 14-7 over their last 21 games and not once during this stretch have they lost back-to-back games. Detroit on the other hand is a mere 6-14 over their last 20 and have not won back-to-back during this stretch. 

Hard to not like the White Sox coming away with a win given the starting pitching matchup on Wednesday. The Tigers will turn to veteran Jordan Zimmermann, who is just 2-3 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.306 WHIP in 10 road starts. Zimmermann also owns an ugly 6.40 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in 12 career starts against Chicago. The White Sox will counter with highly touted prospect Michael Kopech, who has posted a 0.82 ERA in his first 3 starts. The best of those outings coming against these Tigers, where he allowed just 1 run over 6 innings in a 7-2 win. 

Detroit is a mere 19-49 in their last 68 road games, 21-49 in their last 70 coming off a win and 0-4 in Zimmermann's last 4 road starts. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins +

This is too good a price to pass up on Miami at home against the slumping Phillies. Philadelphia just lost 2 of 3 at home to the Cubs and are just 4-10 in their last 14 overall. Not to mention, Phillies starter Vincent Velasquez isn't exactly the kind of starter that you can count on. He's a mere 8-9 with a 4.08 ERA in 25 starts and comes in with a 4.77 ERA and 1.589 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Miami will counter with Jose Urena, who hasn't pitched up to his potential this season, but does enter this game with a solid 3.00 ERA and sensational 0.867 WHIP in his last 3 starts. We also see that the Phillies are a mere 1-6 in Velasquez's last 7 road starts, and 1-7 in their last 8 as a team in  a series opener. Take Miami! 

3* MLB Money Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers -

This is an easy play on the Dodgers for me. LA has won each of the last two games in the series and are 7-1 over their last 8 games. While the Dodgers are streaking in the right direction, Arizona has dropped 6 of their last 9. 

The Diamondbacks struggles of late are a direct result of the offense not producing. Arizona has scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 straight games and have totaled 6 or fewer hits in 5 of those. I don't see the offense coming to life against Dodgers starter Walker Buehler, who is now 6-3 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.986 WHIP in 17 starts. Buehler also has a 1.65 ERA in 9 starts at home and a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 outings overall. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds +

This is just too good a price to pass up on Cincinnati in game 2 of their 3 games series with the Cardinals. No surprise here that St Louis is being overvalued here after they won easily 12-5 on Friday, but it's simply not justified. 

Cincinnati has the offensive fire-power to go off in any game. I know Cardinals starter Daniel Poncedeleon has been great in his first two career starts, but it's only a matter a time before he slips up. A key thing here that I think will get overlooked is one of those two starts came against the Reds. Look for Cincinnati to have a much better approach against Poncedeleon this time around. 

Reds' starter Luis Castillo hasn't been great in 2018, but I like his chances of delivering a strong outing here. It's exactly what he's done in each of his last two starts against the Cardinals this season. He held them to 2 runs in 5 innings in a 8-2 Reds win on 7/14 and was even better the next time, allowing just 1 run in 5 1/3 innings of a 2-1 win. Take Cincinnati! 

4* MLB Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Padres +

The Padres come into this game having won 3 straight, including a thrilling 3-2 win in extra innings last night in the series opener against the Rockies. While San Diego will take the field with a ton of confidence, Colorado is in a bit of a rut, as they have lost 3 of 4 and scored 3 or fewer runs in all 3 losses. 

With the way the offense is struggling, I think the Rockies are going to have a difficult time coming away with a win here, as the Padres figure to score early and often against the struggling Antonio Senzatela who has a 5.24 ERA in 4 road starts and a 5.87 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in his last 3 outings. 

Colorado is 2-8 in Senzatela's last 10 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 outings vs a team with a losing record. Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 4-1 in their last 5 at home vs a team with a winning record. Take San Diego! 

5* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Orioles +

The Orioles have absolutely dominated the first two games of their series with the Blue Jays. Baltimore won 7-0 on Monday and followed that up with a 12-5 win on Tuesday. There will be no let off from the Orioles, who will try to complete their first 3-game series sweep of the season. 

I see no reason for that not to happen. Not only is Baltimore swinging a hot bat, but they will have the edge on the mound in this one. The Orioles will send out Alex Cobb, who has really been sharp since the All-Star break and comes in having allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his last 7 starts. Toronto will counter with Ryan Borucki, who has an ugly 5.85 ERA and 1.771 WHIP in 6 road starts and a miserable 9.82 ERA and 2.182 WHIP over his last 3 starts. 

Orioles are now 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs a team with a losing record, while the Blue Jays have lost 6 straight on the road. Take Baltimore! 

4* NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Reds +

Cincinnati is a prime bounce back spot at home against the Brewers after getting swept in their 4-game series at the Cubs over the weekend. What makes the Reds such a strong play today is who they have on the mound. Cincinnati will send out Anthony Desclafani, who has easily been the Red's best pitcher in the second half. 

Despite a very mediocre outing in his last start, Desclafani has a sensational 1.95 ERA in 4 starts in the month of August and I'm confident we get a strong outing out of him here. The same can't be said for Milwuakee starter Junior Guerra, who has an ugly 5.76 ERA and 1.544 WHIP in 9 road starts this season and comes in with a 6.00 ERA and 2.133 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His most recent outing actually came against the Reds on 8/21 and he gave up 7 runs on 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings. 

Brewers are just 3-7 in their last 10 road games, 2-6 in their last 8 following a win, 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs a team with a losing record and 1-5 in Guerra's last 6 road starts. Take Cincinnati! 

4* AL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Orioles +

I'm confident Baltimore is going to snap their 8-game losing streak in tonight's series opener against the Blue Jays. The Orioles will have a big time edge on the mound in this one, as they send out the red-hot David Hess, who has a 2.89 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hess also has a 1.38 ERA and 0.769 WHIP in 2 starts against the Blue Jays this season. 

Toronto will counter with Sam Gaviglio, who has a mere 5.08 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in 18 starts overall and is a mere 1-5 with an ugly 8.36 ERA and 1.752 WHIP in 9 road starts. Blue Jays are also just 9-24 in their last 33 road games when they come into the contest having won 4 or 5 of their last 6. Take Baltimore! 

5* MLB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockies -

Colorado should have no problem here securing a win at home against the Cardinals. The Rockies will send out Tyler Anderson, who has actually been better at home than on the road, which is rare for Colorado pitchers. Anderson has a 4.45 ERA in 26 starts overall, but a solid 3.65 ERA in 13 starts at home. 

St Louis will send out lefty Austin Gomber, who has a solid 2.73 ERA in 5 starts, but a not so great 1.329 WHIP. He's also not been as strong on the road, where his ERA jumps to 3.54. I look for Gomber to struggle in his first ever start at Coors Field. 

Note the Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs a left-handed starter, including a 6-1 in their last 7 at home vs a southpaw starter. Rockies have also won 5 of their last 6 against a team with a winning record and are 4-1 in their last 5 doing game 3 of a series. Take Colorado! 

5* MLB American League GAME OF THE MONTH on White Sox +

Chicago should have no problem here securing a win against the Tigers on Saturday. While the White Sox have been out of the playoff race for quite some time, they are trying to build for the future and are playing some of their best baseball of the season right now. Chicago won 6-3 yesterday over Detroit and are now 7-3 in their last 10 overall. 

A big reason for the White Sox surge is the offense has been producing at a much higher level. They should be able to put up another big number here against the Tigers Ryan Carpenter, who has not been all that impressive in his first 4 starts. Carpenter has a 6.23 ERA and 1.558 WHIP. 

Lucas Giolito will take the mound for Chicago and he was sharp in a recent outing at Detroit back on Aug. 14th. Giolito allowed just 3 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings and I look for another strong outing here as the White Sox are a perfect 6-0 in his last 6 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Mariners +

This is a great spot and price to back Seattle on the road against the Diamondbacks. Arizona is getting way too much respect here with Zack Godley on the mound. While he's got a solid 13-6 record, he owns a very average to below-average 4.47 ERA and 1.447 WHIP in 25 starts overall and a 4.26 ERA and 1.316 WHIP over his lsat 3.  

Mariners are also 6-2 in their last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record and have won 5 of Ramirez's last 7 starts in a series opener. Arizona on the other hand is just 3-10 in their last 13 home games vs a team with a winning road record  and 2-6 in Godley's last 8 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Seattle! 

4* MLB Situational Vegas Insider  on Tigers +

The Cubs come into this one losers of 2 straight and are in a massive slump at the plate right now. Chicago managed to push across just 1 run in yesterday's series opening loss to the Tigers and have now gone 4 straight games where they have managed to score just 1 run. 

People will bet on the Cubs no matter what, but it doesn't matter how much talent you have if you can't score runs. You also have to factor in the recent struggles of Chicago's scheduled starter Jon Lester. While he is coming off a decent outing against the Pirates, he was really bad in his previous 3 straight and still owns an ugly 7.98 ERA and 1.772 WHIP over his last 3 outings. 

Cubs are just 2-8 in their last 10 on the road after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight games, while the Tigers are an impressive 16-11 this season as a home dog of +125 or more. Take Detroit! 

5* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Rangers +

Texas doesn't have a whole lot to play for at this point in the season, but I expect the best the Rangers have to offer in Wednesday's series finale against the A's. Texas has been embarrassed in each of the first two games of the series, losing 9-0 on Monday and 6-0 last night. 

They key here is the Rangers have a guy on the mound in Mike Minor who can keep Oakland's offense in check and I expect Texas' offense to come to life in this one. Minor is 3-0 with a 3.37 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He was sharp in his only start against the A's this season and owns a 3.00 lifetime ERA against Oakland. 

Edwin Jackson will toe the rubber for the A's and while he's been better than they could have ever imagined, he did not pitch well in a recent start against these Rangers. Jackson lasted just 4 1/3 innings after giving up 5 runs on 7 hits and 2 walk. Take Texas! 

3* MLB Early Bird PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles + 

With the Blue Jays sending out Thomas Pannone for his first career big league start, there's simply too much value here to pass up on the Orioles at this price. While Baltimore has little to play for at this point in the season, they have plenty of incentive to show up in this one, as the Orioles are 0-9 at the Rogers Centre this season and this will be their last chance to beat Toronto at their home park. 

Pannone has pitched just 4 1/3 innings of relief this season with the Blue Jays and chances are he will struggle here. He's also unlikely to go very deep in this game, as the just threw 1 1/3 innings of relief on Sunday. 

This is also a good time to fade the Blue Jays after they just put up a big offensive showing. Toronto scored 8 runs in yesterday's win over the Orioles. They are just 13-30 in their last 43 after scoring 5 or more runs in a game and a mere 4-13 in their last 17 after a game in which they scored 8 or more runs. Take Baltimore! 

5* MLB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play  on Braves -

Atlanta should have no problem here securing a win at home against the Rockies. The Braves are certainly going to be up for this one after dropping the first two games of the series. The key here is Atlanta has a big edge on the mound with Mike Foltynewicz facing off against Antonio Senzatela. 

Foltynewicz is coming into this one a perfect 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last 3 starts. His most recent outing was one of his best all season, as he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 8 innings at home against the Marlins. That impressive start lowered his ERA to 2.91 in 11 starts at SunTrust Park this season. 

As for Senzatela, he's making his first start off the DL and this is always a tough spot for any starter. I think it could be especially tough for him, given he's 0-2 with a 5.71 ERA in 3 road starts. Colorado's dropped each of his last 4 road starts vs a team with a winning record and the Braves are 20-8 in their last 28 at home against a right-handed starter. Take Atlanta! 

4* NL West Money Line PLAY OF THE WEEK  on Padres +

San Diego shouldn't be a home dog here against the Padres, but the books are going to shade the line with the public likely to come in all over the Diamondbacks. 

San Diego will have one of the more under the radar starters in Joey Lucchessi, who has a 2.95 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's coming off one of his best starts, as he allowed just 2 hits over 6 shutout innings against a Phillies team that has the 3rd best record in the NL. 

We have already seen the Diamondbacks struggle on their current road trip. They lost the series at Cincinnati and split with the Rangers. Robbie Ray will be on the mound for Arizona and he's got a 4.60 ERA and 1.469 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Take San Diego! 

3* AL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays +

I think this is a great spot and excellent price to back the Rays against the Red Sox. Boston is the best team in baseball and hands the biggest public team on the board. You know before the line is ever set that it's been shaded in favor of the Red Sox. It's creating some great value on the other side. 

I know Boston has been playing well, but they are coming off a loss in the series finale against the Phillies and it wouldn't be a complete shock if we saw the Red Sox start to get a little complacent given their 10.5-game lead in the AL East and for the No. 1 seed in the playoffs. I think this series against an over-achieving Rays team could be difficult, especially with a huge series against the Indians looming next week. 

Tampa Bay is quietly sitting at 62-59 and just took the final 2 games of their series against the Yankees to improve to 5-2 in their last 7. They are going to give everything they have in this series against Boston and it wouldn't surprise me if they won 2 of 3. Take Tampa Bay! 

3* NL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Mets +

This price is too good to pass up on the Mets with Noah Syndergaard on the mound. Syndergaard has been plagued by injuries of late, but when he's healthy and able to take the mound he's been really good. He comes into this one sitting at 8-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.221 WHIP in 16 starts. 

Of even more important in this matchup is how well he's pitched against the opponent. Syndergaard is 4-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in 7 starts. Mets hav won 4 of the last 5 starts Syndergaard has made against a winning team and 5 of his last 7 against division opponents. Take New York! 

4* MLB No-Brainer PLAY OF THE WEEK on Twins - 

Minnesota will head into Thursday's action against the Tigers fresh off a quick 2-game sweep of the Pirates at home. The Twins should have no problem carrying over that momentum against Detroit, as they have owned teams like the Tigers at Target Field. Minnesota is 10-1 in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing record. 

They are also a perfect 9-0 in their last 9 games vs a starter with a WHIP greater than a 1.30 and Detroit's Francisco Liriano comes into this one sitting at 3-7 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in 18 starts. Twins will counter with Ervin Santana and they have won 6 of his last 7 home starts and are 5-1 in his last 6 starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Minnesota! 

4* MLB Favorite PLAY OF THE WEEK on Padres - 

The Padres should have no problem here getting a win at home to avoid getting swept by the Angels. San Diego will send out Robbie Erlin, who is coming off back-to-back strong starts on the road against playoff caliber teams in the Cubs and Brewers. I expect more of the same from Erlin, who is trying to prove to the organization that he needs to be in their long-term plans as a starter. 

The other big key here is the Padres offense should be in store for a big day at the plate, as they will be up against the struggling Felix Pena of the Angels. Pena has an atrocious 9.53 ERA and 1.677 WHIP over his last 3 starts. 

It's also worth noting that the Angels are just 2-11 in their last 13 road games vs a left-handed starter and 1-4 in Pena's last 5 starts. Take San Diego! 

5* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers

Detroit should have no problem here coming away with a win at home against the White Sox. The Tigers have won 3 of their last 4, including a 9-5 win in yesterday's series opener against Chicago. Detroit should be able to once again rely on their offense to carry the load, as they will be up against the struggling Lucas Giolito.

In his last 3 starts, Giolito has posted an awful 7.16 ERA and 1.470 WHIP and is now 7-9 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.496 WHIP in 23 starts on the season. Control has been a major problem for Giolito and I just don't see him pitching well here. 

On the flip side of this, the Tigers send out Blaine Hardy, who has performed well in his 12 starts this season. Hardy is 3-1 with a 3.82 ERA in 7 home starts and has posted a strong 3.18 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Detroit! 

4* AL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Mariners +

The two teams fighting for the final Wild Card spot in the American League will face off in the first of a 3-game series on Monday. I'm taking Seattle to win the series opener behind Marco Gonzalez. The Mariners are coming off a huge 4-game sweep of the Astros and are poised to cool off the red-hot A's, who have won 9 of their last 11. 

Gonzalez is 12-7 with a strong 3.60 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 23 starts. He's made one career start at Oakland (earlier this year) and was lights out, giving tip just 2 hits over 7 shutout innings. Seattle has won 7 of his last 8 starts against division opponents and are 7-2 in his last 9 starts vs a team with a winning record. 

A's will counter with Sean Manaea, who is coming off a bad start at home against the Dodgers, where he lasted just 2 2/3 innings. Oakland is also just 1-4 in Manaea's last 5 starts in a series opener and 1-4 in his last 5 vs a division opponent. Take Seattle! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays +

The Rays shouldn't be a dog against the Blue Jays on Sunday. Tampa Bay has already won the first 2 games of the series and are now 7-1 vs Toronto on the season. The Blue Jays are also just 1-5 in their last 6 overall. 

Toronto will send out Marcus Stroman, who is coming off a great outing at home against the Red Sox, but also came away with a blister on the middle finger of his throwing hand. I'm surprised the Blue Jays are even sending him out, as it's extremely difficult to pitch effectively with a blister. I look for Tampa Bay to put up a big number here offensively. 

The other key to this play is Toronto doesn't figure to get much offense going. The Blue Jays have only managed 1 run on 8 hits in their last 2 games and will be up against Tyler Glasnow, who Tampa acquired in the trade for Archer. Glasnow has a 2.57 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in 2 starts with the Rays. I expect another strong outing here. Take Tampa Bay! 

3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Diamondbacks -

Arizona should have no problem cashing in a win on the road against the Reds today. The Diamondbacks lost the series opener 3-0 on Friday, but are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 when coming off a loss. Yesterday was also a rare slip up against a bad team, as Arizona is 13-5 in their last 18 vs at team with a losing record and 6-1 in their last 7 on the road vs a team with a losing record. 

Diamondbacks will have a big edge on the mound in this one. Arizona will turn to Robbie Ray, who has posted a very strong 2.57 ERA and 1.171 WHIP in 7 road starts. Reds will counter with Matt Harvey, who has really struggled after some early success with Cincinnati. Harvey has an atrocious 10.66 ERA and 1.815 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Take Arizona! 

4* MLB Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Royals +

This is a great spot and price to back the Royals at home against the Cardinals. Kansas City will have Danny Duffy on the mound and he's been trending in the right direction after a miserable start to the 2018 season. Duffy posted a 6.88 ERA in his first 10 starts. Since that horrific stretch, he's posted a respectable 3.41 ERA in his last 14 outings. 

Duffy has also owned the Cardinals when he's got a chance to face them. He's 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.849 WHIP in 3 career starts against St Louis. Cardinals will counter with Jack Flaherty, who has been pretty inconsistent on the road. St Louis has dropped 7 of his last 10 away from home and are just 2-7 in his last 9 outings overall. Take Kansas City! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Padres +

I absolutely love the value here with San Diego as a pretty good sized home dog against the Phillies. No question that Philadelphia is the better team, but this has the feeling of a trap series. Phillies just played a big 3-game series at Arizona and have a huge 2-game series at home against the Red Sox on deck. 

Philadelphia will also be sending out Zach Eflin, who has been trending in the wrong direction. Eflin has a 3.61 ERA in 15 starts overall, but a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 outings. Speaking of letdowns against bad teams, Phillies have lost Eflin's last 5 starts on the road against a team with a losing record. They are also just 2-7 in his last 9 overall vs a team that's sub .500. 

Lastly, I think we are going to see a great outing here from Padres starter Jacob Nix. He's one of their best prospects and likely would have been in the majors earlier if not for an injury in spring training. Nix made 9 starts at Double-A and posted a 2.05 ERA and 0.910 WHIP. He got one start at Triple-A before the call-up to the majors and threw 6 shutout innings before getting pulled. Take San Diego! 

5* National League GAME OF THE MONTH on Brewers -

This might seem like the Brewers are getting to much respect on the road against an Atlanta team that is just 1-game back of the NL East leading Phillies. I actually think Milwaukee should be a bigger favorite. 

Atlanta will send out Kevin Gausman, who they acquired in a trade with Baltimore. Everyone knows the potential is their for Gausman, but I don't think switching teams is going to magically make him an elite starter. He wasn't that great in his first start with the Braves and I think he's going to to continue to struggle, especially against a red-hot Milwaukee offense that is averaging 5.6 runs/game over their last 7. 

Typically playing at home on Friday in front of what is usually a large crowd favors the home team, but the Braves are just 1-8 this season at home on Friday. Atlanta has also dropped 5 of 7 at home vs a team with a winning record. Brewers are 6-2 in their last 8 when coming off a loss, 6-1 in their last 7 vs a right-handed starter and 4-0 in Peralta's last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rays -

This is a great price to back Tampa Bay with their lefty ace, Blake Snell, on the mound. Snell has been one of the best starters in the game this season. He's got a 2.27 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 21 starts. Out of those 21 starts, Snell has allowed two or fewer runs 17 times.

Facing any left-handed starter has been a problem for Toronto, who are just 6-21 in their last 27 when lined up against a south-paw starter. Blue Jays are also a mere 2-7 in their last 9 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

Toronto will counter here with Marco Estrada. While Estrada was great in his last start at Seattle, he's really struggled with consistency. He's just 2-5 in his last 7 starts after recording a Quality Start in his previous outing.

Based on his history with Tampa Bay, chances are this won't be one of those strong outings. Estrada is 1-7 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Rays. Blue Jay are also just 2-8 in his last 10 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Tampa Bay! 

3* MLB Early Bird Money Line SMASH on Nationals -

The Nationals are going to be all business when they take the field for the finale of their 4-game series against the Braves. Washington has lost the last two games in the series and are now 6-games back of Philadelphia and 1/2-game back of Atlanta in the race for the NL East crown. This is one they have to have and I expect them to deliver. 

Washington will send out veteran Gio Gonzalez, who has hit a bit of a rough patch, but comes in with a strong 2.72 ERA in 7 starts against division opponents this season. The Nationals are also 21-7 in his last 28 home starts vs a team with a winning record. 

We also find a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Braves. Road teams with a money line of +125 to -125 who are off an upset win over a division rivalry just 52-100 (34.2%) against the money line when facing a team that is off 2 straight division home losses. Take Washington! 

4* MLB Late Night PLAY OF THE WEEK on A's +

Just about every average joe will be looking to play the Dodgers with Clayton Kershaw on the mound, but I really like the A's to cash in the win in this one. Oakland will send out newly acquired Mike Fiers, who was acquired in a trade with the Tigers. Fiers was a respectable 7-6 with a 3.48 ERA in 21 starts for a bad Detroit team. He's a fly ball pitcher, which should work to his advantage at the Coliseum. 

While LA defeated the A's 4-2 in the opener of this short 2-game series on Tuesday, Oakland had won their previous 6 and the Dodgers had lost their previous 8 games on the road against the A's. 

Oakland is 6-1 in their last 7 at home vs a left-handed starter and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. They are 9-2 in their last 11 following a loss and 14-3 in their last 17 at home overall. Take Oakland! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers +

This is a great spot and price to catch Detroit, as they look to avoid getting swept by the Angels. I really like Tigers' starter Blaine Hardy, who took a no hitter into the 7th inning of his last start against the A's. Hardy has allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in his last 2 starts combined and is catching a break here with Mike Trout still sidelined for LA. 

The Angels will turn to Jaime Barria, who has a respectable 3.84 ERA and 1.220 WHIP in 16 starts. While those numbers are solid, Barria is trending in the wrong direction. Note he started out 5-1 with a 2.48 ERA in his first 7 starts, and is now sitting at 6-7. He's got a 5.06 ERA in his last 3 outings and I look for Detroit to put up a big number here. 

Angels have struggled to close out series, as they are just 4-11 in their last 15 during game 3 of a series. LA is also just 1-4 in their last 5after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game and 7-19 in their last 26 vs a left-handed starter. Take Detroit! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami +

Miami snapped their 6-game losing streak with a 2-1 win in Monday's series opener against the Cardinals and I look for them to build off that performance with another win tonight. The Marlins will have rookie Pablo Lopez on the mound, who has a strong 3.06 ERA and 1.132 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He was really sharp in his last outing at Philadelphia, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. He'll face a struggling St Louis offense that has scored just 3 runs in their last 2 games combined. 

Cardinals are just 2-8 in their last 10 when revenging a loss where they went off as the favorite and 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Marlins are 11-4 in their last 15 after scoring 2 runs or less and 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a team with a winning record. Take Miami! 

5* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Giants +

I love this spot and price with San Francisco at home against the defending champs. The Giants are playing well, as they have won 5 of their last 7, including a 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks on Sunday. No question SF will give it their best shot against the team that won it all in 2017. 

Houston just took 2 of 3 against the Dodgers in what was the first meeting between the two clubs since they faced off in last year's World Series. This is an ideal letdown spot for the Astros and AT&T Park is not a place they have played well in the past. Houston has just 5 wins in their last 18 games as the road team against the Giants.

The inability to score runs has been their biggest downfall. The Astros have scored 2 or fewer in 12 of those 18 meetings. With the red-hot Dereck Rodriguez on the mound for the Giants, Houston's offensive woes at AT&T Park figure to continue. Rodriguez is 4-1 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.106 WHIP in 10 starts. He's got a 2.64 ERA in 5 home starts and a 1.86 ERA and 0.826 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco! 

4* National League Value Play of the Week  on Padres +

San Diego is showing some big time value here as a near 2 to 1 underdog against the Cubs on Sunday. While the Padres have lost 2 of 3 so far in the series, they have given Chicago all they can handle, as both losses have come by just 1 run. I expect more of the same in this one, expect this time San Diego will find a way to come out on top. 

The Cubs will have All-Star Jon Lester on the mound, which is definitely playing into this inflated line. While Lester was great early, he's posted an awful 8.36 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's allowed 13 runs on 18 hits (4 HRs) during this stretch. As for the Padres, they will send out Joey Lucchesi, who has quietly had a strong season on a bad team. Lucchesi has been at his best on the road, where he's got a 3.23 ERA and 1.142 WHIP in 6 starts. 

Cubs are just 2-6 in their last 8 after a win and a mere 1-5 in their last 6 after a game where they scored 5 or more runs. Take San Diego! 

3* MLB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers +

We couldn't ask for a better price on Detroit when the Tigers take on the A's this Saturday. Oakland is playing well and the public is starting to take notice. The books have recognized this and are drastically inflating the lines on the A's, especially against a bad team like Detroit. 

The key here is I feel like the Tigers' offense can have some success against Oakland starter Edwin Jackson, who has posted a 4.41 ERA over his last 3 starts. The other thing is Detroit has a guy on the mound who will give them a great shot at winning. The Tigers turn to veteran Jordan Zimmermann. While the overall numbers for 2018 haven't been great, he's really enjoyed the chance to pitch against Oakland. Zimmermann has a strong 2.60 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in 3 career starts against the A's. Zimmerman also has been at his best under the lights. He's got a 2.18 ERA and 0.726 WHIP in 4 night starts. Take Detroit! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mariners -

The Mariners have lost 3 straight and have fallen a 1/2-game behind division rival Oakland for the final final Wild Card spot. I expect a laser-focused Seattle side when they take the field tonight against the Blue Jays and I look for them to win this one going away. 

The Mariners will have one of the hottest starters in the league on the mound in Marco Gonzalez. He's won each of his last 5 starts and done so by posting a sensational 1.57 ERA during this stretch. Gonzalez has been rock-solid at home all season, as he's 5-1 with a 2.43 ERA in 10 starts (8-2 team record). 

Toronto will counter with rookie Ryan Borucki, who has an impressive 2.83 ERA in 6 starts. However, that ERA is a bit misleading. Borucki's got a 1.429 WHIP in those 6 starts and that's more typical of a starter that has an ERA of 4.00 or worse. He's really had his struggles on the road, where he's got a 4.80 ERA and 1.933 WHIP in 3 starts. 

Even with yesterday's loss, the Mariners are 21-5 in their last 26 vs a team with a losing record and 26-12 in their last 38 at home. Toronto is a mere 2-8 in their last 10 following a win and 8-24 in their last 32 after scoring 5+ runs in their previous game. Take Seattle! 

4* Vegas Insider Play of the Day on Cardinals -

St Louis will have no problem bouncing back from yesterday's loss to the Rockies and cashing in a win at home in game 3 of their 4-game series with Colorado. St Louis is 6-1 in their last 7 following a loss. They are also a dominant 17-4 in their last 21 after a game in which they stranded 3 or fewer baserunners. 

Luke Weaver will toe the rubber for the Cardinals in this one and he's fresh off a really good start at home against the Cubs. Weaver held Chicago to just 2 runs in 6 innings and has a solid 3.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. Cardinals are 5-2 in Weaver's last 7 starts vs a team with a winning record and 15-4 in his last 19 starts vs an NL team with an OBP of .325 or worse. Take St Louis! 

5* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros -

The Astros snapped their 5-game losing streak with a 5-2 win on Tuesday and it could have been a much more lopsided final than it was. Houston was a bit unfortunate to only score 5 runs, given they had 15 hits. That was a great sign for the struggling Astros offense, which had managed just 23 hits in their previous 5 games combined. 

I look for the offense to build off that strong show here. Seattle will send out Wade LeBlanc, who comes in with a 4.08 ERA in his last 3 starts and owns a 5.14 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Astros. Dallas Keuchel will take the mound for Houston and he's red-hot with a 1.93 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He should have no problem here keeping the Mariners offense in check. Seattle has only scored 4 runs in the series on 11 hits. 

Astros are 20-8 in Keuchel's last 28 starts against a division opponent, 5-1 in his last 6 starts overall and 4-0 in his last 4 on the road. Take Houston! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* NL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Padres +

It's been a brutal month of July for the Padres, but I'm confident they will walk away with a win in Tuesday's afternoon matchup against the Giants. While San Francisco won the opener 5-3 on Monday, the Giants had lost their previous 6 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games. 

Today they will face San Diego lefty Clayton Richard, who is just 7-10 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 22 starts. However, Richard has posted a much better 3.77 ERA and 1.240 WHIP in 9 home starts. The Giants are also just 3-7 in their last 10 games vs a left-handed starter and 2-8 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 on the season. 

There's also a strong system in play favoring a fade of San Francisco. Road teams with a money line of +125 to -125 who are off an upset win against a division opponent are just 51-99 (34%) against the money line when facing a team that is off 2 straight division home losses. Take San Diego! 

5* NL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH ON Cubs -

I absolutely love Chicago in this spot. The Cubs are going to be all business in this one after dropping the first two games of the series against rival St Louis. Chicago hasn't lost 3 straight games since the end of June and are 60-29 in their last 89 games after a loss. They also have been a great team to back late in a series, as they have gone 5-1 over their last 6 in game 3 of a series and are 4-0 in their last 4 games on Sunday. 

St Louis on the other hand is just 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win and 8-17 in their last 25 after a game where they scored 5 or more runs. John Gant will take the mound for the Cardinals and he's just 1-3 with a 3.76 ERA in 7 starts. He's been even worse at home, where he's got a 4.50 ERA in 4 starts. Cardinals have lost 4 of this last 5 home starts and are just 2-7 in his last 9 starts overall. Take Chicago! 

4* NL East Play Game of the Week on Marlins +

Miami edged the Nationals 2-1 on Saturday as a big home dog and I look for them to add to that with another victory on Sunday. Washington has struggled to bounce back from a poor offensive showing like they had yesterday. The Nationals are just 2-7 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less. They are also now just 7-15 in their last 22 games on the road and come in averaging a mere 3.9 runs/game and are hitting .224 as a team in day games this season. 

Washington will send out Jeremy Hellickson, who has an ERA of 5.40 since June 1 and really struggled in his lone start against the Marlins this season. Hellickson faced Miami at home back on July 5 and was torched for 9 runs on 9 hits in 4 innings. 

There's a solid system in play backing the Marlins. NL starters who have an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70 on the season and enter the game with an ERA over 7.50 in their last 3 starts are 174-106 (62%) at home since 1997. Miami is also 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs a right-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 when facing a team that just scored 2 runs or less in their previous game.  Take Miami!

4* NL Central Game of the Week on Cardinals

This is an excellent price to back St Louis at home against the Cubs. The Cardinals won the series opener 5-2 on Friday behind a strong starting performance from Luke Weaver. I expect more of the same in Saturday's contest, as St Louis will turn to arguably their best starter in Miles Mikolas. In 20 starts this season, Mikolas is 10-3 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.070 WHIP. He's also got a sensational 1.99 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 9 home starts and a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts against the Cubs this season. 

Chicago will send out Jose Quintana, who has pitched well of late, but figures to struggle here. Quintana has had a miserable time throwing well in day games this year. He's made 10 starts in day games and has a 5.01 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in those outings. 

The Cubs managed just 2 runs in the loss on Friday and that's important to note, as the Cardinals are 6-1 in Mikolas' 7 starts when facing a team that managed to score just 2 or fewer runs in their last game. The Cubs are also 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs a right-handed starter and 1-5 in their last 6 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take St Louis! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cubs +

This is a great spot to back the Cubs against rival St Louis. Chicago took the final two games to salvage a split in their 4-game series at home against Arizona and did so by scoring 3 runs in the bottom of the 9th on Thursday for a 7-6 win. I look for the Cubs to carry over that momentum against the slumping Cardinals. 

The even bigger key here is the pitching matchup and who will be on the mound for St Louis. The Cardinals are turning to Luke Weaver, who has been a major disappointment this season. Weaver is 5-9 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.393 WHIP in 20 starts. He's also 0-4 with a 5.32 ERA in 8 home starts and 0-3 with a 10.89 ERA in 5 career starts against the Cubs. In his 3 starts against Chicago this season, Weaver has allowed 13 runs on 22 hits and 7 walks in just 12 innings of work. 

Cubs will counter with Mike Montgomery, who has been a solid fill-in for their rotation. Montgomery is 3-2 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 10 starts. He's faced the Cardinals once this season and was very good, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Take Chicago! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

5* AL West Game of the Week on Oakland -

I love the value here with Oakland as a decently priced road favorite against the Rangers in Thursday's MLB action. The A's put together another late-inning rally to defeat the Rangers 6-5 on Wednesday. Oakland trailed 5-1 going into the 7th. This came just one day after the A's went into the 7th trailing 10-2 and ended up winning 13-10 in extra innings. 

Those are two excruciating losses for Texas and I think they are going to have a hard time getting excited about coming to the park for this one. On top of that, Oakland should have the edge on the mound with Trevor Cahill facing off against Bartolo Colon. Cahill has a 2.96 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 10 starts. Colon is 0-3 with a 5.30 ERA in his last 3 starts and owns an ugly 5.84 ERA in 8 home starts. 

A's are also 8-2 in their last 10 after scoring 5 or more runs, 24-8 in their last 32 on the road and 40-16 in their last 56 vs a team with a losing record. Take Oakland! 

4* MLB Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER on Reds +

I like the value here with Cincinnati as a decently priced home dog against the Cardinals in Wednesday's early MLB action. In the first two games of this series, St Louis has had a rookie starter making his first ever start take a no hitter into the 7th inning. Cincinnati was able to steal the opener 2-1 with 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th and nearly won again yesterday, as they lost in extra innings. 

Cincinnati has now scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 straight games at home, which is pretty hard to do given they play in one of the most hitter friendly parks in the majors. As good as Cardinals starter Jack Flaherty has been, I think the Reds are primed to put up a big number and bring home the win. 

The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs a team with a winning road record. They are also 5-1 in Sal Romano's last 6 starts and a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 outings at home. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Rockies +

I like the value here with Colorado as big home dog against the Astros in Tuesday's MLB action. This is simply too good a price to pass up on with the Rockies with how well they are playing. Colorado is 12-3 in their last 15 games, have won 6 straight series (all against teams above .500) and are 8-1 in their last 9 at home (won 5 straight). 

Houston will have Gerrit Cole on the mound, who has put together a great season, but there are some concerning signs with Cole of late. His command hasn't been very good, as he's walked 7 in his last 11 2/3 innings of work. Coors Field is not the place you want to be struggling with your command. 

Rockies will send out Tyler Anderson, who is one of the hottest pitchers in the game right now. Anderson has a 0.96 ERA in his last 4 starts and opponents are hitting just .147 against him during this stretch. Take Colorado! 

4* MLB Situational HEAVY HITTER on Royals +

I like the value here with Kansas City at basically a pick'em at home against the Tigers in Tuesday's MLB action. The Royals lost the series opener 4-5 on Monday, but were a bit unfortunate not to win that game. KC should have produced more than 4 runs as they racked up 13 hits (left 13 on base). The Royals have scored 4 or more in 4 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. 

I like Kansas City's chances of staying hot at the plate in this one. Detroit will send out Jordan Zimmermann, who has an ugly 5.12 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 7 road starts and is coming off an ugly outing at Tampa where he gave up 4 runs on 11 hits. 

It's also worth noting the Tigers are just 1-4 in their last 5 off a win and 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Take Kansas City! 

4* MLB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Brewers

I like the value here with the Brewers as a short home dog agains the Dodgers in Sunday's MLB action. Milwaukee put an end to their 7-game losing streak with a 4-2 victory over LA on Saturday and I look for them to carry over that momentum to this one. 

Dodgers will send out Alex Wood, who is just 2-3 with a 4.10 ERA in 9 road starts. He did pitch well in his last outing, but he's struggled to stack them on top of each other, as LA is just 3-7 in his last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last outing.

Milwaukee will send out Brent Suter and are a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 home starts vs a team with a winning record. Brewers are also 14-3 in their last 17 vs the NL West and 7-2 in their last 9 at home overall. Take Milwaukee!